20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-139)

The Dodgers have now scored 22 runs in the past 12 innings.  You could say they are feeling it at the plate.  I expect them to hang another big number on the Braves here in Game 4 to even this series at two games apiece.

Clayton Kershaw missed his scheduled Game 2 start with back spasms but is good to go for Game 4.  Kershaw is 8-2 with a 2.12 ERA and 0.816 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  He has never lost to the Braves, going 7-0 with a 1.49 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in 14 career starts against them.

The Dodgers are 37-10 after having lost two of their last three games over the past two seasons.  They are winning by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Dodgers on the Run Line Thursday.

25* MLB Playoffs GAME OF THE YEAR on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-114)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are in must-win mode tonight after falling down 2-0 in this series to the Atlanta Braves.  I fully expect them to get the job done in blowout fashion tonight.  They have gotten through Fried and Anderson, Atlanta’s two best starters, and now will have the advantage on the mound in Game 3.

Julio Urias is 3-0 with a 3.49 ERA and 1.204 WHIP in 10 starts this season for the Dodgers.  He’ll be opposed by Kyle Wright, who is 3-4 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.455 WHIP in nine starts this season.  The Dodgers went off late in Game 2 for 7 runs in the final three innings and will have some confidence at the plate heading into Game 3.

The Dodgers are 36-10 after having lost two of their last three games over the past two seasons and outscoring opponents by 2.6 runs per game in this spot.  Los Angeles is 47-19 in its last 66 games following a loss.  The Dodgers are 62-23 in their last 85 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+115)

The Chicago Cubs will bounce back in blowout fashion today after losing 5-1 to the Miami Marlins in Game 1 of this series.  They have a huge advantage on the mound in this one that’s going to lead to a victory by two runs or more.

Yu Darvish is 8-3 with a 2.13 ERA and 0.961 WHIP in 12 starts this season for the Cubs with 93 K’s and only 14 walks and 5 homers allowed in 76 innings.  Darvish has been nothing short of dominant.

While Sixto Sanchez has one of the sweetest names in baseball, he’s no match for Darvish here.  Sanchez struggled down the stretch in going 0-1 with an 11.57 ERA in his final two starts, allowing 9 earned runs and 18 base runners in 7 innings in losses to the Braves and Nationals.

The Marlins are 34-71 in their last 105 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Cubs are 10-4 in their last 14 playoff games as favorites.  Chicago is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings and 16-5 in the last 21 home meetings.  Take the Cubs on the Run Line Friday.

15* MLB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -1.5 (-110)

The Houston Astros can clinch a playoff spot with a win Friday.  They got their bats going yesterday and won 12-4 to cash in for us.  And we’re back on them again today against the lowly Texas Rangers, who are 1-7 in their last eight games overall.

Jose Urquidy is the better starter in this matchup.  He is 1-1 with a 2.78 ERA and 1.015 WHIP in four starts this season.  Urquidy owns the Rangers, going 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 0.357 WHIP in two career starts against them, allowing just two earned runs and five base runners in 14 innings with 16 K’s.

Texas is 6-20 as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season, losing by 2.5 runs per game.  The Rangers are 7-25 after batting .225 or worse over a 5-game span this season.  The Astros are 35-17 in the last 52 meetings.  Take the Astros on the Run Line Friday.

15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-101)

The Tampa Bay Rays would clinch the AL East with a victory Wednesday.  They take on the New York Mets (25-30), who are all but eliminated from playoff contention because they would need to much help to get in even if they won out.

The Rays have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Tyler Glasnow, who is 4-1 with a 4.21 ERA and 1.188 WHIP in 10 starts this season with 83 K’s in 51 1/3 innings.  Glasnow has been at his best on the road, going 2-0 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.184 WHIP in five starts away from home.

Michael Wacha is washed up and terrible.  He is 1-3 with a 7.50 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in six starts this season, including 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.900 WHIP in his last three.  Wacha has never beaten the Rays, going 0-2 with a 9.72 ERA and 2.281 WHIP in two career starts against them.

The Rays are 27-12 against right-handed starters this season.  Tampa Bay is 12-2 in its last 14 games following a loss.  The Rays are 18-6 in their last 24 road games.  The Mets are 6-16 in their last 22 games as underdogs.  New York is 24-53 in its last 77 games as a home underdog.  Roll with the Rays on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-125)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have now won five straight games by two runs or more.  They have gone 3-0 against the Rockies in this series with wins by 9, 6 and 5 runs.  It will be more of the same Sunday due to their advantage on the mound.

Tony Gonsolin has been virtually unhittable this season for the Dodgers.  He is 1-0 with a 0.88 ERA and 0.685 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing just three earned runs and 21 base runners in 30 2/3 innings.  He gave up just one earned run in six innings in his lone start against the Rockies in 2020.

Antonio Senzatela is having a decent season for the Rockies.  But he’s coming off a complete game against Oakland, and that will have taken a lot out of him.  Senzatella does not enjoy facing the Dodgers, going 2-3 with a 6.62 ERA and 1.702 WHIP in seven career starts against them.  He is 0-3 with an 8.66 ERA in his last three starts against the Dodgers, giving up 17 earned runs and seven homers in 17 2/3 innings.

The Dodgers are outscoring their opponents by 2.3 runs per game on the season.  They are 38-15 this season with 33 wins by two runs or more.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Sunday.

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-129)

The Cleveland Indians righted the ship and put an end to their eight-game losing streak with a 10-3 win over the Detroit Tigers in Game 1 yesterday.  Rinse and repeat today as they win Game 2 by two runs or more against a Tigers team that is just 4-12 in their last 16 games overall with nine of those losses by two runs or more.

The Indians have a big advantage on the mound today with Zach Plesac, who is 3-2 with a 2.20 ERA and 0.780 WHIP in six starts this season.  Plesac has owned the Tigers, going 1-0 with a 0.90 ERA and 0.70 WHIP in two career starts against them.

Michael Fulmer is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 0-2 with a 9.27 ERA and 2.149 WHIP in eight starts this season.  Fulmer is also 2-4 with a 7.46 ERA and 1.805 WHIP in 10 career starts against Cleveland.

The Indians are 43-9 in their last 52 meetings with the Tigers.  Cleveland is 54-22 in its last 76 vs. a team with a losing record.  Detroit is 24-66 in its last 90 home games.  The Tigers are 11-43 in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Detroit is 1-15 in home games off two straight games where they stranded five or fewer runners on base over the last two seasons.  It is losing by 5.6 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Indians on the Run Line Friday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (-110)

The Cincinnati Reds have now won four straight games all by two runs or more.  They make it five in a row when they host the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates, who are 0-7 in their last seven games overall with six of those losses by two runs or more.

The Reds have a huge advantage on the mound today with Luis Castillo.  He got off to a shaky start this year, but he has really turned a corner in his last two starts.  Castillo is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA in his last two starts, allowing just three earned runs in 15 innings.  

Castillo is also 2-0 with a 2.16 ERA in his last four starts against the Pirates, allowing just six earned runs in 25 innings.  He’ll be opposed by J.T. Brubaker, who is 1-1 with a 6.40 ERA and 1.579 WHIP in six starts this season for the Pirates.

Pittsburgh is 6-24 in night games this season.  The Pirates are 2-16 on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season, losing by 3.1 runs per game.  Bet the Reds on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Monday PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-110)

The Atlanta Braves have now scored four or more runs in 13 of their last 15 games overall.  They have cashed for us the past couple days, including yesterday as a +155 underdog as they put up eight runs on Max Scherzer and company.

I’m back on the Braves today on the Run Line due to their offense, not due to Touki Toussaint getting he ball for them.  He has a 6.11 ERA in four starts this season, but Baltimore starter Jorge Lopez has a 5.02 ERA in his three starts.

The key here is that Toussaint will get run support, while the Orioles probably won’t be able to muster much offense.  That has been the case recently as the Orioles are 0-5 in their last five games overall.  They scored a total of three runs in their 4-game sweep at the hands of the New York Yankees over the weekend.

The Braves are 11-1 as a road favorite of -110 or higher this season, outscoring opponents by an average of 2.8 runs per game.  Take the Braves on the Run Line Monday.

15* MLB Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-102)

The Cleveland Indians will be highly motivated for a victory Thursday after dropping their last two games to the Royals over the past two days.  They won’t be losing three in a row here, and I have them winning by multiple runs tonight.

The Indians have a big advantage on the mound behind Aaron Civale, who is 3-4 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.135 WHIP in eight starts this season.  He’ll be opposed by Brady Singer, who is 1-4 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.438 WHIP in eight starts this season.

Cleveland is 24-3 vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 runs per game or fewer over the last two seasons, winning by 3.5 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Indians on the Run Line Thursday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-130)

The Yankees have lost their last two games to the Orioles in this series and will be highly motivated for a victory here Sunday as a result.  I expect them to get the job done in blowout fashion due to their advantage on the mound.

Masahiro Tanaka is 1-1 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.050 WHIP in six starts this season, including 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.40 WHIP in two road starts.  Tanaka is also 5-3 with a 3.72 ERA and 1.230 WHIP in 15 career starts against Baltimore.

Asher Wojciechowski is 1-3 with a 5.17 ERA and 1.436 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 1-2 with a 6.27 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in four home starts.  Wojciechowski has never beaten the Yankees, going 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.667 WHIP in two career starts against them.

The Yankees are 21-4 against the Orioles over the past three seasons.  Baltimore is 4-26 after allowing three runs or less in two straight games over the last three seasons.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Sunday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+100)

The Cleveland Indians have split the first two games of this series.  After dropping Game 1 by a final of 2-1, they bounced back with a 10-1 victory in Game 2.  Look for them to stay hot at the plate tonight and win this game by multiple runs over the lowly Kansas City Royals.

Triston McKenzie is a big reason why the Indians could afford to trade Mike Clevinger.  McKenzie is 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in two starts this season with 13 K’s in 10 innings.  He isn’t getting the respect he deserves from oddsmakers.

Jake Junis is 0-0 with a 4.26 ERA and 1.579 WHIP in three starts this season for the Royals.  Junis hates facing the Indians, going 3-6 with a 5.89 ERA and 1.404 WHIP in 11 career starts against them.  That includes 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA in his last two, allowing 10 earned runs and 20 base runners in 10 innings.

The Indians are 7-1 in their last eight games after scoring five or more runs in their previous game.  Cleveland is 11-2 in its last 13 road games.  The Indians are 39-12 in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  The Royals are 28-74 in their last 102 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Cleveland is 47-23 in the last 70 meetings.  Roll with the Indians on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Tuesday PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-109)

The Atlanta Braves have scored a combined 18 runs the past two days and are hot at the plate.  I’ll gladly back them on the Run Line again today against the hapless Boston Red Sox, who are already looking forward to next year.

Ian Anderson was great in his first start of the season, limiting the Yankees to one run and three base runners across 6 innings of a 5-1 victory on August 26th.  He is a nice young talent that will shut down the Red Sox today.

Ryan Weber has been rocked in every start this season.  He is 0-2 with a 9.90 ERA and 2.400 WHIP in three starts, allowing 11 earned runs, 24 base runners and 5 homers in 10 innings of work.

Atlanta is 17-2 as a favorite of -110 or higher this season, winning by 2.8 runs per game on average.  Take the Braves on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* MLB Monday PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-120)

The Atlanta Braves just hung 12 runs on the Phillies yesterday en route to victory and should stay hot at the plate today against the hapless Boston Red Sox.  While the Braves are in 1st place in the NL East and playing for something, the Red Sox are already looking forward to next year.

Boston sits at just 12-22 on the season behind atrocious pitching as opponents are hitting .288 against them and scoring 6.1 runs per game.  Boston starter Colton Brewer is 0-2 with a 5.22 ERA and 1.838 WHIP in three starts this season.

The Braves have a huge advantage on the mound in this one.  Max Fried has been dominant this season, going 5-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in seven starts.  The Braves are a perfect 7-0 in Fried’s seven starts this season and improve to 8-0 with a win by two runs or more tonight.  Take the Braves on the Run Line Monday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-126)

The Minnesota Twins have now lost four straight coming in.  It’s safe to say they’ll be highly motivated for a victory Sunday after getting swept in their double-header against the lowly Detroit Tigers yesterday.

Kenta Maeda has proven to be a great addition to the rotation this offseason after all the success he had with the Dodgers previously.  Maeda is 4-0 with a 2.21 ERA and 0.709 WHIP in six starts this season with 40 K’s and only three homers and seven walks allowed in 36 2/3 innings.

Casey Mize is a big prospect for the Tigers, but he has been a disappointment thus far.  Mize is 0-1 with a 7.05 ERA and 1.828 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing 6 runs and 14 base runners in 7 2/3 innings.

Minnesota is 40-10 as a favorite of -175 to -250 over the last two seasons, winning by 2.6 runs per game on average in this spot.  Detroit is 12-41 as a home dog of +125 or more over the last two seasons, losing by 3.2 runs per game.  Bet the Twins on the Run Line Sunday.

15* MLB Wednesday PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-111)

I’m back on the Cleveland Indians today after getting lucky yesterday, cashing them in the 10th innings on the Run Line in a 6-3 victory over the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates.  I’m expecting them to win by multiple runs within nine innings tonight.

The Pirates are one of the worst teams in baseball at 4-15 on the season.  They are giving up 6.0 runs per game as they have a terrible staff, and they are hitting just .213 as a team offensively.  Starter Steven Brault is averaging just 2.3 innings per start, so the Indians will get into the Pirates’ bullpen early, which has a 5.62 ERA on the season and a 6.47 ERA at home.

Aaron Civale has been impressive for the Indians thus far.  He is 2-2 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.120 WHIP in four starts with 26 K’s and only 3 walks in 25 innings.  The Indians are now 9-3 in their last 12 games overall with eight of those wins coming by two runs or more.

The Indians are 39-12 in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Cleveland is 56-23 in its last 79 games as a favorite.  Pittsburgh is 23-53 in its last 76 games as an underdog.  The Pirates are 11-41 in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Pittsburgh is 1-11 in its last 12 Interleague games.  Take the Indians on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-110)

The Cleveland Indians have won three straight to improve to 8-3 in their last 11 games overall.  Seven of those eight wins came by two runs or more, and I’ll back them on the Run Line here tonight against the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Pirates are one of the worst teams in baseball at 4-14 on the season.  Their pitching staff has been atrocious as they are giving up 6.0 runs per game, and they are only hitting .211 and scoring 4.1 runs per game offensively.

Carlos Carrasco will shut down the Pirates tonight.  Carrasco is back from cancer and 2-2 with a 3.22 ERA and 1.209 WHIP with 30 K’s in 22 1/3 innings over four starts this season.  He is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA in one career start against Pittsburgh.

The Indians are 5-0 in their last five road games.  Cleveland is 5-1 in its last six games following an off day.  The Indians are 38-13 in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Cleveland is 55-23 in its last 78 games as a favorite.  The Pirates are 11-41 in their last 52 vs. a team with a winning record.  Take the Indians on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* MLB Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-108)

The Detroit Tigers shockingly have a winning record (9-8) through 17 games despite being the worst team in baseball last year.  But they didn’t do much to improve their team, and they are now getting too much respect from oddsmakers due to this start.

Shane Bieber went 15-8 with a 3.28 ERA and 1.054 WHIP in 33 starts for the Indians last year.  He has picked up right where he left off, going 3-0 with a 1.63 ERA and 0.759 WHIP with 43 K’s in 27 2/3 innings thus far in 2020.

Spencer Turnbull is 5-19 with a 4.48 ERA and 1.380 WHIP in his three seasons in the big leagues.  He is also getting too much respect after opening with a 2.00 ERA through three starts in 2020.  He’s not as good as his numbers would indicate.

Turnbull is 2-14 (-11.9 units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times per game over the last two seasons.  The Tigers are losing by 3.7 runs per game in this spot.  Bieber is 9-0 (+9.1 units) vs. poor speed teams that average 0.35 or fewer stolen bases per game over the last two years.  The Indians are winning by 2.4 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Indians on the Run Line Saturday.

15* MLB Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-105)

The Philadelphia Phillies have lost each of their first two games in this series with Baltimore by one run each.  They will be highly motivated for a victory in Game 3 tonight to avoid the sweep, and I expect them to win by multiple runs.

Jake Arrieta is 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.000 WHIP through two starts this season against two very good lineups in the Yankees and Braves.  Now Arrieta faces an Orioles team that he’s 2-0 with a 1.32 ERA and 0.878 WHIP against in two career starts.

Philadelphia is 4-1 in its last five games after losing the first two games of a series.  Take the Phillies on the Run Line Thursday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-104)

The Minnesota Twins have lost three straight and will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday.  Look for them to get back in the win column in blowout fashion against the Kansas City Royals.

Ace Jose Berrios gets the ball for the Twins.  He is 3-2 with a 4.29 ERA in 13 career starts against the Royals.  Brady Singer is 0-1 with a 4.80 ERA in three starts this season for Kansas City.  Bet the Twins on the Run Line Sunday.

15* MLB Monday PLAY OF THE DAY on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-119)

The Minnesota Twins have picked up right where they left off last season when they set a MLB record with 307 homers and won the AL Central.  They are 7-2 this season and scoring 5.1 runs per game with 16 homers.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are one of the worst teams in baseball.  They sit at 2-7, hitting just .177 as a team and scoring 3.3 runs per game.  Their starting rotation is terrible, and their bullpen has a 4.04 ERA and 1.536 WHIP.  Minnesota’s rotation and bullpen have been solid.  The bullpen has a 2.77 ERA and 1.128 WHIP on the season.  

Derek Holland is 3-7 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.493 WHIP in 13 career starts against Minnesota.  Holland went 2-5 with a 6.08 ERA and 1.506 WHIP in 84 1/3 innings last year between the Giants and Cubs.  Take the Twins on the Run Line Monday.

15* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY on Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (-110)

I’m back on the Reds today after their game with the Cubs got postponed yesterday.  Sonny Gray and Luis Castillo are two aces on one staff for the Reds.  I just backed Gray in victory, and now I’m on Castillo today.

Castillo went 15-8 with a 3.40 ERA, a 1.143 WHIP and 10.7 K/9 over 32 starts for the Reds in 2019.  In his first and only start of 2020, Castillo held the Tigers to just one run in six innings with 11 K’s to boot.  He will handle them again tonight as the Reds win in blowout fashion.

The Tigers are arguably the worst team in baseball but they are getting more respect than they deserve from oddsmakers after their surprising 4-3 start.  They are hitting just .205 as a team with one of the worst lineups in baseball.

Spencer Turnbull is 1-12 (-11 units) as a home underdogs of +100 or higher over the last two seasons.  The Tigers are losing by 4.4 runs per game on average in this spot.  Roll with the Reds on the Run Line Friday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (-115)

It just shows how strong the top of the rotation is for the Cincinnati Reds that Luis Castillo didn’t get the Opening Day start.  That went to Sonny Gray, who shut down the Tigers in a 7-1 victory.  Rinse and repeat today for Castillo.

Castillo went 15-8 with a 3.40 ERA and 1.143 WHIP with 10.7 K/9 last season for the Reds.  He is supported by one of the most underrated lineups in baseball, which makes the Reds a real contender in the NL Central this year.

The Tigers were the worst team in baseball last year, and not much has changed in the offseason to change that.  Their lineup and starting rotation are atrocious.  That’s evident by having to send Ivan Nova out there as their No. 2 starter.  The 33-year-old posted a 4.72 ERA across 34 starts for the White Sox last season.  Bet the Reds on the Run Line Saturday.

20* Rays/Astros ALDS No-Brainer on Houston -1.5 (-120) 

The Houston Astros knew they had an ace in their sleeve with Gerrit Cole to pitch Game 5 if need be.  They took a shot with Justin Verlander on 3 days’ rest, and it didn’t work out.  Now that ace in their sleeve will deliver for them tonight at home in Game 5. 

Gerrit Cole is 17-0 over his last 23 starts with his last loss coming clear back on May 22nd.  He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 21 of those 23 starts.  Cole is deserving of the AL Cy Young as he is 21-5 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.886 WHIP in 34 starts this season with 341 K’s in 220 innings.  Cole pitched 7 2/3 shutout innings in Game 2 against the Rays with 15 K’s. 

Tyler Glasnow was opposite Justin Verlander in a 2-6 loss to the Astros in Game 1.  He allowed 2 runs and 7 base runners in 4 1/3 innings in the defeat.  He’s not ready for this big of a stage.  And the Astros have basically seen the entire Rays’ bullpen to this point, so they’ll know what to expect when Glasnow gets removed early. 

Cole is 46-11 as a favorite of -150 or more over the last two seasons.  The Astros are winning by 3.6 runs per game in this spot.  Te Rays are 0-5 in their last five divisional playoff road games.  Houston is 6-0 in its last six divisional playoff home games.  The Astros are 27-4 in Cole’s last 31 home starts.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Thursday. 

15* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-135) 

The St. Louis Cardinals are doing everything they can to hand the NL Central to the Brewers.  The Brewers do not want to take it, losing the last two days to the Brewers.  So the Cardinals are still in a great position despite losing four straight coming in.  They clinch the NL Central with a win Sunday over the Cubs. 

Now the Cardinals hand the ball to who I believe should win the NL Cy Young in Jack Flaherty.  Flaherty has posted a minuscule 0.97 ERA in five September Starts after posting a 0.71 ERA in August.  Opponents are only hitting .198, .145 and .122 against him over the last three months.  Flaherty is 2-2 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in eight career starts against Chicago, including 1-0 with a 0.60 ERA in his last two starts against them while allowing just one earned run in 15 innings. 

The Cardinals should get their bats going today against Derek Holland.  The left-hander is 1-4 with a 6.75 ERA in seven starts this season, 0-2 with an 8.10 ERA in four road starts, and 0-2 with an 11.37 ERA in his last three starts. 

The Cubs are 2-9 in their last 11 games overall.  The Cardinals are 41-17 in their last 58 games after losing the first two games of a series.  Bet the Cardinals on the Run Line Sunday. 

15* MLB Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-130) 

The Washington Nationals now hold just a one game lead over the Milwaukee Brewers for home-field advantage for the wild card game.  They can’t afford to relax despite winning the first four games of this series with the Phillies.  They go for the rare five-game sweep today, and I expect them to get it by multiple runs. 

The Nationals have a big edge on the mound tonight with Stephen Strasburg, who is 17-6 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.049 WHIP in 32 starts this season.  He is 9-2 with a 3.33 ERA and 0.968 WHIP in 13 home starts, and 1-0 with a. 2.00 ERA and 1.056 WHIP in his last three starts.  Strasburg owns the Phillies, going 13-2 with a 2.62 ERA and 0.959 WHIP in 26 career starts against them. 

Jason Vargas finally picked up his first win for the Phillies since he was traded to them from the Mets prior to the deadline.  But Vargas has not been good, going 7-8 with a 4.18 ERA in 28 starts this season.  Vargas is 4-4 with a 4.82 ERA in 13 road starts, and 1-1 with a 5.68 ERA in his last three starts overall. 

Washington is 15-1 vs. an NL team with an OBP of .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season.  It is winning by 3.2 runs per game in this spot.  The Phillies are 0-5 in their last five road games.  The Nationals are 86-35 in Strasburg’s last 121 starts.  Washington is 10-2 in its last 12 vs. a left-handed starter.  Roll with the Nationals on the Run Line Thursday. 

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Oakland A’s -1.5 (-125) 

The Oakland A’s have lost two in a row and are now just a half-game up on the Rays, who are just a half-game up on the Indians.  Only two of those three teams will make the wild card.  It’s important for the A’s to bounce back today and beat the Angels, who are missing Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani, and I expect them to do it by multiple runs. 

Andrew Heaney has been roughed up in September, going 1-3 with a 9.31 ERA in four starts this month.  He has given up 12 earned runs in 8 1/3 innings in his last two starts.  Heaney has allowed 19 home runs in 90 innings pitched this season, including 5 in his last two starts.  Heaney allowed 5 runs in 6 innings in his lone start against the A’s this season. 

Frankie Montas makes his return from an 80-game ban due to PED’s.  Montas is 9-2 with a 2.70 ERA in 15 starts this season and was having an All-Star caliber year prior to the suspension.  He has worked back his stamina up to 100 pitches and is ready to help the team make the postseason.  Montas is 2-0 with a 3.94 ERA and 1.063 WHIP in three career starts against the Angels. 

The Angels are 1-10 in home games off an upset win over a division opponent as an underdog over the last three seasons.  The A’s are 24-6 in their last 30 games following a loss.  The Angels are 17-37 in their last 54 games overall.  Oakland is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.  Bet the A’s on the Run Line Wednesday. 

15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Oakland A’s -1.5 (-129) 

The Oakland A’s are once again one of the most underrated teams in baseball this season.  However, despite the fact that they are 94-62 on the season, they haven’t clinched a playoff spot yet.  They are only 1.5 games up on the Rays and 2 games up on the Indians for the top wild card spot.  They can’t afford to take their foot off the gas. 

While the A’s are 10-2 in their last 12 games overall, the Angels have clearly packed it in, going 7-21 in their last 28 games overall.  They are playing without their two best players in Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani here down the stretch.  And now they are starting Dillon Peters, who is 2-3 with a 6.08 ERA and 1.627 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 0-1 with a 7.94 ERA and 2.118 WHIP in his last three starts. 

Homer Bailey has proven to be a huge acquisition for the A’s prior to the deadline.  He is 4-0 with a 1.88 ERA in his last seven starts, allowing just 9 earned runs in 43 innings.  Bailey is coming off his best start of the season, pitching seven shutout innings against the Royals with a season-high 11 strikeouts. 

The A’s are 24-5 in their last 29 games following a loss.  Oakland is 57-26 in its last 83 games overall.  The Angels are 0-7 in their last seven home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Los Angeles is 3-14 in its last 17 during Game 1 of a series.  The Angels are 16-37 in their last 53 games overall.  Roll with the A’s on the Run Line Tuesday. 

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-115) 

The St. Louis Cardinals are coming up clutch late in the season a year after blowing the division in September last season.  The Cardinals have now won six straight to take a 3.5-game lead over the Brewers for first place in the NL Central.  They can’t afford to let up here. 

Now the Cardinals are facing an Arizona Diamondbacks team that has officially been eliminated from the postseason as of last night.  That realization will make it hard for them to even show up tonight.  And I expect Mike Leake, who is 12-11 with a 4.62 ERA in 31 starts this season, to get rocked. 

Jack Flaherty is making a strong push to win the Cy Young in the National League.  Flaherty is 6-3 with a 1.07 ERA in 14 starts since July 7.  He has 113 K’s against 21 walks in 92 1/3 innings in that span, limiting opponents to a .148 batting average.  He has only given up more than two runs once in those 14 starts. 

St. Louis is 54-14 in its last 68 games as a road favorite of -175 or more.  It is winning by 3.0 runs per game in this spot.  The Cardinals are 7-0 in road games off two straight wins by two runs or less this season.  St. Louis is 46-22 in its last 68 games overall.  The Diamondbacks are 0-6 in their last six vs. a team with a winning record.  Take the Cardinals on the Run Line Tuesday. 

20* AL GAME OF THE MONTH on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-140) 

The Minnesota Twins are four games up on the Cleveland Indians with six games remaining for the AL Central division title.  They can move closer to winning the division with a Game 1 win over the Detroit Tigers Tuesday.  I expect them to win this game by multiple runs tonight. 

Jake Odorizzi is 14-7 with a 3.59 ERA and 1.235 WHIP in 29 starts this season.  Odorizzi owns the Tigers, going 5-1 with a 3.25 ERA and 1.131 WHIP in 11 career starts against them.  He is 2-0 with a 2.00 ERA in three starts against the Tigers in 2019. 

Spencer Turnbull is 3-15 with a 4.66 ERA and 1.467 WHIP in 28 starts this season, including 0-10 with a 5.08 ERA and 1.527 WHIP in 15 home starts.  Turnbull has never beaten the Twins, going 0-2 with a 6.64 ERA and 1.622 WHIP in four career starts against them.  The Tigers are 2-14 in Turnbull’s last 16 home starts.   

Turnbull is 1-11 as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season.  The Tigers are losing by 4.7 runs per game in this spot.  The Twins are 5-0 in Odorizzi’s last five road starts.  Detroit is 0-8 in Turnbull’s last eight home starts vs. a team with a winning record.  The Twins are 7-0 in Odorizzi’s last seven starts against the Tigers.  These four trends combine for a 31-1 system backing Minnesota.  Bet the Twins on the Run Line Tuesday. 

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Nationals -1.5 (+103) 

The Washington Nationals are tied with the Milwaukee Brewers in the wild card.  It appears whoever finishes with a better record will get home-field advantage for the play-in game.  So they still have a ton to play for and should handle their business at home against the Philadelphia Phillies tonight. 

The Phillies are now six games back in the wild card with eight to go.  They are basically done for and have nothing to play for.  Zach Eflin is 9-12 with a 4.10 ERA and 1.338 WHIP in 26 starts this season for the Phillies.  I expect the Nationals to light him up. 

Pat Corbin is 13-7 with a 3.10 ERA and 1.163 WHIP in 31 starts this season, including 7-2 with a 2.00 ERA and 0.930 WHIP in 14 home starts.  Corbin is also 4-2 with a 3.38 ERA and 1.145 WHIP in eight career starts against the Phillies. 

Eflin is 2-13 against the money line vs. NL teams that score 4.5 arm ore runs per game in the second half of the season over the last two seasons.  HIs teams are losing by 3.6 runs per game in this spot.  The Phillies are 1-6 in Eflin’s last seven road starts vs. a team with a winning record, and 3-13 in his last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record overall.  The Nationals are 9-1 in Corbin’s last 10 home starts.  Bet the Nationals on the Run Line Monday. 

15* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-121) 

No team has been better than the Milwaukee Brewers down the stretch as they try and make the postseason.  They are 14-2 in their last 16 games overall and have won 10 of those games by multiple runs. 

The Brewers have a huge edge on the mound today behind Brandon Woodruff, who is a perfect 9-0 with a 3.15 ERA and 1.077 WHIP in 12 home starts this season.  He pitched 7 1/3 innings of one-run ball in a 3-1 win over the Pirates in his last start against them on August 7th. 

Trevor Williams is 7-7 with a 5.66 ERA and 1.459 WHIP in 24 starts this season.  Williams has been victimized of late, going 0-1 with an 8.36 ERA and 2.000 WHIP in his last three starts.  He gave up 6 runs in 5 innings of a 3-8 loss to the Brewers in his last start against them on June 29th. 

The Pirates are 5-25 in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  Pittsburgh is 0-7 in its last seven games off a loss.  The Pirates are 0-5 in Williams’ last five starts vs. a team with a winning record.  The Brewers are 11-1 in Woodruff’s 12 home starts this season.  Bet the Brewers on the Run Line Sunday. 

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-130) 

The Washington Nationals have a lot to play for down the stretch.  They are the first wild card right now, but only two games up on the Cubs.  That’s why they won’t be taking the Marlins lightly in this series.  They will be fully focused and should easily win by two runs or more tonight. 

The Marlins are basically in tank mode at this point.  They are 14-37 in their last 51 games overall.  They have called up Robert Dugger to start here down the stretch.  He is 0-2 with a 3.95 ERA and 1.354 WHIP in five starts this season. 

Anibal Sanchez has been at his best on the road this season for the Nationals.  He is 6-6 with a 3.36 ERA and 1.220 WHIP in 14 road starts.  Sanchez is 2-2 with a 3.16 ERA in seven career starts against the Marlins as well. 

Washington is 12-0 vs. an NL team with an OBP of .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season.  It is winning by 3.5 runs per game in this spot.  The Nationals are 7-0 in Sanchez’s last seven starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Marlins are 0-7 in their last seven home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the Nationals on the Run Line Friday. 

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-145) 

The Yankees are tied with the Astros for the best record in the American League at 99-53.  They are not only motivated to earn the No. 1 seed in the American League, but they can clinch the AL East with a win today as well.  Look for them to handle their business against the Los Angeles Angels. 

C.C. Sabathia will be at his best today with what’s on the line.  Sabathia is 4-2 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.176 WHIP in 10 home starts this season.  He won’t have to face Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani, who are both out with season-ending injuries.  These are their two best hitters. 

The Yankees should hang another big number on Los Angeles starter Dillon Peters.  He is 2-3 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.616 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 0-1 with a 7.25 ERA and 1.757 WHIP in his last three starts. 

The Angels are 1-7 in their last eight games overall and have averaged just 1.4 runs per game in the seven losses.  The Yankees are averaging 8.0 runs per game in their last nine games.  New York is 49-15 in its last 64 home games.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Wednesday. 

15* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+105) 

The St. Louis Cardinals are one of the hottest teams in baseball.  They are 25-9 in their last 34 games overall to overtake first place in the NL Central.  The Milwaukee Brewers are now without Christian Yelich due to a season-ending injury, and the life has been sucked out of them because of it. 

I’ll gladly back Jack Flaherty, who has been the best starter in baseball in the second half of the season.  Flaherty is 6-1 with a minuscule 0.71 ERA in 11 starts since the All-Star Break.  He has basically been untouchable down the stretch. 

Jordan Lyles is 10-8 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.348 WHIP in 25 starts this season, and 5-3 with a 4.75 ERA and 1.382 WHIP in 12 road starts.  Lyles is 2-4 with a 4.71 ERA and 1.514 WHIP in seven career starts against the Cardinals as well. 

The Cardinals are 23-7 in their last 30 home games.  St. Louis is 40-18 in its last 58 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Cardinals are 7-1 in Flaherty’s last eight starts on 5 days’ rest.  St. Louis is 4-0 in Flaherty’s last four home starts.  St. Louis is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings and 6-1 in the last seven home meetings.  Take the Cardinals Saturday. 

15* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -1.5 (-127) 

The Houston Astros still have a lot to play for.  They are trying to wrestle home-field advantage away from the New York Yankees in the American League.  They are 1.5 games behind the Yankees for the No. 1 seed.  The Astros are 12-4 in their last 16 games overall with nine of those wins coming by two runs or more. 

Wade Miley is quietly having a huge season for the Astros.  He is 13-4 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.218 WHIP in 28 starts this season, including 7-1 with a 2.22 ERA and 1.058 WHIP in 12 home starts.  Miley is 3-1 with a 3.40 ERA in seven career starts against Seattle, including 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in his last two starts against them. 

Marco Gonzales is having a decent season for the Mariners are 14-11 with a 4.30 ERA and 1.344 WHIP in 29 starts.  However, Gonzales has never beaten the Astros, going 0-4 with a 6.65 ERA and 1.826 WHIP in five career starts against them. 

Miley is 17-2 when working on 5 or 6 days’ rest over the last two seasons.  His teams are winning by 3.0 runs per game in this spot.  The Mariners are 18-41 in their last 59 road games.  Seattle is 1-5 in Gonzales’ last six road starts.  Houston is 40-13 in its last 53 home games.  The Astros are 10-2 in Miley’s last 12 home starts.  Take the Astros on the Run Line Thursday. 

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-122) 

The Chicago Cubs are on a mission to chase down the Cardinals in the NL Central or to at least hang on to a wild card spot.  Motivation won’t be a problem for them the rest of the way.  The same cannot be said for the Mariners, who are 58-81 on the season. 

Felix Hernandez shouldn’t even be in the majors any more.  But since he’s the face of the franchise, he’s getting some starts here down the stretch.  Hernandez is 1-4 with a 6.02 ERA in 10 starts this season, 0-3 with a 7.86 ERA in six road starts, and 0-1 with an 8.31 ERA in his last three starts. 

Jon Lester will shut down the Mariners today.  He is 2-1 with a 3.86 ERA in his last three starts.  Lester is 7-4 with a 3.02 ERA in 14 career starts against Seattle.  He faced the Mariners earlier this season on May 1st and pitching 7 shutout innings in an 11-0 victory. 

Chicago is 20-4 in home games vs. a starter that allows one or more HR’s/start over the last two seasons.  Hernandez is 1-15 vs. good power teams that average 1.25 or more HR’s/game over the last two seasons.  The Mariners are losing by 2.9 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Cubs on the Run Line Tuesday. 

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-139) 

The St. Louis Cardinals are one of the hottest teams in baseball.  They are 19-5 in their last 24 games overall with 15 of those wins coming by two runs or more.  The Cardinals are now three games ahead of the Cubs for first place in the NL Central and playing their best ball of the season. 

The San Francisco Giants are just 3-10 in their last 13 games overall to fall eight games back in the wild card race.  They know they are done for at this point and will find it hard to be motivated the rest of the way.  Dereck Rodriquez is 5-7 with a 5.40 ERA in 13 starts this season, including 0-1 with an 11.00 ERA in his last two starts. 

Jack Flaherty is one of the hottest starters in baseball as well.  He was 4-1 with a 0.71 ERA with 47 strikeouts in 38 innings in six August starts.  Flaherty has a 0.98 ERA in nine starts since the All-Star Break as well.  He has been virtually untouchable. 

The Giants are 5-15 in Rodriquez’s last 20 starts.  San Francisco is 3-11 in Rodriquez’s last 14 starts vs. a team with a winning record.  The Cardinals are 20-6 in their last 26 home games.  St. Louis is 7-0 in its last seven during Game 2 of a series.  Take the Cardinals on the Run Line Tuesday. 

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-148) 

The Cleveland Indians need to rack up wins quickly.  They are falling behind the Twins in the AL Central, and they are trying to at least cling on to a wild card spot.  They beat the White Sox 11-3 yesterday to bounce back from a three-game losing streak.  Look for more of the same today. 

Mike Clevinger has been dynamite this season for the Indians.  He is 10-2 with a 2.72 ERA in 15 starts, 4-0 with a 1.81 ERA in seven home starts, and 3-0 with a 0.48 ERA in his last three starts overall.  Clevinger is also 3-1 with a 2.41 ERA in six career starts against the White Sox. 

Dylan Cease is 3-7 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.635 WHIP in 10 starts for Chicago this season.  Cease has really struggled of late, going 1-2 with an 11.08 ERA and 1.846 WHIP in his last three starts with 16 runs and 5 homers allowed in 13 innings. 

The White Sox are 0-7 in their last seven vs. a team with a winning record.  Chicago is 0-7 in its lsat seven games overall.  The White Sox are 0-6 in Cease’s last six starts following a loss in their previous game.  The Indians are 7-0 in their last seven home games vs. a right-handed starter.  These four trends combine for a perfect 27-0 system backing Cleveland.  Roll with the Indians Tuesday. 

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-126) 

The Minnesota Twins are 7-1 in their last eight games overall with all seven wins coming by two runs or more.  They have handled their business against the bad teams in baseball like the Detroit Tigers, who are 40-94 on the season.  The Tigers are 1-7 in their last eight games overall with all seven losses coming by two runs or more. 

Jake Odorizzi is having a great season in Minnesota.  He is 14-6 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.241 WHIP in 26 starts this season.  Odorizzi owns the Tigers, going 5-1 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.143 WHIP in 10 career starts against them.  He is 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA in two starts against the Tigers in 2019, allowing just one run and seven base runners in 13 innings. 

Detroit starter Jordan Zimmerman is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 1-9 with a. 6.24 ERA in 18 starts this season, including 0-6 with a 7.39 ERA in eight home starts.  Zimmerman is 4-5 with a 6.89 ERA in 10 career starts against Minnesota.  He has allowed 10 earned runs and 18 base runners in 6 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Twins. 

Detroit is 3-22 in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.300 or better this season.  It is losing by 4.6 runs per game in this spot.  Minnesota is 13-1 vs. an AL starting pitcher with an ERA of 5.90 or worse this season.  It is winning by 5.0 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Twins on the Run Line Monday. 

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-121) 

The Minnesota Twins are 6-1 in their last seven games overall with all six wins coming by two runs or more.  After a rare loss to the Tigers yesterday, look for the Twins to bounce back with a blowout victory here Sunday in Game 3 of this series. 

Michael Pineda is having a solid season for the Twins.  He is 10-5 with a 4.16 ERA and 1.172 WHIP in 24 starts this year, including 7-2 with a 4.14 ERA and 1.233 WHIP in 12 road starts.  Pineda has allowed 3 runs or fewer in each of his last five starts against the Tigers. 

Spencer Turnbull is 3-13 with a 4.18 ERA and 1.401 WHIP in 24 starts for the Tigers this season, including 0-8 with a 4.43 ERA and 1.460 WHIP In 13 road starts.  Turnbull is 0-1 with a 5.17 ERA and 1.404 WHIP in three career starts against the Twins as well. 

Detroit is 1-17 vs. an AL starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.200 or better this season.  It is losing by 5.1 runs per game in this spot.  Minnesota is 9-0 when revenging a loss as a road favorite this season.  It is winning by 4.5 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Twins on the Run Line Sunday. 

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-120) 

The Washington Nationals are one of the hottest teams in baseball.  They are 13-3 in their last 16 games overall and closing in on the Braves in the NL East.  They are on fire at the plate as they have scored at least 7 runs in 11 of those 13 wins.  They should have no problem covering the run line at home against the Marlins Friday. 

Anibal Sanchez is 8-6 with a 3.81 ERA in 24 starts this season.  He is 2-2 with a 3.09 ERA in six career starts against Miami as well.  The Nationals are 6-0 in Sanchez’s last six starts vs. a team with a losing record. 

The Marlins are just 6-20 in their last 26 games overall.  They are at a disadvantage here having played yesterday while the Nationals had yesterday off.  Elieser Hernandez is 0-2 with a 5.24 ERA in five road starts this season for the Marlins.  He has never beaten the Nationals, going 0-2 with a 4.82 ERA in two career starts against them. 

Miami is 1-20 in road games vs. good power teams that average 1.25 or more homers per game in the second half of the season this season.  They are losing by 3.1 runs per game on average in this spot.  Washington is 9-0 vs. an NL team that has an OBP of .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season.  It is winning by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Nationals on the Run Line Friday. 

15* MLB Thursday Early ANNIHILATOR on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-115) 

The Minnesota Twins should have no problem beating the Chicago White Sox by two or more runs today to cover the Run Line.  The Twins have won four straight by two runs or more coming in and are handling their business against the teams they are supposed to like the White Sox. 

Minnesota has a big edge on the mound today with Jose Berrios over Dylan Cease.  Berrios is 10-7 with a 3.53 ERA and 1.215 WHIP in 26 starts this season.  He owns the White Sox, going 9-2 with a 2.24 ERA and 0.983 WHIP in 12 career starts against them. 

Dylan Cease is 3-6 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.480 WHIP in nine starts this season.  He is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 2.000 WHIP in one career start against Minnesota.  He allowed 5 runs and 10 base runners in 5 innings of a 2-6 home loss to the Twins on July 26th. 

The Twins are 6-0 in their last six road games.  Minnesota is 47-19 in its last 66 vs. a team with a losing record.  The Twins are 7-1 in Berrios’ last eight starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Minnesota is 8-1 in Berrios’ last nine starts against the White Sox while winning seven of those by two runs or more.  Take the Twins on the Run Line Thursday. 

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-120) 

The Boston Red Sox are still alive in the AL wild card race.  They need a big finish to get back to the postseason and defend their World Series crown.  They’re playing a Rockies team that is finding it hard to be motivated down the stretch in going 16-35 in their last 51 games overall. 

Eduardo Rodriquez has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball over the past few seasons.  He is 15-5 with a 3.92 ERA in 27 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his last two starts while tossing 14 1/3 shutout innings. 

Conversely, Peter Lambert is one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 2-4 with a 6.40 ERA and 1.607 WHIP in 14 starts this year, including 1-1 with a. 6.64 ERA and 1.524 WHIP in eight home starts. 

Rodriquez is 24-2 against a team with a losing record over the last two seasons.  The Red Sox are winning by 3.4 runs per game on average in this spot.  Rodriquez is also 9-0 vs. NL teams that score 4.5 or more runs per game over the last two years with the Red Sox also winning by 3.4 runs per game in this situation.  Roll with the Red Sox on the Run Line Wednesday. 

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-110) 

The Cleveland Indians have absolutely owned the Detroit Tigers.  They are 13-1 against the Tigers this season, and 39-12 in their last 51 meetings overall.  I fully expect them to win by two runs or more tonight thanks to their huge edge on the mound. 

Aaron Civale has been given a rotation spot and he’s made the most of it for the Indians.  He has posted a 1.82 ERA and 0.910 WHIP in five starts this season.  One of those starts came against Detroit on June 22nd as he pitched six shutout innings in a 2-0 victory. 

Jordan Zimmerman has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 1-9 with a 6.48 ERA in 17 starts, including 0-6 with an 8.18 ERA in seven home starts.  Zimmerman has never beaten the Indians, going 0-6 with a 10.68 ERA and 1.912 WHIP in eight career starts against them. 

The Indians are 0-7 in Zimmerman’s last seven starts against Cleveland.  The Tigers are 11-46 in their last 57 games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Indians are 72-29 in their last 101 games vs. a team with a winning % of less than .400.  Cleveland is 18-1 vs. AL teams that score 3.9 or fewer runs per game this season.  It is winning by 4.2 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Indians on the Run Line Wednesday. 

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+110) 

The Cardinals are fighting for an NL central title, while the Rockies are out of playoff contention.  The Cardinals are playing like it, going 11-3 in their last 14 games overall with nine of those wins coming by two runs or more.  The Rockies are just 14-32 in their last 46 games overall. 

Dakota Hudson is also one of the hottest starters in baseball.  He is 2-0 with a. 1.08 ERA and 1.020 WHIP in his last three starts.  He is also 5-2 with a 3.24 ERA in 12 home starts this season. 

Chi Chi Gonzalez is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 0-3 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in six starts this season, including 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.431 WHIP in four road starts. 

Hudson is 11-1 against a team with a losing record this season.  The Cardinals are winning by 3.1 runs per game on average in this spot.  Hudson is 10-1 as a favorite of -110 or higher this season.  The Cardinals are winning by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.  The Rockies are 0-6 in Gonzalez’s last six starts.  St. Louis is 8-1 in its last nine home games.  Roll with the Cardinals on the Run Line Saturday. 

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-145) 

Instead of laying -300 or more on the Twins money line, I’ll back the Twins at a much cheaper price of -145 here on the run line.  They are fighting for an AL Central title and will be highly motivated following an upset loss to the Detroit Tigers yesterday. 

Edwin Jackson is arguably the worst starter in baseball, and the Twins should feast on him tonight.  Jackson is 2-5 with an 8.25 ERA and 1.834 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 0-2 with an 11.68 ERA and 2.514 WHIP in three road starts.  He is also 1-4 with a 5.01 ERA and 1.516 WHIP in six career starts against Minnesota. 

Kyle Gibson is having a solid season for the Twins at 11-6 with a 4.43 ERA in 25 starts this season.  Gibson has had great success against the Tigers of late, allowing 3 earned runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts against them. 

The Tigers are 14-49 in their last 63 games following a win.  Detroit is 12-43 in its last 55 vs. a team with a winning record.  The Twins are 36-16 in their last 52 games following a loss.  Minnesota is 44-20 in Gibson’s last 64 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Twins are 6-2 in Gibson’s last eight starts against the Tigers.  Take the Twins on the Run Line Saturday. 

20* NL Friday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-111) 

These are two teams headed in opposite directions.  The Cardinals are fighting for an NL Central title and have gone 10-3 in their last 13 games overall with eight of those wins coming by two runs or more.  The Rockies are just 14-31 in their last 45 games overall and have fallen out of playoff contention. 

The Cardinals have a massive edge on the mound tonight.  Jack Flaherty is 7-6 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.104 WHIP In 25 starts this season, including 4-3 with a 2.89 ERA and 0.865 WHIP in 12 home starts.  He is 3-0 with a minuscule 0.35 ERA in four starts this month, allowing just one earned run in 26 innings with 31 K’s. 

Peter Lambert is 2-3 with a 6.55 ERA and 1.561 WHIP in 13 starts this season.  It hasn’t gone any better of late for Lambert, who is 0-1 with a 9.64 ERA and 1.929 WHIP in his last three starts. 

The Rockies are 2-9 in Lambert’s last 11 starts.  Colorado is 7-22 in its last 29 road games.  The Cardinals are 7-1 in their last eight home games.  St. Louis is 5-1 in Flaherty’s last six starts.  The Cardinals are 41-19 in their last 60 vs. a team with a losing record.  St. Louis is 22-6 in its last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.  The Cardinals are 40-17 in the last 57 meetings, and 37-14 in the last 51 meetings in St. Louis.  Bet the Cardinals on the Run Line Friday. 

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-148) 

The Minnesota Twins have a very easy schedule here down the stretch.  I like the fact that they had yesterday off, while Detroit played in Houston.  So they have the rest advantage, as well as the advantage in every phase of the game and should have no problem winning by two runs or more Friday night. 

Ace Jose Berrios is 10-6 with a 3.337 ERA and 1.180 WHIP in 25 starts this season, including 5-3 with a 3.26 ERA and 1.228 WHIP In 11 home starts.  Berrios has owned the Tigers of late, going 3-0 with a 2.45 ERA in his last four starts against them, allowing just 7 earned runs in 25 2/3 innings with 29 K’s. 

Drew Verhagen is 1-2 with a 6.58 ERA and 2.048 WHIP in three starts this season for the Tigers.  He is 0-2 with a 9.34 ERA and 2.422 WHIP in his two road starts as well.  He is no match for a potent Twins lineup that is scoring 5.8 runs per game this season and has the most HR’s in baseball. 

Minnesota is 10-1 after scoring one run or less this season.  It is coming back to win by 3.4 runs per game in this spot.  The Tigers are 10-44 in their last 54 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Minnesota is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings.  Take the Twins on the Run Line Friday. 

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-135) 

The Nationals have been one of the hottest teams in baseball for months.  They are 8-2 in their last 10 games overall and have scored 11 or more runs in five of their last seven games coming in.  The Pirates are 8-29 since the All-Star Break and offering little resistance to teams in contention like the Nationals right now. 

Washington will be excited to win this game for Max Scherzer, who makes his return from the disabled list.  He hasn’t pitched since July 25th, but this guy is a warrior and will be just fine.  Scherzer is 9-5 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.990 WHIP in 20 starts this season with 189 K’s in 134 1/3 innings.  He is also 5-2 with a 2.78 ERA and 0.863 WHIP in 12 career starts against Pittsburgh. 

Steven Brault is overmatched here.  He is 2-1 with a 3.45 ERA and 1.367 WHIP in 12 starts this season and has already walked 26 batters in 60 innings.  He is only averaging 5.0 innings per start, so the Nationals should get into the weak Pirates’ bullpen early in this one. 

Washington is 27-8 in its last 35 vs. a team with a losing record.  The Nationals are 7-1 in Scherzer’s last eight starts.  Washington is 40-16 in Scherzer’s last 56 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Pittsburgh is 3-14 in its last 17 home games.  The Pirates are 0-7 in Brault’s last seven starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Pittsburgh is 0-5 in Brault’s last five starts overall.  Bet the Nationals on the Run Line Thursday. 

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-104) 

The Minnesota Twins will want to bounce back from a 6-4 loss to the Chicago White Sox in Game 1 of this series.  They should be able to come back with a victory by multiple runs in Game 2 thanks to their edge at the plate and on the mound. 

Michael Pineda is 8-5 with a 4.20 ERA and 1.197 WHIP in 22 starts this season for the Twins.  Pineda has been as steady as they come, allowing 3 earned runs or fewer in 15 of his last 16 starts.  He is 4-1 with a 2.61 ERA in his last seven starts coming in.  Pineda has faced Chicago twice in 2019, going 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA while allowing just 3 earned runs in 13 innings. 

Reynaldo Lopez is 7-10 with a 5.29 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 25 starts this season, including 3-5 with a 5.57 ERA and 1.547 WHIP in 12 road starts.  Lopez is 1-2 with a 5.46 ERA in five career starts against Minnesota as well.  He allowed 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 3 2/3 innings of a 4-11 loss at Minnesota on May 24th in his lone start against the Twins this season. 

The White Sox are 6-20 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Chicago is 1-5 in its last six games following a win.  The Twins are 42-15 in their last 57 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.  Minnesota is 42-17 in its last 59 vs. a team with a losing record.  The Twins are 7-1 in their last eight home meetings with the White Sox.  Roll with the Twins on the Run Line Tuesday. 

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-110) 

The Minnesota Twins just swept the Texas Rangers in four games over the weekend while scoring a combined 35 runs in the process.  Now they hold a 2.5-game lead over the Indians in the division and play 26 of their final 38 games against the Tigers, White Sox and Royals. 

The Twins should stay hot at the plate against Ivan Nova of the White Sox in Game 1 of this series Monday.  Nova is 8-9 with a 4.51 ERA and 1.345 WHIP in 25 starts this season, including 4-5 with a 4.43 ERA and 1.476 WHIP in 14 road starts.  Nova is 1-2 with a 4.67 ERA in his last three starts against the Twins. 

Kyle Gibson owns the White Sox, going 9-4 with a 2.74 ERA and 1.105 WHIP in 16 career starts against them.  He is also 3-0 with a 1.42 ERA in his last three starts against Chicago, giving up just 3 earned runs in 19 innings with 25 K’s. 

Gibson is 20-4 in his career against a team that is outscored by 0.5 or more runs per game in the second half of the season.  The Twins are winning by 2.9 runs per game in this spot.  Minnesota is 13-3 in Gibson’s last 16 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Twins are 42-16 in their last 58 vs. a team with a losing record.  Take the Twins on the Run Line Monday. 

15* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Houston Astros -1.5 (-116) 

The Houston Astros will be highly motivated for a victory Friday night.  They have lost three straight overall and four of their last five coming in for a rare bad stretch.  But now they have ace Justin Verlander on the mound to stop the bleeding and a big edge over Tanner Roark. 

Verlander is 15-4 with a 2.88 ERA and 0.855 WHIP in 25 starts this season with a whopping 217 K’s in 162 2/3 innings.  He is 18-6 with a 2.26 ERA and 1.011 WHIP in 27 career starts against Oakland, including 2-0 with a 0.64 ERA in two starts against them in 2019, giving up just one earned run in 14 innings with 19 K’s. 

Tanner Roark is 7-8 with a 4.06 ERA and 1.385 WHIP in 23 starts this season, including 2-6 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.407 WHIP in 11 home starts.  Roark is 1-2 with a 4.80 ERA and 1.467 WHIP in his last three starts as well. 

The Astros are 21-5 in Verlander’s last 26 road starts, including 14-3 in his last 17 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Houston is 41-13 in its last 54 vs. AL West opponents.  Houston is 40-17 in the last 57 meetings, including 5-0 in Verlander’s last five starts against the A’s.  Oakland is 1-4 in its last five games following a win.  Take the Astros on the Run Line Friday. 

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-182) Game 1 

The Houston Astros should have no problem beating the Chicago White Sox by multiple runs in Game 1 today.  The Astros are 18-4 in their last 22 games overall with 16 of those wins coming by two runs or more.  They should have no problem winning by multiple runs in Game 1 of this doubleheader Tuesday. 

The Astros and Zack Greinke both are rejuvenated after trading for him before the deadline.  Greinke is 11-4 with a 3.08 ERA and 0.967 WHIP in 24 starts this season.  He has been at his best on the road, going 6-3 with a 2.85 ERA and 0.911 WHIP in 13 starts. 

Dylan Cease is overmatched here.  He is 2-4 with a 5.73 ERA and 1.545 WHIP in six starts this season despite facing a pretty weak slate of lineups in the Tigers (twice), Royals, Rays, Mets and Twins.  He gave up 5 runs in 5 innings to the Twins, which is the best lineup he faced.  And this will be his toughest test yet against an Astros lineup that has scored 7 or more runs in seven of their last nine games overall. 

Houston is 30-5 in road games after batting .333 or better over a three-game span over the last three seasons.  It is winning by 3.9 runs per game in this spot.  The Astros are 31-6 in road games vs. teams that are outscored by 0.5 or more runs per game over the last two seasons.  They are winning by 2.7 runs per game in this spot.  The White Sox are 1-9 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line in Game 1 Tuesday. 

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+105) 

The Pittsburgh Pirates are one of the worst teams in baseball right now.  They are 4-23 in their last 27 games overall and have lost 17 of those games by two runs or more.  The Cardinals have won each of the first two games of this series by multiple runs and I think they complete the series sweep in the same fashion today. 

Miles Mikolas has been dominant at home this season, going 5-5 with a 1.98 ERA and 0.977 WHIP In 11 starts.  Mikolas has posted a 2.79 ERA and 1.052 WHIP in nine career starts against Pittsburgh.  He is 2-1 with a 2.05 WHIP in his last three starts against the Pirates this season. 

Steven Brault has a 3.35 ERA despite a 1.469 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  He is only averaging 4.8 innings per start, so the Cardinals should get into their bullpen early.  Brault has never beaten the Cardinals, posting an 8.02 ERA and 2.026 WHIP in three career starts against them.  He hallowed 6 runs and 11 base runners in 3 2/3 innings in his only start against the Cardinals this season. 

Mikolas is 16-4 in day games over the last two season with the Cardinals winning by 2.4 runs per game in this spot.  The Pirates are 5-22 in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Pittsburgh is 0-5 in Brault’s last five starts vs. a team with a winning record.  St. Louis is 44-20 in its last 64 home meetings with Pittsburgh, and 22-8 in the last 30 meetings overall.  Bet the Cardinals on the Run Line Sunday. 

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-134) 

The Atlanta Braves are raking right now having scored a combined 33 runs in their last four games overall.  They should stay hot at the plate tonight against the Miami Marlins and easily win this game by two runs or more to cover the run line for us. 

Ace Mike Soroka gets the ball for the Braves.  He is 10-2 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.107 WHIP in 20 starts this season, including 6-0 with a 1.45 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in 12 road starts.  Soroka has never lost to the Marlins, going 2-0 with a 0.92 ERA and 0.966 WHIP in three career starts against them. 

Sandy Alcantara is 4-10 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.469 WHIP in 22 starts for the Marlins, including 0-1 with a 6.32 ERA and 1.595 WHIP in his last three.  He gave up 2 earned runs and 9 base runners in 4 innings in his only start against the Braves back in April. 

Soroka is 11-0 vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse over the last two seasons with the Braves winning by 4.0 runs per game in this spot.  Soroka is also 10-0 vs. a team with a losing record this season with the Braves winning by 4.1 runs per game.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Saturday. 

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -1.5 (-150) 

The Houston Astros are unstoppable right now.  They are feeling good after trading for Zack Greinke and are now the World Series favorites.  They are playing like it, going 9-1 in their last 10 games overall while winning all nine games by at least two runs. 

That’s why I’ll take them on the Run Line today instead of laying -230 with Wade Miley on the mound.  Miley is 10-4 with a 3.05 ERA in 23 starts this season, including 2-0 with a. 1.89 ERA in his last three starts.  Miley is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his last two starts against the Orioles, pitching 12 shutout innings. 

Dylan Bundy is 5-11 with a 5.11 ERA in 21 starts this season, including 1-7 with a 5.89 ERA in 11 home starts.  Bundy is 0-1 with a 5.02 ERA in four career starts against Houston.  He’ll be up against a hot Houston lineup that has scored at least 7 runs in five of their last six games overall coming in. 

Bundy is 1-18 vs. AL teams that score 4.9 or more runs per game over the last two seasons.  The Orioles are losing by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  Miley is 12-1 as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last two seasons.  His teams are winning by 3.3 runs per game in this spot.  Houston is 21-5 in its last 26 games following an off day.  The Astros are 22-5 in the last 27 meetings.  Roll with the Astros on the Run Line Friday. 

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-117) 

The Minnesota Twins should win this game by multiple runs tonight thanks to their advantage on the mound and at the plate.  They have scored 6.1 runs per game on the road this season behind one of the best offenses in baseball, and certainly the most powerful offense in the league with 206 homers compared to just 87 for Miami. 

Ace Jose Berrios gets the ball for the Twins looking to continue his stellar season.  Berrios is 9-5 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.143 WHIP in 21 starts this season.  He’ll be facing a weak Miami lineup that his hitting just .230 and scoring 3.4 runs per game against right-handed starters this year. 

Sandy Alcantara is one of the weakest starters for the Marlins.  He is 4-9 with a 4.18 ERA and 1.445 WHIP in 20 starts this season, including 0-1 with a 6.35 ERA and 1.706 WHIP in his last three starts. 

Miami is 13-35 as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season.  Minnesota is 38-14 in its last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.  The Marlins are 1-9 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.  Miami is 1-5 in Alcantara’s last six home starts.  Bet the Twins on the Run Line Wednesday. 

15* MLB Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (-127) 

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 55-52 and five games back in the wild card.  They really need to handle their business against the Tigers in this series, especially after losing last series to the lowly Orioles.  The Tigers are just 12-51 in their last 63 games overall, so that shouldn’t be a problem. 

The Angles have a big edge on the mound tonight with Jaime Barria, who is 2-1 with a. 3.60 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in four starts this season.  Barria is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in one career start agains the Tigers, pitching 5 2/3 shutout innings in a 6-0 victory against them last season. 

Jordan Zimmerman is still in search of his first victory of the season.  Indeed, Zimmerman is 0-8 with a 7.57 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in 13 starts for the Tigers this year.  That includes 0-2 with a 12.75 ERA and 2.333 WHIP in his last three starts. 

Detroit is 3-22 vs. an AL starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.200 or better this season.  It is losing by 4.3 runs per game in this spot.  The Tigers are 1-15 against AL West opponents this season, losing by 4.5 runs per game.  Roll with the Angels on the Run Line Monday. 

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-105) 

The Arizona Diamondbacks are right in the thick of the wild card race.  They need to handle their business against the lowly Miami Marlins in this four-game series, and it starts with Game 1 tonight. 

The Diamondbacks have a huge edge on the mound here with ace Zack Greinke, who is 10-4 with a 2.94 ERA and 0.948 WHIP in 21 starts this season.  Greinke has never lost to the Marlins, going 7-0 with a 3.28 ERA in 11 career starts against them, and his teams are a perfect 11-0 in those starts. 

The Marlins do have some nice young talent in their rotation, but Sandy Alcantara isn’t one of them.  He is 4-9 with a 4.25 ERA and 1.451 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.740 WHIP in his last three starts. 

Greinke is 17-3 vs. NL teams that score 4 or fewer runs per game over the last two seasons, and the Diamondbacks are winning by 2.4 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Diamondbacks on the Run Line Friday. 

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-145) 

The Washington Nationals are 23-8 in their last 31 games overall and closing in on the Braves in the NL East.  The Rockies are 7-21 in their last 28 games overall, including 1-9 in their last 10 games.  The Rockies are finding it hard to be motivated now that they have fallen out of contention. 

Max Scherzer returns to the rotation tonight to pick up where he left off.  Scherzer is 9-5 with a 2.30 ERA and 0.982 WHIP In 19 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 0.78 ERA and 0.609 WHIP in his last three starts with 35 K’s in 23 innings. 

Jeff Hoffman has really struggled for the Rockies this season.  He is 1-3 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.560 WHIP in seven starts, including 0-2 with an 8.10 ERA and 1.724 WHIP in three road starts.  Hoffman has never beaten the Nationals, going 0-2 with a 5.73 ERA and 1.455 WHIP in two career starts against them. 

The Rockies are 1-8 in their last nine road games.  Colorado is 0-5 in Hoffman’s last five starts against NL East opponents.  The Nationals are 22-6 in their last 28 vs. a team with a losing record.  Washington is 7-0 in Scherzer’s last seven starts.  The Nationals are 40-15 in Scherzer’s last 55 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the Nationals on the Run Line.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-110, Game 2) 

These are two teams headed in opposite directions.  The Nationals are 21-8 in their last 29 games overall and closing in on the Braves in the NL East and currently a wild card.  The Rockies are 7-19 in their last 26 games overall and falling out of contention for a playoff spot. 

In Game 2 tonight, the Nationals have a huge edge on the mound behind Pat Corbin, who is 7-5 with a 3.40 ERA and 1.158 WHIP in 20 starts this season with 144 K’s in 124 1/3 innings.  Corbin has been at his best at home, going 4-1 with a 1.84 ERA and 0.864 WHIP in 9 home starts. 

Kyle Freeland is having a disastrous 2019 for the Rockies.  He is 2-7 with a 7.62 ERA and 1.648 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 0-1 with a 12.27 ERA and 2.273 WHIP in his last three starts.  He is in line to get rocked tonight, which is why I’m not worried about laying the Run Line. 

Colorado is 0-8 vs. NL teams that allow 4.5 or more runs per game in the second half of the season this season, losing by 5.9 runs per game on average.  The Rockies are 1-5 in Freeland’s last six road starts.  Colorado is 0-7 in its last seven during the second game of a double-header.  Washington is 5-0 in Corbin’s last five home starts.  Bet the Nationals on the Run Line in Game 2 Wednesday. 

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-118) 

The Arizona Diamondbacks just lost three of four to the Brewers last series to fall back to .500 on the season.  They blew a couple late leads in that series and come into this series with the Orioles highly motivated.  They are now 2.5 games behind the Brewers for the 2nd wild card and right in the thick of the playoff race. 

Robbie Ray is probably Arizona’s most talented starter.  He is 8-6 with a 3.92 ERA in 21 starts this season with a whopping 152 K’s in 117 innings.  That includes a 3-2 record and a 3.45 ERA in eight home starts.  Ray comes in pitching well at 3-0 with a 2.95 ERA and 0.982 WHIP in his last three starts. 

I think the Orioles are in line for a big letdown after surprisingly taking two of three from the Red Sox over the weekend.  Baltimore starter Aaron Brooks is 2-3 with a 5.15 ERA in eight starts this season, including 1-2 with a 7.05 ERA in three road starts. 

Baltimore is 5-27 in road games off three or more consecutive home games over the last three seasons.  The Orioles are 3-22 vs. a starting pitcher that strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season, losing by 3.6 runs per game on average.  Baltimore is 14-51 in its lsat 65 during Game 1 of a series.  The Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last six interleague games.  Arizona is 6-1 in Ray’s last seven starts during Game 1 of a series.  Bet the Diamondbacks on the Run Line Monday. 

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-111) 

The Tampa Bay Rays are riding a season high five-game losing streak into Sunday.  It’s safe to say they will be highly motivated for a victory to end this skid and avoid the sweep at the hands of the lowly Chicago White Sox, who are 2-7 in their last nine games overall with their only two wins coming against the Rays. 

Tampa Bay has the obvious edge on the mound today with Blake Snell, which is why I’m willing to lay the Run Line.  Snell is 3-3 with a 3.17 ERA and 1.076 WHIP in nine home starts this season, and 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in his last three starts overall. 

Snell has never lost to the White Sox, going 3-0 with a 1.07 ERA and 1.026 WHIP In five career starts against them.  Dylan Cease is 1-1 with a 5.73 ERA and 1.545 WHIP in two starts for the White Sox, and those have come against the Royals and Tigers, two of the worst lineups in baseball. 

Snell is 15-2 vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times per game in the second half of the season over the last two seasons.  His teams are winning by 2.9 runs per game on average in this spot.  The White Sox are 3-11 in their last 14 road games.  Tampa Bay is 20-6 in Snell’s last 26 home starts, including 6-1 in his last seven home starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the Rays on the Run Line Sunday. 

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-120) 

The Tampa Bay Rays come in highly motivated for a victory after losing three straight to the Yankees to fall further behind in the AL East.  They need to bounce back in a big way, and they have a good shot at doing just that tonight as they take on the reeling Chicago White Sox. 

The White Sox are 1-9 in their last 10 games overall while losing seven straight in the process.  It won’t get any easier for them with Reynaldo Lopez on the mound.  He is 4-8 with a 5.97 ERA and 1.538 WHIP in 19 starts this season.  Lopez is 0-2 with a 9.58 ERA and 1.936 WHIP in two career starts against Tampa Bay as well. 

Lopez faced the Rays on April 10th, giving up 8 earned runs, 3 homers and 14 base runners in 4 1/3 innings of a 1-9 loss in his lone start against them this season.  He’ll be opposed by the young, talented Brendan McKay, who is 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA and 0.687 WHIP in three starts this season for the Rays. 

Chicago is 18-38 in its last 56 road games.  The White Sox are 57-120 in their last 177 vs. a team with a winning record.  Chicago is 3-7 in Lopez’s last 10 road starts.  The Rays are 51-22 in their last 73 vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the Rays on the Run Line Friday. 

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-140) 

The Cleveland Indians have gone 10-1 against the Detroit Tigers this season.  Nine of those 10 wins have come by 2 runs or more.  So instead of laying -275 on the money line, we’ll lay the -140 on the run line to back them Wednesday night. 

Mike Clevinger has been virtually unhittable at home this season.  He is 1-0 with a 0.53 ERA and 0.706 WHIP in three home starts this year.  Clevinger owns the Tigers, going 5-2 with a. 2.28 ERA and 1.154 WHIP in eight career starts against them. 

Spencer Turnbull is 0-2 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.700 WHIP in his last three starts.  Turnbull has never beaten the Indians, going 0-3 with a 7.07 ERA and 2.071 WHIP in three career starts against them, all of which have come in 2019. 

Cleveland is 15-1 vs. AL teams that score 3.9 or fewer runs per game this season.  They are winning by 3.9 runs per game in this spot.  Detroit is 3-20 vs. an AL starter with a WHIP of 1.200 or better this season, losing by 4.2 runs per game.  The Tigers are 8-37 as a road dog of +175 to +250 over the last two seasons, losing by 2.8 runs per game.  Bet the Indians on the Run Line Wednesday. 

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-105) 

The Boston Red Sox have been coming on strong over the past month as they try and get back into the wild card race.  They have gone 17-9 in their last 26 games overall.  Now they’ll be motivated to win this game for Andrew Cashner, who they just traded for and will make his Boston debut tonight. 

Cashner is 9-3 with a 3.83 ERA and 1.194 WHIP in 17 starts this season, including 4-0 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.239 WHIP in six home starts.  What he has done for Baltimore this season has been absolutely remarkable.  Not to mention, Cashner is 3-2 with a 2.49 ERA and 1.164 WHIP in eight career starts against Toronto, including 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA in two starts against them in 2019. 

Jacob Waguespack will be making his first big league start and his third appearance in the majors overall.  He has a 5.00 ERA in his two previous appearances.  He hasn’t even been good in the minors, going 2-6 with a 5.30 ERA at Buffalo across 11 starts and one relief appearance.  He certainly won’t fare well against the Red Sox tonight. 

Cashner is 8-2 (+10.4 units) when facing a team with a losing record this season.  His teams are winning by 3.6 runs per game in this spot.  Cashner is 5-0 (+8.3 units) when the total is 10 or higher this season.  His teams are winning by 7.0 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Tuesday. 

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-110) 

The Cleveland Indians are in the thick of the wild card race and are still trying to catch the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central.  They have a lot more to play for than the Tigers, who are 29-59 on the season.  The Indians have owned the Tigers this season, going 8-1 against them while winning seven of those meetings by 2 runs or more. 

Adam Plutko has held his own as a starter this season, going 3-1 with a 4.26 ERA and 1.011 WHIP in six starts, including 1-0 with a 3.14 ERA and 0.977 WHIP in his last three.  Plutko is 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in two career starts against Detroit as well. 

Daniel Norris is 2-8 with a 5.03 ERA and 1.397 WHIP in 15 starts this season, 1-4 with a 5.36 ERA and 1.450 WHIP in nine road starts, and 0-3 with a 7.41 ERA and 1.471 WHIP in his last three starts overall.  Norris faced Cleveland on June 23rd, allowing 6 runs in 7 innings of a 3-8 loss in his only start against them this season. 

Detroit is 9-30 vs. a team with a winning record this season, losing by 2.5 runs per game on average.  The Tigers are 8-27 vs. a starting pitcher that allows 5.5 or fewer hits per start this season, losing by 3.0 runs per game.  Cleveland is 13-1 vs. AL teams that score 3.9 or fewer runs per game this season, winning by 3.7 runs per game.  The Indians are 4-0 in Plutko’s last four starts.  Cleveland is 9-2 in its last 11 vs. a left-handed starter.  The Tigers are 12-40 in their last 52 games overall.  Bet the Indians on the Run Line Monday. 

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-125) 

The Washington Nationals have had a tremendous turnaround prior to the All-Star Break to get to 46-42 on the season and back in the NL East race.  They have gone 9-2 in their last 11 games overall with seven of those wins coming by two runs or more. 

Thanks to their edge on the mound here, the Nationals should easily win by 2-plus runs today.  Pat Corbin is 7-5 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.138 WHIP in 17 starts this season, including 4-1 with a 2.06 ERA and 0.882 WHIP in eight home starts. 

The Royals are 2-8 in their last 10 games overall with all eight losses coming by two runs or more.  Jake Junis is 4-8 with a 5.53 ERA and 1.480 WHIP in 18 starts this season for the Royals. 

Kansas City is 21-51 in its last 72 road games.  The Royals are 0-4 in Junis’ last four interleague starts.  Washington is 27-11 in its last 38 games overall.  The Nationals are 4-0 in Corbin’s last four home starts.  Bet the Nationals on the Run Line Sunday. 

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-131) 

Instead of laying -280 on the Rays today, I’ll gladly pay half price and back them on the Run Line at around -130 to win by two runs or more.  They are facing the hapless Orioles, who are 24-59 on the season. 

Charlie Morton is putting up Cy Young-like numbers this season for the Rays and he’ll get the ball tonight.  Morton is 8-2 with a 2.43 ERA and 1.050 WHIP in 17 starts this season with 120 K’s in 100 innings.  He has pitched 9 shutout innings for a 0.00 ERA in his last two starts against the Orioles. 

The Orioles are 10-47 in their last 57 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Rays are 15-3 in their last 18 home meetings with Baltimore.  Tampa Bay is 8-2 in its last 10 meetings with the Orioles.  Roll with the Rays on the Run Line Tuesday. 

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-125) 

Gerrit Cole finally gets a chance to face his former team in the Pittsburgh Pirates.  It’s safe to say emotions will be high for him tonight as Cole is already an emotional guy as it is.  He will be motivated to beat his former team. 

Not to mention, the Astros have lost seven of their last eight, so they return home motivated as a team also.  Cole is 6-5 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.024 WHIP in 16 starts this season with 148 K’s in 96 2/3 innings. 

Trevor Williams gets the start for the Pirates.  He is 2-1 with a 4.12 ERA in 10 starts this season.  However, Williams recently returned from a one-month absence due to injury and gave up 7 earned runs in 5 innings on June 19th to the lowly Detroit Tigers.  I can’t imagine he’ll fare well against a much better Houston lineup here. 

The Pirates are 2-8 in their last 10 road games.  Pittsburgh is 1-7 in its last eight vs. a team with a winning record.  Houston is 11-1 in Cole’s last 12 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Astros are 8-2 in Cole’s last 10 starts overall.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Tuesday. 

15* MLB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Texas Rangers -1.5 (+100) 

The Texas Rangers have been a great bet at home this season.  They are 26-15 (+15.8 units) in Arlington this year.  I fully expect them to bounce back from a rare loss to the White Sox by a final of 5-4 in Game 1 of this series yesterday. 

The Rangers have a huge edge on the mound today.  Lance Lynn is 8-4 with a 4.16 ERA in 15 starts this season with 102 K’s in 93 innings.  He is 1-0 with a 2.84 ERA in his last three starts as well.  Lynn owns the White Sox, going 3-1 with a 2.49 ERA in seven career starts against them. 

Odrisamer Despaigne is no more than a fill-in starter for the White Sox.  He has never had any success in his career, and he hasn’t this season, either.  Despaigne is 0-2 with an 8.71 ERA and 2.130 WHIP in two starts this season.  He is also 0-1 with an 11.25 ERA in one career start against the Rangers. 

Texas is 12-3 in home games off a loss this season.  The Rangers are 6-1 in Lynn’s last seven home starts.  The White Sox are 24-61 in their last 85 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  Roll with the Rangers on the Run Line Saturday. 

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -1.5 (-115) 

The Houston Astros have lost the first two games of this series to the Cincinnati Reds by one run each.  It’s safe to say they will be highly motivated for a victory here in Game 3 Wednesday morning to avoid the sweep.  I expect them to want it more than the Reds, who are content with having already won the series. 

The Astros also have a massive edge on the mound today with Gerrit Cole, who is 6-5 with a 3.67 ERA and 0.993 WHIP in 15 starts this season with 140 Ka’s in 90 2/3 innings.  He’ll be opposed by Tyler Mahle, who is 2-7 with a 4.46 ERA in 13 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 5.65 ERA in his last three.  Jose Altuve returns to the lineup to give the Astros a boost today. 

Cole is 12-1 in June road games in his career, and his teams are winning by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  The Astros are 76-36 in their last 112 road games.  Houston is 16-3 in Cole’s last 19 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Astros are 6-1 in Cole’s last seven interleague starts.  The Reds are 1-8 in Mahle’s last nine starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Roll with the Astros on the Run Line Wednesday. 

20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Oakland A’s -1.5 (-113) 

The Baltimore Orioles are the worst team in baseball at 21-51 on the season.  They have lost six straight coming in with five of those losses coming by two runs or more.  I’ll gladly fade them here on the run line against the Oakland A’s Tuesday night. 

Brett Anderson is having a solid season for the A’s.  He is 6-4 with a 3.89 ERA in 14 starts this season, including 3-2 with a 3.70 ERA in six home starts.  He faced Baltimore on April 9th earlier this season and yielded just two runs in 6 2/3 innings of a 13-2 victory. 

Gabriel Ynoa is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA in four starts for the Orioles this season.  He is averaging just 5.0 innings per start and has already allowed five homers in 20 innings.  He won’t last long, and the A’s will get into the Orioles’ putrid bullpen (6.02 ERA) early. 

The Orioles are 15-57 as a dog of +175 to +250 over the last two seasons, losing by 2.6 runs per game.  The Orioles are 0-4 in Ynoa’s last four road starts.  The A’s are 13-3 in Anderson’s last 16 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the A’s on the Run Line Tuesday. 

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-130) 

No team is hotter than the Los Angeles Dodgers right now.  They are 28-9 in their last 37 games overall.  They are actually coming off a loss, and they are 9-0 in their last nine games following a defeat.  They haven’t lost two in a row since April 23-24. 

The Dodgers had yesterday off to rest and get ready for this series with the Giants.  The Giants are just 4-10 in their last 14 games overall.  They played yesterday in New York against the Mets, meaning they had to fly cross country overnight to return back to San Francisco.  They certainly will be fatigued from that flight. 

The Dodgers are 17-0 in Kershaw’s last 17 starts dating back to last season.  Kershaw owns the Giants, going 22-10 with a 1.68 ERA and 0.844 WHIP in 44 career starts against them. 

Drew Pomeranz has been awful this season, going 1-6 with an 8.07 ERA and 1.871 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  He has really struggled of late at 0-2 with a 15.57 ERA and 2.768 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 15 earned runs and 24 base runners in 8 2/3 innings. 

The Dodgers are 9-0 after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less this season, winning by 3.9 runs per game.  Los Angeles is 20-4 vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 or fewer walks per game this season, winning by 2.6 runs per game.  The Dodgers are 42-9 in Kershaw’s last 51 starts vs. NL West opponents.  The Giants are 0-8 in their last eight home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.  San Francisco is 0-5 in its last five home games overall.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Friday. 

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-112) 

The New York Yankees should be highly motivated for a victory Thursday against the Toronto Blue Jays.  They have lost three straight now, including the first two games of this series.  They certainly want to avoid the sweep and salvage the series with a victory in Game 3. 

The Yankees have a massive edge on the mound today behind J.A. Happ, who is 5-3 with a 4.83 ERA and 1.216 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 4.18 ERA and 1.107 WHIP in five road starts.  Happ has never lost to the Blue Jays, going 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in three career starts against them. 

Edwin Jackson may be the single-worst starter in baseball.  He is 0-3 with a 13.23 ERA and 2.205 WHIP in four starts this season.  Jackson is 2-7 with a 5.16 ERA and 1.574 WHIP in 13 career starts against the Yankees.  The Blue Jays must be desperate for starting pitching if they have to continue to start him. 

Happ is 11-1 in road games vs. teams that steal 0.5 or fewer bases per game over the last two seasons.  The Yankees are winning by 3.5 runs per game in this spot.  Toronto is 1-13 in home games off an upset win over a division rival over the last three seasons.  It is losing by 3.4 runs per game in this spot.  Jackson is 2-14 at home with a total of 10 to 10.5 in his career, losing by 3.6 runs per game.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Thursday. 

15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-128) 

The Red Sox should be much bigger favorites on the Run Line today over the lowly Kansas City Royals.  The Royals are just 2-10 in their last 12 games overall to fall to 19-41 on the season. 

Chris Sale isn’t off to his best start, but he still commands more respect than he’s getting.  His stuff is still there clearly as he has 98 K’s in 68 1/3 innings this year with only 19 walks.  Sale is 10-8 with a 2.90 ERA in 23 career starts against Kansas City. 

Jake Junis is no match for Sale.  He is 4-5 with a 535 ERA and 1.441 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 2-2 with a 5.79 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in six home starts.  He’s backed by a poor bullpen that has a 5.86 ERA in home games this season. 

The Royals are 6-25 in home games off three or more consecutive losses over the last two seasons, losing by 2.1 runs per game in this spot.  Kansas City is 27-77 in its last 104 vs. a team with a winning record.  Take the Red Sox on the Run Line Wednesday. 

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-115) 

The Tampa Bay Rays are riding a season-high four-game losing streak.  It’s safe to say they will be highly motivated for a victory today to end this skid, and they should get one against the lowly Detroit Tigers, who are just 23-34 on the season. 

Tampa Bay starter Charlie Morton is a legit Cy Young contender.  He is 6-0 with a 2.54 ERA and 1.099 WHIP in 12 starts this season with 83 K’s in 67 1/3 innings.  Morton is also 4-0 with a 1.88 ERA and 1.069 WHIP in seven road starts. 

While Spencer Turnbull is a quality starter for Detroit, the Rays just have so many other advantages.  They are scoring 4.8 runs per game against right-handed starters compared to 3.1 for Detroit.  The Rays have a 3.57 bullpen ERA compared to a 5.24 ERA for Detroit. 

Detroit is 5-20 after scoring 8 runs or more over the last two seasons, losing by 2.0 runs per game in this spot.  The Rays are 27-12 in their last 39 road games.  The Tigers are 1-10 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Detroit is 1-10 in its last 11 home games overall.  Roll with the Rays on the Run Line Wednesday. 

15* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-112) 

The Cleveland Indians come into this series with the White Sox playing with confidence.  They had a big comeback win in a 7-5 win at Boston on Tuesday, and followed that up with an even more impressive 14-9 win on Wednesday.  They have scored 21 runs in their last two games and are swinging some hot bats. 

Those bats should stay hot against Chicago starter Mannu Banuelos, who has been nothing short of awful this season.  Banuelos is 1-4 with a 9.49 ERA and 2.108 WHIP in six starts.  He is also 0-2 with a 10.80 ERA and 2.401 WHIP in two starts against the Indians this season, allowing 10 earned runs and 5 homers in 8 1/3 innings. 

Carlos Carrasco is 4-5 with a 4.60 ERA and 1.261 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  While off his game a little, Carrasco still has 72 K’s in 58 2/3 innings to show that his stuff is still there.  And he loves facing the White Sox, going 7-0 with a 0.87 ERA in his last nine starts against them, allowing just 6 earned runs in 62 innings pitched. 

The Indians are 9-0 in Carrasco’s last nine starts against the White Sox with eight of those victories coming by two runs or more.  Enough said.  Roll with the Indians on the Run Line. 

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on New York Mets -1.5 (-105) 

The New York Mets are so motivated today to beat the Miami Marlins.  Noah Synderaard is 2-0 with a 2.35 ERA in his last three starts and pitching like the ace he is.  Syndergaard is 6-0 with a 1.64 ERA in eight career starts against Miami, having never lost to them. 

Sandy Alcantara is 1-4 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.636 WHIP in eight starts this season.  He is 0-2 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.875 WHIP in three starts this season.  He is 1-2 with a 2.92 ERA in four career starts against the Mets. 

Miami is 11-31 as a dog of +100 or higher this season.  New York is 3-13 in their 16 road games.  The Marlins are 1-5 in Alcantara’s last six starts.  Miami is 8-21 in its last 29 games following a win.  Bet the Mets Sunday. 

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Mets -1.5 (-110) 

The Miami Marlins are the worst team in baseball at 10-31 this season.  They have the worst run differential (-2.3 RPG) in baseball as well.  Not to mention, the Marlins are 2-14 in their last 16 games overall with 12 of those losses coming by two runs or more. 

It doesn’t get any easier for the Marlins today as they’ll be up against NL Cy Young winner Jacob DeGrom.  He has been pitching like a Cy Young of late, going 1-1 with a 1.29 ERA and 0.762 WHIP in his last three starts.  DeGrom has been at his best on the road this season, going 2-2 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in four starts.  He is 2-0 with a 0.64 ERA in two starts against the Marlins this season, allowing just one earned run in 14 innings with 22 K’s. 

Trevor Richards is still in search of his first win of the season for the Marlins.  He is 0-5 with a 4.46 ERA and 1.370 WHIP in eight starts, including 0-2 with a 6.08 ERA and 1.650 WHIP in his last three.  Richards has never beaten the Mets, going 0-2 (0-3 money line) with a 3.57 ERA and 1.358 WHIP in three career starts against them. 

Miami is 0-10 when playing against a team with a losing record this season.  It is losing by 5.7 runs per game on average in this spot.  New York is 10-1 off a one-run loss to a division rival over the last two seasons.  The Marlins are 0-5 in Richards’ last five road starts.  These three trends combine for a 25-1 system backing the Mets.  Also, New York is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings.  Take the Mets on the Run Line. 

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-140) 

The Cleveland Indians had yesterday off following their 9-0 win over the White Sox on Tuesday.  They will be fresh and ready to go.  The Orioles just played a double-header yesterday against the Yankees and lost both games by two runs.  They won’t have much left in the tank today, and their bullpen will be depleted. 

Trevor Bauer should mow down this Baltimore lineup.  Bauer is 4-2 with a 3.02 ERA and 1.106 WHIP in nine starts this season with 72 K’s in 59 2/3 innings. 

Daniel Straily is 1-3 with a 6.93 ERA and 1.654 WHIP in six starts this season.  He has really been hit hard in his last two starts, going 0-2 with an 11.42 ERA while allowing 11 earned runs and 19 base runners in 8 2/3 innings in losses to the Angels and Rays. 

The Orioles are 9-42 in their last 51 during game 1 of a series.  Baltimore is 0-4 in Straily’s last four starts.  Cleveland is 6-0 in its last six vs. AL East opponents.  The Indians are 10-1 in Bauer’s last 11 Thursday starts.  Cleveland is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.  Bet the Indians on the Run Line Thursday. 

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+100) 

The Miami Marlins are the worst team in baseball at 10-30 on the season.  They have the worst run differential (-2.4 RPG) as well.  Miami is also 1-9 in its last 10 games overall with eight of those losses coming by two runs or more.  I’ll gladly back the Rays on the Run Line at basically even money today. 

Ryan Stanek has posted a 1.72 ERA and 0.702 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  He hasn’t allowed a single earned run in nine of his 10 starts.  And the Rays have gone 7-3 in those 10 starts this season. 

I’ll gladly fade Jose Urena, who is 1-5 with a 4.63 ERA and 1.478 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 1-3 with a 5.53 ERA and 1.554 WHIP in five home starts. 

Urena is 0-13 vs. teams who outscore their opponents by one or more runs per game over the last three seasons.  The Marlins are losing by 3.0 runs per game on average in this spot.  Miami is 3-18 as a dog of +125 to +175 this season, losing by 3.3 runs per game.  Roll with the Rays on the Run Line Wednesday. 

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-115) 

The Boston Red Sox have really turned it around after a slow start.  They have now won five straight and eight of their last nine games overall.  Seven of those eight wins came by 3 runs or more, which is why I’m taking them on the Run Line here today. 

Speaking of turning it around, Chris Sale has done just that after losing his first five starts.  He has gone 1-1 with a 1.29 ERA and 0.667 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing just 3 earned runs and 14 base runners with a whopping 32 K’s in 21 innings. 

Kyle Freeland is no match for Sale.  Freeland is 2-5 with a 5.84 ERA and 1.343 WHIP in eight starts this season for the Rockies.  He has been battered in his last three starts, going 0-2 with an 8.47 ERA and 1.588 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 16 earned runs and 6 homers in 17 innings. 

Boston is 39-12 after scoring 8 runs or move over the last two seasons, coming back to win by 2.2 runs per game in this spot.  The Rockies are 7-19 in their last 26 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Red Sox are 42-12 in their last 54 interleague games.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Tuesday. 

15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+115) 

After losing the first two games of this series to the White Sox as -245 and -135 favorites, the Cleveland Indians will come back highly motivated for a victory in Game 3 at home tonight.  Look for them to win this game by multiple runs considering the massive edge they have on the mound. 

Shane Bieber has been one of the more underrated starters in baseball.  He is 2-1 with a 3.09 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in six starts this season with 40 K’s in 35 innings.  Bieber has owned the White Sox, going 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.710 WHIP in two career starts against them, pitching 12 2/3 shutout innings with 17 K’s. 

Reynaldo Lopez is 2-4 with a 6.69 ERA and 1.762 WHIP in seven starts this season for the White Sox.  Lopez has never beaten the Indians, going 0-3 with an 8.31 ERA and 2.077 WHIP in three career starts against them. 

The White Sox are 20-53 in their last 73 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Indians are 8-2 in their last 10 games after losing the first two games of a series.  Cleveland is 58-23 in its last 81 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Indians are 24-10 in the last 34 meetings.  Roll with the Indians on the Run Line Wednesday. 

15* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-126) 

The Chicago White Sox were just swept at home by the Red Sox while getting outscored 30-5 in the process.  They are in store for more misery today on the road against Trevor Bauer and the Chicago White Sox. 

Bauer has been one of the best starters in baseball over the last two seasons.  He is 4-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.049 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 0.825 WHIP in two home starts.  Bauer is also 8-3 with a 3.31 ERA and 1.051 WHIP in 16 career starts against Chicago. 

It hasn’t worked out for Ivan Nova and the Chicago White Sox.  Nova is still in search of his first win this season, going 0-3 with an 8.33 ERA and 1.787 WHIP in six starts.  Nova is 0-1 with an 11.25 ERA and 2.250 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 20 earned runs and 6 homers in 16 innings. 

Chicago is 0-10 after playing seven or more consecutive home games over the last two seasons.  It is losing by 5.3 runs per game in this spot.  The White Sox are 0-4 in Nova’s last four road starts.  The Indians are 6-0 in their last six after scoring two runs or less in their previous game.  Cleveland is 4-0 in Bauer’s last four home starts vs. Chicago.  These four trends combine for a perfect 24-0 system backing Cleveland.  Roll with the Indians on the Run Line Monday. 

15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-110) 

The Cleveland Indians are finally nearly back to fully strength health-wise after missing several key players in their lineup.  But their rotation has been dynamite once again to shoulder the load, and their bullpen has been one of the best in baseball. 

Now the Indians send ace Trevor Bauer to the mound for Game 1 of this series against the lowly Marlins.  Bauer was a Cy Young contender last year and has picked up where he left off, going 3-1 with a 1.99 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in six starts this season. 

Sandy Alcantara is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in five starts for the Marlins this season, including 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.812 WHIP In his last three.  The Marlins are one of the worst teams in baseball at 8-20 on the season.  They are hitting .227 and scoring 2.8 runs per game as a team. 

Miami is 8-29 vs. teams with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last two seasons.  It is losing by 2.4 runs per game in this spot.  The Indians are 7-2 in Bauer’s last nine road starts.  The Marlins are 25-57 in their last 82 games overall.  Miami is 2-7 in Alcantara’s last nine starts.  Bet the Indians on the Run Line Tuesday. 

15* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-105) 

The Boston Red Sox look to even up this series with the Tigers today.  They lost the first two games, but bounced back with an 11-4 victory yesterday.  I fully expect them to win by multiple runs again Thursday, so I’ll take them on the Run Line instead of laying the -200 plus. 

Rick Porcello has turned it around after a terrible start to the season.  This guy is too good to be held down for long.  And Porcello has never lost to the Tigers, going 1-0 (3-0 money line) with a 2.25 ERA and 1.150 WHIP in three career starts against them. 

Jordan Zimmerman got off to a great start for Detroit, but he has come back down to reality here of late.  Zimmerman is 0-3 with a 9.22 ERA and 1.830 WHIP in his last three starts.  He has posted a 4.45 ERA in five career starts against Boston as well. 

Boston is 22-5 off a win by 6 runs or more over the last two seasons.  Detroit is 3-16 after a game with a combined score of 15 run or more over the last two years.  The Red Sox are are 52-24 in their lsat 76 home games.  Take the Red Sox on the Run Line Thursday. 

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-113) 

The Boston Red Sox lost both games of their double-header with the Detroit Tigers yesterday, losing as -205 and -175 favorites.  I have to think they’ll come back highly motivated for a victory here in Game 3 Wednesday night. 

Eduardo Rodriquez has dominated at home as a starter for the Red Sox.  In fact, he has been one of the most underrated starters in the league over the past few seasons.  Rodriquez is also 2-1 with a 3.52 ERA in four career starts against Detroit. 

Tyson Ross has bounced around the big leagues due to poor performances.  He is 0-2 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.545 WHIP in his two road starts this season, and this will be his toughest task yet up against a potent Red Sox lineup that he has never faced. 

Rodriquez is 21-4 vs. teams who strike out 7 or more times per game over the last two seasons.  Rodriquez is 22-3 as a favorite of -150 or more over the last three seasons, including 18-2 as a home favorite of -150 or more.  The Red Sox are winning by 2.5 runs per game in both situations.  Roll with the Red Sox on the Run Line Wednesday. 

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-101) 

The Cleveland Indians have gotten several key pieces in their lineup back and healthy now.  They are going to get back to being one of the best teams in the league moving forward with nearly a fully lineup to go with one of the best rotations in baseball. 

Carolos Carraso had one bad start that is inflating his numbers when he allowed 6 runs in 2/3 of an inning to the Royals.  But he bounced back by pitching 7 shutout innings with 12 K’s in a 1-0 win over Seattle last time out.  Carrasco pitched 7 1/3 shutout innings with 11 K’s in his lone career start against Miami. 

The Marlins are one of the worst teams in baseball at 6-16 this season, including 1-5 on the road.  Pablo Lopez has been battered, going 1-3 with a 5.85 ERA and 1.350 WHIP in four starts, including 0-2 with a 7.45 ERA and 1.655 WHIP in two road starts. 

The Marlins are 1-9 in Lopez’s last 10 starts.  Miami is 13-38 in its lsat 51 road games.  The Indians are 24-7 in Carrasco’s last 31 starts during Game 1 of a series.  Cleveland is 5-1 in Carrasco’s last six interleague starts.  Roll with the Indians on the Run Line Tuesday. 

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -1.5 (-119) 

The Houston Astros should have no problem beating the Texas Rangers by two runs or more today.  They have a big edge on the mound today with Colin McHugh over Shelby Miller, and they’ll be motivated to bounce back from a 9-4 loss to the Rangers yesterday. 

McHugh has seized the opportunity to join this already dynamite Houston rotation this season.  He is 3-1 with a 1.96 ERA and 0.826 WHIP in four starts this season.  He is 5-1 in his nine career starts against the Rangers as well. 

Shelby Miller is clearly one of the worst starters in baseball.  It’s amazing he is still in a rotation.  Miller is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 2.600 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 10 earned runs and 26 base runners in just 10 innings pitched.  Miller has posted a 5.19 ERA and 2.307 WHIP in two career starts against Houston. 

Houston is 56-19 as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last two seasons, winning by 2.2 runs per game in this spot.  The Astros are 7-1 in McHugh’s last eight starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Houston is 19-7 in its last 26 meetings in Texas.  Take the Astros on the Run Line Sunday. 

15* AL Friday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-127) 

The Boston Red Sox played their first 11 games on the road this season.  They have split their two home games, including a nice comeback win last night to get back in the win column.  Look for them to carry that momentum into tonight’s games against one of the worst teams in baseball. 

Eduardo Rodriquez has really owned the hapless Orioles, going 6-5 with a 3.91 ERA and 1.290 WHIP in 13 career starts against them.  He’s been even better against them of late.  Rodriquez went 3-0 with a 1.56 ERA in three starts against the Orioles last season, giving up just 3 earned runs in 17 1/3 innings. 

David Hess is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He has been particularly poor when facing the Red Sox, going 0-2 with an 11.25 ERA and 2.375 WHIP in two career starts against them while allowing 10 earned runs, 5 homers and 19 base runners in 8 innings. 

Rodriquez is 19-4 vs. teams that strike out 7 or more times per game over the last two seasons.  The Red Sox are winning by 2.2 runs per game in this spot.  Rodriquez is 21-3 as a favorite of -150 or more over the last three years.  Boston is winning by 2.5 runs per game in this spot.  The Red Sox are 61-12 as a favorite of -200 or more over the last three seasons.  Roll with the Red Sox on the Run Line Friday. 

15* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-105) 

The New York Yankees have shockingly lost back-to-back games against the Baltimore Orioles as roughly -300 favorites in both games.  Look for them to come back with a chip on their shoulder today and to make easy work of the Detroit Tigers. 

The Tigers managed to split their four-game series with the Blue Jays, but it was fortunate.  Detroit’s putrid offense managed a total of only 6 runs in the four games, or an average of 1.5 runs per game.  They won’t be able to keep up with this potent Yankees’ lineup today. 

Tyson Ross has been bounced around the majors.  He has struggled in the American League, posting a 7.71 ERA in his one year with Texas, and a 5.33 ERA in his three years with Oakland.  Ross has posted a 6.97 ERA and 1.936 WHIP in his two career starts against the Yankees. 

The Yankees are 37-14 in their last 51 games following a loss.  New York is 39-12 in its last 51 games after allowing 5 runs or more in its previous game.  The Yankees are 74-35 in their last 109 home games.  The Tigers are 15-37 in their last 52 road games, and 30-63 in their last 93 games overall.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Monday. 

15* MLB Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Colorado Rockies -1.5 (+120) 

The Rockies can at least clinch a share of the NL West title and a tiebreaker game with the Dodgers with a win Sunday.  I expect them to win this game by two runs or more over the Washington Nationals. 

The Rockies have gone 8-1 in their last nine games overall and are playing with a ton of confidence right now.  They have won all eight games by two runs or more.  They have also outscored their opponents 57-24 in those nine contests. 

It was a huge break for the Rockies that the Nationals decided to start Erick Fedde instead of Max Scherzer today.  Fedde is 2-3 with a 5.24 ERA and 1.511 WHIP In 10 starts this season.  He is 0-1 with an 11.25 ERA in one career start against Colorado, giving up 7 runs, 5 earned, and 12 base runners in 4 innings of a 6-10 loss. 

Tyler Anderson hasn’t put up great numbers either, but he’s better than Fedde.  Anderson is 6-9 with a 4.76 ERA and 1.289 WHIP in 31 starts this season.  He has posted a 4.35 ERA in two career starts against Washington, both of which resulted in Colorado wins.  And I expect the Rockies to go their bullpen earlier than normal if needed as all hands are on deck for this one.  Bet the Rockies on the Run Line. 

15* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Colorado Rockies -1.5 (+100) 

The Colorado Rockies are coming up big here down the stretch.  They are 7-0 in their last seven games overall with all seven wins coming by 2 runs or more.  They have outscored the opposition 52-10 during this winning streak.   

The Rockies now hold a one-game lead over the Dodgers for first place in the NL West and can win the division title over the weekend with this series with the Nationals.  Washington has nothing to play for but pride and should offer little resistance. 

The Rockies have the clear advantage on the mound tonight.  Kyle Freeland has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He is 16-7 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.222 WHIP in 32 starts this season, including 9-2 with an impressive 2.36 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in 14 starts at Coors Field.  Freeland is also 1-0 with a 3.72 ERA in two career starts against Washington. 

Joe Ross will be making just his third start of the season for the Nationals tonight.  Ross is 0-1 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.364 WHIP in two starts this season.  He has posted a 9.64 ERA and 1.927 WHIP in one career start against Colorado, which came last season as he allowed 5 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings. 

Freeland is 14-2 in his last 16 starts vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times per game.  The Rockies are winning by 2.3 runs per game in this spot.  The Rockies are 12-1 in Freeland’s last 13 starts overall.  Take the Rockies on the Run Line Friday. 

15* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Colorado Rockies -1.5 (+106) 

The Rockies are fighting for their postseason lives right now.  They are actually a half-game ahead of the Dodgers for the NL West lead and can get a full game up with a win Thursday.  They have 6-0 in their last six games overall with all six wins coming by 2 runs or more.  They have outscored the opposition 47-7 during this winning streak. 

The Phillies have officially been eliminated from the postseason for several days now and are playing like it.  They are 0-7 in their last seven games overall.  They have been outscored 34-4 by the Rockies in the first three games of this series.  I expect more of the same here. 

Antonio Senzatela is 4-5 with a 4.08 ERA in 12 starts this season.  He is coming off back-to-back great starts, going 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his last two starts.  He’ll be opposed by Jake Arrieta, who is 0-1 with an 8.25 ERA in his last three starts.  Arrieta is also 2-2 with a 6.11 ERA in five career starts against Colorado. 

The Phillies are 1-10 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.  Philadelphia is 7-23 in its last 30 road games.  The Phillies are 2-7 in Arrieta’s last nine starts.  The Rockies are 7-0 in their last seven vs. NL East teams.  Colorado is 29-11 in its last 40 home games.  Roll with the Rockies on the Run Line Thursday. 

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Colorado Rockies -1.5 (+105) 

The Colorado Rockies are so close they can taste it.  They are only a half-game behind the Dodgers for first place in the NL West and a half-game ahead of the Cardinals for the second wild card spot.  They have a lot to play for right now and are stepping up to the plate.   

The Rockies have gone 5-0 in their last five games overall with all five wins coming by two runs or more.  They have outscored the opposition 33-7 during this winning streak.  Meanwhile, the Phillies have officially been eliminated from the postseason recently and are playing like it.  They are 0-6 in their last six games overall, getting outscored 20-4 by the Rockies throughout he first two games of this series. 

German Marquez has been Colorado’s best starter since the All-Star Break.  Marquez has 11 or more strikeouts in four of his last five starts, and he has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 11 consecutive turns.  He is 5-2 with a 2.36 ERA with 14 walks and 98 K’s in 76 1/3 innings in this 11 starts.  Marquez is also 3-1 with a 2.23 ERA in his last six home starts. 

Nick Pivetta is 6-13 with a 4.60 ERA in 31 starts for the Phillies this season, including 3-5 with a 4.90 ERA in 14 road starts.  Pivetta is also 0-2 with a 14.08 ERA and 2.477 WHIP in two career starts against the Rockies, giving up 12 earned runs and 19 base runners in 7 2/3 innings. 

The Phillies are 4-22 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Philadelphia is 0-9 in its last nine vs. a team with a winning record.  The Phillies are 0-4 in Pivetta’s last four starts.  The Rockies are 6-0 in their last six vs. NL East opponents.  Colorado is 5-1 in Marquez’s last six home starts.  Bet the Rockies on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Colorado Rockies -1.5 (+106) 

The Colorado Rockies are 1.5 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers in the race for the NL West title.  They are also just one game behind the St. Louis Cardinals in the chase for the second wild card spot.  They have a lot to play for right now. 

The Philadelphia Phillies had the second-best record in the NL on August 5th, but have imploded since, going 15-29 for the worst record in the NL during that stretch.  And the Phillies were just swept by the Braves in four games in Atlanta, which officially eliminated them from postseason contention.  I question their mental state over the final week of the season and expect them to pack it in. 

Philadelphia’s Zach Eflin will get rocked tonight.  He is 3-4 with a 5.07 ERA in 11 road starts this season.  Eflin is 1-1 with a 7.50 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in two career starts against Colorado.  Jon Gray gets the ball for the Rockies.  He has been great for them in the second half of the season. 

The Rockies are 26-11 in their last 37 home games.  Colorado is 11-3 in Gray’s last 14 starts.  Philadelphia is 0-5 in Eflin’s last five road starts.  The Phillies are 1-7 in Eflin’s last eight starts vs. NL West opponents.  Philadelphia is 0-7 in its last seven vs. a team with a winning record.  The Phillies are 7-20 in their last 27 road games.  Bet the Rockies on the Run Line Monday. 

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-125) 

The Tampa Bay Rays are just 6.5 games back in the wild card and feel like they still have a chance.  They are playing like it, too, going 21-5 in their last 26 games overall.  Players in that locker room aren’t giving up until they are officially eliminated. 

Now Tampa Bay sends starter Blake Snell to the mound tonight.  Snell is 19-5 with a 2.03 ERA and 0.982 WHIP in 28 starts this season with 195 K’s in 164 innings.  He is certainly deserving of the Cy Young Award in the American League for his efforts this year, especially pitching in the AL East.  Snell is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.790 WHIP in one career starts against Texas, which came earlier this season. 

The Rangers are just 3-8 in their last 11 games overall.  There’s not a lot to like about them right now.  And Yovani Gallardo has been atrocious this season, especially of late.  Gallardo is 8-5 in spite of a 5.94 ERA and 1.526 WHIP In 15 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 10.22 ERA and 2.028 WHIP in his last three starts.  He is also 0-2 with an 8.38 ERA in his last two starts against the Rays, giving up 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 17 base runners in 9 2/3 innings. 

Snell is 10-1 vs. AL West opponents over the last two seasons, and the Rays are winning these games by 2.1 runs per game on average.  Tampa Bay is 9-1 in its last 10 vs. AL West foes.  The Rangers are 0-6 in their last six vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the Rays on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-115) 

The Los Angeles Dodgers are fighting to make the playoffs right now.  They are a half-game behind the Rockies for 1st place in the NL West and one game out of the wild card.  They won’t be taking the Reds lightly because of it. 

The Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound today behind Alex Wood, who is 8-6 with a 3.43 ERA in 26 starts this season, including 5-3 with a 3.22 ERA and 1.134 WHIP in 12 road starts.  And Wood has been at his best of late, going 7-1 with a 2.39 ERA in his last 13 starts. 

Cody Reed is getting a look here at the end of the season.  It hasn’t gone well for him as he’s 0-1 with a 7.10 ERA and 1.736 WHIP in three starts this year while averaging just 4.2 innings per start.  Reed is now 1-10 with a 6.22 ERA in 35 major league games. 

The Dodgers were swept at home by the Reds in their last series against them and haven’t forgotten.  Wood has never lost to the Reds, going 3-0 with a 2.80 ERA and 0.935 WHIP in four career starts against them.  The Reds are 0-14 in Reed’s last 14 starts.  Take the Dodgers on the Run Line Monday.