Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-26-19 | North Texas -3.5 v. Charlotte | 38-39 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 49 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on North Texas -3½ -110 The Mean Green are worth a look here as a small road favorite against the 49ers. North Texas hasn't been as good as people were expecting given they returned Mason Fine at quarterback, but they got two losses at SMU and Cal. They also had an ugly loss to Houston after King redshirted and a loss at SOuthern Miss. I like how they responded last week with a 33-30 win over Middle Tennessee. I just don't think it's asking a lot for them to win by a touchdown against this Charlotte team. The 49ers are 2-5 and the two wins are against Gardner Webb and UMass. They come in having lost and failed to cover in 4 straight. They are giving up 39.4 ppg against teams that only average 29.5 ppg. North Texas is putting up 32.1 ppg and 449 yards/game. Charlotte is just 1-5 ATS last 6 conference games. Take Mean Green! |
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10-26-19 | Illinois +10 v. Purdue | 24-6 | Win | 100 | 95 h 27 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Big Ten ATS PLAY OF THE WEEK on Illinois +10 -110 I think we are seeing some great value here with the Fighting Illini as a double-digit dog against Purdue. I think when the public sees a team like Illinois pull off a massive upset like they did last week beating Wisconsin as a 29-point underdog, there first thought is that team will have a big letdown. I'm just not buying that. I think we see the Fighting Illini use that win to their advantage and I wouldn't be shocked at all if they won this game outright. Purdue covered last week at Iowa as 17.5-point dog, but that Hawkeyes team looks broken. Boilermakers just have no threat of a running game. They are averaging 59 ypg and 2.2 yards/carry. If they struggle at all in the passing game they will lose here. Road underdogs off a home win against a conference opponent are 36-12 ATS (75%) last 5 seasons when facing a team like Purdue that is off a conference loss by 7 or less. Take Illinois! |
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10-25-19 | Blazers v. Kings OVER 225 | Top | 122-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
5* NBA - Western Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Blazers/Kings over 225 -110 I look for the Blazers and Kings to fly past the total tonight. Sacramento let the Suns of all teams shoot 50% from the field in their season opener. That says a lot about this team and the effort they will be giving on the defensive side of the ball. The offense did manage just 95 points on 39% shooting, but I would expect a much better showing from the offense at home. Blazers also due for a much better shooting night after connecting on just 41% against a really good Denver team. OVER is 18-7-1 last 26 Blazers games after they failed to cover the spread and 8-1-1 in their last 10 vs a team with losing record at or below 40%. Take the OVER! |
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10-25-19 | USC v. Colorado +12 | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - USC/Colorado Weeknight NO-BRAINER on Colorado +12 -105 Really like the value here with Colorado as a double-digit home dog against the the Trojans. I think now is the time to strike with the Buffaloes after 3 straight losses. The last two being blowout losses on the road to Oregon and Washington State. USC has had their moments and are off an impressive 41-14 win at Arizona, but I'm not ready to lay double-digits with them in a prime time road game. Not to mention this is a really tough spot for the Trojans with a monumental game on deck at home against Oregon. USC is just 19-40-1 last 60 off a SU win, 4-11-1 ATS last 16 on the road and 1-6 ATS last 7 on Friday. Take Colorado! |
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10-25-19 | Astros -118 v. Nationals | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 38 h 36 m | Show |
5* MLB - Astros/Nationals Game 3 VEGAS INSIDER on Astros -118 We cashed in on the Nationals in each of the first two games of the series. Most will be looking to stay on Washington after how impressive they looked in Games 1 and 2, but my money is on the Astros to make this a series and avoid going down 3-0. Houston definitely has the edge on the mound here with Greinke going up against Sanchez. After a couple poor starts to open up the postseason, Greinke pitched much better in Game 4 against the Yankees. Greinke has owned the Nationals, going 6-1 with a 1.27 ERA and 0.830 WHIP in 9 career starts. Take Houston! |
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10-25-19 | Sabres -102 v. Red Wings | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Sabres -102 Easy play here on the Sabres at basically a pick'em on the road against the Red Wings. Buffalo comes into this game at 8-3 and will be motivated after an embarrassing 6-2 loss at New York last night. Detroit is 3-7 and are entering on a 6-game losing streak. They have just 1 win at home on the season. Red Wings are a mere 14-33 last 47 at home vs teams who are scoring 3+ goals/game. Take Buffalo! |
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10-25-19 | Raptors +3.5 v. Celtics | 106-112 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Situational ATS VEGAS INSIDER on Raptors +3½ -110 Book are begging you to take the Celtics at basically a pick'em at home against the Raptors and the public is taking the bait. It was not an impressive start for Boston in their opening loss to the 76ers. Celtics shot a miserable 36.7% from the field. Toronto is a team that I think people are sleeping on, which is rare thing for the defending champs to not get any love, but that will happen when you lose your best player. No question this isn't as good a team without Leonard, but it's still one of the better rosters in the east. People still don't realize how good Siakam is. Celtics just 5-16 ATS over the last 2 seasons off a road loss and just 5-15-1 ATS last 21 at home. Take Toronto! |
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10-25-19 | Jan-Lennard Struff v. A De Minaur -172 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
3* TENNIS - Swiss Indoors Basel CA$H COW on A De Minaur -172 We cashed in on Alex De Minaur in an easy 6-3, 6-4 win over Fritz in the opening round of the 2019 Swiss Indoors Basel and will come back with De Minaur in his Quarterfinal matchup against Jan Lennard Struff. Only previous meeting was won by De Minaur and I like the No. 28 ranked player to get the job done again. Take De Minaur! |
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10-24-19 | SMU -13.5 v. Houston | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -109 | 78 h 41 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - SMU/Houston C-USA PLAY OF THE MONTH on SMU -13½ -109 Laying almost two touchdowns on the road in a weekday game isn't thought of as a great play. I don't care. I think SMU is going to absolutely lay it on the Cougars tonight. Houston had a spirited effort in the first game after King decided to take a healthy red-shirt because his team wasn't good enough, but that was against a North Texas team that has not lived up to expectations. They then were beat badly at Cincinnati and barely won on the road against UCONN. As for the Mustangs, they haven't lost a game behind their star transfer QB Shane Buechele, who ranks in the Top 10 in both yards (2,122) and TD passes (18). Books have not been able to set the number high enough, as SMU is 6-1 ATS. They are going to score at will against this Houston defense and I don't see the Cougars being able to keep pace. Take SMU! |
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10-24-19 | Sabres v. Rangers OVER 6 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Sabres/Rangers over 6 -113 I'm taking the OVER 6 tonight in the NHL matchup between the Sabres and Rangers. Buffalo comes in having scored 3 or more goals in 9 of their first 10 games. New York has allowed 3 or more goals in 6 of their first 7. Wouldn't shock me at all if the Sabres put up 6 on their own in this one. With that said, I do think we get at least a few goals from the Rangers at home. OVER is 30-18 in Buffalo's last 48 after going OVER the total in their previous game. OVER is also 16-4 in Rangers last 20 at home after scoring 2 goals or less in 5 straight games. Take the OVER! |
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10-24-19 | Sabres -112 v. Rangers | 2-6 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Sabres -112 Easy play here on the Sabres as a small road favorite against the Rangers. Buffalo comes into this game at 8-2 behind a potent offense. Sabres have scored 3 or more goals in 9 of 10. They shouldn't have any problem keeping that streak going, as NY has allowed 3 or more in all but one game. Rangers are also not playing great hockey right now. They have lost 5 straight since starting out 2-0 and I don't see them getting right against this caliber a team. Rangers are 9-32 last 41 after 2 straight games where they scored 2 or fewer goals. Take Buffalo! |
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10-24-19 | Jannik Sinner +105 v. Gael Monfils | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
3* TENNIS - Early Bird Erste Bank Open CA$H COW on Jannik Sinner +105 Love the value here with Jannik Sinner at plus-money. If you haven't heard of Sinner, it won't be long. He's went from outside the Top 300 to ranked in the Top 100 since April. He's an 18-year-old phenom and I look for him to have no problem advancing past the Italian Gael Monfils. Take Sinner! |
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10-23-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers UNDER 218 | Top | 108-100 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
5* NBA - Late Night TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Nuggets/Blazers under 218 -109 You will hear a lot about the offensive playmakers on both sides of the ball in this game, but I think we are going to see the two defenses shine. This season opener means a little more, especially to the Nuggets, as the Blazers knocked them out of the playoffs last year. I also think Portland is still a team playing with a chip on their shoulder, as they just continue to not get the respect they feel they deserve. This team just went to the Western Conference Finals and yet no one is picking them as a title contender. I expect as close to a playoff-like atmosphere as you can expect this early in the season. I also think we are getting a few points of value here with the books inflating the total in a nationally televised game. Take the UNDER! |
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10-23-19 | Nationals +168 v. Astros | Top | 12-3 | Win | 168 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
5* MLB - World Series G2 VEGAS INSIDER on Nationals +168 Most are going to want to take the Astros in Game 2, as they will just assume Houston is going to even up the series after losing Game 1 at home. I get it, but the value here is too good to pass up with Washington. We saw the Nationals offense get to Cole in Game 1 and he had been incredible before that outing. I think they stay hot against Verlander, who has not been elite of late. He's given up 5 HR's in his last 3 starts. Washington's Stephen Strasburg has been dominant in the playoffs and owns a 1.89 ERA and 0.895 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Washington! |
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10-23-19 | Penguins v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | 2-3 | Win | 104 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Penguins/Lightning under 6½ +104 Love the value here with the high total in tonight's NHL matchup between Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay. I still think we are seeing an inflated total with the Penguins from them scoring 23 goals in a 5-game winning streak. That offense has come and gone. Pittsburgh has managed just 2 goals in back-to-back losses and will be facing a stingy and motivated Lightning defense that just allowed a season-high 6 goals. Penguins not only are struggling offensively, but they have allowed 3 or fewer in 4 of their last 5. UNDER is 10-3 in the Penguins last 13 road games after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games. Take UNDER! |
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10-23-19 | Cavs v. Magic -8 | 85-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
4* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Magic -8 -109 I got no problem laying the big number here with Orlando at home against the Cavs. Cleveland added another talented point guard in Garland, but already got a young stud point guard in Sexton. I'm not convinced these two will be a good fit together. Also, there's just not a ton of talent on this roster. Magic basically brought everyone back from a team that improved by 17 wins last year. I think this is a sneaky good team and that continuity should be a big advantage early in the season. I see the Magic jumping all over the Cavs early and coasting to a double-digit win. Take Orlando! |
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10-23-19 | A De Minaur -125 v. Taylor Fritz | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
4* TENNIS - Swiss Indoors Basel CASH COW on A De Minaur -125 Easy play here on Alex De Minaur to take out Taylor Fritz in the second round of the Swiss Indoors Basel. These two have faced off twice before, most recently the final at Atlanta in July and De Minaur has won both. He dominated the earlier match this year. take De Minaur! |
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10-22-19 | Lakers v. Clippers UNDER 226.5 | Top | 102-112 | Win | 100 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
5* NBA - Opening Night GAME OF THE YEAR on Lakers/Clippers under 226½ -110 I think the books have completely missed the mark with the total in tonight's highly anticipated season opener between the Clippers and Lakers. I think we are seeing a high number because the Lakers brought in AD and the Clippers added Kawhi and George. However, George is not ready to play and Lakers will be without Kuzma. You got two of the very best defensive players on the same team in Leonard and Patrick Peverley. Lakers got LeBron and AD and a bunch of guys that can play defense in Rondo, Howard, Bradley Green, etc. I'm expecting playoff like intensity from both teams in this game and a bit of a slower pace. Total should be closer to 215 than 225. Take the UNDER! |
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10-22-19 | Golden Knights v. Blackhawks UNDER 6.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Golden Knights/Blackhawks under 6½ -105 The UNDER is definitely worth a look in tonight's NHL matchup that has the Blackhawks hosting the Golden Knights. Chicago has scored 3 or fewer goals in all but one game and will be facing a Vegas defense that has allowed 2 or fewer in 4 of their last 6. Also don't see a lot of offense out of the Knights, who have scored 3 or fewer in each of their last 4. Vegas will also be looking to play at a slower pace in the second game of a back-to-back road set and 3rd in 4 nights. UNDER is 27-16 in Vegas' last 43 road games when playing their 4th game in 7 days. UNDER is also 29-8 (78%) in all NHL games since 1996 when you got a total of 6 or more where the road team is outscoring opponents by 0.5 goals/game and are off a blowout loss by 4 or more. Take the UNDER! |
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10-22-19 | Coyotes v. Rangers UNDER 6 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Coyotes/Rangers under 6 -109 I just don't see these two teams reaching 7 goals. Arizona has one of the best defenses in the league. They have held 6 of their first 7 opponents to 2 goals or fewer. Rangers haven't scored more than 2 in 4 straight. Key here is that New York won't let the Coyotes go off at home. Arizona's offense hasn't been nearly as potent on the road. UNDER is 50-35 in the Coyotes last 85 road games and 20-11 in the Rangers last 31 at home with a total of 6 or more. Take the UNDER! |
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10-21-19 | Patriots v. Jets +10 | 33-0 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
4* NFL - Pats/Jets MNF ATS NO-BRAINER on Jets +10 -110 This is too good a price to pass up with New York at home. The Jets looked like a different team with Sam Darnold under center last week, as they upset the Cowboys 24-22 as a 7-point home dog. New York isn't just going into MNF thinking they can keep it close, they believe they can win outright. These two already played back in Week 3, which the Patriots won 30-14. New England only won by 16 and Luke Faulk started that game for the Jets. Tom Brady threw for 306 yards in that win, but the Pats only man aged 68 rushing yards on 27 attempts (2.5 yards/carry). Brady completed 30 of 42 pass attempts. Of those 30, 18 were to Rex Burkhead, Phillip Dorsett and Josh Gordon. Both Burkhead and Gordon are out and Dorsett is questionable. There was also concern Edelman might not play and he had 7 of the other 12 receptions. I look for this to be a low-scoring game, which definitely adds to the value here with New York at this price. Jets have covered 24 of their last 35 at home against good teams that are outscoring opponents by 6+ ppg and 7-1-1 ATS last 8 at home vs a team with a winning road record. Take New York! |
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10-21-19 | Avalanche +129 v. Blues | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Vegas Money Line MASSACRE on Avalanche +129 How do you not back Colorado as a underdog. The Avalanche are 7-0-1 to start out the 2019 season. Their 15 points in 8 games is a new franchise best. They are also the only team in the NHL that has yet to lose a game in regulation. I get St Louis won it all last year, but the Blues are off to a very modest 3-2-3 start and are reeling at the moment. St Louis has lost 4 straight and while the offense is consistently scoring, they have scored 3 or fewer goals in all but one game this season. In comparison, Colorado has scored 4 or more goals in 6 of 8 games. Avalanche are also 6-0 last 6 when listed as a dog. Take Colorado! |
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10-20-19 | Eagles v. Cowboys UNDER 50 | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 52 h 16 m | Show | |
3* NFL - Eagles/Cowboys SNF HEAVY HITTER on Eagles/Cowboys under 50 -110 We are getting great value on the UNDER as the books always inflate the number on the total in these prime time games. You also got two division rivals that are very familiar with one another. Last 5 games in the series have all finished with fewer than 50 points in regulation. Cowboys offense has hit a road block as they have taken a step up in competition and I just don't see them doing a lot against that talented Eagles front that is outstanding against the run. Key here is that Dallas is a pretty good defensive team. They are in the top half of the league against both the run and the pass. Take UNDER! |
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10-20-19 | Canadiens +100 v. Wild | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Canadiens +100 Canadiens are definitely worth a look here at basically a pick'em at Minnesota. No reason not to keep fading the Wild with what we have seen from this team to start the season. Minnesota has started out 1-6 and it's not like they losing a bunch of close games. All 6 losses have been by 2 goals or more. Montreal is just 4-4, but they have been playing well with 3 wins in their last 4. That includes a dominant 4-0 win at home against these Wild. Expect more of the same on Sunday. Take Minnesota! |
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10-20-19 | Saints v. Bears -3 | Top | 36-25 | Loss | -120 | 48 h 22 m | Show |
5* NFL - Saints/Bears NFC PLAY OF THE MONTH on Bears -3 -120 It's been an impressive run for New Orleans behind Teddy Bridgewater while Drew Brees recovers from a thumb injury, but I don't see the Saints winning in Chicago on Sunday. While they have been winning games, it's not because Bridgewater is lighting up defenses. He certainly isn't going to light up this Bears defense, which is No. 6 in total defense and No. 3 in scoring defense. Making matters even worse, New Orleans will be without star running back Alvin Kamara. Bears will be getting Trubisky back from injury and I think we are going to see a little more offense out of Chicago out of the bye week. Bears are a lot closer to being 5-0 than they get credit for. They are 7-0-1 ATS last 8 at home vs a team with a winning road record and are 12-4 ATS last 16 vs other NFC teams. Take Chicago! |
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10-20-19 | Ravens v. Seahawks -3 | 30-16 | Loss | -107 | 48 h 22 m | Show | |
4* NFL - Non-Conf GAME OF THE WEEK on Seahawks -3 -107 No way I'm passing up on the Seahawks as a slim 3-point home favorite against the Ravens. Seattle is 5-1 to start the year and have won 3 straight. Russell Wilson looks like the front runner for the MVP with Mahomes banged up and yet it doesn't feel like this Seahawks team is getting any love. I look for Wilson to have a huge game against a suspect Ravens secondary and you know he wants to get the better of former Seahawk safety Earl Thomas. Baltimore ranks in the bottom 10 of the league against the pass, as opposing QB's are completing 61% and averaging 7.7 yards/attempt. Favorites off 2 straight games with 50 or more points scored are 35-12 (75%) ATS the last 10 seasons in games where both defenses are struggling (allowing 23-27 ppg). Take the Seattle! |
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10-20-19 | Cardinals +3.5 v. Giants | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 45 h 57 m | Show | |
4* NFL - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Cardinals +3½ -115 I just don't trust this Giants team and feel they are getting a little too much love because of the media hype around Daniel Jones. Not to mention NY is expected to get back Saquon Barkley. The problem that keeps getting overlooked with the Giants is the defense. New York is 31st out of 32 teams against the pass, giving up 285 yards/game. They also rank in the bottom 10 (24th) against the run, allowing 127.3 ypg. That defense is going up against a confident rookie QB in Kyler Murray, who has guided the Cardinals to back-to-back wins. Giants are 1-9 ATS at home in the 1st half of the season over the last 3 years. They are just 8-19 ATS last 27 off a road loss by 21 or more. Cardinals are 12-3 ATS last 15 games with a total of 49.5 or more. Take Arizona! |
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10-20-19 | Jaguars v. Bengals UNDER 44.5 | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 45 h 56 m | Show | |
4* NFL - AFC Over/Under TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Jaguars/Bengals under 44½ -110 I don't see these two teams coming close to the total posted by the books. As much as we keep hearing about Minshew Mania you would think the Jags are scoring 30+ points/game. Their season high for a game is 23 and that was against the Cardinals. I know the Bengals defense isn't great, but they are at home and I think this team truly wants to win a game unlike some other tanking teams. They have come close. Cincinnati is 0-6 with 4 loss by less than a touchdown. I think they keep the Jags in check and at the same time the Jacksonville defense should have no problem keeping the Bengals in check. UNDER is 8-1 in the Jags last 9 off an upset loss as a favorite and 10-1 in their last 11 after failing to cover 2 of the last 3. UNDER is also a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 vs awful defensive teams that are giving up 6 or more yards/play. Take the UNDER 44.5! |
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10-19-19 | Air Force v. Hawaii OVER 65.5 | 56-26 | Win | 100 | 31 h 1 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - Late Night TOTAL BAILOUT on Air Force/Hawaii over 65½ -120 Easy play on the OVER 65.5 in Saturday's late night action with Hawaii hosting Air Force. Hawaii features a potent offense that averages 37.0 ppg and 473 ypg. They have scored 31 or more in every game but one and that was a road game at Washington. Air Force has allowed no fewer than 23 in any game this season vs a FBS opponent. I don't see the Falcons ending that streak in this one. In fact, I think both teams easily eclipse the 30-point mark. OVER is 38-19 in Air Force's last 57 road games after a cover and 8-1 in their last 9 road games if the last one was against a conference foe. OVER is also 19-8 in Hawaii's last 27 as a home dog of 7 or less and 14-4 i their last 18 at home after a 2-game road trip. Take the OVER! |
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10-19-19 | Boise State -7 v. BYU | Top | 25-28 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE YEAR on Boise State -7 -109 I'll gladly lay the touchdown with Boise State on the road against the Cougars. I'm not really sure why this BYU team gets so much love. The schedule has been brutal, there's no denying that. However, their two wins are against Tenn and USC by 3-points a piece. This team lost by 26 at home to Washington, lost at Toledo and they just fell at South Florida. That loss to USF is bad. The Bulls were without starting QB Blake Barnett (had just 72 yards passing). That's the same USF team that lost 49-0 to Wisconsin and somehow managed to lose to an awful Georgia Tech team. I get that Boise State's QB might not play, but the backup has been solid. More than anything, I don't think the Broncos need much from their QB to win here by double-digits. Take Boise State! |
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10-19-19 | Arizona v. USC -9.5 | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 29 h 29 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Pac-12 PLAY OF THE WEEK on USC -9½ -108 Definitely worth a look here to lay the 9.5 at home with USC. I think this is the perfect spot to buy low on the Trojans. To a lot of people this will look like too many points for USC to be laying. Trojans are off back-to-back losses and just 3-3 overall. Arizona is off a loss to Washington, but had won 4 straight prior to that defeat. I just don't think people realize how good this USC team is. The Trojans could of easily won at BYU (lost by 3 in OT), they only lost by 14 at Washington and put up quite the fight at Notre Dame last week (lost by 3). Their 3 wins are against Fresno St, Utah and Stanford, so there have been no easy games on the schedule. That is until now. Arizona is mediocre at best. losing by 24 at Washington was not a surprise and I don't see them being able to keep USC from marching up and down the field. Keep in mind the Wildcats allowed 45 to Hawaii and 41 to Northern Arizona earlier this season. Trojans got to much talent at the skill positions. Take USC! |
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10-19-19 | Yankees +133 v. Astros | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
5* BEST BET on Yankees +133 Analysis will be posted shortly |
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10-19-19 | Stars +140 v. Flyers | 4-1 | Win | 140 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Stars +140 Really like the value here with the Stars as a decently priced road dog against the Flyers. Hard to have a lot of trust in Philadelphia, even at home. Flyers have lost 3 straight and just gave up 6 goals in a loss at Edmonton. I know Dallas comes in at just 1-8, but this team has been extremely competitive and could easily be right around .500. I think they get one of those elusive wins tonight. Flyers are just 8-15 in their last 23 at home after playing 2 or more on the road. Stars are 19-9 in their last 28 after losing 4 or 5 of their last 6. Take Dallas! |
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10-19-19 | Coastal Carolina v. Georgia Southern -6.5 | 27-30 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 6 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - C Carolina/G Southern Side/Total Parlay on Georgia Southern -6½ & UNDER 45½ I like both the side and total in Saturday's Sun Belt showdown between Coastal Carolina and Georgia Southern. Last time out the Eagles held South Alabama to just 17 points and I don't see them allowing much in this one. Coastal Carolina just gave up 350 yards rushing last time out to Georgia State. All Georgia Southern wants to do is run the ball with that option attack. These option teams are not fun to face and I just think the Chanticleers are going to want nothing to do with being cut block all game. Coastal Carolina is just 3-7 ATS last 10 games and have failed to cover 6 straight conference games. Eagles are 7-3 ATS last 10 at home. UNDER is 5-2 in Chanticleers last 7 off a loss and 12-4 in Georgia Southern's last 16 after giving up 20+ points. Take Georgia Southern & UNDER! |
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10-19-19 | Coastal Carolina v. Georgia Southern UNDER 45.5 | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 5 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - C Carolina/G Southern Side/Total Parlay on Georgia Southern -6½ & UNDER 45½ I like both the side and total in Saturday's Sun Belt showdown between Coastal Carolina and Georgia Southern. Last time out the Eagles held South Alabama to just 17 points and I don't see them allowing much in this one. Coastal Carolina just gave up 350 yards rushing last time out to Georgia State. All Georgia Southern wants to do is run the ball with that option attack. These option teams are not fun to face and I just think the Chanticleers are going to want nothing to do with being cut block all game. Coastal Carolina is just 3-7 ATS last 10 games and have failed to cover 6 straight conference games. Eagles are 7-3 ATS last 10 at home. UNDER is 5-2 in Chanticleers last 7 off a loss and 12-4 in Georgia Southern's last 16 after giving up 20+ points. Take Georgia Southern & UNDER! |
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10-19-19 | New Mexico v. Wyoming UNDER 49.5 | 10-23 | Win | 100 | 23 h 0 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Over/Under TOTAL NO-BRAINER on New Mexico/Wyoming under 49½ -110 I see a ton of value here with the total in Saturday's MWC action between New Mexico and Wyoming. I just don't see these two sniffing 50 points. The only FBS team that the Lobos have scored more than 21 against is an awful New Mexico State team and it's not like the other have been against stiff competition. UNDER has cashed in each the last 3 games for New Mexico and is 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs a team with a winning record. I just don't see this team being able to do much at all. On the flip side, Wyoming's offense is also limited. They have scored 23 or fewer in 4 of their last 5. UNDER is 11-5 in the Cowboys last 16 conference games, 7-3 in their last 10 vs a team with a losing record and 10-3-1 in their last 14 off a loss. Take the UNDER! |
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10-19-19 | New Mexico v. Wyoming -17.5 | Top | 10-23 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Mountain West PLAY OF THE MONTH on Wyoming -17½ -103 Love the Cowboys to cover the number at home against the Lobos. New Mexico lost by 52 on the road to Notre Dame and just lost by 14 at home to a bad Colorado State team. They got no business keeping this close. Cowboys will be motivated off a tough a loss at SDSU and the game before they took out UNLV at home 53-17. Last year Wyoming destroyed the Lobos 31-3 and the year before it was 42-3. Expect more of the same on Saturday. Cowboys are 6-0 ATS last 6 vs a bad team that's won between 25% and 40% of their games the last 3 seasons, winning in this spot by 19.5 ppg. Take Wyoming! |
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10-19-19 | Oregon State v. California UNDER 52.5 | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 23 h 32 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Power 5 TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Oregon State/California under 52½ -109 I think because Oregon State is so bad defensively, people just assume even a limited offense like Cal will be able to score at will. The Golden Bears only scored 27 at home against Cal Davis and 23 at home to a North Texas team that allowed 46 to Houston (after King red-shirted) and 45 to Southern Miss. It's just not Cal's style of play. They are going to grind out the game regardless of who they are playing. They should have no problem doing that against the Beavers on Saturday. UNDER is 5-1 in Cal's 6 games this season and 22-8 in their 30 games played with Justin Wilcox as head coach. UNDER is 6-0 in their last 6 off a conference loss and 10-1 in their last 11 conference games. Take UNDER! |
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10-18-19 | Blue Jackets +125 v. Blackhawks | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Vegas Money Line NO-BRAINER on Blue Jackets +125 Big time value here with Columbus as a decently priced road dog against the Blackhawks. Blue Jackets have won 2 straight and 3 of 4. They defeated Dallas 3-2 as a +100 dog and the game before won 3-2 at Carolina as a huge +180 dog. Blackhawks have started out 1-3 and I just don't like the looks of this team right now. Columbus is 22-6 in their last 28 after allowing 2 or fewer goals, 22-8 in their last 30 off a win and 9-3 in their last 12 on the road. Take Columbus! |
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10-18-19 | Astros -140 v. Yankees | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
5* MLB - Astros/Yankees ALCS Vegas INSIDER on Astros -140 We cashed in a Top Play on the Astros in Game 4 last night and will fire right back with Houston in Game 5. It's game over for the Yankees. This Astros team is too good and they aren't going to take their foot off the gas until the job is done. It certainly helps they got one of the best pitchers in the game on the mound in Justin Verlander, who you know is going to be 100% locked in, knowing he can end New York's season on their home field. I just think with how James Paxton has looked in his two postseason starts, the Yankees are going to behind the 8-ball from the get go. Paxton gave up 3 runs on 5 hits in 4 2/3 innings against Minnesota and lasted just 2 1/3 innings in Game 2 of this series. Take Houston! |
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10-18-19 | Marshall v. Florida Atlantic -4.5 | 36-31 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Marshall/FAU C-USA PLAY OF THE WEEK on Florida Atlantic -4½ -100 I got no problem here laying the 4.5 with FAU at home against Marshall. I just think the perception here is that these two teams are evenly matched, but I don't see that at all. For starters, Marshall lost 13-24 to Middle Tennessee and FAU just beat that same Blue Raiders team 28-13. Marshall has two cupcake wins over VMI and ODU to go along with a fortunate 33-31 win at home against Ohio. FAU's only two losses are to Ohio State and UCF. People give Marshall credit for only losing by 7 at Boise State, but that was a misleading final. Broncos outgained the Herd 437 to 172 with a 22 to 9 edge in first downs. Marshall also got annihilated 52-14 at home against Cincinnati. The other big thing for me is the Owls have the much better signal caller in this matchup. Isaiah Green for Marshall provides a dual threat, but is really limited throwing the ball. FAU's Chris Robinson is completing 64% of his attempts with a 13-2 TD-INT ratio. Look for the Owls to win the turnover battle at home and get their revenge from last year's lopsided loss at Marshall. Take FAU! |
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10-18-19 | Janko Tipsarevic +100 v. Yuichi Sugita | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
5* TENNIS - Intrum Stockholm Open CASH COW on Janko Tipsarevic +100 I'm confident Janko Tipsarevic will be able to take out Yuichi Sugita in the Quarterfinals of the 2019 Intrum Stockholm Open. Tisparevic is currently ranked No. 251 in the world, but is a former Top 10 ranked player. He has looked fantastic in his first two matches at this event, defeating Fognini 6-1, 6-1 and Moutet 6-2, 6-4. Take Tisparevic! |
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10-17-19 | UCLA +4.5 v. Stanford | 34-16 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - UCLA/Stanford Weeknight NO-BRAINER on UCLA +4½ -110 I could see why some would be scared to back UCLA as a small road dog against Stanford, given the Bruins are off an ugly 17-point loss at home to Oregon State and just 1-5 on the season. However, this game is there for the taking, as the Cardinal have been decimated with injuries on the offensive side of the ball. Stanford will be without their top two quarterbacks in K.J. Costello and Davis Mills. They will have to turn to sophore Jack West, who will be making his first career start. That's bad enough, but it gets worse. The Cardinal have also sustained a number of injuries on the offensive line and will have 3 freshman forced into action. Even against a sub-par UCLA defense, I don't see the Stanford offense being able to do much. Road dogs of 3.5 to 10 ponts who are giving up 6.1 or more yards/play are 41-12 (77%) ATS over the last 5 seasons after a game where they had 475 or more total yards. Take UCLA! |
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10-17-19 | Astros +121 v. Yankees | Top | 8-3 | Win | 121 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
5* MLB - Astros/Yankees ALCS G4 VEGAS INSIDER on Astros +121 I like the value here with Houston as a road dog in Game 4 of the ALCS. Astros are up 2-1 in the series and I just don't see them not advancing. I think we are getting value with Houston in Game 4 because of how Zack Greinke has struggled in his first two postseason starts. Greinke was really bad in his lone start against the Rays, but he was much better in Game 1 despite the Yankees winning 7-0. I think Greinke is poised for a great outing. I know Masahiro Tanaka was outstanding in Game 1 and has pitched well in the postseason, but with the wind blowing out tonight, I think Houston's lineup will get to him early. Note that one of the big problems for Tanaka is how teams are able to adjust to him after seeing his stuff. Tanaka has allowed opposing teams to post a ridiculous .309 average the third time through the order. I know this is a new start, but I think it definitely benefits the Astros having just seen Tanaka a few days ago. Take Houston! |
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10-17-19 | Rangers +102 v. Devils | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
5* NHL - Metropolitan GAME OF THE MONTH on Rangers +102 Absolutely love the value here with the Rangers at basically a pick'em against the Devils. New Jersey was one of those teams everyone was expecting big things from and simply has not lived up to expectations. The Devils have played 6 games and are without a win. They got 3 games already where they have lost by at least 3 goals and several others where they blown leads or couldn't score the clutch goal in OT. I think this team is pressing and the struggles will continue against a well-rested Rangers team that has to be itching to get back on the ice. New York has played the fewest games of any team in the league and will be on 4 days of rest and just their second game in the last 12 days. New Jersey is 9-33 last 42 vs a team with a winning record and 8-20 in their last 28 vs a division opponent. Take New York! |
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10-16-19 | South Alabama v. Troy -14.5 | Top | 13-37 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Early Week Day PLAY OF THE MONTH on Troy -14½ -110 I think the books made a big mistake not making Troy a much bigger favorite here. There's no denying that this year's Trojans team isn't as good as the one that won 10-games last year. That and the fact that Troy is just 1-4 ATS has people considering South Alabama at this price. It's not like The Trojans have been losing to bad teams and they are a couple close losses away from being 4-1 with their only loss on the road to Missouri. They are still way more talented than South Alabama and I just don't see the Jaguars pathetic excuse for an offense being able to keep pace. South Alabama has not eclipsed 17 points in any of their last 4 games and have played some bad defenses in this stretch. The most they have scored all season against a FBS opponent is 21 against Nebraska and they had a 13-yard TD drive in that game. The Trojans has scored 35+ in every game not against a Power 5 opponent. Take Troy! |
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10-16-19 | Stars v. Blue Jackets -103 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Vegas Money Line MASSACRE on Blue Jackets -103 Blue Jacket are definitely worth a look here as a small home favorite against the Stars. Columbus isn't off to the best start, but this the spot you want to back them. Dallas is just 1-6 on the season and it hasn't been pretty. Stars are only scoring 1.9 goals/game and giving up 3.5 goals/game on the road. Columbus has also won 2 of their last 3 and had two good offensive showings in both wins. Dallas has allowed at least 3 goals in 6 straight games. Stars are also just 4-15 in their last 19 road games after playing two straight non-conf games. Take Columbus! |
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10-15-19 | Predators v. Golden Knights -125 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -125 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
5* NHL - Western Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Golden Knights -125 Love the price with Vegas at home against the Predators on Tuesday. The Knights are absolutely rolling into this matchup. Vegas cruised to a 6-2 win at home against Calgary on Saturday and followed it up with a 5-2 win at LA on Sunday. You want to jump on Vegas in this spot, as the Knights are 19-5 in their last 24 home games in the 1st half of the season when facing a team with a winning record. Also no concerns with Veags playing their 3rd game in 4 days. The Knights are 7-1 in their last 8 when playing a 3-in-4 situation. Take Las Vegas! |
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10-15-19 | Astros v. Yankees +150 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 53 m | Show |
5* MLB - Astros/Yankees Game 3 NO-BRAINER on Yankees +150 Absolutely love this spot and price with the Yankees as a huge home dog against the Astros. Houston is without a doubt the consensus pick to win it all right now and it has them overvalued. Yankees are every bit as good as the Astros and simply should not be this big a dog at home. I know Houston has Gerrit Cole on the mound and he's been unbelievable of late, but this Yankees lineup is not like others. They got power up and down the order and have given Cole trouble in the post. He has a 4.15 ERA in 2 starts against the Yankees. It's also not like New York isn't in great shape on the mound. They will send out Luis Severino, who has a 1.50 ERA in his last 3 starts and has a 0.00 ERA and 0.778 WHIP in 2 home starts. In his 2 starts vs Houston last year, he threw a complete game 5-hit shutout and allowed 2 runs in 7 innings in the other. Take New York! |
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10-15-19 | Elias Ymer v. Yuichi Sugita -118 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
5* TENNIS - Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH on Yuichi Sugita -118 Love the value here with Yuichi Sugita as a small favorite against Elias Ymer in the 1st round of the 2019 Intrum Stockholm Open. Ymer is a much better clay player than he is on hard surfaces like we have here. Ymer is 20-16 on clay and just 5-5 on hard. Sugita is 29-17 on hard surfaces. Take Sugita! |
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10-14-19 | Lions +4 v. Packers | 22-23 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
4* NFL - Lions/Packers MNF NO-BRAINER on Lions +4 -110 I think we are getting some big time value here with Detroit catching more than a field goal. The betting public just assumes an Aaron Rodgers led team can't lose at home in a prime time game, but the Lions have won 4 straight in the series and have won 3 of their last 4 trips to Green Bay. Packers defense has been one of the more improved units in the league, but I don't know that it's as good as people think. Also, the offense hasn't been lighting up the scoreboard. Green Bay has just 1 game this season where they have thrown for more than 235 yards. They also have finished with fewer than 80 yards rushing in 3 of 5 games. Detroit is a team that gets little to no respect, but I really like what Matt Patricia is doing with this team. They won at Philadelphia and should have beat the Chiefs at home. They will be ready to go here coming off a bye. Wouldn't be surprised at all to see the Lions win this outright. Give me Detroit +4! |
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10-14-19 | Cardinals +123 v. Nationals | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
5* MLB - NL Champ Series PLAY OF THE MONTH on Cardinals +123 St Louis is worth a look here as a road dog against the Nationals in Game 3 of the NLCS. It couldn't have gone much worse for the Cardinals in Games 1 and 2 at home. Now no one is giving them a chance in Game 3 at Washington with the Nats sending out Strasburg. As good as Strasburg has been in the postseason, but I'm on the Jack Flaherty bandwagon. Guy has a ridiculous 0.91 ERA since the All-Star break. He was outstanding in both his starts against the Braves in the NLDS and both of those were on the road. Cardinals make this a series and avoid falling behind 3-0. Take St Louis! |
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10-14-19 | Stars v. Sabres -102 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
5* NHL - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Sabres -102 I love the value here with Buffalo at basically a pick'em at home against the Stars. Buffalo comes into this one at 4-1, while Dallas is just 1-5. Offensively the Sabres have been lighting up the nets early on. They have scored at least 3 goals in every game. They put up a 7 spot at home against New Jersey and 5 at home against Montreal. Stars have allowed at least 3 goals in each of their last 5 games, so there's no reason to think Buffalo shouldn't put up at least that in this one. Sabres are 6-1 in their last 7 after 2 straight close wins by 1 goal. Take Buffalo! |
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10-13-19 | Flames v. Sharks -115 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Money Line HEAVY HITTER on Sharks -115 San Jose is worth a look here as a small home favorite against the Flames. The Sharks got off to a slow start with 4 straight losses to open the season, but enter off a 5-4 win at Chicago. I like them to carry over that momentum. Calgary has lost 3 of 4 and are off an ugly 6-2 loss at Vegas last night. Not only will they be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back, but this will also be their 3rd game in 4 nights, all on the road. Just don't see the Flames having enough in the tank. Take San Jose! |
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10-13-19 | Yankees +148 v. Astros | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
5* MLB - Yankees/Astros NO LIMIT Top Play on Yankees +148 We cashed in on the Yankees at a similar price in their easy 7-0 win in Game 1 and will fire right back with New York in Game 2. The Yankees got something going right now. They didn't miss a beat after a decent layoff following their sweep of the Twins. I'm betting on more of the same from New York's offense. Justin Verlander was not the same guy when he threw on 3 days rest in the ALDS. While he will be on the normal 4 days here, I don't think he will dominant here. New York also has a good starter going in James Paxton, who has a strong 3.24 ERA in 14 career starts against Houston. Yankees are 14-1 in their last 15 after allowing 2 runs or less in 3 straight games. They have won 20 of their last 29 against a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. Take New York! |
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10-13-19 | Cowboys v. Jets +7.5 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 54 h 25 m | Show | |
3* NFL - Vegas ATS SHOCKER on Jets +7½ -115 This is just too good a price to pass up on the Jets. I think the public perception is that the Cowboys will bounce back against a bad team after a couple of bad losses to New Orleans and Green Bay. I just don't think that's going to be the case. I think there's some pretty clear flaws with that Cowboys offense. As for the Jets, you have to take their 0-4 start and factor in they didn't have starting quarterback Sam Darnold for 3 of those games. Not only that, but they were quickly down to their No. 3 starter and it was a massive drop off. Darnold will put more pressure on the defense, which should allow Le'Veon Bell to be a bigger factor. Cowboys are just 6-18 ATS last 24 road games vs bad offensive teams (avg. 258 or less ypg). Jets are also 7-1-1 ATS last 9 at home against a team with a .500 or better record on the road. Take New York! |
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10-13-19 | 49ers v. Rams -3 | 20-7 | Loss | -120 | 54 h 5 m | Show | |
4* NFL - 49ers/Rams NFC West NO-BRAINER on Rams -3 -120 Love the value here with the Rams laying only a field goal at home against the 49ers. I know Todd Gurley is questionable, but with or without him I think LA gets the job done at home. A lot of people are jumping on the 49ers bandwagon after that impressive 31-3 win over Cleveland on Monday Night Football. SF is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. However, they have played a relatively easy schedule. Their worst offensive performance came in Week 1 against Tampa Bay, when they struggled to run the ball. Finished with just 98 yards on 32 attempts. Rams have been pretty solid against th run, especially at home, where they are allowing just 72 ypg and 2.9 yards/carry. Also, 49ers run game figures to take a huge hit with the loss of fullback Kyle Juszczyk. When Juszczyk got hurt in that Browns game, the SF's offense did not look the same. Take Los Angeles! |
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10-13-19 | Redskins v. Dolphins UNDER 42 | Top | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 51 h 0 m | Show |
5* NFL - Non-Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Redskins/Dolphins under 42 -104 I love the UNDER in Week 6's matchup between two of the worst teams in the league. You got the 0-5 Redskins facing off against the 0-4 Dolphins. While both of these defenses have given up a lot of points, these are two horrible offensive teams. Miami comes in averaging 6.5 ppg and 225 ypg. The Redskins aren't that much better at 14.6 ppg and 281 ypg. Key here is I think we get a big effort here defensively from both teams as both know this is going to be one of their rare opportunities for a win in 2019. I also think we get a big effort from the Dolphins coming off a bye and Washington should play harder than normal after watching their head coach get fired. UNDER is 31-16 in the Redskins last 47 games off a road loss by 10 or more and 8-1 in their last 9 when off a loss of 14 or more. UNDER is also a perfect 7-0 in the Dolphins last 7 off a loss by 14 or more. Take the UNDER! |
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10-13-19 | Redskins v. Dolphins +3.5 | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 51 h 59 m | Show | |
3* NFL - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Dolphins +3½ -110 As bad as the Dolphins have looked to start out the 2019 season, I have to take my chances with Miami covering as a 3.5-point home dog against Washington. There's no way this Redskins team should be favored on the road against any team in the league right now. Washington just fired head coach Jay Gruden and might be without two starters on the offensive line, as both Donald Penn and Brandon Scherff are both questionable. Keep in mind they are still without star left tackle Trent Williams who is holding out. Miami clearly is in rebuilding mode, but there's no way the players aren't going to try to give their best effort for a win. I think we get one of their best efforts all season at home coming off a bye against a team they know they can beat. Let's overlook that the Dolphins have played 4 potential playoff teams in the Ravens, Patriots, Cowboys and Chargers. Take Miami! |
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10-13-19 | Eagles +3 v. Vikings | 20-38 | Loss | -100 | 51 h 59 m | Show | |
4* NFL - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Eagles +3 +104 I like the Eagles to go into Minnesota and come away with a win, making them an easy play at +3. I just think there's a lot more flaws with this Vikings team than people realize. They are 3-2, but their 3 wins are against the Falcons, Raiders and Giants. Kirk Cousin has not looked good outside of that game against a bad Giants defense. When this team has faced a good defense they have not done much. They had just 16 points against Green Bay and managed a mere 6 against the Bears. Eagles defense has been spotty, but most of their problems have come against the pass. In fact, they lead the league in run defense, giving up just 63 yards/game. If Minnesota can't run the ball they are in serious trouble. Wentz and the Eagles offense won't have to do much to get the win. Take Philadelphia! |
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10-13-19 | Rebecca Peterson -195 v. Heather Watson | 12-8 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
4* TENNIS - Tianjin Open CASH COW on Rebecca Peterson -195 I'm confident Rebecca Peterson will take out Heather Watson in the Finals of the 2019 Tianjin Open. Peterson has been the much better player in 2019 and has the better record on hard surfaces. Don't expect it to be close. Take Rebecca Peterson! |
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10-12-19 | Flames +131 v. Golden Knights | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 31 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Flames +131 Calgary is worth a look as a decently priced road dog against the Golden Knights Saturday. The Flames come in off a win and have been a consistent offensive force with exactly 3 runs in each of their first 4 games. Vegas on the other hand is riding a 2-game losing streak and are fresh off a game where they scored just 1 goal at Arizona. Flames are 15-4 in their last 19 road games when they come in having won 2 of 3. Take Calgary! |
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10-12-19 | Yankees +145 v. Astros | Top | 7-0 | Win | 145 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
5* MLB - Yankees/Astros NO LIMIT Top Play on Yankees +145 I really like the value here with New York in Game 1 of the ALCS. Much different series for these two in the ALDS. The Yankees swept the Twins in convincing fashion. They won all 3 games by at least 4 runs and outscored Minnesota 23-7. Astros on the other hand were taken to a winner-take-all Game 5 against the Rays. I just think after all the emotion that comes with a winner-take-all matchup, there's got to be a bit of a letdown, especially given the Astros just played that Game 5 against Tampa Bay on Thursday. Let's also not ignore the horrible start by Houston's Zack Greinke in the ALDS, he gave up 6 runs on 5 hits (3 HRs) in 3 2/3 innings. Take New York! |
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10-12-19 | Arkansas v. Kentucky -6.5 | 20-24 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 34 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF -Situational ATS VEGAS INSIDER on Kentucky -6½ -110 I think this is the ideal spot to buy low and back the Wildcats laying less than a touchdown at home against the Razorbacks. Kentucky was the surprise team of the SEC last year, as they went 5-3 in the conference and 10-3 overall. THis year they are just 2-3 and coming into this game off 3 straight losses. The thing is, they lost at home to Florida by just 8 and had a 21-10 lead on the Gators in the 4th quarter. They then lost on the road to Miss State and South Carolina, which was to be expected. This feels like a make or break point in their season and I like Mark Stoops team to respond in a big way, especially coming off a bye week. All you need to know about the Razorbacks is they lost at home to San Jose STate 24-31 and that they have allowed 31+ points in every game against a FBS opponent. Note that Kentucky hasn't allowed more than 30 in a game this season. Also quarterback Nick Starkel, who took over the starting job from Ben Hicks is questionable to play. I look for the Wildcats to win comfortably. Take Kentucky! |
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10-12-19 | Texas Tech v. Baylor -10 | 30-33 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Tech/Baylor Big 12 PLAY OF THE WEEK on Baylor -10 -110 This might seem like a big number for the Bears to be laying at home against Texas Tech, who just upset Oklahoma State as a double-digit home dog, but I think people are sleeping on this Baylor team. I don't see this game being close at all. Texas Tech really benefited from a sloppy Cowboys performance. Oklahoma State turned it over 5 times. Red Raiders defense had only forced 4 turnovers in their first 4 games. In their previous two games, both on the road, Tech was destroyed. They lost 55-16 at Oklahoma and 28-14 at Arizona. I think the Bears win here by 14+ easy. Take Baylor! |
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10-12-19 | Alabama -17 v. Texas A&M | 47-28 | Win | 100 | 30 h 41 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Alabama/TX A&M SEC PLAY OF THE WEEK on Alabama -17 -104 I got no problem here laying the 17 on the road with Alabama. The Crimson Tide are a team on a mission and I just don't think the Aggies have the goods to keep this thing respectable. People will point to Texas A&M only losing to Clemson by 14-points on the road, but the Tigers haven't looked anywhere near as good as we thought they would. Then there's that ugly loss at home to Auburn, which now looks even worse after Auburn's 24-13 loss at Florida. Auburn went into College Station and won 28-20. Score makes it look like it was close, but Texas A&M trailed 21-3 going into the 4th quarter. Both games the Aggies offense really struggled to score and that's the big issue here. Alabama is going to score and score a lot. Alabama is averaging 51.8 ppg against teams that only give up 29.3 ppg. There's also the Nick Saban vs a former assistant at head coach. Fisher coached under Saban back at LSU. Saban is a perfect 17-0 SU against his former assistants and has won by an average score of 41.6 to 14.2. Take Alabama! |
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10-12-19 | Georgia Tech v. Duke UNDER 49.5 | 23-41 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 33 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Georgia Tech/Duke under 49½ -110 UNDER is worth a look in Saturday's ACC matchup between Duke and Georgia Tech. For starters, the Yellow Jackets are atrocious on the offensive side of the ball. They are averaging a mere 15.2 ppg and 296 ypg. Last time they were on the road they scored just 2 points at Temple. Prior to giving up 33 to Pitt, Duke had held their previous 3 opponents under 20 points. It will be a struggle here for the Yellow Jackets just to get to 14 points. Duke's averaging 32.8 ppg, but I see them being up early and just eating up the clock with the run game. They got much bigger games on deck against Virginia and North Carolina. UNDER is 15-5 in the 20 games under head coach David Cutcliffe where his team is coming off an upset loss as a home favorite. Take the UNDER! |
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10-12-19 | Maryland v. Purdue +3.5 | Top | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Vegas Underdog GAME OF THE YEAR on Purdue +3½ -105 I love Purdue getting a field goal and the hook at home against Maryland. No way should the Terps be favored on the road here. I get that Purdue is down their starting QB and star wide out Rondale Moore, but it's not like Maryland isn't down a few key players. Terps will be without their starting QB in Josh Jackson and will once again turn to Tyrrell Pigrome. Sure Pigrome has experienced, but there's a reason he's been a backup for four years. It's pretty big downgrade here from Jackson. The fact that Maryland is favored with him as the starter will only serve as more motivation for Jeff Brohm's team. Purdue is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 as a home dog. Maryland comes in off a 48-7 blowout win over Rutgers. Based on what we have seen from the Scarlet Knights this season, I'm not sure why everyone is so excited about that win. This is still the same team that lost 20-17 on the road to Temple and managed just 128 total yards in a 59-0 loss at home to Penn State. Keep in mind Maryland followed a 63-20 blowout win over Syracuse with that upset loss at Temple and are just 4-15 ATS in their last 21 off a conference win by 21 or more points. Take Purdue! |
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10-12-19 | Mississippi State v. Tennessee UNDER 53 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 26 h 1 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Over/Under TOTAL PLAY OF THE WEEK on Miss State/Tennessee under 53 -102 All you need to know that there's value with the UNDER at this price is the fact that the UNDER is 14-4 in Mississippi State's last 18 conference games and the average combined score in these matchups is a mere 43.9 points. There's plenty of reason to believe these two will keep that trend rolling. In the Vols last two games they have scored a mere 14 points against Georgia and 3 against Florida. I know last time out the Bulldogs gave up 56 to Auburn, but they held Kentucky to just 13 the game before. Mississippi State is also coming off a bye, so they are going to be 100% locked into what the Vols are doing. Tennessee's defense has given up a lot of points the last two games, but Mississippi State is not a great offensive team. They don't have much of a passing game and Tennessee's defense is much better against the run than they are the pass. UNDER is also 21-7 in Bulldogs last 28 off a game where 70 or more total points were scored, 8-0 in their last 8 after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 and 6-0 in their last 6 games played in October. Take the UNDER! |
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10-12-19 | Memphis v. Temple +5.5 | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Temple +5½ -110 I see a ton of value here with Temple at this price. The Owls already have one home win as a home dog against Maryland. They were also a 5.5-point dog in that fight. Memphis is just getting a little too much love off their 5-0 start. Their best win was against Ole Miss and they barely beat them. This will also be by far their toughest road game of 2019. Tigers are a mere 19-35 ATS in their last 54 as a favorite of -3.5 to -10. Owls are 16-6 ATS last 22 as a home dog of 3.5 to 7 points. Take Temple! |
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10-11-19 | Nationals +115 v. Cardinals | Top | 2-0 | Win | 115 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
5* MLB - Nats/Cards NLCS G1 VEGAS INSIDER on Nationals +115 The Nationals are definitely worth a look here as a road dog in Game 1 of the NLCS against the Cardinals. Washington just took out the NL favorites in the Dodgers and I think this team has something special going. They rallied to win the Wild Card game against Milwaukee and had their backs against the wall in Game 5 at Los Angeles. Cardinals had that epic 10-run first inning in their Game 5 win over the Braves, but I just don't think St Louis stacks up with Washington. Anibal Sanchez might be the weakest of the Nationals postseason starters, but he pithed really well in his only start against the Dodgers, limiting them to 1 run on 4 hits with 9 K's in 5 innings. Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas has given up 8 runs on 27 hits with just 10 K's in his last 3 starts against the Nationals. Look for Washington to get up early and hold on for the win. Take the Nationals! |
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10-11-19 | Virginia v. Miami-FL -2 | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Virginia/Miami ACC PLAY OF THE WEEK on Miami-FL -2 -110 In the eyes of the betting public there's no way the Hurricanes should be favored in this matchup. Virginia is No. 20 in the country, coming off a bye and are 4-1 with their only loss coming in a game against Notre Dame where they turned it over 5 times. Miami on the other hand is sitting at 2-3 and just lost outright as a 14-point favorite to Va Tech, who had not been playing well. Those that didn't watch the game against the Hokies, Miami starting quarterback Jarren Williams threw an interception on each of their first 3 series and Mike Harley fumbled on the next. It was 28-0 before the Hurricanes knew what hit them. They actually came back and tied the game 35-35. Backup QB N'Kosi Perry who started a few games last year, threw for 422 yards and 4 scores in relief of Williams. I think he's brought life to the offense and head coach Manny Diaz is taking more control of the defense this week. This is still the same team that had Florida on the ropes in Week 1. I think we see the Hurricane's defense really step up in this game and shutdown a pretty mediocre Virginia offense. Take Miami! |
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10-11-19 | Virginia v. Miami-FL UNDER 43.5 | Top | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - WEEKNIGHT TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Virginia/Miami-FL under 43½ -110 I don't expect to see a whole lot of offense in this game. Don't be fooled by Miami's last game against Va Tech where they saw 82 combined points in a 42-35 upset win by the Hokies. Hurricanes had 5 turnovers in the first half and trailed 28-7. They had no choice but to turn it into a track meet. Manny Diaz was not happy with the defensive showing and he's taking more control of that side of the ball. Virginia's offense is not great. They want to beat you with ball control and strong defense. Last year's final between these two was 16-13 and that was with a total of 47. I also think this being a weekday prime time game at home will add some life to that Miami defense. Hurricanes offense should be better with Perry, but it's also limited. They don't have much of a running game, so it's not going to be easy against this stingy Cavaliers defense. I wouldn't be shocked at all if both teams failed to reach 20 points. UNDER is 20-9 in the Hurricanes last 29 overall, 14-5 in their last 19 vs a conference opponent and 15-2 in their last 17 after playing their previous game against a conference opponent. Take the UNDER! |
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10-11-19 | Colorado State -3.5 v. New Mexico | 35-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Colo St/NM MWC PLAY OF THE WEEK on Colorado State -3½ +100 It can be really hard to lay points with a team that is sitting at 1-5 with their only win coming at home against Western Illinois, but I really like the Rams to win here by at least a touchdown. Colorado State may be 1-5, but a lot of that is the schedule. The 5 losses are against Colorado, Arkansas, Toledo, Utah State and San Diego State. They were a dog in all of those. New Mexico isn't just a team they can beat, but beat rather easily. The Lobos have losses against the likes of Liberty and San Jose State. They also barely beat in-state rival New Mexico State 55-52. Aggies haven't won a game this season. Take Colorado State! |
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10-11-19 | Jelena Ostapenko v. E Rybakina -125 | 2-0 | Loss | -125 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
4* TENNIS - Upper Austria Laies Linz CASH COW Elena Rybakina -125 I'm taking Elena Rybakina to knock out Jelena Ostapenko in the Quarterfinals of the 2019 Upper Austria Ladies Linz. Rybakina is ranked almost 30 spots ahead of Ostapenko. Rybakina is 33-13 in 2019, while Ostapenko is a a mere 18-25. Simply too good a price to pass up here with the favorite. Take Rybakina! |
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10-10-19 | Sun v. Mystics UNDER 175.5 | 78-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - Finals Game 5 VEGAS INSIDER on Sun/Mystics under 175½ -110 I see a ton of value here with the UNDER in the winner-take-all Game 5 of the 2019 WNBA Finals. I know the OVER is 3-0-1 in the series to this point, but there's just a different atmosphere that comes in this spot. Not only are both teams going to lay everything they got on the defensive side of the ball, both teams are dealing with fatigue at this point in the series and you can't discount the pressure that is on the players in a game of this magnitude. UNDER is 15-5 in the Sun last 20 after allowing the opponent to shoot 42% or better in each of their last 3. It's also 19-9 in their last 28 when listed as an underdog. Take the UNDER! |
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10-10-19 | Red Wings +160 v. Canadiens | 4-2 | Win | 160 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Vegas Money Line NO-BRAINER on Red Wings +160 Big time value here with Detroit as a massive road dog against the Canadiens. Red Wings suffered their first loss of the season on Tuesday. They had a goal reversed in the 3rd period that took away a 2-1 lead and they ended up losing 3-1. Prior to that they had scored 9 goals in wins over Nashville and Dallas. As for Montreal, I just think the Canadiens will be running on Fumes. All 3 of their games this season have gone past regulation, including last night's 4-5 overtime loss at Buffalo. Look for the Red Wings to improve to 3-1 with a big upset win tonight. Take Detroit! |
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10-10-19 | Kiki Bertens v. Alison Van Uytvanck +140 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
4* TENNIS - Upper Austria Ladies Linz CASH COW on Alison Van Uytvanck +140 I like Alison Van Uytvanck to pull off the upset in the 2nd round of the Upper Austria Ladies Linz against highly ranked Kiki Bertens. Both of the girls have won 2 titles this year and while Bertens has almost double the wins, both have won at more than a 60% clip. Also, this tournament is played on an indoor hard court. That really ups the chances for Van Uytvanck, as she's 7-1 on this surface compared to 21-16 on all the others. Take Van Uytvanck! |
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10-09-19 | Nationals +142 v. Dodgers | Top | 7-3 | Win | 142 | 35 h 46 m | Show |
5* MLB - Dodgers/Nats Game 5 VEGAS INSIDER on Nationals +142 I love the value here with Washington in the winner take all Game 5 showdown with a lot of teams World Series favorite in the Dodgers. The Nationals came into this series playing with house money after that epic rally against the Brewers in the Wild Card game. As good as Max Scherzer is, Washington has to love that this start will go to Stephen Strasburg. The guy has been an absolute machine in the postseason. Strasburg has pitched 28 innings in the playoffs and has posted a 0.64 ERA. He allowed just 1 run on 3 hits with 0 walks and 10 K's in Game 2 at LA, improving his lifetime ERA to 2.57 in 12 career starts against the Dodgers. Take Washington! |
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10-09-19 | Devils +115 v. Flyers | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Devils +115 Devils are worth a look here as a small road dog against the Flyers. New Jersey has lost their first two, but are primed to get that first win against Philadelphia. Flyers haven't played in 4 days since their season opener and I think they will be a little rusty in this one. Philadelphia is a mere 3-11 in their last 14 home games against a division opponent and have gone just 14-25 in their last 39 in the 1st half of the season against a team with a losing record. Take New Jersey! |
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10-08-19 | Mystics v. Sun | 86-90 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - Mystics/Sun Finals Game 4 ANNIHILATOR on Mystics PK -105 I like the Mystics to go on the road and wrap up the 2019 WNBA Finals with a win. Washington has all the momentum after a 94-81 road win in Game 3 and I think the Mystics are getting a huge boost from their star Elena Delle Donne, who is cleary playing hurt. Connecticut has really had no answer for Washington's offense in the series and I don't see that changing in Game 4. Mystics shot better than 50% from the field for the second time in the series. Backing us up is a big time system. Road teams with a line of +3 to -3 are 27-6 (82%) if they come in having allowed 70 or more in 3 straight games and facing an opponent that has allowed 80 or more in their last 2. Take Washington! |
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10-08-19 | Jets +140 v. Penguins | Top | 4-1 | Win | 140 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
5* NHL - Non-Conference PLAY OF THE WEEK on Jets +140 Love the value here with the Jets as a big road dog against the Penguins. Winnipeg got dealt a brutal hand to start the year, as they had to open with 4 straight on the road, which concludes tonight at Pittsburgh. No question they will be motivated to finish this early trip at 2-2. The Penguins are coming off a 7-2 win at home against Columbus, but they also lost 3-1 at home to Buffalo in the opener. The win over COlumbus came at a huge price, as centers Evgeni Malkin and Nick Bjugstad both suffered serious injuries that will have them out long-term. Jets are 30-15 last 45 off a road loss and 21-9 in their last 30 off a road loss by 2 goals or more. Penguins just 6-12 last 18 off a home win against a division rival. Take Winnipeg! |
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10-07-19 | Browns +4 v. 49ers | 3-31 | Loss | -115 | 107 h 30 m | Show | |
4* NFL - Browns/49ers MNF VEGAS INSIDER on Browns +4 -115 The Browns are definitely worth a look here getting more than a field goal against the 49ers. San Francisco is overvalued after their 3-0 start. 49ers are improved, but also haven't really been tested. Their last two wins were against the Mason Rudolph led Steelers, which they were lucky to win, and the Bengals, who are now 0-5. Their 31-17 win over the Bucs in Week 1 looks decent, but they were actually outgained 295 to 256. Difference in the game was they had two interceptions returned for scores. Browns had that ugly 43-13 loss at home to the Titans and people were quick to jump off the bandwagon. They have won 2 of their last 3 since with the only loss to the Rams. They are coming off their best performance of the season, destroying the Ravens 40-25 in Baltimore. Browns have now covered 4 straight on the road and are 5-1-1 ATS last 7 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Take Cleveland! |
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10-07-19 | Astros v. Rays +138 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 138 | 23 h 2 m | Show |
5* MLB - Astros/Rays ALDS Game 3 NO-BRAINER on Rays +138 Way too good a price here on Tampa Bay at home in Game 3 against the Astros. Rays will have their ace Charlie Morton on the mound, who was unable to pitch in Game 1 or 2 because he started the Wild Card win at Oakland. Morton was on his game in that outing. He didn't allow an earned run in 5 innings. He's got a 1.04 ERA and 1.039 WHIP in his last 3 outings, so he's in prime form. He also went 8-3 with a 2.59 ERA and 0.958 WHIP in 17 home starts. He seems to love the spotlight, as he's 4-0 with a 2.00 ERA in 5 playoff starts. Zack Greinke will go for Houston and he's one of the top starters in the league. However, he just 4-6 in 14 career starts against the Rays. He faced them once in 2019 (late August) and it didn't go well. He allowed 5 runs no 6 hits (2 HRs) in 5 2/3 innings. Rays are 14-8 last 22 as a home dog of +125 to +175 and Greinke is a mere 4-18 in his last 22 starts vs a team from the AL East. Take Tampa Bay! |
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10-07-19 | Frances Tiafoe v. Denis Shapovalov -172 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 41 m | Show | |
3* TENNIS - Shanghai Masters CASH COW on Denis Shapovalov -172 I see Denis Shapovalov having no problem taking out Frances Tiafoe in the opening round of the 2019 Shangai Masters. These two played back at the ATP Masters in Miami and Shapovalov won that won rather easily. Same thing here. Take Shapovalov! |
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10-06-19 | Lightning v. Hurricanes +102 | 3-4 | Win | 102 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Hurricanes +102 I think we are getting great value here with Carolina as a home dog against the Lightning. While both teams will be playing 3 games in 4 days and in the second game of a back-to-back, there's a clear edge for the home team in games involving limited rest. On top of that, Hurricanes have come out of the gate strong in 2109. They took care of business as a big home favorite against Montreal in the season opener and then went on the road and upset the Capitals 3-2 last night. Take Carolina! |
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10-06-19 | Packers v. Cowboys UNDER 47 | 34-24 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 43 m | Show | |
3* NFL -Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Packers/Cowboys under 47 -110 Forget who will cover the spread, there's huge value with the UNDER in Sunday's NFC matchup between the Cowboys and Packers. Don't let the poor showing by Green Bay's defense in that Thursday Night Football loss to the Eagles. Just about every team struggles defensively when playing on just 3 days of rest. Prior to that this team had been outstanding on defense, holding each of their first 3 opponents to 16 or fewer points. Cowboys offense looked great in their first 3 games, scoring 30+, but then managed just 10 points at New Orleans last week. I think the Dallas offense was a bit of fools gold, as they had played 3 really bad defensive teams in the Giants, Redskins and Eagles. I think they have a tough time moving the ball in this game. Packers got Aaron Rodgers, but they have not looked great offensively early on. The only real positive was that TNF game against the Eagles, and it's even harder on the road team's defense in those weekday matchups. Cowboys defense has been rock-solid all season long. Take the UNDER! |
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10-06-19 | Mystics v. Sun -4.5 | 94-81 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
3* BEST BET on Sun -4½ -110 Analysis will be posted shortly |
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10-06-19 | Bucs v. Saints UNDER 47 | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 17 m | Show | |
3* NFL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Bucs/Saints under 47 -110 The books have completely missed the mark here with the total. This is a different Saints team right now with Teddy Bridgewater at quarterback. They got to rely a lot more on the defense and hope the offense can do enough to win. Without the explosive plays on offense, there's just fewer possessions for scoring. Big key here is that New Orleans has the defense to carry the load, especially at home where they can feed off of that rowdy crowd. We are simply seeing a high number here because Tampa is off a game against the Rams where they put up 55 and allowed 40. Saints don't have anything close to the offense of LA and are a much stronger defensive team. UNDER is 13-4 in the Bucs last 17 off a upset win as a dog by 14 or more points and 4-1 in their last 5 after giving up 30 or more. UNDER is also 7-2 in the Saints last 9 off a SU win and 9-2 in their last 11 vs another team from the NFC. Take the UNDER! |
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10-06-19 | Cardinals v. Bengals -3 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 12 m | Show |
5* NFL - Non-Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH on Bengals -3 -110 Cincinnati is worth a look here as a mere 3-point home favorite. Even though these are two bad teams, I see a lot of value with the Bengals only needing to win by a field goal. Cincinnati is 0-4, but they have also played a brutal schedule with 3 of their first 4 on the road. Two of those against 1-loss teams in the Seahawks and Bills, the other at Pittsburgh on MNF. The lone home game was against the 49ers, who are undefeated. Arizona is definitely not a team you want to be trusting on the road. Rookie quarterback Kyler Murray is struggling. Cardinals have scored 20 or fewer in each of their last 3. They had 27 in the opener, but they were down 24-6 in the 4th quarter. Outside of a 10-minute window in that 4th quarter, the offense hasn't showed us anything. I know the numbers aren't great for the Bengals defense, but they were more than solid in the two games against the Bills and Seahawks. They also should have won in Seattle week 1. I think they play well here. As for the offense, I think they score early and often in this one. Take Cincinnati! |
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10-06-19 | Bears -5.5 v. Raiders | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
5* NFL - Bears/Raiders Late Info ATS NO-BRAINER on Bears -5½ -110 This game is being played in London and I think even with Trubisky out for Chicago this is an ideal spot to fade the Raiders. Given how bad the Bears offense has looked and the Raiders off an impressive 31-24 win at Indy the public might be tempted to play Oakland. What they are going to overlook is this being the 3rd straight road game for the Raiders and just how hard this is for NFL teams. Not to mention we saw how much Oakland's offense struggled against a good Vikings defense a couple weeks ago. Chicago's defense looks like the best in the league. Bears are allowing 11.2 ppg, holding teams almost 8-points under their average. Raiders only average 19.7 ppg and give up 25.5 ppg. Look for Chase Daniel to get the Bears offense going in this one. Take Chicago! |
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10-05-19 | Boise State -22.5 v. UNLV | 38-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Boise State -22½ -110 I'm confident Boise State will return from their bye week with a blowout win at UNLV. Broncos are 4-0 with a win at Florida State and a couple of solid home wins over Marshall and Air Force. Hard to find a lot to complain about, but with a true freshman at QB a bye week can do wonders. I just don't see UNLV being able to keep pace offensively with Boise State. Outside of a sloppy 14 effort against Marshall, the Broncos have put 30+ on the board. The only team UNLV has held under 30 is Southern Utah. They gave up 43 to Arkansas State and 53 to Wyoming. Would not be surprised at all if Boise scored 50+. UNLV's offense put up 56 in the opener, but hasn't eclipsed 17 in the 3 games since. Boise State has held each of their last 3 teams under 20 points. I could see the Broncos having this spread covered early in the 1st half. Take Boise State! |
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10-05-19 | Canucks +165 v. Flames | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
5* NHL - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Canucks +165 Love the value here with the Canucks in Saturday's late night hockey action. No way should Vancouver be this big of a dog here. Canucks had a sloppy start in a 3-2 loss at Edmonton to open the year. Vancouver had won 5 straight season openers up to this one, so this a team that definitely prides itself on starting strong. No question they will bring their "A" game tonight. Calgary also started out with a loss, getting whooped 5-3 at Colorado. I just don't have the same confidence with the Flames bouncing back. Legs are usually a little tired early in the season and they just had to deal with the thin air of Colorado on Thursday. Calgary 1-5 last 6 as a home favorite of -150 to -200, Canucks 8-2 last 10 vs a team that just allowed 5+ goals last time out. Take Canucks! |
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10-05-19 | Northwestern v. Nebraska -7 | 10-13 | Loss | -108 | 54 h 25 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Nebraska/Northwestern BIG TEN PLAY OF THE WEEK on Nebraska -7 -108 It's really hard to back a team that just burned you, especially when they fail to cover in the manner than Nebraska did last week against Ohio State. Lot of people liked the Cornhuskers to at worse cover the 17-point spread. They lost 48-7 getting outgained by an embarrassing 349 yards (580 to 231). I think we are seeing a much lower number and a lot of value with only needing Nebraska to win by 8 or more. People are giving Northwestern credit for playing Wisconsin tough last week (lost 24-15 as a 22.5-point dog). However, I think some of that was the Badgers suffering a bit of a letdown off that emotional thumping of Michigan the previous week. I think the Northwestern offense is getting a pass for their anemic offensive numbers the last two games because it was against Michigan State and Wisconsin. They only had 210 yards and 7 points (scoreless through 3+ quarters) against a Stanford defense that has given up 45 on two different occasions. It's also a lot easier to pick yourself up after a blowout loss than it is a game where you lose in the final seconds. I think we get a big effort from Nebraska at home and I just don't see the Wildcats being able to keep it close. Take Nebraska! |
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10-05-19 | Auburn -2.5 v. Florida | 13-24 | Loss | -112 | 54 h 51 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF- Auburn/Florida SEC PLAY OF THE WEEK on Auburn -2½ -112 As difficult as it is to bet against Dan Mullen as a home dog, I can't help myself by play Auburn at less than a field goal. I know Florida is 5-0 and ranked No. 10 in the country, but I don't see them as the 10th best team. Two of their five wins are against FCS foes. The other 3 against Miami, @ Kentucky and Tennessee. Wildcats and Vols are both bad and they only beat the Hurricanes by 4. Miami lost at UNC and only beat C Michigan by 5 at home. Auburn's 5-0 resume reads a little different. They got two Top 25 wins. One against then No. 11 Oregon and the other an impressive 28-20 win at No. 17 Texas A&M at night. They also played a really good Tulane team in non-conference and just whooped Mississippi State 56-23. Auburn has one of the best defensive fronts in the country and will be facing what I think is a very weak Florida offense that is down to No. 2 QB Kyle Trask. Trask has played okay against suspect competition, but I don't think he's prepared for what he will be up against on Saturday. Take Auburn! |
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10-05-19 | TCU v. Iowa State -3 | 24-49 | Win | 100 | 52 h 20 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Iowa State -3 -110 I like the Cyclones to easily win by more than a field goal at home against the Horned Frogs. Iowa State comes in at 2-2 and off a crushing 23-21 loss at Baylor. A game they probably should have won, despite being down 20-0 going into the 4th quarter. They let another game get away late earlier this year against Iowa. This team could easily be 4-0. No way this line is 3 if they were. TCU just whooped up on Kansas, big deal. Even though the Jayhawks beat BC on the road earlier this year, that doesn't mean they are a serious threat in the Big 12. They are still the worst team in the conference. Prior to that they lost at home to SMU, who plays in the AAC. Their only other win vs a FBS opponent is a road win at Purdue with the Boilermakers down their starting QB. SMU put up 41 points and over 400 yards of offense against the Horned Frogs. I look for Brock Purdy and the ISU offense to have similar success. On the flip side of this, I look for the Cyclones defensive front to impose their will and make things difficult for a TCU offense that would much rather run than pass. Take Iowa State! |
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10-05-19 | Oklahoma State v. Texas Tech +10.5 | Top | 35-45 | Win | 100 | 50 h 23 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Big 12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Texas Tech +10½ -110 Perfect opportunity to play into some overreactions and get a great number with the Red Raiders at home. No one wants anything to do with Texas Tech in this matchup. Red Raiders enter off back-to-back double-digit losses. First they fell 28-14 at Arizona and then returned from their bye with a 55-16 setback at Oklahoma. As for the Cowboys, they just won convincingly 26-13 at home over a ranked K-State team, improving to 4-1 on the year. Only loss a close defeat at Texas 36-30. Most will feel like 10 isn't enough for Tech to cover. Red Raiders are not as bad as people think. I think they show up with a max effort and will be a lot more potent in front of a rowdy home crowd with a ranked team visiting. Key to slowing to the Cowboys is not letting Chubba Hubbard get free. I think Tech's defense will be up to the task. If OK State doesn't bring their 'A' game, I could easily see the Red Raiders winning outright. Take Texas Tech! |
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10-05-19 | Tulane v. Army +3 | 42-33 | Loss | -100 | 50 h 21 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Early Bird Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Army +3 +100 The Black Knights are definitely worth a look here as a home dog against the Green Wave. In fact, my numbers suggest that Army should be the ones favored in this matchup. Black Knights should be 4-0. The only loss being that 21-24 setback at Michigan. I just think because they struggled in their opener with Rice (won 14-7 as a 23-point favorite), haven't really beat anyone of significance (other wins against UTSA and Morgan State) and the perception of how bad Michigan is, has the Black Knights undervalued. Jeff Monken has done an outstanding job with this program. After going just 6-18 his first two years, they are 32-11 with a perfect 3-0 record in bowl games. Tulane hasn't played since that epic 38-31 win and cover over Houston as a 4.5-point favorite a couple weeks ago. Green Wave are 3-1 with their only loss at Auburn. This is definitely the best team yet for Willie Fritz at Tulane, but they are simply not worthy of being road favorites against a team like Army. Black Knights are giving up just 104 ypg and 3.3 yards/carry, so it's a good matchup against the run-heavy Tulane offense. Take Army! |
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10-05-19 | Kent State +36 v. Wisconsin | 0-48 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Kent State +36 -110 I think it's going to be tough for the Badgers to cover this massive spread against Kent State. I think it's one thing to get up for non-conference games when they are the first games on the schedule. Lot tougher when they are sandwiched around conference play. Badgers are banged up right now. I expect them to just go through the basics, make sure they get a win and get guys rest up for next week's showdown with Michigan State. Also, last 6 times Wisconsin was off a conference win, they failed to cover the next time out. Kent State has also been covering machines against teams like Wisconsin. Golden Flashes are 9-1 ATS last 10 vs dominant ball control team, who average 32+ mins of possession and 21+ first downs. Take Kent State! |
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10-04-19 | Maple Leafs v. Blue Jackets +140 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
5* NHL - Opening Week GAME OF THE MONTH on Blue Jackets +140 I really like the price and the spot with Columbus tonight. Toronto is a team a lot of people are picking to win it all, while the Maple Leafs are getting no love after losing some key players from last year's team. I think it has Toronto way overpriced here in not only the home but season opener for the Blue Jackets. Maple Leafs won their opener 5-3 at Ottawa, but are just 3-12 in their last 15 road games off a home win by 2 or more goals. Take Columbus! |