Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-27-14 | CS-Northridge v. Cal State Fullerton -3.5 | Top | 81-82 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Big West Game of the Year on Fullerton -3.5
Bottom Line: Off a big win over UC-Irvine, expect the Matadors to suffer a letdown on the road tonight. They are a poor 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games. Even worse, they are 1-7 ATS this season in road games against teams that have a losing record and have lost these games by an average of 8.0 points. Northridge's 81-75 win over Irvine is also significant because it is 0-6 ATS under coach Reggie Theus in road games after a combined score of 155 points or more. The Matadors have lost by an average of 12.5 points in this spot. The Titans have played some good ball lately at home where they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4. Pound Fullerton. |
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02-27-14 | Tulsa v. UTEP -3 | 65-60 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
4* Major C-USA *PUNISHER* on UTEP -3
Bottom Line: I'll back the Miners laying a small number as I believe they will be the more motivated side. They lost both of last season's meetings with Tulsa so this is a game they've had circled. This is also their last home game of the season, and teams tend to give a little extra when that is the case. UTEP is 10-3 ATS this season when playing teams that have a winning record. The Miners are also 10-2 ATS this season versus good teams that outscore opponents by 4.0 ppg or more. They are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. The home team is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings, and the Golden Hurricane is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings at Texas-El Paso. |
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02-26-14 | Stanford v. Arizona State -1.5 | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Pac-12 Game of the Year on ASU -1.5
Bottom Line: ASU is 14-1 this season at home, including 6-0 in its last 6. These 6 wins have come by an average of 8.8 points, and I expect the Sun Devils to continue their home dominance tonight. Herb Sendek called out his team following Sunday's 23-point loss at Utah, saying their effort was unacceptable. I expect his squad to respond just like his teams typically have throughout the years following a lopsided loss. Consider that Sendek's teams are 53-31 ATS off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference opponent since 1997. Adding to their level of motivation is a loss at Stanford earlier in the month and a home loss to Stanford last season. The Cardinal have performed well on the road, but the Sun Devils are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Pound ASU. |
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02-26-14 | Nebraska v. Illinois -2.5 | 49-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
4* Major Big Ten *BLOOD BATH* on Illinois -2.5
Bottom Line: Now's the time to fade Nebraska. The Huskers are off a 19-point win over Purdue, but they are 0-6 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more under coach Miles, losing by an average of 16.7 points in this spot. Illinois returns home with confidence and momentum following a big win at Minnesota. Plus, the Illini have had a week to prepare for this contest while the Huskers have had only 2 days. Bet Illinois. |
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02-26-14 | North Carolina v. NC State +4.5 | 85-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
4* Major ACC *PUNISHER* on NC State +4.5
Bottom Line: Now is the time to fade North Carolina. The Tar Heels have won 9 in a row SU and ATS, but they are 6-16 ATS under Roy Williams in road games after 8 or more consecutive wins. The Heels really put a beating on Wake Forest last game, but they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a win of more than 20 points and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. NC State lost by 14 at UNC earlier this month, but the Wolfpack are 8-1 ATS in home games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent over the last 2 seasons. They have won these contests by an average of 10.0 points. |
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02-25-14 | Utah State +12 v. New Mexico | Top | 58-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MWC Game of the Week on Utah State +12
Bottom Line: Look for the Lobos to suffer a letdown following Saturday's 14-point victory over San Diego State. New Mexico won by 13 points at Utah State in the first matchup so it won't give the Aggies its full attention. Utah State will be out for revenge for that loss, and it will also be out to end a 3-game skid. Playing underdogs of 10 points or more that are out for revenge for a home loss has resulted in a 117-71 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team. Additionally, road underdogs or pickems that have lost by 48 points or more ATS in their last ten games are 36-12 ATS the last 5 seasons if they are playing a team that has gone under the total by 24 points or more in their last 3 games. Pound Utah State. |
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02-22-14 | Quinnipiac v. Niagara +4 | Top | 90-88 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MAAC Game of the Year on Niagara +4
Bottom Line: Right away, I love the fact that plays against February road favorites or pickems that are riding a win streak of 6 games or more has resulted in a 105-64 ATS record the last 5 seasons. This system alone makes Quinnipiac fade material today. What elevates this play to Game of the Year status is the fact the Bobcats are off a big upset win at Canisius and are playing a 2nd road contest in a 3-day span. This spot has letdown written all over it for the Bobcats, who will have an extremely tough time getting up for a Niagara team they defeated by 14 in the first matchup. It's been an extremely difficult season for the Purple Eagles, but it's Senior Day (the last home game of the season) and teams tend to show up in a big way as they try to send the upperclassmen out on a high note. Quinnipiac has outscored the opposition by an average of 4.4 points on the season. That's an excellent margin through 26 games. But here's the clincher: Niagara is 6-0 ATS in home games versus good teams that outscore their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by 3.0 points on average. Pound the Purple Eagles. |
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02-22-14 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State -9.5 | 62-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
4* Major Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* on Oklahoma State -9.5
Bottom Line: Expect Texas Tech to suffer a hangover following a one-point loss to Kansas. The Red Raiders nearly pulled off the shocker, largely due to better than normal three-point shooting. Unfortunately for them, they are 0-12 ATS after a game where they made 50% of their 3-point shots or better over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average of 13.5 points in this situation. This game is all about revenge for Marcus Smart and company. We all know what happened in the first meeting. Smart is eligible to return here, and I expect him to show the country the type of talent he truly is in this highly motivated spot. |
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02-21-14 | Harvard v. Pennsylvania +11 | Top | 83-63 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Ivy League Game of the Year on Penn +11
Bottom Line: Harvard gets caught looking ahead to tomorrow's game against Princeton, who has been its biggest rival the past few seasons. Princeton played Harvard pretty tough in the first matchup so the Crimson will be much more concerned about the Tigers than they will the Quakers, who they defeated by 30 earlier this month. Penn has been a much better team at home where it is 3-0 in conference play. Penn has also had a lot of success at home against Harvard where it has won or lost by 6 points or less in 16 straight dating back to 1998. Pound Penn. |
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02-20-14 | Western Illinois +10.5 v. Denver | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Summit League Game of the Month on Western Illinois +10.5
Bottom Line: Playing against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points that returned just two starters and are off an upset win on the road has resulted in a 42-17 ATS record the last five seasons. Additionally, playing on underdogs of 10 points or more that are out for revenge for a same-season loss has resulted in a 45-18 ATS record the last 5 seasons when they are up against an opponent that's off an upset win on the road. Western Illinois is 11-3 ATS the last 3 seasons when out for revenge for a loss of 10 points or more. The Leathernecks are also 9-1 ATS the last 3 season on the road versus slow-tempo teams that average 53 shots per game or less. Pound Western Illinois. |
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02-19-14 | Notre Dame v. Miami (Fla) -3 | Top | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy ACC Game of the Week on Miami -3
Bottom Line: Notre Dame is being overvalued on the road following its first road win of the season and a stretch where it has covered in 3 of its last 4. The Fighting Irish are 0-6 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 over the last 2 seasons. They are also 0-6 ATS after playing a road game this season. Miami is 0-6 at home in conference play so it will go after this game with all it's got. Early home conference losses to VA Tech and FSU were inexcusable. However, the last 4 have come against Duke, Syracuse, Pitt and NC State. Miami is 10-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. Pound the Hurricanes. |
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02-18-14 | Georgia v. Tennessee -9 | Top | 48-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Week on Tennessee -9
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back losses to Florida and Mizzou, Tennessee will be all business when it takes the floor tonight. The Vols are a perfect 6-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Plus, Tennessee is 6-0 ATS lifetime in home games under coach Martin after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog. The Vols were swept by Georgia last season, which only adds to their level of motivation. Pound Tennessee. |
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02-17-14 | Oklahoma State +4.5 v. Baylor | Top | 64-70 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Oklahoma State +4.5
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Baylor following a big double-OT win over K-State. The Bears won't give Oklahoma State their full attention in the wake of Saturday's win, especially since they won by six in Stillwater and the Cowboys are struggling and don't have Marcus Smart. It's been a rough stretch for Oklahoma State, but I don't see them packing it in. They still have the possibility of achieving a winning record in conference play, and that will keep them motivated. Playing against road teams that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent and are playing with one day of rest or none has resulted in a 369-256 ATS record the last five seasons. Plus, Baylor is a soft 10-19 ATS as a home favorite of 6.0 points or less or pickem under coach Drew. Pound Oklahoma State. |
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02-16-14 | Notre Dame v. Boston College -1 | 73-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
4* Major ACC *PUNISHER* (ESPNU) on Boston College -1
Bottom Line: Boston College will go after this game with everything it has in hopes of ending a four-game skid. The Eagles lost the first meeting at Notre Dame in OT so they will enter this one believing they can win. The Fighting Irish haven't had much fight on the road where they are 0-6 this season with an average losing margin of 5.5 points. They are a poor 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 versus the ACC while the Eagles are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 versus ACC foes. Bet BC. |
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02-16-14 | SMU v. Temple +9 | Top | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Temple +9
Bottom Line: Off an ugly loss to Louisville, look for Temple to come storming back as it seeks revenge for a Feb. 6 loss at SMU. The Owls are an impressive 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. They are an even more impressive 9-1 ATS when out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent over the last 3 seasons, winning these contests by an average of 8.2 points. Temple lost by double digits at Cincinnati earlier this season, and then played the Bearcats to a 4-point game for an easy cover at home in the rematch. Expect a similar turn of events here as the Owls give SMU all its wants and more. Pound Temple. |
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02-15-14 | Ohio State v. Illinois +5 | 48-39 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
4* Major Big 10 *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Illinois +5
Bottom Line: I expect Ohio State to suffer a hangover following a disappointing performance at home against rival Michigan. The Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. Illinois has been a tough place for Ohio State to play, and I expect the Fighting Illini to be ready. They have won the last two home meetings by 5 and 19 points. Home court has been big in the series of late with the home team going 5-1 ATS in the last 6. After back-to-back games in the role of road dog, the Illini are home where they have won 9 of 13 on the season. Plus, John Groce's squads are 11-1 ATS lifetime after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog and have won these matchups by 7.8 points on average. |
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02-15-14 | Wyoming v. San Jose State +9.5 | Top | 46-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Mountain West Game of the Year on SJSU +9.5
Bottom Line: Wyoming won't give a SJSU squad that is 0-12 in league play and that it defeated by 11 points last month its full attention in the aftermath of Tuesday's upset win over San Diego State. The Cowboys haven't been even close to the same team on the road. They are 2-7 in true road games this season with the wins coming by just 2 and 7 points. Wyoming is 1-8 ATS lifetime under coach Shyatt following a victory of 6 points or fewer. Plus, Shyatt's clubs are 1-9 ATS lifetime in road games following an upset victory. Pound the Spartans. |
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02-15-14 | Texas Tech v. Iowa State -10 | 64-70 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
4* Major Big 12 *BEST BET* on Iowa State -10
Bottom Line: After getting whacked at West Virginia Monday, Iowa State will show no mercy to a Texas Tech team it defeated by 11 points last month. The Cyclones have delivered wins of 18 and 20 points the last two times they have hosted the Red Raiders, and I expect another dominant performance here. ISU is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games following a loss of more than 20 points. When oddsmakers have installed Texas Tech as a double-digit dog, it's been for good reason. The Red Raiders are 5-15 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons, including 2-10 ATS during this stretch on the road. It has lost the road battles in this set by an average of 18.7 points. Texas Tech is also a soft 2-11 ATS when out for revenge for a home loss of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons, losing these battles by an average of 19.7 points. Texas Tech looks like it has something going following 3 consecutive wins in conference play. However, it is on a 2-10 ATS slide in games following 3 straight wins against conference foes. |
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02-14-14 | Arizona v. Arizona State +5.5 | Top | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* (ESPN) on Arizona State +5.5
Bottom Line: Arizona has been far from dominant on the road this season. It is 4-1 in its last 5 road games but only one of the wins came by more than 4 points, and that was against last-place USC. Since Miller arrived, the Wildcats have been a dead fade following a home win over a conference opponent. They are 9-26 ATS under his watch in this spot. Additionally, the Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. ASU was embarrassed 91-68 at Arizona in the first matchup, and it will be extremely motivated as a result. Pound the Sun Devils. |
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02-13-14 | Utah v. USC +3.5 | 79-71 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
4* Major Pac-12 *PUNISHER* on USC +3.5
Bottom Line: USC has struggled in conference play, but Utah shouldn't be laying this many points on the road where it is 0-6 this season. The Trojans lost by 10 to rival UCLA last game, but they are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games following a double-digit loss at home. They are also 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Bet USC. |
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02-13-14 | St John's v. Seton Hall +1.5 | Top | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Big East Game of the Year on Seton Hall +1.5
Bottom Line: Off a big win over Creighton, I expect St. John's to suffer a letdown at Seton Hall where it has walked away a loser 8 straight times. Those 8 losses have come by 11.3 points on average. Seton Hall has had only way day to gear up for this contest, but it is 9-1 ATS under Kevin Willard in home games when playing with 1 or less days of rest, winning in this spot by an average of 16.6 points. Pound the Pirates. |
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02-12-14 | New Mexico v. Boise State -2.5 | 70-71 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
4* Major Mountain West Monster on Boise State -2.5
Bottom Line: Coach Craig Neal's boys have been a bad investment in odd scheduling spots. Playing 2 games in a week is normal, but the Lobos are 0-6 ATS under Neal when playing for the 2nd time in 8 days. They have won these games on average but only by 0.6 points. Boise State can score the basketball, which makes it the type of team New Mexico has struggled against when it hits the road. The Lobos are on a 4-14 ATS slide in road games 15 games or more into the schedule versus teams that average 77.0 ppg or more. They have lost to these teams by 9.4 points on average. |
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02-12-14 | Stanford v. Washington +2.5 | Top | 60-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Washington +2.5
Bottom Line: Washington has lost 3 in a row and was beaten badly at Colorado last time out. However, it is on a 19-8 ATS run at home after a loss of 15 points or more. The Huskies are also on a 9-2 ATS run at home after playing their last 3 games on the road. Stanford won the first matchup, but coach Romar's clubs are on a 57-36 ATS run when out for revenge for a road loss. Pound Washington. |
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02-12-14 | Syracuse v. Pittsburgh -2 | 58-56 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Pitt -2
Bottom Line: Look for Syracuse to suffer its first loss of the season tonight. Pitt gave the Orange major problems in the first matchup, and it figures to be even more of a handful on its home floor where it is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings with an 11.2-point average margin of victory. |
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02-11-14 | Florida v. Tennessee +2 | Top | 67-58 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Week on Tennessee +2
Bottom Line: The beating the Volunteers received at Florida only helps our cause as they will be that much more motivated. I'm not sure they needed any added motivation because they are 7-1 in their last 8 home games against the Gators, but the revenge factor certainly applies given that the Vols are on a 13-2 ATS run when looking for revenge for a road loss to an opponent. They haven't just won these games, they've won them by an average of 11.1 points. Plus, Tennessee is on a 17-4 ATS run as a home dog of 3 points or fewer or pickem, winning in this spot by an average of 4.4 points. Pound Tennessee. |
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02-10-14 | Iowa State v. West Virginia +2.5 | Top | 77-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on West Virginia +2.5
Bottom Line: Iowa State is 0-6 ATS after scoring 80 points or more in four straight games under coach Fred Hoiberg, losing by an average of 1.9 points in this spot. This trend shows the way high point output causes oddsmakers to overvalue teams. Teams like WVU that pack in it defensively don't force as many turnovers, but they also don't give up as many easy buckets on fly-by's and overplays. Iowa State is on a 0-6 ATS skid in conference play versus teams that force 14 turnovers per game or less. It has lost to these teams by an average of 0.2 points. Additionally, the Cyclones are 0-7 ATS the last 2 seasons following 2 or more consecutive overs, losing these contests by an average 0.9 points. Pound the Mountaineers. |
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02-09-14 | Illinois State v. Loyola-Chicago +1 | Top | 69-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Loyola-Chi +1
Bottom Line: Loyola is a perfect 4-0 ATS this season as a home underdog. The Ramblers are also on a 4-0 ATS run when matched up against a team that has a winning record. The Redbirds are 1-5 both SU and ATS in their last 6 road games. Loyola lost the first matchup on the road, but I expect it to have its revenge at home. Pound the Ramblers. |
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02-08-14 | Wichita State v. Northern Iowa +7 | 82-73 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
4* Major MVC *SUREFIRE* on Northern Iowa +7
Bottom Line: Northern Iowa is a tough place to play. The Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings with the Panthers winning last season's home meeting by 5 points. Look for Northern Iowa to take the Shockers down to the wire. |
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02-08-14 | St. Louis v. La Salle +4.5 | 65-63 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Major Atlantic-10 *SUREFIRE* on La Salle +4.5
Bottom Line: Now's the time to go against the Billikens. They are off a dominant 65-49 win at St. Joseph's but are 0-4 ATS following a cover and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. The underdog is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. We'll grab the points. |
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02-08-14 | Florida State v. Maryland -3.5 | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Major ACC Game of the Week on Maryland -3.5
Bottom Line: Florida State is 0-5 ATS in its last five games versus a team with a winning record. Maryland has been outstanding in bounce back spots, going 22-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses under Turgeon. The Noles have the Terps a beatdown in Tallahassee so Maryland will be extremely focused today. |
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02-08-14 | Michigan v. Iowa -4.5 | Top | 67-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Big 10 Game of the Year on Iowa -4.5
Bottom Line: Michigan is 0-7 ATS in road games when playing their 3rd game in a week over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average of 8.8 points in this spot. The Wolverines are also 0-6 ATS in road games after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games over the last 2 seasons. Iowa does an excellent job on the glass, which is a very positive sign. The Hawkeyes are 9-0 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. They have won by an average of 9.5 points in this spot. Pound Iowa. |
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02-08-14 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State +13.5 | 69-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
4* Major SEC *SUREFIRE* on Mississippi State +13.5
Bottom Line: Kentucky hasn't been a good bet on the road where it is on a 4-13 ATS skid in lined road games. The Wildcats are 0-7 ATS in road games after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games over the last 2 seasons, 0-6 ATS in road games off 2 straight wins against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons, 0-7 ATS in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons and 0-7 ATS in road games after a game forcing opponent to commit only 8 turnovers or less over the last 2 seasons. |
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02-07-14 | UNC-Charlotte v. Tulane +3.5 | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
4* Major C-USA *SUREFIRE* on Tulane +3.5
Bottom Line: Charlotte got off to slow starts in its last two games but managed to turn it on in the second half against a pair of inferior teams at home. These recent results don't bode well for the 49ers as they are 0-6 ATS after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 16.0 points in these contests. The 49ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a win, period, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. I think they'll be much more concerned with Sunday's showdown at So. Miss than they will a Tulane squad that was just blown out by the Golden Eagles. The Green Wave are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a loss of more than 20 points. Grab the points as Tulane bounces back strong. |
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02-07-14 | Iona v. Niagara +8.5 | Top | 90-89 | Win | 102 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Niagara +8.5
Bottom Line: I'll gladly grab the points with Niagara as they have won or lost by fewer than 8.5 points in 14 of their last 15 home games against Iona. Off back-to-back to back defeats and a blowout loss in the first matchup, the Purple Eagles will be out for revenge. Iona, on the other hand, will be much more concerned about Sunday's showdown with MAAC co-leader Canisius. Pound Niagara. |
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02-06-14 | New Mexico State v. Idaho +8.5 | 67-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
4* Major on Idaho +8.5
Bottom Line: This is a flat spot for New Mexico State as it hits the road for the first time since Jan. 18. The Aggies won the first meeting by 24 points so they will have a hard time getting up for this contest. The Aggies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games following three or more consecutive home games and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better. |
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02-06-14 | Temple +13 v. SMU | 52-75 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
4* Major AAC Game of the Week on Temple +13
Bottom Line: Playing against February home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points off a home win where they scored 85 or more points has resulted in a 41-15 ATS mark the last 5 seasons. SMU is a soft 14-35 ATS in home games off a home win since 1997. Also, Temple is 10-2 ATS under head man Fran Dunphy after a loss of 15 points or more. This is a sandwich game for SMU off a big win over Memphis and with Cincy on deck. |
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02-06-14 | LSU v. Georgia +3 | Top | 78-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Month on Georgia +3
Bottom Line: Playing against road teams, 15 games or more into the schedule, that hold opponents to 40% shooting or worse and have shot 50% or better their last two games has resulted in a 33-9 ATS record the last 5 seasons provided they are matched up against a team that holds its opponents to 40-42.5% shooting. This system is 2-0 ATS this season. The Tigers haven't been a good bet on the road where they are 0-2-2 ATS in their last four. They are 0-3-2 ATS in their last five road games versus teams with a home winning percentage above .600. The Bulldogs are on a 0-3 slide in conference play, but they are on a 7-0 ATS roll at home following 3 straight losses against conference rivals. Pound the Dawgs. |
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02-06-14 | Cleveland State v. Oakland +2.5 | 92-85 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
4* Major on Oakland +2.5
Bottom Line: Cleveland State is being overvalued following back-to-back high scoring wins on the road. Teams coached by head man Gary Waters are just 5-16 ATS after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight since 1997. Oakland has won 8 of 10 at home this season, and I expect it to continue its strong play at home tonight. |
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02-05-14 | San Diego State v. Boise State -1.5 | 67-65 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB Mountain West Game of the Week on Boise State -1.5
Bottom Line: San Diego State is very fortunate to still be undefeated in league play as it needed OT to win at Utah State Jan. 25. I believe it suffers its first league loss tonight against an experienced and talented Boise State squad. Boise State is 11-1 at home this season and won last season's home meeting with SDSU 69-65. The Aztecs are only 1-9 ATS the last 3 seasons when entering with covers in 3 of their last 4 games. Bet Boise State. |
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02-05-14 | Wichita State v. Indiana State +4.5 | Top | 65-58 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MVC Game of the Month on Indiana State +4.5
Bottom Line: Playing against February road favorites or pickems after 6 or more consecutive wins has resulted in a 97-50 ATS record the last 5 seasons, including a perfect 5-0 ATS record this season. Indiana State was crushed 68-48 in the season's first matchup, but the Sycamores are 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons when out for revenge for a defeat where they were held to fewer than 60 points. They have won these contests by 6.8 points on average. Indiana State won by double-digits at Wichita State last season and played the Shockers to a 4-point game at home so they are very capable of pulling off the upset. Pound Indiana State. |
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02-04-14 | Butler v. Marquette -6.5 | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Marquette -6.5
Bottom Line: Marquette was kicked at St. John's last game, but the Golden Eagles have a history of bouncing back. In fact, they are 12-3 ATS following a road loss over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average of 11.7 points in these games. They are also 11-3 ATS off a loss to a conference foe over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average of 9.7 points in these games. Marquette lost the first meeting 69-57 at Butler so it will draw additional motivation from that loss. Bet Marquette. |
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02-03-14 | Georgetown v. DePaul +5.5 | 71-59 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* on DePaul +5.5
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Georgetown following Saturday's big win upset win over Michigan State. The Hoyas are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. They are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Bet DePaul. |
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02-01-14 | Akron v. Kent State +1.5 | Top | 57-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MAC GAME OF THE YEAR on Kent State +1.5
Bottom Line: Kent State has been an outstanding underdog investment at 15-5 ATS in the role the last 2 seasons, and it will have no problem getting up for this game following an ugly loss to Northern Illinois. The Golden Flashes are 6-0 ATS the last 2 seasons off an upset loss, winning by an average of 2.2 points in this spot. The Golden Flashes are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after being held to less than 50 points in their previous game. Akron knocked Kent State out of last season's MAC tourney and went on to make the Big Dance, and the Golden Flashes will be out for payback. |
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02-01-14 | Oklahoma v. Iowa State -8 | 75-81 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
4* Major Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* on Iowa State -8
Bottom Line: ISU is an impressive 32-17 ATS in home lined games under coach Fred Hoiberg, including 25-14 ATS as a home fave or pickem and 9-2 ATS in home February games. This last trend shows that the Cyclones are taking care of business at home in the heart of Big 12 play. They have won those 11 February contests by an average of 10.4 points. |
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02-01-14 | Memphis v. SMU -2 | 72-87 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
4* Major AAC Game of the Week on SMU -2
Bottom Line: SMU is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite this season. The Mustangs are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games versus Memphis. The Mustangs got caught looking ahead to this matchup and took a bad loss to USF. Now, they'll be even hungrier as they look to end a 2-game skid in the series. |
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01-31-14 | Manhattan +2.5 v. Iona | Top | 73-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MAAC Game of the Month (ESPNU) on Manhattan +2.5
Bottom Line: Iona lives and dies by the 3-point shot with 44% of its field goal attempts coming from beyond the arc this season. I expect it to die by it tonight as it goes up against a Manhattan team that defends the 3 very well, especially on the road where it has limited opponents to just 31.8%. The Jaspers are 6-0 ATS under Steve Masiello in contests 15 games or more in versus good 3-point shooting teams that make 37% of their attempts or more. Iona is a weak rebounding team, and that also puts it at a disadvantage tonight. The Jaspers are 8-0 ATS under Masiello in road games versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game. The road team is 7-1-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings, and the Jaspers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Iona. Pound Manhattan. |
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01-30-14 | Purdue +12 v. Michigan | 66-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
4* Major Big Ten *SUREFIRE* on Purdue +12
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from the Michigan Wolverines following a huge win over rival Michigan State to take over sole possession of first in the Big Ten standings. The Purdue Boilermakers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Boilermakers are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings overall and 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings at Michigan. The road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and the underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Plays 15 games or more into the season on teams like Purdue that average 74-78 ppg has resulted in a 38-14 ATS record since 1997 if they have been held to 65 points or less in 3 straight games and are playing a team that allows 63-67 ppg. This system is 4-1 ATS the last 3 seasons. |
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01-30-14 | Pacific v. BYU -13 | Top | 78-88 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Blowout Game of the Week on BYU -13
Bottom Line: Fading the Pacific Tigers as a road dog of 12.5 to 15.0 points has resulted in a perfect 10-0 ATS record the last 17 years. The Tigers have lost these contests by 20.3 points on average. Backing the BYU Cougars at home against marginal winning teams (51% to 60% win rate) has resulted in a perfect 6-0 ATS record the last 2 seasons. The Cougs have won these contests by 25.2 points on average. Pound BYU. |
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01-30-14 | Florida Intl. v. Marshall -4 | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
4* Major C-USA *BLOOD BATH* on Marshall -4
Bottom Line: Expect the FIU Golden Panthers to struggle as they step out on the road for the first time since Jan. 11. The Golden Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Marshall Thundering Herd were smacked at Louisiana Tech last game, but they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of more than 20 points and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game. |
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01-30-14 | Florida v. Mississippi State +13.5 | 62-51 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
4* Major SEC *SUREFIRE* on Mississippi State +13.5
Bottom Line: The Florida Gators are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win of more than 20 points, 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Mississippi State. The Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Playing against double-digit favorites off a blowout win of 20 points or more in conference play has resulted in a 70-36 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team that's off a double-digit loss in conference play. |
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01-29-14 | Arizona State v. California -6 | 89-78 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
4* Major Pac-12 Bailout (ESPNU) on Cal -6
Bottom Line: Cal is 10-0 at home this season with an average winning margin of 19.1 points in these games. The total line is significant as it is a good indicator of what the books expect to happen. According to a total of 144, oddsmakers have Cal winning this game 75-69. Since ASU averages 76.6 ppg, clearly the books expect Cal to be able to slow the Sun Devils down with a defense that is allowing just 58.8 ppg at home. The Golden Bears are 18-3 ATS in home games when the total is 140 to 144.5 under Mike Montgomery. They have won these games by an average of 15.1 points. |
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01-29-14 | Ole Miss v. Tennessee -8 | Top | 70-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
5* SEC Game of the Week on Tennessee -8
Bottom Line: It's bounce back time for Tennessee following Saturday's embarrassing loss at Florida. The Volunteers are 12-4 ATS under coach Cuonzo Martin off a loss to a conference opponent. They are also 9-2 ATS under Martin after a double-digit defeat. Pound Tennessee. |
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01-28-14 | Virginia v. Notre Dame +4 | Top | 68-53 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Notre Dame +4
Bottom Line: Home teams that average 74-78 ppg but were held to 60 points or less last game, in games that occur 15 games or more into the season, are 30-8 ATS the last 5 seasons when they are up against a team that allows 63 ppg or less. Virginia has been rolling, but it's also been at home for 3 straight games. The Cavs are on a 2-10 ATS skid when they hit the road after 2 or more consecutive wins at home. Pound the Irish. |
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01-27-14 | Villanova v. Georgetown +6.5 | Top | 65-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Georgetown +6.5
Bottom Line: Playing against January favorites that have won 80% or more of their games has resulted in a 111-82 ATS record the last 5 seasons when they are up against a team that has won 51% to 60% of their games. Nova is 2-10 ATS when playing a 2nd game in 3 days over the last 3 seasons and 18-33 ATS in road games after covering the number in 3 of their last 4 games since 1997. Georgetown is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 home meeting against the Wildcats. Pound the Hoyas. |
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01-26-14 | Minnesota v. Nebraska +1 | Top | 78-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Big Ten Game of the Week on Nebraska +1
Bottom Line: The Huskers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 home games. They are 17-6 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pickem since 1997 and 14-2 ATS off a loss against a conference opponent over the last 2 seasons. Nebraska beat Ohio State in its last home game and played Michigan to a 1-point game in the home contest before that. The Huskers also defeat Minnesota the last time they hosted the Gophers. Pound Nebraska. |
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01-25-14 | Southern Mississippi v. East Carolina +8.5 | 60-46 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
4* Major C-USA Game of the Week on East Carolina +8.5
Bottom Line: Playing against a favorite that's off a win of 10 points or more over a conference opponent has resulted in a 98-60 ATS record the last 5 seasons provided they have a win percentage of 80% or higher and are playing a team with a win percentage of 51-60%. So. Miss is a soft 17-33 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams like ECU that average 77.0 ppg or more since 1997, and the Golden Eagles fall to 5-15 ATS in this situation when the game takes place 15 games or more into the season. Lastly, head coach Jeff Lebo's squads are 7-0 ATS lifetime after failing to cover in 6 or 7 of their last 8. His teams have won by an average of 5.5 points in this spot. |
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01-25-14 | Connecticut v. Rutgers +6.5 | 82-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
4* Major AAC Game of the Week on Rutgers +6.5
Bottom Line: UConn is off a blowout win over Temple, but it is 28-49 ATS in road games off a home win of 10 points or more since 1997, winning by just 3.2 points in this spot. It is also 20-40 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games since 1997, winning by 2.3 points in this spot. The Scarlet Knights have been very competitive at home where they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4. |
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01-25-14 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss -11.5 | Top | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Year on Ole Miss -11.5
Bottom Line: Mississippi State has won two straight in the series, and that's not sitting well with rival Ole Miss. The Bulldogs won the season's first meeting by 4 points at home and they're catching double digits here? That's because they've been awful on the road, losing each of their 3 true road games this season by an average of 20 points. It's also worth mentioning that they lost by 18 at Ole Miss last season. When oddsmakers have installed Mississippi State as a double-digit dog, it's been for good reason. The Bulldogs are just 4-14 ATS under coach Ray when catching 10 points or more and have lost by an average of 21.0 points in these contests. The Bulldogs have won their last 2, but they are 0-6 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average of 13.2 points in this spot. Pound Ole Miss. |
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01-23-14 | Utah v. Arizona State -4.5 | 75-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Arizona State -4.5
Bottom Line: ASU has lost its last 2, but they came on the road to Arizona and UCLA, the 2 most talented teams in the league. Now the Sun Devils are back home where they are 9-1 on the season, and I expect them to bounce back strong. Under the direction of Herb Sendek, ASU is 31-15 ATS off 2 straight losses against conference foes. This system tightens up to a very impressive 9-1 ATS is both losses were by double digits. Pound ASU. |
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01-23-14 | Florida v. Alabama +5.5 | 68-62 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
4* Major SEC *SUREFIRE* (ESPN2) on Alabama +5.5
Bottom Line: This is a look-ahead spot for Florida, who has a big revenge game against Tennessee Saturday. This is a big revenge game for Alabama, who has lost 7 straight to the Gators. Alabama has been very competitive at home this season where it is 8-2 with the losses coming by just 5 and 3 points, respectively, to very good Wichita State and Xavier teams. The Gators are 1-10 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. |
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01-22-14 | Oregon State v. Washington State +2.5 | Top | 66-55 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Pac-12 Game of the Week on Washington State +2.5
Bottom Line: Look for Washington State to bounce back at home after a pair of rough outings on the road. The Cougars are 12-4 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses under coach Bone, and they have won these games by an average of 8.6 points. Additionally, Oregon State is off a huge win over Oregon, and it has been a poor play following a win. The Beavers are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a victory. Pound Washington State. |
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01-21-14 | Indiana +12 v. Michigan State | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
4* Major ESPN PRIME TIME PUNISHER on Indiana +12
Bottom Line: Playing against favorites of 10 or more points that have won 10 or more consecutive games has resulted in a 151-109 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Indiana is off a pathetic performance against Northwestern, and it was embarrassed at home by Michigan State in the first meeting so it will be lacking no focus or motivation. The Hoosiers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and have won 3 of the last 4 meetings with Michigan State. Grab the points. |
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01-20-14 | St Peter's v. Marist -4 | Top | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Marist -4
Bottom Line: This line opened at -3, which is significant because St. Peter's is 0-7 ATS in games when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. It has lost these games by 8.9 points on average. Marist had won 4 in a row at home before getting upset by Rider Saturday, but it is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games following an ATS loss. Marist is also 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings with St. Peter's. Pound the Red Foxes. |
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01-18-14 | Texas Tech v. TCU +2.5 | 60-49 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
4* Major Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* on TCU +2.5
Bottom Line: Texas Tech is 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in true road games this season, and I look for its road woes to continue as it suffers a letdown following a big win over Baylor. The Red Raiders are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 road games. They are also 4-13 ATS after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 9.9 points in this spot. |
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01-18-14 | UCLA v. Utah +2 | Top | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Pac-12 Game of the Month on Utah +2
Bottom Line: Utah is 13-1 at home on the season with the lone loss coming by just 2 points in OT to a very good Oregon team. The Utes have been an unbelievable home dog or pickem under coach Krystkowiak, going 17-6 ATS in the role. They are 9-2 ATS under him as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pickem, winning these contests by 5.1 points on average. Utah is 6-0 ATS under Krystkowiak in home games occurring 15 games or more into the season versus good shooting teams that make 45% of their shots or better. This is also a very tough spot for UCLA playing a 2nd road game in 3 days. Pound Utah. |
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01-16-14 | Providence v. St John's -3.5 | Top | 84-83 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Big East *BEST BET* on St. John's -3.5
Bottom Line: St. John's will want this game more as it seeks its first conference win and looks to avenge last season's 3-point loss at Providence. The Friars are off a big win over Georgetown but have lost the momentum from that victory with a 7-day break. The key tonight is turnovers, and St. John's doesn't figure to give it away enough for Providence to stay in the game. The Red Storm is 10-1 ATS under Lavin in home games that take place 15 games or more into the schedule versus teams like Providence that force 14 turnovers per game or less. Providence is 3-12 ATS in road games the last 2 seasons versus good ball handling teams like St. John's that commit 14 turnovers or less per game. The Friars are also 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a cover, 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games versus a team with a winning record and 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings. |
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01-15-14 | Mississippi State v. Alabama -11 | 61-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Alabama -11
Bottom Line: Mississippi State is 11-4 while Alabama is 7-8 and the Bulldogs are getting 11 points. It looks like the books are absolutely begging for action on Miss. St. but I won't bite. The Bulldogs are a dismal 4-13 ATS as a double-digit dog under coach Rick Ray, losing these games by an average of 21.1 points. Bama has won 5 straight at home in the series with 2 of the last 3 victories coming by 14 and 17 points. |
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01-15-14 | TCU +21 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 50-82 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on TCU +21
Bottom Line: With a big showdown at Kansas Saturday, this is a prime look-ahead spot for Oklahoma State. The Cowboys are 0-7 ATS 15 or more games in against teams that have a win percentage of .600 to .800 over the last 2 seasons. The Cowboys are also 1-9 ATS under coach Ford after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games. |
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01-14-14 | Wisconsin v. Indiana +4.5 | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
4* Major ESPN *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Indiana +4.5
Bottom Line: Coach Tom Crean's squads are 22-9 ATS lifetime as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pickem. The Hoosiers are 10-2 ATS in home games following a cover the last 2 seasons. Wisconsin is just 3-13 ATS when playing against teams with a 60-80% win percentage the last 2 seasons. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Grab the points. |
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01-13-14 | Kansas +1.5 v. Iowa State | 77-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
4* Major ESPN Big Monday *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Kansas +1.5
Bottom Line: Iowa State will have a tough time tonight with DeAndre Kane likely unable to go after suffering an ankle injury late against Oklahoma. The Cyclones don't have a lot of depth, and he is the player they can afford to lose the least as he's their best all-around player and primary ball handler. He has 92 assists on the season, 39 more than the next-closest Cyclone. The Jayhawks are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 Big 12 games and 16-1 in their last 17 versus Iowa State. |
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01-12-14 | Wisc-Green Bay v. Wisc-Milwaukee +5.5 | Top | 93-86 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Wisconsin-Milwaukee +5.5
Bottom Line: The Phoenix are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games versus teams that have a winning home record. Wisconsin-Green Bay is also 0-7 ATS in road games after a win of 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 1.7 points in this spot. Wisconsin-Milwaukee lost all 3 of last season's meetings by double-digits so it will be out for blood this afternoon. Pound the Panthers. |
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01-11-14 | Santa Clara v. Pacific -5 | Top | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* Blowout on Pacific -5
Bottom Line: Pacific has lost its first 4 conference contests. It has also lost its last 2 against Santa Clara. I believe these things will inspire the Tigers to put forth one of their best efforts of the season. Santa Clara is in a huge letdown spot following a win at St. Mary's and a terrible situational spot playing its 2nd road game in 3 days. The Tigers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Pacific is 15-5 ATS on Saturday over the last 2 seasons, including 6-1 ATS in its last 7 Saturday games. It is also on a 17-7 ATS run when laying points and a 63-35 ATS run in home games after playing a home game. The Broncos are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Saturday games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a win and 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Pound Pacific. |
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01-09-14 | Michigan v. Nebraska +4.5 | Top | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Nebraska +4.5
Bottom Line: Nebraska is 7-0 at home this season, and I expect it to defend its home court tonight following a pair of road losses to open conference play. The Huskers are 32-15 ATS in home games off 2 straight losses against conference opponents since 1997, winning by an average of 4.3 points in this spot. The Wolverines are a soft 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games while the Cornhuskers are a strong 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 home games. Pound Nebraska. |
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01-08-14 | Boise State +6.5 v. San Diego State | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Boise State +6.5
Bottom Line: San Diego State is being overvalued following its big win at Kansas. Each of the last 4 meetings between these two have been decided by 6 points or less. Also, Boise State has lost by just 3 total points in its last 2 visits to SDSU. The Broncos are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 versus Mountain West foes while the Aztecs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 versus the Mountain West. |
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01-08-14 | Wake Forest v. Virginia -11 | Top | 51-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Blowout Game of the Month on Virginia -11
Bottom Line: Playing Wednesday home favorites of 10 or more points that hold opponents to an average of 57.0 ppg or less has resulted in a 33-12 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting this scenario have won by 19.5 points on average. Plus, the Cavaliers are 8-0 ATS under coach Bennett as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points, winning these games by an average of 22.8 points. |
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01-07-14 | NC State +5.5 v. Notre Dame | 77-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
4* Major ACC *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on NC State +5.5
Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for Notre Dame, which is coming off a gigantic win over Duke. This is a bounce-back spot for NC State following a double-digit loss at Pitt. The Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Notre Dame has been fortunate to shoot well the past two games because it has given up a lot of points. The Irish are 8-25 ATS under Brey after allowing 75 points or more in 2 straight games. Notre Dame will have a tough time scoring the basketball against an NC State defense that has been phenomenal on the road, holding opponents to 35.2% shooting overall and 19.1% from beyond the arc. |
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01-04-14 | Drake v. Bradley +4.5 | 57-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
4* Major MVC Line Mistake on Bradley +4.5
Bottom Line: The Braves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games off a defeat of 15 or more points. Bradley has lost to Drake at home by more than 4.5 points just one time in the last 8 meetings. |
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01-04-14 | Harvard v. Rice +12 | 69-54 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
4* Major Sandwich Game *SUREFIRE* on Rice +12
Bottom Line: This is a classic sandwich game for Harvard following a win over B.C. and with Connecticut up next. This situation becomes even tougher for the Crimson because they defeated Rice by 30 last season, making it very easy for them to look ahead. The Owls will be out for revenge and also motivated by losses in their last two games. The Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. |
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01-04-14 | Pacific +15.5 v. Gonzaga | 64-86 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
4* Major WCC *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacific +15.5
Bottom Line: The Bulldogs are overvalued frequently because of the amount of attention they receive from bettors. They have been especially overvalued on Saturday's, the biggest NCAAB betting day of the week. Gonzaga is 4-13 ATS on Saturday over the last 2 seasons, including 0-6 ATS in its last 6 Saturday games. Pacific is 15-4 ATS on Saturday the last 2 seasons. |
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01-04-14 | Arkansas State v. Texas State +3 | Top | 74-69 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Sun Belt Conference Game of the Year on Texas State +3
Bottom Line: Arkansas State is 1-8 ATS as a road favorite or pickem over the last 3 seasons, losing these games by 3.3 points on average. It is also 0-6 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning pct. of 20% to 40% over the last 2 seasons, losing these games by an average of 9.5 points. Pound Texas State. |
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01-02-14 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern +10.5 | Top | 76-49 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Northwestern +10.5
Bottom Line: Northwestern is off a 1-point loss to DePaul, which is worth mentioning because it has responded to go 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons following a close loss of 3 points or less, winning by an average of 12.5 points in these games. Pound the Wildcats. |
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12-28-13 | VCU v. Boston College +9 | Top | 69-50 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Boston College +9
Bottom Line: VCU will have a tough time covering this number against a B.C. squad that plays a half-court game and takes excellent care of the rock. VCU is 0-6 ATS versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game over the last 2 seasons and 0-8 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams that committing 12 or fewer turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. VCU forced VA Tech into 27 turnovers last game, but the Rams are 0-6 ATS after a game forcing an opponent to commit 25 or more turnovers over the last 2 seasons. VCU is also 0-6 ATS when playing away from home on 5 of 6 days' rest over the last 3 seasons. BC was upset at Auburn last game, but it is on an 8-0 ATS run in road/neutral court games off an upset loss of 10 points or more. Pound the Eagles. |
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12-21-13 | Stanford v. Michigan -2 | 65-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Michigan -2
Bottom Line: I like Michigan in this neutral court battle whether McGary goes or not. Stanford finds itself in a letdown spot after a big upset win at UConn. Michigan, meanwhile, is in bounce-back mode following a narrow home loss to Arizona. Michigan is 14-5 ATS following 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. John Beilein's teams are 21-9 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6 points or less or pickem since 1997. His Michigan teams are 15-6 ATS when getting 5 or 6 days or preparation for an opponent. |
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12-14-13 | Houston v. UL-Lafayette -8 | Top | 76-79 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on UL-Lafayette -8
Bottom Line: Playing on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points - an excellent offensive team (averages 76 or more ppg) against an average defensive team (allows 67-74 ppg), after a combined score of 165 points or more, has resulted in a 51-16 ATS record the last 5 seasons. ULL is on a 10-2 ATS run after a game where it shot 43% or lower and allowed 57% or higher. The Ragin' Cajuns are also 8-1 ATS after allowing 75 points or more in 2 straight games under coach Bob Marlin. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, winning these by 16.3 points on average. Pound ULL. |
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12-08-13 | Oregon v. Ole Miss -1 | Top | 115-105 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* (ESPNU) on Ole Miss -1
Bottom Line: Look for the Rebels to hand Oregon its first defeat of the season. Ole Miss is an impressive 13-6-2 ATS in its last 21 home games, 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games versus Pacific-12 opponents. Since Andy Kennedy took over the Rebels, they are 13-5 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3. They are also 23-12 ATS in home non-conference games, 26-12 ATS versus teams with a win percentage greater than .800 and 32-10 ATS versus teams scoring 77+ points/game under his watch. |
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12-07-13 | Villanova v. St. Joseph's +5 | Top | 98-68 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Game of the Week on St. Joseph's +5
Bottom Line: The Villanova Wildcats are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a win of more than 20 points and 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 versus Atlantic 10 opponents. The Hawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games. Look for Nova to struggle in its first true road game of the season as it goes up against a St. Joe's squad that will be hungry to avenge last season's 4-point loss. |
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12-04-13 | Miami (Fla) v. Nebraska -4.5 | Top | 49-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Big Ten/ACC Challenge *BEST BET* on Nebraska -4.5
Bottom Line: Nebraska has been an awesome investment at home where it is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 home games. Additionally, playing against any team in the first 10 games of the season with 1 or no starters returning that has been held to 65 points or less in 4 straight games has resulted in a 53-23 ATS record since 1997. Teams fitting this scenario have lost by 11.1 points on average. Pound Nebraska. |
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12-02-13 | Cal-Irvine v. California -6.5 | Top | 56-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* Blowout on Cal -6.5
Bottom Line: With or without Richard Solomon, I expect Cal to roll tonight at home where it is 37-6 in non-conference games under Mike Montgomery and 5-0 all-time versus Irvine. It's last 3 home wins in the series have come by an average of 18.7 points. If you want to beat Cal at home, you better be able to force some turnovers. That's something Irvine hasn't been able to do. The Golden Bears are 6-0 ATS in home games versus teams that force 12.0 turnovers or less per game under Montgomery, winning by an average of 21.6 points in these contests. |
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11-26-13 | Illinois v. UNLV +2 | 61-59 | Push | 0 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on UNLV +2
Bottom Line: Illinois has been rolling right along, but now it hits the road for the first time this season. The Fighting Illini are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 road games. They are also on a 9-24 ATS slide in road games after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more. |
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11-26-13 | Utah State v. Weber State +3 | Top | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Weber State +3
Bottom Line: The Wildcats are 37-17-2 ATS in their last 56 games following a loss, 20-3 ATS in their last 23 games following a road loss of 10 points or more and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 20 points. Weber State coach Randy Rahe has shown he can get his players to respond following defeat, and I expect a big statement win here. Pound the Wildcats. |
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11-20-13 | Wichita State v. Tulsa +6 | 77-54 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB *BEST BET* on Tulsa +6
Bottom Line: The Golden Hurricane are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600 while the Shockers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. The Golden Hurricane are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Shockers own an even first-half scoring margin of 96-96 while shooting 40.0 percent from the field. Another slow start tonight could get them beat as they hit the road for the first time. The Golden Hurricane have been very stingy defensively in the first half, holding opponents to 36.8 percent shooting, and I expect an inspired effort here as they look to snap a 5-game losing streak in the series. Wichita State has been able to pull away in the second half of its games, but I don't see that happening tonight against a motivated Tulsa squad. |
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11-18-13 | Miami (Fla) v. College of Charleston -1 | 70-54 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB *BEST BET* on College of Charleston -1
Bottom Line: I'll get behind this experienced College of Charleston squad (4 starters back) at home against a Miami club that lost its top six scorers from last season. Miami got it going against Texas Southern last game but lost to St. Francis-NY and defeated Georgia Southern by just a single point. Now this inexperienced Miami squad takes the road for the first time. The Cougars are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 versus ACC schools. They are also on a 64-39 ATS run in non-conference and a 66-40 ATS run after 1 or more consecutive losses. |
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11-17-13 | Stanford v. Denver +2 | 66-57 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB *BEST BET* on Denver +2
Bottom Line: Denver is a live dog today at home where it has won 13 in a row by an average of 20.6 points. This is Stanford's first road game of the season, and first road games are almost always a challenge. That challenge gets kicked up a notch here playing in Denver's mile-high altitude. The Pioneers will be hungry to keep their home winning streak alive and to avenge last season's loss at Palo Alto. |
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11-16-13 | Wisconsin v. Wisc-Green Bay +5.5 | 69-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Wis-GB +5.5
Bottom Line: The Phoenix have an excellent opportunity to knock off the ranked Badgers just like they did in 2009 the last time they hosted in the series. Wis-GB is 35-9 at home under Brian Wardle. It is the more experienced team with 4 starters returning, including 7-foot-1 beast Alec Brown. Wisconsin lost a lot of fire power and toughness with the departures of Jared Berggren, Ryan Evans and Mike Bruesewitz. The Badgers are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 against Wis-GB. |
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11-16-13 | Appalachian St +19.5 v. Cincinnati | 49-77 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB Super Situation on Appalachian State +19.5
Bottom Line: Appalachian State is 7-0 ATS after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons and 9-0 ATS when playing only its 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons. Cincinnati is 0-7 ATS in Saturday home games over the last 2 seasons and 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games following an ATS win. These 4 trends create a 30-0 ATS situation in our favor. |
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11-15-13 | Western Carolina +8 v. Virginia Tech | 61-79 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB Letdown Game of the Week on Western Carolina +8
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from VA Tech following a big come from behind upset win against West Virginia. Western Carolina is very experienced (5 seniors start) and it will be hungry after getting kicked by Oregon. The Hokies are 2-10 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons. |
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11-13-13 | Wyoming v. Colorado -10.5 | Top | 58-63 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Colorado -10.5
Bottom Line: Playing favorites of 10 or more points after a blowout win by 20 points or more, with four starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season, has resulted in a 78-41 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting this scenario have won by 19.0 points on average. Wyoming lost its top 3 scorers from last year's team while Colorado brings back 4 of its top 5 scorers, including its top 2. Wyoming has won 6 straight against Colorado so the Buffs will be lacking no incentive. Also, Wyoming is 8-17 ATS as an underdog under coach Shyatt. Pound the Buffs. |
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11-12-13 | Pennsylvania -6 v. Monmouth | 79-73 | Push | 0 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB *BEST BET* on Penn -6
Bottom Line: This ultra-experienced Penn squad, which returns its entire starting 5, will be hungry to break into the win column following a narrow loss to Temple in its opener. The Quakers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games. |
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11-11-13 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Davidson -12 | 81-77 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
4* Major on Davidson -12
Bottom Line: The Panthers are 0-7 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Davidson is 7-0 ATS in home games after a combined score of 155 points or more over the last 3 seasons, 6-0 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons and 11-1 ATS in home games after allowing 85 points or more under Bob McKillop. |
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11-11-13 | Georgia Southern v. Miami (Fla) -15.5 | 80-81 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
4* Major on Miami -15.5
Bottom Line: Miami is on a 10-2 ATS run at home. It's also 13-3 ATS under coach Jim Larranaga after a game where it made 33% of its shots or worse. |