4* Major on Davidson +3.5
Bottom Line: The books are clearly begging for the public to take #3 seed Marquette here, but I won't fall for the trap. Davidson has won 17 straight and returns all 5 starters from a team that took Louisville down to the wire in last year's NCAA tournament. The Wildcats have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 NCAA tournament games, and I expect this trend to continue as they pull off the shocker against Marquette.

5* Wiseguy NCAA Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR on New Mexico State +9
Bottom Line: The public has fallen in love with Saint Louis and books are looking to cash in big time by elevating the line. The Billikens are clearly overvalued at this number, and I'm ready to take full advantage. Plays against favorites that have won 80% or more of their games and have covered the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games that are up against a team that has won 60% to 80% of its games are 65-31 ATS the last 3 seasons. This system is a perfect example of the way oddsmakers like to jack up the line on hot teams. The Billikens are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 versus the WAC and New Mexico State has proven itself time and time again late in the season against good teams. The Aggies are on a 22-9 ATS run in the month of March. They are also 12-4 ATS lifetime under coach Menzies versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game - after 15+ games. Take the points as New Mexico State gives Saint Louis a run for the money.

4* Major on Bucknell +4
Bottom Line: Butler has impressive wins over Indiana and Gonzaga on its resume but hasn't looked like the team that defeated those squads lately. Bucknell is the real deal behind 6'11'' forward Mike Muscala. Plays against favorites from a second-tier division 1 conference that are coming off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference foe and are up against a team from a weak conference are 13-0 ATS the last 3 seasons.

4* Major on Charleston Southern +13
Bottom Line: Plays against favorites from a second-tier division 1 conference that are up against a team from a weak conference and are off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival are a perfect 12-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. Can't imagine Southern Miss will be jacked up for this game after such a heartbreaking loss to Memphis in the C-USA final.

4* Major on Houston +3
Bottom Line: Texas can't be trusted on the road where it is just 2-9 this season, especially against a Houston squad that is 13-4 at home. The Cougars are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400 and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss.

4* Major on Mercer +8.5
Bottom Line: Mercer is 12-2 ATS when catching points under coach Hoffman. I'm not hesitating to ride this trend tonight against a Tennessee team that has to be felling disappointed after missing out on the Big Dance.

4* Major on North Dakota +16.5
Bottom Line: Northern Iowa won the season's first meeting by 25 but North Dakota was minus its best player in that game. With Huff back and the Sioux out for revenge, I'm expecting a much closer contest. The Panthers are a soft 21-37 ATS as a double-digit favorite since 1997.

5* Wiseguy CBB *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Bryant +5
Bottom Line: I'm putting a Richmond team that is just 3-10 this season on the road on upset alert against a Bryant squad that is 11-4 at home. The Spiders are 4-12-2 ATS in their last 18 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Also, teams headed up by coach Oshea are 13-1 ATS lifetime as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick. His teams have won these contests by an average of 5.5 points.

5* Wiseguy NCAA Tournament *PUNISHER* on Middle Tennessee State +3
Bottom Line: Dayton is a long way from home for Saint Mary's, which has struggled away from its home court versus non-conference opponents this season. It has especially struggled over the years versus quality defensive teams like Middle Tennessee. The Blue Raiders rank 15th in the country in scoring defense, allowing only 57.8 ppg. That number is significant because the Gaels are only 15-30 ATS all-time under coach Bennett when playing away from home versus good defensive teams that hold the opposition to 64.0 points or less. Saint Mary's is also on a 10-23 ATS slide away from home versus teams that outscore their opponents by 12+ points/game. Middle Tennessee hasn't gotten much love from analysts but will earn a little respect tonight.

4* Major on Denver -6.5
Bottom Line: This is not the time of year to go against Denver at home, even with a winning team. That's because the Pioneers are 8-1 ATS the last 3 seasons in home games that occur at least 15 games into the season versus teams that have a winning record. Denver has won these games by an average of 20.3 points.

4* Major on Robert Morris +4.5
Bottom Line: Kentucky isn't the same team without Nerlens Noel and Robert Morris is a better team than most realize. It played Arkansas to a 5-point game on the road this season. Consider that Kentucky lost at Arkansas by 13. The Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. They are also 1-7 ATS this season when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%).

4* Major Conference Tourney Play of the Day on VCU +3.5
Bottom Line: This is a highly-motivated spot for VCU. The Rams finished a game shy of the Billikens in the regular-season standings with a 76-62 loss at Saint Louis being one of the defeats that cost them a share of the title. I expect a much different result on a neutral floor. Underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 3 of their last 4 games that are 43-15 ATS since 1997 when matched up against a team that has covered in 12 or more of its last 15 games. This system, which shows clearly that the value lies with VCU, is 3-1 ATS this season and 16-4 ATS the last 5 seasons. Bet the Rams.

5* Wiseguy MAC Tournament Game of the Year on Ohio -1.5
Bottom Line: Ohio is far too experienced and far too good to drop a third straight to Akron this season. The Bobcats blew a double-digit lead and lost in OT in the last meeting so they'll be hungry to say the least. Also, the Zips won't have Alex Abreu this time around. He played a pivotal role in both of the wins against Ohio so he will be greatly missed. The Bobcats are an awesome 33-12 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent - since 1997 and have won these games by an average of 4.4 points.

4* Major Big 12 Championship *BLOOD BATH* on Kansas State +4.5
Bottom Line: The Wildcats were embarrassed 83-62 in Lawrence after playing the Jayhawks to a 4-point game in the first meeting. That loss will have the Wildcats extremely motivated this evening. Bruce Weber is an outstanding coach. We're talking about a guy that has been the national coach of the year and the coach of the year in all 3 leagues he's coached in. That's why it should come as no surprise that his teams are an outstanding 33-17 ATS when looking for revenge against a team that dropped 75 points or more on his squad. His teams have actually bounced back to win by 4.0 points on average in these spots. I expect Weber to make the necessary adjustments and for a great effort from the players to lead to a K-State cover.

4* Major Big Ten Tourney BEST BET on Michigan State +2
Bottom Line: The Spartans got a wake-up call, nearly losing to Iowa, and I expect them to respond here. They'll be motivated as they dropped the most recent meeting. Betting they'll drop another one isn't wise considering they are on a 29-13 ATS run when out for revenge for a season-season defeat. They have won in this situation by an average of 7.2 points. I also like the fact Michigan State is 11-3 ATS under Izzo as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick.

5* Wiseguy on Arizona -4
Bottom Line: Arizona will be lacking no motivation here after losing both regular-season meetings with UCLA. It will be hard for UCLA to match the intensity of the revenge-minded Wildcats after yesterday's emotionally and physically draining win. The Bruins used a lot of energy in battling back from a 15-point second-half deficit against Arizona State. UCLA managed to earn a half-point cover against the Sun Devils, but it is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games following an ATS win.

4* Major on Iowa State +6
Bottom Line: This is the matchup Iowa State wanted after it believed it was screwed out of a victory at home against Kansas by the officials. The Cyclones took the Jayhawks to OT in both regular-season contests, and I like their chances of challenging them again. Iowa State is a ridiculous 40-18-2 ATS in its last 60 versus the Big 12. It is also 15-5 ATS the last 2 seasons when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent.

4* Major on Syracuse +2
Bottom Line: The third time's a charm for Syracuse as it avenges two prior losses to Georgetown this season. The Orange are often at their most dangerous in the Big East tournament, and they are 22-9 ATS as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less or pick under coach Boeheim. They are also 20-6 ATS when playing away from home following an upset win over a conference rival under their current coach. Cuse wants this one more because of the double-revenge factor.

4* Major on Tulsa +11.5
Bottom Line: Tulsa has the advantage of playing this one right at home. Plus, Memphis is a soft 23-38 ATS under coach Pastner following a win by 10 points or more. It has won by only 7.8 points on average in these spots. The Tigers have been consistently overvalued following double-digit wins, and that's the case here. The Golden Hurricane took it on the chin at Memphis and will be extremely motivated here as a result.

5* Wiseguy Pac-12 Game of the Year on Oregon -3.5
Bottom Line: Oregon gave away the Pac-12 title with disappointing performances against Colorado and Utah. They've had 4 days to let those losses fuel their fire, and I fully expect them to respond tonight against a team they defeated twice during the regular season by 5 and 13 points. Washington managed to sneak past rival Washington State last night, but the Huskies have not been good away from home. They've dropped 5 of their last 7 off campus. Oregon has been more reliable away from Eugene where it has won 5 of its last 9 with wins at Washington and UCLA during this stretch. Lay the small number with the Ducks, who should be all over the court in this one.

4* Major ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Clemson +2.5
Bottom Line: Clemson lost the season's first two meetings with FSU by narrow margins and will be out for some revenge as a result. I'm not ready to trust this inexperienced FSU squad outside Tallahassee where they have dropped each of their last 4 and 6 of their last 7. The Tigers have more experience on the floor and will want this one just a little more because of the two prior losses.

4* Major Big 10 *BLOOD BATH* on Northwestern +10
Bottom Line: Iowa is being overvalued here as expected against a team it defeated by double-digits twice during the regular season. Keep in mind that Iowa was coming off a close loss prior to both wins over the Wildcats. This time it enters riding high following a big revenge win over Nebraska on senior day and is 22-39 ATS when playing away from home off a home win by 10 points or more since 1997. Iowa needs this one to keep its NCAA tourney hopes alive, but Northwestern will be every bit as motivated because of how badly it was beaten by Iowa during the season. Northwestern is on an 18-6 ATS run in road/neutral floor games after having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games.

4* Major on Auburn +5.5
Bottom Line: The value lies with Auburn, which is on a 53-34 ATS run following 2 straight losses against conference rivals. It is also a rock solid 34-23 ATS as an underdog under coach Barbee. Meanwhile, teams headed up by coach Kennedy are a poor 8-20 ATS in all neutral court lined games. A&M isn't the same team away from home, which leaves it susceptible here.

4* Major on Grambling +17.5
Bottom Line: Grambling is 0-27 on the season with losses of 25 and 27 to Alabama A&M. It will be extremely motivated as a result as it looks to avoid the goose egg for the season. I don't believe this line accounts for the level of motivation or the familiarity of the opponent. Having already seen A&M twice is to Grambling's benefit while it's not to A&Ms because the first 2 results will make it easy to look past the Tigers. The Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 lined games while the Bulldogs are 1-12 ATS in their last 13 lined games. The Bulldogs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 lined games following a loss, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 lined games versus a team with a losing record, 0-6 ATS in their last 6 lined games versus the SWAC and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 lined neutral site games.

4* Major on St. John's +4.5
Bottom Line: Villanova is 0-8 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons. It has lost to these teams by an average of 2.4 points. St. John's is 6-0 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog this season. It has won by an average of 7.8 points in these contests. The first trend exposes Nova's tendency to sleep on mediocre teams. The second trend shows the compounded value of taking teams that consistently find themselves in the underdog role.

5* Wiseguy CBB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Seattle -4
Bottom Line: Seattle lost the first 2 meetings by a total of 5 points and will be extremely motivated here as a result. They posted a higher shooting percentage in both meetings but didn't get to the foul line and didn't do a good job of taking care of the basketball. Seattle has really cut down on its turnovers over its last 8 games, and I expect it to make more of an effort to take the ball to the basket. Lay the small number with the more talented team as it has its revenge.

4* Major on Nevada +3
Bottom Line: The struggling Cowboys can't be trusted laying points here. They are 0-8 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6 points or less or pick since 1997 and have lost these games by an average of 6.7 points.

5* Wiseguy *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on St. Mary's +6
Bottom Line: Neutral court dogs that have won 3 in a row against conference foes and are out for revenge for a defeat of 10 points or more to an opponent are 28-8 ATS the last 3 seasons. Also, Gonzaga is just 1-8 ATS the last 3 seasons in games played away from home following 2 straight victories of 15 points or more.

4* Major on Northern Illinois +8.5
Bottom Line: Playing on underdogs that are off a home loss of 10 points or more and are out for revenge for 2 consecutive losses to an opponent that held them to fewer than 60 points has produced a 50-20 ATS record since 1997.

4* Major on Maryland Eastern Shore +11.5
Bottom Line: Playing on neutral floor teams that are coming off a road loss where they were held to fewer than 60 points and are looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent that held them to fewer than 60 points are 28-14 ATS the last 5 seasons.

4* Major System Play of the Week on UMKC +18
Bottom Line: UMKC has been held to just 44 and 34 points, respectively, in the first two meetings but underdogs that are out for revenge for 2 straight losses to an opponent that held them below the 60-point mark, as long as that opponent checks in off a blowout win of 20 points or more over a conference foe, are 41-15 ATS the last 5 seasons. Plus, North Dakota State is on a 4-16 ATS slide following a win of 10 points or more over a conference rival.

5* Wiseguy Summit League Game of the Year on Oakland -3
Bottom Line: This is a huge revenge spot for Oakland, which has lost the season's first two meetings after winning the previous 10 by 10.0 points on average. The Golden Grizzlies are a rock solid 10-2 ATS the last 3 seasons in games when the line is +3 to -3. They are on a 10-1 ATS run as a neutral court favorite or pick and a 9-1 ATS run in conference tournament contests. Pound Oakland.

4* Major Big Ten BEST BET on Michigan pk
Bottom Line: Out for revenge for a loss at Indiana and out for a share of the Big Ten title, I fully expect Michigan to take care of business at home where it is a perfect 17-0 this season. The Hoosiers have been strong on the road, but the Wolverines are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage greater than .600.

4* Major on Baylor +3.5
Bottom Line: Baylor is a better team than it has shown lately, and I expect it to respond here. A win gets the Bears back in the Big Dance conversation so they will be hungry to say the least. The road has been rough for Kansas which hasn't won any of its last four road games in regulation.

4* Major on Air Force +3.5
Bottom Line: I like Air Force catching points at home as it is 7-0 ATS in home games against conference opponents this season. New Mexico's Alex Kirk and Kendall Williams are expected to get reduced minutes so that also swings things in our favor.

4* Major on East Carolina -6.5
Bottom Line: Huge letdown spot for Marshall following a big win over So. Miss. Marshall is an awful 2-9 ATS in road games this season. It is also 0-10 ATS off a home win this season and 0-12 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins this season.

4* Major on TCU +13
Bottom Line: TCU is offensively challenged but Oklahoma is on a 0-9 ATS slide in road games that occur 15+ games into the season versus poor offensive teams that average 64 points or less per game. The Sooners don't force many turnovers, which also is to our benefit. They are 0-10 ATS in road games the last 3 seasons after 3 straight games of forcing 14 turnovers or fewer.

4* Major on Cincinnati -12.5
Bottom Line: USF has won its last two but those were at home. It has lost its last 8 on the road by an average of 16 points.

5* Wiseguy Big 12 Game of the Month on Texas Tech +6.5
Bottom Line: Texas is a lousy 1-9 on the road this season, which tells me it is being severely overvalued here. The Longhorns have been consistently overvalued in this series and are just 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings as a result. Texas Tech lost by only 4 points in last season's home meeting, and I expect it to take the Horns right down to the wire again on senior day.

4* Major on George Washington +1
Bottom Line: The home team gets the call here as it has won each of the past five matchups by an average of 12.0 points. The home side has also won 12 of the last 14. GW has won 8 of its last 11 at home versus the Flyers.

4* Major on DePaul +12
Bottom Line: DePaul hasn't forgotten about the 93-55 beating it received at Pitt. That loss is all the motivation the Blue Demons need here. DePaul beat Pitt by 3 at home last season, and it is on a 9-2 ATS run at home when up against good teams that carry a winning percentage of 60% to 80%.

4* Major on Oklahoma State -5.5
Bottom Line: Based on the line oddsmakers are begging for action on K-State, but I won't bite. The Cowboys have won 7 of their last 8 at home in the series, and they are on an impressive 30-17 ATS run as a home favorite or pick. They have won these games by 11.7 points on average.

4* Major on West Virginia +3.5
Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for Iowa State following a big win over Oklahoma State on senior night. It's a bounce-back spot for West Virginia, which will be out to end a 5-game skid. The Mountaineers were handled at Oklahoma this week, but teams headed by Huggins are on a 31-15 ATS run in games following a loss of 10 points or more.

5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Month on Kentucky +6.5
Bottom Line: Winning at Kentucky won't be easy for Florida. The Wildcats have won 7 straight on their home floor overall and 5 in a row at home in the series. The Gators are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games versus teams that have a winning record. Plus, Kentucky is on a 37-19 ATS run when out for revenge for a road defeat to a foe.

5* Wiseguy MVC Tourney *PUNISHER* on Indiana State +2.5
Bottom Line: Indiana State saw its 4-game win streak in the series come to an end with an embarrassing 16-point loss at Evansville last game. That loss is all the motivated the Sycamores will need here. They are an awesome 8-1 ATS the last 2 seasons when out for revenge for a double-digit loss to an opponent. They have won these games by an average of 2.7 points.

5* Wiseguy WCC Tourney GAME OF THE YEAR on Pepperdine +3
Bottom Line: Pepperdine lost at San Diego by 7 points in its last game but is on an impressive 19-8 ATS run in games following a road loss. I expect this trend to continue as the Waves have been the better team in road/neutral court battles this season. They are 6-10 in road/neutral court games while the Toreros are just 4-11. The Waves are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played away from home while San Diego is 0-2 ATS in its last 2 and 2-4 ATS in its last 6 played away from home. Pound Pepperdine.

4* Major WAC *BLOOD BATH* on New Mexico State -2
Bottom Line: New Mexico State lost at Denver last time out but covered the number in that contest. That sets up a favorable scenario for us here as the Aggies are 6-0 ATS under coach Menzies following a cover in a game they lost. They have won by an average of 11.4 points in this spot.

4* Major Big Sky Blowout on Northern Colorado -8.5
Bottom Line: This is a huge letdown spot for Southern Utah, which left it all out on the floor against Montana but had its heart broken in OT. It will be tough to bounce back from that one, especially against a team that will be out for revenge for a 1-point loss in the first meeting. Northern Colorado is 7-0 ATS under coach Hill 15+ games into the schedule when matched up against poor defensive teams that force 12 turnovers or less per game. It has won by an average of 10.0 points in this spot.

4* Major ACC *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN2) on Florida State +4.5
Bottom Line: FSU has taken beatdowns seriously since Hamilton took over as head man. They are 11-3 ATS under his watch when out for revenge for a blowout loss of 20 points or more to an opponent. They have lost by only .4 points on average in this situation so they are showing nice value here.

5* Wiseguy MWC Game of the Month on Nevada +9
Bottom Line: New Mexico has nothing left to play for as it has already clinched the league title. Nevada, meanwhile, will treat a date with the MWC champ as their national title game. The Wolf Pack are on a 15-5 ATS run in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses. They are also on a 38-18 ATS run when looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent that scored 75 points or more on them. Pound Nevada.

4* Major Pac-12 Best Bet on Washington State +3.5
Bottom Line: The books are begging for the public to lay the points with UCLA, but the numbers suggest we should do otherwise. UCLA is only 8-15 ATS as a favorite this season, including 2-7 ATS in its last 9 in the role. I'm not getting caught in this bookmaker trap. Take the Cougars.

4* Major Big 10 Best Bet on Nebraska +7.5
Bottom Line: Look for Minnesota's struggles on the road to continue here. The Gophers are 0-6 in their last 6 on the road, losing these by an average of 12.2 points.

4* Major Big 12 Best Bet on Iowa State -3
Bottom Line: Iowa State is 15-1 at home and should be 16-0 had officials not blew a charge call down the stretch against Kansas. The Cyclones are tough as nails at Hilton, where the magic has returned under Hoiberg. The Cowboys are a dismal 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600.

4* Major Big East Best Bet on Villanova -1
Bottom Line: Nova has defeated Marquette, Syracuse and Louisville at home so I have no doubt it can get the Hoyas too. The Wildcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600.

4* Major Underdog Shocker on UTEP +3
Bottom Line: UTEP is 6-0 ATS all-time under coach Floyd when it checks in off 5 straight games of committing 14 turnovers or less. It is also 7-0 ATS under Floyd at home and 15+ games into the schedule versus good rebounding teams that outrebound opponents by 4.0 or more per game. UTEP is 8-0 ATS the last 2 seasons versus teams top-level teams that have won 80% or more of their games. It has defeated these teams by an average of .8 points. Look for the Miners to pull off the shocker.

4* Major Horizon League Tourney BEST BET on Wisconsin-Milwaukee +14
Bottom Line: Wisconsin-Milwaukee is a perfect 8-0 ATS the last 2 seasons when out for revenge for a double-digit road loss to an opponent. It has actually won by an average of 1.9 points in this situation.

4* Major ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Clemson -4.5
Bottom Line: The Tigers are 5-0 in their 5 home games in the series and have won these by 15.2 points on average. Look for this trend to continue.

5* Wiseguy Conference USA Game of the Year on Marshall +6.5
Bottom Line: I know So. Miss rolled in the first meeting but that was at home. The Golden Eagles aren't nearly the same team on the road where they are on a 0-5-1 ATS slide and haven't won by more than 4 points during this stretch. The Golden Eagles are also 1-6-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in the series and have lost 4 of their last 5 at Marshall. Pound the Thundering Herd.

4* Major on Southern Utah +2.5
Bottom Line: The Thunderbirds are showing some nice value in the home underdog role considering they are 9-4 at home this season. They are 5-2 in their last 7 home games with both of the losses coming by a single point. In terms of the line, they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 at home. I smell an upset on senior night.

4* Major on Texas +1.5
Bottom Line: The Longhorns lost the first meeting but home underdogs of pickems that are out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent, if that opponent checks in off a home loss of 3 points or less, are 42-15 ATS the last 3 seasons. Take Texas.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *PUNISHER* on Boston College +5
Bottom Line: Boston College has been extremely competitive at home where it has won 2 in a row and is 10-6 on the season. It is just 3-4 at home in ACC play but 3 of those losses came by 5 points or less and 2 came by a single point to Duke and Miami. In other words, BC has proven it can hang with anyone at home. Virginia, on the other hand, is just 2-5 on the road in conference play and the 5 losses have come by 8 points on average. The Cavs won the first matchup 65-51, but the Eagles are 8-1 ATS at home the last 2 seasons when looking for revenge against a team that held them to fewer than 60 points. BC has won these games straight up by .1 points on average.

4* Major on Marist +4.5
Bottom Line: Marist has won its last two games, and it's not about to let its foot off the pas pedal with a visit from Fairfield on senior day. MAAC followers recall that Fairfield won the first meeting 71-37. That's the kind of loss you just don't forget about. I believe Marist has an excellent shot at revenge here given its recent history at home in revenge spots. The Red Foxes are 14-5 ATS in home games when out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent over the last 3 seasons. They are also 16-6 ATS when out for revenge for a road loss of 10 points or more to an opponent over the last 3 seasons. On average, they didn't win these 22 games straight up. However, they lost them by only 1.9 points on average. It also looks good for us that Fairfield enters off a loss at Manhattan. That's because the Stags are 0-7 ATS the last 2 seasons when checking into a game off a road loss to a conference foe. They have lost by an average of 2.7 points in these contests.

4* Major on Fresno State -1
Bottom Line: The Bulldogs are coming off a loss at Colorado State but are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss and 10-2 ATS off a road loss to a conference foe over the last 2 seasons. Plus, Air Force can't be trusted on the road where it has lost 3 in a row and 6 of 7.

4* Major on Auburn +2
Bottom Line: I like Auburn in the home dog role here considering it is on a 10-2 ATS run when checking into a game off 5 or more consecutive losses. It has won by an average of 2.6 points in these contests. The Tigers are also on a 9-1 ATS run following 2 straight losses of 15 points or more. Vandy is way down this season and doesn't deserve to be laying points on the road even if it has won a few lately.

5* Wiseguy OVC Game of the Year on Tennessee State pk
Bottom Line: Tennessee State has lost its last 2 at home by 3 points combined, which should only fuel a team (on senior night) that was 10-0 at home prior to those losses. The Tigers kicked first-place Belmont by 11 at home, which tells me they have what it takes to put a beating on EKU. Plus, the home team has completely dominated this series, winning 5 in a row and 8 of the last 9. Tennessee State shines tonight.

4* Major on Baylor -2.5
Bottom Line: Baylor was smacked at K-State, but I really like its chances at home. There's a lot of talk that the Bears need another quality win to get off the bubble so they'll go after this one like there's no tomorrow. Baylor is a solid 63-49 ATS when looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent under coach Drew. Also, the Wildcats are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record.

4* Major on Duke -6.5
Bottom Line: Duke was crushed by 27 at Miami in a game where it shot 29.7%. The Blue Devils have had issues on the road but none whatsoever at home where they are 14-0 with a 20-point average winning margin. You know what they say about paybacks. Duke has its revenge.

3* Surefire on Buffalo +7
Bottom Line: Letdown spot for Akron following a big OT win at Ohio. Buffalo lost by just 4 points in the first meeting so it will going into this one believing it can win. The Bulls are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600.

4* Major on Mississippi State +12.5
Bottom Line: Mississippi State can't wait for the season to be over. However, it won't roll over for rival Ole Miss, which has lost its last 4 on the road. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Rebels are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings at Mississippi State.

4* Major on Nebraska-Omaha +14
Bottom Line: UNO was humiliated 95-51 at North Dakota State clear back in November, but that was before the Mavs started played some ball. They have quietly won 3 of 4 and 6 of 9 and will be chomping at the bit for another shot at the Bison, which are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.

4* Major on Arkansas -3
Bottom Line: Arkansas is one tough cookie at home where it is 16-1 this season with a double-digit win over Florida. The Razorbacks have lost their last two but both of those were on the road. They're 11-2 ATS in home games following a road loss over the last 3 seasons, winning these by an average of 9.6 points.

4* Major on Nevada +5.5
Bottom Line: UNLV rolled at Wyoming last time out, but it is only 4-18 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons, including 2-12 ATS as a road favorite or pick during this span. The Rebs are also 0-7 ATS after a win by 15 points or more this season and 0-6 ATS in road games after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

5* Wiseguy A-10 Game of the Month on George Washington +6.5
Bottom Line: Love the home team in this matchup. The home side has won each of the last 8 meetings with 4 of those wins coming by double digits and the other 4 coming by at least 4 points. The Billikens are 0-3 ATS in the last 3 meetings at George Washington, losing those by 6, 5 and 29.

4* Major on Miami Ohio +3.5
Bottom Line: The Redhawks lost by 17 in the first meeting and are catching just 3.5 here? Books are clearly looking to trap the public as they expect a big effort from Miami Ohio on senior day. The Redhawks are 4-0 in their last 4 at home in the series.

3* Surefire on Rice +9.5
Bottom Line: UTEP is getting too much respect on the road. It's just 2-10 in games played away from home this season, including 0-4 in its last 4.

4* Major on Columbia -4.5
Bottom Line: Plays on favorites that have been held to 65 points or less in 3 straight games, with all five starters returning from last season, are 70-39 ATS the last 5 seasons.

4* Major on Cornell -5.5
Bottom Line: Cornell is 8-0 ATS after a loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

5* Wiseguy CBB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Princeton -5.5
Bottom Line: Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are looking for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%), are 116-72 ATS the last 5 seasons and 62-36 ATS the last 3 seasons.

4* Major CBB Bailout on Cal Santa Barbara +9
Bottom Line: Hawaii can't be trusted laying this many points. It has won only 2 of its 7 conference home games by more than 9 points. The Warriors won the first meeting 78-73 but UCSB is 16-6 ATS all-time under Bob Williams in road games when out for revenge for a loss where it gave up 75 points or more. His teams have lost by just 1.0 point on average in these contests. Also, the Gauchos are a strong 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning record.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Troy +13.5
Bottom Line: Middle Tennessee won the first meeting 93-41 but that was at home. The Blue Raiders haven't been nearly as dominant on the road where they have lost of won by fewer than 10 points in 8 of their last 9 road games. Middle Tennessee is 0-6 ATS this season when it hits the road following a double-digit win in conference play. It is also 0-6 ATS this season in road games after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games. It's 0-7 ATS in road games after playing a game as a home favorite this season. Pound Troy.

4* Major on Clemson +3
Bottom Line: Clemson suffered a letdown at Maryland after playing Miami to a 2-point game, but the beating it took at the hands of the Terps places it in a solid wagering situation here. The Tigers are an impressive 28-13 ATS in home games following a loss of 10 points or more to a conference opponent since 1997.

4* Major on USC +7
Bottom Line: The Wildcats are a dismal 2-10 ATS off a home win against a conference foe over the last 2 seasons. They have actually lost by .3 points on average in this spot.

4* Major on UTEP -9.5
Bottom Line: UTEP was upset 79-61 in the season's first meeting but is a perfect 6-0 ATS the last two seasons when out to avenge a loss of 10 points or more to an opponent.

4* Major on Texas +2.5
Bottom Line: The Sooners are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings overall and 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Texas. The Longhorns are 8-2 ATS this season after a game where they failed to cover the number.

4* Major on Mississippi State +19
Bottom Line: The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Also, the Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings at Kentucky. The Wildcats are being overvalued here just as they have been all season. Mississippi State is coming off an ugly loss and will be that much more motivated as a result.

4* Major on Georgia Tech pk
Bottom Line: Maryland is 2-10 ATS under Mark Turgeon following a win against a conference rival. The Terrapins are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 road games versus a team with a winning home record.

5* Wiseguy MVC Game of the Week on Illinois State -11.5
Bottom Line: You want to play home favorites or picks that check in off two or more upset losses on the road. That's because they are 70-35 ATS since 1997. This system tightens up to 25-5 ATS during this span if the team you're playing on returned 4 starters from last season. That's the case here. Pound the Redbirds.

4* Major on TCU +15.5
Bottom Line: This is a lot of points for an Oklahoma State to be laying on the road. We're talking about a team that's 18-30 ATS in road games under Ford.

5* Wiseguy MAC Game of the Year on Ohio -3.5
Bottom Line: Ohio lost at Akron by 14 in the first meeting, but I love it at home in this revenge spot with a chance to tie the Zips for first place in the MAC standings. The Bobcats are on a terrific 44-24 ATS run at home as a favorite of 6 points or less or pick. They are also on a 42-25 ATS run when looking for revenge for a double-digit defeat to a foe. They are on a 42-22 ATS run when out for revenge for a same season loss to a foe. Pound Ohio.

5* Wiseguy ACC Game of the Year on Florida State -5
Bottom Line: After back-to-back double-digit defeats on the road, and with a 71-46 loss at Wake adding fuel to the fire, expect Florida State to roll at home here. FSU is 29-15 ATS all-time when out for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent under coach Leonard Hamilton. It is also 10-2 ATS under Hamilton in home games when coming off 2 or more consecutive losses on the road. Prior to being blown out by Wake earlier in the month, the Noles had won 4 straight in the series with the last 3 wins coming by 24, 18 and 23 points. Everything points to FSU being extremely motivated here. Plus, it catches Wake in a letdown spot following its season-making win over Miami. Pound FSU.

5* Wiseguy Big 10 Game of the Week on Minnesota +6.5
Bottom Line: Minnesota is 13-2 at home this season with only 1 of the losses coming by more than 6 points. Plus, its won 9 of its last 12 home meetings with the Hoosiers. The Golden Gophers played Indiana to a 7-point game on the road in the first meeting and are catching nearly that number here as Indiana is being overvalued like you would expect the top team in the country to be. The Hoosiers are 4-14 ATS all-time in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games under coach Tom Crean. They've lost these contests by an average of 7.7 points. Trust me, the Gophers are big enough, athletic enough and physical enough to give Indiana some fits. Bet Minnesota.

4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* (ESPNU) on Seton Hall +5
Bottom Line: Both teams face the challenging task of competing on just one day of rest, but Seton Hall holds the advantage in this spot at home. That's because it is 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons in home games when playing with 1 day of rest or none. It's also worth mentioning that the Pirates have lost by more than 5 points at home to Villanova just twice in the last nine meetings.

4* Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* (ESPNU) on Texas Tech +19.5
Bottom Line: Texas Tech lost the season's first meeting with K-State and was blown out by 20 at Iowa State Saturday but underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent and are playing the 2nd road game in 3 days are 123-76 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, underdogs of 10 points or more that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent and are coming off a loss of 20 points or more to a conference foe are 82-48 ATS the last 5 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *PUNISHER* on Charlotte +1.5
Bottom Line: Charlotte is 11-1 at home this season and has won 4 of its last 5 at home versus Temple. The Owls are just 3-4 in their last 7 on the road and 2 of those wins came by a single point. The other came by only 2 points so I think there is solid value with the 49ers catching 1.5 here.

4* Major National TV *BLOOD BATH* (CBS) on Cincinnati +3.5
Bottom Line: The Bearcats were upset at home by Notre Dame last month but are an outstanding 8-0 ATS on the road when looking for revenge for a defeat to a foe over the last 2 seasons. They have won by an average score of 69.6 to 61.0 in this spot.

4* Major on Kentucky -1.5
Bottom Line: Expect Mizzou to suffer a letdown following an enormous win over Florida. It is just 1-6 in true road games while Kentucky is 13-2 at home and in need of building its resume. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a winning home record.

4* Major on Oregon -5
Bottom Line: Huge revenge spot for Oregon which was embarrassed 76-52 at Stanford last month. The Ducks are 13-4 ATS when out for revenge for a loss to a team they allowed to score 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

5* Wiseguy Big East Game of the Week on DePaul +5.5
Bottom Line: The Huskies haven't been on the road in nearly two weeks and that spells trouble as they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games following three or more consecutive home games. The Blue Demons were blasted last time out but are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of more than 20 points. Also, the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

4* Major on Tennessee Chat +5.5
Bottom Line: Elon is 0-3 ATS in its last 3 road games and 2-5 ATS in its last 7. The Mocs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.

4* Major on Wyoming +2.5
Bottom Line: UNLV is an ultra-soft 1-12 ATS as a road favorite or pickem over the last 2 seasons.