5* Wiseguy ESPN Super Tuesday *PUNISHER* on Missouri +5
Bottom Line: Missouri has been unstoppable at home where it is 14-0 and is winning by an average of 20.0 points per game. Florida won the first meeting handily but it will be a different story at Mizzou Arena where the Tigers are 29-1 the last 2 seasons. They were 2-0 at home against top 10 foes last season, beating Kansas by 3 and Baylor by 15. Pound Missouri.

4* Major ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Boston College +1.5
Bottom Line: Look for Maryland to suffer a letdown following Saturday's huge win over Duke. The Terrapins are just 2-9 ATS all-time under coach Turgeon when coming off a win over a conference rival. Boston College lost the season's first meeting 64-59, but it is 8-1 ATS all-time under coach Donahue in home games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent that held it to less than 60 points.

4* Big East *BLOOD BATH* (ESPNU) on Rutgers +10.5
Bottom Line: Fading favorites of 10 or more points that have covered the spread in 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, provided they are playing their second game in 3 days, has produced an 81-46 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Basically, this system shows how oddsmakers have a tendency to overvalue teams that have been cashing a lot of tickets even when they are in the unfavorable position of playing 2 games in 3 days.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Big Monday *PUNISHER* on Pittsburgh -10
Bottom Line: The books are begging for the money to come in on Notre Dame judging by the line as rarely will you see a team laying double digits against a team with an identical record. The books clearly don't trust Notre Dame on the road where it has lost its last two by 16. Fading road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that are playing with one or less days' rest in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) has produced a 29-12 ATS mark the last 5 seasons. These dogs have lost by an average of 15.3 points. Pound Pitt.

4* Major Pac-12 Bailout on USC +7
Bottom Line: USC has been a different team since firing Kevin O'Neill and yet it still isn't getting the respect it deserves from oddsmakers. The Trojans have won 4 in a row with a victory at UCLA during this stretch. Plus, they have only lost by more than 6 points on the road once in 6 conference road games this season. USC lost the season's first matchup by 8 points but that was before it started rolling. I expect this matchup to be much more competitive.

4* Major Big 10 *BLOOD BATH* on Northwestern +4.5
Bottom Line: Illinois is being overvalued here because it checks in off 3 consecutive wins. We can't forget that it is just 2-3 on the road in Big Ten play with only one of those wins coming by more than 4 points. Northwestern has won its last 2 at home, and it won by 14 at Illinois in the first meeting. While the Illini will be out for revenge, the odds are against it winning this one by 5 or more as the Wildcats have won 3 of the last 3 meetings with the loss coming by a single point.

5* Wiseguy Pac-12 *PUNISHER* on Arizona -9
Bottom Line: Utah played Arizona tough the first time around but the Wildcats were riding high at 13-0 heading into that game and were looking past a team they had defeated by 26 and 9 last season. Off back-to-back losses, the Wildcats won't be looking past the Utes this time around, and I'm expecting a blowout. Arizona is 6-0 in its last 6 games in the series with a 14.3-point average margin of victory.

4* Major Southern Conference *BLOOD BATH* on NC Greensboro -4
Bottom Line: NC Greensboro lost the season's first matchup at Appalachian State by 13, but it returns 4 starters from last year's squad which beat Appalachian State at home by 4 and in the conference tourney by 10. The Mountaineers bring back just 2 starters and have been overmatched all season on the road where they are 3-11. Plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that return 4 starters and are looking for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent are 104-66 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have won by an average of 7.5 points.

4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* on South Florida +14
Bottom Line: Louisville won the season's first matchup handily but that was at home. Now, it's on the road where it has dropped 3 of its last 4. USF has hung with Syracuse, Villanova and Notre Dame at home and beat Georgetown. The Bulls are on a 6-0 ATS run in games following at least 3 consecutive defeats against the spread

4* Major Pac-12 BAILOUT on Washington -4
Bottom Line: The Beavers enter off a win at Washington State but are 1-8 ATS this season in games following 1 or more consecutive wins. The Huskies have lost 3 in a row with their last 2 defeats also coming against the number, but this bodes well for us. That's because Washington is a perfect 8-0 ATS the last 2 seasons after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. It has won by an average of 7.4 points in these spots.

4* Major WAC *BLOOD BATH* on San Jose State +12
Bottom Line: Denver is not the same team on the road where it is on a 15-35-1 ATS skid.

4* Major Big Ten *BLOOD BATH* on Nebraska +9.5
Bottom Line: The Spartans buries rival Michigan in their last game and are being overvalued here as a result. They are just 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games following a win of more than 20 points. Also, the Cornhuskers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.

4* Major MVC *BLOOD BATH* on Drake +3
Bottom Line: Northern Iowa is a soft 3-12 ATS on the road as a favorite of 6 points or less or pickem the last 3 seasons.

4* Major Pac-12 *BLOOD BATH* on Washington State +3.5
Bottom Line: Oregon has been overvalued in conference place and has covered the number just once in its last 7 games as a result. This is significant because it is 0-7 ATS the last 2 seasons after failing to cover the number in 4 or 5 of its last 6 games.

4* Major Southern Conference *BLOOD BATH* on Citadel +19.5
Bottom Line: Davidson can't be trusted laying this many points on the road against anyone. It is just 9-19 ATS as a road favorite or pickem over the last 3 seasons.

4* Major SEC *BLOOD BATH* on Vanderbilt -2
Bottom Line: Vandy bounces back strong following Wednesday's disappointing performance against Tennessee. The Commodores are on an 18-9 ATS run in games following an upset loss at home.

4* SEC *BLOOD BATH* on Mississippi State +13.5
Bottom Line: Mississippi State is having a rough season but LSU shouldn't be laying this heavy against a team it defeated by just 1 point in the first go around. In fact, each of the last 6 meetings have been decided by 5 points or less. LSU is 0-6 ATS in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.

5* Wiseguy CBB Game of the Year on San Francisco +12.5
Bottom Line: This is the prime time to fade the Zags as they enter off arguably their biggest win of the season. Gonzaga has had just 1 day to put that victory behind them and that's not enough time. It is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games when playing with just 1 day in between games. Also, the Bulldogs are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. Gonzaga won the season's first matchup by 14 but SF is 13-3 ATS when out for revenge for a loss over the last 2 seasons. The Dons are also 6-0 ATS versus excellent teams that shoot >=45% with a defense of <=42% this season and 6-0 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+ games this season. The Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings and 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings at San Francisco. Pound the Dons!

4* Major SEC *BLOOD BATH* on South Carolina +12
Bottom Line: Bama is being overvalued at home yet again. The Tide are only 1-7 ATS this season when listed as a home favorite or pickem.

4* Major Big 10 *BLOOD BATH* on Purdue +19
Bottom Line: The Boilermakers will have no problem getting up for in-state rival IU after the way they were murdered by the Hoosiers last month. Purdue is on a 12-4 ATS run as a double-digit underdog.

4* Major SEC *BLOOD BATH* on Auburn +17
Bottom Line: Off a big win over Kentucky and with Mizzou on deck, Florida won't give Auburn enough attention. The Tigers are on an outstanding 34-18 ATS run in the underdog role and 9-2 ATS off 2 straight losses to conference rivals.

4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* on Villanova +4.5
Bottom Line: Nova has been undervalued all season and that remains the case here. The Cats are 15-7 ATS in all lined games this season. UConn, meanwhile, is 1-8 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.

4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Georgetown +3.5
Bottom Line: Cincy ended a 2-game slide with an 18-point blowout victory over Villanova, but it is 0-8 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Plus, Georgetown is playing some of the best basketball in the country. It has won 6 in a row SU and ATS and will be lacking no incentive with an opportunity to gain a half game in the Big East race. The Hoyas have lost 4 straight to Cincy so they'll want this game for that reason too. It should also be noted that its last 2 losses to the Bearcats have come by a combined 6 points so these 3.5 points are looking pretty good for us tonight.

5* NCAAB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPNU) on Cleveland State +5
Bottom Line: Cleveland State was hammered by Wis-GB in the season's first meeting and will be lacking no motivation here as a result. Cleveland State won last season's home meeting by 10 points so it could certainly flip the script tonight. The home team has been completely dominant in this series. It is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings and has won them by an average of 12.0 points. Looking back further, the home side is 11-1 in the last 12 matchups. These 11 victories have come by an average of 13.3 points. The Vikings are 8-3 at home while the Phoenix are only 2-9 on the road. Look for the Vikes to give the Phoenix all they want and more tonight.

4* Major Ohio Valley Conference *BLOOD BATH* on SIU Edwardsville +11
Bottom Line: Murray State is getting too much respect on the road here. It is just 3-13 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons and 0-6 ATS as a road favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. It has won these 6 games on average but only by 6.4 points.

4* Major Big Sky *BLOOD BATH* on North Dakota -5
Bottom Line: Taking home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that return 4 starters and are looking for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent are 101-61 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been favored by 5.9 points on average and have won by an average of 7.7.

5* Wiseguy Big Ten Game of the Year on Minnesota -4.5
Bottom Line: Big letdown spot for Wiscy following its upset of Michigan. Plus, huge revenge spot for Minnesota which fell to 0-4 in its last 4 against the Badgers with a 1-point loss in the season's first matchup. The Badgers are just 5-12 ATS when matched up against a team with a winning record this season and only 1-9 ATS when taking on a team with a winning percentage of 60% to 80% this season. The Badgers are also 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games and Badgers are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Golden Gophers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Pound Minnesota!

5* Mountain West Conference Game of the Year on Air Force +3
Bottom Line: This is a big letdown spot for UNLV following Saturday's win over New Mexico. On the other hand, this is a big bounce-back spot for Air Force, which has lost its last two. I like the Falcons at home, where they are 10-1 this season, against a UNLV team that is 1-5 in its last 6 road games. The Rebels are 3-17 ATS on the road under coach Dave Rice. They are also 1-11 ATS as a road favorite or pickem under Rice. Pound Air Force!

4* Major ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Florida State +6
Bottom Line: Fading February road favorites or pickems that check in a winning streak of at least 6 games in tact has produced a 106-58 ATS mark the last 5 seasons. These teams have been favored by 6.4 points on average but have won by just 3.2 points.

4* Major Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* on Texas Tech +12
Bottom Line: The Cowboys have been a poor investment on the road where they are on a 16-30 ATS slide since Travis Ford took over.

4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* on Cincinnati -6
Bottom Line: The Wildcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win of more than 20 points while the Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Virginia Tech +14.5
Bottom Line: The Hokies are a rock solid 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. Plus, the road team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings, and the underdog is 7-1-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Pound VA Tech!

4* Major ESPN Big Monday *BLOOD BATH* on Kansas -7.5
Bottom Line: The Jayhawks have dropped 3 straight but 2 of those came on the road. They are 11-1 at home where all of their wins except one have come by 8 points or more. The Wildcats will be out for revenge for the 4-point home loss they were handed by Kansas earlier this season but plays against road underdogs or pickems that are looking for revenge for a home loss to a foe that checks in off 2 or more consecutive upset losses on the road are 36-10 ATS since 1997.

5* Wiseguy Big Sky Conference Game of the Year on Idaho State +17.5
Bottom Line: Road underdogs or pickems that have won 20% or less of their games on the season and that are looking for revenge for a double-digit home loss to an opponent are 70-37 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 16.3 points on average but have lost by only 14.8 points on average. In other words, we are getting very good line value here. It is also important to note that road underdogs or pickems that check in off an upset loss at home to conference foe and are matched up against a team that checks in off a home win of 10 points or more are 71-40 ATS the last 5 seasons. Pound Idaho State!

4* Major on Drexel -5.5
Bottom Line: The Dragons are 8-1 in their last 9 home games against the Dukes. 7 of these wins have come by double digits. The home team is 11-5-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings, and the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

4* Major on Notre Dame +5
Bottom Line: The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. The Fighting Irish are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. The Cards are just 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Irish have won 3 straight at home against Louisville.

4* Major on UNLV -5
Bottom Line: UNLV is 13-1 at home this season and 12-4 at home in its last 16 meetings with New Mexico. Motivated by back-to-back upset losses on the road and 3 consecutive defeats in the series, expect the Runnin' Rebels to roll here.

4* Major on Loyola Marymount +24.5
Bottom Line: Gonzaga is being overvalued after rolling Pepperdine. It crushed Loyola in the season's first meeting and won't give the Lions its full attention as a result. The Bulldogs will be much more concerned with their next game - Saint Mary's. The Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 20 points.

4* Major on Alabama -7
Bottom Line: The favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Tigers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings at Alabama.

4* Major on Richmond +4
Bottom Line: The home team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the underdog is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Richmond, which is 12-1 at home this season, is a live home dog here.

4* Major on South Florida +9
Bottom Line: The Bulls are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss of more than 20 points while the Wildcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of more than 20 points.

4* Major on DePaul +15
Bottom Line: The Blue Demons are being undervalued here because they were smoked by Villanova last game. DePaul is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.

4* Major on Vanderbilt +1.5
Bottom Line: Arkansas suffers a letdown here following its big win over Florida. The Hogs are 5-17 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons and 0-7 ATS in road games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Year on Missouri -6.5
Bottom Line: Fading underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving 2 very good teams that outscore their opponents by 8 points or more per game, with the condition that the "fade" side has given up 75 points or more in 3 straight games, has produced a 36-9 ATS mark since 1997. Teams fitting into this situation have been underdogs of 6.2 points on average and have lost by an average of 12.6 points. This system is a perfect 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. Look for the Tigers to roll at home where they are 13-0 this season.

4* Major on Rutgers +6
Bottom Line: Rutgers will respond at home, where it is 8-4 this season, after getting mopped up by Louisville. The Scarlet Knights are 44-26 ATS after a loss by 15 points or more since 1997 and have lost by only 1.8 points on average in these games.

4* Major on Wake Forest +2.5
Bottom Line: The Demon Deacons have been tough as nails at home where they are on a 6-0 ATS run.

4* Major on San Jose State +7
Bottom Line: The Aggies come in overvalued following back-to-back upset wins on the road. They are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 20 points. They won the season's first meeting by only 6 points and will be without two key players that combined for 35 points in that game. The Spartans will leave it all out on the floor to end their 7-game skid and should cover the number in the process.

4* Major on Siena +13.5
Bottom Line: The Loyola-Maryland Greyhounds are being overvalued at home as they so often are against losing teams. In fact, they are just 18-42-1 ATS in their last 61 home games versus teams that have a road winning percentage of less than .400. They are also on a 26-46 ATS skid as a home favorite or pickem. The road team is an awesome 17-3-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings.

4* Major Pac-12 Bailout on Washington State +4.5
Bottom Line: USC can't be trusted laying this many points at home. Each of its last 3 home wins have come by 2 points or less. Also, the Trojans are 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pickem over the last 2 seasons.

4* Major on Santa Clara +3
Bottom Line: Santa Clara has consistently played Saint Mary's tougher than expected. As a result, the Gaels are just 3-9-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings and 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings at Santa Clara.

4* Major on Wisconsin-Milwaukee +14
Bottom Line: The Panthers are on a 39-20 ATS run when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent that held them to less than 60 points. They have lost by just 3.4 points on average in these spots.

4* Major on SE Missouri State -6.5
Bottom Line: SIU Edwardsville can't be trusted on the road, especially tonight as it goes up against a team that will be hungry to avenge a 3-point loss in the season's first meeting. The Cougars are 1-8 on the road with 6 of these losses coming by 9 points or more. SEMS won last season's home meeting by 17.

4* Major on IUPU Fort Wayne +8
Bottom Line: Fading February road favorites or pickems that check in riding a winning streak of at least 6 games has produced a 100-56 ATS record the last 5 seasons.

5* Wiseguy Big Ten *PUNISHER* (ESPN) on Illinois +8
Bottom Line: The Fighting Illini shouldn't be counted out tonight. After all, they have won or lost by 6 points or less in each of their last 12 home games versus Indiana. This is a 12-0 trend I'm not hesitating to get behind.

4* Major on SMU +9
Bottom Line: The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Memphis Tigers are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings and 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings at Southern Methodist.

4* Major on Tulane -4.5
Bottom Line: The Thundering Herd are 4-14-1 ATS in their last 19 games overall, 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games and 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

5* Wiseguy Atlantic 10 Game of the Year on Fordham +15
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back blowout wins at home against Butler and Dayton, expect Saint Louis to suffer a letdown on the road against a team that has been undervalued all season. The Rams are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games. Pound Fordham!

4* Major on Hofstra +7.5
Bottom Line: The Northeastern Huskies are a soft 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. Also, the underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

4* Major Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Baylor +7.5
Bottom Line: The Cowboys will suffer a letdown following a big upset win over Kansas in their last game. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win and 7-16-1 ATS in their last 24 games following an ATS win.

4* Major on UNC Wilmington +5
Bottom Line: The Georgia State Panthers are a soft 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games versus a team that has a winning home record while the Seahawks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games versus a team that has a losing road record.

4* Major on Dayton -4.5
Bottom Line: Dayton bounces back strong at home following an embarrassing defeat at Saint Louis in its last game. The home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

4* Major ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Florida State +2.5
Bottom Line: I'm expecting a bounce-back performance from FSU after it was embarrassed by Duke in its last game. Teams coached by Leonard Hamilton pride themselves on defense so you know it's not setting well that they gave up a season-high 60.8% shooting to Duke last game. FSU is 9-2 ATS lifetime under Hamilton following a game in which it allowed its opponent to shoot 55% or higher. It has won by an average of 3.4 points in these contests.

5* Wiseguy Big 12 Game of the Month on Texas Tech +11.5
Bottom Line: The Wildcats are a soft 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 road games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings at Texas Tech. Also, the home team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Wildcats enter off an upset win at Oklahoma but favorites of 10 to 19.5 points off a close road win by 3 points or less, as long as they have a winning record and are playing a losing team, are 63-33 ATS the last 5 seasons. Pound the Red Raiders.

4* Major on Central Michigan +19
Bottom Line: Fading favorites of 10 points or more after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a top-level team (win rate of 80% or higher) playing a team with a losing record, are 78-42 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been favored by 18.3 points on average but have won by only 16.1 on average.

4* Major CBB *BAILOUT* on Loyola Marymount pk
Bottom Line: Look for San Diego to suffer a letdown as I don't believe it will be over Saturday's narrow loss at Gonzaga. Loyola hasn't played since Thursday and should benefit from the extra rest and preparation time. Plays on home underdogs or pickems that are out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent, provided that opponent checks in off a home loss of 3 points or less, are 58-25 ATS the last 5 seasons.

4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* (ESPNU) on Seton Hall +16.5
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Pitt following Saturday's big win over Syracuse. Plays against February home favorites of 10 or more points that are playing with one day of rest or less are 108-60 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams are winning by only 12.3 points on average.

4* Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* (ESPNU) on Oklahoma +5.5
Bottom Line: Oklahoma is greatly improved this season and it will be out for revenge here after dropping both of last year's matchups with the Cyclones. The underdog is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

4* Major on UNC Wilmington +8
Bottom Line: The points should be very valuable in this one considering how close this series has been. The underdog is 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings, and I expect this trend to continue.

4* Major on Old Dominion +7
Bottom Line: Old Dominion was kicked in its last game and kicked in the season's first meeting with George Mason but plays on home teams off a road loss of 20 or more that are out to avenge a loss to an opponent that held them to less than 50 points are 93-50 ATS since 1997. Teams fitting into this situation have lost by just 2.7 points on average.

5* Wiseguy Big East Game of the Year (ESPN) on Syracuse -8
Bottom Line: Following consecutive defeats on the road, the Orange will leave it all on the floor at home tonight and the result will be a double-digit victory. Syracuse has won by 12 and 19 points in its last 2 home meetings with Notre Dame, and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Also, the Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team that has a winning record. Pound Syracuse!

4* Major on San Diego +15
Bottom Line: The Zags are being overvalued following 3 straight lopsided victories. They are on a 2-9 ATS skid in road games following 2 straight wins of 10 points or more. They have won these games on average but only by 3.8 points.

5* Wiseguy CBB *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Cal State Fullerton -6.5
Bottom Line: Oddsmakers are looking to trap the public here. Hawaii has won back-to-back road games and Fullerton has lost its last 3 at home and yet it is laying 6.5 points? The books are expecting a breakout game from the Titans and I couldn't agree more. They have covered the number in five of their last six games versus teams that have a winning record. Hawaii, on the other hand, have dropped five of its last six ATS versus teams that have a winning mark.

4* Major Big Ten *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Indiana -4
Bottom Line: Indiana has the edge at home where it has won 3 straight and 12 of 13 against Michigan. The Indiana defense has been phenomenal at home where it is holding opponents to 58.6 points and 36.6% shooting. Michigan is giving up 63.5 points on 42.5% shooting on the road. Indiana will play superior defense tonight and will be more balanced offensively. Look for Zeller to have a big game. We also can't ignore the fact that Indiana makes more free throws on average (20) than Michigan attempts (17). The Wolverines are 5-13 ATS in the last 18 meetings and 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Indiana.

4* Major on Nebraska +12.5
Bottom Line: This is a sandwich game for Ohio State which is coming off a nice win over Wisconsin and has a date with Michigan on deck. The Buckeyes have had their way with Nebraska so the Huskers won't get their full attention. This gives us an excellent opportunity to cover the number with the dog here.

4* Major SEC *BLOOD BATH* (ESPNU) on Mississippi +17.5
Bottom Line: Florida finally gets a game tonight. Ole Miss played the Gators to a 4-point game last season and 4 of the last 5 meetings been decided by 6 points or less. The Rebs are on an 11-1 ATS run as a road underdog of 10 or more points.

4* Major on Mississippi State +4
Bottom Line: LSU falls flat following a big win over a ranked Missouri squad. The underdog is on a 4-0-1 ATS run in this series.

5* Wiseguy MVC Game of the Year on Northern Iowa +1.5
Bottom Line: The Panthers were embarrassed at Wichita State in the season's first meeting, but I expect them to have their revenge at home in a big way. Northern Iowa is 11-2 ATS under coach Jacobson when out for revenge for a loss to a foe that held it to less than 50 points. The Panthers have won by an average of 7.5 points in these games.

4* Major on Utah +5.5
Bottom Line: Utah has been undervalued versus quality competition and that remains the case here. The Utes are 8-2 ATS versus good teams that outscore their opponents by 4+ points/game this season.

4* Major on Marshall pk
Bottom Line: Marshall bounces back strong following Wednesday's upset loss to SMU. The Thundering Herd are 6-0 ATS off an upset loss over the last 3 seasons.

5* Wiseguy Atlantic-10 *PUNISHER* on Dayton +6.5
Bottom Line: Letdown city for Saint Louis here following its huge win over 9th ranked Butler. Plus, the underdog is 18-3 ATS in the last 21 meetings.

5* Wiseguy Atlantic-10 Game of the Month on Saint Louis -2.5
Bottom Line: Butler dropped its last road game, and I believe it goes down again here against a very good Saint Louis squad that has consistently risen to the occasion against top-level competition the last couple years. The Billikens are 10-2 ATS the last 2 seasons versus very good teams that outscore the opposition by 8.0 points or more per game. They have won these games by an average of 8.0 points. Pound St. Louis!

4* Major ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Virginia Tech +10
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Miami tonight as it hits the road following back-to-back blowout wins over Duke and FSU. The Hokies are a more than respectable 8-3 at home and I believe they have what it takes to give the Hurricanes a scare.

4* Major ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Wake Forest +13.5
Bottom Line: The Blue Devils are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. ACC foes and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win. The Demon Deacons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. Also, the home team is 17-6 ATS in the last 23 meetings.

4* Major Atlantic-10 *BLOOD BATH* on Massachusetts +9
Bottom Line: Off consecutive huge wins over Butler and VCU, LaSalle will be in for a letdown against UMass. The Minutemen haven't forgot about the 1-point loss they suffered to the Explorers in the most recent meeting, and that defeat will be the driving force behind a solid effort tonight. The Minutemen are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning percentage greater than 60%.

5* Wiseguy Big Ten *PUNISHER* on Northwestern +17
Bottom Line: Expect Michigan to get caught looking past a Northwestern team it defeated by 28 earlier this month with a big showdown at Indiana on deck. As if getting pummeled by 28 isn't enough motivation, the Wildcats are coming off a bad loss at Nebraska. Count on the Cats, who are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record, to play inspired basketball tonight and for them to keep this one closer than the oddsmakers think.

4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* on Notre Dame -7.5
Bottom Line: I believe Villanova is in for a letdown tonight following consecutive huge wins over Louisville and Syracuse. Nova has failed to cover the number in 7 of its last 9 road games versus teams that carry a winning percentage of 60% or higher at home.