11-02-16 |
Mavs +4 v. Jazz |
|
81-97 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Dallas Mavericks +4
The Key: The Dallas Mavericks are hungry for their first win of the season. They are 0-3 with an overtime loss to the Pacers and a 1-point loss to the Rockets. But they've had two days in between games, which has helped Dirk Nowitzki get over his illness, and he should be good to go tonight. This is an awful spot for the Jazz, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and 3rd game in 4 days. They beat the Spurs on the road last night and will likely be in a letdown spot here. The Mavs are 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take Dallas.
|
11-02-16 |
Cubs -115 v. Indians |
Top |
8-7 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
7* Cubs/Indians World Series *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago -115
The Key: The Chicago Cubs send ace Kyle Hendricks to the mound tonight to finish off this series, just as he did in Game 6 against the Dodgers by pitching an absolute gem. Hendricks is on full rest, while his counterpart Corey Kluber is only on 3 days of rest. Since this is the Cubs' third time seeing Kluber, I think they'll have their most success against him. They did get a base runner on in all but one inning against Kluber in Game 4, but they didn't do much with it. They will do more damage this time around. I look for Hendricks to depart with the lead and for the bullpen to finish it off. Take Chicago.
|
11-02-16 |
Toledo -10 v. Akron |
|
48-17 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
6* Toledo/Akron MAC *CA$H COW* on Toledo -10
The Key: The Toledo Rockets have been very impressive this season. They are 6-2 on the season with their two losses coming by a combined 7 points. Off their first conference loss, I look for them to come out hungry tonight against Akron, which just lost by 21 to lowly Buffalo last week. The Rockets have outgained all 8 foes this season and by an average of 167 yards per game. Akron has been outgained in 6 of 9 games this season and by an average of 82 yards per game. This looks like an obvious mismatch on paper and should be on the scoreboard as well. The Rockets are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games. Take Toledo.
|
11-01-16 |
Cubs -144 v. Indians |
Top |
9-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
7* World Series Game of the Year on Chicago Cubs -144
The Key: The Chicago Cubs feel like they can pull off the comeback from a 3-1 deficit. After winning Game 5, they now have Jake Arrieta back on the mound in Cleveland. The last time he was there in Game 2 he took a no-hitter into the 6th inning in a 5-1 victory for the Cubs. I expect Arrieta to come up big, and for the Cubs to tee off on Josh Tomlin, who has been pitching above his head thus far in the postseason and is due to get knocked around a little bit here. Take Chicago.
|
11-01-16 |
Western Michigan v. Ball State +17.5 |
|
52-20 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
|
6* Western Michigan/Ball State MAC *CA$H COW* on Ball State +17.5
The Key: The Ball State Cardinals are one of the most improved teams in the MAC this season. They have gone 4-4 this season and what impresses me most is that they have been in every game they have played. All four of their losses have come by 10 points or less. That includes a 3-point loss at Central Michigan and a 10-point loss at Indiana in their two toughest games this season. They are capable of keeping up with Western Michigan. The Broncos are clearly overvalued right now due to their 8-0 SU & 6-2 ATS start this season. They haven't covered in 2 of their last 3 games as their lines have simply been too big, similar to this one tonight. I'll take all the points I can get with the Cardinals here. Take Ball State.
|
11-01-16 |
Kings v. Heat -3.5 |
|
96-108 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Miami Heat -3.5
The Key: The NBA schedule makers did the Kings no favors to start the season. They have to be gassed right now considering they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. I look for the Miami Heat to take advantage and put away the Kings early in a blowout victory. The Heat have been solid this season with a 12-point win over the Magic on the road, and narrow 6 and 7-point home losses to the Hornets and Spurs, respectively. The Kings showed signs of wearing down last night as they were outscored 14-27 in the fourth quarter in a 95-106 loss at Atlanta. The Heat are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games, 21-7 ATS in their last 28 meetings, and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home meetings. Take Miami.
|
10-31-16 |
Vikings v. Bears UNDER 40.5 |
Top |
10-20 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
7* MIN/CHI NFC North *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 40.5
The Key: The Minnesota Vikings are an UNDER machine. The UNDER is 18-7-1 in Vikings last 26 games overall, 12-3-1 in Vikings last 16 road games, and 7-0 in Vikings last 7 games following an ATS loss. The UNDER is 5-1 in Bears last 6 division games, and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in this series. The Vikings lead the NFL in scoring defense and total defense. But the Vikings are just No. 31 in total offense. And the Bears are last in the NFL in scoring offense. This game sets up to be an ugly, low-scoring defensive battle once again. Take the UNDER.
|
10-31-16 |
Bulls v. Nets +6.5 |
|
118-88 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Brooklyn Nets +6.5
The Key: The Brooklyn Nets are a perfect 3-0 ATS in three games this season. They are just 1-2 straight up, but they only lost by 5 on the road to the Celtics, and by 2 on the road to the Bucks. They won their only home game, beating the Pacers by 9 as 6-point dogs. I think they will give the Chicago Bulls a run for their money here tonight with a chance to win outright as 6.5-point dogs. The Nets are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Bulls are 1-11 ATS in road games after scoring 105 points or more over the past 2 seasons. Take Brooklyn.
|
10-30-16 |
Chargers v. Broncos UNDER 43.5 |
|
19-27 |
Loss |
-115 |
5 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday NFL *TOTAL* Annihilator on Chargers/Broncos UNDER 43.5
The Key: These teams just played two weeks ago in a 21-13 home win for the Chargers and 34 combined points. With their familiarity with one another, it's simply hard for either team to score points. The Broncos still have one of the best defenses in the NFL. The Chargers' defense has been better ever since Joey Bosa entered the lineup, and now corner Brandon Flowers is expected to return this week to give them a boost. The UNDER is 20-6-1 in Chargers last 27 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. The UNDER is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games overall. The UNDER is 11-4-1 in Broncos last 16 home games. The UNDER is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Take the UNDER.
|
10-30-16 |
Cardinals v. Panthers -2.5 |
Top |
20-30 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 50 m |
Show
|
7* NFL Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Carolina Panthers -2.5
The Key: The Carolina Panthers are coming off their bye week and are in must-win mode now. They are just 1-5 on the season, though I still believe they are one of the best teams in the NFL, and that will show on Sunday. The Arizona Cardinals are coming off an overtime tie against the Seahawks and are clearly not in the best shape right now mentally and physically after that contest. The Panthers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 home games following a road game. Cam Newton is 7-1 ATS in his last 8 home starts. The Cardinals are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing 9 points or fewer in their previous game. Take Carolina.
|
10-30-16 |
Jets v. Browns +2 |
|
31-28 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on Cleveland Browns +2
The Key: This is the best chance for the Browns to win this season. I think they get that first victory here against the awful New York Jets. I just don't like the Jets' locker room right now after Ryan Fitzpatrick called out coaches and management for benching him. Meanwhile, Hue Jackson has the Browns playing hard every week. And now Josh McCown, their best quarterback, returns to the lineup this week. He will make a big difference for this team and I upgrade the Browns a couple points with him at QB for sure. The Jets are 1-4 ATS as a road favorite under Todd Bowles, losing three of those games outright. Take Cleveland.
|
10-29-16 |
Wolves v. Kings UNDER 206 |
|
103-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* T'Wolves/Kings Saturday NBA *BAILOUT* on Timberwolves/Kings UNDER 206
The Key: Tom Thibodeau has installed a defensive mindset into this Minnesota team that has been missing over the past couple seasons. The Timberwolves held opponents to just over 94 points per game in the preseason. They started the season with a 98-102 loss at Memphis, and I look for them to lock in defensively tonight against the Kings. The Kings have shown defensive improvement under Dave Joerger as well as they are going all-out on that side of the court in the early going. They held Phoenix to just 94 points in the opener and San Antonio to a respectable 102 points in their second game of the season. The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings with combined scores of 202, 217, 194 and 192 points. Take the UNDER.
|
10-29-16 |
Indians v. Cubs -127 |
|
7-2 |
Loss |
-127 |
13 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* Indians/Cubs World Series *CA$H COW* on Chicago -127
The Key: The Chicago Cubs are 21-6 in their last 27 games following a loss. They have shown a ton of resiliency already in this postseason, winning three straight games after falling behind to the Dodgers 2-1 in the NLCS. Look for them to be much better at the plate against Corey Kluber tonight after seeing him already in Game 1. The Indians are taking a big gamble here starting Kluber on short rest. They lost the last time he started on short rest against the Blue Jays in Game 4 last series. The Cubs are 5-0 in John Lackey's last 5 starts, and I expect him to come up big for them once again tonight. Take Chicago.
|
10-29-16 |
Northwestern +27.5 v. Ohio State |
|
20-24 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Northwestern/Ohio State Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Northwestern +27.5
The Key: The Northwestern Wildcats are playing their best football of the season right now and are clearly capable of giving Ohio State a run for its money. The Wildcats are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall. They won 38-31 at Iowa as 11-point dogs, 54-40 at Michigan State as 6-point dogs, and 24-14 at home against Indiana as 3-point favorites. Their offense is hitting on all cylinders. Clayton Thorson is the third-leading passer in the Big Ten at 240.9 yards per game and 14 touchdowns. Justin Jackson is the conference's leading rusher with 792 yards, and Austin Carr is the conference's leading receiver with 50 catches for 720 yards and nine scores. Ohio State's offense just hasn't been the same of late, They only managed 383 yards against Indiana, scored 23 points in regulation against Wisconsin, and were held to 21 points against Penn State. They're going to need to score close to 50 to cover this 27-point spread, but I don't think they're capable of it against this Northwestern defense, which gives up 21.9 points per game. Ohio State is 0-6 ATS in home games off one or more straight unders over the last 2 seasons. Take Northwestern.
|
10-29-16 |
Miami (Fla) v. Notre Dame +1.5 |
Top |
27-30 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* Miami/ND Non-Conference Game of the Month on Notre Dame +1.5
The Key: This is the start of a new season for the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. They have started 2-5 this year and will have to get four wins in their last five games to make a bowl. There's no question this team is shooting for that target, and the next four games are all winnable against Miami, Navy, Army and Virginia Tech. Now they've had a bye week to catch their breath and should play one of their best games of the season this week. It's worth noting that all five of Notre Dame's losses have come by 8 points or less, so they are better than their record. Maimi has been overmatched in three straight losses to FSU, UNC and VA Tech. They have been outgained in 4 straight games, while Notre Dame has actually outgained 4 of 7 opponents this season. The Hurricanes are 0-6 ATS vs. teams who pass for 250 or more yards per game over the last 2 seasons. They are losing by 17.2 points per game on average. Take Notre Dame.
|
10-29-16 |
Michigan v. Michigan State +24.5 |
|
32-23 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAF Rivalry Game of the Week on Michigan State +24.5
The Key: The Michigan State Spartans haven't been this big of home underdogs since 1991. And this is a rivalry game, so I don't believe the Spartans should be catching this many points. I understand that Michigan wants revenge considering the Spartans are 7-1 SU & 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings in this series. But they will gladly take a win, even if its by 24 points or fewer, which is likely going to be the case in this game. This will only be Michigan's second road game of the season with the first coming at lowly Rutgers. The schedule has been rather soft for the Wolverines to say the least, and I believe them to be overvalued because of it. Take Michigan State.
|
10-28-16 |
Warriors -10.5 v. Pelicans |
Top |
122-114 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 39 m |
Show
|
7* Warriors/Pelicans ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Golden State -10.5
The Key: The Golden State Warriors have been steaming mad since their 100-129 loss to the San Antonio Spurs in the opener. Look for them to take it out on the hapless New Orleans Pelicans, who are the worst team in the Western Conference to open the season. The Pelicans are missing two starters in Tyreke Evans and Jrue Holiday, and their lineup is one of the worst in the NBA as a result right now. Even the Denver Nuggets beat them 107-102 in the opener despite committing 24 turnovers. The Warriors should roll from start to finish and easily win this game by double-digits. The Pelicans are 0-9 ATS after a game with 30 or more assists over the last 3 seasons. Take Golden State.
|
10-28-16 |
Indians v. Cubs -1.5 |
|
1-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* Indians/Cubs World Series *CA$H COW* on Chicago -1.5 (+109)
The Key: The Chicago Cubs should win by multiple runs tonight. Their offense is hitting on all cylinders in scoring at least 5 runs in four of their last five games overall. They should feast on Josh Tomlin, who sports a 4.31 ERA in 31 starts this season. Kyle Hendricks should continue to dominate. He's 10-3 with a 1.31 ERA in 17 home starts this year and 1-1 with a 1.65 ERA in 3 postseason starts. The Cubs have owned right-handed starters, going 43-13 in their last 56 games against them. Take Chicago on the Run Line.
|
10-28-16 |
San Diego State -5 v. Utah State |
|
40-13 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 4 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on San Diego State -5
The Key: The San Diego State Aztecs are one of the best non-power 5 teams in the country. They are 6-1 this season and coming off a 42-3 win over San Jose State. They went undefeated in conference play last year, and they're 3-0 in conference play this year, winning by 24.0 points per game on average. Utah State is just 1-3 in conference play this season with its only win coming at home over Fresno State, which is probably the worst team in the Mountain West. All three of Utah State's conference losses have come by 7 points or more. SDSU beat Utah State 48-14 last year and outgained them by 190 yards thanks to 336 rushing yards. The Aztecs are 24-9-2 ATS in their last 35 conference games and 9-1 ATS int heir last 10 vs. a team with a losing record. The Aztecs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win. Take San Diego State.
|
10-27-16 |
California v. USC -16 |
|
24-45 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 26 m |
Show
|
6* Cal/USC ESPN *BAILOUT* on USC -16
The Key: The USC Trojans come into this game fresh and ready to go. They haven't played in almost two weeks. They are 3-0 in their last 3 games overall, winning by an average of 19.7 points per game and outgaining foes by 206 yards per game. Cal doesn't have the same luxury. It played a double-OT game last Friday against Oregon and will not be fresh at all for this contest. The Cal defense, which gives up 41.3 points per game this season, might give up 60 to the Trojans in this one. I look for USC to score at will and to get enough stops to easily cover this 16-point spread given the situation. After all, the Trojans have won 12 straight meetings in this series, and they're 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Take USC.
|
10-27-16 |
Jaguars +3.5 v. Titans |
Top |
22-36 |
Loss |
-114 |
9 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* Jags/Titans AFC South *HEAVY HITTER* on Jacksonville +3.5
The Key: Both of the Jaguars' wins this season have come on the road. One was against the Colts in London in a game they dominated. That's the same Colts team that just beat the Titans 34-26 in Tennessee last week. The Titans are awful at home as they are 1-3 with their only win coming by 2 points over the Browns. They are 2-9 ATS at home over the past 2 seasons and 14-34-3 ATS in their last 51 home games. The Titans are also 1-12 ATS in their last 13 division games. The Jags give up just 4.9 yards per play on defense while the Titans allow 5.9 yards per play. I'll back the better defense here catching 3.5 points. Take Jacksonville.
|
10-27-16 |
Celtics v. Bulls UNDER 211 |
|
99-105 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* Celtics/Bulls TNT *CA$H COW* on UNDER 211
The Key: Because the Celtics played a shootout against the Nets last night in a 122-117 win, this total has been inflated tonight. The Celtics won't be playing with the same energy as they did last night, and the Bulls are a much better defensive team than the Nets. The Bulls have plus-defenders in Jimmy Butler, Taj Gibson, Robin Lopez, Rajon Rondo and Dwayne Wade in their starting lineup. They will be a great defensive team this year. I worry about their offense, though, as they lack shooting in their starting 5. This may be one of the worst 3-point shooting teams in the NBA this season. All 3 meetings between these teams last season saw 211 or fewer combined points. They combined for 211, 193 and 205 points in them. The UNDER is 14-3 in Celtics last 17 games following a straight up win. The UNDER is 40-18-3 in Celtics last 61 Thursday games. Take the UNDER.
|
10-26-16 |
Rockets v. Lakers OVER 222 |
|
114-120 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
6* Rockets/Lakers ESPN *BAILOUT* on OVER 222
The Key: Mike D'Antoni was a perfect fit for Houston's roster. That has proven to be the case in the preseason as the Rockets led the league with an average of 118.6 points per game, which was 6 points more than second-place Golden State. Their defense leaves a lot to be desired as they gave up 108.1 points per game in the preseason. The Lakers are going to be improved offensively this season with their young nucleus in Luke Walton's system, which he brings over from Golden State. They average a solid 105.9 points per game in the preseason to finish in the Top 10. But they had the fourth-worst scoring defense in allowing 107.2 points per game, and that will be the case all season. Look for plenty of points in this opener as the combined scored of this game sails way OVER 222 points. Take the OVER.
|
10-26-16 |
Mavs v. Pacers -6.5 |
Top |
121-130 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference *BLOWOUT* on Indiana Pacers -6.5
The Key: The Indiana Pacers made some nice moves this offseason in adding Jeff Teague, Thaddeus Young and Al Jefferson. They already have their star in Paul George and an emerging star in Myles Turner. Look for the Pacers to get off to a fast start in their opener and not let up at home against the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks went just 2-5 in the preseason and were outscored by nearly 9 points per game. They spent too much money on Harrison Barnes, and the rest of their roster are far past their primes. The Mavs will be a mess this season as they finish as one of the worst teams in the West, while the Pacers finish among the East's elite. Take Indiana.
|
10-26-16 |
Cubs -132 v. Indians |
|
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Cubs/Indians World Series *CA$H COW* on Chicago -132
The Key: The Cubs have a big advantage on the mound tonight with Jake Arrieta over Trevor Bauer. They also have the motivational advantage after losing Game 1. The Cubs are 36-16 in Arrieta's last 52 road starts and 39-15 in his last 54 starts overall. They are also 14-1 in his last 15 road starts with a price range of -100 to -150. Take Chicago.
|
10-25-16 |
Spurs v. Warriors -8 |
Top |
129-100 |
Loss |
-118 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* Spurs/Warriors TNT *BAILOUT* on Golden State -8
The Key: The Golden State Warriors should hit the ground running tonight at home against the San Antonio Spurs in front of a hostile home crowd. The Warriors are far and away the best team in the NBA, and they showed signs of that in the preseason by going 6-1, clearly not taking long at all to adjust to some new faces in Kevin Durant and Zaza Pachulia. The Warriors will be favored by double-digits in most games this season. They have gone 33-15 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 years. I think we are getting a discount on them in the opener against the Spurs, who will take a few steps back this season. Take Golden State.
|
10-25-16 |
Cubs -111 v. Indians |
|
0-6 |
Loss |
-111 |
8 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* Cubs/Indians World Series *CA$H COW* on Chicago -111
The Key: Jon Lester is 8-6 with a 2.05 ERA in his postseason career, which spans 17 starts and 2 relief appearances. He has been even better this postseason, going 2-0 with a 0.86 ERA in 3 starts while yielding only 2 earned runs in 21 innings. Look for the veteran lefty to shut down the Indians in this one. The Cubs got their bats going with 23 runs on 33 hits over their final 3 games in the NLCS. That should carry over into Game 1 of the World Series as well. Take Chicago.
|
10-24-16 |
Texans v. Broncos UNDER 40.5 |
Top |
9-27 |
Win
|
101 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
7* HOU/DEN AFC *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 40.5
The Key: Both offenses are terrible and both defenses are borderline elite in this game. The Broncos rank No. 28 in total offense while the Texans are No. 27 in total offense. Denver ranks No. 4 in total defense while Houston ranks No. 7 in total defense. Houston's offense is averaging less than 5 yards per play and Denver's defense gives up 4.7 yards per play. The Texans only average 5.4 yards per pass play while the Broncos rank 1st in the NFL against the pass, giving up only 183 yards per game. Points will be at a premium tonight. The UNDER is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games following a win. The UNDER is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The UNDER is 10-4-1 in Broncos last 15 home games. Take the UNDER.
|
10-23-16 |
Bucs +1 v. 49ers |
Top |
34-17 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 30 m |
Show
|
7* NFL Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1
The Key: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are primed for a big performance Sunday against the San Francisco 49ers. They are coming off their bye week following a 17-14 win at Carolina that could have turned their season around. Now they get to face the lowly 49ers, who have just kept getting crushed week after week. The 49ers are 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall, losing all five games by at least 7 points, and losing four times by at least 12 points. Their defense just gave up 491 total yards, including 312 rushing, in a 16-45 loss at Buffalo last week. San Francisco is 0-6 ATS after allowing 35 points or more last game over the past 3 seasons. It is losing by 12.3 points per game on average. Take Tampa Bay.
|
10-23-16 |
Chargers +6.5 v. Falcons |
|
33-30 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 29 m |
Show
|
6* Chargers/Falcons Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on San Diego +6.5
The Key: All four of San Diego's losses this season have come by 6 points or less, so that fact alone shows that the Chargers are undervalued. The Falcons have gone 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games, so they are getting too much respect from oddsmakers now. Keep in mind that all 5 of those wins were as underdogs, but now the Falcons are 6.5-point favorites over the Chargers. That's important because the Falcons are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorites, while the Chargers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games. The Chargers also get extra time to prepare for this game after beating the Broncos 21-13 last Thursday. Take San Diego.
|
10-23-16 |
Bills v. Dolphins +3 |
|
25-28 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 25 m |
Show
|
6* Bills/Dolphins AFC East *CA$H COW* on Miami +3
The Key: The Miami Dolphins had their starting five offensive linemen for the first time last week against Pittsburgh. That's why it is no surprise that they put forth their best performance of the season offensively. They beat the Steelers 30-15 behind 474 yards of total offense, including 222 rushing. Their defense also played very well, limiting the Steelers to just 297 total yards and forcing two turnovers. But the Dolphins aren't getting any love from oddsmakers this week as home underdogs to the Bills, who are getting too much respect due to winning four straight games coming in. They beat the Cardinals thanks to 5 turnovers from Arizona, the Patriots with 3rd-string QB Jacoby Brissett, the Rams without 3 of their top defensive linemen, and the hapless 49ers and Colin Kaepernick. So, they've simply benefited from an easy schedule, but now they face a Dolphins team that is as healthy as they've been all season. Buffalo is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games following four or more consecutive wins. The Bills are expected to be without two key players in RB LeSean McCoy and DT Marcell Dareus, who are both doubtful. Rex Ryan is 1-9 ATS in road games vs. good rushing teams who average 4.5 or more yards per carry as a head coach. Take Miami.
|
10-22-16 |
Washington State -7.5 v. Arizona State |
|
37-32 |
Loss |
-110 |
33 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* Washington State/ASU Pac-12 *BAILOUT* on Washington State -7.5
The Key: After losing to Eastern Washington and Boise State by a combined 6 points to open the season, the Washington State Cougars have gone 4-0 since with four straight dominant victories against some really good competition. They beat Idaho 56-6, Oregon 51-33 and Stanford 42-16 on the road. They 'only' beat UCLA 27-21 at home last week, but that game was played in a downpour, and it was a bigger blowout than the final score as the Cougars led 24-7 in the second half. Arizona State is clearly one of the worst teams in the Pac-12. The Sun Devils have been outgained badly in four straight games. They were outgained by 183 yards by Cal, by 220 yards by USC, by 168 yards by UCLA, and by 381 yards in a 16-40 loss to Colorado last week. The Cougars are legitimate contenders to win the Pac-12 and will continue their mission this week with a dominant victory against the overmatched Sun Devils. The Cougars are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 conference games and 9-0 ATS in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record. Take Washington State.
|
10-22-16 |
TCU +6.5 v. West Virginia |
Top |
10-34 |
Loss |
-109 |
27 h 46 m |
Show
|
7* Big 12 Game of the Year on TCU +6.5
The Key: The TCU Horned Frogs are fresh off their bye after an uninspiring 24-23 win at Kansas two weeks ago. Gary Patterson has gotten the attention of his players, and I look for the Horned Frogs to put forth their best effort of the season Saturday. Patterson is the king of using the bye week to his advantage. His teams are 12-1 SU & 13-0 ATS in their last 13 off regular season bye weeks. It's time to sell high on the West Virginia Mountaineers, who are 5-0 but struggled to put away both BYU and Kansas State, beating those two teams by a combined 4 points. TCU will be the best opponent that WVU has faced this season. The Mountaineers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. Take TCU.
|
10-22-16 |
Indiana v. Northwestern -2.5 |
|
14-24 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* Indiana/Northwestern Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Northwestern -2.5
The Key: The Northwestern Wildcats are 3-3 on the season and desperately need this win if they want to get to a bowl game. That's because they have games against Ohio State and Wisconsin on deck, so if they lose this game, they would have to go 3-0 in their final three games to make a bowl. The Wildcats are getting no respect despite back-to-back road wins over Iowa and Michigan State in which they scored 38 and 54 points, respectively. Indiana is in a tough scheduling spot here after three straight games against Michigan State, Ohio State and Nebraska in which they went 1-2. Northwestern has won the last four meetings, including the last two years where the Wildcats scored 44 and 59 points. Their offense should continue to play at a high level here, and the Wildcats should be much bigger home favorites in this one. The Wildcats are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Take Northwestern.
|
10-21-16 |
San Jose State +23 v. San Diego State |
Top |
3-42 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 57 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on San Jose State +23
The Key: The San Jose State Spartans have played much better in Mountain West play. They lost by a touchdown to New Mexico, beat Nevada and lost to Hawaii as a favorite. San Diego State lost at South Alabama by 18 a few weeks ago, ruining their perfect season. They came back with flat efforts in a 26-7 win over UNLV and a 17-3 win over Fresno State the past two weeks. The Aztecs have an elite defense, but their offense simply isn't good enough to lay big numbers like this 23-point spread. They have no passing game, and Donnel Pumphrey may be wearing down. He has 167 carries already, including 69 in the past two games. San Diego State is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 home games after gaining 275 or more rushing yards in its previous game. Take San Jose State.
|
10-20-16 |
BYU v. Boise State -6.5 |
|
27-28 |
Loss |
-106 |
11 h 36 m |
Show
|
6* BYU/Boise State ESPN *BAILOUT* on Boise State -6.5
The Key: BYU couldn't have played a tougher schedule to this point and it has yet to have a bye week. It is coming off a double-overtime win against Mississippi State last week. I can't help but think the Cougars are going to be fatigued heading into this showdown with 6-0 Boise State. The home team has won 5 straight meetings in this series, including a 25-point win by the Broncos over the Cougars in 2016. The Broncos are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Take Boise State.
|
10-20-16 |
Bears +7.5 v. Packers |
Top |
10-26 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* Bears/Packers NFC North *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago +7.5
The Key: There's no way the Packers should be this big of favorites when you consider the injuries they are dealing with right now. They will be without their top 3 cornerbacks, and Eddy Lacy and James Starks are both expected to miss this game. It's no wonder they lost to the Cowboys by 14 points Sunday with all the guys they were missing. And the Packers haven't beaten anyone by more than 7 points this season. The Bears are better than their 1-5 record as they are outgaining teams by 34 yards per game and have outgained their last 3 opponents by 343 combined yards. Brian Hoyer has thrown for at least 300 yards in 4 straight games. He will have a big day against this beat-up Packers' secondary, and the Bears will have a great shot to pull off the upset because of it. The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings, including a 17-13 outright win as 7.5-point road dogs by the Bears last season. Take Chicago.
|
10-20-16 |
Cubs -151 v. Dodgers |
|
8-4 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* Cubs/Dodgers NLCS *CA$H COW* on Chicago -151
The Key: Jon Lester posted a 0.64 ERA in two postseason starts this season. He also sports a 0.86 ERA in his 3 starts against the Dodgers this year, giving up only 2 earned runs over 21 innings of work. Kenta Maeda comes in struggling, having given up 12 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings in his last 3 starts for an 11.17 ERA. The Cubs are 18-2 in night games started by Lester this season. Take Chicago.
|
10-19-16 |
Indians v. Blue Jays -179 |
Top |
3-0 |
Loss |
-179 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Playoffs Game of the Year on Toronto Blue Jays -179
The Key: After finally picking up a win this series, the Toronto Blue Jays really believe they can come back and win it all. After all, they won four straight games to open the postseason, and that's the task they have in this series if they want to advance to the World Series. They believe they can do it, and that's the first part. They also have a great advantage on the mound in Game 5 at home tonight. Marco Estrada has pitched 16 1/3 innings of 3-run ball thus far in the postseason, and he's 10-10 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.081 WHIP in 31 starts this year. He'll be opposed by rookie Ryan Merritt, who will be making just his 2nd career start in the big leagues. That's why the Blue Jays are worth the price of admission today as -179 favorites. They are also 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. left-handed starters. Take Toronto.
|
10-18-16 |
Indians v. Blue Jays -116 |
Top |
1-5 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 50 m |
Show
|
7* Indians/Blue Jays ALCS *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto -116
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays won four straight games to open the postseason. Down 3-0, they will need to win four straight to win this series against Cleveland. It starts with one, and that's Game 4 today. I like Aaron Sanchez, who is 15-2 with a 3.23 ERA in 31 starts this year and wins almost every time he takes the mound. Corey Kluber has struggled against the Blue Jays in the past, going 2-3 with a 4.37 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts. He pitched well against them in Game 1, but the chances of shutting down this potent Blue Jays lineup twice in one series is not very good. Take Toronto.
|
10-17-16 |
Jets v. Cardinals -7 |
Top |
3-28 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
7* Jets/Cardinals MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Arizona -7
The Key: The New York Jets are a mess right now. They are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games while getting outscored a combined 33-82 in the process. The Arizona Cardinals are just 2-3, but they are clearly better than their record. The Cardinals are outgaining teams by 55 yards per game and outscoring them by nearly 5 points per game. The Jets are getting outgained by 19 yards per game and getting outscored by nearly 9 points per game. New Yoprk has all kinds of injury problems too. LB David Harris is doubtful, WR Eric Decker is out, and CB Darrelle Revis, C Nick Mangold and DE Sheldon Richardson are all questionable. Carson Palmer makes his return from a concussion tonight, and the Cardinals are extra rested after playing last Thursday. Without Decker, Arizona can put Patrick Peterson on Brandon Marshall, and the Jets are really going to have a hard time moving the football tonight. Bets against road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after scoring 14 points or less last game against opponent after scoring 30 points or more last game are 43-17 ATS over the last 10 seasons. The Cardinals are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 vs. a team with a losing record. Take Arizona.
|
10-17-16 |
Indians v. Blue Jays -1.5 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
6* Indians/Blue Jays ALCS *CA$H COW* on Toronto -1.5 (+115)
The Key: Marcus Stroman sports a 1.29 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 2 starts against Cleveland this season. He has allowed only 2 earned runs in 14 innings in those 2 starts. Trevor Bauer has never beaten the Blue Jays, going 0-1 with an 8.57 ERA and 1.757 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts. Stroman has never been beaten in 4 postseason starts, going 1-0 with a 3.91 ERA over the past 2 seasons. The Blue Jays really need this win, and I think they'll get it by multiple runs tonight behind another dominant performance from Stroman. Take Toronto on the Run Line.
|
10-16-16 |
Cowboys v. Packers -5 |
Top |
30-16 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 6 m |
Show
|
7* Cowboys/Packers NFC Game of the Month on Green Bay -5
The Key: The Packers are outscoring opponents by nearly 14 points per game in the 1st half of their last 17 home games. They still have one of the best home-field advantages in the NFL. The Dallas Cowboys will get a reality check today. Dak Prescott is going to have to do more than he's used to today, as he has thrown just 5% of his passes more than 20 yards down field. He's doing the dink and dunk thing well, but he'll be forced to play from behind in this game. The Packers will stop the run as they rank 1st in the NFL against the run, giving up only 43 yards per game and 2 yards per carry. That will be the difference. Take Green Bay.
|
10-16-16 |
Steelers v. Dolphins +7.5 |
|
15-30 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 40 m |
Show
|
6* NFL Sunday *UPSET SPECIAL* on Miami Dolphins +7.5
The Key: I think the Miami Dolphins have a legitimate chance to pull the upset today. It will be the first time all season that center Pouncey and tackle Albert have played together, so their offensive line is getting healthy. Meanwhile, the Steelers are without two of their best defenders in Ryan Shazier and Cam Heyward. After back-to-back blowout home wins, the Steelers are overvalued right now. The last time they were on the road they lost 34-3 to the Eagles. The Dolphins are playing for their season right now after a 1-4 start and will put up a big fight, likely pulling off the upset. Take Miami.
|
10-16-16 |
49ers +7.5 v. Bills |
|
16-45 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 40 m |
Show
|
6* 49ers/Bills Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on San Francisco +7.5
The Key: The Buffalo Bills are overvalued right now after going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall. Now they are laying more than a touchdown at home to the 49ers. If not for turnovers, the 49ers would have beaten the Cardinals last Thursday. And now they've had some extra time to prepare for this game and get Colin Kaepernick ready to play quarterback. They have the element of surprise with him, which I think will be tough for the Bills to deal with. Take San Francisco.
|
10-15-16 |
Dodgers v. Cubs -1.5 |
|
4-8 |
Win
|
116 |
11 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* Dodgers/Cubs NLCS *CA$H COW* on Chicago -1.5 (+116)
The Key: Instead of laying -190 on the money line, I'm going to go with the Cubs on the Run Line in Game 1 of this series. They have had plenty of time off after taking down the Giants on Tuesday, while the Dodgers just finished a tough series against the Nationals on Thursday. I like the pitching matchup today in favor of the Cubs. Jon Lester is 20-5 with a 2.35 ERA in 33 starts this year, and 11-2 with a 1.162 WHIP in 16 home starts. Kenta Maeda has really struggled of late for the Dodgers, going 0-3 with an 11.17 ERA in his last 3 starts. Lester is 2-2 with a 3.06 ERA in 5 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles. In 2 starts against L.A. in 2016, he has given up just 1 earned run and 9 base runners over 15 innings. Lester is 21-3 (+16.3 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The Cubs are winning by 2.6 runs per game on average int his spot. Take Chicago.
|
10-15-16 |
New Mexico +14 v. Air Force |
|
45-40 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
|
6* Mountain West *CA$H COW* on New Mexico +14
The Key: A lot of folks are mistaking this as a home game for Air Force, but that's not the case as it will be played in the Cotton Bowl in Dallas, TX. Both New Mexico and Air Force play similar styles as they are primarily running teams. And the Lobos get a nice boost this week with the return of top RB Teriyon Gipson. Since these teams play similar styles, they know each other well, and the results in recent meetings have been nail-biters. In fact, each of the last 4 meetings have been decided by 12 points or fewer with margins of 12, 4, 8 and 5 points. New Mexico beat Air Force 47-35 last year and outgained them 512 to 389 for the game. The Falcons are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss. The Lobos are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take New Mexico.
|
10-15-16 |
Western Kentucky v. Middle Tennessee State -2 |
|
44-43 |
Loss |
-107 |
7 h 4 m |
Show
|
6* Conference USA *CA$H COW* on Middle Tennessee -2
The Key: Middle Tennessee is in a great spot here. It is coming off a bye week, so it has had two full weeks to prepare for Western Kentucky. This is the biggest game of the season for the Blue Raiders as they feel they are the best team in Conference USA and want to prove it against the defending conference champs. Middle Tennessee beat LA Tech 38-34 at home three weeks ago. That's the same LA Tech team that WKU lost to 52-55 on the road last week in a game that was a bigger blowout than the final score would indicate. WKU trailed 52-31 in the 4th quarter before making a big comeback and was still outgained by 134 yards. The Hilltoppers continue to be overvalued as they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Take Middle Tennessee.
|
10-15-16 |
Pittsburgh v. Virginia +4 |
Top |
45-31 |
Loss |
-104 |
5 h 4 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAF Situational Game of the Year on Virginia +4
The Key: The Virginia Cavaliers have gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Yet, they still get no love from oddsmakers here. They are coming off their two best games of the season with a 49-35 home win over Central Michigan as 5-point dogs and a 34-20 road win at Duke as 3-point dogs. They had a bye last week, so they'll be fresh and ready to go at home against Pitt this week. Pitt is dead tired right now after playing 6 straight weeks to open the season, and 4 of its last 5 games were decided by 7 points or less. I believe the Panthers will run out of gas this week, especially after having to face Georgia Tech's triple-option last week. The home team is 5-0 SU & 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Cavaliers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week. Take Virginia.
|
10-14-16 |
Mississippi State v. BYU UNDER 56.5 |
Top |
21-28 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* Miss State/BYU ESPN Friday Night Lights on UNDER 56.5
The Key: Mississippi State is 54-36 UNDER in all games with Dan Mullen as head coach. The Bulldogs are 4-1 UNDER in their 5 games this season as well. Four of those five finished with 52 or less points. BYU is 4-2 UNDER in its 6 games this season. Four of those finished with 45 or fewer combined points. Given that evidence, it appears the oddsmakers have inflated this total. Both teams are run-first offenses, and both defenses are excellent at stopping the run, so the matchup favors the UNDER as well. The UNDER is 30-8 in BYU's last 38 games vs. a team that averages 4.75 or more yards per carry. Take the UNDER.
|
10-14-16 |
Blue Jays v. Indians OVER 7.5 |
|
0-2 |
Loss |
-107 |
10 h 34 m |
Show
|
6* Blue Jays/Indians ALCS *TOTAL* Annihilator on OVER 7.5
The Key: This is a very short total for two of the better offenses in the American League. The Blue Jays have scored 22 runs thus far in the postseason. The Indians have scored 15 so far. Cleveland is averaging 5.6 runs per game at home this season, making it no surprise that the OVER is 48-32 in their 80 home games. The OVER is 8-2 in Indians last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take the OVER.
|
10-13-16 |
Broncos v. Chargers +3 |
Top |
13-21 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 26 m |
Show
|
7* DEN/SD Thursday NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on San Diego +3
The Key: The San Diego Chargers are the most underrated team in the NFL right now. They have held a lead for more minutes than any other team in the league this season. However, they are 1-4 with their four losses all coming by 4 points or less. But now the Chargers' season is on the line here against the Broncos. They can't afford to fall behind any further in the AFC West standings if they are going to make a run. So with their backs against the wall here at home, I'll back them as 3-point home dogs. The Chargers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 off a division loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC West foes. Take San Diego.
|
10-12-16 |
Appalachian State v. UL-Lafayette UNDER 48.5 |
Top |
24-0 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* Appalachian State/LA-Lafayette ESPN 2 *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 48.5
The Key: Lafayette is coming off back-to-back overtime games that have inflated this total. They were tied with Tulane 16-16 at the end of regulation two weeks ago for 32 combined points, then proceeded to score 48 points in OT. They were tied with New Mexico State 24-24 at the end of regulation last week for 48 combined points, but added 20 more points in OT. Last year, Appalachian State beat LA Lafayette 28-7 for 35 combined points, and I expect to see a similar result here. Three of Appalachian State's five games this season finished with 38 or fewer combined points, including last week's 17-3 win over Georgia State. Both offenses are subpar, and both defenses are better than average, especially Appalachian State. Both teams also prefer to keep the ball on the ground as the Mountaineers rush 47 times per game while the Rajin' Cajuns rush 46 times per game. That will keep the clock moving. Both defenses are good against the run as App State allows 134 yards per game while Lafayette gives up only 116 yards per game. The UNDER is 4-0 in Mountaineers last 4 games following a bye week. Both teams have had extra time to prepare, which also favors the UNDER. Take the UNDER.
|
10-11-16 |
Cubs -119 v. Giants |
Top |
6-5 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
7* Cubs/Giants Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago -119
The Key: The Chicago Cubs are 18-7 in their last 25 games following a loss. They are 4-1 in John Lackey's last 5 starts. Lackey is the better starter in this matchup. He is 11-8 with a 3.35 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in 29 starts this season. He'll be opposed by Matt Moore, who is 13-12 with a 4.08 ERA and 1.291 WHIP in 33 starts. The Cubs are 8-2 in their last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Take Chicago.
|
10-10-16 |
Cubs v. Giants -101 |
|
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* Cubs/Giants NLDS Game 3 *CA$H COW* on San Francisco -101
The Key: Madison Bumgarner's success in the postseason is well documented. He has gone 5-1 with a 0.88 ERA in during the 2014 and 2016 postseasons. When the Giants have been facing elimination, he's gone 3-0 with a 0.00 ERA while pitching 23 shutout innings. Jake Arrieta struggled in the second half this season and posted a 4.60 ERA in the month of September. Bumgarner owns the Cubs as well, going 8-2 with a 2.25 ERA in 12 lifetime starts. Take San Francisco.
|
10-10-16 |
Bucs v. Panthers UNDER 46 |
Top |
17-14 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* TB/CAR Monday Night *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 46
The Key: Turnovers are the biggest reason both of these teams are off to 1-3 starts. The Bucs have committed 11 through four games while the Panthers have committed 10. That has led to easy scores for opponents. I look for both teams to go with a more conservative approach tonight to try and avoid those turnovers in essentially what is a must-win game for both teams. And the end result is going to be a defensive battle that is much lower-scoring than this 46-point total would suggest. I also like the fact that Derek Anderson is starting in place of Cam Newton as the Panthers' offense will be less explosive. He started two games against Tampa Bay in 2014 in place of an inured Newton. The Panthers won 20-14 and 19-17 in both those games, which saw 34 and 36 combined points, respectively. Tampa Bay is 21-6 UNDER in its last 27 road games after gaining 4 or fewer yards per play in its previous game. The UNDER is 7-3 in Bucs last 10 division games. The UNDER is 14-6 in Bucs last 20 vs. a team with a losing record. The UNDER is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings in Carolina. Take the UNDER.
|
10-09-16 |
Bills v. Rams +2.5 |
|
30-19 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 60 m |
Show
|
6* Bills/Rams Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles +2.5
The Key: No analysis Sunday
|
10-09-16 |
Titans +3 v. Dolphins |
|
30-17 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 35 m |
Show
|
6* Titans/Dolphins AFC *CA$H COW* on Tennessee +3
The Key: No analysis Sunday
|
10-09-16 |
Eagles v. Lions +3.5 |
Top |
23-24 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 35 m |
Show
|
7* NFC Game of the Week on Detroit Lions +3.5
The Key: No analysis Sunday
|
10-08-16 |
UCLA v. Arizona State +10 |
|
20-23 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* UCLA/Arizona State Pac-12 *BAILOUT* on Arizona State +10
The Key: Arizona State comes in way undervalued as a 10-point home underdog to UCLA this week. The Sun Devils were blown out by USC on the road last week while UCLA blew out an injury-ravaged Arizona team at home. Those two results have created some artificial line inflation this week that we're going to take advantage of. Another reason the public is all over UCLA is because ASU will be starting freshman QB Brady White. But White was the top-rated QB recruit in the history of ASU coming out of high school. He actually led Arizona State on two scoring drives in the fourth quarter against USC last week to get his feet wet. I think he'll be just fine here, especially in front of his home fans. Last year, ASU beat UCLA 38-23 on the road and outgained the Bruins by 123 yards. Josh Rosen only completed 22 of 40 passes in the loss for UCLA and figures to struggle again here. The Sun Devils are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3 games coming in. The Bruins are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 following an ATS win, 0-6 ATS in their last 6 following a win of more than 20 points, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. The Sun Devils are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. These 5 trends off a 27-0 angle backing the Sun Devils. Take Arizona State.
|
10-08-16 |
Colorado v. USC -5.5 |
|
17-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
27 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* Colorado/USC Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on USC -5.5
The Key: Colorado is getting a lot of love from oddsmakers right now due to a 5-0 ATS start. But the Buffaloes' luck is about to run out. USC finally played up to its potential last week in a 41-20 home win over Arizona State. The Trojans led this game 41-6 entering the 4th quarter before taking their foot off the gas. Since starting freshman QB Sam Darnold, the offense has really taken off the last two weeks against USC and Utah. I believe Darnold and company continue to roll and easily cover this small number at home against Colorado. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this series, including a 56-28 and 50-6 wins by USC. The Trojans have won 7 straight in this series, including 5 of the last 6 by 18 points or more. Take USC.
|
10-08-16 |
East Carolina +16 v. South Florida |
Top |
22-38 |
Push |
0 |
21 h 46 m |
Show
|
7* American Athletic GAME OF THE YEAR on East Carolina +16
The Key: The East Carolina Pirates have been impressive this season. The beat NC State 33-30 at home, lost at South Carolina 15-20 while outgaining the Gamecocks by 207 yards, lost 17-54 at VA Tech and was only outgained by 19 yards, and lost to UCF 29-47 despite outgaining the Knights by 148 yards. Their stats have been tremendous considering the competition faced. They are averaging 523 yards on offense and giving up 393 on defense, outgaining teams by 130 yards per game. Now they catch South Florida in a letdown spot off a big road win at Cincinnati last week. The Bulls are simply getting to much respect from oddsmakers here. The Pirates are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Bulls are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The road team has won both meetings the last 2 years and 4 of the last 6 outright despite being underdogs for the majority of the meetings. Take East Carolina.
|
10-07-16 |
Clemson v. Boston College +17 |
Top |
56-10 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 43 m |
Show
|
7* Clemson/BC ESPN Friday Night Lights on Boston College +17
The Key: Boston College has the best defense in the country this season, giving up just 202 yards per game and 3.6 yards per play. That stop unit will keep the Eagles competitive here against Clemson, which is in a massive letdown spot after the win over Louisville on Saturday. I like Eagles QB Patrick Towles, who has thrown for 806 yards with a 6-to-3 TD/INT ratio. I think he can make enough plays to keep the Eagles within striking distance. Boston College is 3-0 ATS in the last 3 meetings and hasn't lost by more than 17 to Clemson in any of the last 4 meetings. The underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Take Boston College.
|
10-07-16 |
Dodgers v. Nationals +136 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Friday Night *CA$H COW* on Washington Nationals +136
The Key: I really like the price we are getting with the Washington Nationals today as home underdogs. I don't believe there's as big of a difference between Max Scherzer and Clayton Kershaw as this line would suggest. After all, Kershaw is 2-3 in the NLDS and 0-3 in the NLCS in his career, so he hasn't stepped up in the postseason. Scherzer has gone 20-7 with a 2.96 ERA this season. He sports a 3.29 ERA in 10 games, eight starts, lifetime sgainst the Dodgers. The Nationals went 50-31 at home this season, while the Dodgers went 38-43 on the road. The Dodgers are 1-6 in their last 7 road games. The Nationals are 5-0 in Scherzer's last 5 home starts. Take Washington.
|
10-06-16 |
Cardinals -3.5 v. 49ers |
Top |
33-21 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
|
7* Cardinals/49ers NFC West *HEAVY HITTER* on Arizona -3.5
The Key: The Arizona Cardinals have committed 5 turnovers each in their last 2 games to give away games against the Bills and Rams. Look for them to shore that up and get a big win here on Thursday night against the lowly San Francisco 49ers. The Cardinals aren't broken as they rank 4th in the NFL in yardage differential at plus-68.5 yards per game. The 49ers are 1-3 as well, but they are clearly one of the worst teams in the NFL. They rank 31st in yardage differential at negative-97.2 yards per game. They just lost NaVorro Bowman to a season-ending injury, and their defense was already terrible in allowing 390 yards per game on the season. Drew Stanton, even though he's a backup, should light up this 49ers defense. And look for Bruce Arians to get stud RB David Johnson going, especially with run-stopper Bowman out. The 49ers give up 140 rushing yards per game this season. San Francisco is 1-11 ATS in games with a total of 35.5 to 42 points over the last 3 seasons. The Cardinals swept the season series last year in winning by a combined 66-20 score over the 49ers. Take Arizona.
|
10-06-16 |
Red Sox -140 v. Indians |
|
4-5 |
Loss |
-140 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* Red Sox/Indians American League *CA$H COW* on Boston -140
The Key: Rick Porcello is is a Cy Young contender who went 22-4 with a 3.15 ERA in 33 starts this season. He'll be opposed by Trevor Bauer, who is 10-8 with a 4.35 ERA in 28 starts, 6-4 with a 4.60 ERA in 16 home starts, and 1-1 with a 6.05 ERA in his last three starts. Porcello is 10-4 with a 3.35 ERA in 22 lifetime starts vs. Cleveland. Bauer is 0-2 with a 12.14 ERA in two lifetime starts vs. Boston, giving up 9 earned runs in 6 2/3 innings. The Red Sox are 11-2 in their last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Boston is 25-8 in Porcello's last 33 starts. Take Boston.
|
10-06-16 |
Temple +10 v. Memphis |
|
27-34 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* Temple/Memphis AAC *CA$H COW* on Temple +10
The Key: The Memphis Tigers are coming off their biggest game of the season in a 28-48 loss to Ole Miss on the road. Now they're on a short week and it will be hard for them to come back from that. Temple beat SMU 45-20 last week and will have no problem coming back on a short week after that blowout win. This comes down to me to last year's game, which saw Temple dominate Memphis 31-12 while outgaining the Tigers by 229 yards. Their defense only gave up 232 yards to the Tigers, and that stop unit is dominant once again this season in allowing only 319 yards per game on average. Memphis is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points. Take Temple.
|
10-05-16 |
Georgia Southern v. Arkansas State OVER 54 |
Top |
26-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* Sun Belt Total of the Week on Georgia Southern/Arkansas State OVER 54
The Key: Georgia Southern boasts an offense that puts up 33.0 points and 458 yards per game on the season. The Eagles are averaging 318 rushing yards per game, making this a great matchup for them. Arkansas State is giving up 36.0 points per game and 239 rushing yards per contest. This Arkansas State offense started slow, but it has been much better the past two games with Justice Hansen at quarterback. He threw for 287 yards against Utah State and 424 against Central Arkansas. He was actually one of the top-rated recruits coming out of high school when he signed with Oklahoma before transferring to junior college last year and then here. Arkansas State is 8-0 OVER vs. teams who average 4.75 or more rushing yards per attempts over the last 3 seasons. The Red Wolves are 8-0 OVER against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. The OVER is 22-4 in Red Wolves last 26 conference games. Take the OVER.
|
10-05-16 |
Giants -112 v. Mets |
|
3-0 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* Giants/Mets National League *CA$H COW* on San Francisco -112
The Key: I'm going with the Giants today to advance to the division series with a win over the New York Mets. I'll gladly back one of the best big game pitchers in the history of baseball in Madison Bumgarner. He has gone 15-9 with a 2.78 ERA on the season. Bumgarner is 5-0 with a 1.80 ERA in 6 lifetime starts vs. New York. The Giants come in with some momentum having won four straight with a plus-20 run differential during the winning streak. The Mets are 0-5 in Noah Syndergaard's last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. Take San Francisco.
|
10-04-16 |
Orioles +133 v. Blue Jays |
Top |
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
7* Orioles/Blue Jays AL *HEAVY HITTER* on Baltimore +133
The Key: The Orioles are 4-0 in games against the Blue Jays in which Chris Tillman has started this season. He has given up 2 earned runs or less in 3 of those 4 starts. The Blue Jays are 0-3 in Marcus Stroman's last 3 starts against the Orioles this season. He has allowed 15 earned runs in 16 innings in those 3 outings. Tillman is 8-3 with a 2.97 ERA in 14 road starts this year. Stroman is 4-3 with a 4.59 ERA in 16 home starts. It appears the wrong team is favored in this matchup as the Orioles have the better bullpen as well. Take Baltimore.
|
10-03-16 |
Giants +4 v. Vikings |
Top |
10-24 |
Loss |
-104 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* Giants/Vikings NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +4
The Key: The Minnesota Vikings aren't as good as their 3-0 record would suggest. They are getting outgained by 29.7 yards per game on the season, and their offense is still terrible. Their defense is the reason they are 3-0 as they have gotten several non-offensive touchdowns already. The Giants probably should be the team that is 3-0 instead of 2-1. They are outgaining teams by 57 yards per game. Each of the Giants' first three games have been decided by 3 points or less. This one is likely to go down to the wire as well, so the 4 points could come into play. The Vikings aren't going to keep forcing turnovers at this rate as they are +8 in that department. The Giants aren't going to keep losing the turnover battle as they are -6 in turnovers this season. The Vikings are 0-7 ATS in their last seven Monday games. Take New York.
|
10-02-16 |
Chiefs v. Steelers UNDER 47.5 |
Top |
14-43 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 30 m |
Show
|
7* Chiefs/Steelers NFL Total of the Month on UNDER 47.5
The Key: The UNDER is 4-0 in the last four meetings between these teams. They have combined for 36, 32, 29 and 22 points in those four meetings. That's an average of 29.8 points per game, which is basically 18 points less than this total of 47.5. Both the Steelers and Chiefs have very good defenses, while the Chiefs have a terrible offense. This game should easily stay under the total tonight in a battle between two AFC heavyweights. Take the UNDER.
|
10-02-16 |
Cowboys v. 49ers +1 |
|
24-17 |
Loss |
-101 |
5 h 24 m |
Show
|
6* Cowboys/49ers NFC *CA$H COW* on San Francisco +1
The Key: There's a reason this line was Cowboys -3 and has moved down to Cowboys -1. The big money is on the 49ers, and I agree that it should be. They were blown out on the road the last two weeks by two of the best teams in the NFL in the Panthers and Seahawks. But now they come back home, where they previously beat the Rams 28-0 in Week 1. The Cowboys are getting a lot of love from oddsmakers because they blew out a hapless Bears team on Sunday Night Football last week. Dez Bryant is banged up, and I look for Dak Prescott to struggle on the road here against the best defense he has faced since losing to the Giants in Week 1. Take San Francisco.
|
10-02-16 |
Seahawks v. Jets +1.5 |
|
27-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 60 m |
Show
|
6* NFL Sunday *UPSET SPECIAL* on New York Jets +1.5
The Key: The New York Jets committed 8 turnovers last week, which was the only reason they lost 24-3 to the Chiefs. They were still in the game for the majority of it despite the turnovers. I think they come back home this week and pull off the upset against the Seattle Seahawks, who have a banged-up Russell Wilson at quarterback. Wilson did not play well in his only road game at Los Angeles, losing 9-3 to the Rams. Wilson hurt his knee against the 49ers last week and was pulled from the game. Without his mobility, he's going to struggle against a Jets defensive line that is one of the best in the business. Take New York.
|
10-01-16 |
Oregon v. Washington State +2.5 |
Top |
33-51 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* Pac-12 Game of the Year on Washington State +2.5
The Key: The Washington Cougars won nine games last year and contended for a Pac-12 title. They brought back a ton of talent from that team, including QB Luke Faulk and 8 starters on offense. So the 1-2 start is shocking, but it also has the Cougars flying under the radar. They lost their two games by a combined 6 points, including a 3-point loss at Boise State in a game they arguably outplayed the Broncos. They gained 520 yards against Boise State and held them to 420 yards. Oregon is 2-2 and has one of its worst teams in years, yet it is a favorite here. The Ducks have given up at least 26 points in every game and will have their hands full with Faulk. Oregon does have another good offense that loves to run the ball, but Washington State counters that with a defense that is giving up only 103 rushing yards per game and 3.8 per carry. WSU is coming off a bye week, and that's a nice advantage here to prepare for the Ducks, who they are 1-1 against the last two years in games that were both decided by a TD. Betting against teams who outscore opponents by 7 or more points per game who have allowed 31 points or more in 2 straight games are 27-3 ATS over the last 5 years. We'll bet against the Ducks here, who fit that criteria. Take Washington State.
|
10-01-16 |
Old Dominion v. Charlotte +9 |
|
52-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAF Saturday *UPSET SPECIAL* on Charlotte +9
The Key: Charlotte is just 1-3 and getting no love from oddsmakers. But all three losses came in the role of underdogs, including two times where they were big road dogs at Louisville (38.5) and Temple (25.5). But now they have a winnable game here against Old Dominion, whose two wins have come at home against UTSA and Hampton. The Monarchs were blown out on the road at Appalachian State by 24 and NC State by 27, failing to cover the spread both times. Charlotte wants revenge from a 34-37 road loss at Old Dominion as 4.5-point dogs last year. The 49ers outgained the Monarchs 536-482 in that contest. I think they can pull off the upset at home this time around, and getting 8.5 points here is way too much. Old Dominion is 0-7 ATS in October games over the last 3 seasons. The Monarchs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. Take Charlotte.
|
10-01-16 |
Oklahoma -3 v. TCU |
|
52-46 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 34 m |
Show
|
6* Oklahoma/TCU Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Oklahoma -3
The Key: Oklahoma comes in off a bye week following its bad loss to Ohio State at home. The Sooners will be looking to get that sour taste out of their mouth with their Big 12 opener at TCU here. TCU played last week and only led SMU 6-3 at halftime. This TCU defense isn't very good and Baker Mayfield and company should score at will. The Sooners have played Houston and Ohio State already, two playoff contenders, and they are still scoring 35.3 points per game while averaging 479 yards per game on the season. TCU has played the much softer schedule and actually lost to Arkansas at home, which I don't believe is as good as Oklahoma. The Sooners are one of the best teams to back following a loss as they are 25-11 ATS in their last 36 in this situation. They get back on track in a big way Saturday. Take Oklahoma.
|
09-30-16 |
Stanford v. Washington -3 |
Top |
6-44 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
|
7* Stanford/Washington ESPN Friday Night Lights on Washington -3
The Key: The Washington Huskies are ready to change the landscape of the Pac-12, which has gone through Stanford over the past few years. And with one of the best home-field advantages in the country inside Husky Stadium for this Top 10 showdown, you can bet they are going to be feeding off of the energy. But the bottom line is that the Huskies are actually the more talented team in this matchup. They have the better defense, and certainly the more explosive offense as Stanford has been held back by its shaky QB play this season. The Cardinal were lucky to beat UCLA last week on the road, but they won't be so fortunate this time around. Take Washington.
|
09-30-16 |
Tigers -145 v. Braves |
|
6-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Detroit Tigers -145
The Key: Trailing by 1.5 games in the wild card race, the Detroit Tigers really need to sweep the Atlanta Braves if they want any chance. It starts with a Game 1 victory here Friday. The Tigers clearly have the edge on the mound behind Daniel Norris, who is 3-2 with a 3.65 ERA in 12 starts this season. He has really been good down the stretch, going 1-0 with a 2.65 ERA in his last three starts. He'll be opposed by Matt Wisler, who is 7-12 with a 4.89 ERA in 25 starts, and 1-1 with a 5.62 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Tigers are 5-1 in Norris' last 6 starts overall and 8-3 in his last 11 road starts. Detroit is 4-0 in its last four road games. The Braves are 3-14 in their last 17 interleague home games. Atlanta is 1-6 in Wisler's last 7 interleague starts and 4-11 in its last 15 home starts. Take Detroit.
|
09-29-16 |
Dolphins +8 v. Bengals |
Top |
7-22 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
7* Dolphins/Bengals AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami +8
The Key: The Cincinnati Bengals are getting way too much respect from the books as 8-point favorites here over the Miami Dolphins. I think this game will go right down to the wire, so this is a really nice price for the Dolphins. We've already seen the Dolphins go on the road and nearly beat both the Seahawks (lost by 2) and Patriots (lost by 7). They can certainly stay within a touchdown of these Bengals, who have not fared well in losses to the Steelers and Broncos the past two weeks. The Dolphins are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Cincinnati. Take Miami.
|
09-29-16 |
Connecticut v. Houston -27 |
|
14-42 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 1 m |
Show
|
6* UConn/Houston AAC *CA$H COW* on Houston -27
The Key: The Houston Cougars' only loss last season came on the road at UConn when Greg Ward Jr. got hurt. They have that memory to motivated them this week and to blow the Huskies out of the building, which is precisely what I believe they'll do. UConn doesn't have the offense to keep up in this one. Houston is averaging 44.7 points per game this season. Its defense has been awesome, giving up 10.5 points and 229 yards per game. The Cougars are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring 42 or more points in their previous game. The Huskies are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 road games. UConn is 1-13 ATS in its last 14 games after playing a home game. Take Houston.
|
09-29-16 |
Cubs v. Pirates -106 |
|
1-1 |
Push |
0 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Pittsburgh Pirates -106
The Key: The Chicago Cubs clearly have nothing to play for right now. That's obvious by the fact that they are giving Rob Zastryzny a spot start tonight against the Pirates to try and keep their rotation fresh. Don't be surprised if Joe Maddon rests his regulars the rest of the way. The Pirates still want to finish .500 or better as they are 78-80 on the season, and they won 8-4 over the Cubs yesterday. Ivan Nova has pitched very well at home, going 6-3 with a 3.36 ERA and 1.182 WHIP in 13 starts this season. Nova is 40-17 (+18.8 Units) against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 lifetime. The Pirates are 20-9 against left-handed starters this season. Take Pittsburgh.
|
09-28-16 |
Mets -108 v. Marlins |
Top |
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 20 m |
Show
|
7* NL East Game of the Month on New York Mets -108
The Key: The Miami Marlins poured in a lot of effort and emotion to their win on Monday following Jose Fernandez's tragic death. They fell flat Tuesday in a 12-1 loss to the Mets and now have essentially been eliminated from postseason contention. The Mets still have work to do and I like their mental state more right now because of it. I also like Seth Lugo, who has gone 4-1 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.104 WHIP in seven starts this season while filling in admirably in this rotation. I also like fading Jose Urena, who is 3-7 with a 5.40 ERA in 11 starts, including 0-2 with a 21.60 ERA in his last 2 starts, giving up 12 earned runs in 5 innings. The Mets are 6-0 in Lugo's last 6 starts. The Marlins are 1-8 in Urena's last 9 home starts. Take New York.
|
09-27-16 |
Reds v. Cardinals -1.5 |
Top |
5-12 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-104)
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are one game back of the Giants for the 2nd wild card spot in the National League. They have to win this game today against the lowly Cincinnati Reds. I trust in veteran Adam Wainwright to get the job done and for the Cards to win by 2 runs or more. Wainwright is 6-4 with a 2.92 ERA in 14 home starts this year. He has given up 2 earned runs in each of his last 2 starts against the Reds this season. He'll be opposed by Robert Stephenson, who is 2-2 with a 5.59 ERA in 6 starts this year, and 0-1 with a 10.79 ERA in 2 road starts. He is 0-1 with a 9.25 ERA in his last 3 starts as well. Wainwright is 50-15 (+27.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) lifetime. His teams are winning these games by 2.6 runs per game. The Reds are 33-70 in their last 103 vs. a team with a winning record. The Cardinals are 46-22 in Wainwright's last 68 starts. Take St. Louis.
|
09-26-16 |
Falcons v. Saints UNDER 53.5 |
Top |
45-32 |
Loss |
-100 |
32 h 46 m |
Show
|
7* ATL/NO Monday Night *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 53.5
The Key: The betting public is all over the OVER in this game because they see two teams with perceived great offenses and poor defenses. There's some serious line value with the UNDER as a result. The Falcons and Saints hate each other as they're division foes, and these division games are almost always more low-scoring than expected. That has certainly been the case in this rivalry. The Falcons and Saints have combined for 52 or fewer points in 6 of their last 7 meetings with the UNDER going 5-1-1 in that stretch. They have only averaged 44.2 combined points in those 7 games, which is 9.3 points less than this 53.5-point total. The UNDER is 9-1-1 in Falcons last 11 divisin games. The UNDER is 6-0 in Falcons last 6 division road games. The UNDER is 22-7-1 in Falcons last 30 games overall. The UNDER is 5-2-1 in Saints last 8 division games. Take the UNDER.
|
09-26-16 |
Brewers v. Rangers -1.5 |
|
8-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Texas Rangers -1.5 (+107)
The Key: The Texas Rangers are tied with the Boston Red Sox for the best record in the American League. With home-field advantage in the postseason on the line, they still have a lot to play for. I'm going to back them to win by 2 runs or more today. Martin Perez has been awesome at home this season, going 8-2 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.257 WHIP in 16 starts. He is 1-0 with a 2.79 ERA and 0.983 WHIP in his last 3 starts as well. He'll be opposed by Matt Garza, who is 1-6 with a 5.54 ERA and 1.709 WHIP in 10 road starts this year. Perez is 8-0 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season. The Rangers are winning by 1.9 runs per game in these spots. Take Texas on the Run Line.
|
09-25-16 |
Chargers v. Colts |
|
22-26 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* Chargers/Colts AFC *CA$H COW* on Indianapolis PK
The Key: The Colts simply cannot afford to fall to 0-3 on the season if they want to get back to the playoffs. Look for them to come out hungry at home today against the Chargers. They easily could be 2-0. They had a late lead against the Lions, but lost 35-39. They also had the Broncos on the ropes before giving up a defensive touchdown late to lose 20-34. I'm not ready to buy the Chargers being one of the better teams in the AFC just because they beat the Jaguars and took the Chiefs to overtime, two teams who have struggled in the early going. The Chargers are without top receiver Keenan Allen and top RB pass-catcher Danny Woodhead, and those injuries will come back to bite them sooner rather than later. TE Antonio Gates is also questionable for this one. The Chargers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. The Colts are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 games following a straight up loss. The Colts are 25-11-1 ATS in their last 37 home games. Take Indianapolis.
|
09-25-16 |
Rams v. Bucs -3.5 |
|
37-32 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 36 m |
Show
|
6* Rams/Bucs NFC *CA$H COW* on Tampa Bay -3.5
The Key: The Los Angeles Rams are in a prime letdown spot here. They are coming off a huge win over the Seahawks, but only because their defense came through in a big way. Teams are just 34-58 ATS the week after playing the Seahawks since Pete Carroll took over. The Rams have still scored just 9 points on the season, and their offense won't be much better this week. The Bucs will be hungry to play in their first home game, especially after a 7-40 loss to the Cardinals last week. They turned the ball over five times to let the game get away from them. Look for them to preach ball security in this one. The Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games off a division win, 0-6 ATS off a win by 6 points or less, and 14-30 ATS as a road dog in the 3.5 to 7 range. Take Tampa Bay.
|
09-25-16 |
Red Sox -114 v. Rays |
|
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Boston Red Sox -114
The Key: The Boston Red Sox are the hottest team in baseball with 10 straight wins coming into today. They are closing in on an AL East title, and I believe we are getting them at a great price here of only -114. Eduardo Rodriquez has been at his best on the road this season, going 3-3 with a 3.90 ERA and 1.157 WHIP in 10 starts. Jake Odorizzi has struggled of late, going 0-1 with a 5.29 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Rays are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Rays are 27-55 in their last 82 vs. a team with a winning record. Tampa Bay has lost 5 of its last 6 games overall. Take Boston.
|
09-25-16 |
Raiders v. Titans +1.5 |
Top |
17-10 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* AFC Game of the Month on Tennessee Titans +1.5
The Key: The Tennessee Titans could be 2-0 right now. They lost to the Vikings in Week 1 only after blowing a 10-0 lead and giving up two defensive touchdowns in the second half. They came back with a solid win at Detroit last week. The NFL is about defense, and the Titans clearly have the better one here. Their defense has technically only allowed 23 points all season. Meanwhile, the Raiders have given up 35 points and 517 total yards per game. This is an early kick out East for the Raiders, which is a tough spot for a West Coast team. Take Tennessee.
|
09-24-16 |
Oklahoma State v. Baylor -7.5 |
Top |
24-35 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 0 m |
Show
|
7* Big 12 Game of the Month on Baylor -7.5
The Key: Everyone is down on Baylor because they haven't played anyone. But they've taken care of business like they're supposed to with all three of their wins coming by 27 points or more. The fact that they're 0-3 ATS gives us some line value here. Last year, Baylor beat Oklahoma State 45-35 on the road while racking up 700 yards of total offense and outgaining the Cowboys by 259 yards. Now they get the Cowboys at home, where they are 17-3 in their last 20 Big 12 home games. I'm not impressed with Oklahoma State with a loss to Central Michigan and a fortunate win against Pitt, both of which came at home. The Cowboys are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points. Take Baylor.
|
09-24-16 |
Mariners -121 v. Twins |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-121 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Seattle Mariners -121
The Key: The Seattle Mariners are just 2 games back in the wild card and in need of wins. A series against the Minnesota Twins, who are 55-99 on the season, is just what the doctor ordered. The Twins have now lost 7 straight games, including last night's 10-1 laugher in which we backed the Mariners. I'll get back on them again because they have another huge edge on the mound. Ariel Miranda is 4-1 with a 3.35 ERA and 1.117 WHIP in 8 starts, including 3-0 with a 0.95 ERA and 0.737 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He'll be opposed by Tyler Duffey, who is 8-11 with a 6.39 ERA and 1.516 WHIP in 24 starts, including 0-2 with a 10.80 ERA and 2.142 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The Mariners are 7-0 in their last 7 road games. The Mariners are 4-0 in Miranda's last 4 starts. The Twins are 0-4 in Duffey's last 4 starts. Take Seattle.
|
09-24-16 |
Florida v. Tennessee -5 |
|
28-38 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* Florida/Tennessee SEC *CA$H COW* on Tennessee -5
The Key: Florida's 11-game winning streak against Tennessee comes to an end today. The Vols will simply want this one more. They led Florida 27-14 on the road last year before giving up 2 touchdowns in the final minutes and losing 28-27. Now they get the Gators at home. They will be amped up for this game, just as they were when they beat a very good Virginia Tech team 45-24 in Bristol a few weeks back. The Vols have as much talent as anyone in the country. The Gators will be starting backup QB Austin Appleby, and I don't expect him to be able to handle this environment very well. The Vols are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Take Tennessee.
|
09-24-16 |
Wisconsin v. Michigan State -3.5 |
|
30-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* Wisconsin/Michigan State Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Michigan State -3.5
The Key: Michigan State continues to lack respect from oddsmakers as only 3.5-point home favorites here against Wisconsin. The Spartans racked up 501 total yards in a 36-28 win at Notre Dame last week, outgaining the Fighting Irish by 100 yards. They actually led that game 36-7 and it only became closer in garbage time. Wisconsin barely survived in a 23-17 win over Georgia State last week after actually trailing 17-13 in the fourth quarter. Home-field advantage has been huge between these teams. The home team is 8-1 straight up in the last 9 meetings. Mark Dantonio is 9-1 ATS versus excellent rushing defenses who allow 90 or fewer rushing yards per game as the coach of Michigan State. Take Michigan State.
|
09-23-16 |
USC v. Utah -2.5 |
Top |
27-31 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 47 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Utah -2.5
The Key: The Utah Utes are 8-1 at home dating back to last season. Their stadium, Rice-Eccles, is one of the most underrated venues in all of college football. The Ute faithful will be out in full force tonight in Salt Lake City with the USC Trojans coming to town. The Trojans couldn't have looked worse to this point, and now they are starting a freshman QB in Sam Darnold. Darnold will be up against a Utah team that had 10 sacks last week and boasts one of the best defenses in the nation. Look for the Utes to play a clean game here offensively, while the Trojans and Darnold make mistakes that will be the difference in this game. The Trojans are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games. Take Utah.
|
09-23-16 |
Mariners -132 v. Twins |
|
10-1 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Seattle Mariners -132
The Key: The Seattle Mariners are 2 games back in the wild card race and in need of wins. Fortunately for them, they have a series against the worst team in baseball in the Minnesota Twins (55-98) starting today. The Twins have lost 6 straight, and now they're in a tough spot as they are coming off a double-header against Detroit yesterday. James Paxton sports a 3.88 ERA through 18 starts this season and is having a fine season for the Mariners. Kyle Gibson has a 5.10 ERA and 1.551 WHIP in 23 starts for the Twins. Seattle is 21-6 (+13.0 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons. The Mariners are 6-0 in their last 6 road games. Take Seattle.
|
09-22-16 |
Giants -148 v. Padres |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on San Francisco Giants -148
The Key: Tied with the Mets and Cardinals for the 2 NL wild card spots, the Giants will be hungry for a win here tonight, especially after losing 4 of their last 5 coming in. Jeff Samardzija is having a fine season at 11-10 with a 3.97 ERA and 1.219 WHIP in 30 starts, including 0-1 with a 3.20 ERA and 1.169 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He is 5-2 with a 3.70 ERA and 1.183 WHIP in 9 lifetime starts vs. San Diego as well. He'll be opposed by Christian Friedrich, who is 5-10 with a 4.82 ERA and 1.453 WHIP in 21 starts. The Giants are 9-2 in their last 11 Thursday games. The Padres are 1-7 in Friedrich's last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take San Francisco.
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09-22-16 |
Texans +1 v. Patriots |
Top |
0-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
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7* Texans/Patriots AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston +1
The Key: The injuries the Patriots are dealing with right now puts them at an extreme disadvantage. I don't trust rookie Jacoby Brissett to be able to do much offensively as he has only 2.5 days to prepare for this game. Plus, he'll be up against one of the best defenses in the NFL this week in the Texans. I'll side with that defense and Brock Osweiler and company to come away with a win here. Bill O'Brien will have his team focused because he knows what the Patriots are capable of with their backs against the wall, as he previously coached there. Take Houston.
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09-22-16 |
Clemson v. Georgia Tech UNDER 58 |
|
26-7 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
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6* Clemson/Georgia Tech *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 58
The Key: I look for a defensive battle tonight between Clemson and Georgia Tech. These have been two of the best defenses in the country in the early going. Clemson is giving up 12.3 points and 250 yards per game, while Georgia Tech is allowing 10.3 points and 316 yards per game. Georgia Tech runs a triple-option offense that will keep the clock moving with the ball on the ground for the majority of the game. The Yellow Jackets will play at a slow pace to try and slow down the game and keep Deshaun Watson and company off the field. The last two meetings at Georgia Tech have been low-scoring with 34 combined points in 2014 and 48 combined points in 2011. The UNDER is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 September games. The UNDER is 5-1-1 in Yellow Jackets last 7 games overall. The UNDER is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings at Georgia Tech. Take the UNDER.
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09-20-16 |
Astros -122 v. A's |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
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7* MLB Tuesday Night *BAILOUT* on Houston Astros -122
The Key: The Houston Astros are 3 games back in the wild card. They have made a nice push here of late in winning 4 of their last 5 games overall. Look for their success to continue behind Joe Musgrove, who has given up 5 earned runs over 12 1/3 innings in his last 2 starts against the Rangers and Cubs. Musgrove pitched 5 1/3 shutout innings in a 6-0 victory over the A's on August 29 in his only start against them this season. The Astros are 23-6 in their last 29 vs. a team with a losing record. The A's are 4-14 in their last 18 vs. AL West foes. Oakland is 0-4 in its last 4 home games. Take Houston.
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