07-06-16 |
Mariners v. Astros -134 |
Top |
8-9 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston Astros -134
The Key: The Houston Astros are one of the hottest teams in baseball. They have gone 28-11 in their last 39 games overall to give themselves a realistic chance of chasing down the Texas Rangers for first place in the AL West heading into the All-Star Break. I expect them to continue to roll behind Mike Fiers, who is 2-0 with a 1.12 ERA in his last 3 starts. Fiers has fared well at home this season, going 5-2 with a 2.87 ERA in 9 starts. Wade LeBlanc is getting too much respect from oddsmakers for what he has done in limited action this season. He past posted a 1.50 ERA in 2 starts. The Mariners are 3-14 in their last 17 road games. Seattle is 0-7 in its last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Astros are 7-1 in Fiers' last 8 home starts. Houston is 10-1 in its last 11 home games. Take Houston.
|
07-05-16 |
Pirates v. Cardinals -153 |
Top |
5-2 |
Loss |
-153 |
8 h 53 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -153
The Key: Stephen Brault will make his MLB debut tonight against the St. Louis Cardinals. He's certainly going to be overmatched here by Mike Leake. Brault's fastball tops out at 91 MPH and he's only making this start due to all of the injuries to Pittsburgh's rotation. Leake is having a fine season at 5-6 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.204 WHIP in 16 starts. Leake has owned the Pirates, going 9-4 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.224 WHIP in 16 lifetime starts against them. St. Louis is 40-14 (+16.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 2 seasons. The Cardinals are 20-6 (+12.9 Units) against the money line off a loss to a division rival as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. The Cardinals are 13-3 in their last 16 NL Central games. Take St. Louis.
|
07-04-16 |
Yankees v. White Sox +115 |
Top |
2-8 |
Win
|
115 |
3 h 54 m |
Show
|
7* Yankees/White Sox AL *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago +115
The Key: James Shields had a disastrous stretch there when he got traded from the Padres to the White Sox. But he has gotten it together over his last two starts, giving up just 4 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings against Boston and Minnesota. C.C. Sabathia has gone the other direction. After a tremendous start to the year, he has come back down to reality of late. Sabathia has given up 11 earned runs over 11 1/3 innings in his last 2 starts and should not be favored here. Shields sports a 4.15 ERA and 1.291 WHIP in 31 lifetime starts vs. New York. He has given up just 9 earned runs over 36 innings in his last 5 starts against New York for a 2.25 ERA. The Yankees are 2-10 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Take Chicago.
|
07-03-16 |
Cubs -114 v. Mets |
Top |
3-14 |
Loss |
-114 |
6 h 45 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago Cubs -114
The Key: I've been on the Cubs the past two days with no success. But I'm certainly not going to miss out on them picking up their only win of this series, so I'll back the Cubs against Sunday. They are 0-3 in this series against the Mets but certainly do not want to get swept. I look for Jon Lester to lead them to victory in Game 4 this afternoon. Lester is 9-3 with a 2.03 ERA in 16 starters this year, and 5-1 with a 1.73 ERA in 8 road starts. Lester is 14-1 when starting against a team that hits .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons as well. Take Chicago.
|
07-02-16 |
Cubs -161 v. Mets |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-161 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago Cubs -161
The Key: The Chicago Cubs are fuming mad right now. They lost to the Mets in the NLCS last year, and now they have dropped the first two games of this series. That's OK because ace Jake Arrieta is here to save the day Saturday and get the Cubs in the win column against them. Arrieta is 12-2 with a 2.10 ERA and 1.019 WHIP in 16 starts this year, including a perfect 8-0 with a 2.50 ERA and 0.889 WHIP in 8 road starts. Arrieta is also 2-2 with a 2.50 ERA and 0.933 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. New York. Bartolo Colon has never beaten the Cubs, going 0-2 with a 3.89 ERA and 1.373 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against them. Arrieta is 21-2 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. Arrieta is 22-1 (+20.6 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Take Chicago.
|
07-01-16 |
Cubs -110 v. Mets |
Top |
2-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* Cubs/Mets National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago -110
The Key: The Chicago Cubs are in revenge mode today. They lost to the New York Mets in the NLCS last year, and they blew a 3-0 lead to lose 4-3 in Game 1 of this series Thursday. Look for them to bounce back behind Jason Hammel, who is 7-4 with a 2.58 ERA in 15 starts this year, including 4-3 with a 2.45 ERA in 9 road starts. Jacob DeGrom is having a great season as well, but he's 1-2 with a 5.24 ERA in 4 lifetime starts vs. Chicago. The Cubs are 41-16 in their last 57 during game 2 of a series. Chicago is 13-4 in Hammel's last 17 starts during game 2 of a series. The Mets are 1-4 in DeGrom's last 5 starts. Take Chicago.
|
06-30-16 |
Indians v. Blue Jays +111 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto Blue Jays +111
The Key: The Cleveland Indians' 12-game winning streak comes to an end tonight in Toronto. It's to the point where they are overvalued now being road favorites against a team the caliber of the Blue Jays. Plus, Cleveland starter Carlos Carrasco has never pitched well against Toronto. He is 1-1 with a 7.98 ERA and 1.840 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. Meanwhile, R.A. Dickey is 4-2 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.114 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts vs. Cleveland. Toronto is 11-1 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent over the last 2 seasons. Take Toronto.
|
06-29-16 |
Blue Jays -127 v. Rockies |
Top |
5-3 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 46 m |
Show
|
7* Interleague *MOUND MISMATCH* on Toronto Blue Jays -127
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays clearly have the edge on the mound tonight over the Colorado Rockies and should roll to victory as a result, just as they did yesterday in their 14-9 victory. Aaron Sanchez has been brilliant all season, going 7-1 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.264 WHIP in 15 starts. Sanchez has actually been at his best on the road, going 5-0 with a 2.48 ERA and 1.103 WHIP in 9 starts away from home. Tyler Anderson has pitched well in his 3 starts this season for the Rockies, but two of them have come against the Marlins and Padres, who are light-hitting teams. He'll now be up against the best lineup he's faced this season in the Blue Jays. Colorado is 1-11 (-10.6 Units) against the money line after allowing 12 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. Take Toronto.
|
06-28-16 |
Cubs -1.5 v. Reds |
Top |
7-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-140)
The Key: We'll back the Chicago Cubs to win by 2 runs or more for a 2nd consecutive day here as they take on the lowly Cincinnati Reds with a big advantage on the mound once again. Jon Lester is 9-3 with a 2.10 ERA in 15 starts, and 5-1 with a 1.83 ERA in 7 road starts. Lester has never lost to the Reds, going 2-0 (6-0 money line) with a 3.38 ERA and 0.925 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against them. John Lamb is 1-4 with a 4.79 ERA in 10 starts for the Reds this year. Lamb is 0-1 with a 9.64 ERA in his lone lifetime start vs. Chicago. Cincinnati is 1-13 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. It is losing by 3.5 runs per game in this spot. Take Chicago on the Run Line.
|
06-27-16 |
Cubs -1.5 v. Reds |
Top |
11-8 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 51 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-145)
The Key: The Chicago Cubs are in the midst of their worst stretch of the season. They have gone 1-6 in their last 7 games overall. But now they'll turn to ace Jake Arrieta tonight, and I'll back them on the run line to win this game by 2 runs or more as a result. Arrieta is 11-2 with a 1.74 ERA and 0.980 WHIP in 15 starts this year. The right-hander is also 4-2 with a 2.81 ERA and 0.816 WHIP in six career starts against Cincinnati. Dan Straily is 4-4 with a 3.89 ERA in 13 starts for the Reds, including 1-2 with a 5.71 ERA in his last 3 starts. Cincinnati is 1-11 (-9.9 Units) against the money line revenging a home loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. It is losing by an average of 3.1 runs per game in this spot. Take Chicago on the Run Line.
|
06-26-16 |
Red Sox +100 v. Rangers |
Top |
2-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 8 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Red Sox +100
The Key: I like the value we are getting with the Boston Red Sox as underdogs to the Texas Rangers today. I don't think Martin Perez should be favored here. He has struggled recently with a 4.91 ERA and 1.528 WHIP in his last three starts. Perez is 1-1 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.938 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. Boston, too. The Red Sox are 9-3 in Buchholz's last 12 Sunday starts. Take Boston.
|
06-25-16 |
Nationals -140 v. Brewers |
Top |
5-6 |
Loss |
-140 |
8 h 0 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington Nationals -140
The Key: The Washington Nationals have lost 6 straight for the 1st time this season. Now they'll be motivated for a win Saturday to stop the bleeding. I like their chances against Matt Garza, who is 0-4 with a 7.41 ERA and 1.858 WHIP in 8 lifetime starts vs. New York. Take Washington.
|
06-24-16 |
Indians -107 v. Tigers |
Top |
7-4 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland -107
The Key: Cleveland continues to be one of the hottest teams in baseball and they bring their ace to the mound tonight in Danny Salazar. On the season, Salazar sits at 8-3 with a 2.23 ERA in 13 starts. He'll be backed by an Indians squad that has owned the Detroit Tigers of late, notching a 6-0 record against them, including taking the last three meetings in Detroit. The Tigers are fresh off of a sweep over Seattle, but they will find this hungry Cleveland team a much tougher opponent to handle, especially with one of the great young pitchers in the game on the mound. Take Cleveland.
|
06-23-16 |
Mets -143 v. Braves |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-143 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on New York Mets -143
The Key: The New York Mets were just swept in three games by the Atlanta Braves over the weekend. That will have them hungry for a victory and revenge in Game 1 of this new series Thursday. Matt Harvey has really turned it around of late, posting a 2.08 ERA over his last four starts. Harvey sports a 3.71 ERA in six lifetime starts vs. Atlanta. Matt Wisley has gone 1-5 with a 4.50 ERA in 8 home starts this year, and he's 1-2 with a 9.20 ERA in his last 3 starts coming in. Atlanta is 2-14 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season. The Braves are 3-19 (-17.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 7.5 this season. Take New York.
|
06-22-16 |
Rays v. Indians -117 |
Top |
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 10 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland Indians -117
The Key: The Cleveland Indians are proving to be the best team in the AL Central behind the best rotation in the division. They have won 5 in a row to get to 40-30 on the season. The Tampa Bay Rays are reeling, having lost 6 straight coming in while scoring a combined 14 runs in the process. Trevor Bauer will keep the Rays' bats cold tonight. Bauer is 3-2 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.187 WHIP in 10 starts, including 1-0 with a 1.59 ERA in his last 3 starts. Chris Archer has been awful this season, going 4-9 with a 4.60 ERA and 1.442 WHIP in 15 starts, and 3-4 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.790 WHIP in 8 road starts. Archer has never beaten the Indians, going 0-4 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.682 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. Take Cleveland.
|
06-21-16 |
Giants -139 v. Pirates |
Top |
15-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on San Francisco Giants -139
The Key: I'm going to back the hottest team in baseball in the San Francisco Giants, who have won 8 of their last 9 games overall coming in. They will be up against a Pittsburgh Pirates team that has lost 10 of its last 12 games overall. There's no question the Giants have a big edge on the mound in this one as well. Johnny Cueto has been brilliant, going 10-1 with a 2.10 ERA and 1.003 WHIP in 14 starts. Cueto is 18-5 with a 2.23 ERA and 1.009 WHIP in 29 lifetime starts vs. Pittsburgh as well. Wilfredo Boscan will be making his season debut for the Pirates, and he's simply overmatched in this one. Cueto is 11-1 (+9.4 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. The Giants are 9-0 in Cueto's last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take San Francisco.
|
06-20-16 |
Giants -1.5 v. Pirates |
Top |
0-1 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-110)
The Key: The San Francisco Giants are the hottest team in baseball right now. They have gone 8-0 in their last eight games with five of their last six victories coming by 2 runs or more. They should continue to roll tonight due to the edge they have on the mound. Ace Madison Bumgarner has gone 8-2 with a 2.01 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 14 starts this year for the Giants. Bumgarner is 3-3 with a 2.68 ERA and 1.041 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. Pittsburgh. Jeff Locke is now 5-5 with a 5.92 ERA and 1.487 WHIP in 13 starts for Pittsburgh. He has gone 1-2 with a 12.06 ERA in his last 3 starts, yielding 21 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings. Locke is 0-1 with a 9.42 ERA and 2.024 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. San Francisco. Bumgarner is 9-0 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games against NL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. The Giants are winning by 5.0 runs per game in this spot on average. Take San Francisco on the Run Line.
|
06-19-16 |
Cavs v. Warriors -4.5 |
Top |
93-89 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
7* Cavs/Warriors NBA Finals *HEAVY HITTER* on Golden State -4.5
The Key: The Golden State Warriors will win the NBA Finals with a convincing victory in Game 7. They have not played up to par their last two games, but a big reason was being without Draymond Green for Game 5. Look for them to make a statement in Game 7 and come up clutch, which is what they have done all season. They have only lost back-to-back games twice all year. They are 50-4 at home and this is the smallest favorites they have been all year. We're really getting them at a discount here tonight. Take Golden State.
|
06-19-16 |
Rangers v. Cardinals -132 |
|
5-4 |
Loss |
-132 |
3 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* Interleague *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -132
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals get the nod Sunday as small home favorites over the Texas Rangers in interleague action. Mike Leake has really been a nice addition to St. Louis' staff this season. He's 5-4 with a 4.08 ERA and 1.139 WHIP in 13 starts this year. Martin Perez is no more than a mediocre starters in the big leagues. He's 1-3 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.405 WHIP in six road starts this year. Leake sports a 2.03 ERA and 1.050 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Texas. The Cards are also hungry for a victory after losing 4 straight coming in. Take St. Louis.
|
06-18-16 |
Pirates v. Cubs -220 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 24 m |
Show
|
7* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Chicago Cubs -220 The Key: Lester has been dominant all season. He'll continue to shine against the Pittsburgh Pirates today. Take Chicago.
|
06-17-16 |
Nationals -160 v. Padres |
Top |
7-5 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 50 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Friday Night *BAILOUT* on Washington Nationals -160
The Key: The Washington Nationals are playing their best baseball of the season right now. They have won 9 of their last 11 games overall and don't appear to be slowing down any time soon. They're up against a San Diego Padres team that has lost 5 of its last 6 coming in. The Nationals certainly have the edge on the mound tonight behind Joe Ross, who is 5-4 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.158 WHIP in 12 starts, including 3-2 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.154 WHIP in 7 road starts. Ross is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in one lifetime starts vs. San Diego, pitching 6 innings while allowing only 3 base runners and no earned runs in a 4-2 victory. Christian Friedrich has never beaten the Nationals, going 0-2 with a monstrous 10.57 ERA and 2.350 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against them. Washington is 22-7 (+11.9 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. The Nationals are 8-1 in Ross' last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take Washington.
|
06-16-16 |
Warriors v. Cavs -2 |
Top |
101-115 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 38 m |
Show
|
7* Warriors/Cavs NBA Finals *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland -2
The Key: After the home team dominated the first 3 games of this series in blowout fashion, the road team has escaped with victories in each of the last 2 contests. I find it hard to believe that the road team can win 3 straight, so I'll side with the Cavaliers in Game 6 tonight. They have to be brimming with confidence after winning by 15 points in Oakland in Game 5 thanks to a pair of 41-point efforts from Lebron James and Kyrie Irving. Look for these two to get much more help from their supporting cast at home in Game 6. The Cavs are 41-9 at home this season and 8-1 at home in the playoffs with 7 of those victories coming by 11 points or more. The Cavs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Take Cleveland.
|
06-16-16 |
Rangers -123 v. A's |
|
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 53 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Texas Rangers -123
The Key: The Texas Rangers have gone under the radar again this season despite winning the AL West last year. They are 41-25 up to this point and will send out one of their best starters tonight in Colby Lewis. The right-hander is 5-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.083 WHIP in 13 starts this year. He has been unstoppable on the road, going 3-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 0.800 WHIP in 6 starts. Lewis is 11-4 with a 3.03 ERA and 1.167 WHIP in 25 lifetime starts vs. Oakland as well. The Rangers are 6-0 in Lewis' last 6 starts. The A's are 20-48 in their last 68 games following a loss. Oakland is 2-9 in its last 11 games overall. Take Texas.
|
06-15-16 |
Indians -133 v. Royals |
Top |
4-9 |
Loss |
-133 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
7* AL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Cleveland Indians -133
The Key: The Cleveland Indians are very hungry to avoid the sweep today against the hated Kansas City Royals after losing the first two games of this series by exactly one run each. The Indians have the edge on the mound today and should avoid the sweep as a result. Corey Kluber is 6-6 with a 3.65 ERA and 1.015 WHIP in 13 starts this year, including 4-2 with a 2.96 ERA and 0.8222 WHIP in 7 road starts. Kluber is also 6-5 with a 3.17 ERA and 1.037 WHIP in 15 lifetime starts vs. Kansas City. Ian Kennedy is 4-5 with a 4.06 ERA in 12 starts this year, including 0-2 with a 6.11 ERA in his last 3. Kennedy is 1-1 with a 4.15 ERA in 4 lifetime starts vs. Cleveland. He gave up 5 earned runs in 6 innings of a 1-7 loss to the Indians on June 4 earlier this month. Cleveland is 14-4 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. The Royals are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter. Take Cleveland.
|
06-14-16 |
Mariners v. Rays -111 |
Top |
7-8 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Tampa Bay Rays -111
The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays come in playing some of their best baseball of the season. They've won 7 of their last 9 games overall. The Mariners come in playing some of their worst, losers of 7 of their last 10 games overall. I believe the Rays have the edge on the mound tonight with Jake Odorizzi. He's 3-3 with a 3.47 ERA in 13 starts, including 0-2 with a 2.52 ERA in 6 home starts. Taijuan Walker is 3-6 with a 3.48 ERA in 12 starts, and 1-3 with a 5.00 ERA in 4 road starts. Odorizzi has owned the Mariners, going 1-1 with a 0.52 ERA and 0.866 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. He has allowed just 1 earned run in 17 1/3 innings over those 3 starts. Walker gave up 4 runs in 5 2/3 innings in his only lifetime start against Tampa Bay back on May 11 this year. Take Tampa Bay.
|
06-13-16 |
Dodgers v. Diamondbacks -150 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Arizona Diamondbacks -150
The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks will send ace Zack Greinke to the mound to take on his former team for the first time tonight. He'll be motivated to beat his former teammates, and he certainly looks good coming in. Greinke has won five straight starts and is 8-1 since his first two starts of the season. He is 3-0 with a 1.64 ERA and 0.727 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Mike Bolsinger is 1-3 with a 5.76 ERA in 4 starts this year for Los Angeles. Greinke faced the Dodgers prior to joining them, going 2-0 (4-0 money line) with a 2.52 ERA in 4 starts, having never lost to them. Take Arizona.
|
06-13-16 |
Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 205 |
Top |
112-97 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
7* Cavs/Warriors *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 205
The Key: The Golden State Warriors will no longer be able to go small with Draymond Green at center, which is their best lineup. They will have to go bigger and give Andrew Bogut more minutes. I believe that chance will make the Warriors' offense much less potent, and it will help lead to a low-scoring Game 5. These teams are now very familiar with one another after playing four games already, which also favors the defenses. Cleveland is 8-1 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. The UNDER is 7-1 in Warriors last eight vs. Eastern Conference. The UNDER is 19-6-1 in Warriors last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the UNDER.
|
06-12-16 |
Astros -127 v. Rays |
Top |
0-5 |
Loss |
-127 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
|
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Houston Astros -127
The Key: The Houston Astros have clawed their back to near .500 on the season after a disastrous start. They will make another stride forward today in the win column considering the edge they have on the mound. Dallas Keuchel has gotten his act together of late, going 1-2 with a 3.98 ERA and 0.984 WHIP in his last 3 starts. I'll gladly back him over Matt Moore, who is 2-4 with a 5.55 ERA and 1.478 WHIP in 12 starts this season. Moore has already given up a whopping 14 homers in 69 2/3 innings pitched, so he has clearly been off his game all year. The Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. The Astros are 9-2 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record. The Rays are 1-8 in Moore's last 9 starts. Take Houston.
|
06-11-16 |
Dodgers v. Giants -120 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 48 m |
Show
|
7* NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on San Francisco Giants -120
The Key: The San Francisco Giants get the nod today as short home favorites over the rival Los Angeles Dodgers. Jeff Samardzija looks to continue his great start to the season. He's 7-4 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.136 WHIP in 12 starts, including 3-1 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.120 WHIP in 4 home starts. Scott Kazmir hasn't been nearly as effective for the Dodgers, going 5-3 with a 4.46 ERA in 12 starts, including 2-0 with a 5.13 ERA in 6 road starts. Kazmir is 1-2 with a 5.22 ERA and 1.548 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. San Francisco. In 2 starts against the Giants in 2016, he has given up 10 earned runs in 8 innings. The Giants are 17-4 in their last 21 vs. National League West. The Dodgers are 4-11 in the last 15 road meetings in this series. Take San Francisco.
|
06-10-16 |
Warriors v. Cavs -2 |
Top |
108-97 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* Warriors/Cavs NBA Finals *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland -2
The Key: We'll stick with the home team once again in Game 4. The home team has won in blowout fashion in the first three games of this series, and I look for them to follow suit tonight. Cleveland is 41-8 at home this season and has upped its game at home even more in the playoffs. Indeed, the Cavs are 8-0 at home in the postseason with an average margin of victory of over 20 points per game. Golden State has actually been outscored by over 13 points per game in its last six road games while going 2-4 in the process. The Cavs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games coming in. Take Cleveland.
|
06-10-16 |
Orioles v. Blue Jays -121 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays -121
The Key: Toronto comes into tonight's matchup with the Orioles with a big edge on the mound. Marco Estrada is 4-2 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.978 WHIP in 11 starts this year. He has been at his best at home, going 2-1 with a 1.30 ERA and 0.808 WHIP in 5 starts. Estrada is also 2-1 with a 3.07 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Baltimore. Kevin Gausman has yet to win this season, going 0-3 with a 3.52 ERA in nine starts. While solid, he's not as good as Estrada. The Orioles are 4-12 in Gausman's last 16 road starts. The Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 Friday games. Toronto is 4-0 in Estrada's last 4 starts. Take Toronto.
|
06-09-16 |
Indians +123 v. Mariners |
Top |
5-3 |
Win
|
123 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* Indians/Mariners MLB *BAILOUT* on Cleveland +123
The Key: The Cleveland Indians get the nod Thursday as nice-sized road underdogs to the Seattle Mariners Thursday night in the final game on the board. Josh Tomlin is killing it this season, going 8-1 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.098 WHIP in 10 starts. He has been at his best on the road at 4-0 with a 2.93 ERA and 0.867 WHIP in 4 starts. Nate Karns is 5-2 with a 4.23 ERA and 1.427 WHIP in 11 starts for the Mariners and shouldn't be the favorite here. He's also 1-1 with a 6.89 ERA and 1.851 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Tomlin is 4-1 with a 3.41 ERA and 0.903 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Seattle. He pitched a one-hit shutout in his last start against the Mariners. The Indians are 17-4 in Tomlin's last 21 starts overall, including 8-0 in his last 8 road starts. Take Cleveland.
|
06-08-16 |
Warriors v. Cavs +1.5 |
Top |
90-120 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
7* Warriors/Cavs NBA Finals *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland +1.5
The Key: The Cleveland Cavaliers will certainly be hungry for a win in Game 3 tonight after taking it on the chin both on the floor and through the media over the past week. Now they get to return to the friendly confines of Cleveland, which is going to make all the difference. The Cavs are 40-8 at home this season. They are 7-0 at home in the playoffs with an average margin of victory of more than 20 points per game. They are also a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. Golden State has lost 3 of its last 5 road games coming in while getting outscored by 10 points per game. Take Cleveland.
|
06-08-16 |
Royals v. Orioles -152 |
|
0-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Baltimore Orioles -152
The Key: The Baltimore Orioles will be extra amped up for this game after the brawl they got into last night with the Royals. Look for them to continue their solid play this season after winning 6 of their last 7 coming in. They are now 23-11 at home this season and continue to be one of the most underrated home teams in baseball. Chris Tillman is 5-0 with a 2.78 ERA in 8 home starts this year, and the Orioles are 8-0 in those contests. Edinson Volquez is 2-3 with a 6.99 ERA in 5 road starts this season for Kansas City. Volquez has never beaten the Orioles, going 0-2 (0-4 money line) with a 5.40 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. Take Baltimore.
|
06-07-16 |
Blue Jays -123 v. Tigers |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-123 |
8 h 35 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto Blue Jays -123
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays have a huge edge on the mound tonight over the Detroit Tigers. Aaron Sanchez has been their best starter all season, going 5-1 with a 2.99 ERA and 1.216 WHIP in 11 starts, including 4-0 with a 2.38 ERA and 1.104 WHIP in 6 road starts. Matt Boyd is 0-1 with a 5.56 ERA in two starts this season for Detroit. Over his 2-year career, Boyd is 1-7 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.486 WHIP in 14 starts and 2 relief appearances. He gave up 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 6 innings of a 3-5 loss to the Blue Jays in his only lifetime start against them last year. Toronto is 21-7 (+13.2 Units) against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons. The Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss. Toronto is 6-1 in Sanchez's last 7 starts. Detroit is 3-8 in Boyd's last 11 starts. Take Toronto.
|
06-06-16 |
Rockies +131 v. Dodgers |
Top |
6-1 |
Win
|
131 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Colorado Rockies +131
The Key: The Colorado Rockies should not be underdogs to the Los Angeles Dodgers today with the edge they have on the mound. Tyler Chatwood is one of the most underrated starters in baseball. He's 6-4 with a 2.99 ERA and 1.212 WHIP in 11 starts this year, including a perfect 4-0 with a 0.53 ERA and 0.891 WHIP in 5 road starts. Mike Bolsinger is no more than a fill-in starter for the Dodgers. He's 1-2 with a 4.20 ERA in 3 starts this year. Chatwood sports a 3.68 ERA in 8 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles. Bolsinger sports a 5.40 ERA and 1.650 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. Colorado. Take Colorado.
|
06-05-16 |
Cavs +6.5 v. Warriors |
Top |
77-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Finals GAME OF THE YEAR on Cleveland +6.5
The Key: It has been a very profitable move to back the losing Game 1 team in Game 2 throughout the NBA playoffs for years. In fact, the Game 1 loser is 204-159 ATS since 1991 in Game 2. I love the Cavaliers here catching 6.5 points. They had the Warriors on the brink with a lead late, but the Warriors' bench exploded in the 4th quarter and they essentially won without Curry or Thompson needing a big game. While some will look at that as the Warriors will be even better if Curry and Thompson perform, I look at is as the Warriors will never get another game like that from their bench again. The Cavs' bench was nearly non-existent, but after getting their feet wet, I look for a lot more production from them in Game 2 so James, Irving and Love don't have to completely carry the load again. Take Cleveland in a Game 2 that they will likely win outright.
|
06-05-16 |
Giants v. Cardinals -144 |
|
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -144
The Key: I'll lay the juice with the Cardinals today in a game that they have a huge edge on the mound. Carlos Martinez is having a fine season at 5-5 with a 3.69 ERA and 1.148 WHIP in 10 starts. Martinez is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA in his lone lifetime start vs. San Francisco. Jake Peavy is one of the worst starters in the majors. He's 2-5 with a 6.354 ERA and 1.572 WHIP in 11 starts this year. Peavy is also 3-6 with a 4.30 ERA and 1.394 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts vs. St. Louis. He hasn't made it past the 4th inning in any of his last 2 starts vs. St. Louis. Take St. Louis.
|
06-04-16 |
Blue Jays v. Red Sox -121 |
Top |
4-6 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 18 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Red Sox -121
The Key: The Boston Red Sox are showing great value as only -121 favorites over the Toronto Blue Jays today. The Red Sox are extremely hungry for a victory after losing 3 straight coming in, and with their edge on the mound today, they should stop the losing streak here. Steven Wright has been awesome this season, going 5-4 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in 10 starts. He has posted a 2.13 ERA and 1.184 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Toronto as well. Marcus Stroman sports a 4.46 ERA in 11 starts this year, including a 7.23 ERA in his last 3. He has given up 12 earned runs in 10 2/3 innings in his last 2 starts against Boston, both of which have come this season. He'll get rocked again today. Take Boston.
|
06-03-16 |
Rays -115 v. Twins |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Tampa Bay Rays -115
The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays are hungry for a victory tonight after losing 5 straight and 11 of their last 13 coming in. I like their chances to stop the bleeding with the edge they have on the mound tonight. Jake Odorizzi is having a fine season at 2-3 with a 3.36 ERA and 1.103 WHIP in 11 starts. he has been at his best of late, going 2-1 with a 2.12 ERA and 0.765 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Ricky Nolasco is 2-3 with a 5.28 ERA in 10 starts and 0-1 with a 7.54 ERA in 4 home starts. Nolasco is 3-5 with a 7.33 ERA and 1.698 WHIP in 8 lifetime starts vs. Tampa Bay. Minnesota is 7-26 (-17.6 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. The Twins are 1-14 (-13.9 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season. Take Tampa Bay.
|
06-02-16 |
Cavs +6 v. Warriors |
Top |
89-104 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
7* Cavs/Warriors NBA Finals *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland +6
The Key: Cleveland is 12-2 ATS when playing just its 2nd game in 7 days over the past 3 seasons. This team has proven it plays its best on rest, and that has been the case this postseason as well. The Cavs covered the 8-point spread in Game 1 against the Hawks with an 11-point victory after sweeping the Pistons. They also throttled the Raptors by 31 as 11-point favorites in Game 1 after sweeping the Hawks. They will be their best version of themselves in Game 1 tonight against the Warriors, especially with revenge in mind from last year's NBA Finals. The Warriors could be in a tough spot mentally here in Game 1 after what they accomplished in winning the final three games to beat the Thunder in the Western Conference Finals. They are ripe for the upset here. Take Cleveland.
|
06-02-16 |
Mariners -135 v. Padres |
|
16-13 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* Mariners/Padres Interleague *BAILOUT* on Seattle -135
The Key: The Seattle Mariners are swinging the bats very well right now. They have scored a combined 31 runs in the first 3 games of this series with San Diego. They have scored at least 5 runs in 15 of their last 21 games overall as well. I expect them to tee off on Colin Rea, who is 3-2 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.358 WHIP in 9 starts for the Padres this season. Rea hasn't made it past the 5th inning while going 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in his last 3 starts. Wade Miley has made it through the 6th inning in each of his last 6 starts against San Diego without giving up more than 3 earned runs in any of the 6. He has posted a 2.25 ERA in his last 6 starts against the Padres while only allowing 10 earned runs in 40 innings. Seattle is 7-1 (+7.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season. The Mariners are 6-1 in Miley's last 7 starts overall. The Padres are 2-8 in their last 10 games overall. San Diego is 2-9 in its last 11 interleague home games. Take Seattle.
|
06-01-16 |
Pirates -105 v. Marlins |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Pittsburgh Pirates -105
The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates have lost 3 of their last 4 games coming in and will be hungry for a victory tonight. I like their chances with the edge they'll have on the mound here. Jon Niese is the better starter at 5-2 with a 4.42 ERA in 10 starts this year. But he's been at his best recently, going 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Adam Conley is 3-3 with a 4.15 ERA and 1.481 WHIP in 10 starts, 1-3 with a 5.91 ERA and 1.641 WHIP in 4 home starts, and 1-1 with a 5.17 ERA and 2.043 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Niese gave up 1 run and 5 base runners in 7 innings of a 5-1 win at Miami in his last start against the Marlins. The Pirates are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Pittsburgh is 4-1 in Niese's last 5 road starts. The Marlins are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win. The Pirates are 19-7 in the last 26 meetings. Take Pittsburgh.
|
05-31-16 |
Rays -114 v. Royals |
Top |
5-10 |
Loss |
-114 |
11 h 14 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Tampa Bay Rays -114
The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays are certainly hungry for a victory here today against the Kansas City Royals. They have lost two straight and six of eight overall. But they do have the edge on the mound today to get back on track. Drew Smyly sports a 3.92 ERA and 1.048 WHIP in 10 starts, and a 3.16 ERA and 1.181 WHIP in 5 road starts. Dillon Gee is 1-2 with a 5.65 ERA and 1.745 WHIP in 3 starts for the Royals. Smyly is 3-1 with a 2.20 ERA and 1.041 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Kansas City. The Rays are 9-2 in their last 11 Tuesday games. The Rays are 8-2 in Smyly's last 10 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Take Tampa Bay.
|
05-30-16 |
Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 219 |
Top |
88-96 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
|
7* Thunder/Warriors *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 219
The Key: The Thunder and Warriors have now squared off six straight times. It's obvious that they are familiar with one another now, and that will lead to a low-scoring battle in Game 7 that favors the defenses with everything at stake. These teams combined for 209 points in Game 6, and I look for a similar output tonight in Golden State. The Warriors have been going with a bigger lineup to counter the Thunder, which also favors the UNDER. The Under is 8-3 in Thunder last 11 Conference Finals games. The Under is 7-2 in Warriors last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Under is 8-3 in Warriors last 11 Conference Finals games. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Golden State. Take the UNDER.
|
05-30-16 |
Yankees v. Blue Jays -138 |
|
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays -138
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays get the nod Sunday as small home favorites over the New York Yankees. That's because Marco Estrada has been brilliant all season, especially at home. Estrada is 2-2 with a 2.76 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in 9 starts, including 1-1 with a 1.69 ERA and 0.825 WHIP in 4 home starts. He's also 2-2 with a 3.78 ERA and 1.234 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. New York. Ivan Nova is 5-5 with a 5.16 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in 14 lifetime starts vs. Toronto. Take Toronto.
|
05-29-16 |
White Sox -141 v. Royals |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-141 |
3 h 57 m |
Show
|
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -141
The Key: The Chicago White Sox have been struggling of late, but the one thing that's certain is that they continue to win at an alarming rate with AL Cy Young contender Chris Sale on the mound. The left-hander is 9-1 with a 2.26 ERA and 0.837 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 5-0 with a 1.41 ERA and 0.809 WHIP in 5 road starts. Sale has posted a 2.80 ERA in 15 lifetime starts vs. Kansas City as well. Edinson Volquez has struggled for the most part this year, going 5-4 with a 3.81 ERA and 1.402 WHIP in 10 starts. Sale is 18-3 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in May games lifetime. The White Sox are 10-1 in Sale's last 11 starts. Take Chicago.
|
05-28-16 |
Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 221 |
Top |
108-101 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 48 m |
Show
|
7* Warriors/Thunder *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 221
The Key: The Golden State Warriors and Oklahoma City Thunder are obviously extremely familiar with one another as they've played five games in this series already. That clearly favors the defenses and will lead to a low-scoring affair in Game 6. The Warriors made an adjustment and decided to go bigger for longer stretches in Game 5, and it worked, so look for them to go big again. That also favors the defenses as the Thunder prefer to play big anyways. OKC is 13-3 UNDER after two straight games where it made 9 or more 3-point shots. Golden State is 17-5 UNDER off two straight games where it made 85% or more of their free throws this season. The UNDER is 8-3 in Warriors last 11 road games. Take the UNDER.
|
05-28-16 |
Orioles v. Indians -155 |
|
4-11 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Cleveland Indians -155
The Key: The Cleveland Indians have a massive advantage on the mound tonight and are worth the -155 price because of it. Danny Salazar has quickly become the ace of their staff, going 4-3 with a 2.32 ERA and 1.123 WHIP in 9 starts this season. The right-hander is 2-1 with a 1.23 ERA and 0.773 WHIP in 3 home starts as well. He's also 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Baltimore. Ubaldo Jimenez is 2-5 with a 6.04 ERA and 1.776 WHIP in 9 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 9.60 ERA and 2.200 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Jimenez is 1-2 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.547 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. Cleveland. Jimenez is 2-11 (-10.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. The Orioles are 0-4 in Jimenez's last 4 road starts. The Indians are 6-1 in Salazar's last 7 home starts. Cleveland is 25-12 in its last 37 games following a loss. Take Cleveland.
|
05-27-16 |
Cavs -6 v. Raptors |
Top |
113-87 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
7* Cavs/Raptors Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland -6
The Key: The Cleveland Cavaliers roll into Game 6 brimming with confidence after their 38-point statement victory over the Raptors in Game 5. The Raptors come in deflated knowing that they really stand no chance of winning this series. The Cavs want to prove that they can win on the road in Game 6 here tonight and I believe they roll to victory again. They also do not want to have this series go to 7 games as they can take advantage of some extra rest if they win tonight. I was mostly impressed with the Cavs' 57-38 rebounding edge in Game 5 where they held the Raptors to only 5 offensive rebounds. Well, Toronto is 1-10 ATS off a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. The Raptors are also 0-8 ATS after scoring 85 points or less in their previous game over the last 2 years. Take Cleveland.
|
05-27-16 |
Orioles v. Indians -125 |
|
6-4 |
Loss |
-125 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Cleveland Indians -125
The Key: The Cleveland Indians have gone 8-3 in their last 11 games overall, while the Orioles have cooled off in losing four straight coming in. I look for the Indians to continue their momentum here due to their edge on the mound. Trevor Bauer is 2-2 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.235 WHIP in 5 starts, including 1-2 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.232 WHIP in his last 3. Mike Wright is 2-3 with a 5.09 ERA and 1.377 WHIP in 7 starts for the Orioles, and 1-1 with a 5.94 ERA in 3 road starts. Baltimore is 2-10 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in road games after 2 or more consecutive road games this season. The Orioles are 2-11 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 to 4.70 over the last 2 seasons. The Orioles are 0-4 in Wright's last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Take Cleveland.
|
05-26-16 |
Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 220.5 |
Top |
111-120 |
Loss |
-107 |
9 h 6 m |
Show
|
7* Thunder/Warriors *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 220.5
The Key: The UNDER is 3-1 through the first four games of this series, yet the oddsmakers have failed to adjust enough tonight in setting this total above 220 points once again. They combined for 210 points in Game 1, 209 in Game 2 and 212 points in Game 4. I expect a similar result tonight here in Game 5 as these teams are now extremely familiar with one another, which only favors the defenses even more as this series goes on. OKC is 8-1 UNDER in road games vs. teams who outscore their opponents by 9-plus points per game this season. The UNDER is 4-0 in Thunder's last 4 road games. The UNDER is 7-2 in Thunder's last 9 conference finals games. The UNDER is 19-7-1 in Warriors last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The UNDER is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Golden State. Take the UNDER.
|
05-26-16 |
Blue Jays -113 v. Yankees |
|
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays -113
The Key: J.A. Happ has been one of the best starters for the Blue Jays this season. He has gone 5-2 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.214 WHIP in 9 starts, including 2-1 with a 2.27 ERA and 1.037 WHIP in 5 road starts. Happ is 2-0 with a 2.77 ERA in his last 2 starts against New York, giving up just 4 earned runs in 13 innings. C.C. Sabathia has also been solid on the road, but terrible at home. He is 0-1 with a 5.78 ERA and 2.141 WHIP in two home starts this season. Sabathia is 1-2 with a 6.00 ERA in his last 3 starts against Toronto, giving up 12 earned runs in 18 innings. The Blue Jays are 9-4 in their last 13 meetings with the Yankees. Take Toronto.
|
05-25-16 |
Raptors v. Cavs -10.5 |
Top |
78-116 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* Raptors/Cavs Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland -10.5
The Key: Home-court advantage has been huge all season long when the Raptors and Cavaliers have gotten together. In fact, the home team is a perfect 7-0 SU & 7-0 ATS in seven meetings between Cleveland and Toronto dating back to the regular season. The Cavs have won their 3 home meetings with the Raptors by an average of 24 points per game. The Cavs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games overall. The Raptors have gone 0-4 ATS in their last four road games. These three trends equate to a 16-0 angle backing the Cavaliers in Game 5 here tonight. Take Cleveland.
|
05-25-16 |
Blue Jays -108 v. Yankees |
|
8-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays -108
The Key: I expect the Toronto Blue Jays' to put an end to the Yankees' six-game winning streak tonight due to the advantage they have on the mound. Marco Estrada is 1-2 with a 2.61 ERA and 1.045 WHIP in 8 starts for the Blue Jays with 50 strikeouts in 51 2/3 innings. Estrada sports a 3.77 ERA and 1.256 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. New York. Ivan Nova has not enjoyed facing the Blue Jays, going 5-4 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.405 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts against them. Nova gave up 6 earned runs in 1 2/3 innings of a 7-10 loss in his last home start against New York. The Yankees are 2-10 (-10.5 Units) against the money line off a win of 6 runs or more over a division rival over the last 3 seasons. Take Toronto.
|
05-24-16 |
Warriors -110 v. Thunder |
Top |
94-118 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 39 m |
Show
|
7* Warriors/Thunder Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Golden State ML -110
The Key: This is essentially the series in my opinion. Golden State must win to tie the series at 2-2 and regain home-court advantage, or this series is overall. With their backs against the wall, look for the Warriors to come out with one of their best games of the season. After all, they are 12-0 in games following a loss this season, and I expect them to be 13-0 in this situation after tonight. It was critical that Draymond Green was not suspended, and he'll have a big bounce-back performance tonight to lead the way alongside Steph Curry. Take Golden State.
|
05-24-16 |
Blue Jays +120 v. Yankees |
|
0-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays +120
The Key: I like the price we are getting with the Toronto Blue Jays as +120 road underdogs to the New York Yankees tonight. The Yankees come in overvalued due to having won five straight. R.A. Dickey has been at his best on the road this season, going 2-1 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.225 WHIP in 4 road starts. Dickey is 1-2 with a 2.57 ERA and 0.952 WHIP in his last 3 starts as well. Not to mention, he's 5-4 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.065 WHIP in 14 lifetime starts vs. New York. Those are numbers that should warrant him getting more respect than he is here tonight. Nathan Eovaldi is 4-2 with a 4.44 ERA in 8 starts this year, and 2-1 with a 4.87 ERA in 4 home starts. The Blue Jays are 20-9 in their last 29 games following an off day. The Yankees are 1-8 in their last 9 games following an off day. The Blue Jays are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. Take Toronto.
|
05-23-16 |
Cavs v. Raptors +6.5 |
Top |
99-105 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 59 m |
Show
|
7* Cavs/Raptors Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto +6.5
The Key: The Toronto Raptors have one of the most underrated home-court advantages in the NBA. They are 39-11 at home this season, and they rolled to a 15-point victory over the Cavaliers in Game 3 at home on Saturday. They are now 3-0 at home against the Cavaliers this season, yet they are 6.5-point dogs in Game 4. Home-court advantage has been huge between these teams in recent meetings to say the least. The home team is a perfect 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. That trends continues here tonight. Take Toronto.
|
05-23-16 |
Royals -121 v. Twins |
|
10-4 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 34 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Kansas City Royals -121
The Key: This is a very generous price to get the defending champion Royals at Monday against the AL-worst Minnesota Twins (11-32). That's especially the case considering the Royals have a big edge on the mound here. Ian Kennedy is 4-3 with a 3.24 ERA and 1.120 WHIP in 8 starts this year. Ricky Nolasco is 1-2 with a 4.74 ERA in 8 starts for the Twins, including 0-2 with a 6.19 ERA in his last 3 starts. Kennedy is 2-1 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. Minnesota. Nolasco allowed 5 earned runs in 2 2/3 innings in his last home start against KC, which resulted in a 1-6 loss. Minnesota is 1-15 (-13.4 Units) against the money line with triple revenge - 3 straight losses against opponent this season. The Twins are 1-14 (-13.3 Units) against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season. Take Kansas City.
|
05-22-16 |
Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 220.5 |
Top |
105-133 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
|
7* Warriors/Thunder *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 220.5
The Key: The first two games of this series have stayed well UNDER the posted total, yet the oddsmakers have failed to adjust enough in Game 3 tonight. They combined for 210 points in Game 1 and 209 points in Game 2. The total for Game 3 has been set at 220.5, and I have a hard time seeing them combining for at least 210 points again, let alone 220.5. Golden State is 21-10 UNDER in all playoff games over the last two seasons. OKC is 12-3 UNDER off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last two years. The UNDER is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 conference finals games. The UNDER is 7-2 in Warriors last 9 road games. The UNDER is 6-1 in Thunder last 7 conference finals games. Take the UNDER.
|
05-22-16 |
Diamondbacks v. Cardinals -123 |
|
7-2 |
Loss |
-123 |
3 h 38 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -123
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are showing solid value as small home favorites over the Arizona Diamondbacks today. Jamie Garcia has been one of the best starters in baseball this season, going 3-3 with a 2.86 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in 8 starts. He is 2-1 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.842 WHIP in his last 3 starts as well. Zack Greinke is 4-3 with a 5.08 ERA and 1.394 WHIP in his first season with the Diamondbacks. Garcia has never lost to the Diamondbacks, going 5-0 with a 2.94 ERA in 6 lifetime starts. The Diamondbacks are 16-39 in their last 55 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The Cardinals are 104-48 in their last 152 home games vs. a team with a losing record. St. Louis is 39-18 in its last 57 meetings with Arizona. Take St. Louis.
|
05-21-16 |
Cavs v. Raptors UNDER 198.5 |
Top |
84-99 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* Cavs/Raptors *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 198.5
The Key: I certainly like backing the UNDER in playoff series as they get deeper into the series. That's because teams become more familiar with each other, which favors the defenses. The Raptors and Cavs combined for 199 points in Game 1 and then 197 in Game 2. I look for that trend to continue and for Game 3 to be the lowest-scoring contest yet. The UNDER is 48-23 in Cavaliers last 71 vs. Atlantic Division opponents. The UNDER is 7-2 in Raptors last 9 vs. NBA Central Division opponents. The UNDER is 21-5-1 in the last 27 meetings in Toronto. Take the UNDER.
|
05-21-16 |
Cubs -160 v. Giants |
|
3-5 |
Loss |
-160 |
7 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago Cubs -160
The Key: Talk about your ultimate mound mismatch here between the Cubs and Giants. We saw it yesterday with Jake Arrieta over Jake Peavy in an 8-1 Cubs' victory. I expect another blowout in favor of Chicago tonight. Jon Lester is 4-2 with a 1.88 ERA and 0.968 WHIP in 8 starts this year, including 3-0 with a 0.92 ERA in 3 road starts. Lester has never lost to the Giants, going 3-0 with a 1.11 ERA and 0.904 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. Matt Cain is 0-5 with a 5.87 ERA and 1.478 WHIP in 8 starts this year. Cain is 0-2 with an 11.00 ERA in his last 2 starts against Chicago, both of which came last year. Take Chicago.
|
05-20-16 |
Yankees v. A's -129 |
Top |
8-3 |
Loss |
-129 |
15 h 1 m |
Show
|
7* American League GAME OF THE MONTH on Oakland A's -129
The Key: The Oakland A's won four straight before losing the first game of this series to the Yankees. Look for them to get back in the win column tonight behind ace Sonny Gray. The right-hander is undervalued right now due to a sub-par start to the season, but he's the real deal. Gray is 1-1 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.095 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. New York as well. C.C. Sabathia is washed up. He is 2-2 with a 3.81 ERA and 1.553 WHIP in 5 starts this year. Sabathia is 9-11 with a 4.71 ERA and 1.385 WHIP in 29 lifetime starts vs. Oakland. The left-hander has given up 13 earned runs in 17 1/3 innings for a 6.75 ERA in his last 3 starts against the A's. The Yankees are 3-9 in their last 12 road games. The A's are 7-1 in their last 8 Friday games. The Yankees are 3-12 in their last 15 road meetings with the A's. Take Oakland.
|
05-19-16 |
Raptors +13 v. Cavs |
Top |
89-108 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 56 m |
Show
|
7* Raptors/Cavs Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto +13
The Key: The Toronto Raptors were clearly overmatched in Game 1 against Cleveland. But they certainly had an excuse as they were coming off a grueling 7-game series against the Miami Heat, which concluded on Sunday. They had to play the Cavs on Tuesday and had little time to prepare. But look for them to make some adjustments in Game 2 now that they've seen the Cavs first-hand. Dwayne Casey has made great adjustments all playoffs, and that is supported by the fact that the Raptors are 6-0 straight up following a loss this postseason. Look for them to give the Cavs a run for their money here. Cleveland is 1-9 ATS when covering the spread in at least 5 of its last 7 games this season. Take Toronto.
|
05-19-16 |
Rockies v. Cardinals -137 |
|
7-13 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -137
The Key: This is a generous price here for the Cardinals at home against the Rockies as they look to win this series Thursday night. Michael Wacha has been solid this season at 2-4 with a 3.23 ERA, and he'll be up against Jon Gray, who is 1-1 with a 4.71 ERA for Colorado. Wacha has been really sharp at home, posting a 2.08 ERA and 1.115 WHIP in 4 home starts. In his only home start against Colorado, he pitched 7 shutout innings of a 7-0 victory last season. Colorado is 18-52 in its last 70 vs. a team with a winning record. The Rockies are 0-6 in Gray's last 6 road starts. The Cardinals are 21-8 in Wacha's last 29 home starts. Take St. Louis.
|
05-18-16 |
Thunder v. Warriors -8.5 |
Top |
91-118 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 38 m |
Show
|
7* Western Conference Finals GAME OF THE YEAR on Golden State Warriors -8.5
The Key: The Golden State Warriors aren't about to fall behind the Thunder 2-0. They had an uncharacteristically bad second half in Game 1 where they were outscored by 19 points. They started playing two much one-on-one, and it cost them. Look for the Warriors to get back to playing team basketball for four quarters like they did in the first half to build a double-digit lead. I fully expect the Warriors to cruise to a double-digit victory in Game 2 here tonight thanks to the adjustments from Steve Kerr. The Warriors haven't lost two straight games all season. They are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games when revenging a loss. Take Golden State.
|
05-18-16 |
Rays v. Blue Jays -121 |
|
6-3 |
Loss |
-121 |
7 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Toronto Blue Jays -121
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays have lost four straight games coming in, and it's safe to say they are hungry for a victory because of it. They have been blown out back-to-back days by the Rays, but that's not going to happen today. R.A. Dickey has been absolutely dominant of late, going 1-1 with a 1.27 ERA and 0.938 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He'll be opposed by Jake Odorizzi, who is 0-1 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 3 road starts this year. Dickey is 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA in his last 3 starts against Tampa Bay. Toronto is 24-7 (+15.3 Units) against the money line off 2 straight upset losses to division rivals as a home favorite since 1997. Tampa Bay is 1-13 (-14.7 Units) against the money line after 2 straight games with at least 7 more hits than their opponent since 1997. Take Toronto.
|
05-17-16 |
Yankees v. Diamondbacks -117 |
|
3-5 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* Yankees/DBacks Interleague *CA$H COW* on Arizona -117
The Key: Rarely will you get the opportunity to back ace Zac5k Greinke as this small of a home favorite all season. He has gotten off to a below-average start, but that just has him undervalued right now. That being said, he has still been better than Yankees' starter Michael Pineda, who is 1-4 with a 6.28 ERA and 1.603 WHIP in 7 starts. Pineda has already allowed 9 homers in 38 2/3 innings this season. Pineda is 2-10 (-12.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 lifetime. Greinke is 58-24 (+27.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win lifetime. Arizona is 19-6 (+13.2 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. The Yankees are 5-16 in their last 21 road games and 0-6 in Pineda's last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Diamondbacks are 41-20 in their last 61 vs. a team with a losing record. Take Arizona.
|
05-17-16 |
Raptors v. Cavs -11 |
Top |
84-115 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* Raptors/Cavs Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland -11
The Key: The Cleveland Cavaliers have everything working in their favor heading into Game 1 Tuesday. They have had 9 days off following back-to-back sweeps of the Pistons and Hawks. Now they face a Raptors team that just played a grueling Game 7 against the Miami Heat on Sunday and has had only one day off to rest. The Cavaliers throttled the Raptors by 22 in their only home meeting this season. The Raptors are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and stand little chance of keeping Game 1 competitive given the situation. They are also without Jonas Valanciunas, who is arguably their most important player. Take Cleveland.
|
05-16-16 |
Yankees v. Diamondbacks -110 |
|
2-12 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* Yankees/DBacks Interleague *CA$H COW* on Arizona -110
The Key: No question the Arizona Diamondbacks come into this series with the Yankees hungry for a victory tonight. They have dropped five straight games and desperately need to get back on track. Robbie Ray has gone 1-2 with a 4.59 ERA in 7 starts this season, but he does have 41 strikeouts in 35 1/3 innings, so his stuff has obviously been pretty good. Chad Green makes his MLB debut for the Yankees here, and I look for the Diamondbacks to tee off on him. The Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Arizona is 4-1 in Ray's last 5 interleague starts. The Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 road games. New York is 1-7 in its last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Take Arizona.
|
05-16-16 |
Thunder v. Warriors -7.5 |
Top |
108-102 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 23 m |
Show
|
7* Thunder/Warriors Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Golden State -7.5
The Key: The Golden State Warriors have owned the Oklahoma City Thunder this season, and I expect that to continue in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals. The Warriors are 3-0 against the Thunder this season, winning by an average of 11.5 points per game in their two home meetings. The beat the Rockets by 26 in Game 1 at home and the Blazers by 12 in Game 1 at home. Considering the Warriors are 45-2 at home and winning by 14.6 points per game this season, getting them as only 7.5-point favorites is a reasonable discount. The Warriors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Take Golden State.
|
05-15-16 |
Giants v. Diamondbacks -116 |
|
2-1 |
Loss |
-116 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Arizona Diamondbacks -116
The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks have lost the first 2 games of this series to the rival Giants. So they'll obviously be hungry to avoid the sweep in Game 3 here. They should get the win behind Rubby De La Rosa, who is 3-3 with a 3.71 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in 6 starts this season. De La Rosa has a 0.00 ERA in his last 2 starts against the Giants while pitching 13 2/3 scoreless innings. Matt Cain is 0-5 with a 6.69 ERA and 1.512 WHIP in 7 starts this year, and 0-2 with a 10.12 ERA in his 2 road starts. The Giants are 15-37 in Cain's last 52 starts overall as he has consistently been one of the most overrated starters in baseball. Take Arizona.
|
05-15-16 |
Heat +4.5 v. Raptors |
Top |
89-116 |
Loss |
-102 |
3 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* Heat/Raptors Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami +4.5
The Key: The Miami Heat are a veteran bunch with Dwyane Wade, Luol Deng and Joe Johnson among others. They have played their fair share of Game 7's before, and they certainly won't crumble under the pressure. I don't believe the same can be said for the Raptors, who are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 playoff games and just seem to fall short of expectations every year in the postseason. The Heat already came back from a 3-2 deficit to beat the Hornets last series, and I believe they'll pull off the same feat here against the Raptors after dominating from start to finish in Game 6. Take Miami.
|
05-14-16 |
Mets -127 v. Rockies |
Top |
4-7 |
Loss |
-127 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
7* National League GAME OF THE MONTH on New York Mets -127
The Key: The New York Mets are coming off back-to-back losses and will be hungry for a win tonight in Colorado. I like their chances of getting one with Logan Verrett on the mound. Verrett has been dominant in his two starts this season, going 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA while tossing 12 shutout innings. Verrett has faced Colorado once before, which came last season as he pitched 8 innings of 1-run ball with 8 strikeouts in a 5-1 road victory. Eddie Butler is no more than a fill-in starter and wouldn't make most rotations in the big leagues. Butler faced the Mets once last season, giving up 6 earned runs in 4 innings of a 3-12 loss at New York. The Mets are 7-2 in their last 9 games following a loss. New York is 35-16 in its last 51 road games. The Rockies are 16-43 in their last 59 during game 2 of a series. Colorado is 1-8 in Butler's last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take New York.
|
05-13-16 |
Braves v. Royals -170 |
|
1-5 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Kansas City Royals -170
The Key: The Kansas City Royals have gotten off to a disappointing 16-18 start this season. But now they get to face the 8-25 Atlanta Braves, which will help them get back on the winning track. Edinson Volquez has been at his best at home this season, going 2-1 with a 1.37 ERA and 1.025 WHIP in 4 starts. Julio Teheran has yet to pick up a win this season as he's 0-3 with a 3.48 ERA in 7 starts and 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA in 2 road starts. Volquez is 2-0 with a 0.64 ERA in his last 2 starts against Atlanta, allowing 1 earned run in 14 innings with 19 strikeouts. Atlanta is 1-13 (-11.8 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. The Braves are 1-14 (-13.1 Units) against the money line after 2 or more consecutive home games this season. The Royals are 8-1 in Volquez's last 9 interleague starts. Kansas City is 17-5 in Volquez's last 22 home starts. Take Kansas City.
|
05-13-16 |
Raptors v. Heat -4 |
Top |
91-103 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
7* Raptors/Heat NBA 2nd Round GAME OF THE YEAR on Miami -4
The Key: The Miami Heat are in must-win mode here in Game 6 to avoid elimination. They were in the same predicament last series against the Hornets, down 3-2 needing to win their final two games, and that's precisely what they did. They certainly have shown they have the intestinal fortitude to pull it off, and I look for them to win Game 6 and cover this small 4-point spread in the process. The Heat have been great at home all season with a 32-15 record. They are also a superb 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games. Take Miami.
|
05-12-16 |
Giants v. Diamondbacks +101 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* Giants/Diamondbacks NL West *CA$H COW* on Arizona +101
The Key: Getting the Arizona Diamondbacks as home underdogs tonight with ace Zach Greinke on the mound is a gift from oddsmakers. Greinke has turned it around in his last two starts, giving up only 4 earned runs in 13 innings while striking out 16. Now he looks to continue his dominance of the Giants. Greinke has never lost to them, going 8-0 with a 2.12 ERA and 1.009 WHIP in 11 lifetime starts. His teams are 10-1 in those starts. Enough said. Take Arizona.
|
05-12-16 |
Spurs v. Thunder UNDER 195.5 |
Top |
99-113 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
7* Spurs/Thunder *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 195.5
The Key: This series continues to get lower-scoring as the series progresses and the Spurs and Thunder get more familiar with one another. We've seen 3 of the last 4 games finish with 196 or fewer combined points, including a series-low 186 points in Game 5. I look for a similar total in Game 6 tonight as this will be yet another defensive battle. San Antonio is 27-12 UNDER off an ATS loss this season. Oklahoma City is 8-1 UNDER in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season. The UNDER is 14-3 in Spurs last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The UNDER is 7-2 in Thunder last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The UNDER is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Oklahoma City. Take the UNDER.
|
05-11-16 |
Blazers +13 v. Warriors |
Top |
121-125 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 27 m |
Show
|
7* Blazers/Warriors Western Conference *BAILOUT* on Portland +13
The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers could easily be up 3-1 in this series instead of down 3-1. They blew a double-digit lead in the 4th quarter of Game 2, won Game 3 by 12, and led most of the way in Game 4 before losing in overtime behind heroics from Steph Curry. But after that Game 4 performance from Curry, the Warriors are way overvalued here heading into Game 5. They will have a very hard time putting away the Blazers by 13-plus points, especially since I expect Curry to play more limited minutes here. The only reason he played 36 minutes in Game 4 when he was supposed to play 25 was because Shaun Livingston got ejected in the 1st half. Steve Kerr will be much more cautious with Curry tonight. I also like the mindset of the Blazers and Damian Lillard, who has stated that the Blazers aren't going to just lay down now. Portland is 8-1 ATS after playing 4 consecutive games as a dog this season. The Blazers are 12-4 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season. Bets on any team after leading their last 2 games by 10-plus points at the half against opponent after scoring 105 points or more in 3 straight games are 52-21 ATS since 1996. Take Portland.
|
05-11-16 |
Blue Jays v. Giants -115 |
|
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* Interleague *CA$H COW* on San Francisco Giants -115
The Key: The San Francisco Giants have lost the first 2 games of this series to the Toronto Blue Jays to fall below .500 on the season. They will be hungry to avoid the sweep here, and you have to like their chances with ace Madison Bumgarner taking the mound. Bumgarner is 4-2 with a 3.14 ERA in 7 starts this year, including 2-1 with a 2.67 ERA in 4 home starts. Bumgarner is a perfect 12-0 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. The Blue Jays are 6-14 in their last 20 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter. Take San Francisco.
|
05-10-16 |
Mets -101 v. Dodgers |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-101 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on New York Mets -101
The Key: The Mets are one of the hottest teams in baseball right now having gone 18-6 in their last 24 games overall. They should continue their tear tonight due to the advantage they have on the mound over the Dodgers. Jacob DeGrom is 3-1 with a 1.99 ERA in 4 starts this year. Alex Wood is 1-3 with a 5.18 ERA in 6 starts for Los Angeles. DeGrom sports a 2.75 ERA in 5 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles. Wood has never beaten the Mets, going 0-3 with a 4.35 ERA in 7 lifetime starts against them. Take New York.
|
05-10-16 |
Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 199.5 |
Top |
95-91 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
|
7* Thunder/Spurs *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 199.5
The Key: After combined scores of 195 and 196 in Games 2 and 3, the Spurs and Thunder combined for 208 points in Game 4. But the Thunder shot 50.6% in that contest and the Spurs 47.1%, and that won't happen again in Game 5. The series is pretty much on the line in this game tonight, so look for the defensive intensity to be very high. Also, these teams are now so familiar with each other that scoring will be at a premium. The Spurs only give up 90.4 points per game at home this year. The UNDER is 12-3 in Thunder's last 15 games off two straight games where they made 9 or more 3-point shots. The UNDER is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 home games. The UNDER is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Take the UNDER.
|
05-09-16 |
White Sox v. Rangers -117 |
|
8-4 |
Loss |
-117 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Texas Rangers -117
The Key: The Texas Rangers have the edge on the mound today over the Chicago White Sox in Game 1 of this series. Colby Lewis is 2-0 with a 3.32 ERA in 6 starts this year, and 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA in his last 3 starts. Miguel Gonzalez will make just his 2nd start of the year for the White Sox. The 1st did not go too well as he gave up 5 earned runs and 13 base runners in 5 1/3 innings against the Blue Jays. Gonzalez is 2-3 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.607 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Texas, while Lewis is 7-3 with a 3.74 ERA in 12 lifetime starts vs. Chicago. Lewis is 6-0 with a 1.25 ERA in his last 7 starts against the White Sox. The Rangers are 9-2 in Lewis' last 11 starts during game 1 of a series. The White Sox are 23-52 in their last 75 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Take Texas.
|
05-09-16 |
Raptors v. Heat -5 |
Top |
87-94 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 2 m |
Show
|
7* Raptors/Heat Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami -5
The Key: Miami is essentially in a must-win situation here in Game 4 to avoid falling behind 3-1 in this series. The Heat got a huge break when arguably Toronto's most important player in Jonas Valanciunas got injured in Game 3 and will likely miss the rest of the postseason. The Raptors don't have an inside presence to replace Valanciunas' scoring and he will be missed badly. This game will be played small ball style, and the Heat have proven they can play small and be very effective. Miami is 16-7 ATS after having lost 2 of its last 3 games this season. The Heat are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games. Take Miami.
|
05-08-16 |
Red Sox -105 v. Yankees |
|
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* Red Sox/Yankees ESPN *CA$H COW* on Boston -105
The Key: The Boston Red Sox figure to be hungry for a victory against the hated Yankees tonight after losing the first 2 games of this series. They really want to avoid the sweep, and they have an excellent chance to do just that thanks to their huge edge on the mound. Steven Wright has been light-out, going 2-3 with a 1.67 ERA and 1.144 WHIP in 5 starts this year. Luis Severino has consistently been rocked, going 0-4 with a 6.31 ERA and 1.636 WHIP in 5 starts. Wright is 1-1 with a 0.69 ERA and 0.923 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. New York, allowing only 1 earned run in 13 innings in those 2 outings. Take Boston.
|
05-08-16 |
Spurs v. Thunder UNDER 198.5 |
Top |
97-111 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 23 m |
Show
|
7* Spurs/Thunder *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 198.5
The Key: The last two games in this series have gone UNDER 198.5 points. The Spurs and Thunder combined for 195 points in Game 2 and 196 points in Game 3. Now that they are even more familiar with one another, I look for Game 4 to actually be the lowest-scoring game of this series yet. Oklahoma City is 8-0 UNDER in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season. The UNDER is 14-2 in Spurs last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The UNDER is 6-1 in Thunder last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. The UNDER is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in OKC, and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings overall. Take the UNDER.
|
05-07-16 |
Rays v. Angels +116 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 38 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles Angels +116
The Key: The Los Angeles Angels should not be home underdogs to the Tampa Bay Rays today. Jered Weaver is 2-0 with a 3.75 ERA in 2 home starts this year. Jake Odorizzi is 0-1 with an 8.10 ERA in 2 road starts this season. Odorizzi is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in 2 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles. Weaver is 5-5 with a 3.81 ERA in 12 lifetime starts vs. Tampa Bay. Weaver is 27-7 (+19.6 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 lifetime. Take Los Angeles.
|
05-07-16 |
Raptors v. Heat UNDER 187.5 |
Top |
95-91 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 29 m |
Show
|
7* Raptors/Heat Game 3 *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 187.5
The Key: The Heat and Raptors have somehow managed to go to overtime in three straight games dating back to the regular season. The first two games of this series were extremely low-scoring in regulation. They combined for 180 points at the end of regulation in Game 1, and 172 points at the end of regulation in Game 2. I look for Game 3 to take a similar pattern and to stay well UNDER the posted total of 187.5, obviously assuming they don't go to OT for a 4th consecutive time. The UNDER is 6-0 in Raptors last six road games. The UNDER is 6-1 in Heat last seven games overall. Take the UNDER.
|
05-06-16 |
Spurs -2 v. Thunder |
Top |
100-96 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
7* Spurs/Thunder Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on San Antonio -2
The Key: The San Antonio Spurs won Game 1 by 32 points before getting upset 98-97 in Game 2 thanks to some controversy for the refs. I fully expect the Spurs to take Game 3 and regain home-court advantage in this series. They are clearly the better team and have the Thunder figured out. The Spurs are 9-1 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs. opponent as a favorite of 7 or more over the last 2 seasons. San Antonio is 9-1 ATS off a close loss by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Take San Antonio.
|
05-06-16 |
Diamondbacks -144 v. Braves |
|
7-2 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Arizona Diamondbacks -144
The Key: The chances of the Arizona Diamondbacks winning tonight against the league-worst Atlanta Braves (7-20) are much greater than this -144 price that we have to pay. The Diamondbacks will be sending ace Zack Greinke to the mound as he looks to continue his solid pitching on the road. Greinke is 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 2 road starts this year. Greinke sports a 2.61 ERA and 0.895 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. Atlanta. The Braves are 2-14 (-13.3 Units) against the money line off a loss by 6 runs or more to a division rival over the last 3 seasons. Greinke is 81-31 (+38.2 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse lifetime. Take Arizona.
|
05-05-16 |
Mariners v. Astros -105 |
|
6-3 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Houston Astros -105
The Key: I believe the Houston Astros are ready to turn the corner and start winning games in bunches after a disappointing start to the season. They have won back-to-back games coming in for the first time this year after throttling Minnesota 16-4 yesterday. But due to their 10-18 start, they are undervalued right now at nearly even money at home against the Seattle Mariners. I expect them to tee off on Wade Miley, who is 2-2 with a 5.06 ERA in 5 starts this year, including 1-1 with a 6.35 ERA in 3 road starts. Seattle is 12-24 (-15.9 Units) against the money line after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Houston is 20-7 (+13.6 Units) against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 15 game span over the last 2 seasons. The Astros are 15-3 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. The Astros are 14-4 in their last 18 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Mariners are 3-9 in their last 12 road meetings. Take Houston.
|
05-05-16 |
Heat v. Raptors -4.5 |
Top |
92-96 |
Loss |
-103 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
7* Heat/Raptors Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto -4.5
The Key: The Toronto Raptors lost Game 1 in overtime at home and now are looking at this Game 2 against the Miami Heat as a must-win. 3-point shooting was their demise in Game 1 as they shot 23.8% while the Heat shot a scoring 72.7%. That's unlikely to happen again. After all, the Raptors were 3-0 in their final three meetings with the Heat in the regular season, outscoring them by a whopping 14.0 points per game in the process. So I still believe this to be a great matchup for them, and I think that will show in Game 2 as they want this one more. The Heat are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games in the 2nd half of the season against teams who outscore the opposition by 3 or more points per game. Take Toronto.
|
05-04-16 |
Hawks +7.5 v. Cavs |
Top |
98-123 |
Loss |
-104 |
8 h 57 m |
Show
|
7* Hawks/Cavs Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta +7.5
The Key: The Atlanta Hawks gave the Cleveland Cavaliers all they could handle in Game 1. They even had the lead in that game down the stretch but couldn't close the deal despite shooting under 38% from the field for the game. After an off shooting night, look for the Hawks to be more on target in Game 2. They will take this game down to the wire and cover the 7.5 tonight. Atlanta is 16-6 ATS revenging two straight losses where opponent scored 100 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland is 10-19 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins this season. Take Atlanta.
|
05-04-16 |
Rangers v. Blue Jays -1.5 |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+115)
The Key: The best bet on the bases today is the Toronto Blue Jays on the Run Line to blow out the Texas Rangers. Given their edge on the mound, they should have no problem winning by 2-plus runs tonight. Aaron Sanchez is off to a blistering start, going 2-1 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.149 WHIP in 5 starts. He may be Toronto's most talented starter. Colby Lewis absolutely hates facing this potent Blue Jays' offense. Lewis is 3-6 with a 7.13 ERA and 1.708 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts vs. Texas. The Rangers are 2-8 in Lewis' last 10 starts during game 3 of a series. Take Toronto on the Run Line.
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05-03-16 |
Blazers +10 v. Warriors |
Top |
99-110 |
Loss |
-115 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
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7* Blazers/Warriors Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Portland +10
The Key: I expect the Portland Trail Blazers to rebound nicely following their 12-point loss in Game 1 to the Warriors. They were at a serious disadvantage in Game 1 because they were playing on just 1.5 days of rest, while the Warriors had four days off in between games. But now it's much more even and the Blazers will stay within single-digits of the Warriors as a result in Game 2. To only lost by 12 points despite shooting only 40.2% from the floor is actually quite an accomplishment. Look for them to be more on target in Game 2 and to get off to a much better start than they did in Game 1. The Blazers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after a loss by more than 10 points. Take Portland.
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05-03-16 |
Rangers v. Blue Jays -1.5 |
|
1-3 |
Win
|
118 |
6 h 11 m |
Show
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6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+118)
The Key: Toronto comes in hungry for a victory after losing 5 of its last 7 games overall, including a 2-1 loss in Game 1 of this series to Texas. With the massive advantage the Blue Jays have on the mound today, I'm going to back them on the Run Line. Marco Estrada is 1-2 with a 2.92 ERA in 4 starts this year, including 1-1 with a 1.98 ERA in 2 home starts. Estrada is also 2-1 with a 1.47 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs. Texas. Martin Perez is 1-2 with a 4.20 ERA in 5 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA in 2 road starts. Perez is also 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA in one lifetime start vs. Toronto. Take Toronto on the Run Line.
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05-02-16 |
Thunder +8 v. Spurs |
Top |
98-97 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
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7* Thunder/Spurs Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma City +8
The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder will show a lot more fight in Game 2 knowing that they do not want to go down 0-2 in this series if they want to win it. The Spurs couldn't miss in Game 1 as they shot over 60% from the field behind a combined 34-of-43 shooting from the trio of LaMarcus Aldridge, Kawhi Leonard and Danny Green. These teams actually split the regular season series 2-2 with the Thunder not losing by more than 8 points in any of the four games, so their 32-point loss in Game 1 certainly came out of nowhere. I look for the Thunder to make this game much more competitive and to have a chance to win in the end thanks to some key adjustments from head coach Billy Donovan. Take Oklahoma City.
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05-02-16 |
Giants -141 v. Reds |
|
9-6 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 36 m |
Show
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6* National League *CA$H COW* on San Francisco Giants -141
The Key: Johnny Cueto gets to face his former team for the first time today, and he'll be motivated to beat the team that traded him away prior to the deadline last year in the Cincinnati Reds. Cueto has been brilliant with his new team in the Giants, going 4-1 with a 2.65 ERA in 5 starts, including 2-0 with a 1.26 ERA in 2 road starts. He'll be opposed by Brandon Finnegan, who is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA in 5 starts, including 0-1 with a 6.30 ERA in 2 home starts. Cincinnati is 3-18 (-13.8 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more over the last 2 seasons. The Reds are 23-51 in their last 74 overall. The Giants are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Take San Francisco.
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05-01-16 |
Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 208.5 |
Top |
106-118 |
Loss |
-102 |
4 h 41 m |
Show
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7* Blazers/Warriors Game 1 *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 208.5
The Key: With no Steph Curry, the Golden State Warriors have had to win with defense in the playoffs up to this point. They held the high-octane Houston Rockets to an average of only 91.2 points per game last series. Now they're going to make it tough on the Blazers in this series as well, starting with Game 1. It's also worth noting the Blazers held the Clippers to 98 or fewer points in 3 of their 6 games. This will certainly be a defensive battle today folks. Bets on the UNDER on home teams when the total 200 or more, an excellent offensive team that averages at least 102 points per game against a bad defensive team that gives up at least 102 points per game, after scorign 55 points or more in the first half of 2 straight games are 74-33 over the last 5 seasons. Take the UNDER.
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