12-10-15 |
Hawks v. Thunder UNDER 212.5 |
Top |
94-107 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Hawks/Thunder UNDER 212.5 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
11-11-15 |
Warriors v. Grizzlies UNDER 200 |
Top |
100-84 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Grizzlies/Warriors UNDER 200 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
06-11-15 |
Golden State Warriors v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 194 |
Top |
103-82 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Warriors/Cavs Game 4 "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 194 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
06-04-15 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Golden State Warriors OVER 203.5 |
Top |
100-108 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Cavs/Warriors Game 1 "Total" BLOWOUT on OVER 203.5 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
05-23-15 |
Golden State Warriors v. Houston Rockets OVER 214 |
Top |
115-80 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Warriors/Rockets Game 3 "Total" BLOWOUT on OVER 214 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
05-13-15 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 195.5 |
Top |
78-98 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Grizzlies/Warriors Wednesday Night "BAILOUT" on UNDER 195.5 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
05-08-15 |
Houston Rockets v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 216 |
Top |
99-124 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Rockets/Clippers ESPN Friday Night "BAILOUT" on UNDER 216 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
05-03-15 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 197 |
Top |
86-101 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 44 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Grizzlies/Warriors Game 1 "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 197 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
04-30-15 |
Chicago Bulls v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 188 |
Top |
120-66 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA 1st Round TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Bulls/Bucks UNDER 188 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
04-29-15 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 200.5 |
Top |
97-107 |
Loss |
-106 |
6 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Nets/Hawks Wednesday "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 200.5 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
04-28-15 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Houston Rockets UNDER 221 |
Top |
94-103 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Tuesday NBA "Total" BLOWOUT on Rockets/Mavericks UNDER 221 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
04-09-15 |
Chicago Bulls v. Miami Heat UNDER 192 |
Top |
89-78 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Heat/Bulls TNT "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 192 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
03-25-15 |
Houston Rockets v. New Orleans Pelicans UNDER 203.5 |
Top |
95-93 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 4 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Rockets/Pelicans NBA PARLAY OF THE MONTH on New Orleans +1/UNDER 203.5 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
03-23-15 |
Charlotte Hornets v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 192 |
Top |
86-98 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Bulls/Hornets UNDER 192 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
02-20-15 |
Denver Nuggets v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 198.5 |
Top |
81-89 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Bucks/Nuggets UNDER 198.5 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
02-10-15 |
Denver Nuggets v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 201.5 |
Top |
106-96 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Nuggets/Lakers Western Conference "BAILOUT" on OVER 201.5 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
02-08-15 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 210 |
Top |
108-131 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Clippers/Thunder ABC TOTAL OF THE MONTH on UNDER 210 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
02-06-15 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Minnesota Timberwolves UNDER 196 |
Top |
89-90 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 1 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Grizz/T'Wolves UNDER 196 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
01-23-15 |
Chicago Bulls v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 206 |
Top |
102-98 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 48 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Bulls/Mavericks UNDER 206 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
12-16-14 |
Golden State Warriors v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 203 |
Top |
98-105 |
Push |
0 |
7 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Warriors/Grizzlies ESPN TOTAL OF THE WEEK on UNDER 203 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
12-02-14 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 203.5 |
Top |
132-129 |
Loss |
-102 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Mavericks/Bulls UNDER 203.5 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
11-12-14 |
Indiana Pacers v. Miami Heat UNDER 190 |
Top |
81-75 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Pacers/Heat ESPN "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 190 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
10-28-14 |
Houston Rockets v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 206 |
Top |
108-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Rockets/Lakers TNT Tuesday Night "BAILOUT" on OVER 206 *All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors*
|
04-16-14 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 191.5 |
Top |
105-106 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Mavs/Grizzlies ESPN TOTAL OF THE MONTH on UNDER 191.5
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
|
04-15-14 |
Denver Nuggets v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 219.5 |
Top |
105-117 |
Loss |
-106 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Clippers/Nuggets TNT "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 219.5
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
|
04-08-14 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Miami Heat UNDER 191 |
Top |
88-87 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 29 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Nets/Heat TNT TOTAL OF THE WEEK on UNDER 191
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
|
04-04-14 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Houston Rockets UNDER 212.5 |
Top |
107-111 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Thunder/Rockets ESPN "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 212.5
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
|
03-25-14 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 211.5 |
Top |
119-128 |
Loss |
-102 |
6 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Thunder/Mavericks TNT "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 211.5
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
|
03-13-14 |
Houston Rockets v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 195 |
Top |
87-111 |
Loss |
-102 |
9 h 47 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Rockets/Bulls TNT TOTAL OF THE WEEK on UNDER 195
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
|
03-09-14 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 230.5 |
Top |
110-114 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 17 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Thunder/Lakers ABC TOTAL OF THE WEEK on UNDER 230.5
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
|
03-06-14 |
Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 209 |
Top |
87-111 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Heat/Spurs TNT TOTAL OF THE WEEK on UNDER 209
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
|
02-27-14 |
New York Knicks v. Miami Heat UNDER 202.5 |
Top |
82-108 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Knicks/Heat TNT TOTAL OF THE WEEK on UNDER 202.5
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
|
02-21-14 |
Denver Nuggets v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 190.5 |
Top |
89-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 48 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Nuggets/Bulls Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on UNDER 190.5
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
|
02-20-14 |
Houston Rockets v. Golden State Warriors OVER 212 |
Top |
99-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Rockets/Warriors TNT TOTAL OF THE MONTH on OVER 212
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
|
02-13-14 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 185 |
Top |
76-92 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 52 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Nets/Bulls Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on UNDER 185
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
|
01-29-14 |
Chicago Bulls v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 189.5 |
Top |
96-86 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Bulls/Spurs ESPN TOTAL OF THE WEEK on UNDER 189.5
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
|
01-23-14 |
Denver Nuggets v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 221.5 |
Top |
105-110 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Nuggets/Blazers TNT TOTAL OF THE WEEK on UNDER 221.5
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
|
01-10-14 |
Houston Rockets v. Atlanta Hawks OVER 206 |
Top |
80-83 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rockets/Hawks OVER 206
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
|
01-07-14 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Sacramento Kings UNDER 217.5 |
Top |
119-123 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Blazers/Kings NBA Tuesday Night "BAILOUT" on UNDER 217.5
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
|
12-18-13 |
Detroit Pistons v. Boston Celtics UNDER 195 |
Top |
107-106 |
Loss |
-101 |
5 h 24 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Pistons/Celtics UNDER 195
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
|
12-17-13 |
New Orleans Pelicans v. Golden State Warriors OVER 207 |
Top |
93-104 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Pelicans/Warriors NBA Tuesday Night "BAILOUT" on OVER 207
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
|
06-20-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Miami Heat UNDER 189 |
Top |
88-95 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Spurs/Heat Game 7 Surefire on UNDER 189
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
|
05-12-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Golden State Warriors OVER 197 |
Top |
87-97 |
Loss |
-103 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Spurs/Warriors Game 4 Surefire on OVER 197
*All picks are based on situations, trends and injuries among many other factors*
|
05-07-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. New York Knicks OVER 183 |
Top |
79-105 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Pacers/Knicks TNT "Total" BLOWOUT on OVER 183
*All picks are based on situations, trends and injuries among many other factors*
|
05-06-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 201 |
Top |
127-129 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Warriors/Spurs NBA Monday Night "BAILOUT" on OVER 201
*All picks are based on situations, trends and injuries among many other factors*
|
04-29-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Houston Rockets UNDER 206.5 |
Top |
103-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 38 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Thunder/Rockets TNT Monday Night "BAILOUT" on UNDER 206.5
*No Analysis Monday*
|
04-25-13 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 182 |
Top |
76-79 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Opening Round TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Nets/Bulls UNDER 182
*No Analysis Thursday*
|
04-24-13 |
Houston Rockets v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 213 |
Top |
102-105 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Rockets/Thunder TNT "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 213
*No Analysis Wednesday*
|
04-22-13 |
Chicago Bulls v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 183.5 |
Top |
90-82 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Bulls/Nets TNT "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 183.5
*No Analysis Monday*
|
04-21-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 189.5 |
Top |
79-91 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Lakers/Spurs Sunday Total "BLOWOUT" on UNDER 189.5
*No Analysis Sunday*
|
04-12-13 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 187 |
Top |
117-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Nets/Pacers UNDER 187
*No Analysis Friday*
|
04-05-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 194 |
Top |
84-86 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Grizzlies/Lakers UNDER 194
This total has certainly been inflated tonight in what I fully expect to be a defensive battle between the Memphis Grizzlies and Los Angeles Lakers. This game will be played with high intensity at the defensive end with what's at stake for both teams. Los Angeles is fighting to make the playoffs, sitting just one-half game ahead of the Utah Jazz for the No. 8 seed in the Western Conference. Memphis is fighting for home-court advantage in the first round, sitting one-half game behind the Denver Nuggets for the No. 3 seed in the West. Plays on the UNDER on any team (MEMPHIS) - after allowing 90 points or less 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games are 30-10 (75%) over the last 5 seasons. Take the UNDER 194 points here.
|
03-13-13 |
New York Knicks v. Denver Nuggets OVER 206 |
Top |
94-117 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Kniicks/Nuggets ESPN TOTAL OF THE MONTH on OVER 206
Denver and New York have combined for 213 or more points in each of their last eight meetings dating back to 2008. Enough said. Take the OVER 206 points here.
|
02-08-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 191.5 |
Top |
93-99 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Warriors/Grizzlies UNDER 191.5
Both the Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors come in riding two-game losing streaks after a pair of poor defensive performances from each. That's why I believe this total has been inflated tonight, and I look for both teams to really focus on bouncing back defensively tonight, which will keep the final score of this game under the posted total. Golden State gave up 50.5% shooting and 23 made 3-pointers in a 109-140 loss at Houston. and 50.5% shooting in a 98-119 loss at Oklahoma City. Memphis yielded 50.7% shooting in a 90-96 home loss to Phoenix, and 51.4% in a 92-103 setback at Atlanta. Remember, this is a Memphis team that gives up just 90.0 points/game overall, including 86.7 points/game at home. It is also only scoring 93.0 points/game overall and 92.0 points/game at home. The last meeting between Memphis and Golden State occurred about exactly a month ago with the Grizzlies winning 94-87 on January 9th for 181 combined points. Memphis is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread this season. The Grizzlies are 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) off an upset loss as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons. Memphis is 14-3 UNDER (+10.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Take the UNDER 191.5 points here.
|
12-14-12 |
Detroit Pistons v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 191 |
Top |
105-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Pistons/Nets UNDER 191
The books have set the number too high tonight in this contest between the Detroit Pistons and Brooklyn Nets. These are two of the worst offensive teams in the league. Brooklyn is scoring 96.0 points/game, while Detroit is scoring 94.3 points/game, including 89.8 points/game on the road. Both teams are solid defensively, however. Brooklyn is giving up 93.8 points/game while Detroit is allowing 97.3 points/game. Plays on the UNDER on home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (BROOKLYN) - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games against opponent after having lost 4 of their last 5 games are 45-20 (69.2%) over the last 5 seasons. Both teams will be fighting extra hard defensively tonight to try and get a win after tough recent stretches for each squad. The UNDER is 5-0 in Pistons last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The UNDER is 6-0-1 in Nets last 7 games following a S.U. win. Take the UNDER 191 points here.
|
06-14-12 |
Miami Heat v. Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 196 |
Top |
100-96 |
Push |
0 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Heat/Thunder ABC "Total" BLOWOUT on OVER 196
The Oklahoma City Thunder have simply been scoring points at will in the playoffs. They have put up 102 or more points in six straight games, also scoring 98 or more in each of their last nine. This is a fast-breaking team that can get from rim to rim faster than another other team in the league. That was evident by their 24 fast break points in Game 1. Miami tried to slow the game down too much in Game 1, getting just 4 fast break points. That didn't work, so they'll try and run much more in Game 2 tonight to try and create easy opportunities for James and Wade with the Thunder's defense on its heels. The OVER is 9-2 in Heat's last 11 games overall, 8-2 in Thunder's last 10 games overall, and 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Oklahoma City. Take the OVER 196 points here.
|
05-17-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 194.5 |
Top |
88-105 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Clippers/Spurs TNT Thursday Night "BAILOUT" on UNDER 194.5
These teams combined for 200 points in Game 1. Both shot ridiculously well from 3-point range as the Spurs made 13-of-25 (52 percent), while the Clippers made 9-of-19 (47.4 percent) beyond the arc. It's safe to say that nearly team is going to shoot that well again from the 3-point line. As a result, there's a very good chance this Game 2 goes UNDER the number. The total was set at 191.5 for Game 1, so with it at 194.5 for Game 2, we are receiving 3 points of value on the UNDER. Teams make adjustments after Game 1, which makes points harder to come by for both squads. The UNDER is 4-0-1 in Spurs last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Get ready for a defensive battle tonight. Take the UNDER 194.5 points here.
|
05-16-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 196 |
Top |
75-77 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Second Round TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Lakers/Thunder UNDER 196
After a very high-scoring Game 1 in which the Thunder did whatever they wanted to offensively, I look for both teams to clamp down defensively in Game 2, especially the Lakers. The total was set at 192.5 in Game 1, and they combined for 209 points. The total has now been jacked up to 196 for Game 2, which gives us a full 3.5 points of value. The Thunder aren't going to score 119 points and shoot anywhere near 53.0 percent from the field again. The UNDER is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Los Angeles is 11-3 UNDER (+7.7 Units) versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game this season. The Lakers are 88-62 UNDER (+19.8 Units) in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent since 1996. Take the UNDER 196 points here.
|
05-09-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 182.5 |
Top |
80-92 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Clippers/Grizzlies TNT Wednesday Night "BAILOUT" on UNDER 182.5
This series has become more low-scoring as it has progressed. After combining for 197 and 203 points in their first two games at the end of regulation, the Clippers and Grizzlies have combined for 173 and 174 points in their last two games at the end of regulation. I fully expect another low-scoring, defensive battle in Game 5. The UNDER is 16-6 in Grizzlies last 22 games following a S.U. loss. Memphis is 20-9 UNDER (+10.1 Units) when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points this season. The Grizzlies are 18-5 UNDER (+12.5 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. Take the UNDER 182.5 points here.
|
05-07-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Utah Jazz UNDER 199.5 |
Top |
87-81 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Spurs/Jazz TNT Monday Night Surefire on UNDER 199.5
Once again, oddsmakers have set the bar too high in Game 4 of this series between the San Antonio Spurs and Utah Jazz. Each of the first three games in this series saw 197 or less combined points. Game 3 was the lowest-scoring contest yet, and I expect Game 4 to be even more low-scoring. Teams get more familiar with each other as a series goes on, making it tougher for the offenses to execute. Plays on the UNDER on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - in the first round of the playoffs, in the 4th game of a playoff series are 38-14 (73.1%) since 1996. Utah is 17-4 UNDER (+12.6 Units) in the 4th game of a playoff series since 1996. The Jazz are 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Take the UNDER 199.5 points here.
|
05-06-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 202 |
Top |
92-88 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA First Round TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Lakers/Nuggets UNDER 202
The Lakers and Nuggets are averaging just over 192 points/game through the first three games of this series. Oddsmakers have inflated the total set in Game 4, and we'll capitalize by backing the UNDER in a very important contest that will see great defense from both sides. Take the UNDER 202 points here.
|
04-18-12 |
New York Knicks v. New Jersey Nets UNDER 193 |
Top |
104-95 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Knicks/Nets UNDER 193
The New York Knicks used a lot of energy in beating the Boston Celtics 118-110 last night at home. I look for New York to come out deflated tonight while shooting the ball much more poorly than they did against the Celtics. There's no way in hell New York makes anywhere near 19-of-32 (59.4 percent) from 3-point range again. The New Jersey Nets are handcuffed right now as they are going to be without their two best players in Deron Williams and Gerald Wallace. This will make points hard to come by, and the Nets will struggle offensively in this one. The Nets and Knicks have combined for less than 193 points in each of their first two meetings this season. The UNDER is 24-6 in Knicks last 30 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 21-5 in Knicks last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The UNDER is 5-0-1 in Nets last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 5-0 in Knicks last 5 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5. Take the UNDER 193 points here.
|
04-13-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Houston Rockets UNDER 200.5 |
Top |
112-105 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Suns/Rockets UNDER 200.5
There is a lot riding on this game between the Phoenix Suns and the Houston Rockets tonight. Houston (32-26) would be the No. 7 seed in the Western Conference if the season were to end today. They are 1.5 games clear of ninth-place Utah and 2 games ahead of tenth-place Phoenix (30-28). With only a few games left, you can bet both teams will be laying it all on the line defensively to get a win tonight. Plus, with so much at stake, shooting could be difficult given how nervous many of these players will be. This has been a low-scoring series thus far this season. The Suns and Rockets have combined for 180, 185 and 185 points in their first three meetings this season, respectively. Neither Houston nor Phoenix has reached 100 points. I look for that trend to continue tonight as these teams go UNDER the number for the 5th time in as many meetings. Take the UNDER 200.5 points here.
|
03-11-12 |
Boston Celtics v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 179.5 |
Top |
94-97 |
Loss |
-108 |
5 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Lakers/Celtics NBA on ABC Surefire on UNDER 179.5
The Lakers and Celtics are primed for a defensive battle this afternoon. These are two of the best defensive teams in the league, and two of the worst offensive teams as well. In this heated rivalry, I believe defense will win out today. The Lakers only give up 86.9 points/game at home, and the Celtics only yield 89.7 points/game overall. Boston has really struggled offensively on the road, scoring just 87.9 points/game away from home this year. Five of the last six meetings in this series have seen 178 or less combined points. The Lakers beat the Celtics 88-87 in overtime in their first meeting this year on February 9th. That game was tied 82-82 at the end of regulation for 164 combined points. Take the UNDER 179.5 points here.
|
03-05-12 |
New Orleans Hornets v. Portland Trailblazers UNDER 187.5 |
Top |
74-86 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Hornets/Blazers NBA Monday Night "BAILOUT" on UNDER 187.5
I'm siding with the UNDER in this game Monday between the New Orleans Hornets and Portland Trail Blazers. These two always seem to play in low-scoring games when they meet up, and I certainly believe this line has been inflated tonight because of it. The Blazers and Hornets have played twice this season with combined scores of 161 and 180 points. Oddsmakers set the total at 182 for their first meeting on January 16th and 177 for their second meeting on February 10th. As you can see, they have set this total 10.5 points higher than last time despite having such a low scoring output in their first two meetings. Now you can see why I believe there is so much value with this UNDER tonight. Portland is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Take the UNDER 187.5 points here.
|
03-01-12 |
Miami Heat v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 197 |
Top |
107-93 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Heat/Blazers TNT Thursday Night "BAILOUT" on UNDER 197
I look for a low-scoring game tonight between the Miami Heat and Portland Trail Blazers. Portland actually matches up with Miami about as well as possible. They have guys like Gerald Wallace and Nicolas Batum who have the height to contest shots by Lebron James and Dwyane Wade. They also have Marcus Camby and LaMarcus Aldridge inside to defend the basket if either Wade or James is to get by those two. Miami isn't going to put up a huge number on this Blazers defense tonight. Both teams are solid defensively as the Heat give up 94.4 points/game and the Blazers allow 93.4 points/game. Portland will try to slow this game down to give themselves the best chance to win, and they certainly have an excellent chance of controlling the tempo at home tonight in front of a rowdy crowd. The UNDER is 4-0 in Heat last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 12-4 in Trail Blazers last 16 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Take the UNDER 197 points here.
|
02-29-12 |
Chicago Bulls v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 191.5 |
Top |
96-89 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Bulls/Spurs ESPN TOTAL OF THE WEEK on OVER 191.5
The Chicago Bulls and San Antonio Spurs should have no problem combining for 192 or more points tonight. I expect this one to see 200-plus by game's end. Chicago and San Antonio have combined for 208, 197 and 191 points in their last three meetings, respectively. Both teams used to be known as great defensive clubs, but each is lighting up the nets this season, winning games with their offense. The Spurs average 101.5 points at home while the Bulls put up 98.2 points on the road. The Spurs have really been an OVERS machine of late, and I expect that trend to continue here tonight. San Antonio is 6-0 to the OVER in their last six games overall with combined scores of 194, 219, 203, 208, 234 and 213 points. They are averaging a combined 215.4 points/game in their last five. Take the OVER 191.5 points here.
|
02-26-12 |
WEST ALL STARS v. EAST ALL STARS OVER 284 |
Top |
152-149 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy East vs. West All-Star "Total" BLOWOUT on OVER 284
This game will see 285 or more combined points tonight. The All-Star game saw 291 combined points last season and there just seems to be less defense played each year. They let players dunk and easy, wide-open shots are the norm any more in this game. Take the OVER 284 points here.
|
02-21-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 190 |
Top |
97-137 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Spurs/Blazers NBA Tuesday Night "BAILOUT" on UNDER 190
Both the San Antonio Spurs and Portland Trail Blazers are going to come into this game tired. San Antonio will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days, while Portland will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 8 days. These are two jump shooting teams, so tired legs certainly make it tough on them. I look for the majority of shots to come up short tonight and clank off the front of the rim. Points will be very hard to come by in what will be a low-scoring affair. Portland is giving up 92.9 points/game this season and San Antonio yields 94.2 points/game. The UNDER is 7-3 in Spurs last 10 games playing on 0 days rest. The UNDER is 12-3 in Trail Blazers last 15 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. These teams have met once this season with the Spurs winning 99-83 at home for 182 combined points. The Spurs and Blazers have combined for 194 or less points in 11 straight meetings, including 189 or less in eight of those 11 contests. Take the UNDER 190 points here.
|
02-18-12 |
Golden State Warriors v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 197 |
Top |
103-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 51 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Warriors/Grizzlies UNDER 197
The Golden State Warriors and Memphis Grizzlies will play part in a low-scoring affair Saturday night. In their first meeting this season, the Grizzlies won 91-90 on the road. I have great reason to believe that this game will play out similarly considering how tired these teams will be coming in. Both teams are playing the second of a back-to-back, and Memphis is playing their 4th game in 5 days while Golden State is on their 3rd game in 4 days. I look for a lot of shots to come up short tonight as both teams struggle offensively. Take the UNDER 197 points here.
|
02-03-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 193 |
Top |
94-101 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Friday Side & Total Parlay on Grizzlies +8.5/UNDER 193
Reasons for Grizzlies: Oklahoma City is in for a big letdown tonight after beating the Dallas Mavericks last time out. That was their biggest win of the season as the Mavs knocked them out of the playoffs in the Western Conference Finals last season. Memphis wants revenge from getting knocked out in the playoffs by Oklahoma City in the Western Conference Semifinals last year. The motivation is clearly going to be in the corner of Memphis tonight, which is coming off two straight impressive wins with a 100-97 overtime victory over Denver and a 96-77 road win over Atlanta. The Grizzlies are 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons. Fatigue will not be a factor tonight as they put their best foot forward against a hated rival.
Reasons for UNDER: Memphis has been one of the best UNDER teams in the league this season, especially away from home. The Grizzlies are 11-1 UNDER in all road games this season, and we've seen 189 or less combined points in all 12. That makes for a perfect 12-0 UNDER angle pertaining to tonight's total set of 193. Memphis is 7-0 UNDER in their last seven games overall, and we've seen 189 or less combined points in all seven contests. The oddsmakers have clearly set the number too high for this rivalry game which is going to feature all-out defense on both ends. Take the Grizzlies and the UNDER here.
|
01-31-12 |
Sacramento Kings v. Golden State Warriors OVER 199 |
Top |
90-93 |
Loss |
-107 |
10 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Kings/Warriors NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on OVER 199
This one is as easy as it gets folks. Oddsmakers are making a serious mistake by setting this total set below 200 points. The Kings come in on 2 days' rest and the Warriors come in on 3 days' rest, so both teams will be ready to get after it tonight. I look for each to try and get out in the open court as much as possible with their fresh legs. The OVER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings, and these teams have combined to score 207 or more points in all 5 meetings. As you can see, when Sacramento and Golden State get together, a shootout is usually the end result. The OVER is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 games overall. Take the OVER 199 points here.
|
01-26-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 193 |
Top |
91-98 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Grizzlies/Clippers TNT Thursday Night "BAILOUT" on UNDER 193
This total has been inflated tonight due to being nationally televised. Public bettors love betting on TV games, and public bettors also like the OVER more times than not. I'll side with the UNDER in a game that should be played in the 175-185 range. The Clippers and their opponents are combining to score 192.5 points/game at home this season. Sure, that's basically right on the total for tonight's game. But the Clippers are going to come into this one fatigued after a hard-fought game against the L.A. Lakers last night. That's why I'm expecting a slower tempo in this one. Memphis and their opponents are combining for an average of 177.0 points/game on the road this season. The Grizzlies are 8-1 UNDER in all road games this year, and I'm certainly willing to play them UNDER the number on the road again tonight. Memphis is 13-1 UNDER (+11.9 Units) in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. The Clippers are 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) in home games versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing >=16 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons. The UNDER is 7-0 in Grizzlies last 7 games as a road underdog. The UNDER is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. Take this combined 32-1 (97%) UNDER Angle straight to the bank tonight. Take the UNDER 193 points here.
|
01-20-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 190.5 |
Top |
101-98 |
Loss |
-106 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy T'Wolves/Clippers ESPN "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 190.5
Oddsmakers have set the number too high tonight in the Minnesota vs. Los Angeles Clippers game. The Los Angeles Clippers are a quality offensive team at full strength, but they are not healthy right now. Chris Paul is their best player and their floor general, and without him on the floor, this offense has been struggling. The Clippers are averaging a mere 85.0 points/game in their last two contests, and they are 3-0 to the UNDER without Paul. Minnesota has become a much better defensive team this season, especially of late. The UNDER is 4-0 in the Timberwolves last 4 games, and we've seen combined scores of 178, 185, 184 and 167 points in those four contests. The Clippers are a very profitable 8-4 to the UNDER in all games this season, including 6-2 to the UNDER in home games. Minnesota is 11-2-1 to the UNDER in all games, including 4-0-1 to the UNDER in road games where they are combining with their opponents to average 178.6 points/game. As you can see, this number has been inflated. Take the UNDER 190.5 points here.
|
01-12-12 |
New York Knicks v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 194 |
Top |
83-94 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA on TNT TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Knicks/Grizzlies UNDER 194
This one is about as easy as it gets folks. Both the New York Knicks and Memphis Grizzlies are combining with their opponents to average well under the posted total tonight. The Grizzlies are combining with their opponents to average 186.1 points/game this season, while the Knicks are combining with their foes to average 189.0 points/game. The UNDER is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 overall, 5-0 in Knicks last 5 games following a win, and 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog. Take this 13-0 UNDER angle straight to the bank tonight. Take the UNDER 194 points here.
|
01-10-12 |
Miami Heat v. Golden State Warriors OVER 194.5 |
Top |
106-111 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Heat/Warriors NBA Tuesday Night "BAILOUT" on OVER 194.5
The Miami Heat are pushing the tempo this season with a "pace and space" philosophy that head coach Erik Spoelstra picked up from Oregon football coach Chip Kelly. It's working as the Heat are off to a fast start while simply outscoring their opponents. Miami is 8-1 this season while scoring a whopping 108.3 points/game. I expect them to get to their season average against this soft Golden State defense tonight, while the Warriors score enough points to push this one OVER the number by game's end. Golden State and Miami have combined to score 197 or more points in 11 of their last 13 meetings. The Warriors are 12-2 OVER (+9.8 Units) in home games after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. The OVER is 15-5-1 in Heat last 21 games as a favorite, including 8-2 in Heat last 10 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. The OVER is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in this series, including 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Golden State. Take the OVER 194.5 points here.
|
05-25-11 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 198.5 |
Top |
96-100 |
Loss |
-101 |
9 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Playoffs TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Thunder/Mavs OVER 198.5
This total has been set too low tonight and we'll take full advantage. Oklahoma City is going to be playing desperate basketball, meaning they are going to play at an up-tempo pace. Dallas is also going to be playing at a frantic pace knowing they have a chance to close out the series tonight. Look for both teams to get up and down in what will be the highest-scoring game of this series, and will see well over 200 combined points. The Thunder are 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) in road games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Dallas is 14-5 OVER (+8.5 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=20 assists/game this season. The OVER is 6-0 in Thunder last 6 games following a ATS loss. The OVER is 34-16 in Thunder last 50 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. The OVER is 12-2 in Mavericks last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The OVER is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings in Dallas, and 4-1 in the last five meetings in this series overall. Take the OVER 198.5 points here.
|
05-17-11 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 193.5 |
Top |
112-121 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Western Conference Playoffs TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Mavs/Thunder OVER 193.5
When looking at the three games between these teams this season, along with Game 1's thus far in the playoffs, we have decided to side with the OVER as our strongest total in the Western Conference playoffs Tuesday. All three meetings between the Mavs and Thunder this season saw 194 or more combined points and an average of 201.3 points/game. OKC went OVER in Game 1 against Denver with 210 combined points and OVER in Game 1 against Memphis with 215 combined points. The OVER is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings in Dallas and 4-0 in the last four meetings there. Both of these teams have a plethora of weapons offensively, but neither is considered a lock-down defensive team. OKC is scoring 104.6 points/game and giving up 100.7 points/game, while Dallas is putting up 99.9 points/game and allowing 95.2 points/game. We believe odds makers have really missed their mark here for Game 1. Take the OVER 193.5 points here.
|
05-09-11 |
Miami Heat v. Boston Celtics UNDER 181 |
Top |
98-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 3 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA 2nd Round TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Heat/Celtics UNDER 181
With the Boston Celtics ailing, they are going to really have to rely on defense to try and tie this series at 2-2. Rajon Rondo can't even use his left hand, which will make the Celtics a much less dangerous team offensively. This is going to be an ugly, grind it out type of game that sees less than 180 combined points. It will play out similar to Game 3, where we saw 178 combined points in a 97-81 Boston victory. Over the last 5 seasons, the UNDER is 108-58 (65.1%) in the 4th game of a playoff series. The UNDER is 16-5-1 in the last 22 meetings between the Heat and Celtics in Boston. The Celtics are 12-2 UNDER (+9.8 Units) in home games in all playoff games over the last 2 seasons. Take the UNDER 181 points here.
|
05-04-11 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 186.5 |
Top |
93-81 |
Loss |
-101 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Mavs/Lakers TNT Wednesday Night "BAILOUT" on OVER 186.5
The odds makers have dropped this total a full two points from what it was set at in Game 1. These are two of the better offensive teams in the league this season and we feel there is a lot of value with the 'over' tonight in Game 2. Dallas is 27-18 OVER (+7.2 Units) in road games this season. The Mavs are 26-10 OVER (+15.0 Units) in the second round of the playoffs since 1996. Dallas is 17-6 OVER (+10.4 Units) after a win by 6 points or less this season. The Lakers are scoring 103.0 points/game while allowing 94.8 points/game at home this year for an average combined score of 197.8. Dallas is scoring 98.5 points/game and allowing 96.4 points/game on the road for an average score of 194.9. As you can see, there is clearly some value here with this 'over'. Dallas and Los Angeles have combined to score 187 or more points in seven straight meetings, making for a perfect 7-0 OVER angle pertaining to tonight's total set. Take the OVER 186.5 points here.
|
04-27-11 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 189 |
Top |
103-110 |
Loss |
-108 |
19 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Wednesday Night "Total" BLOWOUT on Spurs/Grizzlies UNDER 189
We'll side with the UNDER in Game 5 tonight between the San Antonio Spurs and Memphis Grizzlies. Look for the Spurs to clamp down defensively after letting the Grizzlies go off in Game 4. Their defensive intensity will be much greater with their backs against the wall down 3-1, and it should lead to a low-scoring affair. The Spurs and Grizzlies have combined to average 187 points/game in this series through four games. That gives us some value on the 'under' tonight, and as a series goes on it becomes more tough for the offenses of both teams to get going. The UNDER is 7-2-1 in Spurs last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games. Memphis is 58-28 UNDER (+27.2 Units) after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games since 1996. The Spurs are 92-62 UNDER (+23.8 Units) in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days since 1996. Take the UNDER 189 points here.
|
04-25-11 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 205.5 |
Top |
101-104 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 57 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Thunder/Nuggets TNT Monday Night "BAILOUT" on UNDER 205.5
After a shootout in Game 1 which saw 210 combined points, the Thunder and Nuggets have settled down in Games 2 and 3. OKC won 106-89 in Game 2 for 195 combined points, and won again 97-94 in Game 3 for a 191-point output. These teams have already met five times in the month of April, with combined scores of 195 or less points in four of them. Familiarity breeds defensive battles because it's simply harder for the offenses to get going when their opposition knows that they like to do. The UNDER is 18-7-2 in Nuggets last 27 games overall. The UNDER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. Denver is 21-5 UNDER (+15.5 Units) when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season. The Nuggets are 30-16 UNDER (+12.4 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season. Denver is 27-13 UNDER (+12.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Take the UNDER 205.5 points here.
|
04-23-11 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 191.5 |
Top |
88-91 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Saturday Play of the Night on Spurs/Grizzlies UNDER 191.5
We'll side with the UNDER in Game 3 Saturday between the San Antonio Spurs and Memphis Grizzlies. In this pivitol game, defense will reign supreme. These teams combined for 180 points in Game 2 and you can expect a similar output tonight in Game 3. Memphis is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season. The Grizzlies are 13-3 UNDER (+9.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 6-1-1 in Spurs last 8 Conference Quarterfinals games. The UNDER is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 games as a favorite. Take the UNDER 191.5 points here.
|
04-17-11 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 195 |
Top |
101-98 |
Loss |
-115 |
2 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Sunday "Total" BLOWOUT on Grizzlies/Spurs U 195
*Analysis Coming Soon*
|
03-28-11 |
Philadelphia 76ers v. Chicago Bulls OVER 191 |
Top |
97-85 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE YEAR on 76ers/Bulls O 191
When looking at recent meetings between the Bulls and 76ers, it's easy to see why we are on the OVER tonight. The OVER is 10-2-1 in the last 13 meetings in this series, and 11 of those 13 meetings saw 195 or more combined points. These teams combined to score 204 and 197 points in their two meetings this season, respectively. The OVER is 6-1 in Philly's last 7 games overall with combined scores of 198 or more six times, while the OVER is 5-0 in Chicago's last 5 games with combined scores of 195 or more four times. As you can see, there is a ton of value with this 'over' tonight and we'll take full advantage. Take the OVER 191 points here.
|
03-14-11 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Miami Heat UNDER 199 |
Top |
80-110 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA on ESPN TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Heat/Spurs UNDER 199
This total has been jacked up tonight due to the most recent meeting between the Spurs and Heat. Miami didn't even show up for that game, and allowed San Antonio to do whatever they wanted in a 125-95 victory for the Spurs on March 4th. They will certainly show up tonight, especially defensively where they will buckle down as they look to get revenge on the Spurs. Because of their 220-point output in their last meeting, we find the odds makers have inflated this total tonight which provides us with some nice value. In fact, that was by far the highest-scoring game in this series in quite some time. The UNDER is 18-3 in the last 21 meetings in this series, including 12-1 in the last 13 meetings in Miami. A closer look really shows you how much value there is on this 'under' tonight. 26 of the last 27 meetings have seen 195 or less combined points, which makes for a 26-1 (96%) UNDER angle given the total set tonight. Take the UNDER 199 points here.
|
02-27-11 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 200.5 |
Top |
90-87 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 44 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy Lakers/Thunder NBA on ABC Sunday Surefire on UNDER 200.5
When looking at recent meetings between the Lakers and Thunder, it's easy to see that there is some nice value with this UNDER Sunday. Oklahoma City and Los Angeles have combined to score 199 or less points in eight straight meetings. That makes for a perfect 8-0 angle in favor of the UNDER pertaining to the total set listed today. Enough said. Take the UNDER 200.5 points here.
|
02-22-11 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 193 |
Top |
88-94 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on T'Wolves/Bucks UNDER 193
This 'under' is showing excellent value tonight. The UNDER is 9-2 in Minnesota's last 11 games, while the UNDER is 7-1-1 in Milwaukee's last 9 games. This is a very high total for a Bucks home game, especially considering they have combined with their opponents to score 185 or less in seven of their last nine contests. Minnesota has combined their their opponents to score 194 or less in three straight games as well. The UNDER is 8-0 in Timberwolves last 8 games following a S.U. loss, while the UNDER is 8-0 in Bucks last 8 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. This makes for a combined 16-0 angle in favor of the UNDER tonight. Plus, these teams combined for 181 points in their first meeting this season in which Minnesota won 96-85 at home. Take the UNDER 193 points here.
|
02-08-11 |
Indiana Pacers v. Miami Heat OVER 198 |
Top |
112-117 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 24 m |
Show
|
6* Widow Wiseguy 2011 NBA PARLAY OF THE YEAR on Miami Heat -10.5/OVER 198
Plays on home favorites (MIAMI) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) are 55-21 (72.4%) ATS since 1996. Miami is playing great basketball right now. The Heat are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games. Indiana has won four straight, but three of those games came against the likes or the Raptors, Cavs and Nets who are three of the worst teams in the league. The Pacers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Heat are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.
Plays on the OVER on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (INDIANA) - an good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 100 points or more 4 straight games are 45-16 (73.8%) OVER since 1996. Both teams are hitting on all cylinders offensively right now. Indiana has scored 100 or more points in four straight games while averaging 106.5 points/game, and Miami is averaging 107.0 points/game over their last five contests. The OVER is 7-2 in Pacers last 9 road games. The OVER is 10-4 in Heat last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Take Miami and the OVER as our 2011 NBA Parlay of the Year Tuesday.
|
02-04-11 |
Utah Jazz v. Denver Nuggets OVER 207 |
Top |
113-106 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
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6* Widow Wiseguy 2011 NBA on ESPN TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Jazz/Nuggets OVER 207
Plays on the OVER on road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (UTAH) - revenging a road loss vs opponent against opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival are 42-13 (76.4%) OVER since 1996. Also, plays on the OVER on road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (UTAH) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, vs. division opponents are 44-16 (73.3%) OVER through the last 5 seasons. Deron Williams has been out for the Jazz since January 26th and as a result they have been playing in much lower-scoring games of late. Williams is expected to return tonight against the Nuggets as he is listed as probable, and as a result we expect Utah's offense to get back on track. Denver is scoring 110.7 points/game at home this season and are combining with their opponents to average 112.7 points/game at home. Taking a look at recent meetings in his series, we find great value in the OVER. The OVER is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings with combined scores of 208 or more points in eight of the nine meetings. That's an 89% OVER Angle pertaining to the total set listed tonight. The OVER is 38-12-2 in Jazz last 52 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5, 7-1 in Jazz last 8 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 42-20-1 in Jazz last 63 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The OVER is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 games overall and 8-1 in Nuggets last 9 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The OVER is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Denver. Take the OVER 207 points here.
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01-27-11 |
Miami Heat v. New York Knicks UNDER 212 |
Top |
88-93 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 27 m |
Show
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6* Widow Wiseguy Heat/Knicks TNT TOTAL OF THE MONTH on UNDER 212
Plays on the UNDER on all teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games are 33-8 (80.5%) UNDER during the last 5 seasons. We look for a defensive battle tonight in New York. Considering Miami only allows 93.9 points/game, it's easy to see why we're siding with the UNDER here. Plus, the last 5 meetings in this series have all seen combined scores of 209 or less points. Also, the UNDER is 8-1-1 in Knicks last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Take the UNDER 212 points here.
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01-21-11 |
Utah Jazz v. Boston Celtics OVER 194 |
Top |
86-110 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 59 m |
Show
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6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Jazz/Celtics OVER 194
Plays on the OVER on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (BOSTON) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 175 points or less are 84-37 (69.4%) OVER since 1996. After playing a low-scoring affair against a terrible Detroit Pistons team last time out, the Boston Celtics will take part in a shootout against the Utah Jazz Friday. The OVER is 7-1 in Utah's last 8 games overall where Utah and their opponents have combined to score 198 or more points in all eight games. Utah is 16-4 OVER (+11.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 3 seasons. The Jazz are 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite this season. The Celtics are 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) in home games off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite this season. The OVER is 14-5-1 in the last 20 meetings in this series, including 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Boston. Take the OVER 194 points here.
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01-14-11 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Phoenix Suns OVER 195.5 |
Top |
111-115 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 28 m |
Show
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6* Widow Wiseguy ESPN Friday Night TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Suns/Blazers OVER 195.5
The OVER in the Blazers/Suns game tonight is showing excellent value. Rarely will you find a Phoenix home game with a total set of less than 200 points. In fact, there has not been one Phoenix home game that has been set at less than 200 points this season, and only one Suns game all year was set at less than 200. That came at Charlotte on 11/20 where 228 combined points were scored despite a total of just 198.5. Odds makers are making a huge mistake tonight by setting this total so low. The Suns are scoring 106.0 points/game this season and allowing a league-worst 108.9 points/game. Given those averages, you can see why we're on the OVER tonight. The OVER is 9-2 in Suns last 11 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5. The OVER is 10-4 in Suns last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Phoenix is 15-7 to the OVER in their last 22 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The OVER is 7-3 in Trail Blazers last 10 games as a road favorite of 0.5-4.5. Phoenix is 21-9 OVER (+11.1 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. Phoenix and their opponents are combining to score 214.9 points/game this season, therefore we are essentially getting nearly 20 points of value tonight. Take the OVER 195.5 points here.
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12-17-10 |
Phoenix Suns v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 210.5 |
Top |
91-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
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6* Widow Wiseguy Suns/Mavs ESPN Friday Night "BAILOUT" on OVER 210.5
Phoenix is the worst defensive team in the league this season, and this is a reasonably low total for a Suns game tonight. Phoenix is scoring 109.0 points/game while allowing 110.0 points/game for an averaged combined score of 219.0 points/game. Dallas has had no problem scoring on the Suns over the last few years, which should come as no surprise. The Mavs have scored 100 or more points in 8 straight meetings with Phoenix, while the Suns have scored 101 or more in 5 of the last 6 meetings in this series. There have been some bad defensive teams in Phoenix history, but this year's version has to be the worst. The OVER is 6-0 in Mavs last 6 games overall, and Dallas has scored 100 or more points in 10 of their last 12 games overall. Dallas is hitting on all cylinders offensively right now and that's another big reason why the OVER should be money in the bank tonight. The OVER is 11-1 in Suns last 12 games playing on 1 days rest. Take the OVER 210.5 points here.
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12-10-10 |
Miami Heat v. Golden State Warriors OVER 204 |
Top |
106-84 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
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6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Heat/Warriors OVER 204
This is a very low total for a Warriors home game, and the clear value tonight is with the OVER as the Miami Heat come to town. The Warriors are scoring 105.4 points/game and allowing 106.6 points/game at home this year for an average combined score of 212 points. The OVER is 6-1 in Heat last 7 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The OVER is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings and the OVER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Golden State. Take the OVER 204 points here.
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10-29-10 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Phoenix Suns OVER 208 |
Top |
114-106 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 56 m |
Show
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6* Widow Wiseguy Lakers/Suns ESPN Friday Night "BAILOUT" on OVER 208
Just looking at how these teams have played in recent meetings, it's clear that this total has been set way too low tonight. You also have to factor in that the Lakers are without Andrew Bynum, which means Lamar Odom is taking his spot. With Odom, the Lakers are much more explosive offensively and they can get out and run more because Odom can handle the ball like a point guard. The Suns haven't changed what they do, which is run and gun and penetrate and kick out. They shoot a lot of 3-pointers, but that's because they have so many great perimeter shooters. Long rebounds on miss 3-pointers lead to fast breaks for their opposition, and the Lakers will get plenty of opportunities to run tonight. 5 of the last 6 meetings have seen 214 or more combined points, and these teams are averaging 222.8 points/game over those 6 games. So as you can see, these teams tend to play in shootouts when they get together. Plus, the Suns are 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) in home games off an road win scoring 110 or more points over the last 3 seasons. we're seeing an average of 227.2 points/game in this spot. Take the OVER 208 points here.
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06-15-10 |
Boston Celtics v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 189 |
Top |
67-89 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
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6* Widow Wiseguy 2010 NBA Finals TOTAL OF THE YEAR on UNDER 189
The UNDER has cashed in 3 straight games with 185 points or less scored and you can chalk up a 4th straight UNDER tonight. Both the Lakers and Celtics know how to stop one another at this point, but each team is struggling to find easy buckets. That's why this series has turned into a defensive battle, and with the pressure of a Game 6, another low-scoring contest is in store. Neither team has scored more than 96 points in any of the last 3 games. Boston did shoot 56% from the field in Game 5, but only managed 92 points. The Lakers are relying on Kobe Bryant, and as a result he is taking a lot of shots at the end of the shotclock which is why they are not performing up to par offensively. Assists have been few and far between, and the Lakers are 16-4 UNDER (+11.6 Units) after a game with 15 or less assists over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 6-1-1 in Celtics last 8 games following a win, and the UNDER is a perfect 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games following an ATS loss. The UNDER is also 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. The UNDER is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings. Take the UNDER 189 points in Game 6.
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06-10-10 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Boston Celtics UNDER 190 |
Top |
89-96 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
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6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Finals PARLAY OF THE YEAR on Lakers +4/UNDER 190
We expect the Lakers to go in for the kill in Game 4 now that they have Boston on their heels, and another excellent defensive effort tonight similar to how Game 3 played out. The familiarity between these teams makes it difficult for either squad to flourish offensively, and that's why we see another low-scoring game in this one. The Lakers are a superb 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. The Lakers are 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) after allowing 85 points or less this season. The Celtics are 12-4 UNDER (+7.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season. The Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog, and the UNDER is 14-6-1 in Lakers last 21 games as a road underdog. The UNDER is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 playoff games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5. Take the Lakers and the UNDER as our NBA Finals PARLAY OF THE YEAR!
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05-28-10 |
Orlando Magic v. Boston Celtics OVER 189 |
Top |
84-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 48 m |
Show
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6* Widow Wiseguy NBA on ESPN TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Magic/Celtics OVER 189
This series has shifted to a high-scoring one ever since three straight unders in the first three games. Orlando has changed the way that they have approached the Celtics, which is to push the tempo because getting out in transition gives them the best chance to win. Falling into a half-court game with Boston has not worked, so we expect the Magic to force the action in Game 6. Games 4 and 5 each were much higher-scoring, and as a result each went OVER the posted number. With what's at stake in this game, neither team is going to give up in the end no matter how far they are behind. But we definitely see a close game, and fouls in the end will also help push the final score OVER the number. A system backing this play tells us to take the OVER on home teams where the total is in the 180 to 189.5 range after allowing 110 points or more against opponent after scoring 110 points or more. This trend has gone 32-7 (82%) to the OVER since 1996 and it's 10-1 (91%) to the OVER through the last 3 seasons. The OVER is 35-16 in the Celtics' last 51 games following a loss. Take the OVER 189 points here.
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05-27-10 |
Phoenix Suns v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 218 |
Top |
101-103 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 16 m |
Show
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6* Widow Wiseguy Suns/Lakers NBA on TNT Total on UNDER 218
The first 4 games of this series have all gone OVER the final posted number. But these games have become lower-scoring as this series has progressed. We saw 235 points in Game 1, 236 in Game 2, 227 in Game 3 and 221 in Game 4. Game 3 and Game 4 only went over the total due to fouls in the end by the Lakers as each contest was well on pace to go under. We are certain Game 5 will see the fewest combined points of this series, and thus we'll select the UNDER. The Lakers really struggled to defend in Phoenix, and returning home tonight their focus is squarely on the defensive end. Kobe Bryant has informed his teammates that this will be the foucs. "My message is offensively, we're going to score enough points," Bryant said. "Defensively, we've got to do a much better job. That's my message. We've got to grind, do a better job staying in front of them." Phoenix is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season, with the UNDER coming through 92% of the time. We're seeing an average score of Phoenix 101.5 and their opponents 98.6 in this spot. We expect the Lakers to win this game somewhere in the 110 to 100 range with 210 or less combined points with what's at stake. Take the UNDER 218 points here.
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