Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-04-22 | Raptors v. Mavs -4 | Top | 110-111 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Toronto has been on a roll the last two games, defeating Atlanta and San Antonio by 30 and 43 points respectively, and the Raptors have won four of their last five games after a 1-2 start. They have won two in a row on the road but are 2-2 after losing at Brooklyn and Miami albeit by just a total of seven points. Those last two victories provide an ideal go against spot as it provides line value because the action will certainly favor their side. Despite a 5-3 record, they are ranked No. 15 in both shooting offense and shooting defense and while great in transition, they are just No. 21 in points in the paint. The Raptors are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Dallas is coming off a win but non-cover against Utah last time out to make it two straight to move over .500 for the first time this season. The Mavericks are 4-3 but two of those losses came by a bucket at Phoenix and at New Orleans with the other defeat coming in overtime against Oklahoma City to they could very well be closer to undefeated than .500 if some of those breaks went their way. Two of their four wins came at home by nine and 41 points. Dallas is ranked No. 9 in scoring offense and has been very efficient as it is No. 2 in offensive efficiency and No. 2 in floor percentage. Dallas is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games as a home favorite of six points or less over the last two seasons. Gere, we play on home teams after allowing 105 points or less two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 130 points or more. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (542) Dallas Mavericks |
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11-04-22 | Cavs v. Pistons +6.5 | Top | 112-88 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Cleveland has been the surprise of the Eastern Conference as it is off to a 6-1 start which is still not good enough for first place because Milwaukee is 7-0 but the Cavaliers have been red hot. They have won their last six games, covering all of those but they have been pretty fortunate with three of those victories coming in overtime and four of the last five wins have come at home. They are banged up on the perimeter with point guard Darius Garland and shooting guard Donovan Mitchell dinged and are listed as questionable and while they should go, neither are 100 percent. The Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. Detroit is off to a rough start as expected as it is 2-7 but both wins came at home, including one against Golden St., where it is 2-2 and one of those losses was by just five points against Atlanta. The Pistons have lost their last two games but those came against those 7-0 Bucks on the road so no harm there and they bring in a 3-1 ATS record at home. This is clearly a young team in transition but it is all about spots and this one is set up perfectly where they are getting the same number as the one against the Warriors as the Cavaliers recent ATS stretch is helping inflate it. Detroit is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games against teams shooting 39 percent or better from long range. Here, we play against road favorites with a winning percentage of .750 or better after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, playing a team with a winning percentage of .250 or worse. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1996. 10* (534) Detroit Pistons |
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11-02-22 | Grizzlies -3.5 v. Blazers | Top | 111-106 | Win | 100 | 21 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. Memphis is one of many teams in the NBA expected to make a run to the top but have struggled early. The Grizzlies are 4-3 which is not horrible but the last two losses were bad ones at the overachieving Jazz and are now 2-3 on the road and we see value here in what is a great bounce back spot. The offense is humming along as they are No. 4 in scoring as they are again a great team in transition, ranked No. 8 in the league in fast break points and No. 7 in fast break efficiency. Memphis also has a big edge down low as it is No. 2 in points in the paint with 56 ppg and while the defense has struggled, they catch a short-handed Blazers team. The Grizzlies are 39-13 ATS in their last 52 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Portland opened the season 4-0 before losing at home to Miami by 21 points yet rebounded after that with a 14-point win but that was against the 1-7 Rockets. The Blazers won that game without Damian Lillard who is out until later this month with a calf injury and that puts them in a tough spot playing against a solid team, especially one that is in need of a win after two favorite losses. Anfernee Simons now has to shoulder the load up top and he responded with a 30-point game against Houston but it is a big drop off after that. To their credit, the Blazers do own two solid win over Denver and Phoenix but those were at full strength and their 5-1 ATS record is giving us value here. The Blazers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Here, we play on road favorites coming off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite going up against an opponent off a home win. This situation is 51-21 ATS (70.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (519) Memphis Grizzlies |
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11-02-22 | Jazz v. Mavs -5.5 | Top | 100-103 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. The Jazz have been one of the early season surprises in the league as they are off to a 6-2 start which includes a pair of back-to-back wins over Memphis in their last two games but those were at home where they are 4-0 to start the season. Utah is 2-2 on the road but those two wins came in overtime albeit against good teams in Minnesota and New Orleans so those could have gone either way as the home teams came up small in the extra time. The offense has been fairly average however as the Jazz are No. 16 in offensive efficiency and No. 22 in floor percentage while the one big issue has been in transition as Utah is No. 26 in fast break efficiency. Utah is 8-21 ATS in its last 29 games after having won three of their last four games. The Mavericks are just 3-3 but two of those losses came by a bucket at Phoenix and at New Orleans with the other defeat coming in overtime against Oklahoma City to they could very well be closer to undefeated than .500 is some of those breaks went their way. Two of their three wins came at home by nine and 41 points. Dallas is ranked No. 6 in scoring offense and has been very efficient as it is No. 2 in offensive efficiency and No. 2 in floor percentage. The Mavericks have a scheduling advantage having two days off following their last two games being at home so they have not travelled in a week while Utah has to hit the road following a home game on Monday and note its last tine in this situation, it won at home against the Rockets and then lost at Denver by 16 points two days later. The Mavericks are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 home games. Here, we play against underdogs off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in November games. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (518) Dallas Mavericks |
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11-01-22 | Warriors v. Heat | Top | 109-116 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Tuesday Star Attraction. Miami opened the season with four home games and went 1-3 before hitting the road for what was hoping to be a turnaround trip but after defeating Portland by 21 points to open, the Heat dropped the final two games against Golden St. and Sacramento. This does set up a revenge spot but they are now facing a team that is just as much in desperate mode but with a better roster to recover. Miami plays at a slower pace as it is No. 26 in scoring offense and No. 12 in scoring defense but the shooting percentages on both ends are not good. The slow start is being deemed due to too much individualism from the players whereas last season they played team basketball. Going back, Miami is 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games. The Warriors have also lost two straight games to fall to 3-4 on the season and those were two bad losses against two of the expected worst teams in the league in Charlotte and Detroit so Miami will have their attention tonight. Golden St. fell to 0-3 on the road following those two defeats with the other coming against Phoenix and it has been outscored by an average of 16.6 ppg on the highway and no doubt teams are out to scorch the reigning champs, this team should not be allowing this to happen. Golden St. is playing at a fast pace as it is No. 3 in the league in scoring but sitting No. 29 in points allowed yet it has outshot opponents from the floor based on effective field goal percentages. Here, we play on road teams after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in November games. this situation is 54-25 ATS (68.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (571) Golden St. Warriors |
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10-31-22 | Pacers v. Nets -8.5 | Top | 109-116 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Monday Supreme Annihilator. We lost with the Nets Saturday but are back on them here in another get right game. Brooklyn has opened the campaign awful as is off to a 1-5 start to the season following that loss against the Pacers but we see some serious revenge here. The first five games were against teams all expected to make the playoffs and overall, the schedule is still ranked No. 9 in the league but above average teams should still have more than one win in those games and three of those were not even close with losses by 22, 10 and 11 points. Brooklyn is ranked No. 28 in point differential and No. 30 in defensive efficiency and its once top ranked offense is now No. 15 in efficiency. The Pacers opened the season by going 1-2 at home with the win coming against equally bad Detroit and started their five-game roadtrip with losses at Philadelphia and Chicago by 14 and 15 points respectively before playing at Washington on Friday that resulted in a win and then another upset over the Nets the following night. The defense has been atrocious as Indiana is ranked No. 26 in the league in points allowed and this is no surprise with so many new parts and young players dotting the roster. While the Brooklyn defense has been even worse, it has the more complete roster. We are getting excellent line value here as Indiana closed as 11-point underdogs in the first meeting. Indiana is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 games coming off two or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a straight up loss as a favorite of seven or more points going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (558) Brooklyn Nets |
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10-30-22 | Wolves -5.5 v. Spurs | Top | 98-107 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Minnesota continues its early season run of playing a very soft schedule and while San Antonio is off to a great start by their standards, that will not withstand and we are now dealing with a very manageable number. The Timberwolves are 4-2 which is okay but they should actually have a better record based on playing the easiest schedule in the league thus far and it shows in the spreads as they have been favored by at least seven points in all six of their games. This is already the third meeting with the Spurs and after losing the first one, they got their revenge two nights later and then followed that up with a win over the Lakers on Friday and this is the final game against the nonelite crowd as they have games with Phoenix and Milwaukee on deck. This will not be a lookahead spot based on their average record and the fact Minnesota has already lost once to the Spurs so they cannot take them lightly. San Antonio is the early surprise of the season as it is 4-2 as well with every outright win coming as an underdog and this has been a team that has clearly been coached up. The Spurs defeated Chicago on Friday by five points as a five-point underdog but the Bulls were shorthanded with no Zach LaVine and Minnesota is fully healthy. The offense has been playing very well but the defense still has a lot to be desired as the Spurs are ranked No. 29 in scoring defense and No. 28 in shooting defense and are again facing a strong offense that hung 134 points on them in the most recent meeting. Here, we play against home underdogs revenging a road loss of 10 points or more, off an upset win as an underdog. This situation is 59-28 ATS (67.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (545) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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10-29-22 | Pacers v. Nets -10.5 | Top | 125-116 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Brooklyn has opened the campaign awful as is off to a 1-4 start to the season following an overtime loss against Dallas on Thursday but this is the game to get things right. The first five games were against teams all expected to make the playoffs and overall, the schedule is ranked No. 2 in the league but above average teams should still have more than one win in those games and three of those were not even close with losses by 22, 10 and 11 points. How ugly is it? Brooklyn is ranked No. 28 in point differential and No. 30 in defensive efficiency and its once top ranked offense is now No. 17 in efficiency. Clearly, it is early and the play of Ben Simmons has been anything but good yet there is so much time to get it right and this starts the stretch of five straight games where they will be significant favorites so this is a big week and a half coming up. Indiana is off to a poor start as well but this one was expected. The Pacers opened the season by going 1-2 at home with the win coming against equally bad Detroit and started their five-game roadtrip with losses at Philadelphia and Chicago by 14 and 15 points respectively before playing at Washington on Friday that resulted in a win. The defense has been atrocious as Indiana is ranked dead last in the league in points allowed and this is no surprise with so many new parts and young players dotting the roster. This is a big number but a justified one and the first complete effort from the Nets comes Saturday. Here, we play on teams after two or more consecutive losses in the first six games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost four or more of their last five games. This situation is 104-61 (63 percent) since 1996. 10* (528) Brooklyn Nets |
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10-28-22 | Lakers +8.5 v. Wolves | Top | 102-111 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. The Lakers are 0-4 both straight up and against the number and they are obviously the talk of the league which is not a good thing. Yes, there is pressure but they are only four games in and the talent is too good for this team to be playing so poor and making this one more important is the fact they head back to Los Angeles for a four-game homestand and being 0-5 in front of that crowd is not ideal. We only care about the cover here though as this number is way too high as the public overreaction is working in our favor. The defense has not been great but it is one that can be worked around and it is the offense that needs to get it together. The Lakers are the second worst shooting team in the league at 41.6 percent and being in the mix with Detroit, Houston and Oklahoma City at the bottom of those rankings is not a good thing. Additionally, they are by far the worst three-point shooting team in the NBA at a mere 22.3 percent while averaging only eight makes per game but they have been at least better on the road in the two games compared to the two games at home. We won with Minnesota on Wednesday as it was able to win and cover the second game of a back-to-back with San Antonio and is again laying a big number at home. We know this is a very talented team but the Timberwolves have had the luxury of playing no one as they have played the easiest schedule thus far in the NBA. Many will put Los Angeles into this group but not quite yet and the fact it was getting five points at Denver in its last game and now are getting more than that which is too aggressive. The offense is in the top five in both shooting and scoring but that goes up against the strength of the Lakers as Los Angeles is top 11 in both and while both are small sample sizes, it is a benefit. While the Lakers have been brutal, it is too soon to lump them into the likes of those young teams like Utah and Oklahoma City and that is what this spread is telling us. Huge value on Los Angeles here. 10* (511) Los Angeles Lakers |
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10-26-22 | Heat +1 v. Blazers | Top | 119-98 | Win | 100 | 26 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Nonconference Game of the Month. Things have not started well for Miami as it is off to a 1-3 start and most troubling is the fact all four of those games were at home. Now the Heat hit the road on the west coast for the start of a three-game trip that includes a game at Golden St. on Thursday and while that would normally be a spot for this to constitute a lookahead, that is not going to happen with the brutal start. Hitting the road at this time may not seem ideal but heat coach Erik Spoelstra said playing on the road could be beneficial because of the bonding experience and that can help a team like this that has had past success and now dealing with some early adversity. Miami was an underdog 23 times last season and won 14 of those outright. Portland is coming off a win over Denver on Monday to improve to 4-0 and it is a surprise as the last time it opened 4-0 was 1999 and the Blazers are the lone undefeated team in the Western Conference. Damian Lillard finished with 31 points and eight assists for the Blazers and he has been on fire as he was the Western Conference Player of the Week prior to that and he is now averaging 33. 2 ppg on 50 percent shooting while averaging 5.5 rebounds per game and 5.2 assists per game. The Blazers have impressively won all four games as underdogs and now they are in the role of favorites, albeit a small one, and we will take the value on the other side against the desperate team. This is the perfect contrarian spot with Miami 0-4 ATS and Portland 4-0 ATS. Here, we play against home favorites off a win against a division rival in the first half of the season. This situation is 82-43 ATS (65.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (555) Miami Heat |
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10-26-22 | Spurs v. Wolves -8.5 | Top | 122-134 | Win | 100 | 24 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. Minnesota is in revenge mode following a Monday loss against San Antonio and we are backing the Timberwolves again for a lot of the same reasons from Monday. Minnesota is off to a 2-2 start against three of the worst teams in the Western Conference and have a rematch with another. They failed to cover in their win over Oklahoma City as they won by seven as an 11-point favorite and then fell to Utah in overtime as an eight-point chalk and then bounced back with another win over the Thunder on Sunday before getting off to a slow start against the Spurs and could not recover. A 2-2 start against this opposition is not good on this easy initial portion of the schedule and a bounce back is important even early on in the season. San Antonio has started 3-1 as it lost its season opener at home against Charlotte by 27 points but has won the last three games on the road, covering all three numbers and winning outright as big underdogs. It is another transition year for San Antonio as it sent All-Star point guard Dejounte Murray to Atlanta and got Danilo Gallinari, who eventually got waived, three first-round picks in 2023, 2025, and 2027 and a 2026 pick swap so it is clearly playing for the future even though it has not looked that way thus far. The offense has been efficient but the defense has been the opposite and despite a 3-1 record, the Spurs have been outshot and outscored overall through those four games. Here, we play on favorites off an upset loss as a favorite going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog. This situation is 63-29 ATS (68.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (550) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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10-24-22 | Spurs v. Wolves -10 | Top | 115-106 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Monday Supreme Annihilator. Minnesota is off to a 2-1 start against two of the worst teams in the Western Conference and will be facing a fourth on Monday in a great situation as the Timberwolves are ready for another big breakout. They failed to cover in their win over Oklahoma City as they won by seven as an 11-point favorite and then fell to Utah in overtime as an eight-point chalk and then bounced back with another win over the Thunder on Sunday and we are not going to shy away from laying the big number here. Offseason moves have put Minnesota back on the map with the addition of Rudy Gobert and is teamed with Karl-Anthony Towns who finished fourth and third, respectively, the All-NBA voting for centers. In addition, this lineup is loaded with the backcourt of D'Angelo Russell and Anthony Edwards along with defensive specialist Jaden McDaniels who has the length and wingspan that shuts down perimeter shooters. San Antonio has started 2-1 as it lost its season opener at home against Charlotte by 27 points but has won the last two games on the road, covering both numbers as underdogs. It is another transition year for San Antonio as it sent All-Star point guard Dejounte Murray to Atlanta and got Danilo Gallinari, who eventually got waived, three first-round picks in 2023, 2025, and 2027 and a 2026 pick swap so it is clearly playing for the future. Yes, they have played great on the road in the last two games with the offense showing great signs but will be facing a very strong defense that is No. 6 in shooting percentage allowed. This is a very young Spurs team and after having 22 straight postseason appearances, the Spurs will likely miss the playoffs for the fourth straight season. The future looks bright but not now and not in this spot. 10* (522) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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10-22-22 | Thunder +9 v. Nuggets | Top | 117-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Western Conference Game of the Week. We are fading the Nuggets here after their big win at Golden St. last night which followed a season opening loss at Utah. The Nuggets are playing their first home game of the season which is obviously a big edge but this line seems short based on the fact they are playing a team expected not to do much this season and the number has already gone up from its opening making this a decent contrarian play in going against the obvious side. Jamal Murray is questionable again with a knee ailment and they are not going to rush him along as he is going to be a vital part of how far this team can go. The Thunder lost their season opener at Minnesota but covered the 11-point spread and now they are getting a shorter number against what is considered a better team which is part of the contrarian aspect. Oklahoma City caught a bad break before the season even began as No. 1 pick Chet Holmgren was lost for the season but the Thunder have a very underrated player in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander as he scored 32 points while grabbing six rebounds, dishing five assists, and nabbing three steals in their opener. As a team, they shot just 38 percent from the floor but face a porous defense that has allowed 123 ppg on 49.1 percent shooting. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off an road win scoring 110 or more points, team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season. This situation is 42-15 ATS (73.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (569) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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10-19-22 | Magic v. Pistons -3.5 | Top | 109-113 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Week. Two likely non-playoff teams square off Wednesday with Detroit hosting its season opener before an already brutal schedule coming up. This is an important game for the Pistons as far as scheduling goes as they have three road games on deck followed by games against Atlanta (twice), Golden St. and Milwaukee (twice) so this is going to be the only game they will be favored in until maybe November 4 at home against Cleveland. Detroit is going trough a rebuild with a slew of young talent with Cade Cunningham, Saddiq Bey, Isaiah Stewart and rookies Jaden Ivey and Jalen Duren expecting to be big contributors. Getting Bojan Bogdanovic right before training camp was a solid acquisition of a veteran that can contribute and help develop the young roster. Detroit won three of the four meetings last season all of which would have covered this number. Orlando is in the same boat as it is rebuilding with a young core but are still a step behind and hitting the road six times in its first eight games is not ideal for a team that was 10-31 on the highway last season. There is no veteran leadership on this team and it would not be surprising to see the Magic tank again, which will not be hard, to be able to acquire the No. 1 draft pick for a second straight season. The Magic do have some key players out on Wednesday with Moritz Wagner, Markelle Fultz and Gary Harris unavailable along with Jonathan Isaac who is still out after missing all of last season. No. 1 pick Paolo Banchero could be the real deal as he dominated the Summer League albeit just two games. top to bottom ,this is a bad roster and has a bad setup in the opener even though it is against another bad team, the logistics will play a big part. 10* (508) Detroit Pistons |
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10-18-22 | Lakers +6.5 v. Warriors | Top | 109-123 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. This line has remained relatively steady between 6 and 6.5 with a slight majority of the action on the Lakers. Golden St. is starting the defense of its NBA Title so Tuesday the Warriors will be dropping their championship banner and receiving their championship rings and this has been a lucrative situation over the years. Milwaukee won in this spot last season on banner night but the Bucks were getting points at home against the Nets yet historically, going against the reigning champions for the first couple weeks of the season has been the way to go as the numbers are overpriced early on. It was a quiet offseason for the Warriors up until the Draymond Green/Jordan Poole fiasco and while that has been washed away for the part, it is time to focus on basketball and Golden St. is tied with the Clippers and Celtics at +600 to win the NBA Championship. It is just the first game of the season but this is a statement game for the Lakers that were the biggest disappointment in the NBA last season and they heard about it all summer. It did not help matters that they went 1-5 during the preseason and that has been a big headline but it means little as head coach Darvin Ham used several lineups to try and figure out the regular season planned and he stated the Lakers will be better equipped to win games after all their players return from the injuries that came about during the preseason. This team is not getting younger so the time to jump on is early when they are actually healthy and one positive that came from the preseason was an improved defense thanks to the additions of Patrick Beverley and Dennis Schroder. The Lakers will be a play against for many based on the struggles last season but this is the best time to buy. 10* (503) Los Angeles Lakers |
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06-16-22 | Warriors v. Celtics -3.5 | Top | 103-90 | Loss | -115 | 58 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Game Five continued the common theme of the series as a close game was opened up by a big, late run as Golden St. opened the fourth quarter on a 10-0 run and Boston could not recover. Going in, if you said Steph Curry would have 16 points and not make a single three-pointer, then Boston would be back home with a series advantage but Andrew Wiggins stepped up and gives the Warriors a shot on Thursday for their fourth NBA Title in the last eight years. Golden St. is just 4-5 on the road in the postseason, one win coming here in Game Four where Curry went off and obviously Boston has to contain him again to force a Game Seven. The other big difference was Golden St. committed only six turnovers compared to 18 for Boston. The Warriors are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Boston is coming off consecutive losses in the postseason for the first time and it will haver to avoid its first three-game losing streak since dropping three in a row from December 25-December 29. The Celtics have gone 4-0 since then following consecutive losses and are 16-3 over their last 19 games following a loss, covering 15 of those against the number. Boston returns home where honestly it has not been great in the playoffs with a 6-5 record but the positive energy here in a must win game needs to be taken advantage of. Jayson Tatum did his best, scoring 27 points and grabbing 10 rebounds while going 5-9 from long range, but the rest of the team combined to go just 6-23 (26.1 percent). Boston is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games off a road loss by 10 points or more. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having covered four or five of their last six games against the spread, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. this situation is 67-28 ATS (70.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (528) Boston Celtics |
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06-13-22 | Celtics +4 v. Warriors | Top | 94-104 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Game of the Year. Steph Curry saved the day for the Warriors as he poured in 43 points to go along with 10 rebounds and four assists and it will likely take another effort like that here for the Warriors to take their first series lead. After four games, we are seeing Golden St. as fortunate to be tied in this series as Draymond Green has struggled with matchup disadvantages and Klay Thompson is a step or two slower and is not close to the same defender he was because of his past injuries. The Warriors are favored at home again thanks to their solid playoff record at home as they are 10-1 but the lone loss did come against Boston in what is turning into their toughest matchup in the postseason so far. The Warriors are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. All four games of this series have been decided by double-digits and we are so overdue for a competitive game late as it was once again a blowout in the fourth quarter in Game Four that was the deciding factor. That favors the underdog obviously which gives us two outs here with the better team as the Celtics cane win outright or lose a close one. While the Warriors home record is outstanding, the Celtics are a very solid 8-3 on the road in the playoffs while going a mediocre 6-5 at home. The one common theme in this series as the team that won the points in the paint battle went on to win the game and Boston is coming off a Game four where it was just 19-47 from two-point range which directly affects the paint numbers and we should see the Celtics have a much better effort down low. The Celtics are 22-7-1 ATS in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Boston is 10-2 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more this season and that includes a 16-point win at home following a loss in Game Two. Here, we play on road teams revenging a same season loss against opponent off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog. This situation is 59-28 ATS (67.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (525) Boston Celtics |
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06-10-22 | Warriors +4 v. Celtics | Top | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 34 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Boston gained control of the Finals with a 116-100 win on Wednesday to give it a 2-1 lead in the series and can put Golden St. in a world of hurt with a Game Four victory. The Big Three for the Celtics came up big in Game Three as Jaylen Brown led all scorers with 27 points while Jayson Tatum added 26 points and Marcus Smart chipped in 24 points. The third quarter has been the downfall of the Celtics as they have been outscored 106-63 in the first three games coming out of halftime. They have dominated other nine quarters in total with a 261-219 advantage but have not completely dominated individually as six of those quarter were decided by six points or less, split between the two teams. Boston is 6-14 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more this season. Golden St. rallied to within four points at the end of the third quarter in Game Three but the Warriors managed only 11 points in the fourth quarter, the second time in this series they were crushed in the final quarter and that has been the difference just like how Boston has been dominated in the third quarter. Golden St. is 3-5 on the road in the postseason but three of those losses came right after a win on the highway and the Wednesday loss was the first one in the first of back-to-back road games. The Warriors are in a great spot as they have been perfect in the postseason following a loss, going 5-0 after a defeat, winning those games by an average of 15.4 ppg. Golden St. is 20-6 ATS revenging a road loss this season while going 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. 10* (523) Golden St. Warriors |
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06-08-22 | Warriors v. Celtics -3.5 | Top | 100-116 | Win | 100 | 53 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Game of the Week. Golden St. got back into the series and avoided a 2-0 Finals deficit and while it lost home court advantage, it has new life. That being said, the Warriors are in a tough spot and not because of travel since both teams are doing the same thing, but because of being on the road against an elite defensive team looking for payback. The Warriors led by two points at halftime but outscored Boston by 21 points in the third quarter as the defense allowed only 14 points which put the game away. Golden St. is just 25-23 on the road and while going 10-1 at home in the postseason, the Warriors are just 3-4 on the highway in the playoffs. Their defense is really good and probably considered underrated since most everyone talks about the offense but the defensive rating goes down away from home. Golden St. is 4-12 ATS in road games when playing only its 2nd game in five days this season. Boston took Game One thanks to incredible efforts on both ends of the floor in the fourth quarter and while it allowed 107 points in Game Two, the defense played pretty well overall. The problem that the Celtics need to work is matching Golden St. down low. They have been outscored by 33 points in the first two games within the first 64 minutes with their lineup of two big men consisting of either Robert Williams, Grant Williams, Al Horford or Daniel Theus. Boston is 33-17 at home and while the playoff record is just 5-4, injuries played roles in some of those losses. The Celtics lead the league in defensive rating and steps up again at home. Boston is 10-1 ATS this season after scoring 95 points or less including 7-0 ATS after scoring 90 points or less this season. 10* (522) Boston Celtics |
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06-05-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -4 | Top | 88-107 | Win | 100 | 35 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Game One was typical of what we have seen throughout the playoffs where we have a team blowing a big lead only to get blown out. Golden St. had Boston against the wall as it took a 12-point lead after three quarters only to get outscored 40-16 in the fourth quarter. It was the first home loss in the playoffs for the Warriors which were 9-0 heading into Thursday and outscoring opponents by 13.4 ppg over that stretch. Now we can see what this team is capable of in a must win spot as one bad quarter cannot derail the mission they are on. The extra day off is good to kill off any Boston momentum and to make some necessary adjustments. Golden St. is 23-9 ATS in its last 32 home games after one or more consecutive losses. The three-point shooting for Boston was off the charts as it went 21-41 (51.2 percent) from long range and we do not expect to see that again. Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown were just 3-11 but most everyone else were lights out, mostly in that final quarter. The Celtics have won eight of their last 10 road games which is hard to do in the postseason against quality opponents but this has been an atypical postseason where we have seen it all. Boston does have to given a lot of credit for making important adjustments defensively in the fourth quarter and now the strong Warriors defense will have to do the same in Game Two. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having covered four or five of their last six games against the spread, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. this situation is 65-28 ATS (69.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (520) Golden St. Warriors |
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06-02-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -3.5 | Top | 120-108 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Game of the Month. Boston knocked off top seed Miami to make it to the NBA Finals for the first time in long time for this storied franchise. The Celtics have the No. 1 defense in the league, but the Warriors finished the regular season with the No. 2 offense so it is strength against strength and playing Game One on the road will be a tough one. Going through the Nets, Bucks and Heat has put this team battle tested but the matchup here is not one they have seen. The Celtics are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. Golden St. is 9-0 at home in the playoffs, having outscored opponents by 13.4 ppg and have done it with an underrated defense that counters its great offense. The rest aspect is big here as the Warriors had two more days of rest before the Memphis and Dallas series and then went out and won each and this time, they have three more days of rest than the Celtics and the latter is moving cross country. The Warriors are 24-8-1 ATS in their last 33 home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having covered four or five of their last six games against the spread, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. this situation is 65-27 ATS (70.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (518) Golden St. Warriors |
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05-29-22 | Celtics -2.5 v. Heat | Top | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Eastern Conf. Game of the Week. Miami has been able to maintain its home court advantage thanks to a win in Game Six in Boston and it is back home where this series comes down to one game. The Heat are 36-14 at home while outscoring opponents by seven ppg. The Boston defense gets the most pub which is legit but Miami is ranked No. 4 in scoring defense, No. 4 in shooting defense and No. 2 in three-point shooting defense but we expect Boston to bounce back. Miami got a great effort from Jimmy Butler as he poured in 47 points and while that is great momentum, the Boston defense will make the adjustment. The Heat are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 playoff games as an underdog. Certainly, there is a lot on the line for not just now but Boston has gone 0-4 in its last four chances to make it the NBA Finals and the role from Butler to Jayson Tatum is key in this matchup. He is coming off a 30-point game and likely will need more as well as more help from the bench. Derrick White was the top guy off the bench in Game Six and that was basically it as the Celtics got only two other bench points. The Celtics are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on favorites revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite of seven points or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite. This situation is 38-12 ATS (76 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (509) Boston Celtics |
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05-27-22 | Heat +9 v. Celtics | Top | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Friday Enforcer. The broken record continues. The awful NBA basketball postseason keeps chugging along and this series is right at the top. There have been leads by at least 20 points in each game and overall, of the 35 games played since the start of the Conference Semifinals, 29 games have been decided by seven points or more with 22 of those being by double-digits with another taking place in the east on Wednesday. Boston took control of this series with a 13-point win in Game Five on the road and have a chance to meet the Warriors in the NBA Finals with a win on Friday at home. Because of the lead and the type of games we have seen, Boston is favored by its biggest amount in this series and a closer game either way cashes this one. Boston is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 home games after a win by 10 points or more. Despite opening with the home court advantage and having the top seed, Miami was not the favorite coming into this series and now it must win the final two games to advance. The Heat are coming off two bad games offensively and a lot of that can be put on Jimmy Butler. He has been injured but Boston has adjusted well as it is limiting his ability to drive and forcing him to take jumpers. The has scored 27 points the last three games combined following a 4-18 performance in Game Five and like Jayson Tatum in Game Four, the star needs to bring it. The Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a double-digit loss at home. Here, we play on road teams revenging a same season loss, off a home loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 116-66 ATS (63.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (505) Miami Heat |
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05-26-22 | Mavs v. Warriors -6.5 | Top | 110-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our Western Conference Game of the Week. Dallas played with an inspired effort on Tuesday following the horrific tragedy in Texas as it remained alive in this series with a 119-109 victory in Game Four where it led by as many as 29 points. The Mavericks shot 50 percent from the floor including 47 percent from long range which was their best offensive effort in the series but they are now back on the road where they shot a combined 44.2 percent in the first two games. Dallas is 26-24 on the road and has been outscored and outshot overall and finds itself in another difficult spot against a defense that prides its game on defense. Dallas did get extra production from its bench in Game Four but those efforts have been few and far-between. The Mavericks are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a winning home record. Golden St. definitely had a tough time on Tuesday as it was unable to close the series out but is still in great shape to make it to the NBA Finals. The Warriors return home where they are 39-10 including an 8-0 record in the postseason, outscoring opponents by an average of 15.4 ppg in those eight playoff games. As we have talked about before, this defense is the centerpiece which does not seem typical for this team but the Warriors are ranked No. 3 in points allowed, No. 2 in shooting defense and No. 3 in three-point shooting defense. Despite the loss, the Warriors still won the battle down low with a 44-36 advantage in the paint and they have done so in all four games and are still shooting over 60 percent from two-point range. Golden St. is 19-6 ATS revenging a road loss this season. 10* (504) Golden St. Warriors |
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05-25-22 | Celtics v. Heat +1.5 | Top | 93-80 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. The awful NBA basketball continues and this series is right at the top. There have been leads by at least 20 points in each game and overall, of the 33 games played since the start of the Conference Semifinals, 27 games have been decided by seven points or more with 20 of those being by double-digits. Miami has been able to maintain its home court advantage thanks to a win in Game Three in Boston and it is back home where this series should continue to be more chippy. The Heat are 36-12 at home while outscoring opponents by seven ppg. The Boston defense gets the most pub which is legit but Miami is ranked No. 4 in scoring defense, No. 4 in shooting defense and No. 2 in three-point shooting defense and has the edge with this line. Miami is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 home games after scoring 100 points or less this season. Boston picked up the must win in Game Four to prevent a 3-1 deficit in this series. We expected a big game from Jayson Tatum and he produced after an awful Game Two although he was just 1-7 from long range. Injuries have played a big role in this series and both teams have a key player questionable in Game five as Tyler Herro and Marcus Smart are both questionable but we will likely see both play. The Celtics are 28-20 on the road which is solid and they have been great against the top teams but catching Miami in this spot after that loss is a tough one. While Tatum bounced back, we will see the same from Jimmy Butler who scored only six points on just 3-14 shooting and this will be his game to take over. The Celtics are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. 10* (502) Miami Heat |
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05-24-22 | Warriors +1.5 v. Mavs | Top | 109-119 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. We played Dallas in Game Three with the thought it would do a better job with the interior defense as well as getting more production from the bench and while Spencer Dinwiddie helped the latter with 26 points, the Mavericks produced just two other points from their bench. Taking away the 11-23 from Luka Doncic, the rest of the team shot just 19-52 (36.5 percent) in Game Three and this has been the case throughout the entire series and against the Warriors, more results like that will lead to a very early exit for the Mavericks. The home floor has been good in the postseason but that is negated with this matchup as Dallas cannot compete against the fully healthy Warriors roster. Dallas is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 home games after having lost four or five of their last six games. After breaking down the tape, by someone else, it is clear the Warriors have a big advantage down low and it has not been fluky situations. The breakdown shows Dallas has been concerned with the outside shooting of the Warriors and their defense is not big enough down low or quick enough up top to counteract that as the defense has not been able to collapse which has led to numerous open looks down low for easy baskets. Golden St. has outscored the Mavericks 152-96 in the paint have converted on a whopping 60.9 percent of its two-point shots. The Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after having lost three of their last four games going up against an opponent after having won five or six of their last seven games. This situation is 103-69 ATS (60 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (567) Golden St. Warriors |
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05-23-22 | Heat v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 82-102 | Win | 100 | 21 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Week. We have witnessed some awful basketball since the end of the first round in the NBA Playoffs. Of the 31 games played since the start of the Conference Semifinals, 25 games have been decided by seven points or more with 19 of those being by double-digits and those have been involving eight of the top teams in the league so that kind of disparity has been unwatchable. Game Three of this series ended up being a six-point win for Miami but that game was never in question as the Celtics never led and the Heat led by as many as 26 points. Each game is its own separate entity but it just shows these big spreads can be beat in the right spots. The Heat are 2-5 ATS in their last seven playoff games as an underdog. Boston had a scare with Jayson Tatum leaving the last game but did return and is listed as questionable but Celtics head coach Ime Udoka called the injury a stinger and said it is not serious so we can expect a big effort following his 10-point, six-turnover performance on Saturday. Boston is now 32-16 at home and this one has turned into a must win as a loss going back to Miami down 3-1 will be tough to overcome and the energy in TD Garden will be off the charts on Monday. The Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having covered four or five of their last six against the spread, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 64-27 ATS (70.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (566) Boston Celtics |
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05-22-22 | Warriors v. Mavs -2.5 | Top | 109-100 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. The Mavericks missed a golden opportunity as it blew a 19-point lead and the Warriors took control in the second half, outscoring Dallas 68-45. The Mavericks were dominated in the paint in both games and that obviously has to change at home where they are 34-13 including a 5-1 record in the playoffs that includes five straight wins. Jalen Brunson is doing his best take some of the pressure off Luka Doncic but they still need other help as the Mavericks got just 13 points from its bench in Game Two. Dallas has been here before as it lost the first two games at Phoenix in the Western Conference Semifinals and then went on to win next two games at home to get back into the series. The Mavericks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a winning road record. Giving the Warriors a glimmer of hope is not ideal which Dallas did Friday and this is where a change of venue hurts Golden St. The Warriors are 24-22 on the highway including a 2-3 record in the postseason with those two wins coming by six points total and both could have gone the other way. The Warriors are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games going up against an opponent after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game. this situation is 60-30 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (564) Dallas Mavericks |
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05-21-22 | Heat +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Boston overcame an early 10-point deficit in Game Two to win by 25 points and stole home court advantage as it heads back home for Game Three. The Celtics are getting a lot of respect here as this is an eight-point line swing which is simply too much in a playoff game and value is on the road team. Boston shot 51.2 percent from the floor, including 50 percent from long range and it did show what it can do with a healthy roster. The Celtics are 32-15 at home but are two games under .500 against the number and have been average against the top teams. Boston is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 home games after a win by 10 points or more. Miami came out with good energy but lost it pretty quickly as the shots were not falling against the top ranked defense in the NBA and it will not get easier here but we are finally expecting a competitive game until the end, In Game Two, Miami made just 44.2 percent of its shots including 29.4 percent from behind the arc and the three-point shooting from both sides made the difference. The Heat are 26-20 on the road and are 16-10 ATS against teams with a winning record. It will be up to the defense to eliminate the hot Boston long range shooting. Miami is 16-5 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite. Here, we play on road teams revenging a same season loss going up against an opponent off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog. This situation is 58-28 ATS (67.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (561) Miami Heat |
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05-20-22 | Mavs v. Warriors -6 | Top | 117-126 | Win | 100 | 31 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. The NBA playoffs remain almost unwatchable with the number of blowouts we have encountered and the Finals have been no different so far. Golden St. rolled in Game One as its biggest deficit was a bucket and it led by as many as 30 points in its 25-point victory. The Warriors shot 56 percent from the floor but it was far from a perfect game as they went just 10-16 from the free throw line while committing 15 turnovers so they do have to shore some things up. Golden St. is now 37-10 at home which includes a 7-0 record in the postseason with the average margin of victory being 16.3 ppg and while going against the Warriors will be a popular play based on the bounce theory, they are rolling too much and present a very tough matchup as proven in the first game. Golden St. is 15-5 ATS in home games after two or more consecutive wins this season. Dallas has lost four of its last five games on the road with the one victory being that blowout over Phoenix to clinch a spot in the Finals. Those defeats were by an average of 20.5 ppg and in Game One, no one was able to pick it up behind a bad game from Luka Doncic. The Dallas offense is ranked No. 24 in scoring and No. 18 in shooting including No. 19 from behind the arc while Golden St. is top three in all defensive categories and we expect the Warriors to put the clamps down once again. The Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having covered four or five of their last six against the spread, winning between .600 and .750 of their games on the season. This situation is 96-47 ATS (67.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (648) Golden St. Warriors |
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05-19-22 | Celtics +4.5 v. Heat | Top | 127-102 | Win | 100 | 32 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Boston lost Game One as it got off to a great start but the Celtics wore down in the second half as they were outscored 39-14 in the third quarter. They were already in a tough spot coming off a physical series against Milwaukee while playing with just one day of rest and they had to shift on the fly with Marcus Smart and Al Horford declared as out early Tuesday afternoon. Both are questionable with Smart the most likely to play and he will be a big presence to shore up the defense that allowed 49 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown combined for 53 points, 18 rebounds, 9 assists, and 5 steals in the loss and they will again step up in Game Two. Boston is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games off a road loss by 10 points or more. Miami came into the series as a +150 underdog to make it to the NBA Finals and with the Game One win, the Heat are now -130 for the series at Draft Kings Sportsbook which is no surprise at this point. Jimmy Butler was outstanding in Game One with 41 points, including going 17-18 from the free throw line, 9 rebounds, 5 assists, 4 steals, and 3 blocks in one of the best all-around efforts for a Heat player in the postseason in recent years. Miami is now 36-12 at home and one of those losses came against Boston in the lone regular season meeting played in Florida. The Heat are 7-0 at home in the postseason, winning by an average of 14.7 ppg, and that is putting the public behind Miami again here but Boston is in much better position than in Game One. Boston is now 20-5-1 ATS on the road against winning teams and is 16-8-2 ATS on the season as an underdog. 10* (543) Boston Celtics |
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05-18-22 | Mavs v. Warriors -4.5 | Top | 87-112 | Win | 100 | 48 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Western Conference Game of the Week. For a series that went seven games, the Dallas/Phoenix series was one of the worst ever taking place in the postseason as the average margin of victory was 19.4 ppg and the closest game was decided by seven points. That being said, it might be difficult to figure out what we can expect here. What we do know is that Golden St. stepped up when it had to and defeated Memphis by 14 points at home in Game Six and this is a very veteran team and clearly knows what it is up against in Luka Doncic who once again stepped up in an elimination game. Golden St. cannot afford to get in that type of series and the number here is right to get out to a good start. Golden St. is 15-6 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more this season. Dallas won in impressive fashion over Phoenix in Game Seven but that was a Suns team that did not show up and that will be different here. The Mavericks lost the first three games in Phoenix before the Game Seven blowout and those defeats were by an average of 19 ppg. The Dallas offense is ranked No. 24 in scoring and No. 18 in shooting including No. 19 from behind the arc while Golden St. is top three in all defensive categories and the Warriors are 36-10 at home and while it was a split during the regular season here, Golden St. had just Steph Curry in the one loss. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having covered four or five of their last six against the spread, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. this situation is 61-27 ATS (69.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (540) Golden St. Warriors |
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05-17-22 | Celtics v. Heat -1 | Top | 107-118 | Win | 100 | 31 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. This is a great situational spot for Miami in the first game of the Eastern Conference Finals as the Heat have been off since Thursday after coasting in their first two series. Despite winning the regular season and having home court in this series, Miami is a +150 underdog which is a great value play and while Boston has shown it can win big road games, this will be the toughest one to take. The Heat are 35-12 at home while outscoring opponents by seven ppg. The Boston defense gets the most pub which is legit but Miami is ranked No. 4 in scoring defense, No. 4 in shooting defense and No. 2 in three-point shooting defense and has the edge against a weary Boston team. Miami is 14-5 ATS against teams outscoring their opponents by three or more ppg this season. Meanwhile Boston is coming off a grueling and physical series against Milwaukee with just one day of rest to try and prepare as well as tossing in the travel aspect. The Celtics easily took out Milwaukee in Game Seven at home as they went on a 38-point swing after falling behind by 10 points only to build a 28-point lead to never look back. Boston has been the best team in the NBA this season when facing good teams on the road, covering 20 of 25 against teams with a winning record but this situation is totally different. Boston 14-27 ATS in its last 41 games revenging a straight up loss as a favorite. Here, we play on home favorites playing with three or more days of rest, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. this situation is 131-79 ATS (62.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (536) Miami Heat |
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05-15-22 | Mavs v. Suns -6 | Top | 123-90 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Sunday Star Attraction. We won with Golden St. on Friday in a similar situation and we are backing the Suns in a same spot scenario. The Suns are the best team in the NBA with a 73-21 record and it was a pathetic display in a closeout game in Dallas as Phoenix lost by 27 points after an awful second quarter it could not recover from. The Suns managed only eight fast break points which has been an issue this series and a return home should get them energized as they are 37-10 at home that includes three wins in this series by an average of 15.7 ppg which is closely above their nearly +10 ppg scoring differential on their home floor. Phoenix is 7-0 ATS revenging a straight up loss as a road favorite this season. Dallas has been impressive with basically a one-man show as Luka Doncic has carried the Mavericks throughout the first two series when he has been on the floor. They are 25-22 on the road and while they have done a great job of bottling up Chris Paul, who is averaging just six assists per game in the series after averaging double-digits during the regular season but part of that has been because of foul trouble. The defense has been solid most of the season which has carried them here but that offense is hard to look past as Dallas is ranked No. 24 in scoring and No. 18 in shooting including No. 19 from behind the arc. Here, we play on home teams revenging a road loss of 20 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 43-17 ATS (71.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (528) Phoenix Suns |
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05-13-22 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -8 | Top | 96-110 | Win | 100 | 22 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Friday Star Attraction. We made a horrible call with Golden St. on Wednesday as the Warriors forgot they had a game, losing by 39 points, trailing by as many as 55 points and never having a lead. That was a complete aberration as Golden St. is arguably the second best team in the playoffs when fully healthy and while the Warriors are not at 100 percent, their core in fine and a return home will energize them in this closeout game as the last thing they need it having to win a Game Seven on the road. The Warriors defense has been very solid in this series prior to Game Five as they allowed the Grizzlies to shoot just 41.7 percent in the first four games and this has been reminiscent of the regular season as Golden St. finished No. 3 in points allowed, No. 2 in shooting defense and No. 3 in three-point shooting defense. Golden St. is 21-9 ATS in its last 30 home games after one or more consecutive losses. As mentioned in the Game Five analysis, the Grizzlies has been very good without Ja Morant on the floor and of the 22 wins without him, there are only four quality victories and that includes the win on Wednesday. They are 28-18 on the road including a 2-3 record in the postseason. While they have a top level scoring offense, with the help of Morant, they are just No. 16 in the NBA in shooting and while they shot over 47 percent in Game Five, they had the luxury of Golden St. committing 22 turnovers. The Grizzlies are 8-15 ATS in their last 23 playoff games as an underdog. Here, we play on home teams revenging a road loss of 20 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 42-17 ATS (71.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (518) Golden St. Warriors |
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05-12-22 | Suns -1.5 v. Mavs | Top | 86-113 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Phoenix has taken control of this series and will be out for the first road win from either team in this series as the host has won and covered the first five games which includes a 30-point win in Game Five. The defense played their best game of the series as they allowed the Mavericks to shoot just 38 percent from the floor and when that defense comes up like that and with the offense, the Suns are close to unbeatable. While they have a cushion where they cane lose and head home for a series finale, anything can happen in a Game Seven and bring in the No. 3 shooting defense inn the league so Tuesday was no fluke. Phoenix is 14-5 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. Dallas won its first two home games in this series by nine and 10 points despite getting outshot in both games as the Mavericks benefitted from 17 Phoenix turnovers in each game. The role players for Dallas has been the issue in this series and it was on fill display in Game Five where Luka Doncic scored 28 points and had only two other players behind him score in double-figures. He can take over a game but Phoenix has done a good job the last three games of limiting his scoring and there is not much behind that. Here, we play against home underdogs revenging a road loss of 30 points or more going against an opponent off a home win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 54-22 ATS (71.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (513) Phoenix Suns |
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05-11-22 | Warriors -3.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 95-134 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Western Conference Game of the Week. Following a pair of home wins, the Warriors have taken control of this series and can close it out Wednesday with a victory. Golden St. is 2-2 on the road in the postseason and are catching another break with the absence of Ja Morant who is out again with a knee injury. The Warriors defense has been very solid in this series as they have allowed the Grizzlies to shoot just 41.7 percent through the first four games and this has been reminiscent of the regular season as Golden St. finished No. 3 in points allowed, No. 2 in shooting defense and No. 3 in three-point shooting defense. Golden St. is 12-4 ATS off two or more consecutive home wins this season. While the series is not over, Memphis has a big hill to climb as it cannot afford a loss and has to win out without Morant. During the regular season, the Grizzlies were incredible without Morant as they won 22 of 24 games at one point in his absence but none of those were against a full strength Golden St. team. The Grizzlies took three of the four regular season meetings and in those three wins. Golden St. was not a full strength with Klay Thompson out for two and Steph Curry out for another. Memphis is 33-13 at home on the season but this spot is no good. The Grizzlies are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 playoff games as an underdog. Here, we play against underdogs off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 63-19 ATS (76.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (509) Golden St. Warriors |
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05-10-22 | 76ers v. Heat -3 | Top | 85-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Miami had this series under control after a pair of blowout wins at home and one win in Philadelphia would have likely put an end to it. The return of Joel Embiid has obviously gotten the Sixers rejuvenated but those two wins came at home and we expect home court to be the difference once again. The Heat were favored by 7.5 points in the first two meetings at home and that number has dropped to 3 in some places for Game Five based on the Embiid return and the possible momentum shift and that is a little too aggressive. Miami allowed the Sixers to shoot 51.1 percent in the two road games following a shooting percentage allowed of 44.2 percent in the two games at home. Overall, the Heat are 34-12 at home and the defense that is ranked in the top four in the top three defensive categories is even better at home. The Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite. Philadelphia has lost four of its last five road games where it is 29-17 on the season where the defense has been a real issue, allowing 107.5 ppg. The Sixers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play against underdogs in the second half of the season allowing between 104 and 108 ppg and after allowing 105 points or less in two straight games going up against teams allowing between 108 and 114 ppg. This situation is 32-11 ATS (74.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (502) Miami Heat |
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05-09-22 | Celtics v. Bucks | Top | 116-108 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Depending on the closing line, Milwaukee either ended up with a win, loss or push on Saturday as the Bucks blew a sizable, big lead and were down one with under a minute remaining but came through in the clutch to win by a bucket and now has a 2-1 series lead with home court fully on their side. The story in Game Two was the Boston defense but it was the Bucks defense that was on display in Game Three as they allowed a big fourth quarter but still forced the Boston offense to shoot just 37 percent from the floor. They only managed 40 percent shooting on their own but were able to dominate down low, outscoring the Celtics 52-32 down low in the paint. The Bucks are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning straight up record. The Celtics can get home court back with a victory but they are in another tough spot as they had no answer for Giannis Antetokounmpo as he has gotten progressively better highlighted by 42 points in Game Three. Boston comes in at 25-19 on the road and while it won and covered both games against Brooklyn away from home in the first round, it was not very dominant and the Celtics allowed the Nets to shoot 50.6 percent in those two road games. The aforementioned defense is ranked No. 1 in points allowed, shooting defense and three-point shooting defense and even without Kris Middleton, Milwaukee still has the balance to execute on its home floor where it is now 30-15. Here, we play against underdogs in the second half of the season allowing between 104 and 108 ppg and after allowing 105 points or less in two straight games going up against teams allowing between 108 and 114 ppg. This situation is 31-11 ATS (73.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (582) Milwaukee Bucks |
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05-08-22 | Heat +2 v. 76ers | Top | 108-116 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Philadelphia was able to steal a game in this series as it won Game Three by 20 points as it held Miami to 79 points, which was its second lowest scoring output on the season. We figure this is it for the Sixers however even though they have increased their shooting percentage in all three games and have Joel Embiid back as a Miami bounce back is imminent. Philadelphia had to go six games against a depleted Toronto team for most of the series and it is now 26-18 at home which is solid but the Sixers finished with just the seventh best home record in the Eastern Conference during the regular season. Philadelphia is 1-8 ATS in home games after having lost two of their last three games this season. Miami had a horrible effort in Game Two as it shot just 35.1 percent from the floor and failed to crack 80 points for just the second time this season. The Heat will make their adjustments to try and duplicate the 112.5 ppg average in the first two games. Miami had won 12 of its previous 14 games before the loss on Friday and it has been incredible following bad games this season as the Heat are 12-2 following a game where they failed to reach triple figures in scoring. Miami is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite. Here, we play on underdogs revenging a road loss of 20 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 34-10 (77.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (579) Miami Heat |
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05-07-22 | Celtics v. Bucks -1.5 | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. Milwaukee was able to steal home court advantage in this series thanks to a Game One win and after falling behind big early on Wednesday, the Bucks were unable to recover as they lost 109-86 which was their worst offensive performance of the season. Their previous low was 90 points scored back on December 18th against Cleveland so they will be out to get the offense back on track, the one that finished No. 3 in the league in scoring overall. They got a great dose of what the Boston defense is capable of when they limit shots as Milwaukee managed only 73 shot attempts and now they are back home where they have averaged close to 90 shots per game. the Bucks are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. Boston comes in at 25-18 on the road and while it won and covered both games against Brooklyn away from home in the first round, it was not very dominant and the Celtics allowed the Nets to shoot 50.6 percent in those two road games. The aforementioned defense is ranked No. 1 in points allowed, shooting defense and three-point shooting defense so Milwaukee knows what is coming at it. The Celtics have been solid on the road against the top teams but did lose both regular season games at Milwaukee by more than what they are getting this Saturday. Here, we play against underdogs in the second half of the season allowing between 104 and 108 ppg and after allowing 105 points or less in two straight games going up against teams allowing between 108 and 114 ppg. This situation is 31-11 ATS (73.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (572) Milwaukee Bucks |
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05-06-22 | Suns v. Mavs | Top | 94-103 | Win | 100 | 35 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Dallas had Phoenix in a good spot following two-point lead at halftime and were looking good after halftime but the Suns went on an 11-0 fourth-quarter run that turned into a 23-2 rampage put the game away. The offensive performance was incredibly efficient as Phoenix shot a season-high and franchise playoff-record 64.5 percent from the floor and every player that took a shot from the field finished at 50 percent or better shooting, 11 players in total. Clearly, Dallas cannot keep up with this and while this series is likely going to the Suns, the Mavericks have to steal a game at home and this is the best opportunity as a 3-0 deficit will not have them focused for a Game Four. The Suns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on one day of rest. The Mavericks got another strong performance from Luka Doncic but as was the case in Game One, he got no support as he was 13-22 from the floor and the other four starters went a combined 10-25. Dorian Finney-Smith, Dwight Powell and Jalen Brunson scored a combined 15 points while committing 13 fouls and that is the help to no one. Dallas is 31-13 at home, which is six games better than its road record and the hope is that the home crown can get some of these role players more energized to get involved. The Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against road teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better after three consecutive covers as a favorite, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 84-48 ATS (63.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (552) Dallas Mavericks |
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05-04-22 | Mavs +6.5 v. Suns | Top | 109-129 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Second Rd. Game of the Year. We won with Phoenix on Monday but we are switching sides here as the Suns were able to narrowly cover despite what seemed like a dominating performance. The Suns opened the game on a 20-6 run and Dallas had no answers as Phoenix put up 69 points in the first half while shooting nearly 64 percent from the field. It was a much different second half as they scored just 52 points but they had the edge from the free throw line that made the difference as they were 18-18 from the stripe as well as grabbing 13 offensive boards compared to seven for Dallas. Phoenix has a big home court edge but that is again playing into the number. The Suns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on one day of rest. Dallas wasted a huge effort from Luka Doncic who poured in 45 points and outscored the other four starters combined and that was the problem. He clearly cannot do it himself against the best team in the Western Conference and he needs help, especially against a team that has won 10 straight meetings. That winning streak needs to be discounted however as it goes back over two years and of those 10 losses by Dallas, eight were by single-digits so some of those could have gone the other way including three that were decided by a possession. Dallas is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games against teams outscoring their opponents by three or more ppg. Here, we play on road underdogs in the second half of the season shooting between 33 percent and 36.5 percent from long range and after 2 straight games making 16 or more three-point shots going up against teams allowing between 33 percent and 36.5 percent from long range. This situation is 32-8 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (543) Dallas Mavericks |
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05-03-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 86-109 | Win | 100 | 23 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Tuesday Star Attraction. Boston came out really slow in this series as it fell behind early and could not recover as it fell behind as much as 17 points in the 12-point loss. The defense was up to the task as it allowed Milwaukee to shoot just 41 percent but the offense was awful, going 28-84 from the floor for just 33 percent shooting. The Celtics shot 36 percent from long range which is right at their average but they shot a mere 29 percent from inside the arc and that led to a big disparity in points in the paint 34-20. The biggest disappointment was Jaylen Brown who scored just 12 points on 4-of-13 shooting and committed seven turnovers. Additionally, Boston was simply outrun, getting outscored 28-8 on fast break points. It is already a must win for Boston and it is 9-0 ATS after scoring 95 points or less this season. Milwaukee did what it had to do on the defensive end in Game One but we are not expecting that again and we should see a better defensive effort from Boston on Giannis Antetokounmpo who finished with a triple-double. After the win, the Bucks are now listed as the second favorite to win the Eastern Conference at +195, down from +400, and Boston is now listed at +225 according to DraftKings Sportsbook. The Bucks have already taken over the home court edge and that will be big when they head home but not in this spot. Milwaukee is 8-21 ATS in its last 29 road games in the second half of the season against teams outscoring their opponents by three or more ppg. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having covered four or five of their last six games against the spread, with a winning percentage between .600 and .750. This situation is 87-47 (64.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (532) Boston Celtics |
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05-02-22 | Mavs v. Suns -5.5 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Phoenix got a scare from New Orleans as the first round series was knotted at 2-2 before the suns were able to win the final two games to advance. The issue was the absence of Devin Booker who came back for Game Six and while he was off his game. his lone three-pointer came late in the fourth quarter at just the right time for Phoenix to pull away. The Suns are 34-10 at home and the added time off will help Booker as they are now back to full strength at the right time. The Suns are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games playing on three or more days of rest. After losing the series opener against Utah, Dallas won four of the last five games including victory in the finale by a bucket to punch a ticket into the conference semifinals. The Mavericks have held their own on the road at 25-19 but enter a very tough atmosphere in this series opener in an unfavorable matchup. The Mavericks lost all three regular season meetings and while they covered both games in Phoenix, they were getting 8 and 8.5 points and are getting nowhere near that now. The Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in their last five games playing on three or more days of rest. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having covered four or five of their last six games against the spread, with a winning percentage between .600 and .750. This situation is 87-47 (64.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (524) Phoenix Suns |
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05-01-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 101-89 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Boston and Brooklyn had the makings of an all-time great first round series but the Celtics decided to control from start to finish and swept the Nets to move into the Eastern Conference Semifinals against the defending champions. The Celtics did not win a game by more than seven points so while they were not overly dominating, they made the spots needed on defense as that unit remains No. 1 in scoring defense, shooting defense and three-point shooting defense. The Celtics are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. Milwaukee took care of Chicago in five games, winning the last three by 30. 24 and 16 points but it was fortunate to catch a Bulls team that was not close to 100 percent as they were without Lonzo Ball for an extended time and then lost Zach LaVine to health and safety protocols. The Bucks are now listed as the third favorite to win the Eastern Conference at +400, behind +125 Boston and +160 Miami according to DraftKings Sportsbook. Obviously, the Kris Middleton injury did not hurt Milwaukee in the opening round but this is a much more difficult spot as the Bucks depth will be challenged against a Celtics teams that not only plays strong defense but has balanced scoring with six players averaging double-digits in scoring. The Bucks are 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games as an underdog. Here, we play on home favorites playing with three or more days rest, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 129-78 ATS (62.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (514) Boston Celtics |
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04-28-22 | Mavs v. Jazz | Top | 98-96 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Thursday NHL Enforcer. This has been a back and forth series with Utah jumping out to the early lead with a win at Dallas but has dropped three of the last four games including a brutal 25-point loss at Dallas on Monday. While it was a bad loss and it has their backs against the wall, the value of this line is off the charts for the Jazz as they were favored by 8.5 and 6 points in the first two home meetings and now they are actually getting points in some spots for Game Six. The home court has been great this season for Utah with is 30-13 while outscoring opponents by 9.2 ppg thanks to an offense hitting 48 percent from the floor. Overall, the Jazz are No. 7 in scoring offense and No. 6 in shooting offense and they are 17-8-2 ATS in their last 27 games playing on two days of rest. Dallas is in a great position as it has to win just one of the last two games knowing they can head back home for Game Seven. This was definitely a surprising start for the Mavericks as they opened the series without Luka Doncic for the first three games but produced a 2-1 which was all they could ask for as they probably would have been happy with a 1-2 deficit. The extra day off benefits the Jazz as it was one extra day that Donovan Mitchell was able to ret his balky hamstring and he will be the guy to step up here and send this to a deciding Game Seven. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games going up against an opponent after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game. this situation is 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (566) Utah Jazz |
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04-27-22 | Nuggets v. Warriors -8 | Top | 98-102 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Golden St. ran out to a 3-0 series lead before dropping Game Four on Sunday in Denver and now has a chance to close it out at home to avoid another trip to Denver. The Warriors won the first two meetings here by 16 and 20 points and we see a similar result on Wednesday to not only close out the first round but to extract some revenge from having their eight-game winning streak snapped. Golden St. has done a great job of limiting the Nuggets on the offensive end as it remains No. 3 in scoring defense and No. 2 in shooting defense including No. 3 from behind the arc. The Warriors are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 home games against teams with a winning road record. Denver played its best game of the season in the Game Four win as it shot 56 percent from the floor including 48 percent from long range even though it was dominated 56-46 in points in the paint and that is where the Warriors can take advantage again. The Nuggets are 25-18 on the road which is very solid but they have covered only 17 games this season against teams with a winning record. The Nuggets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off an upset win as an underdog, playing four or less games in 10 days. This situation is 89-59 ATS (60.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (556) Golden St. Warriors |
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04-26-22 | Hawks v. Heat -6.5 | Top | 94-97 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. This series should be over as Miami has dominated three of the four games with the lone loss coming by a point in Game Three. The Heat responded with a 24-point win on Sunday and can wrap up this series at home. They are 31-12 at home and their defense will once again come to the forefront as they are ranked No. 4 in both points allowed and shooting percentage allowed. Miami 19-7 ATS in 26 games after playing two consecutive road games this season. Atlanta has not been able to solve this defense with the exception of Game Three and in the first two games in Miami, the Hawks were 70-162 from the floor for just 43.2 percent. After rebounding from that, Game Four was worse as the Hawks shot just 40 percent from the field and they are not in a good mind frame to even try and get back in this series. Atlanta is 1-10 ATS in 11 road games after a loss by 10 points or more this season. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a home loss by 10 points or more, with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 54-26 ATS (67.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (540) Miami Heat |
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04-25-22 | Celtics v. Nets -1 | Top | 116-112 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Obviously, the season is on the line for Brooklyn and a loss in any of the next four games means the series is over. This was expected to be one of the best 2-7 matchups in sometime but what was expected to be one of the best, turned into one of the worst. The Nets are down 3-0 and came in riding some solid momentum with a five-game winning streak prior to facing Boston but that fizzled quick. The Nets are 21-22 at home which is horrible for a playoff team but they have gone through so much with injuries and COVID issues and still have the talent to make it interesting even with Ben Simmons being held out again, which is not a bad thing as it would add some chemistry issues. The Nets are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Boston is clearly in the drivers seat with a 3-0 lead and it can end the series but up 3-0 and with a healthy dose of days off upcoming before the Eastern Conference Semifinals and while rest is good, too much can cause an adverse effect so a loss here would not be the end of the world as pride comes into play on the opposing sideline. The Celtics defense has been the story and is the difference between being up 3-0 and possibly being down 2-1 so just up 2-1. The Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last five playoff games as an underdog. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 having won 20 or more of their last 25 games, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 51-25 ATS (67.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (532) Brooklyn Nets |
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04-24-22 | Bucks -3.5 v. Bulls | Top | 119-95 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Central Game of the Month. We were on the wrong side of this game on Friday as Milwaukee handed the Bulls a 30-point loss and while the playoff theory would lean Chicago based on that loss and line value, a point and a half jump is not a big move. The Bucks are 25-17 on the road and they come in with the third ranked scoring offense in the NBA, averaging 115.5 ppg and while that offense has been down in this series, the defense has picked up the slack by allowing just 93.7 ppg. The Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. Chicago looked to have gotten back into the series with a four-point win in Game Two but gave it right back two days later and finds itself in a hole in what can be considered a must win game. the Bulls are a solid 27-15 at home but it has been a struggle of late overall as the Bulls are 8-17 over their last 25 games which includes a 3-7 record as home during that stretch. They have a shooting offense that can keep up but pace is an issue as is the fact their defense has been horrid and overall, Chicago is No. 26 in defensive scoring and No. 26 and No. 27 in shooting defense and three-point shooting defense respectively. Chicago is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 home games against teams outscoring their opponents by three or more ppg. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 off a home loss. This situation is 104-52 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (521) Milwaukee Bucks |
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04-23-22 | Celtics v. Nets -2.5 | Top | 109-103 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. This is the series for Brooklyn as the Nets look to match what Atlanta did last night. This is the fourth game of the postseason where the home team had built a 2-0 series lead at home and the home team lost Game Three in the first two, Toronto and Denver, before the Hawks snuck one out late on Friday. It was a rough night for Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving in Game Two on Wednesday as they went a combined 8-30 from the floor and had just 37 points between them and at least one has to show up to give Brooklyn a shot. It heads home where it is just 21-21 on the season but of course, a lot of that had to do with Irving not being able to play for most of the home games. The Nets are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Boston has looked every bit like a contender through the first two games of this series at home but this series could easily be tied right now. The Celtics are outshot 54 percent to 47 percent in Game One and in Game Two, Brooklyn built a 17-point lead only to see that go away in the second half. The Celtics are 23-18 on the road and have been on fire of late, winning 10 of their last 13 games on the highway but that is a benefit here which adds to the value in a must win game for the Nets. The Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 after having won five or six of their last seven games. This situation is 59-26 ATS (69.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (516) Brooklyn Nets |
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04-22-22 | Bucks v. Bulls +3 | Top | 111-81 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Every series has gone at least two games heading into Friday so every game this weekend will feature all off the top seeds playing on the road and we could see some series get real interesting come Monday. This includes Milwaukee and Chicago as the Bucks hit the road after splitting the first two games at home. They took a hit in the Game Two loss as Kris Middleton suffered left MCL sprain and will be out at least a couple weeks so gone are 20.1 ppg, 5.4 rpg and 5.4 apg. Milwaukee is 24-17 on the road but it has struggled everywhere this season against good teams as it is the only top 12 team with fewer than 20 wins against the top 16 and Milwaukee is 4-14 ATS when playing against a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 this season. Chicago was able to steal a game in Milwaukee thanks to 41 points from DeMar DeRozan in Game Two as the Bulls played a very complete game where they build an 18-point lead at one point while limiting the Bucks to a lead of just three points being their biggest. Chicago is back home where it is 27-14 and this is a team with some what if questions, the biggest being what if Lonzo Ball did not get hurt as the chemistry between him, DeRozan and Zach Lavine was coming together perfectly. They slipped toward the end of the season but they showed they are no easy out and the Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Here, we play against teams after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games going up against an opponent after successfully covering the spread in three or more consecutive games. This situation is 67-35 (65.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (504) Chicago Bulls |
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04-21-22 | Mavs v. Jazz -6.5 | Top | 126-118 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Western Conf. Game of the Month. Dallas was able to tie up this series at a game apiece as it got a career high 41 points from Jalen Brunson to take over home court advantage in this first round series. The Mavericks were expected to be successful this season as they were counting on Kristaps Porzingis and Luka Doncic to take this team as far as it could go but the former played just 34 games for Dallas before being dealt to Washington and the latter has missed the first two games of this series with more time likely on the shelf. The Mavericks are 30-13 at home but 23-18 on the road and while it is currently in the drivers seat, that will not last long as it is on the wrong end of the zag here. The Mavericks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven playoff games as an underdog. Utah came out slow in the fourth quarter in Game Two as it had a four-point lead heading into the final 12 minutes but were outscored by 10 points and return for Game Three at an unlikely disadvantage. The Jazz are 29-12 at home and they are catching a great number here following the Dallas Game Two win as they were favored by five on the road and we are seeing just a two-point swing despite a venue change. No one was added to the injury report so they come in close to full strength in a big game to get the series on track with home court advantage back to normal. The Jazz are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 playoff games as a favorite. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having covered four or five of their last six games against the spread, winning .600 and .750 of their games on the season. This situation is 87-44 (66.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (572) Utah Jazz |
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04-20-22 | 76ers v. Raptors +2.5 | Top | 104-101 | Loss | -111 | 16 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Philadelphia has taken control of this series as it took care of Toronto with no issues in either of the first two games as it won by 20 and 13 points. Through the first two games of the playoffs for most teams, the Sixers and Warriors are looking like two of the top teams based on the eye test as well the strength of the opposition. The Sixers hit the road where they have actually been better than they have playing at home but they will be shorthanded as Matisse Thybulle will miss the trip since he is unvaccinated and while his numbers are not great, it is his defense that will be missed. The are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as a road favorite. Toronto has come up small to open this series and we expected that to be different especially in a matchup where the Raptors dominated this season by winning three of the four regular season games. Heading home could not have come at a better time as a change was needed to regroup and get back into this series with a must win game on Wednesday. Toronto is 24-17 on the road and like the Sixers they performed slightly better on the road than they did at home despite matching records. The Raptors are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against teams in a game involving two teams averaging between 108 and 114 ppg, after leading their last two games by 10 or more points at the half. This situation is 74-49 ATS (60.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (564) Toronto Raptors |
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04-19-22 | Wolves v. Grizzlies -6.5 | Top | 96-124 | Win | 100 | 22 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Memphis laid an egg in the series opener as it lost by 13 points as a 6.5-point favorite and it has to avoid a 2-0 series deficit before even heading on the road. The Grizzlies only lead in Game One was by two points early and they were never able to control the game. They are 30-12 at home and that loss in Game One was the sixth biggest at home this season. They dealt with the top ranked scoring offense on Saturday and their No. 2 scoring offense was a no-show and we should see a better performance from Ja Morant after scoring half of his 32 points from the free throw line. Memphis is 19-6 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. Minnesota came out strong and never let up and it gained homecourt and does have a great opportunity to take control of this series with a Game Two win. That will not be easy this time around however as Memphis has been a great bounce back team, covering 10 of its last 13 games following a loss while Minnesota is just 1-5 ATS in its last six games following a win. The Timberwolves cannot bank on another poor shooting from the Grizzlies and Minnesota is 9-20 ATS in its last 29 games off an upset win as an underdog. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off an upset win as an underdog, playing four or less games in 10 days. This situation is 88-55 ATS (61.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (552) Memphis Grizzlies |
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04-18-22 | Raptors +7 v. 76ers | Top | 97-112 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Atlantic Division Game of the Month. This is our first situation in the playoffs where a previous game has altered the line. The Sixers won Game One by 20 points as a favorite that closed at -4.5 and now we have seen this line go up by over a bucket more. The likely absence of Scottie Barnes could be playing into that but he is not worth a jump like that. Game One saw the Sixers jump ahead big early and they never looked back. They were fortunate to make 10 more free throws on 11 more attempts and that played a role in not only the score but with the tempo. The Sixers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win. Toronto had the No. 5 seed wrapped up for a while and it was just waiting it out to see its first round matchup and it got a good draw or so we thought prior to the first game. The Raptors were 27-14 on the road and that record was tied for second best in the entire league and this is a good bounce back spot for a team that was one of the best down the stretch. Toronto is on the same plane as the Sixers defensively so the 131 points allowed can be chalked up to an aberration. The Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams that are +/- 3 ppg in scoring differential, after scoring 125 points or more. This situation is 49-18 ATS (73.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (541) Toronto Raptors |
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04-17-22 | Bulls +10 v. Bucks | Top | 86-93 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Chicago closed the regular season with a win over Minnesota which snapped a four-game losing streak and while that victory did nothing for seeding, it at least provided some confidence heading into the playoffs. The Bulls went 19-22 on the road which is nothing great but they have not seen a number like this too often. They have been a double-digit underdog only once and that resulted in a four-point loss at Milwaukee in January. The offense is above average in all facets which could turn this into a closer than expected series. Chicago is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games after two straight games allowing 50 percent shooting or higher. Milwaukee closed the season strong despite losing its regular season finale and the Bucks are the No. 3 seed yet are the favorites to win the Eastern Conference at +210. Milwaukee was 27-14 at home and while it went a solid 10-6 ATS when laying double-digits, most of those were against very inferior teams which Chicago is not. The Bucks are outscoring opponents by just over four ppg at home so they have been far from dominating. Milwaukee is 4-12 ATS when playing against a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. Here, we play on road underdogs of 10 or more points, playing with triple revenge, playing with three or more days of rest. This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) since 1996. 10* (529) Chicago Bulls |
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04-16-22 | Raptors +4.5 v. 76ers | Top | 111-131 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Philadelphia closed the regular season with a pair of wins to finish 51-31 which was good for a tie for second place in the Eastern Conference with Boston and Milwaukee but the Sixers were given the No. 4 seed based on tiebreakers. This actually worked in their favor as the Sixers avoided Brooklyn, Milwaukee and Boston in the first round and would not face one of the latter two teams until the conference finals. Philadelphia has a tougher than expected draw in the first round as Toronto will not go down without a fight and it has a decent matchup here as the Sixers lost three of the four regular season meetings, the only victory coming by five points. The Sixers are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win. The Raptors were on an 8-1 run before losing their season finale against the Knicks in a meaningless game where some of the starters sat out. Toronto had the No. 5 seed wrapped up for a while and it was just waiting it out to see its first round matchup and it got a good draw. The Raptors were 27-14 on the road and that record is tied for second best in the entire league so they will not be intimidated here especially against a Sixers team that underachieved at home. Toronto is 12-4 ATS off a road loss this season. Here, we play against home teams in the second half of the season shooting between 45.5 and 47.5 percent going up against teams allowing between 45.5 and 47.5 percent shooting, after two straight games making 50 percent of their shots or better. This situation is 107-59 ATS (64.5 percent). 10* (521) Toronto Raptors |
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04-15-22 | Hawks v. Cavs +2.5 | Top | 107-101 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Year. Atlanta is coming off a blowout win over Charlotte on Wednesday to advance to the second play-in game with the winner securing the No. 8 seed in the Eastern Conference. The Hawks have been dominant at home but they are just 16-25 on the road and come in as a road favorite based on the recent dominant performance. They are allowing 112.3 ppg on 47 percent shooting on the highway and Atlanta is 3-12 ATS in their 15 road games after having won two of their last three games this season. Cleveland got off to a slow start against Brooklyn and had a tough time fighting back although the Cavaliers did a great job of keeping it withing reach. They were outscored by 20 points in the first quarter but outscored the Nets by 13 points over the final three quarters and now they head back home where they are the complete opposite of Atlanta with a 25-16 record at home. They re outscoring opponents by close to 5 ppg and Cleveland is 12-3 ATS after having lost five or six of their last seven games this season. Here, we play against favorites after scoring 120 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 43 points or less in the first half last game. This situation is 48-20 ATS (70.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (510) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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04-13-22 | Hornets v. Hawks -5 | Top | 103-132 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Southeast Game of the Month. Atlanta closed the regular season with a win at Houston to secure a home count game in its play-in game. The Hawks were dreadful on the road with a 16-25 record but they flourished at home, going 27-14. Atlanta was solid on offense as it finished No. 6 in scoring, No. 7 in shooting and No. 2 in three-point shooting. That success should continue against a porous defense that allowed 115.3 ppg in the four regular season meetings. Atlanta is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 home games when playing against a team with a winning record. Charlotte won its final three regular season games but it was not enough to catch the Hawks. The Hornets are a respectable 21-20 on the road and while they boast the No. 4 overall scoring offense in the league, they are just No. 11 in shooting and a bigger issue is that they are No. 27 in free throw shooting compared to No. 4 for Atlanta. Charlotte is 22-38 ATS in its last 60 road games against teams making 36 percent or better of their three-point of their attempts. Here, we play against road underdogs in a game involving two teams shooting 36.5 percent or better from long range, after two straight games making 16 or more three-point shots. This situation is 31-11 ATS (73.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (506) Atlanta Hawks |
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04-12-22 | Clippers v. Wolves -2.5 | Top | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Tuesday Star Attraction. Minnesota lost two of its final three games of the season but they were all meaningless although coming into the playoffs, it would have been good to carry some positive momentum. The Timberwolves were two games out of not having the play a play-in game but at least they are at home where they are 26-15 and two of those losses came against the Clippers so they certainly have their attention here. Minnesota is 26-16 ATS as a favorite this season and the Timberwolves are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a losing road record. The Clippers won their final five games of the regular season but It was not good enough to secure a home play-in game however as they still finished four games behind the Timberwolves in the Western Conference. This is not ideal for Los Angeles which finished the regular season 17-24 on the road and it has struggled against the good teams as the Clippers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Additionally, the Clippers are 1-11 ATS revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite this season. Here, we play against teams revenging a home loss of 10 points or more, after a cover as a double digit favorite. This situation is 62-32 ATS (66 percent) since 1996. 10* (504) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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04-10-22 | Lakers v. Nuggets -8.5 | Top | 146-141 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Sunday Star Attraction. All playoff spots have been filled in the NBA and the only thing on the line for a few teams is the seeding heading into the postseason. Denver has the most on the line as far as positioning and it has been given a favorable line here. Denver will clinch the No. 5 seed in the Western Conference with a win and if the Jazz lose to the Blazers but the Nuggets will get the No. 6 seed should Utah win. The Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last six Sunday games. The Lakers have been out of the playoff picture for a while and this is one of the most disappointing teams in recent memory. They will be short-handed tonight with nothing to play for as LeBron James, Anthony Davis and Russell Westbrook are all out on Sunday. This hurts them on both ends of the floor, especially on defense where they are just No. 26 in defensive scoring and No. 23 in defensive shooting and they will be facing the No. 2 ranked shooting offense in the NBA. The Lakers are 3-16 ATS in their last 19 games off a home win by 10 points or more. Here, we play on favorites in the second half of the season after two or more consecutive unders, averaging between 108 and 114 ppg going up against teams allowing between 114 and 118 ppg. This situation is 49-18 ATS (73.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (570) Denver Nuggets |
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04-09-22 | Kings +11.5 v. Clippers | Top | 98-117 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
04-08-22 | Bucks -5.5 v. Pistons | Top | 131-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Milwaukee picked up the win that it needed last night as it closed on a 9-0 run to defeat the Celtics and it leapfrogged Boston into second place in the Eastern Conference but the Bucks cannot let up now and give it back. They close the season with back-to-back road games and this is the most winnable of the two with a trip to Cleveland on deck for Sunday. Milwaukee is 23-16 on the road and while it cannot clinch the No. 2 seed tonight, a victory puts the Bucks up a game with one to go and Boston having to travel to Memphis on Sunday. On top of the playoff positioning, the Bucks have not forgotten the nine-point home loss to the Pistons in the last meeting as a 17-point favorite. The Bucks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite. Detroit had a three-game winning streak snapped with a loss to Dallas on Wednesday and the Pistons are now 13-27 at home. The Pistons are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite of seven or more points, playing on back-to-back days. This situation is 87-48 ATS (64.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (515) Milwaukee Bucks |
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04-07-22 | Celtics v. Bucks -5.5 | Top | 121-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. This game could decide second place in the Eastern Conference which is important as it comes with home court advantage in the second round. Milwaukee trails Boston by a half game and this is its final regular season home game as it closes with games at Detroit and Cleveland. The Bucks are 26-14 at home and bring in the No. 3 ranked scoring offense at 115.2 ppg which is nearly identical to its home scoring average and they have averaged 119.1 ppg over their last 10 games. Milwaukee is 35-21 ATS in its last 56 home games against teams shooting 46 percent or better. Boston can lock up second place with a victory as it is riding a three-game winning streak to leapfrog the Bucks. The Celtics are 22-17 on the road and the close will be tough with this game and the season finale at Memphis. They bring in the No. 1 ranked defense in the NBA in both scoring and shooting so the Bucks will be challenged but they have averaged 111 ppg in the first three meetings which is seven points more ppg than what the Celtics are allowing on the season. Boston is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games after two consecutive covers as a favorite. Here, we play against underdogs in the second half of the season allowing between 104 and 108 ppg going up against teams allowing between 108 and 114, after allowing 105 points or less two straight games. This situation is 31-10 ATS (75.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (504) Milwaukee Bucks |
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04-06-22 | Nets -6 v. Knicks | Top | 110-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Brooklyn snapped a two-game losing streak with a win over Houston and the Nets remain in a tie with Atlanta for eighth place in the Eastern Conference. The Nets can claim that spot and a play-in home game if they win out which includes two remaining games at home against Cleveland and Indiana. They are 23-17 on the road which is 4.5 games better than it is at home so they have a big edge here. The Nets are ranked No. 7 in defensive shooting and face a Knicks offense ranked No. 27 in offensive shooting. Brooklyn is 17-7 ATS in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season. New York is coming off a 30-point win at Orlando on Monday and they are back home and it has not been a big edge this season. New York is just 16-23 at home where it has lost four of its last five games. They possess a strong defense as they are ranked No. 6 in points allowed and No. 5 in shooting defense but face a Brooklyn offense that is ranked No. 9 in scoring offense and No. 4 in shooting offense. New York is 3-15 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Here, we play against home underdogs off a road win by 10 points or more, with a losing record. This situation is 44-20 ATS (68.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (581) Brooklyn Nets |
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04-05-22 | Grizzlies v. Jazz -5 | Top | 115-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Tuesday Star Attraction. Utah is in a tailspin as it has lost six of its last seven games to fall into the No. 6 spot in the Western Conference. The Jazz are just a half-game behind Denver for fifth place and that would be a big jump to avoid Golden St. in the first round. They are 27-11 at home and are outscoring opponents by close to 10 ppg and will be motivated here following road games in seven of their previous eight games. Utah is 21-9 ATS in its last 30 games after failing to cover six or seven of their last eight against the spread. Memphis has nothing to play for as it is locked into the No. 2 spot in the conference but continues to play at a high level as it has won seven straight games while winning 11 of its last 12. The most impressive run for the Grizzlies is the fact they have gone 20-2 when Ja Morant is not on the floor which is pretty amazing. Memphis has been solid on the road but will also be without Dillon Brooks, who is averaging 18.5 ppg and it has struggled in this spot recently as the the Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after having covered four or five of their last six games against the spread. This situation is 86-43 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (574) Utah Jazz |
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04-05-22 | Hawks v. Raptors -3.5 | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Toronto is locked into one of the top six spots in the Eastern Conference and will likely play either Milwaukee or Philadelphia in the first round. The Raptors are tied with Chicago for fifth place and at this point, keeping positive momentum going into the postseason is important. They are coming off a loss against Miami on Sunday which snapped a five-game winning streak and going back, they are 11-3 over their last 14 games. Toronto is 21-12 ATS against teams shooting 46 percent of their shots this season. Atlanta currently is riding a five-game winning streak but three of those were at home and the other two that were on the road came against non-playoff teams. The Hawks are currently No. 8 in the conference and will likely stay there with two winnable games over their final three so they should be able to avoid slipping down further to avoid a road play-in game. Atlanta is just 15-23 on the road and have not defeated a playoff bound team on the road since January 23rd, a win over Charlotte. Atlanta is 6-16 ATS as a road underdog this season. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent after a home game where both teams scored 100 or more points. This situation is 65-34 ATS (65.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (560) Toronto Raptors |
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04-04-22 | North Carolina v. Kansas -4 | Top | 69-72 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on KANSAS JAYHAWKS for our NCAA National Championship Winner. The Jayhawks rolled over Villanova and they have won 10 straight games, nine of which have come by more than what they are favored by here. Kansas caught a break against Villanova as the Wildcats were without guard Justin Moore and it catches another break here with the ankle injury suffered by Armando Bacot. While he is expected to play, he will not be 100 percent and the Jayhawks will have a big edge down low. The Jayhawks are ranked No. 29 in scoring offense and No. 23 in shooting offense and on the other side, they finished No. 17 in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Jayhawks are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. North Carolina won an epic semifinal game over Duke to advance to the championship game in its first season under head coach Hubert Davis. The Tar Heels possess a solid offense but defense is their liability as they are ranked No. 279 in points allowed and No. 200 in defensive shooting. They like to run but could be limited here and the 17 offensive rebounds registered against Duke will not be matched here. North Carolina is 2-10 ATS in its last nine games away from home against teams averaging 77 or more ppg. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after four or more consecutive wins going up against an opponent after six or more consecutive wins. This situation is 78-42 ATS (65 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (722) Kansas Jayhawks |
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04-03-22 | Mavs v. Bucks -5 | Top | 118-112 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Sunday Star Attraction. Milwaukee is coming off a loss against the Clippers on Friday by 34 points and now sits a game and a half behind Miami for first place in the Eastern Conference. The Bucks are 26-13 at home and this is the second to last home game of the season which makes it big with three road games remaining on the schedule. Milwaukee is ranked No. 4 in scoring offense and while facing one of the top defenses in the league, they have taken it to a new level recently. The Bucks are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Dallas is also coming off a loss as it fell to Washington by 32 points on Friday and the Mavericks remain in the No. 4 spot in the Western Conference. That is the place they will likely retain as they are two games up on Utah and Denver. Dallas is at a big disadvantage here on offense as it is ranked No. 26 in the league in scoring and faces a tough defense that is No. 18 in scoring defense and No. 11 in shooting defense. The Mavericks are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having covered four or five of their last six against the spread winning between .600 and .750 of their games on the season. This situation is 86-42 ATS (67.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (532) Milwaukee Bucks |
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04-02-22 | Villanova v. Kansas -4 | Top | 65-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS JAYHAWKS for our CBB Final Four Enforcer. Kansas has won nine straight games including a comfortable 16-point win over Miami in the Elite Eight. The Jayhawks offense has remained potent and is ranked No. 29 in scoring offense and No. 23 in shooting offense. They are easily the deepest of the two teams and they have five players averaging double-digits in scoring. While the Wildcats have a strong defense, the depth issue will be a liability for them on that side of the floor. Kansas is 19-6 ATS in its last 25 games after two or more consecutive unders. Villanova has also won nine straight games including an upset win over Houston by six points to get to the Final Four. It was costly for the Wildcats however as they lost guard Justin Moore who is averaging 15.3 ppg. Villanova is ranked No. 115 in scoring offense and No. 167 in shooting offense and those will take a hit with Moore on the sidelines. The Wildcats will face an improved Kansas defense that has allowed just 61.3 ppg in seven post season games. Here, we play against teams in the second half of the season allowing 63 ppg or less going up against teams allowing between 67 and 74 ppg, after scoring 55 points or less. This situation is 73-31 ATS (70.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (702) Kansas Jayhawks |
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04-02-22 | Cavs -1 v. Knicks | Top | 119-101 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
04-01-22 | Raptors -9.5 v. Magic | Top | 102-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. Toronto has won four straight games and has gone 10-2 over its last 12 games. The Raptors are in sixth place in the Eastern Conference but are just two games out of fourth place which come with home court advantage. The offense has been average as they are No. 17 in points scored at 109.4 ppg and face a formidable yet below average defense. The Toronto defense leads the way, ranked No. 9 in the NBA in points allowed. Toronto is 12-4 ATS after three or more consecutive wins this season. Orlando is coming off a 17-point loss at Washington and has dropped four straight games and has lost seven of its last nine games. The Magic remain in last place in the Eastern Conference at 20-57 and they are just waiting for this season to come to a close. They are No. 29 in scoring offense and No. 28 in shooting offense and will have a tough time against the Toronto defense. Orlando is 4-15 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more this season. Here, we play on favorites in the second half of the season with a +/- 3 ppg scoring differential going up against teams with a -7 ppg scoring differential, after a win by 20 points or more. This situation is 45-17 ATS (72.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (503) Toronto Raptors |
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04-01-22 | Fresno State v. Coastal Carolina +3 | Top | 85-74 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the COASTAL CAROLINA CHANTICLEERS for our CBB Friday Enforcer. The Chantileers rolled through their first two games with wins over Maryland-Eastern Shore and Florida Gulf Coast by 24 and 16 points respectively before sneaking past South Alabama on Monday. They are ranked No. 8 in shooting defense in the country and face a below average offense. The Chanticleers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning straight up record. Fresno St. has rolled through its first three games but all of those came at home where they are 14-4 and they hit the road for the first time in the tournament where they are 5-8 this season. The Bulldogs have one of the worst scoring offenses in the country as they are ranked No. 314 in scoring offense. They do have a great defense but are facing an above average offense and are in a tough spot on the road after having travel issues as this game has to be rescheduled from Thursday The Bulldogs are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging between 45 and 47.5 percent shooting going up against teams allowing between 40 and 42.5 percent shooting, in a game involving two teams with a +3 to +6 rebounding differential. This situation is 70-37 ATS (65.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (894) Coastal Carolina Chanticleers |
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03-31-22 | Xavier v. Texas A&M -4.5 | Top | 73-72 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS A&M AGGIES for our NIT Championship Winner. Texas A&M has rolled through its first four games as it defeated Alcorn St., Oregon, Wake Forest and Washington St. by 12, 15, 15 and 16 points respectively. The Aggies defense is ranked No. 110 in points allowed and No. 128 in shooting defense and has improved recently. They have allowed an average of 60.1 ppg over their last seven games which is over six points less ppg on their season average. Texas A&M is 6-0 ATS in its last six games after three straight games allowing 40 percent shooting or less. Xavier has won its four games in the NIT by much smaller margins as it has won by 4, 6, 2 and 7 points. The Musketeers closed the regular season and Big East Tournament on a 1-6 run so the recent run can be considered more fortunate than skillful. They are average on both ends as they are ranked No. 153 in offensive shooting and No. 132 in defensive shooting. Xavier is 2-8 ATS after scoring 80 points or more this season. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points averaging between 67 and 74 ppg going up against teams allowing between 67 and 74 ppg, after three straight wins by 15 points or more. This situation is 35-12 ATS (74.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (652) Texas A&M Aggies |
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03-30-22 | Grizzlies -5.5 v. Spurs | Top | 112-111 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Memphis has won five straight games which is even more impressive considering Ja Morant did not play in any of those games. The Grizzlies are 9-1 over their last 10 games and are sitting in second place in the Western Conference, five games clear of Golden St. for third place. They possess the top ranked scoring offense in the NBA and will be facing a rough defense here. Memphis is 13-3 ATS after leading their last two games by 10 or more points at the half this season. San Antonio has won four straight games and has moved into the No. 10 spot in the conference as it owns the tiebreaker over the Lakers. The Spurs are ranked No. 24 in scoring defense and while they do have a solid offense, they are going against a defense that is ranked No. 12 in scoring and No. 7 in shooting and the Grizzlies have allowed 103 points or less in four games during their winning streak. San Antonio is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 home games after one or more consecutive wins. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after a cover as a double digit favorite going up against an opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points. This situation is 51-20 ATS (71.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (575) Memphis Grizzlies |
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03-29-22 | Jazz -1 v. Clippers | Top | 115-121 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Utah has lost four straight games, all on the road, and the Jazz are now in fifth place in the Western Conference but is still just one game behind Dallas for fourth place. They are 19-19 on the road but are in a good spot here to snap this streak. The Clippers have lost five straight games which includes a 25-point loss against Philadelphia on Friday in their last game. They are now No. 8 in the Western Conference and have no chance to move up but also have no chance to move out of the playoff spot. The Clippers are 7-17 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a road loss by 10 points or more, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 132-84 ATS (61.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (557) Utah Jazz |
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03-29-22 | Washington State v. Texas A&M -1.5 | Top | 56-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS A&M AGGIES for our NIT Tuesday Enforcer. Washington St. has rolled through its first three games of the NIT, beating Santa Clara, SMU and BYU by 13, 12 and 25 points respectively. The Cougars have a bad offense that is ranked No. 321 in the country in shooting and facing a tough defense. The Cougars are 0-5 ATS in their last five neutral site games. Texas A&M has also rolled through its first three games as it defeated Alcorn St., Oregon and Wake Forest by 12, 15 and 15 points respectively. The Aggies defense is ranked No. 110 in points allowed and No. 128 in shooting defense and has improved recently. They have allowed an average of 60.8 ppg over their last six games which is close to six points less ppg on their season average. The Aggies are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. 10* (650) Texas A&M Aggies |
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03-28-22 | Coastal Carolina +2.5 v. South Alabama | Top | 69-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the COASTAL CAROLINA CHANTICLEERS for our CBB Monday Enforcer. Coastal Carolina and South Alabama meet up again in the semis of The Basketball Classic. The Chantileers rolled through their first two games with wins over Maryland-Eastern Shore and Florida Gulf Coast by 24 and 16 points respectively. They are ranked No. 8 in shooting defense in the country and face a pretty average offense. Coastal Carolina is 8-2 ATS after covering two of their last three games against the spread this season. South Alabama is coming off a pair of close wins over SE-Louisiana and USC Upstate and remain home in this Sun Belt Conference rematch. The Jaguars have an average offense where they are averring 71.4 ppg which is ranked No. 183 in ppg. South Alabama is 2-8 ATS after playing three consecutive games as favorites this season. Here, we play against teams off two consecutive home wins by five points or less going up against an opponent off two consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. This situation is 59-25 ATS (70.2 percent) since 1997. 10* (887) Coastal Carolina Chanticleers |
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03-28-22 | Bulls -3.5 v. Knicks | Top | 104-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Chicago snapped a two-game slide and a 1-5 run with a win over Cleveland on Saturday. The Bulls are now three and a half games out of first place in the Eastern Conference and three game out of the No. 4 spot in the conference which come with home court. They are 17-21 on the road which is nothing great but have the edge here based on their offense that is ranked No. 2 in shooting including No. 2 from long range. Chicago is 18-6 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. New York is off a win over Detroit yesterday which makes in three straight wins, all of which came on the road. The Knicks are just 15-21 at home and are three and a half games out of the final spot in the Eastern Conference. New York is 2-11 ATS in home games after one or more consecutive wins this season. Here, we play on road teams off a road win against a division rival going up against an opponent off a road win by three points or less. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (539) Chicago Bulls |
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03-27-22 | 76ers +4.5 v. Suns | Top | 104-114 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Phoenix has won seven straight games and while we played against them on Wednesday against Minnesota, we are going against them here in a very tough matchup. The Suns are comfortably in first place in the Western Conference with a nine-game lead over Memphis. They are ranked No. 1 in shooting offense at 48.8 percent but are facing a solid defense that allows just 106.5 ppg which is No. 6 in the NBA. The Suns are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a winning road record. The Sixers have won three straight games following a 25-point win over the Clippers on Friday. They are now in first place in the Eastern Conference with a one-game lead over Miami and are just a game and a half out of fourth place. Philadelphia has moved up to No. 15 in shooting offense and remains the No. 1 free throw shooting team in the league. The Sixers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Here, we play against favorites after allowing 115 points or more in three straight games going up against an opponent after a win by 10 points or more. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (523) Philadelphia 76ers |
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03-27-22 | St. Peter's v. North Carolina -8 | Top | 49-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. St. Peter's is the story of the NCAA Tournament as it has taken out Kentucky, Murray St. and Purdue to make it to the Elite Eight. The Peacocks have won 10 straight games and have covered all of those which makes them a very public play here and the line value is against them. The offense remains below average as they are ranked No. 286 in scoring and No. 246 in shooting and while the defense has been one of the best in the country, it has mostly come against some week competition. North Carolina has had a vert impressive run as well with wins over Marquette, Baylor and UCLA to get here and it just seem inevitable that we will have another Duke and North Carolina matchup in the final season for Coach K. The Tar Heels come in with an offense that is ranked No. 28 in the country in scoring and that is obviously against much better competition as they have played a schedule ranked No. 35 in the country. North Carolina is 18-8 ATS in its last 26 games after having won four or five of their last six games this season. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after five or more consecutive wins, when seeded 13 through 16 in the NCAA tournament. This situation is 53-24 ATS (68.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (644) North Carolina Tar Heels |
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03-26-22 | Bulls +2.5 v. Cavs | Top | 98-94 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Chicago has lost two straight games and has gone 1-5 in its last six and 3-10 over its last 13 games. The Bulls are now in fifth place in the Eastern Conference after leading it just a few weeks ago. They are 16-21 on the road which is nothing great but they are in a favorable spot here. The Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Cleveland has also lost two straight games and is in the No. 6 spot in the Eastern Conference. The Cavaliers are 23-13 at home and probably should be favored here but not for a reason. Cleveland is ranked just No. 23 in scoring offense and faces a much better offense. The Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play on road favorites after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (511) Chicago Bulls |
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03-26-22 | Houston v. Villanova +2.5 | Top | 44-50 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the VILLANOVA WILDCATS for our Elite Eight Game of the Year. This is a very similar situation like we had with Duke on Thursday as the better team is getting points. Houston is coming off an upset win over Arizona and is making another deep run in the tournament similar to last season. The Cougars have the top ranked shooting defense in the country, allowing just 37.2 percent but will be facing an underrated offense that has underachieved of late. Villanova has won eight straight games and has won all three tournament games rather easily. The Wildcats have not been great on offense of late but they have a perimeter weapon that can combat the Cougars defense as they are shooting 36.6 percent from long range which is No. 49 in the country. If this turns into a close game, Villanova has a huge edge as it shoots 82.5 percent from the free throw line which is the best in the nation compared to Houston which is shooting only 66.3 percent from the stripe, No. 334 in the country. Villanova is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games away from home after playing five consecutive games as favorite this season. 10* (640) Villanova Wildcats |
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03-25-22 | Iowa State v. Miami-FL -2.5 | Top | 56-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HURRICANES for our CBB Friday Enforcer. Miami is coming off an upset win over Auburn by 18 points following a win over USC as an underdog as well. The Hurricanes have won five of their last six games and they have won 15 games away from home which is one of the best in country. Miami is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games. Iowa St. is also riding two straight wins as it took out LSU and Wisconsin as an underdog. The Cyclones have only eight wins away from home including the last two and this is not a good matchup with their offense ranked No. 277 in the country going up against an offense that is ranked No. 28 in the country in shooting offense. Here, we play against teams in the second half of the season allowing 63 ppg or less going up against teams allowing between 67 and 74 ppg, after scoring 55 points or less. This situation is 72-31 ATS (69.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (638) Miami hurricanes |
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03-24-22 | Texas Tech v. Duke +1 | Top | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the DUKE BLUE DEVILS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. After losing to Kansas in the Big 12 Championship, Texas Tech rolled over Montana St. and snuck out a win over Notre Dame to advance to the Sweet 16. The Red Raiders finished 12-6 in the Big 12 which was really good but it was in an average conference and they should not be a favorite here. They are ranked No. 10 in shooting defense but will be facing a tough offense here and they have struggled against potent offenses this season. Texas Tech is 2-13 ATS in its last 15 games away from home after allowing 60 points or less. Duke is coming off a come-from-behind win over Michigan St. and we were able to cover with them after the second half surge. The Blur Devils have 15 wins away from home and while their offense is ranked No. 9 in the county, they have a transition offense that can take away any defense. The Blue Devils are 6-0 ATS in their last six neutral site games as an underdog. 10* (630) Duke Blue Devils |
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03-23-22 | Washington State +3.5 v. BYU | Top | 77-58 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
03-23-22 | Suns v. Wolves +2 | Top | 125-116 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Phoenix has won five straight games following a 4-4 stretch and the Suns are comfortably in first place in the Western Conference with a nine-game lead over Memphis. They are ranked No. 1 in shooting offense at 48.6 percent but are facing a solid defense here that is ranked No. 12 in shooting defense which is the best they will have seen during the winning streak. They do not have much to play for here as at this point, keeping healthy is the focus before Chris Paul comes back. Minnesota is coming off a loss at Dallas on Monday which snapped a four-game winning streak and a 10-1 run. The Timberwolves are in the No. 7 spot in the Western Conference which is just three and a half games out of the No. 4 slot that Utah has right now. The offense is ranked No. 1 in the NBA in scoring so they can keep pace here if it turns into a shootout. Minnesota is 11-0 ATS in its last 11 home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams allowing between 43.5 and 45.5 percent shooting after three straight games making 50 percent or more of their shots. This situation is 24-4 ATS (85.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (560) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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03-22-22 | Hawks -1 v. Knicks | Top | 117-111 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Atlanta is coming off a home loss against New Orleans which put an end to a 4-1 run and the Hawks are 12-22 on the road but are in a good matchup spot. They remain in the No. 10 spot in the Eastern Conference and falling out of that is unlikely but they are just 2.5 games out of the home spot in the play in game. Atlanta is ranked No. 7 in the NBA in scoring and while facing a strong Knicks defense, the latter has been struggling. The Hawks are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a losing home record. New York lost to Utah on Sunday which snapped a two-game winning streak and a solid 5-2 run. The Knicks are the biggest disappointment in the Eastern Conference as they are five games behind Atlanta and tied with Washington to try and get into that final playoff spot. The defense is now ranked No. 8 in the league in scoring after being toward the top of the league and their offense remains a liability as they are No. 27 in both scoring and shooting. The Knicks are 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games. Here, we play on road favorites revenging a straight up loss as a favorite, off an upset loss as a home favorite. This situation is 150-91 ATS (62.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (539) Atlanta Hawks |
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03-22-22 | St Bonaventure +3.5 v. Virginia | Top | 52-51 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. BONAVENTURE BONNIES for our CBB Tuesday Enforcer. St. Bonaventure rolls into the NIT Quarterfinals following a pair of road wins over Colorado and Oklahoma. The Bonnies have won four of their last five road games where they are 6-4 on the season and have an edge on both ends of the floor as they are ranked No. 104 in shooting defense and faces an offense that is not good while the offense is ranked No. 106 in shooting offense that counters defense that is not as good as it looks on paper. St. Bonaventure is 6-0 ATS in its last six games off an upset win as a road underdog. Virginia gets another home game after defeating North Texas by a bucket on the road. The Cavaliers defense as mentioned seems to be overrated as they are ranked No. 12 in points allowed but ranked just No. 160 in shooting defense so the pace will play a factor here. They are 11-6 at home but allowed 50 percent shooting in their last home game and the Bonnies can match that here. Virginia is 8-18 ATS in its last 26 games after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a road win by three points or less going up against an opponent off a road win. This situation is 149-91 ATS (62.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (609) St. Bonaventure Bonnies |
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03-21-22 | Raptors v. Bulls -4 | Top | 99-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Chicago is back home following a 0-3 roadtrip and it has gone 2-8 over its last 10 games. The Bulls are 25-10 at home and need to take advantage of that as they are now No. 5 in the Eastern Conference after leading the conference at one point that that long ago. They are just 3.5 games out of the No. 2 spot but also only a game and a half from falling into the play in group. Chicago is 14-2 ATS in its last 16 games after two straight games allowing 50 percent or higher shooting over the last two seasons. Toronto has won six of its last seven games and continues to move up in the conference as it is now No. 7 and just one game out of getting away from the play in round. The Raptors are coming off a win at Philadelphia last time out and has won six straight road games to improve to 23-15 on the road. The 88 points allowed against the Sixers were the fewest during the streak and allowed 106.8 ppg in the previous five wins. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points failing to cover the spread in eight or more of their last 10 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 80-41 ATS (66.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (530) Chicago Bulls |
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03-21-22 | Florida Gulf Coast +4 v. Coastal Carolina | Top | 68-84 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA GULF COAST EAGLES for our Basketball Classic Game of the Month. Florida Gulf Coast and Coastal Carolina square off in the second round of The Basketball Classic after easy victories by both sides in round one. The Eagles defeated Detroit by 16 points after losing to Bellarmine in the Atlantic Sun Tournament. They rely on a potent offense that is ranked No. 36 in the country in scoring offense, averaging 77.6 ppg. Florida Gulf Coast is 17-4 ATS in its last 21 games in the second half of the season against teams outscoring their opponents by eight or more ppg. Coastal Carolina took out Maryland-Eastern Shore by 24 points following a first round loss to Georgia Southern in the first round of the Sun Belt Conference Tournament. The Chanticleers are 12-6 at home which is nothing above average and they have gone just 3-3 over their last six home games. Coastal Carolina is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games after a win by 15 points or more. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season averaging between 74 and 78 ppg going up against teams allowing between 63 and 67 ppg, after a combined score of 165 points or more. This situation is 79-42 ATS (65.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (863) Florida Gulf Coast Eagles |
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03-20-22 | Celtics v. Nuggets +4 | Top | 124-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Denver is coming off a loss against Cleveland which snapped a two-game winning streak and the Nuggets are now 12-4 over its last 16 games. They are in sixth place in the Western Conference and just two and a half games out of fourth place for the final home court advantage spot. Denver is 20-13 at home and it has a potent offense that can counter the Boston defense that is ranked No. 1 in the league in defensive scoring and shooting. Denver is 15-2 ATS in its last 17 home games after three straight games where they made 50 percent of their shots or better. Boston has won two straight games and nine of its last 11 and 20 of its last 25 games. The Celtics have vaulted up to No. 4 in the Eastern Conference and they sit only five games out of first place and just two games out of second place. While the defense is the best in the NBA, the offense lags further behind as the Celtics are ranked No. 16 in scoring offense and No. 18 in shooting offense. Boston is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games after two straight wins by 10 points or more. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 having won 20 or more of their last 25 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 44-18 ATS (71 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (514) Denver Nuggets |
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03-20-22 | Michigan State v. Duke -6.5 | Top | 76-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the DUKE BLUE DEVILS for our CBB Round of 32 Game of the Year. Michigan St. won three consecutive games before falling to Purdue in the Big Ten Tournament championship game. The Spartans have covered five straight games and that is playing into this line. They are very average on both ends of the floor as they are ranked No. 150 in scoring offense and No. 155 in scoring defense. Michigan St. is 8-18 ATS in its last 26 games away from home against teams making 45 percent of their shots or better. Duke is on a completely different run as it has lost two of its last five games while failing to cover and of those games and that is also playing a factor into the line for Sunday. The Blue Devils have won 14 games away from home and the offense has averaged nearly as many points away from home than in Cameron Indoor. Overall, the Blue Devils are ranked No. 9 in the nation in scoring offense and will give the Spartans fits especially in transition. Duke is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games away from home after one or more consecutive unders. Here, we play on favorites after failing to cover the spread in four or more consecutive games going up against an opponent after successfully covering the spread in four or more consecutive games. This situation is 116-72 ATS (61.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (818) Duke Blue Devils |
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03-19-22 | St. Peter's v. Murray State -8 | Top | 70-60 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the MURRAY ST. RACERS for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. St. Peter's is coming off a monumental win over Kentucky as an 18-point underdog in the first round but they are in trouble here. The Peacocks have won eight straight games and while the Kentucky win was big, most came against some bad teams from the MAAC where they went 14-6. Murray St. has won 21 straight games and both sides of the ball have been dominant as the Racers are ranked No. 23 in scoring offense and No. 21 in scoring defense. The opposition has not been great either but they remain the No. 1 team of the mid-majors and should have no problem here. The Racers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after four or more consecutive wins, when seeded 13 through 16 in the NCAA tournament. This situation is 65-29 ATS (69.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (790) Murray St. Racers |
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03-18-22 | Wright State +21.5 v. Arizona | Top | 70-87 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the WRIGHT ST. RAIDERS for our First Round Game of the Year. Arizona enters the tournament as the No. 1 seed in the South Region and while being one of the best offenses in the country, this is a tough matchup against another strong offense. The Wildcats have won six straight games including three in a row to win the Pac 12 Championship. The Wildcats are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games as a favorite. Wright St. got out of the Horizon League and took out Bryant in the play in game in easy fashion. This is obviously a more difficult matchup and the team preaches defense which will be a key in spread like this. The Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Here, we play against favorites of 10 or more points playing with 5 or 6 days of rest, with a winning percentage of .800 or better playing a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .800. This situation is 37-12 ATS (75.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (779) Wright St. Raiders |
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03-18-22 | Miami-FL v. USC -1.5 | 68-66 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a play on the USC TROJANS for our NCAA Tourney Friday Enforcer. USC lost in the Pac 12 Tournament against rival UCLA by 10 points and comes in as the underdog here. The Trojans ended up 26-7 prior to the NCAA Tournament and have one of the top defenses entering it as it is ranked No. 14 in shooting defense. It counters a Miami offense that is ranked No. 28 in shooting and in the tournament stage, defense takes over. The Trojans are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 neutral site games as a favorite. Miami is coming off a loss in the ACC Tournament against Duke which snapped a three-game losing with two of those wins coming against Boston College and the other against Syracuse. The Hurricanes are a popular pick to make a run but this is a bad matchup with their defense that is ranked No. 330 in shooting defense, allowing 46.3 percent shooting from the floor. The Hurricanes are 7-16-1 ATS in their last 24 neutral site games. Here, we play on neutral court teams as a favorite or pickem in the second half of the season averaging between 67 and 74 ppg going up against teams allowing between 67 and 74 ppg, after scoring 65 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 30-6 ATS (83.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (756) USC Trojans |
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03-17-22 | Vermont v. Arkansas -5 | Top | 71-75 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS for our NCAA Tourney Thursday Top Play. Vermont is a very popular play to pull off the upset with its style of basketball but the difference in overall talent is just too much and the line is not reflecting that. The Catamounts have won eight straight games including rolling through the America East Tournament with wins of 39, 32 and 39 points which is a reason they are a popular choice here. They played two teams from major conferences and lost both by double digits. The Catamounts are 0-4 ATS in their last four neutral site games. Arkansas ended up losing to Texas A&M in the SEC Tournament semifinals which closed out a very solid season at 25-8. The Razorbacks have a number of quality wins including victories over Texas A&M, Auburn, Tennessee and Kentucky so they can hang with the elite competition and have the ability to make a tourney run with a high scoring offense and a defense that is ranked No. 47 in the country in shooting defense against a schedule that was ranked No. 51 in the nation compared to a Vermont schedule ranked No. 316 overall. The Razorbacks are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after five or more consecutive wins, when seeded 13 through 16 in the NCAA tournament. This situation is 53-20 ATS (72.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (722) Arkansas Razorbacks |
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03-17-22 | Creighton v. San Diego State -2 | Top | 72-69 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our NCAA Tourney Thursday Enforcer. Creighton opened the Big East Conference Tournament with a pair of upset wins over Marquette and Providence before falling to Villanova by six points in the championship game. The Bluejays are averaging 69 ppg which is No. 233 in the country and they will have their hands full here against an Aztecs defense that is ranked No. 2 in the nation in points allowed with 58.3 ppg while allowing just 37.9 percent shooting which is ranked No. 4 overall. The Bluejays are 0-7 ATS in their last seven NCAA Tournament games as an underdog. San Deigo St. lost to Boise St. in the Mountain West Conference championship game by a point which snapped a six-game winning streak and an 11-1 run as its last two losses both came against the Broncos. As mentioned, the defense will be the story here and while their offense is a step below, that is based on pace for the most part. The Aztecs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are shooting between 45 and 47.5 percent going up against teams shooting between 42.5 and 45 percent, after three straight games allowing 40 percent shooting or less. This situation is 35-13 ATS (72.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (738) San Diego St. Aztecs |