Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-26-23 | Nets v. Magic -2 | Top | 106-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We won with Brooklyn last night as it snapped a five-game losing streak and it overtook Miami for the No. 6 spot in the Eastern Conference and the Nets trail the Knicks by a game and a half for the No. 5 spot. The Nets improved to 21-18 on the road yet come in as underdogs here in the second of a back-to-back set where they have gone 6-6 this season. The remaining schedule sets up well with six of the final seven games taking place at home with the lone remaining road game at Detroit. Orlando has won two straight games including a win over New York on Thursday and while the Magic are in the No. 13 spot in the Eastern Conference, they are still mathematically alive for moving up to the No. 10 spot so it is in still win mode. They are a game under .500 at home but have covered 24 of 41 games including going 13-8 ATS against teams with a winning record and going back, the Magic are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a same season loss going up against an opponent off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog. This situation is 32-10 ATS (76.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (574) Orlando Magic |
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03-25-23 | Bucks v. Nuggets -2.5 | Top | 106-129 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS as part of our NBA Saturday Triple Play. We played against Milwaukee last night in what was a lookahead spot but the Bucks were fully focused in the 28-point victory as they remain 2.5 games ahead of the Celtics in the Eastern Conference. It has won five of its last six games and is an incredible 24-3 over its last 27 games but now comes a big test. They are 23-13 on the road which is the third best road record in the league but have struggled against the top teams as they are 1-6 in seven games against the top six home teams in the NBA. The Nuggets remain in first place in the Western Conference where it has been most of the season as it is three games ahead of Memphis following two straight wins to conclude a 3-2 roadtrip. The Nuggets are 30-6 at home which is the second best home record in the NBA and this is a good litmus test to see where they actually stand. Denver lost the first meeting in Milwaukee but the lineup was depleted as the Nuggets were without Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter, Jr. and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, four of the top five scorers on the team. Here, we play on home teams in March after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games. This situation is 132-77 ATS (63.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (554) Denver Nuggets |
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03-25-23 | Nets +6 v. Heat | Top | 129-100 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS as part of our NBA Saturday Triple Play. Miami defeated New York on Wednesday and is 4-1 over its last five games but continues to underachieve as it is only six games over .500 yet is now a game and a half behind the Knicks for fifth place in the Eastern Conference. The Heat are 25-13 at home but just 12-24-2 against the number and are still the worst overall ATS team in the NBA at 27-45-2 and are laying a big number here against a team that can catch them in the standings tonight. Brooklyn put together a solid run post trades as it won five of six games but has now lost five games in a row including the last four at home so getting out of town may not be a bad thing. The Nets are 20-18 on the road and while a lot of this record is with a different roster, this is still a solid roster with the pieces to make a run. They trail Miami by just a half-game for the No. 6 spot which would get them out of the play-in tournament and the last four losses have come down to the final minute so they have been right there. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with a +/- 3 ppg point differential, after a combined score of 245 points or more. This situation is 57-20 ATS (74 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (551) Brooklyn Nets |
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03-25-23 | Pacers +10.5 v. Hawks | Top | 130-143 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS as part of our NBA Saturday Triple Play. Atlanta is coming off a loss at Minnesota on Wednesday to move to 36-37 on the season and how average have the Hawks been? It has now been 28 straight games where they have been within one game of .500 so while the losses have not been piling up, neither have the victories. They are currently in the No. 8 spot where they have been hovering for a while and are likely in the play-in tournament format should they remain in contention as they are 3.5 games from both the No. 6 and No. 11 slots. Now they are favored by double-digits which is a huge overreaction based on the other side. Indiana lost in Boston last night by 25 points and has now dropped three of its last four. The Pacers welcomed back Tyrese Haliburton who missed six games with an injury and he was a nonfactor against the Celtic as he scored just 20 points in 28 minutes and he will be needed for the Pacers playoff push. Indiana is tied with Washington for No. 11 in the Eastern Conference, 2.5 games behind Chicago for the final playoff spot. They are catching a point less tonight than what they were getting last night against Boston which is 14.5 games better than the Hawks which is not a big enough adjustment. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with a +/- 3 ppg point differential, after a combined score of 245 points or more. This situation is 57-20 ATS (74 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (549) Indiana Pacers |
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03-24-23 | Thunder +5.5 v. Lakers | Top | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We played against Oklahoma City last night as that was more of a play on the Clippers as opposed to against the Thunder and now they are in bounce back mode hanging on for dear life in the Western Conference. The loss dropped them a half-game behind Minnesota for the No. 7 spot and are part of four teams that are tied at 36-37 and only four of six teams that are within a game of each other will be going to the postseason. Oklahoma City fell to 14-22 on the road and are getting a great number in a rebound situation. The Lakers defeated the injury ravaged Suns, who did not step up in the absence of DeAndre Ayton as the frontcourt managed only 30 points from the starters, to make it two straight victories and they are a solid 6-3 over their last nine games in keeping their playoff hopes alive. Los Angeles improved to 20-17 at home which is nothing spectacular and it has been counting on reserves behind Anthony Davis to make up for the LeBron James absence and it cannot count on Austin Reaves to put up 30 ppg a night like he has the last two. The Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a losing straight up record. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off two or more consecutive home wins, in March games. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (547) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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03-24-23 | Bucks v. Jazz +9 | Top | 144-116 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Ultimate Underdog. Milwaukee continues to control the Eastern Conference as it has a 2.5-game lead over Boston as it has won four of its last five games and is 23-3 over its last 26 games so not many people are going to step in front of the Bucks right now. They are 22-13 on the road which is just a half-game better than the Utah record at home and yet are overvalued here based on the recent results as well as injury concerns and this is a tough spot with Milwaukee heading to Denver tomorrow night in a possible NBA Finals preview. Utah had won four of five games before losing to Portland at home on Wednesday by 12 points as a five-point favorite. The Jazz remain home where they are 22-14 and look to steal a big game to keep pace in the Western Conference as they are the last team in the group of six teams that are separated by only one game that are vying for the four spots for the play-in tournament. Utah is a half-game behind four other teams making every game huge. Lauri Markkanen is out for Utah and this is a similar situation like that of the Clippers last night where a top player was out yet the rest of the team picked up the slack. Here, we play on underdogs allowing 114 or more ppg on the season, after three straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more. This situation is 37-14 ATS (72.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (540) Utah Jazz |
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03-23-23 | Thunder v. Clippers -2.5 | Top | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We lost with the Clippers on Wednesday and have a quick shot at revenge. Los Angeles closed as seven-point favorites and are now favored by five points fewer with Paul George being lost for a couple weeks but he is not worth a five-point swing and not many players are as those points are made up elsewhere. Los Angeles is still in the No. 5 spot in the Western Conference, sitting one game behind Phoenix for the first round home court advantage spot and just a game and a half from being forced into the play-in tournament. Oklahoma City is now 8-2 in its last 10 games following a five-game losing streak so it is trending the right way. The Thunder are right in the playoff mix in the Western Conference as they are tied with Dallas for the No. 7 spot while trailing Golden St. by just a half-game to avoid the play-in. It was a solid road win on Wednesday but the Thunder are still just 14-21 on the highway and playing a team without a star in their first game is always a challenge with the rest of the team stepping up. Here, we play on favorites revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite of seven points or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite. This situation is 37-9 ATS (80.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (528) Los Angeles Clippers |
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03-22-23 | Suns -1 v. Lakers | Top | 111-122 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Phoenix is coming off a loss at Oklahoma City on Sunday and has now lost four of its last five games as the injury bug has struck again and again it is Kevin Durant who cannot make it put of a layup line unscathed and now DeAndre Ayton is on the shelf with a hip injury and this is where the rest of the roster steps up. The backcourt of Devin Booker and Chris Paul remains intact and they have a clear edge here as the Suns look to avoid falling out of the No. 4 spot in the Western Conference as they are just one game up on the Clippers. The Lakers continue to play for their playoff lives as they have been going back and forth between the No 10 and No. 12 spots they are currently sitting in-between at No. 11, tied with New Orleans, trailing Utah by a half game with 10 games remaining. Los Angeles is coming off a win over Orlando which snapped a two-game losing streak and simply does not have the roster to compete in the absence of LeBron James. The Lakers are just 19-17 at home and even a depleted Phoenix roster will not help here. Here, we play on road favorites after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. This situation is 123-78 ATS (61.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (519) Phoenix Suns |
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03-22-23 | 76ers -3.5 v. Bulls | Top | 116-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. We lost with the Sixers on Monday as they fell in double overtime against Chicago and gets a quick revenge opportunity tonight on the road as they look to get back into the No. 2 spot in the Eastern Conference as they are now a game behind Boston. Philadelphia has an eight-game winning streak snapped with the loss and hitting the road is not an issue as it has won six straight away from home including the last two by a combined 59 points. Expect a big effort from James Harden, even though he is questionable, who had only two points on Monday and has actually gotten grief for it. The Bulls have won three straight games and five of their last six as they have moved into the No. 10 spot by two and a half games over Indiana. They are pretty much guaranteed to be playing in the play-in tournament as they are 4.5 games out of the No. 6 spot so it is now just a matter of the matchup in the four-team positioning. Chicago is just 20-16 at home so there is no big home court edge here and is just 7-9 as a home underdog. Here, we play on road teams revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite of seven points or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (513) Philadelphia 76ers |
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03-22-23 | Knicks +1.5 v. Heat | Top | 120-127 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. The Knicks had a three-game winning streak snapped with a home loss against Minnesota on Monday as they fell behind early and could not recover despite making it a game in the fourth quarter as they lost by six points. New York remains in the No. 5 spot in the Eastern Conference but it is running out of time in catching Cleveland as it trails the Cavaliers by four games but has two teams behind it within stroking distance. The Knicks are 22-14 on the road and those 22 wins are tied for second most in the league. Miami defeated Detroit in the road Sunday and is 3-1 over its last four games but continues to underachieve as it is only five games over .500 and it one of those teams that can catch New York as it is three games behind the Knicks so this is a big game but the Heat are a questionable favorite here despite being 24-13 at home. They are just 11-24-2 ATS at home and are still the worst overall ATS team in the NBA at 26-45-2. While this is a short number, they are not the better team. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points. This situation is 40-17 ATS (70.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (507) New York Knicks |
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03-21-23 | Thunder v. Clippers -6.5 | Top | 101-100 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Clippers are in the midst of a 10-game stretch where nine of the game are at home and so far so good as they have gone 4-1 through the first five at home and after a win at Portland on Sunday, the next four games are again at home. Los Angeles is sitting in fifth place in the Western Conference, just a half-game behind Phoenix for the coveted first round home court advantage spot but is essentially one game behind as it does not own the tiebreaker after losing the season series 2-1 so these home games are huge. Oklahoma City is coming off a win over Phoenix on Sunday at home and it has put together a solid run, going 7-2 in its last nine games following a five-game losing streak. The Thunder are right in the playoff mix in the pretty bad bottom part of the Western Conference as they are a half-game ahead of the Lakers and one game ahead of New Orleans so nothing is safe and the remaining schedule is not easy with seven of the final 11 games on the road where they are 13-21. Here, we play on favorites in the second half of the season averaging between 108 and 114 ppg and after two or more consecutive unders, going up against teams allowing between 114 and 118. This situation is 56-23 ATS (70.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (582) Los Angeles Clippers |
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03-20-23 | Bulls v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 109-105 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Supreme Annihilator. Philadelphia is playing at a high level right now with eight straight wins and it has moved into second place in the Eastern Conference, two games behind Milwaukee. Six of those wins came on the road including the last two by a combined 59 points and this is a big home game before the Sixers hit the road once again for four more games after this. Philadelphia is 26-10 at home with this being just its third home game the entire month so it has been a great run facing a brutal schedule. Chicago is coming off a pair of home wins including a 14-point win against Miami as a small underdog on Saturday. The Bulls are in the No. 10 spot in the Eastern Conference but are just a game and a half ahead of Indiana and Washington so while each game is big, seven of their final 12 games are on the highway where they are just 13-21 despite three straight wins but two of those were against Detroit and Houston, two of the worst teams in the NBA. Here, we play against underdogs off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive road wins. This situation is 37-13 ATS (74 percent) since 1996. 10* (560) Philadelphia 76ers |
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03-19-23 | Pelicans -4.5 v. Rockets | Top | 117-107 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. New Orleans has lost two straight games including a defeat at Houston on Friday which sets up an immediate revenge situation on Sunday. The Pelicans have fallen four games under .500 and are now on the outside looking in of the playoffs in the Western Conference with three weeks left but they are just a game out of the No. 10 spot and they are fighting for six spots between eight teams that are all within 4.5 games of each other. This is a big stretch of three games against three of the worst teams in the league. Houston has now won three straight games, all as underdogs, as the winning streak in its biggest of the season and the Rockets are now 1-4 on the season following consecutive wins with those four losses coming by 11.8 ppg. The Rockets are now 12-24 at home despite the last three victories and while they have confidence going, they could certainly be feeling too good about themselves facing a desperate team. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog going up against an opponent off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite. This situation is 77-42 ATS (64.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (551) New Orleans Pelicans |
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03-18-23 | Magic +7 v. Clippers | Top | 113-108 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Clippers have opened their five-game homestand with four wins all against potential playoff teams and are laying a big number before traveling to Portland tomorrow. Los Angeles is sitting in the No. 5 spot in the Western Conference, one game behind Phoenix but is in a tough spot here with Kawhi Leonard not available today after averaging 31.5 ppg during this winning streak. Despite the solid playoff position, the Clippers are just 19-15 at home. Orlando has opened 0-2 during this west coast swing and is coming off a solid effort at Phoenix on Thursday as it lost by three points. The Magic are far from a good road team as they are 12-23 but they have flourished in this role, going 24-14-1 ATS as underdogs of five or more points. They are also 17-9-1 ATS against the Western Conference and in another solid spot here. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off a home win scoring 110 or more points, playing a losing team. This situation is 55-24 ATS (69.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (529) Orlando Magic |
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03-17-23 | Wizards v. Cavs -5.5 | Top | 94-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. This is a great bounce back spot for Cleveland which is coming off an 11-point loss against Philadelphia on Wednesday which put an end to a 5-1 run. The Cavaliers fell four games behind the Sixers in the Eastern Conference as they remain in the No. 4 spot, two and a half games ahead of the Knicks for the home floor edge. Cleveland is a solid 28-8 at home and is getting value here as it was favored by 3.5 point at Washington last month and is now laying just over a bucket more at home. Washington snapped a three-game losing streak with a 20-point win over lowly Detroit and is now 2-5 over its last seven games with both victories coming against the Pistons. The Wizards remain in the mix in the Eastern Conference as it is sitting at No. 10 with just a game and a half leeway ahead of Indiana and Chicago. The Wizards are 16-20 on the road which is not horrible but they catch Cleveland at the wrong time. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points shooting 46 percent or better on the season, after three straight games allowing a shooting percentage of 47 percent or higher. This situation is 80-44 ATS (64.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (514) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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03-16-23 | Thunder v. Raptors -5.5 | Top | 111-128 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Toronto snapped a three-game losing streak with a win over Denver on Tuesday and while that could cause a letdown spot, things are too important for Toronto right now and the Nuggets are in a slump with four straight losses. The Raptors 21-13 at home where they have won five straight and they are currently No. 9 in the Eastern Conference but there is more room to move down that up. Toronto trails No. 8 Atlanta by one game but No. 7 Miami by four games while the other way, it is only a game and a half of falling out of the playoffs altogether. Oklahoma City won for us Tuesday as it rolled over Brooklyn for its third straight win and it has gone 6-1 over its last seven games. The Thunder are sitting in ninth place in the Western Conference in a huge group of nine teams separated by four games vying for seven postseason spots. Oklahoma City is just 13-20 on the road and is in a tough travel spot here as this is the sixth straight day they have been on the move. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a loss of 10 points or more, well rested team playing only their 2nd game in five days. This situation is 89-54 ATS (62.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (506) Toronto Raptors |
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03-15-23 | Warriors v. Clippers -2.5 | Top | 126-134 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Here we go again with the Warriors hitting the road where they have the fourth worst record in the league, ahead of only San Antonio, Houston and Detroit and that is something that should not be the case for a team with another potential NBA championship run. Golden St. has won two straight games against contenders Milwaukee and Phoenix but of course those were at home and going back, the home team is 13-0 in its last 13 games as well as 18-1 in its last 19 games. The Clippers have won three straight games following a five-game losing streak with all three of those wins coming at home. Los Angeles is just 18-15 at home but playing one of the worst road teams in the league negates any part of that. The Clippers are now tied for fifth place in the Western Conference with Golden St. but are one of nine teams within four games vying for the final seven spots so every game is big. The Clippers lost the most recent meeting by 24 points less than two weeks ago. Here, we play against road teams scoring 114 or more ppg on the season going up against an opponent after allowing 100 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 44-15 ATS (74.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (588) Los Angeles Clippers |
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03-15-23 | Celtics -5 v. Wolves | Top | 104-102 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Supreme Annihilator. Boston is coming off a bad loss at Houston and there was no excuse despite coming off two straight wins. The Celtics have dropped four of their last six games and have fallen three games behind Milwaukee in the Eastern Conference following the Bucks win last night. Boston is a very solid 21-13 on the road which is the second best road record in the league, a half-game behind Milwaukee and coming off a loss like that against the Rockets provides enough motivation. Minnesota went into Atlanta and destroyed the Hawks from start to finish which snapped a two-game slide where it trailed at the most by just one points and led by as much as 28 points. The Timberwolves have won four of their last six games and while they have been a strong home underdog this season, this is an awful spot to back that victory up. They are 20-16 at home which is nothing spectacular and it is the third worst home record in the NBA of any winning team. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points outscoring their opponents by three or more ppg going up against an opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half. This situation is 41-12 ATS (77.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (581) Boston Celtics |
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03-14-23 | Nets v. Thunder -1.5 | Top | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our Nonconference Game of the Month. The trade Brooklyn made have not affected its most recent play as it has won five of its last games while covering all six of those and this includes four outright road wins, three as an underdog. The Nets are now 20-17 on the road and overall they are 10 games over .500 which has put them into the No 5 spot in the Eastern Conference which has put them one game ahead of New York. This is a tough spot coming in off a big win at Denver and with a four-game homestand on deck. Oklahoma City has also won five of its last six games following a five-game losing streak which has put the Thunder two games under .500. They are currently in the logjam of six teams within two games of each other for the No. 7 through No. 10 spots in the Western Conference for the play-in tournament. Winning their games at home is key and they come in 20-15 at home and this is the final home game before five of the next six taking place on the road. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off two or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog. This situation is 59-23 ATS (72 percent) since 1996. 10* (566) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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03-13-23 | Jazz +7.5 v. Heat | Top | 115-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Utah opened its six-game roadtrip with three losses but has won the last two games and has a chance to even up the trek tonight before heading home for a four-game homestand. The Jazz are just 13-22 on the road but are catching an overinflated number as they remain in the Western Conference playoff hunt as they are part of four teams tied for ninth place with only two of those teams making the postseason. But it is tight above them as well as Utah is just 2.5 game out of fifth place. Miami is coming off a loss at Orlando which followed a 3-3 homestand and the Heat are back home where they are 22-13 but have been the worst cover team in the NBA as they are 10-23-2 ATS yet the lines continue to go against them. They are 5-15 ATS when favored by five points or more so a narrow win is all that is needed here. Miami is No. 7 in the Eastern Conference with not much room to move up as it is 3.5 games behind the Knicks. Here, we play on road underdogs revenging a close loss of three points or less going up against an opponent off an upset loss as a favorite. This situation is 34-9 ATS (79.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (551) Utah Jazz |
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03-11-23 | Bucks v. Warriors +1.5 | Top | 116-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA signature Enforcer. To no surprise, Golden St. is coming off a three-game roadtrip where it went 0-3 to make it eight straight losses on the road to fall to 7-26 away from home which is tied with the Piston for the third worst record in the league and just one win higher than San Antonio and Houston. The Warriors are back home where they are 27-7 which is the third best record in the Western Conference and they are not only in a bounce back spot but also a revenge spot after a 17-point loss at Milwaukee earlier this season. Milwaukee is on a three-game winning streak following a loss against Philadelphia which snapped a 16-game winning streak so the Bucks are still the hottest team in the NBA and it is not really close. That being said, this is by far their toughest road assignment during this 19-1 stretch which includes a 9-0 record on the road with the best win being against the Clippers. Milwaukee is now 2.5 games clear of Boston for first place in the Eastern Conference with this being the start of a three-game trip against three of the top four or five teams out west. Here, we play on home underdogs revenging a road loss of 10 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 46-16 ATS (74.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (530) Golden St. Warriors |
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03-10-23 | Hawks v. Wizards +1.5 | Top | 114-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. This is the second game of a back-to-back between Atlanta and Washington with the Hawks taking the first meeting by a bucket on Wednesday. That improved Atlanta to just 15-20 on the road and it is currently sitting in the No. 8 spot in the Eastern Conference but with not a lot of breathing room as the Hawks are just three games out of the No. 11 seed and missing the postseason altogether. They had lost five straight games on the highway prior to the win on Wednesday. The Wizards are clinging to the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference as they are in the final slot in the play-in tournament, ahead of the Bulls by only one game and Indiana by just a game and a half. Washington has now lost three straight games at home and is now a game under .500 on its home floor which is a mark they have been hovering around for most of the season. While not a great thing, it keeps the number down, especially in a great spot. Here, we play on teams coming off a close home loss by three points or less going up against an opponent off a road win by three points or less. This situation is 25-7 ATS (78.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (504) Washington Wizards |
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03-08-23 | Cavs v. Heat +2.5 | Top | 104-100 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Cleveland survived at home against Boston in overtime on Monday as the Celtics missed a pair of free throws with less than a second remaining and eventually lost by four points. The Cavaliers are two games ahead of the Knicks for the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference following two straight wins and now hit the road where they are 13-19 that includes three straight losses. Miami is coming off a two-game home sweep over Atlanta which snapped a 1-6 slide and the Heat remain No. 7 in the Eastern Conference as they are 5.5 games clear of missing out on the playoffs. Miami is 2.5 games behind Brooklyn for the No. 6 spot and a chance to avoid the play-in tournament and are in a good spot here to keep the winning streak alive as they are 21-12 at home. The markets are catching up as they have been overvalues all season with the worst ATS record in the league and are now catching points at home. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a loss of three points or less going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive home wins. This situation is 79-41 ATS (65.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (552) Miami Heat |
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03-07-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -1 | Top | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Lakers have been just fine without LeBron James as they have split their first four games including the last two which tipped off this five-game homestand. Los Angeles has caught a scheduling break as the first two games came against a shorthanded Timberwolves team and a Warriors team without Steph Curry and now it faces Memphis without Ja Morant and these are the types of breaks the Lakers need during this stretch if they have any shot at maintaining a playoff berth. They are tied with Utah, Portland and New Orleans for the final two spots at No. 9 and No. 10 in the Western Conference. Memphis is in a tough spot now with all of this Morant drama and it comes at an awful time with the playoffs just around the corner because the severity of the situation is still unknown. The Grizzlies lost to the Clippers on Sunday with their first game without him and that is typically the game the other players step up in the absence of their star which they did not. Memphis is 12-20 on the road and that is mostly with Morant in the lineup and now the No. 2 spot in the conference is no guarantee. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after having won five or six of their last seven games. This situation is 28-9 ATS (75.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (548) Los Angeles Lakers |
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03-05-23 | Knicks v. Celtics -5 | Top | 131-129 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Divisional Game of the Month. Boston is coming off a 10-point loss at home against Brooklyn as it blew an early 28-point lead as it has now lost two of its last three games. With the Bucks loss last night, the Celtics have a chance to get back into a first place tie with Milwaukee in the Eastern Conference and they are going to be ready for this one. This is the fourth and final regular season meeting with the Knicks and Boston has dropped the last two games against New York including a 15-point loss last week on the road. New York has won eight straight games, covering all eight of those as well, including a two-point win at Miami on Friday which was its third straight road win during this streak. The Knicks have been a very solid team on the road as they are 19-12 which is the second best road record in the NBA but this is an awful spot. The Knicks have dominated outside of their division in the Eastern Conference as they are 20-8 but just 7-8 within the Atlantic Division. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging two consecutive straight up losses as a favorite against opponent off a road win by three points or less. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (516) Boston Celtics |
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03-05-23 | Hornets +8 v. Nets | Top | 86-102 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Brooklyn pulled off an improbable win on Friday as it fell behind big early but outscored the Celtics by 38 points down the stretch and now it returns home as big home favorite before hitting the road again for a five-game roadtrip. Give the Nets and their coaching staff credit for the last victory which snapped a four-game losing streak and the Nets are still right there in the playoff picture, sitting in the No. 6 spot in the Eastern Conference. 10 games behind first place Milwaukee. Charlotte has dropped two straight games following a five-game winning streak and it hits the road where it is just 9-25 but has fared well in this spot, going 10-7 ATS on the road against winning teams. The Hornets are without LaMelo Ball for the remainder of the season and that is no doubt a big loss but that is being factored into this number. Terry Rozier is a very capable and veteran backup who is coming off two solid games as his replacement. Here, we play against favorites with a +/- 3 ppg scoring differential and after scoring 115 points or more in two straight games going up against teams with a -3 to -7 ppg scoring differential. This situation is 102-62 ATS (62.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (509) Charlotte Hornets |
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03-04-23 | 76ers +5.5 v. Bucks | Top | 133-130 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Philadelphia is coming off a loss at Dallas on Thursday and has now dropped three of four since coming out of the break with a win over Memphis that extended its winning streak to five games at the time. The two losses prior to the Mavericks loss were games that could have gone either way as the Sixers fell to Miami and Boston by five points combined. Philadelphia remains on the road where it is a respectable 18-12 and it looks to close the gap in the Eastern Conference as it sits in third place, five games behind Milwaukee and four games behind Boston. Milwaukee is on an epic run as it has won 16 straight games to take over first place in the conference that was extended to a full game following the Celtics loss last night. The Bucks remain home where they are 27-5 including 11 straight wins and they will be a public play again tonight but they have struggled to cover against the top teams in the league as they are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games against teams at .600 or better. This number has been right in their wheelhouse but this is a tough matchup as Philadelphia has won two of the last four meetings with the two losses coming by two points each. 10* (575) Philadelphia 76ers |
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03-03-23 | Knicks v. Heat +3 | Top | 122-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. Miami is coming off a 23-point loss against Philadelphia on Wednesday and it has now lost five of its last six games going back prior to the All Star Break and this has become a crucial game. Miami is currently in the No. 7 spot in the Eastern Conference which is 3.5 games behind New York for the No. 5 seed and five games behind Cleveland for the No. 4 seed. The No. 6 seed, and avoiding the play-in tournament, is also still in play for Miami, as it is just 1.5 games back of Brooklyn. The Heat are 19-11 at home after two straight losses but those were against the Sixers and Nuggets. New York is playing its best basketball of the season as it has won seven straight games but the only noteworthy win was against Boston at home and the Knicks come in as road favorites based on the run and the season success where they are 18-12 on the highway. Part of this is also due to Jimmy Butler hitting the injury report as questionable but he is likely a go. Here, we play on home underdogs revenging a road loss and coming off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 72-32 ATS (69.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (554) Miami Heat |
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03-02-23 | 76ers v. Mavs -2.5 | Top | 126-133 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Dallas made a big move for a postseason push as it has one of the best duos in the Western Conference but it has yet to pay off as the Mavericks have lost five of their last six games including their last two at home as they blew a 27-point lead against the Lakers and had a late comeback fall short against Indiana on Tuesday. Dallas fell to 20-12 at home with those two defeats but it obviously still has a solid home court edge and has a big test on Thursday but is in a good spot to get things going again. Philadelphia snapped a two-game slide with a 23-point win in Miami last night and that was without Joel Embiid who sat out with a foot injury and he is listed as questionable but we will likely see him back in the lineup in the second of this back-to-back. The Sixers improved to 16-11 on the road and they are just 6-7 ATS on the highway against teams with a winning record. Philadelphia is remains in third place in the Eastern Conference, 4.5 games behind Milwaukee and four games behind Boston who it has lost all three meeting to this season. Here, we play on home favorites after having lost five or six of their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 37-11 ATS (77.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (542) Dallas Mavericks |
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03-01-23 | Suns v. Hornets +10 | Top | 105-91 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The storyline here is Kevin Durant will be making his Suns debut after getting traded from Brooklyn and has not played since January 8th and this does one of two things. The Suns have an overinflated line because of this and the public will be all over Phoenix which obviously is another cause for the big number. The Suns are back to full health and should make a strong run once the chemistry comes together as they are currently in the No. 4 spot, 10 games behind Denver and while catching the Nuggets in not attainable, they can move up maybe one spot but will be a force come playoff time. Phoenix is just 12-19 on the road and while a lot of those losses were with a depleted roster, it is too big of a number to be laying on the road. Charlotte has won and covered five straight games going back prior to the break and this includes four straight wins at home where they are still just 11-18 and the Hornets are not getting any sort of chance here. They have been solid in this role this season, going 7-4-1 ATS as double-digit underdogs and they will no doubt be amped with Phoenix coming to town and that brings in a solid home crown and energetic environment. Here, we play against favorites of 10 or more points with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after having lost two of their last three games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 93-49 ATS (65.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (524) Charlotte Hornets |
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02-28-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -8.5 | Top | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The self-proclaimed 23 biggest regular season games of his career from LeBron James has gotten off to a good start with wins in the Lakers first two games out of the break and now they are catching a huge number here which is going to put the public on Los Angeles. However, this line might be telling in that he could be more injured that most think as he is once again on the injury report as questionable with his balky ankle but he likely goes and could sit Wednesday against Oklahoma City. The Lakers are 14-18 on the road and hit the second best home floor in the Western Conference. Memphis came out of the break with a loss at Philadelphia but ambushed Denver early on Saturday as it built a 35-point lead and coasted to an 18-point win. The Grizzlies are now 25-5 at home and remain in second place in the Western Conference, 5.5 games behind Denver and this is the last home game before an upcoming three-game roadtrip. They have struggled at home against teams with a losing record and a lot of that comes down to motivation and that is something that will not be lacking here against Los Angeles. This is a revenge game for Memphis and while it was only a one-point loss, it ended a franchise tying 11-game winning streak so that adds to the incentive. 10* (508) Memphis Grizzlies |
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02-27-23 | Magic v. Pelicans -3.5 | Top | 101-93 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. New Orleans has come out of the break with a pair of losses, both coming on the road and it returns home for just one game before heading back on the road for three games out west. The Pelicans have dropped nine of their last ten games on the road but have won three of their last four games at home where they are 20-10 on the season and these are the games they need to take. New Orleans is still right in the playoff mix as it is in the No. 10 spot and is just 4.5 games out of the No. 4 spot. The Pelicans are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Orlando is coming of a loss against Indiana at home following a two-point win over Detroit and remain 11 games under .500 on the season. The Magic are four games out of the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference and this young roster continues to struggle with inconsistencies. They have the same issues as the Pelicans as they are 10-20 on the road and they did defeat New Orleans at home by 13 points as a one-point favorite so there is revenge as well as line value with the change in venue. Here, we play against underdogs off an upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .400 and .499. This situation is 25-9 ATS (73.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (574) New Orleans Pelicans |
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02-26-23 | Lakers v. Mavs -4 | Top | 111-108 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We won with the Lakers on Thursday as they defeated Golden St. but that was at home against a Warriors team that cannot win on the road and were without Andrew Wiggins, making them down two starters. Los Angeles is now a game over .500 at home but it hits the road where it is just 13-18 and it has been awful against quality teams on the highway as it is 5-15 ATS against teams with a winning record. Obviously, teams win more as favorites but the Lakers disparity is massive as they have won 70 percent of their games as favorites but just 37 percent as underdogs. Dallas picked up its first victory with Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving on the floor together and while it was just San Antonio, that was an opponent it needed to figure things out and this is now the second game of a six-game homestand where it can make a move. The Mavericks are right there as while they are 10 games out of first place in the Western Conference, they are just one game back of the No. 4 spot and home court and only five games out of second place. This roster is good enough to make a big move down the stretch. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival going up against an opponent off a home win by 20 points or more. This situation is 38-15 ATS (71.7 percent) since 1996. 19* (556) Dallas Mavericks |
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02-25-23 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies -1.5 | Top | 94-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Memphis went 3-1 over its last four games before the break and opened with a loss at Philadelphia on Thursday and the Grizzlies are now six games behind the Nuggets in the Western Conference for first place and can make up a game here. They are back home where they are 24-5 which is the second best home record in the Western Conference behind Denver and are laying a short price before having a couple days off before facing the Lakers here on Tuesday and then heading out on a four-game roadtrip. Memphis is 12-4 ATS at home against teams with a winning record. Denver closed with three straight wins prior to the break and won its first game back at Cleveland thanks a big fourth quarter that sealed it. The Nuggets remain on the road where they are an average 15-14 with no sense of urgency at this point with a pretty commanding lead in the conference. They are just 2-4 over their last six road games and have won fewer than half of their overall road games when not favored and a loss here likely means a non-cover as well. Here, we play against road teams covering eight or more of their last 10 against the spread, playing six or less games in 14 days. This situation is 44-18 ATS (71 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (544) Memphis Grizzlies |
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02-24-23 | Cavs v. Hawks | Top | 119-136 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Things have been turbulent in Atlanta for the latter part of the first half of the season and the Hawks made a move during the break as they fired head coach Nate McMillan after less than two years on the job and this could be a big motivational factor for them in a playoff push. Atlanta is a game under .500 and sitting in the No. 8 spot in the Eastern Conference and is locked into the play-in tournament than moving up as the Hawks are three and a half games out of the No. 6 spot. They are 15-12 at home and this is a statement game following the McMillan dismissal. Cleveland came out of the break with a big game with Denver but was outscored by eight points in the fourth quarter in the six-point home loss. The Cavaliers remain in the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference and while this would normally be a bounce back spot, not in this particular situation. It was a rare home loss as the Cavaliers are now 25-7 at home and they hit the road where they are four games under .500 and in a tough back-to-back with this being the first time this season they have gone home to the road in back-to-back nights. Here, we play on teams revenging a road loss of 10 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a home favorite. This situation is 94-52 ATS (64.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (522) Atlanta Hawks |
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02-23-23 | Warriors v. Lakers -5 | Top | 111-124 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Golden St. and Los Angeles return to action after the break amid seasons well below expectations. Golden St. is currently in a playoff spot but way down the ladder and the issue has been horrible road play as it is 22-7 at home but that record flips to 7-22 on the highway. Already without Steph Curry, the Warriors will be without Andrew Wiggins who is dealing with a personal matter and he is the fourth leading scorer and has been his typically productive self as a critical off-ball scoring option and perimeter defender. The Lakers were without LeBron James for a few games after he broke the scoring record and they closed 2-4 over their final six games. The new look roster has to make a big move with just 23 games remaining and it needs to start right out of the gate. Los Angeles is just 14-14 at home and it does have the confidence knowing they defeated the Warriors on the road 12 days ago without James in the lineup and we can expect a huge effort tonight which could dictate a lot going forward. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having covered two of their last three games against the spread, with a winning percentage of between .400 and .499 on the season. This situation is 77-38 ATS (67 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (516) Los Angeles Lakers |
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02-16-23 | Wizards v. Wolves -3 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Minnesota has alternated wins and losses over its last nine games and coming off a win at Dallas on Monday means if that streak holds true, it should lose tonight but streak are made to be broken and this is one of those. This is the final game prior to the All Star Break and the Timberwolves are back home where they are 6-2 over their last eight games and this is the first one back following a four-game roadtrip and overall, Minnesota is 20-12 at home and laying a short price. Washington won six straight games to close out January only to drop its first three games in February but has rebounded with wins in three of its last four games. Two of those were at home while splitting the first two games of this roadtrip prior to the break. The Wizards are only 13-18 on the road and while they have a positive ATS record in games when getting points, they have won only nine of 24 games as road underdogs and most of those covers have been with much bigger numbers than what they are getting tonight. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a same season loss going up against an opponent off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog. This situation is 32-10 ATS (76.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (578) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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02-15-23 | Heat -1 v. Nets | Top | 105-116 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We played on Miami on Monday and a late turnover did it in as it lost to the Nuggets by four points which snapped a three-game winning streak. As mentioned when playing Heat games, they have been overvalued all season as they are still the worst team in the NBA with a sub-38 percent ATS record and while it can be argued they are overvalued here again, this line is what it is for good reason. Miami is three games under .500 on the road and this is the 15th time they have been road favorites, going 5-9 ATS in the first 14 games but this is basically a pickem against a team that has tossed it in. Brooklyn was rolling at the start of December is it was on a 14-1 run and climbing up the Eastern Conference standings and then Kevin Durant went down and the wheels starting falling off. Flash forward a month later and the Nets were mired on a four-game losing streak and it was time to clean house. They have gone 6-11 over their last 17 games yet are still in the No. 5 spot in the Eastern Conference, a game and a half ahead of Miami so the Heat can make the move up in the standings tonight. Here, we play on favorites revenging a home loss, off an upset loss as a home favorite. This situation is 74-37 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (561) Miami Heat |
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02-14-23 | Kings v. Suns -2.5 | Top | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Phoenix has been trash on the road this season but it is coming off a 4-1 roadtrip and is back home where it is 19-9. The Suns are four games over .500 overall which is not great but it is pretty solid considering the injuries they have gone through this season and once Kevin Durant hits the floor, this is going to be the best roster in the league and it be once of the freshest come postseason. As for now, Phoenix sits at No. 4 in the Western Conference and can close the gap to one game behind the Kings with a win tonight. Sacramento is coming off a home split with Dallas and they have been pretty average of late. The Kings won six straight games early last month but have gone 6-6 over their last 12 games and while that includes a 4-3 record on the road, two of those wins were against Houston and another against San Antonio, the two worst teams in the Western Conference by a wide margin. They have been solid on the road overall at 15-12 and has been great against the number but mostly against bad teams, going 9-3 ATS against losing teams and 6-8 ATS against winning teams. Here, we play on home teams with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 where the line is +3 to -3 after having won five or six of their last seven games. This situation is 59-26 ATS (69.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (550) Phoenix Suns |
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02-13-23 | Wolves v. Mavs -7.5 | Top | 124-121 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Star Attraction. After missing four games, Luka Doncic was back on the floor for Dallas in its last game on Saturday which marked the first game together with newly acquired Kyrie Irving and the result was not what they wanted as the Mavericks lost in Sacramento in overtime. Dallas returns home and this will be a big one with an electric home floor with the pair taking the court at home for the first time. It has been a very uneven run for the Mavericks and this is the final home game until February 23 so they want to make it count. Dallas is 19-9 at home and we can toss its awful ATS performance of this price away as this is now a different team. Minnesota is also coming off a loss in its last game as it lost at Memphis on Friday to fall to 1-2 on this current four-game roadtrip and like most teams in this league, the Timberwolves have had great success at home and have faltered on the road. They are 10-17 on the highway including a 5-11 record when getting points. They remain in the No. 8 spot in the Western Conference, one game over .500. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .501 and .600. This situation is 77-38 ATS (67 percent) since 1996. 10* (549) Dallas Mavericks |
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02-13-23 | Pelicans +3 v. Thunder | Top | 103-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Signature Enforcer New Orleans went through a 10-game losing streak before rebounding somewhat by winning three straight games but is coming off a home loss against Cleveland on Friday and now starts a four-game roadtrip that wraps around the All Star break and does not conclude until February 25. The Pelicans were playing great up until that huge losing streak but are still right there in the Western Conference as they are part of a group of five teams that are separated by 2.5 games between fourth and eighth place. Oklahoma City was blown out against Golden St. in its first game without Steph Curry but rebounded to win the final two games of its roadtrip over the Lakers and Blazers. The Thunder are just 5-5 over their last 10 games and still have hold of the tenth and final playoff spot in the Western Conference and while in position to move up, they are just a game and a half of the outside. They are 16-11 at home and the short price will be very appealing to bettors but not us. Here, we play against home teams in the second half of the season shooting between 45.5 and 47.5 percent and after two straight games of 50 percent shooting or better going up against teams allowing between 45.5 and 47.5 percent shooting. This situation is 110-64 ATS (63.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (537) New Orleans Pelicans |
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02-13-23 | Nuggets v. Heat -1.5 | Top | 112-108 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Supreme Annihilator. Miami is coming off a win at Orlando on Saturday to make it three straight wins following a 1-3 stretch on the road and the Heat remain middle of the pack in the Eastern Conference. They are currently No. 6 in the standings, four games out of fourth place and 7.5 games clear of missing the playoffs altogether. This is their last home game before they head out on a four-game roadtrip and they are 19-9 at home and on the season overall, they are 7-5 ATS as favorites of three points or less compared to 8-20-2 ATS when favorited at bigger process. Denver had won 15 of 17 games but has been inconsistent of late as it has gone 6-5 over its last 11 games following a win at Charlotte on Saturday. The Nuggets remain No. 1 in the Western Conference by 4.5 games over Memphis and the home floor is the reason for that as they possess the best home record in the league at 26-4 but they are just 13-14 on the road and while that is still a top 10 percentage, it is nothing to get excited about. They have won just three of nine games as road underdogs. Here, we play on teams failing to cover six or seven of their last eight games against the spread, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 138-88 ATS (61.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (534) Miami Heat |
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02-12-23 | Pistons v. Raptors -10 | Top | 118-119 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. This is a big number to be laying for Toronto but it is warranted in a good bounce back spot. The Raptors had won three straight games but followed that up with a loss at home against Utah by six points as an 8.5-point favorite and are laying close to that number against a team much worse than the Jazz. Part of the reason is the absence of O.G. Anunoby who is out with a wrist injury but this roster is still on a much higher level. Toronto is 10-18 on the road but 16-13 at home which is nothing great but enough to easily get it done here. Detroit is coming off a rare win as it defeated San Antonio at home, the second worst team in the NBA, and it took overtime to do so. The Pistons hit the road where they are 7-21 and they have gone 2-6 against the number on the highway against teams with a losing record. Winning consecutive games has been an issue this season as Detroit is 1-13 following a victory while going 4-10 ATS in those games including six straight ATS losses. Additionally, they are 14-11-1 against the Western Conference but just 10-19-2 within the East. Here, we play on favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 43-13 ATS (76.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (522) Toronto Raptors |
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02-11-23 | Jazz v. Knicks -5 | Top | 120-126 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. New York had its two-game winning streak snapped with an 11-point loss in Philadelphia last night as it lost gas late, getting outscored by 12 points in the final quarter. The Knicks are back home where they are a disappointing 14-15 but are in a good bounce back spot here as they have won three of their last five home games with the two losses coming in overtime against the two Los Angeles teams. New York is still three games over .500 which has it in the No. 7 spot in the Eastern Conference. Utah is coming off a win last night in Toronto as an 8.5-point underdog which snapped a three-game losing streak and despite the victory, the Jazz have struggled on the road at 10-17. Overall, they have struggled against the Eastern Conference by going only 8-12-1 ATS and are in a tough back-to-back spot as they have won only once in five tries and the second of back-to-back road games. Utah is clinging onto the final playoff spot in the Western Conference as it is ahead of Oklahoma City by just one game in the last slot of the play-in tournament. 10* (510) New York Knicks |
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02-10-23 | Knicks v. 76ers -5 | Top | 108-119 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. The Sixers dropped their final two games of their recent three-game roadtrip and are back home in a very good spot to back in the win column and at a relatively short number. Philadelphia is remains in third place in the Eastern Conference, three games behind Milwaukee for second place and four games behind Boston. They have been decent on the road but at home they one of the best home court edges at 20-8 and will be out for some pay back following a loss at MSG on Sunday by 11 points. We won with the Knicks in their last game at Orlando and have won two in a row to get to four games over .500 and as mentioned, they have been better on the road as they are the only team in the NBA with a losing record at home and a winning record on the road. That is helping with this price but they only have one real solid road win of late at Boston last month and their last road win over a winning teams was way back on November 16 against Denver. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a loss of 10 points or more, playing only their 2nd game in five days. This situation is 63-38 ATS (62.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (556) Philadelphia 76ers |
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02-09-23 | Bucks v. Lakers +5.5 | Top | 115-106 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Now that the circus is over and Russell Westbrook is on the move, the Lakers can get back to trying to win some games as the last two have been centralized about LeBron breaking the scoring record. They lost to New Orleans, which came in on a 10-game losing streak and then fell to Oklahoma City in the record game now they welcome one of the top teams in the Eastern Conference. Los Angeles is now 13-13 at home as it has alternated wins and losses at home since mid-January and this is a great spot with a great line. Milwaukee has won eight straight games including three in a row on the road where it is just 14-12 as it has benefitted from its outstanding 23-5 home record. The Bucks rolled at Portland to open this three-game roadtrip and despite being 20 games over .500 overall, they are outscoring opponents by just 2.7 ppg which is just No. 7 in the league and they will be facing a finally fully focused team in a nearly unprecedented situation. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with a scoring differential of +/- 3 ppg, after scoring 125 points or more. This situation is 48-22 ATS (68.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (554) Los Angeles Lakers |
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02-08-23 | Warriors v. Blazers -3 | Top | 122-125 | Push | 0 | 23 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. We won with Golden St. in its last game as it rolled over Oklahoma City in its first game without Steph Curry and it was Klay Thompson who picked up the slack by scoring 42 points on 15-22 shooting including an incredible 12-16 from long range. The Warriors improved to 21-6 at home and now they hit the road again where they have lost two straight and on the season they are 7-20 which is tied for the third worst road record in the NBA and coming off that first game without Curry spells trouble. Portland has lost two straight games to fall two games under .500 but is still right in the playoff hunt as it is a half game out of the final spot in the play-in tournament behind Utah and is actually just two games out of the No. 8 spot so the Blazers are right there. The last defeat came against red hot Bucks at home where they are now 14-12 which is nothing spectacular but this is a good get right spot as they have gone 2-6 as a home underdog but 12-6 home favorites. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with a +/- 3 ppg scoring differential, after a loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 37-15 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (544) Portland Trail Blazers |
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02-07-23 | Bulls v. Grizzlies -7.5 | Top | 89-104 | Win | 100 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. After a 0-5 roadtrip, Memphis returned home to record a 12-point win over Indiana but has since lost three straight games including two rare home losses where it is now 21-5, still the second best home record in the Western Conference. We were on the Grizzlies in the last game against Toronto as they blew the cover late getting outscored by 11 points in the fourth quarter. It was a bit of a bad break as Ja Morant was a late scratch with a wrist injury and while he is questionable here, he should be ready by all indications. Chicago is coming off a win against San Antonio which was a close game until the Bulls doubled up the Spurs 38-19 in the final quarter for the easy cover. They now hit the road where they are 10-16 and are now in a tough back-to-back travel spot where they have gone 0-2 in the first two home to road instances this season. Chicago is just two games out of missing the playoffs altogether so while each game is big, this is an awful spot to snap its 1-4 run on the highway. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games. This situation is 94-47 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (524) Memphis Grizzlies |
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02-07-23 | Knicks -1.5 v. Magic | Top | 102-98 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. The Knicks are coming off a 2-2 split on their recent four-game homestand to remain three games over .500 and sit in the No. 7 spot in the Eastern Conference. While they have lost three of their last four games on the road, they are 15-11 on the highway and are still the only team in the NBA with a losing record at home and a winning record on the road. They have thrived in this spot so far this season as they are 6-2 straight up and against the number as road favorites. Orlando is coming off a very impressive four-game roadtrip where it went 3-1 including two straight wins as underdogs against Minnesota and Charlotte. We have been on this team a few times of late as the Magic have one of the best young rosters in the NBA but they are likely to miss the playoffs and have had a tough time putting significant winning streaks together of late as they have not won three straight games since mid-December, going 3-8 in their last 11 games following a win including 0-3 following two straight wins. Here, we play against home underdogs revenging a road loss of 10 points or more, off an upset win as a road underdog. This situation is 38-10 ATS (79.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (517) New York Knicks |
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02-06-23 | Thunder v. Warriors -4.5 | Top | 114-141 | Win | 100 | 16 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our Western Conference Game of the Month. Golden St. is coming off a win over Dallas which was without Luka Doncic but it came with a price. Steph Curry is out until after the All Star break with a knee injury and that is an auto fade for many. The numbers are adjusted however and his absence causes the lines to be overadjusted which is the case here as Golden St. was favored by five points three games ago at Oklahoma City and now they are laying less than that at home. While the Warriors are 17-25 without him in the lineup, 29 of those games were on the road and they are 8-5 in the 13 home games without him. They are 20-6 at home this season and the rest of the team steps up in first game of his absence. Oklahoma City is coming off a split with Houston in a home-and-home set to remain two games under .500 and the Thunder hit the road once again where they have struggled. They are 9-16 away from home yet to their credit, they have been very profitable but this is a unique spot where they are overinflated because of the Curry injury. There will no doubt be a lookahead as they could be part of history as thy face the Lakers tomorrow night in a game LeBron James can break the all-time scoring record. 10* (514) Golden St. Warriors |
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02-06-23 | Spurs +11 v. Bulls | Top | 104-128 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Hold your nose for this one as we are taking the points with the Spurs who are in an awful slump as they have lost eight straight games and failed to cover their last seven against the number. Only two of those losses were by more than 12 points so while saying they have been competitive is a stretch but the spreads are taking all of this into consideration and they are catching a big number here. San Antonio is back on the road following a four-game homestand and while they have struggled away from home, they are out of the Western Conference for a while as they have gone 5-30 straight up and 12-23 ATS within its conference but is 9-9 straight up and 11-7 ATS against the East. Chicago has no interest in getting up for this game following a pair of wins and a game at Memphis tomorrow night. The Bulls are 15-11 at home which is nothing special and this is the first time all season they are laying double digits. Just like the Spurs, they have done well in their own conference but are 5-12 straight up and ATS against the Western Conference and while this is against one of the dregs of the West, it is still significant especially against the number. 10* (509) San Antonio Spurs |
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02-05-23 | Raptors v. Grizzlies -4.5 | Top | 106-103 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Memphis responded from a 0-5 roadtrip with a blowout win over Indiana but has since dropped two straight games by double digits and this is another get right game to kick off a three-game homestand. The Grizzlies are 21-4 at home following that rare loss against Portland and they remain in second place in the Western Conference, 4.5 games behind Denver and 2.5 games ahead of Sacramento. The defense allowed 54 percent shooting against Cleveland last time out which was an anomaly as Memphis leads the league in defensive efficiency. Toronto snapped a two-game losing streak with a win at Houston which is not saying much and it closes out a seven-game roadtrip tonight after splitting the first six games. The split can be considered a success in some regards considering the Raptors are 9-18 on the road, one of only 10 teams in the league with single-digit road wins. The motivation level is in question with all of the rumor surrounding Toronto with the trade deadline upcoming. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games. This situation is 93-47 ATS (66.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (572) Memphis Grizzlies |
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02-04-23 | Hawks v. Nuggets -6 | Top | 108-128 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Saturday Supreme Annihilator. We played against Atlanta last night and not only did the Jazz not come close to covering, they led by points only once throughout the whole games but we will go against the Hawks again tonight in the second of a back-to-back where they are just 2-5 this season. Atlanta has won two straight games as an underdog after losing the opener of this five-game roadtrip at Portland on Monday and they are now a game under .500 on the highway this season. The Hawks continue to maintain the No. 8 spot in the Eastern Conference. Denver has won two straight games after a pair of losses at Milwaukee and Philadelphia and going back, it has won 12 of its last 15 games. The Nuggets have taken advantage of that as well as every other team in the Western Conference going through recent struggles as they have a four-game lead in the conference over Memphis and 6.5-game lead over Sacramento. They have dominated at home in the thin air which has been one of the best home court advantages over recent years and this season they are 24-4 at home which is the best home record in the NBA. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off two or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog. This situation is 58-22 ATS (72.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (566) Denver Nuggets |
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02-04-23 | Clippers -3.5 v. Knicks | Top | 134-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. The Clippers are coming off a tough loss on Thursday against Milwaukee as they lost by a point after blowing a 21-point second half lead. The starting five was abysmal as they shot just 40 percent from the floor and scored only 15 more points combined than Giannis Antetokounmpo put up by himself. Los Angeles still has been playing well as it has won six of its last eight games and is currently in the No. 5 spot in the Western Conference, one game behind Dallas for the last home court position. New York snapped a two-game slide with an outright win over Miami as it got the cash for us but is in a precarious spot with a game against rival Philadelphia tomorrow. They moved to a game under .500 at home and as mentioned on Thursday, they are under .500 at MSG and they are the only team in the NBA with a losing record at home and a winning record on the road. Part of that play was the fact that Miami has been overvalued all season while the Clippers have not been as they have taken care of business when they are supposed to as they have won 11 of 15 games on the season as road favorites. Here, we play against home underdogs after a close win by three points or less going up against an opponent after a loss by six points or less. This situation is 96-55 ATS (63.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (553) Los Angeles Clippers |
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02-03-23 | Hawks v. Jazz -1.5 | Top | 115-108 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our Nonconference Game of the Month. Atlanta has split the first two games of this current five-game roadtrip including a 32-point win at Phoenix on Wednesday and we are going against this side as well in a letdown spot where the line is affected by that blowout victory. The Hawks had won five straight games before a 1-4 stretch prior to the Suns win so they have been streaky and are the epitome average team. There was a recent Tweet that reflected this as they are 26-26, 17-17 against the East, 9-9 against the West with a 0-point scoring differential. They are two games under .500 on the road which is respectable and that also helps with the home line. Utah has won two straight games to move back over .500 and has gone 7-3 over its last 10 games and is now tied with Phoenix for the No. 7 spot in the Western Conference. It is part of a big group of eight teams within two games of each other between the No. 4 and No. 11 spots. This is where the home floor is very important as these marginal games are the ones they need to take especially this team as the Jazz are just 9-17 on the road while heading into tonight 18-9 at home. They have thrived as underdogs and while favored here, it is close to a pickem so a win likely means a cover. Here, we play on home teams with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 where the line is +3 to -3 after having won five or six of their last seven games. This situation is 59-25 ATS (70.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (548) Utah Jazz |
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02-03-23 | Suns +10 v. Celtics | Top | 106-94 | Win | 100 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Friday Ultimate Underdog. Phoenix was on a solid run but lost to Atlanta by 32 points on Wednesday in its final game before hitting the road for a five-game east coast swing. Phoenix remains without Devin Booker as he has not played a full game since December 17 and it took a while to adjust as the Suns went 3-12 in their first 15 games without him but they figured it out for a bit by going 6-1 over the next seven games before the Atlanta loss. The Suns have struggled on the road like a lot of teams with an 8-17 record and while they are 4-10 as a road underdog, they do possess a winning record against the number. Boston snapped a three-game losing streak with that controversial overtime win over the Lakers and followed that up with a 43-point win over Brooklyn on Wednesday in a game they never trailed and led by as many as 49 points. That game is going to sway bettors toward the Celtics tonight and while they are the best team in the Eastern Conference, this one is a bit too high even with no Booker. Boston leads the Eastern Conference by two games over Milwaukee and three games over Philadelphia and while it comes in 20-6 at home, this one should be tighter than what the line is dictating. Here, we play on road teams revenging a same season loss, off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (539) Phoenix Suns |
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02-02-23 | Hornets v. Bulls -6 | Top | 98-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS as part of our NBA Thursday Three Pack. Chicago is coming off a loss against the Clippers on Tuesday and after a rough opening to December, the Bulls have gone 12-8 over their last 20 games which is nothing spectacular but they were eight games under .500 prior to this current stretch. When Chicago wins, it tends to win by wide margins as of its 23 wins, 18 have come by more than what it is laying tonight and of the five marginal wins, two were against Milwaukee and two others against trams .500 or better. They remain home where they are two games over .500 and they are playing with revenge tonight as they lost in Charlotte by 15 points just one week ago as a three-point favorite and now back home, the line has not adjusted enough for the venue switch. Charlotte has been playing a little better as it has gone 4-3 in its last seven games with the last two victories coming at home where the Hornets have been slightly better. They are coming off a road cover at Milwaukee but were getting 11 points there where they have prospered, going 7-3-1 ATS when getting double digits. Here, we play on underdogs with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 coming off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 42-18 ATS (70 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (526) Chicago Bulls |
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02-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks +2 | Top | 104-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS as part of our NBA Thursday Three Pack. New York is coming a pair of losses against the Nets and Lakers while followed two very impressive wins over Cleveland and Boston and it has been this type of run of late as a 7-1 run has been followed up by a 2-6 stretch. This is the first of three straight home games against teams with a winning record so there will be value in their numbers and that is the case here. The Knicks have gone 1-3 over their last four home games to fall two games under .500 at MSG and they are the only team in the NBA with a losing record at home and a winning record on the road. While they have gone 1-8-1 ATS against losing teams at home, they are a much more respectable 6-5-1 ATS against winning teams here. Miami is coming off an upset win at Cleveland on Tuesday to open with a split of this four-game roadtrip. The Heat have prospered at home with a 17-9 record but are just 12-14 on the road and for some reason they have been overvalued all season long as they are 9-7 as underdogs but just 11-23-2 when favored and their overall spread winning percentage of 40 percent is second worst in the NBA. Here, we play on teams coming off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off a road win by three points or less. This situation is 38-16 ATS (70.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (524) New York Knicks |
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02-02-23 | Lakers v. Pacers +2.5 | Top | 112-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS as part of our NBA Thursday Three Pack. It has been a tough stretch for the Pacers as they went 1-10 without leading scorer and assist man point guard Tyrese Haliburton, but the team has had three full days off starting on Monday before playing Thursday in the first of three home games and he is expected to finally be back in the lineup tonight. Seven of those losses came on the road and the three losses at home were against current playoff situated teams and now they are getting the benefit of the line based on the recent stretch and not the current roster in hand. The Pacers are still a solid 16-10 at home and are still in the playoff mix as they are currently No. 10 and part of the play-in tournament and just three games out of the No. 7 spot. The Lakers bounced back from the temper tantrum game against Boston and a loss at Brooklyn with an overtime win over the Knicks on Tuesday and they remain two games out of the playoff standings in the Western Conference. They are now 11-16 on the road and while they have thrived against losing teams, this is not considered the typical losing team as it was down their best player for three weeks. Los Angeles will be overvalued nearly every night and that is no exception tonight. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an road win scoring 110 or more points, when playing their 3rd game in four days. This situation is 56-27 ATS (67.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (520) Indiana Pacers |
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02-01-23 | Warriors v. Wolves +3 | Top | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES as part of our NBA Wednesday Three Pack. Golden St. has won three straight games but two of those were at home and while it has improved on the road, the struggles are still there. The Warriors are 7-18 away from home and that is also reflected in the ATS numbers as they have been overpriced along the way with a 9-16 record against the number including 4-9 ATS as road favorites. This is no doubt a team with upside going forward as they have one of the best rosters in the league but are not there yet, especially on the road. Minnesota had its three-game winning streak snapped against Sacramento on Monday. The Timberwolves have been playing a lot better over the last month as they are 11-5 over their last 16 games and are currently sitting in the No. 8 spot in the Western Conference and are just a game and a half out of the No. 5 spot which is currently held by Golden St. so they can make a jump here with a victory. Minnesota is now 18-11 at home and has a significant home/road split edge here yet still comes in as the underdog. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 after having won five or six of their last seven games. This situation is 59-24 ATS (71.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (512) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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02-01-23 | Thunder -6 v. Rockets | Top | 106-112 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER as part of our NBA Wednesday Three Pack. Oklahoma City is coming off a loss against Golden St. to conclude a 1-2 homestand and it is in a great spot for a bounce back here. Oklahoma City is one of the surprises in the Western Conference and while it is currently on the outside looking in at the playoffs, it is a fine line as the Thunder are within a group of seven teams within three games between the No. 5 and No. 11 spots. They started the season average but the young roster is playing with a ton of confidence now as they have won 13 of their last 21 games and having done so without the services of overall No. 2 pick Chet Holmgren. Houston has won 12 games this season and possesses the worst record in the NBA but one of those victories came at Detroit last time out and winning consecutive games has been an issue as the Rockets are 2-9 in their previous 11 games following a win. Their 7-17 home record is not going intimidate many teams. This is a revenge spot for the Thunder as they lost here back in late November but were in a tough travel spot, coming off a win against Chicago the previous night. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a loss, off a home loss. This situation is 126-76 ATS (62.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (513) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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01-31-23 | Clippers -2.5 v. Bulls | Top | 108-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. The Clippers continue their six-game east coast roadtrip after splitting the first two games, opening with a win in Atlanta and then losing Sunday at Cleveland by 23 points to move back to .500 on the road at 14-14. That was a game they rested both Kawhi Leonard and Paul George, both were pronounced out with knee injuries, yet it was a likely case of the ridiculous load management conveniently in the second game of a back-to-back but both will be back in action tonight. Los Angeles is now three games over .500 and in the No. 4 spot in the Western Conference, two games behind Sacramento for third place. Chicago won the final game of its three-game roadtrip over Orlando after dropping the first two games against Indiana and Charlotte. The Bulls are now three games under .500 and are hanging onto the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, a game and a half ahead of Indiana. Chicago has been a lot better at home but at 13-10, it possesses the sixth worst home record in the conference so there is hardly anything daunting about its home floor. The Bulls can make a move after this with the final three games of this homestand against three losing teams and this is not a good spot as they are 4-11 straight up and ATS against the Western Conference. Here, we play on road favorites off a road loss by 10 points or more going up against an opponent off an road win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 40-13 ATS (75.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (575) Los Angeles Clippers |
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01-30-23 | Kings v. Wolves | Top | 118-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. The Western Conference playoff picture has taken on a brand new look this season and the biggest surprise through the first have of the season has to be Sacramento. The Kings are 27-21 despite losing their last two games and are currently in the No. 3 spot in the conference, trailing No. 2 Memphis by four games but ahead of the No. 4 Clippers by 2.5 games so they have a good hold on at least the top four at this point. They have embraced the new NBA that has moved to offense as the Kings remain the No. 1 scoring offense in the league with 119.5 ppg and it is not just about chucking as they are No. 3 in shooting which has led them to the No. 1 team in efficiency, not bad for a team that finished No. 25 in that category last season. Minnesota has been playing well with three straight wins and victories in five of their last six games and the Timberwolves have crept into the playoff mix as they are currently the No. 5 seed in the conference. The latest win was a victory over Sacramento on Saturday as they benefitted from a poor shooting night from Sacramento from long range and not because of good defense as the Timberwolves are No. 25 on the season in three-point shooting defense. Minnesota is a very solid 18-10 at home yet come in with the same line as Saturday which tells a lot right there. Here, we play on road teams revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite. This situation is 40-18 ATS (69 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (557) Sacramento Kings |
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01-30-23 | Warriors v. Thunder +4.5 | Top | 128-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Monday Ultimate Underdog. Oklahoma City is another surprise in the Western Conference and while it is currently on the outside looking in at the playoffs, it is a fine line as the Thunder are within a group of eight teams within two games between the No. 4 and No. 11 spots. They started the season average but the young roster is playing with a ton of confidence now as they have won 13 of their last 20 games and having done so without the services of overall No. 2 pick Chet Holmgren. Oklahoma City is 15-10 at home and is a significant underdog here not because it really should be but because of who it is playing as this number is based on name as they are two points behind Golden St. in the latest power rankings and that is based on a neutral floor. Golden St. has won two straight games but both of those were at home and while it has improved on the road, the struggles are still there. The Warriors are 6-18 away from home and that is also reflected in the ATS numbers as they have been overpriced along the way with an 8-16 record against the number including 3-9 ATS as road favorites. This is no doubt a team with upside going forward as they have one of the best rosters in the league but are not there yet, especially on the road where teams play the hunter against the reigning champions. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after having won five or six of their last seven games, with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 on the season. This situation is 28-8 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (562) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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01-29-23 | Pacers v. Grizzlies -9.5 | Top | 100-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Memphis is back home following a dreadful roadtrip where it went 0-5 with three of those losses coming by double-digits. The Grizzlies remain in second place in the Western Conference, 2.5 games behind Denver and are still 3.5 games clear of Sacramento for third place. Five of the next six games are at home where Memphis is 20-3, the best home record in the NBA and of those 20 wins, 13 have come by double-digits so clearing a big number against a bad team that is struggling is not an issue. Memphis is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games coming off a road loss by 10 points or more. Indiana snapped a seven-game losing streak with a six-point win at home against Chicago last Tuesday but has dropped two straight and now the Pacers hit the road where they are 8-17. They were one of the top ATS teams in the league at 25-15 but have gone just 2-8-1 ATS over their last 11 games and there is a big reason for the recent slump. The recent poor stretch for the Pacers has coincided with the absence of point guard Tyrese Haliburton as he was injured in the first loss of that losing streak against the Knicks. He is the leading scorer with 20.2 ppg and leads the team in assists at 10.2 apg. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points shooting 46 percent or better on the season, after three straight games allowing 47 percent or higher shooting. This situation is 70-36 ATS (66 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (548) Memphis Grizzlies |
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01-28-23 | Wizards v. Pelicans -4 | Top | 113-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. New Orleans has lost six straight games to fall to No. 4 in the Western Conference after making a run toward the top as injuries really have hot hard but there is light at the end of the tunnel. Zion Williamson remains out for a little while longer but the Pelicans welcomed back Brandon Ingram on Wednesday after missing two months of action. He was clearly rusty as he went 4-18 from the floor including 0-6 from long range so we can expect a much better performance tonight. New Orleans is 17-8 at home on the season despite losing four straight dating back to early January and the Pelicans are ready to bounce back tonight following two days off. Washington has won four straight games which includes three road victories but the Wizards are still 10-16 on the highway. The winning streak has vaulted Washington to a tie for the final playoff spot with Chicago for the play-in tournament but it still has a long way to go. The Wizards have been a top ten team on both ends of the floor as far as shooting percentage goes but that has not translated into efficiency as they are No. 20 offensively and No. 16 defensively. Overall, they are No. 23 in scoring margin while facing the No. 8 team in scoring margin despite recent skid for New Orleans. 10* (534) New Orleans Pelicans |
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01-27-23 | Grizzlies -2.5 v. Wolves | Top | 100-111 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Friday Enforcer. The lack of road success for Memphis is evident as it is now 11-14 on the highway following four straight losses on this current five-game roadtrip. The Grizzlies did play one of those games without Ja Morant but he did return Wednesday in a tough two-point loss at Golden St. where they were outscored by eight points in the fourth quarter. Despite the recent skid, they remain in second place in the Western Conference, 2.5 games behind Denver and are still 3.5 games clear of Sacramento for third place. Memphis is 9-0 ATS in its last nine games after having lost four or five of their last six games. Minnesota has been playing well as it has gone 9-4 over its last 13 games including an upset win at New Orleans on Wednesday. The Timberwolves have been solid at home with a 16-10 record and they are currently No. 9 in the Western Conference which has them in the play-in tournament. They remain without Karl-Anthony Towns who has been sidelined since late November and while it took a while to adjust, they have figured it out of late but are in a very tough spot here. The Timberwolves are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points going up against an opponent off an upset win as an underdog. This situation is 122-75 ATS (61.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (515) Memphis Grizzlies |
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01-26-23 | Knicks v. Celtics -9 | Top | 120-117 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Thursday Star Attraction. Boston had won nine straight games before heading to Orlando and Miami for a pair of back-to-back games and the Florida narrative, be it true or not, hit Boston as it lost both games and has now failed to cover four straight games which could add some value to this number. The Celtics are back home where they are 18-5 that includes seven straight wins and getting back into the win column against a bitter rival would make it even better. Boston is still in first place in the Eastern Conference as it leads Philadelphia by three games. The Knicks snapped a four-game losing streak with a home win over Cleveland as a small underdog and heads to a bad place to start a winning streak. New York has been better on the road than at home and they are the only team in the NBA that has a losing record at home and a winning record on the road. This is a total aberration and will eventually come back to the median and most of the success has come against the weaker teams as it is just 1-3-1 ATS as an underdog of five or more points. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season after two or more consecutive unders, with a scoring differential of +3 to +7 going up against teams with a scoring differential of +/- 3. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (504) Boston Celtics |
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01-25-23 | Pacers v. Magic -4.5 | Top | 120-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. It has been an up and down stretch for Orlando but this is one of the best young rosters in the league and after opening the season 5-20 with the majority of starters injured, the Magic have gone 13-9 over their last 22 games with everyone of significance all healthy. They are coming off a momentum starting win over Boston on Monday by 15 points and they remain home where they are 12-12 compared to going 6-17 on the road. Orlando has gone 17-6 over its last 23 games against the number. This is a double-revenge spot for Orlando as it lost the two previous meetings in Indiana, the latter coming by 21 points. Indiana snapped a seven-game losing streak with a six-point win at home against Chicago last night and now the Pacers hit the road where they are 8-16. They were one of the top ATS teams in the league at 25-15 but have gone just 1-6-1 ATS over their last eight games and there is a big reason for the recent slump. The recent poor stretch for the Pacers has coincided with the absence of point guard Tyrese Haliburton as he was injured in the first loss of that losing streak against the Knicks. He is the leading scorer with 20.2 ppg and leads the team in assists at 10.2 apg. 10* (558) Orlando Magic |
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01-24-23 | Wizards v. Mavs -7 | Top | 127-126 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. Dallas is coming off a loss against the Clippers and has lost six of its last eight games which has put it two games over .500, good for the No. 5 spot in the Western Conference. Four of those losses came on the road where the Mavericks are 8-15 and while the most recent loss came at home, they are 17-8 in Dallas. Despite the home success, Dallas is laying a shorter than expected number and a lot of this is due to its 16-29-3 ATS record which is the worst in the NBA based on percentage. Washington is coming off a pair of double-digit wins over New York and Orlando which followed a two-game skid. The win over the Knicks was on the road but the Wizards are just 8-16 away from home and six of their last seven road losses have come by more than what they are getting tonight. Washington is well down in the Eastern Conference standings as it sits in the No. 12 spot, three games out of the final playoff spot for the play-in tournament for sees No.7-No. 10. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in non-conference games, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. This situation is 26-8 ATS (76.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (552) Dallas Mavericks |
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01-23-23 | Hornets v. Jazz -7.5 | Top | 102-120 | Win | 100 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Utah had its two-game winning streak snapped with an 11-point home loss against Brooklyn on Friday and is in a great bounce back spot here. The Jazz are now in the No. 9 spot in the Western Conference but are just three games out of the No. 4 spot so there is ample space to move up. This is the third game of a stretch of eight of nine games taking place at home and this is where space can be made up as the Jazz are 15-9 at home and they are 3-1 in their four games at home directly coming off a home loss. They have a good matchup here with the No. 4 ranked scoring offense facing one pf the worst defenses in the NBA. The Jazz are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. Charlotte has won two straight games, both on the road, including a win at Atlanta on Saturday at a similar number. Consecutive wins have been rare this season as the Hornets have won two games in a row only twice and overall, they are just 2-10 following a win while covering only three of those 12 games. Despite the two recent road wins, they are just 8-18 on the highway including a 5-17 record as an underdog and the win over Houston in the previous road game had them listed as favorites. LaMelo Ball is questionable once again and is in jeopardy of missing his second straight game with ankle and wrist injuries. Charlotte is 9-23 ATS in its last 32 games after two straight wins by six points or less. Here, we play on favorites off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. This situation is 82-46 ATS (64.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (538) Utah Jazz |
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01-22-23 | Lakers v. Blazers -5 | Top | 121-112 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Portland is in a tailspin as it has lost two straight games and seven of its last nine to fall three games under .500. The last loss was at home against Philadelphia to snap a two-game winning streak on their home floor where they are now 11-9 on the season. There is work to be done in the Western Conference where they are 2.5 games out of the final playoff spot and this is the second game of a six-game homestand with the Sixers being the most elite opponent of the bunch. The Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. The Lakers are coming off an upset win at home against Memphis to snap the Grizzlies 11-game winning streak but now they hit the road where they are 9-14 on the season. Los Angeles is a half-game behind Portland in the conference and this is a tough spot following a five-game homestand with this the first home game since January 9. The Lakers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with a +/- 3 ppg scoring differential, after a loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 36-11 ATS (76.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (528) Portland Trail Blazers |
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01-20-23 | Heat v. Mavs +1 | Top | 90-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Dallas has lost three straight games and five of its last six which has put it two games over .500, good for the No. 5 spot in the Western Conference. Four of those losses came on the road where the Mavericks are 8-15 and while the most recent loss came at home against Atlanta, they are 16-7 in Dallas. Despite the home success, Dallas is a home underdog for just the fourth time this season and a lot of this is due to its 15-28-3 ATS record which is the worst in the NBA. Miami has won four of its last five games including a win at short-handed New Orleans last time out on Wednesday. The other three wins were all at home and the Heat come in 11-12 on the road which is not horrible but this is a tough opponent in a desperate spot. Miami is tied for No. 6 in the Eastern Conference but that is well out as it is 10 games out of first place and four games out of the final home court edge. They have also struggled against the number as they have the fourth worst ATS percentage in the league and they are only 7-16-1 ATS coming off a win. Here, we play on teams failing to cover six or seven of their last eight games against the spread, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 132-84 ATS (61.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (562) Dallas Mavericks |
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01-18-23 | Pacers +4.5 v. Thunder | Top | 106-126 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. We are going contrarian here as Indiana comes into Wednesday on a four-game losing streak but all of those losses came against teams with .500 or better records and it has been a tough schedule of late. 16 of their last 20 games have come against teams .500 or better where the Pacers have gone 6-10 but in the four games against teams with a losing record, they are a perfect 4-0. Indiana has not been good on the road with an 8-13 record but that damage has been against the better teams as they come in 5-1 ATS on the highway against teams with a losing record. Oklahoma City has been on a roll as it has won three straight games, all on the road as an underdog, and has now covered six straight games. The Thunder were underdogs in five of those games and the lone time they were a favorite was against Dallas which was without Luka Doncic in that one. The Thunder are a respectable 13-9 at home and while they are a perfect 6-0 ATS against losing teams, they are just 5-8 ATS against teams with a winning record. These teams are nearly identical on both sides of the ball and that favors the underdog. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points averaging 114 or more ppg on the season, after allowing 120 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 29-17 ATS (63 percent) since 1996. 10* (537) Indiana Pacers |
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01-17-23 | 76ers v. Clippers +1.5 | Top | 120-110 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. The Clippers have won two of their last three games following a six-game losing streak and are back to a game over .500 which puts them at No. 6 in the Western Conference. Four of those recent losses came on the road and they remain home where they are 13-10 and this is the final home game before a stretch of 10 of the next 11 games taking place on the road. Kawhi Leonard missed a couple games to start the new year and after being limited in his first game back, he has caught fire by averaging 29 ppg over his last four games to go along with 7.5 rpg and 4.0 apg. The Sixers have been playing exceptional with 15 wins over their last 19 games and have moved to No. 4 in the Eastern Conference but remain six games behind first place Boston. They have opened 2-0 on this current five-game roadtrip but both of those wins came by one point each and on the season, Philadelphia is just 10-9 on the highway compared to 17-7 at home. The Sixers are ranked outside the top ten in both offensive and defensive shooting percentage and while they have gone 9-2 ATS at home against winning teams, they are just 3-5 ATS on the road. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an road win scoring 110 or more points, when playing their 3rd game in four days. This situation is 53-26 ATS (67.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (526) Los Angeles Clippers |
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01-15-23 | Thunder v. Nets -5 | Top | 112-102 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Brooklyn was on a roll as it had won 18 of 20 games and then the bad news came with Kevin Durant getting hurt who is now out of the line up for at least a month. The first game without him did not go well as the Nets lost at home to the Celtics by 11 points on Thursday and are now 3.5 games behind Boston in the Eastern Conference. This is a pivotal home game as they head out on a five-game roadtrip following this one and while they have played well on the road, taking care of the home floor against the non-elite teams is paramount. The Nets are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a losing straight up record. Oklahoma City has won two straight games, both as an underdog, as it defeated Philadelphia and Chicago to make it four wins over its last five games. The Thunder have climbed back to three games under .500 which puts them in the No. 12 spot in the Western Conference, three and a half games out of the final playoff spot. Despite the two recent wins, the Thunder are only 7-14 on the road and while they are a very potent 11=4 ATS on the road against teams above .500, six of those covers have been while getting double digits where they are a percent 6-0 ATS on the season. Oklahoma City is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games after having won four or five of their last six games. Here, we play against underdogs coming off an upset win as an underdog going up against an opponent off a home loss. This situation is 136-86 ATS (61.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (568) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-14-23 | Mavs v. Blazers -1.5 | Top | 119-136 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. We played against Portland on Thursday as it lost to Cleveland for its fifth straight loss to fall three games under .500 and after sitting around the bottom of the Western Conference playoff standings, the Blazers are now 3.5 games out of the final playoff spot. They failed to cover any of those five games as well and now they come in as a favorite despite this run which is an indication that Damian Lillard could get back on the floor tonight. The last two losses came at home where Portland is now 9-8 on the season. The Mavericks opened this current five-game roadtrip with a pair of losses against the Thunder and the Clippers but bounced back with a win at the Lakers on Thursday but that took overtime and now it heads to Portland for a pair of back-to-back games to conclude the trek. Dallas is 8-13 on the road while going 7-14 against the number and this includes a 3-9 ATS nark on the road against teams with a losing record. The offense has been the issue and they are also one of the worst free throw shooting teams in the league. Here, we play on favorites revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a home loss. This situation is 206-140 ATS (59.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (560) Portland Trail Blazers |
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01-13-23 | Warriors -8 v. Spurs | Top | 144-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. We are going against the grain here with one of the worst road teams in the league but the situation sets up ideally. The eight-game homestand started great for the Warriors as they won the first five games but it ended with a flop as they lost the last three game which included a pair of bad losses against Detroit and Orlando. They are back to full strength as Steph Curry is back in the lineup after missing close to a month of action and he showed some rust in his first game back against Phoenix. The offense remains one of the best in the league and Golden St. has a great matchup against a horrible defense that is last in the league in points allowing, shooting percentage allowed and three-point shooting percentage allowed. The Spurs have lost three straight games but they have been competitive with five straight covers while getting the cash in seven of their last eight games but there were only two outright wins over that eight-game stretch. They are 8-14 at home which is not horrible for one of the worst teams in the league but they are in a very bad situation here against a team out to prove something and ready for another big run. San Antonio has an offense that is better than its defense but it is still bottom half of the league whose leading scorers are Keldon Johnson and Devin Vassell. Here, we play on road favorites (coming off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite. This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (535) Golden St. Warriors |
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01-12-23 | Cavs -2.5 v. Blazers | Top | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. We played against Cleveland on Tuesday as it lost in Utah by a bucket to fall to 1-2 on this current five-game roadtrip but we are backing them here in a good bounce back spot. The Cavaliers are now in the No. 5 spot in the Eastern Conference, five games behind Boston and is just a game out of the No. 4 spot where they can take advantage of their excellent home court advantage. They have struggled on the road but when coming off a loss, Cleveland is riding a 60 percent winning clip and bring in the best defense in the NBA going up against a potentially banged up team as Damian Lillard is questionable with an ankle injury. Additionally, they get Ricky Rubio back in the lineup so his season debut. Portland has lost four straight games to fall two games under .500 including a bad home loss against Orlando last time out. The Blazers are now 3.5 games out of the final playoff position in the Western Conference. They had won four straight home games prior to the Orlando loss but those were all against losing teams and have won only two of five games as a home underdog. The Blazers are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games playing on one day of rest. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off a road loss. This situation is 32-12 ATS (72.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (527) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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01-10-23 | Cavs v. Jazz +3.5 | Top | 114-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Utah has run into a lull as it has dropped two straight and seven of its last eight games to fall three games under .500 on the season and the Jazz are now three games out of the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Five of those seven losses came on the road and while the other two were at home, they were by a combined five points. This is the start of a stretch of six of the next seven games at home where they are 12-7 and outscoring opponents by close to five ppg. The Jazz are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Cleveland has bounced back from a three-game losing skid with wins in three of its last four games including a win at depleted Phoenix last time out. The Cavaliers own one of the best home records in the NBA as they are 18-4 but are just 8-11 on the road while covering only six of those games. Cleveland has been the pleasant surprise in the Eastern Conference as it is just three games out of first place but has struggled with consistent covers as it has gone 1-6 in its last seven games following a spread win. The Cavaliers are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play on underdogs averaging between 114 and 118 ppg and after allowing 120 points or more in two straight games going up against teams averaging between 108 and 114 ppg. This situation is 32-13 ATS (71.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (570) Utah Jazz |
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01-09-23 | Bucks -1 v. Knicks | Top | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
This is a ply on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Milwaukee is coming off an awful loss against Charlotte on Saturday as it lost by 29 points in a game that was basically over after the first 12 minutes as Charlotte scored 51 first-quarter points which tied the NBA record for most points in an opening quarter. Giannis Antetokounmpo was held to just nine points which was a season low so we can expect a bounce back from him here. The Bucks are now in third place in the Eastern Conference, two and a half games behind Boston, after their recent 3-6 nine-game run and this is the start of a four-game roadtrip where they are 9-9 on the season. The Bucks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss. The Knicks are in the midst of another streak as they have won four straight games which followed a four-game losing skid coming after an eight-game winning streak. The recent run includes two straight wins at home with the last real quality win coming against Cleveland back in early December. They are 4-11 against teams ranked within the top 10 which is tied for the third fewest wins against the top ten among teams ranked in the top 20. New York is 9-22 ATS in its last 31 home games when playing against a team with a winning record. Here, we play on favorites coming off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. This situation is 81-46 ATS (63.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (553) Milwaukee Bucks |
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01-08-23 | Hawks v. Clippers -3.5 | Top | 112-108 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. The Clippers have lost five straight games and now sit just one game over .500 which is good for No. 6 in the Western Conference. Four of those losses were on the road and they are back home where they are 11-8 and catching a short number. The defense remains the strength as Los Angeles is No. 4 in points allowed and No. 6 in opponent shooting percentage and the numbers increase significantly on its home floor where it allows 104.9 ppg compared to 114.7 ppg on the road. The Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against teams with a losing straight up record. Atlanta is coming off a loss to the Lakers on Friday and have dropped five of its last six games to fall three games under .500 and it currently on the outside looking in on the playoffs in the Eastern Conference, two and a half games out of the final playoff spot. The Hawks have an identical 11-8 home record but they have struggled on the road where they are 7-13 which also matches their record against the number. They have played an overall weak schedule and come in with a 7-12 record against teams ranked within the top 16. The Hawks are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Here, we play against road underdogs with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (550) Los Angeles Clippers |
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01-07-23 | Magic v. Warriors -6.5 | Top | 115-101 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. The Warriors are coming off a bad home loss against Detroit on Wednesday and while the absence of Steph Curry is a huge one, it had not deterred them recently previous to that game. Golden St. had won five straight games prior to that which included victories over Memphis, Portland and Utah and now it catches its second straight home game against one of the worst teams from the Eastern Conference. The Warriors have been the epitome of home court matters as the host is 33-6 in its 39 games this season and you have to go back a long way to find a defending NBA champion that has started the season 3-16 on the road which includes a one point loss at Orlando earlier in the season. The Magic put together a solid 8-1 run in December but have lost four of their last five games and this is their first game outside the central time zone since November 1 when they played a pair of games at Dallas and Oklahoma City. Orlando starts a five-game west coast swing here where it comes in 4-13 away from home and hits the wrong place at the wrong time to start it off. The defense remains the liability where they are bottom tier and have allowed 121.4 ppg over their last five games. Here, we play on teams revenging a straight up loss as a favorite of seven points or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite. This situation is 47-18 ATS (72.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (530) Golden St. Warriors |
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01-06-23 | Pistons v. Spurs -1 | Top | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Friday Supreme Annihilator. The Spurs have lost three straight games, the last two on the road against the Nets and Knicks and are back home in a rare spot. There have not been many winnable games for San Antonio this season as this is just the second time all season it has been favored which resulted in a win and cover and the Spurs have had success of late as they are 4-0 in their last four games when getting five or fewer points so they have fared well in the marginal games as well. The Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Detroit is coming off a win over Golden St. on Wednesday and it has alternated wins and losses over its last six games and this has been a common theme this season. Detroit has not been able to put together consecutive solid efforts this season as it is 2-16 this season following a cover in its previous game while winning just one of 10 games following an outright victory. The Pistons have had to deal with the season ending injury to Cade Cunningham and now they are without Marvin Bagley III for at least a month and a half. The Pistons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing straight up record. Here, we play on teams allowing a shooting percentage of 50 percent or higher, averaging 48 or fewer rpg on the season. This situation is 41-20 ATS (67.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (510) San Antonio Spurs |
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01-06-23 | Nets -4 v. Pelicans | Top | 108-102 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Brooklyn had its 12-game winning streak snapped with a loss at Chicago on Wednesday and looks to regroup against a shorthanded Pelicans team. The Nets are now tied with Milwaukee for second place in the Eastern Conference, a game and a half behind Boston and the majority of this recent success has come on the road. Brooklyn has won seven of its last eight games on the highway after a 5-7 start while the offense has really picked it up as the Nets are averaging 123.2 ppg over their last 13 games. Brooklyn is 24-9 ATS in its last 33 road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread. New Orleans snapped a two-game losing streak with a win over the Rockets on Wednesday and the Pelicans have won five of its last seven games to remain in third place in the Western Conference, one game behind first place Denver and Memphis. They improved to 17-4 at home which is the third best home record in the NBA from a percentage standpoint but this is not the spot to add to it. New Orleans is without Zion Williamson for a few weeks and while the Pelicans brought it together in the first game he missed, that usually tends to happen in the first game a star is out and on top of that, it was against Houston. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off an upset loss as a favorite going up against an opponent off a home win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 58-25 ATS (69.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (513) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-05-23 | Celtics -2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 124-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Nonconference Game of the Month. Boston is coming off its worst loss of the season, and by a lot, as it lost in Oklahoma City by 33 points on Tuesday which was its second straight loss and it has been a bit of a rough stretch going back as the Celtics are 5-7 over their last 12 games. After allowing close to 60 percent shooting from the floor against the Thunder, Boston now sits just one game ahead of Milwaukee and Brooklyn for first place in the Eastern Conference and will look to close out this roadtrip 2-2 with a game at San Antonio on Saturday to conclude the trek. The defense overall has not been great but after allowing 48 percent or higher shooting in six of its last six games, Boston will put the pressure on tonight. Dallas has won seven straight games and is turning the corner after a slow start where it hovered right around .500 for most of the season. The Mavericks are six games over .500 and have moved into the No. 4 spot in the Western Conference, just two and a half games behind Denver and Memphis for first place. Luka Doncic has taken over as he has averaged 41.7 ppg during this winning streak including three 50-point or higher games and his 34.3 pp are nearly double of the Mavericks second leading scorer so it is clear who Boston has to key on. Here, we play on road favorites off a road loss by 10 points or more going up against an opponent off an road win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 39-13 ATS (75 percent) since 1996. 10* (579) Boston Celtics |
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01-04-23 | Nets v. Bulls +5 | Top | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Brooklyn is the hottest team in the NBA as it has won 12 straight games and 16 of its last 17 after a slow start to the season to improve to 25-12. That run, along with some recent struggled by Milwaukee and Boston, have put the Nets into the No. 2 spot in the Eastern Conference, a half-game behind the Celtics and one game ahead of the Bucks. This does include seven straight wins on the road after a 5-7 start but roll into a tough spot here and are favored by nearly the same number they were favored by two games ago against Charlotte, which is six games worse than the Bulls. Chicago is coming off a brutal loss against Cleveland in overtime where it blew a 21-point lead, allowed a game-tying bucket at the end of regulation and was outscored 15-4 in the extra five minutes. The story was Donovan Mitchell and his 71 points and 11 assists which outshined a strong performance from DeMar DeRozan who put up 44 points in the losing effort and has averaged 29.6 ppg over his last nine games. That made it two straight losses for the Bulls which came after a 5-1 run and they look to regroup at home where they are just 9-9 but have been solid in this situation overall, going 7-2 ATS as underdogs of five or more points. Here, we play against road teams covering eight or more of their last 10 games and playing six or less games in 14 days. This situation is 42-18 ATS (70 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (566) Chicago Bulls |
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01-04-23 | Thunder v. Magic -1.5 | Top | 115-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. Orlando has lost three straight games all in blowout fashion but two of those had different circumstances as the loss in Detroit was overshadowed by a brawl that saw players get ejected and they were shorthanded in the last game against Washington. The Magic are getting seven players back that missed the game against the Wizards and are in a good situation to stop the three-game slide. Prior to that, Orlando was on an 8-2 run which was its best stretch of the season and it is now 5-2 in its last seven home games to move to 9-11 overall at home. Oklahoma City snapped a two-game losing streak with a 33-point win over Boston last night as a big second quarter put the game out of reach early. The Thunder are now 11-9 at home but hit the road where they are 5-12 and while they have a winning record against the number, most of those covers have come as big underdogs. They have played eight games against teams with a losing record compared to 25 games against winning teams so the schedule has been brutal but while they are 5-0 ATS at home against losing teams, they are 0-3 ATS on the highway. Oklahoma City is 1-3 in the second of back-to-back games this season. Here, we play against underdogs off an upset win as an underdog going up against an opponent off a home loss. This situation is 135-85 ATS (61.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (558) Orlando Magic |
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01-03-23 | Kings v. Jazz -2.5 | Top | 117-115 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Utah has dropped four straight games to fall a game under .500 and it has fallen completely out of the Western Conference playoff standings, sitting a game and a half behind Phoenix and Golden St. for eighth and ninth place. The Jazz lost three of those on the road and after the most recent loss against Miami at home, they are now 12-6 at home and close a two-game homestand before hitting the road for three more games. The offense has been the strength overall as they are No. 4 in scoring with 117.3 ppg and that increases to 121.5 ppg at home. Utah is 15-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Sacramento had its two-game winning streak snapped with a 10-point loss at Memphis on Sunday. The Kings fell to 8-9 on the road and sitting four games over .500, they are No. 5 in the Western Conference, four games out of first place. It has been a surprisingly good season thanks to a potent scoring offense that is averaging 118 ppg and it is a reverse split like that of Utah as the scoring offense drops to 113.4 ppg on the road. The Kings are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play on favorites revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a home loss. This situation is 204-136 ATS (60 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (552) Utah Jazz |
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12-31-22 | Cavs -2.5 v. Bulls | Top | 103-102 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Cleveland is coming off its third straight loss on Thursday as it fell to Indiana by nine points as a short favorite. The Cavaliers are No. 4 in the Eastern Conference, four games behind Boston and are in the midst of a nine-game stretch where seven of those games are on the road with this being the first game of a home-and-home with Chicago. The defense is coming off its fourth worst performance of the season as it allowed 126 points, the most it has given up since November 18, a span of 22 games and seeing that the Cavaliers possess the best scoring defense in the league, they will be out for some retribution. Cleveland is 13-5 against teams ranked outside the top 16. Chicago has won two straight games and five of its last six following a four-game slide to get back to three games under .500. The Bulls are one of six teams within two and a half games of each other vying for the final three playoff spots in the conference and they remain home where they are just one game over .500. In their last game against Detroit, the Bulls shot 57.6 percent from the floor which is just the tenth time they have eclipsed 50 percent shooting and they have gone 3-6 in the previous nine follow up games. Here, we play on road favorites off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite going up against an opponent off a home win. This situation is 51-22 ATS (69.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (509) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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12-30-22 | Heat v. Nuggets -4 | Top | 119-124 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. We played against Denver on Wednesday and caught a big fourth quarter rally from the Kings as the Nuggets lost by a point, squandering a 19-point lead in the process. They have been one of the better teams in the league coming off a defeat as they are 8-3 following a loss and look to get it back following an 8-1 run previous to that Sacramento loss. Denver is back home where it is 12-3 including six straight wins and after short stint in first place in the Western Conference, the Nuggets are now tied with New Orleans for the top spot, one game up on Memphis. This is a good matchup at home where they can dictate the pace of the game and controlling that is the key. Miami is coming off a win over the Lakers on Wednesday which was its second straight victory to get back over .500 on the season and this is the start of a five-game roadtrip looking to better its most recent trip on the highway where it went 4-0 but those were against some pretty below average competition. The Heat are 7-9 on the road overall which includes a 2-5 record against teams with a winning record and yet they continue to be overpriced. Miami has been favored in 10 of its last 11 games and while it comes in as an underdog here, it is a short price and this line has already dipped by a bucket despite the Heat having the worst ATS record in the NBA at 12-22-1. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points shooting 46 percent or better on the season, after three straight games allowing 47 percent or higher shooting. This situation is 62-30 ATS (67.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (576) Denver Nuggets |
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12-29-22 | Knicks -4.5 v. Spurs | Top | 115-122 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. The Knicks were rolling along with eight straight wins but have since lost four in a row including an improbable loss against Dallas in overtime on Tuesday. Going into that game, teams that led by nine or more points with 35 or fewer seconds remaining were 13,884-0 but that record is now 13,884-1 as the Knicks blew it and had to watch Luka Doncic score a career-high 60 points and grab a career-high 21 rebounds to go with 10 assists in the 126-121 loss. The Knicks have to get up off the floor and not only bounce back from that but get rid of this losing streak that has seen them drop down to a tie for the No. 6 spot in the Eastern Conference yet are just one game out of ninth place in the jumbled bottom half of the conference. It was another instance where the Knicks could not get past one of the top teams in the NBA as they are now 3-11 against the top ten which is the third most losses in the league against the top ten but they are 15-6 against the rest of the league. New York is 10-7 on the road and it is a perfect 3-0 straight up and ATS when favored on the highway. The Spurs were in a tailspin with a 1-16 run but then won three in a row before its recent 2-5 slide including a 16-point loss at Oklahoma City on Tuesday. The Spurs did win their most recent home game against Utah as they had their second best defensive performance of the season by allowing just 40.2 percent shooting but they still have the worst defense in the league, allowing 50.4 percent shooting and could not catch the Knicks at a worst time. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after a game where they failed to cover the spread going up against an opponent after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. This situation is 42-17 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (559) New York Knicks |
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12-28-22 | Nuggets v. Kings +3 | Top | 126-127 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Sacramento will be out for some immediate revenge following a seven-point loss to Denver last night as it blew a 20-point lead and was outscored 34-23 in the fourth quarter. It was the second straight loss for the Kings as they fell to 17-15 and they remain in the No. 7 spot in the Western Conference. Sacramento is now 9-7 at home which includes just a 1-3 start on this current six-game homestand and this is an important time to turn things around as they are in a stretch of 15 of 19 games taking place at home. Sacramento is ranked No. 3 in total offense and No. 4 in shooting offense and is coming off its lowest point total over its last six games despite shooting a solid 48.8 percent from the floor. The Kings have covered three of four games this season when playing on back-to-back nights and this is the first instance of a home-and-home in consecutive nights. Denver has won five straight games and eight of its last nine to maintain a one game lead over New Orleans for first place in the Western Conference. The Nuggets are now 10-8 on the road which is very good but not close to their 12-3 home record and the victory last night snapped a 1-3 road skid. Like the Kings, the offense is the strength as they are No. 7 overall and No. 2 in shooting and also like the Kings, they struggle on the defensive side of the floor and they could once again be without Aaron Gordon who missed last night and is questionable tonight with a shoulder injury. Denver is 6-17 ATS in its last 23 games after three straight games where they made 47 percent of their shots or better. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 coming off an road win scoring 110 or more points, when playing their 3rd game in four days. This situation is 52-25 ATS (67.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (548) Sacramento Kings |
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12-27-22 | Suns v. Grizzlies -6.5 | Top | 125-108 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. Both Phoenix and Memphis are coming off losses on Christmas and we expect the Grizzlies to be the team to rebound as they head back home where they are 13-2 and are actually getting some value here. Memphis won in Phoenix last week by 25 points as a three-point favorite but we are seeing a small line shift based on venue change and it will be out to bounce back from that 1-3 roadtrip that has sent it into third place in the Western Conference, one game behind Denver for first. Desmond Bane is back in the lineup after missing a month and after a solid debut, he struggled from the floor on Sunday against the Warriors as he was just 2-13 shooting. The Suns have lost three straight games and are now three games back in the Western Conference and are going to have to patiently wait to get fully healthy again as they finally got Chris Paul back but are again down their best player. Phoenix got Devin Booker back on Sunday but he lasted only four minutes as he suffered another injury, this time a groin injury and he will be out on Tuesday. The Suns are just 5-10 on the road including 1-5 over their last six games on the highway including losses in all three games when getting points while covering only one of those. The offense definitely has taken a hot with Booker back on the bench and they will struggle again against this defense after scoring just 100 points in the meeting last week. Here, we play against teams off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog going up against an opponent off an upset loss of 10 points or more as a road favorite. This situation is 56-24 ATS (70 percent) since 1996. 10* (526) Memphis Grizzlies |
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12-27-22 | Lakers +4.5 v. Magic | Top | 129-110 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Tuesday Ultimate Underdog. The Lakers have lost four straight games and eight of their last 11 and while this would typically be a contrarian play by playing against a Los Angeles team, it is contrarian by playing them here. They have failed to cover five straight games and the injury bug has hit once again with Anthony Davis once again on the shelf for at least a couple weeks so basically it has been LeBron James as the only production from the starting five. Los Angeles has fallen into No. 13 in the Western Conference with a lot to make up to get back into the playoff mix. The Lakers are ranked No. 7 in scoring offense and No. 9 in shooting offense and that has still held true during this losing skid and now faces a below average defense. Orlando is still well out of the playoff picture in the Eastern Conference but it has narrowed the gap after an awful start as the Magic have gone 8-1 over their last nine games with the lone loss coming against Atlanta by just one points after nearly coming back from a late 13-point deficit. The Magic have covered 10 straight games and that is part of the contrarian aspect along with the straight up victories as the value is starting to turn with this being their third straight game as favorites and only the fifth time all season they have laid points. Orlando is now 9-9 at home and the Lakers visit will always bring extra energy for the home team but the Magic are in a tough spot. Here, we play on underdogs allowing 114 or more ppg on the season, after three straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) since 1996. 10* (515) Los Angeles Lakers |
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12-26-22 | Pacers v. Pelicans -6 | Top | 93-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Monday Star Attraction. New Orleans has put a halt to a four-game losing streak with a pair of wins at home against San Antonio and on the road at Oklahoma City and it heads back home for the start of a three-game homestand. It is 13-4 at home this season which includes an 8-1 run the last nine games and it has been dominant by outscoring opponents by eight ppg in those 17 games while covering six of nine games against teams with a winning record. The Pelicans are one game behind Denver for first place in the Western Conference and the recent two-game winning streak is even more encouraging considering they were without Zion Williamson in those games because of an illness but he will be back in the lineup tonight. Indiana is coming off a pair of upset road wins the last two games which puts it into a go against situation. The Pacers improved to 17-16 on the season which has them in a tie with Atlanta for No. 7 in the Eastern Conference yet prior to the recent winning streak, they went 3-8 over their previous 11 games. The Pacers have not been able to put any sort of winning streak together as they have gone 1-6 in their last seven games following a win and it has not been pretty for the most part, losing those games by an average of 11 ppg. They do own an impressive six wins over teams ranked within the top ten but this is not the spot for that to continue. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 coming off two or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog. This situation is 57-22 ATS (72.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (512) New Orleans Pelicans |
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12-23-22 | Pacers v. Heat -6.5 | Top | 111-108 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT as part of our NBA Friday Three Pack. Miami had its four-game winning streak come to an end on Tuesday with a 10-point home loss against Chicago to fall back to .500 on the season. The Heat were without Jimmy Butler because of a stomach issue but he will be back tonight which will help the offense that has been inconsistent the entire season and they will also be facing a below average defense. Miami is 9-7 at home which is nothing spectacular and while it is an average 7-7-1 ATS following a loss, this is a much better situation than when coming off a win where the Heat are 3-13 ATS. They are the worst ATS team in the league but are catching value here as they were favored by 3.5 points at Indiana in their last meeting less than two weeks ago so the line difference based on venue shift is way off. Indiana snapped a two-game losing streak with a big win at Boston on Wednesday as it got a huge game from Tyrese Haliburton as he scored 33 points but is questionable tonight with a wrist injury so he might not be close to 100 percent if he goes. The Pacers have not been able to put ant sort of winning streak together as they have gone 0-6 in their last six games following a win and it has not been pretty for the most part, losing those games by an average of 11 ppg. Playing at a quick pace is the plan here but not a good plan against this team. Here, we play on favorites coming off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. This situation is 80-44 ATS (64.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (570) Miami Heat |
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12-23-22 | Bucks +2.5 v. Nets | Top | 100-118 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS as part of our NBA Friday Three Pack. Milwaukee is coming off a loss at Cleveland on Wednesday to snap a two-game winning streak and the Bucks have gone just 3-3 over their last six games. But the one thing they do not do is lose consecutively as they are 7-1 this season following a loss and this is the first of two straight games against the top of the Eastern Conference with Boston on deck Christmas Day. Milwaukee is now a half game ahead of the Celtics for first place in the conference and while there is a ton of basketball left, these early games do go a long way. The Bucks defense remains the strength as they are No. 2 in opponent shooting and No. 3 in points allowed and can challenge this Nets team that has been overachieving because of the opposition they have faced which has not been very good. Brooklyn is playing its best basketball of the season as it has won seven straight and 11 of its last 12 with a home loss against Boston being the lone blemish. Taking a look at this recent 12-game run shows the Nets have played hardly anyone with wins over Portland and Indiana being the only victories against teams that are currently in a playoff spot and they are both in the No. 8 spot in their respective conferences. The offense remains the best shooting team in the league but this is their biggest test. Here, we play against favorites after scoring 120 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 43 points or less in the first half last game. This situation is 48-21 ATS (69.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (559) Milwaukee Bucks |
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12-23-22 | Raptors v. Cavs -4 | Top | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS as part of our NBA Friday Three Pack. Toronto came through for us on Wednesday as it won in New York to snap the Knicks eight-game winning streak but we are fading the Raptors as they are facing one of the top defenses in the league and will not be able to get the same 52-point game from Pascal Siakam that they got against the Knicks. Toronto is just 4-12 on the road and while it was in a great contrarian spot in its last game, it is time to fade the Raptors on the road on another short price. The Raptors are four games under .500 and have no offensive consistency as they are one of the worst shooting teams in the league at No. 28 overall and No. 30 from long range. Cleveland is coming off a big win against Milwaukee to make it five straight wins and after a little bit of a lull, the Cavaliers are creeping up in the Eastern Conference as they are now in the No. 3 spot, one game behind Milwaukee for first place. Cleveland is ranked No. 1 in the league in points allowed and No. 5 in defensive shooting and we know who they will be keying in on here. The offense is slowly improving and the Cavaliers are now No. 7 in shooting as they have shot 47 percent or better in six of their last seven games and will be going up against the No. 29 ranked shooting defense so they are again projected to go well above 50 percent tonight. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging two straight losses going up against an opponent off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. This situation is 60-24 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (564) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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12-22-22 | Spurs v. Pelicans -7.5 | Top | 117-126 | Win | 100 | 21 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. New Orleans has lost four straight games since ascending to the top of the Western Conference and bad news came across Wednesday. Zion Williamson has been declared out for this game with an illness which puts New Orleans now out with its two stars as the Pelicans also will be without Brandon Ingram for at least two more games. Williamson has averaged 28.6 ppg, 8.3 rpg, 6.0 apg and 1.5 spg in the 11 games with Ingram out so his absence will be big but even when he was in the lineup, the Pelicans have been slumping. That being said, the line has dropped significantly and the New Orleans roster is still better than San Antonio even with those two out and there are plenty of options to step in, namely Jonas Valanciunas and CJ McCollum. This is a typical spot where a superstar goes out and others pick it up in the first game of the absence. San Antonio opened the season pretty strong by going 5-2 but then lost 16 of its next 17 games before finally getting into the win column with three straight victories. The Spurs then lost two more but came back with an upset win over Houston, if you can call it that, by 19 points as a 4.5-point underdog. Now they are getting only three more points. Not nearly enough. They are a respectable 5-8 on the road but three of those came during that early run. Here, we play on favorites coming off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. This situation is 79-44 ATS (64.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (552) New Orleans Pelicans |