Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-07-10 | New England Patriots v. Cleveland Browns OVER 43.5 | Top | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
I would expect that New England will be piling up the points in this one. Belichick has no sympathy for Mangini, and he isn't afraid to pile things up offensively, and he sure has the weapons to do it. Cleveland looks better with McCoy at QB, and the New England pass defense has enough holes for Cleveland to score enough to push this one over the total. I would expect the ball to be in the air a lot in this one from bith sides, and see this one going well over the total.
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11-05-10 | Central Florida Golden Knights v. Houston Cougars UNDER 62.5 | Top | 40-33 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
This is a game of defense vs offense, and I always side with the under when you see a total posted at 55 or higher. Looking at this Central Florida team, they rank #9 in the country in fewest yards allowed per game. Over the last 2 years this is what has happened when this situation exists. If you have a team that is ranked in the top 10 in the country in fewest yards allowed per game, and a total of 55 or higher, you simply play the under. Last year this was a profitable 18-9 to the under at 67%, and this year it is 11-6 to the under so far for 64.7% winners. The combined 2 year total is now 29-15 for 66% winners. Under is the play in this one.
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11-04-10 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets v. Virginia Tech Hokies OVER 56 | Top | 21-28 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
The Virginia Tech Hokies are an inside out team this season. Frank beamer teams are usually led by defense, but this one is led by the offense. The Yellow Jackets ran all over the Hokies a year ago generating 309 yards on the ground with their option attack. That spells trouble for both the defenses in this one and I look for this one to be an assault on the scoreboard with plenty of points, which puts the valued play here on this one to go over the posted total.
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11-03-10 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights v. South Florida Bulls UNDER 44 | Top | 27-28 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 2 m | Show |
These teams have proven to struggle offensively, while the defenses have remained solid. I have projected this game to play in the high 30s so there is at least 5-6 points of value now that the total has risen to 43.5. These teams matchup well against the others offense, and I expect limited scoring opportuniteis in this game tonight. The Bulls have played to a 5-1 mark in their last 6 home games, to the under, and I'll ride with the under in this one.
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11-01-10 | Houston Texans v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 51 | Top | 17-30 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
The NFL rules change appears to be making for a season of offense, especially among the offensively talented teams. Both these teams are equipped to take advantage of the defensive weaknesses of their opponents. Houston ran for 260 yards in the first meeting this season and the teams combined for 58 first downs, and 58 points. These teams have engaged in a lot of shootouts over the years with 11 of the last 14 scoring over 50 points, and 10 of the last 11 meetings topping the total. I'll play this one over the total.
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10-29-10 | West Virginia Mountaineers v. Connecticut Huskies UNDER 46 | Top | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
The University of Connecticut's offense took a big hit when Cody Endres was suspended, and he won't be returning to the team. Zach Frazier has been ineffective, so coach Randy Edsall has turned to freshman Michael Box, who has a long way to go to be a bonafide BCS Conference QB. West Virginia is going to dare him to throw the ball, and stack the box against the only offensive threat Uconn has in Jordan Todman. Todman was slowed last week due to the same reasons, and Uconn was shutout at Louisville, and now face one of the toughest defenses in the country in West Virginia. West Virginia has struggled vs the good teams on their schedule offensively, as they average just 16ppg vs the 3 top teams they have faced. Uconn is capeable of slowing them down, while offensively, Uconn has been reduced to a very poor offense. I like the under in this one.
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10-27-10 | Texas Rangers v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 5.5 | Top | 7-11 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
My favorite time of the year is the MLB post-season. I have archived results for over a decade, and all my MLB Playoff picks are guided by a dozen years of research that show a huge inclination of biases for the MLB Playoffs. Every pick I make is based on a huge market inefficiency that shows a steady stream of where the money is under certain circumstances, and I will exploit these market weaknesses with all my MLB picks for the post-season. Round 1 has several to exploit, and this game is included in one with an inherant weakness. The play is on the over.
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10-23-10 | Western Kentucky v. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns UNDER 55 | Top | 54-21 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 37 m | Show |
These teams have been in a lot of high scoring games, but they have also combined to play against 6 teams from BCS Conferences, so the numbers get horribly skewed on all fronts, as they combined to give up 47.2ppg to those teams. Looking at UL Lafayette who has played 4 games within the conference there has not been a single one thathas topped the 55 point mark. Western Kentucky was greeted rather harshly as they played a full schedule within the Sun Belt for the first time a year ago. They allowed 237 points in their first 5 Sun Belt Contests, or 47.4ppg. They have really cleaned up the defense, and are much more competitive now, as the 47.4 in the first 5 has been reduced to 27.4ppg in the last 5. This one is juiced due to all the high scoring games, and points allowed to BCS teams, but the last 5 played for each, has seen just 1 top the 55 mark. I like the under in this one.
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10-23-10 | Kent State v. Bowling Green St Falcons UNDER 50 | Top | 30-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
These teams when playing FBS competition have been able to generate little in the way of offense. Kent St. has moved the ball for just a little over 4 yards per play, which isn't condusive for a lot of scoring. The other side of the ball shows Kent St. with a defense that has played overall, above average. They should also be able to limit a Bowling Green offense that is significantly below average as well. To add to the miseries, Willie Geter may not be in the backfield for Bowling Green. I'll play this one under the total.
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10-20-10 | Philadelphia Phillies v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
My favorite time of the year is the MLB post-season. I have archived results for over a decade, and all my MLB Playoff picks are guided by a dozen years of research that show a huge inclination of biases for the MLB Playoffs. Every pick I make is based on a huge market inefficiency that shows a steady stream of where the money is under certain circumstances, and I will exploit these market weaknesses with all my MLB picks for the post-season. Round 1 has several to exploit, and this game is included in one with an inherant weakness. The play is on the over
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10-18-10 | Texas Rangers v. New York Yankees OVER 7.5 | Top | 8-0 | Win | 110 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
My favorite time of the year is the MLB post-season. I have archived results for over a decade, and all my MLB Playoff picks are guided by a dozen years of research that show a huge inclination of biases for the MLB Playoffs. Every pick I make is based on a huge market inefficiency that shows a steady stream of where the money is under certain circumstances, and I will exploit these market weaknesses with all my MLB picks for the post-season. Round 1 has several to exploit, and this game is included in one with an inherant weakness. The play is on the over
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10-17-10 | San Francisco Giants v. Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 7 | Top | 1-6 | Push | 0 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
My favorite time of the year is the MLB post-season. I have archived results for over a decade, and all my MLB Playoff picks are guided by a dozen years of research that show a huge inclination of biases for the MLB Playoffs. Every pick I make is based on a huge market inefficiency that shows a steady stream of where the money is under certain circumstances, and I will exploit these market weaknesses with all my MLB picks for the post-season. Round 1 has several to exploit, and this game is included in one with an inherant weakness. The play is on the under
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10-16-10 | Southern Methodist Mustangs v. Navy Midshipmen UNDER 53 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 44 h 8 m | Show |
The SMU Mustangs under June Jones are percieved to be similar to hawai in a pass happy attack, and little defense. This team doesn't throw the ball nearly as much. Navy is quite the opposite, it is no secret they are going to put the ball on the ground and grind the game to a halt. This however is a Navy team taht scores less, and allows less, as their defense is ahead of their offense right now. Mustangs have been stopped on the road with just 2 of their last 10 on the road vs a winning team have topped the total. Navy has now played to an 8-2 mark to the under in their last 10, as well as possessing a 14-3 mark to the under in their last 17. This one stays under the total.
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10-16-10 | Missouri Tigers v. Texas A&M OVER 55.5 | Top | 30-9 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 21 m | Show |
Hard to understand the number here. Texas A&M comes into this one as the #15 ranked offense in the country, averaging 35ppg. Missouri comes into this one averaging 35.4ppg. This is an A&M team that has scored 27+ in 9 of their last 13 games. Missouri has gone for 30+ in 7 of their last 10 games overall. These teams appear in my opinion to be poised to produce 60+ points in this one. Missouri comes in playing over to a 13-5 mark in their last 18 posted as a dog from 3.5-10 points. Aggies carry a 41-20-2 over mark in their last 63 conference games, and 31-12-2 to the over following an ATS loss. I like the over in this one.
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10-14-10 | South Florida Bulls v. West Virginia Mountaineers UNDER 45.5 | Top | 6-20 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
The South Florida Bulls have really struggled under a new head coach, with 9 returning offensive players, the entire offensive line, and the QB, but they are vastly inferior to the Bulls offensive unit from a year ago. It all starts with QB B.J. Daniels who a year ago was throwing for 8.7 yards per attempt, down to 7.2 this year. He had 9 picked off a year ago, and already 7 this season. His running numbers are down almost a yard a carry as well. The RB's are not getting it done for the Bulls either. They were outgained by Western Kentucky who has lost by an average of 282 yards per game vs the 9 other BCS teams they have faced since joining div-1. It won't help facing the 7th ranked defense of West Virginia, who ranks 55th in offense on the season. Noel Devine has seen his numbers drop from 8.6ypc as a freshman to 6.3ypc as a sophomore to 6.1ypc as a junior to 5.3 this year, is not the same explosive back. Geno Smith has done a good job at QB with 12 TD's to just 2 INT's, but the South Florida defense is still very good. Mountaineers have allowed just 83 points in their last 7 at home, and I don't see them going for 30+ vs South Florida. I like the under in this one.
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10-11-10 | Minnesota Vikings v. New York Jets OVER 38 | Top | 20-29 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
The Vikings suddenly can't move the ball at all, and the Jets defense is rock solid, and get Revis and Pace back, so how are the Vikings gonna score? The Viking defense is strong as well, so how is the weak Jet offense supposed to score here either? History shows that this type of game generally scores. The Vikings are 9-3 to the over in their last 12 as a road dog. These teams both combine to have gone 25-8-1 to the over in a game following producing over 350 yards of offense, which they both did a week ago. Over is th play.
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10-11-10 | San Francisco Giants v. Atlanta Braves OVER 7 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
My favorite time of the year is the MLB post-season. I have archived results for over a decade, and all my MLB Playoff picks are guided by a dozen years of research that show a huge inclination of biases for the MLB Playoffs. Every pick I make is based on a huge market inefficiency that shows a steady stream of where the money is under certain circumstances, and I will exploit these market weaknesses with all my MLB picks for the post-season. Round 1 has several to exploit, and this game is included in one with an inherant weakness. The play is on the over
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10-10-10 | Philadelphia Eagles v. San Francisco 49ers OVER 38 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
The number here is really on the short side, and that is because the Eagles don't have Michael Vick, but were expeted to go with Kolb at the beginning of the season anyway, and this number would not be so low if Vick never entered the picture. Teams on th road after an upset loss as a favorite have played to a 40-16 mark to the over in their next game, during the first half of the season. The Niners defense is awful, and I expect this one to have plenty to spare in going over the total.
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10-09-10 | Miami Ohio Redhawks v. Cincinnati Bearcats OVER 50.5 | Top | 3-45 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 55 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Bearcats are off to a bad start as they were projected as a top 25 team. Through 4 weeks they sit at just 1-3, and the lone win was vs a non div-1 team. The 3 losses show the Bearcat defense allowing 28,30, and 31 points and a 76th ranking out of 120 teams, despite allowing just 254 yards vs Indiana St. The Redbirds gave up 21 to lowly Eastern Michigan as well as 21 to Kent St., and 34 to a rather unimpressive Florida defense. I look for Cincinnati to top the 30 mark in this one, and I look for Miami,Ohio to put up somewhere in the 20s themselves. The Bearcats have really come out aggressively on offense after a bye week as they have now played to a 10-1 mark to the over following a bye. I like this one to top the total.
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10-07-10 | New York Yankees v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 9 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
My favorite time of the year is the MLB post-season. I have archived results for over a decade, and all my MLB Playoff picks are guided by a dozen years of research that show a huge inclination of biases for the MLB Playoffs. Every pick I make is based on a huge market inefficiency that shows a steady stream of where the money is under certain circumstances, and I will exploit these market weaknesses with all my MLB picks for the post-season. Round 1 has several to exploit, and this game is included in one with an inherant weakness. The play is on the under
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10-02-10 | Texas Tech v. Iowa State OVER 51.5 | Top | 38-52 | Win | 100 | 51 h 30 m | Show |
Texas Tech netted 144 yards of offense vs Texas, their lowest pouput in a decade, and the first time they were held to under 200 yards passing since 2000. I mentioned this on the radio show this week. I also mentioned that coach Brown of Texas felt this was his best defensive team ever. That gives us plenty of line value in this one, as the Tech offense is considered down, or changed under Tuberville, but it is not. The fact is, the 51 set in the Texas game was the lowest total Texas Tech has played to since October of '06 and it took Texas' best defense to get it there. Tat isn't the case vs the Cyclones. Iowa St. gave up 27 to Kansas St. who is down, and 35 to Iowa who is known more for defense. The last 3 meetings between these teams shows 59,68, and 73 points being scored. Iowa St, has a pair of experienced playmakers in RB Robinson, and QB Arnaud. Both squads have returned 8 on offense and the QB from a year ago, while the defenses combine to bring back 10. That puts this into a system that has gone over 61% winners the last 5 years. I'm going over in this one.
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10-02-10 | Louisiana Monroe v. Auburn OVER 53.5 | Top | 3-52 | Win | 100 | 46 h 45 m | Show |
The Auburn Tigers will step into the Sun Belt for the 2nd time this season, with the first one a route by the score of 52-26 vs Arkansas St. The Tigers have made minced meat out of the Sun Belt over the years, coming in with a 9-0 straight up record, where they have outscored them 417-136. This presents value based on the fact these games vs Sun Belt teams have averaged scoring 61.4 total points, and with this one in the lower side of the 5-s, I see this one producing enough points to push this one over the total. The Sun Belt Conference has met BCS Conference teams 136 times over the last 6 years, with a 76-60 mark to the over for 56% winners. UL Monroe has been involved with playing BCS teams 17 times, and the over has gone 13-4 in the 17 games. UL Monroe also 18-7-1 to the over as a road dog of more than 10.5Auburn at 15-4 to the over vs a team with a losing record in their last 19. Over gets the call.
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09-30-10 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma State UNDER 67 | Top | 35-38 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
The Oklahoma St. Cowboys surprisingly lead the nation in offense, and that will be tested tonight against an unbeaten Texas A&M team. The Aggies finally have the experience to go on the road and play at a high level. Oklahoma St. is not going to put up the numbers they have been putting up in this one. They have 16 players that made their first career start in 2010, 4 new starters on the offensive line. Ths will be a nationally televised game, vs a sound opponent, and mistakes will get in the way of what they have done in lesser games this season. I like this one to go under the total.
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09-26-10 | Indianapolis Colts v. Denver Broncos UNDER 48.5 | Top | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 31 h 54 m | Show |
The Indianapolis Colts have a high powered offense, and the Denver Broncos put up 31 at home vs Seattle here last week, so the number posted in the t101-56 to the under for otal for this one is inflated. The Colts forced 3 turnovers last week, and the Broncos went for a +3 vs Seattle, so the numbers posted last week were opportunistic numbers and are falsely reflected in the posted total for this one. Games played when a team forces 3 turnovers, and facing another team that was +3 in turnovers from their previous games have indicated this to be true. The result has been 101-56 to the under for a winning percentage of 64.3%. The last 11 times going back to 2006, that the Colts have had a posted total of higher than 47, they are 8-3 to the under. Going back to 1998 they have gone 11-5 to the under with a total of 48 or higher. The Broncos have been posted as a home dog just 16 times since 1990, and have gone 11-5 to the under in the 16 games, and just 2 of the 16 games exceeded 48 points. The under has previled in 8 of their last 9 as a home dog. I'll go with the under in this one
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09-25-10 | Oregon Ducks v. Arizona State Sun Devils OVER 56.5 | Top | 42-31 | Win | 100 | 54 h 35 m | Show |
What can you say about the Oregon Ducks, as their offense has generated 612 yards a game, and by themselves could approach this total. Their defense has been good, but Arizona St. certainly has the potential to move the ball on the Ducks. The Sun Devils have scored 114 points in their first 3 games on the season. The Ducks are 28-10 to the over after a game where their offense produced 450 yards or more, as well as 33-16 to the over in their last 49 when posted as a favorite. I like this one to go over the total.
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09-25-10 | New Mexico State v. Kansas OVER 50 | Top | 16-42 | Win | 100 | 50 h 6 m | Show |
When Todd Reesing left Kansas everyone thought the Kansas offense would go with him. Jordan Webb has proven to be an able QB and led the Jayhawks to 28 points against a tough Georgia Tech team, and the win. New Mexico St. will provide him with a lot of opportunites as the Aggies have allowed over 40 in their first 2 games this season, to lesser teams than what they will face here, The fact is the Aggies have allowed 40+ to 6 of their last 9 opponents and I would certainly think Kansas can grab 40+ in this one at home. While the Aggie defense has not improved the offense that produced 53 points in their last 7 games a year ago, has already scored 31 in 2 games, more than doubling their output from a year ago. I like this one to go over the total.
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09-25-10 | Tulane v. Houston UNDER 57.5 | Top | 23-42 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 38 m | Show |
The Houston Cougars took a blow when they lost Case Keenum for the season last week at UCLA. We saw how the immediate impact of not having him directing the offense was felt, as Houston was held to their lowest point total in over 30 games, scoring just 13 points for the game. I look for them to score some here, but this won't be the same offense without Keenum at QB. Tulane is not a scoring team and has played to a 10-1 mark to the under in their last 11 games as a road dog of 10.5 or more. This one stays under the total
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09-25-10 | Arkansas St v. Troy OVER 67 | Top | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 42 m | Show |
Troy looked to be in trouble on offense this season when their record setting QB Levi Brown graduated. that was until freshamn Corey Robinson stepped in and has been the best freshman QB in the nation. Robinson through 3 games, has completed 79-119 passes for 66.4% and 928 yards, to go along with 6 TD's. He has done it vs some stiff competition, including Oklahoma St. on the road. This is a Troy offense that has scored 40+ in each of their last Sun Belt games, and it doesn't appear the offense has taken a step back. The defense returns 3, and no defensive lineman, so the Trojans are going to engage in a lot of shootouts. Arkansas St. put up 26 vs Auburn on the road, and it wasn't garbage time, as 23 came in the first 3 quarters, they will certainly move the ball on a suspect Troy defense. The defense has already allowed 103, so this one is marked for 70+. I'll play the over in this one.
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09-25-10 | Toledo v. Purdue UNDER 50 | Top | 31-20 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 10 m | Show |
The Toledo offense is amongst the worst in the nation. They have totalled 663 yards in 3 games so far this season, and playing against Purdue shouldn't add to those numbers. Purdue struggled vs a defenseless Ball St. teamand barely got 400 yards against Western Illinois, and struggled vs Notre Dame. It is unlikely either of these teams are strong enough offensively to push this one as high as 50 points, which is the total posted here. Toledo is also 17-4 to the under in their last 21 played on grass, while Purdue is 34-15-2 to the under in their last 51 at home. I like this one to stay under the total
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09-23-10 | Texas Rangers v. Oakland Athletics UNDER 7 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return.
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09-23-10 | Tampa Bay Rays v. New York Yankees UNDER 8 | Top | 10-3 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return. Under gets the call.
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09-21-10 | Colorado Rockies v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 17 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return.Under gets the call
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09-21-10 | Seattle Mariners v. Toronto Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 24 h 41 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return. Under gets the call.
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09-21-10 | Houston Astros v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 40 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return.
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09-18-10 | Texas: C Lee v. Seattle: J Vargas UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 19 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return.
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09-18-10 | UL Monroe Warhawks v. Arkansas State Red Wolves UNDER 51 | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 40 m | Show |
Since opening the season a year ago against Mississippi Valley St. where the Arkansas St. Red Wolves scored 61, they have proven against legit competition their offense sputters. This is a team that lost their QB from a year ago, Corey Leonard, who was a good one. Leonard led them to a lot of wins, but points were not easy, as the Red Wolves got to 30 just 1 time vs lowly N. Texas. Their defense held them in a lot of games, and that unit returns 10 this year, and should be even better. UL Monroe failed to top the 21 point mark in 8 games a year ago, and most of the offense has departed including the coach. They really struggled in their opener, and it is apparent the QB situation is a problem. The offensive struggles in the past, which will follow them into this season has led to an 18-7-1 mark to the under the last 26 games. I will play under in this one.
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09-17-10 | Milwaukee: R Wolf v. San Francisco: M Bumgarner UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 25 h 6 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return. Under gets the call.
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09-17-10 | Kansas v. Southern Mississippi OVER 51 | Top | 16-31 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
Southern Miss is a genuine football school, and the program is rock solid. They have now had a winning season 16 straight years, and have been to a Bowl 8 straight years. Austin Davis went down with an injury last year, but he had been the starter the previous two years, and a good one completing nearly 70% last year. He has DeAndre Brown back who has caught 23 for scores in his career, including 2 this year already. Kansas has its entire offensive line back to break in a new QB, and they scored 28 vs Georgia Tech. These teams can both score despite the fact that the losses on offense seem to bring them down. Jayhawks very telling after allowing 200+ on the ground in their last game, playing over in the next game to a 16-4 mark. Southern Miss at 6-2 to the over in their last 8 on turf. This one tops the total, OVER is the play.
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09-16-10 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 7 | Top | 2-10 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 51 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return. Under gets the call.
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09-15-10 | San Diego Padres v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 9 | Top | 6-9 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return.
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09-15-10 | Washington Nationals v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return.
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09-14-10 | Los Angeles: C Kershaw v. San Francisco: B Zito UNDER 7 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return. Under gets the call.
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09-13-10 | New York Yankees v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return. Under gets the call
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09-12-10 | Green Bay Packers v. Philadelphia Eagles UNDER 47.5 | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 96 h 16 m | Show |
The Green Bay Packers can score in bunches, but it was their defense that was surprising a year ago. They finished ranked #2 in the league despite being beset with injuries. The Eagles will turn to Kevin Kolb, and Michael Vick to move the offense as Donavan McNabb's long reign in Philly is over. This is another high valued situation that has seen NFL openers with a total set from 45.5 and up to go 24-9 to the under since 1994. I will back the under here.
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09-12-10 | Indianapolis Colts v. Houston Texans UNDER 47 | Top | 24-34 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 3 m | Show |
The Indianapolis Colts have been a high powered offense since Peyton Manning started taking snaps. Despite the high powered offense the Colts, like a lot of teams require some time to get their timing down. They have played 5 straight openers to the under, and game one's with a total set at 45.5 or higher have gone 24-9 to the under since 1994. Houston is another team that can score, but again these offenses have proven it takes time to get going, and these high opening week totals very often do not live up to their billing. I'll play on the under here.
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09-11-10 | San Jose State v. Wisconsin UNDER 53.5 | Top | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
San Jose returns a lot of the offense from a year ago, but that isn't such good news. It is an offense that has scored 69 points in their last 7 games, and that is to defenses much worse than Wisconsin, with the exception of the 3 they got last week vs Alabama. Wisconsin did give up 21 last week to a decent UNLV offense but they allowed just 4 yards a play so the 21 is very misleading. San Jose is likely going to not score more than 0-7 in this contest. That means Wisconsin is going to have to score at least in the mid-40s here if not 50+ to push this one over. The Badgers are a running team, so don't look for quick scores, but also look for a clock that keeps ticking. They have topped the 45 point mark just 3 times in the last 3 years, and one of those was vs Hawaii, which plays games like that with regularity. I like the under in this one.
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09-10-10 | San Francisco Giants v. San Diego Padres UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 26 h 50 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return.
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09-10-10 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 9.5 | Top | 4-13 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return.
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09-10-10 | Kansas City Royals v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 104 | 24 h 58 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return.
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09-09-10 | Minnesota Vikings v. New Orleans Saints UNDER 49 | Top | 9-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
The NFL season is finally here. The first game should be a great one between the Minnesota Vikings and the New Orleans Saints. These clubs both displayed explosive offenses a year ago. This is game one and quite often the offenses aren't in mid-season form yet, and the oddsmakers must base their assessment off of last season, and a generally "over" wagering public. The early numbers show the public is already weighing in on the over at a 65% rate. They will likely be disappointed as NFL game 1 totals greater than 45.5 are 24-9 to the under since 1994! They will also be disappointed to learn that teams that finish in the top 3 in points scored per game the year before, are 24-12 to the under in game 1 the following year. If they averaged 28 or more points they are 13-7, and if they averaged 30+ points they are 7-4 to the under in game 1. I will go with the under in this one.
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09-09-10 | Central Michigan v. Temple UNDER 48 | Top | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
Al Golden inherited a Temple Owl program that was in shambles. The Owls had been 3-31 in the 3 preceeding years, before he took over. Last year was his 4th year, meaning he was playing with all of his own players for the first time, and he delivered a Bowl appearance. The Central Michigan CHippewas are going to learn what life is like without Dan LeFevour at QB. That isn't all the Chip's also lost Antonio Brown and Bryan Anderson, who rewrote the record book at CMU for WR's. Teams that closed the season last year with 5 or more straight wins are 30-5 to the under in conference games during the first month of the season. Not only did they lose all their weapons they lost their coach as well. I see this one being a battle for field position, and will play the under here.
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09-08-10 | Seattle Mariners v. Oakland Athletics UNDER 7 | Top | 3-4 | Push | 0 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return. Under gets the call.
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09-08-10 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 9 | Top | 1-8 | Push | 0 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return. Under gets the call.
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09-08-10 | Florida Marlins v. Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-10 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return. Under gets the call.
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09-04-10 | Washington Nationals v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 8.5 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return. Under gets the call.
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09-03-10 | Los Angeles Angels v. Oakland Athletics UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-8 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return.
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09-03-10 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 107 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return. Under gets the call.
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09-02-10 | Northern Illinois v. Iowa State OVER 51 | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 37 m | Show |
Iowa St. should be a very good offensive team this year with 8 returning starters back and 4 offensive lineman. They have a quality QB in Austen Arnaud, that also runs very well, and a prolific running back in Alexander Robinson, who rushed for nearly 1,200 yards a year agoat over 5 ypc. He should be better with most of his offensive line in tact, and the return of QB Armaud who can throw and run. Northern Illinois is going to be in the thick of things in the Mid American Conference. They also have a top rated back in Chad Span who rushed for nearly 6tpc a year ago, and scored 19 TD's. Iowa St. has a great special teams unit which could score here, but I like the fact these teams have quality backs, which usually keeps the FG kicker off the field and the ball in the endzone instead. I'll play over here.
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09-02-10 | Oakland Athletics v. New York Yankees UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
The Yankees C.C. Sabathia has been an untouchable at home for the Yankees. Since Jily 2md of last year Sabathia is 15-0 at the Stadium, and has pitched to a 1.93 ERA in the 15 games. Dallas Braden is a hot pitcher right now allowing just 5 runs total in his last 4 starts, while pitching to an ERA of 1.45. Braden has pitched the A's to a 36-16 under mark in his last 52 starts on grass. The runs will be at a premium in this one and I will side with this one staying under the posted total.
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08-31-10 | New York Mets v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-9 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return.
Under gets the call |
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08-29-10 | Philadelphia Phillies v. San Diego Padres UNDER 7 | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 53 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return. Under gets the call
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08-28-10 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 9 | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 12 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return. Under gets the call.
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08-28-10 | New York Yankees v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 8 | Top | 12-9 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 0 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return. Under gets the call.
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08-26-10 | Minnesota Twins v. Texas Rangers UNDER 8 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 60 m | Show |
Very seldom will you see 2 quality pitchers pitching against each other with a total of over the 7's. This one is put out at 8 at a favorable +100. Cliff lee is a throwback to pitchers of several decades ago. He seldom needs much help from the bullpen, as he has pitched all but 23.1 innings of his 22 starts, meaning he averages just shy of 8 innings a game. Francisco Liriano has already made 10 starts allowing 1 run or less this season, and he has ample rest coming into this one. When he has had 7 or more days of rest the over has not cashed 1 ticket in his last 7. Texas stands at 60-28-3 to the under in their last 91 vs a lefthander. I'll play on the under here.
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08-25-10 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. San Diego Padres UNDER 8 | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 39 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return.
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08-25-10 | Baltimore Orioles v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 45 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return.
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08-25-10 | Minnesota Twins v. Texas Rangers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 43 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return.
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08-24-10 | Cincinnati Reds v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-16 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
Jonathon Sanchez has pitched to a 3.47 ERA this season, and his career numbers vs the Reds are impresive as he brings a career 2.41 ERA into this game vs the Reds. Travis Wood has been brilliant for the Reds itching to a 2.51 RA with a 4-1 record, and better of late at 1.83 in his last 3 starts. The Giants have played low at home in games close to evenly matched, as they are 11-4-2 to the under as a home favorite of -125 or less, or as a dog. This one stays under the posted total.
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08-21-10 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Oakland Athletics UNDER 7 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
David Price has quickly become the ace of the Tampa Ray's staff. price earned a start in the all-star game and continues to shine down the stretch. He has been amazingly consistent as in his 23 starts he has allowed more than 3 runs in just 2 of them. Brett Anderson has been brilliant for the A's as well. anderson is pitching to a 2.89 ERA on the season and has allowed more than 2 runs in just 2 of his 10 starts. This one looks to be low and tight, and I'll play the under here.
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08-21-10 | San Francisco Giants v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 1 h 29 m | Show |
The Cards have certainly gotten a lot of mileage out of Jaime Garcia this season. He has been good just about everytime he takes the mound. The results have been 15-8 to the under in his 23 starts. Thise numbers include 8-2 to the under at home. Barry Zito was 102-63 pitching for the A's but has never held that form in San Francisco until this season. His ERA is as low as it has been since 2003. He has allowed 3 or less runs in 19 of his 25 starts on the year, or 76% of the time. Cards have only played 9 overs in their last 34 home games facing a lefthanded starter, and 5 of the last 6 between these clubs have stayed under the total. Under gets the call.
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08-21-10 | New York Mets v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 1 h 18 m | Show |
Johan Santana everytime he takes the mound is capeable of allowing 0 runs to the opponent. he has done so 8 times already on the season. He has also had 6 other starts allowing a single run. That means more than half the time the opponents score 1 or less off him. The Met offense has been a disgrace, and they are now 25-13 to the under in their last 38 played. Santana has pitched to a 7-1 mark on the road to the under vs a team with a losing record. I like the under here.
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08-20-10 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 8 | Top | 16-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
The Toronto Blue Jays have not handled lefthand pitching all season. Thy score just over 3 runs a game against them, and tonight they face one of the AL's best in Jon Lester. Lester has pitched to a 2.80 ERA on the season, and his best work has come in his last 2 starts that read 0 runs in 14.1 innings of work. Brett Cecil has also pitched well for the Jays entering this contest with an ERA of under 4 for the season. None of Cecil's last 6 starts on an extra day of rest have topped the total. Lester is now 11-4-1 to the under when he starts at home vs a winning team. Under gets the call.
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08-19-10 | Colorado Rockies v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return.
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08-19-10 | Cincinnati Reds v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | Top | 9-5 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 43 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return.
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08-19-10 | San Francisco Giants v. Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 12 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return.
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08-19-10 | Florida Marlins v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 9 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show |
It has become very evident in major league baseball this season that lefthand pitching has become superior, and teams in general are having a lot more difficulty generating runs vs lefthand pitching, than righthand pitching. There are certain teams and game situations, where I have implemented a system that has proven to be highly successful, taking this market inefficiency, and turning it into cash. The system has produced over 100 units of profit in the space of just about one month. I will continue to hand pick these games accordingly, as the winners have been coming at a very high rate of return.
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08-18-10 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Oakland Athletics UNDER 8 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 14 m | Show |
The Toronto Blue jays have struggled all year long against lefthand pitching. While they score over 5 runs a game against righthanders, they score just 3.3 a game against lefthanders on the season. Oakland has gone 14 straight games without playing an over, the longest such run of the season. One of the reasons is the fact they have scored just 35 runs in their last 14 games, about 2.5 a contest, but the pitching has been equal to the task allowing 40 runs in the last 15, or 2.67 a game. I like the under in this one.
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08-17-10 | Washington Nationals v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-10 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
Mike Minor had 135 strikeouts in 115 innings in the minors this season, so no question he has good stuff. The Nats prospects are dismal on the road vs a winning team where they are 25-71 in their last 96. The braves staff allows 3.3 runs a game at home, have been tough here all season. Scott Olsen in his last start vs the Braves allowed just 3 runs in 8.2 innings of work. Braves have now played under in 13 of their last 19, and the Nats at 6-1 to the under vs a pitcher with a WHIP of less than 1.15 in their last 7. I like the under here.
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08-16-10 | New York Mets v. Houston Astros UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 26 h 32 m | Show |
The New York Mets have now been shutout 10 times already this season. The bigger problem is that 8 of them have come since June 20th, less than 2 months worth of games. The Mets back in the last 5 days of July scored 30 runs in 5 games, and it looked like the offense was finally on track. It was just a fluke. The 16 games before that, and the 12 that have followed show the Mets scoring a grand total of 59 runs in 28 games, or a tad over 2 a contest. That is a months worth of games. Now they face a surging Wandy Rodriguez who has allowed 2 runs in his last 4 starts, pitching to an 0.64 ERA. The Mets counter with Jonathon Neise who has allowed 1 run or less in 58% of his last 19 starts. The Mets are now 25-10 to the under in a series opener, and 8-2 under facing a pitcher with a WHIP over 1.30, and the Astro are 6-1 to the under in their last 7 facing a pitcher with a WHIP of greater than 1.30. I like under in this one.
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08-16-10 | Texas Rangers v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 7 | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -102 | 25 h 35 m | Show |
The Rangers don't need much from the bullpen when Cliff Lee takes the mound, as he has pitched 8 innings or more in 13 of his last 15 starts. Considering his ERA is 2.57 on the season, that's about all you can expect against him. David Price has won an AL high 15 games while pitching to a 2.84 ERA on the season, but at home he is 7-1 with a 2.01 ERA, even better. That is about 4.5 runs between these 2 pitchers. privce pitching at home for his career has delivered 65% unders. The Rangers in their last 89 games facing a lefthand starter have seen the under prevail 59-27-3 or close to 69% of the time. Rays are 15-7-1 to the under in their last 23 overall, and that includes 7-1 to the under in their last 8 series openers. Under gets the call in this one.
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08-15-10 | Denver Broncos v. Cincinnati Bengals UNDER 32.5 | Top | 24-33 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 36 m | Show |
The NFL Preaseason is strictly about coaching philosophies, QB rotaion strength, and long held blueprints left behind by past events that oint to where the value is. I will be basing all my NFL-X picks on the above, and a couple other guidelines I use for these games, as everything else under normal handicapping scenerios, becomes useless in handicapping these games. I have been able to utilize the information I have to have success in the NFLX, under is the play
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08-14-10 | Boston Red Sox v. Texas Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
The Boston Red Sox have to like what they have gotten out of Jon Lester, as he has been very consistent home or away. Likewise for Texas who has gotten great starts from Colby Lewis all season. The numbers read a 1.15 WHIP on the season, which is excellent. The Red Sox score more than a half run a game less vs righthand pitching, while the Rangers more than a half run less vs lefthanders, yet this one sits at 9 with 2 quality pitchers on the mound. Rangers also 58-27-3 to the under in their last 88 vs a lefthander. Under gets the call.
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08-14-10 | Houston Texans v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 33.5 | Top | 16-19 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
The NFL Preaseason is strictly about coaching philosophies, QB rotaion strength, and long held blueprints left behind by past events that oint to where the value is. I will be basing all my NFL-X picks on the above, and a couple other guidelines I use for these games, as everything else under normal handicapping scenerios, becomes useless in handicapping these games. I have been able to utilize the information I have to have success in the NFLX, under is the call here.
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08-13-10 | San Diego: C Richard v. San Francisco: J Sanchez UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
I love playing low when Jonathan Sanchez is off a poor outing, because this guy always comes back strong. The last 9 time he has allowed 4+ runs in his last start, Sanchez has reponded with a 2.12 ERA covering 60 innings of work. Padres also have a penchant to play low on the road vs a team with a home winning percentage of over .600 where just 6 of their last 20 have topped the total. Just 5 of the last 22 meetings have made it over the total when these teams square off, and none of the last 5 in San Francisco. I like under here.
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08-13-10 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 9 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
The Toonto Blue Jays have been punishing righthand pitching scoring 5.1 runs a game against them. Their problem is when they see a lefthander the lineup becomes not mediocre, but poor. The Jays have averaged just 3.3 runs a game vs lefthanders on the season, almost a full 2 run differential. The Angels aren't doing well either, as they average 4.7 a game vs righthanders, which dips to 4.1 against southpaws. The Jays have also played 7 straight unders when Rzepczynski starts on the road. The last 31 played between these clubs in Los Angeles have seen just 9 top the total. I like under in this one.
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08-13-10 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Washington Nationals UNDER 9 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 109 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
The Arizona Diamondbacks are getting nothing done, but they do have Saunders on the mound tonight vs the Nationals. Saunders has helped lead his team's to a 12-5 under mark in his last 17 starts. Joe Lannon seems to be back in form, and in his last 10 starts vs a team with a losing record, the Nationals have played to the under in 7 of them. The Nationals managed just 1 run against Saunders in their last time facing him. I like his one to stay under he total
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08-12-10 | New York Yankees v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 9 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 103 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
The Yankees C.C. Sabathia has not allowed more than 3 runs in any of his last 13 starts. bruce Chen in 13 starts has allowed more than 3 runs just 4 times. The Yankees don't hit as well against lefthand pitching, and also on the road in their last 10 games vs a team with a losing record they have played 8 ro the under. The Royals have been on an under tear as they have played 8 of their last 10 to the under. The last 7 times these teams have squared off in Kansas City they have played 6 to the under. I'll go with the under in this one.
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08-11-10 | Minnesota Twins v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 105 | 23 h 6 m | Show |
John Danks has gone to the mound with his best stuff in most of his starts this season. Danks has allowed 3 runs or less in 17 of his 22 starts on the season. He has been brilliant at home pitching to a 2.88 ERA. Danks has delivered a 23-8 mark to the under in his last 31 starts vs a team with a winning record. The Sox overall have played each of their last 5 at home vs a team with a winning record to the under as well. I'll ride with this one to stay under the total.
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08-11-10 | Colorado Rockies v. New York Mets UNDER 7.5 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 5 m | Show |
The New York Mets did not think offense would be an issue coming into the season, but it has been a thorn all year long. The Mets have scored 3 runs or less in 18 of their last 28 games. The Rockies have never taken the offense with them when they leave Colorado, and lately it is showing up big, as the Rockies have plated 3 runs or less in 9 of their last 15 going into last night's game with the Mets. They have also played to the under in 8 of Francis' last 10 road starts, while the Mets have only seen 11 of their last 42 vs a winning team top the total. Under gets the call.
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08-11-10 | Oakland Athletics v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show |
The Seattle Mariners struggle to produce runs almost everytime they take the field, but at the same time have some decent pitching. Lately that has been very true with 7 of their last 9 games failing to reach the 8 run mark. They have already completed 62 games where the total runs scored in their games has been under 8. The A's going into Tuesday night have played 8 straight wthout one topping the total, and with Braen on the hill pitching within the division they are 14-2 to the under in his last 16. I like under here.
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08-09-10 | Boston Red Sox v. New York Yankees UNDER 9 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Jon Lester and Clay Buchholz have anchored the Red Sox staff this season, while veterans Kohn Lackey, and Josh Beckett have struggled. Lester has been the Sox best option, and pitching after a game where the Sox opponent plated 5 runs or more, he has kept games low scoring, pitching to a 27-12-2 mark to the under. Sox seem to play low in an extended series, as their game 4 log shows just 22 of the last 74 able to top the total. Phil Hughes has recovered from a mid season bump, pitching better of late. I like this one to stay under the total.
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08-08-10 | Minnesota Twins v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 9 | Top | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
The Minnesota Twins have converted reliever Brian Duensing to a starter with success. Duensing has pitched well in either role and enters here wiith a 2.10 ERA on the season. David Huff for the Indians has a near 6 ERA for the season but he has pitched much better recently with an ERA of 3.78 over his last 3 starts. The Tribe has seen only 4 of their last 18 home games top the total. This one may look like a high scoring affair, but I see nd like this one to fail to reach the total, and will go with the under.
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08-07-10 | New York Mets v. Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
The Philadelphia Phillies have caught fire, and are now 13-2 over their last 15 games. The 13 wins points to the reason as they have allowed a total of 33 runs in the 13 games, or about 2.5 per contest. The Mets had an 8 game winning streak back in June, but have since fallen off the cliff, as they are just 15-27. All you have to do is look at the runs they have scored in the 27 losses which total 65 to find the reason. That is less than 2.5 a game. This one figures to be a low scoring affair and I'll go with the under.
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08-06-10 | Washington Nationals v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 7 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 32 m | Show |
Clayton Kershaw has been getting it done at home with a 6-2 mark backed by a rock solid 2.88 ERA. John Lannon was a quality option for the Nationals last year, but ran into some problems early, but has worked them out, and last time out allowed just 2 runs to the dangerous Phillies. The Nats are 23-7 to the under when Lannon is on 4 days rest. Dodgers after losing, and Kershaw taking the hill in their next game are 16-5 to the under. I'll go with the under here.
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08-06-10 | Texas Rangers v. Oakland Athletics UNDER 7 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 26 h 28 m | Show |
When Cliff Lee takes the mound the bullpen doesn't usually see much work, and the opponents don't see very many runs. Lee has pitched a minimum of 8 innings in each of his last 9 outings. He keeps his pitch count down as he has issued just 9 walks in 147 innings of work, so don't expect many baserunners here. Dallas Braden has allowed just over 3 runs a game all season at home. I expect this one to be one of those 2-1, or 3-2 type games, and I'm going with the under in this one.
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08-03-10 | Washington Nationals v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 102 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
The Washington Nations have gotten good pitching of late, allowing just 19 runs over their last 7 gams, fo less tan 3 a contest. The Diamondbacks may have pickd up Joe Saunders at just the right time, as he has now allowed just 3 runs in his last 14 innings. Nats good pitching gets contagious as in their last 51 games after allowing 2 runs or less they have gone 33-16-2 to the under. The Diamondbacks have now played 7 of their last 10 to the under with this series showing 4-1 to the under in the last 5 in Arizona. I'll go with the under in this one.
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08-01-10 | Seattle Mariners v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show |
Francisco Liriano has finally recovered from surgery, regained the strength and confidence he had when he was a dominating force in the AL. He has not allowed a run in his last 2 starts, and just a pair of runs in his last 3 covering over 21 innings, for an ERA of less than 1. The Mariners really struggle offensively and score on average just 3.2 runs a game vs lefthanders. Twins have been scoring llow at home vs a lefthand starter resulting in a 15-7-1 mark to the under at home vs a southpaw in their last 23. I'll go with the under here.
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08-01-10 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Houston Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 30 m | Show |
The Houston Astros said good-bye to Roy Oswalt and Lance Berkman before the trade deadline. Wouldn't be surprised to see them flat here. The Brewers are a strong offense, but a lot of that gets negated by lefthand pithing where they score more than half a run less on the season. Milwaukee is now 7-2 to the under in their last 9 on the road with a total set from 9-10.5. Astros have seen their last 17 vs a lefthand starter only produce 5 that topped te total. These teams have produced 8 unders in their last 10 meetings as well. I'll go with the under here.
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08-01-10 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Washington Nationals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 1 m | Show |
John Lannon was a quality starter for the Nationals a year ago, but got into a rut this season, so bad he was optioned out to the minor leagues. He has worked out the bigs and will pitch against a Phillies team that has scored a total of 5 runs in their last 4 road games, so just better than 1 per contest. The Nationals have already had 46 games this season where they scored 3 or less. The ast 15 times Hammel has faced a team with a losing record they are 12-3 to the under. Nats weigh in at 24-11-1 when Lannon takes th mound as a dog. I'll go under in this one.
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07-30-10 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Houston Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
Roy Oswalt has been moved to Philly, so enter J.A. Happ for the Astros. Happ had a sensational year as a rookie last season, but injuries have plagued him this season, but he is off and running with a 1.76 ERA in 3 appearances. Brewers were off yesterday, and they have had trouble jump starting the offense after a day of rest, playing 4 of the last 5 under, as well as going over the total just 1 time in their last 7 series openers. Talk about getting a poor offense jump started after a day off, the Astros are now 70-33-5 to the under following a day of rest. The last 9 in this series has seen 7 of them fail to reach the total, I like the under here.
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