Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-27-10 | Delaware v. Towson UNDER 143 | Top | 66-81 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
The Delaware Blue Hens have struggled all season, and lately those struggles have become worse. The Hens laying an egg in their last 5, and own just 2 wins in their last 14. This is a team that has had 5 overtime games, which skew the numbers. The Blue Hens have topped the 70 point mark 4 times this season, but without overtime that number reduces to 0, in their 29 games! They have played 17 conference games, and without overtime just 1 reached over the 144 point total posted for this one. Towson has topped the 72 mark just 2 times in 17 conference games, so the liklihood of this getting to the mid-140s is very small. Backed additionally by a 106-47 under system the under gets the call here
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02-27-10 | Minnesota v. Illinois UNDER 135 | Top | 62-60 | Win | 100 | 1 h 6 m | Show |
The Big-10 has long been noted for being a rough and tumble low scoring conference. The Illini have always been a tough defensive team, and not much on offense, and have produced at best, 65 points in their last 4 games. The Golden Gophers have failed to reach 70 in 11 of their last 13 in conference play excluding overtime minutes, and none in their last 6 on the road. This one looks to on the high end top out in the mid 130s if everything goes right, so I see a lot of value on the under here. The last 4 times these teams met, they all failed to reach the total. I expect more of the same here, and will go under in this one.
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02-27-10 | DePaul v. Rutgers OVER 132 | Top | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 1 h 5 m | Show |
The Big East will matchup a couple of bottom feeders in this one, with both teams playing at a much higher level than we saw early in the season. They will each feel they can control the tempo here and run on each other, and I expect morepoints here than what we have seen against other Big East teams, where they have to try to shorten the game. Rutgers generating some offense after a slow start, pushing 70 in 5 of their last 8. This one goes over the total.
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02-26-10 | Idaho State v. Portland State UNDER 149 | Top | 63-98 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
Idaho St. has been one of the weakest road teams in the country as they enter this one with a 1-14 mark on the season. Their biggest problem is scoring as they have averaging under 63ppg in league play on the road. That puts a lot of pressure here on Portland St. to at least get to 85, and maybe higher. The Vikings have not topped the 85 mark in any of their last 9 games. Idaho St. is 11-4 to the under in their last 15 posted as a dog of 7-12.5. I like this one to stay under the total.
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02-26-10 | Orlando Magic v. New Orleans Hornets UNDER 201 | Top | 93-100 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
The New Orleans Hornets have been bringing a little extra to the defensive end of the court at home. Whenever there is a total on this team that reaches the 200 mark there is a lot of value on the under. Over the last 2 seasons the Hornets have had a home game with a posted total of 200 or more and they now stand at 17-3 to the under in the 20 games. Magic at 41-18 to the under in their last 59 on 1 day rest, as well as 14-3 to the under playing an opponent who allowed 100 or more in their last game. Under gets the call here.
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02-26-10 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Phoenix Suns OVER 208 | Top | 112-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
The LA Clippers are not a good road team, or do they defend well vs the good teams. Teams with a winning record have averaged 106ppg against the Claippers, and when you look at how they have defended the top 10 offenses on the road, the Clippers are allowing 112.4ppg. That has led the Clippers to play to a 37-14-1 mark to the over in their last 52 road games vs a team with a winning home record, and that includes 17-5 to the over as a dog of 5-10.5. Phoenix after a win of 10+ has played 23-9 over in their next game. I'll go with the over here.
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02-26-10 | Pennsylvania v. Columbia UNDER 128 | Top | 55-56 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
The Columbia Lions have quietly become the new Princeton in terms of slowdown play in the Ivy League, especially on their home court. Columbia has played to a 19-1 record to the under in their last 20 at home in Ivy play. Quakers finding the bottom of the net with greater frequency at home, where they have averaged 69.2ppg in Ivy play, but a different story when the take to the road where they are averaging just 55.5ppg. This one is set too high, and I'm going under.
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02-26-10 | Yale v. Dartmouth UNDER 125 | Top | 55-45 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
The Dartmouth Big Green has had all sorts of problems scoring in Ivy play where they have produced just 50.9ppg. That has led to a 2 year run at home in Ivy play of 11 of 12 games staying under the total. The Big Green is also 24-8 in their last 32 as a home dog, staying under the total, and their last 7 vs a team with a road winning percentage of under .400 have all stayed under the total. Bulldogs at 4-1-1 to the under as a favorite of up to 6.5. I'll go with this one to stay under the total.
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02-26-10 | Princeton v. Cornell UNDER 114.5 | Top | 47-50 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
The Cornell Big Red has not been slowed down at home by anyone. The Big Red has scored 70+ in every home game this season, and average 78ppg here. That will change tonight. The Princeton Tigers held Cornell to 48 in the first meeting, and simply plays slowdown and getting to 60 is a chore, let alone 70. The fact is no Ivy team has reached 60 vs Princeton yet this season. Princeton is now 20-4 to the under in their last 24 Ivy games, and 2 of the 4 overs needed overtime to push the total over the top. Only 1 Tiger Ivy game has gotten to 110 points this season. I'll back the under here. I REALIZE THIS PLAY SAYS OVER....THE PLAY IS OFFICIALLY ON THE UNDER!!!!
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02-26-10 | Brown v. Harvard UNDER 141 | Top | 71-91 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
The Harvard Crimson is having their best year in a longtime. This is a team with a potent attack, and the top 3 scorers all shoot over 50% from the field. Setting aside the Princeton game, they are scoring 78.4ppg at home on the season, and each of their last 5 have gone over the total. The problem here is when you get a total in this range, it takes 2 teams to score, and Brown just doesn't have it offensively. This one is going to fall short of a large Ivy total, and I'll go with the under here.
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02-25-10 | Denver U v. South Alabama OVER 124 | Top | 52-54 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
This is another huge system play, and one that has shined very brightly this season at 16-0 ATS. When the season gets late and teams have established who they are, the predictability becomes clearer. These are two good but not great teams, with a winning percentage of .510-.600 each. When these kind of teams clash in February, the results are over to a 62-16 mark, including as mentioned earlier, a perfect 16-0 this season. This game goes over the total.
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02-25-10 | Elon v. Georgia Southern UNDER 146.5 | Top | 88-98 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
Not sure what is at stake here besides pride, as a pair of 20+ loss teams square off. This is a bad situation, for a very progressive total set here. The stage is set with this matchup showing totals in a particular situation here is live, and has covered 70% of the last 150+ games, and the indicator here is for the under. Elon has held their part of the bargain at 15-7 under vs teams with a winning percentage of under .400, while Georgia Southern has done their part as well, with a 17-5 under mark vs under ,400 teams. This one stays under the total.
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02-24-10 | Detroit Pistons v. Los Angeles Clippers OVER 190 | Top | 91-97 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 3 m | Show |
Once again the NBA hardwood features a game that comes directly from the system that has produced winners for several years. This is a system that has over 2,000 games in the database, and is based on just a single condition, and one of very few I play blindly. Any system that is based on 1 condition and can consistently spit out winners and has over 2,000 games in the database is certainly viable on the NBA hardwood. This is a system play that is on the over in this matchup.
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02-24-10 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 195 | Top | 96-101 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
The Lakers have long been considered an offensive first team, but this team is very good on the defensive end. The last 12 Laker games have seen the opponent crack the 100 mark just 1 time. They have also packed that defense and taken it on the road, as they have allowed just 90.3ppg in their last 7 away from LA. Mavs have held 5 straight teams to under the century mark as well, and after allowing 131 to the Lake Show last time, they are going to bring some defensive grit to this one. Lakers have played to an 8-0 mark to the under in their last 8 posted as a dog. Dallas has been 7-1 to the under as a small favorite of up to 4.5. This one stays under the total.
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02-24-10 | Marshall v. Rice UNDER 138 | Top | 77-54 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
Marshall really hit the wall recording 5 straight losses in a season that has otherwise been nearly perfect at 20-7. They have righted the ship, and have since won 5 straight. They have gotten down to the basics as to why they were winning, and that is defense, holding each of their last 2 opponents to under 60. Rice has had trouble scoring all season, and has hit the 70 mark just 1 time in conference play without the benefit of overtime. Marshall has been bringing the defense every game, but the offense has been less effective on the road, leading to a 10-3 mark to the under in their last 13 on the road. Rice has played to a 36-14-1 mark to the under in their last 51 vs a team with a winning percentage of over .600. I'll go with the under here.
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02-23-10 | Phoenix Suns v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 201.5 | Top | 104-102 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
The Phoenix Suns offense has hit a skid, and things won't get any easier without the services of Steve Nash who will miss tonight's game with the Thunder. Nash and his 18ppg, and more importantly, floor leadership, will be missed here, at a time the Suns can least afford it. The Suns after going 26 games in a row scoring 100+ in 25 of them, and the one they didn't, they got 99, have suddenly averaged just 96ppg in their last 3 and that was with Nash in the lineup. The trend has been steadily down for the Suns who have now played 8 straight unders. Nash has not missed a game this year, and the Suns have scored 92 points or less just 4 times. The last 8 games he has missed the Suns scored 92 or less in 4 of them. Thunder has played under in 19 of 26 vs teams with a winning record, and that includes 5 of 6 played in Oklahoma City. The top 11 offenses in the NBA playing in Oklahmoa City this season have truly been cut down to size. The Thunder has had 10 home games vs the NBA's top 11 offenses, and 7 of them failed to top 90 in pre-overtime points. They have averaged 90.4ppg. I'll go with the under here.
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02-21-10 | Boston Celtics v. Denver Nuggets OVER 198 | Top | 105-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
The Nuggets are a race horse basketball team and seldom play to a total of under 200, and when you see it, the offer of playing over has been money. The Nuggets have played just 8 games all season to a total of under 200 and they have turned in a 7-1 mark to the over. This is a team averaging 109.2ppg in their last 13 here. They have also played 5 straight overs vs teams with a .600+ winning percentage. This series has seen 6 of the last 8 go over the total, and I like this one to go over as well.
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02-20-10 | Drexel v. Bradley OVER 127.5 | Top | 60-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
Bracketbuster gets underway, and I have documented systems since the inception of this ESPN spun idea for all 8 previous years. It points to weaknesses in the lines, in given areas as the books struggle to find harmony in these tourney-like matchups. Those weaknesses have been exploited to a well over 60% winning formula in this one day event, and this game fits the bill in one of these huge winning systems. This is a bracket buster system play and it is on the over in this game.
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02-20-10 | NC Wilmington v. Radford OVER 142 | Top | 68-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
Bracketbuster gets underway, and I have documented systems since the inception of this ESPN spun idea for all 8 previous years. It points to weaknesses in the lines, in given areas as the books struggle to find harmony in these tourney-like matchups. Those weaknesses have been exploited to a well over 60% winning formula in this one day event, and this game fits the bill in one of these huge winning systems. This is a bracket buster system play and it is on the over in this game.
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02-20-10 | Morehead St. v. Illinois State OVER 135.5 | Top | 62-71 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
Bracketbuster gets underway, and I have documented systems since the inception of this ESPN spun idea for all 8 previous years. It points to weaknesses in the lines, in given areas as the books struggle to find harmony in these tourney-like matchups. Those weaknesses have been exploited to a well over 60% winning formula in this one day event, and this game fits the bill in one of these huge winning systems. This is a bracket buster system play and it is on the over in this game.
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02-20-10 | Akron v. Va Commonwealth OVER 142.5 | Top | 53-70 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Bracketbuster gets underway, and I have documented systems since the inception of this ESPN spun idea for all 8 previous years. It points to weaknesses in the lines, in given areas as the books struggle to find harmony in these tourney-like matchups. Those weaknesses have been exploited to a well over 60% winning formula in this one day event, and this game fits the bill in one of these huge winning systems. This is a bracket buster system play and it is on the over in this game.
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02-20-10 | Towson v. Manhattan OVER 137.5 | Top | 62-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
Bracketbuster gets underway, and I have documented systems since the inception of this ESPN spun idea for all 8 previous years. It points to weaknesses in the lines, in given areas as the books struggle to find harmony in these tourney-like matchups. Those weaknesses have been exploited to a well over 60% winning formula in this one day event, and this game fits the bill in one of these huge winning systems. This is a bracket buster system play and it is on the over in this game.
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02-20-10 | Tennessee-Martin v. Ball State OVER 129.5 | Top | 52-68 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
Bracketbuster gets underway, and I have documented systems since the inception of this ESPN spun idea for all 8 previous years. It points to weaknesses in the lines, in given areas as the books struggle to find harmony in these tourney-like matchups. Those weaknesses have been exploited to a well over 60% winning formula in this one day event, and this game fits the bill in one of these huge winning systems. This is a bracket buster system play and it is on the over in this game.
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02-20-10 | Boston U. v. Delaware OVER 139.5 | Top | 78-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
Bracketbuster gets underway, and I have documented systems since the inception of this ESPN spun idea for all 8 previous years. It points to weaknesses in the lines, in given areas as the books struggle to find harmony in these tourney-like matchups. Those weaknesses have been exploited to a well over 60% winning formula in this one day event, and this game fits the bill in one of these huge winning systems. This is a bracket buster system play and it is on the over in this game.
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02-20-10 | Louisiana Tech v. Northeastern OVER 134 | Top | 70-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
Bracketbuster gets underway, and I have documented systems since the inception of this ESPN spun idea for all 8 previous years. It points to weaknesses in the lines, in given areas as the books struggle to find harmony in these tourney-like matchups. Those weaknesses have been exploited to a well over 60% winning formula in this one day event, and this game fits the bill in one of these huge winning systems. This is a bracket buster system play and it is on the over in this game.
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02-20-10 | Siena v. Butler OVER 141 | Top | 53-70 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 60 m | Show |
Bracketbuster gets underway, and I have documented systems since the inception of this ESPN spun idea for all 8 previous years. It points to weaknesses in the lines, in given areas as the books struggle to find harmony in these tourney-like matchups. Those weaknesses have been exploited to a well over 60% winning formula in this one day event, and this game fits the bill in one of these huge winning systems. This is a bracket buster system play and it is on the over in this game.
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02-19-10 | William & Mary v. Iona OVER 122 | Top | 53-69 | Push | 0 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
Braclketbuster gets underway, and I have documented systems since the inception of this ESPN spun idea for all 8 previous years. It points to weaknesses in the lines, in given areas as the books struggle to find harmony in these tourney-like matchups. Those weaknesses have been exploited to a well over 60% winning formula in this one day event, and this game fits the bill in one of these huge winning systems. This is a bracket buster system play and it is on the over in this game.
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02-19-10 | Indiana Pacers v. New Orleans Hornets UNDER 205 | Top | 101-107 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
The New Orleans Hornets have lost Chris Paul, and their last 2 games have played under the total. What is more important here, is the Hornets have played 17games with a total posted at 200 or more at home in the last 2 years, and have gone 15-2 to the under. The Pacers in their last 11 road games vs a team with a winning record have topped out at 102 points, and have averaged just 93.8ppg. Overall the Pacers offense has been slowed by the better teams, and in their last 20 against a team with a winning record they have played to a 17-3 mark to the under. Hornets always more defensive minded at home have now played to a 28-13 mark to the under in their last 41 in New Orleans. These teams have also played 20-6-1 to the under in their last 27, and that includes 9-1 at New Orleans in their last 10. I'll go under in this one.
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02-19-10 | Yale v. Princeton UNDER 113.5 | Top | 58-82 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
The Princeton Tigers are back, and that means the Princeton offense is back in charge controlling games. The Tigers in Ivy play average 42.86 shots a game to their opponents 44.7. There are an average of 9 made 3's and 22 made free throws. Princeton is playing some great "D" holding teams to 35.4^ shooting while shooting 45% themselves. If Princeton is involved here in their average Ivy game the total here should be 105, so there are 8 points worth of value in this one. The Tigers home games have totalled 100.1ppg, and overall they have played under in 20 of their last 26. I'll make this a GAME OF THE YEAR TOTAL ON THE UNDER
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02-19-10 | Old Dominion v. Northern Iowa OVER 112.5 | Top | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
Braclketbuster gets underway, and I have documented systems since the inception of this ESPN spun idea for all 8 previous years. It points to weaknesses in the lines, in given areas as the books struggle to find harmony in these tourney-like matchups. Those weaknesses have been exploited to a well over 60% winning formula in this one day event, and this game fits the bill in one of these huge winning systems. This is a bracket buster system play and it is on the over in this game.
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02-18-10 | Arkansas Little Rock v. Denver UNDER 127 | Top | 57-62 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
The Arkansas Little Rock Trojans have taken the donut on the road this season at 0-12, and likely won't punch into the win column here. They have had a lot of trouble scoring against the good teams, as they average just 58.4ppg as a 10+ point underdog. The Pioneers have played in the 50s or less themselves 10 times this season, including each of the last 2. Arkansas Little Rocks inept offense on the road has led them to play to a 17-4 under mark in their last 21 on the highway. This one may have trouble reaching 120, and I like the under here.
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02-17-10 | Cal Poly Slo v. CS Northridge UNDER 148 | Top | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
Coming off a game that went into overtime, and featured 225 total points scored, CS Northridge is getting some hedge points in the total here at 148. The fact of the matter is in their previous 7 games none topped this mark, and the average points scored was 129.5ppg, almost 20 points less than what is offered here. This is a team that has played under in 9 of their last 12. Cal-Poly is also off a high scoring overtime contest featuring 171 total points scored, good for boosting this one as well. They have only played 1 of their previous 7 over this number. Cal Poly is 18-8 under vs teams with a winning percentage of under .400. This one stays under the total.
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02-17-10 | Phoenix Suns v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 218 | Top | 97-107 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
Anytime the Suns hit the court, the thought is over, as they score a lot of points, while playing little defense. The Suns have been 100+ in 13 straight games. The problem is the oddsmakers juice their totals knowing the public score, and love for offense and overs. Despite averaging 108.4ppg in their last 5 they all have gone under, as have 14 of their last 21 on the road. Dallas is 6-1 to the under as a favorite of 4.5 or less, and 4-1 under off a loss of 10 or more points. I like this one to stay under the total.
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02-17-10 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 215 | Top | 109-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
Memphis had it all going as the offense was clicking as good as ever. They went through a 19 game stretch averaging 108.6ppg. Things have come to a screeching halt, and this young team has taken a confidence hit, and the points that were coming so easy, no longer are. Memphis has gone from that 108.6ppg team to a 94.6ppg team over their last 11. Raptors are scoring 100+ with regularity, topping the century mark in 17 straight. Despite of that it takes 2 teams to top a big total, and just 3 of their last 9 would have reached this number. These teams have historically played under as 16 of the last 19 meetings have failed to top the total, and that includes the last 6 in Toronto. Under gets the call here.
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02-17-10 | Illinois Chicago v. Butler UNDER 130.5 | Top | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
The Butler Bulldogs aren't a bigtime winning team because of their offense, they do it on the defensive end of the floor. The offense has reached 75 just 5 times this season, which isn't a common component of a team that is 23-4. They are 15-0 in league play because not a single team has scored more than 67 against them. They are allowing just 57ppg at home in league play. Holding that average, would mean Butler needs to put up 74+ in this one to push this over the total, something they seldom do. Flames have been in the 50s or less 10 times this season, and 5 of their last 7 vs a winning team have gone under. Butler at 19-9-1 to the under as a favorite of 13 or more. I'll go with the under here.
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02-17-10 | Northern Illinois v. Western Michigan UNDER 145.5 | Top | 81-90 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
The Western Michigan Broncos after scoring 70 plus in 8 of 10 games, have suffered offensively, and in their last 4 has averaged just 61.3ppg. To put that in perspective their previous 13 games saw them score 66 or more in 12 of them, so this team is really struggling at the offensive end. Huskies have had some offensive nightmares of their own having scored in the 40s 5 times this season. Huskies not packing the offense on the road, leading to a 7-3-1 mark to the under in their last 11 road tilts. Broncos now 12-5 to the under vs road teams winning at a less than .400 clip, and the last 6 meetings here, have seen the under prevail in 5 of them. This one stays under the total.
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02-16-10 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Detroit Pistons UNDER 198 | Top | 85-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
The Detroit Pistons have not scored 100 points in a game for 28 straight games now excluding overtime. That makes this total appear to be extremely high, considering they are a favorite in this one, and would need to get to 100 to push this one over. The Pistons have also only allowed 5 teams to reach the century mark on them at home all season. T-Wolves have been an under team when they have had 3 or more days rest, as they have gone 9-3 to the under in their last 12, with the Pistons at 15-5 to the under in that same situation. These teams have played 9-3-1 to the under in their last 13 meetings. I like this one to stay under the total.
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02-16-10 | Princeton v. Pennsylvania UNDER 113 | Top | 58-51 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
Princeton Tigers back making noise in the Ivy entering here at 5-1, and challenging Cornell for the top spot. The methodical style is back in form and through 6 games, the Tiger Ivy games have all been south of 110 total points, with all 6 playing under. The Tigers have now played 18-3 to the under in their last 21 Ivy tilts, and a team that was once playing to totals of under 100, returns to form, but facing totals in the 110s. The Quakers have been in the 40s and 50s in half their Ivy games already, and vs Princeton the liklihood of that becoming 4 is extremely high. Quakers have played to the under to a 14-6-1 mark in their last 21. This one stays under the total.
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02-15-10 | Rider v. St Peter's OVER 128 | Top | 72-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
The Rider Broncos have suddenly found their offense. They did not go more than 2 games in a row through their first 22 (excluding OT points), scoring 70 points or more. The Broncos have caught fire at the offensive end, and have pushed the 70 point mark now in each of their last 5 games, averaging 75ppg in the process. They played a game vs St. Peter's that saw 143 points scored earler in the season, when the offense was not clicking. St. Peter's offense has come alive as well. The Peacocks scored just 60ppg over their first 15, but over their last 9, have bumped that mark to 67.3ppg. This one is set too low as the offenses on both sides have come alive, and I'll play this one over the total.
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02-15-10 | Western Carolina v. NC Greensboro UNDER 144 | Top | 75-70 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
Western Carolina was off to a 16-4 start, but have really bogged down of late, where they are just 2-4 in their last 6, losing 3 straight. Before the slide, in their previous 8, this team was peaking offensively averaging 87.5ppg, but over the last 6, that offense has produced 72.8ppg, a full 15 less a night. NC Greensboro isn't very offensive, nor are they in a hurry as their last 9 games have averaged just 129.7ppg, topping out at 148, and they are 16-7 to the under in their last 23 at home. This one is set to high, and I'm playing for this one to stay under the total.
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02-14-10 | Minnesota v. Northwestern UNDER 134.5 | Top | 74-77 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
Northwestern is having one of their best year's ever at 16-8, and has been very defensive at home, where the last 5 Big-10 opponents have scored just 61ppg. Gophers proving to be pretenders, as they are just 3-6 over their last 9 games, and scoring has been a problem for this club. Outside of road games vs Indiana, and Iowa the cellar dwellers in the conference, the other 4 roadies shows just 60.5ppg. That means Northwestern is likely to need mid 70s at least to push this one over, something they have only managed against helpless Indiana in their last 12 games. I'll go with the under in this one.
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02-13-10 | Iowa v. Purdue UNDER 128.5 | Top | 40-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
This is a Purdue team that plays some major defense at home, facing a Hawkeye team that struggles to score. The numbers at home read like this. Wisconsin 57, Minnesota 60, W. Virginia 62, Wake Forest 58. I don't see this Hawkeye team breaking any better than the low 50s at best here. When you consider that Purdue has only gotten to 80 just 1 time in their last 12 games, this one will have a hard time pushing the total over the top. Hawkeyes playing at 8-2 to the under on the road, and the last 13 meetings between these clubs have produced 9 of 13 unders. I'll go under in this one.
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02-13-10 | Arkansas v. Alabama UNDER 138.5 | Top | 68-73 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
This total simply put, is set way to high. The Tide has played solid defense the entire season, and doesn't have an explosive offense either. It has led to them playing to a 15-4-1 mark to the under on the season. They are allowing just 60.7ppg in conference play through 10 games, and just 57.8ppg at home which include games with Tennessee, and Vandy. Razorbacks have been explosive at home, but it hasn't translated on the road or neutral court where they are at just 66ppg. Good defensive teams held them to 47, and 47 points, and as a dog up to 6.5 they are 8-3 under. Tide comes in here at 8-1 to the under as a favorite. I'm going with the under in this one.
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02-12-10 | Columbia v. Princeton UNDER 109.5 | Top | 45-55 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
A very intriguing matchup here between the old Princeton, and the new Princeton, the Columbia Lions. The Tigers have gotten back on track at 4-0 in the Ivy, and back to running the famed Princeton offense, which has led to a 16-3 under mark in their last 19 overall in Ivy play. Not to be outdone, the Lions have now played under to a 30-10 mark in their last 40 overall, and a 25-9 under mark in Ivy play last 34. The Lions are even more under bound vs teams with a .500+ winning percentage, playing to a 15-3 under mark. I'm playing this one under the total.
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02-12-10 | Dartmouth v. Brown UNDER 118.5 | Top | 60-75 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
The Dartmouth Big Green has had all kinds of issues on the offensive end this season. They have scored 51 or less in 55% of their games this season, and through 5 Ivy contests, Dartmouth has managed an average of 47ppg. The Brown Bears haven't exactly been lighting it up either, as they have managed just 55.4ppg in their last 5 Ivy tilts. Combined on the season these teams are 10-0-1 to the under in Ivy play this season. Dartmouth is now 24-9 to the under in their last 33 Ivy contests, and Brown is now 18-7-1 to the under in their last 26. This one looks to play in the 50s or lower and I'm going with the under here.
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02-11-10 | San Antonio Spurs v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 204.5 | Top | 111-92 | Win | 102 | 16 h 6 m | Show |
These teams matched up in San Antonio less than 2 weeks ago and managed just 192 points between them. San Antonio is not going to let the Nuggets run up and down the floor here. The last 13 road games the Spurs have played has seen just 2 go over 100 and one of those scored 101. (excluding OT). The last 13 road games has seen them allow just 93.6ppg. The Spurs vs teams with a winning record, are now 22-6 to the under in their last 28, and 7 straight unders vs teams with a winning percentage of .600+. Nuggets are now 20-6 to the under vs teams with a winning record, so combined vs winning teams, these clubs are 42-12 to the under. I'll back the under in this one.
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02-11-10 | Pepperdine v. San Francisco UNDER 143 | Top | 47-77 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
The Waves have yet to win on the road where their offense has only been able to score 65ppg. San Francisco has a huge upset win vs Gonzaga under their belt, but not much else. The Dons have been under the 70 mark this season 13 times already. Dons offensive numbers jaded with 110.5ppg vs 2 non-div-1 teams, and 3 games that went to overtime. What is left behind is just 63.8ppg. This one may look like a high scoring game, but it won't be, as it is likely to play in the 130s tops. I'll go with the under in this one.
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02-11-10 | Denver U v. Middle Tenn. St. UNDER 122.5 | Top | 50-57 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
Both these teams play a slowdown half-court style offense, and this is likely to be a defensive struggle. The Pioneere getting nothing done on the road this season, and have scored in the 50s or less in 6 roadies on the season, and are 0-8 in their last 8 averaging just 55.6ppg. The Blue Raiders in their 7 home conference games scoring at just 62.1ppg. This game has the look of the winner struggling to get to 60, and with the total posted in the 120s, I'm going with the under in this one.
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02-10-10 | Northern Iowa v. Drake UNDER 120 | Top | 57-48 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
Northern Iowa is headed to the NCAA Tournament, and a lot of credit has to go to the defense. The Panthers have played 13 of 16 in conference with game totals under 120. They have played 15-3 to the under in their last 18 overall. Noone has topped the 60 point mark against this team in their last 10 games. They rank right along with Princeton who allows 46.5 shots per game, as the Panthers allow 49. Drake has also played low, when facing teams with a winning record on the season where they have gone 7-1 to the under in their last 8. The last 8 times these teams have met, 7 of the 8 have stayed under the total. I like this one to play under the total.
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02-10-10 | Utah v. TCU UNDER 129 | Top | 64-55 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
Both these teams have found the going difficult this season, and enter here with losing records, as the season winds down. The culprit for the Horned Frogs has been the offense. This is a team that went through the non-conference portion of their schedule averaging 73.2ppg vs a lot of cupcakes, to the reality of conference play where they have scored just 61.2ppg, a loss of 12 points on the offensive end. The result has been 9 of 11 unders in conference play. Utah has had similar problems, as they have managed to reach the 70 point mark just 2 times in their last 15 games without the benefit of overtime. Horned Frogs have played 35-17-1 to the under in their last 53 games, including 23-9 to the under at home vs teams with a road winning percentage under .400. I like this one to stay under the total.
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02-09-10 | Detroit Pistons v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 189 | Top | 93-81 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
The Bucks are a redhot team, and over their last 15 games have averaged 102ppg. The Pistons used to be a top defensive club but over their last 34 games have allowed 98ppg. Bucks have flown over the total against poor teams at home. They have put together a 29-12 mark to the over playing at home against teams with less than a .400 road winning percentage. Overall they are 36-17 in their last 53 home games vs any team with a losing road record. The last 22 played in this series has produced 15 overs, and 7 of the last 10 played in Milwaukee. I'll play this one to go over the total.
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02-09-10 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma UNDER 149.5 | Top | 72-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
The Oklahoma Sooners have been perfect at home with an 11-0 mark. They have done it on the defensive end where they are allowing just 64,4ppg on their homecourt. Red Raiders have been scoring a lot, but this is an Oklahoma team that has a penchant and passion for defense. Tech has now played 4 of their last 5 to the under vs a team with a winning straight up record, and the Sooners 4 straight unders vs teams with a losing road record. The under has prevailed in 4 of the last 5 in this series, and I'm going under in this one
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02-09-10 | Georgetown v. Providence UNDER 158.5 | Top | 79-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
Hoyas shootout vs Nova has pushed this total sky high. The fact is the Hoyas have held all but 2 opponents to 77 or less on the season. Hoyas allowing just 64.4ppg suggests this one is compensating up for the 193 points scored last out. Hoyas pack their defense for road play as they are 20-6 to the under in their last 26 games posted as a road favorite. They are also 44-21 to the under in their last 65 after an ATS win. Friars offense getting slowed by the better teams, playing 6 of 7 under vs a winning team. This series has fallen short of the total in 6 of the last 7, and I'll side with the under here.
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02-06-10 | New Jersey Nets v. Detroit Pistons OVER 187.5 | Top | 92-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
Once again the NBA hardwood features a game that comes directly from the system that has produced winners for several years. This is a system that has over 2,000 games in the database, and is based on just a single condition, and one of very few I play blindly. Any system that is based on 1 condition and can consistently spit out winners and has over 2,000 games in the database is certainly viable on the NBA hardwood. This is a system play that is on the over in this matchup.
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02-05-10 | Detroit Pistons v. Indiana Pacers OVER 199.5 | Top | 83-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
Once again the NBA hardwood features a game that comes directly from the system that has produced winners for several years. This is a system that has over 2,000 games in the database, and is based on just a single condition, and one of very few I play blindly. Any system that is based on 1 condition and can consistently spit out winners and has over 2,000 games in the database is certainly viable on the NBA hardwood. This is a system play that is on the over in this matchup.
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02-05-10 | Pennsylvania v. Dartmouth UNDER 119 | Top | 53-51 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
These teams have a combined 6 wins on the season, familiar territory for the Big Green, but completely unfamiliar to the Quakers, who ruled the Ivy for years along with Princeton. Dartmouth currently on an 8-0 under run in Ivy home tilts and has now played 67% of their last 42 lined games to the under. Quakers offense leaking oil of late, playing under in 13 of their last 17 games overall, and that includes 9 of their last 10 in Ivy play. I'll grab the under in this one.
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02-05-10 | Brown v. Columbia UNDER 129 | Top | 54-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
Oddsmakers continue to struggle with the new Ivy League Princeton here in Columbia. The Lions have not played an Ivy League home game that has gone over since March of 2007. The tally has reached 19 straight unders. Overall this team is 29-9 to the under in their last 38 lined games, and continue to be under the radar as the oddsmakers fail to recognize this team as the new Princeton. Bears in familiar terriotory playing low as well, with just 2 overs in their last 16 in Ivy play. This one stay under the total.
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02-02-10 | Detroit Pistons v. New Jersey Nets OVER 183.5 | Top | 97-93 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
Once again the NBA hardwood features a game that comes directly from the system that has produced winners for several years. This is a system that has over 2,000 games in the database, and is based on just a single condition, and one of very few I play blindly. Any system that is based on 1 condition and can consistently spit out winners and has over 2,000 games in the database is certainly viable on the NBA hardwood. This is a system play that is on the over in this matchup.
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02-02-10 | Providence v. Syracuse UNDER 169 | Top | 68-85 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
The oddsmakers are anticipating a major shootout in this one, but I don't see it the same. Syracuse is a zone team, that has defended teams very well this season, and just one team has scored more than 73 on them all season. If that happens tonight it would mean Syracuse has to approach the century mark to push this one over. The Cuse has played 22 games this season, and none have topped the 160 point mark, and this one is approaching 170. Syracuse averaged 88.3ppg before Big East play started and 74.8ppg since it started. I'll play this one under the total.
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02-01-10 | Western Michigan v. Buffalo OVER 147.5 | Top | 85-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
The Buffalo Bulls are not defending anyone, and in their last 4 games they have given up an amazing 86.5ppg. They have now played 6 straight overs, running their string to 17-4 to the over in their last 21, and 53-26-2 in MAC play over their last 81 games. Broncos 5-1 to the over in MAC play and get into the 70s with regularity, and this one looks more like a game played in the low 80s to me. I'm going with this one to go over the total.
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01-30-10 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 193 | Top | 114-112 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
Portland injury woes have cost them dearly and they certainly haven't played the defense we have come to expect from this team. That has led to 14 of their last 18 going over the total. Mavs at 114ppg in their last 3 appear ready to exploit that weakness and send this one flying over the total. Couple flaws in that thinking, as the Blazers are 56-26-1 to the under after scoring 100+, and 14-4 to the under vs a winning team. The last 10 meetings in Dallas have seen the under get the money in 9 of them. This also fits a 156-91 under situation, live for this game, I'll back the under here.
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01-30-10 | San Jose State v. Utah State OVER 139.5 | Top | 58-77 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 0 m | Show |
The San Jose St. Spartans are a hot team right now, and have covered 5 straight, and have won 7 of their last 10. They have done it on the offensive end where they have now averaged 87.7ppg over their last 3, and have played to the over in 8 of their last 11. Aggies no slouch on the offensive end either, especially at home, where they have averaged 84.4ppg in their last 7. Certainly looks reasonable to see this game played in the 140s at the worst, especially considering San Jose has played 14-2 to the over vs teams with a winning percentage of .600 or higher in their last 16, and 18-5 to the over as a road dog. Utah St at 5- to the over as chalk of 13 or more, and 4 of the last 5 here in this series have gone over at Utah St. OVER gets the call.
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01-30-10 | Dartmouth v. Columbia UNDER 117.5 | Top | 51-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
This is probably the 2 most methodical teams in the Ivy League, when it comes to tempo, and neither are particularly good on offense, although Columbia can knock down some 3's. The Lions have now played 16 straight unders at home, and dartmouth is 18-9 to the under in their last 27 IVy encounters. The Big Green have scored in the 40s on 7 occasions already this season, and scored a total of 37 last night. I like this one to go under the total.
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01-29-10 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Minnesota Timberwolves OVER 201 | Top | 97-111 | Win | 100 | 3 h 9 m | Show |
Once again the NBA hardwood features a game that comes directly from the system that has produced winners for several years. This is a system that has over 2,000 games in the database, and is based on just a single condition, and one of very few I play blindly. Any system that is based on 1 condition and can consistently spit out winners and has over 2,000 games in the database is certainly viable on the NBA hardwood. This is a system play that is on the over in this matchup.
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01-29-10 | Harvard v. Columbia UNDER 133 | Top | 74-45 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
The Columbia Lions may be the new Princeton in the Ivy League in terms of tempo. The Lions have now played 15-0 to the under in their last 15 home games in Ivy competition. They have not played a single game that would have topped this total during the stretch, and overall they are 27-9 to the under in their last 36 games. The Harvard Crimson have been a decidedly under team when playing on the road where they have now gone 18-6 to the under in their last 24. I will go with the under in this one.
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01-27-10 | Los Angeles Clippers v. New Jersey Nets OVER 190 | Top | 87-103 | Push | 0 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
Once again the NBA hardwood features a game that comes directly from the system that has produced winners for several years. This is a system that has over 2,000 games in the database, and is based on just a single condition, and one of very few I play blindly. Any system that is based on 1 condition and can consistently spit out winners and has over 2,000 games in the database is certainly viable on the NBA hardwood. This is a system play that is on the over in this matchup.
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01-26-10 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Phoenix Suns OVER 209 | Top | 114-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
The Phoenix Suns rarely play a game with a total of 210 or less and are 5-1 to the over this season when posted at 210 or less, and are now 8-2 to the over since mid February of last year. This is a team averaging 112.3ppg in their last 10 at home. Bobacats after averaging just 82ppg in their first 12 this season, are much more offensive. They have averaged just about 99ppg since, and vs a Phoenix team not playing much defense I see them over 100 here. Bobcats at 38-17 to the over in their last 55 vs teams with a home winning percentage of .600+. I'll go with the over in this one.
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01-25-10 | Phoenix Suns v. Utah Jazz UNDER 220.5 | Top | 115-124 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
The Phoenix Suns offense always generates an inflated total, but this is not a situation where their offense has flourished this season. The Suns on the road vs a team above .500 is averaging under 100 points a game. The Suns have been under 100 points just 6 times all season, 5 of those have been on the road vs a winning team! Jazz stepping up the defense at home vs winning teams, allowing under 100 a game as well. Suns now 8-3 to the under on the road vs a home team with a winning percentage of .600+. I'll play this one under the total.
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01-25-10 | Orlando Magic v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 205 | Top | 94-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
The Memphis Grizzlies are definately a playoff caliber team, and have shown an explosive offense. The problem is when they face very good teams at home, they are slowed considerably. The Grizzlies at home vs .500+ teams (excluding Phoenix who plays no defense) have averaged just 94.1ppg. The Magic step up the defense against the better offensive teams, and have played under in 7 of their last 9 with a total posted at 200+. The Magic are also 68-33 to the under following a game where they scored 100+, and the last 5 between these teams played in Memphis have all failed to reach the total. I'll go with the under here.
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01-25-10 | Indiana Pacers v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 206.5 | Top | 109-98 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
The Philadelphia 76ers are purely a halfcourt team, especially at home, and it has led to 14 of their 21 home games going under the total. They have reached the 100 point mark just 5 times in the 21 games, and teams under .500 are averaging just 94.1ppg here. Pacers offense has failed to reach the century mark in 4 of their last 5, all of which have gone under the total, and following an ATS loss the Pacers are 24-11-3 to the under in their last 38. The last 6 meetings in this series have all gone under the total, and I'll go with the under in this one.
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01-24-10 | Minnesota Vikings v. New Orleans Saints OVER 53 | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
Both these offenses look like they are in the groove and will be hard to stop in this one. The Saints at home have rolled up points at the rate of the 2007 New England Patriots, as they are averaging 33.2ppg here. The Viking offense has reached the 30 point mark 11 times this season, and that includes 6 of the last 8. The ball will be in the air a lot and neither team has shown the ability to stop a high powered passing attack. There are only 7 teams in the NFL that have allowed a higher QB rating on the season than the Minnesota Vikings, so Drew Brees, at home will have a big game here. Vikings are 8-2 to the over in their last 10 as a road dog, while the Saints are 48-23-2 to the over vs teams with a winning record, with their last 5 playoff games all failing to stay under the total. I'll go with the OVER in this one.
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01-24-10 | New York Jets v. Indianapolis Colts UNDER 40 | Top | 17-30 | Loss | -110 | 129 h 38 m | Show |
The New York Fets held a San Diego team that had scored 20 or more points in all 17 games they played this season, to a season low 14 points. The Jets defense held 6 teams to season low points this season, and 2 others to their 2nd worst offensive output for the season. The Jets played several games without Tito Sheppard, but when he was in the lineup, the most points the Jets allowed not including overtime was 15, and they averaged allowing 9.7ppg. The Colts get a lot of ink regarding their offense, but this has not been a banner year for Peyton Manning who has thrown 16 INT's on the season. Where the Colts don't get any ink is on defense, but they have held 11 of 15 opponents (last 2 games excluded because starters sat), to 17 points or less. No game for the Jets this season has scored more than 38 total points with Sheppard and Revis in the lineup together. (Indianapolis game excluded as starters sat and Jets scored 29). This total is set way too high, and it is my NFL PLAYOFF TOTAL OF THE YEAR!
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01-23-10 | Colorado State v. New Mexico OVER 137 | Top | 64-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Lobo Land abuzz again as New Mexico is off to a 17-3 start. The Rams have really struggled vs the 2 top teams on their schedule allowing 80 to UNLV and 91 to BYU. Lobos can really fill it, and would expect them to create an uptempo game and Colorado St. has shown they are vulnerable. The Rams are 21-6 to the over in their last 27 conference games, while the Lobos are 16-5 to the over after a blowout win of 20 or more. I like this one to go over the total.
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01-23-10 | Kansas v. Iowa State OVER 146 | Top | 84-61 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
The Iowa St. Cyclones have been in high scoring games against all the top teams on their schedule. Duke 151, Texas 173, Houston 157, Iowa 152. This is an excellent offensive team, and can really light it up from deep. Kansas has already cranked out 80+ in 13 games this season, so they will certainly look to uptempo here, and 3 of the last 4 opponents have been in the 70s vs the Jayhawks. Cyclones now 19-9-1 to the over as a dog in their last 29, and 16-5-1 in the range of 7-12.5, and 4 of the last 5 here have topped the total. I'll play this one over the total.
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01-22-10 | Yale v. Brown UNDER 140.5 | Top | 71-63 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
The Brown Bears played 14 Ivy league games a year ago with just 1 going over this total. The Yale Bulldogs played 14 Ivy League games a year ago, with just 2 going over this total, so combined these teams have not reached this total in 25 of 28 games. This season these teams met and scored 141, which is not going to happen here, as most Ivy return games are lower scoring, as was the case last year between thee clubs with the return game scoring 20 points less. This also fits a 71% system that has over 125 games in it, that is on the under in this one, and the call is to go UNDER in this one.
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01-21-10 | Middle Tenn. St. v. UL Monroe UNDER 128.5 | Top | 69-60 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
Warhawks really struggling at the offensive end, has led to 5 straight unders. LA Monroe has averaged just 62ppg in their last 5. Middle Tennessee has struggled on the offensive end all season, and it has led to 9 unders in their 10 lined games, and have topped this total just 1 time in their last 9 games played. MTSU now 45-22-1 to the under in their last 68 overall, and 38-13-1 after a straight up win. This one is low and slow, and I like this to stay under the posted total.
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01-20-10 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Minnesota Timberwolves OVER 199 | Top | 94-92 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
Once again the NBA hardwood features a game that comes directly from the system that has produced winners for several years. This is a system that has over 2,000 games in the database, and is based on just a single condition, and one of very few I play blindly. Any system that is based on 1 condition and can consistently spit out winners and has over 2,000 games in the database is certainly viable on the NBA hardwood. This is a system play that is on the over in this matchup.
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01-18-10 | New Jersey Nets v. Los Angeles Clippers OVER 195.5 | Top | 95-106 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
Once again the NBA hardwood features a game that comes directly from the system that has produced winners for several years. This is a system that has over 2,000 games in the database, and is based on just a single condition, and one of very few I play blindly. Any system that is based on 1 condition and can consistently spit out winners and has over 2,000 games in the database is certainly viable on the NBA hardwood. This is a system play that is on the over in this matchup.
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01-16-10 | Baltimore Ravens v. Indianapolis Colts UNDER 44 | Top | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 37 h 57 m | Show |
The Baltimore Ravens had a pretty simple game plan for the New England Patriots. They ram the ball 75% of the time at 5ypc and went well over 200 yards. Ray Rice is quickly emerging as one of the top backs, and most versatile backs in the NFL. He was the only back in over 2 seasons to run for over 100 yards against the Steelers. The Ravens are lacking for quality recievers, so Rice has become a big option there as well catching 78 out of the backfield. The Colts are going to do one thing, they are going to throw the football. They did not have a single back gain 100 yards this season, and in fact topped the 100 yard mark just 3 times as a team all year. Both these teams are in the top 10 in the NFL in fewest points allowed per game, and did a good enough job against each other in the regular season meeting to finish with just 32 total points scored. The Ravens defense with Ray Reed is on a different level. The last 5 games they have been as good as ever allowing 210 yards a game, and just 12 points. The last 11 weeks the Ravens are allowing just 13.2ppg, and of the 11 weeks, just 2 of them have seen the total points top this mark. The last 4 years have seen the Colts 1st playoff offense produce a maximum of 24 points, and average just 20.5ppg. I like this one to stay under the total.
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01-16-10 | Arizona Cardinals v. New Orleans Saints UNDER 57 | Top | 14-45 | Loss | -105 | 139 h 21 m | Show |
After watching the Arizona Cardinals defense not able to stop the Packers passing attack all game, and Curt Warner racking up a 150+ QB rating against the #2 rated defense in the NFL, the oddsmakers are forced to make this total really inflated. The fact is Arizona played one of 16 regular season games that scored more than this total. That was just one of those games, that built offensive momentum and was a total shootout. The influenece it has on this total is large. Large enough to be the highest posted total for a division round playoff game ever, and the most by a TD in the last 14 years. The Cardinals played well on the road this season, but for one reason, they played against 0 playoff teams. The Saints after averaging 36.7ppg through their first 12, finished the season averaging just 17.5ppg in their last 4. The Saints played 5 of their first 7 games that would have gone over this total, but just their overtime game vs Washington would have gone over this total in their last 9. The Saints played 6 of their last 7 under while until this crazy game vs Green Bay, the Cards have played under in 6 of their last 7 as well. Remember the Cards played against 5 of the top 10 offenses in the regular season, and not a single game got out of the 40s, and New Orleans faced 3 teams in the top 10, with just 1 going over. This is a severe over-reaction by the books, and I'll go with the under in this one as my NFL PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR!!!
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01-16-10 | Cleveland State v. Valparaiso UNDER 133 | Top | 71-78 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
The Valparaiso Crusaders have hit conference play and watched their offense stall, as they have produced 58 points or less in 4 of their last 6. They will face a Cleveland St. team that has produced an average of just 62ppg away from their home floor. This looks to be a game where the winner is putting up 65 or less, and with a total into the 130s, it is marked to the under. It is also tabbed to be an under play backed by a system that has proven itself at 26-3 to the under, that is live for this one. Cleveland St. is 20-7 to the under vs teams that have a winning percentage of under .400 in their last 27, and I'm backing the under in this one.
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01-15-10 | Washington Wizards v. Chicago Bulls OVER 199 | Top | 119-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
The Chicago Bulls have finally found some offense. This is a team that scored a maximum of 101 points through their first 28 games. What has happened since has been remarkable, as the Bulls have scored 101,104,108,110, and 120 in 5 of their last 9. That means in the past 9 games they have equalled or surpassed their team high through the first 28 games 5 times! The Buls are a hot offensive team, and after a straight up win by 10+ they have followed by playing to a 22-6 mark to the over in their nect game. Wizards have played 7 of their last 8 vs the NBA Central to the over, and I like this one o play over the total.
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01-15-10 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Memphis Grizzlies OVER 207.5 | Top | 110-135 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
Once again the NBA hardwood features a game that comes directly from the system that has produced winners for several years. This is a system that has over 2,000 games in the database, and is based on just a single condition, and one of very few I play blindly. Any system that is based on 1 condition and can consistently spit out winners and has over 2,000 games in the database is certainly viable on the NBA hardwood. This is a system play that is on the over in this matchup.
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01-15-10 | Sacramento Kings v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 207 | Top | 86-98 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
The Sacramento Kings are coming off a humiliating home loss to Orlando by 21 points. It is the tendency of a poor defensive team, one that allows over 103ppg to come back after a huge blowout loss, with some defensive fire. These teams have followed up by playing to a 121-68 mark to the under, good for 64%. Toss in the fcat that the Sixers are 24-11-1 to the under in their last 36 as a hme favorite of 4.5 or less, and you have a solid under play in this one.
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01-15-10 | Marist v. Loyola (Md.) OVER 124 | Top | 61-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
Red Foxes 1-15 mark usually means low totals, as their incompetent record is seen by the books as a liability to an average total. Marist has responded by playing 5 of their 7 totals to the over. Greyhounds meanwhile have played to a 14-6 mark to the over after an ATS loss. These teams have displayed a history, playing in Maryland of playing above the total, as the last 4 meetings have gone over the posted total, and I like this one to do the same, Over gets the nod.
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01-14-10 | Wright State v. Wisc. Green Bay UNDER 128 | Top | 66-68 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
The Wright St. Raiders have played tough defensively all season. They have held 10 of their opponents to 57 points or less, and I expect this one to play in the 50s. They have also played 7 of their last 9 kined games to the under. Wisconsin Green Bay has now played under in each of their last 5 conference games, and has averaged just 57ppg in the last 4. These teams have historically played under in Green Bay, as the last 4 have all faled to reach the total. I'm going with the under in this one.
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01-12-10 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Memphis Grizzlies OVER 199 | Top | 102-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
Once again the NBA hardwood features a game that comes directly from the system that has produced winners for several years. This is a system that has over 2,000 games in the database, and is based on just a single condition, and one of very few I play blindly. Any system that is based on 1 condition and can consistently spit out winners and has over 2,000 games in the database is certainly viable on the NBA hardwood. This is a system play that is on the over in this matchup.
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01-12-10 | Ohio State v. Purdue UNDER 136 | Top | 70-66 | Push | 0 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
The Boilermakers will be playing with an edge here, after dropping their first game of the season. The Purdue defense is extremely sticky, and even moreso at home. The Boilers are allowing just 59 points a game at home, and noone has topped the 65 point mark in the 8 played here. Last year they played 9 conference home games to an average total points scored of 122.8ppg. The Buckeyes managed only 50 here last year. Buckeyes have played 6 of their last 7 short of the total, and on the road vs teams .600+ they are 12-3 t the under in their last 15. I'm going for the under here.
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01-10-10 | Green Bay Packers v. Arizona Cardinals OVER 47 | Top | 45-51 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
While the New Orleans Saints offense gets all the ink, it is the Packer offense that has been under the radar. The Packers have been quietly consistent, scoring 21 points or more in all but 1 game this season. Since they patched up their offensive line, and Rodgers isn't getting sacked several times a game, the Packers offense in the last 6 has averaged 33.2ppg, and almost 40ppg over the last 3. They have also showed some cracks vs top passing QB's as Minnesota scored 30 and 38 against them, and Pittsburgh 37, so I expect that Arizona will get a few points of their own here. It has been a feast or famine Packer defense, allowing 30+ on 5 occasions and 14 or less on 8. This one looks like a shootout, and I'll play it to go over the total.
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01-10-10 | Baltimore Ravens v. New England Patriots UNDER 43.5 | Top | 33-14 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
The Ravens and the Pats are both in the top 11 on the defensive side of the ball. The Pats are banged up with Brady suffering from a rib injury and Wes Welker out, which means their defense is going to have to be a big part of this game. The weakest link to the Pats defense is their run stop unit allowing 4.44 yards per carry, and I'd look for the Ravens to test that early. The Ravens defense has gotten better as the season went on and held 8 of their last 10 opponents to 17 points or less at just 13.1ppg. It led to a 7-2-1 under mark in their last 10. The Pats are known for low scoring playoff games, and I think we have another one here. I'm going with the under here.
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01-09-10 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Chicago Bulls OVER 199 | Top | 96-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
Once again the NBA hardwood features a game that comes directly from the system that has produced winners for several years. This is a system that has over 2,000 games in the database, and is based on just a single condition, and one of very few I play blindly. Any system that is based on 1 condition and can consistently spit out winners and has over 2,000 games in the database is certainly viable on the NBA hardwood. This is a system play that is on the over in this matchup.
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01-09-10 | Indiana Pacers v. Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 206 | Top | 102-108 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
Once again the NBA hardwood features a game that comes directly from the system that has produced winners for several years. This is a system that has over 2,000 games in the database, and is based on just a single condition, and one of very few I play blindly. Any system that is based on 1 condition and can consistently spit out winners and has over 2,000 games in the database is certainly viable on the NBA hardwood. This is a system play that is on the over in this matchup.
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01-09-10 | West Virginia v. Notre Dame UNDER 149 | Top | 68-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
Notre Dame likes to get up and down the floor, but the Mounties will offer more resistance here than what they have seen to date, West Virginia is allowing just 61.3ppg this season excluding overtime. It is a team that really steps up the effort on the defensive end vs good teams, as 10 of their last 11 have gone under the total vs teams with a winning record. irish offering same under signature vs a team with a winning record, as they have also played 10 of their last 11 under. The final straw shows these teams don't buck that history as they have played 10 of the last 11 meetings to the under, as well as 4 straight at Notre Dame. I'll go with the under here.
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01-09-10 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Charlotte Bobcats OVER 200.5 | Top | 87-89 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
Once again the NBA hardwood features a game that comes directly from the system that has produced winners for several years. This is a system that has over 2,000 games in the database, and is based on just a single condition, and one of very few I play blindly. Any system that is based on 1 condition and can consistently spit out winners and has over 2,000 games in the database is certainly viable on the NBA hardwood. This is a system play that is on the over in this matchup.
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01-08-10 | Indiana Pacers v. Minnesota Timberwolves OVER 211.5 | Top | 109-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
Once again the NBA hardwood features a game that comes directly from the system that has produced winners for several years. This is a system that has over 2,000 games in the database, and is based on just a single condition, and one of very few I play blindly. Any system that is based on 1 condition and can consistently spit out winners and has over 2,000 games in the database is certainly viable on the NBA hardwood. This is a system play that is on the over in this matchup.
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01-08-10 | Valparaiso v. Detroit OVER 138.5 | Top | 67-77 | Win | 103 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
Crusaders are drawing uptempo style vs almost all comers, as this is not a talented team, and opponents are running up and down on them for easy hoops. The result has been 74ppg piled up against them. If you subtract the non div-1 schools they have played the mark jumps to 77ppg. Titans have kept last 4 to 60 or less which actually puts them into an over situation that is 43-16 to the over in the last 59. I'm playing this one to go over the total.
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01-07-10 | Xavier v. La Salle OVER 145 | Top | 68-62 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
The points should come fast and furious in this one, as LaSalle and Xavier are both over 40% from 3 point range, and rank in the top 35 in team 3pt shooting percentage. Musketeers averaging just shy of 80 a contest and have played over the total in 5 straight. Evplorers against the 5 top teams on their schedule this far allowing 80 a night. This one should see a lot of scoring, and I'll play it to go over the total.
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01-07-10 | Eastern Kentucky v. Jacksonville State UNDER 140 | Top | 65-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
Gamecocks are proving to be a bad team, and are mired in a 4 game losing streak, with the latest loss coming at lowly SE Missouri St. The offense clicked vs some really bad teams, but as they get on their level, the last 4 have seen them at just 61ppg. This one fits into a very effective under system that has shown huge results over the last 10+ years, and eastern Kentucky fits the profile, and has been 13-4 to the under in their last 17 as a road favorite, while the Gamecocks are 5-0 to the under as a dog up to 6.5 in their last 5. I'll play this one under the total.
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01-06-10 | Cornell v. Kansas OVER 149.5 | Top | 66-71 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
The Kansas Jayhawks sure have that National Champion look heading into January. They have taken down 10 of 13 opponents by 25 or more. Cornell has been the player in the Ivy, and will likely win it gain for their 3rd straight NCAA Tournament appearance. They won't be able to stop the Jayhawks, but what they do have is enough skill players to put some points up here. Big Red has topped the 70 mark in all 4 of their games vs BCS Conference teams, and I look for this one to go over the total.
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01-06-10 | Troy v. Central Michigan UNDER 63.5 | Top | 41-44 | Loss | -110 | 491 h 12 m | Show |
The Bowls take on a world of their own, and there are a lot of tried and true longterm moneymaking situations that apply to them. One of those situations takes place in this game, one that has better than a 10 year history of forecasting a total, and this one in particular applies to this game, and has been a acash cow for years. The result has been 81.8% winners, and it is live for this game, and the call here is on the UNDER for a strong 5 unit play.
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