Buffalo and UMass both have issues to deal with here. UMass is down to a 3rd string QB, and after starting 4-2 and surprising everyone, they have dropped 2 straight. Buffalo is 4-2, but all 3 wins are highly suspect. They beat Robert Morris by just 3 and Albany by just 4. They also lost to FIU by 13. Last week. I expect a ball control offense by UMass. This game fits 2 situations against Buffalo. One is 33-80-1 ATS the other 310-185-18 ATS Make the play on UMass. 

Bowling Green has scored a total of 33 points in 4 of their games which includes a loss to Tarleton. Ball St. has played Ohio St. and Northwestern and lost to them by a combined 111-17. This has skewed their statistical numbers and they are 1-5 with all 5 losses coming by 13 or more points, so why the interest here? It's another one of those games on huge betting systems. One is on Ball St. 310-185-18 and one is against Bowling Green 33-80-1 ATS. I'll take Ball St.

This game is the worst possible spot for a home dog. It is 269-406-9 ATS. Make the play on Nevada.

Outside of the Texas game, the Ohio St. offensive machine has produced 47ppg. Their 3 home games have produced 52.3ppg. These teams have met 9 times with the Buckeyes averaging 55.1ppg and an 8-1 mark to the over. The average total points scored in the 9 games is 77.1ppg. Maryland has allowed 102 points in their last 2 games vs. UCLA and Nebraska. This game fits a situation that has connected on over 62% of all games to the over. Make the play on the over.

Notre Dame has won 10 or more games for 9 straight years, and at 5-0 this season they are well on their way to making it 10. Stanford gave up 57 points to Wake Forest last week. Notre Dame has scored 45 or more points in 5 of the last 6 meetings, and this game fits a situation that has gone over the total better than 62% of the time. I'm making the play over the total.

Eastern Michigan does not take on a road favorite role often, but when they do they have covered 58.3% of the time. They are also 10-4-1 ATS when laying 4 or more. Akron is one of the worst teams all-time in covering games at 178-224-10 ATS or 44%. They are 39-57-3 ATS as a home dog 40%. E. Michigan fits a situation for this game that is 106-50 ATS. (3-1 ATS this year). Make the play on E. Michigan.

Northwestern opened their new Stadium last week with a bang. The Wildcats upset Penn St. in a statement game with a 34-13 beat down. They are 3-1 and the only loss was at Indiana 29-23. Ball St. has given up 43ppg vs their 4 FBS opponents, and this game fits one of my best situations that has hit over 62% of the time, and even better when a B-10 team is involved. I like the over in this one.

Utah St. opened the season with a loss to FCS Idaho St as a 16 point favorite. A quick glance at the boxscore shows Utah St. out-gained Idaho St. 407-241 or by 166 total yards. They played a sloppy game and ended up -4 in turnovers. They quickly turned the tables as they played their next game against Washington as a 4 TD dog, and nearly pulled off a monumental upset losing by just 2 points.They lost to another ranked team, and beat a decent Troy team last week 21-10. Boise St. struggled to cover leading by just 3 points going into the 4th quarter. Boise St. will have trouble getting margin and consistently cover big spreads as the Broncos, as they play a slow tempo that results in the bottom 10 team in plays per minute. Utah St. despite their tough schedule is allowing just 22ppg. The Aggies fit a system that is 89-49 ATS. Make the play on Utah St.  

James Madison was a dominating team in the FCS, and have continued dominating when they made the jump to the FBS where they are 67-27 SU and 57-35-2 ATS. They have allowed 13ppg in their 41 home games, and have scored 37.4ppg. Marshall beat Missouri St. by 6 and nearly lost to Gardner Webb a 1 point win, while losing to Penn St.45-0. I like James Madison.

I like the match up here in this one. Both of these teams have played similar schedules, and their negative yards per play are about even. That should set up a line equal to a home field advantage of 3. This line has 3.5 points of value on the dog, likely because Akron has always been bad. I'll play on the overlay here and go with Akron.

Notre Dame is back to being a powerhouse and since the start of the 2017 season they are 103-21 SU, but more importantly here, they are 79-45 ATS. The Irish have given up a stingy 33 points in 4 games. North Carolina is not capable of scoring much in this game, and the Irish have put up 41 or more in 3 of their games. Notre Dame has averaged over 500 total yards in the 7 games these teams have squared off. Make the play on Notre Dame.

This game fits in a very strong situation. It plays on a road dog that ran for over 200 yards in their most recent game, but lost as a favorite. Since the start of the 2014 season these teams are 81-44-2 ATS. Navy qualifies for this game vs. Air Force. Navy is also the best road team in the country as they are 97-49-3 ATS as a road dog. Make the play on Navy.

Week 3 games have my biggest total plays. These games are all from a situation that is over 63% winners and has over 400 plays in the data set. They have won for 20 straight years!!! The play in this game is on the OVER.

Week 3 games have my biggest total plays. These games are all from a situation that is over 63% winners and has over 400 plays in the data set. They have won for 20 straight years!!! The play in this game is on the OVER.

Week 3 games have my biggest total plays. These games are all from a situation that is over 63% winners and has over 400 plays in the data set. They have won for 20 straight years!!! The play in this game is on the OVER.

Week 3 games have my biggest total plays. These games are all from a situation that is over 63% winners and has over 400 plays in the data set. They have won for 20 straight years!!! The play in this game is on the OVER.

CORRECTION: an earlier email listed this as UNDER, that was an entry error, the play is OVER 52.5.

CORRECTION: CORRECTION: an earlier email listed this as UNDER, that was an entry error, the play is OVER 55.5.

I got off to a very strong start last week, and expect it to continue. The early weeks are the toughest, but I have found something that is amazing when it comes to totals. These games have had 20 straight winning seasons, and they are good up to and including week 3. They are 61.2% over 20 years and over 400 games! The play is over the total.

I got off to a very strong start last week, and expect it to continue. The early weeks are the toughest, but I have found something that is amazing when it comes to totals. These games have had 20 straight winning seasons, and they are good up to and including week 3. They are 61.2% over 20 years and over 400 games! The play is over the total.

I got off to a very strong start last week, and expect it to continue. The early weeks are the toughest, but I have found something that is amazing when it comes to totals. These games have had 20 straight winning seasons, and they are good up to and including week 3. They are 61.2% over 20 years and over 400 games! The play is over the total.

I got off to a very strong start last week, and expect it to continue. The early weeks are the toughest, but I have found something that is amazing when it comes to totals. These games have had 20 straight winning seasons, and they are good up to and including week 3. They are 61.2% over 20 years and over 400 games! The play is over the total.

I got off to a very strong start last week, and expect it to continue. The early weeks are the toughest, but I have found something that is amazing when it comes to totals. These games have had 20 straight winning seasons, and they are good up to and including week 3. They are 61.2% over 20 years and over 400 games! The play is over the total.

I got off to a very strong start last week, and expect it to continue. The early weeks are the toughest, but I have found something that is amazing when it comes to totals. These games have had 20 straight winning seasons, and they are good up to and including week 3. They are 61.2% over 20 years and over 400 games! The play is over the total.

I got off to a very strong start last week, and expect it to continue. The early weeks are the toughest, but I have found something that is amazing when it comes to totals. These games have had 20 straight winning seasons, and they are good up to and including week 3. They are 61.2% over 20 years and over 400 games! The play is over the total.

I got off to a very strong start last week, and expect it to continue. The early weeks are the toughest, but I have found something that is amazing when it comes to totals. These games have had 20 straight winning seasons, and they are good up to and including week 3. They are 61.2% over 20 years and over 400 games! The play is over the total.

I got off to a very strong start last week, and expect it to continue. The early weeks are the toughest, but I have found something that is amazing when it comes to totals. These games have had 20 straight winning seasons, and they are good up to and including week 3. They are 61.2% over 20 years and over 400 games! The play is over the total.

I got off to a very strong start last week, and expect it to continue. The early weeks are the toughest, but I have found something that is amazing when it comes to totals. These games have had 20 straight winning seasons, and they are good up to and including week 3. They are 61.2% over 20 years and over 400 games! The play is over the total.

I got off to a very strong start last week, and expect it to continue. The early weeks are the toughest, but I have found something that is amazing when it comes to totals. These games have had 20 straight winning seasons, and they are good up to and including week 3. They are 61.2% over 20 years and over 400 games! The play is over the total.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I got off to a good start taking North Carolina +8.5 against TCU. Carolina won the game outright 15-10. This week I have a totals situation that is 224-133-3 O/U since the start of the 2012 season. winning at 62.7%!! Make the play OVER the total.

I got off to a good start taking North Carolina +8.5 against TCU. Carolina won the game outright 15-10. This week I have a totals situation that is 224-133-3 O/U since the start of the 2012 season. winning at 62.7%!! Make the play OVER the total.

I got off to a good start taking North Carolina +8.5 against TCU. Carolina won the game outright 15-10. This week I have a totals situation that is 224-133-3 O/U since the start of the 2012 season. winning at 62.7%!! Make the play OVER the total.

I got off to a good start taking North Carolina +8.5 against TCU. Carolina won the game outright 15-10. This week I have a totals situation that is 224-133-3 O/U since the start of the 2012 season. winning at 62.7%!! Make the play OVER the total.

I got off to a good start taking North Carolina +8.5 against TCU. Carolina won the game outright 15-10. This week I have a totals situation that is 224-133-3 O/U since the start of the 2012 season. winning at 62.7%!! Make the play OVER the total.

I got off to a good start taking North Carolina +8.5 against TCU. Carolina won the game outright 15-10. This week I have a totals situation that is 224-133-3 O/U since the start of the 2012 season. winning at 62.7%!! Make the play OVER the total.

I got off to a good start taking North Carolina +8.5 against TCU. Carolina won the game outright 15-10. This week I have a totals situation that is 224-133-3 O/U since the start of the 2012 season. winning at 62.7%!! Make the play OVER the total.

I got off to a good start taking North Carolina +8.5 against TCU. Carolina won the game outright 15-10. This week I have a totals situation that is 224-133-3 O/U since the start of the 2012 season. winning at 62.7%!! Make the play OVER the total.

I got off to a good start taking North Carolina +8.5 against TCU. Carolina won the game outright 15-10. This week I have a totals situation that is 224-133-3 O/U since the start of the 2012 season. winning at 62.7%!! Make the play OVER the total.

I got off to a good start taking North Carolina +8.5 against TCU. Carolina won the game outright 15-10. This week I have a totals situation that is 224-133-3 O/U since the start of the 2012 season.  winning at 62.7%!! Make the play OVER the total.

I think Bill Belichick has a good match up for this game vs. TCU, as TCU has had a change at offensive coordinator and the offense is a strength of the Carolina defense. This is an early season game and TCU will be disadvantaged here and covering more than 1 possession is not likely. Expect a much tighter game and play on North Carolina.

Northwestern had a decent season this year,but they have a bad Bowl situation this season that has gone 45-72-2 ATS, and it plays against Northwestern in this one. These teams aren`t separated by as much as the line makes it appear, so this is a favorable match up, and favorable situational match up. Make the play on Central Michigan.

This is the game of the day for sure. The B1G Title will go to either Indiana or Ohio St. with both teams coming in at 12-0. The Hoosiers have the edge running the ball, but the Buckeyes have the edge in throwing the ball, but neither are by very wide margins. This game appears to me like a statistical dead heat. Indiana will be playing this game in Indianapolis but I expect the crowd to be pretty balanced. Ohio St. is winless in 2 tries vs a team with a scoring margin of 30+. I like Indiana.

It has been a very strong year for both teams, but in particular Texas Tech. This is a tricky game. BYU is a very good team as well, but I have never seen a line on a game where a team allows 18 points per game, but are getting 13 points. That makes for a very tight range in BYU points and the line. Moreover, in game 13 when a team comes in having allowed fewer than 10 combined points in their last 2 games, they are 2-17 ATS, against Tech. Make the play on BYU.

Anytime Boise St. gets here you have to feel they will be at their best. This is the 4th straight year they have been here and they are looking for their 3rd straight title. It looks like Maddox Madsen will get the start at QB as he was injured on Nov.1. I thnk the BYU experience with this being their 4th straight trip here know what it takes to win and they have the game on their home field. Boise St. is 31-14-1 ATS from +4 to -10. Make the play on Boise St.

I looked long and hard at this game, and one thing that stood out is North Texas has scored 31 or more points in all 12 games this season. Tulane has scored 38 or fewer points in every game. That is a very narrow window, because North Texas is averaging 47ppg. The issue for Tulane is they played 4 very good offenses and gave up a ton of yards and points in those games, and while their defense is solid, are they good enough to hold North Texas down, and I don't believe they will. I like North Texas.

Jacksonville St. beat Kennesaw St. 35-26 in Jacksonville during the regular season. Kennesaw St. decisively won the battle at the line of scrimmage 579-441. The Owls ran 90 plays to the Gamecocks 56. Despite all that Kennesaw St. lost by 9 because they lost the turnover battle 4-0. Teams from the FBS that have won at least 7 straight home games (Jacksonville has currently 11 straight home wins) and playing as a home dog are 104-56-3 ATS. Make the play on Jacksonville.

James Madison flawlessly made the jump to the FBS in 2018. Since they joined, the Dukes have been great as they have compiled a record of 59-16. This season has been one of the better ones as they are 10-1 on the season. This team covers point spreads as they are 46-27-2 ATS at 65%, and when they are a huge favorite of 20 or more points they are 16-4 ATS. Coastal Carolina has had some moments of their own, but not this year. The Chanticleers have a scoring margin of -8ppg. James Madison also fits in a situation that is 162-106-3 ATS. Make the play on James Madison.

Oregon looks to put the finishing touches on a great season. The Ducks are 10-1on the season and will be in the playoffs win or lose, but seeding is important, and with a win here and certain things happening they could get a bye in the first round. Washington is 8-3 on the season, and probably deserved a better fate because statistically this team is not far from Oregon. This is Washington's championship game. Since the start of the 2022 season Washington is 25-1 SU at home, so this is no picnic for Oregon. A home dog with a line of less than 10.5 points that scored 42 or more points in each of their last 2 games is 62-34 ATS. Make the play on Washington.

Penn St. was supposed to be a National Champion caliber team this year, but are chasing a minimal bowl at 5-6, as is 5-6 Rutgers. Both these teams are even offensively, but Penn St. has a monster edge over Rutgers defensively allowing 5 yards per play to Rutgers 7.5. Penn St. hasn't quit as they have won 2 straight games allowing just 10 points in each of them while they scored 65. Penn St. is in a huge situation based in part on the last 2 games. The situation that favors the Lions is 95-41 ATS. Make the play on Penn St.

This game is strictly based on how powerful Military teams are on the road. Do you think with the training these kids are getting every day that playing a football game on the road is a daunting task? They all run the triple-option or a version of it. It slows games down and equalizes the talent levels. Military schools Air Force, Navy, and Army are a combined 199-144-5 ATS at 58%, playing as a road dog. Make the play on Army.

Syracuse fell behind Notre Dame last week 21-0 without running a play. They had a 28-0 lead after running just 2 plays. The game ended in historic fashion with Notre Dame winning 70-7. A team that loses by 60 or more points covers just 45% of the time in their next game. Syracuse has no QB's. What they have are inexperienced players that have not looked good at all. Boston College is 0-10 SU vs. FBS teams this season, but they are a favorite for the first time since late September. Despite all that, Boston College went for over 500 yards vs. Georgia Tech falling just shy of the win as they lost by 2. Syracuse has lost 7 straight games, but they have come no closer than 13 points in any of them. The Cuse has averaged losing their 7 games by just shy of 30ppg. Syracuse fits a situation that is 213-344-6 ATS against them. Make the play on Boston College.

These teams are pretty evenly matched as 7-4 Western Kentucky plays at 6-5 Jacksonville St. as Western Kentucky has an expected yardage edge of just 8ypg. Where the real edge is for this game is the venue. Jacksonville has established themselves as a very tough team to beat on their home field. The Gamecocks are 26-5 SU at home and have now won 10 straight at home. A team that has won 7 straight home games, and are playing as a home dog in FBS games to a line of fewer than 11 points are 101-56-3 ATS. Make the play on Jacksonville St.

Their may still be a way into the playoffs for 8-3 Texas, but with 3 losses and a #16 ranking they are on the outside looking in. A big win at home vs. Texas AM. AM is ranked #3 as they are unbeaten on the season. The defenses are both top shelf as each team allows just 4.9 yards per play. AM has the edge on defense, but they will be under a lot of pressure to win. Texas is 19-1 SU at home and this is a very hard place to earn a win. FBS teams playing as a home dog that has won at least 7 in a row at home to a line less than 11 are 101-56-3 ATS. Make the play on Texas.

The Ohio St. Buckeyes are the #1 team in the nation and will take to the road to face their biggest rival Michigan. Both these teams have top 10 rushing defenses, but Ohio St. averages 9.4 yards per pass attempt and should have the biggest edge on the field when they throw the ball. Michigan for the first time in over 100 years has won 4 straight against Ohio St, so the Buckeyes are going to be ready to exact revenge. Ohio St. has truly been at their best when facing a high level team that out-scores their opponent by 10 or more points a game. They are 115-81-6 ATS covering nearly 59% of all bets. They are currently 10-0 ATS in this spot in their last 10 occurrences. Make the play on Ohio St.

East Carolina and Florida Atlantic have one thing in comm. They can both move the football and score. They both average in the low 30s, so something will have to give. East Carolina will have the edge as their pass defense is much better than the Owl`s. My big interest in this game has to do with a 213-344-6 ATS situation against the Owls. I will make the play on East Carolina.

Their may still be a way into the playoffs for 8-3 Texas, but with 3 losses and a #16 ranking they are on the outside looking in. A big win at home vs. Texas A&M. A&M is ranked #3 as they are unbeaten on the season. The defenses are both top shelf as each team allows just 4.9 yards per play. A&M has the edge on defense, but they will be under a lot of pressure to win. Texas is 19-1 SU at home and this is a very hard place to earn a win. FBS teams playing as a home dog that has won at least 7 in a row at home to a line less than 11 are 101-56-3 ATS. Make the play on Texas.

The Indiana Hoosiers are 11-0 and are one game away from an undefeated regular season, and a shot at the B1G Title, and even National Champion. Purdue may show up better than a 2-9 team, but the distance between these teams is just too big for them to stay in the game long. I also think that once Indiana takes a 14 point lead or more, Purdue's will is going to be severely lacking. Indiana fits a big situation which is 162-106-3 ATS.Make the play on Indiana.

Boise St. isn't as strong of a football team they had been for a couple decades, but it is still a very strong program. Utah St is 6-5 and a win here ensures a winning season. This game is pretty much a statistical dead heat as I give the Broncos a +0.1 yards per play differential overall. This game comes from a very reliable situation that is 101-56-3 ATS. Make the play on Utah St.

The Utah Utes have had a very strong season at 9-2. They are ranked #14 in the country. They need to win there last 2 games and finish 10-2 and see if it's good enough to make the playoffs. Their success comes from being above average on both sides of the ball. Kansas is 5-6 on the season and needs a win here if they want to go to a bowl game. While it seems logical that a 5-6 team playing in their last game needing to win for bowl eligibility, will bring it, the opposite is true, they play tight and are 33-47-1 ATS or 41.2% as a home dog. Utah fits a 96-60 ATS situation as well. Make the play on Utah.

The Navy has had a good year at 8-2 on the season as they will play on the road at Memphis who comes in at 8-3 on the season. Memphis after a 6-0 start, has really fallen sharply. The Tigers have lost two in a row, and prior to that they lost to UAB as a 24 point favorite. The defense has allowed 31 or more points in 4 of their last 5 games. This pick is all about Navy's incredible track record on the road where they are a ridiculous 78-38-1 ATS. (21-5 ATS when the line is 6 or fewer points). Make the play on Navy.

The Western Michigan Broncos are 7-4 on the season as they travel to take on Eastern Michigan. The Eagles have to win their final 2 games to become bowl eligible. While Eastern Michigan has a better offense, the biggest edge goes to the Bronco's defense. Western Michigan allows just 288 yards per game, at a very good 4.8 yards per play. The Bronco's lost their first 3 games to the likes of Michigan St.,North Texas, and Illinois. They have since gone 7-1 and 6-2 ATS. They have allowed just 13.6ppg vs. MAC opponents. They fit a situation that is based in part on scoring margin over a period of time and its correlation to point spread success. This situation is 97-60-2 ATS. Make the play on Western Michigan.

This is a huge game for both teams that eye the ACC Championship Game. There are currently 4 teams in the league with just 1 loss in conference play. Georgia Tech is 9-1 on the season, and ranked #15. Pitt saw a 5 game winning streak come to an end against Notre Dame last week 37-15 as they were out-played by a considerable margin. Georgia Tech lost 2 games back to NC State in a wild 48-36 game. The Tech offense in their last 2 games has topped the 500 yard mark in both. The issue is the Tech defense has allowed over 500 yards a game over the last 2 as well. When a home favorite has allowed 6.5 rushing yards per carry in 2 straight games and has a winning percentage of ,333 or better and didn't play an unbeaten team in their last game are a woeful 3-29 ATS since 2009. Make the play on Pittsburgh.

Both tease teams have gained and allowed 500 total yards or more in each of their last 2 games. That is generally enough to have the public thinking over, but the reality is when these teams have met they have been 48-32-2 to the over, or 60% winners. I like the under in this one.

The Michigan Wolverines are ranked #18 and had a scare last week vs. Northwestern in a thrilling 2 point win over Northwestern. Michigan almost beat themselves with a -5 in turnovers for the game, as they out-gained Northwestern 496-245.Michigan has a very small chance to make the playoffs if they win out, which would include a win over #1 Ohio St. They would finish at 10-2 and have a chance. Maryland Maryland opened the season at 4-0, but hasn't won since. They have managed just 53 points in their last 4 games at 13.3ppg. Michigan fits a complicated situation that has had overwhelming success at 17-1 ATS but just 18 games in the dataset. Make the play on Michigan.

The Notre Dame fighting Irish started the season at 0-2 with a pair of heartbreaking losses to Miami, FL by 3 and to Texas A&M by 1. It looked like making it to the playoffs was going to be a daunting task that would require them to run the table. The Irish has answered that call and with 8 straight wins they are now #9 in the country. They are a prohibitive favorite vs. a Syracuse team that started 3-1 but has lost 6 straight. They have allowed better than 34ppg in the 6 losses. This game fits a huge total situation that calls for playing the over when a HF of -33 or more points is playing to a total of less than 56. These teams have gone 259-149-5 ATS to the over. Make the play over the total.

This game fits a huge total situation that plays over when a home team is favored by 33or more points, and the total is less than 56 points. These teams are 235-134-7 to the over covering 63.7% of all bets. Make the play over the total.

The Charlotte 49ers are 1-9 and will face an impossible task as they take on the #4 Georgia Bulldogs. This is going to be a lay down game for Georgia and they have a big history in these games, more than any other team in the nation. This is a layup and Georgia never approaches expectations in dead games like this. Georgia is 0-15-1 ATS when favored by 38.5 or more points since 2015. Make the play on Charlotte.

Ohio St. has the best defense in the country, and their #1 ranking at 10-0 has been well earned. They will face a Rutgers team that has one of the worst defenses in the country as the Scarlet Knights are allowing 7.5 yards per play, while they will be facing a defense allowing 3.9 yards per play. A team that is 7-0 or better and playing to a line from -25 to -37, that scored greater than 30 points in its last game and playing a team below .500 are 38-12 ATS. Ohio St. has faced Rutgers 6 times to a line under -37 and is 6-0 SU and 6-0 ATS. Rutgers faced Oregon and allowed 56 points and 750 yards in a brutal loss. Ohio St. is allowing 7.5ppg, and I don't see Rutgers stopping them. Make the play on Ohio St.

The Virginia Cavaliers have been a surprise team this season at 8-2 and ranked #20 in the nation. Virginia's 2 losses came to Wake Forest last week 16-9, and to NC State all the way back to week 2 by 4 points. They should have won both games as the Cavs out-gained NC State 514-420, and out-gained Wake Forest 327-203, but were -3 in turnovers. They also beat Florida St., and Louisville. Teams that have fewer than 2 wins than their opponent playing as a home favorite prior to game 12 and on 6 days rest and playing to a line of less than -6 and 47-71-2 ATS covering just 40% of the time. Make the play on Virginia.

Iowa is 6-3 on the season and have one of the best defenses in college football. They are allowing just 250 yards per contest, and 4.3 yards per play. The fact is this team doesn't lose by a lot because of their defense. They held Indiana to 20 points and Oregon 18, and their 3 losses have come by a total of 10 points. This will be the strongest defense USC has seen this season. Defense travels and the Hawkeyes have had many good ones over the tears as they are 41-18-2 ATS (19-8-2 ATS vs. an opponent .700 or better) on the road in their last 61. Make the play on Iowa.

The University of Connecticut is 7-3 on the season, and have been very good offensively. Facing an Air Force team that is on the road may not be as easy as it looks. The Falcons run a version of the triple-option, and can throw the ball effectively as well. The Air Force offense averages just 20 yards less per game than UConn. The Air Force has also improved tremendously. Air Force through their 1st 5 games was allowing 45.4ppg, but over their last 3 games they are allowing 19ppg. Military Academies are tough to play, especially at home. Air Force, Army, and Navy are 199-143-5 ATS on the road as a dog. Make the play on Air Force.

Kansas St. is 4-5 and needs to win 2 of their last 3 games to become Bowl eligible. The Wildcats have had a big "what if" season. They have lost 3 games by a total of 7 points, and 4 losses have come by 6 or fewer points. They will likely play with a lot of aggression vs. an Oklahoma St. team that is very bad. Oklahoma St. has given up 38 or more points in 6 straight games. A team off of 8 straight losses has covered 33% of all games, which includes games off of a bye. I think the Wildcats will bring it. Make the play on Kansas St.

The Cincinnati Bearcats at 7-2 on the season, and ranked #22 in the country will play at home vs. the 6-3 Arizona Wildcats. Cincinnati looks better than they are. They average 7.3 yards per play on offense generating 436 yards per game. Arizona is gaining much less at 6.0 yards per play, but they generate 406 yards a game, just 30 yards different than Cincinnati. The reason is the Bearcats only run 60 plays a game while Arizona runs 68. Defensively Arizona allows 79 yards per game less. That means there is a net positive in yards for Arizona which should translate on the scoreboard. Make the play on Arizona.

The Military teams tend to for some reason play better on the road than they do at home when posted as a dog. They cover 58.2% as a road dog, but just 46.3% as a home dog. Central Florida is 7-2 and ranked #25. The best part of this team is the run defense which allows just 3.2 yards a carry. That's bad news for Navy as they run the ball almost 80% of the time. South Florida has gone from averaging 21.3ppg in their first 6, to a team that has averaged 52.3ppg over their last 4. Make the play on South Florida.

When you look at the records of these two teams, there is a heavy sense that Texas A&M at 9-0 will dominate 3-6 South Carolina. That is until you look at their last 4 games vs the likes of LSU, Oklahoma,Alabama, and Ole Miss.They lost those 4 games by an average of just 13ppg. They lost none of them by how high the point spread is here. Classic case of padding a line heavy in favor of an unbeaten team. Make the play on South Carolina.

The San Diego St. Aztecs are a glittery 7-1 on the season. They will head to Hawaii where often times teams view it as a vacation, and don't compete at their highest level. This isn't San Diego St's first rodeo. They have been playing hear pretty much every other year, and in the last 25 meetings San Diego St. is 20-5-2 ATS against Hawaii. They are 10-2-1 ATS in the last 13 played in Hawaii, and 5-0-1 ATS as a road favorite. San Diego St. has also allowed just 10ppg on the season and have one of the best defenses in the country allowing just 248 yards per game, and opponents are generating 3.9yards per play. Make the play on San Diego St.

I don't think anyone would have thought that both Clemson and Florida St. would have losing records coming into this game. From National Championship talk for both teams heading into the season, to struggling even to become bowl eligible. Clemson's clear reputation for being menacing at home is driving the line here. That is not the case this season as the Tigers are 1-4 SU at home and 0-5 ATS. Florida St. is the better team all around. The Seminoles will have the advantage on both sides of the ball. After 4 straight 1 score losses, Florida St. woke up last week and trounced Wake Forest 42-7. That is more life than Clemson has shown all season. Make the play on Florida St.

Air Force at 2-6 on the season has to win out to become bowl eligible, and it doesn't look good for the Falcons. San Jose St. needs 3 wins in their last 4 games to become bowl eligible, and a win in this one would go a long way towards that. Air Force runs a version of the option, and only throws the ball about 20% of the time, and that will keep Air Force away from attacking the Spartans soft secondary that allows 8.9 yards per pass attempt. Instead, the Air Force will put the ball on the ground 80% of the time running into the Spartan's strong run defense that allows just 3.7 yards per carry. San Jose has a big opening cashing in the the Air Force pass defense that allows 10.3 yards per attempt, and San Jose St. throws the ball 43 times a game, and likely 50 in this one. Spartans on the best side of both edges. Make the play on San Jose St. 

Curt Cignetti has quickly rebuilt the football program at Indiana. He had equal success at James Madison. His teams are 11-3 ATS as a road favorite, and always come ready to play. The Hoosiers have allowed 11ppg on the season, while producing 46. Penn St. opened the season as a team that could make the National Championship game, but after a 3-0 start the Nittany Lions completely cratered and have now lost 5 straight games. Indiana out-gains opponents by 2.7 yards per play. It looks like the Nittany Lions have given up as they were beaten soundly last week at Ohio St. and won't have much left. Road favorites that have allowed 14 points or less in each of their last 2 games, and are facing an opponent that allowed 37 or more points in their previous game are highly predictable, as this situation favoring Indiana is 93-40 ATS. I also have a 40-7 ATS subset of that. Make the play on Indiana.

The USC Trojans are one of the best offensive teams in the country, while Northwestern has a pretty strong defense. Northwestern has played well enough on defense to come into this game at 5-3 on the season. They allow just 16.8ppg. The USC offense has not been as good as they were earlier in the season. The Trojans piled up 210 points in their first 4 games or 55ppg. The last 4 games the Trojans have managed just 108 points or 27ppg. I think Northwestern is in a good spot to keep this closer than it looks, or get a backdoor cover. Make the play on Northwestern.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are 7-1 on the season and ranked #13, just outside the playoffs. Texas Tech has dominated opponents as they have out-gained them by 235 yards per game.Tech was a dog at Utah but won big, and their smallest favorite line was -7 a loss to Arizona. The issue here is Kansas St. for years had had a huge home field advantage. The Wildcats are simply a different team at home where they are 140-85-2 ATS and as a dog at home of fewer than 9 points they are 26-12 ATS. Make the play on a very live dog here, Kansas St.

This game is certainly statistically backed, as Pitt has a big edge on both sides of the ball. My bigger interest is this is not a typical situation driven handicap. I have a formula I developed through SDQL that has gone 92-58-2 ATS. Make the play on Pittsburgh.

The 3 major Military teams, Air Force,Army, and Navy do a lot of recruiting in Texas. When they play in Texas, the practices are hot as players try and make the travel team. The Texas kids in the programs are always the highest represented on the roster. This makes for big games played in Texas with lots of family and friends are in the stands. These 3 teams are 36-18 ATS when playing on the road in Texas. Make the play on Navy.

This was supposed to be the top Big-10 game of the year, but Penn St. fell apart after a 3-0 start. The Nitany Lions are 0-4.The Lions not only fired Coach Franklin, they lost their seasoned and good QB Allar. Ohio St. has a dominating defense that allows fewer than 6ppg. They couple that with an elite offense generating nearly 7ypp. If you bet every game where a 6-0 team or better was posted as a home favorite you would be 180-140-9 ATS, and if it is Ohio St. in a home favorite game they are 126-103-8 ATS and 78-57-6 ATS if it is a conference game. Make the play on Ohio St.