Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-11-24 | Southern Indiana v. SIU-Edwardsville -7 | 64-67 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-09-24 | Duke v. Pittsburgh +5.5 | 75-53 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-09-24 | Vanderbilt v. LSU -7.5 | 69-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-09-24 | Texas +6 v. Cincinnati | 74-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-09-24 | Wake Forest v. Florida State +3.5 | 82-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-08-24 | Bruins +115 v. Avalanche | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units If you are feeling a little leery about taking Boston, you may want to take the 1.5 goals, but it will cost you $210 to do so. The smarter pick would be to go with the moneyline, because the Bruins are going to win this game outright. Colorado netminders are struggling, while Boston is getting outstanding goaltending. One key advantage that the Bruins have over both teams that faced the Avalanche is that they are just as capable of scoring as Colorado is. Not only does Boston have 16 goals through the first three games in January, but they have scored 30 goals over their last six games and have scored five or more in five of those contests. |
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01-08-24 | Washington +4.5 v. Michigan | 13-34 | Loss | -109 | 77 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Harbaugh owns a weak 11-21-1 ATS career mark against undefeated foes, including 4-13 SU and 5-12 ATS when not favored by 5 or more points. And for what it’s worth, this will be his first test against an undefeated opponent in the postseason. Then there is the infamous “Bama bounce” that occurs when a team beats the Tide by a touchdown (7 points) or more, as they are just 20-30 ATS as chalk the following game. Note that undefeated teams who beat a Nick Saban coached Alabama squad are 3-11 ATS the following game, including 0-6 ATS as a favorite of more than 4 points when facing a foe coming off an ATS win. Meanwhile, DeBoer stands 8-1 ATS as a dog, including 5-0 SUATS with the Huskies and 4-0 SUATS versus .888 or greater foes. He is also 6-1 SU versus undefeated foes, including 1-0 SUATS as a dog. (Beat UCLA, 40-37 as an 11-point dog). |
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01-08-24 | Howard v. South Carolina State +4.5 | 82-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-08-24 | Norfolk State +1.5 v. North Carolina Central | 58-60 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-07-24 | Rams +4 v. 49ers | Top | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 55 h 48 m | Show |
NFC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The Rams will be handing the ball to Carson Wentz, who at first glance is just 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS in his last ten starts. But he is also 7-5 SUATS in his career with teams riding a three game win streak, including 3-0 SUATS in division games. The Rams are 9-0 ATS as a division road dog, as well as 5-1 ATS in its last six division road contests. Flipping the script, the Niners enter with nothing to gain as they have the No. 1 seed throughout the NFC playoffs and figure to be resting starters for an extended period of time, with star RB Christian McCaffrey and QB Brock Purdy already nailed to the pines and QB Sam Darnold slated to start. Finally, playing on any NFL .500 or greater division road dog with triple revenge is 48-24-2 ATS since 1981 Better yet, bring them in off a win and they improve to 35-13-2, while going 19-5-1 ATS when coming off consecutive wins, including 12-1 ATS since 1998. |
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01-07-24 | Bears +3 v. Packers | 9-17 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units For openers, it’s appearing more and more that QB Justin Fields will be the Bears’ quarterback of the future. Over the past nine starts, Fields owns an 87.5 QB Rating with 1,838 yards, 13 TDs, and 5 INTs, not to mention 521 rushing yards, which is attributed to Chicago’s No. 2 Ranked Rush Offense (trailing only the Ravens) in the last three games. The Packers head coach Matt LaFleur has been reduced to 1-3 ATS as a favorite since Aaron Rodgers bolted for the Big Apple. Finally, Green Bay is 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS in season finales for the last six years. |
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01-07-24 | Kings -163 v. Capitals | 3-4 | Loss | -163 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is going to be a great game between two teams eager to rebound from losing streaks. The Capitals look to step up on their home ice but the Kings are having a good season and look to control this one from the first period. The Kings, who average 3.37 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Adrian Kempe, Anze Kopitar, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Kings should limit a Capitals’ offense that averages only 2.35 goals per game with Drew Doughty, Michael Anderson, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Cam Talbot to make plenty of big saves. The Kings should win the game with a strong performance on the road. |
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01-07-24 | South Florida +4 v. UAB | 71-75 | Push | 0 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-07-24 | Manhattan v. Quinnipiac -9.5 | 59-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-07-24 | Spurs v. Cavs -10.5 | 115-117 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Antonio continues to flounder with only two wins in their last 29 games after a 3-2 start to the season. The Spurs have a ton of youth and one has to wonder if Popovich is the right fit as a head coach for this team at this point. He is the league’s all-time winningest coach but this isn’t a team with the veteran leadership that they had in previous seasons during a reloading period. Cleveland is minus a pair of starters in Mobley and Garland yet they have won four of six heading into this contest. The Cavaliers have had success against the Spurs, taking six of the last eight in the series, and San Antonio is only 3-14 on the road this year. Take Cleveland to pick up the home win here to make it three straight victories. |
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01-07-24 | Jaguars v. Titans +4 | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 51 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The bottom line here is the heat is on the Jags, and to their detriment they are 2-17 SU and 7-12 ATS away in their final game of the season in their franchise history, including 0-11 SU in games with the Over/Under total of fewer than 43 points. It doesn’t help with the fact that Tennessee is playing with a triple revenge chip on their shoulder, especially given Tennessee’s 4-1 SUATS record in its last five games in this role. In addition, the Titans are 6-1 ATS when coming off a division road contest. Finally, Jacksonville is 2-9 ATS on the road against .400 or fewer foes, we call for the upset! |
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01-07-24 | Vikings v. Lions -175 | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 51 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Lions head coach Dan Campbell announced he will be playing QB Jared Goff and his starters in this contest. That likely tells you all you need to know here, especially with Detroit, the dominant team in this series at 6-0 SUATS, as well as 8-2 ATS in its last ten division home games. Meanwhile, Minnesota arrives alive in the playoff chase needing a win here and losses by Green Bay, Seattle, and Tampa Bay – or – a win and losses by the Packers, the Seahawks, and the Saints. You likely have a better chance of buying a Power Ball ticket. That being said, look for highly pissed-off Lions to improve to 5-0 ATS in last home games today. |
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01-07-24 | Jets v. Patriots -125 | 17-3 | Loss | -125 | 24 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With rumors swirling about Bill Belichick’s imminent departure, albeit via retirement or via a trade. With the mindset in place and the Jets in a deep decline at 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS in their last eight games, we’d be stunned if this game is not dedicated to The Hoodie. Making matters worse for the Jets, they fly into Foxborough with a 1-5 SUATS record in season finales the last six years, as well a 1-7 SUATS record in road finales. And we didn’t even mention a 1-8 ATS mark in games when coming off a Thursday performance or a 2-9 ATS log in their last eleven games on the division road. With the Pats having beat the Jets like a drum in each of their last 15 meetings in this series, we are going with what could be the Hoodies last game in New England here. |
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01-06-24 | LSU +11.5 v. Texas A&M | 68-53 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-06-24 | Texans -130 v. Colts | 23-19 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Colts who just 2-7 ITS (In The Stats) in its last nine games. The Texans are 7-0 ATS in their last seven division road games and 5-0 ATS when coming off a division road game. Toss in a 4-0 ATS log when coming off a win of 14-plus points, and there is only one way to look in this pivotal AFC South scrape, especially with the Colt’s horrid 3-17-1 ATS record in their last home games when they have an equal or greater win percentage. |
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01-06-24 | Colorado -150 v. Arizona State | 73-76 | Loss | -150 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-06-24 | Lightning v. Bruins -149 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is going to be a great game between two of the best teams in the Atlantic Division. The Lightning look to pull off the upset but the Bruins look to take over this game on their home ice. The Bruins, who average 3.27 goals per game, should constantly find the back of the net with David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with quick passes. The Bruins, who allow only 2.65 goals per game, should limit the Lightning offense with Brandon Carlo, Charlie McAvoy, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Linus Ullmark to make plenty of big saves. The Bruins should win the game with a dominant performance on their home ice. |
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01-06-24 | Rangers -183 v. Canadiens | 3-4 | Loss | -183 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rangers look like the team to beat in the Eastern Conference and they look to dominate this game on the road from the first period. The Rangers, who average 3.38 goals per game, should pile on the goals against the Canadiens, who allow 3.45 goals per game, with Artemi Panarin, Mika Zibanejad, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with quick passes. The Rangers, who allow only 2.73 goals per game, should limit the Canadiens' offense, which averages only 2.74 goals per game, with K'Andre Miller, Jacob Trouba, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Igor Shesterkin to make plenty of big saves. |
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01-06-24 | Steelers v. Ravens +3.5 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 0 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Baltimore is 6-2 outright against the eight teams seeded No. 1-7 in the current NFL playoff picture, winning the games with a +125-point differential. In fact, their only two losses were by 2 points against Cleveland and 3 points in an overtime loss to Indianapolis. The Steelers can make the playoffs with a win today and a loss by either Buffalo or Jacksonville, along with four other Wild Card possibilities. However, Baltimore’s 16-2 SU and 14-4 ATS ledger at home in games coming off a win of 35-plus points – including 13-1 SU and 12-2 ATS versus sub .600 foes – Finally, Baltimore is 12-3 SU and 13-1-1 ATS as a home dog in this series when the Steelers sport a winning record. |
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01-06-24 | Georgia State v. South Alabama -180 | 90-76 | Loss | -180 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-06-24 | UNLV +9 v. San Diego State | 61-72 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-06-24 | Green Bay +7.5 v. Oakland | 73-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units |
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01-06-24 | Miami-FL +4.5 v. Wake Forest | 82-86 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-06-24 | Central Michigan +7.5 v. Ball State | 71-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-06-24 | Virginia +1.5 v. NC State | 60-76 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Against Louisville, Virginia handled its business the way a good team should against a not-so-good one. The Cavaliers had just three turnovers and shot 51.7 percent from the floor while notching 20 assists on 30 made baskets. Ryan Dunn had 15 points and 10 rebounds while Isaac McKneely scored 18 points. Reece Beekman leads the team in scoring this season with 12.9 points per game. While Virginia struggled in South Bend, NC State was able to escape the state of Indiana with a 54-52 win over Notre Dame on Wednesday. DJ Burns Jr. had 13 points and four rebounds and sank the game-winning shot with 0.6 seconds left. The buzzer-beater by Burns was the first time NC State had the lead. The Wolfpack won despite one of their worst 3-point shooting performances of the season, making just 3 of 17 shots (17.6 percent) from behind the arc. |
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01-05-24 | Boise State -5.5 v. San Jose State | 78-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Until last season, the Broncos had dominated this matchup. In fact, they had won the previous eight games by at least 16 points in every instance but one. The only two times they did not cover the spread in that time was when they were favored by 22 points or more. They win, but simply not by 26. That makes a 5.5-point spread totally workable. There is no denying that San Jose can score, producing at least 73 points in six straight games, but Boise State can be an offensive machine, scoring 85 or more points in four of the last five games. |
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01-05-24 | Illinois +10.5 v. Purdue | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Illinois basketball program recently suspended their top scorer Terrence Shannon Jr. after he was charged with rape. Many were wondering how Illinois would respond in their first true test without him against Northwestern. Well, they beat the Wildcats by 30, the same Northwestern team that handed Purdue their only loss of the season. Illinois held the lead all game and it was never close. Marcus Domask led the way with 32 points, and Quincy Guerrier had a double-double with 14 points and ten boards in the win. |
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01-05-24 | Rider +4.5 v. Quinnipiac | 84-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Defensively, Quinnipiac allows an average of 72.7 points per game (221st nationally). Their field goal defense stands at 42.5% (161st) and their three-point defense at 33.1% (203rd), indicating a need for more stringent defense, especially on the perimeter. In their last game against Florida, Quinnipiac faced a tough 97-72 road loss. |
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01-03-24 | NC State v. Notre Dame +5 | 54-52 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-03-24 | Thunder v. Hawks | 138-141 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Thunder is playing the second game of a back-to-back situation and their third game in four nights here. Those sorts of situations haven’t seemed to bother Oklahoma City though as they have dropped the hammer on opposing teams in the second game of back-to-backs this season. Atlanta has been awful against the number this season, going 7-25 ATS on the year, including failing to cover in five straight contests and seven of their last eight. The Hawks have a rest advantage and they are at home here but their porous defense is too much to overlook. Look for Oklahoma City to take care of business again here as they deliver a road victory. |
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01-03-24 | Chattanooga v. Samford -7.5 | 74-89 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-03-24 | Furman +2.5 v. NC-Greensboro | 68-79 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-02-24 | Bulls v. 76ers -10.5 | 97-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago has beaten Philadelphia in the first two meetings this season but this one could turn out differently. The 76ers have the same two days of rest between games as opposed to playing the second game of a back-to-back situation Saturday night while the Bulls had a rest edge. Embiid has been bumped up to questionable for this contest, which would be a nice boost to the 76ers given how well he’s played this season. The Bulls are still minus Vucevic and LaVine from their starting five, while Craig takes a valuable second-unit player out of the mix. Playing on the road hurts the Bulls as they are 4-10 away from the United Center. Look for the 76ers to take advantage here and put this one in the win column. |
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01-02-24 | East Carolina +16.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Pirates followed up their win over Delaware State with a loss to the Buccaneers in their last game. They will try to bounce back from the loss with a win over the Owls, which will give them their second win in their last three games and their first road win of the season. East Carolina is averaging 72.8 points per game. They scored 71 points in their last game, making 34.9 percent of their field goals and 16.7 percent of their three-pointers. Brandon Johnson led the Pirates with 19 points, nine rebounds, and four assists. RJ Felton finished with 17 points and seven rebounds, while Ezra Ausar added 12 points and eight rebounds. |
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01-02-24 | Western Michigan +5 v. Miami-OH | 83-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Redhawks enter MAC play this season at 6-6 following a tough non-conference schedule. They have won two straight games but have had trouble offensively thus far. The Redhawks are ranked 235th in scoring offense this season. They are, however, 142nd in field goal percentage on the season and an impressive 10th in 3-point shooting. The Redhawks rank 36th in 3-point field goals per game. They are just 224th in scoring defense this season. They are ranked 305th in opponent's field goal percentage. |
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01-02-24 | Creighton -11.5 v. Georgetown | 77-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Creighton was justifiably a top-ten team until the team's recent struggles. They have size, shooting, and excellent perimeter defense. That combination of attributes is critical in the modern-day college basketball landscape. The Bluejays now square off against a Hoyas team that is in the midst of an overhaul under new head coach Cooley. Cooley eventually got Providence turned around and it started with taking care of their homecourt. Thus far, the Hoyas are 6-3 at home this season but have lost to the three quality teams they've played at home: TCU, Syracuse, and Butler. The Hoyas lost those games by just under eight points per game. The Bluejays certainly qualify as a quality opponent and are a step above the three aforementioned teams. Look for the Bluejays to dominate the glass and dominate the interior forcing the Hoyas to collapse into the paint and thus opening up the Bluejays' 40th-ranked 3-point shooting. |
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01-02-24 | Wake Forest -120 v. Boston College | 84-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Wake Forest Demon Deacons come into this game with confidence as they have won their last seven games. They had some easy wins in the stretch, but did pull off some impressive victories along the way. Wake beat Florida as a 5-point underdog, and have victories over Rutgers and Virginia Tech as small favorites. They come into their second ACC game, hoping to go 2-0 in conference play and put themselves in good position before taking on the top of the conference. In their last game, Wake was led by Hunter Sallis with 20 points and nine rebounds in the blowout win over V-Tech. |
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01-01-24 | Alabama +2 v. Michigan | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 150 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Alabama is 20-3-1 ATS as a dog versus an undefeated team and the SEC champ is 17-4 SU and 15-6 ATS in a bowl and that includes 6-0 ATS vs a perfect team. Nick Saban is also 9-2 SUATS against the conference he used to coach in, the B1G. The Tide will be the most complete team the Wolverines have faced, with Jalen Milroe being the most dynamic QB UM has seen. Michigan has been useless in bowls lately going 0-6 SUATS in the last six. |
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01-01-24 | Golden Knights -129 v. Seattle Kraken | 0-3 | Loss | -129 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kraken have played great in recent games but run into the Golden Knights who have looked like one of the best teams in the Western Conference and look to control this game. The Golden Knights, who average 3.32 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Jack Eichel, William Karlsson, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with cross-ice and centering passes. The Golden Knights should limit the Kraken offense with Brayden McNabb, Alex Pietrangelo, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Logan Thompson to make plenty of big saves. The Golden Knights should win the game with a strong performance in the outdoor game. |
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01-01-24 | Liberty +17.5 v. Oregon | Top | 6-45 | Loss | -115 | 145 h 29 m | Show |
Bowl Game of the Year Rating: 5 Units Liberty has averaged out-yarding teams +166 per game, and while we admit Oregon is a leap above in class for LU, the Flames are also 6-0 ATS vs foes coming off a SUATS loss as a favorite and a healthy 17-4 ATS off a win when facing a .500 or better opponent. Pac 12 Bowling Teams are 6-21 SU and 2-25 ATS vs teams coming off a win. Liberty Coach Jamey Chadwell brought his winning ways from Coastal Carolina, he’s 44-11 SU when his team has the better record, including 12-0 at Liberty. Not sold yet on the former conference and national title contender being unable to cover? Then consider that Pac-12 teams are 2-13 SU and 0-15 ATS since 2016 when coming off a SUATS loss with the only outright wins by 1 and 2 points. |
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01-01-24 | Iowa +6.5 v. Tennessee | 0-35 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It hardly seems possible, but taking the field in this bowl is the worst offense in the entire nation, namely the 10-win Hawkeyes of Iowa, who have been outgained in 10-of-13 games this season, while ranking 110th & 130th in rushing & passing. Right, a defense that has held 6 of its last 7 opponents to |
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01-01-24 | Wisconsin +10 v. LSU | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 145 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Wisconsin is 6-2 ATS as a +6 or greater underdog and LSU bench boss Cajun Brian Kelly is 1-7 ATS as a bowl favorite of 7 or greater. Wisconsin holds one big card, a 10-2 ATS mark as a DD underdog against a sub .800 opponent. The sense here is LSU will be punching down and not making much contact. Finally, playing against any college bowl double digit favorite coming off 3 ATS wins and a SU win if they are facing an opponent who gains 110 or more RYPG is 11-0 ATS. |
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12-31-23 | Packers +1.5 v. Vikings | 33-10 | Win | 100 | 76 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota is just 1-4 in its last five games, but to their credit, the four losses have come by a total of 12 points, and they won the stats in four of the five contests, and the Vikings also beat the Packers, 24-10, in Green Bay two months ago. However, with the Packers 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a division road dog, and 4-0 ATS when coming off a road win. They are also 23-12-1 ATS in their last 36 Sunday Night contests, including 11-2-1 ATS against foes coming off a SUATS loss. Minnesota’s 2-8 ATS mark in its last ten home games seals it. |
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12-31-23 | Bruins -127 v. Red Wings | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bruins will be playing the second game of a back-to-back set. They recorded a 5-2 home win over the New Jersey Devils on Saturday as David Pastrnak and Kevin Shattenkirk had two goals apiece. Pastrnak, who added an assist, now has 22 goals this season. Shattenkirk, a defenseman, passed the 100-goal mark for his 14-year career. Boston is 2-0-0 since Christmas after entering the holiday break on a four-game winless streak (0-2-2). |
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12-31-23 | Nebraska-Omaha v. South Dakota -165 | 67-51 | Loss | -165 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units |
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12-31-23 | Cleveland State -10.5 v. IUPU-Indianapolis | 86-77 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units IUPUI is coming off of victory over Detroit Mercy, but will lose at home to Cleveland State on Sunday. IUPUI is one of the worst shooting teams in the nation. The Jaguars are 233rd in field goal shooting percentage at 43.8 and 362nd in three-point shooting percentage at 23.4. It is just as bad or likely worse at the defensive end as the Jaguars allow opponents to shoot 49.6% overall which is 358th and 37.1% from 3 point land which is 341st. A poor shooting offense and a weak defense do not add up to many wins. Cleveland State holds its own offensively, scoring 76.1 points per game thanks to excellent shooting from the perimeter as the Vikings hit 38% of their 3-point attempts which is 32nd in the nation. Although on defense the Vikings are giving up a high shooting percent at 44% overall, Cleveland's perimeter defense is holding opponents to 29.8% shooting from 3 point land which is 71st in the country. Cleveland State has covered the spread in each of its last five games and in six of the last eight when playing IUPUI head to head. IUPUI has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 games. |
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12-31-23 | Dolphins +3 v. Ravens | Top | 19-56 | Loss | -100 | 70 h 1 m | Show |
AFC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Baltimore is just 7-7 SU and 4-10 ATS laying points in its last 14 games when coming off a win as an underdog – including 1-9 ATS against foes with at least one win on the season and 0-8 ATS as a favorite of three or more points. That fits like a glove for the Dolphins and their 16-4 ATS mark as a non-division road dog of 5 or fewer points. With Miami 8-1 ATS as a dog after dressing up as a favorite, we’ll be on the take today. Finally, Baltimore is 0-3 ATS as a home favorite behind Lamar Jackson when coming off a SU underdog win. |
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12-31-23 | Saints +2.5 v. Bucs | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 70 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units If the Saints lose either of their last two contests, they will be officially eliminated from postseason contention. There is no other scenario where New Orleans can win their division. In addition, under head coach Dennis Allen, the Saints also have an ugly 1-13 record against teams that are .500 or better at the time they play them. However, they will enter today’s game mathematically alive in the NFC South with a 5-0 ATS record when seeking triple revenge. On the flip side, the Bucs are 0-9 ATS in games before facing the Panthers, as well as 0-5-1 ATS at home off a home game. Finally, playing on any sub .500 NFL road dog off a SUATS non-division loss if they are playing with triple revenge against a division opponent is 21-4 ATS. |
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12-31-23 | Cardinals +11 v. Eagles | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 69 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It’s safe to say that QB Jalen Hurts and WR A.J. Brown pulled the Eagles out of a rut in last week’s disapproving 33-25 win over the stubborn New York Giants. But at this stage of the season, it was a badly needed victory as it stopped the bleeding and kept Philly in the chase for the top spot in the NFC playoff seeding. Today, though, they’ll need to improve off a lousy 1-5 ATS mark of late against the NFC West and an 0-4 ATS current ATS losing record. With it, the Cardinals enter 10-0 ATS of late against the NFC East, as well as 8-1 ATS of late in this series. Until the Green Birds get their act back together, they are simply too risky to be laying double digits in a NY Giants division sandwich. |
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12-31-23 | Panthers +6.5 v. Jaguars | 0-26 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jags are 1-10 ATS in their last eleven home games against NFC opposition, as well as 0-4 ATS as a favorite of more than 7 points. And we didn’t even mention Jack’s 4-9 SU and 3-10 ATS mark as home chalk the past six seasons. Carolina enters with a 10-4 ATS ledger in its last fourteen games against the AFC South, as well as a 3-0 SUATS mark in this series. The Panthers sport the league’s No. 5 overall defense, as opposed to Jacksonville’s No. 25 overall defense, the points become the play in this overlay – especially with the fact that playing against any NFL home favorite who went from ‘worst to first’ in its division from one season to the next is 33-15 ATS. |
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12-31-23 | CS-Fullerton +9.5 v. Hawaii | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys -5 | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 53 m | Show |
NFC Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Cowboys currently sit one game behind both the Eagles and Lions and are looking to crash the party. They are also riding a 15-0 SU and 12-3 ATS run at Jerry’s World, including a 5-0 ATS log when coming off a loss. Detroit enters 1-5 ATS away when coming off an away game, while the ‘Boys are 5-1 ATS against the NFC North. Better yet, the Cowboys are 12-6 ATS since 1990 at home in Last Home Games against foes coming off a win, including 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS with a .600 or greater win percentage. Finally, Dallas is 10-1 SUATS as a favorite in games when coming off a loss, including 6-0 SUATS against foes coming off a win |
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12-30-23 | Devils v. Bruins -155 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Here's another manageable money line for the Bruins that you should take advantage of today. The B's ended their four-game skid on Wednesday night and come into this game fresh and rested. The Devils, meanwhile, are playing a second straight game on Saturday night and their third game in four nights. The Bruins' defense should have the advantage over the tired legs of the Devils and keep them at bay. Goalie Linus Ullmark will be very well-rested, with more than a week off heading into this game. The Bruins will take their chances against a Devils' defense that is amongst the worst in the league. The Bruins' ability to get shots on net, ranked 9th in shots per game, will play well against a New Jersey team that is just 29th in save percentage. |
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12-30-23 | Montana -4.5 v. Idaho State | 76-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-30-23 | Heat -120 v. Jazz | 109-117 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With or without Jimmy Butler, the Miami Heat are clicking right now. Both teams have covered the spread in four straight, but the Heat did it while beating much tougher competition. Miami will beat Utah for a sixth straight contest, covering the spread in the process. Utah's greatest offensive strengths are rebounding and hitting free throws, two areas where Miami is excellent at stifling opponents. On the other end of the floor, Utah is terrible against three-pointers, whereas the Heat are the most efficient three-point shooting team. Take the Heat to beat the spread against the Jazz. |
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12-30-23 | Toledo +3.5 v. Wyoming | 15-16 | Win | 100 | 48 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A pair of bowl entrants who've met in a brief home-&-home series ('10 & '12) with the Wyoming Cowboys & the Toledo Rockets exchanging exciting 20-15 & 34-31 road wins, as 4½-pt & 3-pt dogs. The transfer portal is relentless, with this game no exception, as Rocket QB Finn (2,657 PYs, 23/9, along with 563 PYs) jumped to the Big Ten, which obviously negates a great deal of UT's overwhelming aerial edge, although backup Gleason has appeared in all 13 games. The dog was 5-0-1 ATS in Wyoming's first 6 lined games this year, before the chalk took over, covering its last 5, including an 84-15 pt edge L2 games (+45 pts ATS), while Rockets have outgained all 13 foes. |
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12-30-23 | Montana State v. Weber State -11.5 | 64-86 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-30-23 | Auburn v. Maryland +7 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 45 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Mr. Freeze needs a W so Auburn avoids the ignominy of three straight losing seasons, something that hasn’t happened on The Plains since 1975-77 and versus other quality opponents, Auburn lost every matchup In The Stats, going 0-7 with a net average of -165 YPG. The Tigers are also 1-5 SUATS in their last six bowls, 0-4 ATS in bowls when coming off back-to-back losses, and 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS in the last eight versus the Big 10. Maryland QB Taulia Tagovailoa will try to have a proper sendoff from the Terps before getting ready to join his brother in the National Football League. The Terps are 7-4 SUATS in their last 11 bowls, 7-1 ATS when coming off a double-digit ATS win and 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games. Tau leaves with a bushel full of UMD records, along with the Big 10 All-time passing yards record. |
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12-30-23 | Northeastern +2.5 v. Rhode Island | 71-82 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-30-23 | Ole Miss +6 v. Penn State | 38-25 | Win | 100 | 43 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Big Ten bowl teams are 6-11 SU and 4-13 ATS versus the SEC when a three point or greater favorite. The Rebs are a wallet loving 12-4 SUATS in their last 16 bowl appearances and since 2017 any SEC dog is 4-3 SU and 5-2 ATS in a bowl tilt versus the Big 10. Attention seeker Lane Kiffin also loves being underestimated, going 4-1 SUATS as the dog in bowl affairs. Strangely they can’t handle being the bookies choice, Ole Miss is 0-2 as the favorite in their last two bowl favorite spots but are 5-0 SUATS as the bowl dog of three or greater. |
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12-30-23 | Virginia -9.5 v. Notre Dame | 54-76 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Notre Dame has had major issues on the offensive end of the floor this season. Scoring only 60 points against Marist isn’t something you want to hang your hat on, even if it was in a victory. Now the Fighting Irish have to face a Virginia team that is suffocating on the defensive end of the floor. We know that Tony Bennett’s team isn’t going to overpower anyone on the offensive end of the floor as they rely on that pack line defense to make life miserable for opposing teams. That’s the situation here as Notre Dame has struggled to shoot the ball with any kind of consistency this season. Virginia is sixth in field goal percentage defense (36.7%), 10th in two-point defense (42%) and 27th in three-point defense (28.1%) this season. Notre Dame will be fortunate if they get above the mid-50s on the scoreboard. Virginia rolls here to improve to 2-0 in the ACC. |
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12-29-23 | Thunder v. Nuggets -135 | 119-93 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Oklahoma City has used the youthful lineup to start the season 20-9 but has a tough stretch coming up. After facing Denver, the Thunder host Brooklyn and Boston before going on a four-game Eastern Conference road trip. The Nuggets are coming off a 142-105 win over Memphis on Thursday night but didn't have to travel to complete this back-to-back set. They did have to play without Aaron Gordon, who is out for an unspecified time after requiring 21 stitches on lacerations on his face and hands suffered from dog bites on Christmas. With Gordon unavailable, coach Michael Malone started Peyton Watson at power forward, and the hunch paid off. Watson had a season-high 20 points and took advantage of the Grizzlies sagging off of him and daring him to shoot open shots. |
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12-29-23 | Eastern Illinois +8.5 v. SIU-Edwardsville | 58-67 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-29-23 | Bucks v. Cavs +6.5 | 119-111 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland delivered during a hard-fought battle Wednesday, taking down the Dallas Mavericks on the road 113-110 after needing to come-back from a 20-point deficit. Caris LeVert led the way for the Cavaliers with 29 points and seven assists off the bench. Jarrett Allen put up a 24-point, 23-rebound performance down low and Isaac Okoro added 22 points. The Cavaliers have been one of the few teams in the East to give Milwaukee problems in the regular season the past two years. They won three of the four games in the 2021-22 season and split the four-game series last season, winning the two most recent matchups. |
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12-29-23 | Nets v. Wizards +6.5 | 104-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units As the Nets embark on a four-game trip, coach Jacque Vaughn hopes his club can rediscover the defensive magic that has been missing in recent outings. Brooklyn has lost six of eight, allowing at least 121 points in each defeat. With defensive ace Ben Simmons slow to return from lower-back pain, Vaughn has called upon Dennis Smith Jr. to be a leader on that end of the court. Smith was promoted to the starting lineup Wednesday in a 144-122 home loss to the Milwaukee Bucks, chipping in with 14 points, seven rebounds and eight assists. In his previous five outings off the bench, his contribution was better represented in five straight non-negative plus/minus figures (a total of plus-35) than his 8.4 points per game. |
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12-29-23 | Charlotte v. Stetson +3.5 | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-29-23 | Brown v. Stony Brook -135 | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-29-23 | North Florida +21 v. Miami-FL | 55-95 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-29-23 | Memphis v. Iowa State -9.5 | 36-26 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There is a positive history of the Cyclones as a bowler, 3-1 ATS in bowl games when coming off a win, 7-0 ATS when coming off a SU underdog win and… yep, there’s more, 8-1 ATS as the favorite coming off an underdog role. This bowl is a home game for the Tigers, who have been mediocre in extra games, 2-5 SUATS in their last seven bowl shows and 0-8 ATS coming off a SUATS win. The American Conference isn’t known for great successes when they hit the bowling lanes, going 8-17 ATS as bowlers coming off a double-digit win and 4-13 ATS as bowlers when scoring 44 or more in their last game. |
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12-29-23 | Notre Dame -6 v. Oregon State | 40-8 | Win | 100 | 75 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The cold hard numbers favor the Irish, who are 4-0 SUATS vs Pac 12 teams off a SUATS loss and Irish Head Coach Marcus Freeman is 4-0 ATS after time off. The Pac 12 football conference is a poor 2-25 ATS in bowl games versus teams coming off a win and 0-15 ATS since 2016 when coming off a SUATS loss. |
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12-29-23 | Clemson v. Kentucky +5 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 73 h 54 m | Show | |
Bowl Game Play of the Day Rating: 3 Units Clemson is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 bowl games, but anytime the ACC matches muscles with the SEC, it tends not to go well. ACC teams are 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS in the last seven bowl games vs the Southeastern Conference. UK is 24-1 SU in their last 25 non-con games, plus 9-1 ATS when both teams are coming off non-conference games (Clemson beat South Carolina). Wildcats coach Mark Stoops, who apparently packed his bags and spent time on Zillow.com looking at College Station, Texas real estate before that all fell apart, will bring in a 16-4-1 ATS off a non-conference win if the foe is .667 or greater. Finally, Bowl favorites off consecutive wins, the last one a revenge victory, are 1-8 ATS if they scored 16 points or fewer in the victory. |
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12-28-23 | Arizona v. Oklahoma +3 | 38-24 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Sooners are 5-0 SU in their last five games against Pac-12 foes, and 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS on neutral fields since 2020; also be aware that Big 12 bowl dogs are 12-4 ATS versus the Pac-12. Meanwhile, the Wildcats are playing in their first bowl game since 2017, thanks in large part to the mid-season emergence of QB Noah Fifita, who turned Arizona’s season around following that triple-overtime loss to USC back in September. Since that game, Jedd Fisch’s team has won six games in a row, as the second-year head coach saw his QB finish the campaign with 23 TD passes against just 5 picks. He closed out the regular season with a 527-yard, 5 TD performance against Arizona State. Unfortunately, Arizona is 1-8 ATS when coming off consecutive SUATS wins, and we’ll add the fact that the favorite is 2-7 ATS in this bowl game. Also, Pac-12 bowlers are 2-25 ATS versus foes coming off a win. Zona’s dream season skids to a grinding halt as they get run over by the Sooner Schooner today. |
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12-28-23 | Montana State v. Idaho State -125 | 74-66 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Idaho State is not the highest-scoring team in the nation but much of that is due to a very methodical offense. Idaho State is shooting. 47.3% overall which is 71st in the country. Idaho State's offense is very well balanced as five players are averaging between 9.0 and 12.6 points per game making it difficult to defend against anyone or two players through using a special defense such as a box and one or a triangle and two. Montana State is being outrebounded by opponents each game as the Bobcats are averaging just 30.8 rebounds per game an average of 35.2 rebounds per contest. Montana State is 203rd in the nation in field goal shooting percentage and 191st in three-point shooting percentage. The Bobcats are also giving up far too much on defense as opponents are shooting 45.3% overall which is 298th in the country. Montana State has failed to cover the spread in each of the last six games. |
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12-28-23 | Jets v. Browns -7.5 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Browns signed Riley Patterson, who was waived by the Detroit Lions on Dec. 19. For the Lions this year Patterson was 15-for-17 in fi eld goal attempts and 35-for-37 on extra point attempts. Jets’ signal caller Trevor Siemian became the 59th different quarterback to start a game this season when he led the Jets to a 30-28 victory over Washington despite a jaw dropping 14 penalties for 150 yards by the Flyboys. Given the Jets 0-5 ATS mark on Thursdays, and 3-9 ATS effort after hosting NFC foes, plus their 5-11 SUATS mark in games when coming off a win under Robert Saleh – along with Cleveland’s 6-1 ATS mark at home on Thursdays and its recent 5-0 SUATS mark in the Dawg Pound since their Bye week this season – we’ll be on the Browns tonight. |
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12-28-23 | Jazz +8.5 v. Pelicans | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Orleans has struggled with three losses in their last four games coming into this contest with each of those coming at home. The Pelicans simply don’t have that closing instinct that they need in order to be considered a serious threat in the Western Conference. Now, Utah isn’t a great team by any stretch as they have a ton of youth to work with in their rotation after dealing away veterans last season at the trade deadline. However, the Jazz have strung together three straight wins on the road. While one can say they came over doormats in Detroit, Toronto and San Antonio, the fact remains that they were just 2-13 on the road before that. The Jazz have had the Pelicans’ number, winning five straight meetings, and they aren’t intimidated by the city the franchise once called home. Take Utah here as they steal one on the road. |
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12-28-23 | Prairie View A&M +3.5 v. Texas-San Antonio | 89-103 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-28-23 | Coppin State v. Maryland -31.5 | 53-75 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Maryland (8-4) has a chance to extend that streak to 19 games on Thursday night with a tune-up against Coppin State (1-12) in College Park, Md. The Terrapins are coming off a 69-60 win Friday at UCLA that was propelled by a virtuoso performance from Jahmir Young, who scored a career-high 37 points on 13-of-19 shooting. Coppin State arrives on a five-game losing streak and has been idle since an 87-48 defeat at No. 20 James Madison on Dec. 19. |
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12-28-23 | NC State v. Kansas State -138 | 19-28 | Win | 100 | 55 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The numbers are looking pretty, pretty good for the Cats here: 6-0 SUATS coming off a loss over the last two seasons, 12-1 ATS off a double-digit spread loss, and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in this bowl game. In addition, Chris Kleiman is 4-0 SUATS off a SU favorite loss versus a foe off a win. On the other side of the coin, ACC bowlers coming off a win are 3-14 ATS against foes coming off a SU favorite loss, while the Wolf Pack is 1-5 ATS coming off a win versus non-conference foes. Dave Doeren is also 3-6 ATS with the Wolfpack against a foe coming off a SU favorite loss. Kleiman checks a lot of boxes, including the one outlined above and a 7-3 SUATS career mark against opponents coming off a SU underdog win, including 5-0 SUATS the past two seasons. He’s also 10-1-1 ATS off a loss versus a foe coming off a win. |
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12-28-23 | SMU v. Boston College +10 | 14-23 | Win | 100 | 48 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units BC finished the season with losses to Virginia Tech, Pitt, and Miami after winning five straight contests mid-season. QB Thomas Castellanos is an exciting dual threat who tossed 15 TD passes and ran for 11 more but was intercepted 13 times. Be aware that ACC bowlers with the lesser record are 14-4 ATS when coming off back-to back losses, and those conference teams are 9-3 ATS versus foes off consecutive wins. The Eagles are 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS as a bowl dog versus foes off a win of a TD or more, and half of BC’s six wins this season came as underdogs. After a big bounce-back from last year’s 3-9 campaign, a win for BC just down the road on the Mass Turnpike would do wonders in Chestnut Hill. Finally, SMU is 0-3 SUATS in their last 3 bowl games – all as a favorite. |
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12-27-23 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma State +2 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 59 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This all went bad so quickly; remember that A&M had the highest-rated recruiting class in NCAA history in 2022. That was the year that Fisher had a very public dispute with Nick Saban when the Nicktator accused Jimbo of buying every player in that class. However, the Aggies have gone 12-12 since then and only 20 of the 32 recruits remain in College Station (who knows how many will start the season in 2024?). Regardless, Mike Elko will be the head coach next season, but for now, we can look at the sad sack numbers A&M produced against fellow bowl teams: 1-5 SU, 1-4-1 ATS, and 2-4 ITS (In The Stats) as they return to the bowl scene after a two-year hiatus. In addition, Tammy has been 2-8 ATS coming off a SUATS loss versus a foe off SUATS loss, along with 2-7 ATS in bowl games against foes coming off a loss. Meanwhile, the Cowboys got things back on track after a lackluster 2-2 start this season, as QB Alan Bowman had a solid season and RB Ollie Gordon II rode a couple of 250+ yard performances to the Doak Walker Award, awarded to the nation’s best running back. Gordon went over the 100-yard threshold in eight games this season and his 20 TDs was second only to Blake Corum. Okie State is 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in the last seven games in this series, plus 4-2 ATS in their last six tries as a bowl dog. Mike Gundy is 10-6 ATS as a dog with the better record, and with all the disarray surrounding the Aggies, it’s the Cowboys turn today. |
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12-27-23 | Knicks v. Thunder -150 | 120-129 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units I like the Thunder at home in this game against the Knicks on Wednesday. The Knicks have been decent but far from outstanding against the Western Conference thus far with a record of just 4-5. They shouldn't be hurt as much on the glass by the Knicks on Wednesday as the Knicks adjust to life without Robinson and his tenacious rebounding, particularly on the offensive glass. Despite playing decent defense this season, the Knicks are just 18th in opponent's shooting percentage which should mean another strong shooting night from the Thunder, ranked fifth in the NBA in shooting percentage. The Thunder have depth, shooting, and are 6-1 against the Eastern Conference this season. |
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12-27-23 | Suns v. Rockets +3 | 129-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Suns took a 128-114 home loss to the Dallas Mavericks on Christmas, Phoenix's ninth loss in 12 games following a seven-game winning streak that left the team a season-high five games over .500. An inability to cultivate any semblance of consistency continues to stall the Suns, whose injury concerns remain at the heart of their ongoing woes. Phoenix remains without Bradley Beal (ankle), who has logged only six games this season, and was also missing Jusuf Nurkic (personal) against the Mavericks. Beyond Beal, the injury issues haven't been overly debilitating but rather a constant nuisance, with the Suns laboring to construct a set rotation that can compete with the heavyweights in the Western Conference. The early-season struggles have yielded a fair share of think pieces contemplating what ails Phoenix. For their part, the Suns have yet to display any signs of panic despite everything that's gone awry. |
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12-27-23 | Louisville -7 v. USC | 28-42 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Quite a reputation to live up to, when participating in this bowl, as high scoring barnburners have always been the rule, beginning with '79's 38-37 Indiana (+9½) win over BYU, up to LY's 28-27 Oregon (-13) 28-27 win over North Carolina (Bo Nix TD pass in L0:19). Can this one live up to such a history? Well, for the Trojans of Southern California, this marks their 4th spot in this bowl since '14: 45-42 (-7), 21-23 (-3), & 24-49 (-2). Not the best, especially now, when losing Heisman winner QB Williams & stellar WR Rice, especially with a "D" that ranks 118th & 121st in total & scoring. The 26th bowl for 15th-ranked Cardinals of Louisville, who've topped 30 pts 8 times TY. Thus, floodgates should open early & often vs paper SC "D". USC was 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS against fellow bowlers this season and shockingly, Pac-12 bowlers are 0-15 ATS since 2016 when coming off a SUATS loss. |
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12-27-23 | Bruins -144 v. Sabres | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bruins are struggling but I'm all over this very respectable money line against a Sabres team that is three games below .500 this season. The Bruins have a decided edge on special teams, an equally large edge in net, and should be able to control a Sabres' offense that is just 21st in goals per game. The Bruins need a win here to avoid a five-game skid and I don't expect this one to be decided by OT. Boston will take advantage of man advantages and build a comfortable lead that their goaltending will hold up regardless of whether it is Ullmark or Swayman in net. Take advantage of a rare marginal money line against the B's. |
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12-27-23 | 76ers v. Magic -126 | 112-92 | Loss | -126 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units When reigning Most Valuable Player Joel Embiid is out of the lineup, the Philadelphia 76ers are quite vulnerable. And winless. The Sixers, who are 0-4 without Embiid this season, will again be without their leader when they visit the Orlando Magic today. Embiid missed Monday's Christmas Day matchup against the Miami Heat and will again be sidelined with a sprained right ankle. Embiid sustained the injury in the first quarter of Friday's 121-111 victory over the Toronto Raptors. The Sixers will also be without Nicolas Batum because of a strained right hamstring. With Embiid recuperating, Tyrese Maxey struggled in a 119-113 loss to the host Heat on Monday. |
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12-27-23 | Virginia Tech v. Tulane +11 | 41-20 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Tulane assistant head coach and OC Slade Nagle will take the reins for the Green Wave in this game, with four assistants still in tow. Nagle is on the record as saying that the goal is to finish 12-2 and end up in the Top 25 for the second straight year. The last time they accomplished that feat was in 1939. The AAC Player of the Year, QB Michael Pratt will lead a team that is 23-4 the past two seasons and they’ve been a dog four times in that span, winning three times outright. Bowl teams who won 10 or more games in the previous season are 19-5 ATS when coming off a season-ending loss as a favorite and taking on a foe coming off a SUATS win. Meanwhile, it is not often that you can find a .500 team favored by a TD over an .800-or-better opponent, much less in a bowl game. In fact, this is the first time it has happened since at least 1980. Second-year HC Brent Pry improved the attack in Blacksburg this season, and the Hokies are coming off a satisfying 55-17 drubbing of their cross-state rivals at Virginia. However, Tech is 1-10 ATS when coming off a win as a favorite, and ACC bowlers coming off a victory are just 3-14 ATS against foes coming off a SU favorite loss. we feel that Tulane may just have too many weapons here today. |
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12-26-23 | Hornets v. Clippers -11.5 | 104-113 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Clippers shouldn’t have any problems beating the Hornets even if Kawhi Leonard remains on the sidelines. Charlotte has injury worries, too. The Hornets are without LaMelo Ball (ankle) and Mark Williams (back), while Terry Rozier (knee) and Brandon Miller (ankle) are both listed as questionable. Charlotte is a bad defensive unit, and LA will be scoring at will in this matchup. Hereof, I’m backing the Clippers to cover a double-digit spread in front of the home audience and make amends for an embarrassing loss to the Celtics. The Clippers are 8-2 ATS in their last ten contests against the Hornets. LA is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games overall and 13-5 ATS in its previous 18 tilts versus the Southeast Division teams. On the other side, Charlotte is 2-4 ATS in its last six contests overall and 1-7 ATS in its last eight outings on the road. |
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12-26-23 | Kings -8 v. Blazers | 113-130 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kings have won four of their last six games and two of their last three road games. They are playing well offensively, scoring more than 111 points per game on the road. They do a good job of finding the open man and they’re very aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring chances. They also cut back on their turnovers in their last three games and won’t give the Blazers a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Trailblazers aren’t very good defensively and they play worse at home, giving up more than 115 points per game, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Kings in this game. The Trailblazers have lost two straight games and five of their last six home games. They have struggled offensively, scoring less than 110 points per game. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Kings and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring chances against them. They’ve also been careless with the ball, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Kings, who average more than seven steals per game. The Kings aren’t great defensively, but they play better on the road and won’t be tested by the cold-shooting Blazers, so go with Sacramento to cover the spread. |
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12-26-23 | Kansas v. UNLV +13.5 | 49-36 | Win | 100 | 35 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With this just their 4th bowl game since 1994, (2-1 SUATS) the Rebs are running sky high under first-year head coach Barry Odom after recording their first winning season in a decade. Remember this team was the best point spread team in the nation prior to the Mountain West championship game loss. Odom is 4-0 ATS as an underdog of more than 3 points when his record is .666 or better; also keep in mind that UNLV was 4-2 ATS this season versus fellow bowlers this season and overall is 8-1 ATS as double-digit dog versus a foe coming off a win. Although Jayden Maiava led the Rebel offense with his dual threats at QB, WR Ricky White was probably the best player on the team, catching 81 passes for nearly 1,400 yards and seven touchdowns. |
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12-26-23 | Texas State v. Rice +3.5 | 45-21 | Loss | -102 | 32 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Freshman AJ Padgett will start at QB for Rice and will try to connect with WR Luke McCaffrey like he did in the season-finale, as Christian’s little brother caught 12 passes for 141 yards in the bowl-clinching win over FAU. The favorite in this bowl game is 8-2-1 ATS, and the Owls are 7-1 ATS in their last seven games as a dog of 13 or fewer points. In addition, AAC bowlers are 4-2 SUATS versus Sun Belt foes. In the final analysis, we’ll back the team that’s been there and done that with a head coach who is 9-6 ATS with Rice as a single-digit dog. |
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12-26-23 | Bowling Green v. Minnesota -3.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 28 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This bowl appearance has a major revenge chip for the Gophers, who lost to Bowling Green two years ago as a -30.5-home favorite and in addition, Minny is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last bowl games. Also, sub-.550 Big Ten bowlers off consecutive SUATS losses are 7-1-1 ATS and sub-.500 bowlers are 8-4 SUATS versus greater than-.555 foes. Meanwhile, the Bee Gees make a quick turn-around, returning to the Quick Lane Bowl where they fell, 24-19, to New Mexico State last year. The Falcons are just 2-8 ATS in bowl games since 1992 (0-6 ATS if coming off win). Bowling Green is also 0-5 ATS with rest when coming off a win, and MAC bowlers are 1-4 SU and 1-3-1 ATS versus the Big Ten. |
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12-25-23 | Ravens +6.5 v. 49ers | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 5 Units Baltimore is 6-3 SU and 7-1-1 ATS away on Mondays, including 4-0-1 ATS as a dog. Better yet, star QB Lamar Jackson is 18-1 SU in his career against NFC opposition. The Black Birds are also 11-2 ATS against .700 or great foes. And speaking of superstars, for the 37th time in his NFL career, Jackson led his team in both rushing and passing yards in the same game in last week’s 23-7 win versus Jacksonville. On the other side of the coin, Niners’ RB Christian McCaffrey is the only NFL player all-time with 1,000 rushing and receiving yards in the same season – and he still has three games to go. Like Baltimore, San Francisco is 7-1 ATS against .700 or better opponents. Ravens’ head coach John Harbaugh brings an exceptional 80-53-9 ATS career mark as a visitor, while 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan is 15-3 SU and 11-6-1 ATS at home in his career when the Niners sport a .750 or greater win percentage. In a battle of the league’s best, we’ll grab the points. |
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12-25-23 | Celtics -145 v. Lakers | 126-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Celtics will come in fresh and ready to go likely with Porzingis at center. The addition of the Unicorn has completely changed Boston's interior defense this season and will cause problems for James and Davis in the lane. On the other end, the Lakers' defense has not looked as sharp lately and the Celtics' offense has been clicking, scoring nearly 140 points per game on this trip. Tatum and Brown are playing at an extremely high level and present matchup issues for everyone and certainly this Lakers' team without any ++ defensive forwards. The Lakers inconsistencies have been a big issue this year but I do expect them to be up for this game. The Celtics, however, have the length to bother them and the defensive backcourt to bother a team playing without a true point guard. |
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12-25-23 | Raiders v. Chiefs -10 | 20-14 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chiefs are one of only five teams in the league that sport both a Top 10 offense and a Top 10 defense, which should not have a problem against Las Vegas’ 28th-ranked offense. We realize they are only 0-3 ATS coming off their previous three wins this season, and the Raiders are the second foe in a row that will take on the Chiefs with a rest advantage, but when coming off a win of late Andy Reid is 15-1 SU in his last sixteen division games when coming off one win and 71-28 ATS in games he wins outright as a favorite against foes arriving off a win. Finally NFL teams 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS since 1989 in games after scoring 60-plus points in their last game. |
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12-24-23 | Cowboys v. Dolphins -125 | Top | 20-22 | Win | 100 | 31 h 17 m | Show |
Inter-Conference Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units While Miami is currently the No. 2 seed in the AFC Playoff Picture, they can claim the top-seed should it win out - and it would certainly deserve so, having to go up against the likes of the Cowboys here, and the Ravens and Bills to conclude the campaign. Fortunately, they are 9-2 SUATS at home coming off a home game as a favorite after dressing up as a favorite the previous game, including 6-0 ATS when not favored by seven or more points. Meanwhile, Dallas has a -4 point differential on the road in 2023 (14th in the NFL) while leading the league with a +171 point differential at home in 2023 – and that’s with a 40-point road win in its season opener at the Giants. Finally, NFL home favorites coming off a home shutout win are 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS since 2000 against an opponent coming off an away game, including 7-0 SUATS if they sport a sub .750 win percentage |