Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-04-23 | Penguins -109 v. Flyers | 1-2 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philadelphia is likely to have its No. 1 goalie Carter Hart in net on Sunday. Hart has a 2.68 goals against average .909 save percentage with one shutout. However, Philadelphia has lost each of the last four games that Hart has been in goal. Hart over that span of four games, has a goals against average per game of 4.06, 3.03, 3.16, and 3.09 which are all far above his season average. Pittsburgh's top goalie Tristan Jarry has a 2.47 goals against average and .918 save percentage and has already posted three shutouts in 18 appearances. Pittsburgh has won seven of the last nine head-to-head versus Philadelphia. The Flyers have lost four of their last six overall and Philadelphia has lost 13 of its last 19 against the team from the Metropolitan Division |
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12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers +6 | Top | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 54 h 45 m | Show |
SNF Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Kansas City totes an unacceptably weak rush defense into Lambeau that surrenders 4.6 Yards Per Rush. The Chiefs are also 2-9 ATS when coming off one win, including 1-5 ATS away. In addition, the Packers are 13-4 ATS as a dog of 3-plus points under head coach Matt LaFleur, including 9-2 SU and 10-1 ATS versus .800 or fewer foes. Toss in QB Jordan Love’s 3-0 SUATS career mark at home against non-conference opposition, and finally Kansas City is 0-9 ATS as a favorite when both teams are coming off an ATS win. |
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12-03-23 | Blue Jackets v. Bruins -252 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating:2 Units The Bruins, who average 3.32 goals per game, should find the back of the net at will against the Blue Jackets, who allow 3.36 goals per game, with David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Bruins, who allow only 2.50 goals per game, should limit the Blue Jackets offense with Hampus Lindholm, Charlie McAvoy, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Jeremy Swayman to make plenty of big saves |
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12-03-23 | 49ers -160 v. Eagles | 42-19 | Win | 100 | 50 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Last week, Philadelphia erased a double-digit fourth quarter deficit when they rallied back to beat Buffalo in overtime, thanks largely to a flagrant no-penalty tackle on Bills’ QB Josh Allen. The no-call was accentuated when Allen was flagged for intentional grounding on a play that could have just as easily been ruled a horse-collar tackle against Hassan Reddick during what ended up being a 37-34 Eagles overtime victory. And speaking of quarterbacks, Purdy also shines with an 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS record in his NFL career against foes with a winning record, including 6-0 SUATS in games in which San Francisco sports a .777 or fewer win percentage. Interestingly, the Niners lead the league in YAC (Yards After Catch), while the Eagles lead the league in allowing the fewest Yards After a Catch. With Philadelphia likely eyeing up next week’s pivotal clash with Dallas (0-6-1 ATS before the Cowboys), we put the final wrap on this call with the fact that playing on any NFL team coming off 3 wins if they came off a Bye week prior to the wins is a perfect 8-0. |
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12-03-23 | Dolphins -9 v. Commanders | 45-15 | Win | 100 | 46 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miami is 12-3 SU and 10-4-1 ATS against losing teams, including 7-0 SUATS in the last seven matchups. McDaniel is also 7-0-1 ATS against foes coming off a pair of losses. After opening the season 2-0, Washington has hit the skids, entering today’s fray as losers in 8 of its 10 games since. They are also 0-4 against better than .600 opposition this season. With that, look for Miami to improve on its 4-0 ATS record against foes coming off a Thursday contest, while the Commanders dip to 1-6 ATS in their last seven games hosting AFC foes, and 0-6 ATS in games when coming off a road loss. |
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12-03-23 | Colts v. Titans +1 | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units QB Gardner Minshew has stepped in and has the Colts in playoff contention, riding a 3-0 SUATS heater entering this contest. He’ll need to overcome a watered-down dog log today, though, as the Stache is only 4-13 SU and 6-11 ATS against .333 or greater opponents in his NFL career starts, including 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS against those coming off a win. Complicating matters, star RB Jonathan Taylor is out after surgery on an injured thumb. The Titans enter the game at 12-1 ATS in games when both teams arrive off an ATS win and 5-1 ATS in the last six games in this series. Meanwhile, the unlucky horseshoes are 1-5 ATS in their last six division road outings and 0-5 ATS in division games when both teams are coming off ATS wins |
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12-02-23 | Rockets v. Lakers -4.5 | 97-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Houston Rockets are currently facing a challenging phase, having lost their last two games and conceding at least 121 points in each. This streak of losses has brought them down to a .500 record. In a recent matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers in L.A., the Rockets narrowly lost by just one point but managed to cover the spread. The Lakers, on the other hand, have a record of 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall when they score more than 107.3 points. Additionally, they are 5-5 against the spread and 8-2 overall when allowing fewer than 110.9 points. Despite LeBron James being listed as questionable, the Lakers are expected to perform strongly in their return home after a four-game road trip. The Rockets, who have not secured a road win this season, are likely to face another setback in this game. It's anticipated that the Lakers will excel on both ends of the floor, securing a win, covering the spread, and handing the Rockets their third consecutive loss. |
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12-02-23 | Louisville +1.5 v. Florida State | 6-16 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units FSU brings a tattered 3-14 ATS mark into this contest against foes coming off a loss as a favorite, including 0-10 ATS as a favorite when the Seminoles are off a win. The Cardinals can thank their lucky stars for hiring former player Jeff Brohm as head coach, as he immediately turned U of L into a contender and guided them to this title game, Louisville’s first since joining the ACC. Brohm brings a 28-15-1 ATS career dog log into tonight’s battle, including 8-3 SU and 11-0 ATS when coming off a loss. With it, the Red Birds are 15-6 ATS as a dog coming off a defeat the last five years. |
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12-02-23 | Michigan v. Iowa +22.5 | 26-0 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Harbaugh brings in an 18-23-2 ATS overall career record as a college football favorite of -20 or more points, including 2-7-1 ATS versus winning foes and 2-9-2 ATS against foes coming off a win. There’s no question Iowa fields one of the top defenses in the nation and Jimbo is just 8-12-1 ATS against defensively staunch .800 or greater foes who allow fewer than 12.5 PPG, including 1-5 ATS as a favorite of -18 or more points. Ferentz is 11-7 ATS as a dog of more than 14 points, including 4-0 ATS with a winning record and 8-0-1 ATS when playing with triple conference revenge. Michigan is hell bent to make it back to the CFB Playoff but with the Wolverines standing 8-15-1 ATS after battling the Buckeyes, will they have enough to get up and over this huge impost? |
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12-02-23 | Bruins -110 v. Maple Leafs | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bruins have stumbled a bit recently but they still have the best record in the Eastern Conference and tied for the points lead. Take full advantage of this very reasonable money line for a Bruins' team that typically has to be played with the puck line to get value. The Bruins are healthy and face a Maple Leafs team that has injuries along the blue line and is just 19th in goals allowed per game this season. The Bruins will turn to Linus Ullmark in net and the current Vezina-winner should be rested after sitting out Thursday's game against San Jose and only playing less than half the game against Columbus. The Bruins allowed 17 goals over a three-game stretch before rebounding to shut out San Jose. They may not shut out the Leafs but the B's are certainly back on the defensive. |
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12-02-23 | Santa Clara +1.5 v. California | 69-84 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Broncos have done a great job thus far even though they returned just 20.1 percent of minutes and 17.3 percent of scoring from their 2022-23 roster. Per Bart Torvik, Santa Clara is a top-30 team in the nation in both 2-point percentage (57.1%) and opposing 2-point percentage (43.3%). I’ve mentioned the Broncos big win over Oregon, the second of the season against the Pac-12 team (89-77 at Stanford). I think the Broncos have the length to compete against the Bears, who also have a lot of new faces on their roster. Cal turns the ball over on 20.9 percent of its possessions while handing out just 9.1 assists per game. The Broncos are not a great defensive team by any stretch of the imagination, but their offense is 43rd in assists per game (16.8) and 177th in turnover percentage (17.7%). |
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12-02-23 | Georgia v. Alabama +6 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 67 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Nick Saban’s crew is 20-4 SU and 15-9 ATS versus undefeated foes (2-0 SUATS as a dog). Saban also owns some strong ATS results in today’s role, going 17-8-1 ATS as a dog with revenge, including 10-3 SU and 11-2 ATS as a dog of fewer than 7 points. Those numbers match up nicely with the fact that conference title favorites of 7 or fewer points against .900 or better opponents are 5-10-1 ATS, including 0-4 SUATS this decade. The Dawgs haven’t beaten Alabama in back-to-back seasons in the last 20 years. The Tide will have to earn it, though, as this game figures to play out like it should, right down to the wire. I say take the points. |
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12-02-23 | Boise State v. UNLV +2.5 | 44-20 | Loss | -105 | 67 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units UNLV has been like a hot slot machine for its backers this season, going 9-2 ATS, including 5-0 ATS when taking points. Even better, dogs in MWC championship games are 8-2 ATS, including 4-0 ATS when they own a .750 or greater win percentage. That fits like a glove with the Rebs’ 6-0 ATS record as a dog of 5 or fewer points and their recent 4-1 ATS dog log. Boise State is 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS when riding a 3-0 SUATS win skein, including 0-7 ATS when coming off a win of 8-plus points, and Big Blue is 0-3 SU versus .750 or greater opponents this season. Remember, the Runnin’ Rebels are playing at home this afternoon and coach Odom is 12-1 SU at home in his career in games in which his team sports the better win percentage. |
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12-02-23 | Miami-OH +7.5 v. Toledo | 23-14 | Win | 100 | 20 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rockets are just 6-14-1 ATS against avenging opponents and have misfired in today’s role, going 1-6 ATS against MAC foes seeking double revenge, as well as 1-6 ATS as conference chalk away from the Glass Bowl. MAC dogs in conference title games have gone 15-6-2 ATS, including 13-2-2 ATS versus foes coming off consecutive wins. The RedHawks are also 8-1 ATS with conference revenge, including 5-0 SUATS this season, and 7-1 ATS coming off an ATS loss against a foe coming off an ATS win. Finally, Miami is 21-5 ATS as a dog under head coach Chuck Martin when coming off an ATS loss, including 8-0 ATS the last eight games. |
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12-01-23 | Nuggets -123 v. Suns | 119-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Denver Nuggets have demonstrated a strong track record in their recent matchups against the Phoenix Suns, securing victories in 4 of their last 6 encounters. Additionally, from a betting perspective, the Nuggets have shown notable consistency, covering the spread in 7 out of their last 10 games against the Suns. Despite the potential disadvantage due to injuries, the Nuggets still hold considerable potential to cover the 2.5-point spread, especially if Devin Booker remains sidelined for the Suns. |
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12-01-23 | Purdue -5 v. Northwestern | 88-92 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Experience matters, that's why scheduling a soft non-conference schedule just to pick up some easy wins can be detrimental to the growth of your team. Northwestern has not had the easiest non-conference slate in the land, but they were only listed as underdogs once and lost that game to Mississippi State without covering. Northwestern should have pounded Western Michigan as they were 23.5-point favorites, but only won by four. Purdue on the other hand has played one of the toughest schedules in the country and won every single game. Purdue has defeated three top-15 teams and will roll into their first conference game with confidence. Northwestern has a 7-footer in Nicholson, but he is not an answer to their Edey problem. At 7'4 Edey is still too big and powerful and will dominate inside again. Northwestern's strength is on the perimeter with Boo Buie, but Purdue's Braden Smith is an excellent perimeter defender and will crowd Buie and take away his open looks. Too much talent for the Boilermakers. |
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12-01-23 | Oregon v. Washington +10 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 48 h 45 m | Show |
PAC-12 Championship Best Bet Rating: 4 Units Ironically, the Huskies are the first – and only – undefeated team to land a berth in the Pac-12 championship game. While QB Michael Penix Jr. gets the lion’s share of media attention, we’d like to heap some praise on second year Washington head coach Kalen DeBoer. Not only is he 23-2 SU since taking the job in Seattle, DeBoer is 15-1 SU with the Huskies when they own a better record than their opponent, including 13-0 the last 13 games. He also fits right into tonight’s role, going 6-1 ATS in his career as an underdog, including 3-0 SUATS as a dog with the Huskies. The Ducks may have cashed more tickets in this series of late, going 14-4-1 ATS, but they’re just 3-8 SU with revenge when Washington sports a .875 or greater win percentage. |
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12-01-23 | Southern Miss v. UAB -9 | 85-82 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blazers were run over in the second half of their last game, but I feel confident predicting a more complete performance from them on Friday at home. UAB ranks as the better offensive and defensive squad, plus it's much more battle-tested. The Eagles have played the 190th-toughest strength of schedule, per KenPom, while the Blazers' schedule is rated 107th-toughest. Having already played Bradley, Clemson, and Maryland, UAB should be able to handle Southern Miss. The Eagles have not shot the basketball efficiently (321st nationally in FG%) and don't focus on one area of the court more than another. Per Hoop-Math, they attempt 34.8% of their shots at the rim, 33.1% from the mid-range, and 32.1% from beyond the arc. That figures to be easier for the Blazers to defend. |
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11-30-23 | Seahawks +9.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 35-41 | Win | 100 | 23 h 28 m | Show |
Thursday Night Game of the Month Rating: 4 Units Dallas looks to close the gap on the Lions, 49ers, and Eagles in the NFC Playoff Picture. For all of their success, though, there is a tax that must be paid, and tonight it comes as an inflated 9-point favorite. It’s more than they laid here to the Jets and 3-points more than what they were favored by here against New England. Topping it off, they have a same-season revenge rematch on tap with the Eagles. Pete Carroll’s crew enters this affair 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in the last four games in this series. Carroll is also 16-2 SU and 15-3 ATS in Game Twelve of the season, including 8-0 ATS as a single-digit dog. With those boxes checked we wrap it up with the fact that Seattle is 14-1 ATS when coming off consecutive losses as an underdog, including 10-0 ATS in the last ten games |
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11-30-23 | Hawks -7.5 v. Spurs | 137-135 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Antonio has lost 12 straight games and haven’t won since downing the Suns in back-to-back road games October 31 and November 2. The Spurs are a dismal 1-8 at home this season and they are trying to get their young players up to speed, which of course, leads to a lot of growing pains. Atlanta has been up and down this season but they have a variety of guys that can pile up points in a hurry. San Antonio has a generational talent in Wembenyama but he’s still adapting to the NBA style. Meanwhile, Atlanta is a team full of guys that have been around and contributed at this level for a while. Young and Murray lead the way as the Hawks cruise to a victory to get back to the .500 mark on the season. |
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11-30-23 | NC-Wilmington +1.5 v. East Carolina | 66-74 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The UNC Wilmington offense will overpower the East Carolina defense. The Seahawks are too deadly from long range to be stopped by an inferior defense such as East Carolina’s which is allowing 74.0 points per game and 48.2% shooting. East Carolina’s opponents shoot 34.3% from 3-point territory and UNC Wilmington is second best in the nation from three-point territory hitting 43.5% of their 3-point bombs. Wilmington is averaging 85.7 points per game and it's not because they play uptempo, as they are just 237th in adjusted tempo at 67.8. It's because they are excellent shooters. Leading scorer Trazarien White is shooting 60.6% overall and 36.4% from 3-point territory and three of the top five scorers shot 51.7% or higher. East Carolina doesn't have the shooters to keep pace with the hot shooting Wilmington. East Carolina has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five. |
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11-30-23 | Texas Tech +3 v. Butler | 95-103 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Fresh off its biggest victory of the young season, Texas Tech takes on another challenge today with a road game against Butler as part of the inaugural Big East-Big 12 Battle. The Red Raiders rolled past Michigan 73-57 last week at the Battle for Atlantis to finish 2-1 at the event. The Bulldogs (5-2) delivered a similar showing in Orlando at the ESPN Events invitational, with back-to-back wins against Penn State and Boise State after a narrow loss to No. 19 Florida Atlantic. Now two teams with reconstructed rosters collide as they work toward establishing a long-term identity. For Texas Tech (5-1), this is the first true road game, and that's a challenge first-year coach Grant McCasland wants his team to embrace. |
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11-29-23 | CS-Northridge +4 v. Pacific | 80-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units This game could easily go either way. Just take a look at the teams’ recent results. The Matadors lost to Le Moyne and embarrassed Mississippi Valley State, while the Tigers barely defeated those two teams at home. Interestingly, each of Pacific’s last four games has been decided by three or fewer points. I’m expecting to see a high-tempo battle between CSUN and Pacific. The Matadors should have enough weapons to keep it close down the stretch, so I’m going with the underdogs. Pacific is struggling to defend the paint which suits CSUN’s style of play. The Matadors are 359th in the country in 3-point rate and 89th in 2-point percentage (53.6%). |
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11-29-23 | Rockets v. Nuggets -7.5 | 124-134 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Facing a degree of uncertainty, the Denver Nuggets are dealing with the potential absence of key players Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon, and Jamal Murray, all listed as questionable for the upcoming game. Despite these concerns, the Nuggets are still favored by 6 points in their home game, a confidence likely bolstered by the Houston Rockets' challenging schedule, as they enter this game without any days of rest. Denver's performance against the spread stands at 7-8, but they have an impressive 12-3 overall record when they score more than 105.5 points in a game. The Rockets, on the other hand, showed a strong effort in their last game against the Mavericks. However, their struggle on the road is evident, having lost all six away games this season. This pattern is expected to continue in their upcoming matchup. The Nuggets, coming off a solid win, are anticipated to maintain their momentum and secure another victory in this encounter. |
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11-29-23 | Louisiana Tech +7.5 v. New Mexico | 65-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units La Tech looks to keep its five-game winning streak going on the road against New Mexico. The Bulldogs are 203rd in points per game this season. They are 167th in field goal percentage and 184th in 3-point field goal percentage. The Bulldogs are 55th in the country in points allowed per game. They are 80th in field goal defense and 80th in defensive field goal percentage. They are 63rd in three-point defense in the country. La Tech is 151st in turnovers per game this season. They are an above average rebounding team, ranked 125th in the country in total rebounding. |
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11-29-23 | Lakers -7 v. Pistons | 133-107 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units The Lakers come into Detroit with a chip on their collective shoulders following a 44-point loss to the Sixers on Monday night. James' cryptic response about the team needing changes quickly should put fear in the hearts of any Laker who doesn't have a firm spot on the roster. In the short term, the Lakers should be able to dominate a Pistons' team that has lost 14 straight games. The Lakers have struggled recently as well, mainly due to injuries to several key bench players such as Vanderbilt, Hachimura, and Vincent. Luckily, the Pistons are also banged up with two key shooters out in Brogdonovich and Harris. The loss of both players has hampered the team's shooting from outside and forced them to be a team that relies on points in the paint. The presence of Davis in the paint should hamper some of those plans on Wednesday night. The Lakers are 3rd in the NBA in field goal percentage and sixth in defensive field goal percentage. I expect them to dominate the game on both ends on Wednesday and pick up an easy win. |
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11-28-23 | Warriors +1.5 v. Kings | 123-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In their first matchup, the Golden State Warriors triumphed over the Sacramento Kings 122-114 without Draymond Green. In their second encounter, the Warriors narrowly won 102-101, but the Kings were missing key player De'Aaron Fox. Draymond Green's absence in the last five games has been felt by the Warriors, particularly in their defense, but his return is expected to bolster the team's offensive opportunities for players like Curry, Thompson, and Wiggins. In the previous games, Domantas Sabonis had a significant impact against the Warriors, and De'Aaron Fox scored 41 points in their first meeting. Both teams have been strong offensively, with the Warriors ranked 12th and the Kings 10th in offensive rating. However, the game's outcome may hinge on the Warriors' defense, currently 12th in the NBA, and the inconsistent performance of the Kings' role players. The return of Draymond Green could elevate the Warriors' defense. The Kings' bench struggled in both meetings, and they may be without starter Keegan Murray due to a back injury. Additionally, the Kings' defensive rating is only 21st in the league. The Warriors, aiming for a three-way tie for first place in In-Season Tournament Group C, will rely on Curry for another strong performance and plan to challenge the Kings by focusing on players other than Sabonis or Fox. |
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11-28-23 | Akron v. UNLV -160 | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rebels split their last four games. They have played well offensively, scoring more than 72 points per game while making 47 percent of their shots. They rebound the ball well and they’re very active on the offensive glass, which will lead to more scoring opportunities. They also do a good job protecting the ball and won’t give the Zips a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Zips have struggled defensively on the road, giving up more than 70 points per game, and will have a hard time slowing down the Rebels in this game. The Zips have lost two straight games. They have struggled offensively on the road, scoring less than 70 points per game. They also struggled at the charity stripe in recent games, making less than 70 percent of their free throws in their last three games. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Rebels and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring chances against them. They’re also careless with the ball on the road, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Rebels. The Rebels have done a good job defensively at home, giving up less than 70 points per game, so expect them to keep Akron’s offense in check. Go with UNLV to cover the spread. |
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11-28-23 | Idaho State +8 v. Pepperdine | 62-77 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I think the Waves will put an end to their losing streak, but I don’t want to lay all these points with them. Pepperdine’s interior defense has been awful so far this season, and the Waves are traditionally a bad defensive team. The Bengals make 54.2% of their 2-pointers (79th in the nation), so I’m going with Idaho State to beat the number. The Waves lean on their 3-point shooting, and the Bengals’ defense is 13th in the nation in 3-point rate (27.8) and 4th in 3-point percentage (29.3). Idaho State will look to slow the pace down as much as possible and force Pepperdine into half-court basketball. I’m expecting the Bengals to hang around down the stretch. |
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11-28-23 | Portland v. Portland State -140 | 74-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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11-28-23 | Southern v. Marquette -32.5 | 56-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Marquette (5-1) went 2-1 in the stacked Maui Invitational field, including taking down then-No. 1 Kansas before coming up short in the championship game to then-No. 2 Purdue by a 78-75 final. The Boilermakers are now the top-ranked team in the country. The Golden Eagles trailed by as many as 15 in the second half against Purdue and got within one before the comeback bid stalled. Marquette's Tyler Kolek led the way with 22 points, along with seven rebounds and six assists, while Kam Jones added 17 points. Southern (1-5) arrives on a four-game losing streak, most recently falling 71-59 on the road at Valparaiso on Saturday. Marquette is 2-0 against Southern since the 2013-14 season, with the last matchup in 2018 when Marquette won in an 84-41 blowout in Milwaukee. |
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11-28-23 | Thunder +3.5 v. Wolves | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Thunder come in just a game behind Minnesota in this one and will not only cover the spread but will come out with the win too. The Thunder have been able to put it all together on both ends of the court and have the length to match the Timberwolves, which is something many others have struggled with. The Thunder have the best player in this game in SGA and with Holmgren coming along nicely too, especially from the perimeter, it gives this team quite a few more options to lean on. The key advantage for Oklahoma City is on the offensive end, where they are one of the league's most efficient teams, which translates well to success on the road. They have confidence and momentum, and their youngsters won't be daunted being on the road, while covering the spread in all but one of their last seven games, shows a trend building. |
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11-28-23 | Utah State v. St. Louis +7 | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Utah State looked impressive at a neutral site, but giving up 6.5 points on the road is different. The Aggies are proud of their in-season tournament championship, as they should be, but the field in the Cayman Islands Classic was watered down. Defeating teams like Marshall, Akron and Stephen F. Austin does not do much to improve your resume. Keep in mind, Utah State has only played one true road game this season, and lost on the road to Bradley. Saint Louis is undefeated at home on the season, they have a chance to spring an upset on their home floor, but taking the 6.5 points is still the play. Utah State's offense is only ranked 102nd in the nation, and their tempo is 182nd; they do not score with great efficiency or play at a break-neck pace. Utah State will not run up the score here, they lost their only road game, and Saint Louis is undefeated at home. Hargrove Jr. and Jimerson provide the Billikens with a strong enough inside-out game to keep this close. |
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11-28-23 | Bucks v. Heat +3 | 131-124 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Milwaukee Bucks have had their difficulties with the Heat, going 2-2 last season during the regular season but losing in five games in the opening round of the playoffs to the Heat. In fact, the Bucks are now 0-3 in their last four games in Miami. The Heat have not just won the four games, they've done so handily in each case. The four home wins against the Bucks have come by an average of just over 12.5 points per contest. While Lillard's presence changes the dynamic somewhat, the Bucks lose a key defender like Jrue Holiday in the process. Holiday was capable of guarding both the point guard and Jimmy Butler at times but the Bucks won't have that luxury with Lillard, an inferior defender to Holiday. I like the Heat to exploit their matchup advantages in this game and pull out a win over the Bucks. If you are feeling aggressive, forego the points and take this game on the money line. |
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11-27-23 | Bears +3 v. Vikings | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Vikings return home having had their 5-0 SUATS win skein snapped in a loss at Denver last week. The bigger problem they face tonight is they beat Chicago earlier this season in a game in which they mustered 220 yards while being outstatted in the contest. It was the game in which Justin Fields was injured, but he’s back. With it, the Bears bring a 6-1 ATS log in Monday Night road games. On the flip side, Minny is just 6-12 SU and 5-13 ATS on Mondays since 2009, including 0-6 ATS when coming off a loss. |
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11-27-23 | Houston Christian +35 v. TCU | 64-101 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With its Big 12-Big East Battle matchup at Georgetown set for Saturday, TCU has one last tune-up tonight as the Horned Frogs welcome Houston Christian to Fort Worth, Texas, aiming to keep their undefeated season intact. TCU (5-0) is coming off a 93-74 win over Alcorn State last Tuesday. Houston Christian is winless in four games, though the Huskies lost twice by single digits. |
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11-27-23 | Bruins -246 v. Blue Jackets | 2-5 | Loss | -246 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Boston has lost each of its last two after falling to Detroit on Friday and the New York Rangers on Saturday. Therefore, the Bruins will have a bit more incentive to snap that two-game skid and attempt to return to the top of the NHL standings. Boston has the fourth best goals against average in hockey at 2.50 and the Bruins are averaging the 12th most goals per game at 3.40. Regardless of who is in goal for Boston, the Bruins have an advantage over most other NHL teams and that will be the case on Monday when facing Columbus. Boston's two goalies have a 2.29 and 2.58 goals against average and both have a save percentage of above .917. Boston has won 14 of its last 20 games and the Bruins have won 16 of the last 21 games played on the road. Columbus will have a slight disadvantage as the Blue Jackets are playing on the road Sunday against Carolina before returning home to host the Bruins today. Columbus has lost nine of its last 11. |
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11-26-23 | Bills +3 v. Eagles | Top | 34-37 | Push | 0 | 30 h 6 m | Show |
Inter-Conference Game of the Week Rating; 5 Units If the NFL playoffs were to begin this week, Philly would own the No. 1 seed in the NFC. However, due to its recent funk, Buffalo would be on the outside looking in as the No. 8 seed in the AFC. Remember, though, the Bills are one of only five NFL teams that rank in the Top 10 on both offense and defense this season – the Eagles do not. We top it off with the fact that Buffalo is 5-0 SUATS the last ten years against foes coming off a Monday Night game. Finally, playing against any NFL home team who upset the defending Super Bowl champion in its last game is 6-0 ATS. |
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11-26-23 | Browns +1.5 v. Broncos | 12-29 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland enters Mile High this week feeling a Mile High themselves. Meanwhile, Denver enters today’s game on a 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS run in its last five games against the AFC North. They also had a -52 net PPG on the season, as opposed to Cleveland’s +47 net PPG this campaign. On the other side of the field, Cleveland is 7-1 ATS in the first of back-to-back road games. With Denver, 2-12-1 ATS in its last fifteen games as a favorite, look for Kevin Stefanski’s magical patchwork show to continue its winning ways today. |
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11-26-23 | New Orleans v. Central Arkansas +5 | 79-74 | Push | 0 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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11-26-23 | Blazers v. Bucks -12.5 | 102-108 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bucks have won six of their last seven games and six straight home games. They have played well offensively, scoring more than 121 points per game while making over 49 percent of their shots. They are one of the best rebounding teams in the league, and they’re very aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring chances. They have also protected the ball well and won’t give the Trailblazers a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Trailblazers aren’t very good defensively and they play worse on the road where they are giving up more than 114 points per game, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Bucks in this game. The Trailblazers have lost eight of their last nine games and four straight road games. They have struggled offensively on the road, scoring less than 110 points per game. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Bucks and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring chances against them. They’ve also been careless with the ball, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Bucks, who average more than seven steals per game. The Bucks aren’t great defensively, but they play better at home, so expect them to keep Portland’s offense in check. Go with Milwaukee to cover the spread. |
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11-26-23 | Wyoming v. Texas -15.5 | 63-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Texas has the advantage of playing at home against a Wyoming team that hasn't had a true road test yet. Wyoming hasn't played a team close to this tough either. Along with that, the Longhorns need to bounce back from their first loss. All of that is to say, that Texas should blow out the Cowboys. The Longhorns have a defense that will completely stymie Wyoming. Texas will also control the rebounding battle. Nobody is stopping Texas from scoring, and that won't change on Sunday. Take Texas to cover. |
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11-26-23 | Steelers v. Bengals +2.5 | Top | 16-10 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 50 m | Show |
AFC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Biggest Achilles without Joe Brr is the Bengals’ pitiable ground game which ranks last in Rush Attempts Per Game and No. 30 in overall rushing. Still, the bottom line is Pittsburgh is still 0-10 ‘In the Stats’ this season, and you won’t find us laying points with them any time soon. Not with the Bengals 5-0-2 ATS when coming off two losses, including 4-0 outright in the last four games. While this appears a strange “Best Bet” consider that the Bengals head coach Zac Taylor is 12-3 ATS as a dog against an opponent the Bengals defeated in their most recent meeting, including 12-1 ATS as a dog of more than one-point |
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11-26-23 | Panthers v. Titans -170 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 26 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Imagine the anguish Carolina Panthers’ owner David Tepper is going through. He insisted Carolina make Bryce Young the first pick of last year’s draft, only to watch C.J. Stroud carve up the league en route to a certain Rookie of the Year award. His young Cats hit the road with the worst record (1-9) in the NFL, standing 2-8 ATS when coming off a home loss while owning the second-to-worst offense in the league (thanks to the Giants). Sure, Carolina is 10-3 ATS against the AFC South, but they catch Tennessee in a nasty mood after taking an 0-3 SUATS hat trick in its last three games – all on the road. With the Titans 9-0 ATS before facing the Colts and 9-2 ATS after tackling the Jaguars, look for Tepper to blow another gasket here today. |
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11-26-23 | Patriots -190 v. Giants | 7-10 | Loss | -190 | 26 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New York Giants undrafted rookie QB Tommy DeVito was sacked nine times Sunday, yet also threw a career-best three TDs against the Washington Commanders, notching his first NFL win. It’s what having a 6-0 turnover edge in your favor will do for you. With the Pats 6-0 ATS recently as non-conference road chalk and 7-2 ATS versus .333 or fewer foes, look for the Giants to return to their losing ways today. |
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11-26-23 | Jaguars v. Texans +2 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Today’s game is a battle for the top spot in the AFC South and with it, the Texans bring the better offense and the better defense into this contest. Houston is 5-1 ATS as a dog behind Stroud, winning 4 of the games outright. They are also 21-5 SU and 15-10-1 ATS in this series, including 8-2 ATS as a dog. With the ‘Ville 1-5 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back division games and 4-8 ATS in its last dozen division games, we’re on the take here today. |
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11-26-23 | New Mexico State v. Louisville -8 | 84-90 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I have renewed confidence in the Cardinals following their strong showing in New York City. They were in position to win both games and truly had the 19th-ranked Longhorns on the ropes before falling on a last-second shot. That confidence should carry over in this spot against a New Mexico State team that has struggled on both ends of the court this season. The Aggies have had difficulty scoring, shooting, and defending the opposition. Louisville has been above average defending the opposition this season, ranking 170th in defensive field goal percentage and 134th in 3-point defense. The biggest differential in this game is rebounding. Louisville is 50th in the nation while the Aggies are just under 300th in the nation. The Cardinals should dominate the glass and dominate the interior. |
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11-26-23 | Austin Peay v. Appalachian State -9 | 58-78 | Win | 100 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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11-25-23 | California +9.5 v. UCLA | Top | 33-7 | Win | 100 | 60 h 7 m | Show |
PAC-12 Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Bruins are just 6-14 ATS when playing against revenge in this series and are a miserable 3-7 SU and 1-8-1 ATS at home after facing USC. Add to that a 2-9 SU and 1-9-1 ATS in LHGs and we put up the stop sign in Pasadena. Meanwhile, Cal head coach Justin Wilcox is 13-5 ATS as a home dog, including 7-0 ATS when coming off a win as a favorite versus a foe coming off a win as a dog. UCLA has the nation’s second-ranked rushing defense, but Cal’s sophomore RB Jadyn Ott has averaged nearly 145 yards on the ground over the last four games and scored 6 TD’s and is the Pac-12’s leading rusher. Finally, Cal is 9-1 ATS in this series when UCLA is coming off a win |
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11-25-23 | Notre Dame -25.5 v. Stanford | 56-23 | Win | 100 | 32 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Notre Dame is 5-1 ATS as road chalk of more than 7 points, and 5-1 ATS with single revenge (lost to the Tree last year on a fourth quarter field goal in a 16-14 defeat). As for the Cardinal, it’s been a disastrous campaign in the wake of David Shaw’s departure, capped off by losing The Big Game to Cal, 27-15, for the fourth time in the last five years. (Stanford had been victorious nine times in a row before that.) Today they enter with a 1-6 ATS mark in their last seven roles as home dogs. They are also 1-5 ATS versus single revenge and 0-7 ATS off an ATS loss versus a foe off an ATS win. |
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11-25-23 | Wisconsin v. Minnesota +2.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Season-ending games have not been kind to Wisconsin either as they’ve gone a puzzling 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in season finales the last six years. Yes, Minnesota is coming off consecutive losses of its own, but the Gophers are 18-6 ATS when coming off a pair of losses, including 9-1 SUATS at home. They’re also a sweet 8-1 ATS as a dog after dressing up as a dog. Finally, Minnesota head coach P.J. fleck is 6-2 ATS as a dog in his career in season finales, including 4-0 ATS versus sub .800 opponents. |
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11-25-23 | James Madison v. Coastal Carolina +9 | Top | 56-14 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 13 m | Show |
CFB Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The NCAA stuck to their moronic stupidly needless rule not allowing a team to play in a bowl game while transitioning from D3 to D1. The week got worse when the ‘72 Dolphins popped the corks once JMU was upset by App. State. You can’t fix stupid, so JMU is finishing their promising season at Coastal against a team that likely hasn’t forgotten the 47-7 beatdown they took from J. Mad last year. Finally, Coastal Carolina is 5-2 SU and 7-0 ATS as a single-digit dog with revenge on the brain, including 4-0 SUATS when the Chants are batting .600 or better in the win column. |
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11-25-23 | Alabama v. Auburn +13.5 | 27-24 | Win | 105 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The host in this series is 5-0-1 ATS / 3-1 SUATS with revenge when the Tide is off a win of 50-plus points. You also need to know Auburn is 9-5-1 ATS in this series when coming off a loss, including 2-0 ATS off a loss of 20 or more points, as well as 8-2 ATS off a loss with a winning record. Including Alabama, a handful of 1-loss playoff-eligible teams take the field this weekend with visions of making the College Football Playoff. |
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11-25-23 | Bruins -114 v. Rangers | 4-7 | Loss | -114 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bruins have the best goals against average in all of the NHL at 2.11. Jeremy Swayman has a goals against average of 2.09 and Linus Ullmark has a GAA of 2.10, therefore there is change in the quality of netminding regardless of who is in goal for the Bruins. Boston is scoring an average of 3.44 goals per game which is 11th best. The Bruins have the 11th best power play and the No. 1 penalty kill unit in hockey, allowing just six goals in 67 times the Bruins have been short-handed this season. |
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11-25-23 | Texas A&M v. LSU -11 | 30-42 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A 10-31-1 ATS mark as conference road dogs against opponents coming off a double-digit win certainly does not bode well for Texas A&M, nor does its 2-8 ATS record in season finales. Meanwhile, the LSU defense has not been very good, but the explosive attack behind QB Jayden Daniels has more than made up for it on the other side of the football. The Tigers have owned this series, going 11-1 ATS in the last 12 matchups. The Bayou Bengals are also 9-2 ATS with single conference revenge (lost 38-23 as double-digit road chalk last year), 7-2 at home versus a less-than-500 SEC opponent, and 6-2 in their 3rd straight home game. With Brian Kelly doing everything in his power to help Daniels capture this year’s Heisman Trophy, figure the starters to be in the game longer than usual in this rout. |
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11-25-23 | Ohio State +3 v. Michigan | 24-30 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Losing two straight to Michigan in this series has been a rarity for Ohio State but they’re a profitable 8-2 ATS with double-plus revenge versus greater than .700 foes. The Buckeyes also thrive in the role of underdog, going 17-4 ATS as a dog since the Buckeyes lost 24-21 to Texas in the 2009 Fiesta Bowl as an 8-point dog, including 10-0 ATS in Big Ten battles. And if OSU is taking points after being favored in its previous game, they check in with a 9-1 ATS mark. Yes, the Wolverines have fielded a rock solid defense this season, allowing just 9 points and 253 yards per game. However, the Buckeyes have posted a 15-3 SU and 12-6-1 ATS record versus conference foes that allow fewer than 10 PPG. With Michigan just 2-6-1 ATS of late when tangling with undefeated conference opponents and head coach Harbaugh not on the sidelines for a third straight week, we expect the Buckeyes to take care of business today in the Big House. |
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11-24-23 | Southern Indiana +37 v. Duke | 62-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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11-24-23 | Winthrop +9 v. Georgia | 69-78 | Push | 0 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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11-24-23 | Missouri v. Arkansas +9 | 48-14 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Missouri is on a 0-5 ATS mark in Last Road Games, they’re also 4-12 ATS in the final game of the season, including 0-6 ATS away. As glorious as this campaign has been for Missouri, Arkansas has suffered through the complete opposite, a 4-7 record that has left both coaches and fans of Razorback football totally exasperated. A win this afternoon in Fayetteville won’t cure that but a good showing in front of the home folks on Senior Day would send them into next season with some positive momentum. The Hogs have some good numbers backing them up, including a 4-0 ATS series run on this field, and an 8-1 ATS skein for the game’s host. Sam Pittman’s troops also own a 4-1 ATS record versus .750 or greater SEC opponents, and 7-2 ATS of late as conference dogs. |
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11-24-23 | Dolphins -9 v. Jets | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 2 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units While Miami has nary a win against teams with a winning record this season, they are 7-0 versus .500 or fewer foes. It’s a Mike McDaniel thing, as he is 13-3 SU and 11-4-1 ATS with Miami against losing teams, including 8-0 ATS in the last eight games. With gang Green just 1-6 ATS in the first of three straight home games and 2-8 ATS on weekdays, we’ll lay the wood in this Black Friday special. |
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11-24-23 | Monmouth +7.5 v. Belmont | 93-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units |
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11-24-23 | Red Wings v. Bruins -189 | 5-2 | Loss | -189 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bruins, who average 3.44 goals per game, should pile on the goals against the Red Wings, who allow 3.17 goals per game, with David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with quick passes. The Bruins, who allow only 2.11 goals per game, should limit the Red Wings offense with Hampus Lindholm, Brandon Carlo, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Linus Ullmark to make plenty of big saves. The Bruins should win the game and cover the spread in a dominant win on their home ice. |
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11-24-23 | Charleston Southern +23 v. Wake Forest | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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11-24-23 | TCU +10 v. Oklahoma | 45-69 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units OU is just 1-5 ATS as double-digit chalk when seeking revenge against a less-than .500 conference opponent, including 0-4 ATS the last four games. Yes, at 5-6 this season, it’s been a precipitous fall for a TCU team that played in last season’s CFB Playoff championship game. While the Sooners do own a 20-7 SUATS record in season finales, defending CFB title game losers are 9-2 ATS as dogs the following season – both losses by TCU this season – including 7-0 ATS when facing .800 or greater foes. The Froggies are also on a 4-0 ATS run when playing Oklahoma in Norman if they have a .500 or less record, and 4-1 SUATS away off back-to-back home games. |
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11-24-23 | BYU -10 v. Arizona State | 77-49 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units BYU seeks its second 5-0 start in the past three seasons when it faces Arizona State on Thursday night in the opening round of the Vegas Showdown at Las Vegas. 4It isn't hard to pinpoint the most impressive of the Cougars' four straight wins. They took down then-No. 17 San Diego State, a national finalist last season, 74-65 on Nov. 10 in Provo, Utah. BYU is coming off a 93-50 rout of Morgan State on Nov. 18. It marked the third time the Cougars won by more than 40 points this season. Jaxson Robinson led BYU with 19 points, and Fousseyni Traore added 17 in the balanced attack that features seven players averaging at least nine points per game and five in double digits. |
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11-23-23 | 49ers v. Seahawks +7.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Seahawks are 10-2 SU and 9–3-1 ATS at home in this series, including 7-1 SU and 7-0–1 ATS if not coming off an ATS loss of 4 or more points. They are also 8-2 ATS as home dogs of 3-plus points. San Francisco enters 4-9 ATS versus division foe seeking triple revenge, including 1-6 ATS when coming off consecutive wins. And they are winless on Turkey day at 0-2 ATS. Finally, Seattle head coach Pete Carroll is 23-9-1 ATS as a home dog in his NFL career, including 9-2 ATS as a dog of 4 or more points. |
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11-23-23 | Ole Miss -10 v. Mississippi State | 17-7 | Push | 0 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Mississippi State is 0-6 ATS as a home dog of 7 or more points of late, compared to Kiffin’s 4-0 ATS march as a road favorite in the same price range. We all know things can get weird when two teams are playing for an Egg Bowl trophy that looks suspiciously like a football, but we’ll count on State’s 4-10 ATS record versus .500 or greater conference foes. |
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11-23-23 | Packers v. Lions -7.5 | 29-22 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Detroit is 15-4 SUATS at home when coming off wins in each of their previous three games, including 9-1 SUATS when they sport a .690 or greater win percentage. Green Bay saved its season by beating the Chargers. Unfortunately, its next two games come against the Lions today and Chiefs next week, and they are riding a 0-4 SUATS mark in the last four games in this series and have topped 24 points on only one occasion this season (in their opener against the Bears). Thanksgiving Day favorites of more than 7 points are 19-2 SU and 16-5 ATS when facing .500 or fewer foes, including 6-0 SUATS when coming off consecutive SUATS wins. With that, look for Detroit to improve on its current 11-1 ATS record in division contests. |
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11-22-23 | Clippers -8 v. Spurs | 109-102 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Clippers have won two straight games. They are playing well offensively, averaging more than 112 points per game. They are very good at rebounding the ball and very aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring chances. They also do a good job protecting the ball and won’t give the Spurs a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Spurs have struggled offensively this season and they've given up at least 120 points in four straight games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Clippers in this game. The Spurs have lost nine straight games and six straight home games. They have struggled offensively and scored less than 110 points in three of their last four games. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Clippers and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring chances. They have also been very careless with the ball, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Clippers, who averaged more than 11 steals per game in their last three games. The Clippers have played well defensively, giving up less than 105 points per game in their last three games, so expect them to keep San Antonio’s offense in check. Go with Los Angeles to cover the spread. |
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11-22-23 | Bruins -105 v. Panthers | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Panthers look to step up on their home ice but the Bruins should bounce back from the rare loss and take over this game. The Bruins, who average 3.47 goals per game, should pile on the goals with David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Bruins, who allow only 2.18 goals per game, should limit the Panthers' offense with Hampus Lindholm, Charlie McAvoy, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Linus Ullmark to make plenty of big saves. The Bruins should win the game with a strong bounce-back performance on the road. |
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11-22-23 | Princeton -150 v. Old Dominion | 76-56 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Princeton Tigers are hot. They have won all four games this season including a 68-61 win against Rutgers of the Big Ten. Old Dominion has not looked good. Their only win occurred against a non-DI opponent in the season opener. They have since lost two straight games. Princeton is a potent offensive squad. They are averaging 110.4 points per 100 possessions, ranking them 50th out of 360 teams in adjusted offensive efficiency. This is superior to Old Dominion who is only averaging 104 points per 100. The Tigers are playing stellar defense, conceding 67 or fewer points in all four games. They have covered in all four games and I expect another convincing win. |
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11-21-23 | NC-Wilmington -135 v. Appalachian State | 56-86 | Loss | -135 | 1 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Until someone stops this offense, roll with the Seahawks to decimate every foe in their path. Especially since they're hitting 50.7% of their triples. App State has struggled to defend the three-point line, which will bite them in this matchup. On the other end, the Mountaineers' inefficiencies offensively will make it impossible to keep up. Even when they have golden chances for buckets, they aren't a lock to convert. UNCW has too much firepower, which is why they'll win and cover in this one. |
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11-20-23 | Eagles +3 v. Chiefs | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Teams returning off a SUATS win in Europe are 3-10 ATS, with rest against avenging foes, including 0-3 SUATS versus winning foes. Philly is 6-3 SU and 8-1 ATS of late in regular season games against .750 or better opponents. On the other side of the coin, the Chiefs are 3-5-1 ATS as regular season favorites against .750 or better opponents. With the Chiefs holding a commanding 3-game lead in the AFC West, we don’t expect to be seeing much urgency tonight, especially since the Eagles are 13-4 SU and 15-2 ATS on Mondays when coming off a SUATS win, including 14-0 ATS when Philadelphia owns a winning record. |
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11-20-23 | Clippers v. Spurs +8.5 | 124-99 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Los Angeles Clippers, despite being the superior team on paper, have faced their own set of challenges, losing 6 out of their last 7 games. Their sole victory in this stretch was clinched by a last-second three-pointer from James Harden. Adding to their woes, the Clippers haven't secured a single road win this season. While backing the San Antonio Spurs isn't particularly appealing, the prospect of favoring the Clippers with a significant point spread on the road (-9) is equally unenticing. In this scenario, opting for the Spurs with the points seems like the more prudent choice. It's noteworthy that when the Clippers score over 124.2 points, their record against the spread is 0-2, mirroring their overall record in such high-scoring games. |
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11-20-23 | Bruins -130 v. Lightning | 4-5 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The offense has been great but the defense has carried the Bruins, allowing only 2.00 goals per game with only four goals in the last two games. Charlie McAvoy and Brandon Carlo have combined for 2.6 defensive point shares and 57 blocked shots while Derek Forbort, Kevin Shattenkirk, and Hampus Lindholm have combined for 2.8 defensive point shares to add depth to the unit. In addition, goaltender Linus Ullmark is having a great season with a .928 save percentage and a 2.23 goals-against average on 251 shots with 6.4 goals saved above average. |
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11-19-23 | Rockets v. Lakers -5 | 104-105 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rockets dismantled the Lakers last week, but Los Angeles missed Anthony Davis. Houston outscored the Lakers 68-42 in the paint while going 14-for-33 from downtown, whereas Los Angeles made just seven of its 25 shots from deep. Since then, the Lakers have gone 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS, though two of those four wins have come against Portland. The Lakers should have learned the lesson, so I’m backing them to beat the Rockets and cover a 5.5-point spread. Davis has struggled a bit of late, but his presence should help the Lakers to outlast Houston this time around. This is not the same Rockets team that lost 60 games last season. But they are still young and inexperienced, and the Rockets have gone 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS over their three road contests in 2023-24. |
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11-19-23 | Seahawks v. Rams +1 | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 95 h 15 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The Seahawks have allowed more yards than they’ve gained this season. and the ultra-angry Rams enter off their Bye week riding a 0-3 SUATS losing skein. Underdogs in this role are 27-10-1 ATS since 1995. It doesn’t hurt that L.A. is 9-1 ATS the last ten games in this series, including 5-0 ATS when the Seahawks arrive off a SUATS win. Meanwhile, Seattle enters just 3-8 ATS in its last eleven division roadies, including 0-3 ATS as a favorite. Tie it into the Rams’ 26-16-1 ATS record in division games behind Sean McVay, and McVay’s 4-0 ATS mark in the first of consecutive division games when coming off a loss of 7 or more points, plus McVay’s 3-0 ATS career mark as a division dog with a losing record. Finally, the Rams are 4-0-1 ATS as a dog with a week of rest. |
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11-19-23 | Bucs v. 49ers -11.5 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 95 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Niners got off the schneid in a big way in last week’s rout of the Jaguars in Jacksonville last week, and with it, they have reasserted themselves as the team to beat on the road to the Super Bowl. They’ll bring a 15-2 ATS mark as home favorites into the tilt, including 10-0 SUATS from Game Ten out. The Bucs currently enter as the No. 8 overall seed in the NFC Playoff Picture, but are 1-7 ATS against the NFC West and 1-6 ATS after hosting an AFC opponent. |
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11-19-23 | Steelers v. Browns -105 | Top | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 92 h 45 m | Show |
AFC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The Steelers have recorded 36 fewer first downs than opponents this season, and they’ve run 75 fewer offensive plays. This game also presents a matchup of the league’s top two sack masters in T.J. Watt, who has the most sacks in NFL history in his first 100 games, against the Browns Defensive MVP leading candidate Myles Garrett, who is tied for the lead league with 11. With the Browns bringing a lethal combo of top rated Rushing Attempts Per Game (34.9) along with the league’s top-ranked defense, look for the “rally around the backup” war chant to carry them to 5-1 SUATS in their last six division home games in the Dawg Pound today. Finally, Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin is 6-11 ATS away in his career against foes coming off a SU underdog win, including 2-10 ATS when the Steelers sport a .500 or greater win percentage. |
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11-19-23 | Cardinals +6 v. Texans | 16-21 | Win | 100 | 46 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Making his first start after tearing his anterior cruciate ligament last year, Arizona quarterback Kyler Murray was a bit rusty against the Falcons. That’s normal. But with his rushing, his ability to extend plays, his pocket presence and his arm, the downtrodden Cardinals (2-8) are far more competitive with him under center. Murray completed 19-of-32 for 249 yards with no touchdowns against one interception in the Cardinals’ 25-23 win. He also scored a rushing touchdown while gaining 33 yards on the ground on six carries, including a 13-yard scramble on a third-and-10 with 1:50 left in the game that set up the game-winning field goal. Noting Arizona’s 5-1 ATS mark against the AFC South and the Texans’ tepid 1-5 ATS record before hosting a division opponent. Finally, playing against any NFL favorite with a winning record from Game Five out if they won 4 or fewer games last season and are off a SU underdog win in their last game 32-66-4-4 ATS in this role since 1980. Bring them in against an opponent off a win, and they lose almost all of their luster, going 8-29 ATS. To top it off, if the foe is not coming off consecutive home games, these favorites fall to 3-27 ATS. |
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11-18-23 | San Diego State v. San Jose State -14.5 | 13-24 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Line opened at San Jose State minus 14½, and is still minus 14½. Right, we are aware of the fact that the visitor in Spartan games this season stands at 7-1 ATS. However there is another trend in the works, that being Spartans' 5-game spread run (7-2 for the year), covering their last 4 games by 21, 16½, 24½ & 21½. Not only that, but San Jose sits at 5-5 SU, which ensures total dedication in quest for a bowl possibility. The 3-7 Aztecs are just the opposite. On a 1-7 SU run, with their 2 covers since Sept coming by just 1 pt & ½ pt. Revenge raises it head here. |
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11-18-23 | Grizzlies -145 v. Spurs | 120-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Spurs will have to deal with fatigue on the second night of a back-to-back set which is the only reason why am I taking the Grizzlies to cover. Frankly, this is the clash between a couple of slumping teams, and it could go either way, but the Grizzlies had three days to prepare themselves for the Spurs. In addition, Memphis looks like a better defensive team than San Antonio, though by a slight margin. Hopefully, the Grizzlies will extend their dominance over the Spurs and beat the number along the way. |
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11-18-23 | Canadiens v. Bruins -268 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bruins have looked like one of the best teams in the Eastern Conference and they look to dominate this game. The Bruins, who average 3.33 goals per game, should find the back of the net at will against the Canadiens, who are allowing 3.47 goals per game, with David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with quick passes. The Bruins, who are allowing only 2.00 goals per game, should limit the Canadiens offense with Charlie McAvoy, Brandon Carlo, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Linus Ullmark to make plenty of big saves. |
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11-18-23 | Oregon -23.5 v. Arizona State | 49-13 | Win | 100 | 51 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units ASU is 0-3 ATS in their last three before Arizona, 1-5 ATS in the first half of back-to-back home games, 3-9 ATS in last home games when coming off a SUATS win (they shut down UCLA 17-7 last week) and even worse 0-6 ATS when the Sun Devils are coming off a double digit spread win. Oregon is 5-0 ATS as a conference road favorite of 15 or more, 9-1 ATS when favored last game while the opponent was the underdog in its last game. Oregon boasts the nation’s No. 2 offense, run by a Heisman Trophy candidate whose thrown for 3,315 yards, with a 77.7% completion rate, and a TD:INT ratio of 29:2. |
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11-18-23 | Minnesota +27.5 v. Ohio State | 3-37 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The ATS archives favor taking the points with Minnesota this afternoon, as Minny is 9-1 ATS when coming off consecutive SUATS losses, and coach Fleck is 5-0 ATS as a road dog of 25 or more points, plus 4-0 ATS as a double-digit dog versus undefeated foes. The Gophers’ 3-0-1 ATS recent series run coupled with Ohio State’s 1-8 ATS failure before meeting Michigan seals the deal here. Additionally, Game 11 has been the bane of the Ohio State Buckeyes. They are 1-8 ATS the last nine years, 0-7-1 ATS versus a foe off a SUATS loss, and 0-4 ATS when undefeated. |
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11-18-23 | Georgia v. Tennessee +10.5 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 43 m | Show |
SEC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The Vols come in 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games,7-0 ATS when coming off a conference road game, and 6-0 ATS off a loss. Despite their spotless SU record this season, Georgia is a surprising 1-6 ATS when coming off a double-digit win, and 1-4 ATS in their last five conference road games. Additionally, Defending National Champions are 26-38-1 ATS as road favorites against .700 or greater opponents, including 0-6 ATS versus foes coming off a SUATS loss. Finally, playing against any 10-0 college football double-digit favorite in Game 11 if they are facing a .666 or greater opponent is 17-2-3 ATS. |
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11-18-23 | Utah -102 v. Arizona | Top | 18-42 | Loss | -102 | 70 h 36 m | Show |
PAC-12 Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Arizona is 0-7 ATS before ASU and 0-6 ATS in Game 11. Additionally, Arizona is 2-8-1 ATS when coming off a road favorite win. Utah has recently dominated this series, 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS. You make the Utes a road dog or pick ‘em, they are 15-3 ATS. This game, pre-season, had Utah as an eight point favorite and we think the wise guys had it right the first time. Finally, Arizona is 3-12 ATS in last home games when coming off a win, including 1-10 ATS versus sub .800 opponents. |
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11-18-23 | Coastal Carolina v. Army +4.5 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 67 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Army is a timely 7-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in LHGs, including 2-0 SUATS as a dog. As for today’s opponent, the Chanticleers enter this game red hot, riding a 5-0 SUATS win skein, with the last three victories coming as underdogs. However, favorites coming off three consecutive outright wins have struggled to the point that they become prime bounce material the following game. Army is looking for payback, too, from last season’s 38-28 loss as a 1.5-point dog at Coastal. Military teams are 18-9 SU and 15-11 ATS versus Sun Belt Conference teams, including 5-0 SU from Game Eleven out. Finally, Non-conference favorites, coming off three consecutive outright wins, are 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS since 1990, including 0-5 SUATS the last five games. |
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11-17-23 | Lakers -8.5 v. Blazers | 107-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units The Lakers are 2-0 in an inaugural NBA In-Season Tournament, looking to make another step toward the knock-out round. The Trail Blazers have gone 1-1 thus far and will have a mountain to climb in this matchup given their injury woes. Portland has dropped five straight games by an average margin of 10.2 points. If Malcolm Brogdon misses his fourth straight game, the Lakers will have a nice chance to cover an 8.5-point spread. Los Angeles is 6-0 ATS in its last six games played on Friday, and I’m expecting the Lakers to extend this streak. |
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11-16-23 | Bengals +4 v. Ravens | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Bengals have taken numerous standing 8-counts this season, entering tonight’s contest 1-4 against the AFC, including 0-2 in division games. If they lose this contest, they will have little to no chance in any tiebreakers when it comes to the NFL playoffs. Cincinnati is 7-4 SU and 10-1 ATS in their last eleven games as a dog behind Burrow, as well as 4-0 ATS away against foes coming off a SU loss as a favorite. Finally, Cincinnati is 10-2 ATS away with Burrow when coming off a loss, including 5-0 SUATS in games when the Bengals own a .400 or greater record. |
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11-16-23 | Nets +3.5 v. Heat | 115-122 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In a game that should be low-scoring, the Brooklyn Nets have an excellent chance of pulling off a road upset. Their offense is much better, especially when it comes to hitting threes. Brooklyn attempts a high volume of threes and is the league's third-most accurate team. The Heat have allowed opponents to hit 38.6% of their triples. Unless Miami takes fewer midrange shots, they won't shoot well in this one. The Nets are top 10 at forcing midrange misses and three-point misses. Both defenses are solid, so it'll come down to making shots. Brooklyn has that advantage, and it should lead them to a sixth straight win over the Heat. |
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11-16-23 | Boston College +3 v. Pittsburgh | 16-24 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams are 6-1 ATS on weekdays but Boston College is 15-8 ATS as a dog in this series, including 6-0 ATS as dogs off a loss, while Pitt is 0-4 SUATS as a favorite this season. In fact, we’re not sure why a two-win team is laying points to a six-win bowl squad. |
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11-15-23 | Wolves v. Suns -6 | 115-133 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I like the Suns to pull away in this game thanks to the return of Booker to the starting lineup and Gordon off of the bench. The duo should allow the Suns to spread the floor against a Timberwolves team playing the second game of a back-to-back and coming off a highly emotional game with the Warriors. Durant should get more minutes of rest in this one with his all-star teammate back and Beal should continue to improve as he gets his wind up after missing the entire season prior to last week. Minnesota has been red-hot but I think it will be too hard for them to muster up the emotions needed in this one. |
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11-15-23 | Ducks v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 2 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Ducks are having a great season with their offense stepping up and scoring 3.14 goals per game. Frank Vatrano, Mason McTavish, and Ryan Strome have scored 20 goals and 24 assists to lead the top two lines but the rest of the offense has stepped up as well.The offense has stepped up but the defense has struggled, allowing 2.93 goals per game.The Avalanche are having a great season with their offense stepping up and scoring 3.36 goals per game with five goals in their recent game. |
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11-15-23 | Buffalo v. Miami-OH -8.5 | 10-23 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miami Ohio has not quite clinched the division title yet, needing just one more win against Buffalo or pitiful Ball State (also 3-7), but only a total collapse will keep the RedHawks away from a showdown with Toledo for the conference championship. When it comes to recent ATS history Miami holds all the cards, currently riding an 8-1 SU and 7-1 ATS streak, and bringing a salty 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS streak on Wednesdays into the fray. Difficult to take that on with Buffy’s money-burning 2-8 ATS mark in games coming off a SUATS loss. |
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11-15-23 | Central Michigan +11 v. Ohio | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chippewas will have a better shot at springing the upset versus Ohio here as opposed to next week’s season-ender against mighty Toledo. The Chips do sport a nifty 17-3-1 ATS record on Wednesdays to boot, including 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS away. We also like that the CMU coaching staff has lit a fire under the running game, as they’ve churned out 544 rushing yards in the last two outings while gaining 6.5 yards per carry. Should that ground assault continue, it will be a strength-versus-strength matchup as Ohio’s stalwart rush defense allows just 95 YPG and 3.3 yards per carry. The deal breaker appears to be the Bobcats horrid 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS skid in this series of late, so we’ll take as many points as we can get and back the Chippewas here. |
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11-14-23 | Clippers v. Nuggets -4.5 | 108-111 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nuggets will be making do without point guard Jamal Murray for the rest of the month of November as he recovers from a hamstring strain. So far so good for the champs with Reggie Jackson filling in nicely at point guard, primarily as a scorer with Jokic handling the passing duties. The Clippers still look like a team trying to figure things out with just one ball for several aging stars. Tyronne Lue must determine the best rotations to get his four veterans on the floor in the right situations. Malone's job for Denver is much easier with everything going through Jokic. Jokic has two triple-doubles in the three games that Murray has missed thus far as he takes a more prominent role in distributing the ball. Denver's defense has also been excellent this season and they should be looking forward to defending a Clippers team that looks disjointed right now. The Clippers have also been sloppy with the basketball and that should also feed into the Nuggets' offense. The most disheartening thing for the Clippers thus far has been their feeble record despite having one of the easiest schedules to start the season, ranking 28th in the league. Go with the Nuggets who will have more possessions, ranking 6th in turnovers, and knock down more shots with the league's top field goal percentage. |
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11-14-23 | Bruins -142 v. Sabres | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Sabres are looking to step up on their home ice but the Bruins have looked like one the best teams in the NHL and they look to control this game on both ends of the ice. The Bruins, who average 3.21 goals per game, should pile on the goals against the Sabres, who allow 3.13 goals per game, with David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with effective puck movement. The Bruins, who allow only 2.00 goals per game, should limit the Sabres' offense with Charlie McAvoy, Derek Forbort, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Linus Ullmark to make plenty of big saves. The Bruins should win the game with a dominant performance on the road. |
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11-13-23 | Cavs -142 v. Kings | 120-132 | Loss | -142 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kings have been able to win each of the last two games without Fox but are just 2-3 overall without him this season. The Cavs offer a challenging matchup with a very quick guard in Darius Garland who can fill it up from long range and at the basket. He will force the Kings to offer help on him which should open the floor up a bit for Mitchell. The Cavs will also take advantage of a slower-paced Kings team without Fox. They are sixth in the NBA in fastbreak points and should be able to get up and down the floor against the Kings. The Cavs have also played the fifth toughest schedule in the NBA thus far compared to the Kings, who have played the 25th toughest schedule. |
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11-13-23 | Broncos v. Bills -7 | Top | 24-22 | Loss | -105 | 99 h 52 m | Show |
AFC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Denver checks in 0-9 ATS when coming off an underdog win, 0-7 ATS of late in this series, 0-6 ATS away when coming off consecutive home games, and 1-8 ATS when they are coming off a pair upset wins. And we didn’t even mention the Broncos’ 1-5 ATS ledger on the Monday Night road. Buffalo piles on at 7-0 SUATS in its last seven games as a favorite against the AFC West. They are also 15-4 SU and 14-5 ATS against foes coming off a SU underdog win, including 8-1 SUATS at home. If that’s not enough, then check out that Buffalo is 33-12 SUATS coming off three ATS losses, including 14-1 ATS against foes coming off a win (9-0 ATS at home). |