Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-29-21 | Monmouth v. Niagara +4.5 | 77-67 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The traveling Hawks of Monmouth are 7-3, third in the MAAC, and looking at eight straight road games to close their regular season, four back-to-backs. Yo-ho. It all starts with their longest possible trip, to the NY-Canadian border where they lost 77-72 last season shooting 6-for-29 on threes and 55.6% at the foul line. Long bus ride, from south central Jersey, eh? The home underdog is 3-1 SU in their wayward outpost. |
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01-28-21 | New Mexico v. Fresno State -6.5 | 62-64 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Mexico’s only wins have been against Rice, Our Lady of the Lake, Le Tourneau, Dixie State and San Jose State. Egads! In true MWC road games (their home games have been all over the place, not in The Pit), they are scoring a mere .84 points per possession. One of their problems – and there have been many – is handling opposing bigs. So, it could be a good night to be Fresno State’s 7’, 235 Orlando Robinson (17.5 ppg, 9.1 reb). |
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01-28-21 | Michigan State +3 v. Rutgers | 37-67 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Izzo wouldn’t have picked this game to come back from a pause if he didn’t think he had some kind of advantage. He’d have found a way to say, ‘Er, no, we can’t play again, yet, because, uhh, we’re not ready. Yes, that’s it.’ Rutgers has never beaten Michigan State since coming into the Big Ten. Earlier this month, Rutgers took points at Michigan St. and lost by considerably more than the spot. They are favored vs. Michigan St. despite never having beaten them. |
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01-27-21 | St. John's v. DePaul | 81-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units St. Johns is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. While Depaul is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. |
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01-27-21 | Ole Miss v. Arkansas -4.5 | Top | 59-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit SEC Play of the Day With five kids averaging double figures and a 7’3” player like Connor Vanover who can step out, take and make three pointers, Arkansas has the potential to turn Kermit Davis’ Ole Miss defenders into Kermit the Frogs. Ole Miss enters off a pair of low-scoring wins (64-46, 61-50) against Mississippi State and Texas A&M, a pair of suspect-shooting grinders who can’t really spread the floor on offense. |
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01-27-21 | Virginia Tech v. Notre Dame | Top | 62-51 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit ACC Play of the Day If Virginia Tech would like to remain ranked in the Top 25, then they’ll come out and forget about the 18-point loss at Syracuse in which Syracuse got 64 points of 78 in the lane or at the free-throw line. “We wanted to drive in on their center and make him play defense on Marek [Dolezaj],” Syracuse coach Jim Boeheim said. “When we got a mismatch, we got Quincy down in low. That’s what we wanted to do there.”And, they did. Which Notre Dame won’t. The Irish stay out on the perimeter and run their little ball screen for guards like Cormac Ryan, who make 1-for-5 on their threes and don’t rebound anywhere near enough of their misses. Consider that Virginia Tech is 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. |
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01-26-21 | Missouri +3 v. Auburn | Top | 82-88 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Play of the Day Tell me can you win yet another ***BEST BET so fine? Tell me, Cuonzo, Cuonzo, Cuonzo!’ While it may be asking a lot of the Mr. Martin’s Tigers to beat Tennessee-Auburn within four days on the SEC road, they have a team laden with upperclassmen who have become versatile in terms of how they are able to play and compete well. That’s why they’ve been able to win on the road at Arkansas and Tennessee already, two very different kinds of games. Cuonzo is actually “letting them play” this season instead of having his hands on their waistbands all the time. Of course, Bruce Pearl’s Tigers present challenges to Missouri’s defense that Tennessee did not. But Auburn’s defense leaves much to be desired and they are probably a little points-drunk after hanging 109 on five-guard South Carolina on Saturday, a team that couldn’t rebound enough to slow them down. |
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01-26-21 | Dayton +9.5 v. St. Louis | 76-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Welcome back Saint Louis, finally able to play again. Lucky for them that Dayton has one of the shortest rotations going. If the Flyers could lose to Fordham on the road (and, they did), then they can certainly lose at Saint Louis even though the Billikens spot them lots of recent action. But 10 points to take, when Dayton beat Saint Louis twice last season? That’s something which doesn’t get dangled in front of you every day when the home chalk is at a scheduling disadvantage. Dayton player, on the team’s loss against up-tempo VCU havoc: ‘As bad as it is, it’s over with.’ Yup. New day, can’t wait to get back out there against a foe who’s style is a better matchup for them. |
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01-25-21 | Texas Tech v. West Virginia -1.5 | Top | 87-88 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
NCAAB Play of the Day When he was with VCU, Texas Tech’s 6’7” Marcus Santos-Silva wasn’t playing in the paint against many guys like West Virginia’s 6’10” Derek Culver. Away from that advantage-Mountaineers, West Virginia opponents are making only 29.1% of their three-pointers. Huggins’ fellas came off three postponements to get a good tune-up game under their belt at Kansas State on Saturday. “I thought we were a bit rusty offensively, but defensively we stepped up and played one of our best games of the year,” said guard Miles McBride. He had a big game vs. Tech last season and now the rust has been knocked off. Some of that rust may be transferred to the Red Raiders, who’ve had their last two games postponed. Rust never sleeps. |
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01-25-21 | Oklahoma State -3 v. Iowa State | 81-60 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cowboys were good enough to lead Baylor by 4 points after 20 minutes without Cade Cunningham and Rondel Walker. Iowa State hasn’t played since Jan. 9, owns zero (0) wins against real teams (they have 2, vs. Ark-Pine Bluff and Jackson State). |
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01-25-21 | Utah State -5.5 v. UNLV | 56-59 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units UNLV’s only wins have been against Kansas State – who gets drilled just about every game -- and New Mexico, who’s also been getting routed as a matter of course and who lost to San Jose State on Saturday. San Jose State! Utah State, they got class at 12-4 and a pair of wins vs. San Diego State. Consider that Utah State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Monday games, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss. |
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01-24-21 | Notre Dame +3.5 v. Miami-FL | 73-59 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The down-trending of Notre Dame under Mike Brey seems to coincide with the NCAA shaving time off the shot clock and lengthening the three-point line. If you’re aware of their general style and type of players they tend to recruit, it makes sense that those factors require adjustments in overall philosophy. Why, then, is Notre Dame our side in this spot? Borrow the Syracuse blueprint, Irish. Take your short roster and play 40 minutes of zone defense, praying that the Hurricanes don’t suddenly find the range. Without the zippy Lykes kid to penetrate into the zone, Miami struggles. |
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01-24-21 | Valparaiso v. Illinois State -1 | 70-66 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Valparaiso is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Sunday games, 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games, and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. While Illinois State is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. |
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01-24-21 | Fordham +17 v. Rhode Island | 42-52 | Win | 100 | 4 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units URI is 12-27 ATS in their last 39 Sunday games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. While Fordham is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. In addition the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. |
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01-24-21 | Rutgers v. Indiana -4 | 74-70 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Indiana picked up a much-needed win at No. 4 Iowa by holding the high-scoring Hawkeyes to their lowest point total of the season. The Hoosiers will now look to carry that defensive mindset into this afternoons Big Ten matchup against reeling Rutgers in Bloomington, Ind. Indiana (9-6, 4-4 Big Ten) held Iowa, the Big Ten's top scoring offense at 92.2 points per game entering the game, to 38.1 percent from the field and 21.7 percent (5 of 23) from 3-point range to improve to 1-4 against ranked teams on the season. In beating No. 4 Iowa, Indiana picked up a win against its highest-ranked opponent since knocking off No. 3 North Carolina on Nov. 30, 2016. Consider that Indiana is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. |
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01-23-21 | Missouri +8 v. Tennessee | Top | 73-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Play of the Day ‘Can you continue to win our ***BEST BETS on you so fine? Tell me, Cuonzo, Cuonzo, Cuonzo!’ After Tennessee won 73-53 at Mizzou in the SEC season opener, many will be hesitant to back the Tigers on the road in the same match-up. But something’s gone amiss with Tennessee since then, and head coach Rick Barnes is so furious lately about lack of effort, lack of little details and leadership that he promises lineup changes (they’re 10-2 but young, so…). While the Vols will no doubt come out breathing fire off the 26-point loss at Florida, Missouri has a margin for error in the line with some Cuonzo adjustments on the way – possibly getting Mr. Tillmon more involved than he was in the first meeting, after which Martin wasn’t all that disappointed with how the team played. Tennessee made a lot of the baskets Missouri asked them to make, at -2 that day. Now the Vols – with point guard Santiago Vescovi playing hurt and another ball-handler, guard Jaden Springer, still out by all accounts – have to win by much at least 9. |
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01-23-21 | Tennessee Tech v. Murray State -13 | Top | 63-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Ohio Valley Conference Play of the Day It usually takes Murray State two seasons to lose five Ohio Valley Conference games but here they are at 2-5 after only seven have been played. All the losses have been close, to opponents that are among the top half of the conference. But the Racers blew away bottom-dweller UT-Martin by 22 points recently and Tennessee Tech is a fellow bottom-dweller. Off Thursday’s latest loss, it’s feeding time for the bottom feeder! Tech’s 72-69 loss at Austin Peay on Thursday night came as their host was short-handed off a program pause. They trailed 27-5 early. If they were a good team, we’d say that the 27-5 was an aberration. But they’re not a good team. Consider that the Racers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite. |
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01-23-21 | Mississippi State +11 v. Alabama | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Tide has been just freaking lately with eight straight wins, the last three by a combined 81 points. There will be a drought of some degree to at least slightly offset the aberrational onslaught. You don’t want to be the guy who expects it to come too soon. But on the other hand, you do want to be the guy who projects to come before everybody else. MSU has rim protection up the wazoo with 6’11” Abdul Ado, 6’10” Tolu Smith and 6’9” Javian Davis. It really shouldn’t be easy for the Tide to attack the rim and ramp up the pace |
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01-23-21 | Duke v. Louisville -3 | Top | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit CBB Blowout of the Day Look, things are tough all over the nation but look on the bright side. It’s late January, Duke is unranked, 1-8 ATS, Coach K is already on record as wanting to bail, and they’ve lost two in a row leading into this third straight road game against what is probably the best opponent of the trio. Without the home rout against Bellarmine, Duke would basically have a 73-73 PF/PA average. They’ve lost their one match-up with Louisville in each of the last two season, by 6 points at home last year. Louisville is angried up off two losses, most recently to a Florida State team that has had its number big-time the last few seasons – no big deal there. |
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01-23-21 | Weber State v. Southern Utah +1 | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units “We just had a lid on the rim early, and I think that affected our defense and we were just flat,” explained visiting head coach Todd Simon after losing 91-67 here on Thursday. SUU trailed 28-9, then 47-27 at halftime. Their record had been 10-2 when they arrived, so you have to think that they can regroup and rebound as they switch sites 288 miles north to their home floor, right? |
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01-23-21 | Kansas v. Oklahoma +1.5 | 68-75 | Win | 100 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Kansas has lost two straight. Therefore, many in the wagering world will be all over them to avoid losing a third consecutive game. Kooky quote from Bill Self: “Saturday’s game’s important, but it’s kind of crap. You lose two in a row and the sky’s falling because there wasn’t a home game in between that you could make sure that didn’t happen.” Interesting. We didn’t know home wins were guaranteed. Anyway, despite playing without senior forward Brady Manek, who is 6’10” but can step outside and knock down three-pointers to help mess up opposing defenses, and also without freshman guard Jalen Hill (16.6 minutes per game), the Sooners held up rather well at KU on Jan. 9, losing 63-59. Manek and Hill returned for their last game and didn’t need to get involved much for the Sooners to beat TCU by 26 points. |
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01-22-21 | Detroit +1 v. Oakland | 81-86 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Detroit is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 Friday games, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400, and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. In addition, the road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. |
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01-22-21 | Charlotte +1.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 53-66 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Mismatch of the Day The visitor has won the last three meetings, one of them taking place as they were a 2-16 team in C-USA in 2018-19. The pack-line defense they are playing rather well in low possession games is in stark contrast to the no-defense played by the up-tempo opponent that FAU swept last weekend, Florida International. FAU is one of the best underdogs in college hoops over the last two-plus seasons. Unless our calculations are way off, they’ll be favored on their home floor. They scored 107 points in their last game. What went up must come down. |
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01-22-21 | Wright State v. IUPU-Indianapolis +13 | 95-65 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units IUPUI is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. While Wright State is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games following three or more consecutive home games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. |
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01-21-21 | Colorado State v. Utah State -8 | 84-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The host Aggies are 9-0 atop the Mountain West and beat CSU 83-64 on Wednesday night. These visiting Rams tend to fall way behind in the first half – not the worst thing when taking a lot of points, but not the best, either! Utah State has really drilled each and every foe in this situation: second game in three nights – beat San Jose State by 27, Air Force by 19, New Mexico by 36, San Diego State by 15. |
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01-21-21 | Pacific +3.5 v. Pepperdine | 68-85 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Damon Stoudamire to Romar: ‘I… own… you.’ Six straight wins for the visiting Tigers since Romar took over Pepperdine in 2018. The Waves recently got away with shooting 6-for-25 (24.0%) on threes and turning it over 16 times beating Portland by 15 points on this floor but Pacific will defend the paint better and won’t allow the 5-for-8 and 8-for-11 two-point shooting that Pepperdine forwards Kessler Edwards and Kene Chukwuka enjoyed in that match-up. Portland played that game against Pepperdine without five players who didn’t make the trip, including leading scorer Ahmed Ali. |
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01-21-21 | Indiana v. Iowa -9.5 | 81-69 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The nation’s #1 offensive-efficiency team, with an array of pretty good three-point shooters, is on its home floor against the team allowing the highest percentage of opposing three-point field goals in Big Ten play. Could get ugly for Indiana. |
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01-21-21 | Arizona -2.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 84-82 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Play of the Day ASU is 1-9 ATS. There’s a reason we call them Hurley’s girlies. One of the most expectation-laden teams, every year, which can’t even win consistently in a conference that hasn’t been what it used to be for a while. The visiting Wildcats can’t play in the post-season this year, which should put an even greater emphasis on dealing with the rivalry games. Having last Saturday’s Oregon game postponed gave Sean Miller and staff extra time to get home and get ready, while ASU was stuck up in Corvallis, OR over the weekend losing another one. Although it was excusable to lose to USC and UCLA home, and even OSU on the road, remember that ASU lost by 13 points vs. UTEP in their final game before Pac 12 season began. |
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01-21-21 | St. Mary's v. Loyola Marymount +2.5 | 65-61 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Saint Mary’s should have been struggling like they are now when they were playing with recruiting limitations via NCAA sanctions that stretched from 2014 through 2018. But, better late than never. We saw it coming during their non-conference cupcake slate in which they rolled to a fake 9-2, one of the losses 74-49 to San Diego State, the only real team they played (unless you count Memphis, who beat them 73-56 for the other loss). They’ve opened up WCC season losing 66-64 to Santa Clara, 62-52 to BYU, 73-59 to Gonzaga. They’re like Kentucky – slowing the game down to make up for lack of scoring and trying to lead with defense, but at some point ya’ gotta make baskets. |
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01-21-21 | SE Missouri State v. Morehead State -5.5 | 65-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units If you love being on a side that allows only 59.8 ppg and is facing an opponent averaging the fewest points per game in the conference (65.3), then there’s nothing wrong with desiring Morehead. |
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01-20-21 | Tulsa v. Houston -12 | 59-86 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units All the elements were there noting a performance worth lauding, and Houston's dismantling of visiting UCF on Sunday provided a showcase of the Cougars' excellence. However, as evidence of how high the bar has been raised for the No. 8 Cougars, there was plenty to assess regarding how they could improve upon their near-perfect first half. The Cougars carried a 45-19 lead to the break after knocking down 6 of 14 3-point attempts and grabbing seven steals. Ultimately, the Cougars rolled to their fourth consecutive win, a 75-58 decision that Houston (11-1, 6-1 American Athletic Conference) will use as a springboard for its rematch against visiting Tulsa. Consider Houston is 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. While the favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. |
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01-20-21 | Providence v. Creighton -9 | Top | 74-70 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit CBB Play of the Day Providence had their shot at the Blue Jays at home recently, couldn’t get it done. Their ability to prevent Creighton from swishing three-pointers through their own friendly rims is highly questionable. When the Friars lost 67-65 at home to Creighton they shot only 33.8% from the floor. But it’s not unreasonable to expect the same or worse off an eight-day break and playing in this place, where Creighton is known for getting quick separation that throws slower-paced opponents out of whack. Starting point guard Jared Bynum has been out for Providence. Head coach Ed Cooley: “I’ve never coached a team that wasn’t tough emotionally, mentally and, more importantly, physically. This team has got to get to that point. If we don’t get to that point, we’re going to have a tough time surviving in the Big East.” Thanks for the heads-up, coach! |
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01-20-21 | Mercer v. The Citadel +7.5 | 83-63 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Mercer is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. While the Citadel is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall |
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01-20-21 | Winthrop v. Presbyterian +16.5 | 78-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Winthrop is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall, and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. While Presbyterian is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog. In addition, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings |
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01-19-21 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -2 | 64-46 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Mississippi State looks to keep pace near the top of the Southeastern Conference when it hosts in-state rival Ole Miss on Tuesday in Starkville, Miss. |
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01-19-21 | Maryland v. Michigan -10.5 | 63-87 | Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Maryland squad that doesn’t really have a true point guard and will be throwing Ayala out there at less than 100 percent. Hunter Dickinson is coming off a season-low nine points and had five turnovers in being outplayed by Minnesota’s Liam Robbins, so he’ll be looking to rebound too. Considering they’re back home at Crisler Arena and so many Wolverines will be looking to atone for an awful effort at the “Barn,” this has blowout written all over it with Michigan just a 10- point favorite. |
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01-19-21 | Tennessee -6.5 v. Florida | Top | 49-75 | Loss | -122 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Play of the Day The Vol1s have won four straight against the Gators. Can’t see how this Mike White-coached Florida group – weakened on the inside by injury absences – can score much against a Tennessee bunch that defends equally well inside and out. Florida prefers a quick pace; Tennessee probably won’t allow that to happen. Florida shot in the mid-30s percent range on two-point shots in their last two games. They are shooting a decent 37% from three-point range in SEC play. But – ah, always a but – they haven’t faced Tennessee yet. Clang-clang, rebound Vols. |
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01-19-21 | South Carolina v. Missouri -5.5 | Top | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit CBB Mismatch of the Day ‘Tell me why should we make a ***BEST BET on you again when South Carolina can score like Texas A&M can’t? Tell me Cuonzo, Cuonzo, Cuonzo!’ Could it be because Jeremiah Tillmon once again has nobody to go out and chase on the perimeter? This seems to be the case, given the tendencies of the South Carolina bigs, who also aren’t that big. Tilmon is averaging 18.5 pg and 9 rebounds in his last three games. “There’s not many in America that’s better,” Martin says. “There might be some that’s just as good. But high level of player on both sides of the ball, and then doing it efficiently without fouling. Really impressive.” Consider that Missouri is 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 while the home team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. |
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01-19-21 | Purdue v. Ohio State -4.5 | 67-65 | Loss | -119 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Buckeyes (11-3, 5-3 Big Ten) got their third victory in a row Saturday, an 87-81 decision at Illinois. Following successive road wins, they return home, where they are unbeaten this season in eight games, including three Big Ten contests. Tuesday's game was moved from Jan. 27 to accommodate schedule changes in the conference due to COVID-19 protocols, and it lands in a spot that means Ohio State will have one more day of rest than the Boilermakers (10-5, 5-3), who defeated visiting Penn State 80-72 on Sunday. The short turnaround is rare for regular-season conference games. It's the first time in 20 years that Purdue has had had just a one-day break between Big Ten games (Feb. 27 and 29, 2000). Consider that Purdue is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win. |
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01-18-21 | Kansas v. Baylor -9 | 69-77 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Seems best not to be “that guy” who insists on stepping in front of Baylor, 30-4 SU when favored at home the last two-plus seasons. They’re scoring more, giving up fewer, than the Jayhawks. As noted here recently, can’t trust KU’s David McCormack to step up inside on a consistent basis, especially against the conference’s best |
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01-18-21 | CS Sacramento v. Idaho State | 70-65 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sacramento State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. While Idaho State is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 Monday games, 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. |
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01-17-21 | Virginia Tech -7 v. Wake Forest | Top | 64-60 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
ACC Play of the Day Head coaches Mike Young and Steve Forbes squared off in the Southern Conference when Wofford and East Tennessee State matched up. Young beat Forbes five of the last eight times and his Virginia Tech team has a one-season head start in his systems vs. the first-season Forbes, whose Demon Deacons endured a long pause recently that should continue to be an obstacle as he attempts to make something of the mess that Danny Manning left behind. Nowhere to go but up, but hopefully not yet, as one of their guards suggests: "It’s just going to take a little time. Hopefully it happens sooner or later, and we can maybe flip the switch, but it’s just a matter of time before we get to it." Another guard, Carter Whitt missed the Louisville game and should still be out. Va. Tech’s Jalen Cone has been giving them a starter’s production coming off the bench. |
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01-17-21 | Memphis v. Tulsa +2 | 57-58 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Memphis, overrated due to incorrect assessment of Penny Hardaway’s coaching abilities being as good as his recruiting abilities, hasn’t played since Dec. 29 but it was because of their opponents, not them. But before the postponements, they were struggling to score. They face a host giving up an average of only 62.9 ppg, and who they already lost to at home by the score of 56-49. Oh, and they also lost 80-40 here last February. Good luck! |
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01-17-21 | Hofstra v. Delaware +3.5 | Top | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 2 h 30 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit CAA Play of the Day Hofstra is now 0-5 ATS in the Colonial following Friday’s outright loss as the road favorite. We had that happy-happy back-to-back against them last weekend with Northeastern, and they followed up on that SU/ATS L-L with an outright loss here by 18 points. People are looking at them as if they already won the CAA, like they did last year, and as if their head coach is still there, which he hasn’t been. They have a short roster, play mostly 40 minutes of zone, are easy to prepare for, have a target on their backs and aren’t shooting as accurately as they did last season. |
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01-17-21 | Iowa -9.5 v. Northwestern | 96-73 | Win | 100 | 2 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Can you imagine Northwestern people when they’re 3-0 after beating Michigan State, Indiana and Ohio State, thinking, ‘Oh, yes! We will dominate the Big Ten and get to the Elite Eight! Wowee!’ Because at that point, anyone who’s been around the block a few times realizes that 3-0 has a fine chance to turn into 3-10. At the moment it’s 3-4, the four straight losses by 15, 19, 25 and 10 points. |
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01-16-21 | Colorado State v. San Jose State +19.5 | 88-61 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Thursday night’s result was more of the same from the San Jose State perspective – another beatdown suffered. This time it was 90-57. They’ve been relocated to Phoenix, AZ. The school’s women’s basketball program has been shut down, rather than deal with the fear-based banishment to another state. They lost to the Rams by 33 points despite 35 points from guard Richard Washington. “That’s not very good for us defensively,” said CSU head coach Niko Medved. So now they’ll key on Washington to add insult to another injury. |
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01-16-21 | Washington v. UCLA -14.5 | Top | 76-81 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Play of the Day Undefeated in conference play and looking to move back into the national rankings, UCLA is set to put its much-improved offense up against visiting Washington today. The Bruins (10-2, 6-0 Pac-12) will enter off an impressive 91-61 victory Thursday over Washington State when the leaders of the conference shook off their tendency to play to the level of their opponent. UCLA has not gone 7-0 to open conference play since 1993-94. Washington (1-10, 0-6) will enter the game off a brutal 95-68 loss Thursday at Southern California. UCLA is 4-0 since the start of the new year, but Thursday was the first time the Bruins defeated an opponent by double digits in that time. Consider that Washington is 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog. |
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01-16-21 | Arkansas v. Alabama -2 | Top | 59-90 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
CBB Mismatch of the Day And, like we said before picking them at LSU (d-oh!), Arkansas is known for SEC road losses and losing a lot of games after recording 0- and 1-loss non-conference seasons. Alabama has a couple of injuries (Jordan Bruner, Herb Jones) that will no doubt draw Arkansas money but those folks can have ’em ‘cuz we don’t want ’em. Look at those injury chasers, driving the number down. |
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01-16-21 | Kentucky v. Auburn -2 | 59-66 | Win | 100 | 4 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units After winning their first three league outings, including a 76-58 thumping of Florida on the road, the Wildcats (4-7, 3-1 SEC) took a huge step back in falling to Alabama 85-65 at home Tuesday night. It was the Wildcats' worst loss to the Crimson Tide ever in Rupp Arena and worst to the Tide in Lexington since 1974. Auburn has become a different team since getting a favorable eligibility ruling on freshman Sharife Cooper. Though the Tigers (7-6, 1-4) lost 94-90 to Alabama in the talented point guard's first outing last weekend, they cruised past Georgia 95-77 in Athens in their next outing. Cooper has 54 points, 21 assists, nine rebounds and five steals in his first two collegiate games. Consider Auburn is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. |
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01-16-21 | Oral Roberts v. Denver +10 | 91-82 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The typical Oral Roberts game is a track meet where they try to outscore the other team and fail to cover the spread in the process. You know, like yesterday’s 88-84 win against now 1-9 Denver in which ORU was favored by a heck of a lot more than four. Now, we ask this question: How many chances in life do you get to go against a road favorite in the high altitude of Denver, CO that is playing the second of back-to-backs, off a win, after their point guard played all 40 minutes and scored 34 points on 13-for-30 shooting the day before? Hey now |
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01-16-21 | Toledo v. Akron +4 | Top | 94-95 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit MAC Play of the Day We could have a little zig-zaggy action here with Akron coming home off a road loss at 2-9 Northern Illinois (after a seven-hour bus ride), and Toledo coming in just a little too hot for us to sincerely believe it can continue, off 95-78 and 96-63 home wins vs. Ohio and Eastern Michigan. And, of course, there were the six straight wins before that. And the 99-89 win by Toledo on this floor last season. And yet, we go with the home dog coming off two road losses. It’s their only MAC home game in a five-game stretch. |
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01-16-21 | Missouri -4 v. Texas A&M | Top | 68-52 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Play of the Day Tell me how will the virus pause affect the Tigers? Tell me Cuonzo, Cuonzo, Cuonzo!’ “I’ve been in leagues where you’ve had a week off. It’s not a bad thing in my opinion. I assume we’ll be fine.” Martin likes it when his 6’10”, 260 Jeremiah Tillman plays against opponents with traditional bigs who don’t step out and shoot three pointers. A&M’s Emanuel Miller and Kevin Marfo have combined to shoot 0-for-5 on three-pointers this season. There you go, coach. A&M has chances to win when they hold opponents to 50-something. Get to 60! |
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01-16-21 | Georgia v. Ole Miss -7.5 | 78-74 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Georgia responded to a 30-point road loss at Arkansas by coming home and losing by 18 points to Auburn – which we were very happy about. So, we’ll see how Ole Miss reacts to coming off a 14-point home loss to LSU, followed by a 9-point road loss at Florida. They’ve ordered up the right opponent, it seems. The Florida game was 66-63 with :50 remaining when Ole Miss head coach Kermit Davis got a technical for arguing a foul-out called against his 6’8”, 235 Romello White. Good to have some anger carrying over. |
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01-15-21 | Wisconsin -2.5 v. Rutgers | 60-54 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Wisconsin won't find any sympathy for its Tuesday night plight when it hits the floor in New Jersey. The Scarlet Knights (7-4, 3-4) were ranked as high as 11th after starting 6-0, but they have dropped four of the past five, including a 79-68 decision at home Saturday against Ohio State. A lack of post depth, poor first-shot defense and sketchy offensive execution have plagued Rutgers lately. Ohio State canned 51 percent from the field. Consider that Wisconsin is 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. |
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01-15-21 | Middle Tennessee v. Southern Miss +1 | 54-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Middle Tennessee State is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win, 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win, and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. While Southern Miss is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. |
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01-15-21 | Cal-Riverside -9 v. Cal Poly | 86-51 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units You already know that Riverside caught USC in a tough spot on Tuesday! USC shot 3-for-21 on three-pointers to make it even harder on themselves. Usually, that would discount the up-in-class strong performance and set them up to be overvalued as a road favorite vs. their own kind. But, we must also consider that they have been on a Big West upswing (7-9 last year was a drastic improvement for the Highlanders), beat Cal Poly by 33 and 12 points last season, and Cal Poly is currently 1-6 vs. Division I teams, the one win against everyone’s favorite patsy San Jose State. |
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01-15-21 | Siena -6.5 v. Rider | Top | 78-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit CBB Play of the Day The visitor – who won the MAAC last year and is the favorite to win it again -- has won 15 straight in MAAC play. The host – picked to finish last in the MAAC -- has lost three straight conference home games. Siena had every right to be behind the curve after a very long pause before they could play a single game. They had no non-conference tune-ups. But they’ve zipped past Monmouth and Fairfield for 4-0. Rider is 17-28 ATS in MAAC games the last two-plus seasons, which includes 0-3 ATS as a home underdog. |
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01-15-21 | Duquesne v. St Bonaventure -8.5 | Top | 48-62 | Win | 101 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit CBB Mismatch of the Day With only one day between the loss/no-cover at Dayton and this schlep from there up to Olean, NY, struggling Duquesne seems to be in a tough spot. Starting point guard Sincere Carry said ‘no mas’ earlier in the week and joined guard Lamar Norman, Jr. in the transfer portal. Another guard, Maceo Austin, is on leave for personal reasons. Carry did not leave for playing time reasons, which would seem to be a problem because it’s not like Dambrot was happier with somebody else when Carry – a junior playing a lot since his freshman season -- was getting 30.2 minutes per game. Consider that St. Bonaventure is 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite. |
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01-15-21 | Troy State +7 v. Georgia Southern | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Georgia Southern is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. |
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01-14-21 | BYU +1 v. St. Mary's | 62-52 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units BYU is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss, 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog, and 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 Thursday games. While St. Mary's is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. In addition, the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. |
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01-14-21 | Arizona -8 v. Oregon State | Top | 98-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit CBB Mismatch of the Day The Wildcats’ Saturday game at Oregon has been postponed, so Sean Miller doesn’t have to play with an eye to Saturday. That wasn’t going to happen anyway, because Arizona is off two home losses and shooting guard Jemarl Baker, Jr. was lost for the season to injury in the most recent. Miller will shuffle the rotation some and Oregon State, forced to pause for seven days with seven players in isolation and back to practice only this Tuesday, can’t scout the shuffle. The Beavers have their own problems to worry about coming off the pause. |
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01-14-21 | San Diego State +1.5 v. Utah State | 45-57 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units CBS Sports Network televises the first of two between Mountain West contenders, with the re-hook coming Saturday. The host Aggies are covered in the loser-dust of six straight wins and covers against San Jose State, Air Force and New Mexico. You can’t fault ‘em for who they were scheduled to play, but the visiting Aztecs’ most recent games were: Arizona State, Saint Mary’s, two against Colorado State, two against Nevada. The home side has double-revenge but they also have something to prove, against a senior-laden side with class, while having no margin for error. This arena is known for a raucous, home-assisting crowd. But outside influences have turned 10,000 into 1,500. |
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01-14-21 | San Francisco v. Portland +13 | 79-63 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units San Francisco is 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games following a straight up loss, 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. While Portland is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog and home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. |
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01-14-21 | Northern Arizona v. Montana -12 | 56-67 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Montana is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record, and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. While N. Arizona is 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. In addition, the favorite is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. |
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01-14-21 | Washington State v. UCLA -9 | Top | 61-91 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
PAC-12 Play of the Day Washington State’s bigs have length, size and rebound well but they are butchers with the basketball. Head coach Kyle Smith is advertising starting four freshmen here. The loss of guard Chris Smith was supposed to hamper UCLA – according to others. Guess what? They’re 5-0 in the Pac 12, and have won all three games he hasn’t played. The last four wins by the Bruins have been close – by 2, 3, 6 in OT, 5 points. This doesn’t have to be |
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01-14-21 | California v. Colorado -15 | 60-89 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Colorado Buffaloes were set for a Wednesday night matchup against Pac-12 rival Cal, but in what has become the new normal, the game was moved back 17 hours. So instead of a primetime slot, the Bears and Buffaloes now have a lunchtime game Thursday. The way Colorado has played of late, however, it doesn't matter that tipoff is at noon local time, this team is ready to go. The Buffaloes (9-3, 3-2 Pac-12) are coming off two impressive wins, the first over then-No. 17 Oregon a week ago followed by a road win at Utah on Monday. Colorado rallied from a 10-point halftime deficit to beat the Utes, and they did it with leading scorer McKinley Wright IV having a so-so game. Consider California is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. |
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01-13-21 | Arkansas +2.5 v. LSU | 76-92 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There are worse things to embrace than 10-2 road underdogs that can score (Arkansas, 97, 99 points in their two SEC wins). A headline tries to make Arkansas’ situation sound worse than it is: “Razorbacks saddled with injuries in early SEC ride.” They have nine healthy scholarship players available. That’s more than they need! Says head coach Eric Musselman:”No big deal, as long as we have seven, we’re good.” |
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01-13-21 | La Salle +4.5 v. George Mason | 42-75 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units La Salle is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. In addition, the underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings |
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01-13-21 | Rhode Island v. Massachusetts +2.5 | 78-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units UMass is 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 home games, 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games as a home underdog, and 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall. In addition the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings while the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings |
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01-13-21 | Mercer +1 v. Chattanooga | 80-83 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Mercer is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Wednesday games. Chattanooga is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. In addition, the road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings |
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01-13-21 | Auburn +1.5 v. Georgia | Top | 95-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Play of the Day He’s still flying a little under the radar so may as well try to leverage him, him being Auburn freshman guard Sharife Cooper, who became eligible late last week and played his first game for the Tigers in the 94-90 loss vs. Alabama. How’d he do? In 36 minutes, Cooper scored 26 points, 9 assists, 9-for-10 from the free-throw line, against a pressure-oriented Alabama group. Yes, the Tigers are still looking for their first SEC win (0-4). But given that Georgia is 0-3 in the SEC, turning it over 18 times per game, and not suddenly introducing a high-scoring freshman guard of their own, it’s not unreasonable for them to be Auburn’s first victim. |
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01-13-21 | NC State v. Florida State -3 | 73-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Florida State (5-2, 1-1 ACC) will end its longest in-season layoff since a holiday break during the 1956-57 season when it plays host to North Carolina State (6-3, 2-2) in Tallahassee, Fla. One of Florida State's strengths is field-goal defense -- a category in which it ranks 45th nationally. The Seminoles have held opponents to under 70 points in four of their five wins but have allowed an average of 81.5 points in their two defeats. Their offense has come primarily from three guards: M.J. Walker (15.3 points, 2.7 rebounds, 2.0 assists per game), Scottie Barnes (11.1 points, 3.9 rebounds, 4.3 assists) and Anthony Polite (10.9 points, 5.1 rebounds). Forward Balsa Koprivica has contributed 9.9 points and 5.9 rebounds. Consider NC State is 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. |
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01-13-21 | VCU -11 v. George Washington | 84-77 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units VCU is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite. While George Washington is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. In addition, the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. |
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01-12-21 | Providence +3.5 v. Marquette | 69-79 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units After Creighton's Christian Bishop dunked with 0.8 seconds left on Jan. 2 to beat Providence 67-65, Xavier's Colby Jones drained a 3-pointer with 0.1 seconds remaining Sunday for a 74-73 win. Instead of entering this one with a four-game winning streak and a possible top 25 ranking, the Friars are 7-5 overall and 3-3 in the conference. Sunday's difficult defeat wasted a great performance by David Duke, who canned 7 of 9 3-pointers and scored a game-high 30 points to go along with six assists. Nate Watson added 17 points and 14 rebounds. The duo continues to provide more than half of the Friars' offensive output, averaging 38.5 points per game between them. As for Marquette (6-6, 2-4), it's coming off perhaps its most bitter loss of the season, made worse by the fact it's had to sit on that defeat for a week. Ahead 43-25 with 15:39 left on Jan. 5 at home against Connecticut, the Golden Eagles completely collapsed. They were outscored 40-11 for the game's remainder and ate a 65-54 setback. Consider that Providence is 16-6 ATS in the last 22 meetings. |
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01-12-21 | Cal-Riverside +14 v. USC | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Big class difference here but one must consider the circumstances: USC had not won in Tucson since 2008, hadn’t swept the Arizona schools on the road since 1985. There is some quirky, on the fly scheduling taking place by which USC could be hosting Washington and Washington State on Thursday and Saturday. In the middle of what would be five games in eight days, with this the lone non-conference, expect USC head coach Andy Enfield to use his bench players much more in this game after four of his five starters played 32 minutes or more at Arizona State |
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01-12-21 | Alcorn State +8 v. Grambling State | 74-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Grambling is 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. |
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01-12-21 | Kansas v. Oklahoma State +4 | Top | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit CBB Play of the Day 6’9” and 6’10” scorers on TCU, Texas and West Virginia did damage against OSU in the Cowboys’ three Big 12 losses so far. Although KU’s 6’10”, 265 David McCormack is coming off 20- and 17-point games he’s averaging 11 ppg. Need to see more. The worst OSU has done so far after 40 minutes in a Big 12 game is trail by 3 points. NBA-bound Cade Cunningham gets only one chance in his life to play against Kansas in a home game. |
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01-12-21 | Kent State -6 v. Central Michigan | 94-85 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Kent is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record, and 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. While Central Michigan is 5-11-3 ATS in their last 19 games overall, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points, and 10-28-2 ATS in their last 40 games as a home underdog |
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01-11-21 | Bradley +1 v. Northern Iowa | 75-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Northern Iowa is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Bradley is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. In addition, the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. |
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01-11-21 | Connecticut -5 v. DePaul | 60-53 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units UConn suffered its lone defeat this season 76-74 in overtime to now-No. 7 Creighton in the league opener back on Dec 20 but the Huskies have won three straight by an average of 14.7 PPG since. That run began with an 82-61 rout of DePaul on Dec 30, the Huskies ninth straight win over the Blue Demons. |
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01-10-21 | Maryland v. Illinois -10 | 66-63 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units According to STATS, Illinois (9-3, 5-1 Big Ten) became the first Division I team in the past 25 seasons to trail by at least 15 at halftime and come back to win by 20 or more. The Illini are also the first team to outscore a major conference opponent by at least 40 points in a single half since Kentucky outscored Vanderbilt by 43 in the second half of a 106-44 win on March 5, 2003. Cockburn, last season's Big Ten Freshman of the Year, is averaging 17.0 points and 10.1 rebounds per game. He scored 13 of his 18 points and grabbed 10 of his 12 rebounds in the second half of the game as Illinois won its fourth in a row since a 91-88 loss at Rutgers on Dec. 20. The Terrapins (6-6, 1-5) have lost three in a row and have struggled mightily against strong post players including Iowa's Luka Garza, Indiana's Trayce Jackson-Davis and Michigan's Hunter Dickinson - all of whom scored 22 or more points against them. |
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01-10-21 | Cincinnati v. Wichita State -2 | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Cincinnati is especially bad at shooting the 3 at 28% which is 320th in the nation. The Bearcats had lost five in a row before upsetting SMU in their game on Thursday. Cincy is just 2-11 ATS their last 13 games versus a team with a winning record. The Shockers are 43-11 SU at home since 2017 with an average winning margin of +11PPG. The Shockers have also won 20 of their last thirty-one games when coming off a loss. |
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01-10-21 | Morgan State +3 v. Norfolk State | 85-89 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Consider that Morgain State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games. Norfolk comes into this one 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Sunday games. In addition the underdoing is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the L4 meetings between these two. |
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01-10-21 | South Carolina State v. Florida A&M -16.5 | 68-70 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Consider that South Carolina State is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. While Floriday A&M is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. |
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01-09-21 | UCLA v. Arizona -3 | 81-76 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units “In the Pac-12, it’s going to be hard for us to overcome 1–for-15 from our starting backcourt, 0 for 7 from 3,” said Arizona head coach Sean Miller after Thursday’s home loss to USC. He also noted that USC was 21-for-28 from the field in the second half. Two groups of “percentage things” went very much not Arizona’s way. On the bright side, they got 31 points from 6’11” Lithuanian freshman Azuolas Tubelis, so now they know they have a big scorer who, in this match-up, shouldn’t be eaten alive in the paint. |
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01-09-21 | Louisiana Tech v. Western Kentucky -6 | 63-58 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Stansbury is favored again after not covering last night. The guy is almost always outcoached in C-USA play. If 24 points, 17 boards by Bassey couldn’t get them scoreboard separation… La. Tech is tired of losing to these guys and the losses haven’t been by much. |
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01-09-21 | Georgia Southern +2.5 v. Appalachian State | 71-77 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units “Having the ability to play a lot of guys who are willing to sacrifice will definitely impact games, especially the second of the two game schedules,” said Georgia Southern head coach Brian Burg recently. “80 minutes of basketball in two days is a lot of basketball. The depth we have playing up to 10 or 11 guys is definitely going to benefit us in the Sun Belt Conference.” His GSU kids can’t shoot straight, but App State is no offensive juggernaut and has been missing guard Kendall Lewis for a few games, including last night’s 3-point win where four starters played 5 minutes more than their averages |
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01-09-21 | Missouri State -2 v. Valparaiso | 81-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This Valpo squad is shooting a mere 27.2% on three-pointers after eight games, and has had five straight postponed or canceled because of their virus issues and a program pause. They haven’t played since Dec. 19, a span in which Missouri State has won five of six games while scoring 79, 75, 84 and 70 in Missouri Valley action. Two players no longer with Valpo shot the lights out from three-point range to beat the Bears twice last season. |
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01-09-21 | Texas v. West Virginia -1.5 | Top | 72-70 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit CBB Play of the Day Bob Huggins and the Mountaineers began putting the new plan in place during their road trip to Oklahoma and Oklahoma State over the weekend. It took a while for them to get going with a four-guard lineup but they eventually got the hang of it with huge second halves each time in their 1-1 split. Their centerpiece Derek Culver had a horrible time of it vs. Oklahoma but rebounded with 22 points, 19 rebounds at Oklahoma State. Texas hits Morgantown, WV ranked #4 to West Virginia’s #14 and the Mountaineers are thinking, ‘Those ranks should be reversed!’ 6’9” senior Royce Hamm should still be in virus protocol for the Longhorns. |
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01-09-21 | Ohio State v. Rutgers -4 | Top | 79-68 | Loss | -106 | 2 h 46 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Big-10 Play of the Day The Scarlet Knights have revenge for a 80-68 road loss on Dec. 23. This is a program that was 2-16, 1-17, 3-15 in its first three Big Ten seasons, which beat the Buckeyes here in their fourth during a 7-13 conference season, went 11-9 in conference last year when they lost only 72-66 at Ohio State. Guess what we’re saying is that Rutgers belong now. Rutgers led the earlier meeting 38-28 at halftime, got out-scored 52-30 in the second half. “I needed to do a better job of getting this team ready for the two things this team (OSU) does well — rebounding and shooting free throws,” said Rutgers head coach Steve Pikiell. And, if you’re thinking he was being sarcastic about the second thing, you’re right. “I just have to do a better job with the officials. They’re great. They do a great job.” Senior guard C.J. Walker – leader on the Buckeyes in minutes per game – suddenly out with an injury |
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01-09-21 | Hofstra v. Northeastern +2 | Top | 56-67 | Win | 100 | 2 h 44 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit CAA Play of the Day A match-up so nice, they’re doing it twice. Hofstra is now 0-3 ATS in CAA play while their head coach Joe Mihalic is out on medical leave. There isn’t much of an adjustment they can make, as a team that plays 40 minutes of zone defense. They play a short rotation that can’t press for long stretches for fear of foul and fatigue. They’re not shooting the rock as well as they did last season. Northeastern head coach Bill Coen can tell his team, “Listen, if you slackers hadn’t come out and trailed 46-29 at halftime at their place on Thursday, you wouldn’t have had to make those fine Winning Points people worry and you wouldn’t have had to sweat overtime just to get out of there with a win. Now, let’s go! From the get-go! Those guys beat us three times last year and we still owe them! |
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01-08-21 | Dayton v. Davidson -7 | 89-78 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After you lose outright as -12 chalk at lousy Fordham with only seven players plus a project 7-foot freshman playing, does it stand to reason that playing another road game, against a better Davidson team, would be grounds for improvement? Sounds like no! Dayton’s 55-54 loss to Fordham came six days after a 67-65 loss to La Salle. Fordham and Lasalle were picked to finish last and next-to-last in the 14-team Atlantic 10. If Fordham and Lasalle could shoot 50.0% and 43.5% on threes against them (they did), then the Wildcats should so as well or better |
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01-08-21 | Grand Canyon -9.5 v. Tarleton St | Top | 75-72 | Loss | -111 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit CBB Play of the Day Tarleton State – located in the south of Utah -- moved up into Division 1 this season, has played only four games – none since Dec. 9 after eight straight postponements – and lost to Abilene Christian by 21 points in their most recent game against a D-1 foe. Off three straight losses to legit post-season tournament sides San Francisco, Colorado and Arizona State, in which they were undervalued going 3-0 ATS and out-rebounded all three, Bryce Drew seems to be in a Grand spot to right the ship and start WAC play A-OK. Since they last played, TSU assistant coach Steve Shields has resigned to become a parks department director in Arkansas |
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01-07-21 | UNLV v. Colorado State -9 | Top | 71-74 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
CBB Mismatch of the Day The host Rams were sharpening the saw at San Diego State earlier this week, “finishing” strongly in each second half of their two-game, back-to-back series (37-27 the first night in victory, 41-28 the second night in defeat.) Given that UNLV hasn’t played since Dec. 5 after a program pause, and is kind of a ratty team, anyway, for the Runnin’ Rebels to take the court after such a long break, to play at high altitude against an opponent that just finished strongly two nights in a row against a quality foe… |
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01-07-21 | Northeastern +4.5 v. Hofstra | 81-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show | |
CBB Play of the Day Hofstra has won seven straight in the CAA dating back to last season. Northeastern has lost five straight road games. What’s it all mean? Hopefully not much. The Huskies’ five road losses were at UMass in their opener with UMass having games under the belt, Syracuse, Old Dominion, Georgia and West Virginia. They lost three times to Hofstra last season – hey, another losing streak! The three losses were by 2, 4, 9 points. You think they’re not jazzed up for this game? Hofstra pretty much plays 40 minutes of zone defense, which Northeastern saw at Syracuse when they lost by only 6 points taking 18. Hofstra has begun CAA season 0-2 ATS without head coach Joe Mihalic, who is on medical leave. |
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01-06-21 | Oklahoma v. Baylor -11.5 | Top | 61-76 | Win | 100 | 30 h 51 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Big-12 Play of the Day The Sooners caught West Virginia in the Mountaineers’ first go-round without power forward Oscar Tshiebwe, working four guards around Derek Culver, who got them a big 2 points in 22 minutes, with 7 turnovers. D-oh! Wrapped up in working their new arrangement, WVU missed a lot of shots early, which messed up their transition defense, and they fell behind the Sooners by a considerable amount (38-20) at halftime. Oklahoma was able to weather a late charge by West Virginia to get the win. They travel to Waco, TX to face an opponent with no such transitional learning curve in their game on either end of the floor. The Bears have won five straight over the Sooners over the course of the prior three seasons, when they weren’t unbeaten and ranked #1. For all the bitcoins. |
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01-06-21 | Wake Forest v. Virginia -13 | 61-70 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Prospective road dog backers might be encouraged by the fact that Virginia needed overtime to dispose of the last Danny Manning-coached Wake Forest team last season. But that game came off a 2-point loss at Duke for the Cavs, and was played under hangover conditions. The Cavaliers are currently fresh and fit, seven games under their belt vs. only two for Wake Forest, and you know that Wake’s only real game was the 70-54 loss at Georgia Tech, our Sunday ***BEST BET. Steve Forbes can’t help but eventually coach them up beyond what Manning did, but at the moment he’s handicapped by the long pause in his first season after inheriting a not-so-hot spot. Forbes played nine kids for 10 to 30 minutes at Tech, got only 6 points from four players in 71 bench minutes. |
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01-06-21 | Arkansas v. Tennessee -7.5 | 74-79 | Loss | -126 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Angry Vols, off their first loss! (Also, angry Arkansas, off their first loss!) Arkansas couldn’t get Missouri’s rim protector, James Tillmon, in foul trouble. In fact, the 6’10” senior had himself a day with 25 points. Vols’ 6’9” John Fulkerson’s eyes light up. Arkansas is the St. John’s of the SEC – zips through non-conference season at home, doesn’t class up within conference play. Doubtful they can rebound with Tennessee. |
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01-05-21 | Kansas v. TCU +6 | 93-64 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Let’s see how the Jayhawks respond to the whuppin’ that Texas put on them in Lawrence. TCU’s Andrew Nembhard: “All these games are personal. We want to put the conference and the nation on notice that we’re legit.” Two road wins in the Big 12 already by TCU hint that he may have something there. Said Jamie Dixon after the Horned Frogs’ win at Kansas State: “This was the first time we’ve had our full team and I think we’ll get better and better. |
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01-05-21 | Connecticut v. Marquette +1 | Top | 65-54 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
Big East Play of the Day Welcome back to the Big East, UConn, Love, Marquette. This Huskies bunch was one of the nation’s worst long-trip travelers when it was in the American Athletic. They’ve been cuddled in their home-state bubble, and the confines of their friendly home floor, since the beginning of this season and have left the area for the first time. They shot only 35.8% when they lost by 2 points to an off-kilter Creighton team, then had the pleasure of facing pause-problem Depaul after that. Off a difficult stretch to open Big East season (at Creighton, Seton Hall, at Xavier, Villanova), Marquette got a reprieve at Georgetown and comes back home for what appears to be another. |