11-19-16 |
Duke +8 v. Pittsburgh |
Top |
14-56 |
Loss |
-112 |
73 h 47 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Conference Play of the Day
Shocking upsets for these 2 last week, with Pittsburgh never quitting at #2 & 3-TD favorite, Clemson, winning on 48-yard field goal in L 0:06. So underdog now 20-10 ATS in Pittsburgh games. Never-say-die Devils overcame 14-0 deficit vs #17 North Carolina, for 1st ACC win, behind nicely balanced 467 yards. Take any points.
|
11-12-16 |
California v. Washington State -14.5 |
Top |
21-56 |
Win
|
100 |
73 h 56 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week Washington State finally exploded in 69-7 blowout over Arizona, with Falk 32-of-35 (91%) and 6 touchdowns. Califormia 66-27 point and 704-362 yard deficits hosting Washington. Cougars are +88 points ATS at home this year
|
11-12-16 |
Colorado -15.5 v. Arizona |
Top |
49-24 |
Win
|
100 |
72 h 26 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Blowout of the Week Just a single cover for Arizona, that coming vs mighty Washington. Arizona allowing 43 points per game in 16-of-17 lined games of late (82-24 point deficit L2 home game). Colorado held Ucla without a TD over final 49:04 and are 8-1 ATS by 80 points.
|
11-12-16 |
USC v. Washington -8.5 |
Top |
26-13 |
Loss |
-102 |
70 h 46 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit PAC-12 Play of the Day The perfect Huskies enjoy a 48-17 point per game edge so far, and in off aforementioned 704-362 yard edge (California), with Browning a sweet 6/0 (34/3 this year). Trojans super hot, with 5-0 run (40-19 point per game edge) behind 18/5 from Darnold and 394 Jones rushing yards in the L2 weeks. Still a Universitl of Washington call
|
11-12-16 |
Wyoming -7.5 v. UNLV |
Top |
66-69 |
Loss |
-100 |
66 h 39 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Play of the Day I know that this may seem like a habit, but the fact is that the Cowboys have been extremely good to me, amd there is no reason not to continue the ride, as they've been down for so long that the word "complacency" just isn't their vocabulary. Check balanced 261 rushing yards, 257 rushing yards last week behind QB Allen RB Hill. They have won last 5 games, while covering all 5 by combined 85 points. And a year ago, Hill wrecked the Rebs, with 232 rushing yards. Sure, this one is on the road, but the 'Pokes upset Boise in last vistor role (16-0 point cover). Vegas has had sporadic success but has allowed 38 or more points 4 times this year, and the visitor is 17-8 ATS in Unlv contests.
|
11-05-16 |
Utah State v. Wyoming -5 |
Top |
28-52 |
Win
|
100 |
73 h 4 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Conference Play of the Day Wyoming continues with solid run, capped with overcoming 28-20 deficit in 4th versus Boise, winning on a safety. Nice balance and Hill at 144.5 rushing yards per game (#3). Utah State at -144½ points ATS their L14 lined games. To cap it off, they come in off a 40-7 thrashing. Wyoming on a 4-0 SU run (+66 points ATS), and no sign of slowing down. In this, they have a few scores to settle, while Utah State is a shadow of former self.
|
11-05-16 |
East Carolina v. Tulsa -8 |
Top |
24-45 |
Win
|
100 |
71 h 2 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week
Relentless Tulsa superb of late. Six wins (43+ points in all 6), with 362 rushing yards (Flanders: 249, 5 TDs), in last weeks romp over Memphis. Pirate QB Nelson at 297 passing yards per game, but ECU not hosting UConn this week.
|
11-05-16 |
Virginia +3 v. Wake Forest |
Top |
20-27 |
Loss |
-105 |
66 h 56 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day Three straight losses for Virginia, but not until final 0:13 vs Louisvile. So Virginia now on 10-2-1 ATS run, while the underdog is 16-4-1. Just 1 Wake TD in last L2 games. They can't run (#120) so 4-0 start history.
|
11-05-16 |
Vanderbilt v. Auburn -25.5 |
Top |
16-23 |
Loss |
-106 |
63 h 8 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week Vanderbilt has flexed defensive muscles more than a few times, but not vs this oncoming train, that has 192-53 point edge their L4 games (+89 points ATS), with 1,488-345 rushing yard edge (Pettway: 236 yards last week, and 123+ in 5-of-6). Vandy has posted
|
11-01-16 |
Western Michigan -17.5 v. Ball State |
Top |
52-20 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 55 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day The perfect Broncos impressive enough to rank as #20 in this week's national polls. They are led by Sr QB Terrell, who ranks 4th in the land in passing efficiency with 1,995 passing yards, with a 72% completion rates and 20 touchdowns with only 1 interception, Jr RB Franklin, who ranks 7th in rushing: (909 rushing yards per game), and Sr WR Davis, who comes in at 20th (92.4 receiving yards per game). Terrell has burned the Cards for 617 passing yards the past 2 years, and Western Michigan has 179-71 point edge in its last 4 games. Ball State counters with RB Gilbert (538 rushing yards the last 3 weeks), but that is not enough.
|
10-29-16 |
Auburn -4 v. Ole Miss |
Top |
40-29 |
Win
|
100 |
53 h 51 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week Well, I liked the Tigers a hole lot last week thinking that they would rout Arkansas , but I never stepped out. A 42½ point cover, with a 543-25 rushing yard edge. Now a 1,181-240 rushing yard edge in their last 3 games. Mississippi was at 42 points per game, before 21 at Lsu, as 10-0 lead turned into 38-21 loss. Just 133 rushing yards per game the last 2 weeks. Kelly: 308 passing yards. this choice is not any knee-jerk reaction to last week. The fact is that the War Eagles are once more among the elites, losing early to just #3 Clemson and #9 Texas A&M.
|
10-29-16 |
Boise State -13.5 v. Wyoming |
Top |
28-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
100 h 28 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day Broncos blew most of a 25-point lead over Colorado State and a 14-0 lead over Byu. But still a 571-322 yard edge over the Cougars. Rypien and McNichols: 295 passing yards per game and 131 rushing yards per game. Cowboys +50 points ATS L3, and Hill in off 289 rushing yards (10.0 yards per rush) vs Nevada. But stepping up in class in this one.
|
10-29-16 |
Baylor v. Texas +3 |
Top |
34-35 |
Win
|
100 |
97 h 19 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Game of the Week Four losses for Texas this year, with 3 coming by just 7, 5, 3 points. Nicely balanced offense, with Foreman's 146 rushing yards per game ranking 2nd in the land, and Buechele has 13 touchdowns with 5 interceptions. The home team is now 6-0 ATS in Steer contests, which matches a 5-0 ATS home run in Baylor games. Baylor is a perfect 6-0, but I am calling a mild upset
|
10-27-16 |
Virginia Tech -4.5 v. Pittsburgh |
Top |
39-36 |
Loss |
-105 |
53 h 45 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Prime Time Game of the Week Panthers come in rested off taking Virginia, on 93-yard KO and 59-yard INT return for touchdowns. Pitt ranks 7th in rushing defense, but Virginia Tech is 10th in that column, and 10th in total defense. A 174-36 point edge in 4-of-5 Virginia Tech games (Syracuse), with a +115 point ATS edge. Also take note QB Evans has 19 touchdowns with only 2 interceptions.
|
10-22-16 |
Oregon State v. Washington -36.5 |
Top |
17-41 |
Loss |
-115 |
93 h 22 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week Not only do the Huskies own this series, but are at +219 points ATS in L18 lined games, while posting a 257-82 point margin for the season, and an incredible 114-27 point edge in their L2 games (+75 points ATS) vs likes of Stanford and Oregon. Hopeful Beavers improved, but only serves as focus.
|
10-22-16 |
Texas A&M v. Alabama -18.5 |
Top |
14-33 |
Win
|
100 |
90 h 9 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week The 'Tide has been installed as 17-point or less favorite 4 times this year, responding with 52, 48, 49, 49 points. So why not another, despite Aggies ranking 16th in scoring and 8th in total offense? Last week, Alabama held Tennessee and its 437 yards per game offense to 143 yards in 26-point cover
|
10-15-16 |
UCLA v. Washington State -5.5 |
Top |
21-27 |
Win
|
100 |
75 h 41 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week The Cougars for real. They come into this contest with 1,109 yards, a 93-49 point edge, and +53 points ATS in the past 2 weeks vs Oregon and Stanford. Falk has 370 passing yards per game with 16 touchdowns and only 4 interceptions. Bruins' Rosen has 750 passing yards in the L2 weeks, but can't run (1 rushing yard vs Arizona State). Washington State 13-1 ATS along with being +43 points their L2 home games
|
10-15-16 |
Bowling Green v. Toledo -31 |
Top |
35-42 |
Loss |
-106 |
68 h 52 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week The Rockets come into this one at +164 points ATS in their L19 games (15-3-1), with rout of Eastern Michigan cushioning 55-53 loss at Byu. Late Falcon cover last week, but still a 311-110 point deficit in their L6 lined games. This one is going to be over early
|
10-15-16 |
Western Kentucky +3 v. Middle Tennessee State |
Top |
44-43 |
Win
|
100 |
67 h 35 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Conference Play of the Day The Raiders have but a single loss, a 47-24 setback at 2-4 Vanderbilt, while Western Kentucky stands at 3-3, losing in OT to Vanderbilt, and by 2 points in last week's 55-53 final at Louisiana Tech (trailed 49-24). So competitive vs all but 1 opponent: Alabama. Beat Middle Tennessee by 30 points last year
|
10-08-16 |
California -12.5 v. Oregon State |
Top |
44-47 |
Loss |
-118 |
96 h 13 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week Bears sure didn't lose much with Webb for Goff, as he now has 5 straight 4-TD games, and at 429 passing yards per game with 22 touchdowns and only 6 interceptions. Last year, Cal posted 36 first downs and 760 yards in 30-point win over the Beavers. So, with Oregon Stat now allowing 40 points per game in its L13 lined games, and on 5-18 ATS run, I'll call for a repeat.
|
10-08-16 |
Washington -8 v. Oregon |
Top |
70-21 |
Win
|
100 |
94 h 30 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit PAC-12 Play of the Day Huge line move following last weeks results, which saw Washington hold 214-29 rushing yard edge over Stanford (0.9 yards per rush). Multiple Browning TD passes in every game. A 187-61 point edge so far. Three straight OU losses ('07). Seeking a defense (46 points per game in Pac12), and -46 points ATS in L3 home game.
|
10-08-16 |
Oklahoma v. Texas +10.5 |
Top |
45-40 |
Win
|
100 |
87 h 5 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Game of the Week Can be no questioning the vast improvement of Long Horns, who are now at 261 rushing yards, 256 passing yards per game (329 rushing yards, 239 passing yards at Oklahoma State (killed by the big play). Texas is +64½ points ATS L3 versus Oklahoma, who shook demons with 1st cover in last weeks 52-46 win at Tcu. Still -68½ points ATS L5 games.
|
10-01-16 |
Louisville -2 v. Clemson |
Top |
36-42 |
Loss |
-106 |
74 h 9 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit ACC Play of the Day
You won't find another game this season that means so much. Louisville's mercurial QB Jackson: 1,451 yards, 17 touchdowns in the last 3 weeks. Plus a 254-90 point edge this year (+84 points ATS). Clemson proved worth with 82-52 play, 318 yard edge in rout of Georgia Tech. Watson: 304 passing yards. However, I am sticking with the Cards in this one.
|
10-01-16 |
Texas A&M -17.5 v. South Carolina |
Top |
24-13 |
Loss |
-106 |
70 h 44 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week All South Carolina games are close to spot, but they had just 91 rushing yards versus Kentucky's 254 rushing yard per game defense last week (#124, #127, #124 in run scoring, total offense). Texas A&M comes into this one cooking: 29-9 and 38-7 windups versus Auburn & Arkansas (Knight: 407 yards last week).
|
10-01-16 |
Miami (Fla) -7 v. Georgia Tech |
Top |
35-21 |
Win
|
100 |
66 h 0 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Conference Game of the Week
Yellow Jackets came from 511 yards versus Vanderbilt to just 124 versus Clemson, with QB Thomas minus 25 yards on 10 rushes. Now on 2-9-1 ATS slide. The visitor is 11-4-1 ATS in Miami contests, and with them rested off 45-10 point, 549-241 yard edge at Appalacian State QB Kaaya 21-of-27 and 368 yards in that one.
|
09-24-16 |
Louisville -25 v. Marshall |
Top |
59-28 |
Win
|
100 |
107 h 36 m |
Show
|
Rating: 5 Unit NCAAF Game of the Month I don't know if there are any questions on this one! Try a 195-62 point edge for Cards so far (+81 points ATS), with Jackson at 972 yards and 10 touchdowns the L2 weeks (led Florida State 63-10). Simply amazing. Marshall in off just 2nd home loss in L23 games, but it was something else: 44½ point ATS loss, despite 413 passing yards from Litton. No doubt about this one!
|
09-24-16 |
Stanford -3 v. UCLA |
Top |
22-13 |
Win
|
100 |
107 h 32 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit PAC - 12 Game of the Week Just a 50-yard edge for Cards over Southern California, but a 27-10 win, behind McCaffrey's 165 rushing yards and 56-yard TD catch. Now +138 points ATS in their last 20 games. Just 125 and 50 rushing yards for Ucla versus only 2 legitimate opponents, so this will depend almost entirely on Rosen, who ranks 73rd in passing efficiency. And the Bruins have been lit up for 30+ points 8 times since last year. This is a very reasonable number.
|
09-24-16 |
Central Florida -6.5 v. Florida International |
Top |
53-14 |
Win
|
100 |
67 h 20 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day
Vastly improved Knights took Maryland into OT, despite 4-0 turn over deficit. Nicely balanced 455 yards in that one. FIU owns 211-47 point deficit in their L5 lined games, and QB Holman hurting. Give up the points
|
09-17-16 |
Troy v. Southern Miss -10.5 |
Top |
37-31 |
Loss |
-104 |
103 h 29 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Mismatch of the Week
Trojans showed their mettle in tight loss to Clemson (29-point cover, only 28-yard deficit). But Eagles have an 83-0 point edge in their L6 quarters, and are 10-2 ATS. QB Mullens, RB Smith, etc, etc
|
09-17-16 |
Alabama -10 v. Ole Miss |
Top |
48-43 |
Loss |
-106 |
99 h 27 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week Oh, how Alabama wants this one, after 2 straight losses to Mississippi, with last years 5 turn overs the key. Kelly bombed 'Tide for 3 long TD passes last year, but Ole Miss was manhandled in 2nd half by Florida State. Visitor is 10-1 ATS in Alabama games, so site not a problem. Revenge rears its head here.
|
09-17-16 |
San Diego State -10.5 v. Northern Illinois |
Top |
42-28 |
Win
|
100 |
99 h 24 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day Aztecs lost cover versus Cal in final 0:56, despite another splendid showing by Pumphrey who had 281 rushing yards (#1 rusher in land). Now +168 points ATS last 11 lined games, with a 135-38 point edge in L3 road games. NIU has 177-71 point deficit their L4 games, as well as a 536-290 rushing yard deficit this year.
|
09-10-16 |
Texas Tech +3 v. Arizona State |
Top |
55-68 |
Loss |
-106 |
99 h 28 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Inter-Conference Game of the Week
Both teams are off to routs of horrible teams, with the Raiders in their usual passing display with 633 passing yards (Mahomes had 483 yards with 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. The Sun Devils in 34-10 2nd half edge for their wipe out, but return only 4 offensive starters. The did get 180 passing yards and 89 rushing yards from Wilkins, but they are allowing 369 passing yards. Texas Tech can't wait for this one.
|
09-10-16 |
Virginia Tech +11.5 v. Tennessee |
Top |
24-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
98 h 34 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day Vols were tied for 8th in the land in the "Polls" column, after winding up 2015 with a 35 points per game average, and 9 returning offensive starters. But they needed a 67-yard Dobbs TD pass to extend Appalachian State into OT (20-13 win), with only 127 rushing yards. Beamer-less Tech overcame 4 lost fumbles for rout of Liberty, allowing just 1 offensive TD. Hokies as a double digit dog is definitely the play.
|
09-10-16 |
Georgia Southern -13 v. South Alabama |
Top |
24-9 |
Win
|
100 |
97 h 36 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week It was a huge comeback win for Jags at Mississippi State last week, overcoming a 20-7 deficit in the 4th, behind QB Davis and RB Thomas. But they had a 239-94 rushing yard deficit in the game. That in itself spells big trouble versus and unstoppable Georgia Southern running game that has been #1 in the nation the L2 years. Last week in their opener they had 420 rushing yards along with 34 first downs.
|
09-03-16 |
Clemson -7 v. Auburn |
Top |
19-13 |
Loss |
-111 |
118 h 59 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Inter-Conference Game of the Week A premier matchup the first week of the NCAAF season, despite Eagles failing to get a single preseason vote, while Clemson is once again figured as one of the Top 2 teams in the nation. As Watson is under center for Clemson, there is only 1 way to go. Now +115 points ATS in last 15 games, and on 27-4 SU run. Auburn still respectable, but outgained only 4 opponents last year
|
09-03-16 |
Southern Miss +7 v. Kentucky |
Top |
44-35 |
Win
|
100 |
116 h 13 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week Can the hapless 'Cats finally turn the corner? Have been whipping boys since '10, but their faithful have hopes of a resurgence, behind 9 returning offensive starters, although that defense is, as always, cause for concern. I rode the Eagles, with much success, last year, including a 167-44 point edge in their L3 regular season road games. Chalk inviting 9-0 in UK games, but not here
|
09-03-16 |
Boise State -20 v. UL-Lafayette |
Top |
45-10 |
Win
|
100 |
109 h 37 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day Quite a comedown for Broncos, despite last year's 9-4 mark, as they were -107½ points ATS in L6 regular season games, before routs in final 2 outings (38½ bowl cover). UL-La lost L2 home games by 46 points ATS, and came from 8-1 line skein to current 2-7-1 ATS mark. No offense or defense to compete
|
01-02-16 |
Kansas State v. Arkansas -12.5 |
Top |
23-45 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 1 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Bowl Game of the Day This years Kansas State team is not Snyder's most dominant edition, outplaying only 1-of-9 conference opponentss (0-12 Kansas). QB Hubener is just 9 touchdowns with 9 interceptions and 47.8%, and cannot ignore Kansas State's #109 and #101 offense an defense rankings. Also, a 226-139 point deficit in its L6 games, and 2-10 ATS bowl record. It's another matter for the Hogs, who've had stat edges in 9-of-12 games, and that includes bowl-bound Toledo, TexA&M, Tennessee, Auburn, Ole Miss, and Lsu. QB Allen (3,125 yards, 65.1%, 29 touchdowns with 7 interceptions) leads the SEC in touchdown passes, yards per attempt (9.08), and total QB rating (87.2). RB Collins ranks 16th in the land with 1,392 yards, 17 touchdowns. Thus, a balanced attack that was held in check just once. Guess who? Right, Alabama. And the Wildcats are no Crimson Tide. Obviously, I always respect Snyder in the dog role, but allowing 31+ points 7 times in an 8-game stretch this year hardly a hopeful sign. And UA (-7) took Texas, 31-7, in last year's Texas Bowl.
|
01-01-16 |
Florida v. Michigan -4 |
Top |
7-41 |
Win
|
101 |
26 h 41 m |
Show
|
Rating: 5 Unit NCAAF Bowl Game of the Year What a start Michigan made, opening at 5-1, with a 160-14 point edge when they entertained Michigan State, holding a 23-21 lead in the closing seconds only to botch a punt, which was returned for a touchdown after the clock ran out. But then 4 straight wins, before wipe out 42-13 finale loss Ohio State (369-57 rushing yard deficit). Improved, but vulnerable. Offense revolves around QB Rudock (2,739 yards, 64%, 17 touchdowns and 9 interceptions), as UM ranks 97th in rushing. But try nation's 4th-ranked defense though. Thus, the Gators, and their 109th ranked offense should definitely feel the heat. Florida has also welcomed new head coaching (McElwain from Colorado State), with a 10-3 log the result, although it has been the takeaway that has been the major contributor (4 in upset of OleMiss, 5 in rout of Georgia). In their SEC title match with Alabama (29-15 loss), the Gators were on the short end of 25-7, 233-15 rushing yard, 437-180 rushing yard margins (touchdowns on 85-yard punt return and 46-yard pass). At least Michigan can move it. In addition, Michigan is 5-1 ATS in their last six after an ATS loss. 5-1 ATS in their last six after a straight up loss. 9-3 ATS in their last 12 after giving up more than 200 yards on the ground.
|
01-01-16 |
Tennessee -8 v. Northwestern |
Top |
45-6 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 32 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Bowl Game of the Day Since 2004, the Vols have posted just 5 winning campaigns, including a pair of 7-6 years. That is, until this season, when they took full advantage of no less than 18 starters (10 offensively), although it hardly seemed the case, as they opened at 3-4, with tough losses to Alabama, Oklahoma, Florida, and Arkansas (combined 40-10), after leading or tied in the 4th quarter in each. However, note turning a 21-point deficit to Georgia, into a 38-31 win, along with a 5-game SU run to wind it all up, including that 53-point outburst versus a Vandy team which had allowed just 21 points per game in its first 11 games. QB Dobbs is their key, although he finished 68th in pass efficiency (2,125 yards, 60%, 15 touchdown and 5 interceptions). However, he led the SEC in QB rushing yards (9 touchdowns).
|
12-31-15 |
Oklahoma -3.5 v. Clemson |
Top |
17-37 |
Loss |
-108 |
27 h 51 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Bowl Game of the Day For the Sooners, high hopes abounded, as they got off to a 4-0 start, averaging 42 points per game, but were dashed in a dispirited 24-17 loss to eventual 5-7 Texas, including a 313-67 rushing yard deficit. However, that's when they took stock and streamed to their current 7-0 SU run (6-1 ATS), by an average score of 52-19. They are led by QB Mayfield (#2 in pass efficiency, 3,389 yards, 68.6%, 35 touchdowns with only 5 interceptions), RB Perine (1,291 yards, 6.1 yards per rush, with 15 touchdowns), and WR Shepard (1,201 yards, 15.2 yards per catch, 11 touchdowns). Not quite like last year, when the Sooners quarterbacking was shaky. Sooners electrifying, and the Tigers just continue to win. Clemson couldn't stop North Carolina's Williams, so I am going for Mayfield and the Sooners. Oklahoma is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up
|
12-30-15 |
NC State v. Mississippi State -5 |
Top |
28-51 |
Win
|
100 |
68 h 19 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Units This year appeared dismal for Mississippi State, until Prescott and his do-everything talent, opted to return for his Senior year. And he is once more extremely dangerous, as shown in Mississppi State's 51-50 win over Arkansas, in which he threw for 508 yards and 5 touchdowns, and ran for 46 yards and 2 touchdowns. By season's end he became only the 6th SEC player to account for at least 100 touchdowns. This year, he is at 284.4 passing yards per game, 67%, and 25 touchdowns with 4 interceptions, while leading the Bulldogs with 541 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns. The Wolfpack of North Carolina State opened at 4-0, but those wins came versus teams with Power Ratings of 25, 27, 28, along with a non-lined outfit. Just 3 wins thereafter, against Wake Forest, Boston College, and Syracuse, teams with 3-9, 3-9, and 4-8 records. So nary a win over any sort of quality opponent, although they did stay with Clemson for a half, before inevitable 56-41 loss (623-389 yard deficit). QB Brissett is an efficient 61.3%, and solid 19 touchdowns with 4 interceptions, but the North Carolina State running game is a shambles with the loss of Dayes (6.5 yards per rush, 12 touchdowns), and Thornton. The Bulldogs with a totally different psyche from last year's bowl loss
|
11-28-15 |
North Carolina -5.5 v. NC State |
Top |
45-34 |
Win
|
100 |
97 h 48 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit ACC Game of the Week Ten straight wins for North Carolina +108½ points ATS in their last 8 games. They blew a 14-point lead in the final 3:00 at Virginia Tech, but won in overtime. NC State highly respectable 7-4 SU, but the fact is that they've played nobody (last 3 wins versus 3-8, 3-8, 3-8 squads). The favorite is 8-2 ATS in NC State games.
|
11-28-15 |
Alabama -13.5 v. Auburn |
Top |
29-13 |
Win
|
100 |
97 h 40 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week "Iron Bowl". Tigers bowl eligible, but on a 2-12 ATS run. Note allowing 26 first downs and 479 yards to 3-8 Idaho, and ranking 87th on offense. Won't do much with 3rd-ranked Alabama defense, which has held 8-of-11 opponents under 18 points. And check Jones with 3 punt returns for touchdowns the past 2 games. Alabama in an easy one.
|
11-27-15 |
Navy -3 v. Houston |
Top |
31-52 |
Loss |
-112 |
40 h 47 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day Bye-bye to perfect season for Houston, who came from 256 rushing yards per game to 110 in loss to U Conn. A bit gimpy at QB, but still 12th in rush defense. So Navy won't run on that unit, right? Wrong. Winner to AAC title game, and Navy at 348 rushing yards per game, behind Reynolds' leadership (418.5 per game last 4 games)
|
11-21-15 |
San Diego State -16 v. UNLV |
Top |
52-14 |
Win
|
100 |
77 h 49 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week The Aztecs are super hot. Six straight wins and covers (+118 points ATS), with Price and Pumphrey: 292 rushing yards versus Wyoming. Won't be contained by hopeful UNLV's 109th-rated defense. Add that to the fact that the visitor is 12-3 ATS in Vegas games
|
11-21-15 |
Old Dominion v. Southern Miss -21 |
Top |
31-56 |
Win
|
100 |
70 h 38 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day The Eagles have a 175-43 point edge their last 4 games, and +103 points ATS this year. AB Mullens had 5 touchdowns with 0 interceptions last week and had 30 touchdowns with 7 interceptions this year. ODU a 296-167 point deficit in their last 9 games, ranking #101 and #103 in scoring and total defense.
|
11-21-15 |
Michigan v. Penn State +4 |
Top |
28-16 |
Loss |
-108 |
66 h 14 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week Michigan defensive mystique about vanished (27.5 points per game in their last 4). Needed all of Rudock's 440 passing yards and 6 touchdowns to take Indy in OT. Home team is 6-0 ATS in Penn State Big-10 games and the they covered their last home game by 35 points
|
11-07-15 |
California +4.5 v. Oregon |
Top |
28-44 |
Loss |
-106 |
99 h 45 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week Miraculous overtime win for Oregon last week, giving up 37 first downs and 742 yards. They are -62½ points ATS this year, and rank 84th, 125th, 117th, 115th in run, pass, scoring, total defense. Th Underdog is 13-4-1 ATS in California games. I call the upset here.
|
11-07-15 |
Utah v. Washington -1 |
Top |
34-23 |
Loss |
-108 |
96 h 6 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week Return of QB Browning paid instant dividends for the Huskies (263 passing yards with 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions), in 41-point cover versus Arizona. Washington is now +94 points ATS in their L8 lined games. Just 60-yard edge for Utah in 11-point ATS loss versus Oregon State. Rank 75th on offense, with QB Wilson only with 10 touchdowns with 7 interceptions for the season. Plus they lost their last road game 42-24.
|
10-31-15 |
Michigan -14 v. Minnesota |
Top |
29-26 |
Loss |
-103 |
95 h 34 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week It was a good time for Michigan's bye week, off that incredible loss to Michigan State. Harbaugh won't let them stay down. A 183-41 point edge in their last 6 games. Minnesota was also off last week. However, they have just one cover since thei opener, and lost their last underdog role by 23 points ATS. Michigan gets revenge for last year.
|
10-31-15 |
Clemson -10 v. NC State |
Top |
56-41 |
Win
|
100 |
91 h 48 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit ACC Game of the Week A resounding 58 point shutout win at Miami for perfect Tigers (567-146 yard edge). Now +125½ points ATS their L8 games. NC State in off 4 touchdowns of 57 or more yards and 322 yards in the 1st quarter of 35-17 win versus Wake. Days: 205 rushing yards (12.8 yards per rush). But they just aren't up to this task
|
10-24-15 |
Washington v. Stanford -19 |
Top |
14-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
33 h 60 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Pac-12 Game of the Week Stanford comes into this one on a 7-1 ATS run of late, (+82 points), with a 949-410 rushing yard edge in their L3 games (McCaffery: 605, including 243 and 4 touchdowns versus Ucla). The Huskies in off 385-338 yard edge versus Oregon, but a 26-20 loss (RB Gaskin: 155 yards). But Washington ranks 112th and 100th in rushing and total offense.
|
10-17-15 |
Michigan State v. Michigan -8 |
Top |
27-23 |
Loss |
-105 |
70 h 30 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week The Wolves are a true force. First FBS team with 3 straight shutout wins in 20 years, with a 160-14 point edge in their last 4 games, ranking #2, #2, #1, #2 in run, pass, scoring and total defense. Spartans are 6-0 SU, but -45½ points ATS. They had the #8 defense last year but are 56th this year. The Spartans failed to cover the spot in any of their first six starts. They were out-yarded by Oregon, Air Force, and Central Michigan and were hard-pressed to dismiss disheveled Rutgers.
|
10-17-15 |
West Virginia v. Baylor -21 |
Top |
38-62 |
Win
|
100 |
67 h 50 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week The Mountaineers have surrendered 17 sacks. To date, no one has figured out how to slow down the Baylor attack. Baylor is on pace to lead the nation in total offense for the third straight year; this after finishing #2 in 2011 and 2012. And their best players, OL Spencer Drango and DE Shawn Oakman – surefire first round draft picks – work in the trenches. The Bears have won 18 straight in Waco. WVU’s best player, DB Karl Joseph, has been lost for the season. The Mountaineers have won only 11 of their last 29 league games.
|
10-10-15 |
Iowa State v. Texas Tech -11.5 |
Top |
31-66 |
Win
|
100 |
70 h 33 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit BIG-12 Game of the Week After facing Tcu and Baylor (118-88 point deficit), the Raiders will feel like a runner with weights removed. Mahomes at 367 passing yard per game, but no run defense for Tech. Iowa State's in off most lopsided win in 2 years. But even after all that, it won't happen hear! Tech primed to unload on Cyclones for a big win.
|
10-03-15 |
Alabama +2.5 v. Georgia |
Top |
38-10 |
Win
|
100 |
67 h 7 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit SEC Play of the Day This is the first underdog role for Alabama since the '09 SEC title game where they beat Florida 32-13. Alabama ranks just 37th on offense, but 4th and 12th in run and total defense. Georgia comes in off a 318-yard edge over South Carolina, with another 3 touchdowns from Chubb who has 100+ yards in 12 straight games. Georgia is formidable, but Alabama excels in this setup.
|
10-03-15 |
Michigan -16 v. Maryland |
Top |
28-0 |
Win
|
100 |
98 h 12 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit BIG-10 Game of the Week Michigan comes into this one owning a 94-14 point edge in their last 3 games (24½ point cover versus BYU), with a 733-201 rushing yard edge. Maryland was exposed by West Virginia, and just out of their league versus the BIG-10 upper echelon teams. It's the first road game since 9/3 for Michigan, but own the 2nd best defense in the nation. No contest in this one.
|
09-26-15 |
Mississippi State +2.5 v. Auburn |
Top |
17-9 |
Win
|
100 |
94 h 45 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week Tigers were never in the LSU game going down 24-0 at the half, with a 411-160 rushing yard deficit. QB Johnson their only offense? They are Now 1-8 ATS in SEC play. Bulldogs and Prescott 5 touchdowns a 0 interceptions this year picking up where they left off in '14, and the dog is 8-1 ATS in Mississippi State contests. The wrong team is favored in this one
|
09-19-15 |
Ole Miss v. Alabama -6 |
Top |
43-37 |
Loss |
-115 |
104 h 55 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week Rebel QB race is over with Kelly tossing for 346 yards and 4 touchdowns versus Fresno, in 73-21 balanced romp (22-point cover). Just 1 offensive touchdown for 'Tide in last years loss to Ole Miss, so you know Alabama will be more than ready. Super balance, behind Coke and Henry, and they held Wisconsin to 40 rushing yards. In addition, This is a big revenge game for the Tide who are 8/2 SU and 7-3 ATS with revenge under Nick Saban
|
09-19-15 |
East Carolina v. Navy -3.5 |
Top |
21-45 |
Win
|
100 |
98 h 24 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week After a strong performance versus Towson on Week 1, ECU’s top ball-carrier, Chris Hairston, had only 15 yards on 17 carries versus Florida. This is the biggest Navy team ever. The five projected starting OL average 288 pounds. The three fullbacks range from 245 to 255. The top WR, Jamir Tillman, stands 6’4”. The QB, Keenan Reynolds, belongs in the Heisman conversation. Reynolds is on course to set the NCAA career mark for rushing touchdowns. ECU gave a spirited effort in Gainesville in a futile quest to avenge last year’s bowl loss. Navy opened with Colgate and was idle last week. The Midshipmen are an easy call.
|
09-12-15 |
Oregon v. Michigan State -3.5 |
Top |
28-31 |
Loss |
-106 |
80 h 47 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Inter-Conference Game of the Week Last week I was on Michigan State and it appears that they were looking to this game versus Oregon. As a result they produced a non-cover win at Western Michigan when they led 34-10 late in 3rd quarter. In that game the Spartans allowed an unthinkable 365 Passing yards, so new Duck QB Adams (19-of-25 last week) could be trouble, and note 485 rushing yards (Freeman: 180). But Michigan State is +164 points ATS in their last 20 games, and are hungry this one.
|
09-12-15 |
Oklahoma v. Tennessee |
Top |
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
78 h 31 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day These 2 were placed 21st & 22nd in our "Polls" column, and have responded accordingly. Oklahoma's Mayfield had 388 passing yards and 3 touchdowns in new Air Raid Offense (439-88 passing yard edge versus Akron), under new offensive coach Riley. The Tennessee Vols turned in 29 first downs, 399 rushing yards, and 604 total yards in rout of Bowling Green, but check 433 passing yards. It will be a shootout with Okie taking it at the end.
|
09-07-15 |
Ohio State -11 v. Virginia Tech |
Top |
42-24 |
Win
|
100 |
141 h 1 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Units The Hokies are always a premier dog, and are especially primed for this one, after doing a number on the national champs last year. However, this Buckeye team has no weaknesses, as they were >41 points 11 times last year, and +106½ points ATS in their last 3 games. You can forget the fact that the dog is 7-0 ATS in OSU games. Elliott is unstoppable, as are all QBs. A huge revenge call here.
|
09-05-15 |
Texas +10 v. Notre Dame |
Top |
3-38 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Units NCAAF Play of the Day Notre Dame won its first six games last season before Everett Golson’s turnover problems at quarterback helped lead to a 2-5 finish. Golson is gone after a transfer to Florida State and Malik Zaire, who started a win over LSU in the Music City Bowl last season, will take over under center. Zaire will get a stiff test in the opener from Texas, which had its problems on offense last season under first-year coach Charlie Strong, but was stout defensively and held opposing quarterbacks to an average of 184.2 yards passing. The Irish are just 11-11 ATS.
|
09-03-15 |
Oklahoma State -24.5 v. Central Michigan |
Top |
24-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
45 h 0 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day Well, it didn't take the Cowboys long to regain their offensive form, covering their last 3 games by a combined 46½ points, including an shocking upset of Oklahoma. No less than 17 starters return, so that momentum should carry over. The Chips are horrible in the home dog role, with the favorite on a 20-8 ATS run.
|
11-29-14 |
Kansas v. Kansas State -28 |
Top |
13-51 |
Win
|
100 |
70 h 35 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day Kansas State is currently on a 5-0 ATS home run (+53½ points in their last 3). They had just 1 rushing yard at West Virginia, but 4 take aways, a punt return for a touchdowns, and 400 Waters passing yards. They are also on a nice 37-12 ATS run. Kansas has a 104-21 point deficit in their last 2 road games, with an 836-35 rushing yard deficit
|
11-28-14 |
Northern Illinois v. Western Michigan -7.5 |
Top |
31-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
41 h 44 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Units NCAAF Game of the Week Broncos are a perfect 10-0 ATS. Not only that, their early line covers were tight, but they've improved by the week, with covers of 14½, 12, 24½, 17, & 13 points in their last 5 games. QB Zerrell has completed 32-of-39 passes the last 2 weeks, while Franklin has run for 1,432 yards & 23 touchdowns. The Huskies continue steady winning ways, but departure of QB Lynch has stripped them of former dominance. In their six wins this year, NIU’s margin of victory is only eight points and they were flattened at home by Central Michigan.
|
11-22-14 |
Oklahoma State v. Baylor -28.5 |
Top |
28-49 |
Loss |
-110 |
72 h 15 m |
Show
|
Rating: 5 Unit NCAAF Game of the Month
Baylor comes into this one with their sights set on a BCS playoff spot. They have the best offense in nation and this pick is enhanced by their amazing 18-2 ATS home record. they now are at 52.4 points per game in their last 26 games. Oklahoma State is getting worse by week going 0-6-1 ATS (-101½ points ATS in their last 5). They also have the 94th ranked total offense. Last week they had only 9 first downs versus Texas. Not a good spot for the Pokes!
|
11-15-14 |
Michigan State -12 v. Maryland |
Top |
37-15 |
Win
|
100 |
75 h 4 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week The Spartan dreams were crushed last week with the loss to Ohio State. Michigan State has now given up 46, 31, 49 points this year, but they still own the 10th rated defense. QB Cook had 358 passing yards. The Terps come into this one rested but have managed only 10, 15 first downs their last 2 games and have the 96th rushing defense along with 106th total offense. Maryland has allowed 52 points to both upper echelon Big-10 teams (Ohio State and Wisconsin).
|
11-08-14 |
Georgia Tech -3.5 v. North Carolina State |
Top |
56-23 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 54 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week
The Wolfpack finally posted an ACC win, which was their first conference win in 2 years. However, the win was possible due to an 82-yard interception return, and a fumble recovery, deep in their own territory. NC State has only 14 first downs and just 14 points per game in their last 4 while allowing 35 points per game in their last 5. The Jackets, on the other hand, are hot, rushing for 1,107 yards the last 3 weeks, and have covered their last 2 games by 52½ points. They are also in off a 268-22 rushing yard edge over a Virginia team which entered with a 170-106 ruhsing yards per game edge.
|
10-25-14 |
Alabama -17 v. Tennessee |
Top |
34-20 |
Loss |
-105 |
73 h 34 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week After averaging only 15.5 points per game in their previous 2 games Alabama let it all out in 59-0 rout of nation's 4th-ranked offense, with a 602-172 yard edge (45-0 at half). Tennessee is in off allowing the game's final 34 points to Ole Miss in a 34-3 loss and has a 167-34 point deficit the last 4 games in series. They also rank 120th on offense. Can you spell route?
|
10-18-14 |
Kansas State +7.5 v. Oklahoma |
Top |
31-30 |
Win
|
100 |
68 h 28 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day Sooners highly unimpressive in bounceback game versus Texas, with 482-232 yard, 24-11 first down, and 37:58-22:02 time deficits (touchdowns on kickoff return and interception run back. Kansas State comes into this one rested and led by Waters, who does it in the passing and running game. And Kansas State is a super play as they are 9-1 ATS as the series visitor.
|
10-11-14 |
TCU v. Baylor -7.5 |
Top |
58-61 |
Loss |
-115 |
90 h 35 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day The Frogs are on the rise again and come into this one at 4-0 SU, and on a 5-0 ATS run. They beat Oklahoma last week thanks to fumble and an interception returned for touchdowns. Plus QB Boykin had 318 passing yards. They also have the #13 passing defense. Baylor's QB Petty had a horrible game last week versus Texas hitting only 7-of-22 but Linwood had 148 rushing yards. But you can't forgetthat Baylor is 17-1 ATS at home.
|
10-04-14 |
Baylor -14.5 v. Texas |
Top |
28-7 |
Win
|
100 |
41 h 15 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day At the moment, there is no comparisons between these 2, with Baylor once again sitting atop the total and scoring offense, just as it did in '13 (641 yards per game, 56.8 points per game). Texas is just the opposite, at the moment. Discontent, injuries, while ranking 112th in total offense.
|
09-27-14 |
Illinois v. Nebraska -20 |
Top |
14-45 |
Win
|
100 |
79 h 47 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Game of the Week Nebraska has been unstoppable at home holding a 151-57 point edge in their 3 home games and are +52½ points ATS. In addition they had a 343-76 rushing yard edge versus Miami, behind another 229 yards from Abdullah who is the #2 rusher. All 3 Illinois wins have been of the comeback variety. They come in allowing 39.9 points per game in last their last 11 lined games and rank 112th in rushing offense.
|
01-01-14 |
Central Florida v. Baylor -17 |
Top |
52-42 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Bowl Game of the Month
Last 3 years, Bears have come from "O" midgets to ranking #2, (587 ypg), #2 (572 ypr), & #1 (625 ypg) in total "O"; as well as #4 (45 ppg), #4 (44 ppg), & #1 (53 ppg) in scoring "O". Just superb. Replacing Griffin seemed an impossibility, but Florence answered the call last year, throwing for 4,309 yds & 33 TDs (13 picks). Ditto, Petty this season, as he ranks behind only Heisman winner Winston in pass efficiency, with 3,844 yds (62
|
01-01-14 |
Michigan State +7 v. Stanford |
Top |
24-20 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 24 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Game of the Week
The Card rank 14th, 10th, & 3rd in total, scoring, & rushing "D", while the Spartans rank 1st, 4th, 1st, 6th, & 2nd in total, scoring, run, pass, & pass efficiency "D". QBs Hogan (2,487 yds, 61%, & 20/9) & Cook (2,423 yds, 58%, & 20/5) "under-the-radar" efficient, with RBs Gaffney (1,618 yds, 20 TDs) & Langford (1,388 yds, 17 TDs) true forces. Shapes up as ultimate bloodbath, with nothing left on the field. Amazing stat: only 54% of all Spartan opponent plays have resulted gains. Hard to see any breathing room. We take the pts.
|
12-31-13 |
Duke v. Texas A&M -12 |
Top |
48-52 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 UnitBowl Game of the Day It is expected to be a high-scoring affair with the total betting line set at 73.5. Texas A&M is sixth in the nation in scoring at 43.6 points but 88th among the 123 FBS teams at 30.9 points allowed. Duke averages 31.6 points scored and 24.7 against, but struggled to stop the No. 2 scoring offense in its 45-7 loss to top-ranked Florida State in the ACC championship game on Dec. 7.
|
12-30-13 |
Texas v. Oregon -14.5 |
Top |
7-30 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 48 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Bowl Game of the Week The Ducks' up-tempo spread offense is similar to the system employed by Baylor, which rolled up 508 total yards in a 30-10 win over the Longhorns in the regular-season finale. Texas will need defensive end Jackson Jeffcoat - the Big 12 Co-Defensive Player of the Year - to be a constant fixture in the backfield to disrupt Oregon's timing and give the Longhorns a chance to keep pace on the scoreboard.
|
11-30-13 |
Air Force v. Colorado State -15.5 |
Top |
13-58 |
Win
|
100 |
66 h 48 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week Rams came from 43.9 points per game in previous 7 games, to 0 at Utah State. Quick shot at regrouping here, as Falcons have allowed >40 points 7 times this year, & allowing 363 rushing yards per game in their last 3 outings. A host series. Falcons are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game and 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games overall.
|
11-23-13 |
Baylor -8 v. Oklahoma State |
Top |
17-49 |
Loss |
-108 |
21 h 36 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week
Six straight wins & five straight covers (+64 pts ATS) for Oklahoma State. Check 90-19 point edge last 2 weeks, but just a 34-yard advantage. Not the case with awesome Bears, who are now at 53.6 points per game last 14 lined game. Try 300 rushing yards and 384 passing yards per game.
|
11-16-13 |
Alabama -23 v. Mississippi State |
Top |
20-7 |
Loss |
-110 |
31 h 28 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week
Relentless! Question here, of course is possibility of letdown for Alabama, off of their brilliant 21-0 second half versus Lsu. This is the first road game for Alabama since 10/12. Mississippi got 149 passing yards and 154 rushing yards from Prescott versus A&M, but they are no 'Tide. Alabama had a 284-43 point edge in their last 7 games!
|
11-09-13 |
LSU v. Alabama -11.5 |
Top |
17-38 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 35 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week Not the normal hype here, although Tigers are just a pair of 3-point setbacks from standing at 9-0. However, Alabama is a horse of a different color. Try a 246-26 point edge since their narrow win at A&M. Right: 41-3 points per game edge. McCarron, Yeldon, Cooper, etc. Just simply relentless
|
11-02-13 |
Wisconsin -9 v. Iowa |
Top |
28-9 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 33 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week Nice setup for Badgers, who catch Iowa off Michigan State, Ohio State, and Northwestern ground machines (498-262 rushing yard deficit last 2 games). Iowa ranks 12th in both total and scoring defense, but Wisconsin owns a 297-88 rushing yard per game edge, behind Gordon & White, and covered its last road game by 10 points, and is 5-0-1 ATS.
|
10-26-13 |
UCLA v. Oregon -23 |
Top |
14-42 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 34 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week
The Bruins' 47 poins per game & 547 yards per game offense managed just 10 points and 266 yards at Stanford, with 2 key interceptions from Hundley. Now they have to regroup and try to get off the mat versus and offense that had a 383-2 rushing yard edge versus Washington Stata, with no Thomas, who is expected back, along with QB Mariota who has 19 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.
Oregon got jumped over in the polls by FSU this week due to their "unimpressive" win last week. Expect them to take care of that today
|
10-19-13 |
Oregon State -10.5 v. California |
Top |
49-17 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 24 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week
Bears hung with Ucla for awhile as they were down only 17-10, but couldn't contain Hundley who was 31-of-41 for 410 yards. Today they facae the unstoppable Mannion who had 493 passying yards with 4 touchdowns and 1 interception at WashSt pushing him to 418.5 passing yards per game with 25 touchdowns and only 3 interceptions for the year.
California owns the 2nd, 3rd and 2nd worst pass, total, and scoring defenses.
|
10-12-13 |
Florida v. LSU -6.5 |
Top |
6-17 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 34 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week
A 54-17 pt edge for the Gators last 2 weeks, however 1st 3 touchdowns versus Arkansas were on interception returns and 51, 38 yard Murphy passes. They Rank #2 in total defense, but only #72 in total offense.
Just a heart breaking 44-41 loss to Georgia, ruined and otherwise perfect LSU season. QB Mettenberger has 15 touchdowns and only 2 interceptions, and Hill at 527 rushing yards the last 3 weeks.
Florida just won't be able to keep up with LSU's scoring as they face their best defense yet.
|
09-28-13 |
Florida State -22.5 v. Boston College |
Top |
48-34 |
Loss |
-111 |
27 h 20 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Game of the Week
The FSU Seminoles have a 157-26 point edge this year and are a +36
|
09-21-13 |
Louisiana Monroe v. Baylor -30 |
Top |
7-70 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 28 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Game of the Week
The Bears in Waco have been on an 11-1 ATS run, while averaging 48.4 points per game in current 7-0 ATS run. They sit #1 in total and scoring offense averagomg 736.5 yards per game and 69
|
09-07-13 |
Army v. Ball State -7.5 |
Top |
14-40 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 38 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Favorite of the Week This one pits Army's rushing against Ball States passing. But last week Army had just 297 rushing yards vs Morgan, after posting 370 rushing yards per game last year(#1). The loss of Steelman is apparent. Ball State got 340 passing yards from Wenning last week. The clinchers are, Ball Sate is on a 13-4 ATS run, while the home team is 15-4 ATS in Army contests.
|
12-29-12 |
Oregon State -3 v. Texas |
Top |
27-31 |
Loss |
-120 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Bowl Game of the Week
Oregon State is just 9 points from an 11-1 SU mark and 11 points from going 10-1 ATS. QBs Mannion and Vaz have thrown for 3,732 yards and 26 touchdowns, with WRs Wheaton & Cooks a combined 2,327 yards.
Texas has had a tough time in replacing McCoy at QB with neither Ash nor McCoy establishing himself as a true leader. Texas is on a 14-25 ATS run and are just 3-10 ATS as an underdog since '09. Oregon State HC Mike Riley is 65-40 ATS (+21.0 Units) after the first month of the season
|
11-10-12 |
Texas A&M +14 v. Alabama |
Top |
29-24 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 1 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit SEC Game of the Week
Alabama passed their first real test last week versus LSU but just barely when QB McCarron hit for a 28 yard touchdown pass in final 0:51.
McCarron now has 19 touchdowns and 0 interceptions while the Alabama defense is #2 and #1 in scoring and total defense.
Texas A&M QB Manziel was 30-of-36 at Mississippi State and added 129 rushing yeard. He is now at 2,527 passing yards, 922 rushing yards, and 31 Touchdowns. The Aggies are only ten points from a 9-0 SU mark.
Another close one for the Tide.
|
10-27-12 |
TCU +7.5 v. Oklahoma State |
Top |
14-36 |
Loss |
-110 |
69 h 58 m |
Show
|
Rating: 5 Unit Big-12 Game of the Year
TCU comes into this one off a 3 overtime loss to Texas Tech although they had a 28-21 first down and 516-389 total yard edges. TCU has almost as many interceptions as Oklahoma State has touchdown passes (15). OSU has 20 rushing touchdowns, but TCU has allowed only 3 rushing TDs this season. The underdog is 9-3 ATS in Tcu contests.
|
10-27-12 |
Florida v. Georgia +7 |
Top |
9-17 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 48 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Month
Florida is ending a four week stretch where they hosted LSU and won, went to Vanderbilt and won, then hosted South Carolina and won big when South Carolina was ending a tough, three-game, back to back to back versus. Georgia, at LSU and at Florida.
The underdog side (Georgia) has the starting quarterback with much more experience, and an offense averaging more than 7 yards per play including 10.2 yards per pass attempt.
Everybody is talking about Florida which makes it a perfect time to jump on the Dawgs!
|
10-20-12 |
South Carolina v. Florida -3.5 |
Top |
11-44 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 9 m |
Show
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Rating: 3 Unit Game of the Week
Gator defense came from 8 first downs (Lsu) to 23 (Vandy), but still held a 200 rushing yard edge, behind Driskel's QB school record 177 rushing yards.
South Carolina is now 6-1 and was unable to stay with Lsu posting a 258-34 rushing yard deficit. However QB Shaw is 60-of-83 in his last 4 games.
The Favorite is 10-2 ATS in South Carolina contests
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10-13-12 |
South Carolina +3 v. LSU |
Top |
21-23 |
Win
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100 |
11 h 8 m |
Show
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Rating: 5 Unit NCAAF Game of the Year
South Carolina comes into this one with a School record 10 straight wins while ranking 9th, 11th, 4th in run, total, scoring defense. QB Shaw is 41 of 49 in is last 3 games.
LSU is scoring only 9 points per game in their last 2 lined games and only had 8 first downs las week. As usualy their defense is solid ranking 2nd, 3rd, 8th, & 3rd in passing, total, scoring, & pass efficiency defense.
In a defensive battle like this, take the points
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10-13-12 |
Alabama -21 v. Missouri |
Top |
42-10 |
Win
|
100 |
70 h 56 m |
Show
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Rating: 3 Unit SEC Game of the Week
Missouri comes into this one with a huge problem after losing QB Franklin to a knee injury. Missouri is -60
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09-15-12 |
Ohio v. Marshall +6.5 |
Top |
27-24 |
Win
|
100 |
71 h 44 m |
Show
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Rating: 3 Unit Upset Special
Last year Marshall
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01-03-12 |
Michigan v. Virginia Tech +3 |
Top |
23-20 |
Push |
0 |
27 h 33 m |
Show
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NCAAF Bowl Game of the Year - Rating: 5 Units
MICHIGAN is 5-14-1 ATS in its last 20 games versus an opponent with a winning record.
ACC bowl underdogs (VIRGINIA TECH) who are off a loss are 14-2 ATS.
MICHIGAN is 9-20 SU and 6-21-1 ATS from Game Six out over the last four years, including 0-8 SU and 1-6-1 ATS versus greater-than .800 opponents
bowl teams who lost their conference championship (VIRGINIA TECH) game that allow 17.2 or less PPG are 7-0 ATS when not laying more than 6 points.
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