Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-17-23 | Seahawks +5.5 v. Lions | Top | 37-31 | Win | 100 | 88 h 16 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Seattle is 4-0 SUATS in this series, as well as 21-9 SU and 20-8-1 ATS when coming off a loss and facing an opponent coming off a win. In addition, Seattle’s head coach thrives against teams coming off a win from this division, going 11-3 outright in his career, including 5-0 when the foe is coming off an upset win. Finally, Seattle head coach Pete Carroll is 8-3 ATS as a dog with the Seahawks when facing an opponent coming off a SU underdog win, including 8-1 ATS as a dog of fewer than 7 points. |
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09-14-23 | Vikings +6.5 v. Eagles | 28-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Vikes’ QB Kirk Cousins is 28-9-1 ATS when his team is coming off a loss and facing a greater than .400 opponent coming off a win, including 7-1-1 ATS within the first four games of the season. Philadelphia is 0-6 ATS in home openers the past six seasons, and 2-7 SU and 1-8 ATS at home in Game Two of the season. Philadelphia comes into this one banged up defensively and defending Super Bowl losers standing 26-45-1 ATS as a favorite when coming off a SUATS win and facing a foe coming off a SUATS loss, including 17-37-1 ATS when favored by 10 or fewer points. Finally, Minnesota is 8-0-2 ATS as a dog of more than 6 points when coming off a SU favorite loss and taking on an opponent coming off a win. |
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09-11-23 | Bills v. Jets +2.5 | Top | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 98 h 59 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The Jets hosts division rival Buffalo sporting a long-term 8-5-1 ATS mark at home on Monday nights in division battles. They also bring a nifty 10-6 SU and 11-5 ATS mark in this series into this contest, including 4-0 SUATS as a competitive dog of 4 or fewer points. Meanwhile Aaron Rodgers enters on a nine-game win skein on Mondays. He is also 6-1-1 ATS as a home dog in his NFL career. Finally, the Jets are 22-10-1 SU and 24-9 ATS of late, including 6-0 ATS in season opening games the past six years |
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09-10-23 | Cowboys v. Giants +3.5 | Top | 40-0 | Loss | -115 | 74 h 20 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The architect of the Cowboys’ offense, Kellen Moore, who has moved on to take over the offensive coordinator duties with the Chargers in Los Angeles this season. Over Moore’s four years as offensive coordinator in Dallas (2019-2022), the Cowboys’ offense totaled the 2nd most yards (391 per game) and 2nd most points (27.7 per game) in the NFL. However, Dallas is 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS away against quadruple avenging opponents, including 0-4 ATS in division games. New York is 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS at home when seeking quadruple revenge, including 4-0 SUATS in division contests |
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09-10-23 | Eagles v. Patriots +4 | 25-20 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philadelphia will face the league’s toughest schedule, by measurement of each opponent’s projected season win total. By this criterion alone, teams carrying this sort of added weight have fallen short in the 6 years we’ve been charting the theory, going 47-41 SU and 40-46-2 ATS overall that season, including 10-24-1 ATS as a favorite. Remember, Philly faced the league’s softest schedule last season, and it helped land them a spot in the Super Bowl against the Chiefs. Keep in mind as well that playing against the defending Super Bowl loser if they are away in Game One of the season is 15-2 ATS. Additionally, the Eagles 2-6 ATS in their last eight non-division away games, look for the Hoodie’s 12-3 outright record at home in season openers to serve as a tall task for the Eagles. |
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09-10-23 | Dolphins +3.5 v. Chargers | 36-34 | Win | 100 | 70 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miami is coming off 3 straight winning seasons for 1st time since 1997-2003 (7 straight). However, they lost 6 of their last 7 games in '22 w/ their only win being a TD-less 11-6 win over the Jets in week 18. 1-4 in games not started by Tua last year. Last we saw the Chargers, they blew a 27-0 2nd quarter lead in Jacksonville before going down 31-30. They are the 1st team in NFL playoff history to lose a game with 5+ turnover margin. Herbert , 2nd player ever w/ 25+ TD passes in each of his 1st 3 seasons (P Manning). He has more PY (14,089) than any player in NFL history thru 1st 3 seasons. However, the Dolphins are 9-2 ATS as AFC West dogs and 8-2 ATS in season openers, and the Chargers 1-10 ATS non-division home chalk of four or fewer points, and just 1-5 ATS versus the AFC East. |
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09-10-23 | 49ers v. Steelers +2.5 | 30-7 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units San Francisco is 1-5 ATS in season openers the last six years, and 1-6 ATS in games before facing division rival Los Angeles Rams. Additionally, NFL season opening favorites who win 15 or games last season are 2-10 ATS as road chalk of fewer than five points. Finally, Pittsburgh is 10-2-2 ATS as a non-division home dog log under Mike Tomlin, including 4-0-1 ATS against foes that won 14-plus game the previous season. |
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09-07-23 | Lions v. Chiefs -4 | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Lions have struggled at 2-7 ATS in their last nine non-division games on Thursdays. We realize the defending champs were 7-3 SU but 0-10 ATS in one-score games last season, but evidence has it this should not be the case tonight. Not when you consider Andy Reid’s 6-0 SUATS career record on Thursdays against non-division foes – with every win by double-digits. And note that the Chiefs are looking to become the third team to reach four Super Bowls in a five-year span, along with the 1990-93 Bills and the 2014-18 Patriots. |
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01-29-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs +1 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 94 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units If there’s one team that has the Chiefs’ number, it’s the Bengals with three wins in a row – all by 3 points, and all as underdogs – in just over a year. It sets up a fourth meeting in 13 months between these two wishful squads. The pressure to extend the skein doesn’t bother head coach Zac Taylor, though. It’s his contention that, “We only have to beat them one time in a row.” Given Andy Reid’s 15-8 SU and 16-7 ATS record in games with triple revenge (7-1 ATS at home), including 5-0 ATS at home off a win and 5-0 SUATS off an ATS loss of fewer than 4 points, we see one in a row coming to a halt today. Yes, we were as wrong as the day is long fading the Bengals last week as we fully expected their glaring lack of success against fellow playoff squads to bite them in Buffalo. Instead, the Bills’ resolve in over-relying on Josh Allen alone did them in as Cincinnati executed a perfect game plan. Today, though, trying to dispose of soon-to-be league MVP Patrick Mahomes is a horse of a different color. Mahomes’ 72 wins in the last five seasons is second only to Tom Brady for the most in any five-year span (77 wins from 2003-07), and he is 9-1 ATS in his NFL career when not laying points. Wobbly ankle and all, we’re not about to go against Mahomes. |
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01-29-23 | 49ers +2.5 v. Eagles | 7-31 | Loss | -100 | 91 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units A suddenly seasoned QB Brock Purdy is in deeper waters than he’s been in his young career, but thanks to a promise fulfilled by the San Francisco defense, he’s answered every demand made of him. However, playoff teams coming off consecutive SUATS wins who were bounced in a championship game the previous year (San Francisco) are 20-1 SUATS since 1985 as either a favorite or as a dog of less than 3 points versus foes off a SUATS win. |
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01-22-23 | Bengals v. Bills -4.5 | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Bengals QB Joe Burrow is now 4-1 SUATS in the postseason, including 3-0 ATS when taking points. He’s also 16-6-2 ATS overall as a dog, including 9-0 ATS the last nine games – not to mention 3-1 SUATS versus AFC East foes (favored in all), including 3-0 SUATS the last three meetings The real problem for Cincy, though, is the Bengals are now 1-6 In The Stats against fellow playoff teams this season, while losing the total yards the last three games against the same ilk over 100 YPG each (average 139 YPG). And their offensive line is down to two original starters with LT Jonah Williams out with a dislocated kneecap. Yuck. Nonetheless, form takes precedence over the trends. Lay the points. |
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01-21-23 | Giants +7.5 v. Eagles | 7-38 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units When it comes to same-season double revenge for division teams in NFL playoff contests, they are just 7-13 SU and 9-10-1 ATS since 1990. But these same double revengers are 6-1-1 ATS as dog of more than 6 points. New York is 11-2 ATS dog log under Brian Daboll, and were involved in a league-high 14 one-score games, going 9-4-1 SU and 12-1-1 ATS in those contests, which goes hand-in-hand with the fact that a staggering 45% of games this season (122 of 271) were decided by 6 points or fewer – the most since the league expanded to 32 teams in 2002. In the Eagles’ favor, playoff hosts are 37-10 SU and 29-18 ATS since 1990 when facing invaders coming off consecutive away games. And yes, like San Fran, Philadelphia owns the magic elixir when it comes to projecting Super Bowl participants, namely a Top 5-ranked offense and defense. So, while it’s hard to fade the league’s No. 1 overall defense, the points are too attractive for one team on a roll and the other on a slide. |
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01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs -8.5 | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Jacksonville is stuck in Kansas City against the top-seeded Chiefs knowing they are 0-3 SUATS against QB Patrick Mahomes. They also take on Andy Reid and his stalwart 29-6 SU and 22-13 ATS overall career mark in games with an added week of rest advantage, including 6-1 outright at home in the postseason. Reid will be going up against his former quarterback Doug Pederson, who was only 3-14 as a starting QB in the league but brings a salty 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS career mark as a head coach in the playoffs. We realize the Chiefs’ gaudy 0-10 ATS mark in one score games this season is troubling but we also know that 15 of Andy Reid’s 19 career postseason wins have been by double-digit margins. And Travis Kelce has to love the fact that the Jags were the 3rd worst ranked team in the league in yards per reception to tight ends |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs +2.5 | 31-14 | Loss | -107 | 55 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Prescott was 14-for-37, while the Cowboys’ rushing game averaged just 2.4 yards per rush on 27 total attempts in last week’s uninspiring loss at Washington. Note that Tom Brady is a 19-time division champion and is 7-0 outright in his career against the Cowboys. We realize that losing teams are 2-4 SU and 3-3 ATS in the postseason, but they are 3-0 ATS at home. If fact, hosts are 6-0 ATS in games involving losing squads. Sealing the deal is the fact that playing against any away team in the NFL Wild Card Round of the playoffs if they are coming off a loss of 14 or more points (Dallas) is 14-1 ATS since 1980. |
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01-15-23 | Ravens +9.5 v. Bengals | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 31 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Ravens are 13-2 ATS away in same-season division revenge affairs. Meanwhile, a closer look at the ultra-hot Bengals shows they’ve been outgained in 5 of the 6 games they played this season against fellow playoff teams. Not good news for a team that was a Super Bowl Loser last year and considering they are 6-14-2 ATS in playoff openers when coming off win. Coupled with teams in right-back-same season revenge being 6-3 SU and 6-2-1 ATS when coming off a loss of 5 or fewer points. |
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01-15-23 | Giants +3 v. Vikings | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Giants return to the postseason for the first time since 2016 but bring a 22-8 ATS playoff record since 1982 into this scrum – including 15-4 ATS as a dog. On the fl ip side, the Norsemen are 8-17 SU and 9-15-1 ATS in the postseason since 1989, including 0-9 ATS when facing foes coming off a loss. Vikes’ QB Kirk Cousins has made three starts in the playoffs during his NFL career, going 1-2 SUATS, including 0-1 SUATS as a favorite. Note that Wild Card round dogs of 3 or fewer points, seeking same-season revenge, are 12-4-1 ATS. With it, Big Blue certainly remembers dropping a 27-24 decision here just three weeks ago on a 61-yard field goal at the final gun, a game in which they outstated the Vikes by 92 yards. Look for the G-Men to improve on their 10-2 ATS dog log under head coach Brian Daboll. Go ahead and grab the points |
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01-15-23 | Dolphins v. Bills -13.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Fish have gone 0-4 SUATS in postseason games since and are 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS on the playoff road by an average loss margin of 22 PPG. We certainly don’t want any of that, not in frigid Buffalo as the Dolphins are 1-11 SU and 3-9 ATS away in outside stadiums in January since 1990, as well as 2-14 SU and 3-13 ATS in Buffalo when arriving off a SUATS home win. You can rest assured the Bills will play the Damar Hamlin card throughout the postseason. In addition, Buffalo is the only team in the playoffs that out-yarded each of the other playoff teams they faced this season. With Bills Mafia backers 31-9-4 ATS in games Buffalo wins outright as a favorite behind Josh Allen. |
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01-14-23 | Chargers v. Jaguars +2.5 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 31 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units AFC South champion Jaguars, the first team since the 2008 Dolphins to win a division the season after having the league’s worst record. Pederson also shines in the postseason, going 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS, including 5-0 ATS as a playoff dog. Coupled with the fact that Wild Card home pick or dogs are 12-3 ATS, look for the Bolts to short-circuit here. |
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01-14-23 | Seahawks v. 49ers -9.5 | 23-41 | Win | 100 | 27 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Home teams in their initial NFL playoff game who lost at home in a conference championship game last season are 27-2 SU and 21-7-1 ATS in Game One in these contests if they won a dozen of more games last season. The Seahawks enter as one of seven playoff teams this year that missed the postseason in 2021. However, double digit dogs in the Wild Card round with same-season revenge are just 1-5 ATS – which makes for only one way to look here. |
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01-08-23 | Lions +5 v. Packers | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Detroit walks onto Lambeau Field having won seven of their last nine games, and at 8-8 on the season will not only need to beat the 8-8 Packers today but will also need the 8-8 Seahawks to lose against the 5-11 Rams. Sure, while this happening is unlikely, either way the 2022 season has been a resounding success for Dan Campbell and the Lions. Adding to the karma, the Lions are 9-0 ATS in their last nine division dukeouts, but the Packers are 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS as a host in this series when Detroit is coming off a win. Given the fact that no team has ever made the NFL playoffs after a 1-6 start, and the Packers own the clearest path to the playoffs (they own the tiebreaker over Seattle), we don’t see them losing this contest. Covering it is another matter. |
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01-08-23 | Patriots +8 v. Bills | 23-35 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units What we know for sure is that the Bills’ mental frame of mind is not where it needs to be today. That and the fact they are just 6-16 ATS as a division favorite of 7 or more points, including 1-11 ATS versus greater than .250 opponents. With the Pats 6-1 ATS off a home game against foes coming off a road game, as well as 5-1 ATS when coming off a division home contest, we also know that Bill Belichick is 15-7 SU and 16-6 ATS in final games of the regular season with New England, including 4-0 ATS as a dog. |
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01-08-23 | Bucs +4 v. Falcons | Top | 17-30 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
NFC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Tom Brady is clearly programmed to break every NFL passing record in the book. In his best outing of the year – 432 yards and three TDs passing, one rushing TD – he completed 34 passes Sunday, adding yet another record to his seemingly endless collection. In the process he won his 19th division title, as the Bucs are now back-to-back division champs for the fi rst time in team history. Atlanta enters as a team playing out the string, just 2-6 SUATS and ITS in its last eight games while throwing green QB Desmond Ridder to the wolves. With the Dirty Birds just 2-13 ATS at home coming off a home game and Brady 3-0 ATS in his career as a dog in season finales, and finally NFL .500 dogs are 5-0 ATS in final games of the season when coming off a win |
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01-07-23 | Chiefs v. Raiders +9.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The fact of the matter is Stidham sliced up the NFL’s best defense. Given the Chiefs’ 0-6 ATS mark of late against sub .500 division foes, while also understanding since winning Super Bowl LIV, the Kansas City Chiefs are 2-27-1 ATS in one-score games, including 0-18-1 ATS against avenging foes., look for the Raiders to improve on their 9-1 ATS record at home against AFC West foes who are not coming off a win of more than three points. If that doesn't seal the deal consider that playing on any NFL division home dog in its final game of the season if they were a playoff team last season and if they are seeking revenge from a .600 or greater opponent is 15-2 since 1980. |
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01-01-23 | Jets v. Seahawks +1.5 | Top | 6-23 | Win | 100 | 53 h 11 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units USA TODAY called out the fact that the Jets handed the Jaguars a Christmas gift two years ago when they foolishly rallied to defeat the Los Angeles Rams, 23-20, just before Christmas and granting them access to QB Trevor Lawrence as the No. 1 overall draft pick. Talk about a gift that keeps on giving to Jacksonville, it’s one that may well haunt the Jets for the next 10-15 years. What may also trouble the Big Planes today is their recent 7-16 SU and 5-18 ATS record in games when coming off a SU favorite loss, including 1-10 SUATS versus greater than .400 foes. That fits perfectly into the Seahawks’ 10-0 ATS record in home games when coming off consecutive underdog losses. Then there is head coach Pete Carroll, who is 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS at home in January, including 4-0 SUATS with a losing record and 4-0 SUATS versus sub .600 foes – and our favorite holiday ‘Caroller’ has also never lost four consecutive home games. Finally, consider that playing on any NFL non-division home dog or ‘pick’ if they are 0-3 SU and ATS in their last three games is 112-82-7 ATS since 1980. Better yet, put these non-division hosts up against a sub. 500 foe in this role and the black ink turns a deep shade of green, going 35-19-3 ATS, including 16-1-2 ATS when they sport a win percentage over .100 and were a dog of 6-plus points in their last game. |
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01-01-23 | Jaguars v. Texans +4 | 31-3 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Jags enter 13-6 ATS in games with quintuple-plus division revenge as they have now lost 9 straight times to Houston. Unlike years past, Jacksonville controls its playoff destiny, as a loss here will not matter since next week’s home contest against Tennessee will ultimately decide the AFC South title. What arguably matters more is head coach Doug Pederson would like to extend the Jags win skein to four in a row. But the fact of the matter is each of their last three wins came in underdog roles and today they change clothes. Teams in this role are just 7-16-2 ATS since 1999, including 3-11-1 ATS from Game Ten out. So, while Jack’s muscles are bulging at the moment, we can’t ignore the elephant in the room, namely that the Jacksonville Jaguars are 0-11 SU and 1-10 ATS against foes coming off a SU underdog win. |
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12-26-22 | Chargers v. Colts +4 | 20-3 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units We realize things are looking rosy for the Chargers, who close out the campaign against three 4-win lightweights in the Colts, the Rams and the Broncos. The Bolts are 4-0-1 ATS away Mondays, and 12-2-2 ATS away versus AFC South. On the other side of the bed, the Colts are 0-3 ATS home on Mondays, 1-7 ATS after scoring 35-plus points, and 1-7 ATS as home dogs 4 or fewer points. However, while it all looks like an avalanche of evidence working against the Colts, the Chargers are still a team that cannot blow out opponents, only winning one game all year by more than six points, and that came back in Week 4 against the awful Texans. Look for the Horseshoes to toss a surprise ringer tonight. |
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12-25-22 | Bucs v. Cardinals +7.5 | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bucs’ six wins this season, the last five have been against losing teams a 26-44 winning record combined. Through it all, the GOAT who refused to hang ‘em up when he had the perfect opportunity, leads a team that is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games as a favorite, 1-7 ATS last eight games on Sundays, 1-5-1 ATS versus NFC West foes and 1-5 ATS versus sub .400 opponents. Sheesh. While the Cardinals may be going thru the motions, at least they bring a 9-1 ATS log as home dogs of more than 2 points, and a 4-0 ATS record in this series. |
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12-25-22 | Packers +3.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 46 h 26 m | Show |
Inter-Conference Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units For the first time in over two-and-half months the Pack finally have a winning streak. The Cheese Heads are the No. 10 seed in the NFC, currently 1.5 games behind the Commanders for the NFC’s final wild-card spot. Green Bay enters 6-1 ATS as a dog in games when favored last game. Miami returns home off a winless three game road trek knowing they are 0-4 ATS coming off three straight road games, as well as 0-4 ATS when coming off three losses. And that’s not to mention the fact they are 1-5 ATS as a host in this series. With Rodgers suddenly smelling playoff blood, know that he is 9-4-1 ATS as a dog from game 15 out, including 6-0-1 ATS when the Packers own a win percentage of .666 or less. |
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12-24-22 | Eagles +4.5 v. Cowboys | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Cowboys, who have clinched a playoff berth, are 6-12 outright in Prescott’s NFL career in games in which he has more turnovers than touchdown passes, including 0-3 SUATS this season. The problem today for the Cowboys, though, is Dallas is just 2-10 ATS and 4-8 ATS at home in this series when Philly sports the better record. Yes, there are a lot of back-and-forth numbers bandying about in this fray, but until Dallas improves its to 8-25-1 ATS mark as a home favorite when coming off a loss, we’ll be flying with the Eagles. Especially knowing that Dallas is 0-5 SU and 0-4-1 ATS at home on Saturdays during the regular season since 1980. |
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12-24-22 | Giants +4 v. Vikings | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 25 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Vikes have clinched the division and a playoff spot s0 can they thwart the path of others looking to earn their playoff stripes? Owning the league’s 32nd-ranked (worst) defense, they concede all of the defensive numbers to the Giants in this contest. Minny has been out-yarded in 5 of their last 6 games and are 1-5-1 ATS in the last seven games against NFC East opponents. With the G-Men barely clinging to the No. 6 spot in the NFC playoff pictures, and 7-1 ATS on Saturdays, look for Big Blue to improve on its 7-2 ATS mark as a dog under rookie head coach Brian Daboll. Grab the points. |
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12-24-22 | Bengals v. Patriots +3 | Top | 22-18 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 2 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Currently the Pats are the No. 8 seed in the AFC playoff picture but they must close out the season against the likes of these 10-4 Bengals, 8-6 Miami, and 11-3 Buffalo. Thus, it starts today against a Cincinnati squad who enters just 7-29 SU and 12-22-2 ATS away against the AFC East, including 1-6 SU and 0-6-1 ATS when coming off a double-digit win. Yes, the Hoodies need to roll up their sleeves and get to work against a Joe Burrow-led Bengals’ bunch on an AFC best 6-game win skein. However, consider that playing against any NFL team that is 6-0 SUATS in its last six games if they are facing a sub .700 non-division opponent is 10-1 ATS since 1980. |
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12-22-22 | Jaguars +1.5 v. Jets | 19-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 7 m | Show | |
Trevor Lawrence is a kind of unhinged Justin Herbert with a more imaginative offensive coordinator, making them extremely dangerous behind a head coach whose been there and done that. Since Week 9, Lawrence leads the NFL in passer rating (111.2) and completion percentage, having thrown 14 touchdowns and just one interception. Those are numbers Jets’ head coach Robert Saleh would die for these days. And speaking of dying, Saleh completely blew last week’s game when he mismanaged a full array of three timeouts with under two minutes remaining in last week’s puzzling loss against the Lions. Despite the Jags’ putrid road record (2-21 SU in their last 23 away games), we’ll rely instead on playing against any NFL .500 favorite off a loss in Game Fifteen of the season, that's because teams in this situation are 16-45-4 ATS in this role dating back to 1980. Worse, send these .500 choke artists home off a loss and they fall to 7-28-2 ATS. And if these same teams are facing a sub .500 opponent they are a heart-stopping 2-19-1 ATS in this role since 1980. So look for the Jags to continue their winning ways at the expense of the league’s biggest quarterback bust since the days of JaMarcus Russell: Zach Wilson. |
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12-19-22 | Rams v. Packers -7 | 12-24 | Win | 100 | 56 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Rested home teams on Monday Night games are 25-12 ATS when coming off a SUATS win, including 19-7 ATS as a favorite of 4 or more points. Toss in the fact that the Pack is 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS in this series since 2007 and you can see where we’re headed. Our QB League check is reminding us that Aaron Rodgers is 23-12-3 ATS in his career against NFC West opponents while Mayfield is 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in his last five games when coming off a win. We seal the deal with the fact that future Hall of Fame QB Aaron Rodgers is 10-4-1 ATS when coming off a Bye week in his career, including 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS at home. |
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12-18-22 | Bengals v. Bucs +4 | Top | 34-23 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 30 m | Show |
NFL Upset of the Month Rating: 5 Units Bengals are 5-0 SUATS the last fi ve games, and that may sound good to Joe Public, but not to the savvy handicapper as non-rested NFL teams on a 5-0 SUATS win streak have puked as non-division favorites of 5 or fewer points, going just 10-20-1 ATS in this role. On the other side of this hardto-like take are the Bucs, who were totally throttled in last week’s 28-point loss at San Francisco. It doesn’t get much worse than that. In fact, it was the third-worst loss in Brady’s NFL career. And adding more misery, it occurred at the hands of 7th round rookie QB Brock Purdy. By now we all know of Brady’s jaw-dropping 11-1 ATS career mark as a home dog. But don't forget that Tom Brady is 16-3 SU and 18-1 ATS as a pick or dog off a loss in his NFL career, including 10-0 SUATS off a loss of more than 7 points. |
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12-18-22 | Cardinals +2 v. Broncos | 15-24 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Broncos have been installed as favorites for the sixth time this season, bringing with it a tawdry 0-5 ATS mark as chalk under head coach Nathaniel Hackett. Yes, it’s Colt McCoy time once again for Arizona, and for our money he’s more than welcome. That’s because he is 3-1 SUATS as a starter with the Cardinals. Coupled with Kingsbury’s 14-9 SU and 16-6-1 ATS road dog log with Zona, including 9-0 ATS versus losing foes. |
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12-18-22 | Patriots +2.5 v. Raiders | 24-30 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Las Vegas is 1-7 ATS mark when coming off a SU favorite loss, as well as 1-8-1 ATS versus AFC East opponents, and just 1-5 ATS when tackling foes coming off a Monday Night contest. Meanwhile, The Hoodie brings a razor-sharp 9-1 SU and 7-2 ATS career mark in games against any team wearing a Raiders helmet, while winning all four times in games in which the Pats sport the better record. |
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12-18-22 | Lions +2 v. Jets | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is not a matchup that NFL fans would have circled on their calendars heading into the season, but it is going to be an electric atmosphere on Sunday. I would rather fade the Jets than the Lions right now, especially with some of the injury issues that New York is dealing with, most notably to White, who is out for this game. Detroit’s offense has been among the best in the NFL all year, and the Lions have gotten even better of late. They have covered the spread in six straight games and are the pick to cover the number on Sunday. |
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12-18-22 | Cowboys v. Jaguars +4 | Top | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 25 h 58 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Jaguars’ QB Trevor Lawrence, has over the course of his last three games sport a 111.7 QB Rating with 0 INTs. Meanwhile, the not-so-big news in the Dallas receiver room is that WR TY Hilton will be joining the Cowboys, not Odell Beckham, Jr. The feeling here is OBJ may still be in play for America’s Team, but not until he’s able to take the field. Yes, the Boys are confident, riding an 8-game ITS (In The Stats) win skein entering today’s game. But we can’t ignore that playing against any sub .800 NFL non-division road favorite coming off three straight home games from Game 11 out is 12-1-1 since 1980. |
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12-17-22 | Dolphins v. Bills -7 | 29-32 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Buffalo pulled a win-no cover against the Jets last week, (Miami 0-6 ATS off SUATS loss versus a win-no-cover foe) and now own a one-game lead over the Fish. If you got to see that game, you know the weather in Buffalo was miserable – and it’s going to get worse tonight. All of which spells trouble for the Floridians. Hey, it’s bad enough that they have to play a third straight road game, where they are 1-6 SUATS in this role of late, but it’s borderline criminal to send them up into the arctic-cold of a city that may as well be in Canada. Buffalo QB Josh Allen will take time out from his busy commercial shoots to take care of a little business, namely revenge from a loss to Miami back in September. With the Bills now 5-1 ATS playing at home off a home game, look for the Dolphins to go down again. |
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12-17-22 | Colts +4 v. Vikings | 36-39 | Win | 100 | 22 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Colts have dropped three straight, while failing to reach the 20-point mark in scoring. Still, the blowout loss at Dallas was a 4th-quarter fluke (Cowboys outscored Indy, 33-0) and defeats against Pittsburgh and Philadelphia came down to the final minutes. The Colts are on an 11-0 ATS run when playing off a double-digit loss, plus they’ve cashed SEVEN straight tickets versus NFC North opponents. The Colts also counter with the league’s 7th ranked stop unit, 89 YPG superior to that of Minnesota. |
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12-15-22 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3.5 | 21-13 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Seattle is 4-0 ATS at home off a home game, as well 8-2-2 ATS in Thursday pressure cookers. Frisco has failed to cover in three straight Thursday appearances, and the Niners are a lousy 2-7 ATS as favorites versus a foe off a SU favorite loss. Look, we don’t expect Brock Purdy to match last week’s eye-popping performance against a desperate Seattle ‘D’, and 49ers all-world star Deebo Samuel is out with a sprained ankle and MCL, though he is expected back before the playoffs. No Deebo and a 2-game cushion for San Francisco in the division race means the hungry, hungry Seahawks find a way to win tonight. |
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12-11-22 | Panthers v. Seahawks -3.5 | Top | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 10 m | Show |
Mismatch of the Week Rating: 5 Units So why is it, that the Seahawks a measly 3.5-point favorite at home against the 4-8 Panthers? Is Vegas telling us something? They may be trying, but we’re not buying. Not with Carolina 0-3 SUATS in NFC West division duke outs this season, and 0-3 SUATS the last three games in this series. And not with the Panthers a pussycat-like 0-4 ATS in games when coming off a Bye week. Turn it around and you’ll find a Seahawks squad 7-3 ATS against foes coming off a Bye week. Better yet, the Seahawks are 25-3 SU and 21-6-1 ATS in games when coming off consecutive ATS losses under head coach Pete Carroll, including 15-0 SU and 14-1 ATS at home. |
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12-11-22 | Bucs +3.5 v. 49ers | Top | 7-35 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 3 m | Show |
NFC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Brady is simply the best as an underdog, going 41-17-1 ATS in his illustrious career, including 19-4-1 ATS when his team is seeking revenge and 17-5 ATS when his team is coming off an ATS loss. He also stands 21-6 SU in his career in games in which his team is .500 on the season. Perhaps even more impressive is Brady’s 45-14 SU and 43-12-4 ATS mark in games against foes with a better record, including 24-6 ATS when taking points. With Monday night’s stirring comeback win over the Saints, the Bucs currently hold down the No. 4 seed in the NFC playoff picture while the Niners lay claim to the No. 2 seed. Frisco is just 1-7 ATS as non-division home chalk of fewer than four points and Tampa Bay is 7-1-2 ATS as a dog after being a favorite the previous game. Finally consider that playing against any .666 or greater single-digit NFL regular season home team coming off consecutive home wins if they are facing an opponent coming off a loss is 14-2-1 since 1983. |
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12-11-22 | Eagles v. Giants +7 | 48-22 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There have been 26 games that played to an overtime tie in the NFL since 1980. The good news for Big Blue is that home teams not favored by 3 or more points are 9-2 SUATS when coming off a kiss-you-sister-contest, including 6-0 SUATS versus foes coming off a win. The Eagles are 1-6 ATS in the first of consecutive road games, 1-5 ATS in their last six division road games, and 2-8 ATS as road chalk of three or more points, and the G-Men 6-2 ATS when seeking revenge in this series, the points are the play in this fray. |
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12-11-22 | Browns +6 v. Bengals | 10-23 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Watson dresses up today sporting a 10-2-1 ATS NFL career mark as a dog of six or fewer points versus sub .700 opposition, as well as 9-3-1 ATS as a road dog against sub .700 foes. Meanwhile, the Bengals enter off last week’s hard-fought battle with the Chiefs at just 1-6 ATS as division home chalk of fewer than seven points, as well as 2-8 SU and 1-9 ATS in Game Thirteen of the season when taking on division foes. |
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12-08-22 | Raiders -6.5 v. Rams | 16-17 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It’s now three consecutive wins for the Raiders, with RB Josh Jacobs off another monster game (26 carries, 144 yards, TD), and WR Davante Adams playing up to expectations (eight catches 177 yards, two TDs). The bottom line to this contest is there could be a Baker Mayfield sighting for the Rams tonight (signed but learning a new system), and Los Angeles falls to 2-13 ATS in games when coming off a loss as a dog against a foe coming off a win as a favorite. Back the better team as it keeps their playoff hopes alive. |
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12-04-22 | Seahawks -7 v. Rams | 27-23 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Seattle QB Geno Smith leads all NFL quarterbacks in QBR Rating this season at 108.5. In fact, Smith is 14-5 ATS in his last nineteen NFL starts, including 5-0 SUATS when coming off consecutive losses. With the shell-of-themselves Rams 0-6 SUATS in this series, as well as 1-8 SUATS as a home dog, and with the Seahawks arriving off back-to-back losses consider that Seattle head coach Peter Carroll is 11-1 SUATS in Game 12 of the season with the Seahawks, including 10-0 SUATS when Seattle is not a double-digit favorite. |
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12-04-22 | Titans +4.5 v. Eagles | 10-35 | Loss | -108 | 46 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Eagles win over the Packers on Sunday night was impressive, to say the least. Not only did they manage to amass 363 rushing yards in the contest, (the eighth most in the Super Bowl era) but the Eagles rushed for 153 yards on 18 carries in the first quarter alone. Then in the fourth quarter, they rushed for 92 yards on another 18 carries. Whew. However, we don’t know if another onslaught of the same magnitude is possible this week against the Titans’ 3rd ranked rush defense, one that is allowing 85 RYPG. In addition, Tennessee is 4-0 ATS in matchups when both teams are coming off non-division battles, and 11-2 ATS as a dog of 5-plus points. The Eagles seal the deal entering with a 1-8 ATS ledger when coming off an ATS win versus a foe coming off an ATS loss. |
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12-04-22 | Broncos v. Ravens -9 | 9-10 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Near double digit chalk role is always a bit scary, but until the Broncos can manufacture any sort of reliable offense, they will continue as a solid "go-against", especially with "over/under" proponents, as the "under" has reaped gold: 10-of-11. If the Broncos had scored 18 pts in each of their games, they would stand at 9-2, & not 3-8. Ravens' 2nd-ranked rushing game should provide be enough "O" to cover the spot. Tied with Cincy atop AFC North, to they cannot afford any slippage. |
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11-27-22 | Packers +6.5 v. Eagles | Top | 33-40 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
Prime Time Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units The ‘return to the norm’ is simply too strong to overcome as ATS losses begin to pile up with each passing week. With it the Eagles enter this week on a 3-game ATS losing skid while having been out yarded in half of their last six games. Granted, the Packers are facing demons of their own, but Aaron Rodgers thrives in these situations, and we expect nothing less today. With it the Pack checks in 7-1 ATS in game versus .750 or greater foes the past two seasons, as well as 8-2 ATS when coming off a Thursday contest. Meanwhile, the Green Birds enter 1-8 ATS versus foes off a SU home favorite loss, and just 3-8 ATS against foes coming off a Thursday game. To cap it off, Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers is 10-1 SUATS as a dog when the Packers are coming off a SU favorite loss, including 7-0 ATS versus .700 or greater foes. |
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11-27-22 | Raiders v. Seahawks -3.5 | 40-34 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units If Carroll can guide this team to 10 or more wins and make the postseason sans Wilson and Wagner, he’s almost certain to win Coach of the Year.” Fast forward from June to November and 6-4 Seattle is more than halfway to the 10-win season few thought they could achieve. While the Seahawks have been a major surprise, the 3-7 Raiders have dutifully taken their place as one of the worst teams in the NFL, disappointing eyepatch fans everywhere as they stumble to their fourth losing season in the last five years. Things won’t get any easier after today, either, with Vegas lining up against New England, San Francisco, and Kansas City down the stretch. When it comes to today’s contest, Las Vegas has run out of luck in its last fi ve meetings with NFC West teams, going 1-4 ATS. Not so for Seattle, who boasts a 7-1 ATS record off a SUATS loss versus foes off a SUATS win. It’s not a stretch to suggest that these two are headed in opposite directions, and we won’t be on the one heading south. |
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11-27-22 | Falcons v. Commanders -3.5 | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Commanders are 6-1 ATS when coming off consecutive SUATS wins as well as 4-1 ATS versus NFC South opponents. Meanwhile, the Dirty Birds enter 4-9 SU and 3-10 ATS at home when coming off a win, and are 0-7 ATS in Game Twelve of the campaign. They are also riding a 10-game ITS (In The Stats) losing streak, currently the longest in the NFL. |
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11-24-22 | Patriots +2.5 v. Vikings | 26-33 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota was a team that I had overrated heading into its abysmal showing against Dallas, although that turned out worse than anyone could have imagined. The Vikings’ stats do not match their record, as they have actually been outscored overall this season. Plenty of bettors are going to look at the records of these teams and back Minnesota, but I like New England here. The Patriots have quietly been playing very solid football, covering the spread in six of its last seven games. They have the much better defense and have won five straight meetings between these teams. |
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11-24-22 | Giants +10.5 v. Cowboys | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Dallas is 31-22-1 all-time on Thanksgiving Day, but only 4-7 SU and 1-10 ATS the last eleven years – including 0-3 SUATS the last three. Meanwhile, the Cowboys return home as an annual Turkey Day host, on the heels of last week’s 37-point win at Minnesota. It was the largest road win in Dallas’ history – and you know how we love fading teams coming off record setting performances. The Boys have now won 11 of their last 12 division games. However, the Giants are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games when coming off a SU favorite loss. To clinch it, consider that winning NFL division road dogs with triple revenge from losses in their last three meetings are 12-1 ATS when facing a foe coming off a win of 7 or more points. |
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11-21-22 | 49ers v. Cardinals +10.5 | 38-10 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Arizona’s Kliff Kingsbury is the only coach in NFL history with a better outright record as a dog than as a favorite with the Cardinals, going 17-16-1 SU taking points and 11-14 outright laying them. McCoy is 3-0 ATS as a dog as a starting quarterback for Arizona – winning all three games outright. Murray is 3-1-1 ATS in his starts in this series, including 2-0-1 ATS as a dog. On the Niners side, Frisco is 8-1 ATS on Mondays in division games, but only 1-7- 1 ATS as of late in this series. |
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11-20-22 | Chiefs -5 v. Chargers | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Chiefs enter this fray knowing they are 14-3 SU in the last 17 games in this series. Meanwhile, KC is 10-3 ATS as division road chalk of 10 or fewer points, while LA is 3-9 ATS the last dozen games as a home dog. We’d love to hop on the arm of Justin Herbert as he looks to avenge a 27-24 loss at Arrowhead in Game Two this season, but the fact of the matter is both Herbert and the Chargers are struggling, and the Bolts are only 4-38 ATS as home dogs in games they lose outright. |
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11-20-22 | Bengals -3.5 v. Steelers | Top | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 19 h 43 m | Show |
Divisional Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units The Bengals are 8-0 ATS when coming off a non-division game when facing a foe that is also coming off a non-division game, as well as 7-0 ATS off a win versus foes coming off a win. And then there is Burrow, who brings a 9-1 SUATS career record into this game when facing an NFL opponent coming off a SUATS win. Meanwhile, the Black-and-Gold are at home following last week’s home win with a 0-4 SUATS ledger at home when coming a home game. Mike Tomlin’s troops are also 1-8 ITS (In The Stats) this season while being outgained an average -85 YPG. Finally the Bengals are 25-1 ATS in their last twenty-six division games they win outright |
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11-20-22 | Cowboys v. Vikings +2 | Top | 40-3 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Mike McCarthy, not the sharpest knife in the NFL coaches’ drawer, decided to go for it on fourth-and-3 from Green Bay’s 35-yard line in overtime rather than kicking a field goal to go up by 3 points. The Cowboys failed to convert and the Packers then proceeded to kick the game-winning field goal. Another knock at the door is Dallas’ 3-10 ATS log in this series, including 1-10 ATS without rest. To clinch it all, Dallas is 3-18-1 ATS as a conference favorite versus .666 or greater opponents, including 3-11 SU and 0-13-1 ATS as a favorite of fewer than 4 points. |
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11-20-22 | Browns v. Bills -7.5 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bills are 31-11 SU and 32-10 ATS when coming off three consecutive ATS losses, and they are also 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS as a home favorite of more than 8 points when coming off a home loss. In addition, NFL non-division home favorites who scored 30-plus points and lost as a favorite are 14-5 ATS the following game since 1980. For what it’s worth, despite hitting a recent two-game speed bump, Buffalo is winning the total yards on an average of +104 yards per contest this season. It’s closest pursuer, San Francisco, is 25 YPG lighter than the Bills. With QB Josh Allen’s MVP chances having taken a major hit, look for a bounce back. |
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11-20-22 | Bears +3 v. Falcons | 24-27 | Push | 0 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It’s hard to fathom the 4-6 Falcons would be only two spots out of an NFC postseason berth were the playoffs to begin this week. And that’s behind a team that is being out-yarded -82 in net YPG (only Houston is worse), thanks to a league worst 1-9 ITS (In The Stats) record this season. And it’s beginning to catch up with them, as their 4-game ATS losing streak waters down a 6-0 ATS mark to start the season. With Atlanta 1-7 ATS against NFC North opposition, we’ll back the dog today.It’s hard to fathom the 4-6 Falcons would be only two spots out of an NFC postseason berth were the playoffs to begin this week. And that’s behind a team that is being out-yarded -82 in net YPG (only Houston is worse), thanks to a league worst 1-9 ITS (In The Stats) record this season. And it’s beginning to catch up with them, as their 4-game ATS losing streak waters down a 6-0 ATS mark to start the season. With Atlanta 1-7 ATS against NFC North opposition, we’ll back the dog today. |
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11-17-22 | Titans v. Packers -3 | 27-17 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Tennessee is 0-5 ATS in this series when both teams are coming off a win. On the flip side, Green Bay is 7-0 ATS in games in which they were an underdog in their last game and their opponent was favored in its last contest. The emergence of Packers rookie WR Christian Watson may be just what the doctor ordered as he scored three touchdowns to go with 8 receptions and 107 yards in last week’s stirring overtime win against Dallas. With QB Aaron Rodgers 5-1 SUATS in his last six games following a SU underdog win. To clinch is, Green Bay is 7-0 SUATS in their last seven Thursday games, and Tennessee is 0-4 SUATS in their last four appearances on Thursdays. |
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11-13-22 | Cowboys -4 v. Packers | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Cowboys bring with them a league-best 33 sacks in eight games led by game-wrecker Micah Parsons. Dallas is rested following its bye week. The Cowboys are 6-1 SU and ATS in their last seven games with four of those victories achieved when back up quarterback Cooper Rush was under center. Mike McCarthy has had this matchup circled from the start in his return to Green Bay having been the Packers’ head coach for 13 seasons. Dak Prescott is back in healthy form. The Packers won’t have injured Rashan Gary, their best pass rusher. Despite having Kenny Clark at nose tackle, the Packers’ disappointing run defense ranks 26th. Green Bay’s special teams still remain bad, too. There is a bigger gap between these two teams than the point spread indicates |
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11-13-22 | Broncos +3 v. Titans | 10-17 | Loss | -115 | 44 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Mike Vrabel’s supermen have out-yarded just one foe this year while losing the stats an average -86 net YPG. For what it’s worth, only Houston and Pittsburgh are worse, and they own a collective record of 3-12-1 this season. Making matters worse for the Nashville cats, the well-rested Broncos are 5-0 ATS when coming off a Bye week, as well as 7-1 ATS in this series. In addition, Denver sports a 7-1 ATS mark in this series, including 5-0 ATS in games in which it has a losing record. With the Titans 2-6 ATS at home coming off back-to-back road games, we’re all over Denver here. |
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11-13-22 | Browns +3.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 17-39 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 22 m | Show |
Upset of the Week Rating: 5 Units Coming off their Bye week, the Browns look to be as healthy as they’ve been all season with star DB Denzel Ward and OT Wyatt Teller due back after resting lingering injuries. They are also as hungry as they’ve been this season as they now trail AFC North Division-leading Baltimore by 2.5 games and need to up their game in anticipation of the return of QB Deshaun Watson in three weeks. The Browns secondary better sharpen up, though, going against the top 1-2 WR duo in the league in Tyreek Hill and Jalen Waddle. Hill is on pace for a record 2,085 yards and could become the first ever receiver to surpass 2,000. Nonetheless, Miami arrives 3-8 ATS following consecutive NFC contests, while Cleveland is 7-1 ATS in this series, 4-0 ATS in first of back-to-back roadies, and 5-1 ATS following a division home game. Consider that Cleveland HC is 11-6 ATS as a dog with his current team, including 5-0 ATS against opponents he defeated in a most recent meeting. |
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11-13-22 | Seahawks +3 v. Bucs | Top | 16-21 | Loss | -120 | 41 h 58 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Pete Carroll’s crew enters on a 4-0 SUATS win skein, winning three of the games outright as underdogs. And speaking of dogs, Seattle QB Geno Smith is 12-3 ATS in his last fifteen games when taking points in this league, including 7-0 ATS versus .444 or greater foes. On the other side of the fi eld, it should be noted that Brady is 3-0 SUATS in his NFL career in regular season games on neutral fields, but only 1-2 SU and 0-2-1 ATS versus NFC West foes with the Bucs. In wrapping things up, it should also be noted that NFL teams with the better record are 19-8-1 SU and 16-12 ATS in Euro games. To clinch is, Seattle head coach Pete Carroll is 7-2 ATS as a dog with the Seahawks when riding a three-game-plus win skein, including 7-0 ATS when taking either 2 or 3 points. |
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11-06-22 | Rams +3 v. Bucs | 13-16 | Push | 0 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sean McVay has done his best work on the NFL road where he is 10-5 ATS as a dog, including 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS when taking more than 2 points. In addition, he stands 10-3 ATS and 9-4 ATS in skirmishes against the NFC South, including 3-0 SUATS as a dog. And lest we forget, defending Super Bowl champions who find themselves taking points with a losing record check in at 18-7-2 ATS since 1980. Toss in the Rams’ 8-1 ATS record in this series, and their 4-0 ATS mark versus foes coming off a Thursday home game. |
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11-06-22 | Seahawks +2 v. Cardinals | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 units Smith actually enters this fray sporting a 107.2 QB Rating (3rd best in the league), while Murray’s woes continue with an 85.3 QB Rating (20th overall). Because of it, the Seahawks are taking minimal points in this game as opposed to the touchdown they were scheduled to receive prior to the start of the season. One of the reasons is the Seahawks are 3-0 SUATS the last three games. In those contests they allowed an average 256 YPG, a quantum leap over the 410 YPG they surrendered over the course of their fi rst fi ve games of the season. We realize Pete Carroll’s troops will be on their way to London after this contest but knowing that Arizona is 1-7 ATS at home with division revenge, 1-7 ATS as home favorites of 5 or fewer points, and 2-7 ATS in the first of three straight division contests, we can only look one way in this fray. Take the points. |
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10-31-22 | Bengals -3 v. Browns | 13-32 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bengals have won two straight and four of the last five, while allowing an average of 17.5 points per game in the four victories and allowing just 19 points in the one loss. Cleveland has struggled the last four weeks, losing each of the four and the Browns' defense has been its weak spot. During Cleveland’s current four-game losing streak, the Browns are allowing an average of 28.5 points per game. Joe Burrow is averaging 299.6 yards per game passing with 15 touchdowns. Cleveland is tough on the ground with Nick Chubb but quarterback Jacoby Brissett has just six touchdowns and has thrown five interceptions, which has made Cleveland too one-dimensional with its running game. |
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10-30-22 | Packers +11 v. Bills | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 27 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Rodgers is 5-3 SUATS in his NFL career when the Packers are coming off three straight losses, including 3-2 SU and 4-1 SUATS in games in which Green Bay is not favored. We also know Rodgers is 40-15 SU and 33-21-1 ATS in his career during October, including 8-1 ATS as a dog of more than 2 points. He is 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in games with a losing record when facing .750 or greater opponents. Rodgers is also 22-34-1 SU and 32-23-2 ATS as a dog in his NFL career, with the 8.5-points he took at Seattle in the 2019 playoffs a benchmark high. On the flip side, his counterpart Josh Allen has faced the Packers once in his NFL career, a 22-0 loss at Lambeau Field in 2018. However, the Bills own the league’s No. 1-ranked offense and defense, making it as tough a one-two combo as there is the NFL these days. However, with Rodgers 7-0 SUATS versus rested foes coming off a SUATS win, and 10-0 ATS as a dog in his NFL career with a win percentage of less than .666 when facing a foe with a win percentage of greater than .750, we’ll go with the pack. To finish it off consider that playing on any NFL Sunday night non-division dog of more than 8 points versus a foe coming off a SUATS win is 18-2 ATS since 1980. |
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10-30-22 | Cardinals +4 v. Vikings | 26-34 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units First year coaches playing at home coming off a Bye week have struggled getting their team’s full attention, going just 6-10 SU and 4-10-2 ATS in this role since 2017, including 0-4 ATS behind .600 or greater teams. Making matters worse, the Vikes are 3-8 ATS with rest coming off a SUATS win. When the Cardinals beat New Orleans at home last week, it snapped an 8-game home losing skid back to when they topped Houston on October 24, a year ago. They improved to 9-2 in their last eleven games with WR DeAndre Hopkins in the lineup. With Zona head coach Kliff Kingsbury in his best role as a road dog going 15-5-1 ATS, including 7-1 ATS versus foes coming off a win, the points become the play today. |
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10-30-22 | Raiders v. Saints +1.5 | Top | 0-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 5 Units Las Vegas has cashed in each of the games, winning two of them on the scoreboard. Like Arizona, they are still on the outside looking in at the current NFL playoff picture. Unfortunately, they’ve struggled against foes coming off a Thursday game going just 4-10-1 ATS. And they’ve also wriggled in this series with a 4-6 SU and 3-7 ATS mark the last ten gatherings. The Saints have won the stats in 5 of their seven games this season, including each of their last three games. As a result, they bring the better offense and the better defense into this fray. They are also 11-4 SU at home when playing off a SU previous home loss. Finally, consider that NFL playoff teams the previous year are 6-22 SU and 7-20-1 ATS away in Game Seven when coming off consecutive ATS wins if not favored by 3 or more points, including 2-15 ATS if the Over/Under total in this game is greater than 40 points. |
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10-24-22 | Bears v. Patriots -8.5 | 33-14 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bears' offense has been terrible this season as they have struggled with an inexperienced offensive line and a young receiver group. Chicago has the 31st-ranked scoring offense in the NFL thus far this season. They are the #2 ranked rushing offense but are dead last in passing offense. In the red zone, the Bears are equally inept, ranking 28th in the league in red zone offensive efficiency. The Patriots' defense seems to be hitting its stride as they once again shut down an opponent. New England held the Browns #1 rushing attack to just 70 yards on the day. Overall, New England gave up 328 yards of total offense and had two interceptions and two fumble recoveries on the day. The Patriots had four sacks on the day and a whopping nine quarterback hits. They also had two tackles for loss in their second straight win. |
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10-23-22 | Steelers v. Dolphins -7 | Top | 10-16 | Loss | -120 | 52 h 11 m | Show |
Inter-conference Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units After starting 3-0 SUATS this season behind the lefty, the Fish ride a 0-3 SUATS skid entering this contest. The Dolphins have plummeted from being ranked fi rst in points per drive with Tagovailoa, to 29th without him. Tua, though, brings a lofty 16-9 SU and 15-9-1 ATS career mark into this battle, including 10-4 SUATS at home. Nonetheless, concussions take center stage in this contest with new rookie QB Kenny Pickett currently in concussion protocol. Steelers’ backup QB Mitchell Trubisky completed nine of 12 passes for 144 yards and a TD in relief of Pickett who left last week’s game woozy with a concussion. Another side bar issue today will be the return of former Miami head coach and current Pittsburgh defensive assistant Brian Flores, who’s has had run-ins with Fish owner Stephen Ross over reported ‘tanking’ issues. However, .500 or greater NFL teams, 0-3 SUATS in their last three games, are 14-1 SUATS since 2000 when facing a foe coming off a SU underdog win. |
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10-23-22 | Chiefs v. 49ers +2.5 | Top | 44-23 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 8 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Kansas City is 8-18 ATS as a favorite when coming off one loss when facing a foe coming off a loss, including 3-14 ATS versus avenging foes. The bottom line, though, the Niners’ No. 1 ranked defense is 101 YPG superior to that of the Chiefs. That being the case, Frisco head coach Kyle Shanahan is 14-6 ATS as a dog with a win percentage of .333 or more, including 6-0 ATS versus .714 or fewer opponents. |
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10-23-22 | Giants +3 v. Jaguars | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 45 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units It’s been another year of frustration for the Jags, whose shortened nickname seems apropos. At the helm is QB Trevor Lawrence who after setting an NFL record for most fumbles in a game (4) two weeks ago, comes off the best effort of his NFL career last week after he completed 20-of-22 passes for 165 yards and a touchdown while adding two more TDs on the ground. But it wasn’t enough as the Colts scored the game winning touchdown with 23 seconds remaining to win 34-27. In the process, though, he also set another NFL record when he became the first quarterback in league history to complete over 90% of his passes on 20-plus attempts, score three touchdowns, commit no turnovers, and yet still lose the game. So, our question is why is Jacksonville suiting up as the favorite in this contest against the G-Men? However, the Jaguars 0-18 SU and 2-16 ATS in their last eighteen games against NFC competition. |
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10-23-22 | Bucs -13 v. Panthers | 3-21 | Loss | -106 | 45 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units If the playoffs began this week, the 3-3 Bucs would surprisingly be the No 3 seed in the NFC, based on the fact they sit on top in the NFC South. The Panthers situation continues to worsen with each passing week. After WR Robbie Anderson was kicked off the sidelines following an altercation with coaches on Sunday against the Rams, he was traded to Arizona on Monday. What the Panthers really need is a quarterback. An ugly 1-8 ATS log in games before facing a division foe, coupled with the fact that not only is Tampa 6-1 ATS in this series, but also Brady’s 22-6-1 ATS away record after his team was upended as a favorite in its previous game, makes this a one-way look. |
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10-23-22 | Colts +2.5 v. Titans | 10-19 | Loss | -104 | 45 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating; 3 Units The huge comeback win by the Colts last week vaults them back into contention in the wide-open AFC South where suddenly, if the NFL playoffs were to start this week, Indy would be the 7th and final seed from the AFC. Their counterpart Titans, by virtue of leading the AFC South, would hold down the No. 3 seed. Teams 3-2 teams after a 0-2 start (Tennessee) are 17-11-1 ATS in Game Six, but 0-3 SUATS when coming off a Bye week. In addition, the Titans are winless, 0-5, ITS (In The Stats) this season. Yes, we’d call them a false favorite in this matchup, especially with the Colts playing with a triple revenge chip on their shoulder. With the Nashville Cats 3-12 ATS in the first of consecutive division games, and the Colts 7-1 ATS versus opponents coming off Bye week. |
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10-17-22 | Broncos v. Chargers -4 | 16-19 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units This one is a matchup of a team that can’t score against one that has had major issues keeping the opposition off the scoreboard this season. Denver is second-worst in the league in scoring and their inability to put the ball in the end zone proved too much to overcome against a Colts team that is dead last in scoring offense. That puts Wilson and company in a tough situation here as the Chargers are in the upper echelon of scoring offenses in the league. Denver’s defense has been solid and kept them in games this season though they face a stiff challenge here. Ekeler has been on fire the last couple of weeks and Herbert is getting healthier after suffering that rib injury back in week two against the Chiefs. Playing at home with the potential of having Allen back in the mix here makes the Chargers too dangerous for the Broncos to handle. |
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10-16-22 | Cowboys v. Eagles -6.5 | Top | 17-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
SNF Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The stat that jumps out in this contest is that both teams rank No. 1 and 2 in Net Turnover Margin, with Philly +1.8 and Dallas +1.0. For what it’s worth, the Eagles are 2-5 SU and 1-5-1 ATS under Nick Sirianni in games in which they lose the TOs, while the Cowboys are 4-9 SU and 3-10 ATS the same way under Mike McCarthy. Meanwhile, where Sunday night home teams coming off consecutive wins tend to struggle, there is no refuting the fact that teams who just upset the defending Super Bowl champions are close to no shows the following game. The Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in games after Rams, and the Eagles seeking triple revenge it's important knowing America’s Team is a meager 1-9 SUATS away versus .428 or greater foes seeking triple revenge. Finally, playing against any NFL away team who upset the defending Super Bowl champion in their last game by 7+ points and scored 28+ points if they’re facing a .400 > foe and the O/U total in this game is < 44 is a PERFECT 15-0 ATS since 1980. |
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10-16-22 | Bills v. Chiefs +3 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -120 | 49 h 4 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units It starts with KC QB Patrick Mahomes’ 12-1 SU mark versus .777 or greater foes, as well as his 4-1 SUATS record at home versus the AFC East during the regular season. On the flip side, Bills QB Josh Allen has struggled away in his NFL career against .700 or better foes, going just 2-5 SUATS. Digging deeper, the Bills are 1-12 ATS in the 2nd quarter of the season (Games 5-8) with a .500 or greater win percentage when coming off a SUATS win and facing an opponent coming off a home game. Head coach Andy Reid brings in a 28-9-1 ATS dog log into this prime time showdown when coming off consecutive wins, including 4-0-1 ATS at home. Consider also that the Chiefs QB Mahomes is 9-0 ATS as a dog in his NFL career. |
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10-16-22 | Bucs v. Steelers +10 | 18-20 | Win | 100 | 46 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Tomlin has been at his best taking points at home, going 12-2-5 ATS in his career, including 5-0-2 ATS since 2018. And for what it’s worth, he is 10-3 SUATS overall when coming off a loss of 17 or more points – including 4-0 ATS as a dog. Tampa enters just 2-6 ATS as road chalk of 4 or more points, and 1-5 ATS the last six games in this series. Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last five games against NFC South. Finally, consider that NFL non-division road favorites off three straight home games are 1-16 ATS when facing foes coming off consecutive losses, the last by 13 or more points. |
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10-16-22 | Jaguars +1.5 v. Colts | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Jacksonville out gained Houston by 174 yards in last week’s 13-6 loss. The Jags are also 9-1-1 ATS the last eleven games in this series, as well as 4-1-1 ATS against foes coming off a Thursday contest. On the other side of the field, Indy is on a 0-4 SUATS losing slide when coming off a SU underdog win, while head coach Frank Reich is only 12-22-2 ATS against sub .500 opponents, including 3-10-1 ATS when coming off a win. Finally, Indy is a dismal 1-7 ATS in their last eight division home games. |
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10-10-22 | Raiders v. Chiefs -7 | 29-30 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Playing On any Monday night home team coming off back-to-back away games if they are facing a foe coming off a home game. That’s because these MNF hosts are 33-13 ATS in this role when coming off a SUATS win. Tie in the Raiders’ 1-7 ATS mark in games when seeking triple revenge, and their 1-4 ATS record in their last five division road games, and we certainly don’t want to go against Mahomes here, not when he sports a 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS record under the Monday Night lights. |
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10-09-22 | Bengals +3 v. Ravens | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 96 h 51 m | Show |
SNF Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Baltimore has been outgained in all four games this season. Cincinnati’s strength this season has been its defense as they rank No. 8 in points allowed and No. 11 in overall yards allowed. They are also one of five teams that have been installed as a favorite in every game this year – yet dress up as a dog today. Finally, consider that Cincinnati is 12-1 ATS against foes seeking double revenge. |
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10-09-22 | 49ers -6.5 v. Panthers | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 30 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Francisco is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games overall. The 49ers have only covered the spread twice in their last nine meetings with Carolina, but the Panthers have gone 1-10 ATS in their previous 11 contests overall. San Francisco is scoring just 17.8 points per game (tied-27th), but the Niners’ defense could easily add to the scoreboard while shutting down Baker Mayfield and Christian McCaffrey. Baker Mayfield had a bad day in the office against Arizona’s defense, going 22-of-36 for 197 yards, a TD, and a couple of interceptions. He also lost a fumble, so it’s no strange Baker was booed by the home fans. Christian McCaffrey posted eight totes for 27 yards while catching all of his nine targets for 81 yards and a TD, and DJ Moore added six receptions for 50 yards. |
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10-09-22 | Dolphins v. Jets +3.5 | 17-40 | Win | 100 | 89 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 units Wilson’s late 81-and-65-yard drives to defeat the Steelers last week and with it they bring a Top 10 ranked offense and defense in this game. That makes them a dog with the better offense and the better defense, and that tells us, we’d better take the points. The Dolphins are just 1-7 ATS in this series. To cap it off, playing against any .545 > NFL away team off a loss, that was preceded by three wins, who won 9 or fewer games last season if they are facing a division foe off a win is 16-1 ATS since 1980. |
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10-09-22 | Steelers +14.5 v. Bills | 3-38 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Tomlin is 5-0 SUATS the last five games overall when riding a losing streak of three or more games. All of which ties into his terrific 34-9 SU and 28-12-3 ATS mark in games without a winning record from Game Five out in his career – including 11-3 SU and 12-1-1 ATS as a dog. Meanwhile, the Bills return home off a gift at Baltimore where head coach John Harbaugh fell asleep at the wheel while allowing Buffalo to escape with a win. It doesn’t help knowing Buffalo is just 3-7 ATS when coming off back-to-back travelers as well as 3-5 ATS when hosting AFC North guests. |
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10-09-22 | Falcons v. Bucs -8.5 | Top | 15-21 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 50 m | Show |
NFC South Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Brady is 12-4 ATS in his NFL career when his team is coming off consecutive losses, as well as 23-7 ATS when his team is coming off a double-digit loss. To clinch it, Brady is 7-1 ATS when his team is coming off a double-digit home loss, including 7-0 ATS the last seven games. |
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10-02-22 | Chiefs v. Bucs | 41-31 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Brady has yet to get going because of a cluster injury problem to the Bucs’ offensive line and wide receiver corps. The Buccaneers are getting healthier in those areas. Mike Evans, Brady’s top target, comes off suspension. The Buccaneers are 7-2 ATS following a loss since Brady came on board in 2020. In addition, the GOAT’s is a stellar 11-1-1 ATS all-time as a home dog |
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10-02-22 | Cardinals +1 v. Panthers | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 18 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units NFL home teams in Game Two of a three-game home stand, coming off a SU underdog win, are just 6-10-1 ATS versus non-division foes, including 0-3 SUATS when favored by fewer than three points. Toss in the Panthers’ 2-6 ATS record in the second of a three-game home stand and suddenly we’ve got the makings of a wobbly home favorite. To clinch the selections, Arizona head coach Kliff Kingsbury is 14-4-1 ATS as a road dog during the regular season with the Cardinals, including 7-0 SUATS the last seven games. |
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10-02-22 | Jaguars v. Eagles -6.5 | Top | 21-29 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Given the fact the Jags, with their new head coach Doug Pederson, are 0-10 ATS in the second of consecutive away games, they are also 0-4 ATS against the NFC East. On the other side of the coin, Philly is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games against the AFC South. All good numbers in the Eagles’ favor, for sure. To cap all of this off, consider that playing one any NFL non-division home team in Game 4 if not favored by more than 7 points vs. a foe that scored more than 24 points in its last game is 17-3 ATS since 1980. |
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09-29-22 | Dolphins +4 v. Bengals | 15-27 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miami showed their true grit knocking off everyone's AFC Darlings, the Bills. Tua toughed it out after slamming his head off the turf in the 1st half & Hill & Waddle are just so dangerous, with Tua Tagovailoa questionable, the Dolphins may have to turn to Teddy Bridgewater, who would bring a 23-9 ATS career mark as an underdog starter into the game. Additionally, the Dolphins 5-2 vs Cincinnati. |
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09-26-22 | Cowboys v. Giants | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Giants’ wins has been by a field goal or less. This is the first time since 2016 that the Giants have opened the season 2-0. They hosted division rival Washington in the third game in 2016, when as a 3.5-point favorite they lost, 29-27. Dallas enters with an 8-2 ATS mark the last ten games in this series, as well as 7-2 ATS in its last nine appearances under the Monday Night lights. With Big Blue just 1-8 ATS in games when seeking “double revenge”, look for the G-Men to fall to 2-8 SUATS in games when coming off consecutive wins here this evening. |
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09-25-22 | 49ers -1.5 v. Broncos | 10-11 | Loss | -108 | 52 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units QB Trey Lance is out for the season with a broken ankle, it will likely prove to be the best thing that could have happened for head coach Kyle Shanahan and his troops, given Jimmy G’s 37-18 SU and 33-21-1 ATS career record as a starter in the NFL, including 25-11 ATS in game when not favored by more than 5 points. With Frisco 7-1 ATS in its last eight non-conference roadies, we’ll go mining with the Niners tonight. |
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09-25-22 | Packers +1 v. Bucs | Top | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 48 h 53 m | Show |
NFC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Green Bay’s is 14-2 ATS in games after battling the Bears, along with the Pack’s 9-5-1 SU and 10-5 ATS record in games when seeking “double revenge”, including 10-2 ATS versus .333 or great foes. On the other side of the coin, the Bucs are 2-8 ATS at home against foes seeking “double revenge”, as well as 2-7 SU and 1-8 ATS in Game Three’s of the season. Finally the Packers are 11-2 SUATS with a sub .750 win percentage under head coach Matt LaFleur, including 4-0 SUATS when seeking revenge. |
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09-25-22 | Ravens v. Patriots +3 | 37-26 | Loss | -115 | 45 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Ravens’ task this week, if they are up to it, is to pick themselves back up off the canvas. It should prove difficult given the fact that playoff teams last year (read: Patriots) who are dogs in Game Three are 12-7 ATS against opponents coming off a SU favorite loss. Toss in Bill Belichick’s 33-17 SU and 40-20-1 ATS career mark with New England against foes off a similar SU favorite loss – including 4-0 ATS as a home dog . Finally, Baltimore head coach John Harbaugh owns a 3-10-3 ATS career mark as a favorite when coming off a SU favorite loss, including 0-9-3 ATS when favored by 3 or more points. |
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09-25-22 | Chiefs v. Colts +5.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 45 h 35 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Matt Ryan now owns a 63.9 QB Rating with the Colts. The saving grace is his 11-5 SUATS career record against AFC West opposition, including 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS as a dog. On the opposite side of the field, the 2-0 Chiefs – the only undefeated team in the AFC West – enter with a Super Bowl grudge rematch on tap at Tampa Bay next week. Kansas City’s 1-5 ATS record in its last six AFC South skirmishes, and the Colts 6-1 ATS log when coming off a division road. Finally NFL home dogs coming off a shutout loss are 12-2-1 ATS, including 10-0 ATS versus .466 or greater opponents. |
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09-19-22 | Titans +11 v. Bills | 7-41 | Loss | -128 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units NFL teams in Game Two of the season, coming off a double-digit win in Game One, are just 101-124-12 since 1990. When facing foes coming off a SU favorite loss they are 17-37-2 ATS – including 4-16 ATS as non-division chalk. Titans will not enter tonight’s contest lacking confidence, having upended the Bills as underdogs in each of the past two seasons. They are also 8-2 ATS in their last ten Monday night appearances. With Buffalo 0-4 ATS at home on Mondays and 0-3 ATS after playing on Thursdays. Finally consider that Tennessee HC, Vrabel, is 13-3 ATS as an underdog of 4 or more points with 12 outright wins. |
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09-18-22 | Bears v. Packers -10 | Top | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 34 h 16 m | Show |
SNF Game of the Month Rating; 5 Units Rodgers has made a living at home in his career with the Packers, going 69-38-4 ATS overall, including 27-12 ATS in division games, as well as 28-9-2 ATS when hosting foes coming off a SUATS win. Green Bay is 20-3 SU and 18-5 ATS in this series since 2011, including 8-0 SUATS when coming off a loss. To clinch it, Green Bay is 9-0 SUATS in regular season games when coming off a loss under head coach Matt LaFleur. |
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09-18-22 | Washington Commanders +1.5 v. Lions | 27-36 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 9 m | Show | |
NFL Play of the Day Rating; 3 Units The Lions have been underdogs in each of their last 25 games. Washington is 19-10 ATS as a small dog of 3 or fewer points, including 10-1 ATS when coming off a win. Detroit is a dreadful 6-19 ATS record as a home favorite when coming off a home game, including 0-5 SUATS when favored by fewer than 3 points. To cap it off, consider that NFL Hard Knocks teams from the preseason (Lions) are 22-36-1 ATS as a pick or favorite in Games 1-8 of the regular season, including 1-13 ATS when not favored by 3 or more points. |