|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|01-24-21||Bills +3 v. Chiefs||Top||24-38||Loss||-100||53 h 22 m||Show|
AFC TITLE GAME WINNER.
3:40 pm pst.
The defending Super Bowl champion, Kansas City Chiefs certainly deserve all their praise. But they haven’t covered
a game since November 1. As a matter of fact, their last seven regular season wins came by 2, 4, 3, 6, 6, 3, and 3 points. Throw in the mix last week’s six-point win over the Cleveland Browns, who outscored them in the 2nd half, and you realize they aren’t as unbeatable as their record shows. The Buffalo Bills enter this contest winning their last eight SU and going 9-1 ATS their last 10. In the regular-season matchup, the Chiefs came off their first loss of the campaign and was focused to bounce back against a still-maturing Bills squad. Buffalo has the confidence, the momentum, and the defense to rattle Patrick Mahomes and slow the Kansas City offense down. On the flip side, Josh Allen is 6-0 vs. top-10 total defenses this season. The Bills “O” ranks 2nd in scoring, putting up over 31.3 PPG. This doesn’t bode well as the Chiefs “D” is very beatable. Buffalo is 5-1 ATS L6 at the Chiefs, 4-0 ATS L4 on the road, 7-1-2 ATS L10 as a road ‘dog, and 6-1 ATS L7 vs. the AFC. Kansas City is 1-4 ATS L5 vs. teams with a winning record, 0-5 ATS L5 at home, 0-4 ATS L4 as a home fav, and 0-5 ATS L5 vs. the AFC. Take the Bills. Thank you.
|01-24-21||Bucs v. Packers -3||31-26||Loss||-125||50 h 53 m||Show|
Green Bay Packers.
NFC TITLE GAME WINNER.
12:05 pm pst.
In a rematch from a mid-October meeting in which Tampa Bay throttled Green Bay, 38-10, you can expect a very different outcome here. That meeting was before the Packers offense became more well-balanced. The Buccaneers defense is good, but is vulnerable to the pass. Last week’s performance against Drew Brees, they took advantage of his diminished arm strength. Well, that’s not going to happen here. In comes Aaron Rodgers (48 TD’s, 5 INT’s, 70.7% CR, 4,299 YP) and one of the most explosive aerial assaults in the NFL. RB, Aaron Jones will keep the Tampa Bay “D” honest, allowing Rodgers to light up the sky in the air vs. the 21st ranked pass defense of the Bucs. We all know Tampa Bay abandoned the run this season. They don’t run the ball at all. When good, aggressive defenses go up against Tom Brady and key on him, the TB “O” sputters. Let’s face it the GB stop-unit vastly improved over the last two months, holding all opponents to 25 or less points. Remember that the Packers score 30 or more 13 times this season and have not turned the ball over in 11 outings. They rank No.1 in the NFL in offensive miscues. They don’t make mistakes. The Home Team is 5-2 ATS L7 meetings in this series. Tampa Bay is 3-7 ATS L10 in the month of January. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS L6 playoffs home games. Take the Packers. Thank you.
|01-17-21||Bucs v. Saints -3||Top||30-20||Loss||-112||49 h 58 m||Show|
NFC GAME OF THE YEAR.
3:40 pm pst.
With no running game to speak of, Tampa Bay solely relies upon Tom Brady throwing the ball. Well, New Orleans owns a tough defense (21.1 PPG allowed) that ranks 5th vs. the pass. They have bested Brady and the Bucs both meetings this season SU and ATS and going back a bit, have won and covered five straight in this series. Drew Brees is 100% healthy and has the dangerous Alvin Kamara running the ball. Also, perhaps the most dangerous RB in the NFL coming out of the backfield as a receiver. Brees will hook up often with stellar wideouts, Harris and Thomas especially against the very vulnerable pass defense of the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS L5 in January and 1-4 ATS L5 as a road underdog. New Orleans is 7-1 ATS L8 vs. the NFC and 8-2 ATS L10 overall. Take the Saints. Thank you.
|01-17-21||Browns +10.5 v. Chiefs||17-22||Win||100||45 h 26 m||Show|
12:05 pm pst.
KC deserves their praise. However, the oddsmakers have “inflated” their lines thus resulting in this team failing to cover their last eight outings. While Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense can score, the defense leaves a lot to be desired. Particularly against the run. Every decent ground attack has piled up yardage and points on Kansas City. Well, in comes the NFL’s 3rd ranked rushing unit. While RB’s, Chubb and Hunt, who have combined for over 2,000 yards rushing and 20 TD’s on the ground, keep the KC defense honest and allow Baker Mayfield, who has thrown just one INT in the last 10 games, to hook up with his arsenal of receivers. Kansas City is 0-4 ATS L4 at home and 0-4 ATS L4 vs. the AFC. Take Cleveland. Thank you.
|01-16-21||Ravens +2.5 v. Bills||3-17||Loss||-100||27 h 39 m||Show|
5:15 pm pst.
Giving Lamar Jackson and the NFL’s No.1 rushing attack points in the playoffs is a mistake. This is a team that enters this contest winning six in a row SU and seven straight ATS. The matchup favors the Ravens ground attack against the lax 17th ranked rush defense of the Bills. When the postseason inexperienced Josh Allen and the Buffalo squad has the ball, they must line up against the No.2 stop-unit in football. The Baltimore “D” has made a habit of shutting down offenses that usually account for 30 points per game. The Ravens are 7-0 ATS L7 playoff road games, 16-5 ATS L21 vs. the AFC, 9-3 ATS L12 in January, and 20-8 ATS L28 overall. Take Baltimore. Thank you.
|01-16-21||Rams v. Packers -6.5||Top||18-32||Win||100||23 h 3 m||Show|
1:35 pm pst.
There is no team in the NFL that is as “Jekyll & Hyde” as LA. While Green Bay has played the most consistent football in the league this season. Jared Goff will be under center here. That thumb injury may be a factor folks. The Rams won’t be able to keep pace offensively with the No.1 scoring offense in the NFL. FYI, the Packers defense have held their last six opponents to an average of 18.5 PPG. When Green Bay has the ball, the “Big 3” of Rodgers, Adams, and Jones will keep the Los Angeles “D” on the field, on their toes, and very busy. The favorite is 9-1 ATS L10 meetings in this series. The Rams are 0-6 ATS L6 vs. the Packers. The Packers are 7-2 ATS L9 in the month of January. Take Green Bay. Thank you.
|01-11-21||Ohio State v. Alabama -7.5||Top||24-52||Win||100||121 h 58 m||Show|
NCAAF CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WINNER.
5:00 pm pst.
With the National Championship game upon us, for the first time in a long time there are no arguments, no debates, and no protests as to why other teams are more deserving to be here. The last two undefeated ranked teams in the nation square off in the matchup everyone was hoping for.
I made the line here between -8 and -10 points depending on injury/illness. When it officially came out making Alabama a seven-point favorite, the public immediately bet it up to -8 and it is now floating between -7 and -8.
For many years the favorite won and covered in the Title game. Then the tide (no pun intended) flowed in the opposite direction with the underdogs not just covering but winning a few contests outright as well.
For me personally, I am torn. When I was a kid in the early ‘70’s, my father, a respected horse player and sports bettor, turned on the tube one Saturday morning to watch a game he had wagered on. I took one look at Paul “Bear” Bryant on the sideline, arms folded with that stoic look on his face, and that patented houndstooth fedora and I immediately fell in love with Alabama football. But there are two places your heart doesn’t belong, in love and in sports betting.
Growing up now, the handicapper in me instantly leaned on the underdog here with all those points. Especially after last week’s dismantling of a Trevor Lawrence-led Clemson team in the Sugar Bowl. Many out there felt (including me) that Ohio State did not belong in the CFP. Prior to last week’s CFP semifinal, I did not feel the Buckeyes would be so dominating on both sides of the ball. They showed how good they are by overcoming a seven-point deficit to then outscore the Tigers 42-14. However, there are no more cards up OSU’s sleeve, the cat is out of the bag now. ‘Bama has seen all they can do. And there are very few coaches as good at preparing a squad for a big game as Nick Saban. And a big no-no in betting is not judging a team solely from their last performance.
Saban and Alabama does have their work cut out for them. Ohio State has a well-balanced offense and Justin Fields has taken his game to another level. This is a unit that ranks 42nd in passing, 5th in rushing, and 8th in scoring. Take note, that this “O” revolves around Fields and last week he got banged up a bit against Brent Venables “D”. He will play but those ribs might still be tender here and that may be a factor. Speaking of injuries, the Buckeyes injured list is so long it rivals a Bill Belichick Patriots list (check status). Something the Crimson Tide doesn’t have to worry about, being just about full strength.
Head coach Ryan Day must be concerned with the vastly improved defense of Alabama. Outside of the shootout with Florida in the SEC Title game, Pete Golding’s stop-unit have held every opponent to 24 or less since early-October.
On the opposite side of the ball, Mac Jones and the explosive Crimson Tide offensive juggernaut, which accounts for 49.7 PPG, the Buckeyes will not have the same success defensively as last week in getting their foe off the field. Bama’s big three, Mac Jones, Najee Harris, and DeVonta Smith will control the clock and keep the OSU defense on the field and more importantly, their offense off of it. Mac Jones is smart and savvy and has the luxury being protected by one of the biggest and stoutest offensive lines in the nation.
Ryan Day is a sharp guy and his team is loaded with talent but they are not impervious to perhaps being in a letdown situation here either. That game last week vs. the Tigers was a matchup the Buckeyes were dreaming of since being ousted from last year’s CFP semifinal by Clemson. Maybe the wind just might be out of their sails a bit here.
Ohio State is 1-4 ATS the last five following an ATS win and 1-4 ATS the last five vs. teams with a winning record. Alabama is 7-1 ATS the last eight following an ATS loss and 7-1 ATS the last eight vs. the Big Ten.
Being that this line is around a hot number, listen to Smokey Robinson’s mama, and shop around and get the best number you can. Lay the points and roll with the Tide. Take Alabama. Thank you.
|01-09-21||Bucs v. Washington Football Team +8||31-23||Push||0||12 h 59 m||Show|
5:15 pm pst
Washington has come alive the latter half of the season, wining five of their final seven games both SU and ATS. Their defense has held every opponent since mid-November to 20 points or less. Tampa Bay with Tom Brady has become solely a passing offense abandoning the run the entire season. This is a problem today as the WFT secondary ranks No.2 in passing yards allowed and 4th overall in scoring. Washington is 4-0 ATS L4 following a SU win, 4-1 ATS L5 as an underdog, and 4-0 ATS L4 on Saturday. Take the WFT. Thank you.
|01-03-21||Titans -7 v. Texans||Top||41-38||Loss||-110||6 h 50 m||Show|
AFC SOUTH GOM.
1:25 pm pst.
Tennessee needs to win for a chance at the postseason. They own one of the best scoring offenses in the NFL (30.0 PPG). RB, Derrick Henry is looking to hit the 2,000-yard milestone and has a very good shot at it as he faces the league’s 31st ranked run defense. The favorite is 10-3 ATS L13 meetings in this series. The Texans are 2-5 ATS L7 at home, 3-8 ATS L11 as an underdog, and 5-11 ATS L16 overall. Take the Titans. Thank you.
|01-03-21||Saints -6 v. Panthers||33-7||Win||100||6 h 45 m||Show|
NFC SOUTH GOM.
1:25 pm pst.
The Saints can clinch the No.1 seed in the NFC with a win here and some help. RB, Alvin Kamara is out. But the offense is loaded with playmakers while the defense ranks among the best in the NFL. The Saints are 5-1 ATS L6 at the Panthers, 6-1 ATS L& vs. the NFC South, and 15-6 ATS L21 as a road favorite. Take New Orleans. Thank you.
|01-03-21||Cowboys -1 v. Giants||Top||19-23||Loss||-114||3 h 30 m||Show|
NFC EAST GOM.
10:00 am pst.
A few things need to happen for Dallas to take the NFC East and make the playoffs. But they first need to win here. They have won and covered three straight as their defense has stepped up and both Andy Dalton Ezekiel Elliott are playing their best football of the season. Oh, and both are looking to reach season milestones. The Cowboys are 6-1 ATS L7 meetings in this series. Take Dallas. Thank you.
|01-02-21||Oregon v. Iowa State -3.5||17-34||Win||100||27 h 32 m||Show|
Fiesta Bowl Winner.
1:00 pm pst.
On both sides of the ball, we can expect the well-balanced and more battel-tested Cyclones to dominate here. The 2020/2021 Ducks are not as explosive as past squads. Look for one of the nation’s best 1-2 punches of QB, Brock Purdy (2,594 YP, 66.4% CR, 18/9) and RB, Breece Hall (1,436 YR, 19 TD’s) to control the tempo and the clock while the ISU stop-unit (21.8 PPG allowed) contains the Oregon offense. The Ducks are 7-15 ATS L22 following an ATS win and 5-11-1 ATS L17 nonconference games. Iowa State is 5-1 ATS L6 as a favorite and 16-7 ATS L23 following a SU loss. Take the Cyclones. Thank you.
|01-02-21||Ole Miss v. Indiana -8.5||26-20||Loss||-109||23 h 58 m||Show|
Outback Bowl Winner.
9:30 am pst.
Things are going to get ugly for the Mississippi offense here. Their two best receivers, Elijah Moore and Kenny Yeboah opted out prior to the LSU matchup (53-48 loss and no cover). The duo caught 55% of the passes this season and 50% of the TD’s. Without the tandem on the field, Indiana and their 19th ranked defense can key on the ground game. But things get even uglier as the Hoosiers offense (30.1 PPG) line up against just about the worst defense in college football (127th vs. the pass, 104th vs. the rush, 122nd in scoring). Backup quarterback, Jack Tuttle believe it or not owns a better QBR than did starter, Michael Penix Jr. Indiana is 7-0 ATS in 2020, 4-1 ATS last five vs. losers, and 4-1 ATS last five nonconference games.Take the Hoosiers. Thank you.
|01-01-21||Ohio State v. Clemson -7||Top||49-28||Loss||-113||56 h 39 m||Show|
BOWL GOY/SUGAR BOWL WINNER.
5:45 pm pst.
Many people in and out of the college football arena feel that Ohio State does not belong in the CFP. I will leave the debating to those who DO NOT bet on games. I say they do belong here for the sole purpose of them being outclassed gets us paid in this matchup. Just over the past month, the Buckeyes have struggled with the Scarlett Knights, Hoosiers, and Wildcats. And folks, you can combine those three teams and still wouldn’t be close to the talent level that Tigers possess. They have gotten burned for 260.3 yards per game in the air in 2020.
I have two words for you, Trevor Lawrence. He is always superb but since returning to action from covid protocol he has been stellar. Don’t forget, he personally took down Ohio State in the 2019 Fiesta Bowl when the Buckeyes were a more talented team than the current squad. Not only will he shred them in the air but the uncharitable Clemson defense (27th vs. the pass, 9th vs. the run, 11th in scoring) will shut them down offensively. The Buckeyes are 1-5 ATS the last six vs. the ACC and 0-4 ATS the last four vs. winners. The Tigers are 10-2 ATS the last 12 Bowls and 17-4 ATS the last 21 on neutral sites. Take Clemson. Thank you.
|01-01-21||Auburn v. Northwestern -3||19-35||Win||100||48 h 23 m||Show|
Citrus Bowl WINNER.
10:00 am pst.
In a peculiar Bowl season this game actually puts together two teams that should be Bowling. Both are six-win teams from Power-five conferences. For those of you who enjoy nostalgia, eleven years to the day after facing off in a thrilling bowl game, these two teams meet again on New Year's Day in the Citrus Bowl at Orlando, Florida. The teams played in the 2010 Outback Bowl, with the Tigers pulling out a 38-35 overtime victory. Current Kansas City Chiefs quarterbacks coach Mike Kafka completed 47 of 78 passes for 532 yards with four touchdowns and five interceptions for the Wildcats. Wow, how’s that for eerie?
Both teams are in different places mentally. The Tigers have since fired head coach, Gus Malzahn and hired Boise State boss, Bryan Harsin. On the flip side, the Wildcats might be the most harmonious team in action right now. As a matter of fact, the game will be the last in the career of Northwestern's defensive coordinator Mike Hankwitz, who would reach 400 career wins if the Wildcats win here. Trust me, the team will go all out for their DC here. While neither team possesses a very exciting or explosive offense, the big disparity here is on the defensive side of the ball. Northwestern owns the nation’s 5th ranked stop-unit, yielding only 15.5 PPG. This is a squad that is equally strong against the pass and the run. In recent years it seems that teams have abandoned the basics, but not the Wildcats. And that will be the difference in this matchup. The Tigers are 1-4 ATS L5 vs. the Big Ten, 0-4 ATS L4 vs. winners, and 0-4 ATS L4 in January. Take Northwestern. Thank you.
|01-01-21||Cincinnati +7 v. Georgia||21-24||Win||100||47 h 29 m||Show|
Peach Bowl WINNER.
9:00 am pst.
There are those out there that will automatically take the SEC team in a matchup over the AAC representative. Well, that may have worked in the past, but 2020 is full of surprises. And if we have learned anything, it’s that we must expect the unexpected. With all respect to head coach Kirby Smart and the Bulldogs, they are not unbeatable. They were picked apart by quarterbacks Mac Jones and Kyle Trask. Sports fans, Desmond Riddler (2,090 yards passing, 66.4% completion rate, 17/6) may not be as popular as the previously mentioned, but he is darn good and has an arsenal of receivers to dissect the 90th ranked pass defense of Georgia. Then there is the way we look at the Bulldogs when they are on offense. They have very pedestrian numbers. Sure, they can smash lesser defenses like that of the Razorbacks, Gamecocks, and Tigers (Missouri) but this defense they face here, is not a lesser one. And don’t think for a moment that the Bearcats ”D”, which ranks 8th nationally (16.0 PPG) can be intimidated here. Cincy is 4-1 ATS the last five nonconference games and 4-0 ATS the last four games played as an underdog. Take the points with Cincy here and watch an AAC rep gets you paid over the mighty SEC. Take the Bearcats. Thank you.
|12-31-20||Ball State v. San Jose State -9||34-13||Loss||-117||26 h 49 m||Show|
San Jose State.
Arizona Bowl WINNER.
11:00 am pst.
Ball State vs. San Jose State -9.5: If ever a team was in “let down” mode it is Ball State following their 38-28 victory over Buffalo in the MAC Title game nearly two weeks ago. This is the matchup they will sorely miss their top running back, Caleb Huntley (opted out). Playing in the MAC, the Cardinals have not faced a defense as well-balanced or as ferocious as the Spartans (13th, 17.9 PPG allowed). On the other side of the ball, look for quarterback, Nick Starkel (1,906 yards passing, 65.1% completion rate, 16/4) and the top-20 SJ State passing attack to put up the best numbers of 2020 against the 119th ranked pass defense of Ball State. The Cardinals are 0-4 ATS the last four Bowl games. The Spartans are 6-0 ATS the last six in the month of December. Take San Jose State. Thank you.
|12-31-20||Mississippi State v. Tulsa -1||28-26||Loss||-110||24 h 56 m||Show|
Armed Forces Bowl Winner.
9:00 am pst.
It’s just not a good situation for Mike Leach and his Mississippi State Bulldogs. In a “normal” season, this 3-7 team wouldn’t be able to play in a Bowl. Several players have opted out. The few wins they had were far from convincing. They account for a dismal, 20.7 PPG. And they are one of the nation’s worst at turning the ball over.
Just the opposite for the Tulsa Golden Hurricane. They are money, covering seven of eight outings in 2020. Their only losses came at the hands of notables Oklahoma State and Cincinnati. And they are stacked with talent on both sides of the ball. Particularly on the “D” side where they allow just 20.8 PPG. Tulsa is 6-1 ATS the last seven Bowls. Take the Golden Hurricane. Thank you.
|12-30-20||Florida v. Oklahoma -5||20-55||Win||100||10 h 8 m||Show|
4:15 pm pst.
Early season losses kept Oklahoma from a CFP spot. But it didn’t stop them from being motivated to win. Both teams will be able to pass the ball but Florida is without their biggest playmaker and Kyle Trask’s “go to” guy, TE, Kyle Pitts (opted out). This will make it tougher for the Gators. The Sooners defense improved as the season progressed and kept quite a few solid offenses in check. Florida is 2-8 ATS L10 on field turf and 1-3-1 ATS L5 overall. Oklahoma is 5-2 ATS L7 vs. the SEC and 6-1 ATS L7 overall. Take the Sooners. Thank you.
|12-26-20||Dolphins -3 v. Raiders||26-25||Loss||-100||23 h 52 m||Show|
5:15 pm pst.
The Raiders defense is one of the worst in football, ranking 29th and yielding 30.1 PPG. The Dolphins need to keep winning to maintain a postseason spot. This is a team that has been money winning eight of their last 10 SU and going 9-1 ATS. Very quietly they own the NFL’s No.1 defense allowing foes a mere 18.4 PPG. Going back a decade, they have taken five of six meetings with the raiders SU while covering all six. Las Vegas is 3-7 ATS L10 at home, 2-7 ATS L9 in December, and 0-4 ATS L4 overall. Miami is 4-0 ATS L4 vs. the AFC, 5-0 ATS L5 in December, and 20-6 ATS L26 overall. Take the Dolphins. Thank you.
|12-26-20||Liberty +7 v. Coastal Carolina||37-34||Win||100||22 h 28 m||Show|
4:30 pm pst.
Things changed for Cinderella at midnight. And the same will happen for Coastal Carolina here. Liberty’s sole defeat was a 15-14 cover against NC State. Superstar, Malik Willis (2,040 yards passing 20/4 in the air, 807 yards rushing 10 TD’s on the ground) has the offensive personnel to control the clock and keep the Coastal Carolina offense off the gridiron.
The Flames are 21-7 ATS the last 28 as an underdog, 5-1 ATS the last six vs. the Sun Belt, and 7-0 ATS the last seven overall.Take Liberty as the carriage turns into a pumpkin here. Take Liberty. Thank you.
|12-26-20||49ers v. Cardinals -5||20-12||Loss||-105||19 h 12 m||Show|
NFC WEST GOM.
1:30 pm pst.
No matter who is at the QB position, San Francisco is in trouble here. They are severely undermanned at quite a few key spots and without a true ballcarrier, they will have problems moving the chains. Arizona is fighting for a playoff spot as the Cardinals are red-hot, winning and covering their last two outings. The 49ers are 0-5-1 ATS L6 meetings in this series, 1-5 ATS L6 vs. the NFC, and 1-6 ATS L7 overall. The Cards are 4-1-1 ATS L6 in December, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. losers, and 6-2-2 ATS L10 following an ATS win. Take Arizona. Thank you.
|12-26-20||UL-Lafayette v. UTSA +14||31-24||Win||100||18 h 17 m||Show|
12:30 pm pst.
This is way too many points for a Ragin’ Cajuns team to lay against the competitive and feisty Roadrunners squad. UTSA covered big numbers against such notables as BYU and UAB. They have the ground game to keep this one close.
ULL is 2-5 ATS the last seven vs. winners and 1-4 ATS the last five following an ATS win. UTSA is 5-1 ATS the last six vs. winners and 6-1 ATS the last seven vs. nonconference opponents.Take the Roadrunners. Thank you.
|12-25-20||Vikings v. Saints -7||33-52||Win||103||28 h 46 m||Show|
1:30 pm pst.
Minny is riding a five-game no cover streak and possesses one of the poorest defenses against the rush in the NFL. Alvin Kamara will move the chains on the ground allowing Drew Brees to open up the passing game while also allowing the QB to shake of any rust before the postseason begins. On the other side of the ball, the only offensive weapon the Vikings have is Dalvin Cook. But the Saints “D: ranks 4th in the league yielding just 95.6 YPG on the ground. Minnesota is 2-5 ATS L7 meetings in this series, 0-4 ATS L4 vs. the NFC, and 1-4 ATS L5 in December. New Orleans is 9-2 ATS L11 vs. losers, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. the NFC, and 5-2 ATS L7 overall. Take the Saints. Thank you.
|12-25-20||Marshall v. Buffalo -5||10-17||Win||100||29 h 36 m||Show|
10:30 am pst.
Teams have figured out how to shut down the Marshall offense (13 total points scored the last two games) thus resulting in their defense spending way too much time on the field.
Well, no team in the nation can keep a defense busy and on the field like the No.1 rushing unit of Buffalo. The Bulls come in here looking for vengeance following their first loss of the season.
They are 6-2 ATS the last eight vs. C-USA, 4-0 ATS the last four following a SU loss, and 11-3 ATS the last 14 overall. Take Buffalo. Thank you.
|12-23-20||Florida Atlantic v. Memphis -8||10-25||Win||100||24 h 23 m||Show|
4:00 pm pst.
Memphis owns an explosive, well-balanced offense (31.6 PPG). This is a unit that can burn you both on the ground as well as in the air. Granted, the FAU “D” is one of the best in the nation (16.5 PPG allowed). But what good is having a strong defense if your offense can’t move the chains at all and just about every time you have the ball it’s a three-an-out? Their offense is so bad (20.0 PPG) it just doesn’t eat up any clock to give their stop-unit and rest. By the second half, the Owls defense will be gasping for air in this matchup.
Tigers Quarterback, Brady White (3,096 yards passing 28/9) and running back, Rodrigues Clark (563 yards rushing) will put up career stats here.
Memphis is 6-1 ATS the last seven vs. C-USA. FAU is 1-4 ATS the last five overall. Take Memphis. Thank you.
|12-22-20||Tulane v. Nevada +2.5||Top||27-38||Win||100||7 h 33 m||Show|
12:30 pm pst.
Tulane is making a 1,900-mile trip to play in freezing cold weather here. The Green Wave are a one-dimensional offense relying solely upon the run. That’s going to be a problem as the Wolfpack own the nation’s 30th ranked rush defense. On the flipside, Nevada and their seasoned and savvy QB, Carson Strong (2,587 YP, 69.4% CR, 22/4) will carve up the Tulane 115th ranked passing defense with their top-10 passing unit. The Wolfpack are used to playing in this weather and more importantly, in this stadium. Nevada is 5-0 ATS L5 as an underdog, 4-1-1 ATS L6 Bowl games, 7-2-1 ATS L10 in December, and 9-4 ATS L13 overall. Take the Wolfpack. Thank you.
|12-20-20||Chiefs v. Saints +3||32-29||Push||0||8 h 22 m||Show|
With Drew Brees most-likely back at the helm and tied for the best record in the NFC, New Orleans comes in here following their first loss since September. This is the most well-balanced and strongest defense Kansas City has had to face. But the real mismatch here is the NFL’s 7th ranked rushing offense of the Saints lining up against the 26th ranked run defense of the Chiefs. New Orleans is 6-1 ATS L7 as a home ‘dog. KC is 0-5 ATS L5 overall. Take the Saints. Thank you.
|12-20-20||Seahawks -6 v. Washington Football Team||20-15||Loss||-109||22 h 21 m||Show|
10:00 am pst.
Alex Smith is out. Not sure it would make a difference as the Seattle defense has literally improved each of the last five weeks, yielding 23, 21, 17, 17, and 3 points. I wouldn’t put too much stock in the WFT’s four-game win streak. They have faced four flat-footed QB’s. Meanwhile the last several weeks the Seahawks have once again become a well-balanced offense with the return of RB, Chris Carson. He allows Russell Wilson to open up the passing game. The WFT stagnant offense (22.1 PPG) just can’t keep pace here. The road team is 4-0-1 ATS L5 meetings in this series. The favorite is 5-2-1 ATS the L8 meetings. Take Seattle. Thank you.
|12-20-20||Bears +3 v. Vikings||33-27||Win||100||22 h 13 m||Show|
10:00 am pst.
Chicago got off the snide last week in their 36-7 dismantling of Houston. Meanwhile Minnesota has crushed bettors failing to cover four in a row. They are in for real trouble here as they must now face a Bears offense that has the 1-2 punch of Trubisky and a healthy Montgomery. The Vikings “D” has gotten steamrolled foe 31, 27, 24, and 3-26 points in consecutive weeks. Mind you three of those contests were against the likes of the Cowboys, Panthers, and Jaguars. The Bears are 5-2 ATS L7 meetings in this series. The Vikings are 1-4 ATS L5 at home. Take Chicago. Thank you.
|12-19-20||Stanford v. UCLA -6.5||48-47||Loss||-112||22 h 7 m||Show|
5:00 pm pst.
UCLA possesses a backfield of outstanding runners. Felton, Brown, and yes, even Thompson-Robinson have combined for 1,252 yards rushing and 12 TD’s on the ground giving the Bruins the 16th ranked rushing offense in the nation. Well, the Cardinal have gotten steamrolled by the run ranking 102nd. The ground game will allow QB, DTR, who comes off his highest passer rating of 2020, to open up the passing attack. Stanford is 0-4 ATS L4 on grass, 2-7-1 ATS L10 on the road, and 2-6-1 ATS L9 overall. Take UCLA. Thank you.
|12-19-20||Boise State v. San Jose State +6.5||Top||20-34||Win||100||31 h 17 m||Show|
San Jose State.
1:15 pm pst.
San Jose State isn’t just undefeated (6-0), they are also one of college football’s best teams against the spread (5-0-1). With all respect to Boise State, I think we would all agree that the Broncos just aren’t the same team when not playing on their blue carpet. Point in fact, they did not cover either of their last two outings, both on the road at Hawaii and Wyoming. Which are two lesser foes.
Boise State had problems with the BYU defense in their 51-17 drubbing at the hands of the Cougars. Don’t look now but San Jose State owns a very stingy “D” (13th) that yields a mere 17.5 PPG. The Spartans have held both good passing and good rushing units to some of their lowest performances this season. The Broncos are in for a long day.
San Jose State is 12-3-1 ATS the last 16 as a ‘dog, 18-7-3 ATS the last 28 in conference play, and 5-0 ATS the last five in December. Take San Jose State. Thank you.
|12-19-20||Minnesota +13 v. Wisconsin||17-20||Win||100||31 h 49 m||Show|
1:00 pm pst.
To say Wisconsin has had a disappointing season is truly an understatement. Granted, the Badgers have been impacted by Covid-19 about as bad as any team in the country. But, their once potent offense is no more. After opening the campaign with decisive wins over Illinois and Michigan, Wisconsin has now dropped three in a row (both SU and ATS) to opponents that were all favored by. During their current slide, the offense has mustered a total of 20 points.
Minnesota has trudged through 2020 quite nicely, winning and covering three of their last four outings. Veteran quarterback, Tanner Morgan has a stellar ballcarrier at his disposal in Mohamed Ibrahim (925 yards rushing, 15 touchdowns) to keep the Wiscy defense honest and this game closer than the point spread.
The Golden Gophers are 4-1-1 ATS the last six at the Badgers, 8-2-1 ATS the last 11 on the road, and 11-5 ATS the last 16 overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you.
|12-19-20||Oklahoma -5.5 v. Iowa State||27-21||Win||100||27 h 43 m||Show|
9:00 am pst.
Both teams have had a week off to rest, heal, and prepare. Iowa State deserves all their praise as the Cyclones have played solid football all season long. But Oklahoma is red-hot, winning six in a row SU and going 5-1 ATS. On both sides of the ball, I see the Sooners outclassing their counterpart here.
ISU’s weakness is stopping the pass. Spencer Rattler (2,512 yards passing, 68.5% completion rate, 24/7) will carve up the Cyclones secondary like a holiday dinner. Defensively, Oklahoma owns the best rush defense that Iowa State has faced in 2020. The Cyclones are a run-oriented offense. Well, the Sooners have stuffed every ground attack during their hot streak with the nation’s 4th ranked run defense.
ISU is 0-5 ATS the last five on neutral sites, 0-4 ATS the last four as a ‘dog, and 2-6 ATS the last eight in December. Take Oklahoma. Thank you.
|12-18-20||Nebraska v. Rutgers +7||28-21||Push||0||11 h 45 m||Show|
1:00 pm pst.
Nebraska Cornhuskers at Rutgers Scarlet Knights. The line is currently Nebraska -6.5. After finally sporting a victory at Purdue, Nebraska then plummeted back to Earth last week losing to Minnesota by seven as a nine-point favorite. Rutgers quarterback, Noah Vedral is questionable here (check status). But if doesn’t go, no worries because three-year play-caller, Artur Sitkowski has got what it takes to lead (67.2% completion rate, 311 yards passing, 3/0). Nebraska has several key players out and their star wideout has opted out for the season, seeing the writing on the wall. The Cornhuskers are 1-6 ATS the last seven games as a favorite. Take the points with the Scarlet Knights. Thank you.