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08-19-25 |
Mercury v. Valkyries UNDER 156 |
|
98-91 |
Loss |
-108 |
22 h 3 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Golden State Valkyries are a different team without Kayla Thornton. Thornton averaged 14 points per game and 7 rebounds per game. Without Thornton, Golden State has far less firepower, and they have leaned heavily on slowing the game down and winning with their defense. Golden State has been the second best defense in the WNBA at home. They are allowing just 0.94 points per possession at home. Golden State has slowed their pace down drastically in recent weeks. In the last ten games, the Valkyries are playing more than 4 possessions per game slower than the second slowest team in the WNBA. The Phoenix Mercury are one of the best defensive teams in the WNBA as well. In the last ten games, they are second in the WNBA in defensive efficiency. Take the under here. |
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08-15-25 |
Valkyries v. Sky UNDER 151 |
|
90-59 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Chicago Sky offense has been atrocious in the last few games. The Sky have averaged just 68 points per game in their last six games. Golden State plays at the slowest pace in the WNBA. The Valkyries have slowed things down even more recently when they have been playing without some of their best scoring options. They are relying on their defense to win them games, and it has been working. Angel Reese is one of the best Chicago players in terms of offensive efficiency (offensive rebounding machine), but she is one of their worst defenders. The Sky defensive ratings have been much better in recent contests. The most recent meeting between these two was 73-66. The last six Chicago Sky games have gone under the total. Take the under. |
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08-13-25 |
Sky v. Sun UNDER 159 |
|
62-71 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Chicago Sky team has looked quite a bit different without Angel Reese since she's been out the last few games. Reese had the highest offensive ratings (largely because of her great offensive rebounding prowess) on the team, but she had the second lowest defensive efficiency ratings of any Sky player. With Reese out, the Sky have given more minutes to Onyenwere and Williams and they are two of the top three on the team in defensive efficiency. Chicago's pace has slowed down drastically too in recent games. The Sun have had a very poor season overall. They did just get rid of one of their worst defenders in terms of ratings (Sheldon) and they too have slowed down their tempo of late. In the last five games, the two teams at the bottom of the WNBA in terms of offensive efficiency are the Sky and the Sun. I think the offensive efficiency numbers from these two could be pretty bad. Take the under here. |
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07-27-25 |
Valkyries v. Sun UNDER 156.5 |
|
64-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Connecticut Sun are hosting the Golden State Valkyries in a rare early Sunday afternoon game. Golden State will be playing at what would be 10 am on their body clock as they go from the West Coast to the East Coast. The Sun are coming off a very high scoring 101-86 game against the LA Sparks in their last game. The Sparks play fast and have some of the highest scoring games in the WNBA on a consistent basis. That game going well over the total has given us some value in this one. Golden State plays at the slowest pace of any team in the WNBA. The Valkyries have been a defensive minded team all season long. The very early start times have trended under in the WNBA, and that has been even more the case on Sunday games. Take the under. |
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06-07-25 |
Storm v. Mercury OVER 157 |
|
89-77 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* The Seattle Storm offense has been showing signs of life lately. Seattle has scored 83 points or more in three of their last five games. Phoenix has been terrific offensively in their last few games. The Lynx have slowed them down, but they might have the single best defense in the WNBA. The rest of their recent games have been Phoenix really pouring it on offensively. The recent meetings between these two teams have been low scoring because of abnormally low shooting percentages. I think this one normalizes and gets past the total. Take the over. |
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07-14-24 |
Fever v. Lynx UNDER 164 |
|
81-74 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Minnesota Lynx were blown away by the Seattle Storm in their last game by a score of 91-63. Minnesota has the best defense in the WNBA so far this year giving up just 0.927 points per possession. The Lynx were embarrassed on defense in that loss to Seattle. They gave up 50 points in the first half alone. I expect Minnesota to come out with a lot more effort on defense and try to control the pace. Minnesota plays at the second slowest pace of any team in the WNBA. The Fever play at a league average tempo. They are below average on defense, but with Collier not likely to play I think Minnesota will have a bit more trouble scoring than normal. This is a Sunday afternoon contest and those games have been great under bets in the last decade in the WNBA. Take the under here. |
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06-20-24 |
Wings v. Sky UNDER 160.5 |
|
72-83 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Dallas Wings take on the Chicago Sky in a noon eastern (11 am central) start. These rare early start times have played heavily toward the under in the WNBA. In games with a spread of 5.5 points or less in either direction and a total of 155 or higher (both fit this game), the under is at almost exactly 60% in the last 400 contests. Dallas ranks second to last in tempo in their last eight games. If you look at just the last five games, Dallas is last in offensive efficiency in the WNBA. Chicago is only 10th out of 12 teams in offensive efficiency. Both teams saw their last game go comfortably over the total. The WNBA has shown the propensity to have games that were high for both teams followed up by an under. Take the under here. |
|
08-01-23 |
Mercury v. Fever UNDER 160.5 |
|
71-72 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Phoenix Mercury will be without Brittany Griner for this one. Griner is their second most efficient offensive player and their leading scorer. She averages more than 18 points per game. The two times these two teams have played this season Griner has scored 29 and 22 points. Griner is just 10th in defensive efficiency on the Mercury team. NaLyssa Smith is out for this game for Indiana. She averages more than 15 points per game. The Fever are significant favorites here, but they haven't scored more than 83 points in regulation in any of their last seven games. The Mercury have scored 72 points or fewer in five of their last eight games. These two teams play at the slowest and second slowest pace in the entire WNBA. This game should be played in the halfcourt. Take the under. |