Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-30-18 | Ball State +7 v. Toledo | Top | 75-63 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
533 Ball State at Toledo The Cardinal are 3-7 SU on the road this year and the Rockets enter play here having won seven straight games. Yet the early money has been on the road dog, and we agree. Despite the 15-6 overall mark and 7-1 record in the MAC, we view this Rockets team as overrated. Toledo just blew out Bowling Green by 26 last time out, so we can see this team fat and happy here. But keep in mind most of the success for the Rockets has been on the road. We will follow the line move and back the Cardinals. PLAY BALL STATE |
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01-27-18 | Georgetown +12 v. Creighton | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
641 Georgetown at Creighton The Hoyas played one of the easiest schedules in the country before league play started, and came into Big East play totally overrated. As expected Georgetown is now 3-6 in league play, having just dropped 2 of 3 at home. Now back on the road this team finally shows some betting value. Creighton is 16-5 on the season and undefeated on this home court. It already beat the Hoyas by 24 in Georgetown. Up on deck? The #1 Villanova Wildcats. Massive lookahead spot here for the host. PLAY GEORGETOWN |
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01-26-18 | Pacers +6 v. Cavs | Top | 108-115 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
603 Indiana at Cleveland Why go away from something that has been so successful? The Cavaliers stink right now and the betting public has been slow to react. This line is simply too high right now for a team playing without any heart. The only consistent player over the last month is Wade, and he’s not with the team today because of a personal problem. Indiana has won all three meetings this season and have a 7-3 record as of late against the entire league. The Pacers are 19-5 this season when hitting at least 10 3 pointers a game. Against the Cavs they have made 16, 15 and 10 in the previous meetings. Cleveland has been terrible defending the perimeter all season. PLAY INDIANA |
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01-18-18 | Pepperdine +10.5 v. Pacific | Top | 78-92 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
563 Pepperdine at Pacific The Waves have been bad this season with an 0-6 conference record and just 3-15 overall. It’s riding a nine game losing streak entering this contest, having lost by double digits in four straight. But as Lee Corso would say “Not so Fast”. Over the last five games the Wave have played teams with a combined 71-23 record. Tonights opponent is just 9-10 on the year. The Tigers are off three straight victories and face three heavyweights after this contest. St Mary, San Francisco and BYU. Terrible spot for the host while the visitor drops down in class. PLAY PEPPERDINE |
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01-17-18 | Heat +4.5 v. Bucks | Top | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
709 Miami at Milwaukee Quick revenge for the Bucks here after losing to Miami 97-79 on the road just three days ago. But in looking over the Milwaukee schedule we see 11 of the last 12 games being played against current playoff squads, with another on deck. Having to get up every single game to play the best teams in the league is a chore. Miami is now 12-5 SU off a SU loss this season. They lost at Chicago Monday after winning seven straight games. Coincidently we had Miami in that contest, our only loss in any sport this week. But we have the Heat being the slightly better team here and we prefer the Miami coaching staff which has done a terrific job the last full year here in Miami. The Heat are on a 6-2 SU run on the road and we really like the way this team is playing. PLAY MIAMI |
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01-16-18 | Drake v. Northern Iowa -5.5 | Top | 54-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
536 Drake at Northern Iowa Many will look at this game and see the 5-1 in conference Bulldogs catching points at the 1-5 Panthers as a lock. But there is much more than wins and losses in handicapping sports. Drake is just 11-8 on the season, while Northern Iowa is 9-9. But the Panthers faced the likes of North Carolina, NC State, Villanova, UNLV, Texas Arlington, Iowa State and Xavier. The coaching staff made a surprising move last time out putting a talented freshman in the starting lineup at center, and dropping its leading scorer to the bench. For a coach to do such a thing tells us that its the right move to spark this squad. Northern Iowa in turn beat Valparaiso 81-76, breaking a seven game losing streak. Now with its back against the wall we expect these Panthers to be on the prowl. Our numbers show the Panthers to be 48 places better than the Bulldogs, and because of the way these two started the conference season the line is cheap. PLAY NORTHERN IOWA |
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01-12-18 | Cavs v. Pacers +2.5 | Top | 95-97 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
802 Cleveland at Indiana The Cavaliers have allowed its three highest point totals in the last three games. It has Golden State on deck and have lost to Indiana both times it faced the Pacers this year. Cleveland ranks 29th in the NBA in defensive efficiency and the offense is still trying to adjust with new players in new roles. The Pacers are finishing four game home stand after beating Chicago and Milwaukee, before losing to the Heat last night. With six straight games against Western Conference foes on deck, this is the game the Pacers have circled. PLAY INDIANA |
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01-11-18 | Cavs v. Raptors +3.5 | Top | 99-133 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
504 Cleveland at Toronto The Cavs are off a terrible defensive game at Minnesota, and the Raptors are without two of its best players. The current line is saying that those differences are worth 10 1/2 points to the spread, which is ridiculous. Cleveland has been bad defensively all season and now with Thomas in the lineup the numbers should get worse, not better. With Ibaka and Lowry out of the lineup the numbers actually get better for Toronto. Sure its a small sample size, and nobody is saying the team is better without these two. But the loss isn’t nearly as drastic as this line suggests. Throw in the fact that the Raptors have playoff revenge against the Cavaliers, and we have a solid play on the host here. PLAY TORONTO |
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01-10-18 | UNLV v. Air Force +9.5 | Top | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
780 Unlv at Air Force The Rebels haven’t won at Air Force since 2014 and were crushed in this building a year ago. Because off all the instability in the program virtually all the players will be playing here for the first time tonight. UNLV likes to get out and run, which is why it was so successful early on in non-conference action. The Rebels played a vast majority of its games at home. Now that conference play has started the opposition isn’t letting the Rebels show its athleticism. Air Force is always tough at home and enters play tonight 0-3 in the Mountain west Conference. This is a club that is hard to prepare for because of the style of play it uses. This line is way too high for a struggling Rebels team to lay. PLAY AIR FORCE |
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01-08-18 | Cavs v. Wolves OVER 222 | Top | 99-127 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
705 Cleveland at Minnesota The Cavaliers are scoring 129 points per game with Isiah Thomas in the lineup. The offense is virtually unstoppable and the bench players are really playing well offensively. The problem is a defense that was originally bad, but is even worse with Thomas on the floor. Tonight both teams have many options to take advantage of offensively, as the Cavs have no rim protector, and the Wolves are terrific attacking the basket. The Anthony-Towns and Love matchup should provide huge numbers offensively. The number is high for a reason, but not high enough. PLAY OVER |
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12-30-17 | Dayton -3 v. Duquesne | Top | 62-70 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
563 Dayton at Duquesne The Flyers have played the 93rd best strength of schedule in the country. Duquesne has played the 342nd. Dayton is 6-6 on the season while the Dukes are 9-4. This is a major step up in class for the host while Dayton has already faced the likes of Hofstra, Auburn, Mississippi State, Penn and St Mary’s. The Flyers are the superior team and have the better ball movement. They will find many open shots in this contest. PLAY DAYTON |
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12-19-17 | Georgia Tech v. Georgia -5 | Top | 59-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
528 Georgia Tech at Georgia The Yellow Jackets come into this rivalry game with a 5-4 record. But the victories have come against the likes of Bethune-Cookman, Texas Pan American, North Texas, Florida A&M and Northwestern by a single point. Georgia Tech has played just once away from home, a three point loss at Wofford. Georgia has started the year playing the much tougher schedule and have a 7-2 record to show for it. Coming off a road favorite loss at Massachusetts, we can imagine this club looked past the Minutemen and paid for it. Let’s lay it with the better team on Tuesday. PLAY GEORGIA |
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11-27-17 | Cavs v. 76ers -2.5 | Top | 113-91 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
704 Cleveland at Philadelphia The Cavaliers enter here on a seven game winning streak, but we expect that run to end tonight. Cleveland has had a hard time matching up to young teams with a lot of speed this year, as Cleveland is the oldest squad in the league. This team has a 12-7 record against the 26th ranked schedule. The Cavs have taken advantage of playing the fifth easiest schedule in the league. Philadelphia on the other hand has an 11-7 record facing the hardest schedule in the league. The Sixers have already played Golden State twice, Boston, Toronto and Houston twice. The Sixers are great on the boards and are tough to stop inside offensively. The big weakness for the Cars is defending the paint. Major mismatch for the Sixers here who treat this like a playoff game tonight. PLAY PHILADELPHIA |
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11-22-17 | Clippers -2.5 v. Hawks | Top | 116-103 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
507 LA Clippers at Atlanta The Clippers have lost 9 straight games and finish off the road trip at Atlanta and Sacramento. A nice pair to get right against. While LA enters this contest with a 5-11 record, the nine straight losses have come against all teams expected to be in playoff contention. The Hawks, not so much. Atlanta is just 3-14 on the year. And have played about how you would expect from a team that was gutted in the off-season. The Hawks have one victory at home all year and that was against equally inept Sacramento. The Clippers have far better talent here and get back in the win column on Wednesday. PLAY LA CLIPPERS |
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11-03-17 | Cavs v. Wizards -3.5 | Top | 130-122 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
702 Cleveland at Washington The Cavaliers have had a hard time keeping up with John Wall in the past. This year it should be much harder without Irving and Shumpert, its best defensive guard. Sure Kyrie isn’t very good defensively but he could force Wall to play both sides of the court, something the Cavalier guards of this season simply don’t have. Cleveland has been a step or two slow defensively all season and now are without Thompson, its best overall defensive player. The Wizards are simply too fast for this aging team to slow down, looks like a double digit victory for the host. PLAY WASHINGTON |
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10-17-17 | Celtics +3 v. Cavs | Top | 99-102 | Push | 0 | 32 h 53 m | Show |
501 Boston at Cleveland Many reasons to back the Celtics here. First of all is playoff revenge. Cleveland embarrassed Boston last year and the Celtics have had this game circled. The next major reason is all the changes in the Cavaliers lineups. With so many new additions and players playing different positions, we can’t expect this team to have success out of the gate. We will look to fade the Cave coming out of the gate. PLAY BOSTON |
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06-01-17 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 225.5 | Top | 91-113 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 43 m | Show |
701 Cleveland at Golden State The Cavaliers build its team this year in order to match up better with the Warriors in the full court game. Shooters abound from downtown and Kyrie and LeBron both have the ability to get into the lane. The problem is that Cleveland only has one defensive stopper and Tristan Thompson will likely matchup with Kevin Durant, which will pull him away from the basket. If you watched the first three rounds it was clear that Cleveland couldn’t rotate on three point shooters, but fortunately the opposition couldn’t hit a wide open shot. That won’t be the case here as the Warriors live for this wide open floor game. We expect this opening game to be a shootout with the Warriors continually pressing the issue. PLAY OVER |
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05-03-17 | Raptors +7.5 v. Cavs | Top | 103-125 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 53 m | Show |
731 Toronto at Cleveland So Cleveland was bet down from 7 to 6 in the series opener despite the fact that the Cavaliers had a huge advantage in rest and practice time. Our clients cashed wire to wire with Cleveland in that opener. But now in what would be a classic zig zag situation the line has opened at Cleveland -7 1/2. That’s simply the wrong opening number as Cleveland doesn’t have that rest advantage here. We expect this series to go seven games and while the Gators may not get the outright win here, the side will never be in doubt. Look for Toronto to be right there with Cleveland the entire game as this one goes down to the buzzer. PLAY TORONTO |
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05-01-17 | Raptors v. Cavs -6.5 | Top | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
724 Toronto at Cleveland While it will be a defensive problem for Cleveland keeping up with the Toronto guards, the extra preparation time helps the Cavs most in this game one contest. That advantage simply won’t be there once the Raptors make game two adjustments. Teams with extra rest have a huge advantage in the playoffs, and the Raptors were pushed to six games in the previous series. Toronto has a real chance to knock off Cleveland in this series, but game one will be all Cavaliers. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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04-23-17 | Cavs -3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 106-102 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show |
509 Cleveland at Indiana We’ve successfully faded the Cavaliers twice in this series, but now is the time to back LeBron and company. Up 3-0 and going for a sweep the veteran team knows the value of rest, so it will go all out to end this series on Sunday. Teams down 3-0 have a habit of giving up, knowing winning four straight games isn’t going to happen. Especially the way the Pacers blew game three after having a 26 point lead. Cleveland took out Kyrie and Love, their two worst defenders and completely shut down this Indiana offense. James is excellent in first round games and his winning streak in those contests continues on Sunday. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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04-17-17 | Pacers +8.5 v. Cavs | Top | 111-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
517 Indiana at Cleveland If you joined us over the weekend there is no need to elaborate on our feelings about the Cavs. The team hasn’t played well since the All-Star break and it just isn’t going to flip the switch because it’s the playoffs. The same Cleveland team we have seen in the regular season showed up in the opening game. Still the Cavs once again took money for this matchup. Bettors must be playing the due system. Indiana has to have gained confidence in that first matchup as it was played at Cleveland’s pace and yet the Pacers had a shot to win it at the buzzer. No reason to back Cleveland here as it was more of the same from the regular season. PLAY INDIANA |
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04-15-17 | Pacers +8.5 v. Cavs | Top | 108-109 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
501 Indiana at Cleveland Spending over 35 years in the Cleveland/Akron area we are still fans of our local Cavaliers and Indians teams. We watch virtually every game played by these teams and know them as well as anyone outside the organizations. So we can tell you that the Cavaliers are not the same team as the squad who took home the crown last season. Defense has been nonexistent this season and teams that lack defense don’t advance in the NBA Playoffs. While the big three has had a solid season the remainder of the team has regressed. None of the bench players have looked good and JR Smith is nowhere near the player on both ends as he was last season. Indiana is not as good as Cleveland but this team has fought all year to get here and an outright series victory would not be a shock. That said there is no way we can lay this type of number with a Cleveland team that thinks it can turn it on in the playoffs. The Cavs may win but this number is just too high. PLAY INDIANA |
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03-30-17 | Cavs v. Bulls +6 | Top | 93-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
704 Cleveland at Chicago Want no part of the Cavaliers here as the defensive sieve has made this team tough to back laying points. It also doesn’t help that no matter the personnel Cleveland has a hard time beating the Bulls. Chicago has won 6 of the last 7 meetings, while covering six straight. In each of those six games Chicago was installed as the underdog, and the Bulls won outright five of those six meetings. Cleveland plays again tomorrow against Philadelphia and the Cavs have been terrible in the second of a back to back game. Therefore it wouldn’t surprise me to see Cleveland extend the bench minutes a bit tonight. Chicago has had the last three days off and is idol tomorrow. Cleveland will have its full attention. PLAY CHICAGO |
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03-29-17 | Hawks -1 v. 76ers | Top | 99-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
501 Atlanta at Philadelphia The Hawks broke their seven game losing streak last night with a 95-91 home victory over Phoenix. Now the team has to fly to Philadelphia to take on a Sixers team coming off a road victory over Brooklyn. While a lot of teams take the Sixers for granted that won’t be the case tonight for the Hawks. First of all this team is still fighting for playoff seeding, and the recent losing streak has put them in a poor situation. The good news is they have owned Philadelphia this year. Wins by 32, 21 and 17 points. We like to take teams that need a victory when playing a squad it has dominated. Throw in the fact that Philly returns home off a five game road trip, and then plays the next two games on the road. The Sixers will have played nine straight games all in different arenas by the time this current streak is over. PLAY ATLANTA |
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03-26-17 | South Carolina v. Florida -3.5 | Top | 77-70 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
722 South Carolina & Florida The major key here is that this will be the third time Florida has faced this highly physical ball hawking defense of the Gamecocks. The first time South Carolina had the advantage but last time Florida held the super hand after have time to prepare. Now on short rest it’s the Gators who have the advantage once again. Every team that faced the Gamecocks in the Big Dance talked about not being prepared for this terrific defense. In fact, South Carolina had tremendous success this season in first meetings. But that hasn’t carried over when teams plays the Gamecocks a second time. Florida is well prepared for what it will see here, and wins going away. PLAY FLORIDA |
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03-25-17 | Wizards v. Cavs OVER 215 | Top | 127-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
503 Washington at Cleveland Prime opportunity to look for a high scoring game between these two Eastern Conference playoff participants. Washington is playing to avenge a loss to Cleveland that broke a 17 game home winning streak. The Wizards want to beat the Cavs badly as it’s a proving ground for the playoffs. Cleveland has been terrible in the second of back to back games, and is must likely without LeBron James tonight because of a poked eye last night in Charlotte. Without LeBron and his defense the Cavs will be led by Kyrie and Kevin, two excellent offensive players with major defensive liabilities. With Wall and Irving looking to push the pace we see this game easily surpassing the posted total. PLAY OVER |
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03-24-17 | UCLA v. Kentucky +1.5 | Top | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
876 UCLA & Kentucky Revenge game for the Wildcats who lost to UCLA 97-92 earlier at home. We really like the improvement in this Wildcat defense which has held 12 straight opponents to 77 points or less. In fact, just two of those opponents surpassed 70. This is a very young team as you would expect for Calipare, and the team has continually gotten better on the season. This is just the second same season revenge game for Kentucky, in the other it beat Tennessee by 25 points. UCLA is an outstanding shooting team but rarely plays the type of athletes Kentucky produces. Coming off the likes of Kent State and Cincinnati, this is a major step up game for the Bruins. Wrong team favored here. PLAY KENTUCKY |
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03-23-17 | Clippers v. Mavs +5.5 | Top | 95-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
806 LA Clippers at Dallas The Clips are stepping up in class here after facing the Lakers, Knicks and Cavs minus the big three. Before those contests LA dropped three straight against quality opponents in Utah, Milwaukee and Denver. Dallas is making a late run for the playoffs and have won 16 of 27 in the process. Coming off an ugly 25 point home loss to Golden State after four straight away, this is a very good spot for the host. With the Clippers, Raptors and Thunder on deck it’s do or die time for the Mavericks. PLAY DALLAS |
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03-19-17 | Michigan v. Louisville -2.5 | Top | 73-69 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 50 m | Show |
722 Michigan & Louisville The Cinderella story for the Wolverines ends on Sunday. After surviving the airplane scare the Wolverines went all the way to the Big Ten Championship and crowned the school the Conference Champions. Then had to go to the wire to defeat Oklahoma State by one in a back and forth game on Friday. In that contest Michigan has four players who had at least 38 1/2 minutes of playing time. I know kids at this age are durable, but this has to have an affect on their bodies. Louisville had an easy time in its first game as the Cardinals pulled away in the second half in a game that was never in doubt. The Cards are a very good defensive team that will give Michigan plenty of trouble here. The line is cheap on the better team. PLAY LOUISVILLE |
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03-14-17 | Boise State +10.5 v. Utah | Top | 73-68 | Win | 100 | 25 h 30 m | Show |
561 Boise State at Utah The Mountain West was down this year but this line is a few points too high. Boise is a good shooting team with 52.2% effective field goals. In fact, when subtracting the 48.2% allowed the Broncos have a solid 4.0% edge in effective field goal shooting. Keep in mind this is a team that went to Oregon and lost by just 5 points, and beat SMU at home by 9. Utah had a 20 win season but had problems losing games it should have won. Defeats against California twice, Oregon State, Stanford and San Francisco, all teams not invited to the Big Dance. Utah has dropped 5 of 10 entering this contest, with three of those wins by single digits. Too many points here. PLAY BOISE STATE |
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03-07-17 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -4.5 | Top | 56-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
716 St Mary’s & Gonzaga We’ve been waiting for this matchup as the betting public and ourselves are at opposite ends regarding the Gaels. Gonzaga has won 11 of the last 13 meetings and this year the difference in quality of these teams is the largest in quite some time. The Gaels haven’t beaten a team heading to the dance since early December. The two meetings against the Zags resulted in losses by 23 and 10 points. Coming off a complete blowout over BYU this team is clearly overrated here. Lay the number with the Zags who are still looking for a #1 seed. PLAY GONZAGA |
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03-06-17 | College of Charleston v. North Carolina Wilmington UNDER 146 | Top | 69-78 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
534 College of Charleston & NC Wilmington These two will battle it out for the lone invite to the Big Dance. The total in this game seems rather high considering none of the past nine games surpassed this current total. With the importance of this game we would expect the defenses to give a better effort. Also this is the third game in three days for both teams, so the jump shots could very well come up short. PLAY UNDER |
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03-04-17 | Jacksonville State v. Tennessee-Martin UNDER 137.5 | Top | 66-55 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
702 Jacksonville State & Tennessee-Martin Gamecocks coming into the Championship off a shocking win over conference powerhouse Belmont. Martin knocked off Murray State for the second time in a week to get to this point. This game pits the #2 and #4 seeds in the tournament. While this conference is known for its offense we are going to look for a slower paced game here on Saturday. Pressure of the win and go dancing of this game gives the defenses the edge. PLAY UNDER |
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03-01-17 | Nevada v. San Jose State +7 | Top | 82-67 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
568 Nevada at San Jose State Major sandwich spot here for the Wolf Pack after blowing out in-state rival UNLV with a major game vs Colorado State on deck to end the regular season. Nevada is 12-4 in conference and 23-6 overall but this is likely going to be a one bid conference. Colorado State is 13-4 in the Mountain West and 21-9 overall so that game on Saturday will go a long way for postseason play for both those teams. San Jose State is a solid 7-9 in league action this year and a hell of a lot better team than a year ago. With a 14-13 record and a trip to Wyoming on deck this team will be fighting extremely hard to get a victory, assuring a winning regular season. We look for this game to go down to the wire. PLAY SAN JOSE STATE |
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02-25-17 | Southern Miss v. North Texas -5 | Top | 76-53 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
562 Southern Miss at North Texas The Golden Eagles are not a deep team at all which is why it has played well on long rest and very poorly on short rest. On Thursday this team laid it all on the line at a 15 point underdog at Rice and took the Owls to the wire in a 72-71 loss. Now less than 48 hours later this club is at North Texas in a competitively priced game. Southern Miss is 0-14 straight up this season when facing a team away from home. North Texas is seeking revenge for a 76-65 loss earlier at Southern Miss. While the Mean Green are only 8-19 on the season its effective field goal difference is only -3.0% on the year, compared to the Golden Eagles -7.8%. Cheap line with the host here as North Texas wins by double digits. PLAY NORTH TEXAS |
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02-25-17 | Texas Tech +7 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 63-80 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
549 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State Nice price here on the road underdog Red Raiders who are stepping down in class after facing Kansas, Baylor, West Virginia and Iowa State. Not to mention seeking revenge for an embarrassing 19 point home loss to these Cowboys. Despite a lowly 5-10 conference record Texas Tech is 17-11 on the season with a 3.2% effective field goal advantage over the opposition. Oklahoma State is 19-9 and 8-7 in Big12 action but owns a lesser 2.0% effective field goal edge on the season. Revenge time for the Red Raiders. PLAY TEXAS TECH |
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02-20-17 | Miami (Fla) v. Virginia -7 | Top | 54-48 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
704 Miami Florida at Virginia Miami has won 2 of the last 7 in this series although these teams have split 3-3 ATS in Virginia. Miami is playing pretty good ball right now, especially defensively allowing just 47.1% effective field goals on the season. Virginia has the same conference record of 8-6 as the Hurricanes, but the Cavaliers have dropped three straight heading into this contest. With losses to North Carolina, Duke and Virginia Tech the betting public has soured on the defensive minded Cavs. But keep in mind this team has a 7.9 effective field goal advantage, shooting 54.0 and allowing 46.1. Those numbers cannot be denied. We made this line 11.4 which gives us a huge edge in this one, as we for one haven’t abandoned the Cavaliers. PLAY VIRGINIA |
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02-19-17 | Rider v. Iona -8 | Top | 103-85 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
880 Rider at Iona Iona is 14-3 SU in this seres and 12-6 ATS. Iona is 8-5 ATS as the series host. The Gaels sit at 11-6 in conference and 18-10 overall. Iona has won 8 of 10 but split the last four games heading into this contest. It won 95-76 less than three weeks ago at Rider. Rider is 14-14 overall and 7-10 on the MAAC. The Broncs play solid defense but lack a scoring punch. In the last three weeks not only did it surrender 95 to this Iona team but 107 in a win at Quinnipiac. That’s a sign that this defense is tiring. After losses in 9 of 12 heading into this contest we can’t expect that stop unit to rebound here on the road. PLAY IONA |
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02-18-17 | Charlotte v. Old Dominion -9 | Top | 48-72 | Win | 100 | 24 h 40 m | Show |
618 Charlotte at Old Dominion Getting this one early as we expect it to move. We made this 15.6 and the opener was 9.0. Huge lay for the host. PLAY OLD DOMINION |
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02-17-17 | Princeton v. Yale +3 | Top | 71-52 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
862 Princeton at Yale Princeton has come up short the last five times visiting Yale ATS. The team is sitting at a perfect 8-0 in conference this is not going to be an easy game for the Tigers. Princeton only beat Yale by eight earlier at home. The Bulldogs are a solid 6-2 in conference with the two losses coming at Princeton and last time out here against Harvard. That’s the only home loss this season for Yale. We have the Bulldogs rated as the favorite here and we are catching points. Can’t pass this one up with the quality Bulldogs team. PLAY YALE |
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02-16-17 | Colorado v. Oregon State +10.5 | Top | 60-52 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
744 Colorado at Oregon State The Buffaloes enter here having won 5 of 6 as of late, but in our opinion the line has been over adjusted. The home win over Oregon is legit, but the other victories came against lesser opposition. Oregon State is winless in conference and 4-22 overall on the season. But this is an opponent the Beavers can handle. It only lost by 7 earlier in Colorado. This time of year the books inflate the numbers against weak opponents which is why we find plenty of value here with the home dog. Just too many points for the Buffs to lay. PLAY OREGON STATE |
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02-15-17 | St. John's v. Butler -10.5 | Top | 86-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
564 St Johns at Butler The Johnnies are treading water right now having split each of its last eight games with losses following wins. Last time out St Johns beat Seton Hall at home and have Marquette on the road on deck. Butler had been cruising along with an 18-3 record before dropping 3 of the last 4 contests. Losses to Providence, Creighton and Georgetown sandwiched between a victory over Marquette. We like to back superior teams after hitting a rough spot, especially at home. Throw in the fact that this is a revenge game for the Bulldogs as it lost 76-73 back at the end of December. Butler has lost back to back home games and this line is very cheap in our eyes. We look for a blowout! PLAY BUTLER |
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02-14-17 | Marist v. St. Peter's -12 | Top | 46-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
758 Marist at St Peters The Red Foxes are just 3-12 in the MAAC this season and have lost seven straight heading into this contest. The last time these two met was on January 26th in a 81-65 home loss for Marist. St Peters is a solid 10-6 in league action and have won 8 of 12 heading into this contest. We made the Peacocks a bigger favorite here than the current line and have no problem laying points into a Red Foxes team playing out the string. PLAY ST PETERS |
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02-11-17 | BYU +3.5 v. San Francisco | Top | 68-52 | Win | 100 | 22 h 53 m | Show |
887 BYU at San Francisco The Cougars have won eight straight in this series and this is a key game for both squads. BYU beat San Francisco by 10 at home a month ago and the Cougars normally travel well but are just 2-4 SU on the road this season. That said defense travels and BYU allows a solid 46.7 effective field goal percentage. The Dons have run off 7 of 8 straight up heading into this one, losing at ST Mary’s by 20. San Francisco is a good shooting team but have beaten up on the lesser teams in this conference. We make the Cougars a road favorite of 2.4 here, so obviously we feel the wrong team is favored. PLAY BYU |
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02-10-17 | Nuggets +2 v. Knicks | Top | 131-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
855 Denver at New York Well aware that Gallinari is out tonight for the Nuggets, but the line still favors the road team. The current number says the Nuggets are only one point better on a neutral. Denver enters this game having won 9 of 15, while cashing 6 of 7 when installed as the better team. New York on the other hand has won just 6 of 25 games heading into action tonight. The only wins in the last two weeks came against Charlotte and Brooklyn, likely the two worst teams in the NBA over that span. The Knicks are winless on this home stand with San Antonio on deck. The need is there for the host but the ability has left the building. PLAY DENVER |
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02-07-17 | Syracuse v. Clemson -3 | Top | 82-81 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 50 m | Show |
738 Syracuse at Clemson The Orangemen are getting a lot of press after beating the likes of Florida State and Virginia in the last ten days. But keep in mind this team is only 1-5 straight up on the road this season with the only win coming against NC State. Syracuse has dropped 3 of the 4 meetings with the Tigers SU & ATS. Clemson is coming in off a total embarrassment at Florida State, losing by a whopping 48 points. You can bet this Clemson team will be primed for retribution here. PLAY CLEMSON |
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02-07-17 | Wake Forest v. Notre Dame -6.5 | Top | 81-88 | Win | 100 | 18 h 7 m | Show |
730 Wake Forest at Notre Dame The Demon Deacons have dropped the last three meetings all by double digits. Wake is just 4-5 SU on the road this year. Off back to back wins over the likes of Boston College and Georgia Tech we don’t believe this team has the ability to step up in class here. Wake allows opponents 51.7 effective field goal which is a problem especially on the road. The Irish shoot 6.2% better than the opposition in effective field goals. Coming in here off four straight losses this is a must win contest for the host. The last two times Notre Dame played on this court resulted in losses. The only two home losses this season. The Irish should give its best effort of the season tonight. PLAY NOTRE DAME |
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02-05-17 | Nebraska +6 v. Iowa | Top | 70-81 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
863 Nebraska at Iowa The Cornhuskers have dropped 6 of 7 as of late which gives us a nice advantage on the road here. Even in losses this team has been very competitive. Nebraska beat Iowa earlier at home 93-90 as a 2 1/2 point favorite. Iowa itself has lost 3 of 5 with the victories coming against an inconsistent Ohio State team and a poor Rutgers squad. Despite the revenge motive we can’t back this Hawkeyes team laying points. PLAY NEBRASKA |
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01-31-17 | Manhattan v. Fairfield -2.5 | Top | 49-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
764 Manhattan at Fairfield The Jaspers have picked up its play in the MAAC since losing at home to Fairfield 97-79 early in the month. But in our opinion this line is very short for the host. Despite dropping 5 of 6 we still have the Stags rated as the better team. Fairfield has also cashed 5 of the last 6 meetings hosting Manhattan. Off a confidence building win over Marist we will back the Stags to sweep the season series. PLAY FAIRFIELD |
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01-30-17 | Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma +2 | Top | 68-66 | Push | 0 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
526 Oklahoma State at Oklahoma The Cowboys enter this game as the much hotter team, but this club has really struggled in Norman. The Sooners have cashed 7 straight in this building against Oklahoma State and have won the last seven games between them in straight up fashion. The Cowboys enter play off three great defensive wins against Arkansas, TCU and Texas Tech. But keep in mind it had lost six straight heading into that threesome. Oklahoma is down this year which is something you just can’t overlook. By even so this is still a top 60 squad getting points at home against a hated rival. History has shown that the Sooners rise up in this matchup and we agree the host is the side here. Coming off an embarrassing 32 point loss on this court last time out against Florida, we see a big bounce back here. PLAY OKLAHOMA |
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01-27-17 | Wizards +4 v. Hawks | Top | 112-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
863 Washington at Atlanta The Wizards just had a showdown with Boston that mean’t a great deal to this team, but the line adjustment isn’t warranted. That game was three days ago, plenty of time to get ready for a top contender for the playoffs. Washington has cashed 7 straight and is now on a 19-6 spread run. The first two meetings showed by the closing line that Atlanta graded out as 1 and 1 1/2 points better. Since that time it’s clear to us that the Wizards are playing much better ball, yet this line has them in the same price range. Just in the last two weeks the Hawks were in the same price range at home against Chicago and Milwaukee, Washington is playing far better ball than those two. PLAY WASHINGTON |
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01-25-17 | Heat v. Nets +4.5 | Top | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
506 Miami at Brooklyn Tough spot for the Heat here after upsetting the best team in the NBA and now facing the worst. A trip to Chicago is on deck against former All-Star Wade. Miami has won exactly once on the road since December 9th, yet it is expected to not only win but cover tonight in Brooklyn. The Heat have only been favored in this range once all season, 7 1/2 points better than Philadelphia in November. Miami actually lost that game straight up 101-94. This is not the kind of role the Heat have had success in. Brooklyn has this game sandwiched between San Antonio and Cleveland. The Nets are 12-8 ATS on the season when playing a team 6-10 points better than it is. PLAY BROOKLYN |
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01-24-17 | Clippers v. 76ers +3.5 | Top | 110-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
708 LA Clippers at Philadelphia Both teams will be without its best players tonight as Paul and Embiid are on the sidelines. Blake Griffin returns to the lineup for the Clippers which is a major reason why this line has jumped from the overnights. But is having him back with tons of rust a good thing? The Clippers went all out yesterday in an impressive win at Atlanta, now its playing in the second game of a back to back against a younger team with fresh legs. LA also has hated rival Golden State on deck. Before playing the Warriors or Cavaliers this year, (The two teams in the NBA Finals) LA has really struggled. How bout losing outright to Brooklyn as a 10 1/2 point favorite, and losing outright to Indiana as an 11 1/2 point chalk. The Sixers have won 8 of its last 11 games in straight up fashion. When playing a team that is 6-10 points better on a neutral Philadelphia has cashed 13 of 20. The Sixers are a team on the rise and its used to not playing with Embiid this season as the team rests him in back to back games. PLAY PHILADELPHIA |
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01-22-17 | Warriors v. Magic +13.5 | Top | 118-98 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
832 Golden State at Orlando Tough spot for the Warriors in the first of a back to back night, after facing Cleveland, Oklahoma City and Houston. Golden State is just 10-19 ATS on the season when favored over a team that is 11 points or worse power rated. Orlando is a solid 8-4 ATS when playing a team that is 6 or more points better on a neutral. The current line says that the Warriors are 16 points better in this matchup. With Orlando in the middle of a three game home stand we will back the home dog in an early start contest. PLAY ORLANDO |
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01-21-17 | Blazers v. Celtics -7.5 | Top | 127-123 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
502 Portland at Boston Blazers in the second game of a back to back after going to the wire at Philadelphia last night. This is the third game in four days and the final game on this four game trip. Portland can look forward to a five game home stand that starts on Wednesday. Boston is off a home loss to the Knicks. The Celtics have been an excellent 16-7 ATS when playing a team 0-5 points weaker than itself. This is the only Boston game in a five day span. PLAY BOSTON |
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01-14-17 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -7 | Top | 56-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
672 St Marys at Gonzaga This rivalry battle comes down to who can dictate the pace. St Mary wants to slow the ball down ranking 350th in the country in adjusted tempo, while the Zags are more middle of the pack. The home team and or favorite normally dictate pace and the would be Gonzaga on both counts. The Zags have dominated this series with its biggest league rival, and St Mary has played the easier schedule of these two. We will ride the host to win this one by double digits. PLAY GONZAGA |
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01-12-17 | Purdue v. Iowa +5 | Top | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
560 Purdue at Iowa The Boilermakers have been the better team as of late and it still struggles with the Hawkeyes, especially on the road. Iowa has been favored just twice in the last ten meetings, yet it has won five of those games outright. At home Iowa has cashed 7 of 8 games including outright underdog wins as 5, 9 and 14 1/2 point underdogs. Purdue has just one outright win in a true road game all season and that was by a single point at Ohio State. Iowa was blown out at Purdue just two weeks ago, we see revenge for the host here. PLAY IOWA |
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01-10-17 | Cavs -2 v. Jazz | Top | 92-100 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
511 Cleveland at Utah Terrible scheduling spot for the Jazz here who return home from a five game eastern road trip. The Utah offense has really struggled as of late scoring 79, 94 and 93 points. Through December 21st which is the last day we charted this angle, teams off a 5+ game road trip were 7-13 ATS this season. It’s been a consistent winner year in and year out. Utah is also a poor 1-7 ATS on the season when playing a team that is 0-5 points better than them. The current line last the Cavs five points the superior team. Throw in the fact that Cleveland is off back to back games in which it blew sizable leads, and we have a Cavs team with something to prove. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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01-08-17 | Ohio State +5.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 68-78 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
539 Ohio State at Minnesota The Buckeyes have won 10 of the last 11 meetings in this series and enter here off back to back 5 and 1 point losses to Illinois and Purdue. With a trip to Wisconsin on deck this is an early season must win spot for the Buckeyes. Minnesota enters with an outstanding 14-2 record on the season, winning 8 of the last 9. After road wins at Purdue and Northwestern this club enters play tonight fat and happy. But keep in mind both of these teams have played better on the road than at home this season, so we feel this line is a bit inflated. Look for this one to come down to the wire. PLAY OHIO STATE |
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01-07-17 | San Diego State v. Boise State -3 | Top | 66-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
878 San Diego State at Boise State The Aztecs have owned the Mountain West Conference for years, but Boise has really given them problems as of late. The Broncos have won 3 of the last 4 meetings with defense showing the way in each showdown. When looking at how these teams have done when stepping up this year we find San Diego State 1-2 when facing Top 100 Programs. Losing to Gonzaga badly and Nevada last time out. In fact, if you extend that another ten spots it includes losses to 109 New Mexico and 103 Arizona State. Boise has split top opponents with a win over 28 SMU and a loss at 18 Oregon. Boise has held the Aztecs to 63, 56, 46 and 46 points the last four contests. They get it done again tonight. PLAY BOISE STATE |
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01-05-17 | Murray State +5.5 v. Jacksonville State | Top | 76-63 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
797 Murray State at Jacksonville State The Racers have won 19 out of 20 meetings in this series with the lone loss coming by a single point. While Murray State has struggled on the road our power ratings and overall rankings have the Racers as the better team. Jacksonville State has played an amazingly daunting schedule with this being its second true home game of the season. So while this will be an inspired home fanbase, you have to keep in mind the Gamecocks have played just one more game in this building than tonights opponent. We will take the points here and let history be our guide with the better team. PLAY MURRAY STATE |
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01-03-17 | Jazz v. Celtics -5.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
704 Utah at Boston Jazz are on a nice current run winning four straight games. The problem has been the opponents have been the weakest teams in the league. Brooklyn, Phoenix, Philadelphia and the Lakers. The Jazz played last night in Brooklyn and are unrested, while Boston has had the last three days off. Utah is just 1-5 ATS on the season when playing a team 0-5 points better than them on a neutral court. Boston is playing well as the team starts to get healthy. Winning 7 of 9 with the losses to Oklahoma and Cleveland. The Celtics are 12-5 ATS on the year playing teams they are 0-5 points better. Look for the rested Celts to prevail. PLAY BOSTON |
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12-28-16 | Pacers v. Wizards -5 | Top | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
702 Indiana at Washington Pacers just beat the Wizards 107-105 just over a week ago in Indiana. Since that time it has dropped three straight to New York, Boston and Chicago. Overall 6 of the last 7 games the Pacers failed to cover. Washington is playing much better ball as of late winning 7 of 10 and cashing 8 of those contests. In the midst of a three game home stand we will back the Wizards here to get quick revenge. Washington has posted a 7-2 ATS mark when playing similar power rating opponents. PLAY WASHINGTON |
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12-21-16 | Kings v. Jazz -7.5 | Top | 94-93 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
714 Sacramento at Utah Both teams are on the second of a back to back situation. Thus far this season with no rest Utah is 1-5 SU while Sacramento is 1-5. Its also an advantage for the host as Sacramento isn’t as used to playing in altitude. While the Kings outlasted the Blazers last night the Jazz were embarrassed in a 30 point loss at Oakland. We look for Utah to bounce back big time tonight. PLAY UTAH |
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12-19-16 | Belmont -8 v. Wisc-Milwaukee | Top | 62-56 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
743 Belmont at Wisconsin Milwaukee After the Bruins game Saturday was postponed against Green Bay, Belmont has extra rest coming off that 13 point loss to Middle Tennessee State. The Bruins are well tested on the road having already played Vanderbilt, Florida and Rhode Island away from home. Despite the tough schedule Belmont has impressed us with its overall defense, something you want out of a road favorite. Tough start to the year for the Panthers who only own four victories against the Milwaukee School of Engineering, UC Irvine, Jacksonville and Montana State. We have serious concerns about the Milwaukee defense which allows an opponent effective field goal percentage of 57.2. With no shot blocker down low Belmont should have its way in the paint. PLAY BELMONT |
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12-16-16 | Hawks v. Raptors -7.5 | Top | 125-121 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
506 Atlanta at Toronto Huge revenge game for the Hawks here who were slaughtered 128-84 the last time in this building. While the effort will be there for Atlanta, the talent is lacking. The Hawks have four new started this year and the chemistry just isn’t there yet. The bench is severely lacking and the guard play has been a problem. That means trouble when facing the Raptors who have one of the most talented backcourts in the league. Toronto is also one of the deepest teams in the NBA. So we have the haves and the have nots here with a line that’s cheap considering the matchups. PLAY TORONTO |
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12-12-16 | Bucks v. Raptors -7.5 | Top | 100-122 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
504 Milwaukee at Toronto Third game in four nights for the Bucks who faded late the last two games and lost to Washington and Atlanta. Milwaukee has an extreme disadvantage in the backcourt here as the Bucks guards are just too slow to guard Toronto. As much as we liked Matthew Dellavedova from his time in Cleveland he really struggled when playing Toronto. The Raptors have won 12 of 13 meetings with the Bucks and haven’t played since Friday. Milwaukee has struggled when playing teams of Toronto’s strength while the Raptors have made money against teams of Milwaukee’s ilk. PLAY TORONTO |
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12-09-16 | Pacers v. Mavs +4.5 | Top | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
714 Indiana at Dallas Fifth straight road game for the Pacers who return home tomorrow to host the Blazers. These two went to overtime in the season opener with Indiana winning 130-121. Dallas is playing shorthanded right now with four key pieces remaining on the sideline. That said this team has been competitive all season and we expect the Mavs to battle tonight. Off an embarrassing 31 point loss here to Sacramento on Wednesday you know we will get the best out of the host. The only other blowout loss this season came by 38 at Cleveland and Dallas followed that up with an outright upset win, covering the spread by 15 1/2 points. PLAY DALLAS |
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11-01-16 | Warriors v. Blazers +5 | Top | 127-104 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
718 Golden State at Portland Playoff revenge for the Blazers here after the Warriors knocked them out of contention last season. The Blazers are a team we are looking to back early on as just about all the key pieces return from last years club. Teams with cohesiveness have a big edge early in the season. Golden State on the other hand made some major changes to its personnel this season, which is why the club has been an early money burner. We back the home dog here in what amounts to a statement game. PLAY PORTLAND |
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06-19-16 | Cavs v. Warriors -4.5 | Top | 93-89 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
514 Cleveland at Golden StateYou have to give a ton of credit to the Cavaliers by winning the last two games to draw even in the series. But home teams simply dominate in game 7’s. With the Warriors having a terrific record playing at home, and after two straight losses the host will have a big emotional edge here. Throw in the fact that the Warriors felt the last two games were unfairly called by the refs, and we have a very motivated team tonight.Bogut being out hurts the Golden State defense but the offense will be helped by going small. I’d love to see my hometown Cavaliers win a championship, but I refuse to bet with my heart. The Warriors deserve this championship and they get it tonight by double figures.PLAY GOLDEN STATE |
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06-02-16 | Cavs +6 v. Warriors | Top | 89-104 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
501 Cleveland at Golden State Nice setup for the well rested Cavs here. Off a much easier playoff run and Golden State being taken to the limit against Oklahoma City. This Cleveland team was built to match up against the Warriors and this is not the same club that Golden State embarrassed earlier. Playoff revenge and extra rest make this a major steal game for the visitor.PLAY CLEVELAND |
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05-23-16 | Cavs -6 v. Raptors | Top | 99-105 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
713 Cleveland at Toronto We expect a big rebound here from the Cavaliers who are 8-1 ATS as a road favorite in revenge this season. The players talked about taking the Raptors for granted and the lack of effort showed. If you’ve followed LeBron James in his career you know his teams rarely if ever give bad efforts two games in a row. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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05-08-16 | Cavs -4.5 v. Hawks | Top | 100-99 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
525 Cleveland at AtlantaA major key for the Cavaliers this postseason is limiting the games played, therefore having an edge against upcoming opponents. So far so good as Cleveland is 7-0 in the playoffs. The Cavs have also dominated the Hawks the past two seasons including a sweep in the playoffs a year ago. Today Cleveland attempts for a repeat against a Hawks team that just doesn’t match up well with them.Atlanta had a chip on its shoulder coming into this series, but its clear now that the Hawks aren’t at the same level as Cleveland. We can’t see this team putting in enough effort to have to go back to Cleveland for game five. In a building that 3 point records were set against them. Teams with a 3-0 series lead have dominated in closeout games, and with LeBron having tons of experience in this situation we can’t see the Hawks competing.PLAY CLEVELAND |
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05-07-16 | Warriors v. Blazers +4 | Top | 108-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
524 Golden State at PortlandThe Warriors haven’t fared well in the playoffs after winning the first two games at home. This is traditionally the game to back the host after going 0-2 on the road to open the series. Portland has been very successful in the playoffs in this building and we expect an all out effort here. The Blazers had a double digit lead in Golden State last time out before collapsing in the fourth quarter. We we look for Portland to put this one in the win column while Curry remains sidelined.PLAY PORTLAND |
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05-02-16 | Hawks v. Cavs -7.5 | Top | 93-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
504 Atlanta at ClevelandWhile the Hawks have playoff revenge from being swept last year against the Cavs, this team has shown no positives in order to turn this series around. Cleveland owned Atlanta in the regular season as the Hawks defense that stymied the rest of the league didn’t have the same effect on Cleveland.Cleveland is well rested while the Hawks were challenged by the Celtics. Atlanta has to work extremely hard defensively in that series and despite wanting to make things right against this team, this isn’t the game for it.PLAY CLEVELAND |
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05-01-16 | Blazers v. Warriors -9.5 | Top | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
506 Portland at Golden StateCheap number here for the host Warriors, who like the Spurs last night are the better team with added rest. Despite the loss of Curry this team has All-Star caliber players throughout the lineup. It’s important for the Warriors to get up in this series early so Curry doesn’t have to be rushed back from injury. That could really throw a wrench in their championship repeat plans. Portland wasn’t expected to advance past the Clippers before the two key injuries. The Blazers get a wakeup call here.PLAY GOLDEN STATE |
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04-30-16 | Thunder v. Spurs -6.5 | Top | 92-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
502 Oklahoma City at San AntonioMuch prefer the well rested Spurs here who start at home after sweeping Memphis in the first round. Well rested teams playing at home have been a nice handicapping angle in the playoffs and it’s continued this year with a 4-1 mark.Oklahoma City had a tougher time than expected with Dallas and now travel to San Antonio where the home team in this series this year won all four games. PLAY SAN ANTONIO |
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04-13-16 | Grizzlies +18.5 v. Warriors | Top | 104-125 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
723 Memphis at Golden State The Grizzlies just played the Warriors down to the wire in a 100-99 loss in which the team blew that game. Golden State had to have a huge rally late in order to set themselves up for the season win record tonight. So Memphis is playing with meaningful revenge and a win tonight in Golden State would make the season for the visitor. As mentioned the Warriors had a tough time with Memphis as well as back to back victories over the second seeded team in the west in the San Antonio Spurs. Now the public is all over this team to win in blowout fashion for the record. But keep in mind the only two times Golden State has been in this price range was against Phoenix and Philadelphia, arguably the two worst teams in the league. It should be noted that Golden State didn’t come close to covering either of those games. Now Memphis with a 42-39 seasonal record is in that class. Sure injuries are a factor but there is no way the Warriors play its starters longer than needed today with the playoffs on the horizon. PLAY MEMPHIS |
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03-27-16 | Rockets v. Pacers -110 | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
706 Houston at Indiana Simply can’t trust these Rockets in what likely is a win and cover situation. Houston just doesn’t take care of the ball well enough to win on the road, and this is the 5th of 8 straight games against likely playoff opponents. Off a victory over Toronto we can’t see that type of success on Sunday.Indiana had an embarrassing loss yesterday at Brooklyn. It’s the first loss to a team with a losing record since the final game of a road trip December 23rd at Sacramento. The Pacers are where they are in the standings because it beats the teams it is supposed to beat. Houston enters with a 37-38 record. At home Indiana should win this game, especially coming off a bad performance.PLAY INDIANA |
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03-25-16 | Wisconsin +1.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 56-61 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
871 Wisconsin and Notre Dame We saw last night that defense is often overlooked this time of year and it paid off on the scoreboard. Tonight we look for more of the same as Wisconsin has the ability to slow down this Irish squad who likes to run. The Badgers have been terrific away from home this year with wins over the likes of VCU, Syracuse, Maryland and Xavier, four teams that all won a game in this tournament. The Badgers allowed 63 and 43 to Xavier and Pittsburgh in the first two rounds, and permits an effective field goal percentage of 48.2. This team had a long ride in this tourney a year ago and knows how to win close games. The Irish are a good shooting team but Wisconsin is a different defensive animal. Notre Dame was 7-7 against teams that made the tournament, while Wisconsin is 9-6. The Badgers lost key players in the offseason and have gotten better as the year has unfolded. The Badgers are the better team here.PLAY WISCONSIN |
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03-21-16 | Nuggets v. Cavs UNDER 214 | Top | 91-124 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
604 Denver at Cleveland The Cavaliers were just embarrassed at Miami as the defense permitted 122 points, the second worst defensive performance of the year for Cleveland. The worst was when the Cavs allowed Golden State 132. The following game Cleveland held the opposition to just 78 points. In the five games this season Cleveland has permitted 113 points or more, the following game the team allowed just 84, 99, 99, 78 and 96 points. An average of 91.2 points per game. Kevin Love is out tonight which means the offense suffers slightly but the defense improves. We look for the Cavaliers to play with added intensity on the defensive end of the court as Denver struggles mightily putting points on the board.PLAY UNDER |
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03-20-16 | Celtics -11 v. 76ers | Top | 120-105 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
705 Boston at Philadelphia The Celtics need a satisfying victory after dropping four straight games. Boston has looked at times to be an up and coming contender in the East, but has regressed as of late. Now Boston gets to take on a Philadelphia team it has beaten in all three meetings this year. We get the better team, off a tough stretch, playing an opponent it has owned this season.Philadelphia has lost 17 of 18 games and is limping to the finish line. Each day players are missing time with injury and this team has little depth. There is no home court advantage for the Sixers, as the home fans have given up on this organization.PLAY BOSTON |
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03-18-16 | Cincinnati v. St Joseph's +2.5 | Top | 76-78 | Win | 100 | 25 h 10 m | Show |
848 Cincinnati & St Josephs |
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03-18-16 | Middle Tennessee v. Michigan State -17.5 | Top | 90-81 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 50 m | Show |
838 Middle Tennessee State & Michigan State |
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03-17-16 | Providence -2 v. USC | Top | 70-69 | Loss | -104 | 23 h 56 m | Show |
727 Providence & USC |
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03-17-16 | Connecticut -3 v. Colorado | Top | 74-67 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
735 Connecticut & Colorado |
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03-16-16 | Tulsa +4 v. Michigan | Top | 62-67 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
621 Tulsa & Michigan We see the same thing occur every year when the at large bids are announced. There is always one team that gets selected that the talking heads continually pound on as an undeserving club. And virtually every year we see that team have success in the Big Dance, many times reaching the Sweet 16. The reason is simple, extra motivation. And the opposing team reads the same quotes and comes in overconfident. That team this year is the Tulsa Golden Hurricane. A highly respected sports book in Vegas released this game at pick ‘em. Others used Michigan -3 as the starting point based on the coaching edge for the Wolverines. Now we are seeing 4’s on the board as the public is following what it heard on television. We will buck the talking heads here and back what we have seen year in and year out. The Golden Hurricanes come to play.PLAY TULSA |
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03-10-16 | TCU v. West Virginia -14.5 | Top | 66-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
746 TCU & West Virginia Tough scheduling situation for the Horned Frogs after giving it all in a victory last night against Texas Tech. Now it takes on the pressuring defense of West Virginia who is rested. The Mountaineers won both earlier meetings handily, so another lopsided win by West Virginia is likely.PLAY WEST VIRGINIA |
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03-08-16 | Hawks v. Jazz -1 | Top | 91-84 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
706 Atlanta at Utah The Hawks are coming in off an impressive victory at the LA Clippers. After facing Utah, Atlanta travels for a much more important game at Toronto. The Hawks lost the only other meeting with the Raptors by double digits.Utah just broke a five game losing streak at New Orleans, and returns home off back to back home losses. This is still a team fighting for the playoffs and this becomes a must win game for the host. After this contest the Jazz travel to Golden State to face the Warriors tomorrow. Therefore you know the coaching staff will do anything possible to assure this victory.PLAY UTAH |
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03-07-16 | Grizzlies +12.5 v. Cavs | Top | 106-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
503 Memphis at Cleveland The Grizzlies have won 5 of 7 games heading into tonight, with both losses to the lowly Suns. That tells us that motivation is a concern for Memphis. But that won’t be the case tonight as it takes on the Eastern Conference team with the top record.The Grizzlies also are seeking revenge for a 30 point home loss on opening night to these same Cavaliers.The Cavs just played five straight games against possible playoff opponents, with six games on the horizon against the West. These games are not nearly as important for Cleveland who looks to secure home court value to the NBA Championship. Cleveland just beat an up and coming Boston team, so we can see a letdown occurring tonight. Especially with a four game road trip on the horizon.PLAY MEMPHIS |
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03-05-16 | Texas-San Antonio v. UTEP -13.5 | Top | 74-81 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
568 Texas San Antonio at UTEP |
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03-04-16 | Hawks v. Lakers +9 | Top | 106-77 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
840 Atlanta at LA Lakers Terrible spot here for the Hawks who have this game sandwiched between the Warriors and Clippers. Two teams in which Atlanta was and is playing with home loss revenge. Atlanta just dropped a close game at Golden State when the Warriors were not at full strength. Despite a 33-28 record on the season Atlanta enters this contest on a 3-6 run. This is the second game of a five game road trip for the Hawks.The Lakers are starting its longest home stand of the season with eight straight games at the Staples Center. After this contest LA plays Golden State and Cleveland 2 of the next 3 games. This is a contest the Lakers can be competitive in and it wouldn’t surprise us if it pulls the outright upset.PLAY LOS ANGELES LAKERS |
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03-02-16 | Oregon State v. USC -5.5 | Top | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
766 Oregon State at USC The Beavers are playing pretty well right now but most of that damage has been done at home. This club has just one outright road win all season, beating Stanford in Palo Alto. This club broke a three game losing streak in the first meeting with an 85-70 win on its own court. USC has dropping three straight and 5 of 6 as it still sits at 19 wins on the season. This club is much better at home than on the road and owns the better guard play in this matchup. With first place Oregon left as the final regular season game this is a must win for the Trojans. Home/Road dichotomy gives us an edge here as the host wins this one by double digits.PLAY USC |
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03-01-16 | Utah State v. Air Force +4 | Top | 78-65 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
550 Utah State at Air Force The Aggies have won 13 of the 16 meetings with the Falcons including a 79-60 home win in mid-January. But that was at home and the Aggies have not played well on the road losing five straight games. The defense allows 51.3% effective field goals which gets even worse away from home. Air Force on the other hand are playing its best ball of the season down the stretch. The Falcons have won four straight home games including wins against Boise State and New Mexico. In the final home game of the season we will back our military friends to give an all out effort in revenge.PLAY AIR FORCE |
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02-28-16 | Colorado State v. Nevada -3.5 | Top | 80-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
842 Colorado State at Nevada The Rams won the first game at home 76-67 but these two teams have gone in opposite directions since then. Especially when you look at home/road dichotomy. Colorado State has won just a single game on the conference road, a one point victory against lowly San Jose State. Allowing an effective field goal percentage of 53.1 is weak, doing so on the road is a disaster.Nevada has been a major surprise this season. The team still lacks offensive production but plays solid defense and rebounds. The Wolf Pack’s only home losses came at the hands of Boise State and San Diego State, the best two teams in the league. Look for Nevada to continue its surprising play with a comfortable win here.PLAY NEVADA |
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02-27-16 | Texas A&M v. Missouri +9.5 | Top | 84-69 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
598 Texas A&M at Missouri The Aggies have regrouped with three straight wins and now face a Missouri team that it pounded 66-53 at home just five weeks ago. This Texas A&M team has been much stronger at home than away, losing four straight outright on the road heading into this contest.Missouri is just 10-18 on the season and have dropped 11 of 13 heading into tonight. But the Tigers are better at home and have been very competitive down the stretch. Winners of 2 of 4 with the losses coming by margins of just 12 and 9 on the road. Letdown spot here for the Aggies as Missouri keeps this one competitive.PLAY MISSOURI |
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02-20-16 | Missouri v. Arkansas -12.5 | Top | 72-84 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
622 Missouri at Arkansas Despite a 3-10 mark in conference play and off back to back victories we want no part of the Tigers here. Even knowing that this club lost at home to Arkansas 94-61 in the earlier meeting. The worst home loss of the season by the way. No we will not be buying into the embarrassing home loss angle here. The reason is quite simply that the Tigers just don’t shoot well enough to be trusted in the road dog role. At 46.5% effective field goals to go along with just 11.5 assists per game, this team shouldn’t be trusted against a team that completely dominated them in the prior meeting.Arkansas is sitting at two games below .500 after three straight losses. But with a manageable schedule to finish the year the Razorbacks can still post a winning record. This is a club which is much better at home and has a nice 16.6 assists per game mark. Good guard play is the key and that’s a nice advantage when playing at home. Arkansas is 11-3 at home this season but have dropped 2 of 3 in this building as of late. Look for the host to dictate pace here and pull away as the game unfolds.PLAY ARKANSAS |
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02-19-16 | Oakland +8.5 v. Valparaiso | Top | 84-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
879 Oakland at Valparaiso |
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02-18-16 | Wisconsin v. Michigan State -10 | Top | 57-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
548 Wisconsin at Michigan State The Badgers have run off seven straight wins including an impressive victory at Maryland last time out. The winning streak started at the expense of these Spartans in a 77-76 home win for Wisconsin. Now at 8-4 in the Big Ten a lot of people are starting to look at this team as a possible sleeper come tournament time. But we’re not one of those expecting a lot out of this club. Looking at effective field goal percentage the Badgers shoot 49.0% while allowing 48.2%, not what we would call elite by any means. The 11.2 assists per game adds to the concern about a lengthy run. Michigan State actually trails in the conference race with an 8-5 mark, but the shooting numbers show a much better team. Looking at effective field goal percentage we see the Spartans at 55.7% while allowing 42.1%, those are elite numbers. Throw in the fact that Michigan State averages 20.7 assists a game and we have a squad that is able to go all the way. Only twice this season have the Spartans lost a game by more than a single point. Revenge puts Michigan State over the top in this one.PLAY MICHIGAN STATE |
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02-15-16 | NC State +12 v. Virginia | Top | 53-73 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
701 NC State at Virginia Despite just a 13-12 record on the season our power ratings we use have this team ranked 60th in the country. A tough schedule has cost this team wins but the Wolfpack are a quality basketball team. While on a disappointing 3-9 run this club has been very competitive. Losing by 12 points or less in every contest during this so called down streak. All of Virginia’s five losses this year have come on the road, which makes this a very tough place to play for the visitor. But the style of play the Cavaliers use makes it very hard to distance themselves in low scoring games. Coming off a tight single point loss at Duke on Saturday will be tough to come down from. Virginia will win but the Wolfpack will make them fight to every point.PLAY NC STATE |