At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels + the points over Virginia, as UNC falls into a 67% ATS system of mine.  What we want to do is go against any team away from home off 3 ATS wins, if it's up against an opponent off 3 ATS losses, and the line is less than 11 points.  And that's the situation today, as Virginia is off 3 ATS wins, while UNC is off 3 ATS losses.  Take North Carolina.  NCAA Roadkill.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats plus the points over TCU.  Last week, the Wildcats fell by 6, in overtime, to Texas, as a 5-point underdog, and are now 3-2 on the season.  The Horned Frogs, meanwhile, are undefeated, at 5-0, and have been installed as a road favorite in Manhattan vs. K-State.  However, TCU's been a very weak favorite of late, including 8-23 ATS since 2011 when priced as a favorite of less than 14 points.  And Kansas State has been terrific as a home dog, with a 28-16 record since 1988, including 11-1 ATS off a SU/ATS loss.   Moreover, undefeated teams, with a 5-0 (or better) record, have cashed a paltry 31% since 1980 as road favorites of -2.5 (or more) points vs. .600 (or better) teams off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the points with Kansas State on Saturday.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over South Carolina.  In their last game, the Volunteers were blanked, 41-0, by Georgia, here at home.  The Gamecocks, meanwhile blew out Arkansas, 48-22, in Columbia last Saturday.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to take the points with South Carolina, given that they're 4-2 SU/ATS, while Tennessee is just 3-2 SU and 1-4 ATS on the season.  But favorites off a 25-point (or worse) defeat have cashed a whopping 70.7% over the past 38 years vs. conference foes off a 25-point (or better) victory.  But that's not the best part.  If our favored team also has a .571 (or better) win percentage, then our 70.7% ATS system zooms to a nearly-perfect 14-1, 93% ATS.  Also, .500 (or better) teams have gone 71% ATS at home since 1980 off a home shutout loss (and 78% in Conference games)!  I look for the Vols to redeem themselves off their 41-0 home defeat.  Lay the points with Tennessee.  High Noon Hanging!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks over the Washington State Cougars.  Mike Leach's Cougars upset previously undefeated Southern Cal last week, 30-27, as a 4.5-point underdog.  Not surprisingly, teams that pull off such upsets generally have letdowns in their next game, and especially when going into revenge.  Indeed, since 1980, teams off home upset wins over previously undefeated opponents have covered just 27.4% on the road when matched up against revenge-minded foes, if priced between -17 and +3.5 points!  Last year, Washington State upset Oregon, 51-33, in Pullman, so the Ducks will be looking to avenge that upset defeat here, at Autzen Stadium, on Saturday.  The Ducks are also a super 23-7 ATS at home when playing with revenge vs. conference foes, and not laying more than 20 points, including a perfect 7-0 ATS if they were favored by more than 2 points in that upset defeat the previous season.  Take Oregon.  NCAA Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the San Jose State Spartans + the points over Fresno St.  The Spartans come into this home game off 4 straight losses (both SU and ATS), and are now 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS on the season.  They've also failed to cover the spread by 14.58 ppg this season.  But the good news for San Jose is that it's back home on Saturday, where it's gone 2-1 ATS this season.  Also, home dogs off 4 straight ATS losses, that have an average pointspread differential of -14 ppg (or worse), are an awesome 72% ATS the past 33 years vs. .500 (or worse) opponents.  Take the points with San Jose.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:15 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies + the points over the Alabama Crimson Tide.  Alabama has certainly impressed over the past two weeks, with back to back blowout wins over Vanderbilt (59-0), as a 19-point favorite, and Ole Miss (66-3), as a 29-point favorite.  But we will play against the Tide on Saturday, as undefeated road favorites of -11 (or more) points, with a 4-0 (or better) record, are a dreadful 0-19 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins, if our road favorite's average margin of victory for the season was 28.8 ppg (or better).  Take the Aggies.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles + the points over Texas San Antonio.  After winning (and covering) each of their first three games this season, the Golden Eagles were upset at home, 43-28, by North Texas last week.  Meanwhile, the Roadrunners blew out Texas St., 44-14, as a 13.5 point favorite.  We'll take the points with Southern Miss, as winning teams have cashed 68.1% in regular season conference games over the past 33 years off a conference loss in which they failed to cover by 16+ points, if they're now double-digit dogs against a foe off a win, in which that foe covered the spread by 16+ points.  Take Southern Miss.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies + the points over Colorado State.  Utah State comes into this game off back to back impressive wins.  The Aggies routed San Jose 61-10 two weeks ago, and then blew out BYU 40-24 last Friday.  I love playing on home underdogs that can score, and the Aggies certainly fit the bill as they're averaging 34.4 ppg through their first five games.  And, since 1980, home dogs of more than 7 points that average 32+ ppg after at least 5 games, and are off momentum-building back to back wins, have cashed 72% (including 13-1 ATS the past 4 seasons).  Take the Aggies. Mountain West Dog of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Maryland.  Last week, the Buckeyes shut out Rutgers, in Piscataway, 56-0.  I won't step in front of Urban Meyer's men, here, at home, as College Football teams off a 33-point (or better) shutout road win are 38-15 ATS in the regular season vs. conference foes.  Take Ohio State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Purdue.  The Gophers lost for the first time this season last week when they fell, 31-24, at home to Maryland, as a 13.5-point favorite.  But I look for Minny to bounce back on Saturday, as .600 (or better) single-digit road underdogs have cashed 71.4% in conference games since 1980, if they lost as a double-digit home favorite the week before.  Moreover, Purdue's covered just 31% over the past 38 years vs. winning Big 10 Conference foes off an upset loss.  Take the points with Minnesota.  NCAA Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes + the points over Northern Illinois.  The Huskies covered the pointspread for the 4th straight time last week when they fell by just six points to San Diego State (as a 9.5-point underdog).  Unfortunately for Northern Illinois, its 4-0 ATS record sets it up in a very poor situation this weekend.  Since 1980, teams off a pointspread win in Game 4, with an undefeated ATS record thru their first 4 games, are an awful 103-147 (41% ATS) in Conference games at Game 5 of the season.  I look for Kent State to sneak in under this inflated number.  Take the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over TCU.  The Horned Frogs are 4-0 on the season following their upset win two weeks ago in Stillwater, where they shocked Oklahoma State, 44-31, as a 9.5-point underdog.  This week, they'll have another high-octane offense with which to contend, as WVU has scored 56, 59 and 56 points in its last three games (all wins by 22+ points).  We'll grab the points with the Mountaineers, as teams that scored 169+ points in their three previous games are an awesome 70.1% ATS in the regular season since 1998.  Take WVU.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over Tulsa.  The Green Wave haven't had many winning seasons over the years (just 1 over the past 14 seasons, in fact), but are 2-2 thus far.  In contrast, Tulsa's won 9 of its past 14 seasons, but is off to a 1-4 start.  So, even though Tulane has not been favored in any of the 12 meetings over the past 12 seasons, and has lost 11 of those 12 games, it has been installed as the favorite this year.  One factor in Tulane's favor is that it will be playing with rest, as it had last week off following its win two weeks ago vs. Army.  And Tulane falls into a super 99-45 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested, revenge-minded teams not favored by more than a touchdown.  Also, the Green Wave are a fantastic 21-9 ATS as a home favorite, priced from -3 to -7 points.  Lay it.  NCAA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:15 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars + the points over Boise State.  BYU comes into this game with an 0-5 ATS record, and that's created value for us.  We'll grab the points, as Boise's an awful 3-12 ATS as a favorite.  And the Broncos also fall into a negative 47-88 ATS system of mine which goes against certain road favorites when playing a revenge-minded foe.  Finally, home dogs off 4 straight ATS losses, that have an average pointspread differential of -14 ppg (or worse), are an awesome 72% ATS the past 33 years vs. .500 (or worse) opponents.  Take BYU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Oregon.  We played against Oregon last week, and took the 15 points with Arizona State, which upset the Ducks, in Tempe, 37-35.  As i discussed last week, Oregon's schedule was rather weak to begin the season, so I wasn't very impressed with its 3-0 start.  Of course, now, the Ducks are 3-1, and do return home, but I don't look for them to bounce back, as they fall into a nasty 0-23 ATS system, which plays against certain teams, favored by 7+ points in conference games, off a loss as a 14-point (or greater) favorite.  Moreover, Oregon's just 3-10 ATS its last 13 off an upset loss as a road favorite, while California is 10-1 ATS vs. Conference foes off an upset loss, when Cal is priced from +6 to +16.  Take California.  NCAA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over Northern Illinois.  The Huskies pulled off a huge upset as a double-digit dog in their last game, at Nebraska.  But off that upset win, I look for a letdown at SDSU, as teams are 30% ATS since 1980 off an upset win as a double-digit dog, if they're now on the road against a winning, non-conference foe, which is also off a win.  Take San Diego State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack + the points over Fresno State.  The Bulldogs come into this game off back to back blowout losses (by 31 and 32 points), and have now been installed as a big favorite vs. Nevada.  But Fresno has been awful when laying 7+ points, as it's covered just 16 of 50, including 1-10 ATS off back to back losses.  Additionally, Fresno falls into negative 43-107 and 86-164 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams off losses.  Take Nevada.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies + the points over Clemson.  The Tigers' defense of their National Championship has gotten off to a strong start.  Clemson is 4-0 straight-up, and 3-1 ATS, including SU/ATS wins over Auburn and Louisville.  But I expect its win streak to be halted by the Hokies, as Va Tech is also 4-0, and has pitched shutouts in two of its four games.  These two teams last met in the ACC Championship game last season, when Clemson vanquished Va Tech, 42-35.  Unfortunately for the Tigers, defending National Champs are a soft 26-52 ATS away from home when off back-to-back wins, and not favored by 14+ points.   And home teams have cashed 79% when playing with revenge from a post-season defeat, if priced from -3.5 to +10 points.  Finally, Virginia Tech is a solid 70-38 ATS as home dogs of more than a point, including 29-11 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take Virginia Tech.  NCAA Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles minus the points over North Texas.  These two teams have traded home wins (and covers) the past two seasons, with North Texas pulling the upset last season in Denton.  This season, both teams are off to decent starts.  Southern Miss has covered each of its three games this season (winning straight-up twice), including a 28-17 win two weeks ago at Louisiana Monroe (Southern Miss had last week off).  North Texas is 2-2 (after going 5-8 last season), and won last week, at home, vs. UAB, but gave up 43 points in the process.  And it has given up 54, 31 and 43 points in its three games this season vs. FBS (Division 1) schools.  That doesn't bode well, here, vs. Southern Miss, as the Golden Eagles have cashed 86% since 1980 when playing with rest, if they owned a defense at least 11 ppg better than their foe.  And North Texas is also 0-8 ATS when playing a rested opponent, if the Mean Green are priced from +4.5 to +11.5 points.  Finally, Conference USA home teams are 27-11 ATS when rested, and playing with revenge vs. an unrested conference foe (including 21-5 ATS vs. .400 or better foes).  Take Southern Miss.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Michigan State.  Both the Hawkeyes and Spartans come into Saturday's game off losses.  But Iowa played great in its defeat, with a narrow 2-point loss vs. Penn State.  In contrast, Michigan St was blown out, 38-18, by Notre Dame.  We'll take the points with Iowa, as it falls into 217-109 and 167-89 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams, in conference games, off a loss.  Moreover, this is a series which has been dominated by the Hawkeyes.  Since 1988, Iowa is 15-5-1 ATS vs. Michigan State, including 10-0-1 ATS when priced from +3 to +21 points!  And Michigan State is a woeful 24-51 ATS off a loss, if its W/L percentage was .500 or better.  Take Iowa.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Stanford Cardinal minus the points over Arizona State.  Last week, we played on the Sun Devils as a 14.5-point underdog, and were rewarded with an outright win over Oregon.  That leveled ASU's record at 2-2, and they'll now travel to Palo Alto to take on Stanford, which is also 2-2 following its 58-34 blowout of UCLA.  We'll play against Arizona State, as it is a poor 0-8 ATS as road underdogs off an upset win vs. foes not off an upset win.  Meanwhile, Stanford is a powerful 50-20 ATS in the regular season vs. conference foes, if it's off a win by 13+ points, and also covered the spread in that previous game.  Take Stanford.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over Kansas State.  Last week, the Bears played great, and almost upset the Oklahoma Sooners, as a 28-point underdog.  They lost by just eight points, 49-41, but easily covered the spread by 20 points.  Off that impressive game, I look for Baylor to once again get the cash as a double-digit underdog, as it is 14-3 ATS its last 17 conference games when getting 11+ points.  And it's also an awesome 18-0 ATS since 2011 when coming off a double-digit cover in its previous game, provided it's not favored by 32+ points.  Take the points with Baylor.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over New Mexico State.  The Aggies blew out Texas El Paso last week, 41-14, as a 17-point favorite.  And that win extended New Mexico State's ATS run to 4-0 this season.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to take the double-digits with New Mexico State, especially since Arkansas has yet to cover the pointspread this season.  But consider that, since 1980, College Football underdogs of +14 or more points are an awful 37-62 ATS away from home off 4+ ATS wins in a row!  And New Mexico State's a poor 5-12 ATS on the road off back to back covers.  Take the Razorbacks.  NCAA High Noon Hanging.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Wisconsin.  Northwestern bounced back off its upset loss at Duke in Week 2 to blow out Bowling Green, 49-7, in its third game.  The Wildcats are now 2-1 SU, and will take on undefeated (3-0) Wisconsin, in Madison, on Saturday.  The Wildcats also had last weekend off, and fall into a 93-34 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested underdogs of +7 or more points.  Additionally, Big 10 underdogs of 7+ points, with a winning record, have cashed 76.1% since 1980 when playing with rest vs. conference foes off back to back wins.  Take Northwestern.  Big 10 Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Illinois, as Illinois falls into several negative systems of mine, with records of 87-169, 37-107, and 75-176 ATS since 1980.  Nebraska won its Big 10 opener last week vs. Rutgers, but failed to cover the 11-point spread, as it won by just 10, 27-17.  Illinois, meanwhile, plays its conference opener tonight.  So far this season, the Illini have not made many friends in Vegas, as they come into this game with a 1-2 ATS record, which is par for the course, as they have been a consistent money-burner over the years.  Since 2002, Illinois is 65-96 ATS, including 33-64 when the pointspread was less than 11 points.  Nebraska, on the other hand, has been solid as a road team vs. Big 10 Conference foes, including 8-2 ATS vs. foes off a loss.  And the 'Huskers are also 42-24 ATS on the road when favored and not off a SU/ATS win.  Take Nebraska.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones + the points over Texas.  Iowa State comes into this game on a 3-game ATS win streak following its blowout victory at Akron (41-14) on Sept. 16.  Texas also played 12 days ago, and suffered a tough 3-point loss at Southern Cal, 27-24.  That defeat has placed Texas into 3 negative systems of mine, with records of 59-124, 79-142 and 217-336.  Meanwhile, the fact that Iowa State is playing with a week of rest at home, and also with revenge, has triggered several very good systems on the Cyclones with records of 39-10, 50-22, 112-73, 107-56 and 43-23.  Finally, the Cyclones have scored more than 40 points in each of their first three games this season.  And NCAA home underdogs of 5+ points have cashed a super 91% since 1980 vs. conference foes if our home dog scored 40+ points in its three previous games.  Take Iowa State.  NCAA High Roller.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon on Sunday, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over Connecticut.  The hurricane season wrecked havoc on the College Football schedule, so we'll have a rare Sunday college football game this weekend.  Interestingly, both teams have yet to cover the pointspread this season.  East Carolina is 0-3 SU/ATS, while Connecticut is 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS.  We'll grab the points with East Carolina, as UConn falls into a negative 44-124 ATS system of mine, which fades certain home favorites vs. teams with a losing ATS record.  Additionally, East Carolina has excelled as road underdogs of less than 8 points, as it's 28-15 ATS in this role, including 11-0 ATS if it lost its previous game by 9+ points.  Finally, Connecticut is a dreadful 0-7-1 ATS at home when PK/Favored since September 2012.  Take the Pirates.  High Noon Hanging. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils + the points over Oregon.  Oregon went 3-0 in its non-conference schedule, and now opens Pac-12 Conference play vs. Arizona State.  It's true the Sun Devils are 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS this season.  But Arizona State has played a much more difficult schedule than Oregon, as the Sun Devils' two losses were to San Diego State and Texas Tech, both of which are unbeaten on the season.  We'll grab the double-digits with Arizona State, as ASU falls into an 89-38 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home dogs off 3 ATS losses.  Also, the Sun Devils are a super 25-8-1 ATS at home vs. foes that covered by 10+ points in their previous game, including a perfect 8-0-1 ATS if ASA wasn't favored by 3+ points.  Take the Sun Devils.  NCAA High Roller.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Mississippi State Bulldogs.  Last week, we played on Mississippi State, and got the $$$ when it upset LSU, 37-7, as an 8-point underdog.  Unfortunately for Mississippi State, it's cashed just 25% on the road over the past 25 years off an upset win (including 0-5 ATS its last 5).  And NCAA teams are a woeful 0-13 ATS since 2005 off an upset win by more than 28 points, if they were a dog of more than 3 in that upset win, and they're now matched up against a conference foe off back to back wins.  Take Georgia.  NCAA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Syracuse.  LSU was upset by Mississippi State, 37-7, as an 8.5-point favorite last week, while Syracuse won at home, 41-17, over Central Michigan.  But off their defeat -- where they failed to cover by 38.5 point -- I look for the LSU Tigers to rebound in a big way on Saturday evening.  Indeed, teams off an upset loss are an awesome 51-20 ATS in the regular season if they failed to cover the spread by 35 or more points in their previous game, and their opponent is off a home win.  The Tigers are also a super 13-4 ATS in non-conference games off a pointspread defeat by 14+ points, including 9-1 ATS at home.  Take LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Air Force Falcons + the points over San Diego State.  The Aztecs pulled a huge upset last week when they won at home, 20-17, as an 8-point underdog vs. Stanford.  That was also San Diego State's 2nd straight upset win, as they knocked off Arizona State on the road, 30-20, as a 3-point underdog the previous week.  Unfortunately for the Aztecs, road favorites tend to have a difficult time following an upset win as a 6-point (or greater) home dog, as they've covered just 36% since 1980.  Even worse:  Air Force is 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS vs. conference foes off upset wins, while San Diego State is an awful 13-27 ATS off an upset win.  Take the Falcons + the points.  NCAA Underdog of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks + the points over the Louisiana Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns.  The Warhawks lost last year to their rival, 30-3, so they'll be looking for some payback on Saturday.  And, like many heated rivalries, the revenge-minded team in this series has gone 12-7 ATS, including 10-2 ATS as an underdog.  Even better:  the road team in this series is a perfect 15-0 ATS when not laying more than 4 points!  Finally, Monroe checks into this game off back to back losses.  But it's a sensational 20-5 ATS on the Conference road when it's lost its previous two games.  Take Monroe + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points over TCU.  The Cowboys blew out Pittsburgh last week in the Steel City, 59-21.  And the game wasn't even that close, as Okie State was up 49-7 late in the 2nd quarter before calling off the dogs.  The Cowboys have now scored 59, 44, and 59 in their first three games this season.  They've also won by margins of 35, 37, and 38 points.  Not surprisingly, the Cowboys are a perfect 3-0 ATS.  They'll now take on a fellow Top 25 foe in Big 12 Conference rival TCU.  The Horned Frogs have lost the last two meetings to the Cowboys, and four of the five meetings since TCU joined the Conference in 2012.  Based on their season statistics-to-date, the Cowboys fall into several of my best systems, with records of 111-43, 84-26 and 94-22 ATS.  Additionally, Oklahoma State has been terrific following games in which it scored 50+ points, as it's 35-8 ATS since 1987, including 14-1 ATS if the Cowboys are in off back to back SU/ATS wins.  The Cowboys are also 44-25 ATS when priced from -10.5 to -24 points.  Finally, TCU is 4-10 ATS its last 14 games, while Big 12 Conference teams are a poor 48-78 vs. foes off a win that average 44+ points per game on offense.  Take Oklahoma State.  Big 12 Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio Red Hawks plus the points over Central Michigan.  The Red Hawks lost their third straight game ATS last week when they were upset, 21-17, by Cincinnati.  But unlike their first three games (where they were favored), the Red Hawks are an underdog at CMU this Saturday.  And Miami's 10-2 ATS their last 12 as an underdog.  Even better:  Mid-American Conference road underdogs are 60-34 ATS on a 3-game ATS losing streak.  Take Miami.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins minus the points over Central Florida.  Both of these teams were off last week (and Central Florida actually hasn't played since August 31, due to the hurricanes).  Maryland comes in off impressive wins over Texas (51-41) and Towson (63-17), while the Knights triumphed in their initial game, 61-17, vs. Florida International.  Last season, these two teams met in Orlando, and the Terps won, 30-24.  I look for them to win again, as home favorites of -10 points or less (or PK) have covered 69.5% in the regular season since 1984 vs. non-conference foes. Additionally, Maryland is 28-13-1 ATS off back to back wins, when favored by more than 3 points.  And they also fall into 300-205, 84-26 and 187-89 ATS systems of mine.  Lay it.  NCAA Non-Conference Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Michgian Eagles minus the points over Ohio.  The Eagles had last week off following their upset win at Rutgers in Week 2.  And they're a perfect 2-0 SU/ATS on the season.  The Eagles have largely relied on their defense, which is giving up just 10 ppg on the season (Ohio, on the other hand, is giving up 24.67 ppg).  We'll lay the points with Eastern Michigan, as home teams that give up 10.5 or less points per game, are 67% ATS since 1990 at Game 3 forward, if they're undefeated both SU and ATS, and not laying 4+ points.  Take Eastern Michigan.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Troy State Trojans minus the points over New Mexico State, as the Trojans fall into 91-23, 165-92, 58-7 and 83-45 ATS Systems of mine.  Both Troy St. and New Mexico St. are 1-1 this season after posting wins last last week.  The Trojans blew out Alabama St, 34-7, at home, while the Aggies went on the road to upset their cross-state rival, New Mexico, 30-28.  Unfortunately for the Aggies, Sun Belt teams are 0-9 ATS in home conference games off an upset win, if they're getting more than 3 points vs. foes also off a win.  Additionally, the Aggies have been destroyed each of the last three years by Troy, and have lost by an average of 36 ppg.  Take the Trojans.  Conf. Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio Red Hawks minus the points over Cincinnati.  To say that Miami will be out for revenge tonight is a massive understatement.  That's because the Red Hawks have lost the last 11 meetings to the Bearcats.  But they were underdogs in each of those 11 games.  Indeed, the last time they were actually favored vs. Cincy was in 2005, and they blew them out, 44-16.  They're favored again this year, and I love Miami to register another blowout, as it falls into a 60-28 ATS revenge system of mine.  Additionally, it's worth noting the Bearcats are a horrid 28-48-2 ATS since 1984 away from home when installed as an underdog vs. non-conference foes, while Miami's 6-0 ATS its last 6 when playing with revenge vs. non-conference foes.  Take Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Clemson.  The Cardinals and Tigers each recorded big wins last week.  Louisville outlasted North Carolina, 47-35, while Clemson defeated Auburn, 14-6.  Last year, the Tigers beat the Cardinals, 42-36, en route to a 14-0 Championship season.  And the Tigers are off to a 2-0 SU/ATS start this season.  But that sets up Clemson in a nasty situation on Saturday afternoon.  Since 1981, defending National Champs are a woeful 0-9 ATS away from home, if they're off back-to-back SU/ATS wins, unrested, and not favored by 7+ points.  That doesn't bode well for Clemson vs. Louisville.  And neither does the fact that it hasn't given up 7+ points in either of its first two games.  Indeed, since 1982, teams off back-to-back games where they didn't give up 7+ points, have covered just 9 of 48 road games vs. foes off a SU/ATS win by more than 7 points.  Take Louisville.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats minus the points over Bowling Green.  The Falcons and Wildcats are both 0-2 ATS on the season following upset losses by each team last week.  Northwestern was drilled 41-17, by Duke, while Bowling Green lost, 35-27, to South Dakota.  We'll lay the points with Northwestern, as favorites of -21+ points, off 21-point (or greater) upset losses, have covered over 65% of the time since 1983.  Take Northwestern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Tulsa, as Tulsa falls into a negative 46-102 ATS system of mine which plays against teams with poor defenses.  And the Golden Hurricane's defense has been a sieve so far this season, as it's given up over 50 ppg.  Unfortunately for Tulsa, teams off wins, that give up more than 43.3 ppg (at Game 3 forward), have covered just 31% since 1980 if they won their previous game.  Even worse:  Toledo's been one of the best home teams (ATS) in College Football over the years, as it's gone 53-35 ATS its last 88, including 14-2 ATS vs. non-winning teams off a straight-up win.  Finally, Toledo has cashed 73.6% vs. non-conference foes when priced as a favorite of 23 or less points.  Take Toledo.  NCAA Roadkill Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over LSU.  Mississippi State is averaging 53 ppg after winning (and covering) their first two games by 49-0 and 57-21 counts.   Off those two big wins, we'll grab the points with Miss State, as teams off back to back SU/ATS wins have cashed 66% since 1980 if they average 45+ ppg, are matched up against an opponent off a SU win, and aren't favored by more than 3 points.  Take Mississippi State.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs + the points over Western Kentucky.  These two teams met in the Conference USA Championship game last season, and the Hilltoppers downed La Tech, 58-44.  But I look for the Bulldogs to get a measure of revenge on Saturday, as teams playing with revenge from a post-season defeat are 27-11 ATS when priced from -3.5 to +7.5 points.  Moreover, the Bulldogs were blown out at home last week, 57-21, by Mississippi State, while the Hilltoppers lost, 20-7, to Illinois.  But La Tech is a super 10-0 ATS off a home loss, if they're playing an opponent also off a defeat.  Take Louisiana Tech.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers minus the points over Middle Tennessee State, as Minnesota falls into a 112-35 ATS System of mine.  The Gophers are off to a 2-0 start this season, under 1st year coach PJ Fleck, following their blowout, upset win at Oregon State last week, 48-14 (as a 2.5-point underdog).  And this is the first time in over 60 years that a Gophers squad has started 2-0 under a new head coach.  Minnesota has dominated all facets of the game, as they outgained the Beavers last week, 411 yards to 225, and Buffalo, 408-262 the week before that.  Now, Minnesota returns home for the last game on its non-conference slate.  And the Gophers have excelled at home vs. non-conference foes over the years, and especially when matched up against non-winning foes.  In that situation, Minnesota's 28-7 SU and 24-11 ATS.  In the Blue Raiders' last game, 3rd year-QB Brent Stockstill (son of Middle Tennessee head coach Rick Stockstill) sustained an injury to his left (throwing) shoulder, but remained in the contest through its conclusion.  He underwent an MRI earlier this week, but the results have not yet been made public.  I do expect him to play, but don't necessarily expect him to be at full strength, so that's a negative for Middle Tenn.  Moreover, even with Stockstill in the lineup, the Blue Raiders' offense has underwhelmed this season.  Middle Tennessee is averaging just 18 ppg, on just 289 yards of offense.  In contrast, Minnesota is averaging 32.5 ppg, on 409.5 yards per game.   It also doesn't hurt that coach Fleck has experience vs. this Stockstill-led Middle Tennessee squad, as his former team (Western Michigan) defeated Middle Tenn., 45-31, two seasons ago in the Bahamas Bowl.  Finally, Conference USA teams are poor 8-41 SU and 18-31 ATS in the regular season vs. Big 10 Conference foes.  Lay the points with Minnesota.  HIGH ROLLER WINNER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over UCLA.  The Bruins are 2-0 on the season, after crushing Hawaii, 56-23.  That was UCLA's 2nd straight home game.  The Bruins will take to the road for the first time this season, and they'll have the disadvantage of facing a well-rested Tigers squad, which was off last week after routing Louisiana-Monroe, 37-29, in their first game.  I look for the Tigers to register an upset, as UCLA's a wallet-busting 14-34-1 ATS away from home off back to back wins, including 0-7 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  And it's 0-9 ATS its last 9 after scoring more than 35 points in a SU/ATS Win the previous week.  Additionally, the Tigers fall into a 17-0 ATS system of mine, based on their performance in their first game.  Take Memphis + the points.  NCAA High Noon Hanging. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos + the points over Boise State, as UNM falls into 195-134, 103-37 and 124-45 ATS Systems of mine.  Let's take a look at our 195-134 ATS angle.  That plays on road underdogs, priced from +3.5 to +17.5 points in conference games, off upset home losses, that have a win percentage of .333 (or better).  Last week, New Mexico fell to 1-1 on the season when it lost at home, 30-28, to New Mexico State, as a 7.5-point favorite.  But I love the Lobos to bounce back tonight, as they're 35-17-2 ATS off a home loss, including 10-1 ATS if they were upset in that previous home defeat.  Even better:  Boise's an awful 5-24 ATS its last 29 at home when laying 11+ points.  Take New Mexico.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Our selection is on Arizona St.  (Analysis to follow.)

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers minus the points over South Carolina.  Last year, the Missouri Tigers suffered through a 4-8 season -- their first year under coach Barry Odom.  But Mizzou got Odom's sophomore campaign off on the right foot, as it blew out Missouri State, 72-43, last week.  In that game, Drew Lock compiled record numbers for a Missouri QB, as he threw for 521 yards and seven touchdowns, besting the previous marks of 480 yards and five TDs.  Now, Missouri will welcome fellow SEC foe South Carolina to Columbia, and the Tigers have been installed as a small favorite.  Like  Missouri, the Gamecocks won their opener, in upset fashion over the NC State Wolfpack.  Unfortunately for South Carolina, since 1980, single-digit road underdogs are an awful 23-39 ATS vs. conference foes that scored 60+ in their previous game, including 0-7 ATS if our road dog was off an upset win.  That doesn't bode well for South Carolina this Saturday evening.  And neither does the fact that South Carolina is an awful 4-9 ATS off an upset win, including 0-5 ATS vs. a foe off a SU win.  Finally, SEC Conference teams are a poor 21.4% ATS since 1980 off an upset win over a non-conference foe, if they're matched up against a rival SEC Conference foe playing with revenge.  With Missouri indeed playing with revenge from a 10-point loss to the Gamecocks last season, we'll lay the points with the Tigers.  Take Missouri.  NCAA Conference Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Our selection is on SMU.  (Analysis to follow.)

At 6 pm, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack minus the points over Marshall.  NC State was stunned last week when it was upset, 35-28, as a 7.5-point favorite by South Carolina, while Marshall pulled an upset of its own against Miami-Ohio.  The good news for NC State is that it generally rebounds at home off losses, as it's 48-34 ATS, including 18-6 ATS vs. foes off a SU/ATS win.  More good news:  since 1997, College Football teams off season-opening upset losses have cashed 83% vs. foes off season-opening upset wins!  Last year, for example, Mississippi State rebounded off its Week 1 loss to South Alabama (as a 27.5-point favorite) to blow out South Carolina, which had upset Vanderbilt to open its season the week before.  Finally, since 1996, Conference USA road underdogs off a SU/ATS win have cashed just 30.7% vs. non-conference foes.  I look for the Wolfpack to bounce back BIG on this Saturday.  Take North Carolina State.  NCAA Football Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Army Black Knights minus the points over Buffalo.  Last year, Army went into Buffalo, and was upset, 23-20, as a 13.5-point favorite.  I look for the Black Knights to avenge that defeat, as they fall into 153-53 and 295-201 ATS systems of mine.  Additionally, since 1980, .500 (or better) teams that lost the previous meeting on the road as a 10-point (or greater favorite), have cashed 80% vs. non-conference foes off a loss.  Take Army.  High Noon Hanging!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Our selection is on Duke.  (Analysis to follow.)

At 7:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Texas A&M.  The Aggies have long been a much better pointspread team at home than away from College Station.  And, perhaps, their worst pointspread role is as an underdog away from home when they're not off back to back losses.  Since November 1999, they're a horrid 8-37 ATS, including 0-17 ATS when priced from +2.5 to +8 points.  Yikes!  That doesn't bode well for A&M on Sunday.  And neither does the fact that they defeated the Bruins in College Station last season, 31-24.  The Bruins are a solid 57% ATS when playing with revenge and favored by 4+ points.  And they're an awesome 30-10 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes over the past 37 seasons when not laying 14+ points (and 9-1 ATS their last 10).  Take UCLA.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders + the points over Vanderbilt.  It's hard to have confidence in a Vandy squad installed as a road favorite in its season opener, given that the Commies have lost five straight season openers (by an average of 8.6 ppg) -- and they were favored in two of those five games.  Meanwhile, Middle Tennessee has won its last four openers, by an average of 46.5 ppg.  The Blue Raiders certainly hope that the "3rd time will be the charm" on Saturday.  And that's because they've lost the past two seasons to the Commodores.  Last year, the game was played in Nashville, and Vandy won 47-24, as a 3-point favorite.  But that score was somewhat misleading, as the Blue Raiders, behind the arm of Brent Stockstill (the coach's son), actually out-yarded Vanderbilt, 495 to 344.  But they lost the turnover battle, and also killed themselves with penalties.  I love Middle Tennessee to avenge that loss and upset the Commodores on Saturday, as they fall into 38-18 and 80-43 ATS systems of mine.  Take Middle Tennessee St.  NCAA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Southern Mississippi.  Both of these teams went 7-6 last season.  But the Wildcats will be the much better team this season, as they're returning 17 starters, while Southern Miss only returns 12.  Kentucky has been installed as a double-digit road favorite in this season opener for both teams.  And that doesn't bode well for the Golden Eagles, as double-digit home dogs are an awful 61-84, 42% ATS, in season openers, including 36% ATS if they had a winning record the previous season.  These two teams also met in the season opener last year.  That game was played at Kentucky, but Southern Miss upset the Wildcats, 44-35, as a 3.5-point underdog.  I look for Kentucky to avenge that upset loss, as they fall into 55-14 and 59-30 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Additionally, the Golden Eagles are an awful 3-10 ATS as home underdogs, priced from +7 to +20, while Kentucky is 30-2 straight-up, and 20-12 ATS when favored by 8+ points.  Finally, since 1990, teams from major conferences (like the SEC) have cashed 58% when playing with revenge vs. foes from minor conferences (like Conference USA), provided our revenger isn't getting 14+ points.  Lay the points with Kentucky.  NCAA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams + the points over the Colorado Buffaloes.  We cashed our NCAA Game of the Week on Colorado State -3.5 over Oregon State last Saturday, as CSU blew out the Beavers, 58-27.  They'll have a big advantage vs. their cross-state rival, Colorado, as the Buffaloes won't have had any games yet this season to work out any kinks.  Indeed, over the past 35 years, teams playing their first game have covered just 41% vs. foes that covered the point spread by 7+ points in their season opener the previous week.  Even better:  if our team playing its season opener is priced from -3 to -14.5 points, then our angle zooms from 59% to 83% (and 89% if our 'play-on' team (here, Colorado State), is playing with revenge).  Speaking of revenge, it's not surprising that this "Centennial State" rivalry has seen the revenge-minded team generally get the cash.  These teams have met every season for the past 22 years, and the team that lost the previous year has gone 15-5-1 ATS, including 8-0-1 ATS when priced from -3 to +6.5 points!  With the Rams playing with revenge from a 44-7 loss last season, we'll pull the trigger on the underdog, and grab the points with Colorado State.  NCAA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers + the points over Central Florida.  Last year, these two teams met in Miami, and UCF blew out the Panthers, 53-14.  And that continued the trend in this Sunshine State rivalry where the road team has not covered in of the last four seasons.  This game will be played in Orlando, and I look for Florida International to avenge that loss here, as road teams playing with revenge from a game in which they gave up 50+ points have cashed 67% over the past 23 seasons in their season opener.  Even worse:  Central Florida is a wallet-busting 27% ATS since 1999 when priced between -7.5 and -23 points vs. a foe playing with revenge.  Finally, over the past nine years, road dogs have cashed a staggering 72.2% of the time vs. non-conference foes when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 30 points (including 80% ATS if their opponent scored 50+ points in the previous year's meeting)!   Take Florida International + the points.  NCAA Football Game of the Month for August.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams minus the points over Oregon State.  The Rams ended the 2016 regular season on a 7-game ATS win streak (before getting upset by Idaho in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl, 61-50).  I look for Colorado State to cover the pointspread for their eighth straight regular season game in this, their home opener of 2017.  Indeed, the Rams are a perfect 4-0 ATS their last four lined home openers, and they're 9-1 ATS their last 10 home games vs. non-conference foes (and 18-7 ATS their last 25).  Meanwhile, the Beavers are a wallet-busting 9-19 ATS on the road vs. non-conference opposition.  Finally, Oregon State has lost its last 13 road games, straight-up, which doesn't bode well for covering the pointspread here, given the relatively short number.  Take Colorado State.  NCAA Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Jan. 9, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers + the points over the Alabama Crimson Tide.  (Analysis to follow.)

At 8:30 pm, on Monday, January 2nd, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers over Oklahoma, as Auburn falls into several of my best Bowl systems, with records of 85-34, 71-31, 44-15 and 60-35 ATS.  There are several reasons why I love Auburn in this game, but perhaps the most important is Auburn's stellar defense.  It's allowed just 15.6 ppg against opponents that average 28.1 ppg!  In contrast, Oklahoma has allowed 29.7 ppg (against opponents that average 32.9 ppg).  Thus, Auburn's defense has held its foes to 55.5% of their point production while Oklahoma's stop unit has only held its foes to 90.2% of their offensive production.  That's a huge difference.  Indeed, College Bowl teams have cashed 77% over the past 20 seasons if their defense surrendered, on average, at least 10 less points than their foe, and they weren't favored by 6+ points in the game (including a perfect 12-0-1 ATS the last 12).  Even worse for the Sooners:  Big 12 Conference teams have covered just 6 of their last 29 Bowl games vs. SEC Conference foes, including 0-8 ATS since 2007 if the Big 12 Conference team's defense gave up 25+ ppg!  Take Auburn.  NCAA Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over the Iowa Hawkeyes.  The Big 10 was thought by many to be the best conference in College Football this season, but its member schools have not played well in the post-season.  They've gone 2-5 SU and 3-4 ATS, with its two best teams -- Michigan and Ohio State -- both suffering upset losses.  The Big 10 has also underperformed vs. the SEC in Bowl games, and especially in this price range.  Since 1989, the Big 10 has gone 9-18 SU/ATS when priced from PK to +4 in the Bowls vs. the SEC.  It's true that the Iowa Hawkeyes are on a 3-game win streak, while the Gators have dropped their last two (including a 54-16 loss to #1 Alabama in the SEC Title Game).  And that may lead many bettors to plunk down money on Iowa at the betting window.  But in the post-season, teams off 3+ wins have actually cashed just 18 of 49 games vs. opponents off back to back losses (and just one of eight (12%) against foes with a great defense which gives up less than 18 ppg)!  And Florida's also an awesome 63.3% over the past 21 seasons vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take Florida.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers + the points over Ohio State.  At this stage of the season, it's not surprising when both teams have solid defenses.  And that's the case this evening.  Ohio State gives up just 14.2 ppg, while Clemson gives up a few more, but still a very respectable 18.4 ppg.  In Bowl games, it's dangerous to lay points in games between two very good defensive teams, as favorites -- not playing on their home field -- have covered just 31% of the time over the past 19 seasons in games between teams that each give up less than 18.5 ppg.  Additionally, Clemson's a perfect 9-0 ATS its last nine games away from home when playing an opponent which gives up less than 17.5 ppg.  Take the Tigers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 11 am, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats + the points over Georgia Tech.  The Wildcats opened the season with three straight pointspread defeats.  But they got into the win column in Vegas with a 17-10 victory, as a 2-point favorite, vs. South Carolina in Week 4.  And that started a terrific run through the end of the season which saw them go 7-1 ATS vs. Division 1 schools, with their only pointspread defeat by a mere half-point vs. Georgia.  I definitely won't step in front of Kentucky, as an underdog, here.  And especially since they stunned Louisville as a 28.5-point underdog in their last game.  For technical support, consider that teams that won outright as underdogs of more than 14 points in their final regular season game have cashed 73.3% in the Bowls over the past 19 seasons (including Southern Miss, two weeks ago, in this season's New Orleans Bowl).  Take Kentucky.

At 11 am, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over LSU.  It's true that Lamar Jackson & Co. stumbled badly down the stretch.  Louisville lost its last two games -- 36-10 at Houston, and 41-38, at home, vs. rival Kentucky.  We had one of our biggest plays of the season on Houston +17.5 against Louisville, so that game didn't really surprise me.  But even though we didn't play the game, the Cardinals' loss to Kentucky, as a 28.5-favorite, certainly did raise my eyebrows.  However, if there's one thing I've learned about College Bowl games, it is that teams that stumble down the stretch often bounce back in the Bowls.  Indeed, Bowl underdogs off back to back upset losses have covered 64.7% over the past 37 years.  Take Louisville.  Even better, underdogs of +3 or more points, off a loss in which they failed to cover the spread by 21+ points, have covered 84.6% in Bowl games over the past 13 seasons vs. foes off a SU/ATS win (including 2-0 already this season with North Texas and South Carolina getting the $$$).  Take Louisville.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Florida State.  (Analysis to follow.)

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars + the points over Air Force.  (Analysis to follow.)

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Tennessee.  The line has reached double-digits (due to Nebraska's QB issues), but we'll still pull the trigger on the underdog Huskers, as it's tough to turn down this amount of points in a bowl game.  And especially when our team has the vastly superior defense (Nebraska gives up 22.7 ppg against opponents that averaged 28.2; Tennessee 29.2 ppg against opponents that averaged 26.6).  Indeed, Nebraska falls into 28-5 and 34-8 ATS systems of mine that play on certain underdogs with good defenses.  Take the Cornhuskers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels + the points over Stanford.  (Analysis to follow.)

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points over Virginia Tech.  Both teams lost their last game of the season.  The Hokies lost by 7, as a double-digit underdog vs. Clemson, while Arkansas fell, 28-24, at Missouri, as a 7.5-point road favorite.  I look for the Razorbacks to get the $$$ on Thursday, as College teams off an upset road loss have covered 71% since 1981 as underdogs in the post-season against foes not off a pointspread defeat.  Additionally, the Razorbacks are 9-0 ATS their last nine games off an upset loss, if they're matched up against a foe off a loss.  Take Arkansas.  NCAA High Roller!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks + the points over South Florida.  The Bulls lost their head coach, Willie Taggart, to the University of Oregon, so co-offensive coordinator T.J. Wiest will serve as the head coach for this ballgame.  Other Bowl schools that saw their coaches depart this month include Houston (Tom Herman) and Temple (Matt Rhule), and both Houston and Temple lost outright as favorites in their bowl game.  Don't be surprised if South Florida does, as well.  Meanwhile, South Carolina was able to win four of its final six games to reach the .500 mark, at 6-6.  And, as I mentioned yesterday in our discussion of the Indiana/Utah game, College Football teams have done terrific in the Bowls if they didn't own a winning record.  Dating back to 2002, our non-winning bowl teams have cashed 67.2% vs. winning opposition, including 7-1 ATS this season, and 34-13 ATS as an underdog of +10 or less points.  Take the Gamecocks + the points.  NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Texas A/M Aggies minus the points over Kansas State.  The Wildcats upset TCU, 30-6, as a 4-point road underdog to end their season, while Texas A&M lost its last game, 54-39, at home vs. LSU.  Unfortunately for the Wildcats, underdogs off an upset win away from home have burned money in the post-season against foes off a loss by 6+ points.  Since 1980, our dogs have cashed just 28% of the time.  Additionally, the Aggies will have the benefit of the home crowd on Wednesday night, as NRG Stadium is a mere 90 minutes distance from College Station.  Take Texas A&M.  NCAA Favorite of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers + the points over Utah.  The Hoosiers enter today's game with a 6-6 record, while Utah is 8-4.  And with the proliferation of Bowl games, we're increasingly seeing teams without winning records get invitations to play in these games.  At first, I thought it was sort of ridiculous to have non-winning teams get awarded a Bowl bid.  But then I decided to just make $$$ off of it, and it wasn't too surprising to see these bad teams do extremely well at the betting window.  Of course there could be several reasons why this happens, but perhaps the most simple is also the most accurate:  these teams just want to prove they're deserving of being in the game.  Dating back to 2002, our non-winning bowl teams have cashed 66% vs. winning opposition, including 5-1 ATS this season, and 32-13 ATS as an underdog of +10 or less points.  Even worse for Utah:  it's an awful 21-48 ATS since 1994 when priced from -3 to -9.5 points, including 8-24 ATS away from home.  Take Indiana.  NCAA Football High Roller.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Miami.  We played against WVU in its last regular season game.  The Mountaineers were favored by 17 vs. Baylor, but won by just three points, and failed to cover by 14 points.  Meanwhile, Miami cashed its last regular season game with a 40-21 blowout of Duke, as a 16-point favorite.  But teams off ATS wins in their most recent game have covered just 41% in the Bowls over the past 36 years, if they're matched up against an opponent which failed to cover by 14+ points in its previous game.  These two schools actually have a long history vs. one another -- mainly when both were members of the Big East Conference.  They've met 13 times over the previous 25 seasons, and the underdog has covered 10 of 13.  Finally, Miami falls into negative 79-130 and 20-51 ATS systems of mine that play against certain Bowl teams off a double-digit win.  Take the Mountaineers.  NCAA Football Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Washington State.  The dominant storyline, of course, for this game is the suspension of the Minnesota players.  This happens to at least one team every Bowl season, and it's been my perception that the teams with the suspended player(s) rally together, and cover the pointspread more often than not.  For example, in the Alamo Bowl last year, TCU played without QB Trevone Boykin, who was suspended for punching a policeman.  The pointspread was severely adjusted due to his absence, but TCU didn't end up even needing the points, as back-up QB Bram Kohlhausen was spectacular (351 yds, 4 TDs) in leading the Frogs to an upset win.  Similarly, the pointspread on this game was adjusted following the suspensions, and I'm more than happy to take the points with the Gophers.  Washington State dropped its final two games of the season (at Colorado, and at home to Washington).  But since 1984, favorites with a .600 (or better) record are a woeful 6-24 ATS off back to back losses to end their regular season, including 0-7 ATS when favored by more than 7 points.  Take Minnesota.  NCAA Football Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons + the points over Temple.  It's true that Temple has a stellar season.  The Owls were 10-3 straight-up, compared to Wake Forest's 6-6 record.  But Temple head coach Matt Rhule left to take the same position at Baylor.  That distraction will hurt the Owls in today's game.  Additionally, the Demon Deacons lost their last three games of the season.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against Wake Forest today.  But NCAA Football teams on a 3-game (or worse) losing streak have gone 65.2% ATS in the post-season since 1980 when getting more than 3 points.  Take Wake Forest.  College Football Underdog of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green + the points over Army.  These two teams met earlier this season, and North Texas won handily, 35-18, as 17.5-point underdogs.  And that game was played at Army.  This afternoon's game will be played in Dallas, just a stone's throw away from North Texas' campus in Denton.  We'll grab the double-digits with North Texas, as College Football teams (like Army) with a .900 (or worse) record are an awful 36-57 ATS when favored by 10+ points in the post-season.  Take North Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 am, on Monday, our selection is on the Miami Ohio Red Hawks + the points over Mississippi State.  Miss State comes into this game off a 35-point upset win over their rival, Ole Miss.  But that shocking win only raised Miss State's record to a woeful 5-7 on the season.  So, the Bulldogs, along with Hawaii, were one of the two teams to make a Bowl game with a losing record.  But, unlike Hawaii (on which we played on Saturday), Mississippi State has been installed as a big favorite.  But teams favored by 7+ points in a Bowl game have covered a paltry 40.0% over the past 37 years when matched up against an opponent with a superior record, including 0-2 already this season (Colo State, Louisiana Tech).  That doesn't bode well for the Bulldogs on Monday morning.  And neither does the fact that College Football teams, off a cover by 10+ points, are 37% ATS as Double-Digit Bowl Favorites since 1999.   Take Miami-Ohio.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors + the points over Middle Tennessee State.  This game will be played in Honolulu, at Aloha Field, so the Warriors will enjoy the home field advantage.  And it's tough to go against a team playing at home in a bowl game, and especially if wasn't an awful team against the spread during the season (and Hawaii was not).  Indeed, teams playing at home, with a .400 (or better) ATS season win percentage, have gone 8-0 ATS in the Bowls when getting more than 3 points, and have covered by an average of 13.44 ppg.  Take Hawaii.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Troy State Trojans minus the points over Ohio.  Both of these teams lost their most recent game.  The Bobcats fell, 29-23, to Western Michigan, while Troy State lost, 28-24, as a 7-point favorite at Georgia Southern.  But off that upset loss, we'll lay the points with the Trojans, as they're 8-0 ATS their last 8 off an upset loss.  And they also fall into a 94-54 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses immediately before a bowl game.  Take Troy State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on Navy + the points over Louisiana Tech.  The Midshipmen got bit by the injury bug, which was the primary reason they lost their last two games -- vs. Temple in the American Athletic Conf. Title Game and, then, vs. Army a week later.  Of course, the pointspread has been adjusted upward to account for the injuries, and I'm more than happy to grab the points with the underdog in this Armed Forces Bowl.  Navy falls into a 48-22 ATS Bowl system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back losses.  Moreover, the Middies have been the best team in college football ATS when playing away from home over the past 25 years.  Since 1991, Navy is 106-55 ATS away from home, including 26-12 ATS off back to back losses, and 74-33 ATS as an underdog.  Take Navy + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Michigan Eagles + the points over Old Dominion.  Eastern Michigan falls into several of my favorite Bowl Systems, with records of 107-50, 121-67 and 136-89 ATS.  Additionally, Eastern Michigan plays with revenge from a 38-34 home loss suffered to Old Dominion last season, and a 17-3 loss to the Monarchs the year before.  But underdogs of more than 3 points are an awesome 64.2% ATS in the post-season since 1994 when playing with revenge!  Take Eastern Michigan + the points.  NCAA Football Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Idaho Vandals + the points over the Colorado State Rams, as Idaho falls into 28-7, 38-16 and 16-0 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams off upset wins (Colorado State stunned San Diego State, 63-31, as an 11.5-point underdog in its last game).  Let's take a look at our 28-7 ATS angle.  That goes against teams that won outright as underdogs of more than 10 points, if they scored 48+ in that victory.  And if our 'play-against' team (here, Colorado State) has a W/L percentage of .583 (or better) than our 28-7 angle zooms to 12-1 ATS.  The Vandals certainly will be the team most in the stands will be cheering for this evening, as the game will be played less than 300 miles from Idaho's main campus in Moscow.  And we'll grab the points with Idaho.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, in the Poinsettia Bowl, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys + the points over BYU.  The Cougars have won four straight games, while Wyoming's dropped its last two.  But none of the Cougars' last four opponents (Cincinnati, Southern Utah, Massachusetts, Utah State) qualified for a Bowl game.  In contrast, Wyoming's two losses to end the season were against New Mexico and San Diego State.  And both of those teams played in a Bowl game.  One of the things I like to do in the post-season is wager on teams off back to back losses, if they're playing a favored opponent off 3+ wins.  Since 1980, our underdogs in this situation have cashed 72% of the time!  Take Wyoming + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Western Kentucky.  The Hilltoppers finished the season with a better record (both SU and ATS) than Memphis, but that largely was due to a much easier schedule.  Western Kentucky benefited from playing in a weaker conference (Conference USA) than did Memphis (American Athletic).  Indeed, the 2nd best team (Louisiana Tech) this season in Conference USA would have rated 6th or 7th this year in the American Athletic Conference.  When the Hilltoppers stepped outside of their conference this season, they fared very poorly, with just one ATS win in five games.  Even worse:  in the regular season, they also failed to cover the spread against the teams rated #2 and #3 in power rating in Conference USA (LA Tech and Middle Tennessee St), though they did avenge their regular season defeat with a home win in the Conference USA Title game vs. LA Tech.  Regardless, much of Western Kentucky's success this season was against very soft competition; they didn't cover the spread in any of their four games when they weren't favored by more than 11 points.  Take Memphis + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas + the points over Tulsa.  The Golden Hurricane laid an egg (at least in Las Vegas) in its last game, as it was favored by 22.5, yet only won by three points vs. Cincinnati, 40-37.  Now, Tulsa is laying double digits to Central Michigan, notwithstanding the fact that the Golden Hurricane's defense leaves much to be desired.  Indeed, Tulsa's giving up 31.5 ppg (against opponents that score two points less, on average), and that number soars to 36.5 ppg away from home.  Generally speaking, it's a real bad idea to lay points with bad defensive clubs in bowl games.  For example, teams that give up 23+ ppg have covered just 25% of Bowl games if laying more than a TD to a team that scores at least 25 ppg.  Grab the points with Central Michigan.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Texas San Antonio Roadrunners over New Mexico.  These two teams know each other well.  They've played twice in the past four seasons, with each winning outright as an underdog on the other's home field.  So that bodes well for Texas San Antonio this afternoon, as this game will be played at New Mexico's stadium, in Albuquerque.  And I won't pass up the points with the Roadrunners, as they're a much better defensive club than New Mexico.  The Lobos are giving up a whopping 32.4 ppg (more than 5 points more than their opponents would otherwise average).  In contrast, Texas San Antonio has held its opponents to 2.5 ppg BELOW their offensive averages.  It's true that Texas San Antonio comes into this game with just a 6-6 record (compared to 8-4 for New Mexico).  But underdogs that didn't have a winning regular season have gone 37-20 ATS in the post-season vs. foes that did have a winning year.  Take Texas San Antonio.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over the West Virginia Mountaineers.  Yes, it's true that Baylor has lost its last five games, both SU and ATS.  So, the knee-jerk reaction might be to play against Jim Grobe's troops in their final game of the season, on the road, in Morgantown, against the 9-2 Mountaineers.  But consider that, over the past 26 years, College Football teams have covered 67% of the time off 3 SU/ATS losses in their final game vs. .600 (or better) foes off a win.  We saw an example of this just last weekend when Syracuse (+25), which had lost its previous 3 games by an average of 33.33 ppg, lost to Pitt by just 15 points to cover the spread.  I like Baylor to cover this inflated pointspread as well, as it falls into 124-75, 65-29 and 62-29 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off blowout losses.  Take the Bears + the points.  Dog Shocker!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks + the points over Louisiana Lafayette.  Both teams come into this game on 3-game ATS win streaks.  Monroe did lose its last game, straight-up, 42-17, at Appalachian St, but covered the 26.5-point spread.  Meanwhile, the Rajin' Cajuns pulled a big upset in their last game, as they won outright, 24-19, as a 6-point home underdog to Arkansas State.  That upset win sets up the Cajuns in several negative 'letdown' systems of mine, with records of 123-194, 67-114 and 54-107 ATS.  Those angles would be enough for me to pull the trigger on the Warhawks, but there are two other reason I love the home underdog on Saturday.  One is that Louisiana Monroe last played two weeks ago, so it will be very well-rested for this rivalry game.  And rested teams off a loss have covered 79% since 1980 as underdogs (or PK) vs. foes off an upset win that are playing their final game of the season.  And the other reason I love Monroe is that the underdog in this rivalry has covered 15 of 18, including a perfect 6-0 ATS when getting 7+ points, and a perfect 8-0 ATS off a loss by more than two touchdowns.  Take Louisiana Monroe + the points.  Rivalry Underdog of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners minus the points over Oklahoma State.  This game will decide the Big 12 Championship, as both teams come into the game with 9-2 records, overall, and 8-0 (Oklahoma) and 7-1 (Oklahoma St.) conference records.  We'll lay the points with the Sooners, as they fall into 'momentum' systems of mine, with records of 294-201, 168-104 and 145-75 ATS, following their 56-28 win at West Virginia in their last game. and their 45-24 win over Baylor two games back.  Those three angles all play on certain teams off big, back to back SU/ATS wins.  Even better:  Oklahoma State is a dreadful 16-36 ATS since 1999 when priced from +6 to +19 points, including 3-8 ATS vs. the Sooners, while the Sooners are an awesome 28-11-1 ATS as a home favorite, in the same price range (-6 to -19), in the same period.  Take the Sooners.  Big 12 Conference Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Navy Midshipmen minus the points over Temple, as it's backed by 157-87, 135-54 and 37-9 ATS systems of mine.  The Midshipmen have won 4 straight games, including two blowouts on the road in their last two (75-31 over SMU; 66-31 over ECU).  I won't step in front of this freight train at home, as single-digit home favorites have covered 62% over the past 37 years after scoring 60+ points in their previous game (including 3-1 ATS this season).  And, yes, it's true that Temple has won its last six games, and covered its last 11, on the heels of a defense which has given up just 23 points over its last four games (and 17.8 ppg on the season).  But teams with a better defense (more than 12 ppg better than their foe) have actually been big-time money-burners in conference title games, as they're 0-7 ATS.  Take Navy.  High Noon Hanging.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ohio U. Bobcats + the points over Western Michigan.  The Broncos have yet to lose straight-up on the field this season, as they're a perfect 12-0.  They're also 9-3 ATS.  Meanwhile, Ohio is 8-4 SU and 6-6 ATS.  But we'll take the double-digits with Ohio, as Western Michigan falls into negative 8-37 and 69-122 ATS systems of mine that fade certain unbeaten teams late in the season.  Even worse for Western Michigan:  Mid-American Conference teams with a win percentage greater than .800 have been awful in the Title game vs. foes that don't have a win percentage greater than .800, as they've covered just 1 of 10 games since 1998, including two outright upset losses as 15-point (Ball St, 2008) and 20-point (N. Illinois, 2010) favorites.  Yikes!  Take Ohio + the points.  MAC Conference Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:15 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos + the points over Wyoming.  Last week, we cashed our Mountain West Game of the Year on Wyoming, which won outright as a double-digit underdog vs. San Diego St.  But I look for a letdown tonight, on the road, vs. the Lobos, as Wyoming falls into a negative 54-105 ATS system of mine (same angle which I used yesterday on Memphis over Houston following Houston's upset win over Louisville).   Even worse:  the Cowboys have covered a paltry 33% on the road in conference games off an upset win since 1980, and are also 2-7 ATS their last 9 vs. New Mexico.  Like Wyoming, the Lobos are also playing very good football, with five wins in their last six games (4-2 ATS).  And New Mexico's an awesome 17-6 ATS vs. foes off an upset win since 1980, including a perfect 6-0 ATS since October 31, 2009.  Take the points with the home dog Lobos.  NCAA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over Colorado, as Utah falls into 59-7 and 143-63 ATS systems of mine following its upset loss as a double-digit home favorite, at the hands of Oregon.  But Utah had covered its previous three games before that surprising defeat, and I expect it to rebound on Saturday vs. Colorado.  Indeed, the Utes are a money-making 23-7-1 ATS as road underdogs off a loss since 1987, including 10-1 ATS if they failed to cover the spread by 10+ points in their previous game.  And Utah's 16-3 ATS as double-digit underdogs off a pointspread loss the previous week.  Take the points with the Utes.  NCAA Underdog of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over Temple.  These two teams come into this game with opposite records.  ECU is 3-8, while Temple is 8-3.  And in Vegas, ECU is 2-8 ATS, while Temple is 9-1 ATS.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the 'hot' Owls and against the 'cold' Pirates.  But I wouldn't do that if I were you.  Indeed, teams (like Temple) off 5 or more ATS wins in a row have covered just 28 of 84 games vs. foes off 3+ ATS losses in a row.  Take East Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the UTEP Miners + the points over North Texas.  The Miners are 3-8 on the season, so they won't be going to a Bowl game.  Thus, this game, in front of their home fans, will be their final one of the season.  And I fully expect a big effort this afternoon.  They'll face a North Texas squad which upset Southern Miss, 29-23, as a 6-point underdog last week.  Unfortunately, for the Mean Green, they're 0-13 SU and 1-11-1 ATS in conference games, off an upset win, since 2005 (including 0-8 ATS on the road).  Yikes! And North Texas also falls into negative 54-104 ATS 'letdown' system of mine, based on its upset win last week.  Take Texas El Paso + the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Michigan State.  We've had good success in the Nittany Lions' games this season, as we went against them at Michigan, and got the $$$ when the Wolverines blew them out, 49-10.  Then, later in the season, we played on the Nitts against Iowa in PSU's 27-point win.  Here, we'll lay the points with the red-hot Lions, as they've won 7 in a row, and covered their last six.  In stark contrast, the Spartans have lost eight of their last nine, with their only victory against league doormat, Rutgers (does that win even count?).  It's true that MSU played its heart out last week in a narrow, 1-point loss, at home to Ohio State.  But things will be MUCH different on the road, in Happy Valley.  MSU is a poor 19-32 ATS on the road off a home loss.  Lay the points with the Nittany Lions.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Idaho Vandals minus the points over South Alabama.  The Jaguars defeated Presbyterian last week, 31-7, at home, while the Vandals had last week off to rest and prepare for this contest.  And that extra week of rest has triggered a super 99-45 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested, revenge-minded teams vs. conference opponents.  And Idaho does have revenge from a 52-45 loss to the Jaguars last season -- a game the Vandals actually led by 24-0 in the 2nd quarter.  The Jaguars are an awful 0-6 ATS on the road off a home win the past 3 seasons, and are 3-8 ATS their last 11 games away from home, overall.  Meanwhile, Idaho has cashed 7 of its last 8 games when playing with revenge, and is a strong 75% ATS since 1999 off a win, if it was playing with revenge.  Take the Vandals minus the points.  Below the Radar Blowout.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over Ohio State.  It's true that the Wolverines have lost the last 4 meetings to their rival, Ohio State.  But none of those teams were as good as this club.  And it's not often that one finds the best defensive team in the country installed as an underdog.  But that's the case on Saturday, as Jim Harbaugh's crew will be getting points from the Buckeyes in Columbus.  And the Wolverines are the only team in the country giving up less than 11 points per game.  We'll grab the points with the Maize and Blue, as revenge-minded .666 (or better) underdogs of +6.5 or more points have covered 100% percent of the time (13-0 ATS) since 1981 off a win, if their defense doesn't give up more than 13.2 ppg (at Game 10 forward).  Take Michigan + the points.  Big 10 Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Kentucky.  Last week, we played against Louisville, and had our biggest play of that week on Houston, which was a 17-point underdog at home vs. Louisville.  The Cougars won outright, 36-10, so the result didn't really shock us.  But I love the Cardinals to bounce back off that defeat, as College Football teams favored by more than 18 points, off an upset loss on the road where they were favored by 8+ points, have covered a whopping 63% of the time over the past 37 years.  Even better:  Kentucky is a poor 18-26 ATS vs. foes off an upset loss, while Louisville is a super 19-8 ATS its last 27 off an upset defeat, including a perfect 7-0 when priced from -11 to -31.  Take the Cardinals.  High Noon Hanging.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats over Arizona State.  The Sun Devils are giving up an atrocious 38.4 points per game, yet find themselves installed as a small road favorite at rival Arizona.  We'll take the homestanding Wildcats, and go against ASU, as road favorites of 13 points or less (or PK) that give up 36.9+ ppg (at Game 5 forward) have covered just 55 of 143 games since 1980, including 1-6 ATS this season.  The underdog is also 23-12 in this series.  Take Arizona. NCAA Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.