At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the San Diego St. Aztecs + the points over Air Force.  The Falcons come into this game off 3 straight wins, and 4 straight covers, while the Aztecs have lost five straight.  But these disparate results have triggered an 86-44 ATS system of mine on SDSU.  Grab the points with the Home Underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on James Madison minus the points over Marshall.  Marshall upset Old Dominion last week, as a 2.5-point underdog, while JMU was upset by Appalachian St, 34-20.  The Thundering Herd have covered just 38.4% off an upset win.  Take James Madison.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida St. Seminoles + the points over Florida.  The Gators come into this final game off back to back upset wins over LSU and Ole Miss.  We'll fade Florida, as favored teams have covered just 23.5% since 1990 in their final game of the season off back to back upset wins.  Take Florida St.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Oklahoma.  The Sooners upset Alabama last week, 24-3, as a 14-point home dog.  We'll fade Oklahoma, and lay the points with 7-4 LSU, as winning teams have gone 92-68 ATS when favored vs. Conference foes off an upset win, as a 14-point (or greater) underdog.  Take LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies minus the points over Central Michigan.  The Chippewas pulled off an upset last week, when they knocked off Western Michigan, 16-14, as a 6-point home dog.  CMU is now catching double-digits at Northern Illinois, and we'll lay the points as the Huskies are a super 22-12 ATS vs. conference foes off upset wins, while the Chippewas are 0-10 SU/ATS when getting 6+ points off an upset win.  Take Northern Illinois minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Auburn.  The Crimson Tide are 8-3 after last week's 24-3 loss (as a 14-point favorite) at Oklahoma.  We'll lay the points as the Crimson Tide are 7-0 ATS their last 7 (and 23-3 ATS their last 26) in SEC Conference games off a point spread defeat, if their opponent was off back-to-back SU/ATS wins.  Take Alabama.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats + the points over Arizona St.  The Sun Devils are on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak.  Unfortunately, they're 11-26 ATS on the conference road off back to back wins.  And in this heated rivalry, you can throw the records out the window, as the underdog has gone 24-10 ATS when it's owned the worse W/L record.  Take Arizona + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:00 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over Georgia State.  Last week, the Panthers pulled off a massive upset, as a 23-point underdog, at Texas State.  But prior to that shocking win, the Panthers were 2-10-3 ATS their previous 15 games.  The Panthers have covered just 3 of 9 home conference games off an upset win.  We'll take Coastal Carolina.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Illinois.  The Wildcats enter this final game of the season off 2 horrible losses.  They fell last week at Michigan, 50-6, and were walloped, 31-7, by Ohio State two games back.  Meanwhile, Illinois comes into this game off an upset win at Rutgers, and a blowout win vs. Michigan State before that.  We'll grab the points with the home underdog, as teams off back to back blowout losses by 24 points, in which they scored less than 10 points in each, have cashed 64.2% the past 45 years vs. opponents off upset wins.  Illinois is a soft 12-20 ATS as a single-digit favorite vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take Northwestern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons + the points over Duke.  The Blue Devils come into this final game of the season off back to back upset wins over NC State and Virginia Tech.  They've been installed as a road favorite vs. the 4-7 Demon Deacons, who have lost their last 3 games.  We'll take Wake Forest + the points, as revenge-minded underdogs have cashed 93% since 1990 in vs. foes off back-to-back upset wins, in the final game of the season.  Take the Demon Deacons + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Sam Houston Bearkats + the points over Liberty.  The Bearkats are 8-3, but are currently riding a 5-game ATS losing streak.  We'll step in and take the Bearkats, as underdogs playing their Last Home Game of the season have cashed 64.7% if they were off 3 ATS losses, and playing a conference foe off back to back wins.  Additionally, .727 (or better) teams that have lost their last 5 to the spread, have cashed 67% of conference games since 1980, including 11-2 ATS when competitively-priced between +3 and -3 points.  Take Sam Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars + the points over Texas State.  Going into this final weekend, South Alabama is one of four teams still alive to play in the Sun Belt Conference Title game next week.  The Jaguars need to win this game on Friday, and then hope that Louisiana-Lafayette loses to Louisiana-Monroe on Saturday.  Last week, the Bobcats took themselves out of the running for the Title game when they lost as a 23-point home favorite to Georgia State.  We'll fade the Bobcats on the road, in Mobile, as NCAA teams off SU losses as a 23-point (or greater) favorite, have cashed just 12 of 43 games, including 5 of 24 as a favorite.  Take South Alabama + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos minus the points over Oregon State.  The Broncos are currently the 4th seed in the College Football Playoff bracket, which will earn them a Bye into the quarterfinals.  Last week, the Broncos struggled at Wyoming, and won by just 4, as a 22.5-point favorite, while Oregon State upset the Washington State Cougars, 41-38, as an 11-point underdog.  The good news for Boise, here, is that it will be back home, where it's gone 12-3-1 its last 16 FBS games.  Even better:  the Broncos are 13-1-2 ATS off a point spread loss, including a perfect 6-0 ATS at home.  Take the Broncos.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers over the Minnesota Golden Gophers.  The Badgers are mired in a 4-game losing streak after getting blown out last Saturday, in Lincoln.  Wisconsin was a 2-point underdog in that game, but lost by 19, 44-25.  We'll take the Badgers as a small favorite, as they're 21-11-1 ATS as a favorite when they lost their two previous games.  Moreover, Wisky has dominated this 'Battle for Paul Bunyan's Axe,' as it's won 24 of the last 29 meetings.  Take the Badgers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs minus the points over Colorado State.  The Bulldogs were upset at Air Force, 36-28, as a 9.5-point road favorite in their last game.  And that was their second straight loss, overall.  We'll take Fresno to bounce back on Saturday night, as it's cashed 60% in conference games off back-to-back losses.  Even better:  the Rams are 0-6 ATS away from home vs. foes off upset losses, if the Rams weren't getting 5+ points.  Take Fresno.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over Iowa State.  After a heartbreaking, 1-point loss two weeks ago to rival BYU, the Utes understandably had a letdown last week at Colorado.  That was Utah's sixth straight loss (after opening the season with four straight wins).  We played on Utah in that BYU game, and got the $$$ with them as a home underdog.  They're once again a home dog this Saturday evening, and we'll grab the points, as Utah is 34-12-1 ATS an an underdog off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the Utes.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs minus the points over Marshall.  The Thundering Herd have won their last four games.  But they were favored in each of those.  Indeed, this season, when favored, the Herd has gone 7-0.  But it's lost its three games SU as an underdog.  We'll fade Marshall on Saturday night, as it's 3-11-1 ATS as an underdog off back to back wins, including 0-6 ATS in conference games.  Take Old Dominion minus the points.

At 5:00 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns minus the points over Troy.  The Trojans won last season's meeting, 31-24.  I like Louisiana-Lafayette to avenge that defeat, as it is 12-1 SU and 8-5 ATS when favored by more than 6 points, and playing with revenge.  Even better:  the Cajuns were upset, 24-22, here at home by South Alabama last Saturday.  And LA-Lafayette is a solid 18-6 ATS off a home upset loss, including 5-0 ATS as a favorite.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:00 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Louisiana Tech.  Off back to back double-digit home losses to highly-ranked Texas and Ole Miss, the Razorbacks will no doubt be happy to see the Bulldogs roll into Fayetteville.  We'll take Arkansas, as it's cashed 57% since 1980 as a double-digit favorite in non-conference games, if it was off back-to-back losses.  Additionally, Conference USA teams off a SU win have gone 22-36 ATS away from home vs. the SEC Conference.  Lay the points with Arkansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Wisconsin.  The 'Huskers have dropped the last 10 meetings with the Badgers.  But Nebraska has been an underdog in each of the last nine meetings.  This Saturday afternoon, they're favored at home.  We'll take the 'Huskers, as they enter this game off a SU loss to USC last week.  And Nebraska is 47-34-2 ATS when favored off a SU loss.  And Nebraska also falls into a 58-29 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Penn State.  After ripping off four straight wins (and five straight covers), PJ Fleck's Gophers stumbled in Piscataway in their last game, and lost to Rutgers, 26-19, as a 6.5-point road favorite.  We played against Minnesota in that game, but will back it on this Saturday against the Nittany Lions.  The Gophers had last week off to regroup, and are 10-2 ATS their last 12 when playing with rest, and 22-10 ATS since 1980 as an underdog with rest.  Moreover, the Gophers have cashed 69% of Big 10 Conference games off an upset loss, if the Gophers were getting 10+ points.  And Penn State has covered just 30% as a double-digit favorite vs. Big 10 rivals off an upset loss.  The Gophers also fall into a 180-109-2 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested teams at home.  Take Minnesota + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears minus the points over Stanford.  The Cardinal pulled off a massive upset last week when they shocked Louisville, 38-35, as a 21-point home dog.  But Stanford was on an 0-6 SU and 0-5-1 ATS run going into that win, so I view that game as an anomaly more than anything else.  We'll fade Stanford on Saturday afternoon, as it's a poor 27-42-1 ATS off an upset win, including 2-10 ATS when it owned a win percentage of .333 (or less).  Lay the points with California.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls minus the points over Tulsa.  The Bulls blew out Charlotte, 59-24, as a 1.5-point road underdog last Saturday.  Off that impressive win, we'll ride the momentum with South Florida as a double-digit favorite this afternoon.  Indeed, the Bulls have cashed 64.2% as a double-digit favorite following a game where they covered the spread by double-digits.  Lay the points.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian St. Mountaineers + the points over James Madison.  In its last game, the Mountaineers were upset, 38-24, by Coastal Carolina.  We'll take the Mountaineers to bounce back off that defeat, as they've cashed 64% at home off a SU loss.  And they're also 7-1-1 ATS when priced as an underdog of +5 to +10 points.  Take the Mountaineers as a home dog on Saturday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies + the points over Syracuse.  The Orange went into Berkeley last week, and upset the Golden Bears, 33-25, as a double-digit dog.  Off that win, we'll fade Syracuse on Saturday afternoon.  Indeed, over the last 45 years, the Orange have covered just 25% as a home favorite off an upset win, when matched up against an opponent off a SU win.  The Huskies enter off 3 straight wins, and have cashed 59% as a road underdog off back-to-back wins.  Take Connecticut.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over Ole Miss.  The Rebels upset Georgia, 28-10, as a home underdog in their last game, and have won 3 straight, overall.  We'll fade Lane Kiffin's men as a road favorite on Saturday, as Mississippi is an ugly 10-31-2 ATS as a favorite in SEC Conference games off back to back wins (and 0-11-1 ATS off 3+ wins, when priced from -3 to -15).  Take Florida + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Georgia Tech.  The Yellow Jackets pulled off a huge upset in their previous game, when they knocked off the then-undefeated Miami Hurricanes, 28-23, as a 10-point home dog.  I'll fade Georgia Tech off that win, as it is a soft 6-14 ATS in ACC Conference games following a home upset conference win.  Additionally, NC State is 35-17 ATS when catching more than 7 points from a conference rival.  Take the Wolfpack.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats + the points over Iowa State.  The Cyclones have lost their last two games after starting the season 7-0.  They're now favored by more than a touchdown at home vs. a 5-4 Bearcats looking to become bowl-eligible with a win.  We'll fade Iowa State, as favorites off back to back losses have cashed just 18% since 1980 in the regular season, if they started the year with 7+ wins.  Take Cincy + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Arizona State.  The Wildcats come into this Saturday evening's game off an upset loss at Houston two weeks ago.  K-State was favored by 12.5 in that game, but lost, 24-19.  We'll look for the Wildcats to bounce back, as they're 12-0 ATS their last 12 following a loss, in which they failed to cover by 13+ points.  Take the Wildcats.

At 6:00 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins minus the points over Rutgers.  We played on Rutgers last Saturday, and were rewarded with an upset win over the Minnesota Golden Gophers.  But we will fade Greg Schiano's men in College Park, as Maryland has cashed 69% since 1980 at home vs. foes off upset wins.  Take the Terrapins.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers minus the points over Arkansas St.  The Panthers have lost their last six games, straight-up, and are on a 4-game ATS losing streak.  They lost last week at James Madison, 38-7, as a 14.5-point underdog.  In this home game, though, they're favored over the Red Wolves.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the ice cold Panthers.  But home favorites off 6+ losses, and 4+ ATS losses have cashed 73% the past 45 years if they failed to cover the spread by 7+ in their previous game.  Lay the points with Georgia St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks minus the points over Missouri.  The Gamecocks come into this home game vs. the Tigers off 3 straight wins and covers.  And South Carolina covered the spread in those three games by 26, 27 and 15 points.  We'll look for the Gamecocks to continue to roll on Saturday, as NCAA favorites have covered 65.9% since 1980 if they were off 3 SU/ATS wins, in which they covered each by 15+ points, and were now matched up against a conference foe off a win.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:00 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over USC.  Dana Holgorsen will take over the reins of Nebraska's offense, as former coordinator, Marcus Satterfield, will coach tight ends.  In Satterfield's 21 games as a play-caller, Nebraska's offense averaged 20.4 ppg, which ranked #124 of 134 FBS teams.  Before his head coaching stints at West Virginia and Houston, Holgorsen built his reputation while coordinating high-octane offenses under Mike Leach at Texas Tech and Mike Gundy at Oklahoma State.  Installing Holgorsen as coordinator will no doubt boost Nebraska's offensive production.  I like Nebraska as a big underdog.  Take the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers minus the points over Air Force.  The Beavers were stunned last week, 24-13, by San Jose State, as a 3-point home favorite.  We'll take Oregon State to bounce back, as it's 12-1 ATS off an upset loss, if it was priced from -7.5 to +7.5 points.  Take the Beavers.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Virginia.  The Irish have topped 50 points in each of their last two games.  And they've won seven in a row, and covered their last five, as well.  I won't step in front of this freight train, as NCAA teams have gone 139-89-4 ATS at home when priced from -20 to -35 points, if they scored 40+ points in each of their two previous games.  Even better:  UVa is off an upset win over Pittsburgh last Saturday.  And the Irish are 29-15-3 ATS vs. foes off upset wins.  Take Notre Dame.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:45 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Louisiana Monroe.  The Tigers are 3-6 on the season, after losing at home to Vanderbilt two weeks ago.  No doubt, Auburn will be happy to step down in class, and play this late-season game vs. creampuff LA-Monroe just to get a breather from the difficult SEC Conference schedule.  I like playing on home teams in the 2nd half of the season that don't have winning records, when they are favored by 21+ points vs. non-conference foes.  Since 1980, these teams have cashed 65.3%.  Lay the points with the Tigers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Louisiana Tech.  Western Kentucky is 7-2 after winning its fourth straight game -- a 41-28 triumph at New Mexico St. last Saturday.  Meanwhile, Louisiana Tech is 3-6 after its 7-point loss to the Jacksonville St. Gamecocks last weekend.  The Hilltoppers are 5-0 in Conference USA play, and remain tied atop the standings with Rich Rodriguez's Gamecocks.  Western Kentucky will host the Gamecocks here in two weeks.  But it needs to take care of business in this game, and at 4-2 Liberty next Saturday.  The Hilltoppers are a solid 17-4 ATS at home vs. conference foes when priced from -6 to -20 points, while Louisiana Tech is a terrible 14-35-1 ATS as a road dog, priced from +11 to +31 points.  Take Western Kentucky minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:15 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Houston.  The Cougars enter off back to back upset wins, including a 24-19 triumph as a home dog vs. Kansas State in their last game.  But off those two victories, we'll fade Houston on the road on Friday, as it's a horrid 0-16 ATS on the road, when not getting 20+ points, if it was off a point spread win at home in its previous game.  Take Arizona.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies minus the points over UCLA.  The Huskies were blown out by Penn State last week, 35-6.  And that was Washington's 5th straight point spread loss away from Seattle this season.  The good news for U-Dub is that it's back home on Friday, and it's 4-1 ATS in its five home games this season.  The Huskies are also 14-6 ATS at home vs. conference foes off upset conference wins.  With UCLA in off an upset of Iowa last week, we'll lay the points with Washington.

At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams minus the points over Wyoming.  Colorado State is rolling right now, with four straight wins, and six straight covers, including a 38-21 blowout win at Nevada in their previous game.  Similarly, the Cowboys are red-hot "in Vegas", as they come into this game off 3 straight ATS wins, including an upset at New Mexico in their last game.  We'll fade Wyoming, as it's 15-40 ATS on the road when playing a foe off a win by more than 2 touchdowns.  Lay the points with Colorado State.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ohio Bobcats minus the points over Eastern Michigan.  The Bobcats went into Kent State last week, and shut out the Eagles, 41-0.  Off that impressive win, we'll lay the points with Ohio at home tonight.  For technical support, consider that NCAA teams off road shutout wins have cashed 162 of 266 if they covered the spread by double-digits in their previous game.  Take Ohio.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:15 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over BYU.  Utah is having a down season, as it's 4-4, while its Beehive State rival, BYU, is unblemished, at 8-0.  But in this rivalry game, you can throw the records out the window.  Indeed, the underdog has gone 25-11 ATS in the last 26 meetings (with Utah accounting for 16-6 ATS of the 25-11).  It's true that the Utes have lost their last four games, SU/ATS, and have scored just 7 and 14 in their two most recent games.  But Utah is 9-0 ATS its last 9 after scoring less than 15 points in each of its two previous games.  Take the Utes + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Washington.  Last week, the Nittany Lions once again lost to Ohio State.  And that's par for the course with the Nittany Lions, as they have gone 1-16 straight-up their last 17 games when installed as an underdog (and 3-9 ATS their last 12).  The good news, then, for James Franklin's men is that they're a favorite in this game vs. Washington.  And Penn State excels when it has the talent advantage, as it's 36-3 SU and 28-10-1 ATS its last 39 FBS games as a favorite, including 16-0 ATS when priced from -6 to -18.5 points!  We will lay the number with the Nittany Lions.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes minus the points over Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders stunned then-undefeated Iowa State, 23-22, last week, as a 13.5-point road underdog.  Meanwhile, Colorado had last week off after downing the Cincy Bearcats, 34-23, two weeks ago to move its record to 6-2.  We'll fade the Red Raiders, as underdogs have cashed just 37.2% since 1980 after defeating an undefeated opponent with a 7-0 (or better) record.  Additionally, the Red Raiders are 8-17 ATS as underdogs of +10 (or less) points off an upset win, while Colorado has gone 11-4 ATS vs. foes off upset wins, when the Buffs owned a .666 (or better) win percentage.  Finally, Texas Tech is 2-7 ATS as an unrested home dog vs. a rested foe, while Colorado is 5-1-1 its last 7 when playing with rest, and 8-1-1 ATS its last 10 when playing a foe with a winning record.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies + the points over Clemson.  Virginia Tech will no doubt want to bounce back off its overtime loss to Syracuse last week, as well as snap its 6-game losing streak to the Tigers.  The good news is that its QB, Kyron Drones, and RB, Bhayshul Tuten, have been fully participating in practice this week, so I expect them to suit up.  Additionally, the Hokies are 24-6 ATS as an underdog off a SU loss when playing an opponent that won the prior meeting.  Take Virginia Tech + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Florida.  The Longhorns ascended to the #1 ranking in the country, but were knocked off that perch by Georgia, in a 30-15 upset loss.  Unsurprisingly, the Longhorns were a bit flat off that deflating Georgia loss, and only beat Vanderbilt by three, 27-24.  Texas had last week off to regroup, and that extra time should do it some good in this home game vs. Florida.  Indeed, rested home teams off an ATS loss have cashed 73% the last 45 years, when priced from -21 to -30 points, vs. unrested foes off an ATS win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights + the points over Minnesota.  PJ Fleck's Gophers come into Piscataway on a 4-game win streak (and a 5-game ATS streak).  All that should come to an end on this Saturday afternoon, as Minnesota falls into negative 18-61, 27-71 and 44-84 ATS systems of mine, based on its win streak.  Additionally, Rutgers had last week off after its 42-20 loss at Southern Cal.  And Rutgers is 34-17 ATS vs. foes on SU/ATS win streaks when the game was competitively-priced, with a line less than 7 points.  And the Scarlet Knights are 14-1-1 ATS when playing with rest against a foe off a SU/ATS win.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Rice.  The Tigers were favored by 7 last week at UTSA, but were upset, 44-36.  Meanwhile, Rice won, 24-10, over Navy.  We'll take Memphis to bounce back on Friday, as it's 7-0 ATS its last seven off an upset loss when playing an opponent off a SU win.  Even better:  Rice has covered just 42% the last 45 years on the road vs. foes off upset defeats.  And it's a woeful 0-13 ATS its last 13 (and 3-25 ATS its last 28) as a road underdog in vs. .600 (or better) conference foes, priced from +2.5 to +18 points.  Take Memphis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Miami-OH RedHawks minus the points over Ball State.  The Cardinals stunned Northern Illinois last week, 25-23, as a 13-point home underdog.  They're once again installed as a home pup, and we'll go against the Cardinals tonight.  Miami has won and covered 3 straight, after a 46-7 undressing of Central Michigan, in Oxford.  And the RedHawks are 29-10 ATS when priced from -9 to -18 points, including 13-2 ATS on the road, and 21-4 ATS off a SU win.  Meanwhile, Ball State is a brutal 14-29 ATS vs. Mid-American Conference foes off a win by more than 21 points.  And the Cardinals also fall into negative 61-96 and 118-210 ATS systems of mine, based on their upset win over Northern Illinois.  Lay the points with Miami-OH.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs minus the points over Pittsburgh.  This is a great match-up in the ACC Conference.  Both SMU (4-0) and Pittsburgh (3-0) enter with undefeated conference records, and Pitt is also undefeated on the season, with a 7-0 mark (SMU is 7-1).  The Panthers are outscoring their foes by 18.85 ppg, which ranks 13th in NCAA (and betters SMU's mark of 17.75 ppg).  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on Pitt as an underdog.  But consider that road underdogs with an 18.85 (or better) scoring margin (as well as a better scoring margin than their opponent) have cashed just 39% over the last 45 years (and just 31.5% when getting 7+ points).  That doesn't bode well for Pitt on Saturday.  Nor does the fact that the Panthers fall into a negative system of mine which is 26-76-2 ATS since 1980 (the same angle I used last week for my SEC Game of the Year Winner on Texas A&M over SMU).  The Mustangs are 11-4 ATS in conference games off a conference win (including a perfect 5-0 ATS at home).  Lay the points with SMU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack + the points over Colorado St.  The Rams have covered the spread in their last five games.  They're now favored on the road against Nevada, which was blown out by 21 last week in Hawaii.  We'll fade Colorado St., as Mountain West road favorites have covered just 10 of 36 after 3 straight ATS wins.  Even better:  the Rams are an ugly 0-6 ATS their last six (and 1-8 ATS their last nine) off 3 SU/ATS wins, while Nevada is 31-15 ATS off a loss by more than 17 points.  Take the Wolf Pack.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over TCU.  The Bears were blown out by the Horned Frogs, 42-17, last season in Fort Worth, as a 13-point dog.  Last week, Baylor beat Oklahoma St., 38-28, while TCU won a thriller vs. Texas Tech, 35-34, as a 5-point home favorite.  That was TCU's 2nd straight win, and it will look for #3 in a row at Baylor on Saturday night.  We'll side with the homestanding Bears, as Baylor is 17-3 ATS at home vs. .875 (or worse) foes off a SU win, including a perfect 8-0 ATS when playing with revenge.  And Baylor also falls into 197-111 and 149-71 ATS systems of mine, that play on certain home teams off back-to-back wins.  Take the Bears minus the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks + the points over Texas A&M.  The Gamecocks had last week off after blowing out Oklahoma, in Norman, 35-9, in a Pk'em game.  We played on Texas A&M last Saturday over LSU, as our SEC Game of the Year, and were rewarded with a big 38-23 win.  This week, we'll switch gears and fade the Aggies on the road in Columbia.  Since 1980, the Aggies are an awful 1-16 ATS on the road vs. rested foes off a SU win.  Take South Carolina + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan St. Spartans + the points over Indiana.  Curt Cignetti's Hoosiers are off to an 8-0 start, and have covered the spread in their last seven.  And they rank #1 in scoring margin (inclusive of FCS games) with a 32.37 margin of victory.  The Spartans, meanwhile, are 4-4 SU/ATS after losing to Michigan, 24-17, as a 3-point road dog.  We'll take the home dog, as NCAA road favorites have covered just 27% since 1980 vs. conference foes off an ATS loss, if our road fave owned a scoring margin of 24.0 ppg (or better).  Take the Spartans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over the Oregon Ducks.  The Ducks were my preseason pick (at 8-1 odds) to win the National Championship.  They're currently ranked #1, and will face a stiff test on Saturday afternoon in Ann Arbor, against the defending champs.  Oregon's been installed as a double-digit road favorite, and we'll grab the points with the Wolverines, as defending champs have gone 17-5 ATS in home conference games vs. undefeated foes.  Additionally, Michigan is 7-1-1 ATS its last nine vs. foes off back to back ATS wins.  And it's also 26-18-1 ATS vs. foes off 3+ point spread wins.  Take Michigan + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins + the points over Nebraska.  The Cornhuskers lost to Ohio State last week, 27-24 (but covered the spread), while the Bruins snapped a 5-game losing streak with a 35-32 upset win at Rutgers.  We'll fade the 'Huskers, as Nebraska is an ugly 5-16-1 ATS when favored in Big 10 Conference games, including 0-7-1 ATS off a point spread win.  Take UCLA.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles + the points over North Carolina.  We played on the Tar Heels last week, and were rewarded with a blowout, 41-14, upset win over Virginia.  Florida State, meanwhile, dropped its fourth straight game, in a 22-point loss at Miami.  But despite its down year, the Seminoles are still 31-14-3 ATS off a road loss the previous week.  And North Carolina is a miserable 0-8-1 ATS off a road upset win, if it wasn't favored by more than 7 in its current game.  Take Florida State.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Houston.  The Wildcats edged their rival, Kansas, 29-27, as a 10-point favorite last week, while Houston upset Utah, 17-14, as a 4.5-point dog.  The Wildcats are a super 86-51-1 ATS off a point spread defeat, including 20-2-1 ATS their last 23 vs. .375 (or better) foes.  And Houston is a woeful 0-12 ATS as an underdog of 20 or less points (or PK).  Take Kansas State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm (time change), our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over Oklahoma State.  This is the first season these two teams have been conference rivals.  But they did meet each of the last two seasons when ASU was a Pac-12 Conference school.  Oklahoma State won each of those two meetings, by scores of 34-17 and 27-15.  We'll take the Sun Devils to avenge those defeats, as they fall into a revenge system of mine which is 256-193 ATS since 1980.  ASU has also cashed 78% since 1980 as a revenge-minded road favorite vs. conference foes.  Take Arizona State.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian St. Mountaineers + the points over Old Dominion.  The Monarchs pulled off their third straight upset win last week, when they walloped Georgia Southern, 47-19.  They're now favored on the road at App State, and we will happily grab the points.  Last season, App State was favored by 6 points, but upset by ODU, 28-21.  I look for the Mountaineers to avenge that defeat, as NCAA road favorites have covered just 37% over the last 42 years off 3 straight underdog covers.  Moreover, Appalachian State is 6-0 ATS as an underdog vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  And it's 3-0 ATS as a revenge-minded underdog.  Take the Mountaineers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:45 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Vanderbilt.  The Tigers had an impressive win at Kentucky last week, as they blew out the Wildcats, 24-10, as a 1.5-point underdog.  Vandy also impressed in defeat, as it lost by just three to Texas, as a 17-point dog.  Auburn is an awesome 13-0-1 ATS its last 14 (and 18-3-1 its last 22) as a favorite at home, or on neutral fields vs. conference foes off a point spread win, if Auburn was off a conference win.  And Vandy is a wallet-breaking 1-11 ATS on the SEC road off a home game where it covered the spread by more than 9 points.  Take Auburn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Kennesaw St.  Last week, the Owls pulled off the 2nd biggest upset of the season when they upended the then-undefeated Liberty Flames, 27-24, as a 27-point home dog.  Only Northern Illinois' upset of Notre Dame, as a 28-point dog, was bigger.  But off that win, we'll fade Kennesaw vs. a Hilltoppers team which has won 5 of its last 6, straight-up, and six straight ATS.  Indeed, since 1980, teams off wins as 7-point (or greater) underdogs have gone 427-532-19 ATS vs. winning foes.  Look for Western Kentucky to cover its seventh straight.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over Louisiana-Lafayette.  The Bobcats come into this game off a 24-14 upset loss at Old Dominion, as a 10.5-point favorite, while the Cajuns have won four straight, including a 34-24 triumph at Coastal Carolina their last game.  We'll lay the points with the Bobcats, as teams off double-digit losses, as double-digit favorites the previous week, have cashed 66.2% of regular season games vs. conference foes off back to back wins.  Additionally, the Bobcats have cashed 70% of conference games off upset defeats, while the Cajuns are 3-10-1 ATS vs. foes off upset losses.  Take Texas State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over LSU.  Last week, the Aggies were a 21.5-point favorite at Mississippi St.  They won, 34-24, but failed to cover the point spread by 11.5 points.  Off that ATS defeat, we'll look for the Aggies to bounce back in College Station on Saturday.  Texas A&M is an awesome 7-0 ATS its last seven, and 35-18-1 ATS its last 54, at home off a point spread loss when playing an opponent off a SU win.  LSU, meanwhile, enters off 6 straight wins and 3 straight covers.  Unfortunately, though, the Tigers are an ugly 11-22 ATS if they covered the spread in each of their 3 previous games.  Finally, Texas A&M falls into one of my favorite systems, which is 74-23-2 ATS.  Lay the points with the Aggies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears minus the points over Oregon State.  The Golden Bears kicked off 2024 with three wins, but have dropped their last four games, including an upset loss last week to NC State, as a 9.5-point home favorite.  And their four defeats this season were all narrow.  They lost by 1 point to Miami-Fla and NC State; by 2 points to Pittsburgh; and by 5 points to Florida St.  We'll lay the points with California against former conference foe, Oregon State, as California is 12-3 ATS off 3+ losses, when not getting 10+ points.  And the Golden Bears are also a solid 14-7-1 ATS off an upset loss.  Finally, the Golden Bears play this game with revenge from a 52-40 loss to the Beavers last season.  And Cal falls into a 34-8 ATS system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams off SU losses.  Take the Golden Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Illinois.  Dan Lanning's Ducks keep on rolling along, as they blew out Purdue, 35-0, in West Lafayette last week.  Oregon currently sits at #1 in the national polls with a 7-0 record, and they'll welcome the Illini to Autzen Stadium on Saturday afternoon.  We'll lay the points with Oregon, as NCAA teams off a road shutout win over a conference foe the previous week have gone 136-82-5 ATS since 1980.  Additionally, the Illini are a poor 12-25 ATS in conference road games when priced from +16 to +28 points.  Take Oregon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders + the points over TCU.  Last week, we played on TCU, as a 3-point underdog at Utah, and were rewarded with a 13-7 upset win.  We also played against the Red Raiders, and got the $$$ when Baylor walloped the Red Raiders, 59-35, as a 4.5-point road dog.  But off that 24-point upset loss, we'll grab the points with Texas Tech at TCU.  Indeed, the Red Raiders are a solid 61-37 ATS in conference games after failing to cover the spread by more than 7 points in their previous game (including a perfect 11-0 ATS when priced from +5.5 to +8 points).  And TCU is a nasty 1-15-1 ATS when favored by more than 3 points off an upset win.  Take Texas Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Missouri.  The Tide were rolled by Tennessee last Saturday, as the Vols upset them, 24-17, as a 3.5-point home dog.  Meanwhile, Missouri won (and covered) its second straight game, with a 21-17 win over Auburn, as a 3-point home favorite.  We'll take 'Bama to bounce back, as it's 22-3 ATS in SEC Conference games off a point spread loss, if it was playing an opponent off back-to-back SU/ATS wins.  Take the Crimson Tide.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights minus the points over BYU.  We played against the Cougars last week, and got the $$$ with Oklahoma State.  The Cowboys almost pulled off the big upset, but #11-ranked BYU escaped with a 38-35 win after scoring the game-winning TD with 10 seconds left.  This week, the 7-0 Cougars will travel cross-country to take on the Knights. Unfortunately for BYU, undefeated NCAA teams, at Game 8 forward, have covered just 25% since 1980 as underdogs vs. conference foes off a SU loss.  Lay the points with UCF.

At 12:45 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Mississippi St.  The Razorbacks come into this game in Starkville off a 34-10 loss to #8-ranked LSU.  And they'll be out for revenge as, last season, the Bulldogs upset Arkansas, 7-3, in Fayetteville.  We'll take Arkansas on Saturday afternoon, as it is a super 33-17-1 ATS on the SEC road when playing with revenge.  Even better:  the Razorbacks are 16-6-1 ATS in SEC games off a conference defeat, including 8-1-1 ATS when playing with revenge.  The Bulldogs are a poor 4-15-1 ATS their last 20 when not getting more than 21 points.  And they're 14-24-1 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe.  We'll lay the points with Arkansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels + the points over Virginia.  North Carolina has lost four straight games, and is 0-5 ATS its last 5 FBS games.  Two weeks ago, the Tar Heels fell at home to Georgia Tech, 41-34, as a 3.5 point dog.  They'll travel to Charlottesville to face a Cavaliers squad on Saturday afternoon.  And UVa has covered its last four games.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Cavaliers, and against the ice-cold Tar Heels.  However, consider that NCAA teams on a 4-game (or better) ATS losing streak have cashed 56% since 1980 vs. foes on a 4-game (or better).  Virginia is a wallet-busting 34-65-4 ATS as a single-digit favorite against .400 (or better) foes.  Take the Tar Heels.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels + the points over Boise State.  These two teams met last season in the Mountain West Championship game, and Boise blew out UNLV, 44-20.  The Rebels have had this rematch circled on their calendar, and we'll grab the points with the revenge-minded home team.  Indeed, UNLV is a super 20-6 ATS at home, when playing with revenge, if it was priced from +3 to +14 points.  Even better:  the Rebels return home following back-to-back road games.  And UNLV is 7-0-1 ATS its last eight (and 17-7-1 ATS its last 25) home games after playing back-to-back on the road.  Take the Rebels.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks minus the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Gamecocks enter tonight's game off 3 SU/ATS wins, in which they've covered the spread by 31, 22, and 20 points, including wins in their last two games where they've scored 63 and 54 points.  We'll lay the points with the Gamecocks tonight, as home teams have cashed 58% in conference games the last 45 years after scoring more than 48 in each of their two previous games.  Take Jacksonville State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points against Utah.  Both of these teams will be looking for redemption after getting upset in their previous game.  But we will look the way of the underdog in this game.  This season, TCU is 0-4 ATS as a favorite, but 1-0 ATS as an underdog in its five FBS games.  And Utah is 1-0 ATS this season when not favored, but 0-4 ATS this season when laying points.  We'll stick with these trends and play on TCU as a dog, as it falls into 126-46, 70-17 and 175-82 ATS systems of mine that take certain teams off upset losses, while Utah falls into a negative 49-127 ATS system of mine, based on its upset loss in its previous game.  Take the Horned Frogs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Florida.  The Wildcats are licking their wounds after getting stomped at home by Vanderbilt last weekend.  We'll lay the points on the road with Kentucky, as SEC Conference teams have gone 61-39 ATS on the road off an upset loss, when matched up against an SEC foe off an ATS win.  Take Kentucky.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over Iowa State.  The 9th-ranked Cyclones are undefeated, at 6-0, and will welcome UCF to Ames on Saturday night.  The Knights will be looking to bounce back off 3 straight upset losses, at the hands of Colorado, Florida and Cincinnati.  The good news for UCF is that college teams off 3 upset losses have cashed 73% since 1983 when installed as a road underdog vs. foes off a SU/ATS win (and 86% if they were getting more than 9 points).  Take Central Florida.

At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Ball State Cardinals + the points over Vanderbilt.  The Commodores come into this game off not 1, but 2 upsets over SEC Conference rivals -- each as a double-digit underdog.  Now, in a role reversal, they're laying double-digits to a non-conference foe.  But SEC Conference teams are an ugly 1-9-1 ATS off back-to-back upset wins.  And Vandy is also a wallet-busting 5-11 ATS when favored by 14+ points.  Take Ball State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over USC.  The four Big 10 teams from the Pac-12 have been great at home (6-3 ATS), but terrible on the road (1-5 ATS) in conference games this season.  This week, USC will have to travel to Maryland to take on a Terrapins team looking to make amends for an embarrassing 37-10 loss last week to Northwestern, as an 11-point home favorite.  We'll grab the points, as home teams have cashed 61% the past 45 years off 13-point (or worse) defeats as favorites of 11+ points (including 20-10 ATS as a home underdog).  Take Maryland.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over Texas Tech.  We played on the Red Raiders in their previous game, and were rewarded with a 28-22 upset win over Arizona, as a 6.5-point underdog.  But we'll fade Texas Tech off that upset win, as they're a soft 13-26 ATS following an outright win as a dog.  Meanwhile, the Bears were steamrolled by Iowa State, 43-21, in their previous game.  They're now getting points from Texas Tech in Lubbock, and we'll happily take Baylor dressed up as an underdog.  The Bears are a solid 24-8-2 ATS off a point spread loss, when matched up against foes with a win percentage greater than .600, including 17-3-1 ATS as a conference underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Houston.  Both of these teams come into this game with a week of rest.  Kansas lost, 35-31, at Arizona St., as a 2-point underdog, on October 5.  Meanwhile, the Cougars pulled off a massive upset in their previous game when they went into Fort Worth, and upset TCU, 30-19, as a 16-point underdog.  They're getting much less than that here, and we'll fade the Cougars, as single-digit underdogs have cashed just 42% in the last 45 seasons off an upset win as a 16-point (or greater) underdog.  Kansas is a solid 25-16 ATS as a home favorite, including a perfect 4-0 ATS vs. foes off an upset win.  And Houston is a horrid 42-74-1 ATS vs. conference foes off a SU/ATS loss.  Lay the points with the Jayhawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over Rice.  The Green Wave come into this game off two huge wins, as they defeated South Florida, 45-10, as as 4-point favorite.  And then they followed that up with a 71-20 demolition of UAB, as a 19.5-point favorite.  For the season, Tulane ranks #6 in the country in point spread differential, as it's covered its FBS games by an average of 13.8 ppg.  In contrast, the Owls rank as the 5th worst team in point spread differential, as it has failed to cover the spread by 13.1 ppg in its FBS games.  We'll fade Rice, as underdogs of 19+ points, that have failed to cover the spread by an average of at least 11.63 ppg, at Game 7 forward, have covered just 34%.  Lay the points with Tulane.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners minus the points over Florida Atlantic.  The Roadrunners are 2-0 at home, with wins over Kennesaw St (28-16) and Houston Christian (45-7), and 0-4 on the road.  The good news for Jeff Traylor's men, then, is that they've back home at the Alamodome on Saturday.  UTSA has covered 70% of its home conference games that were competitively-priced with point spreads of 5 or less, while Florida Atlantic is 3-13-1 ATS in its last 17 games where the spread was 5 or less.  Lay the points with the Roadrunners.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets + the points over Northern Illinois.  The Rockets were upset at Buffalo, 30-15, as a 10.5-point road favorite last week.  Off that clunker, we'll take the Rockets at Northern Illinois this afternoon.  The Rockets are a super 14-6 ATS off an upset loss.  And, even better, NCAA teams with a .666 (or better) win percentage, have cashed 61.6% since 1980 as road underdogs off an upset loss as a favorite of more than 10 points.  Toledo is also 8-4 ATS at Northern Illinois, including 3-0 ATS off a straight-up loss.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over Virginia.  The Tigers have rebounded nicely after getting annihilated by Georgia, 34-3, in their season opener.  Since that debacle, they've gone 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS.  Their last two games were on the road, so Clemson will be excited to be back home in Death Valley, where they've covered 6 straight.  Meanwhile, Virginia hits the road after back to back ATS wins at home.  The Tigers are 18-11 ATS their last 29 games vs. Virginia.  And they've also cashed 61% of their home ACC games off back-to-back road games.  Finally, Virginia is 1-7 ATS on the road off back-to-back home ATS wins.  Take Clemson.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Arizona State. Last week, the Sun Devils pulled off an upset as a 6-point home dog when they upended Utah, 27-19. But off that upset win, we'll fade ASU on the road in Ohio. The Sun Devils are a wallet-lightening 7-18 ATS away from home off an upset win. And Cincy is 30-14 ATS as a home favorite of more than 3 points vs. foes off a SU win. Take the Bearcats to blow out the Sun Devils. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:15 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Oklahoma St. Cowboys + the points over the BYU Cougars.  The Cougars are off to a 6-0 start this season, and have covered all five of their FBS games.  We'll go against the Cougars on Friday night, and grab the points with Oklahoma State.  The Cowboys were upset at home last week, 38-14, as a 3-point home favorite.  But Okie State is a solid 10-0 ATS as an underdog off an upset loss, when playing a foe off a SU win.  That bodes well for the Cowboys on Friday night.  As does the fact that BYU has covered just 25% since 1980 as a home favorite of =10 (or less) points, if BYU was off a SU/ATS win, and its opponent was off a SU/ATS loss.  Grab the points with the Cowboys.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Sam Houston St. Bearkats minus the points over Western Kentucky.  This is a great match-up in Conference USA action, as both teams come into the game with undefeated (2-0) conference records.  I like the homestanding Bearkats, as they've covered the spread in four straight, including by 10+ points in each of their two previous games.  And this has triggered a solid 'momentum' system, as home teams off 2 wins and 4 straight covers have cashed 57.3% vs. conference foes off a SU/ATS win, if our home team covered the spread in its two previous games by double-digits.  The Bearkats are 8-1 ATS their last nine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars minus the points over Troy.  The Trojans enter this game with an 0-5 record vs. FBS opponents and a 1-4 ATS ledger.  And they've failed to cover the spread by 4.5 ppg.  I expect South Alabama to have a lot of success in the ground game, as it is averaging 7.1 ypr this season, while the Trojans are allowing 5.1 ypr in their six games.  Although both teams do enter this game off back-to-back ATS losses, the Jaguars are a solid 11-3 ATS in conference games off two ATS defeats.  Finally, the Jaguars fall into a 56-27 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Vanderbilt. The Commodores stunned #1-ranked Alabama last week, 40-35, as a 23-point home underdog. I look for a letdown on Saturday night in Lexington, as winning teams, off an upset win as an underdog of more than 18 points, have gone 2-18 ATS when priced from +3 to +17 points vs. a foe off a SU win. That doesn't bode well for Vandy on Saturday. Nor does the fact that the Commodores are 0-8 SU/ATS as underdogs away from home off an upset win. Lay the points with Kentucky. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks + the points over Ohio State. The Ducks were my preseason pick (at 8-1 odds) to win the National Championship. They're currently ranked #3 in the country, and this game vs. the #2-ranked Buckeyes will go a long way toward determining the seeds in the 12-team tournament at season's end. We'll happily grab the points as home underdogs have gone 10-0-1 ATS their last 11 if they were off 5+ wins, and playing an undefeated foe. Likewise, home underdogs with scoring margins of 18+ points (like Oregon), off back to back wins, have cashed 65% since 1985 vs. foes off a SU/ATS win. Finally, the Ducks are 27-14 ATS in conference games off 4+ wins, while Ohio State is 1-5 ATS on the Big 10 road vs. undefeated foes, when the spread was 4 points or less. Take Oregon + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats + the points over BYU. We played against Arizona last Saturday, and cashed a huge play on Texas Tech. The Red Raiders were a 6.5-point underdog, and won that game outright, 28-22. Off that upset loss, we'll take the Wildcats to bounce back at BYU. Since 1980, the Cougars have covered just 25% as a home favorite off a SU win, vs. opponents off home upset defeats. Meanwhile, Arizona is an awesome 17-6 ATS as an underdog in conference games off an upset loss. Grab the points with Arizona. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers minus the points over California. The Golden Bears suffered a heartbreaking loss, 39-38, to the undefeated Miami-Fla Hurricanes last Saturday. They now have to play another undefeated team -- the #22-ranked Panthers. We'll fade California, as it's an awful 0-8 ATS its last 8 (and 1-11 ATS its last 12) off a home game where it lost SU and covered the spread. And Pitt is 5-0 ATS its last 5 home games. Finally, at Game 6 forward, NCAA home teams with a win percentage greater than .750, have cashed 58% when favored by 7 or less points against foes off an ATS win. Lay the points with Pitt. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Jacksonville St. Gamecocks minus the points over New Mexico St.  The Aggies have been competitive at home this season, with a narrow, 30-24, loss to Liberty (as a 22-point dog), and a 50-40 loss to New Mexico (as a 9.5-point dog).  But on the road, it's been a different story.  The Aggies were shut out, 48-0, by Fresno (as a 20-point dog), and blown out, 31-11, by Sam Houston St. (as a 15-point dog).  Taken together, the Aggies have covered the spread by an average of 7.75 ppg in their home FBS games, but have FAILED to cover the spread in their road FBS games by 16.5 ppg.  Given that this game is being played in Jacksonville, New Mexico St.'s home/road splits don't bode well for it on Wednesday night.  Even worse:  the Aggies are 21-42 ATS when getting 20+ points, including 0-5 ATS when rested.  Lay the points with Jacksonville St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders + the points over Arizona.  The Wildcats stunned Utah, 23-10, as a 7.5-point road underdog last Saturday.  Off that big upset win, we'll fade Arizona as a home favorite this weekend.  Indeed, the Wildcats are a woeful 4-17-1 ATS as a favorite off an outright win as an underdog (or PK), including 1-12 ATS when favored by 4+ points.  Take Texas Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Miami-Fla.  Something's gotta give on Saturday night in Berkeley, as California owns the 12th-best scoring defense (12.7 ppg), while Miami owns the 2nd-best scoring offense (49.4 ppg).  I like the defensive-minded home dog, as California is 16-7-1 ATS its last 24 as a home dog, while Miami is 2-14 ATS away from home off an ATS loss.  Additionally, underdogs off a SU/ATS loss, with a defense that gives up < 14 ppg, have cashed 60% since 1980 vs. foes off a SU win.  Take California.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies minus the points over Michigan.  This is a rematch of the National Championship game won by the Wolverines last January.  Michigan is off to a 3-1 start this season after downing Minnesota, 27-24, last Saturday, in Ann Arbor.  Meanwhile, Washington is 3-2, and enters off a tough loss at Rutgers last week.  We'll fade Michigan, as defending National Champs are a dismal 16-37 ATS away from home off back-to-back wins, when not favored by 7+ points (including 0-6 ATS vs. a foe off a SU loss).  Lay the points with Washington.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans minus the points over Minnesota.  We played on the Gophers last week, and got the $$$ in a 27-24 loss to the Michigan Wolverines.  Minnesota is back home on Saturday, and will welcome the USC Trojans to Huntington Bank Stadium.  Unfortunately for the Gophers, they're a brutal 0-6 SU/ATS at home when not favored by 3+ points.  And Minnesota also falls into a negative 103-182-6 ATS system of mine, which fades certain teams off losses.  Lay the points with the Trojans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack + the points over San Jose St.  The Spartans are 3-0 ATS this season in its FBS games, after covering the spread at Washington State, in a 54-52 overtime defeat its last time on the field.  Meanwhile, Nevada is 2-2 ATS in its 4 FBS games, but did blow out FCS Eastern Washington, 49-16, its most recent game.  Even though San Jose is 3-0 ATS, we'll fade it on Saturday night, as the Spartans are a wallet-busting 6-17 ATS after covering the spread in its three previous games.  And Nevada is a solid 13-7 ATS vs. opponents that did cover the spread in each of their three previous games.  The Spartans also fall into a negative 24.1% ATS system of mine that fades certain home favorites off road losses.  Grab the points with Nevada.

At 7:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over Iowa State.  The Bears enter this game off an upset home loss to Big 12 Conference rival, BYU, last Saturday.  But off that upset defeat, we'll take the Bears to bounce back in Ames on Saturday night, as Baylor is a super 14-3-2 ATS as an underdog in conference games off an upset loss.  The Bears also play this game with revenge from a 30-18 loss in Waco last October.  And the revenger in this rivalry is 11-2-1 ATS, including 6-0-1 ATS as an underdog.  Take Baylor.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns minus the points over Southern Miss.  The Golden Eagles enter this game off back to back SU/ATS losses, including a 44-7 blowout loss at Jacksonville St. in their last game.  Officially, the Golden Eagles are 0-2 SU/ATS in their FBS games this season.  But they were on their way to another SU/ATS loss in their season opener at Kentucky, before that game was halted in the 3rd quarter due to lightning strikes.  Dating back to 2019, the Golden Eagles are 19-29 ATS, including 4-19 ATS off a SU/ATS loss.  And they're also 0-9 ATS in home conference games off a double-digit non-conference loss.  Lay the points with Louisiana-Lafayette.