11-09-24 |
Toronto v. Montreal UNDER 52 |
Top |
30-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Montreal Alouettes and Toronto Argonauts to go UNDER the total. Last week, the Argonauts erupted for a season-high 58 points, which was 19 points greater than their second-best offensive performance of the season. Off that extremely high-scoring game, we'll look for a lower-scoring game in this CFL Playoff game. Indeed, the Argos have gone 12-1 UNDER in competitively-priced games with point spreads of 3 or less, after scoring more than 35 points in their previous game. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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11-02-24 |
Ottawa v. Toronto UNDER 51.5 |
Top |
38-58 |
Loss |
-105 |
16 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Ottawa/Toronto game. These two teams met two games ago (also here, in Toronto), and the Argonauts won a high-scoring game, 38-31. Then, Toronto ended its regular season with another high-scoring game -- a 31-30 loss at Edmonton. CFL Playoff teams have gone UNDER 64% if they tallied 30+ points in each of their two previous games. Also, this season, the Argos were 5-0 UNDER off back-to-back OVERS. Take Toronto and Ottawa UNDER the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-12-24 |
Edmonton Elks v. Calgary UNDER 51.5 |
Top |
23-18 |
Win
|
100 |
35 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Calgary Stampeders and Edmonton Elks to go UNDER the total. The defenses of these two teams are both surrendering a lot of points. The Elks' defense is giving up 28.25 ppg, while the Stampeders' defense is allowing 30.0 ppg. The upshot is that each team has tended to play high-scoring games that have gone over the total. The Elks have gone 10-5-1 over the total, including each of its last two games, while the Stampeders have gone 9-6 over. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game, here. But we will run the other way, and look for this game to go under the total, as Edmonton is 7-0-1 UNDER following back-to-back overs. Additionally, the first two meetings between these teams went over the total. However, CFL games have gone UNDER 60% if the season's two prior meetings both went over. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-11-24 |
Toronto v. Winnipeg UNDER 50 |
Top |
14-11 |
Win
|
100 |
37 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Toronto Argonauts to go Under the total. We played on the Under in Winnipeg's game vs. Hamilton last week, and were rewarded with a low-scoring 31-10 win by the Blue Bombers. That moved Winnipeg's O/U record this season to 13-3 Under the total. These two teams met in Toronto earlier this season, and the Argos won a very low-scoring game, 16-14. Winnipeg is 93-62-4 Under the total when playing with revenge, including 75-38 when the O/U line was 49+ points. Take Winnipeg + Toronto Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-04-24 |
Winnipeg v. Hamilton UNDER 50.5 |
Top |
31-10 |
Win
|
100 |
35 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Hamilton/Winnipeg game. Last week, Winnipeg erupted for 55 points in a 55-27 blowout of Edmonton. But prior to that offensive explosion, the Blue Bombers had averaged just 23 ppg. And they had gone UNDER the total in 12 of their previous 14 games! Winnipeg has also gone UNDER in 24 of the last 34 meetings with Hamilton. We'll look for Winnipeg to revert to form on Friday, and take the UNDER. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.
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09-28-24 |
Ottawa v. Saskatchewan UNDER 51.5 |
Top |
9-26 |
Win
|
100 |
59 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Saskatchewan/Ottawa game. The O/U line for this game has been installed at 51.5. We'll take the UNDER, as the Redblacks have gone 13-5 UNDER on the road when the O/U line was north of 51 points. Likewise, the Roughriders are 18-8 UNDER at home when the O/U line was greater than 51 points. These two teams met in Ottawa last month, and that game finished in a 22-22 tie -- easily going UNDER the total of 48.5 -- as it was tied at 13 at the end of regulation. The number for this game is considerably higher, and I think the value is squarely on the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-27-24 |
Hamilton v. BC UNDER 53.5 |
Top |
32-29 |
Loss |
-110 |
65 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 10:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats and British Columbia Lions to go UNDER the total. The Ti-Cats have gone 'over' the total each of their last 3 games, including a 33-31 victory at Toronto last week, which went over the total of 52.5 by 11.5 points. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game here, especially because the previous meeting between these teams this season was a 44-28 win by BC. But Hamilton has gone 20-9 UNDER its last 29 road games where the O/U line was 47+ points. And CFL games have also gone 77-56-1 UNDER when a team played its previous three games Over the total, and went Over by 7+ points in its previous game. Take the Lions & Tiger-Cats UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-20-24 |
Hamilton v. Toronto UNDER 53.5 |
Top |
33-31 |
Loss |
-105 |
17 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Hamilton/Toronto game. Both of these teams won high-scoring games last weekend. Toronto blew out British Columbia, 33-17, while Hamilton knocked off Ottawa, 37-21. But off those high-scoring victories, we'll look for the offenses to take a holiday tonight. Indeed, games between two teams that were off wins in which they each scored more than 30 points, have gone 72% under since 2018. Even better: Hamilton is 9-1 UNDER on the road following a SU win which went Over the total. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-14-24 |
Montreal v. Calgary UNDER 49.5 |
Top |
19-19 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Montreal/Calgary game. The Stampeders went Over the total for the 5th straight game in last week's 37-16 loss at Edmonton, while Montreal also went Over in its last game -- a 37-23 upset loss to British Columbia. We'll take this game UNDER, as teams off back to back OVERS have gone Under 59.2% when matched up against another team that also went Over in its previous game. Take the Stamps & Alouettes UNDER the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-14-24 |
Ottawa v. Hamilton UNDER 50.5 |
Top |
21-37 |
Loss |
-108 |
11 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Ottawa/Hamilton game. These two teams met earlier this season in Ottawa, and the Redblacks won, 24-22, sending it UNDER the total. The Under has now gone 12-6 the last 18 meetings between these teams, and we'll look for another low-scoring game here, as the UNDER falls into 201-122 and 297-218 Totals systems of mine. Even better: the Redblacks enter off a 41-27 upset win over Toronto. And the Redblacks are 26-16 UNDER following a game which went Over the total. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-07-24 |
Calgary v. Edmonton Elks UNDER 51 |
Top |
16-37 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Edmonton/Calgary game. The Stampeders enter tonight's game off 4 straight high-scoring games that went over the total. We'll look for a reversal tonight, as CFL teams off exactly 4 Overs have proceeded to go UNDER the total in their next game 56.8%. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-02-24 |
Edmonton Elks v. Calgary UNDER 52.5 |
Top |
35-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Elks and Calgary Stampeders to go Under the total. The Stampeders' defense has been leaky their past two games, as they gave up 31 to Ottawa in their most recent game, and 39 to Toronto before that. We'll take the Under, as teams that gave up more than 30 points in each of their two previous games have gone Under 57%. Good luck as always...Al McMordie.
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09-02-24 |
Toronto v. Hamilton UNDER 52.5 |
Top |
28-31 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Hamilton/Toronto game. The first meeting between these two division rivals went under the total, as have five of the last six games in this series. We'll look for yet another low-scoring game between these teams, as the Under falls into a 113-68 Totals system of mine. Take the Under.
|
08-31-24 |
Ottawa v. BC UNDER 50.5 |
Top |
12-38 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the game between Ottawa and British Columbia. This is a rematch of last Saturday's game played in Ottawa, won by the Redblacks, 34-27. That game went over the total of 48.5. The oddsmakers have set this O/U line significantly higher, but I think it's too high, and we'll happily take the under. For technical support, consider that rematches of games where the teams combined for more than 60 points have gone UNDER 58%. Take BC and Ottawa UNDER the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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08-25-24 |
Edmonton Elks v. Montreal UNDER 51.5 |
Top |
17-21 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Elks and Montreal Alouettes to go UNDER the total. These two teams played earlier this season in Edmonton, and the Alouettes won, 23-20. That game sailed under the total of 47.5 This game will be played in Quebec, and the O/U line is significantly higher than in the first meeting. I think it's too high. Additionally, the Alouettes have gone 90-56-4 UNDER the total in its last 150 regular season home games. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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08-23-24 |
Hamilton v. Winnipeg OVER 47.5 |
Top |
23-26 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Hamilton Tiger-Cats to go OVER the total. The Blue Bombers enter tonight's game off back-to-back wins, in which they held their foes to 0 and 11 points. And both of those victories went under the total. I look for a much higher scoring game tonight, as teams off back to back "under" games where they held their opponent to less than 14 points have proceeded to go 12-3 OVER including 7-0 OVER their last seven. Take the Blue Bombers/Tiger-Cats OVER the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
08-22-24 |
Saskatchewan v. Toronto UNDER 50.5 |
Top |
19-20 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Saskatchewan/Toronto game. The Roughriders have gone Over the total in 7 of their 10 games this season, including a 30-23 victory over the Argonauts in Regina, back on July 4. Based on my numbers, this O/U line is a bit inflated, and we'll look for a relatively low-scoring game this evening. For technical support, consider that CFL teams have gone UNDER 55.7 percent, if they have gone over the total 4+ games more than they've gone under during the season. Additionally, the Roughriders are 99-68 UNDER the total away from Regina. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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08-18-24 |
Winnipeg v. BC OVER 46.5 |
Top |
20-11 |
Loss |
-115 |
133 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the OVER in the Winnipeg/British Columbia game. These two teams met two weeks ago, and the Blue Bombers upset the Lions, 25-0. In this rematch, we'll look for a higher-scoring game, as CFL games have gone OVER the total 57.6% if the previous meeting in the season totaled 25 or less points. Take the OVER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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08-17-24 |
Edmonton Elks v. Hamilton UNDER 53.5 |
Top |
47-22 |
Loss |
-110 |
86 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Hamilton/Edmonton game. These two teams played two weeks ago, and the Tiger-Cats won a high-scoring affair, 44-28, easily sending it over the total of 51. The oddsmakers have set the O/U line higher for this rematch, and the knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game. But consider that CFL games have gone UNDER 61.1% if the first meeting went Over the total by more than 18 points. We'll look for a relatively low-scoring game on Saturday. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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08-11-24 |
BC v. Edmonton Elks UNDER 50 |
Top |
16-33 |
Win
|
100 |
84 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the British Columbia/Edmonton game. This is the 2nd meeting of the season between the Lions and Elks. The first meeting was won, 24-21, by the Lions -- their 8th straight win vs. the Elks -- and it went under the total of 53.5 by 8.5 points. That was also the 5th meeting of the last six between these West division rivals that went Under the total. Last week, the Lions were shut out, 25-0, by Winnipeg. And that was BC's 2nd straight game to go Under. We'll look for another low-scoring game on Sunday, as CFL teams off a game where they didn't score more than 10 points have gone 61% UNDER if the O/U line was > 47 points in the current game. Take the Lions/Elks UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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08-10-24 |
Hamilton v. Montreal UNDER 50.5 |
Top |
23-33 |
Loss |
-110 |
38 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Montreal/Hamilton game. These two teams played last week, and went under the total in a 33-16 Alouettes win. And that's the way we will look again for our Over/Under play, here. Indeed, 33 of the last 52 meetings between these East division rivals have gone Under the total, including the last four straight. And Montreal is 90-55-4 UNDER at home in the regular season. Take the Alouettes/Ti-Cats Under the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie
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08-04-24 |
Toronto v. Calgary OVER 48.5 |
Top |
23-27 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Toronto/Calgary game. Both of these teams come into this game off poor offensive outings. Calgary managed just 6 points vs. Ottawa, while Toronto tallied 16 (but just 13 in regulation) in its 16-14 overtime win vs. Winnipeg. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game, here. And, indeed, the bettors have been playing the under, as this line has significantly dropped from its Opener (it opened 51 at DraftKings and 50.5 at Bet365). We'll run the other way and take the OVER, as games have gone 11-2 OVER (including the last 8 in a row), where one team scored 6 or less in its previous game, and its opponent scored less than 17. And CFL games have gone OVER 62% if a team scored 6 or less in its previous game, while that game totaled 23 or less. Take the OVER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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08-02-24 |
Montreal v. Hamilton UNDER 50.5 |
Top |
33-16 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the under in the Hamilton/Montreal game. The Alouettes come into this game with the league's #1 defense in points allowed (18.9), and yardage given up (317.3), as well as passing yards allowed (223.1). Montreal is also 2nd in turnovers forced, and 4th in sacks. Not surprisingly, four of the Alouettes' seven games have gone under the total. Moreover, when the Alouettes and Tiger-Cats get together, the result is generally a low-scoring game. Dating back to 2013, the under has cashed 20 of 30, including 3-0 the last 3, and 9-2 the last 11. And in games played at Hamilton, the under is 11-4, including a perfect 8-0 under when the O/U line was 49+ points. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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07-28-24 |
Hamilton v. Edmonton Elks UNDER 52.5 |
Top |
44-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
38 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Hamilton/Edmonton game. This matchup features two very bad teams. Hamilton is 1-5, after defeating Toronto, 27-24, while Edmonton is 0-6 after losing to Ottawa, 20-14 (which was the Elks' first game under new head coach, Jarious Jackson). And CFL games between two bad teams, with win percentages < .375 at Game 3 forward, tend to be relatively low-scoring, and especially with O/U lines of 52+. Those games have gone under 86% dating back 15 years. Likewise, winless teams, with 0-2 (or worse) records have gone 38-20 under when the line was 50+ points. And, finally, teams like Edmonton, that scored less than 15 points in their previous game, have gone Under 57% since 2006 when the O/U line was 50+ points. Dating back to last season, the Elks have now lost 10 straight games. And I don't believe Jackson, in his new position as head coach, will be able to quickly solve the team's woes. We'll take the Under in this Elks/Tiger-Cats game. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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07-26-24 |
Calgary v. Ottawa UNDER 51.5 |
Top |
6-33 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Calgary/Ottawa game. Seven of the last nine meetings between these teams have gone UNDER the total, including 5-0 UNDER in games played at Ottawa. And that's the way we will look, here. The Redblacks are 4-2 UNDER this season, including 3-0 UNDER at home (where they are also 3-0 SU/ATS). This season, Ottawa's home games have averaged just 40.66 ppg. And they're 21-13 UNDER their last 34 at home. Meanwhile, the Stampeders have gone UNDER 36-14-3 away from home when the O/U line is greater than 47 points. We'll look for another low-scoring game at TD Place Stadium tonight. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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07-25-24 |
Saskatchewan v. Montreal UNDER 49.5 |
Top |
16-20 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Saskatchewan Roughriders and Montreal Alouettes Under the total. The Alouettes lost their starting QB, Cody Fajardo, in their last game -- a 37-18 upset loss to the Toronto Argonauts, as a 6-point home favorite. That was Montreal's first loss of the season, after a 5-0 start. Caleb Evans replaced Fajardo behind center in that defeat to the Argos, and Evans is a big step-down from Fajardo. For his career, Evans has completed just 60.9% of his passes (Fajardo is at 71.1%), and has thrown a whopping 22 interceptions, while passing for just 15 TDs. He averages just 7.22 yards per pass attempt. Fajardo has a career 77:49 TD-to-Interception ratio, and has averaged 8.38 yards per pass attempt. This season, those numbers were even better (10:4 TD-to-INT ratio; 8.98 yards per pass attempt). In its last game, Montreal scored a season-low 18 points. That game did go Over the total, however. Still, the Alouettes are 81-52 UNDER following a game which went Over. And they're 11-6 Under their last 17 at home vs. the Roughriders. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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07-21-24 |
BC v. Calgary UNDER 53 |
Top |
24-25 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 0 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the British Columbia/Calgary game. We played on all 3 unders so far this week (and won all 3). Today, we'll look for a 'CLEAN SWEEP' on the CFL games to go UNDER this weekend. Both of these West division rivals come into Sunday's game off back-to-back high-scoring affairs. The Lions are off 35-20 and 44-28 wins, while the Stampeders lost, 41-37, at Winnipeg last week, and lost at Montreal, 30-26, the week prior to that. The O/U line has been installed north of 50 points, and that bodes well for the under. Dating back to 2006, CFL games have gone 63.4% UNDER the total when the O/U line was 52+ points, and each team was off back-to-back Overs. Take BC/Calgary UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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07-20-24 |
Toronto v. Hamilton UNDER 54 |
Top |
24-27 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Toronto/Hamilton game. In their previous game, the Tiger-Cats gave up a whopping 44 points, and fell to British Columbia, 44-28. For the season, the Ti-Cats have been a sieve on defense, and have allowed 33.80 ppg. And four of their five games have gone Over the total. That has led to a very high O/U line for this evening's game. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game. But we will run the other way, as CFL teams off an OVER, that allow 24 (or more) points per game, have now gone UNDER in 17 straight games with O/U lines > 52 points. Take the Argonauts and Tiger-Cats Under. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.
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07-19-24 |
Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan UNDER 50.5 |
Top |
9-19 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Saskatchewan Roughriders to go UNDER the total. We played on the Over in last Friday's Winnipeg/Calgary game, and were rewarded with a 41-37 Blue Bombers victory. This week, Winnipeg will be on the road at Saskatchewan, and we'll look for a much lower-scoring game tonight. Since 2006, road teams off a win in a high-scoring game, where 78+ points were scored have generally gone UNDER the total their next game, as the under has cashed 61%. Even better: the Under is 11-4 the last 15 games in this West division rivalry. Take the Under.
|
07-19-24 |
Edmonton Elks v. Ottawa UNDER 53 |
Top |
14-20 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Ottawa/Edmonton game. These two teams met five days ago, and the Redblacks won, 37-34, and went OVER the total of 51 by 20 points. The oddsmakers have adjusted the total for this game a couple of points higher, which I believe has created value on the Under. Indeed, games have gone under 56.9% if the season's previous meeting went over by 20+ points. Take the under.
|
07-14-24 |
Ottawa v. Edmonton Elks OVER 49 |
Top |
37-34 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Edmonton/Ottawa game to go OVER the total. The Elks have been installed as a small home favorite. And they've gone OVER the total 40-26 when favored at home by 7 or less points. Even better: the Redblacks only scored 16 points in their previous game. But CFL teams have gone OVER the total 56.1% following a poor offensive game in which they scored less than 17 points, if the O/U line in the current game was < 50 points. Take the Redblacks and Elks to sail OVER the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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