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Big Al McMordie CFL Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
09-26-25 Toronto v. BC UNDER 57.5 Top 22-27 Win 100 40 h 23 m Show

At 10 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Toronto/British Columbia game.  Fifteen of the last 20 meetings between these teams have gone UNDER the total when the O/U line was 50+ points.  And that's the way we'll look on Friday night, especially with the Lions coming in off a game where they scored 52 points.  For technical support, consider that teams have gone UNDER 58% after a game where they scored more than 50 points, if the O/U line was greater than 54 points.  Take B.C./ Toronto UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  

09-12-25 Ottawa v. BC UNDER 56.5 Top 27-38 Loss -109 16 h 38 m Show

At 10 pm, our selection is on the British Columbia Lions and Ottawa Redblacks to go UNDER the total.  These two teams met last Friday in Ottawa, and the Redblacks upset the Lions, 34-33, as a 6-point home underdog.  That game went over the total of 52.5 by 14.5 points.  Off that high-scoring game, the oddsmakers have significantly adjusted the total upward from last week's number.  And I believe the value squarely lies on the UNDER tonight.  Off that upset loss, I do expect the Lions' defense to tighten up tonight.  Indeed, the Lions have gone 17-8 UNDER the total following an upset loss in which they surrendered 34+ points, while the Redblacks have gone 17-8-2 UNDER after scoring 34+ points.    The UNDER also falls into 66% and 55% Totals systems of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

09-06-25 Saskatchewan v. Winnipeg UNDER 52.5 Top 21-13 Win 100 14 h 57 m Show

At 4 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Winnipeg/Saskatchewan game.  This is the 2nd of back-to-back games between these teams.  Last week's match was played in Regina, and the Roughriders triumphed, 34-30, as a 5.5-point favorite.  That game went over the total of 51.5.  The oddsmakers have set the O/U number for this afternoon's game a tad higher, in response to last week's high-scoring game.  We'll look for a lower-scoring game today, as the 2nd of back-to-back games have gone UNDER 65.5% if the prior game went over the total by more than 12 points.  Even better:  the Roughriders have gone 101-73 UNDER on the road, while Winnipeg is 65-27 UNDER the total in games with O/U lines greater than 50, when it lost the previous meeting.  Finally, 13 of the last 20 meetings between these rivals have gone UNDER the total.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-05-25 BC v. Ottawa UNDER 55.5 Top 33-34 Loss -110 16 h 30 m Show

At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the UNDER in the British Columbia/Ottawa game.  The Redblacks have generally played Unders at home, as they've gone 40-26-1 UNDER the total at TD Place, including 4-0 UNDER their last four.  This is the 20th meeting between these two franchises, and only once has a game between them had an over/under line this high.  That was back in 2016 when the Lions defeated the Redblacks, 29-23, and the game went under the total of 56.5.  The Lions are 35-19 UNDER then the O/U line has been installed at 49+ points, and we'll look for a low-scoring game here, in Ottawa tonight.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-01-25 Toronto v. Hamilton UNDER 57.5 Top 35-33 Loss -115 132 h 23 m Show

At 2:30 pm, on Monday afternoon, our selection is on the UNDER in the Toronto/Hamilton game.  The Argonauts racked up 52 points last week in a 52-34 triumph over British Columbia.  But off that high-scoring game, we'll look for the offense to take a holiday on Monday.  Indeed, CFL teams have gone 61% under after scoring 52+ points in their previous game.  And Hamilton has gone 97-64 Under the total at home.  The Under also falls into 82-42 and 214-135 Totals systems of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

08-23-25 Saskatchewan v. Calgary OVER 50.5 Top 15-32 Loss -108 41 h 44 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Stampeders and Saskatchewan Roughriders OVER the total.  It's true that the last two meetings between these teams have been very low-scoring.  The first meeting this season went to the Stamps by a score of 24-10.  That game sailed under the total of 52 by 18 points.  And their game at the end of last season finished 10.5 points below the over/under line, with the Stampeders winning 27-12.  I like this game to be much higher-scoring, as CFL games have gone OVER 34-21 if the previous meeting went Under by 16+ points.  Even better:  if each of the two previous meetings went Under by more than 5 points, the Over is 14-0 the last 14.  Finally, the OVER falls into one of my favorite totals systems, which is 95-55.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

08-16-25 Hamilton v. Saskatchewan UNDER 54.5 Top 9-29 Win 100 10 h 21 m Show

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Hamilton/Saskatchewan game UNDER the total.  These two teams met earlier this season, and that meeting went under the total of 53.  The series has now seen 16 unders of the last 23 games played.  We'll look for another low-scoring game on Saturday afternoon, as Saskatchewan held Montreal to a league-low (for the 2025 season) of just 6 points last week.  And CFL teams have gone UNDER the total 64.4% following a game where they held their opponent to less than 10 points.  Additionally, the Under falls into 213-133 and 243-156 Totals systems of mine.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

08-15-25 Toronto v. Edmonton Elks UNDER 54.5 Top 20-28 Win 100 13 h 9 m Show

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Toronto/Edmonton game.  The Elks come into this game off 4 straight Unders, and that's the way we'll look here.  The Argonauts have the league's worst defense, as they're giving up 32.44 ppg.  They surrendered 46 points last week, in a 46-42 loss to Ottawa.  Off that high-scoring game (which was one of the 10 highest-scoring games in the past 20 seasons), the knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the Over.  But teams with leaky defenses that give up more than 31.75 ppg have gone Under 55.2%.  Additionally, the UNDER falls into an 80-42-1 Totals system of mine.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

08-14-25 Ottawa v. Winnipeg UNDER 53 Top 27-30 Loss -104 15 h 57 m Show

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Winnipeg/Ottawa game.  Both meetings last season between these two teams (and 7 of the last 8 meetings) have sailed Under the total.  And that's the way we will look tonight.  It's true that the Redblacks tallied 46 points last week, while Winnipeg is off back-to-back high-scoring games.  But Ottawa is 24-10 UNDER following a game where it scored more than 31 points, while Winnipeg is 35-22 UNDER off back-to-back Overs.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

08-09-25 Winnipeg v. Calgary UNDER 51.5 Top 27-28 Loss -107 17 h 50 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Winnipeg/Calgary game.  These two teams met twice last month, and Calgary won two blowouts by scores of 37-16 and 41-20.  Each of those two games went OVER the total.  I look for a much lower-scoring game tonight, as Winnipeg is 9-4 UNDER its last 13 games on the road.  Even better:  teams have gone UNDER 56.8% in a season's 3rd meeting if the first two meetings of the season each went Over the total.  And, finally, the Under falls into 212-131, 86-40 and 394-268 totals systems of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

08-07-25 BC v. Hamilton UNDER 56 Top 41-38 Loss -110 18 h 6 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the British Columbia/Hamilton game.  The Lions are playing the 2nd of back-to-back games vs. the Tiger-Cats.  They were favored by 2.5 points in the first meeting, but were upset 37-33.  We'll take the Under in this revenge game, as revenge-minded teams have gone Under 61.2% if they were playing the same opponent in back-to-back games, and went over the total by more than 6 points in the previous meeting.  British Columbia is 71-51-4 UNDER on the road, while Hamilton is 97-63 UNDER at home.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

08-02-25 Hamilton v. Edmonton Elks UNDER 55.5 Top 28-24 Win 100 13 h 43 m Show

At 3 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Edmonton/Hamilton game.  The Elks are averaging just 22.6 ppg on offense (which ranks next-to-last), and scored just 14 and 18 points in their previous two games.  Both of those games went UNDER the total.  Yet this Over/Under line is the highest the Elks have seen over their last 92 games (since June 27, 2019).  I think it's too high.  Indeed, CFL teams have gone UNDER 58% if they average 23 (or less) points per game on offense, and the O/U line was 52+ points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

07-27-25 Hamilton v. BC UNDER 55.5 Top 37-33 Loss -110 20 h 34 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the British Columbia/Hamilton game.  The Over/Under for this game has been installed at a relatively-high number.   And, for my money, it's too high.  Indeed, the last time British Columbia had an O/U line this high was over 6 years ago (June 21, 2019)!  I like the UNDER, as the Lions are 34-18-1 UNDER when the O/U line has been greater than 54.  Likewise, the Tiger-Cats are 33-12 UNDER the total when the O/U line has been north of 54 points!  And the UNDER also falls into a 326-226 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

07-26-25 Winnipeg v. Toronto UNDER 52.5 Top 17-31 Win 100 18 h 37 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Toronto Argonauts to go UNDER the total.  Both of these teams have negative scoring margins on the season:  the Argos have been outscored by 6 ppg, while the Blue Bombers have been outscored by 0.4 ppg.  The culprit for each team has been its defense.  Winnipeg is surrendering 27 ppg, while Toronto is giving up 31.5 ppg.  Indeed, in the last two games for each, the Blue Bombers have allowed an aggregate of 78 points, while Toronto has given up 77 points.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for a high-scoring game this evening due to the struggles each is having on the defensive side of the ball.  But we are going to run the other way and look for a low-scoring game, as match-ups between two bad defensive teams that each surrender more than 25 points per game have gone Under 56.1%.  Additionally, the Under falls into three of my favorite CFL Totals systems, with records of 85-40, 243-134 and 325-226.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

07-24-25 Montreal v. Calgary UNDER 49.5 Top 23-21 Win 100 10 h 8 m Show

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Calgary/Montreal game.  Twelve of the last 18 meetings between these teams have sailed Under the total, and that's the way we will look tonight.  Admittedly, the Stampeders rolled up 41 points in last week's 41-20 upset win.  But Montreal has gone 25-9-1 UNDER when matched up against a foe which scored more than 35 points in its previous game.  The Under falls into 324-226 and 210-131 Totals systems of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

07-18-25 Calgary v. Winnipeg UNDER 50.5 Top 41-20 Loss -114 22 h 48 m Show

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Winnipeg/Calgary game.  The Blue Bombers come into this game off back to back high-scoring affairs.  They were blown out by this same Stampeders club 15 days ago, 37-16, and routed Edmonton the week before that, 36-23.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game here, but consider that Winnipeg is 84-60 UNDER off an Over (and 34-21 UNDER off back-to-back Overs).  Calgary, meanwhile, is 10-3 UNDER its last 13 when playing an opponent off back-to-back Overs.  The UNDER falls into a 201-129 system of mine.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.   

07-13-25 BC v. Edmonton Elks UNDER 51.5 Top 32-14 Win 100 65 h 27 m Show

At 7 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the British Columbia/Edmonton game.  The Elks put up 39 points last week in an upset win over Ottawa.  And that was the most points the Elks have scored at home in over 6 years.  The Elks are back home this week to face British Columbia, and we'll look for a much lower-scoring game on Sunday evening.  Indeed, the Under is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings between these rivals, including a 31-14 Lions win to open this season.  The Elks are 8-1-1 Under their last 10 after scoring more than 36 points in their previous game, while the Lions are 15-7-1 Under their last 23, overall.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

07-12-25 Ottawa v. Hamilton UNDER 55.5 Top 20-23 Win 100 41 h 28 m Show

At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Hamilton/Ottawa game.  The Redblacks gave up a season-high 39 points last week to the Edmonton Elks in a 39-33 setback.  But off that poor defensive performance, we'll look for a lower-scoring game on Saturday, as Ottawa has gone 44-28 UNDER after surrendering more than 28 points in their previous game.  And it is also 21-4 UNDER in games with O/U lines of 49+ points, if its previous game went Over the total.  Admittedly, the Tiger-Cats scored 51 points last week in a very high-scoring 51-38 win over the Argonauts.  But CFL teams off games where they scored 48+ points have gone 24-14-1 UNDER the total their last 39.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

07-11-25 Calgary v. Saskatchewan UNDER 53.5 Top 24-10 Win 100 20 h 30 m Show

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Calgary/Saskatchewan game.  Seven of the last 11 meetings between these rivals in Regina have gone UNDER the total.  And that's the way we will look tonight.  Last week, the Stamps scored 37 in a 21-point upset win over Winnipeg.  But off that offensive explosion, we'll look for a lower-scoring game here, as the Stamps are 55-34 UNDER the total after scoring 28+ points in their previous game.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

07-05-25 BC v. Montreal UNDER 49.5 Top 21-20 Win 100 14 h 45 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the British Columbia/Montreal game.  The Alouettes have gone 93-58-4 UNDER the total in their last 155 home games, and that's the way we'll look on this Saturday evening.  When these two teams met last, the Lions came away with a 27-3 victory, which sent that game UNDER the total by 20 points.  And that was the 7th time of the last 10 meetings that the UNDER cashed.  Additionally, last week, the Alouettes gave up a season-high 35 points in an upset loss at Hamilton.  But Montreal is 38-14 UNDER the total after giving up 33+ points in its previous game.  Take the Lions & Alouettes UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-28-25 BC v. Saskatchewan UNDER 50 Top 18-37 Loss -124 16 h 6 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the British Columbia Lions and Saskatchewan Roughriders to go UNDER the total.  The Roughriders enter this game with a 3-0 SU/ATS record, and have scored 31, 28 and 39 in their first three games.  We'll look for a lower-scoring game this evening, as CFL teams have gone 56% UNDER following a three-game stretch where they tallied 90+ points.  Even worse, if our high-scoring team was off back to back wins, and playing at home, then our 56% stat zooms to 61%, including 8-0 UNDER the last eight.  In this series, these two teams have gone 13-5-2 UNDER here at Regina, including both meetings last season.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-27-25 Montreal v. Hamilton UNDER 49.5 Top 17-35 Loss -115 15 h 33 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Montreal/Hamilton game.  These two teams have played unders in 10 of the last 13 meetings.  And that's the way we will look on this Friday.  It's true that Montreal has scored 69 points in its last two games, combined, with each going over the total.  But the Alouettes are 85-55-3 UNDER off an Over, and 19-9 UNDER after scoring more than 30 points in back to back games.  And the Tiger-Cats are 56-35 UNDER vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-14-25 Calgary v. Toronto UNDER 51.5 Top 29-19 Win 100 9 h 15 m Show

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Toronto/Calgary game to go UNDER the total.  The Over/Under in this game has been installed north of 50 points.  And these two teams have gone UNDER the total in 12 of the last 16 meetings when the O/U line was 50+ points.  Last week Calgary blew out Hamilton, 38-26, while Toronto lost to Montreal, 28-10.  Teams off high-scoring wins, in which they tallied 38+ points have gone 57% UNDER over the last 20 years.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

11-09-24 Toronto v. Montreal UNDER 52 Top 30-28 Loss -110 6 h 39 m Show

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Montreal Alouettes and Toronto Argonauts to go UNDER the total.  Last week, the Argonauts erupted for a season-high 58 points, which was 19 points greater than their second-best offensive performance of the season.  Off that extremely high-scoring game, we'll look for a lower-scoring game in this CFL Playoff game.  Indeed, the Argos have gone 12-1 UNDER in competitively-priced games with point spreads of 3 or less, after scoring more than 35 points in their previous game.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

11-02-24 Ottawa v. Toronto UNDER 51.5 Top 38-58 Loss -105 16 h 13 m Show

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Ottawa/Toronto game.  These two teams met two games ago (also here, in Toronto), and the Argonauts won a high-scoring game, 38-31.  Then, Toronto ended its regular season with another high-scoring game -- a 31-30 loss at Edmonton.  CFL Playoff teams have gone UNDER 64% if they tallied 30+ points in each of their two previous games.  Also, this season, the Argos were 5-0 UNDER off back-to-back OVERS.  Take Toronto and Ottawa UNDER the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-12-24 Edmonton Elks v. Calgary UNDER 51.5 Top 23-18 Win 100 35 h 46 m Show

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Calgary Stampeders and Edmonton Elks to go UNDER the total. The defenses of these two teams are both surrendering a lot of points. The Elks' defense is giving up 28.25 ppg, while the Stampeders' defense is allowing 30.0 ppg. The upshot is that each team has tended to play high-scoring games that have gone over the total. The Elks have gone 10-5-1 over the total, including each of its last two games, while the Stampeders have gone 9-6 over. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game, here. But we will run the other way, and look for this game to go under the total, as Edmonton is 7-0-1 UNDER following back-to-back overs. Additionally, the first two meetings between these teams went over the total. However, CFL games have gone UNDER 60% if the season's two prior meetings both went over. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-11-24 Toronto v. Winnipeg UNDER 50 Top 14-11 Win 100 37 h 43 m Show

At 8:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Toronto Argonauts to go Under the total.  We played on the Under in Winnipeg's game vs. Hamilton last week, and were rewarded with a low-scoring 31-10 win by the Blue Bombers.  That moved Winnipeg's O/U record this season to 13-3 Under the total.  These two teams met in Toronto earlier this season, and the Argos won a very low-scoring game, 16-14.  Winnipeg is 93-62-4 Under the total when playing with revenge, including 75-38 when the O/U line was 49+ points.  Take Winnipeg + Toronto Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

10-04-24 Winnipeg v. Hamilton UNDER 50.5 Top 31-10 Win 100 35 h 55 m Show

At 7 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Hamilton/Winnipeg game.  Last week, Winnipeg erupted for 55 points in a 55-27 blowout of Edmonton.  But prior to that offensive explosion, the Blue Bombers had averaged just 23 ppg.  And they had gone UNDER the total in 12 of their previous 14 games!  Winnipeg has also gone UNDER in 24 of the last 34 meetings with Hamilton.  We'll look for Winnipeg to revert to form on Friday, and take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

09-28-24 Ottawa v. Saskatchewan UNDER 51.5 Top 9-26 Win 100 59 h 39 m Show

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Saskatchewan/Ottawa game.  The O/U line for this game has been installed at 51.5.  We'll take the UNDER, as the Redblacks have gone 13-5 UNDER on the road when the O/U line was north of 51 points.  Likewise, the Roughriders are 18-8 UNDER at home when the O/U line was greater than 51 points.  These two teams met in Ottawa last month, and that game finished in a 22-22 tie -- easily going UNDER the total of 48.5 -- as it was tied at 13 at the end of regulation.  The number for this game is considerably higher, and I think the value is squarely on the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-27-24 Hamilton v. BC UNDER 53.5 Top 32-29 Loss -110 65 h 28 m Show

At 10:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats and British Columbia Lions to go UNDER the total.  The Ti-Cats have gone 'over' the total each of their last 3 games, including a 33-31 victory at Toronto last week, which went over the total of 52.5 by 11.5 points.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game here, especially because the previous meeting between these teams this season was a 44-28 win by BC.  But Hamilton has gone 20-9 UNDER its last 29 road games where the O/U line was 47+ points.  And CFL games have also gone 77-56-1 UNDER when a team played its previous three games Over the total, and went Over by 7+ points in its previous game.  Take the Lions & Tiger-Cats UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-20-24 Hamilton v. Toronto UNDER 53.5 Top 33-31 Loss -105 17 h 3 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Hamilton/Toronto game.  Both of these teams won high-scoring games last weekend.  Toronto blew out British Columbia, 33-17, while Hamilton knocked off Ottawa, 37-21.  But off those high-scoring victories, we'll look for the offenses to take a holiday tonight.  Indeed, games between two teams that were off wins in which they each scored more than 30 points, have gone 72% under since 2018.  Even better:  Hamilton is 9-1 UNDER on the road following a SU win which went Over the total.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-14-24 Montreal v. Calgary UNDER 49.5 Top 19-19 Win 100 15 h 2 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Montreal/Calgary game.  The Stampeders went Over the total for the 5th straight game in last week's 37-16 loss at Edmonton, while Montreal also went Over in its last game -- a 37-23 upset loss to British Columbia.  We'll take this game UNDER, as teams off back to back OVERS have gone Under 59.2% when matched up against another team that also went Over in its previous game.  Take the Stamps & Alouettes UNDER the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-14-24 Ottawa v. Hamilton UNDER 50.5 Top 21-37 Loss -108 11 h 2 m Show

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Ottawa/Hamilton game.  These two teams met earlier this season in Ottawa, and the Redblacks won, 24-22, sending it UNDER the total.  The Under has now gone 12-6 the last 18 meetings between these teams, and we'll look for another low-scoring game here, as the UNDER falls into 201-122 and 297-218 Totals systems of mine.  Even better:  the Redblacks enter off a 41-27 upset win over Toronto.  And the Redblacks are 26-16 UNDER following a game which went Over the total.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-07-24 Calgary v. Edmonton Elks UNDER 51 Top 16-37 Loss -110 12 h 31 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Edmonton/Calgary game.  The Stampeders enter tonight's game off 4 straight high-scoring games that went over the total.  We'll look for a reversal tonight, as CFL teams off exactly 4 Overs have proceeded to go UNDER the total in their next game 56.8%.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-02-24 Edmonton Elks v. Calgary UNDER 52.5 Top 35-20 Loss -110 13 h 59 m Show

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Elks and Calgary Stampeders to go Under the total.  The Stampeders' defense has been leaky their past two games, as they gave up 31 to Ottawa in their most recent game, and 39 to Toronto before that.  We'll take the Under, as teams that gave up more than 30 points in each of their two previous games have gone Under 57%.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

09-02-24 Toronto v. Hamilton UNDER 52.5 Top 28-31 Loss -105 9 h 30 m Show

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Hamilton/Toronto game.  The first meeting between these two division rivals went under the total, as have five of the last six games in this series.  We'll look for yet another low-scoring game between these teams, as the Under falls into a 113-68 Totals system of mine.  Take the Under.

08-31-24 Ottawa v. BC UNDER 50.5 Top 12-38 Win 100 14 h 40 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the game between Ottawa and British Columbia.  This is a rematch of last Saturday's game played in Ottawa, won by the Redblacks, 34-27.  That game went over the total of 48.5.  The oddsmakers have set this O/U line significantly higher, but I think it's too high, and we'll happily take the under.  For technical support, consider that rematches of games where the teams combined for more than 60 points have gone UNDER 58%.  Take BC and Ottawa UNDER the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

08-25-24 Edmonton Elks v. Montreal UNDER 51.5 Top 17-21 Win 100 13 h 21 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Elks and Montreal Alouettes to go UNDER the total.  These two teams played earlier this season in Edmonton, and the Alouettes won, 23-20.  That game sailed under the total of 47.5  This game will be played in Quebec, and the O/U line is significantly higher than in the first meeting.  I think it's too high.  Additionally, the Alouettes have gone 90-56-4 UNDER the total in its last 150 regular season home games.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

08-23-24 Hamilton v. Winnipeg OVER 47.5 Top 23-26 Win 100 14 h 50 m Show

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Hamilton Tiger-Cats to go OVER the total.  The Blue Bombers enter tonight's game off back-to-back wins, in which they held their foes to 0 and 11 points.  And both of those victories went under the total.  I look for a much higher scoring game tonight, as teams off back to back "under" games where they held their opponent to less than 14 points have proceeded to go 12-3 OVER including 7-0 OVER their last seven.  Take the Blue Bombers/Tiger-Cats OVER the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

08-22-24 Saskatchewan v. Toronto UNDER 50.5 Top 19-20 Win 100 15 h 45 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Saskatchewan/Toronto game.  The Roughriders have gone Over the total in 7 of their 10 games this season, including a 30-23 victory over the Argonauts in Regina, back on July 4.  Based on my numbers, this O/U line is a bit inflated, and we'll look for a relatively low-scoring game this evening.  For technical support, consider that CFL teams have gone UNDER 55.7 percent, if they have gone over the total 4+ games more than they've gone under during the season.  Additionally, the Roughriders are 99-68 UNDER the total away from Regina.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

08-18-24 Winnipeg v. BC OVER 46.5 Top 20-11 Loss -115 133 h 13 m Show

At 7 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the OVER in the Winnipeg/British Columbia game.  These two teams met two weeks ago, and the Blue Bombers upset the Lions, 25-0.  In this rematch, we'll look for a higher-scoring game, as CFL games have gone OVER the total 57.6% if the previous meeting in the season totaled 25 or less points.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

08-17-24 Edmonton Elks v. Hamilton UNDER 53.5 Top 47-22 Loss -110 86 h 52 m Show

At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Hamilton/Edmonton game.  These two teams played two weeks ago, and the Tiger-Cats won a high-scoring affair, 44-28, easily sending it over the total of 51.  The oddsmakers have set the O/U line higher for this rematch, and the knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game.  But consider that CFL games have gone UNDER 61.1% if the first meeting went Over the total by more than 18 points.  We'll look for a relatively low-scoring game on Saturday.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

08-11-24 BC v. Edmonton Elks UNDER 50 Top 16-33 Win 100 84 h 28 m Show

At 7 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the British Columbia/Edmonton game.  This is the 2nd meeting of the season between the Lions and Elks.  The first meeting was won, 24-21, by the Lions -- their 8th straight win vs. the Elks -- and it went under the total of 53.5 by 8.5 points.  That was also the 5th meeting of the last six between these West division rivals that went Under the total.  Last week, the Lions were shut out, 25-0, by Winnipeg.  And that was BC's 2nd straight game to go Under.  We'll look for another low-scoring game on Sunday, as CFL teams off a game where they didn't score more than 10 points have gone 61% UNDER if the O/U line was > 47 points in the current game.  Take the Lions/Elks UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

08-10-24 Hamilton v. Montreal UNDER 50.5 Top 23-33 Loss -110 38 h 16 m Show

At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Montreal/Hamilton game.  These two teams played last week, and went under the total in a 33-16 Alouettes win.  And that's the way we will look again for our Over/Under play, here.  Indeed, 33 of the last 52 meetings between these East division rivals have gone Under the total, including the last four straight.  And Montreal is 90-55-4 UNDER at home in the regular season.  Take the Alouettes/Ti-Cats Under the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

08-04-24 Toronto v. Calgary OVER 48.5 Top 23-27 Win 100 4 h 56 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Toronto/Calgary game.  Both of these teams come into this game off poor offensive outings.  Calgary managed just 6 points vs. Ottawa, while Toronto tallied 16 (but just 13 in regulation) in its 16-14 overtime win vs. Winnipeg.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game, here.  And, indeed, the bettors have been playing the under, as this line has significantly dropped from its Opener (it opened 51 at DraftKings and 50.5 at Bet365).  We'll run the other way and take the OVER, as games have gone 11-2 OVER (including the last 8 in a row), where one team scored 6 or less in its previous game, and its opponent scored less than 17.  And CFL games have gone OVER 62% if a team scored 6 or less in its previous game, while that game totaled 23 or less.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

08-02-24 Montreal v. Hamilton UNDER 50.5 Top 33-16 Win 100 18 h 18 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the under in the Hamilton/Montreal game.  The Alouettes come into this game with the league's #1 defense in points allowed (18.9), and yardage given up (317.3), as well as passing yards allowed (223.1).  Montreal is also 2nd in turnovers forced, and 4th in sacks.  Not surprisingly, four of the Alouettes' seven games have gone under the total.  Moreover, when the Alouettes and Tiger-Cats get together, the result is generally a low-scoring game.  Dating back to 2013, the under has cashed 20 of 30, including 3-0 the last 3, and 9-2 the last 11.  And in games played at Hamilton, the under is 11-4, including a perfect 8-0 under when the O/U line was 49+ points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

07-28-24 Hamilton v. Edmonton Elks UNDER 52.5 Top 44-28 Loss -110 38 h 19 m Show

At 7 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Hamilton/Edmonton game.  This matchup features two very bad teams.  Hamilton is 1-5, after defeating Toronto, 27-24, while Edmonton is 0-6 after losing to Ottawa, 20-14 (which was the Elks' first game under new head coach, Jarious Jackson).  And CFL games between two bad teams, with win percentages < .375 at Game 3 forward, tend to be relatively low-scoring, and especially with O/U lines of 52+.  Those games have gone under 86% dating back 15 years.  Likewise, winless teams, with 0-2 (or worse) records have gone 38-20 under when the line was 50+ points.  And, finally, teams like Edmonton, that scored less than 15 points in their previous game, have gone Under 57% since 2006 when the O/U line was 50+ points.  Dating back to last season, the Elks have now lost 10 straight games.  And I don't believe Jackson, in his new position as head coach, will be able to quickly solve the team's woes.  We'll take the Under in this Elks/Tiger-Cats game.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

07-26-24 Calgary v. Ottawa UNDER 51.5 Top 6-33 Win 100 19 h 21 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Calgary/Ottawa game.  Seven of the last nine meetings between these teams have gone UNDER the total, including 5-0 UNDER in games played at Ottawa.  And that's the way we will look, here.  The Redblacks are 4-2 UNDER this season, including 3-0 UNDER at home (where they are also 3-0 SU/ATS).  This season, Ottawa's home games have averaged just 40.66 ppg.  And they're 21-13 UNDER their last 34 at home.  Meanwhile, the Stampeders have gone UNDER 36-14-3 away from home when the O/U line is greater than 47 points.  We'll look for another low-scoring game at TD Place Stadium tonight.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

07-25-24 Saskatchewan v. Montreal UNDER 49.5 Top 16-20 Win 100 9 h 51 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Saskatchewan Roughriders and Montreal Alouettes Under the total.  The Alouettes lost their starting QB, Cody Fajardo, in their last game -- a 37-18 upset loss to the Toronto Argonauts, as a 6-point home favorite.  That was Montreal's first loss of the season, after a 5-0 start.  Caleb Evans replaced Fajardo behind center in that defeat to the Argos, and Evans is a big step-down from Fajardo.  For his career, Evans has completed just 60.9% of his passes (Fajardo is at 71.1%), and has thrown a whopping 22 interceptions, while passing for just 15 TDs.  He averages just 7.22 yards per pass attempt.  Fajardo has a career 77:49 TD-to-Interception ratio, and has averaged 8.38 yards per pass attempt.  This season, those numbers were even better (10:4 TD-to-INT ratio; 8.98 yards per pass attempt).  In its last game, Montreal scored a season-low 18 points.  That game did go Over the total, however.  Still, the Alouettes are 81-52 UNDER following a game which went Over.  And they're 11-6 Under their last 17 at home vs. the Roughriders.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

07-21-24 BC v. Calgary UNDER 53 Top 24-25 Win 100 12 h 0 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the British Columbia/Calgary game.  We played on all 3 unders so far this week (and won all 3).  Today, we'll look for a 'CLEAN SWEEP' on the CFL games to go UNDER this weekend.  Both of these West division rivals come into Sunday's game off back-to-back high-scoring affairs.  The Lions are off 35-20 and 44-28 wins, while the Stampeders lost, 41-37, at Winnipeg last week, and lost at Montreal, 30-26, the week prior to that.  The O/U line has been installed north of 50 points, and that bodes well for the under.  Dating back to 2006, CFL games have gone 63.4% UNDER the total when the O/U line was 52+ points, and each team was off back-to-back Overs.  Take BC/Calgary UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

07-20-24 Toronto v. Hamilton UNDER 54 Top 24-27 Win 100 12 h 16 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Toronto/Hamilton game.  In their previous game, the Tiger-Cats gave up a whopping 44 points, and fell to British Columbia, 44-28.  For the season, the Ti-Cats have been a sieve on defense, and have allowed 33.80 ppg.  And four of their five games have gone Over the total.  That has led to a very high O/U line for this evening's game.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game.  But we will run the other way, as CFL teams off an OVER, that allow 24 (or more) points per game, have now gone UNDER in 17 straight games with O/U lines > 52 points.  Take the Argonauts and Tiger-Cats Under.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

07-19-24 Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan UNDER 50.5 Top 9-19 Win 100 17 h 52 m Show

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Saskatchewan Roughriders to go UNDER the total.  We played on the Over in last Friday's Winnipeg/Calgary game, and were rewarded with a 41-37 Blue Bombers victory.  This week, Winnipeg will be on the road at Saskatchewan, and we'll look for a much lower-scoring game tonight.  Since 2006, road teams off a win in a high-scoring game, where 78+ points were scored have generally gone UNDER the total their next game, as the under has cashed 61%.  Even better:  the Under is 11-4 the last 15 games in this West division rivalry.  Take the Under.

07-19-24 Edmonton Elks v. Ottawa UNDER 53 Top 14-20 Win 100 14 h 22 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Ottawa/Edmonton game.  These two teams met five days ago, and the Redblacks won, 37-34, and went OVER the total of 51 by 20 points.  The oddsmakers have adjusted the total for this game a couple of points higher, which I believe has created value on the Under.  Indeed, games have gone under 56.9% if the season's previous meeting went over by 20+ points.  Take the under.

07-14-24 Ottawa v. Edmonton Elks OVER 49 Top 37-34 Win 100 14 h 9 m Show

At 7 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Edmonton/Ottawa game to go OVER the total.  The Elks have been installed as a small home favorite.  And they've gone OVER the total 40-26 when favored at home by 7 or less points.  Even better:  the Redblacks only scored 16 points in their previous game.  But CFL teams have gone OVER the total 56.1% following a poor offensive game in which they scored less than 17 points, if the O/U line in the current game was < 50 points.  Take the Redblacks and Elks to sail OVER the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

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