At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders minus the points over Tennessee.  We played on the Titans last week, and were rewarded with a huge upset win over the Texans, as an 8-point road underdog.  But off that stellar game, we'll fade Tennessee on Sunday, as road underdogs, off upset road wins as an underdog of 8+ points, have gone 35-58 ATS.  Take the Commanders.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Pittsburgh/Cincinnati game.  The Bengals have gone Over in eight of their last 10, and their games are averaging 53.9 ppg this season.  But the Steelers are one of four teams whose defensive ppg is less than 17 points.  And only one of Pittsburgh's games had an O/U line this high.  That was its game vs. the Ravens -- another team playing high-scoring games.  Baltimore's games were averaging 57.1 ppg, but its game vs. Pittsburgh finished 18-16.  The Steelers are 47-26 UNDER the total in games with O/U lines at 47+ points.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Houston.  The Jags had their Bye week last weekend following their 52-6 loss to Detroit.  I like them to bounce back from that 46-point shellacking, as rested home dogs, with a losing record, off a SU/ATS loss, have gone 14-2 ATS vs. unrested division foes with a winning record.  Take Jacksonville.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Los Angeles Chargers/Atlanta Falcons game.  Both of these teams have largely played unders this season.  The Chargers are 7-4 to the Under while Atlanta is also 7-4 under.  And the Falcons are 29-10 UNDER in non-division home games, including 5-0 UNDER the last five.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons + the points over the Los Angeles Chargers.  The Falcons were blown out, 38-6, last week by Denver.  I like the Falcons to bounce back at home this afternoon, as home dogs (or PK) have gone 113-74 ATS off a road loss by 28+ points.  Take Atlanta.

At 1:00 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots + the points over Indianapolis.  In the last 5 weeks of an NFL season, home dogs of less than 11 points (or PK) have covered 57.1% since 1980 off back to back ATS losses.  And New England is 58-33-1 ATS off a loss, if they weren't favored by 7+ points.  Take the home dog Patriots.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Seattle.  The Jets are 18-0 ATS when priced from -1.5 to +11.5 points in the 2nd of back to back home games, if they were not off a SU/ATS win, and their opponent has a winning record.  Take New York.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the San Diego St. Aztecs + the points over Air Force.  The Falcons come into this game off 3 straight wins, and 4 straight covers, while the Aztecs have lost five straight.  But these disparate results have triggered an 86-44 ATS system of mine on SDSU.  Grab the points with the Home Underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on James Madison minus the points over Marshall.  Marshall upset Old Dominion last week, as a 2.5-point underdog, while JMU was upset by Appalachian St, 34-20.  The Thundering Herd have covered just 38.4% off an upset win.  Take James Madison.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida St. Seminoles + the points over Florida.  The Gators come into this final game off back to back upset wins over LSU and Ole Miss.  We'll fade Florida, as favored teams have covered just 23.5% since 1990 in their final game of the season off back to back upset wins.  Take Florida St.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Oklahoma.  The Sooners upset Alabama last week, 24-3, as a 14-point home dog.  We'll fade Oklahoma, and lay the points with 7-4 LSU, as winning teams have gone 92-68 ATS when favored vs. Conference foes off an upset win, as a 14-point (or greater) underdog.  Take LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies minus the points over Central Michigan.  The Chippewas pulled off an upset last week, when they knocked off Western Michigan, 16-14, as a 6-point home dog.  CMU is now catching double-digits at Northern Illinois, and we'll lay the points as the Huskies are a super 22-12 ATS vs. conference foes off upset wins, while the Chippewas are 0-10 SU/ATS when getting 6+ points off an upset win.  Take Northern Illinois minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Auburn.  The Crimson Tide are 8-3 after last week's 24-3 loss (as a 14-point favorite) at Oklahoma.  We'll lay the points as the Crimson Tide are 7-0 ATS their last 7 (and 23-3 ATS their last 26) in SEC Conference games off a point spread defeat, if their opponent was off back-to-back SU/ATS wins.  Take Alabama.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats + the points over Arizona St.  The Sun Devils are on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak.  Unfortunately, they're 11-26 ATS on the conference road off back to back wins.  And in this heated rivalry, you can throw the records out the window, as the underdog has gone 24-10 ATS when it's owned the worse W/L record.  Take Arizona + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:00 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over Georgia State.  Last week, the Panthers pulled off a massive upset, as a 23-point underdog, at Texas State.  But prior to that shocking win, the Panthers were 2-10-3 ATS their previous 15 games.  The Panthers have covered just 3 of 9 home conference games off an upset win.  We'll take Coastal Carolina.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Illinois.  The Wildcats enter this final game of the season off 2 horrible losses.  They fell last week at Michigan, 50-6, and were walloped, 31-7, by Ohio State two games back.  Meanwhile, Illinois comes into this game off an upset win at Rutgers, and a blowout win vs. Michigan State before that.  We'll grab the points with the home underdog, as teams off back to back blowout losses by 24 points, in which they scored less than 10 points in each, have cashed 64.2% the past 45 years vs. opponents off upset wins.  Illinois is a soft 12-20 ATS as a single-digit favorite vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take Northwestern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons + the points over Duke.  The Blue Devils come into this final game of the season off back to back upset wins over NC State and Virginia Tech.  They've been installed as a road favorite vs. the 4-7 Demon Deacons, who have lost their last 3 games.  We'll take Wake Forest + the points, as revenge-minded underdogs have cashed 93% since 1990 in vs. foes off back-to-back upset wins, in the final game of the season.  Take the Demon Deacons + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Sam Houston Bearkats + the points over Liberty.  The Bearkats are 8-3, but are currently riding a 5-game ATS losing streak.  We'll step in and take the Bearkats, as underdogs playing their Last Home Game of the season have cashed 64.7% if they were off 3 ATS losses, and playing a conference foe off back to back wins.  Additionally, .727 (or better) teams that have lost their last 5 to the spread, have cashed 67% of conference games since 1980, including 11-2 ATS when competitively-priced between +3 and -3 points.  Take Sam Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars + the points over Texas State.  Going into this final weekend, South Alabama is one of four teams still alive to play in the Sun Belt Conference Title game next week.  The Jaguars need to win this game on Friday, and then hope that Louisiana-Lafayette loses to Louisiana-Monroe on Saturday.  Last week, the Bobcats took themselves out of the running for the Title game when they lost as a 23-point home favorite to Georgia State.  We'll fade the Bobcats on the road, in Mobile, as NCAA teams off SU losses as a 23-point (or greater) favorite, have cashed just 12 of 43 games, including 5 of 24 as a favorite.  Take South Alabama + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos minus the points over Oregon State.  The Broncos are currently the 4th seed in the College Football Playoff bracket, which will earn them a Bye into the quarterfinals.  Last week, the Broncos struggled at Wyoming, and won by just 4, as a 22.5-point favorite, while Oregon State upset the Washington State Cougars, 41-38, as an 11-point underdog.  The good news for Boise, here, is that it will be back home, where it's gone 12-3-1 its last 16 FBS games.  Even better:  the Broncos are 13-1-2 ATS off a point spread loss, including a perfect 6-0 ATS at home.  Take the Broncos.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers over the Minnesota Golden Gophers.  The Badgers are mired in a 4-game losing streak after getting blown out last Saturday, in Lincoln.  Wisconsin was a 2-point underdog in that game, but lost by 19, 44-25.  We'll take the Badgers as a small favorite, as they're 21-11-1 ATS as a favorite when they lost their two previous games.  Moreover, Wisky has dominated this 'Battle for Paul Bunyan's Axe,' as it's won 24 of the last 29 meetings.  Take the Badgers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Dallas Cowboys.  The Giants no doubt laid an egg last week vs. Tampa Bay.  But I expect a huge bounce-back on this Thanksgiving Day.  We'll grab the points, as underdogs in NFC East division games have gone 104-75 ATS if they owned a losing record, and their opponent was off a SU/ATS win.  With Dallas in off its stunning upset as a double-digit dog at Washington, we'll fade the Cowboys on Thursday.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams + the points over the Philadelphia Eagles.  The Rams lost by 9 points to the Eagles last season.  I'll take L.A. to avenge that defeat, as revenge-minded home dogs have cashed 67% since 1980 vs. non-division foes, if our home pup had a .500 (or better) record both this season, and last season.  The Rams are 5-2-1 their last 8 as home underdogs, while the Eagles have covered just 10 of their last 27 as road favorites.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Raiders + the points over the Denver Broncos.  Last week, the Broncos blew out the Falcons, while the Raiders were blown out by Miami.  But off those disparate results, I'll side with the home dog Raiders on Sunday.  Since 1980, NFL home dogs have gone 106-84 ATS if they were off a double-digit SU/ATS loss, and were matched up against a division foe off a double-digit SU/ATS win.  We'll grab the points with Las Vegas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over Houston.  The Titans are mired in a 6-game point spread losing streak, while Houston has covered its last two.  That will keep many bettors away from them this afternoon.  But not me.  Indeed, NFL teams that were on a 6-game (or worse) ATS losing streak have gone 11-0 ATS their last 11 vs. foes off back to back point spread wins.  Moreover, Houston is a horrid 2-10 ATS its last 10 as a favorite of more than 7 points.  Take Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Minnesota Vikings.  This is the Bears' 3rd straight game at home, while it's Minnesota's 3rd straight game on the road.  We'll fade the road-weary Vikings, as teams playing their 3rd straight road game have gone 7-21 ATS vs. foes playing their 3rd straight at home.  Even better:  the Bears are a super 47-26 ATS at home off back-to-back losses, if they weren't favored by more than 3 points.  Take Chicago.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys + the points over Washington.  The underdog in this long-standing rivalry has gone 55-32-1 ATS.  That bodes well for the Cowboys.  As does the fact that Washington is a horrible favorite, including 16-46 ATS when laying more than 5 points.  It's also a wallet-breaking 14-20 straight-up and 8-25-1 ATS as a favorite vs. Dallas.  Take the Cowboys.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over Tampa Bay.  The Giants had last week off, and the Bye week tends to benefit the worst (record-wise) NFL teams.  To wit:  sub-.400 teams off their Bye week have gone 40-14 ATS when getting more than 5 points.  Take the Giants.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs minus the points over Colorado State.  The Bulldogs were upset at Air Force, 36-28, as a 9.5-point road favorite in their last game.  And that was their second straight loss, overall.  We'll take Fresno to bounce back on Saturday night, as it's cashed 60% in conference games off back-to-back losses.  Even better:  the Rams are 0-6 ATS away from home vs. foes off upset losses, if the Rams weren't getting 5+ points.  Take Fresno.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over Iowa State.  After a heartbreaking, 1-point loss two weeks ago to rival BYU, the Utes understandably had a letdown last week at Colorado.  That was Utah's sixth straight loss (after opening the season with four straight wins).  We played on Utah in that BYU game, and got the $$$ with them as a home underdog.  They're once again a home dog this Saturday evening, and we'll grab the points, as Utah is 34-12-1 ATS an an underdog off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the Utes.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs minus the points over Marshall.  The Thundering Herd have won their last four games.  But they were favored in each of those.  Indeed, this season, when favored, the Herd has gone 7-0.  But it's lost its three games SU as an underdog.  We'll fade Marshall on Saturday night, as it's 3-11-1 ATS as an underdog off back to back wins, including 0-6 ATS in conference games.  Take Old Dominion minus the points.

At 5:00 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns minus the points over Troy.  The Trojans won last season's meeting, 31-24.  I like Louisiana-Lafayette to avenge that defeat, as it is 12-1 SU and 8-5 ATS when favored by more than 6 points, and playing with revenge.  Even better:  the Cajuns were upset, 24-22, here at home by South Alabama last Saturday.  And LA-Lafayette is a solid 18-6 ATS off a home upset loss, including 5-0 ATS as a favorite.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:00 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Louisiana Tech.  Off back to back double-digit home losses to highly-ranked Texas and Ole Miss, the Razorbacks will no doubt be happy to see the Bulldogs roll into Fayetteville.  We'll take Arkansas, as it's cashed 57% since 1980 as a double-digit favorite in non-conference games, if it was off back-to-back losses.  Additionally, Conference USA teams off a SU win have gone 22-36 ATS away from home vs. the SEC Conference.  Lay the points with Arkansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Wisconsin.  The 'Huskers have dropped the last 10 meetings with the Badgers.  But Nebraska has been an underdog in each of the last nine meetings.  This Saturday afternoon, they're favored at home.  We'll take the 'Huskers, as they enter this game off a SU loss to USC last week.  And Nebraska is 47-34-2 ATS when favored off a SU loss.  And Nebraska also falls into a 58-29 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Penn State.  After ripping off four straight wins (and five straight covers), PJ Fleck's Gophers stumbled in Piscataway in their last game, and lost to Rutgers, 26-19, as a 6.5-point road favorite.  We played against Minnesota in that game, but will back it on this Saturday against the Nittany Lions.  The Gophers had last week off to regroup, and are 10-2 ATS their last 12 when playing with rest, and 22-10 ATS since 1980 as an underdog with rest.  Moreover, the Gophers have cashed 69% of Big 10 Conference games off an upset loss, if the Gophers were getting 10+ points.  And Penn State has covered just 30% as a double-digit favorite vs. Big 10 rivals off an upset loss.  The Gophers also fall into a 180-109-2 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested teams at home.  Take Minnesota + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears minus the points over Stanford.  The Cardinal pulled off a massive upset last week when they shocked Louisville, 38-35, as a 21-point home dog.  But Stanford was on an 0-6 SU and 0-5-1 ATS run going into that win, so I view that game as an anomaly more than anything else.  We'll fade Stanford on Saturday afternoon, as it's a poor 27-42-1 ATS off an upset win, including 2-10 ATS when it owned a win percentage of .333 (or less).  Lay the points with California.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls minus the points over Tulsa.  The Bulls blew out Charlotte, 59-24, as a 1.5-point road underdog last Saturday.  Off that impressive win, we'll ride the momentum with South Florida as a double-digit favorite this afternoon.  Indeed, the Bulls have cashed 64.2% as a double-digit favorite following a game where they covered the spread by double-digits.  Lay the points.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian St. Mountaineers + the points over James Madison.  In its last game, the Mountaineers were upset, 38-24, by Coastal Carolina.  We'll take the Mountaineers to bounce back off that defeat, as they've cashed 64% at home off a SU loss.  And they're also 7-1-1 ATS when priced as an underdog of +5 to +10 points.  Take the Mountaineers as a home dog on Saturday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies + the points over Syracuse.  The Orange went into Berkeley last week, and upset the Golden Bears, 33-25, as a double-digit dog.  Off that win, we'll fade Syracuse on Saturday afternoon.  Indeed, over the last 45 years, the Orange have covered just 25% as a home favorite off an upset win, when matched up against an opponent off a SU win.  The Huskies enter off 3 straight wins, and have cashed 59% as a road underdog off back-to-back wins.  Take Connecticut.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over Ole Miss.  The Rebels upset Georgia, 28-10, as a home underdog in their last game, and have won 3 straight, overall.  We'll fade Lane Kiffin's men as a road favorite on Saturday, as Mississippi is an ugly 10-31-2 ATS as a favorite in SEC Conference games off back to back wins (and 0-11-1 ATS off 3+ wins, when priced from -3 to -15).  Take Florida + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Pittsburgh.  Interestingly, the 2-8 Browns are a relatively short underdog vs. the 8-2 Steelers tonight.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to lay the points with the first place Steelers.  But be careful.  Consider that, over the past 45 years, NFL teams with a win percentage differential of at least 60%, have covered just 25% at Game 11 forward, when they weren't favored by 6+ points.  Even better:  the Browns enter this division rivalry game off a 35-14 upset loss at the hands of the Saints last week.  And NFL home dogs have cashed 60% of division games since 1980 off an upset loss by more than 10 points.  Grab the points with the Browns.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Georgia Tech.  The Yellow Jackets pulled off a huge upset in their previous game, when they knocked off the then-undefeated Miami Hurricanes, 28-23, as a 10-point home dog.  I'll fade Georgia Tech off that win, as it is a soft 6-14 ATS in ACC Conference games following a home upset conference win.  Additionally, NC State is 35-17 ATS when catching more than 7 points from a conference rival.  Take the Wolfpack.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys + the points over the Houston Texans.  The Texans are 6-4, but have a negative scoring margin on the season.  They're favored by a touchdown tonight, and I don't like laying this many points with teams that have negative scoring margins.  Since 1980, favorites of -7+ points, that have been outscored on the season, have gone 238-320-9 ATS, including 19-38 ATS as road favorites, and 2-6 ATS this season.  Take the Cowboys as a big home dog tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Los Angeles Chargers/Cincinnati Bengals game.  The Chargers have played seven of their nine games Under the total this season, and this is the highest Over/Under line for Jim Harbaugh's men this season.  And L.A.'s two games that went over (23-16 vs. Denver; 27-17 vs. Tennessee) only did so with somewhat meaningless, last-second scores.  In last week's game, Tennessee was down 17 when it scored a TD with just 54 seconds left to send that game Over its 40.5-point total.  And Denver scored a FG with just 64 seconds left, to send that game Over its 37.5-point total.  So just 118 seconds have separated the Chargers from being 9-0 Under this season.  Additionally, the Bengals have gone 37-11 Under when playing away from home, if the O/U line was greater than 46 points.  Take the Under.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets minus the points over Indianapolis.  The Jets were favored last week at Arizona, but managed to score just 6 points in a 31-6 blowout defeat.  I'll take the Flyboys to bounce back on Sunday, as teams off upset road defeats, in which they scored less than 7 points, have cashed 71.1% since 1980 when favored by 3 (or more) points.  Lay the wood with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Green Bay/Chicago game.  The Bears fired offensive coordinator, Shane Waldron, on Tuesday, as they were unhappy with Chicago ranking #24 in offensive efficiency, and dead last in yardage.  Thomas Brown, who was serving as the passing game coordinator, will take over.  I think the coaching change will provide a spark to the Bears' offense.  I like the Over, as the Packers have been a team which tends to go Under at home, but Over the total away from Lambeau Field.  Indeed, dating back to 2012, they're 64-40 Over the total on the road, including 36-15 Over when the O/U line was 47 or less.  Additionally, the Packers are 68-37 Over the total after not scoring 17+ points in their previous game.  Take the Over.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Baltimore/Pittsburgh game.  This is one of the fiercest rivalries in the NFL.  It's generally favored the underdog, and has been low-scoring.  The Under has now cashed 7 straight in the series.  And when the O/U line was 39+ points, the Under has gone 28-14-2.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over the Minnesota Vikings.  The Titans have lost their last five games to the spread.  I'll take them as a home underdog, as teams on 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks, have gone 135-96-8 ATS as home pups less than 11 points vs. non-division foes.  And the Vikes are a poor 29-51 ATS as a roaad favorite vs. foes not off an ATS win.  Grab the points with Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats + the points over Iowa State.  The Cyclones have lost their last two games after starting the season 7-0.  They're now favored by more than a touchdown at home vs. a 5-4 Bearcats looking to become bowl-eligible with a win.  We'll fade Iowa State, as favorites off back to back losses have cashed just 18% since 1980 in the regular season, if they started the year with 7+ wins.  Take Cincy + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Arizona State.  The Wildcats come into this Saturday evening's game off an upset loss at Houston two weeks ago.  K-State was favored by 12.5 in that game, but lost, 24-19.  We'll look for the Wildcats to bounce back, as they're 12-0 ATS their last 12 following a loss, in which they failed to cover by 13+ points.  Take the Wildcats.

At 6:00 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins minus the points over Rutgers.  We played on Rutgers last Saturday, and were rewarded with an upset win over the Minnesota Golden Gophers.  But we will fade Greg Schiano's men in College Park, as Maryland has cashed 69% since 1980 at home vs. foes off upset wins.  Take the Terrapins.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers minus the points over Arkansas St.  The Panthers have lost their last six games, straight-up, and are on a 4-game ATS losing streak.  They lost last week at James Madison, 38-7, as a 14.5-point underdog.  In this home game, though, they're favored over the Red Wolves.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the ice cold Panthers.  But home favorites off 6+ losses, and 4+ ATS losses have cashed 73% the past 45 years if they failed to cover the spread by 7+ in their previous game.  Lay the points with Georgia St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks minus the points over Missouri.  The Gamecocks come into this home game vs. the Tigers off 3 straight wins and covers.  And South Carolina covered the spread in those three games by 26, 27 and 15 points.  We'll look for the Gamecocks to continue to roll on Saturday, as NCAA favorites have covered 65.9% since 1980 if they were off 3 SU/ATS wins, in which they covered each by 15+ points, and were now matched up against a conference foe off a win.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:00 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over USC.  Dana Holgorsen will take over the reins of Nebraska's offense, as former coordinator, Marcus Satterfield, will coach tight ends.  In Satterfield's 21 games as a play-caller, Nebraska's offense averaged 20.4 ppg, which ranked #124 of 134 FBS teams.  Before his head coaching stints at West Virginia and Houston, Holgorsen built his reputation while coordinating high-octane offenses under Mike Leach at Texas Tech and Mike Gundy at Oklahoma State.  Installing Holgorsen as coordinator will no doubt boost Nebraska's offensive production.  I like Nebraska as a big underdog.  Take the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers minus the points over Air Force.  The Beavers were stunned last week, 24-13, by San Jose State, as a 3-point home favorite.  We'll take Oregon State to bounce back, as it's 12-1 ATS off an upset loss, if it was priced from -7.5 to +7.5 points.  Take the Beavers.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Virginia.  The Irish have topped 50 points in each of their last two games.  And they've won seven in a row, and covered their last five, as well.  I won't step in front of this freight train, as NCAA teams have gone 139-89-4 ATS at home when priced from -20 to -35 points, if they scored 40+ points in each of their two previous games.  Even better:  UVa is off an upset win over Pittsburgh last Saturday.  And the Irish are 29-15-3 ATS vs. foes off upset wins.  Take Notre Dame.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:45 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Louisiana Monroe.  The Tigers are 3-6 on the season, after losing at home to Vanderbilt two weeks ago.  No doubt, Auburn will be happy to step down in class, and play this late-season game vs. creampuff LA-Monroe just to get a breather from the difficult SEC Conference schedule.  I like playing on home teams in the 2nd half of the season that don't have winning records, when they are favored by 21+ points vs. non-conference foes.  Since 1980, these teams have cashed 65.3%.  Lay the points with the Tigers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Louisiana Tech.  Western Kentucky is 7-2 after winning its fourth straight game -- a 41-28 triumph at New Mexico St. last Saturday.  Meanwhile, Louisiana Tech is 3-6 after its 7-point loss to the Jacksonville St. Gamecocks last weekend.  The Hilltoppers are 5-0 in Conference USA play, and remain tied atop the standings with Rich Rodriguez's Gamecocks.  Western Kentucky will host the Gamecocks here in two weeks.  But it needs to take care of business in this game, and at 4-2 Liberty next Saturday.  The Hilltoppers are a solid 17-4 ATS at home vs. conference foes when priced from -6 to -20 points, while Louisiana Tech is a terrible 14-35-1 ATS as a road dog, priced from +11 to +31 points.  Take Western Kentucky minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:15 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Houston.  The Cougars enter off back to back upset wins, including a 24-19 triumph as a home dog vs. Kansas State in their last game.  But off those two victories, we'll fade Houston on the road on Friday, as it's a horrid 0-16 ATS on the road, when not getting 20+ points, if it was off a point spread win at home in its previous game.  Take Arizona.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies minus the points over UCLA.  The Huskies were blown out by Penn State last week, 35-6.  And that was Washington's 5th straight point spread loss away from Seattle this season.  The good news for U-Dub is that it's back home on Friday, and it's 4-1 ATS in its five home games this season.  The Huskies are also 14-6 ATS at home vs. conference foes off upset conference wins.  With UCLA in off an upset of Iowa last week, we'll lay the points with Washington.

At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams minus the points over Wyoming.  Colorado State is rolling right now, with four straight wins, and six straight covers, including a 38-21 blowout win at Nevada in their previous game.  Similarly, the Cowboys are red-hot "in Vegas", as they come into this game off 3 straight ATS wins, including an upset at New Mexico in their last game.  We'll fade Wyoming, as it's 15-40 ATS on the road when playing a foe off a win by more than 2 touchdowns.  Lay the points with Colorado State.

At 7:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Tulsa/East Carolina game.  The Pirates have been installed as a road favorite of more than 2 touchdowns.  And they've gone 9-2 Under when priced from -14 to -27.5 points.  Likewise, the Golden Hurricane have gone 15-3 Under when priced from +14 to +27.5 points, including 5-0 Under at home.  The Pirates have played their last 4 games Over the total, and that has led to what I believe is an inflated over/under line for this game, as the O/U line opened significantly lower than where it sits today. We'll look for a relatively low-scoring game, as the Under falls into a 72.7% Totals system of mine.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ohio Bobcats minus the points over Eastern Michigan.  The Bobcats went into Kent State last week, and shut out the Eagles, 41-0.  Off that impressive win, we'll lay the points with Ohio at home tonight.  For technical support, consider that NCAA teams off road shutout wins have cashed 162 of 266 if they covered the spread by double-digits in their previous game.  Take Ohio.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins and Los Angeles Rams to go UNDER the total.  Miami has had a disappointing season, as it's 2-6, while the Rams enter with a 4-4 record.  The Dolphins have gone 56-41 Under the total on the road when they were a losing team, including 28-9 Under if the O/U line was greater than 44 points.  Meanwhile, the Rams have gone 29-16 Under the total in their last 45 home games, including 9-0 their last 9 (and 15-2 their last 17) when the O/U line was greater than 47 points.  And, regardless of home/away venue, when the O/U line was 49+ points, and the Rams have played a team without a winning record, the Rams have gone 11-0 Under the total.  The Rams also have played their last 4 Monday Night Football games Under the total, as well as Unders their last four games against the Dolphins.  Finally, the Under falls into a Totals system of mine which is 340-237.  Take tonight's game Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over Detroit.  The Lions had a huge division win last Sunday. They were 6-1 entering the game vs. 6-2 Green Bay, so the winner was going to be all alone in first place. Detroit won that game, and now has to go on the road to face a Houston team off a SU loss to the Jets on Thursday night. I’ll take Houston, as Detroit falls into a negative 9-26 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off big division wins. Also, teams off Thursday games have had an edge over unrested foes off a Saturday, Sunday or Monday game, going 352-312 ATS. Take Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets minus the points over the Arizona Cardinals.  The Jets will be playing this game with additional days of rest, since they last played on Thursday Night Football.  And NFL teams that played on Thursday have gone 352-312 ATS vs. unrested foes that last played on Saturday, Sunday or Monday, so a slight edge to New York.  Additionally, the Jets fall into several of my best NFL systems that have records of 53-18, 92-57 and 83-44 ATS since 1980.  Finally, in his career as a starting QB, Aaron Rodgers' teams have gone 14-6 ATS away from home, when playing a foe off back-to-back SU/ATS wins, including 8-1 ATS when not getting more than 2 points.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over the Los Angeles Chargers.  The Titans won in overtime, 20-17, last week, but failed to cover the closing 3.5-point line, while the Chargers won and covered their 2nd straight game, with a 27-10 blowout of Cleveland, as a 2-point favorite.  I love Tennessee + the points, as it falls into 28-3, 32-6 and 48-16 ATS systems of mine.  Additionally, the Chargers are a wallet-busting 7-17 ATS off back to back point spread wins, while the Titans are a solid 20-12 ATS vs. foes off back to back ATS wins.  Finally, NFL teams (like the Chargers) off back to back covers by 9+ points, have gone 1-12-1 ATS their last 14 vs. foes off 4+ ATS losses.  Take the Titans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over Atlanta.  The Saints lost their 7th straight last week, and coach Dennis Allen was fired.  Darren Rizzi will serve as interim head coach.  I'll take New Orleans as a home dog, as it is 69-38 ATS when matched up against .500 (or better) foes off a SU win.  Also, NFL teams are 28-12 ATS in their first two games following a head coach's departure, if it occurred prior to Game 11 of a season.  Take the Saints.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers and Tampa Bay Bucs to go UNDER the total.  The Buccaneers have played 6 straight Overs and have given up 30, 31, and 41 points in their last three games.  I'll look for a much lower-scoring game on Sunday, as NFL teams that gave up 30+ points in each of their two previous games have gone UNDER the total 58% when the O/U line was 50+ points.  Additionally, since Kyle Shanahan took over as head coach, the 49ers are 9-1-1 UNDER off a bye week, while the Bucs are 5-0 UNDER their last 5 when playing with a week off.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:15 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over BYU.  Utah is having a down season, as it's 4-4, while its Beehive State rival, BYU, is unblemished, at 8-0.  But in this rivalry game, you can throw the records out the window.  Indeed, the underdog has gone 25-11 ATS in the last 26 meetings (with Utah accounting for 16-6 ATS of the 25-11).  It's true that the Utes have lost their last four games, SU/ATS, and have scored just 7 and 14 in their two most recent games.  But Utah is 9-0 ATS its last 9 after scoring less than 15 points in each of its two previous games.  Take the Utes + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Washington.  Last week, the Nittany Lions once again lost to Ohio State.  And that's par for the course with the Nittany Lions, as they have gone 1-16 straight-up their last 17 games when installed as an underdog (and 3-9 ATS their last 12).  The good news, then, for James Franklin's men is that they're a favorite in this game vs. Washington.  And Penn State excels when it has the talent advantage, as it's 36-3 SU and 28-10-1 ATS its last 39 FBS games as a favorite, including 16-0 ATS when priced from -6 to -18.5 points!  We will lay the number with the Nittany Lions.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes minus the points over Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders stunned then-undefeated Iowa State, 23-22, last week, as a 13.5-point road underdog.  Meanwhile, Colorado had last week off after downing the Cincy Bearcats, 34-23, two weeks ago to move its record to 6-2.  We'll fade the Red Raiders, as underdogs have cashed just 37.2% since 1980 after defeating an undefeated opponent with a 7-0 (or better) record.  Additionally, the Red Raiders are 8-17 ATS as underdogs of +10 (or less) points off an upset win, while Colorado has gone 11-4 ATS vs. foes off upset wins, when the Buffs owned a .666 (or better) win percentage.  Finally, Texas Tech is 2-7 ATS as an unrested home dog vs. a rested foe, while Colorado is 5-1-1 its last 7 when playing with rest, and 8-1-1 ATS its last 10 when playing a foe with a winning record.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies + the points over Clemson.  Virginia Tech will no doubt want to bounce back off its overtime loss to Syracuse last week, as well as snap its 6-game losing streak to the Tigers.  The good news is that its QB, Kyron Drones, and RB, Bhayshul Tuten, have been fully participating in practice this week, so I expect them to suit up.  Additionally, the Hokies are 24-6 ATS as an underdog off a SU loss when playing an opponent that won the prior meeting.  Take Virginia Tech + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Florida.  The Longhorns ascended to the #1 ranking in the country, but were knocked off that perch by Georgia, in a 30-15 upset loss.  Unsurprisingly, the Longhorns were a bit flat off that deflating Georgia loss, and only beat Vanderbilt by three, 27-24.  Texas had last week off to regroup, and that extra time should do it some good in this home game vs. Florida.  Indeed, rested home teams off an ATS loss have cashed 73% the last 45 years, when priced from -21 to -30 points, vs. unrested foes off an ATS win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights + the points over Minnesota.  PJ Fleck's Gophers come into Piscataway on a 4-game win streak (and a 5-game ATS streak).  All that should come to an end on this Saturday afternoon, as Minnesota falls into negative 18-61, 27-71 and 44-84 ATS systems of mine, based on its win streak.  Additionally, Rutgers had last week off after its 42-20 loss at Southern Cal.  And Rutgers is 34-17 ATS vs. foes on SU/ATS win streaks when the game was competitively-priced, with a line less than 7 points.  And the Scarlet Knights are 14-1-1 ATS when playing with rest against a foe off a SU/ATS win.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Rice.  The Tigers were favored by 7 last week at UTSA, but were upset, 44-36.  Meanwhile, Rice won, 24-10, over Navy.  We'll take Memphis to bounce back on Friday, as it's 7-0 ATS its last seven off an upset loss when playing an opponent off a SU win.  Even better:  Rice has covered just 42% the last 45 years on the road vs. foes off upset defeats.  And it's a woeful 0-13 ATS its last 13 (and 3-25 ATS its last 28) as a road underdog in vs. .600 (or better) conference foes, priced from +2.5 to +18 points.  Take Memphis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Cincinnati/Baltimore game.  Both of these teams tallied 41 points lasts week.  The Bengals blew out Las Vegas, 41-24, while the Ravens routed Denver, 41-10.  I'll look for a much lower-scoring game tonite, as NFL games have gone UNDER the total 60.4% since 1980 if both teams scored 38+ points in their previous game, and the O/U line was 54 points or less.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Miami-OH RedHawks minus the points over Ball State.  The Cardinals stunned Northern Illinois last week, 25-23, as a 13-point home underdog.  They're once again installed as a home pup, and we'll go against the Cardinals tonight.  Miami has won and covered 3 straight, after a 46-7 undressing of Central Michigan, in Oxford.  And the RedHawks are 29-10 ATS when priced from -9 to -18 points, including 13-2 ATS on the road, and 21-4 ATS off a SU win.  Meanwhile, Ball State is a brutal 14-29 ATS vs. Mid-American Conference foes off a win by more than 21 points.  And the Cardinals also fall into negative 61-96 and 118-210 ATS systems of mine, based on their upset win over Northern Illinois.  Lay the points with Miami-OH.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers + the points over Detroit.  The Lions have won and covered 5 straight after a 52-14 blowout win over Tennessee.  We'll fade Detroit as a road favorite at Green Bay, as NFL road teams off 3 SU/ATS wins are a poor 86-124-4 ATS vs. .666 (or better) foes.  Even worse for Detroit:  it's 1-12-1 ATS on the division road, off a home win, if it owned a win percentage greater than 0.667.  Take Green Bay.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Detroit/Green Bay game.  The Lions have played their last 4 games OVER the total, including a 52-14 blowout of Tennessee last week.  I will look for a lower-scoring game this afternoon, as road teams off 4+ Overs have gone Under 60.2% since 1980 vs. division rivals, including 73.9% Under if they scored 40+ points in their previous game.  Moreover, there is rain in the forecast today, with winds at 15 to 25 mph.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over the Philadelphia Eagles.  This season, underdogs of +6 (or more) points started out like a house on fire, as they were 16-3 ATS through the first five weeks.  They've come down a bit since, but are still 21-12-1 ATS on the season, including 7-0-1 ATS if they were off an ATS win.  And, of course, the Jaguars are off a point spread win, as they covered in last week's loss to Green Bay.  The Eagles are a soft 45-67 ATS when priced from -3 to -9.5 points.  Take Jacksonville.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans minus the points over New England.  The Titans were demolished, 52-14 last week.  And they've lost 3 straight, overall.  I'll take Tennessee to bounce back off that blowout loss, as home teams have gone 7-0 ATS their last seven (and 23-6 ATS their last 29) off a loss by 38+ points, if they also lost 2 games back.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins + the points over the Buffalo Bills.  The Dolphins were upset by Arizona last Sunday, and were also upset by Buffalo in the season's first meeting.  I'll take Miami to avenge that upset loss, as road dogs of +5 (or more) points have gone 82-49 ATS if they were upset in the season's prior meeting, including 22-9 ATS if our road dog was also off an upset loss in its previous game.  Take Miami.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Dallas Cowboys/Atlanta Falcons game.  The Cowboys enter this game off back to back Overs, as they were blown out, 47-9, by Detroit, and lost to San Francisco, 30-24.  I will take this game UNDER, as Dallas is 29-17 Under the total off back-to-back Overs, while Atlanta is 33-21 Under vs. an opponent off back-to-back Overs.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints and Carolina Panthers to go UNDER the total.  The first meeting between these two NFC South division rivals was in Week 1, and the Saints blew out the Panthers, 47-10.  That game went over the total of 41.5 by 15.5 points.  But prior to that meeting, these two teams had gone Under in 7 straight games.  I'll look for a reversion to the norm on Sunday, as the Under falls into a 339-255 Totals system of mine, as well as another 145-87 system.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots and Tennessee Titans to go UNDER the total.  Both of these teams come into this game off a string of Overs.  The Pats have gone Over in 3 straight, while the Titans have gone Over in 2 straight, including last week's 52-14 blowout loss to the Detroit Lions.  I'll look for a lower-scoring game on Sunday, as teams off back-to-back Overs that gave up more than 38 points in their previous game have gone Under 58.6% vs. foes off 3+ Overs.  Take the Pats/Titans game to go UNDER.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over the Denver Broncos.  Last week, the Broncos moved to 5-3 with a 28-14 win over Carolina, while Baltimore was upset by Cleveland, 29-24.  I like the Ravens to bounce back, as they have dominated winning teams outside their division, going 84-49 ATS, including 48-15 ATS if the Ravens were not off an ATS win.  Denver also falls into negative 36-102 and 62-135 ATS systems of mine. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns and Los Angeles Chargers to go OVER the total.  The Chargers went under the total of 41.5 last week vs. New Orleans, as they won, 26-8.  And that was L.A.'s 6th under in their 7 games.  A lot of bettors might look to play the under in this game, especially because the Browns are 5-3 under, themselves.  I'm going to look for a relatively high-scoring game, as the Over falls into a Totals system of mine which has cashed 59.2% of the time.  Additionally, the Chargers tend to go Under at home in non-division games (101-53 Under), but Over on the road outside the division (114-93 Over).  Take the Browns/Chargers game Over the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the New Orleans Saints.  The Saints have lost 6 straight since their 2-0 start, and have been installed as a big road favorite at Carolina.  The Saints' scoring margin is -2.62 ppg, and I won't lay this many points with teams that have negative scoring margins.  And especially not on the road vs. foes off back to back losses, as they've covered just 26.3% since 1980.  We saw this exact situation last week, when the Jets were favored by 7 at New England, even though the Jets' scoring margin was -2.42 ppg.  The Patriots won that game outright, and I wouldn't be surprised to see Carolina do the same.  We'll take the Panthers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs minus the points over Pittsburgh.  This is a great match-up in the ACC Conference.  Both SMU (4-0) and Pittsburgh (3-0) enter with undefeated conference records, and Pitt is also undefeated on the season, with a 7-0 mark (SMU is 7-1).  The Panthers are outscoring their foes by 18.85 ppg, which ranks 13th in NCAA (and betters SMU's mark of 17.75 ppg).  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on Pitt as an underdog.  But consider that road underdogs with an 18.85 (or better) scoring margin (as well as a better scoring margin than their opponent) have cashed just 39% over the last 45 years (and just 31.5% when getting 7+ points).  That doesn't bode well for Pitt on Saturday.  Nor does the fact that the Panthers fall into a negative system of mine which is 26-76-2 ATS since 1980 (the same angle I used last week for my SEC Game of the Year Winner on Texas A&M over SMU).  The Mustangs are 11-4 ATS in conference games off a conference win (including a perfect 5-0 ATS at home).  Lay the points with SMU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack + the points over Colorado St.  The Rams have covered the spread in their last five games.  They're now favored on the road against Nevada, which was blown out by 21 last week in Hawaii.  We'll fade Colorado St., as Mountain West road favorites have covered just 10 of 36 after 3 straight ATS wins.  Even better:  the Rams are an ugly 0-6 ATS their last six (and 1-8 ATS their last nine) off 3 SU/ATS wins, while Nevada is 31-15 ATS off a loss by more than 17 points.  Take the Wolf Pack.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over TCU.  The Bears were blown out by the Horned Frogs, 42-17, last season in Fort Worth, as a 13-point dog.  Last week, Baylor beat Oklahoma St., 38-28, while TCU won a thriller vs. Texas Tech, 35-34, as a 5-point home favorite.  That was TCU's 2nd straight win, and it will look for #3 in a row at Baylor on Saturday night.  We'll side with the homestanding Bears, as Baylor is 17-3 ATS at home vs. .875 (or worse) foes off a SU win, including a perfect 8-0 ATS when playing with revenge.  And Baylor also falls into 197-111 and 149-71 ATS systems of mine, that play on certain home teams off back-to-back wins.  Take the Bears minus the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks + the points over Texas A&M.  The Gamecocks had last week off after blowing out Oklahoma, in Norman, 35-9, in a Pk'em game.  We played on Texas A&M last Saturday over LSU, as our SEC Game of the Year, and were rewarded with a big 38-23 win.  This week, we'll switch gears and fade the Aggies on the road in Columbia.  Since 1980, the Aggies are an awful 1-16 ATS on the road vs. rested foes off a SU win.  Take South Carolina + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan St. Spartans + the points over Indiana.  Curt Cignetti's Hoosiers are off to an 8-0 start, and have covered the spread in their last seven.  And they rank #1 in scoring margin (inclusive of FCS games) with a 32.37 margin of victory.  The Spartans, meanwhile, are 4-4 SU/ATS after losing to Michigan, 24-17, as a 3-point road dog.  We'll take the home dog, as NCAA road favorites have covered just 27% since 1980 vs. conference foes off an ATS loss, if our road fave owned a scoring margin of 24.0 ppg (or better).  Take the Spartans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over the Oregon Ducks.  The Ducks were my preseason pick (at 8-1 odds) to win the National Championship.  They're currently ranked #1, and will face a stiff test on Saturday afternoon in Ann Arbor, against the defending champs.  Oregon's been installed as a double-digit road favorite, and we'll grab the points with the Wolverines, as defending champs have gone 17-5 ATS in home conference games vs. undefeated foes.  Additionally, Michigan is 7-1-1 ATS its last nine vs. foes off back to back ATS wins.  And it's also 26-18-1 ATS vs. foes off 3+ point spread wins.  Take Michigan + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins + the points over Nebraska.  The Cornhuskers lost to Ohio State last week, 27-24 (but covered the spread), while the Bruins snapped a 5-game losing streak with a 35-32 upset win at Rutgers.  We'll fade the 'Huskers, as Nebraska is an ugly 5-16-1 ATS when favored in Big 10 Conference games, including 0-7-1 ATS off a point spread win.  Take UCLA.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles + the points over North Carolina.  We played on the Tar Heels last week, and were rewarded with a blowout, 41-14, upset win over Virginia.  Florida State, meanwhile, dropped its fourth straight game, in a 22-point loss at Miami.  But despite its down year, the Seminoles are still 31-14-3 ATS off a road loss the previous week.  And North Carolina is a miserable 0-8-1 ATS off a road upset win, if it wasn't favored by more than 7 in its current game.  Take Florida State.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Houston.  The Wildcats edged their rival, Kansas, 29-27, as a 10-point favorite last week, while Houston upset Utah, 17-14, as a 4.5-point dog.  The Wildcats are a super 86-51-1 ATS off a point spread defeat, including 20-2-1 ATS their last 23 vs. .375 (or better) foes.  And Houston is a woeful 0-12 ATS as an underdog of 20 or less points (or PK).  Take Kansas State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm (time change), our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over Oklahoma State.  This is the first season these two teams have been conference rivals.  But they did meet each of the last two seasons when ASU was a Pac-12 Conference school.  Oklahoma State won each of those two meetings, by scores of 34-17 and 27-15.  We'll take the Sun Devils to avenge those defeats, as they fall into a revenge system of mine which is 256-193 ATS since 1980.  ASU has also cashed 78% since 1980 as a revenge-minded road favorite vs. conference foes.  Take Arizona State.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian St. Mountaineers + the points over Old Dominion.  The Monarchs pulled off their third straight upset win last week, when they walloped Georgia Southern, 47-19.  They're now favored on the road at App State, and we will happily grab the points.  Last season, App State was favored by 6 points, but upset by ODU, 28-21.  I look for the Mountaineers to avenge that defeat, as NCAA road favorites have covered just 37% over the last 42 years off 3 straight underdog covers.  Moreover, Appalachian State is 6-0 ATS as an underdog vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  And it's 3-0 ATS as a revenge-minded underdog.  Take the Mountaineers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.