At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves over the Golden State Warriors.  After losing 7 of 9 to fall to 8-10, the T-Wolves have won their last 3 games, including their most recent two by double-digits.  They blew out the Lakers, 109-80, on Monday, and then throttled the Clippers by an almost-identical score, 108-80, on Wednesday.  I won't step in front of the T-Wolves here, as Minny is 6-0 SU/ATS its last six on the road off back-to-back double-digit wins.  And it is 47-25 ATS when not laying more than 2 points, including 8-1 ATS vs. an unrested foe.  Take the T-Wolves.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  Last night, Chicago went into San Antone, and blew out the Spurs, 139-124.  And that was the Bulls' 2nd straight blowout win, as they smashed Brooklyn, 128-102, on Monday.  We'll fade the unrested Bulls tonight vs. the rested Pacers, as Chicago is 82-133 ATS at home off back to back point spread wins, if it was playing a rested opponent.  Lay the points with the Pacers. 

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Golden State.  The Rockets are a road favorite tonight vs. the Warriors, who will be without their All-Star, Steph Curry.  We'll lay the points with Houston, which seeks to bounce back off its 9-point loss at Sacramento on Tuesday.  The Rockets are 19-11 ATS off an ATS loss, when playing a foe off an ATS win (including 5-0 ATS their last five).  Lay the points with Ime Udoka's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over New York.  Yes, the Hornets have lost 6 straight.  But they're winning where it matters:  against the spread.  Charlotte is 13-8 ATS this season, and would have covered for the 7th time in 8 games on Tuesday, but for a last-second turnover, which lead to a meaningless lay-up by Philly at the end of the game.  The Knicks are a poor 15-27 ATS off a SU win, if they were favored by 12+ points.  Take Charlotte as a big dog.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over Cleveland.  The Nuggets have been installed as a road underdog at 19-3 Cleveland.  Denver is 33-17 ATS its last 50 as an underdog (or PK), including 21-6 ATS when catching more than 3 points.  I won't fade these numbers.  Take Denver + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  The Clippers covered their 4th straight game last night, with a 127-105 blowout win over the Trail Blazers.  This will be L.A.'s 3rd game in four nights.  And the Clippers are a woeful 13-28 ATS as a home dog of less than 7 points when playing their 3rd game in four nights.  Take the rested Timberwolves to blow out Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:15 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Houston.  The Kings come into this game off an upset home loss to the San Antonio Spurs, which was their 2nd straight setback.  Houston, meanwhile, upset OKC as a home dog in its previous game.  We'll grab the points with the Kings, as they're 30-12 ATS off back to back losses, including 6-1 ATS vs. foes off upset wins.  Take Sacramento.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Charlotte.  The Sixers are 4-14 this season, and have been installed as a road favorite at the 6-14 Hornets.  But this is a series thoroughly dominated by Philly.  It has won 24 of the last 26 meetings, and is 7-2 ATS when not favored by 5.5+ points, and 12-2 ATS when Philly was off a win, and the Hornets were off a loss.  We'll lay the points, as sub-.380 road favorites of 3+ points (like Philly) have gone 102-75 ATS since 1990.  Take the Sixers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Boston.  The Cavaliers have been installed as a home underdog this evening vs. Boston, and the Cavs are a perfect 3-0 ATS as an underdog this season, including when it got 7 from Boston in a 120-117 loss on November 19.  The Cavs are also 6-1 ATS their last seven at home when playing with revenge, and not favored by 6+ points.  Finally, the Cavs fall into a 293-200 ATS system of mine which plays on certain top-level teams vs. foes not off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Milwaukee.  The Bucks have won 5 straight, while Washington has dropped 13 straight.  I like Washington + the points, as the Bucks are a brutal 55-89 ATS vs. rested foes, if the Bucks were off 3+ wins, and favored by 3+ points.  Even better:  Milwaukee is 13-36-2 ATS when favored by more than 8 points.  Take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over Memphis.  The Pelicans have lost six straight, including a 119-93 loss to Toronto on Wednesday, and are 4-15 on the season.  Meanwhile Memphis is 12-7, and has won four straight games.  We'll take New Orleans, as Memphis is a miserable 44-85 ATS vs. sub-.600 foes off a loss by more than 17 points.  Grab the points with the Pelicans.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors + the points over Oklahoma City.  The Warriors lost to Brooklyn, 128-120, as a 12-point home favorite on Monday, while OKC drilled Sacramento, 130-109, in its last game.  I like the Warriors to bounce back tonight, as they're 35-20 ATS at home off a home loss where they gave up more than 120 points.  Also, the Warriors are a solid 148-98 ATS off a loss, when playing a foe off a SU win.  Take Golden State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs.  Los Angeles lost its 3rd straight game (and 5th straight to the point spread) last night, when it was blown out by Phoenix, 127-100.  We'll take L.A. in the Alamo City, as the Spurs are a horrible 34-50 ATS at home vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Take the Lakers.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Minnesota.  The Kings are on a 4-game losing streak.  But I expect that streak to end tonight, as they're 29-12 ATS off back to back losses, including 15-2 ATS when getting 3.5+ points.  Take Sacramento.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over Cleveland.  The Hawks are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.   But they're a solid 109-89 ATS off 3 SU/ATS losses, including 18-6 ATS as a double-digit underdog.  Take the Hawks.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over Minnesota.  The Rockets were stunned, 104-98, by Portland on Saturday, as a 12-point home favorite.  We'll take the Rockets to bounce back off that embarrassing loss, as they're 6-1 ATS their last seven off a loss.  Even better:  Minnesota is a miserable 89-133-3 ATS at home vs. a foe off an upset loss, including 12-25 ATS if its foe was favored by more than 8 points in that defeat.  Grab the points with Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  The Kings were upset at home, 109-108, on Monday, by the Atlanta Hawks.  They've had the previous 3 days off to rest, and regroup.  And we'll lay the points with the well-rested Kings on the road at the Clippers.  Sacramento is 65-39-2 ATS its last 106 on the road, including 17-6-1 ATS vs. division rivals.  And it is 91-67-2 ATS when well-rested, with 0 games the previous 3 days, including 35-18 ATS on the road.  Take the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies.  The 76ers are mired in a 4-game losing streak, and will look to avenge a home loss to Memphis earlier this month.  Philly is an awesome 30-11 ATS off a straight-up loss, when it was favored and playing with revenge from a loss earlier this season.  And Memphis is 19-39-1 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe.  Lay the points with Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The Cavs are 15-0, but I still rate Boston as the league's best team.  I had them last season at 4-1 odds as my Preseason pick to win the title, and I went with Boston again this season, at 3-1 odds.  The Celtics are 44-23 ATS as a favorite vs. a foe with a better W/L record, when each entered off a SU win.  And, at Game 8 forward, NBA underdogs with a win percentage greater than .860, have cashed just 32% since 1990 if they won their previous game by more than 12 points.  Take the Celtics.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  The Warriors are 10-2 on the season, with one of their two defeats at home to this Clippers club, back in October.  We'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Warriors, as they're 56-29-1 ATS vs. division rivals, when rested, and playing with revenge from a home defeat, while the Clippers are 37-69-2 ATS when playing a .537 (or better) revenge-minded foe it defeated on the road earlier in the season.  Take Golden State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Houston Rockets.  Houston hammered Chicago last night, 143-107, for their 5th straight win.  But off that 36-point blowout, we'll fade Houston at Milwaukee on Monday.  Indeed, NBA teams off 5+ wins that scored more than 125 in their previous game, have gone 25-51 ATS, including 0-10 ATS their last 10 as an underdog.  Take the Bucks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over Boston.  The Raptors have lost their last 6 games, and are on a 3-game ATS losing streak.  Meanwhile, Boston is 10-3 on the season after battering Brooklyn, 139-114.  We'll grab the points with Toronto as it's a solid 48-34-3 ATS on the road off 3 SU/ATS losses, including 12-6-1 ATS as a double-digit underdog.  Moreover, the Celtics have covered just 39 of 90 at home vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Take the Raptors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Sacramento.  The T-Wolves will look to snap a 3-game losing streak tonight when they travel to Sacramento to take on a Kings team off a 23-point SU/ATS win over Phoenix.  I like Minnesota, as road favorites have cashed 67% since 1990 off 3 upset losses if they were matched up against a .500 (or better) foe.  And Sacramento is a horrid 0-8 ATS its last eight (and 28-59 ATS its last 87) at home off a SU/ATS win, when it was playing a foe off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Portland.  These two teams met last night, and the Blazers upset the T-Wolves, 122-108, as a 9.5 point home dog.  We'll fade Portland tonight, as unrested teams have gone 48-85-2 ATS off a high-scoring win, in which they tallied 122+ points, if they were matched up against a .545 (or better) foe off a SU loss.  Even better:  the Timberwolves are 15-2 ATS on the road, when playing with revenge, if they were off a road upset loss.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  We played against OKC last night, and got the $$$ with Golden State which pulled off the upset win.  Even worse for OKC, it lost Chet Holmgren for 8-10 weeks, as he sustained a pelvic fracture midway through the first quarter.  Earlier this season, the Thunder went into Los Angeles, and defeated the Clippers, 105-92.  We'll take L.A. in this rematch, as the Thunder have cashed just 30% over the last 35 years when playing at home without rest, vs. a rested, revenge-minded, winning foe, while the Clips have cashed 68% since 2012 as a winning team, when rested, and playing with revenge vs. an unrested opponent.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Denver Nuggets.  We played on Denver at home on Wednesday vs. Oklahoma City, and the Nuggets upset the Thunder, 124-122, as a 7-point dog.  That was OKC's first loss of the season, and Denver got the job done without Jamal Murray, who has been sidelined with a concussion, and Aaron Gordon, who sustained a calf sprain.  Murray may make his return tonight.  But regardless, we will fade the Nuggets off that upset win over their division rival.  Indeed, Denver is a dreadful 29% ATS over the past 35 years as a home favorite vs. a non-division foe, if it upset a division rival as a 3.5-point (or greater) underdog in its previous game.  Grab the points with Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over Oklahoma City.  These two teams met last week here, in Denver, and the Thunder won that game, 102-87.  We'll take the Nuggets to avenge that defeat tonight, as Denver is a super 20-6 ATS as a rested, home dog of more than 4 points, if it owned a .500 (or better) win percentage on the season (including 6-0 ATS if it lost the season's previous meeting vs. its opponent by 15+ points).  Even better:  the Nuggets are 8-0 ATS their last eight vs. OKC when Denver was getting 2+ points.  Take the Nuggets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Houston.  This is the 3rd meeting of the season between these Lone Star State rivals.  The first two games were played in San Antone, and both went down to the wire.  The Spurs won Round 1 with a 109-106 win, as a 1.5-point home dog.  And then Houston won the rematch, two days later, with a 106-101 triumph.  This game will be played in Houston, and I expect another tight affair.  The Spurs are 4-3 ATS, and have been in every game.  And their +3.57 point spread differential ranks #8 in the league.  They failed to cover the spread by just 2.5 points in their season-opening loss to Dallas.  And they also failed to cover the spread by just 2.5 points in the aforementioned 106-101 defeat to Houston.  The only time the Spurs lost to the spread by more than a single possession was their most recent game -- a 113-104 defeat at the LA Clippers.  And the Spurs actually led that game in the first half by 26 points, but were outscored by 13 in the 4th quarter.  We will take San Antonio to bounce back on Wednesday, as it is 59-28-4 ATS when it owned a win percentage greater than .395, and was playing with revenge, including 7-0-1 ATS when getting more than 5 points.  Take the Spurs + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over the Denver Nuggets.  These two teams met earlier this season, and the Raptors lost at home by 2 points to the Nuggets.  We'll take Toronto tonight, as the Nuggets are a poor 6-23 ATS at home in the regular season when they were off a SU/ATS win, and playing a revenge-minded foe.  Take the Raptors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  The Thunder are off to a 6-0 start this season, and have been installed as a double-digit favorite tonight.  We'll grab the points with Orlando, as undefeated teams, with a 2-0 (or better) record, have gone 27-56-3 ATS when priced from -9.5 to -14 points.  Take the Magic.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over the Chicago Bulls.  The Jazz have lost all 6 of their games this season, including their last 3 by margins of 17, 18, and 26 points.  We'll take Utah to bounce back tonight, as teams off 3 straight losses by 17+ points have gone 104-81 ATS since 1990.  Additionally, the Bulls are a brutal 49-87-1 ATS at home vs. Western Conference foes off an ATS loss.  Take Utah + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Detroit Pistons.  Detroit blew out Brooklyn, 106-92, on Sunday.  We'll fade the Pistons at home tonight, as they're 15-41 ATS off a win by more than 7 points, including 1-14 ATS when priced from +5.5 to +10 points.  Take Los Angeles minus the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over Cleveland.  This is the 2nd of two back-to-back meetings between these Central division rivals.  Cleveland won on Saturday, when Donovan Mitchell hit the game-winner with less than a second left in the game.  We'll take Milwaukee as the road underdog, as NBA teams playing back-to-back regular season games vs. a division rival, have cashed 63% since 1992 if they were off an upset loss in the first meeting.  Take Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over the Washington Wizards.  This game will be played in Mexico City.  Washington is on a 2-game win streak, as it upset Atlanta twice, earlier this week, including a 133-120 triumph on Wednesday.  Unfortunately for the Wizards, they're a wallet-breaking 44-74-1 ATS off an upset win by more than 10 points.  Take Miami.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Cleveland.  This is the first of a 2-game, home-and-home series between these Central division rivals.  Cleveland is off to a 6-0 start after its 11-point win over the Magic last night, while Milwaukee has lost its last four, including a 23-point loss at Memphis, on Thursday.  This will be Milwaukee's first home game following a 3-game road trip, and the Bucks have gone 31-10 ATS at home following 3 road games, if they were also off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.  Even better:  the Bucks are a solid 92-52-3 ATS in the regular season off back to back losses, including 14-2 vs. unrested foes off a win.  Finally, Cleveland is a poor 9-27 ATS on the road, when playing without rest against a foe off a SU loss.  Take Milwaukee minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over Memphis.  The 76ers were upset by Detroit, 105-95, on Wednesday, while Memphis upset Milwaukee, 122-99, on Thursday.  We'll fade the Grizzlies off that upset win, and grab the points with the Sixers, who are 37-24-3 ATS off an upset loss, including 5-1-2 ATS as a home underdog.  Take Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over Boston.  This is the 2nd of back-to-back meetings in Charlotte between these two teams.  Last night, Boston won, 124-109.  We'll take the Hornets in today's rematch, as home teams have cashed 57% since 1990 in the 2nd of back-to-back home meetings vs. the same foe, if they lost the first game.  Grab the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over the Indiana Pacers.  Indiana won an emotional game its last time on the court, when it avenged a playoff series loss to the champion Celtics.  Meanwhile, the Pelicans enter off 3 blowout defeats, as they lost back-to-back games to Golden State by 18 and 15 points, and by 22 to Portland before that.  I look for the Pelicans to bounce back tonight, as teams off 3 SU/ATS losses by more than 10 points have cashed 57.1% vs. foes off upset wins.  Additionally, the Pacers fall into a negative 22-48 ATS system of mine (as well as an 0-13 subset) which fades certain teams off a revenge win over the team which ousted it from the previous season's playoffs.  Finally, the Pacers are a poor 27-60-1 ATS away from home vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses, if the line was 5 points or less.  Take New Orleans + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over the Phoenix Suns.  The Suns come into this game off a 4-point home win over the Lakers, while the Clippers lost by a point, 106-105, to Portland last night.  We'll take L.A. to bounce back, and go against Phoenix, which is a poor 36-55-1 ATS on the road off a home win.  Additionally, the Clippers are 36-23 ATS vs. the Suns, including 10-1 ATS at home off a SU loss.  And, finally, dating back 35 seasons, unrested NBA home underdogs have cashed 64.7% off an upset loss, as a 7-point (or greater) favorite, when matched up against an opponent off a SU win.  Grab the points with the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Miami.  The Knicks were upset at home, 110-104, by Cleveland two nights ago, while Miami beat Detroit, 106-98.  We'll take New York to rebound at Miami, as the Knicks are an awesome 66-28-1 ATS on the road off an upset loss, when playing a .500 (or better) team, including 7-1 ATS as a favorite.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Washington.  These two teams faced off on Monday, in Atlanta, and the Hawks were upset, 121-119, as a 7.5-point home favorite.  We'll take the Hawks to avenge that defeat, as teams off an upset loss as a 7.5-point (or greater) home favorite have bounced back to cover 69.4% of the time since 1994 in the regular season when they were playing the same opponent.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over the Portland Trail Blazers.  The Trail Blazers blew out New Orleans, 125-103, as a 6.5-point home dog last night, while the Kings fell by 4 points at Los Angeles, on Saturday.  We'll lay the points with Sacramento, as double-digit favorites off a SU loss have covered 62.3% since 1990 vs. unrested foes, if their foe was off an upset win as a home underdog of more than 5 points.  Moreover, the Kings are 28-10 ATS off back to back losses, including 8-0 ATS their last eight.  Take Sacramento.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs.  This is the 2nd of two back-to-back meetings between these Lone Star State rivals, with both being played in the Alamo City.  We played on San Antone in Saturday's game, and were rewarded with a 109-106 upset win.  We'll switch gears tonight, and take the road favorite, Houston.  Since 1990, in the regular season, teams have cashed 56% in the 2nd of back-to-back meetings if they were upset in the prior game.  Additionally, the Rockets are 19-10 ATS on the road vs. the Spurs when playing with revenge, while the Spurs are 0-6 ATS vs. division foes following an upset win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Toronto.  The Nuggets lost to the Clippers, 109-104, on Saturday, and are 0-2 on the season.  Meanwhile, the Raptors got the cover in their last game, as they lost 112-101, as a 15-point road underdog at Minnesota.  We'll lay the points tonight, as Denver is an awesome 71-43-5 ATS off back-to-back losses.  Additionally, the Nuggets are 37-19 ATS vs. Toronto, including 20-7 ATS on the road.  And the Raptors are 0-7 ATS their last seven (and 1-13-1 ATS their last 15) as a home dog off a point spread win.  Take Denver minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Brooklyn Nets.  We cashed our Central Division Game of the Year on Chicago over Milwaukee on Friday, when the Bulls blew out the Bucks, 133-122, as a 9.5-point road underdog.  But off that blowout home defeat, we'll play on the Bucks to bounce back on Sunday evening.  Indeed, Milwaukee is an awesome 22-9 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite of more than 8 points, including 8-1 ATS on the road.  And Brooklyn is a brutal 10-22 ATS as a home underdog vs. foes off home upset losses.  Take Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  LeBron James & Co. are off to a 2-0 start, with SU/ATS home wins over the Timberwolves and Suns.  We'll fade Los Angeles at home tonight, as it is a poor 103-142-7 ATS in the regular season off back-to-back wins and covers, including 13-29 ATS when playing its 3rd straight home game.  Take the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Houston.  We had a big play on the Rockets last night, and were rewarded with a 20-point with over Memphis.  We'll fade Houston in the Alamo City tonight, as the Spurs are have cashed 63% at home off a SU/ATS loss, if the Spurs were rested, and playing an unrested foe.  Take San Antone.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies over the Orlando Magic.  The Magic come into this game off a 116-101 victory over the Nets last night.  We'll fade Orlando on the road, as Memphis is 57-34 ATS at home vs. a foe off a SU win, when not laying 2+ points.  Take the Grizzlies.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets.  The Heat were blown out by Orlando, 116-97, in their season opener.  They'll face another division rival this evening, and have been installed as a road favorite.  We'll lay the points with Miami, as it is 54-25 ATS as a road favorite of 5 or less points (or PK) when off exactly one loss.  Also, the Heat have cashed 60% as a road favorite in division games over the last 35 years following an upset division loss.  Finally, Miami falls into a 97-29 ATS system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies.  Memphis won at Utah, 126-124, to tip-off its 2024-25 campaign.  It is back on the road for its 2nd game, and will take on a Rockets team which was upset at home, 110-105, by Charlotte in Game 1.  I like Houston to rebound off its loss, as NBA teams have cashed 62.0% as home favorites off an upset defeat in their home openers.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  The Bucks took advantage of an injury-riddled 76ers squad, and blew out Philly, 124-109, to open the season.  We'll fade Milwaukee here, at home, as it's a soft 44-67-3 as a home favorite of less than 12 points following a win by 15+ points.  Moreover, NBA teams that win their season openers by 15+ points have covered just 38.2%.  Take Chicago + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Indiana.  New York was blasted, 132-109, by Boston on Tuesday.  But off that 23-point loss, we'll back New York tonight, as the Knicks are 17-5 ATS off a loss by 15+ points, if they weren't getting more than 3 points in their current game.  Even better:  these two teams met in last year's Playoffs, and the 6th-seeded Pacers upset the 2nd-seeded Knicks, 4-games-to-3, in the 2nd round.  I like the Knicks to avenge that Playoff ouster, as they fall into an 83% ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Boston Celtics.  This is Washington's season opener, and it's been installed as a double-digit home underdog vs. Boston, which won its season opener, 132-109, two nights ago.  We'll grab the points with Washington, as underdogs playing their season opener have cashed 64.5% since 1990 vs. opponents that already played their opener, including a perfect 7-0 ATS if its opponent scored 120+ points in its previous game.  Additionally, underdogs of more than 8 points have cashed 66.6% in their home openers, while favorites of -4+ points have gone 42.9% ATS in their road openers.  Take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Boston Celtics.  We had Boston (at 4-1 odds) last season as our Preseason pick to win the NBA Title, and the Celtics rewarded us when they hoisted the Larry O'Brien Trophy in June.  And we came right back with Boston this month as our Preseason pick (at +325) to win the NBA Title in 2025.  But even though I have confidence in the Celtics over the long-term, I still want to go against them tonight, in this season opener, as division underdogs of +3.5 (or more) points have cashed 64% since 1991 in their season opener if they made the Playoffs the previous season.  Additionally, the Knicks are a solid 23-11 ATS in their road openers.  Take New York + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Dallas Mavericks.  The Celtics were blown out, 122-84, on Friday by Dallas.  And the Mavericks are now down 3-games-to-1 in this NBA Finals.  We'll fade Dallas off that win, as the Mavericks are an ugly 31-53-1 ATS as an underdog off an upset win, including 5-19-1 ATS if they covered the spread by 17+ points in their previous game.  Even better:  NBA teams have cashed 62% since 1990 off a Playoff loss by more than 35 points.  And the Celtics are 9-0-1 ATS over the last 20 seasons following a loss by more than 30 points!  Take Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics and Dallas Mavericks to go UNDER the total.  These two teams have played all 4 NBA Finals games UNDER the total so far.  And they've gone under by 21.5, 12, 8, and 5.5 points.  Dallas is now 49-27-1 UNDER its last 77.  Additionally, the Celtics are 13-2 UNDER their last 15 NBA Finals games, while Dallas is 11-4-1 UNDER in the NBA Finals.  And Boston is 11-1 UNDER in the Playoffs following an upset loss, if the O/U line was 213 or less in the current game.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks on the moneyline over the Boston Celtics.  The Celts did as expected, and won Games 1 + 2 to take a 2-0 series lead in this NBA Finals.  Dallas now has its proverbial back against the wall in this Game 3 since, if it loses, it will surely be its death knell, as no team (in 156 series) has ever come back from a 3-0 series deficit in NBA history.  We'll take Dallas to win this game on the moneyline, as #1 seeded teams (like Boston) have gone just 25-45 straight-up in Game 3s since 1990, at the quarterfinal round forward, if they were up 2-games-to-0.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over the Boston Celtics.  We played on the Celtics and Under in Game 1, and were rewarded with a 107-89 blowout win by Boston.  But off that 18-point loss, we'll switch to the underdog Mavericks in Game 2.  Indeed, Dallas has yet to lose back-to-back games in these Playoffs, going 5-0 SU/ATS off a loss.  And it's also a reliable 124-83 ATS as a road underdog of more than 6 points vs. winning opposition.  Meanwhile, .672 (or better) teams (like Boston) have gone 1-11 ATS in Game 2 of NBA Playoff series when favored by more than 6 points following a double-digit win in Game 1.  Take the Mavericks + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Dallas Mavericks.  My NBA preseason futures pick was on the Celtics (at 4-1 odds), and they've done nothing to dissuade me from thinking they're going to win the Larry O'Brien Trophy.  I like them to get off to a great start in this Game 1.  Boston has absolutely dominated the Mavericks the last 2 seasons.  This year, Boston won by 28 points at home, and by 9 points on the road.  And last season, the Celts won by 13 at home, and 29 on the road.  Combined, then, Boston's average margin of victory was 19.75 ppg, and it was 4-0 ATS.  That doesn't bode well for Dallas, as underdogs that were swept 2-games-to-none in the season series have gone 2-11 SU and 4-9 ATS in Game 1 of the NBA finals, including 0-5 ATS when priced from +5.5 to +10 points.  And Dallas is also 3-16 SU and 6-13 ATS in Game 1 of a series when installed as an underdog vs. .666 (or better) opponents.  Finally, teams (like Boston) with average scoring margins greater than 8.75 ppg (Boston's is +11.15) have cashed 64% in Game 1 of an NBA series when not laying 12+ points.  Take the Celtics minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics and Dallas Mavericks to go UNDER the total in Game 1 of the NBA Finals.  The Mavericks have now gone UNDER the total 21-4-1 their last 26 games when the O/U line was between 210 and 222 points.  And they've also gone 45-25 UNDER as an underdog (or PK) off a SU win in their previous game.  We'll look for those two trends to hold for this Game 1, especially given that NBA Finals Game 1s have gone 12-4-1 UNDER since 1991 when the game was priced from -6 to -9.5 points.  Take the Under in the Mavs/Celts Game 1.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, in Game 5 between Dallas and Minnesota, our selection is on the Under.  We played on the Under in Game 4, and were rewarded with a 105-100 T-Wolves win, which went under the total.  That game snapped a 4-game "Over" streak of the Mavericks.  But as I mentioned in my analysis of the previous game, Dallas had gone 45-22-1 Under in its 68 games prior to going Over in four straight.  The Under has also gone 24-12-1 the last 37 meetings between these teams at Minnesota.  I look for another relatively low-scoring game on Thursday.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Dallas/Minnesota game.  The Mavericks have played their last four games over the total.  But before this 4-game Over streak, Dallas had gone 45-22-1 Under.  And I look for the Mavericks to revert to form, and go Under in Game 4.  Indeed, over the last 34 years, NBA teams that had gone under in > 53% of their season's games have gone Under in 64.8% of their playoff games off 4+ Overs.  Take the Under tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Under in Game 4 between Indiana and Boston.  The Pacers were without All Star Tyrese Haliburton on Saturday, but almost upset the Celtics behind 32 points and 9 assists from Andrew Nembhard.  No team has ever come back from a 3-0 series deficit in NBA Playoff history (out of 154 series).  And given Boston's huge scoring margin differential (+8.54), one can rest assured it's not going to happen here, either.  And that daunting 0-for-154 statistic will surely play into the decision-making of Boston and/or Indiana with respect to their decision to give playing time to Haliburton or Kristaps Porzingis.  Frankly, I would be surprised if both of them play, and would not be surprised if neither of them play.  But, regardless, we're going to take the Under for Game 4.  The Pacers came out strong in Game 3 without Haliburton (as teams often do in the first game without a sidelined superstar).  Indy racked up 69 points in the first half, and led 69-57 at the break.  But the 2nd half was a completely different story, as the Pacers came back down to earth, and only mustered 42.  And just 99 points were scored by the 2 teams combined in the 2nd half.  I don't expect Nembhard to repeat his performance (which was a career-high).  And even if Haliburton plays, he might not be effective coming off a hamstring injury.  So, I expect a relatively low-scoring game on Memorial Day.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Boston.  In 1999, Sean Elliott delivered his Memorial Day Miracle shot to defeat the Trail Blazers, and the Pacers certainly need another Memorial Day Miracle if they're going to win this series (or, more precisely, 4 miracles).  But even though no team has ever climbed out of a 3-0 series hole and won four games, we don't need Indiana to do that here.  Indeed, all we need it to do is cover a large point spread as a home underdog.  Certainly, Boston, with its 75-20 record, and 11.24 average margin, is an historically-great team.  But it's also a pedestrian 23-21-2 ATS on the road this season.  Indiana, meanwhile, is 27-20-1 ATS at home, including 9-3 ATS its last 12, and 9-3-1 ATS as an underdog, and 14-4-1 ATS off a loss.  Indiana is also 7-0 ATS at home this season off a home loss (and 103-73-6 ATS since 1997 at home off a home loss).  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks and Minnesota Timberwolves to go UNDER the total.  The Timberwolves were the #1 defensive team in the league this season, as they had a defensive rating of 108.4.  But Minnesota was upset in Games 1 + 2 to start this series.  And both games went Over the total.  The T-Wolves are going to have to lock down better on defense if they are going to get back into this series, and I look for a lower-scoring game on Sunday.  Dating back 30 years, NBA teams have gone 63% UNDER in the post-season off back to back upset losses.  And the T-Wolves are also 14-4 UNDER their last 18 off back to back Overs.  We'll take Game 3 to go Under the total.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Dallas.  The T-Wolves lost both home games to start this semi-final series, including a 1-point loss in Game 2, and now must win this game, or face elimination on Tuesday.  I like the T-Wolves as an underdog, as .625 (or better) NBA teams have covered 73% as road underdogs since 1991 when down 2-games-to-none in a playoff series.  Additionally, road teams have gone 25-12 ATS following a 1-point Playoff defeat.  Meanwhile, Dallas is a dreadful 11-27-1 ATS when playing a team with double-revenge, and 22-31 ATS off back to back upset wins.  Take the Timberwolves.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Boston.  The Pacers let Game 1 slip away when they failed to in-bound the ball successfully, up 3 points, with just seconds remaining.  They then got blown out, 126-110, in Game 2, and now face a quasi-must-win game on Saturday (given that no NBA team has ever come back from a 3-games-to-0 deficit).  We'll grab the points with the Pacers, as NBA teams have gone 92-65-5 ATS when down 2-games-to-none, if they lost their previous game by 10+ points.  Additionally, the Pacers have gone 33-14-2 ATS in the Playoffs following a double-digit loss.  Take Indiana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Under in Game 3 between Boston and Indiana.  The Celtics blew out the Pacers, 126-110, in Game 2.  And that followed a 133-128 win in Game 1.  Off those two high-scoring games by Boston, we'll look for Game 3 to be relatively low-scoring.  Indeed, NBA teams have gone Under the total in Playoff games 76.1% since 1991 following back-to-back games where they scored 125+ points.  Even better:  both of these teams have gone Over the total in four straight games heading into Game 3.  And NBA Playoff teams on Over streaks of 3+ games have gone Under the total 56% since 1991.  Take Game 3 Under the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Dallas.  The Mavericks went into Minneapolis on Wednesday, and upset the T-Wolves, 108-105, behind stellar performances by Luka Doncic (33 points 8 assists) and Kyrie Irving (30 points, 5 rebounds).  I like the Timberwolves to rebound in Game 2, as they've gone 11-6 ATS this season off an upset loss.  Moreover, Minnesota is 19-2 ATS vs. foes it lost to at home in the prior meeting.  Even better:  #3 seeds have cashed 69.4% since 1991 off a home playoff defeat, if they were favored by 4+ points in the current game.  And, finally, sub-.625 teams (like Dallas) have cashed just 1 of their last 18 games in the Conference Finals off an upset win if they were not getting more than 7 points.  Take Minnesota minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Indiana.  The Celtics have won two 5-game series to reach the Eastern Conference finals.  In both prior series, the Celts have blown out their opponent in Game 1 (by 20 and 25 points) while then losing Game 2 outright (by 10 and 24 points).  I expect a similar strong showing in Game 1 on Tuesday night against a Pacers team coming off a grueling 7-game series.  Indeed, teams that came back with wins in Games 6 + 7 to win a 7-game series have struggled in Game 1 of their next series, going 0-8 ATS their last eight.  Even worse for Indy:  it's 0-8 ATS its last eight off back to back ATS wins.  Lay the points with Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

On Sunday, in Game 7 of the quarterfinal series between the Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points.  The T-Wolves brought their A+ game on Thursday, and held the defending champs to just 70 points, in a 45-point blowout win at home.  However, notwithstanding their 2023 championship season, the Nuggets have NOT been a strong road team the last two seasons.  This season, they've been 2.90 points per game WORSE against the spread on the road than at home.  Last season, the number was 5.55 ppg worse against the spread on the road than at home.  We'll take Denver to rebound in Game 7, as rested home teams have gone 67.4% ATS since 1991 at home when favored by more than 4 points off a loss by more than 35 points.  And in match-ups between teams with .500 (or better) win percentages, the Timberwolves are a soft 38-70 ATS when they won the previous matchup by 9+ points.  Finally, Denver is 31-14 ATS at home when rested and playing with revenge, if its win percentage was .600 (or better).  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

On Sunday, in Game 7 between the Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves, our selection is on the Under.  Game 6 was won by the Timberwolves, 115-70, and went under by 20.5 points.  We'll look for another low-scoring game on Sunday, as the Nuggets have gone under in 15 of their last 22 playoff games, including 9-3 under at home.  Even better:  defending NBA Champions have gone under 60.4% since 1990 in Games 5, 6 or 7 of a Playoff series.  And NBA teams that failed to score 72+ points in their previous game have gone under in the playoffs 75% since 1990 when the line was greater than 188.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Under in Game 6 between Oklahoma City and Dallas.  We played on Game 5 to go under the total of 213, and were rewarded with a very low-scoring game, as Dallas upset the Thunder, 105-95.  That was the 3rd straight game that went under by double-digits.  Game 3 went under 217 by 11 points, as the Mavs won, 105-101, while Game 4 went under the total of 215 by 19 points, as OKC triumphed, 100-96.  We'll come right back with the under in Game 6, as the oddsmakers still haven't adjusted this number appropriately.  These two teams have now played seven consecutive halves where the combined score was 103 points or less (99, 103, 103, 97, 99, 98 and 98).  The Mavs are now 45-22-1 under their last 68.  Take the Under in Game 6.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder + the points over Dallas.  The Mavs have pushed the Thunder to the brink of elimination with a 104-92 upset victory in Game 5.  Off that loss, we'll fade Dallas as a home favorite on Saturday.  Indeed, .667 (or worse) teams have gone 1-9 ATS when favored by more than 2 points at home, if they were off an upset win, and led 3-games-to-2 in the series.  Additionally, the Thunder have been terrific off a straight-up loss, when playing with revenge, as they've gone 60-33-2 ATS.  And Dallas is 32-57-2 ATS off a SU win, if it was playing a .333 (or better) revenge-minded foe.  Grab the points with OKC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

On Friday, in Game 6, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over the New York Knicks.  We played on New York on Tuesday, and were rewarded with a 121-91 blowout win.  We'll switch gears and lay the points with the Pacers on Friday.  Indiana has been great at home this season, as it's covered the spread by an average of 3.90 ppg at Gainbridge Fieldhouse (compared to a -0.90 ppg figure on the road).  That bodes well for the Pacers in Indianapolis.  As does the fact that Indy is a super 24-9-2 ATS this season when rested, and off a straight-up loss, including 14-4 ATS off a double-digit defeat.  Finally, Indiana is an awesome 160-95-10 ATS off a loss when rested, and playing with revenge vs. a foe off a SU win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

On Friday, in Game 6, our selection is on the UNDER in the Indiana/New York game.  We cashed the Under in Game 5, as the two teams scored just 48 points in the 3rd quarter and 41 in the 4th.  I look for the offenses to continue to stagnate in this Game 6.  Indeed, only 2 of the last 10 quarters have gone for 55 or more points.  And with an Over/Under line this high, that's just not going to get the job done.  Tom Thibodeau-coached teams have gone 25-15-1 UNDER their last 41 Playoff games.  And the Under falls into a 218-133 Totals system of mine.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in Game 5 between Oklahoma City and Dallas.  After combining for 130 points in the first half of Game 2, the Mavericks and Thunder have played five consecutive halves where the combined score was 103 points or less (99, 103, 103, 97 and 99).  The Over/Under lines have slowly come down from Game 1 (which was 219), but I don't believe the number has come down enough for this Game 5, and the value is on the Under.  For technical support, consider that Dallas is 44-22-1 UNDER its last 67.  And NBA Playoff series tied at 2-games apiece have gone 25-15 (62.5%) Under their last 40.  Take Game 5 Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over the Denver Nuggets.  We had our 5* NBA Game of the Year on Denver in Game 3 at Minnesota.  And I mentioned then that the road team was 52-20-1 ATS in this series.  Well, fast forward to Game 5, and the road team is now 54-20-1 ATS in the Nuggets/T-Wolves series, including 4-0 in this year's playoffs.  As my mom used to say, 'If it ain't broke, don't fix it," and we'll continue to ride the road team.  Add to that the fact that Minnesota is now 13-0 ATS on the road when playing an opponent which defeated it in Minnesota in the prior meeting.  And the T-Wolves are also 8-0 ATS their last eight road games off an upset loss.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over the Indiana Pacers.  New York dropped both games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, including a 121-89 defeat on Sunday, and are now knotted up at 2-games-apiece in the quarterfinal series.  We'll take New York to bounce back at home, as it is 31-11 ATS as a single-digit favorite when playing with revenge.  Moreover, home favorites with a .605 (or better) win percentage, off a loss by more than 23 points, have cashed 60% ATS since Dec. 4, 1991.  Take New York.

At 8 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Under in the New York/Indiana game.  After Games 1 + 2 went for 238 and 251 points, we've seen a downturn in the scoring in Games 3 + 4.  Those two games only totaled 217 and 210 points, and went under the total by 4 and 9.5 points, respectively.  We played on the Under in Game 3, and will come back with the Under in this Game 5, as it falls into a 217-133 Playoff Totals system of mine.  New York has gone 15-6-2 UNDER in the Playoffs following a SU loss, and Tom Thibodeau-coached teams have gone 24-15-1 UNDER their last 40 Playoff games.  Take Game 5 Under.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder over the Dallas Mavericks.  OKC lost narrowly, 105-101, in Game 3 at Dallas.  The Thunder, though, have been sensational off a straight-up loss, when playing with revenge, as they've gone 59-33-2 ATS.  Meanwhile, Dallas is 32-56-2 ATS off a SU win, if it was playing a .333 (or better) revenge-minded foe.  OKC has gone 9-5 ATS vs. the Mavericks since 2022, and 35-16-2 ATS off a loss by 6 or less points.  And NBA teams off narrow SU/ATS Playoff losses by 6 or less points have rebounded to go 44-19 ATS.  Take the Thunder.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 4 between the Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers.  We played on the under in Game 3, and easily cashed, as it went under by 12.5 points.  We will come right back with the under in Game 4, as Cleveland is 15-4 Under its last 19 playoff games, including 11-1 under when the O/U line was > 203 points.  And Boston has gone under its last 5 road playoff games.  Finally, the under falls into an NBA Totals system of mine which is 217-133 since 1990.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Cleveland.  The Celts were shellacked at home, 118-94, by the Cavaliers on Thursday.  Unfortunately for Cleveland, the Celtics are an exceptional 93-54 ATS on the road off a home loss by more than 7 points.  Take Boston minus the points in Game 3.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 3 between Boston and Cleveland.  The Celtics come into this game off a 24-point home defeat.  I look for Boston to tighten the screws on defense in Game 3, as it will look to redeem itself from that debacle at home.  The Celts have gone 57-32 UNDER the total off a home loss when the O/U line was < 214, including 7-0 UNDER their last seven playoff games off a home defeat.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder + the points over Dallas.  The Mavericks leveled the series at 1-game apiece on Thursday, with a nine-point win over the Thunder.  We'll fade Dallas on Saturday afternoon, as the Mavericks are a wallet-busting 29-50 ATS off an upset win, while the Thunder are 23-15 ATS off an upset loss.  Moreover, the Mavs are a poor 31-56 ATS off a win, if they were playing a revenge-minded foe with a .333 (or better) win percentage.  And OKC is a fantastic 43-16-1 ATS vs. foes off a SU win that covered the spread in that victory by more than 8 points.  Look for the Thunder to rebound on Saturday.  Grab the points.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The Nuggets were annihilated, 106-80, in Game 2 and now trail 2-games-to-none in the quarterfinal series.  Denver shot just 34.9% from the field, which was its 2nd-worst FG percentage this season.  And its 80 points was the least amount that it scored in 4 years.  We'll take the Nuggets to bounce back tonight, as they've gone 33-18-2 ATS vs. .400 (or better) foes, if the Nuggets were on a 3-game ATS losing streak.  Additionally, .610 (or better) teams off a playoff defeat in which they scored 80 (or less) points, and 2+ losses overall, have covered 68.1% since 1991.  Even better:  .684 (or better) teams have covered 69% following a game where they failed to cover the point spread by more than 30 points.  Finally, this has been a division rivalry which has been dominated by the road team, as the road teams are now 52-20-1 ATS, including 23-3 ATS when priced from +1.5 to +7 points.  Take the Nuggets + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over the New York Knicks.  Rick Carlisle's men find themselves in a 2-games-to-none hole, as this quarterfinals series shifts to the Hoosier State.  The good news for Indiana is that it's dominated the Knicks at home, going 20-5 SU and 16-9 ATS the last 25 meetings.  And, off back-to-back losses, there's a lot more to like about Indiana in this Game 3.  First, the Pacers are 16-10-1 ATS this season when playing with revenge.  And, second, Indiana is an awesome 10-1 ATS its last 11 (and 25-12-2 ATS its last 39) off a straight-up loss.  Finally, sub-.663 teams are 0-7 ATS their last seven as underdogs on the road when up exactly 2 games in a Playoff series, losing by an average of 15.7 ppg, and failing to cover the spread by an average of 10.5 ppg in those games.  Lay the points with the Pacers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 3 between the New York Knicks and the Indiana Pacers.  The Knicks won Game 1 vs. Indiana, 121-117, and followed up that game with a 130-121 triumph in Game 2.  Off those two high-scoring wins, we'll look for a lower-scoring game on Friday night.  Indeed, over the last 34 years, NBA teams have gone under the total 58.1% in the Playoffs off back to back wins, in which they scored more than 116 points.  And the Knicks have also gone 19-9 Under when installed as an underdog vs. the Pacers.  Take Game 3 to go UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Cleveland.  While the Cavaliers were stretched to 7 games by the Orlando Magic, the Celtics were resting comfortably following their 4-1 series triumph over Miami.  Boston was in championship form, for the most part, in that series, as its wins were by 20, 20, 14 and 34 points.  The Celtics were our preseason pick (at 4-1 odds) to win the NBA title, and they've done nothing to disappoint throughout the season.  Indeed, over the last 34 seasons, their current scoring margin of 11.58 has only been bettered by two teams at this juncture of an NBA season:  the Michael Jordan-led Bulls team which won 72 games, and the Steph Curry-led Warriors team in 2017.  Both of those other teams won NBA titles, and I believe the Celts will join them.  In this Game 1, we'll lay the points with Boston, as it is 79-45-3 ATS off a 20-point (or greater) home win.  And the Cavaliers are 7-20 ATS as road underdogs vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Minnesota.  The T-Wolves handed the Nuggets a 106-99 home loss to open the series, so Denver will look to level the series at 1-game apiece with a win tonight.  The Nuggets don't lose back to back home games very often, and are an awesome 131-70-5 ATS at home, when rested, and priced from +2.5 to -11, if they lost their previous home game, straight-up.  That bodes well for Denver on Monday.  As does the fact that teams down 1-game-to-0 in a Playoff series vs. a division rival, have gone 12-1-2 ATS in Game 2, if they weren't favored by 7+ points.  Finally, Minnesota comes into Monday's game off 3 straight upset wins.  Unfortunately, NBA teams have covered just 38% in the Playoffs the past 34 years following three straight upset victories.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Indiana.  When these teams last met, Indiana came into Madison Square Garden and blew out the Knicks, 125-111.  But OG Anunoby, Isaiah Hartenstein, and Mitchell Robinson, were injured in that game.  We'll take New York in this Game 1, as it is 15-1 its last 16 as a revenge-minded favorite of less than 10 points.  And Indy is 2-20 ATS following a point spread win, if it was matched up against a foe it defeated by more than 5 points in the prior meeting.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Orlando Magic and Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER the total.  The Magic forced a Game 7 with a 103-96 win vs. Cleveland in Game 6.  We will take the under in this game, as Game 7s have gone Under the total 65.7% over the last 21 years when the O/U line was not greater than 200 points.  Even better:  the Magic have gone under in 16 of their last 21 road playoff games, while Cleveland is 8-1 under its last nine home playoff games.  Take the UNDER in Game 7.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

On Saturday, in Game 1 of the series, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The Nuggets have dominated at home in Game 1 in the Playoffs, as it's 10-2 SU and 8-4 ATS in that situation.  Last season, en route to its first championship, the Nuggets won their Game 1s by 29, 18, 6 and 11 points.  This season, Denver down the Lakers by 11 in Game #1.  The Timberwolves, meanwhile, are 1-9 SU in their Game 1s on an opponent's home court, including 1-6 ATS their last seven.  Finally, Minnesota won its last series, 4-games-to-none, vs. Phoenix.  But that series sweep has triggered a negative NBA Playoffs system of mine (35% ATS since 1990), which applies to Minnesota.  Lay the points with Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the New York Knicks plus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  The Knicks were upset in Game 5, as the 76ers won, 112-106, in overtime.  New York's lead in the 7-game series is now narrowed to 3-games-to-2.  We'll take the Knicks to bounce back in Game 6, as teams up 3-games-to-2 in the first round of the NBA playoffs have generally closed things out in Game 6, as they've won the game, straight-up, 63.8% of the time over the last 34 seasons.  And if they were playing on the road in Game 6, and off an upset defeat at home in Game 5, then they've covered the spread 80% of the time.  New York is 9-2 ATS this season off an upset loss.  And it is also 12-2 ATS in the NBA playoffs following an upset defeat, if the spread in the current game was less than 6 points.  Finally, Philly is a poor 0-11 ATS vs. .560 (or better) foes, if Philly was off an upset win.  Grab the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Milwaukee Bucks/Indiana Pacers game.  The Bucks have been without star Giannis Antetokounmpo for each of the first five games, and it's unclear if he will suit up tonight.  As a result, the Bucks have been installed as a big underdog in this Game 6.  And Milwaukee is 33-22 Under the total its last 55 as an underdog.  Meanwhile, after scoring 125, 121 and 126 points in winning Games 2, 3 and 4, the Pacers managed just 92 in a 23-point defeat in Game 5.  And that game went under the total of 218 by 11 points.  Milwaukee is now 12-4 UNDER in its last 16 'elimination games,' and I look for another low-scoring game on Thursday, as the Bucks will once again have their proverbial back against the wall.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  Dallas was a no-show early in Game 4, as it fell behind by 31 points, 55-24, midway through the 2nd quarter.  Amazingly, the Mavericks fought back to take a short-lived, 105-104 lead.  But Los Angeles ended the game on a 12-6 run to win, 116-111.  The Clippers have been installed as a home underdog for the pivotal Game 5.  We'll go against L.A., as home underdogs of 4 points or less (or PK) have covered just 31.8% since 1991 off an upset road Playoffs win.  Even better:  over the last 16 seasons, the Mavs have covered 64% as road favorites off an upset home defeat.  Take Dallas minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat to go Under the total.  Three of the four games in this series have gone under the total, including Game 3, which went under by 18 points, and Game 4, which went under by 14.5 points.  This Game 5, of course, is an Elimination Game for the Heat.  And NBA Playoff Elimination Games, with O/U lines of 206 or less, have gone under the total 55.1% since 1990.  Additionally, the Heat have gone under 18 of their last 27 Elimination games.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

On Tuesday, in Game 5, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic have been terrific this season at home, as they've gone 31-12 straight-up, and 30-13 ATS -- covering the spread by an average of 5.44 ppg.  So, it was not a surprise that they swept Games 3 + 4 to level the series at 2-games-apiece.  But Orlando's not been a great team away from home, as it's failed to cover the spread by an average of 2.09 ppg.  And it's lost its last six road games ATS.  Meanwhile, Cleveland is 8-1 ATS its last nine when playing with revenge from losses in the two previous meetings vs. an opponent.  And it's 34-19 ATS as a favorite of 7 or less points in the Playoffs.  Take the Cavs in Game 5.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Nuggets were upset in Game 4, 119-108, and now lead 3-games-to-1 in the 7-game series.  We'll take Denver to bounce back in Game 5, as it is 16-1 ATS its last 17 off an 8-point (or worse) upset loss, if it wasn't favored by 8.5 (or more) points in its current game.  Even better:  the Lakers are a horrid 14-41-2 ATS on the road when playing an opponent they upset in the prior meeting.  Lay the points with Denver.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.