Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-10-24 | 76ers v. Hawks -2.5 | Top | 132-139 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Philadelphia. Both teams come into tonight's game on a 2-game losing streak. The Sixers suffered upset home losses at the hands of the Knicks and Jazz, while the Hawks lost road games at Indiana and Orlando. We'll fade Philadelphia, as NBA teams with W/L percentages greater than .650 have covered just 37 of 95 games off back to back home upset losses, if they were favored by 3+ points in those 2 defeats. And the Hawks are 114-80-1 ATS at home in non-division games when they were off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take Atlanta minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-10-24 | Wolves v. Celtics -7 | Top | 120-127 | Push | 0 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Celtics lost, 133-131, at Indiana, on Monday. We'll take Boston to bounce back tonight, as it's 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS off a loss this season, and 36-22 ATS its last 58 off a SU loss. Even better: the T-Wolves had to play last night, while Boston was resting. And the Celts are a super 55-32-3 ATS when playing with more rest than their opponent, including 21-5 ATS their last 26 off a SU/ATS loss. Lay the points with Boston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-07-24 | Hawks -2 v. Magic | Top | 110-117 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Orlando. The Magic stunned the Denver Nuggets, 122-120, on Friday, as a 9.5-point road underdog. Of that huge upset win, we'll fade Orlando today, as it falls into a negative 4-21 and 14-36 ATS systems of mine that go against certain teams off big upsets. Additionally, the Magic are a poor 2-11 ATS off an upset win as an underdog of more than 9 points, if they were playing an opponent off a SU loss. And Orlando is also 5-17 ATS as a home underdog vs. foes with worse W/L records. Take Atlanta minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-07-24 | Blazers +8.5 v. Nets | Top | 134-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Brooklyn. The Blazers come into today's game off a 139-103 blowout loss at Dallas. And that followed a 126-97 defeat -- also to the Mavericks -- in the game previous to that. We'll take Portland to bounce back off those two blowout losses, as NBA underdogs of more than 5 points have cashed 64.1% since 2000 off back to back losses by 24+ points. Take the Trail Blazers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-06-24 | Celtics -6.5 v. Pacers | Top | 118-101 | Win | 100 | 1 h 35 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Indiana. The Celtics blew out Utah, 126-97, in Boston last night, and have been installed as a road favorite tonight, at Indiana. This will be the first of two games here at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, as the two teams will also play on Monday night. We'll lay the points as the Celtics are 43-14-2 ATS on the road off a 20-point home win. Take Boston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-05-24 | Wolves -3.5 v. Rockets | Top | 122-95 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Houston Rockets. The T-Wolves come into tonight's game off back to back losses (against the Knicks and Pelicans). It's Minnesota's first 2-game losing streak of the season, as it was 7-0 SU after its first seven defeats. The T-Wolves are a super 11-0 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses, if they also failed to cover the spread 3 games back. And Houston is a poor 6-26 ATS vs. as an underdog of less than 8 points vs. foes off back to back ATS losses. Lay the points with the T-Wolves. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-05-24 | Hawks +3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 116-150 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Indiana Pacers. We played on the Atlanta Hawks two nights ago vs. Oklahoma City, which was on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak, and were rewarded with an upset win by the Hawks. Tonight, it's the Pacers who are on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak, following upset wins over division rival, Milwaukee, in their two previous games. We'll fade the Pacers tonight, as NBA teams off back to back upset wins, including a division upset win in their previous game, have gone 140-186 ATS vs. rested foes. Take Atlanta + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-04-24 | Bucks -10.5 v. Spurs | Top | 125-121 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs. Milwaukee comes into tonight's game off back to back upset losses at the hands of the Indiana Pacers. We'll take the Bucks to bounce back tonight, as they are 17-3 ATS in the regular season off back to back upset losses, including 6-0 ATS when favored by more than 8 points. The Spurs will be without Zach Collins tonight, as he sustained an ankle injury last week vs. Portland. But when the Spurs and Bucks met 16 days ago, Collins was the Spurs' 2nd leading scorer with 22 points, and he had 8 rebounds, as well, so his absence will be felt. Lay the points with the Bucks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-03-24 | Magic v. Kings -4.5 | Top | 135-138 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Orlando. The Kings lost at home last night, as a 15.5-point favorite to the woeful Charlotte Hornets. Off that embarrassing defeat, we'll take the Kings to redeem themselves tonight, as they're back in front of their home faithful. And the Kings are 30-13 ATS off a home loss. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-03-24 | Pelicans v. Wolves -6.5 | Top | 117-106 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the New Orleans Pelicans. These teams met last month in New Orleans, and the Pelicans came away with a 121-107 victory. We'll take the revenge-minded T-Wolves, as they're 19-9 ATS when playing a foe it lost to in the season's prior meeting, including 5-1 ATS if its foe was unrested. Take Minnesota. |
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01-03-24 | Thunder v. Hawks +1.5 | Top | 138-141 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks plus the points over Oklahoma City. The Thunder won their 5th straight game last night, 127-123, at home, vs. the Boston Celtics. Now, they have to play without rest against the rested Hawks, in Atlanta. We'll take the Home Underdog, as the Hawks are 32-9-1 ATS at home vs. unrested foes off 4+ wins. Grab the points. |
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01-02-24 | Bulls v. 76ers -10.5 | Top | 97-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Chicago. This is the 2nd of back to back games against Chicago for Philadelphia. We played on the Bulls as our Non-Division Game of the Month in Round 1, on Saturday, but we will switch gears and take the revenge-minded Sixers tonight (who are playing with double-revenge from 2 losses to the Bulls this season). Philadelphia is an awesome 40-20 ATS when playing with revenge (and 11-3 when playing with double-revenge), while Chicago is 6-13 ATS when going into double-revenge. Take the Sixers minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-01-24 | Hornets v. Nuggets -14.5 | Top | 93-111 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show |
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets. Denver was upset at home, 119-93, by Oklahoma City, on Friday. We'll lay the points with Denver tonight, as it's an awesome 50-6 straight-up, and 40-13-1 ATS at home off a home loss by more than 10 points, provided Denver wasn't an underdog of more than 2 points in its current game. Charlotte has lost 10 straight games heading into this affair, and is also an awful 0-17 SU and 1-16 ATS as a road underdog of 11+ points vs. Northwest division foes. Take Denver minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-31-23 | Magic v. Suns -5.5 | Top | 107-112 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Orlando. The Magic upset the Knicks, 117-108, on Friday, while Phoenix won (but failed to cover) vs. Charlotte. We'll fade Orlando, as it's 20-34-2 ATS as a single-digit underdog off an upset win when playing a winning opponent off an ATS loss. Meanwhile, Phoenix is a solid 31-19 ATS vs. foes off an upset win. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-31-23 | Hawks -6.5 v. Wizards | Top | 130-126 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Washington. The Hawks are on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak, but should get back into the win column this afternoon vs. the Wizards. These two teams met last month, and the Hawks blew out Washington, 136-108. That was the 5th straight win by the Hawks in this series, and they've won by an average of 12 ppg. The Wizards upset Brooklyn, 110-104, here, at home, on Friday. Unfortunately, Washington is 34-62 ATS at home off an upset win, if it was playing a foe off a SU/ATS loss. Take the Hawks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-30-23 | 76ers v. Bulls -1.5 | Top | 92-105 | Win | 100 | 15 h 29 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers. The Sixers defeated Houston, 131-127, last night, while the Chicago Bulls had Friday off after their Thursday home loss to Indiana. We'll play on the rested Bulls, and go against a Philly team which will be playing back to back road games without rest. Indeed, the 76ers are 0-16 ATS off back to back wins, when playing their 3rd game in four nights on the road without rest, if their opponent was rested and playing back to back home games, and the Sixers weren't favored by more than 4 points. Take Chicago. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-29-23 | Spurs v. Blazers -4 | Top | 128-134 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over San Antonio. These two teams met last night, and we played on the Spurs as a small underdog. San Antone blew out Portland from the get-go, with a 38-14 advantage after 12 minutes, and coasted to a 118-105 win. Victor Wembanyama led the way for San Antonio, as he tallied 30 points, and blocked seven shots. But Wemby will sit out tonight's game, since coach Gregg Popovich doesn't want him playing back to back nights right now. The Trail Blazers fall into a 71-42 ATS revenge system of mine, so we'll take Portland to avenge its loss last night, and lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-28-23 | Spurs +4 v. Blazers | Top | 118-105 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Portland. This is the first of back to back games between these clubs. (Game #2 will be played here tomorrow night.) The Blazers pulled off an upset of the Sacramento Kings, 130-113, on Tuesday. But that upset win has triggered a negative 41-86 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off home upset victories. The Spurs come into this game off 5 straight losses, including a 130-118 loss to the Jazz two days ago. And coach Gregg Popovich is extremely displeased with his team's lack of effort on the defensive end (and has expressed his displeasure vociferously over the last 2 days). The Spurs are 163-118 ATS in the regular season off a loss by more than 10 points. I expect a better performance by the Silver and Black tonight, and we'll take the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-28-23 | Jazz v. Pelicans -8 | Top | 105-112 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Utah. The Jazz have won 3 straight, but I believe their win streak will be halted tonight by New Orleans. These two teams met twice in Salt Lake City over Thanksgiving, and the Jazz swept that 2-game set with triumphs by 5 and 2 points. We'll take the Pelicans to avenge those losses, as they're 76-39-2 ATS at home when playing with revenge from 2 losses earlier in the season, including 55-25 ATS vs. foes off a straight-up win. Take New Orleans minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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12-27-23 | Suns -1.5 v. Rockets | Top | 129-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns over the Houston Rockets. Phoenix has lost its last six (and 11 of its last 12) games to the point spread. But it will play tonight's game with an extra day of rest, as Houston had to play Indiana last night, while the Suns had Tuesday off. Phoenix is 31-19 as a rested road favorite vs. unrested foes, including 11-2 ATS off a straight-up loss. Take the Suns. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-26-23 | Hawks -2.5 v. Bulls | Top | 113-118 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 37 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Chicago. Trae Young has been upgraded to play tonight, and that's all we need to pull the trigger on Atlanta. Atlanta comes into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses to Miami and Memphis, but those two defeats have set the Hawks up in a 124-69 ATS system of mine. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-26-23 | Nets v. Pistons +6.5 | Top | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Brooklyn Nets. The Pistons are now tied for the most consecutive losses (26) within a single season, and will hold the record by themselves with a straight-up loss tonight. Of course, we only care about the point spread, and will grab the points with Detroit. We actually played against the Pistons and took the Nets when these two team met three days ago in Brooklyn. The Nets won that game by 11 (as a 10-point favorite). But I expect a much closer game in this rematch, as the Pistons fall into a super 75-26 ATS system of mine, while Brooklyn is a wallet-busting 39-57-1 ATS as a road favorite of 5 or more points. Take Detroit as a home underdog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-25-23 | Bucks v. Knicks +4 | Top | 122-129 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
At 12:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Milwaukee. This is the 2nd of back to back meetings between these teams. Milwaukee was favored by 2 points on Saturday, and won by 19, 130-111. The point spread is higher on Christmas, and we'll take the Knicks to avenge their loss. Both teams have solid records. New York is 16-12, while Milwaukee is 22-7. In regular season matchups between foes with win percentages greater than .550, teams off a loss by 12+ points have gone 76-38 ATS vs. foes off a win by 12+ points (including 7-2 ATS if it was the 2nd of back to back meetings). Take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-23-23 | Pistons v. Nets -9.5 | Top | 115-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Detroit. This is the first of a back-to-back set between these teams, with Tuesday's game being played in Detroit. We'll take the Nets to snap out of their funk. Brooklyn's on a 5-game losing streak, but fall into a 181-100 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on losing streaks. Brooklyn is 10-4 ATS at home this season, including 7-1 ATS as a favorite. Lay it. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-23-23 | Bucks v. Knicks +2.5 | Top | 130-111 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 16 m | Show |
At 12:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Milwaukee. The Knicks return home after playing their last 5 on the road. And they're 47-23 ATS at home if they were off 3+ road games, and owned a winning record. Admittedly, the Bucks have won 6 straight games. But all 6 were played at home. We'll fade Milwaukee on the road, as it's gone 20-36-2 ATS off 3 home wins. Take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-22-23 | Mavs v. Rockets -8.5 | Top | 96-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Dallas. Houston will look to snap its 3-game SU/ATS losing streak tonight, while Dallas will attempt to halt its 2-game SU/ATS slide. I favor Houston, as the Mavericks have consistently burned money the last two seasons, with a 42-61 ATS mark. And they're also 10-25-1 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, including 0-7 ATS vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS losses. With the Rockets seeking revenge from a loss at Dallas last month, we'll lay the points with Houston. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-23 | Wizards +4.5 v. Blazers | Top | 118-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Portland Trail Blazers. The Blazers pulled off a big upset win at home over Phoenix, 109-104, on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the Wizards lost, 143-131, at Sacramento, on Monday. We'll take Washington and go against Portland, as the Blazers have covered just 35.2% since 1990 at home off an upset home win, if they were playing an opponent off a loss. Take Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-23 | Pelicans -2.5 v. Cavs | Top | 123-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Pels were upset, 115-113, at home by Memphis, on Tuesday, as an 8.5-point favorite. Off that upset loss, we'll lay the points with New Orleans in Cleveland tonight, as rested road favorites off an upset loss at home as an 8.5-point (or greater) favorite, have cashed 61.2% since 1990 vs. foes off a win. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-20-23 | Hawks +3.5 v. Rockets | Top | 134-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Houston Rockets. We played against the Hawks in their last game, and got the money with the Pistons as a 12-point road underdog. Atlanta won that game, 130-124, but failed to cover. Its ATS record is now 6-19 ATS, which is the worst in the league. But if one digs deeper into its numbers, one finds that it's only failed to cover the spread by an average of 0.55 ppg. And it's actually covered the spread on the road by +1.73 ppg; at home is where Atlanta has really underperformed. Tonight, the Hawks are on the road, and have been installed as a road underdog vs. Houston. We'll take the Hawks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-20-23 | Lakers -4 v. Bulls | Top | 108-124 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Chicago Bulls. The Lakers will hit the road tonight after losing their 2nd straight game on Monday, at home, vs. New York. They've been installed as a road favorite vs. the 11-17 Bulls, who are coming in off an upset win over the 76ers, 108-104, in Philly. Los Angeles is a solid 47-27 ATS on the road vs. non-division foes with a losing record, off an upset win. Take the Lakers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-18-23 | Pistons +11.5 v. Hawks | Top | 124-130 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Atlanta Hawks. The Pistons have the NBA's worst record, at 2-24. And they've lost 23 straight games, including a 146-114 blowout at Milwaukee on Saturday, which is 3 games shy of the all-time worst in-season losing streak. But Atlanta has also been horrible this season. Not straight-up, but against the spread. The Hawks are the league's worst point spread team, as they're 6-18-1 ATS. The Hawks are a horrid 13-29-1 ATS as a favorite their last 43, and they're 50-95-2 ATS vs. rested foes off a loss by 20+ points. Take Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-23 | Rockets v. Bucks -7 | Top | 119-128 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Houston Rockets. The Bucks played last night (and won), and will be at home for the 2nd straight day on this Sunday. We'll lay the points, as Milwaukee is 38-17 ATS on the 2nd of back-to-back days, off an ATS win the previous day. And Houston is a poor 19-37-2 ATS as a road underdog. Lay the points with Milwaukee. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-23 | Magic +8.5 v. Celtics | Top | 97-114 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over Boston. This is the 2nd of back to back meetings. Boston won Round 1, 128-111, on Friday, as a 6-point home favorite. And that ATS win by Boston snapped a 5-game ATS losing streak in the series. The Celtics are also the home team for this re-match, but the point spread is higher. We'll grab the points with the revenge-minded Magic, as they're 29-15-1 ATS as an underdog when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-23 | Knicks v. Clippers -5.5 | Top | 122-144 | Win | 100 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the New York Knicks. The Knicks and Clippers met earlier this season in the Big Apple. Los Angeles was favored, but the Knicks blew out the Clippers by 14 points. We'll take the Clippers to avenge that defeat as they've gone 74-47 ATS in the regular season when favored by 3+ points, and playing with revenge from a loss by 6+ points. Take Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-15-23 | Rockets v. Grizzlies +3.5 | Top | 103-96 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 7 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Houston Rockets. The Rockets and Grizzlies met two nights ago, and the Rockets won, 117-104. That game was played in Texas; tonight's game is on Beale Street, in Memphis. We'll grab the points with the Grizzlies, as they're 35-6 ATS at home in the regular season when playing an opponent off a win, if the Grizzlies had revenge from a loss earlier in the season, and weren't getting more than 9 points. |
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12-15-23 | Hawks +2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 125-104 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Toronto Raptors. This is the 2nd of back-to-back meetings in Toronto between these teams. The Raptors won, 135-128, on Tuesday, as a 2.5-point favorite. This game is also competitively-priced with a point spread of 3 points or less. And when NBA teams have played back to back games vs. the same opponent, each with a point spread of 3 or less, the straight-up loser of the prior meeting has covered 57% of the time. And this applies to both regular season, and playoff games. Take the Hawks + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-15-23 | Pistons +16.5 v. 76ers | Top | 92-124 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Philadelphia. These two teams met two nights ago in the Motor City, and the Sixers were victorious, 129-111. We'll take the double-digits in the rematch, as road underdogs of more than 9 points have gone 39-20-2 ATS in the regular season, if they lost SU/ATS to their opponent in their previous game. Take Detroit. |
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12-15-23 | Pacers v. Wizards +9 | Top | 123-137 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Indiana Pacers. The Wizards have lost their last 5 game, straight-up, and their last 3 vs. the point spread. But we'll take the points with Washington, and go against an Indiana team which has covered just 27 of 77 as a winning team vs. foes off 3 ATS defeats. |
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12-14-23 | Nets v. Nuggets -9.5 | Top | 101-124 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Brooklyn. Last season, the Nuggets won 44 of 52 home games, and went 31-19-2 ATS in those games. This year, they got off to a 6-0 start, but lost their last home game, 114-106, to the Houston Rockets six days ago. They bounced back with 2 road wins, and return home tonight to get back into the win column at Pepsi Center. We'll lay the points, as Denver is 127-69 ATS at home when rested, and priced from +2.5 to -11, if it lost its previous home game straight-up. Take the Nuggets. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-13-23 | Pacers v. Bucks -6.5 | Top | 126-140 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Indiana. The Bucks play tonight's game with revenge from a loss to the Pacers last week in the In-Season Tournament. And they're 0-2 this season vs. Indiana. We'll lay the points with Milwaukee, as .523 (or better) teams have covered 62.1% when favored by 6+ points, and playing with revenge from 2 losses earlier in the season. Milwaukee's also 12-6-1 ATS the previous 19 meetings with Indiana, and 8-2 ATS the previous 10 meetings at home. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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12-13-23 | 76ers v. Pistons +12 | Top | 129-111 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Philadelphia 76ers. The Pistons have lost 20 straight games, but they fought hard to the end on Monday vs. Indiana. I look for them to be competitive tonight vs. Philly. We'll take the points, as double-digit home underdogs off a SU loss have gone 240-201-8 ATS since 1990 vs. foes off a SU win. Take Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-11-23 | Spurs +8.5 v. Rockets | Top | 82-93 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 57 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Houston Rockets. The Spurs have lost 16 straight, and are 3-18 on the season. But one of their three wins was vs. this Houston club. The Rockets upset Denver, as an 8.5-point road underdog, in their previous game. Unfortunately, home teams have gone 20-39-2 ATS off an upset win as an underdog of more than 8 points over the defending NBA champs. Take San Antonio + the points. |
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12-11-23 | Wolves v. Pelicans -2.5 | Top | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 16 h 57 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Pelicans were blown out, 133-89, on Thursday by the Lakers in the semi-finals of the In-Season Tournament. We'll lay the points with New Orleans, as rested teams favored by 1.5 (or more) points, off a loss by 40+ points, have gone 11-0 ATS if they had at least the two previous days off. Take New Orleans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-11-23 | Nuggets -2.5 v. Hawks | Top | 129-122 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks. Atlanta is on a six-game ATS losing streak, and has dropped 13 of its last 15 to the point spread. At home, the Hawks are a miserable 1-7-1 ATS on the season. Admittedly, Denver is on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak. But defending NBA champs have gone 25-13-1 ATS in the regular season on the road off 3 SU/ATS wins. Take the Nuggets. |
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12-08-23 | Raptors -4.5 v. Hornets | Top | 116-119 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Charlotte. The Raptors come into this game off back to back home losses to New York and Miami. And they failed to cover the spread in those two games by -14.5 and -13 points. We'll lay the points with Toronto, as it's gone 55-33 ATS following back to back point spread losses by 9 or more points, including 11-0-1 ATS on the road vs. sub-.450 opponents. Take Toronto. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-06-23 | Nuggets v. Clippers -1 | Top | 102-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers over the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets won the two prior meetings this season, including a 113-104 victory here at Crypto.com Arena nine days ago. We'll take Los Angeles to get revenge tonight, as the Clippers are 25-12 ATS when playing with double-revenge, if they weren't an underdog of 3+ points in the current game. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-02-23 | Rockets v. Lakers -4.5 | Top | 97-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Houston. The Lakers were blown out, 133-110, by Oklahoma City on Thursday. We'll lay the points with Los Angeles, as it's 43-20 ATS off a loss by 15 or more points, if it owned a winning record on the season. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-02-23 | Hawks v. Bucks -6.5 | Top | 121-132 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Atlanta. The Hawks upset Milwaukee, 127-110, earlier this season. We'll fade the Hawks tonight, as they're 48-82 ATS on the road vs. an opponent it upset in the previous meeting that season. Take the Bucks. |
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12-02-23 | Magic v. Nets -2.5 | Top | 101-129 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Orlando. The Magic won last night, but had their eight-game point spread win streak snapped, as the Wizards covered in defeat. We'll fade Orlando on the road, in Brooklyn, as the Nets are 7-0 ATS this season when priced from -8.5 to +3 points. Take Brooklyn. |
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11-30-23 | Pistons +13.5 v. Knicks | Top | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 15 h 0 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the New York Knicks. The Pistons lost their 15th straight game last night, 133-107, to the Los Angeles Lakers. We'll take Detroit + the points on the road vs. the Knicks, as Detroit's played better (based on point spread differential) away from home than in front of its home faithful this season. New York is 0-8 ATS its last eight (and 13-28-1 ATS its last 42) as a favorite of more than 11 points, if New York was off a straight-up win. Take Detroit + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-29-23 | Rockets v. Nuggets -6 | Top | 124-134 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Houston Rockets. The Nuggets play tonight's game with revenge from not 1, but 2 losses earlier this season to the Rockets. But those two games were both on the road; tonight's game is at home. We'll lay the points, as Denver is 10-0 ATS when playing with revenge at home, and not favored by 9+ points. Take the Nuggets. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-26-23 | Hornets +7.5 v. Magic | Top | 117-130 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over the Orlando Magic. The Hornets come into this road game off back to back wins over the Celtics and Wizards. And they're very well-rested, as they had Thursday, Friday and Saturday off. Orlando, on the other hand, will play with just 1 day of rest. We'll take Charlotte + the points, as it's cashed 61% as a road underdog when playing with 2+ more days of rest, while Orlando has covered just 38% since 1990 as a home favorite when playing with at least 2 days less of rest. Take the Hornets. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-25-23 | Pelicans v. Jazz +1.5 | Top | 100-105 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz over the New Orleans Pelicans. This is the first of two back-to-back games between these teams being played here, in Salt Lake City. New Orleans had to play last night (and won) vs. the Los Angeles Clippers while Utah had Friday off. We'll take the Jazz, as they're 88-55 ATS when playing with rest vs. an unrested non-division foe. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-24-23 | Heat v. Knicks -4 | Top | 98-100 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Miami. The Knicks come into this game on an extended layoff, as they haven't played since Monday (while Miami was in action on Wednesday). New York is a super 22-6 ATS when playing with an extra 2 days of rest than its opponent, provided New York was off a loss, and its opponent was off a win. The Knicks have been solid at home this season, as they've covered the point spread by an average of 4.9 ppg. We'll take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-22-23 | Mavs -2.5 v. Lakers | Top | 104-101 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks over the LA Lakers. Dallas comes into tonight's game off back to back losses to Milwaukee (132-125) and Sacramento (129-113), while the Lakers have won 3 straight. We'll take Dallas to snap its losing streak tonight, as the Mavs are an awesome 150-98 ATS off a SU loss, if their opponent was off a SU win. And the Mavs are also 81-34 ATS if they were off a 14-point (or worse) defeat, and their opponent owned a .500 (or better) win percentage. Take Dallas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-22-23 | Kings -1.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 112-117 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings over New Orleans. The Pelicans routed Sacramento, 129-93, here, in New Orleans, on Monday. We'll take the revenge-minded Kings to avenge that 36-point loss, as Sacramento is 44-31 ATS on the road off a road loss. And teams playing with revenge in the regular season from a loss by more than 35 points, and also playing the 2nd of back to back games vs. that opponent, have covered 60% since 1990. Take the Kings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-22-23 | Grizzlies +5 v. Rockets | Top | 91-111 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Houston Rockets. Houston's riding a 9-game ATS win streak. But we'll fade Houston tonight, as .500 (or worse) teams, on a 7-game (or better) ATS win streak, are a soft 59-87 ATS. Take Memphis + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-22-23 | Bulls +7 v. Thunder | Top | 102-116 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over Oklahoma City. The Thunder come into this game off a 134-91 win over Portland. And that was OKC's 5th straight win (and cover). We'll fade the Thunder tonight, as teams off 5+ wins, that scored more than 125 points in their previous game, have gone 13-40 ATS. Take Chicago. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-22-23 | Bucks v. Celtics -5.5 | Top | 116-119 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks are a dreadful 0-21 ATS since May 5, 2019 when they owned a win percentage of .650 (or better) and were installed as an underdog of more than 1 point. Take Boston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-22-23 | Raptors +4 v. Pacers | Top | 132-131 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over Indiana. The Pacers exploded for 157 points last night at Atlanta, in a 5-point win over the Hawks, while Toronto lost, 126-107, at Orlando. We'll fade the Pacers tonight, and grab the points with the Raptors, as Toronto is 34-20-1 ATS off a loss by 12+ points. Take Toronto. |
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11-22-23 | Wizards +4.5 v. Hornets | Top | 114-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Charlotte Hornets. Charlotte upset Boston as a huge underdog in its last game. Off that upset win, we'll fade Charlotte at home tonight, as it's covered just 40% as a home favorite off an upset win as an underdog of more than 8 points. Take Washington. |
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11-19-23 | Rockets v. Lakers -5.5 | Top | 104-105 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
At 9:40, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Houston Rockets. The Lakers will play this game with revenge from a 128-94 loss at Houston earlier this month. We'll lay the points as NBA teams are 49-34 ATS when favored and playing with revenge from a 34-point (or worse) defeat earlier in the season. Take the Lakers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-19-23 | Celtics v. Grizzlies +8.5 | Top | 102-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over Boston. The Grizzlies stormed back from a 19-point deficit last night by outscoring the San Antonio Spurs by 29 points in the 2nd half, and equaled their largest victory of the season. I like Memphis to continue that solid play tonight vs. the Celtics, as it's 103-54 ATS at home off a straight-up win, when priced from -2.5 to +8.5. Take Memphis. |
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11-19-23 | 76ers v. Nets +4.5 | Top | 121-99 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over the Philadelphia 76ers. The Nets were knocked out of last season's playoffs by the 76ers, and fall into my best Playoff revenge angles, with records of 30-7, 103-54, and 108-48 ATS. Even better: the Nets are 60-23 ATS when priced from +3.5 to +12, vs. foes off a SU/ATS win. Take the Nets. |
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11-15-23 | Wolves v. Suns -5.5 | Top | 115-133 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Minnesota. The T-Wolves played last night in San Francisco, and downed the Warriors, 104-101. We'll fade the unrested Wolves tonight vs. the rested Suns, as Phoenix is 86-47 ATS when rested, and playing an unrested foe, provided Phoenix wasn't favored by 8+ points. Take the Suns. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-15-23 | Bucks -4.5 v. Raptors | Top | 128-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Toronto. The Milwaukee Bucks have yet to cover the point spread, as they’re 0-9-1 ATS on the season after beating Chicago by 9 points, 118-109, as a 9.5-point favorite on Monday. They’re a road favorite at Toronto this evening, and I like the Bucks to break through with their first victory for their bettors for two reasons. First, NBA teams on 9-game ATS losing streaks have gone 61-31 ATS since 1990. And, second, Milwaukee plays this game with revenge from a 19-point loss here, at Toronto, on November 1st. And the Bucks are 41-22-3 ATS when playing with revenge from a 15-point or worse defeat. Lay the points with the Bucks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-14-23 | Clippers +6.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 108-111 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over the Denver Nuggets. Since making the trade for James Harden, the Clippers are 0-5 SU/ATS. Clearly, that wasn't what GM Trent Redden had in mind when he pulled the trigger on the trade with the 76ers. But I also don't expect the Clippers to continue their poor play. We'll grab the points tonight, as rested, road underdogs of more than 5 points, off 3 SU/ATS losses, have gone 531-434 ATS since 1990. Take Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-12-23 | Heat v. Spurs +2 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Miami Heat. Miami had to play on Saturday in Atlanta, and upset the Hawks, 117-109, as an 8-point road underdog. We'll take San Antone vs. the unrested Heat, as Gregg Popovich's men are 42-21-1 ATS vs. unrested Eastern Conference foes, including 18-6-1 ATS at home. And NBA underdogs/Pk are 83-49-4 ATS off 4+ losses vs. unrested foes off 4+ wins. Take the Spurs + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-08-23 | Blazers v. Kings -8 | Top | 118-121 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Portland. The Kings come into tonight's game off back to back blowout losses to Houston, by scores of 107-89 and 122-97. And they've lost 3 in a row, overall. We'll lay the points tonight, as home favorites of -3.5 (or more) points have covered 68.6% since 1990 off back to back road losses by 18+ points. Take the Kings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-08-23 | Cavs -2 v. Thunder | Top | 120-128 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers over the Oklahoma City Thunder. These two teams met less than two weeks ago, and the Thunder upset the Cavaliers, 108-105. But Darius Garland (17.7 ppg) didn't play in that game. Garland is back now, and just played 35 minutes (his highest this season) in the Cavs' 115-104 win over Golden State. On the OKC side, Lu Dort poured in 25 points in 39 minutes, but is questionable to play tonight with a hip injury. I like the Cavaliers tonight, as they're a solid 55-32 ATS off a double-digit home win. Meanwhile, the Thunder are a soft 17-32 ATS at home vs. revenge-minded foes. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-06-23 | Kings +2 v. Rockets | Top | 97-122 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over the Houston Rockets. These two teams met here, in Houston, on Saturday night, and the Rockets routed the Kings, 107-89, as a 2.5-point home underdog. De'Aaron Fox missed that game, and will miss his 3rd straight game tonight, as he has a sprained ankle. But tonight, it's the Kings who have been installed as the underdog, rather than the Rockets. And we'll happily take the points, and look for a bounce-back game by Sacramento tonight. The Kings 31-14-1 ATS on the road when playing with revenge. And they are also 13-5 ATS off an upset loss, including 5-0 ATS off back-to-back losses. And they're 16-6 ATS off back to back losses, generally. That bodes well for Sacramento. As does the fact that Houston is 22-44-2 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes. And it is also 2-14-1 ATS its last 17 (and 18-43-1 ATS its last 62) vs. foes off back to back losses. And the Rockets are 1-12 ATS vs. foes off an upset loss. Grab the points with the Kings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-05-23 | Grizzlies -2.5 v. Blazers | Top | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over the Portland Trail Blazers. Memphis gets another bite at the apple tonight. It will be playing the 2nd of back-to-back road games at Portland. Friday's game looked to be going well, as Memphis led, 100-90 with just over 3 minutes left. But it collapsed, and fell by 2 points in overtime. The Grizzlies fall into a 123-75 ATS regular season "right-back revenge" system of mine, which plays on certain teams in the 2nd of back-to-back meetings that lost SU in the first meeting. Additionally, Portland is 1-17 SU and 3-14-1 ATS its last 18 as a home underdog (and 20-40-2 ATS its last 62). Take the Grizzlies. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-05-23 | Warriors v. Cavs -1.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over the Golden State Warriors. Cleveland comes into today's game off a 121-116 upset loss at Indiana, while Golden State won (but failed to cover) at Oklahoma City on Friday, 141-139. Golden State has been anything but "Road Warriors" the last 4 seasons, as they've gone 54-83-3 ATS on the road, including 5-17 ATS vs. foes off an upset loss. We'll fade the Warriors today. |
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11-05-23 | Raptors -3 v. Spurs | Top | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs. The Raptors come into this game off a 114-99 blowout loss to Philly, while the Spurs enter off back-to-back upset wins over the Phoenix Suns. San Antone is now 3-2 on the season, while Toronto is 2-4. I'll lay the points with the Raptors, as they're 32-19 ATS off a blowout loss by 12 (or more) points, including 5-0 ATS their last five. And San Antonio is an ugly 47-88-1 ATS vs. foes off an ATS loss, if the Spurs are not off an ATS win, and not playing with revenge. Take Toronto. |
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11-04-23 | Celtics -9 v. Nets | Top | 124-114 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Brooklyn Nets. Boston is looking like the best team in the league, and it ripped the nets for 155 points on Wednesday. Boston had Thursday and Friday off to rest and prepare for this division game against Brooklyn, which played last night (and won) in Chicago. We'll take Boston, as the Celtics have gone 74-39 ATS off a 20-point (or greater) home win, including 16-4 ATS vs. unrested foes. Take the Celtics. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-04-23 | Lakers v. Magic +3.5 | Top | 101-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. Both teams enter this game with identical 3-2 records. Orlando will be returning home after a 4-game road trip (which included a 106-103 loss at the Lakers), while Los Angeles will be hitting the road after its back-to-back home wins over Orlando and the Clippers. We'll fade Los Angeles, as it's 20-49 ATS as a favorite (or PK) on the road off back to back home wins, including 11-36 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes. Grab the points with the Magic. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-04-23 | Suns +3.5 v. 76ers | Top | 100-112 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over Philadelphia. The Suns lost not once, but twice at home to Victor Wembanyama's Spurs (as favorites of -7 and -10.5). And in the 2nd match-up, on Thursday, Wemby got a career-high 38 points! I expect Coach Frank Vogel to get his troops to come out with energy and focus this afternoon, as they won't want to lose three in a row this early in the season. For technical support, consider that NBA road underdogs have covered 73% since 1990 off back to back upset losses, if they were favored by at least 7 points in those 2 games, and were now playing an opponent off back to back wins. Take Phoenix plus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-03-23 | Mavs v. Nuggets -6.5 | Top | 114-125 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Dallas. The Nuggies were smashed, 110-89, by the T-Wolves two nights ago, and will look to bounce back tonight against the undefeated Mavericks. We'll lay the points, as defending champs have covered 64% at home the last 34 years, if they were off a loss by more than 20 points, and were now matched up against an opponent off a win. Take Denver. |
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11-03-23 | Grizzlies -2 v. Blazers | Top | 113-115 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over the Portland Trail Blazers. This is the first of two back-to-back games here, in the Rose City, between these Western Conference clubs. The Blazers come into tonight's game off back to back upset wins at Toronto and Detroit. But those two upsets have triggered a negative 177-269-7 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off back to back upsets. We'll go against a Portland team which is a putrid 0-17 straight-up, and 2-14-1 ATS its last 17 as a home dog (and 19-40-2 ATS its last 61). Take Memphis minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-03-23 | Knicks v. Bucks -6.5 | Top | 105-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over New York. The Bucks were throttled, 130-111, by Toronto on Wednesday, as a 4-point favorite. We'll take Giannis Antetokounmpo & Co. to bounce back tonight, as they've gone 25-8-2 ATS as a favorite of 13 or less points (or PK) following a game where they failed to cover the spread by 20+ points. Take Milwaukee. |
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11-02-23 | Spurs v. Suns -7.5 | Top | 132-121 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 14 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over San Antone. We played on the Spurs two nights ago, and got the $$$ when San Antonio won outright, 115-114, as a 7-point underdog. Phoenix did, however, lead by 20 points, but slowly blew that lead, and finally saw the Spurs take their first lead of the game with 1.2 seconds left after Keldon Johnson stole the ball from Kevin Durant, and went in for a lay-up. Kevin Durant will no doubt want to make amends for his game-losing turnover, and the good news for the Suns is they get to play the same team tonight, in the second of back-to-back meetings in Phoenix. I expect Frank Vogel's men to not take their feet off the gas, and for them to absolutely throttle the Spurs. The Suns are 26-10 ATS as a favorite off an upset loss, including 9-1 ATS when playing with revenge. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-02-23 | Raptors +8.5 v. 76ers | Top | 99-114 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over Philadelphia. These two Atlantic Division rivals are meeting for the 2nd time in five nights. We played on the 76ers in the first meeting, and were rewarded with a 114-107 victory (as a 4-point road favorite). The Sixers are at home for this game, and we'll grab the points with the Raptors. Toronto is 17-10-1 ATS as a road underdog with revenge, while Philly is a horrible 11-21 ATS as a home favorite vs. a revenge-minded foe. And the Raptors are 31-22 ATS the last 53 meetings. Take Toronto as a big underdog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-01-23 | Kings +7.5 v. Warriors | Top | 101-102 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Golden State. These two teams met last Friday, and the Warriors upended Sacramento, 122-114. We'll take the Kings in this rematch, as Sacto is 38-19-1 ATS on the road, including 13-3-1 ATS when playing with revenge. And Golden State is 1-11-1 ATS its last 13 (and 32-77-3 ATS its last 112) when it was off a point spread win, and playing a revenge-minded foe. Grab the points with Sacramento. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-01-23 | Grizzlies +3 v. Jazz | Top | 109-133 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Utah Jazz. The Grizzlies come into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses. The good news for Memphis is that it's an awesome 26-7-1 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses when it wasn't getting 4.5 (or more) points. And Utah is an ugly 18-41-2 ATS when priced from -6 to +2 points. Take the Grizzlies. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-01-23 | Cavs +6.5 v. Knicks | Top | 95-89 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over New York. This is the 2nd of back-to-back games between these teams. New York won Round 1 in Cleveland last night, 109-91. We'll take the underdog Cavaliers in the rematch, as Cleveland falls into a 489-350 ATS revenge system of mine. Even better: Cleveland is 0-4 ATS to start the season. And at Game 5 forward, road teams have covered 76% of non-division games since 1990, if they were winless ATS, and off a straight-up loss. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-31-23 | Spurs +7.5 v. Suns | Top | 115-114 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show |
At 10 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Phoenix. We played against Gregg Popovich's crew on Sunday, and were rewarded by a 40-point Clippers blowout. But off that horrible game, we'll back the Silver and Black tonight in the desert. Phoenix will be without two of its best players, as Bradley Beal and Devin Booker will be in street clothes. And the Spurs are 101-58-2 under Popovich in the regular season off a loss by more than 10 points, when their opponent was off an ATS win. Additionally, Phoenix is an ugly 26-56 ATS at home off a win by more than 17 points, if it was playing a rested opponent. Take the Spurs. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-30-23 | Nets v. Hornets | Top | 133-121 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets over the Charlotte Hornets. We played on the Nets +6.5 over Dallas on Friday, as our NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month and were rewarded with a wire-to-wire cover. Brooklyn is 0-2 straight-up, but 2-0 "in Vegas." And we'll take Brooklyn once again in this road game at Charlotte, as rested teams, with a .200 (or worse) win percentage, have covered 69% since 1990 if they were 100% Perfect ATS on the season. Take Brooklyn. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-30-23 | Bulls +3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 112-105 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers have scored 125+ points in each of their two games to start the season. We'll fade Indiana, as undefeated NBA teams have gone 7-29-1 ATS after scoring more than 115 points in each of their 2 previous games, provided they weren't getting 4+ points in their current game. And if our 'play-against' team was matched up against a sub-.400 foe, then our 29-7 stat zooms to 12-0. Take Chicago + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-23 | Spurs v. Clippers -9 | Top | 83-123 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over San Antone. We played against the Clippers on Friday, and got the $$$ with the Utah Jazz, who pulled off the 120-118 upset of L.A. The Clippers will welcome Victor Wembanyama & Co. to the West Coast for their first road game of the season. And the Spurs have been dreadful away from the Alamo City, as they've gone 11-27 ATS, including 0-12 ATS their last 12 when priced from +5 to +9.5 points! Meanwhile, the Clips are a solid 38-22 ATS as a favorite off an upset loss. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-23 | Blazers +9.5 v. 76ers | Top | 98-126 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 9 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Philadelphia. We played on Philly last night at Toronto, and were rewarded with a 114-107 win (and cover). But we'll switch gears, and play against the unrested Sixers tonight. Philly is a poor 34-57-2 ATS when playing at home without rest following a road game the day before, if its opponent was rested. Grab the points with the Trail Blazers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-23 | Hawks +7.5 v. Bucks | Top | 127-110 | Win | 100 | 18 h 38 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks won their opener, 118-117, over the Philadelphia 76ers, and Damian Lillard had a smashing debut, as he scored 39 points. But Milwaukee failed to cover the spread in that game. I don't think they'll cover tonight, either, as Atlanta falls into some of my very best NBA systems, with records of 140-84, 95-28, and 89-32. The Hawks are 0-2 ATS to start the season, and they're 19-5 ATS off back to back ATS losses, including 6-0 ATS when getting more than 5 points. And Milwaukee is 14-27 ATS when favored by 7 or more points at home, off a straight-up win. Take Atlanta. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-23 | 76ers -3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 114-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Toronto Raptors. In its opening game, Philly took the Milwaukee Bucks down to the wire on Thursday, but narrowly lost, 118-117. Tonight, Nick Nurse's men will face the coach's former team, Toronto. The Raptors also narrowly lost, 104-103, in overtime, at Chicago, last night. And that lowered the Raptors' season record to 1-1. The Raptors are a soft 10-17 ATS as home underdogs, while Philly is 14-7 ATS as a road favorite (including 5-0-1 ATS its last 6). And rested road favorites have cashed 64% since 1990 vs. unrested division rivals, if our road favorite owned a worse record. Take Philly. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-23 | Bulls -1 v. Pistons | Top | 102-118 | Loss | -104 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls over the Detroit Pistons. Detroit pulled off an upset win last night at Charlotte, 111-99. But off that blowout win, we'll fade Monty Williams' men tonight. For technical support, consider that Detroit is a disastrous 0-16 ATS at home off a win by 7+ points! Take Chicago. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-27-23 | Clippers v. Jazz +3.5 | Top | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. Utah was blown out, 130-114, by the Sacramento Kings, on Wednesday. We'll take the Jazz to bounce back, as they're 42-20 ATS as home underdogs, and 11-4 ATS at home vs. Los Angeles. Meanwhile, the Clippers are a wallet-busting 1-9-1 ATS on the road off a SU/ATS win, if they were playing a sub-.400 opponent off a loss. Take Utah. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-27-23 | Nets +6.5 v. Mavs | Top | 120-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Dallas. This will be the first time these teams have faced off since Kyrie Irving was traded by the Nets to the Mavericks. And I expect a hotly-contested game which could go down to the wire. Indeed, the last five meetings between these clubs have been decided by 2, 4, 2, 3 and 4 points. I expect a similar game tonight, and love the underdog Nets. Dallas did open its season with a 126-119 win vs. the San Antonio Spurs. But it allowed a bad Spurs team to shoot 51.7% from the floor, and was only able to overtake San Antonio by ending the game with an 11-2 run. Dallas was horrible as a favorite last season, and is 15-36-2 ATS its last 53 in that point spread role, including 3-20 ATS off a straight-up win. Meanwhile, the Nets are 21-12-1 ATS as a road underdog. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-27-23 | Raptors v. Bulls -2 | Top | 103-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Toronto. These two teams met in last season's play-in round, and the Bulls upset Toronto, 109-105. Unfortunately, the Bulls succumbed to Miami in the next game, and didn't qualify for the Playoffs. In Chicago's first game this season, it was blown out, 124-104, by Oklahoma City here, at home. The Bulls will try to redeem themselves tonight, and I expect a much better effort, as home teams off 20-point (or worse) losses in their home openers have covered 65% since 2000. Take Chicago minus the points. |
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10-27-23 | Pistons +4 v. Hornets | Top | 111-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Charlotte Hornets. The Hornets upset Atlanta, 116-110, as a home underdog on Tuesday, while Detroit lost a squeaker at Miami, 103-102, as a 9.5-point road underdog. Detroit will be an improved team this season, with newly-hired coach Monty Williams at the helm, and Cade Cunningham back from injury. Indeed, Cunningham poured in 30 points vs. the Heat. Charlotte is a poor 27-39 ATS at home off a home win. Take Detroit + the points. |
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10-27-23 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies +5.5 | Top | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets opened their season with an impressive victory vs. the Lakers on Tuesday, and will look for a 2nd straight win tonight, on Beale Street. But I like Memphis to pull the upset, as the Grizzlies are 50-24 ATS at home vs. foes off a win, if Memphis wasn't favored by 2+ points. Even worse for Denver: it's 63-96 ATS on the road off a point spread win. And the Nuggets are a dismal 0-5 ATS their last 5, and 1-9 ATS their last 10 at Memphis. Take the Grizzlies + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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06-12-23 | Heat v. Nuggets UNDER 208.5 | Top | 89-94 | Win | 100 | 67 h 23 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 5 between Denver and Miami. This series has generally been a low-scoring series. Game 1 went UNDER the total by 21.5 points; Game 3 went UNDER the total by 9.5 points; and Game 4 went UNDER the total by 8.5 points. The only game which went OVER the total was Game 2, and that barely went Over by just 2.5 points. I'll look for yet another low-scoring game on this Monday, as the Heat's offense has been struggling mightily since its opening three wins in the Boston series (in which it averaged 120.6 ppg). Over its last eight games, the Heat have averaged just 99.3 ppg, and seven of those eight games have sailed UNDER the total. Denver's also played seven of its last 10 UNDER. Take the Under in Game 5. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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06-09-23 | Nuggets v. Heat +3.5 | Top | 108-95 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 52 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Denver Nuggets. We played on Denver in Games 1 + 3 in this series (and passed Game 2). But we will take Miami in Game 4, as Denver's a horrible road team off an ATS win. And especially against foes that failed to cover the spread by more than 7 points in their previous game, as Denver's 13-44-1 ATS its last 58. Yikes! Moreover, Miami is a solid 38-12 straight-up, and 31-16-3 ATS at home as a winning team off a straight-up home defeat. And it's 56-34 ATS in the Playoffs when it didn't lead in a series. Grab the points with Jimmy Butler & Co. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |