10-20-24 |
Lynx v. Liberty -5.5 |
Top |
62-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
43 h 11 m |
Show
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At 8 pm, on Sunday, in Game 5 of the WNBA Finals, our selection is on the New York Liberty minus the points over Minnesota. The Lynx forced a Game 5 with an 82-80 triumph on Friday night, in Minneapolis. This game will be played in New York City, and the Liberty have been dominant at home when coming off a straight-up loss, as they have won their last 10 straight-up. And they've also gone 12-6 ATS their last 18 at home off a SU loss. Likewise, in the Playoffs the past two seasons, New York has gone 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at home off a SU loss. Moreover, WNBA Game 5s have generally gone the way of the favored team, and especially when laying more than 3 points, as those clubs have cashed 73%. We'll side with Sabrina Ionescu & Co. to blow out Minnesota. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-16-24 |
Liberty v. Lynx +2.5 |
Top |
80-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
64 h 59 m |
Show
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At 8 pm, on Wednesday, in Game 3 of the WNBA Finals, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx + the points over the New York Liberty. We played on the Liberty in Game 2, and were rewarded with an 80-66 blowout win. But with Minnesota off that horrible game, we'll switch gears and play on the Lynx as a home underdog in Game 3. Indeed, in the WNBA Finals, teams off losses by 14+ points have cashed 60% since 2006 (and 67% as home underdogs). the Lynx are 12-6-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings with the Liberty, including 4-2 ATS this season. Finally, the Lynx fall into 49-24 and 93-52 ATS Playoff systems of mine. Take Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-13-24 |
Lynx v. Liberty -7 |
Top |
66-80 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 4 m |
Show
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At 3 pm, on Sunday, in Game 2 of the WNBA Finals, our selection is on the New York Liberty minus the points over Minnesota. The Lynx upset the Liberty, 95-93, in overtime, on Thursday to take a 1-0 series lead. We'll lay the points with New York in Game 2, as home teams have cashed 64% in the WNBA Finals off a SU loss. Additionally, the Liberty are 9-0 SU their last nine off a loss in their previous game, including 6-0 ATS their last six. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-08-24 |
Sun v. Lynx -3 |
Top |
77-88 |
Win
|
100 |
40 h 51 m |
Show
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At 8 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx minus the points over Connecticut. We played on the Sun in Game 4, on Sunday, and were reward with a 92-82 SU/ATS win. This 5-game series is now tied at 2-games-apiece, and we'll side with the home team on Tuesday night. Minnesota is an awesome 80-46-4 ATS at home off a point spread loss, if it was favored (or PK), including 10-5-1 ATS in the playoffs. And the Lynx are also 58-31-1 ATS when favored, and playing with revenge, including 15-4 ATS if it lost its previous game by double-digits. Lay the points with Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-06-24 |
Lynx v. Sun -1.5 |
Top |
82-92 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 40 m |
Show
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At 5 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun minus the points over the Minnesota Lynx. The Sun lost Games 2 + 3 (including an upset loss, 90-81, at home on Friday), and now trail 2-games-to-1 in this Best-of-5 semifinal series. We'll lay the points, as home teams off a SU/ATS loss that face elimination in a 5-game playoff series have cashed 61.9%. Even better: the Sun have cashed 83% off an upset playoff defeat. We'll lay the points with Connecticut. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-06-24 |
Liberty +3.5 v. Aces |
Top |
76-62 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
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At 3 pm, our selection is on the New York Liberty plus the points over Las Vegas. The Aces staved off elimination in this 5-game series with a 95-81 blowout win over New York, on Friday. I look for the Liberty to eliminate the Aces this afternoon, and end their bid for a 3rd straight championship. Las Vegas has failed to cover the spread at home this season by an average of 3.43 ppg, while New York has covered the spread on the road by an average of 4.00 ppg. That bodes well for the road team. Also, the Liberty have been solid off a SU loss, covering 60%. With respect to Playoff situations, WNBA teams off a SU/ATS win, that trail 2-games-to-1 in a Playoff series, have cashed just 20%. And, finally, top-3 seeded WNBA teams have cashed 63% on the road off a SU/ATS road playoff loss. Grab the points with New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-04-24 |
Lynx v. Sun -1.5 |
Top |
90-81 |
Loss |
-115 |
35 h 27 m |
Show
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At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun minus the points over the Minnesota Lynx. We played on the Lynx in Game 2 for our WNBA Game of the Year, and got the $$$$ in a 7-point Lynx victory. The best-of-five series is now level at 1-game apiece. We'll take the Sun to win Game 3, as home favorites have cashed 75% in the Playoffs since 2006 if they split the first two games on the road, and failed to cover the spread in Game 2. Even better: Connecticut is 12-2-1 ATS its last 15 Playoff games following a SU/ATS loss. And Minnesota is a poor 3-11 ATS in the Playoffs off an ATS win. Take the Sun minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-01-24 |
Sun v. Lynx -4.5 |
Top |
70-77 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 33 m |
Show
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At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx minus the points over Connecticut. The Sun upset the Lynx in Game 1 of this semi-final series, 73-70. We'll take Minnesota to bounce back off that upset loss, as it is 79-47-4 ATS as a home favorite (or PK) off a point spread defeat. Even better: the Lynx are 7-0 ATS their last 7 (and 13-2-1 ATS their last 16) when favored and playing with revenge from a home defeat. Finally, the Sun are a dismal 7-17 ATS off a SU win, when playing a revenge-minded foe in the Playoffs. Lay the points with Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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10-01-24 |
Aces +3.5 v. Liberty |
Top |
84-88 |
Loss |
-105 |
17 h 32 m |
Show
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At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Aces + the points over New York. The Liberty took Game 1 of this semi-final series, 87-77. We'll take Becky Hammon's women to level the series at 1-game-apiece tonight, as the Aces are a solid 7-3 ATS their last 10 playoff games off an ATS loss. And Las Vegas is also 44-32-4 ATS off a double-digit loss, including 31-19-3 ATS as an underdog. Meanwhile, New York is a wallet-breaking 24-40 ATS as a home favorite off a double-digit win, including 0-4 ATS in the Playoffs. Grab the points with the Aces. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-17-24 |
Sky +7 v. Dream |
Top |
70-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 39 m |
Show
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At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over the Atlanta Dream. There are 3 teams vying for the final WNBA playoff berth. Improbably, those three teams are all 13-25 on the season. The Sky and Dream are two of the teams, and will play their next-to-last game of the season in Atlanta, tonight. Washington is the other team, and will host the Liberty on Tuesday (before finishing at home with Indiana). This is virtually a must-win for the Sky, as they currently rank #3 in the point differential tie-breaker. We'll grab the points, as Atlanta is an awful 13-30 ATS when favored off a SU win vs. a foe off a SU loss. Take Chicago. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-15-24 |
Sparks +12.5 v. Storm |
Top |
87-90 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 10 m |
Show
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At 6 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks + the points over the Seattle Storm. This is the 2nd of back-to-back games between these teams. On Wednesday, the Storm defeated the Sparks, 90-82, as a 12.5-point home favorite, but failed to cover the big number. Seattle is laying a lot of wood again on this Sunday evening. But the Storm have been mired in an extended point spread slump. They're just 3-11 ATS their last 14, including 0-8 ATS when laying 7+ points. We'll take the Sparks as a huge underdog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-08-24 |
Wings -4.5 v. Sky |
Top |
77-92 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Wings minus the points over the Chicago Sky. Angel Reese sustained a season-ending wrist injury two nights ago vs. the Los Angeles Sparks. Chicago won the prior meeting, 83-72, with Reese leading the way with 16 points and 18 rebounds. Without Reese in the lineup, we'll look for Chicago to crushed this evening by Dallas. The Sky have covered just 28% as a home dog vs. revenge-minded teams the Sky defeated at home in the previous meeting. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-04-24 |
Sparks +12.5 v. Fever |
Top |
86-93 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 59 m |
Show
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At 7 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks + the points over Indiana. Caitlin Clark's Fever are on a 4-game win streak to go over the .500 mark for the first time all season. Tonight, they're favored by double-digits. And prior to tonight, the most they had been favored by all season was 7 points. They lost that game outright and, in fact, have been poor as a favorite of 4+ points, with a 2-4 ATS mark this season, and a 10-18-2 ATS mark over their last 30. The Sparks are 14-7 ATS in the last 21 meetings vs. Indiana, including an 88-82 upset win here, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, when these teams last met. Take the Sparks + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-03-24 |
Dream v. Mercury -1.5 |
Top |
66-74 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury minus the points over the Atlanta Dream. Phoenix enters tonight on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak. The Mercury were underdogs in each of those defeats. And they are a soft 8-11 ATS this season when dressed up in the underdog role. But Phoenix is a stellar 9-4-1 as a favorite this year, including a perfect 5-0-1 ATS off a loss, so that bodes well for it in this game. And the Mercury is 8-0-1 ATS as a favorite off a loss, dating back to last season. Meanwhile, Atlanta is an ugly 17-31-2 ATS when installed as an underdog vs. a foe off a straight-up defeat. Take Phoenix minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-01-24 |
Sky +13 v. Lynx |
Top |
74-79 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over Minnesota. The Sky are 24-13 ATS as a double-digit underdog, while Minnesota is 3-9 ATS its last 12 as a double-digit favorite, and we'll grab the points with the Sky this afternoon. Even better: the underdog is 28-15-1 ATS in this series, including 15-1 ATS their last 16 when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 5 points in the previous meeting. With Chicago playing with revenge from an 8-point loss to the Lynx, we'll grab the points with the Sky this afternoon. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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