Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-15-22 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
The Yankees have lost four of their past five games after taking the first two contests in last week's four-game series at Boston vs the Red Sox. In the four losses, New York bullpen was pulverized for 19 runs (15 earned) in 12 innings for an ERA of 11.25 which culminated in a 7-6 loss yesterday to the Reds. The Yankees have now allowed 45 runs in their L/7 games and Im betting things dont get much better for them again today. Meanwhile, the BoSox relievers allowed 10 runs (six earned) in 11 innings against the Rays in this weeks series, and also look vulnerable against a NYY offense that can pound the best of hurlers. My projections estimate late run accumulation thanks to explosive offenses and tired pitching staffs get us over this offered total. Play OVER |
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07-14-22 | Reds v. Yankees OVER 8 | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Yankees pitching and bullpen looks tired which is evident by allowing 38 runs in their L/6 games and have gone over the total in 6 of their L/7 overall. Six of the games saw the other side score 4 or more runs scored and 5 have seen 5 or more runs go on the board from their opposition. With the Reds recently showing some life offensively and the Yankees always a threat to explode with a boat load full of runs we have a situation that favors an over wager cashing. Play OVER |
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07-14-22 | Padres v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Snell the Padres starter in nine starts this season, is 1-5 with a 4.66 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings actually matches up well vs the Rockies. Snell is also in good form after allowing just two earned runs on seven hits through his L/ 11 innings of work. He is backed by a strong bullpen which ranks seventh in the league in ERA, 14th in BA, ninth in SLG and ninth in wOBA since June 1st. SNELL is 15-4 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Rockies starter left-hander Kyle Freeland goes to the hill. Im betting he has an edge as , the Padres rank just 19th in the league in BA, 22nd in SLG, 21st in OPS and 21st in wOBA since the beginning of June vs southpaw pitching.In his two trips to the hill against the Fathers , Freeland is 2-0 with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP. He has seen 11 or less runs scored in nine of his L/ 10 starts. FREELAND is 29-10 UNDER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 35-16 UNDER at home when the total is 11 or higher in his career. (Team's Record) Road teams where the total is 11 or higher (SAN DIEGO) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 68-32 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-11-22 | Tigers v. Royals OVER 9 | 1-3 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
The first game of the doubleheader features a matchup between the Tigers' Michael Pineda (2-3, 3.62 ERA) and the Royals' Brad Keller (4-9, 4.37). Pineda, 33, has made two starts since missing nearly two months with a fractured right middle finger. The right-hander allowed two runs over five innings in an 8-2 win over the Cleveland Guardians last Wednesday and gives the Tigers an edge as underdogs in this spot play. KCs starter KELLER is 0-10 against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)KELLER is 1-12 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Tigers are 6-2 in their last 8 overall. KANSAS CITY is 3-16 against the money line after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival this season. Royals are 10-23 in their last 33 games vs. a right-handed starter. Royals are 2-5 in their last 7 home games. |
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07-10-22 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 9 | 6-11 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
JAMESON TAILLON (R) vs. NICK PIVETTA (R) Two quality offensive lineups, go head to head vs two pitchers that have registered ERAs over five in their last three trips to the hill. Both bullpens are also exhausted and depleted and this Im betting relates to a higher scoring affair. BOSTON is 17-4 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 12.7 rog scored. CORA is 20-7 OVER in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season in all games he has managed . BOONE is 40-15 OVER after a 5 game span with an OBP of .375 or better as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 11.4 rpg. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY YANKEES) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), red hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 5 games are 45-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Boston. Play on the OVER |
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07-10-22 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
Gilbert will make his fifth start of the season filling in for the injured Zach Davies. Gilbert is 0-0 with a 7.20 ERÅ in one career start against the Rockies and Im betting the Rockies do damage here and help eclipse this total. Meanwhile, Right-hander German Marquez (4-7, 5.90 ERA) will start the series finale for Colorado and my power rankings suggest the Arizona batting order matches up well against him furthering our bid to see an over wager cash here today. ARIZONA is 17-6 OVER in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. COLORADO is 26-15 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored in those tiolts. The Rockies are 15-0-3 OVER when the line is +100 or less off a game in which their starter gave up multiple runs and his strike-to-ball ratio was less than 2.05. Play OVER |
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07-09-22 | Angels v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
On Saturday, the Angels will send out left-hander Patrick Sandoval (3-3, 3.09 ERA) to oppose Orioles right-hander Dean Kremer (2-1, 2.48). Both pitchers should go long and strong and offer up a viable opportunity for an under wager to cash. Under is 8-2-1 in Orioles last 11 games following a win.Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 during game 3 of a series.Under is 13-4-1 in Orioles last 18 overall.
Under is 2-0-2 in Angels last 4 games following a loss.Under is 7-0 in Angels last 7 during game 3 of a series.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 vs. American League East.Under is 5-0-2 in Angels last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 3-0-2 in Angels last 5 road games. Under is 7-2-1 in Angels last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-2-2 in Angels last 11 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 11-4-2 in Angels last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play UNDER |
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07-09-22 | Tigers v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 0-8 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Detroits offense has woken up recently and have scored four or more runs in seven of their last eight games. With the White Sox starter struggling at home this season, Im betting on the tigers to continue to crush the ball. Cueto owns a 4.97 ERA and a 5.03 FIP over 29 innings at home this season. CUETO is 8-0 OVER in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.3 rpg. Over is 5-1-1 in White Sox last 7 overall.Over is 9-2-1 in White Sox last 12 during game 3 of a series.Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games following a loss. Meanwhile, despite of being in a slump the White Sox offense continues to be dangerous offensive force and must not be underestimated in their ability to put a boatload full of runs on the board. Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 during game 3 of a series. Play OVER |
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07-08-22 | Blue Jays v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
When Stripling goes to the hill during this campaign slugfests are not uncommon as is high scoring affairs continue to be registered when he toes the rubber . The Blue Jays have eclipsed the total in eight of his last 10 starts and in L/4 consecutive outings.Considering the Mariners have been heating up as is evident by having scored six or more runs in each of their last three trips to the diamonds Im betting , they contribute enough to see this combined score to go over the set total. Note: STRIPLING is 0-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 18.00 and a WHIP of 2.667. Meanwhile, the Jays have a talented batting order and at any time and against any pitcher explode. Even is they continue to regress here Im betting they do enough damage to get us over the total. Over is 20-8 in Blue Jays last 28 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 17-7 in Blue Jays last 24 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 11-3 in Mariners last 14 vs. American League East.Over is 11-3 in Mariners last 14 vs. American League East. Play OVER |
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07-07-22 | Tigers v. White Sox OVER 8 | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
PITCHING PROBABLES: Tigers: Beau Brieske (1-6, 4.54 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 46 strikeouts); White Sox: Dylan Cease (7-3, 2.51 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 125 strikeouts) White Sox: 6-4 L/10, .280 batting average, 4.00 ERA, outscored opponents by eight runs. Over is 4-0-1 in White Sox last 5 overall. Tigers: 6-4, .272 batting average, 3.89 ERA, outscored opponents by 10 runs. Both offenses are operating fairly efficiently of late and my projections estimate both will do enough damage here to eclipse this total. DETROIT is 39-19 OVER after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival with the average rpg count clicking in at 10.1 . (Tigers just swept the Guardians ) MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 44-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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07-07-22 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 28 h 53 m | Show | |
Probable pitchers: Braves - S. Strider-R vs Cardinals - M. Liberatore-L Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 vs. National League Central.Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 home games. ATLANTA is 27-15 UNDER vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 38-9 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta. Play on the UNDER |
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07-04-22 | Marlins v. Nationals OVER 9 | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Marlins starter Braxton Garrett is 1-3 with a 5.24 ERA and 1.70 WHIP including a .346 xwOBA, .294 xBA and a .457 xSLG. Over the last month the Marlins’ relief pitching ranks just 27th in the league in ERA, 28th in BA, 29th in SLG and 29th in wOBA. Meanwhile, Nationals starter Corbin is 4-10 with a 6.06 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP including .390 xwOBA, .307 xBA and a .553 xSLG. He has allowed 11 earned runs over 15 innings.There have been nine or more total runs scored in five of his last seven starts. In the last month the Nationals’ relief pitching ranks 25th in the league in ERA, 23rd in BA, 27th in SLG and 26th in wOBA. Everything points to this being a high scoring affair. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (WASHINGTON) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a below avg. starter (ERA 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, after 10 straight games where they failed to hit more than one HR are 37-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-30-22 | Dream v. Liberty UNDER 161 | 92-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
06-28-22 | Astros v. Mets OVER 8 | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
Mets starter CARRASCO is 17-5 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season . (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.6 rpg. CARRASCO is 34-13 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in his career . (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. CARRASCO is 15-4 OVER in home games against AL West opponents in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.2 rpg scored. Astros starter Valdez has posted a 4.00 ERA along with a 1.111 WHIP in his L/3 trips to the mound. Hes looking average of late after a fast start , and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup all that well vs the NYM. Over is 5-0-2 in Mets last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-0-2 in Mets last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 during game 1 of a series. Over is 11-4 in Mets last 15 home games. Over is 16-5-2 in Mets last 23 interleague games. MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 31-7 OVER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 during game 1 of a series. Play OVER |
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06-26-22 | Avalanche v. Lightning UNDER 6 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
When the series started I was betting on a load of goals going on the board, and as this series has progressed I can see its getting more and more defensive and conservative as both these heavyweights begin to respect the other sides abilities out of transition. This has kept the last few games under the total and now I expect a even more conservative effort from these sides as do or die hockey is on the proverbial table. Here is an interesting anomaly -Under is 6-0-1 in Avalanche last 7 Sunday games. Under is 7-0 in Lightning last 7 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Lightning last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 6-1 in Lightning last 7 home games.Under is 9-2 in Lightning last 11 games following a win. NHL Road teams against the total (COLORADO) - off a close home loss by 1 goal, a top-level team (70% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 21-4 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-26-22 | Dodgers v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 5-3 | Win | 105 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter GONSOLIN is 17-5 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. TONY GONSOLIN owns a 1.56 ERA along with a minuscule 0.635 WHIP in his L/3 starts. Meanwhile, the Braves starter Strider despite of a down effort last time out, saw his two previous starts replicate 2 run outputs from the opposing side. LA DODGERS are 32-19 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. LA DODGERS are 9-1 UNDER on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. LA DODGERS are 13-4 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game which was the case yesterday in a 5-3 loss. Under is 6-1-2 in Dodgers last 9 games following a loss. Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 vs. National League East.Under is 5-1-3 in Dodgers last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ATLANTA) - having won 18 or more of their last 25 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 141-75 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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06-26-22 | Orioles v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
White Sox starter CEASE is in top form but is must be noted that he is 15-5 OVER after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. The White Sox have allowed 35 runs in their L/6 games ( 5.83 RPG) and with the Orioles bats showing some life of late averaging 5 rpg in their L/3 trips to the diamond Im betting they do enough damage here to help this total be eclipsed. Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 during game 4 of a series. Over is 7-3 in Orioles last 10 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. BALTIMORE is 12-4 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season like the White Sox Cease. Orioles starter LYLES is 1-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 6.13 and a WHIP of 1.909. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less ), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 44-12 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-25-22 | Astros v. Yankees OVER 8 | 3-0 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 53 m | Show | |
Astros starter Cristian Javier is a good looking hurler , but considering the Yankees own a MLB-best 151 wRC+ in June off of right-handers Im betting they do more than enough offensive damage to help this total get eclipsed. Javier also wons a hefty 5.78 road ERA this season. Meanwhile, Cole the Yanks starter being a top tier hurler, his supporting cast ( bullpen) is banged up and vulnerable. Add to that the Astros bats can make the best of hurlers look bad. Everything points to a higher scoring affair. Over is 5-0-1 in Astros last 6 during game 3 of a series. HOUSTON is 19-8 OVER as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg. Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 during game 3 of a series.Over is 7-3 in Yankees last 10 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 40-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings. Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York. Play OVER |
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06-24-22 | Lightning v. Avalanche OVER 6 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
Sitting back and being more defensive minded last time out in game 4 cost the bolts a loss. Now with elimination on the line expect the Bolts to be more aggressive offensively and with Colorado on the verge of a Stanley Cup clincher at home Im betting for the Avs to be equally aggressive right out of the gate. COLORADO L/19 home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season have seen a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. Over is 4-0 in Avalanche last 4 games following a win. Over is 5-1-1 in Avalanche last 7 vs. Atlantic.Under is 4-1-2 in Avalanche last 7 Stanley Cup Finals games.Over is 4-1-1 in Lightning last 6 Stanley Cup Finals games. Over is 6-1 in Lightning last 7 vs. Western Conference. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game are 81-46 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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06-23-22 | Phillies v. Padres UNDER 7 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
Right-hander Joe Musgrove (8-0, 1.59 ERA) takes to the hill for the Padres on Thursday vs the Phillies. Musgrove is 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA in four career appearances, three starts, against the Phillies and could easily have a shut down performance vs a formerly hot run Phillies side that has suddenly gone cold as is evident by having lost 3 straight games while only producing 5 runs total in those defeats and in their L/4 have only put 7 runs on the board. Note:All of Musgroves starts have been quality efforts .The righty hurler owns the second-lowest earned run average in the major leagues, along with a 0.924 WHIP and a .196 opponents' batting average. Meanwhile, the Phillies lefty starter Suarez is 3-0 in his four quality starts, during which he issued only four walks in 26 innings. He is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in three games (no starts) against the Padres. The Fathers are hitting just .229 at home this season, and with Tatis and Machado expected out today production may also be an issue. These teams have saw 3 straight lower scoring affairs when these teams mets in May 3-0, 2-0, 3-0 (all three meetings featured a shutout). Im betting on more of the same lackluster action here again today. MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - after a game where they committed 4 or more fielding errors, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 108-52 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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06-22-22 | Avalanche v. Lightning OVER 6 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
Colorado has lived and died by their aggressive offensive attack this season, and sometimes (rarely) they take it on the chin against sides like the Bolts that can quickly get back into their opponents offensive zone out of transition, as was the case last time out in a 6-2 Tampa Bay win that saw Lightning deposit 4 goals into the back of the net in the 2nd period . Each of the 3 games in this series have eclipsed the total , and Im betting nothing changes tonight in what Im betting will be end to end high speed action as both Colorado and Tampa Bay go for the jugular in a very important game 4 event. COLORADO is 22-8 OVER against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or more of shots against this season with a combined average of 7.6 gpg scored.COLORADO is 7-0 OVER in the 4th game of a playoff series over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.3 gog scored. TAMPA BAY is 14-6 OVER in home games after 2 or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average of 6.7 gog scored.TAMPA BAY in 30 home games where the total is 6 or more this season have seen a combined average of 6.6 gpg scored. Play OVER |
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06-22-22 | Giants v. Braves UNDER 9 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
White Sox starter RODON is 9-1 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.6 rpg scored. Rodon has a miniscule 1.00 ERA in his L/3 trips to the mound including a 0778 Whip. Meanwhile, Atlantas Morton has done his best work at home this season where he own a 2-0 record in 6 starts. The righty hurler also owns a 1.000 Whip in his L/3 trips to the hill with his most recent outing ending a 1-0 loss to the Cubs. Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Rodon. Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 home games. SAN FRANCISCO is 14-4 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 7.7 rog scored. Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 during game 3 of a series.Under is 6-1-1 in Giants last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Under is 10-3-2 in Giants last 15 overall. Only 1 of the Giants L/11 games have eclipsed the total. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ATLANTA) - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%) are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta. Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play UNDER |
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06-20-22 | Marlins v. Mets OVER 8 | 0-6 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
Miami's starter Rogers is 3-5 with a 5.87 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP. There have been eight or more runs scored in each of his last six starts and Im betting nothing changes today.Since May 1st, the Marlins’ bullpen has been a shambles as is evident by ranking 26th in the league in ERA, 30th in BA, 28th in SLG and 30th in wOBA. The Marlins in their L/10 tilts are permitting 4.8 runs per game. Meanwhile, Mets left-hander David Peterson has seen eight or more runs scored in each of his last six trips to the hill and has posted 6.56 ERA in his L/3 starts. Everything points to a higher scoring affair. Play OVER |
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06-19-22 | White Sox v. Astros OVER 8 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
The White Sox offense has suddenly begun and quick accent averaging 7.6 rpg in their L/7 trips to the field. Im betting on their hot bats to continue their upward momentum again today in Houston. Meanwhile, the Astros, until yesterday had averaged 6.1 rpg in their previous 7 and Im betting on them bouncing back again in this totals spot play. Both starting pitchers Javier /Kopech have ERAs north of 5.00 in their L/3 starts. CHI WHITE SOX are 11-3 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season with a combined average of 12.2 rpg. Over is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 during game 3 of a series.Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 vs. American League West.Over is 7-1 in White Sox last 8 overall.Over is 7-1 in White Sox last 8 games as a road underdog. Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 during game 3 of a series.Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 72-33 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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06-19-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | 9-10 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
Torontos powerful offense was help scoreless yesterday as the Blue Jays bats have gone cold and here against a top tier hurler in Severino they will have issues again. Note: The Yanks have allowed a total of 12 runs in their L/7 tilts. Meanwhile, Kikuchi the Jays starting hurler s 2-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.349.Under is 11-5-1 in Yankees last 17 road games vs. a left-handed starter like the Jays starter Kikuchi. NY YANKEES are 21-9 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. Under is 12-3-2 in Yankees last 17 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY YANKEES) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 27-5 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY YANKEES) - having won 18 or more of their last 25 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 57-25 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-19-22 | Phillies v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
Eflin in his five road starts, owns a sub par 0-3 record along with a 7.13 ERA and 1.71 WHIP. Considering the Phillies bullpen ranks a lowly 17th in the league in ERA, 21st in BA, 14th in SLG and 22nd in wOBA the Phillies look like they will need to score in bunches here to win this tilt.In 62 career plate appearances against Eflin, this current manifest-ion of the Nationals batting order owns a .304 BA, .446 SLG and .356 wOBA. Meanwhile, Tetreault the Nats starter allowed seven runs on nine hits in four sub par innings of work in his only outing. He is backed by a bullpen that ranks just 24th in the league in ERA, 25th in BA, 21st in SLG and 24th in wOBA. Against a explosive Phillies offense hes and his backup group look to be in trouble. Over is 6-0-1 in Phillies last 7 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 5-1-1 in Phillies last 7 during game 5 of a series.Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Over is 10-4 in Phillies last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 20-8-1 in Phillies last 29 road games.Over is 9-4 in Phillies last 13 vs. National League East. PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 OVER vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored. EFLIN is 21-7 OVER in road games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 21-8 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 10 rpg scored.
Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 vs. National League East. Over is 5-2 in Nationals last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 25-10-1 in Nationals last 36 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings in Washington. Over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings. Play OVER |
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06-18-22 | Padres v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Padres starter Martinez has been in top form in his last two starts. In those tilts he allowed just three earned on nine hits and three walks in 9.2 innings. Meanwhile, the Rockies starter Marquez, last 13 innings of work has seen him allow five earned on 10 hits and four walks . According to my power rankings both pitchers matchup well vs these batting orders and thus Im recommending a under wager here. These teams have gone under in 5 of their L/7 at Coors field. COLORADO is 29-15 UNDER vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.7 rpg scored. COLORADO is 26-13 UNDER vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.8 rpg scored. COLORADO is 50-28 UNDER at home when the total is 11 or higher over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored. Under is 7-2 in Padres last 9 during game 2 of a series.Under is 19-7-1 in Padres last 27 games following a loss.Under is 8-3-1 in Padres last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Under is 9-4-1 in Padres last 14 vs. a team with a losing record. MLB Road teams where the total is 11 or higher (SAN DIEGO) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or more ) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 33-8 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-18-22 | Lightning v. Avalanche OVER 6 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 24 h 27 m | Show | |
Colorado is to success all season long has been their ability to generate offense and if need be just plain out outscore their opponent. Nothing will change here in game 2 of this series. Attack attack attack is on the the Avs agenda and the Bolts will have to open up out of transition or be blown out. This Im betting leads to a higher scoring affair. Over is 16-6 in Avalanche last 22 games playing on 2 days rest.Over is 5-2 in Avalanche last 7 games following a win.Over is 9-4-1 in Avalanche last 14 vs. Eastern Conference. COLORADO is 7-1 OVER in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games this season with a combined average of 7.8 gpg. COLORADO is 20-8 OVER against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or better of shots against this season with a combined average of 7.6 gpg. TAMPA BAY is 13-4 OVER in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season with a combined average of 7.7 gpg. Over is 4-0 in Lightning last 4 vs. Western Conference. Over is 18-6-3 in Lightning last 27 vs. Central. Over is 3-0-1 in Avalanche last 4 vs. Atlantic. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game are 81-46 OVER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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06-16-22 | Rays v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Severino (4-1, 2.80 ERA) suffered his only loss this season against the Rays on May 29 in St. Petersburg, Fla. Severino allowed four runs in 6 1/3 innings in the 4-2 defeat and Im betting this batting order matches up very well against him and should some decent damage again. Meanwhile, the Yanks explosive bats can take the best of pitchers down making this a over wager for me on this offered Totals number. TAMPA BAY is 18-5 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.1 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 24-11 OVER in road games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 2 seasons with a 11 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 40-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Play OVER |
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06-15-22 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | 9-2 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 44 m | Show | |
Astros starter Garcia is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in four career games (two starts) against the Rangers and Im betting he matches up well again here today and should help keep this total on the low side of the offered number. Opposing Garcia is Miller who is a senior hurler with viable numbers and according to my power rankings matches up well here vs a Astros offense that has scored more than 4 runs just once in their L/8 games. Under is 20-7 in Astros last 27 vs. American League West.Under is 20-7 in Astros last 27 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 20-7 in Astros last 27 road games.Under is 8-2 in Astros last 10 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games as a home underdog. Under is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 home games. Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Texas. Under is 9-0 UNDER L/9 meetings. Play UNDER |
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06-13-22 | Reds v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
The Reds Veteran left-hander Mike Minor (0-2, 8.64 ERA) looks like he is headed towards a 3rd straight season with a 5 plus ERA and today the DBacks are highly likely to produce offensively. Meanwhile, M.Kelly (5-3, 3.32 ERA) is a viable hurler, but hittable. The Reds bats have picked up the pace of late so Im betting they do enough damage here to get the combined score to be eclipsed. Over is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. ARIZONA is 49-28 OVER vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10 rpg going on the board. CINCINNATI is 31-16 OVER after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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06-13-22 | Padres v. Cubs UNDER 9 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Cubs starter left-hander Steele looks to build on a solid outing from June 5, when he gave up seven hits and three walks, but only two runs (one earned) . Meanwhile, DARVISH has been a viable force on the hill. Not over powering but useable.In 5 road games when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) he has seen a combined average score of 8,4 rpg scored. Under is 7-2-1 in Padres last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 3-1-1 in Padres last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 3-1-1 in Padres last 5 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 8-3-2 in Padres last 13 vs. National League Central. Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. DARVISH is 7-0 UNDER when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 4.7 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 41-13 under L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago. Play UNDER |
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06-13-22 | Celtics v. Warriors UNDER 212.5 | 94-104 | Win | 100 | 35 h 23 m | Show | |
Golden States modus operandi since the beginning of this season, has been to play a top tier brand of defense, and the same can be said about the Boston Celtics . Now tonight in a pivotal game 5 battle, Im betting on some very physical hoops with defense being a priority for the NBA two top Ds, out of transition. GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 UNDER in home games when playing with 2 days rest this season with a combined average of 201.9 ppg scored. Since the Warriors championship run in 2015, they have been tied 2-2 in a playoff series 4 other times. The UNDER is a perfect 4-0 in Game 5 in this spot. These contests have gone UNDER the offered Total by an average of 16.5 PPG. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 134-87 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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06-13-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Right-hander Kyle Bradish (1-3, 6.45 ERA) will start for the Orioles against Blue Jays right-hander Alek Manoah (7-1, 1.81). The powerful Jays lineup should do very well here today and the under rated Baltimore offense should reciprocate as they are 10-2 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season with a combined average of 11 rpg going on the board. Minoah in 3 career starts vs the Orioles has seen the total eclipsed each time, with a combined score of 11 , 11, 17 runs going on the board . Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight. MANOAH in his L/20 outings with a total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average score of 9.2 rpg scored. Over is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 games as a road underdog.Over is 8-0 in Orioles last 8 during game 1 of a series. Over is 5-0-2 in the last 7 meetings.Over is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 games as a home favorite.Over is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 on astroturf.Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 home games. Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (TORONTO) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 39-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (BALTIMORE) - bad offensive team ( 4.2 or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better ) (AL), after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 28-6 OVER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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06-10-22 | Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 214.5 | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
The Celtics were able to score and penetrate at will vs the Golden State Warriors in game 3, and Im betting Boston plans on being offensively aggressive again, but this time the Warriors top tier D will adjust properly and make sure defense is their primary cause here tonight especially with Steph Curry playing injured and less than 100%. Also both sides are very tired as this has been an exhausting post season, and with exhaustion a factor a lower combined score as well. BOSTON is 32-18 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average 209.6 ppg scored.
Since the 2012-13 season, the total on Warriors tilts has gone 28-10-1 UNDER following a playoff loss in a series game for a 74% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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06-07-22 | Rangers v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
The Bolts in 6 of their L/8 games have allowed 2 goals or less, and are now playing top tier defense. The Rangers mo , from the beginning of this season has centered around top tier defensive hockey played in transition behind strong goaltending. More of the same conservative physical hockey Im betting will once again be on display which will result in a combined score that remains on the low side of the offered number. NY RANGERS are 7-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 3.9 gpg scored. NY RANGERS are 20-8 UNDER in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored. Under is 8-2 in Rangers last 10 games as a road underdog.Under is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 road games.Under is 9-3-1 in Rangers last 13 playoff games as an underdog. Under is 4-0 in Lightning last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 7-1 in Lightning last 8 overall.Under is 7-1 in Lightning last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 7-1 in Lightning last 8 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-1 in Lightning last 6 games following a win. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. GOALTENDERS: NY RANGERS - IGOR SHESTERKIN, TAMPA BAY - ANDREI VASILEVSKIY Play on UNDER |
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06-06-22 | Red Sox v. Angels OVER 9 | 1-0 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Bosox have scored 27 runs in their L/4 games and here against Noah Syndergaard Im. betting they do enough damage to get us over the offered total. The righty owns a 8.18 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, and the Halos have allowed 26 runs in their L/3 games and with the pitching staff looking tired we should see some more offensive fireworks. I know the Halos offense has stalled lately but they matchup well vs Wacha according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. LA ANGELS are 31-13 OVER after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons. LA ANGELS are 22-9 OVER in June games over the last 2 seasons. LA ANGELS are 20-9 OVER after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. The Angels are 16-0 OVER L/16 as home chalk in non divisional play off a game in which Mike Trout had no hits in at least 3 at bats. Play OVER |
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06-04-22 | Red Sox v. A's UNDER 8 | 8-0 | Push | 0 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
Oakland right-hander Paul Blackburn (5-1, 2.15 ERA), goes for the As today here at home.Blackburn was 5-0 with a 1.70 ERA in first nine starts this year before allowing a season-high four runs in 6 2/3 innings in a 5-1 home loss to the Houston Astros on Monday in his last outing, but now Im betting on a bounce back here. Meanwhile, the Red Sox is expected to go with their hottest pitcher -- right-hander Nick Pivetta (4-4, 3.95) as it goes for a third consecutive victory .Pivetta has won his last four starts and is unbeaten in his last five, having allowed six runs in 34 innings over that stretch. Under is 14-5-1 in Athletics last 20 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game BOSTON is 23-9 UNDER in road games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 30-16 UNDER as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons.Under is 13-6-1 in Red Sox last 20 during game 2 of a series.Under is 33-16-2 in Red Sox last 51 games as a road favorite. Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play on the UNDER |
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06-04-22 | Twins v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | 3-12 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
Dylan Bundy is in top form of late, garnering a 3.07 ERA in his L/3 starts. Meanwhile, Berrios is owns a .3.05 ERA at home this season. With Minnesota currently struggling at the plate scoring just 2 runs in total in their L/3 games Im betting Berrios continues his top tier home starts. Meanwhile, I know the Blue Jays bats are starting to heat up but Bundy according to my pitching vs batting order power rankings.
Under is 11-5 in Twins last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 3-1-1 in Twins last 5 games as an underdog. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (TORONTO) - with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or better over his last 5 starts are 154-83 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UNDER |
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06-03-22 | Diamondbacks v. Pirates UNDER 8 | 8-6 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Arizona's starter Brubaker has allowed just two runs over 11 2/3 innings of his past two starts and both runs were unearned and has faced Arizona once, pitching five scoreless innings in a 4-2 victory last season on Aug. 24. Meanwhile, The Dbacks starter Kelly started off the season in over powering form, going 3-1 with a 1.22 ERA through six starts, and even though he has cooled a bit is still in top form and according to my power rankings he matches up well against this Pirates batting order that has struggled against right handers averaging just .233 BA as a team vs orthodox pitching opp. It must also be noted Brubaker has seen his team not back him offensively on a consistent basis ,giving just two runs in support with him on the mound over his past four starts. Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games as a road favorite.Under is 6-1-1 in Pirates last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 10-3-1 in Pirates last 14 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 3-1-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a home underdog. Under is 8-3-3 in Pirates last 14 games as an underdog. Under is 10-4-3 in Pirates last 17 overall. MLB Home teams (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 47-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-02-22 | Celtics v. Warriors OVER 212.5 | 120-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
Golden State is well rested and Im betting they come and attack Boston with all guns blazing tonight and force the Celtics out of their comfort zone in what Im betting will be a higher scoring affair than the lines-makers are expecting. Boston must also not be underestimated in their ability to be offensively explosive in response to what is coming their way. Over is 11-5 in Celtics last 16 games as an underdog. Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Over is 10-4 in Warriors last 14 NBA Championship games. My projections estimate the Warriors will score +109 points. Note:BOSTON is 15-3 OVER when they allow 109 to 114 points in a game this season with a combined average of 222 ppg going on the board. Play on the OVER |
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06-01-22 | Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 8 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
05-30-22 | Rays v. Rangers UNDER 8 | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
Drew Rasmussen (5-1, 2.68 ERA) goes for the Rays, and Glenn Otto (2-2, 4.91) for the Rangers in a matchup of right-handers. Rasmussen has worked at least five innings in each of his last six starts and Im betting that momentum continues today vs the Rangers. Meanwhile, Otto, who has never faced the Rays, gave up one run in five innings, with seven strikeouts in a win at the Los Angeles Angels. More of the same from here today vs a batting order he matches up well against. Under is 11-5-3 in Rays last 19 during game 1 of a series. Under is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 6-1-1 in Rangers last 8 games as an underdog. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (TEXAS) - after a game where they committed 4 or more fielding errors, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 41-9 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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05-29-22 | Rangers v. A's OVER 7.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
Both expected starting pitchers and their bullpens and the starting offensive lineups have me projecting a combined 8 + run production event that gives us an edge taking the over . Over is 5-2 in Rangers last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-2-1 in Rangers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 3-1-1 in Athletics last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 3-1-1 in Athletics last 5 home games.Over is 3-1-1 in Athletics last 5 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Over is 5-2-1 in Athletics last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (OAKLAND) - terrible offensive team ( 3.6 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after allowing 9 runs or more are 30-6 OVER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings. Play OVER |
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05-29-22 | Giants v. Reds OVER 9 | 6-4 | Win | 105 | 1 h 43 m | Show | |
Reds starter Mahle is 2-5 with a 6.32 ERA and 1.49 WHIP while, Giants starter Cobb is 3-2 with a 6.25 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. Im betting these pitchers take a beating todays and help this combined score get eclipsed. Mahle is 0-3 with a 9.18 ERA in four starts, including May 20, 2021, when Mahle was charged with seven runs on seven hits in just two innings of a 19-4 San Francisco victory. In 47 career plate appearances against Mahle, this current Giants roster owns a a .293 BA. San Francisco’s relief pitching ranks 26th in the league in ERA, 29th in BA, 29th. Play OVER |
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05-28-22 | Yankees v. Rays UNDER 7 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
The Rays' starter will be Corey Kluber (1-2, 4.42), a two-time Cy Young Award winner and he will be opposed by the Yankees' ace, Cole (4-1, 3.31 ERA) . Im both top tier hurlers go long and strong with both bullpens supplying viable backup options. COLE is 15-4 UNDER in road games in May games in his career. (Team's Record) KLUBER is 11-2 UNDER in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (TAMPA/ NY YANKEES) - after a combined score of 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 47-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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05-27-22 | Orioles v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 12-8 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Boston posted a season-high 16 runs against the Chicago White Sox and now Im betting on a reversal to the norm and a much lower offensive output vs Bradish who made his debut came against the Red Sox on April 29, when he gave up three runs, two earned, in six innings while absorbing a 3-1 loss and low scoring tilt that stayed on the low side of the total. Meanwhile, the Red sox will return fire with right-hander Garrett Whitlock (1-1, 3.58). His six previous appearances against Baltimore all came as a reliever last year, and he allowed one run across 11 innings, with 12 strikeouts and one walk. His first game in the majors came on April 4, 2021, vs. Baltimore, and he threw 3 1/3 scoreless innings and still matches up very well against this Orioles offense. Under is 8-0 in Orioles last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League East. BALTIMORE is 13-3 UNDER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.BOSTON is 12-3 UNDER against division opponents this season. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (BALTIMORE) - after getting shut out against opponent after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 36-10 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play UNDER |
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05-26-22 | Mavs v. Warriors OVER 215 | 110-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
With a chance to clinch this series and advance here tonight Im betting the Golden state Warriors come out tonight firing on all cylinders forcing the Mavs out of their comfort zone and into a more wide open affair. This will result in a higher scoring affair than the lines-makers estimates. Golden State scored 127 and 112 points at home in the first two games of this series and Im betting they score +115 here tonight with Dallas in hot pursuit with their estimated output in the 108+ range. Over is 12-5 in Mavericks last 17 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Over is 9-4 in Mavericks last 13 road games. GOLDEN STATE L/25 games when revenging a road loss vs opponent this season have seen a combined average of 224.5 ppg scored.(Dallas won game 4 -119-109). Play OVER |
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05-26-22 | Red Sox v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 16-7 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
Michael Wacha (3-0, 1.76 ERA) is set to start Thursday for the Red Sox. He will be opposed by Pale Hose starter KEUCHEL who is 38-20 UNDER vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in his career. (Team's Record) The Red Sox, after scoring 54 runs during a season-high, six-game winning streak, stranded 12 runners on Wednesday while going 1-for-9 with men in scoring position. This is never a good omen for a team like Boston that has a tendency of going on long scoring droughts. Feat or Famine for the BoSox and today Im betting on famine. BOSTON is 20-7 UNDER in road games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 15-4 UNDER after a loss this season. MLB team (BOSTON) - sub par hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a struggling starting pitcher (ERA 6.70 or worse ) -AL, with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games are 29-6 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-25-22 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 203.5 | 93-80 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
The Heat came out flat last time out and laid an egg in a lifeless effort losing by a 102-82 mark. However, Im now betting on a bounce back effort, from the Heat especially on offense where they will be much more aggressive but Im also betting the Celtics wont be easily run over and be ready to go head to head in what should be a much more explosive offensive tilt than what we saw in game 4. BOSTON is 17-8 OVER after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season with a combined average of 220.9 ppg scored. MIAMI is 7-0 OVER after a combined score of 190 points or less this season with a combined average of 226.3 ppg scored. MIAMI is 17-5 OVER after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222.5 ppg scored. MIAMI is 30-18 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game this season with a combined average of 212.7 ppg scored.MIAMI is 18-7 OVER in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score of 212.8 ppg scored. Over is 21-8 in Heat last 29 Conference Finals games. Over is 7-1 in Celtics last 8 Conference Finals games.Over is 8-2-1 in Celtics last 11 games as a road favorite.Over is 10-3 in Celtics last 13 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 12-4-1 in Celtics last 17 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Play OVER |
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05-23-22 | Avalanche v. Blues UNDER 6.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
COLORADO is 13-6 UNDER against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season. ST LOUIS is 10-4 UNDER after 2 consecutive division games this season.Under is 4-1 in Blues last 5 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Under is 4-1-1 in Blues last 6 Conference Semifinals games. Under is 5-2 in Avalanche last 7 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. |
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05-22-22 | White Sox v. Yankees UNDER 9 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Chicago's Michael Kopech (0-1, 1.54) goes against Right-hander Luis Severino (3-0, 3.63). Both hurlers matchup well against each opposing lineup. Im betting both go deep and with this being the 2nd game of the day, a more sluggish effort from both sides which Im betting will see less offensive production. Under is 8-1-1 in White Sox last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-2-1 in White Sox last 11 road gamesUnder is 10-4-1 in White Sox last 15 games as a road underdog. Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 Sunday games. NY YANKEES are 14-3 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York. Play on the UNDER |
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05-22-22 | Panthers v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
The Lightning seized a 2-0 lead in their current series this week by posting a 4-1 win on Tuesday and a 2-1 victory two nights later with D and goaltending being the key to their success. Im betting the Bolts continue with that recipe as they try to replicate their 3rd straight victory. This will result in a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total. FLORIDA is 6-1 UNDER revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season.FLORIDA is 11-2 UNDER off a close home loss by 1 goal over the last 3 seasons. Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Panthers last 5 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in Lightning last 4 Conference Semifinals games.Under is 7-2 in Lightning last 9 playoff games as an underdog. NHL Road teams against the total (FLORIDA) - off 2 or more consecutive home losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 70%) are 25-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Play UNDER |
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05-21-22 | Avalanche v. Blues OVER 6.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
After struggling to score in game 2 losing 4-1 to the Blues Im betting on the Avs to come back here in aggressive offensive fashion which will force the Blues to open up as well which Im betting leads to a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this offered totals number. COLORADO is 8-2 OVER after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season with a combined average of 6.7 gpg scored. Over is 16-7 in Avalanche last 23 playoff games as a favorite. ST LOUIS is 21-9 OVER against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or better of their chances in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7.4 gpg scored.ST LOUIS is 30-14 OVER against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. Over is 10-3-1 in Blues last 14 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Over is 16-5-1 in Blues last 22 games following a win.Over is 15-5-1 in Blues last 21 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Over is 6-2 in Blues last 8 playoff games as an underdog. Over is 22-8-2 in Blues last 32 games a home underdog. Play OVER |
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05-21-22 | White Sox v. Yankees UNDER 9 | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
Dallas Keuchel (2-3, 5.54), took a no-decision against the Yankees last Saturday after pitching five scoreless innings, The veteran southpaw is 4-4 with a 2.06 ERA in 10 career starts against New York.Since getting roughed up for 10 runs in an 11-1 loss at Cleveland on April 20, Keuchel has recorded a solid 2.70 ERA in his past four starts and is being under rated here in his ability to slow down the Yankees offensive production . Meanwhile his pitching opponent Cortes has been on fire to start his season, posting a (2-1, 1.35 ERA) record and .Since May 30 2020 he owns a stingy 2.44 ERA in 133 innings of top tier work.CORTES is 13-3 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is 10-2 UNDER when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CORTES is 15-5 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 8-1-1 in White Sox last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-1-1 in White Sox last 10 road game. Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog. Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 6-2 in White Sox last 8 during game 1 of a series. NY YANKEES are 14-2 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.NY YANKEES are 9-0 UNDER after a loss this season.LARUSSA is 28-14 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 as the manager of CHI WHITE SOX. Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 12-3-1 in Yankees last 16 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in New York. Play UNDER |
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05-20-22 | Mavs v. Warriors UNDER 214.5 | 117-126 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
Entering this play off series Golden State and Dallas destinies center around defense as do their successes and failures. The Warriors rank 3rd in the NBA in ppg allowed and 15h in offense and just 13th in pace, while Dallas ranks 2nd in the NBA in ppg allowed and 30th in pace and 24th in offensive output. Needless to say top tier defensive action should be expected tonight. Nothing changed in game 1 of this series and Im betting on a rinse and repeat lower scoring game once again, and now that Dallas has had some time to rest and adjust an even more physical tilt should be expected. GOLDEN STATE is 13-5 UNDER in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game this season with a combined average of 209.4 ppg scored. DALLAS is 33-19 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 209.7 ppg scored. DALLAS is 8-0 UNDER after scoring 90 points or less over the last 2 seasons.with a combined average of 204.5 ppg scored. DALLAS is 40-25 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5 this season with a combined average of 211.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DALLAS/GOLDEN STATE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 305-213 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DALLAS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 131-83 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-20-22 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs UNDER 11.5 | 10-6 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Arizona's scheduled Friday starter, Humberto Castellanos (2-1, 4.15 ERA). Dback starting pitchers are 2-0 with a 2.86 ERA in four games this season versus Chicago, which is batting .169 as a team against them. Meanwhile, Chicago's Kyle Hendricks (2-3, 4.03 ERA) will look for a third straight strong outing when he takes to the hill today. Hendricks has yielded just one run over 14 1/3 innings of his last two appearances and is in top form entering this tilt. Hendricks is 4-2 with a 2.94 ERA in eight career starts against the Diamondbacks, including 1-1 with a 2.12 ERA in three outings at Wrigley Field. Im expecting two solid hurlers and two inconsistent offenses to help keep this tilt on the low side of the total. ARIZONA is 10-1 UNDER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 13-3 UNDER vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season this season. MLB teams where the total is 11 or higher (ARIZONA) - after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs against opponent after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 30-6 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 47-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-19-22 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 207.5 | 127-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
With Butler off a 40 point offensive out put in game 1 and now in top form the Heat will be hard to stop.Heat coach Erik Spoelstra won't be surprised if there is another Butler explosion in Game 2. QUOTE: "Jimmy Butler is an elite competitor," Spoelstra said. "There are a lot of guys in this league playing basketball; he's competing to win. That's a totally different thing, and he does that as well as anybody in this league. END QUOTE With that said, Im betting the Heat will go above their expected output tonight, and that the Celtics will have to open up and reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown off the court, which will lead to a combined score that eclipses this total. Over is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 Conference Finals games. MIAMI is 28-17 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game this season with a combined average of 212.4 ppg scored. MIAMI is 32-18 OVER when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 3 seasons. BOSTON is 29-17 OVER in road games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 223.7 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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05-18-22 | Mavs v. Warriors UNDER 214.5 | 87-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Golden State and Dallas destinies center around defense as do their successes and failures. The Warriors rank 3rd in the NBA in ppg allowed and 15ht in offense and just 13th in pace, while Dallas ranks 2nd in the NBA in ppg allowed and 30th in pace and 24th in offensive output. Needless to say top tier defensive action should be expected tonight. GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 UNDER in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 212 ppg going on the board. Under is 7-2 in Warriors last 9 Conference Finals games. DALLAS is 32-19 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 210 ppg scored. Under is 47-23 in Mavericks last 70 games as an underdog. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are 103-68 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER . |
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05-18-22 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
The Diamondbacks will trott out right-hander Zach Davies (2-1, 3.57 ERA) to the mound Wednesday. He is 4-3 with a 2.43 ERA over 10 lifetime starts against the Dodgers.The Dodgers will respond with right-hander Walker Buehler (4-1, 2.81 ERA), who has dominated Arizona with a 5-0 record a 1.96 ERA in 12 lifetime starts. Considering bullpen availability and this pitching matchup a projected 7 makes this a under wager. BUEHLER is 10-1 UNDER in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins in his career. (Team's Record) Under is 9-4-1 in Diamondbacks last 14 vs. National League West. MLB Road teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (ARIZONA) - after a game where they committed 3 or more errors, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 57-19 L/25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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05-17-22 | Cardinals v. Mets UNDER 8.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
These teams both took part in high scoring affairs last time out. The Mariners beat the Mets 8-7 while the Card s pounded the Giants 15-6. Now today Im betting both teams in a letdown situation which will result in a lower scoring affair. Mets starter WILLIAMS is 9-1 UNDER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7 runs per scored! WILLIAMS is 13-2 UNDER at home with a money line of -100 to -150 in his career . (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.9 rpg scored. Right-hander Miles Mikolas (3-1, 1.49 ERA) will start for the Cardinals. NY METS are 22-9 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher like Mikalos whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.6 rpg. MIKOLAS is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.20 and a WHIP of 0.733. ST LOUIS is 8-0 UNDER in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season with a combined average of 4.8 rpg scored. ST LOUIS is 11-1 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 17 runs or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 37-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. |
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05-16-22 | Pirates v. Cubs UNDER 8.5 | 0-9 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
05-15-22 | Royals v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
The Royals will send Daniel Lynch (2-2, 4.01 ERA) against Colorado's Austin Gomber (2-3, 4.36) in a matchup of left-handers. Colorado has averaged 6.2 rpg at home this season and are starting to heat up offensively and have scored 20 runs in the first two game of this series vs KC . Meanwhile, the Royals have averaged 4.4 rpg on the road this season and have scored 18 runs in 2 games here in Coors Field in the first two games in this series.Kansas City has allowed 10 runs in each of the first two games of the series. Im expecting a continuation of the current scoring trends. Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 interleague games.Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 home games.Over is 10-2 in Rockies last 12 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Colorado. Play on the OVER |
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05-15-22 | Reds v. Pirates OVER 8 | 0-1 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
In the series finale, Cincinnati right-hander Hunter Greene (1-5, 7.62 ERA) is scheduled to oppose Pittsburgh left-hander Jose Quintana (1-1, 2.70 ERA). My projections estimate that both batting orders matchup well vs their pitching adversaries , giving us an edge on a over wager. In 33 games this season the Reds and their opponents have combined to average 10.1 rpg. CINCINNATI is 10-2 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season with a combined average of 12.7 rpg scored. Over is 10-1 in Reds last 11 games following a loss.Over is 11-2-1 in Reds last 14 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 11-2 in Reds last 13 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Over is 5-1 in Reds last 6 games as a road underdog.Over is 5-1-2 in Reds last 8 Sunday games.Over is 14-3-1 in Reds last 18 overall.Over is 14-3-1 in Reds last 18 on grass.Over is 9-2-1 in Reds last 12 vs. National League Central. Over is 11-5 in Reds last 16 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Pittsburgh.Over is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings. Over is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 games following a win.Over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CINCINNATI) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or less) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 42-12 OVER L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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05-15-22 | Padres v. Braves OVER 7.5 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
JOE MUSGROVE (R) vs. KYLE WRIGHT (R) I know the Padres Musgrove have pitched well this season so far, but my matchup stats suggest the Braves bats matchup well against him and they will do enough damage for us to see this combined score eclipsed. Note: SAN DIEGO is 7-0 OVER in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season with a combined average of 12.5 rpg scored.SAN DIEGO is 10-1 OVER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. Over is 8-1 in Padres last 9 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 11-3 in Padres last 14 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. ATLANTA is 20-9 OVER in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.6 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 10-2 OVER after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-14-22 | Astros v. Nationals UNDER 8.5 | 6-13 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
The Astros will send out right-hander Cristian Javier (2-0, 0.83 ERA) on Saturday and according to my power rankings matches up well vs the Nationals Meanwhile, Washington will counter with righty Erick Fedde (2-2, 3.90 ERA), who has allowed just one run across 12 innings in two starts this month. Im betting on both pitchers going deep and to be key to this combined score failing to eclipse of the offered totals number. Houston is 8-0 UNDER vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season.HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 interleague games as a favorite.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 20-8 in Nationals last 28 home games. MLB Home teams (WASHINGTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 47-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-11-22 | Bucks v. Celtics OVER 214.5 | 110-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
There was enough aggressive offensive action in game 4 of this series, with a combined 224 points scored for me to consider this totals offering as an opportunity to cash an over bet. Im betting on the Celtics being extremely aggressive tonight offensively knowing that the Bucks Kris Middleton is still not playing and have had time to access their best approaches against the Bucks ie Game 4s impressive victory. I know Middleton is not a lockdown defender by any means but he is an excellent team defender and a key part of Milwaukee's defensive schemes due to his length and overall versatility, so with him continuing to be out you can expect Boston to be in a run and gun mode , which will force the Bucks into opening up offensively or be blown of the court. Over is 5-2 in Bucks last 7 playoff games as an underdog.
NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE/ BOSTON) - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (33%-36.5%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 42+ games are 198-122 OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings. Play OVER |
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05-10-22 | Rays v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 0-12 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
Former Cy Young award winner Right-hander Corey Kluber (1-1, 2.36 ERA) will make his sixth start of the year for the Rays. The veteran hurler is coming off two top tier outings. Rays starter KLUBER is 13-2 UNDER in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored and Im betting he sklows down the Halos bats in this spot play which will contribute to a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total. Note: Under is 8-3 in Rays last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Detmers whoa] also owns a .3.21 ERA at home, along with a 0.857 WHIP. Under is 5-1-1 in Angels last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-4-2 in Angels last 15 home games. Under is 7-3-1 in Angels last 11 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (LA ANGELS) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 4.20 or better ) (AL), playing on Tuesday are 29-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-09-22 | Panthers v. Capitals UNDER 6.5 | 3-2 | Win | 115 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Washington blasted Florida 6-1 last time out and now Im betting on a much better defensive effort from the Panthers and more conservative style of hockey in transition here in game 4 which will help keep this tilt on the low side of the offered Total. FLORIDA is 5-0 UNDER after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game this season with a combined average of 5.5 gpg scored and are 9-3 UNDER in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 5.6 gpg going on the score board. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (FLORIDA) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game are 41-16 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-05-22 | Stars v. Flames UNDER 5.5 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
Game one of this series saw old school knockem down hockey being played. Most of the game was out of transition with a great deal of attention to neutral zone possession by the opposition, which was overall conservative in nature.DALLAS is 31-18 UNDER in road games in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored. Under is 6-2-4 in Stars last 12 playoff games as an underdog. Under is 5-0 in Flames last 5 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Under is 5-1-1 in Flames last 7 playoff games as a favorite. NHL Road teams against the total (DALLAS) - after a low scoring road game where both teams scored 1 goal or less, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 51-22 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-04-22 | Mavs v. Suns OVER 215.5 | 109-129 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
The first game in this series saw a combined score of 235 points go on the board and Im betting on rinse and repeat type score here again in game 2. The Suns will attack non stop and force a Dallas side that ranked 30th in pace this season and 24th in offense out of their comfort zone and have to open up or be blown off the court like in game 1 . Suns are 5-1 over L/6 overall. PHOENIX is 13-4 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 221.3 ppg scored.PHOENIX is 10-1 OVER in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.8 ppg scored.PHOENIX is 17-8 OVER in home games after playing a home game this season with a combined average of 223.8 ppg scored. Play on OVER |
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05-03-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies UNDER 227.5 | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
Golden state ranks 3rd in ppg allowed and 1st in the league in defensive rating and only 15th in the league in offensive output, so D, is what got the Warriors here, and their defense will remain key to their possible advancement into the next round vs a explosive Memphis side. This above hypothesis is what Im basing an under wager on , plus a long list of trends that also support it. GOLDEN STATE is 40-21 UNDER in road games after a close win by 3 points or less since 1996 with a combined average of 203.5 ppg scored. Kerr is 21-9 UNDER versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 212.4 ppg scored. .GOLDEN STATE is 43-29 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.6 ppg going on the board. Kerr is 34-19 UNDER (+13.1 Units) off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite as the coach of GOLDEN STATE. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MEMPHIS) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 51-19 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 46-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-03-22 | White Sox v. Cubs UNDER 7 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
The White Sox bats are slumping averaging 2.6 runs per game , via a .206 BA and have homered just 10 times in their L/14 games winning just 3 times and do not matchup well according to my pitcher vs power rankings vs Cubs starter Drew Smyly (1-2, 2.79 ERA). Meanwhile, the Pale Hose will trot out Michael Kopech (0-0, 1.42 ERA) . The right-hander has allowed three earned runs and struck out 18 with nine walks over 19 innings of his four starts and should do well vs a Cubs team that is hitting just the Mendoza line at .246 on the season. Advantage under. CHICAGO CUBS are 34-17 UNDER after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons. Under is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 during game 1 of a series. Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 during game 1 of a series. Under is 9-4-3 in White Sox last 16 interleague road games. MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (CHICAGO CUBS) - after a combined score of 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 44-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (CHICAGO CUBS) - after a combined score of 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 4 runs or less are 45-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-01-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies UNDER 220.5 | 117-116 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
Golden State ranks 3rd in ppg allowed in the league and is ranked 15th in ppg offense, which tells you this team despite of some top tier offensive talent has gotten this far based on a top tier brand of D, and nothing will change here against the Grizzlies. At this number we still have value for an under wager and wont be deterred by all the attention centered on how explosive offensively the home side is. GOLDEN STATE is 17-7 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 218 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 16-7 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 213.6 ppg scored.Kerr is 21-8 UNDER (+12.2 Units) versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 211.7 ppg going on the board. MEMPHIS is 20-8 UNDER in home games against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 115-48 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Five of the lat 6 meetings here in Memphis between these two sides has gone under the set total. Play UNDER |
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05-01-22 | Mariners v. Marlins UNDER 6.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
Marlins will start right-hander Sandy Alcantara (2-0, 1.78 ERA). Seattle will counter with right-hander Logan Gilbert (3-0, 0.40), who leads the American League in ERA. Miami starter SANDY ALCANTARA is 9-0 UNDER at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons with a. combined average of 5.1 rpg scored. ALCANTARA is 14-3 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.6 rpg scored. With another strong hurler on the hill for the Mariners ( Gilbert) Im expecting a pitchers duel and lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse the total. MIAMI is 14-4 UNDER vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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04-30-22 | Cubs v. Brewers OVER 7.5 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Brewers lefty starter Lauer has gone 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in four previous outings against the Cubs, including three starts . Meanwhile, Cubs starter Steele (1-2, 5.40 ERA) pitched the controversial second game of the season, a 9-0 home victory over the Brewers. Needless to say Milwaukee has a semblance of revenge on board, and will be prepared to light up the Cubbies hurler at home today. After popping 11 runs on the board yesterday another onslaught with momentum is a good bet. Considering the starting pitching matchup and both bullpens abilities vs these batting orders, a over wager on my projections is a viable option. Over is 7-3 in Brewers last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 3-1-2 in Brewers last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Over is 8-0 in Cubs last 8 Saturday games. Over is 7-2 in Cubs last 9 games as a road underdog.Over is 10-3 in Cubs last 13 during game 2 of a series.Over is 18-8-1 in Cubs last 27 games as an underdog.Over is 11-5 in Cubs last 16 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 9-1-2 in the last 12 meetings.Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee. Play on the OVER |
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04-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves UNDER 229 | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
We are down to the nitty gritty here in this series, as Memphis can advance with a win tonight on the road in Minnesota. With that said, Im looking for a a more conservative tentative game in transition that translates into a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. Under is 5-2 in Timberwolves last 7 games as a home underdog. MEMPHIS is 20-9 UNDER versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 15 or more turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. Under is 9-2 in Grizzlies last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MINNESOTA) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 32-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Minnesota. Play on the UNDER |
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04-27-22 | Nuggets v. Warriors OVER 225 | 98-102 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
All the tilts in this series have been fairly high scoring with all 4 games going over the set total. With series victory at hand for the Warriors Im betting they come here firing darts. This will force Denver into opening up and chasing as they fight for their lives. This could easily be the highest scoring game in the series. DENVER is 13-4 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season with a combined average of 230 ppg scored.DENVER is 9-1 OVER in the first round of the playoffs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.2 ppg scored. DENVER is 23-9 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 231.3 ppg scored. DENVER is 10-2 OVER versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 OVER when playing 5 or less games in 14 days this season with a combined average of 232.3 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - after one or more consecutive overs against opponent after 3 or more consecutive overs are 122-76 OVER L/26 seasons for a 62%. conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-24-22 | Suns v. Pelicans OVER 214.5 | 103-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
Phoenix shot 4-of-26 from long distance last time out and still 114 points on the board . Im betting they bounce back and drastically increase their downtown shooting and for the offense behind Ayton and Paul to pick and roll all night long and to force a desperate Pelicans side in to opening up in a game I like to eclipse this total. The last 6 games here on the Bayou between these teams has gone over the total, and a rinse and repeat situation is a viable outcome again, NEW ORLEANS is 29-16 OVER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 232.7 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - after being beaten by the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, with a winning record on the season are 73-41 OVER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-24-22 | Rangers v. A's OVER 7.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Cole Irvin the As starting hurler has seen a combined score of 14,14, and 15 runs go on the board in his last 4 tilts vs the Rangers. Meanwhile, Richards the Rangers starter has seen 13 and 9 combined runs go on the board in his L/2 trips to the hill vs the As. I know both these offenses have been inconsistent to start their seasons, but from a matchup standpoint my projections estimate a total of 8+ or more runs scored in this spot play. As starter IRVIN in his L/19 starts vs division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 9.9 rpg scored. OAKLAND is 10-1 OVER off 2 straight home losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons. Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 games as an underdog.Over is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 vs. American League West. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oakland. Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. Play OVER |
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04-22-22 | Avalanche v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
The Avalanche (55-16-6, 116 points) have clinched the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference and were tied with Florida for the most points in the NHL heading into play Thursday and will want to stay focused as the play off approach especially from a defensive standpoint. After losing 2 straight they will be prepared to hunker down here in play in transition, vs a red hot Edmonton team that is 9-1-1 L/11 overall. The two most recent meetings in this series resulted in 3-2 and 2-1 Colorado victories , Im betting a rinse and repeat type of combined score in this spot play.COLORADO is 9-2 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season this season.COLORADO is 10-3 UNDER against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored . Under is 6-1 in Avalanche last 7 vs. Pacific. Under is 7-2-1 in Oilers last 10 games as an underdog. Under is 17-5-2 in Oilers last 24 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game are 102-56 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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04-21-22 | Pirates v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
The Cubs offense has looked viable of late scoring 34 runs in their L/6 games ( 5.66 rpg avg) , and Im betting they once again show their offensive capabilities vs Pirates starting pitcher B.Wilson and company.Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. . Over is 24-7-3 in Cubs last 34 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, the Cubs starter Mark Leiter JR is a very hi-table pitcher who owns a 3-8 career record and a bloated 5.91 ERA and a -1.8 WAR. Im betting the Pirates do enough damage against him and a average at best bullpen to get us over the mark here tonight in windy Wrigley. Over is 20-6-1 in Cubs last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 11-3 in Cubs last 14 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 9-4 in Cubs last 13 vs. National League Central. Over is 10-1 in Cubs last 11 games as a home favorite.Over is 19-6-1 in Cubs last 26 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 2-0-2 in Pirates last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 7-2 in Pirates last 9 during game 1 of a series.Over is 3-1-2 in Pirates last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 10-4-2 in Pirates last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 9-4-2 in Pirates last 15 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 13-6-2 in Pirates last 21 games as a road underdog. Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago. Play OVER |
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04-19-22 | Pelicans v. Suns UNDER 221.5 | 125-114 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have tried to pay attention to strong defensive play down the stretch this season, and here against an explosive Suns side, an even more concerted and very physical defensive effort will be employed. The Pelicans do not matchup well in a shootout scenario , so Im betting on them really trying to slow things down. Meanwhile, the Suns can also thrive in this type of game, and will gladly saddle up and be equally as physical which will translate into most of the offensive action here tonight to be in slow motion transition. Under is 6-0 in Suns last 6 overall.Under is 5-0 in Suns last 5 games as a home favorite.Under is 9-1-1 in Suns last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games. Under is 9-2 in Pelicans last 11 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 10-4 in Pelicans last 14 overall. NEW ORLEANS is 16-5 UNDER in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season with a combined average of 216.5 ppg scored. Green is 15-4 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots as the coach of NEW ORLEANS with a combined average of 218.7 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 25-16 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 218.1 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 26-9 UNDER as a road underdog this season with a combined average of 216 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 14-6 UNDER against Pacific division opponents this season with a combined average of 217.2 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Phoenix. Play UNDER |
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04-19-22 | Angels v. Astros OVER 8 | 7-2 | Win | 105 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
The Angels have averaged 6.4 rpg on the road this season, while, the Astros have averaged 8 rpg at home (1 game) but their bats generally thrive here and Im betting they light up their opponents the Halos in this spot play. It must be noted the Angels have taken part in some high scoring tilts of late with a combined average of 12.2 rpg scored in their L/5 overall. Halos starting hurler Sandoval is 0-3 with a 9.77 ERA in five career games (four starts) against the Astros and Im betting he gets lit up again today. Meanwhile, Valdez the Astros starter despite of being a capable hurler does not matchup well against this current group of Halos, according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings and could easily give higher than expected numbers here which favors an over wager . Over is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 overall and are 4-0 in Angels last 4 games as an underdog.Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 games as a road underdog.Over is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 on a natural surface .Over is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 vs. American League West. Over is 6-0-1 in Angels last 7 road games.Over is 5-1-1 in Angels last 7 during game 2 of a series.Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 9-4-1 in Astros last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 33-16-3 in Astros last 52 vs. American League West.Over is 43-21 in Astros last 64 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Play on the OVER |
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04-19-22 | Hawks v. Heat UNDER 219.5 | 105-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 2 Atlanta has a stiff test here trying to get offensive flow going against a Miami team that ranks 4th in ppg allowed in the league behind the 28th ranked pace. This in itself Im betting helps keep this game on the low side of the offered total. Under is 9-0 in Hawks last 9 games as an underdog. Under is 7-0 in Hawks last 7 games as a road underdog. Under is 8-0 in Hawks last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. ATLANTA is 18-6 UNDER L/24 in the 2nd game of a playoff series with a combined average of 186.7 ppg scored. Historically speaking ATLANTA is 55-29 UNDER in the first round of the playoffs since 1996 with a combined average of 184.4 ppg scored.ATLANTA is 102-73 UNDER L/175 when the total is 210 to 219.5 with a combined average of 212.3 ppg scored. Under is 24-8 in the last 32 meetings in Miami Play UNDER |
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04-18-22 | Reds v. Padres OVER 7.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
The Padres have generally struggled offensively early on this season but have averaged 5.3 rpg vs LHP , and once again look like they are capable of exploding vs Lodolo the Reds starter tonight. Meanwhile, the Reds have also struggled getting runs across the plate, but when they have struggled in the past for an extended period of time, they have taken part in some high scoring affairs as is evident by a 12-1 OVER mark after batting .175 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 12.1 rpg going on the board. I know the Padres starter Manaea has looked strong to start his season, but my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he could project to give up 3 or more hits more than anticipated with a 1 run accumulated diff giving us an edge on a over wager. Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 during game 1 of a series.Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Play OVER |
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04-18-22 | Rays v. Cubs UNDER 8 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Rays starter MCCLANAHAN is 13-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. Cubs starter HENDRICKS is 45-25 UNDER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. We all know how the wind has a tendency to blow in from center field at Wrigley, and no matter what the weather forecast says its a generally predictable factor. Under is 6-1 in Rays last 7 during game 1 of a series.Under is 7-3 in Rays last 10 on grass.Under is 8-3-2 in Rays last 13 road games.Under is 8-2-2 in Rays last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 during game 1 of a series.Under is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Play UNDER |
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04-17-22 | Pelicans v. Suns UNDER 224.5 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
The Suns finished their season with 5 straight unders, and going against a New Orleans side that ranks 21st in pace and 21st in offensive ppg output Im betting the Suns 8th ranked D will hold down the fort and contribute to a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. NEW ORLEANS is 21-12 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season are 221.1 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 13-5 UNDER (+7.5 Units) in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season with a combined average of 214.8 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 16-6 UNDER in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season.NEW ORLEANS is 25-9 UNDER as a road underdog this season with a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 14-3 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 214.9 ppg scored.PHOENIX is 25-15 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 218.6 ppg scored.Green is 14-4 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. Play UNDER |
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04-16-22 | Wolves v. Grizzlies UNDER 237 | 130-117 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Play Off basketball can be alot more physical than regular season NBA play, and thats what Im betting we will see here tonight between two offensive juggernauts . This Im betting directly gives us on an edge on this slightly bloated post season total. My own projections make this total closer to 233 giving us a full possession plus advantage on the offered number. Under is 34-16 in Grizzlies last 50 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 5-2 in Grizzlies last 7 games as a favorite. MEMPHIS is 17-7 UNDER versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 15 or more turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.3 ppg going on the score board. MEMPHIS is 35-20 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 232 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - averaging 9 or more steals/game on the season, on Saturday games are 26-6 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 58-20 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA) - with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, on Saturday games are 66-28 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 49-21 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors, Play UNDER |
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04-15-22 | Tigers v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Royals starter KELLER is 20-8 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 in his career. (Team's Record)KELLER is 25-9 UNDER against division opponents in his career with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. (Team's Record) Keller has seen 7 of his L/8 appearances vs the Tigers go under the total. T Skubal the Tigers starter matches up well against the Royals batting order according to my early season projections. Under is 42-18-2 in Royals last 62 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-1-2 in Royals last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and is 4-1 UNDER in Royals last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 4-1 in Royals last 5 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 9-3-1 in Royals last 13 games as a favorite.Under is 3-1-1 in Royals last 5 during game 2 of a series. DETROIT is 17-4 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. Under is 10-2 in Tigers last 12 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 12-3-1 in Tigers last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 15-4-2 in Tigers last 21 during game 2 of a series.Under is 9-4-1 in Tigers last 14 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 21-7-1 in the last 29 meetings. Play UNDER |
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04-15-22 | Islanders v. Canadiens OVER 5.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
NYI HC Barry Trotz is asking his scorers to step up their aggressiveness as the season winds down, as the Isles access off season trade scenarios. So a higher scoring game between two teams that will not make the play offs is a likely situation as the defensively challenged Habs will also open up in an attempt to steal this game in front of their disgruntled fans. NY ISLANDERS are 14-7 OVER in road games second half of the season this season. MONTREAL is 16-8 OVER after allowing 3 goals or more 4 straight games this season with s combined average of 7.4 gog scored. NHL home teams against the total (MONTREAL) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season are 35-8 OVER L/5 season for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-12-22 | Clippers v. Wolves UNDER 230.5 | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
Play off basketball is here, and tonight we have an experienced post season group going up a young crew with virtually no NBA play off experience. I know Minnesota has been explosive offensively for much of the season , but Im betting they will be slowed by a Clippers team that will want to be very physical and conservative here on the road , which Im betting leads to a combined score that is on the low side of this totals offering. LA CLIPPERS in L/12 revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. ( Clippers lost to the Wolves at home 122-104 earlier this season) NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 78-49 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA) - off a home loss, with a winning record on the season. 49-22 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-12-22 | Dodgers v. Twins OVER 9 | 7-2 | Push | 0 | 2 h 53 m | Show | |
LHP Andrew Heaney (8-9, 4.71 ERA in 2021) vs. RHP Chris Archer (3-9, 5.19 in 2021) Archer only pitched in 6 games last season because of forearm issues, and looks like he could get crushed here tonight.Archer's lifetime stats vs the Dodgers tell me a story of a hurler who get crushed by the volcanic bats of this LA crew. Archer has allowed 23 hits 68 at-bats and has also walked 16 of batters. Dodgers explode for runs is my call helping this combined score eclipse the offered number. On the flip side, Andrew Heaney the dodgers hurler does not matchup well here vs the Twins batting order. Yes, I know the Twinkies have struggled a bit with their batting average but still rank 3rd in slugging percentage at .484 along with 9 HRs and could easily tee off here and get us to the promised land. Over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in Minnesota. Over is 8-2-2 in the last 12 meetings. Play OVER |
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04-11-22 | Indians v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | 10-7 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
Guardians starter Civale is coming off his first winning campaign, finishing 2021 with a 12-5 record and a 3.84 ERA. He had a WHIP of 1.118 a and according to my pitcher vs batting order power ratings matches up well here vs KC. Meanwhile, another under rated Royals pitcher goes to the hill here as Hernandez proved that he belonged with a solid 2021 campaign. when he accumulated a 6-2 record along with a viable 3.68 ERA. Im betting on both these undervalued hurlers and two quality bullpens to keep this combined score on the low side of the Total. Under is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 during game 4 of a series.Under is 5-2 in Guardians last 7 games as an underdog.Under is 7-3 in Guardians last 10 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 5-1 in Royals last 6 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 games as a home favorite.Under is 12-3-1 in Royals last 16 during game 4 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Royals last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.KANSAS CITY is 40-19 UNDER in day games over the last 2 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 26-11 UNDER vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Kansas City. Play UNDER |
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04-10-22 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 9 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Montgomery the Yankees starter today has had problems with run support after the Yankees scored three runs or fewer in 15 of his starts last season.The left-hander is 1-2 with a 3.72 ERA in 11 career starts against the Red Sox and was 0-2 with a 3.29 ERA in five starts against them last season. A combination of lack of run support and his ability to be competitive on the mound give credence to an under wager especially considering Boston starter Houck is 1-1 with a 1.86 ERA in five career appearances (three starts) against the Yankees and gets my support here. Look for both viable bullpens when called upon to help keep this game on the low side of the offered number. Under is 11-4-1 in the last 16 meetings. MONTGOMERY is 21-8 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 13-4 UNDER in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 4-0-1 in Yankees last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 11-4-1 in Yankees last 16 during game 3 of a series. Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 7-3 in Red Sox last 10 games following a loss. Play UNDER |
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04-09-22 | Marlins v. Giants OVER 7 | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
PABLO LOPEZ (R) vs. CARLOS RODON (L) The Giants averaged 4.96 runs per game last season, San Francisco ranked second in the NL in scoring; the Giants also ranked second in the league in runs allowed (3.67 per game) and Im betting on even greater uptick in offensive prowess and a sustained level of defensive issues. This kind of action was on display yesterday as we saw the Giants take a 6-5 decision. Today two viable pitchers with some shoulder injury issues go head to head. Im betting both wont go very long today because of this, and Im also betting on both offenses to keep chugging along as this game gets going and new pitchers come in from the bullpen. MLB Road teams (MIAMI) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 9+ losses in last 12 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 26+ wins in last 40 games are 47-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-08-22 | Thunder v. Lakers UNDER 227.5 | 101-120 | Win | 100 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
The Lakers are on tired legs after playing last night as they lost to the Warriors on the road. Note: Under is 9-2 in Lakers last 11 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day. Meanwhile, the Thunder usually pay more attention to viable defensive play when they are on the road like they are tonight, and this combined with the Lakers exhaustion will help keep this score to the low side of the number. Under is 6-1 in Thunder last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. LA LAKERS are 34-22 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 220.1 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY in 38 games as a road underdog this season have seen a combined average of 213.7 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 OKLAHOMA CITY/(LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%), in April games are 28-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-08-22 | Reds v. Braves UNDER 9 | 6-7 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Reds will send starter Reiver Sanmartin (2-0, 1.54 in 2021) to the hill today vs the Braves . In two outing spanning four innings in spring training, the 25 year old hurler allowed just one hit and one unearned run, earning a spot in the Cincinnati rotation. Im betting on more of the same top tier action from the young thrower again. Meanwhile, 38-year-old veteran Charlie Morton is coming off one of his best seasons, as he matched his career high with 33 starts and posted an impressive 1.045 WHIP in 2021, and a (14-6, record and 3.34 ERA) and is a viable hurler, that has the ability to slow down the Reds offense. Both bullpens also look solid, based on early season projections giving us an edge on the under. Under is 7-3-2 in Reds last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4 in Reds last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 47-23-5 in Reds last 75 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 5-2 in Reds last 7 games as an underdog. BELL is 40-19 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175 as the manager of CINCINNATI. MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 17+ wins in last 25 games, team that had a good record last season (54% to 62%) playing a team that had a winning record are 56-20 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Play UNDER |
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04-08-22 | Marlins v. Giants OVER 7.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
The Giants averaged 4.96 runs per game last season, San Francisco ranked second in the NL in scoring; the Giants also ranked second in the league in runs allowed (3.67 per game) and Im betting on even greater uptick in offensive prowess and a sustained level of defensive issues. Today I expect the Giants to put 5+ runs on the board based on my pitching vs offensive matchups projections, and for the Marlins to average 3+ runs, which give us an edge with a over wager. I know Alacantra the Marlins hurler is a viable pitcher, but the Giants bats matchup well against him. Giants starter Webb had a good season in 2021, but he staggered his way to an .829 OPS allowed in April, and has a history of slow starts.
MLB Road teams (MIAMI) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 9+ losses in last 12 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 26+ wins in last 40 games are 46-17 OVER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-07-22 | Canucks v. Coyotes OVER 6 | 5-1 | Push | 0 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
Arizonas D is atrocious as is evident by allowing 4 goals or more in 7 of their L/10 games including a 5-1 loss last time out and nothing will change against a Canucks team that can take advantage of teams like this via a viable offense that showed themselves dangerous in a 5-1 win vs Vegas last time out. ARIZONA is 13-4 OVER L/17 off an embarrassing loss by 4 goals or more to a division rival . VANCOUVER is 22-8 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NHL Home teams against the total (ARIZONA) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season are 35-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |