Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-10-21 | Ball State v. Northern Illinois UNDER 62 | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a big game for both teams when it comes to play off and possible Bowl implications and Im expecting to be hard fought. Im not sold on N.Illinois D, but tonights weather forecast in DeKalb, Ill. is predicting 13-15 mph winds throughout the game, which will hamper both air attacks which in turn will effect offensive output.N ILLINOIS is 16-6 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 and N ILLINOIS is 23-9 UNDER in home games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored which was the case last time out. with a combined average of 52.8 ppg. CFB team against the total (N ILLINOIS) - good passing team (7.5-8.3 PY/Att.) against a poor passing defense (7.5-8.3 PY/Att.), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 64-28 L/5 seasons for 70% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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11-10-21 | Toledo v. Bowling Green UNDER 50 | 49-17 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Toledo has a bad defensive game last time out vs Eastern Michigan but have been very good overall this season, and now Im expecting a bounce back effort. Im also betting we will see Toledo grind on the ground all night, against a tough Bowling Green D and their spotty offense in what will be a low scoring war in the trenches. TOLEDO is 23-8 UNDER in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (TOLEDO) - good passing team (230-275 PY/game) against an average passing defense (175-230 PY/game), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 24-5 UNDER L/5 seasons . CFB team against the total (BOWLING GREEN) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points are 73-31 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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11-09-21 | Hawks v. Jazz OVER 221.5 | 98-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
The Hawks will match up with the Utah Jazz for the 2nd time this week. Utah won the first meeting 116-98 but Im betting on a aggregate of 10 more points on the board here according to my projections thus giving value to an over bet. Part of this assessment is based on the Jazz expecting to have Mike Conley back in the lineup which aid in offensive flow. Add to that Atlanta has allowed each of its past seven opponents to score between 111 and 127 points and we have a large output expectation here. ATLANTA is 31-13 OVER after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons a combined average of 232.4 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in Hawks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 10-2 in Jazz last 12 games as a home favorite. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 48-17 L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (UTAH) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 37-13 L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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11-09-21 | Kings v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
The Kings pulled off the upset last night on the road against the Leafs and now come into this game in an emotional letdown state and on tired legs. Thus Im betting on a conservative energy conserving effort here tonight vs the Habs. I expect the Kings will play most of this game in transition, and the Les Canadiens to fall into the trap system after a recent bad defensive performance , and because of their lack of current offensive production . Everything for me leans towards a lower scoring affair. Under is 3-1-1 in Canadiens last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. MONTREAL is 6-0 UNDER in home games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons. Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 games following a win.Under is 17-4 in Kings last 21 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Kings last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 9-3-1 in Kings last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 8-3 in Kings last 11 overall.Under is 5-2 in Kings last 7 games as an underdog. LOS ANGELES is 21-10 UNDER in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in Montreal. Play on the UNDER |
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11-09-21 | Akron v. Western Michigan UNDER 62 | 40-45 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
These are two teams that base their offensive attacks on a run-heavy game plan and both sides also are ranked among the slowest paces in college football. I know Akrons D, is horrendous and Western Michigan will do some damage, but they have had problems finishing drives, so output Im betting will not be as extreme as the lines-makers expect. Meanwhile, Akron despite of some recent success through the air will have issues against a solid Broncos secondary. For me this equates to a more muted score than the pundits expect. Note:Under is 24-6 in Zips last 30 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game which was the case last time out vs Central Michigan. ( A more concerted D effort is to be expected). Play on the UNDER |
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11-09-21 | Mt. St. Mary's v. Villanova UNDER 132.5 | 51-91 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Mount Saint Marys is a big team, and they wont be easily pushed around by Villanova.Malik Jefferson ,Mezie Offurum, Nana Opoku are all 6-foot-8 or taller and will have not problems bumping heads here in what will be a physical approach to this game to slow down their top tier opponent. the Mount ranked first in defensive efficiency in their conference last season and ranked 10th in all of College Hoops in field goal percentage, allowing a 45% conversion rate . The Mount also ranked ninth nationally in field goal percentage at the rim and must not be underestimated int heir ability to coheres Villanova into a muted offensive output . With the mount losing top offensive player Chong Qui they in turn will have problems with offensive flow. I know Villanova can light it up, especially from three point land , but they did run at slower pace than expected when adjusted to tempo ranking 334th in the nation. Im expecting a grinding affair, here today and a score that remains on the low side of the total. MOUNT ST MARYS is 22-9 UNDER when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 130.3 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-08-21 | Pelicans v. Mavs UNDER 214 | 92-108 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have lost 6 straight thanks to a lack off offensive flow, and Im betting nothing changes tonight as they play a Dallas team that is playing a strong brand of defense at the moment. With that said, Im betting on a combined score that fails to eclipse this number. DALLAS is 12-3 UNDER in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. Under is 5-0-1 in Mavericks last 6 games as a favorite. DALLAS is 29-12 UNDER L/41 in home games versus struggling teams - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or more. NEW ORLEANS is 12-2 UNDER in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons. Under is 5-0 in Pelicans last 5 games as a road underdog.
NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (NEW ORLEANS/DALLAS) - in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams (33% or less), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 40-12 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. |
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11-07-21 | Bucks v. Wizards OVER 221 | 94-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Milwaukee because of some injury issues have been less than fluid offensively lately and that has resulted in a string of unders. However, Budenholzer has been repeating a mantra of late that his team needs to be more aggressive, and after their loss to NYK at home last time out, Im betting we see exactly what the HC is calling for. With Washington getting into a offensive flow of late, Im betting on a higher scoring game than the lines-makers may anticipate. Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. WASHINGTON is 10-1 OVER in home games versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average of 246.3 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 games as a home underdog.Over is 6-1 in Wizards last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Over is 13-3 in Wizards last 16 games following a straight up win.Over is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 games following a ATS win.Over is 21-6 in Wizards last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 42-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rater for bettors. Bucks and Wizards have gone over in 8 straight meetings. Play OVER |
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11-06-21 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs OVER 5.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
My matchup stats suggest that despite of these teams recent overall trends that they will combine for 6 or more goals. BOSTON is 17-5 OVER in road games off a blowout win by 4 goals or more over a division rival with z combined average of 6.4 gpg scored. Over is 6-2 in Maple Leafs last 8 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NHL Road teams against the total (BOSTON) - after a blowout win by 4 goals or more against opponent after 2 straight games where 4 or fewer total goals were scored are 22-4 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Toronto. Play on the OVER |
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11-06-21 | Army v. Air Force UNDER 37.5 | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
These sides slugged away on the ground against each other last year in a game that ended in a 10-7 score ( 17 total points) and the year prior to that a 17-13 final score ( 30 points) . Im betting on another grinder here and for the combined score to remain on the low side of the number again. Note : Academy Totals are 39-9-1 UNDER L/49 for a 81% win rate. AIR FORCE is 7-0 UNDER after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.ARMY is 7-0 UNDER in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Play UNDER |
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11-04-21 | 76ers v. Pistons OVER 208.5 | 109-98 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Detroit is the only team shooting below 40 percent (39.4), and is even worse behind the 3-point arc (26.7 percent, also worst in the NBA) and because of this the lines-makers have under estimated the Totals number here. This kind of ineptness is bound to recoil on the upide of the output markers. Philadelphia took a 110-102 victory vs the Pistons at home last Thursday and my estimate makes the Total closer to 212 which according to those projections makes for a viable over wager here.Over is 6-0 in Pistons last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Detroit and 7-0 OVER L/7 overall meetings. Rinse and repeat to the over in play here. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DETROIT) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or more on the season, after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 77-37 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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11-04-21 | Islanders v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -129 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Isles have gone under in 5 straight games as they continue to dictate a slow pace to their games, with at present inconsistent results in offensive output bodes well for a lower scoring affair vs a struggling offensive team in the Habs . NY ISLANDERS are 6-0 UNDER in road games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 3.5 gog scored. NY ISLANDERS are 7-0 UNDER in road games against poor power play teams - scoring on 14.5% or less of their chances over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 3.9 gpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Islanders last 4 games as a favorite.Under is 7-1-1 in Canadiens last 9 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 6-1-3 in Canadiens last 10 games as a home underdog.Under is 13-3-2 in Canadiens last 18 vs. Eastern Conference NHL team against the total (MONTREAL) - horrible offensive team - scoring 2.4 or less goals/game on the season, after a blowout win by 3 goals or more are 40-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-03-21 | Clippers v. Wolves UNDER 215.5 | 126-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
The Clippers have not breached the 100 point plateau in 3 straight games, while the Wolves have not scored more than 98 points in 4 of their L/5 overall. Clippers also own the 6th best 'ppg defense and the 26th ranked ppg offense and 27th ranked offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, the Wolves rank 7th in ppg allowed and 25 in ppg scored offense. Everything points to a lower scoring affair. MINNESOTA is 15-5 UNDER versus struggling offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 214.7 ppg. MINNESOTA is 10-0 UNDER in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.9 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 22-9 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. NBA team (MINNESOTA) - after scoring 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 100 points or less 3 straight games are 24-2 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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11-02-21 | Golden Knights v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Vegas has seen a total of 6 attached to just 8 of their road games since last season with a combined average of 5.4 gpg scored. Considering the Leafs offense seems to be in an early season funk scoring more than 3 goals just once this season, it wont be a hard decision here to take the under , especially with Vegas dealing with some nagging injuries up front. Under is 4-0 in Golden Knights last 4 games as a road underdog. Under is 10-3-2 in Maple Leafs last 15 games following a win.Under is 21-7-1 in Maple Leafs last 29 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Maple Leafs last 8 vs. Western Conference.Under is 8-3 in Maple Leafs last 11 overall.Under is 7-3 in Maple Leafs last 10 games as a favorite.Under is 39-18-2 in Maple Leafs last 59 vs. Pacific. NHL Road teams against the total (VEGAS) - after winning 2 consecutive games in overtime against opponent after a game where both teams scored 4 goals or more are 22-4 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 4.4 gpg going on the scoreboard. Play UNDER |
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11-01-21 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 217.5 | 128-114 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Chicago ranks 4th in ppg allowed D, and have shown themselves to be methodical in their approach ranking 22nd in pace and Im betting . Meanwhile, the Celtics despite of some tainted numbers are also running at a slower pace ranking 14th in the league. My projections have estimated this Totals offering to be off by almost a full possession to the under at 215 giving us value on this offered number. CHICAGO is 17-7 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.6 ppg . CHICAGO is 14-3 UNDER against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.5 ppg scored. Under is 8-1 in Bulls last 9 games as an underdog.Under is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 road games.Under is 14-3 in Bulls last 17 overall. Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 games as a favorite. Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (CHICAGO) - off a home win, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 41-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for 72% conversion rate. Play on UNDER |
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10-31-21 | Cowboys v. Vikings OVER 52 | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 57 m | Show | |
Dallas is really lighting it up and look like a team possessed scoring 35, 44, 36, and 41 in their last 4 trips to the gridiron .Non-Division teams like the Cowboys who produced 35 or more points off offense in each of their last 4 contests are a perfect 6-0 L/6 opportunities OVER when the Total is 46 or higher. Dallas has gone over 9 straight times, vs the NFC north where the Vikings reside, and Im betting on rested legs and off a bye week they will light the board up against vs a inconsistent Vikings D.Over is 14-3-1 in Cowboys last 18 games following a bye week.DALLAS is 11-3 OVER in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 2 seasons for a combined average of 61.1 ppg. Meanwhile, the Vikings also off a bye week will have to fire back with some offensive fireworks of their own, which Im betting will result in a combined score to go over the offered number. Over is 5-0 in Vikings last 5 games following a bye week.Over is 10-4 in Vikings last 14 vs. NFC.MINNESOTA is 6-0 OVER as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 61.3 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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10-31-21 | Kings v. Mavs UNDER 219.5 | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Dallas has started this season paying special attention to defense and that has resulted in 5 straight unders. The Mavericks are ranked 8th in ppg allowed and 24th in pace and dead last in offensive output. Meanwhile, Sacramento runs at a faster pace, but will have their flow curtailed here which Im betting results in a combined score that remains on the low side of the offered number. Note: Afternoon NBA games also generally have a tendency of being slower events. Under is 6-0 in Kings last 6 Sunday games.Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 8-1 in Kings last 9 games as a road underdog.Under is 21-5-1 in Kings last 27 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 5-0 in Mavericks last 5 overall.Under is 5-0 in Mavericks last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 home games. Under is 12-3 in Mavericks last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NBA team (DALLAS) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 72-36 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER NBA team (DALLAS) - an excellent defensive team (104 or less PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 112-63 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play on the UNDER |
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10-30-21 | Penn State v. Ohio State UNDER 61 | 24-33 | Win | 100 | 35 h 48 m | Show | |
Penn State started their season with a 5-0 run and than after blowing a late lead lost to Iowa 20-18 in heart breaking fashion, and than in a letdown situation lost last time out in surprising fashion 20-18 to Illinois last time out. No matter what there has been one constant with Penn State this season, and that is a top tier D, both against the run and secondary as is evident by allowing an average of 14.7 ppg. With the opportunity to gain back some respect, Im betting the Lions really lean on the Buckeyes and make them work for points this week. This Im betting directly effects the combined score to the under as Penn State has also proven to be a conservative team on offense. Franklin is 11-2 UNDER after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game in all games he has coached with a combined average of 44.4 ppg scored. CFB team against the total (OHIO ST) - excellent offensive team ( 6.2 or more YPP) against a good defense (4.2 to 4.8 YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 32-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (OHIO ST) - with a good rushing D - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 32-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (OHIO ST) - with a good rushing D - allowing 125 or less rushing yards/game, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 37-10 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-30-21 | Knicks v. Pelicans UNDER 215 | 123-117 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
The Pelicans played and lost last night, and are now on tired legs . Add to that their offensive flow without Zion Williamson is muted ranking 27th in ppg offensive average and you have a situation where points will be hard to come by vs a staunch defensive side that plays a good portion of their games in a slow paced environment. note: Knicks rank 26th in pace in the NBA Under is 5-0-1 in Pelicans last 6 games as a home underdog.Under is 5-0 in Pelicans last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. NEW YORK is 9-0 UNDER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 195.2 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 20-9 UNDER after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons of 210.5 ppg. Under is 9-2 in Knicks last 11 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW YORK) - after a game where they covered the spread, a top-level team ( 75% or better) playing a struggling team (25% or less ) are 31-9 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 212.4 ppg. Play UNDER |
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10-30-21 | SMU v. Houston UNDER 62.5 | 37-44 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 48 m | Show | |
Houstons D, is of the top tier variety allowing just 17.3 ppg on the season and 14.3 ppg at home. I know SMU owns and explosive offense but Im betting they will be muted here. Meanwhile, SMUs D, is also under rated and despite of allowing alot of points in garbage time have still allowed an average of just 22.7 ppg . Today in this important game for these side, Im expecting more of a chess game than an all out slugfest which will result in this total not being eclipsed. HOUSTON is 20-7 UNDERoff a no-cover where the team won as a favorite with a combined average of 55.7 ppg scored. CFB team against the total (SMU) - dominant team (outgain opp. by 100+ YPG) against a good team (+50-+100 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 29-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. CFB team against the total (SMU) - excellent passing team - with a completion pct of 62% or better, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games are 57-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. CFB team against the total (SMU) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against a good defense (4.2 to 4.8 YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 32-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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10-30-21 | Georgia State v. Georgia Southern UNDER 56 | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 33 h 16 m | Show | |
Recent history in this series: Since the first meeting in this series back in 2014 the Panthers took the next three games, winning 34-7 in 2015 in Statesboro, 30-24 in 2016 in Atlanta and 21-17 in 2017 in Statesboro. GS won the next two games, 35-14 in 2018 in Atlanta and 38-10 in 2019 in Statesboro before the Panthers won last year 30-24 in Atlanta. According to these numbers none of confrontations has seen the combined score eclipse this total. Georgia Southern remains a ground-oriented team. The Eagles rank No. 1 in the conference with 238.5 yards per game. Meanwhile, Georgia State averages 221.9 yards rushing per game, No. 3 in the Sun Belt, behind its big, experienced offensive line and will also pound the ball. With both teams leaning on their ground games alot of clock time will be eaten, and Im betting that results in a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse the total. GEORGIA ST is 11-2 UNDER off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival with a combined average of 48.3 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (GEORGIA ST/GA Southern) - in a game involving two good rushing teams - both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG after 7+ games are 40-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-30-21 | Islanders v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Barry Trotz Islanders are now in a defensive groove and that discipline will continue here again vs the Nashville Predators this afternoon. Note: Isles goalie Ilya Sorokin for KHL phenom could easily be headed to towards NHL stardom if he stays healthy. He has already recorded 2 shutouts an was less than a minute away from a third one. Note:NY ISLANDERS are 8-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 41. gpg scored. NY ISLANDERS are 14-2 UNDER in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 4.2 gpg scored. NASHVILLE is 6-0 UNDER in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 3.7 gpg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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10-29-21 | Astros v. Braves OVER 8.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Astros Garcia struggled down the stretch after a very good season, and his problems have continued into the play offs. Considering Astros’ relievers saw alot of action in the first two games it wont be hard for me to imagine the Braves doing some damage today. Meanwhile, Anderson the Braves starter has been good but not spectacular this season, after an amazing 2020 season and my pitcher vs batting order rankings suggest he may take an early exist but before that Im betting on the Astros explosive offense to get back on track here in put enough runs on the board for us to eclipse this total. Atlanta used have a reputation for being a pitchers park but that has turned around a bit and must now be considered more of a hitters park. Over is 7-0 in Astros last 7 games as an underdog.Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 playoff games as an underdog. Over is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 interleague home games. Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 playoff games as an underdogMLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (HOUSTON) - AL team with a high slugging percentage (.440 or better ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 43-20 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-29-21 | Magic v. Raptors OVER 205.5 | 109-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Orlando has seen 4 of their 5 games go over the total this season, thanks to a bad D (allowing 120 or more points in 3 of those tilts. They will have to open up soon, or continue to see negative results because of their defensive ineptness. Tonight Im betting the Magic become more aggressive and for the Raptors to fire back in a tilt my projections estimate at 209. ORLANDO is 19-8 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 222.8 ppg scored in those 27 games.
NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (ORLANDO) - off a home loss, a struggling team (25% or ) playing a team with a losing record are 50-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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10-28-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 228 | 104-101 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
Golden State is back to running and gunning and rank 5th in offensive out put and 6th in pace in the NBA and Im betting they continue to push forward here at a high octane pace tonight vs a tired Memphis side that wont have the legs to play defense after playing last night and this being their 4th straight road game. Subsequently I expect the Grizzlies will have to open up or be blown of the court which will result in a higher scoring game than the lines-makers anticipate. MEMPHIS is 27-15 OVER in road games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.1 ppg scored in those 42 tilts. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE/MEMPHIS) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or more ), in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 36-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 237.4 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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10-28-21 | Flyers v. Canucks OVER 6 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
Philadelphia’s power play is explosive as is evident by having garnered a eye popping 36.4% success rate. On the flip side I have watched portions of some Canuck games and their defense is just to shaky and inconsistent to deal with this kind of pressure from a smooth skating Flyers side that usually plays a wide open style of hockey. finally the Canucks have a strong top 6 and I expect they wont go down without all out fight here in what Im betting will be a fairly high scoring affair. Over is 4-0 in Flyers last 4 vs. Pacific.Over is 9-1-1 in Flyers last 11 vs. Western Conference.Over is 5-1 in Canucks last 6 vs. Metropolitan.PHILADELPHIA is 11-1 OVER in road games after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 gpg scored. VANCOUVER is 8-1 OVER off a close home loss by 1 goal over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 gpg scored. Play OVER |
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10-28-21 | Troy v. Coastal Carolina UNDER 52 | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
Defensively, Troy has been in top form this season and Im betting they keep Coastal Carolina from one of their usually explosive offense outputs. They are hard to run on and pass against, thus Im betting that this will contribute greatly to a lower scoring affair that does not see this offered total eclipsed. l. Under is 5-0 in Trojans last 5 games on grass. Under is 9-2 in Trojans last 11 road games. Under is 5-1 in Chanticleers last 6 games in October. Under is 4-1 in Chanticleers last 5 games overall. COASTAL CAROLINA is 12-3 UNDER in home games after playing a conference game with a combined 47.1 ppg scored. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (TROY) - good passing team (230-275 PY/game) against an average passing defense (175-230 PY/game), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 24-4 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (COASTAL CAROLINA) - after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 49-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-28-21 | Hawks v. Wizards UNDER 222.5 | 111-122 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Washington early on this season is not running and gunning like they have in the recent past and their pace is now ranked 17th in the league and they at least for now are paying alot more attention to defensive play especially in transition which Im betting translates in lower offensive outputs. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks , currently rank 29th in pace while their D, has been staunch ranking 3rd in ppg allowed and 4th in the league in overall defensive rankings . With that said, Im betting on a lower scoring game than the offered total. Under is 9-3 in Hawks last 12 road games. Under is 9-2 in Wizards last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Washington. Play UNDER |
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10-27-21 | Braves v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Both these bullpens have been taxed and are vulnerable, Atlanta's stater today Fried is obviously a top tier hurler , however, the Astros have completely annihilated left-handed pitching during their current campaign and recorded the highest wRC+vs lefties in MLB this season . As of today the Astros own a .305 BA vs southpaws along with a .838 OPS against lefties while overall averaging 6.3 rpg in the post season against all hurlers. Im expecting for the Astors to bounce back from yesterdays 6-2 loss here with a big offensive output but Im also betting the Braves continue to astound the lines-makers with some offensive fireworks of their own vs J. Urquidy. The Houston hurler throws more than 55% of his pitches for fastballs, and the Braves are one of MLB best fastball hitting sides ranking 8th in the league agains these kind of hurlers. Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 playoff games as an underdog. Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games following a loss.Over is 6-0 in Astros last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. Play on the Astros to win |
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10-26-21 | Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 224 | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
Golden State won their 3rd straight game out of the gate this season, with their D, playing tough in Sacramento. Tonight against a Thunder team that look to have very little offensive flow at the moment, Im betting the Warriors once again will mute the Oklahoma City D, and aid in this tilt stay under the offered Totals number. Note: Oklahoma City is averaging just 93.3 ppg on offense so far this season. Under is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 games as a road favorite.Under is 5-0 in Thunder last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous games. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma City.Under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - an explosive offensive team (118 PPG or more ) against a horrible offensive team (104 or less PPG), after a win by 10 points or more are 25-5 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-25-21 | Magic v. Heat OVER 213.5 | 90-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Two interstate rivals go head to head in a early season tilt that has to low of a totals number attached to it according to my projections. My number is closer to 216 thus giving us value with an over wager. Note: MIAMI is 11-0 OVER as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.5 ppg scored. Over is 7-1 in Heat last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 6-1 in Heat last 7 games following a straight up loss.Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games following a ATS loss.Over is 10-2 in Heat last 12 games as a favorite. Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games as a home favorite. Over is 4-0 in Magic last 4 games as a road underdog.Over is 5-0 in Magic last 5 Monday games.Over is 7-0 in Magic last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 4-0 in Magic last 4 road games. Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 7-2 in Heat last 9 home games. Play OVER |
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10-24-21 | Celtics v. Rockets UNDER 224.5 | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
The Celtics looked tired in flat last time out in a 115-83 loss to the Raptors. Im now expecting a much more focused effort that will see Boston playing alot more basketball in transition while paying attention to this defensive play which will help keep this combined score on the low side of the offered number. BOSTON in their L/18 games after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more have seen a combined average of 202.6 ppg. Under is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 16-5 in Rockets last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 34-16-1 in Rockets last 51 home games. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (HOUSTON) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, team that had a losing record last season are 24-5 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 207 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (HOUSTON) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 40-14 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. 16 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996 here in Houston. Play UNDER |
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10-24-21 | Texans v. Cardinals UNDER 47.5 | 5-31 | Win | 100 | 44 h 20 m | Show | |
The Texans have scored a total of 35 points in 4 games (8.75 ppg). Arizona has allowed an average of 18 ppg, and Im betting both these means to averages will continue. I know the Texans D, is atrocious and the Cards are putting up points in bunches, but Im betting Texas does everything possible to turn this into a grinding slow motion affair. On the flip-side Arizona is off a road underdog win last time out, and be in a letdown state here vs a side that Im sure they are not taking very seriously no matter what they say. Also after playing 3 of their L/4 games and at break neck speed this will be a spot where the Cardinals energy levels will be lower than usual which will relate to a slower event that may might expect. These are my expectations, and right or wrong Im betting this game with confidence to the under. HOUSTON is 10-2 UNDER in road games after scoring 9 points or less last game with a combined average of 36.1 ppg scored. Note: undefeated non-division home teams like the Arizona Cardinal from GAME 5 and beyond have gone a 0-11-1UNDER L/5 seasons when the Totals offering is 45 or more. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (ARIZONA) - off a blowout upset win by 21 or more points as an underdog, after the first month of the season are 46-18 UNDER L/38 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-24-21 | Lions v. Rams UNDER 50.5 | 19-28 | Win | 100 | 74 h 51 m | Show | |
Detroit is ranked 28th in scoring in the NFL averaging 18.3 ppg and here against a solid Rams D, that output average will be further muted and have scored 17 or less points in 5 straight. That lack of productivity Im betting will help keep this combined score under the offered number. It must be noted that the LA Rams play at the rate in the NFL averaging just 59 plays per game. I expect a slower more deliberate game from the Rams after playing 2 consecutive road games. Its takes time to use to home cooking so I dont expect them to be as explosive as usual.
NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (LA RAMS) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 31-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-23-21 | Islanders v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
HC Barry Trotz Islanders after a rough start are back playing the type of disciplined hockey they have become famous for and Im betting here on the road in Arizona I expect another one of those top defensive efforts. NY ISLANDERS are 8-0 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4 gpg scored.
Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Arizona. Play UNDER |
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10-23-21 | Bucks v. Spurs OVER 223 | 121-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score in the high 220s here giving us ultimate value with an over wager in this spot. Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 road games. SAN ANTONIO is 14-4 OVER against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 230.2 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 games as a home underdog.Over is 5-0 in Spurs last 5 home games. These teams have gone over in 7 straight meetings. Play OVER |
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10-23-21 | BYU v. Washington State OVER 55.5 | 21-19 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 47 m | Show | |
My projections estimate both these sides will score+28 points which gives value to this over wager. Over is 9-2 in WStates last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 6-2 in Cougars last 8 games following a ATS win. Over is 5-1 in BYU Cougars last 6 games on fieldturf. Over is 3-1-1 in CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (BYU/WASH ST) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (21-28 PPG) after 7 or more games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 30-2 OVER L/10 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 72.6 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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10-23-21 | Western Michigan v. Toledo UNDER 54.5 | 15-34 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
My projections on total offensive output is based on trending stats , but also how both these coach's perform under certain situations and perimeters. Add to that a overall college football trend that denotes a lower scoring affair and I am solidly on the under here today. This is an important MAC game so it will see some chess master moves by both coaches that will keep the game more conservative than might usually be the case , which will Im betting keep this tilt under the total. Candle is 6-0 UNDER in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) as the coach of TOLEDO with a combined average of 49.1 ppg scored. Lester is 7-0 UNDER after a playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored as the coach of W MICHIGAN with a combined average of 44.5 ppg scored.Lester is 8-1 UNDER after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game as the coach of W MICHIGAN with a combined average of 49.1 ppg scored. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (W MICHIGAN) - after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 39-8 L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-23-21 | Flames v. Capitals UNDER 6 | 4-3 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
Washingtons goalie Vanecek, the 2014 second-round draft pick, has looked like the real deal while garnering 1.30 goals-against average and .946 save percentage in three games as he makes a case to be the team's No. 1 netminder in his second pro season. Im betting he holds down the fort here tonight vs struggling Calgary offense. Im betting on Calgary struggling to score in a conservative game plan out of transition and for Washington to do minimal damage vs a Flames side that will not be taking many chances. CALGARY is 18-8 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored. CALGARY is 17-7 UNDER ( in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. Under is 4-0-2 in Flames last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 6-1 in Flames last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1 in Flames last 6 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 10-2-1 in Flames last 13 road games.Under is 12-3-1 in Flames last 16 games as a road underdog. Under is 5-0-1 in Capitals last 6 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0-2 in Capitals last 6 games as a favorite.Under is 3-0-1 in Capitals last 4 Saturday games.Under is 4-0 in Capitals last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-1-1 in Capitals last 7 overall.Under is 5-1 in Capitals last 6 vs. Pacific. NHL team against the total (CALGARY) - struggling offensive team - scoring 2.4 or less goals/game on the season, after a blowout win by 3 goals or more are 39-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-22-21 | Suns v. Lakers UNDER 222.5 | 115-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
These numbers is bit high according to my projections and should be closer to 220 so we have a full possession value to the under. PHOENIX is 17-5 UNDER off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more since 1996 with a combined average of 201 ppg going on scoreboard. Under is 4-0-1 in Suns last 5 games as an underdog.Under is 4-0-1 in Suns last 5 games as a road underdog. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Los Angeles.Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings. LA LAKERS are 17-6 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.2 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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10-22-21 | Colorado State v. Utah State UNDER 59 | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Colorado States D, is up-trending in my power rankings, and have allowed a total of 51 points in their L/4 trips to the gridiron ( 12.75 ppg average) and their ability to slow down Utah States attack will help directly keep this game from going over the number. Meanwhile, Utah State after an explosive start offensively have settled down and have 24,28, and 3 points in their L/3 with all those tilts staying under the total. Tonight Im expecting a grinding game between two Mountain west squads and a total that will not be eclipsed. Note: CSU is 4-1 under L/5 overall. COLORADO ST is 37-19 UNDER L/56 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) with a combined average of 51.6 ppg going on the board. UTAH ST is 39-21 UNDER L/60 when the total is between 56.5 and 63 with a combined average of 56 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (COLORADO ST) - with a good rushing D - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 31-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 52.8 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-22-21 | Red Sox v. Astros OVER 9 | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
The Astros offense has averaged 6.9 runs per game this postseason, ranked No. 1 in the MLB play offs and and have scored at least five runs in eight of their nine games. Here against BoSox starter Eovaldi a rinse and repeat situation is expected. especially considering how shaky Red sox bullpen support has been Note: From the 49 runs allowed by Boston in the post season 27 have been allowed by the bullpen Meanwhile, Astros starter Luis Garcia has had issues in his first two starts this postseason, not going past the third inning while giving up five earned runs in each outing and has garnered a ugly 24.55 ERA this postseason. He is not 100% with a knee injury and could easily get bounced around here from a Red Sox batting order that despite of being inconsistent can light up the best of hurlers in this league.HOUSTON is 11-1 OVER in October games this season with an average of 12.4 rpg going on the board. Play OVER |
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10-22-21 | Hornets v. Cavs UNDER 225.5 | 123-112 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Both these teams took part in wide open back forth high scoring hoops affairs in their first games of the season. Both now Im betting are on slightly tired legs and will now play a more conservative brand of hoops here in their 2nd game of the season. My projections estimate both sides will score no more than +108 points which sets in play key trends. CHARLOTTE is 17-0 UNDER where both teams score 108 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 202.1 ppg going on the board .CLEVELAND is 18-1 UNDER where both teams score 108 or less points in a game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 192.8 ppg scored. Under is 6-1 in Hornets last 7 games as a favorite.Under is 4-1 in Hornets last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 Friday games.Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHARLOTTE) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 26-6 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-21-21 | San Jose State v. UNLV OVER 43.5 | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
When these teams played last season San Jose State won by a 34-17 count. Now despite of the Spartans offensive numbers showing. a distinct drop from last season, my own projections estimate they matchup well here vs D allowing 35 ppg on average and should easily go above their offensive season averages. Meanwhile, UNLV winless on the season, are desperate for a win and will not be conservative in their approach here today and will come at the Spartans in aggressive fashion which increases the probability of an output that goes over this offered total. UNLV is 21-9 OVER L/30 vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game.UNLV is 20-4 OVERoff a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival with a combined average of 65.8 ppg scored. Over is 6-0 in Rebels last 6 Thursday games. Over is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (UNLV) - off a home loss against a conference rival, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 69-35 OVER L/10 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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10-20-21 | Celtics v. Knicks UNDER 218.5 | 134-138 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
The Knicks had success last year playing a grinding systematic brand of hoops and nothing will change this season. Meanwhile, Boston is a little banged up, with Horford is Out (COVID-19), Jaylen Brown is questionable (COVID-19) and Payton Pritchard is probable (nose) and their flow could easily be off here in a tilt I have pegged to stay on the low side of the offered totals number. Under is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 road games.Under is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 games as a road underdog. Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games as a favorite.Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games as a home favorite.Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 home games. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |
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10-19-21 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
The Braves turn to veteran right-hander Charlie Morton, who went 14-6 with a 3.34 ERA in the regular season and this season and 8-4 on the road along with a 2.96 ERA. He was 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA vs. Los Angeles this season and is more than capable of slowing down a suddenly struggling Dodgers offense. Note: The Dodgers are just 2-for-18 with runners in scoring position in the series. Meanwhile, the dodgers will respond with Walker Buelher who owns. a2.05 ERA at home this season, and is 3-0 when starting against Atlanta in his career along with a 3.06 ERA. Im betting on both these pitchers and two viable bullpens to help keep this game on the low side of the offered number. BUEHLER is 18-6 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 to -200 in his career . (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored in those 24 games. Under is 6-1-2 in Dodgers last 9 League Championship home games.Under is 7-3 in Dodgers last 10 playoff games. Under is 23-10-5 in Dodgers last 38 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 18-7-2 in Dodgers last 27 vs. National League East. Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as a road underdog.Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games following an off day.Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 playoff road games.Under is 18-6-2 in Braves last 26 games as an underdog.Under is 13-6-2 in Braves last 21 vs. National League West. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles. Play UNDER |
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10-18-21 | Astros v. Red Sox OVER 9 | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
AMERICAN League Playoffs - LCS - Best Of 7 - Game 3 Astros starter URQUIDY is 13-5 OVER vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored in those 18 games. URQUIDY is 12-4 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. BoSox Starter RODRIGUEZ in 63 games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 12-4 OVER as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season with a combined score of 11.5 rpg going on the board in those 16 games. Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 overall. Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as an underdog.Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road underdog.Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 playoff games. BOSTON is 32-16 OVER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons with an average of 11 rpg scored in this 48 games. Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall. Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 playoff games.Over is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 on grass.Over is 7-0 in Red Sox last 7 vs. American League West.Over is 10-1-1 in Red Sox last 12 League Championship home games. Over is 7-1-2 in Red Sox last 10 League Championship games. Play OVER |
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10-18-21 | Seattle Kraken v. Flyers OVER 6 | 1-6 | Win | 101 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
The Flyers continue to run and gun in explosive back forth action. They started their season much like how they played most of their tilts last season with a tilt that featured 9 total goals while losing to Vancouver by a 5-4 count. PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 OVER after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. the Kraken did play a strong defensive game last time out, losing to Columbus 2-1, but here tonight Im betting they will be pressed into action or be blown off the ice by a team only playing their 2nd game of the season. This is the Krakens 4th game already all on the road and Im sure tired legs are starting to set in making them defensive vulnerable. Over is 3-0-1 in Flyers last 4 vs. Western Conference.Over is 3-0-1 in Flyers last 4 home games.Over is 8-1-1 in Flyers last 10 games as a home favorite.Over is 5-1 in Flyers last 6 vs. Pacific.Over is 19-6-1 in Flyers last 26 games as a favorite. Play OVER |
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10-17-21 | Rams v. Giants UNDER 49 | 38-11 | Push | 0 | 51 h 27 m | Show | |
Giants offense is banged up with Barkely Jones expected out and a few more keys guys expected to miss or be less than 100% if they do play. The giants struggle at the best times to score so now this week against a tough D, Im betting their output problems continue . This is a contributional factor I have used to recommend we take the under here today. The Gmen have seen their L/6 home games stay under the total with a combined average of 36 ppg scored. LA RAMS are 6-0 UNDER vs. struggling teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 38.5 ppg scored. LA RAMS are 6-0 UNDER vs. inconsistent defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 36.6 ppg scored. LA RAMS are 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 40.2 ppg going on the board. Under is 5-1 in Rams last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 16-5 in Rams last 21 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Under is 21-7 in Rams last 28 games as a favorite.Under is 11-4 in Rams last 15 games as a road favorite. NFL team against the total (LA RAMS) - off a road win against a division rival, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 31-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams against the total (NY GIANTS) - off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a division rival, with a losing record are 31-9 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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10-16-21 | Iowa State v. Kansas State UNDER 51 | 33-20 | Loss | -106 | 31 h 49 m | Show | |
Iowa State plays a grinding type of football and in 3 diff games allowed 10-7-3 points. the last two meetings in this series have stayed under the total. rinse and repeat. IOWA ST is 6-0 UNDER off a home win over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 45.1 ppg scored. IOWA ST is 7-0 UNDER L/7 in road games vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return with a combined average of 41.9 ppg going on the scoreboard. CFB team against the total (KANSAS ST) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 25-2 UNDER for a 93% conversion rate with a combined average of 46.8 ppg scored. CFBeam against the total (IOWA ST) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 30-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with a combined average of 48.1 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-16-21 | Stars v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
The Stars took a 3-2 win vs the Rangers in the first game of the season, and continued to show a disciplined defensive style of play that attacks usually only out of transition. With my projections expecting a lower scoring affair because of the Bruins expected style of play and under wager here is a viable money making opportunity for under bettors. Under is 6-1-1 in Bruins last 8 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Under is 12-4-5 in Stars last 21 games as a road underdog. DALLAS is 22-9 UNDER on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-16-21 | Purdue v. Iowa UNDER 43 | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
IOWA is 15-3 UNDER when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 38.8 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (PURDUE) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 24-2 with the average combined score clicking in at 34.6 ppg. Play UNDER |
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10-15-21 | California v. Oregon UNDER 54 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 40 m | Show | |
Oregon and California have a long history of low scoring affairs with 9 of the L/10 meetings staying under the total. The two most recent meetings have seen 24 and 38 combined points go on the board. Rinse and repeat this Friday night. Wilcox is 12-4 UNDER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game as the coach of CALIFORNIA with a combined average of 47.7 ppg scored.Wilcox is 9-2 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or more ) as the coach of CALIFORNIA with a combined average of 42 ppg going on the scoreboard.Wilcox is 22-11 UNDER against conference opponents as the coach of CALIFORNIA with a combined average of 46.7 ppg scored.Wilcox in 6 games as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of CALIFORNIA has seen a combined average of 46 ppg scored. Under is 9-3 in Golden Bears last 12 games as a road underdog. Under is 9-3 in Golden Bears last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 8-3 in Golden Bears last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 9-3 in Ducks last 12 games in October.O record.Under is 5-0 in Ducks last 5 games following a bye week. Play UNDER |
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10-11-21 | Rays v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | 5-6 | Win | 105 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Two tired pitching staffs/bullpens has me taking an over stance here today behind two explosive offenses. TAMPA BAY is 20-8 OVER in road games vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 30-18 OVER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. BOSTON is 16-6 OVER with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings this season MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (TAMPA BAY) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 110-49 OVER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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10-10-21 | Bills v. Chiefs OVER 56.5 | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 57 h 36 m | Show | |
This game is a one way street to an over in my betting opinion. Chiefs rank 30th in overall defense allowing. a whopping 438 ypg)and rank 30th in scoring defense at 31.3 ppg. Meanwhile, the Bills average 33.5 ppg and more than 400 ypd on offense. I know the Bills D is strong, but KC can score and explode offensively against any side, and put 40 points on the board last week. This is a pretty high total but Ill take a square stance here and take the over in what should be a prime time shootout. KANSAS CITY is 9-1 OVER in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 58.1 ppg scored. BUFFALO is 6-0 OVER ( in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a. combined average of 57.3 ppg scored. NFL Road teams against the total (BUFFALO) - dominant team - outgaining their opponents by 1.25 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game are 73-36 OVER L/38 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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10-10-21 | Browns v. Chargers UNDER 47.5 | 42-47 | Loss | -112 | 52 h 12 m | Show | |
These are two very solid defensive sides going head to head today. Cleveland has allowed 16.8 ppg this season, and LAC 18.5 ppg. More of the same looks to be on tap this Sunday. LA CHARGERS are 29-11 UNDER L/40 in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or better ) with a combined average of 40.3 ppg scored. LA CHARGERS are 9-1 UNDER L/10 versus excellent rushing defenses - allowing 70 or less rushing yards/game with a combined average of 30.7 ppg scored. LA CHARGERS are 9-1 UNDER as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 40.4 ppg going on the board. Cleveland in wins in which they allowed only 6 and 7 points which was the case against the Bears in Vikings have seen All non-division road teams off back-to-back wins in which they allowed 7 or less points EACH go under 7 straight times dating back 10 seasons. NFL Road teams against the total (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight game are 56-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NFL teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (LA CHARGERS) - good passing team - averaging 230 or more passing yards/game, after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 39-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-09-21 | UTSA v. Western Kentucky UNDER 72 | 52-46 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky one way offensive pass crazy attack will have problems penetrating the red zone here this week against terrific UTSA pass defense and Im expecting UTSA to pound away on the ground here in methodical fashion and eat up alot of clock time , which will result in a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect . UTSA is 11-1 UNDER when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons UTSA is 12-4 UNDER in all games over the last 2 seasons. UTSA is 7-0 UNDER vs. bad defensive teams who give up 31 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (/UTSA W KENTUCKY) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in the first half of the season are 29-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (W KENTUCKY) - in a game involving two mistake-free teams (1.25 turnovers/game committed) are 40-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-09-21 | Maryland v. Ohio State UNDER 71.5 | 17-66 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 24 m | Show | |
10-07-21 | White Sox v. Astros OVER 7.5 | 1-6 | Loss | -114 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
AMERICAN League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 1 Both these starting pitchers have alot of postseason experience, with Lynn having pitched in 26 times (seven starts), with a 5-4 record and 4.80 ERA, while McCullers has gone 1-2 with a 3.28 ERA in 14 playoff games (seven starts). They go against two explosive offenses and my pitcher vs batting orders rankings suggest a score of 8+ runs giving us value with an over wager according to my projections. HOUSTON is 14-4 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better this season.HOUSTON is 30-17 OVER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. Over is 11-3-1 in Astros last 15 Divisional Playoff home games. Over is 11-3 in Astros last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 playoff games as an underdog. Play OVER |
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10-03-21 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 54.5 | 42-30 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
KC has played some back and forth affairs this season, scoring and allowing more than 24 points in all 3 games. In the past this has resulted in NFL teams going 0-7-1 UNDER in the last 4 season in the following tilt when the following perimeters have been met- NFL road favorites of 3 or more pts after scoring and allowing 24 pts or more in EACH of their last three tilts. With the Eagles on short rest off a Monday night game Im expecting a more subdued conservative effort vs a more rested team. Also I doubt highly the Eagles will be willing to take part in a shootout here and this Im betting results in a lower scoring game than the pundits might expect. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER in home games vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 34.5 ppg . PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 29.5 ppg going on the board. PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 UNDER in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 35.1 ppg scored. . PHILADELPHIA has gone an UNDER- 13-31 UNDER for a 70% conversion rate in all home games over the last 5 seasons including having gone under in 9 of 10 games as home pups of 7 or less points . Play UNDER |
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09-24-21 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks OVER 10 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter T. Gonsolin 0-2 with a 4.63 ERA in six appearances and five starts at Chase Field. Meanwhile, Dbacks starter HUMBERTO CASTELLANOS has seen his L/3 starts feature a combined 10 runs or more all of which went over, while garnering a 7.07 ERA. LA DODGERS are 15-4 OVER in road games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 38%) or less in the second half of the season.
MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ARIZONA) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 42-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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09-20-21 | Lions v. Packers UNDER 48.5 | 17-35 | Loss | -109 | 85 h 37 m | Show | |
After the disaster of week 1 , for Green Bay which resulted in a lopsided 38-3 loss to New Orleans I expect a disciplined effort from the Packers in what will be a conservative mind set vs their long time division rivals the Detroit Lions. Meanwhile, the gridiron crew from Motown will also be ready to be more defensive minded after a 41-33 shootout in week 1 that resulted in a loss. Note: DETROIT is 37-20 UNDER L/57 in road games after allowing 30 points or more last game. NFL Home teams against the total (GREEN BAY) - versus division opponents, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 31-5 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams against the total (GREEN BAY) - versus division opponents, off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite are 22-2 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-20-21 | Pirates v. Reds UNDER 9.5 | 5-9 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Pirates starter Peters (1-2, 2.66 ERA) was in top form against the Reds on Tuesday, throwing five shutout innings for his first MLB win since Sept. 24, 2019, when he played for the Los Angeles Angels. Im betting he and the Reds Guiterrez matchup well against both batting orders and that their bullpens should do enough to keep the combined score here on the low side of the total. PITTSBURGH is 15-5 UNDER in road games revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season. Under is 6-1-2 in Pirates last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 3-1-2 in Pirates last 6 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 10-4-3 in Pirates last 17 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 7-2-1 in Reds last 10 games as a favorite. Under is 9-3-1 in Reds last 13 overall.Under is 9-3-1 in Reds last 13 on grass.Under is 6-2-1 in Reds last 9 vs. National League Central. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL are 46-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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09-18-21 | Orioles v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
Red Sox starter PIVETTA is 8-1 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)PIVETTA is 12-2 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Pivetta is 6-0 with a 2.95 ERA in six career starts against the Orioles and Im betting his ability to limit the Orioles offensive output today will have a direct effect on keeping the combined score on the low side of the offered total. I know Orioles rookie starter Lowther may not inspire under bettors, but his numbers are a bit tainted thanks to facing the Red Sox in his first career start and then taking on the explosive Blue Jays in his 2nd start. After those firestorms I expect this talented hurler to show some more poise and keep the Red sox under at least minimal control. BOSTON is 22-11 UNDER vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 overall.Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as an underdog.Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 on grass.Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 vs. American League East. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play UNDER |
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09-15-21 | Angels v. White Sox UNDER 9.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Pale Hose starter Keuchel has been dominant against the Angels in his career, going 12-2 with a 3.55 ERA in 19 appearances, including 18 starts and Im betting that continues here tonight. Meanwhile, Angels will answer with Rookie right-hander Janson Junk (0-1, 2.45 ERA) . Under is 5-1-3 in White Sox last 9 vs. American League West.Under is 5-1-1 in White Sox last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 10-4 in Angels last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 17-7 in Angels last 24 games as a road underdog. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 34-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings in Chicago. Play UNDER |
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09-15-21 | Liberty v. Sun UNDER 148.5 | 69-98 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 145 giving us a full possession edge on this number. CONNECTICUT is 8-1 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or better of their attempts this season. CONNECTICUT is 7-1 UNDER when playing with 3 or more days rest this season. NEW YORK is 8-1 UNDER in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CONNECTICUT) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games are 31-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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09-13-21 | Padres v. Giants UNDER 8 | 1-9 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (SAN DIEGO) - cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games are 53-21 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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09-13-21 | Marlins v. Nationals OVER 7.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Alcantara is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA this season vs the Nationals. The Marlins starter allowed five runs (four earned) including 2 HRs. In seven career starts versus the Nats, Alcantara is 1-6 with a 6.50 ERA and according to my power rankings and Im betting he gets lit up again. Meanwhile, the Nationals fire back with struggling starter Espino who is 1-1 with a 6.08 ERA in his L/ 23 ⅔ innings of sub par work where he , surrendered 16 earned runs including six home runs. Im also betting on him giving up enough runs to help this combined score easily eclipse this total offering. Over is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record. WASHINGTON is 38-24 OVER in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. MARTINEZ is 52-24 OVER in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season as the manager of WASHINGTON. Play OVER |
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09-11-21 | Air Force v. Navy UNDER 41 | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 54 h 11 m | Show | |
Military Academies are on a 39-8-1 UNDER run! Play UNDER |
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09-11-21 | Middle Tennessee State v. Virginia Tech OVER 54 | 14-35 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
Middle Tennessee State cranked it up offensively FCS opponent Monmouth, 50-15 and will come in there ready to keep an aggressive offensive mind set alive. Virginia Tech Im betting will also take advantage of Middle Tennessee State team that allowed 35.4 points and 446 yards per game last season. Last year, Virginia Tech averaged 31.1 points per game. Play OVER |
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09-07-21 | Blue Jays v. Yankees UNDER 9 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
NYY starter Cole and Blue Jays expected starter today Matz have both been in top form during the last month of this campaign. Since the start of August, these stud hurlers have combined for a 1.57 ERA in 57 1/3 innings of top tier work with a total of 8 runs crossing the plate . Cole has garnered a minuscule 0.73 ERA in his L/4 trips to the hill, Meanwhile, Matz has garnered 1.65 ERA and allowed just two runs or less in his L/6 starts. I know both these sides can realy rev up their offences but today Im betting on the a pitchers duel and enough bullpen support to keep this tilt on the low side of the total. NY YANKEES are 9-1 UNDER vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage of .440 or better in the second half of the season this season. TORONTO is 24-11 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasonsTORONTO is 19-9 UNDER in road games against division opponents this season.TORONTO is 26-16 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. Under is 10-2 in Blue Jays last 12 games as an underdog. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in New York. Play on the UNDER |
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09-06-21 | Edmonton Elks v. Calgary UNDER 43 | 32-20 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Both Calgary and Edmonton have proved to have pedestrian offenses so far this season, and for their defenses to be of the top tier variety. The Elks have gone under 3 straight times and Calgary 3 out of 4 games. Non of the Edmonton games have seen a combined average above 43 points and only 1 of the Stamps games have eclipsed this offered total. Calgary has seen an average of 37.2 ppg scored in their 4 trips to the gridiron and Edmonton an average of 38.8 combined ppg scored. Under is 3-0-1 in Stampeders last 4 games in Week 5.Under is 6-1 in Stampeders last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 12-4 in Stampeders last 16 games following a ATS win. Under is 4-0 in Elks last 4 games overall.Under is 5-1 in Elks last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. .Under is 13-4-1 in Elks last 18 road games.Under is 8-3 in Elks last 11 games as a road underdog.Under is 7-3 in Elks last 10 vs. West EDMONTON is 6-0 UNDER in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 39.5 ppg scored. EDMONTON is 7-0 UNDER allowing 275 or less total yards/game over their last 2 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 35.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play on the UNDER |
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09-06-21 | Giants v. Rockies UNDER 11 | 10-5 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
Colorado starter FREELAND is 9-1 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 12-1 UNDER vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 11-1 UNDER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) SF starter GAUSMAN is 56-33 UNDER against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record) COLORADO is 31-16 UNDER at home when the total is 11 or higher this season. Under is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 8-1 in Rockies last 9 games as a home underdog.Under is 14-3 in Rockies last 17 games as an underdog.Under is 9-2 in Rockies last 11 vs. National League West. SAN FRANCISCO is 17-5 UNDER in road games after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons. Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games as a favorite.Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. MLB Road teams where the total is 10 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL), with a team batting average of .245 or worse on the season (NL) are 44-12 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-05-21 | Pirates v. Cubs OVER 9 | 8-11 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
Veteran right-hander Zach Davies (6-10, 4.91 ERA)goes to the hill for the Cubs today vs the Pirates. Davies is winless in his past seven starts, going 0-4 along with a bloated 6.82 ERA during that span and Im betting his lopsided ERA stays the same or continues to inflate.In 17 career starts against the Pirates, Davies owns a 4.64 ERA. He has faced Pittsburgh three times this season, and garnered a 5.65 ERA. Meanwhile, the Pirates will fire back with right-hander Wil Crowe (3-7, 5.46). Crowe has gone five starts without a victory and is seeking his first win since July 30 against Philadelphia. My projections and pitcher vs batting order rankings suggest that he will get lit up by the Cubs in this spot and help this score eclipse the total. Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 games as a home favorite. Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Chicago. |
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09-03-21 | Northern Colorado v. Colorado OVER 56 | 7-35 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
Im betting Colorado smashes Northern Colorado with offensive punch after offensive punch here tonight . The Buffs averaged 4.6 yards per attempt and ranked 22nd in the nation in rushing yards per game vs top tier College Football opposition and here versus a defense that gave up a whopping 5.8 yards per carry and nearly 250 rushing yards per game against FCS competition some big time output is my bet. Im also expecting Colorados incoming QB Lewis to highlight a strong arm and aerial phenomenons against a suspect Northern Colorado secondary. On the flip side Im also betting on Northern Colorados spread offense to do more damage than the lines-makers expect vs a Buffs pass D that can be extorted and a D that allowed more than 32 points four times last season, and run D that was ranked 114th in the nation last season. Over is 5-2 in Buffaloes last 7 games overall. Play OVER . |
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09-02-21 | Brewers v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
The Giants will put , right-hander Logan Webb (8-3, 2.65 ERA), on the hill to face Brewers lefty Eric Lauer (4-5, 3.61).Webb owns a 1.47 ERA in his L/13 starts. Brewers starter Lauer formerly with the Padres knows the Giants well and has never lost to them going 3-0 with a viable 4.08 ERA in seven games, including six starts and is capable of slowing down a suddenly struggling SF offence that is averaging just 2.6 rpg in their L/7 trips to the diamonds. WEBB is 9-1 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) WEBB is 8-0 UNDER in home games this season. (Team's Record) MILWAUKEE is 13-3 UNDER as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (MILWAUKEE) - with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts, after a game where their bullpen blew a save are 55-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-01-21 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
Since being acquired from the Washington Nationals at the trade deadline, Dodgers starter tonight Scherzer is 4-0 with the Dodgers along with garnering a 1.55 ERA. SCHERZER is 14-4 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 31-19 UNDER in road games against right-handed starters this season. The Braves starting left hander Max Fried (11-7, 3.54), is 4-0 along with a 1.36 ERA in five August starts. In two outings against the Dodgers in last year's National League Championship Series, Fried was 0-1 in two starts with a 2.84 ERA in 12 2/3 innings of top tier work. I am betting on more of the same here this evening. Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 road games. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (ATLANTA) - with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts, after a game where their bullpen blew a save are 54-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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08-29-21 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | 2-13 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Astros: Zack Greinke (11-4, 3.41 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 109 strikeouts) Rangers: Taylor Hearn (3-4, 3.82 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 71 strikeouts) Astros starting hurler GREINKE is 18-2 UNDER as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 9-0 UNDER in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 10-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Astros pitching staff has been solid this season garnering a 3.61 team ERA, fifth overall. Grienke owns a 1.42 ERA in his L/3 starts. Meanwhile, southpaw Taylor Hearn the Rangers starter has recorded a 3.69 ERA in his L/3 starts and is in good form in the moment and a viable pitcher to slow down the bats of the Astros. The last series between these side saw the Rangers held to only five runs in the three-game sweep against Houston late last month and in two games in this series now the Rangers have mustered only 6 total runs and Im expecting more futility today. TEXAS is 30-19 UNDER in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.TEXAS is 16-5 UNDER in home games in day games this season. Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games as a road favorite. Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. Play UNDER |
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08-28-21 | Nationals v. Mets UNDER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
NYMets starter STROMAN is 19-4 UNDER in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season. (Team's Record) STROMAN is 10-1 UNDER in home games this season. (Team's Record) STROMAN is 8-1 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) The Nationals are 0-10 UNDER L/10 on the road after their opponent left fewer than 10 men on base individually last game. Under is 37-16-3 in Nationals last 56 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. NY Mets have gone under in 9 of the L/10 seasons . Play UNDER |
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08-27-21 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 9 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
The Rockies are 0-15 UNDER L/15 when Kyle Freeland starts as a road dog of at least +140 after throwing a quality start last outing. FREELAND is 14-2 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better ) in his career. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 11-1 UNDER vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) On the flip side, LAs pitching and defence are in top form and have allowed more than 3 runs just once in 10 games. Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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08-27-21 | Eagles v. Jets UNDER 33.5 | 31-31 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 53 m | Show | |
The Eagles were shut out last week and it looks very much they will have issues with point production at least for the early part of this season. Hurts and company did score in a scrimmage drill against the Jets , but they faced lower tier bench opposition in one successful drive. Meanwhile first year NYJ head coach, Saleh is “leaning towards” playing quarterback Zach Wilson, the starting offensive line and the entire starting defense for possibly as much as the first two quarters Friday against the Eagles. Wilson and the offense are pedestrian and my opinion, but the D, looks solid according to my very early season rankings. This all points to a lower scoring pre season tilt. Note: During a joint scrimmage between these two teams, this week the Jets’ first- and second-teamers did not score, with Wilson’s one turn ending on a fourth-down sack. Jets have gone under in 9 straight preseason home games. These teams have combined to average 22.6 ppg in their L/5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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08-23-21 | Royals v. Astros OVER 9 | 7-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Astros starter Greinke has pitched well lately but he Astros are 8-0 OVER L/8 when Zack Greinke starts at home after he gave up no walks in his last start with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. (This was the case last time out) GREINKE is 23-11 OVER in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 24-11 OVER in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Daniel Lynch goes for the Royals. This is his 2nd straight vs the Astros and their vaunted offense knows him well. Lynch as a road starter this season has garnered a sub par 4.61 ERA and 1.61 WHIP this season and night tilts during this current campaign he has register a ugly 6.10 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in six trips to the hill. He will be backed by a Royals bullpen that has accumulated 4.92 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Houston. Play OVER |
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08-22-21 | Braves v. Orioles OVER 10 | 3-1 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Atlanta will start right-hander Touki Toussaint (2-2, 4.01 ERA) Sunday against Baltimore left-hander John Means (5-5, 3.44).Means will be making his first start against Atlanta. Toussaint lost his only career start against Baltimore last Sept. 14, when he allowed eight runs (five earned) on seven hits in 2 2/3 innings of a 14-1 loss and my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he will get lit up again vs the Orioles offence. Meanwhile, the red hotBraves who are on a 12 game road win streak will also have a big output of production vs Means and the Orioles sub par bullpen, which will help us see a combined score that eclipses this total. BALTIMORE is 13-2 OVER vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. BALTIMORE is 12-3 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season. Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Over is 7-1 in Braves last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Play OVER |
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08-20-21 | Mets v. Dodgers OVER 8 | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY METS) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or better) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 42-9 OVER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. (Todays starting pitchers Carrasco/Buehler fit these parameters and my projections also signal a 9 or more combined score . ROBERTS is 33-17 OVER vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season as the manager of LA DODGERS with a combined average score of 9.3 rpg going on the scoreboard. Play over |
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08-20-21 | Mariners v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
According to my projections based on my pitcher vs batting order power rankings a total combined score of 9+ runs scored. The Mariners are 14-0 OVER L/14 on the road when they are off two straight wins in which they never trailed. Over is 16-7 in Astros last 23 vs. American League West. Over is 39-17 in Astros last 56 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (SEATTLE) - after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs, playing on Friday are 57-21 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play OVER |
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08-19-21 | Patriots v. Eagles OVER 38 | 35-0 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
In week 2 of the NFLX I look for vulnerable totals and my projections based on starters and depth players has me projecting a higher combined score than the lines-makers here in this tilt featuring the Eagles and the Pats. Im expecting rookie head coach Nick Sirianni to be motivated and for his players under an aggressive offensive system to back him here against Future HOF super bowl HC Belichick and company . The L/ 6 meetings in this series are 6-0 OVER with a combined average of (54.5 ppg) going on the board. Play OVER |
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08-19-21 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Dbacks veteran starter Bumgarner (6-7, 4.30 ERA) has pitched well in six starts since returning from a shoulder injury that sidelined him for six-plus weeksHe allowed two or fewer earned runs in each of the starts while going 2-2 with a 2.09 ERA.Phillies BUMGARNER is 12-1 UNDER as a home underdog of +125 or more in his career (Team's Record) Phillies starter Wheeler, leads the majors in strikeouts (187) and innings pitched (162) while making 24 starts.The All-Star has struck out 10 or more batters six times. He fanned 11 on Aug. 8 when he tossed a two-hit shutout against the Mets. That was his second shutout and third complete game of the season, tying him for the major league lead in both categories.NYM WHEELER is 13-5 UNDER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) Im betting on a pitchers duel here this afternoon. Under is 9-1-1 in Phillies last 11 overall.Under is 8-2 L/10 meetings in Arizona. Play UNDER |
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08-19-21 | Astros v. Royals UNDER 9 | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
Royals starter MINOR is 10-1 UNDER vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) MINOR is 11-1 UNDER as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MINOR is 31-13 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 7-3 in Astros last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter. My projections estimate no more than 8 runs here giving us value with a under wager. Under is 7-1-1 in Astros last 9 games following a loss.(Astros lost last time out) Under is 9-3-1 in Astros last 13 vs. a team with a losing record. KANSAS CITY is 23-9 UNDER vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season. MATHENY is 16-4 UNDER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in all games he has managed since 1997. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 34-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-18-21 | Astros v. Royals UNDER 9.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
GREINKE is 8-0 UNDER in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 17-2 UNDER ) as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Astros are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 when Zack Greinke starts as a road favorite of at least -130. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 33-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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08-18-21 | Brewers v. Cardinals UNDER 7 | 6-4 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
On Wednesday, the Brewers will start right-hander Freddy Peralta (9-3, 2.26 ERA), who has a 1.85 ERA in his past 15 starts. St.Louis right-hander Jack Flaherty (9-1, 2.65) in his second start since he missed 2 1/2 months will go to the hill for the Cards. Flaherty scattered two hits over six innings in a 6-0 victory over the Kansas City Royals on Friday. Im betting both thee hurlers go ling and strong here today and along with bullpen support help keep this tilt on the low side of the totals number being offered. Cards starter FLAHERTY is 11-1 UNDER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season . (Team's Record) MILWAUKEE is 22-8 UNDER in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 3 seasons ST LOUIS is 12-1 UNDER in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better over the last 3 seasons like Peralata. SHILDT is 21-8 UNDER in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better as the manager of ST LOUIS. Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (MILWAUKEE) - after a combined score of 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 40-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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08-18-21 | Storm v. Liberty UNDER 156.5 | 79-83 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a score in the low to mid 150s. Giving us value on anything above 155. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (SEATTLE) - after one or more consecutive overs, very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game are 144-86 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate! Play UNDER |
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08-14-21 | Yankees v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 7-5 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
The Yankees will send right-hander Jameson Taillon (7-4, 3.82 ERA). to the hill He is coming off back-to-back quality starts, including his last outing when he allowed one unearned run on four hits in six innings against the Kansas City Royals. In two career starts against the White Sox, Taillon is 0-0 with a 1.69 ERA and Im betting on him coming uo big again and limiting the potent White Sox attack here. Meanwhile, Chicago will counter with right-hander Dylan Cease (9-6, 3.99 ERA) who is in top form recently a nd off striking out 10 batters in 5 innings last time out, and overall On the season, Cease has punched out 159 strikeouts in 119 2/3 innings. Im betting for both to long anf strong and to provide us with a top tier effort that sees this combined score stay on the low side of the offered number. The Yankees are 0-12 UNDER L/12 as a road dog after their bullpen allowed multiple runs last game. NY YANKEES are 19-9 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (NY YANKEES) - with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts, after a game where their bullpen blew a save are 50-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-13-21 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 9 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
WASHINGTON is 20-8 OVER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season this season. Washington is 10-2 OVER L/12 games overall. Over is 5-0-1 in Nationals last 6 games a home underdog.Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Atlanta has gone over in 6 of their L/8 games overall. Over is 5-1 in Braves last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 5-1 in Braves last 6 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 20-5-2 in Braves last 27 Friday games. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ATLANTA) - after 4 straight games where they had 7 or less hits against opponent after 2 straight games with no home runs are 27-9 OVER L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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08-13-21 | Astros v. Angels UNDER 9 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Astros starter GREINKE is 23-11 UNDER in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 35-18 UNDER in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in his career. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 16-2 UNDER as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Astros are 0-10-1 UNDER l/11 Zack Greinke starts as a road favorite of at least -130. Meanwhile, angels starer PATRICK SANDOVAL owns a 1.86 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and matches up well here vs the Astros batting order according to my pitcher vs offence power rankings. Pitchers duel is my call. Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 6-2-1 in Angels last 9 games as a home underdog. Play UNDER |
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08-13-21 | Cardinals v. Royals UNDER 9 | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 26 h 35 m | Show | |
Royals starter MINOR is 30-13 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) St.Louis has scored more than 4 runs just once in their L/9 games. Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 during game 1 of a series.Under is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record. ST LOUIS is 17-6 UNDER in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 3 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 15-3 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 3 seasons (Flaherty qualifies) Under is 6-1 in Royals last 7 during game 1 of a series. Under is 5-1 in Royals last 6 interleague games. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 33-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for 85% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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08-12-21 | Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 8.5 | 17-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
The Brewers are 0-8 UNDER L/8 when Brandon Woodruff starts on the road in an afternoon game.WOODRUFF is 8-0 UNDER in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WOODRUFF is 8-1 UNDER in road games this season. (Team's Record) Cubs starter HENDRICKS is 37-18 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in his career. (Team's Record) CHICAGO CUBS are 31-18 UNDER in day games this season. Under is 27-7-2 in the last 36 meetings in Chicago. Play UNDER |
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08-12-21 | Dodgers v. Phillies UNDER 11 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
The Phillies are 0-16-1 UNDER L/17 in the last game of a series as a dog after they allowed at least 12 hits last game. LA DODGERS are 20-8 UNDER after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season. Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 9-2-1 in Dodgers last 12 games following a win. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 64-35 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-11-21 | Brewers v. Cubs OVER 9.5 | 10-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Arrieta is 0-6 with a 9.00 ERA in his L/6 starts. He has given up 43 runs (35 earned) in his last 35 innings, and he has walked 21. Needless to say he looks like cannon fodder here and could easily get lit up for enough runs to help us over this total. Meanwhile, Brewers right-hander Corbin Burnes (6-4, 2.39) will oppose Arrieta and the Cubs and according to my projections does not matchup all that well vs the Cubs offense. CHICAGO CUBS are 8-1 OVER revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent this season. MILWAUKEE is 17-8 OVER in road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-1-2 in Brewers last 9 games as a road favorite. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CHICAGO CUBS) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or better ) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 3 starts are 42-9 OVER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rare for bettors. Play OVER |
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08-10-21 | Dodgers v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | 5-0 | Loss | -117 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Phillies starter NOLA is 20-9 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) NOLA is 12-3 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Dodgers are 11-0 OVER L/11 off a home game in which they allowed 5+ walks.ROBERTS is 20-8 OVER in road games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite as the manager of LA DODGERS. PHILADELPHIA is 11-2 OVER in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11 rpg scored. Over is 8-1-1 in the last 10 meetings in Philadelphia. Play OVER |
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08-09-21 | Reds v. Indians OVER 9.5 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
The Indians are expected to have a bullpen game with left-hander Sam Hentges (1-4, 7.86 ERA) serving as the opener and Im betting the Reds do some damage here against him. Despite of Reds Castillo being in top form my projections estimate the Indians can and will get enough production from him and his bulllpen to help see this number eclipsed. Over is 8-1-2 in Reds last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 7-3-1 in Reds last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 34-16-2 in Reds last 52 vs. a team with a losing record. The Indians are 8-0 OVER L/8 as a dog of at least +140 off a comeback win as a favorite which was the case yesterday.Over is 12-5 in Indians last 17 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Play OVER |