Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-04-21 | Braves v. Cardinals UNDER 9 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Cards starter Happ is 4-0 with a 2.72 ERA in nine career outings against the Braves, including eight starts and Im betting on another strong effort here. Meanwhile, St. Louis will start Drew Smyly (7-3, 4.40 ERA), who has allowed three runs or fewer in each of his past 10 starts. Smyly is 1-0 with a 1.86 ERA in two career starts against the Cardinal. Both hurlers form Im betting will contribute to a combined score that fails to eclipse this total.
The Braves are 0-10 L/10 2020 on the road off a road game in which they scored 6+ runs which was the case last time out. Play UNDER |
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08-04-21 | Twins v. Reds OVER 9.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Right-hander Luis Castillo (5-10, 4.22 ERA), who is 0-1 with a 16.20 ERA in two career starts against Minnesota gets the start today. Meanwhile, the Twins will return fire with left-hander Charlie Barnes (0-1, 1.93 ERA), who will be making just his second major league appearance and very inexperienced and could easily get lit up here vs a Reds team that averages 5.4 rpg at home. Over is 5-0-1 in Reds last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 3-0-2 in Reds last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 21-8-1 in Twins last 30 games as an underdog. MINNESOTA is 10-1 OVER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 20-6 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. Over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the OVER |
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07-31-21 | Phillies v. Pirates OVER 7.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Saturday, Philadelphia right-hander Aaron Nola (7-6, 4.37 ERA) is slated to start opposite Pittsburgh right-hander JT Brubaker (4-10, 4.67). Phillies starter NOLA is 19-7 OVER after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) SHELTON is 11-2 OVER in home games when playing on Saturday as the manager of PITTSBURGH. The Phillies are 9-0 OVER L/9 on the road after their starter pitched less than 3 innings.Over is 10-1 in Phillies last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 7-1 in Phillies last 8 vs. National League Central.Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a road favorite.Over is 9-2 in Phillies last 11 road games. Over is 7-1 in Pirates last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1-1 in Pirates last 6 games a home underdog. Play OVER |
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07-31-21 | Mariners v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Mariners starter ANDERSON is 8-0 OVER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ANDERSON is 20-7 OVER in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record) Seattle starter HEARN is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 109.09 and a WHIP of 21.212. SEATTLE is 15-5 OVER in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (TEXAS) - terrible offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after a loss by 4 runs or more are 30-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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07-31-21 | Astros v. Giants UNDER 8.5 | 6-8 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
Greinke (10-3, 3.48 ERA) has dominated the Giants over the years, as is evident by a 14-3 record with a 2.18 ERA over 21 starts. He has never lost at Oracle Park in San Francisco, going 6-0 with a 1.19 ERA in eight starts and Im betting on more top tier pitching action today as Im betting he greatly limits the Giants offence here today. GREINKE is 8-0 UNDER in road games with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) in his career. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Giants counter with left-hander Alex Wood (9-3, 3.65), who has gone 4-0 with a 3.86 ERA in his last eight starts.Like Greinke, he has been brilliant vs the the Astros allowing just one run and eight hits in 14 career innings over three games, including two starts. He's gone 1-1 with a 0.64 ERA in those games. Im betting on a pitching duel in this spot play. MLB - Any team (SAN FRANCISCO/HOUSTON) - in an inter-league game, in July games are 284-190 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-30-21 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
Arizona righty starter GALLEN is 12-0 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GALLEN is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.31 and a WHIP of 0.943 and has seen his last three starts vs the Dodgers remain on the low side of the total. In a September start last year at Dodger Stadium, he held the eventual champs scoreless over seven innings on one hit. Under is 14-6-3 in Dodgers last 23 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, Los Angeles will start Tony Gonsolin (2-1, 2.38 ERA) in the series opener at Arizona and he is more than capable of keeping this inconsistent Arizona offence at bay and helping this combined score to stay on the low side of the. number. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ARIZONA) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or less over his last 3 starts, after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 62-30 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-30-21 | A's v. Angels OVER 8 | 2-0 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
Bassitt (10-3, 3.46 ERA) will be making his second try at setting a career-high win total for a season. He won 10 consecutive decisions after starting 0-2 this year, but he has struggled in three of his four starts in July and in his current form very susceptible to being lit up by a Twins offense that can show alot of explosiveness. LA ANGELS are 23-10 OVER after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season. MADDON is 23-7 OVER in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games as the manager of LA ANGELS. The Angels are 14-0-2 OVER L/16 at home off a game as a dog in which they had more strikeouts than hits.LA ANGELS are 11-2 OVER in home games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.LA ANGELS are 23-10 OVER after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season. Over is 57-25-3 in Angels last 85 home games. Over is 9-4 in Angels last 13 vs. American League West. Over is 20-7-1 in Angels last 28 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Play OVER |
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07-30-21 | Twins v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
The Cardinals will start Wade LeBlanc (0-2, 4.58 ERA) in the series opener. LeBlanc, who pitched for the Baltimore Orioles earlier this season, is 0-1 with a 4.86 ERA in six career appearances against the Twins, including three starts. Meanwhile, Berrios (7-5, 3.48 ERA) is in line to counter LeBlanc if he isn't traded. Both hurlers and bullpens are according to my power rankings middle of the pack and could easily get slapped around a little bit today, which will see this combined score eclipsed. ST LOUIS is 10-0 OVER in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 10-1 OVER in home games against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 10-1-1 in Cardinals last 12 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. MINNESOTA is 21-5 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season. Over is 6-0 in Twins last 6 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter. MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP of 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 30-7 OVER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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07-28-21 | Yankees v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 3-1 | Win | 105 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
My projections suggest a combined score of 8 or less making this a viable under wagering opportunity. The Yankees are 0-11 UNDER as a road dog after their bullpen allowed multiple runs last game. Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 overall.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 games as an underdog.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 games as a road underdog.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 road games.Under is 9-1-1 in Yankees last 11 vs. American League East. Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-2 in Rays last 9 vs. American League East.Under is 6-2 in Rays last 8 on astroturf. Play UNDER |
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07-27-21 | Tigers v. Twins UNDER 9 | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
The Twins are 0-8L/8 when Kenta Maeda starts after a quality start in his last outing which is the case. Under is 5-2-1 in Tigers last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 4-0-1 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Play on the UNDER |
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07-26-21 | Nationals v. Phillies UNDER 9.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Nats starter Joe Ross goes on Monday. The Under is 12-3 in his 15 starts this year and Im betting on more of the same action here today. The Nationals are 0-11 UNDER L/11 when Joe Ross starts as a dog after they scored less than 3 runs in his last start. ROSS is 8-0 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Phillies starter Spencer Howard, owns a 1.072 WHIP in his last three starts, and is in viable form. Today along with his bullpen against a Nats team that is suddenly struggling to score another lower scoring output should be expected. Under is 23-9-2 in Nationals last 34 vs. National League East. Play on the UNDER |
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07-25-21 | Angels v. Twins OVER 10 | 6-2 | Loss | -114 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
07-23-21 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 8.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
NYY starter COLE is 29-13 OVER vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game. Over is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter like BoSox starter Rodriguez. BOSTON is 27-14 OVER in home games vs. poor base-running teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 14-3 OVER in home games after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals over the last 3 season.The Red Sox are 10-0 OVER L/10 in the second game of a series after they played extra inning in game one. Over is 9-4-1 in Yankees last 14 games as a road underdog.NY YANKEES are 36-19 OVER in road games after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more over the last 3 seasons. Play OVER |
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07-23-21 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs UNDER 11 | 3-8 | Push | 0 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Cubs Davies since May 1, has made 15 starts and has garnered a 3.10 ERA. He has allowed two runs or less in 11 of his last 15 starts and against a inconsistent Arizona offence Im betting he holds the fort again. Meanwhile, the Cubs offence has really struggled for a while now, and here against the Diamondbacks Zac Gallen (1-4, 3.86), Im betting will provide support . He allowed a run, three hits and struck out seven with a walk over 5 2/3 innings against the Cubs on Saturday.Under is 6-0 in Diamondbacks last 6 during game 1 of a series.Under is 9-4 in Diamondbacks last 13 vs. National League Central. Under is 7-1-1 in Cubs last 9 vs. National League West. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago. Play UNDER |
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07-22-21 | Angels v. Twins OVER 9.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
The Angels are 10-0 OVER L/10 when Andrew Heaney starts as a road dog of less than +200. LA ANGELS are 24-8 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record this season. HEANEY is 7-0 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Over is 7-2 in Angels last 9 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Over is 22-3-1 in Twins last 26 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game which was the case in a 7-2 win vs the White sox yesterday. Over is 21-9-1 in Twins last 31 during game 1 of a series. Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Play OVER |
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07-22-21 | Rays v. Indians UNDER 9.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Cleveland right-hander Cal Quantrill (2-2, 4.05) will make his 28th appearance -- and 10th start -- on Thursday. Quantrill is currently in to form after, winning his second straight start on Saturday after permitting one run on four hits in five innings against the Oakland Athletics. Hes finally getting acclimated to being a starter and its showing as his confidence and work continue to uptrend. Meanwhile, right-hander Luis Patino (1-2, 4.87 ERA) despite of some less than stellar starts, is a capable hurler that the Rays have big plans for. Both sides have quality bullpens who Im betting will help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. CASH is 104-67 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 as the manager of TAMPA BAY. CLEVELAND is 16-5 UNDER vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 3 seasons. CLEVELAND is 55-36 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons.
Play on the UNDER |
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07-20-21 | Rangers v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
Dunning's road ERA is 6.55, compared to 2.54 at home so Im not fooled by his recent quality performances, and Im expecting the hot hitting Tigers light him up and easily help this combined score go over the set total. The Rangers are 8-0 OVER as a favorite after they were shutout last game with the average combined score of those tilts coming in at 14.5 rpg. DETROIT is 15-3 OVER vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (TEXAS) - after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 10 runs or more are 40-15 OVER l/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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07-18-21 | Orioles v. Royals OVER 10 | 5-0 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
The Orioles will send Matt Harvey (3-10, 7.70 ERA) to the mound, while fellow right-hander Carlos Hernandez (1-0, 4.98) will start for the Royals and my projections based on the starters and substandard bullpens has me projecting a higher scoring affair that eclipses this total.KANSAS CITY is 11-2 OVER in home games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% or less ) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored.BALTIMORE is 9-1 OVER in the second half of the season this season with an average of 11.4 rpg scored. Over is 26-7 in Orioles last 33 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Play OVER |
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07-17-21 | Bucks v. Suns OVER 218.5 | 123-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
The Bucks have seen their offence get into a flow and their scoring output increase after Game 1 and are now averaging 110.5 points per game and will be prepared to run here vs what Over is 4-0 in Suns last 4 playoff games as a favorite. Over is 6-1-1 in Suns last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Phoenix. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 143-87 L/24 seasons for a 62% conversion rate! Play OVER |
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07-14-21 | Suns v. Bucks OVER 220 | 103-109 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 14 m | Show | |
My Pace projections have been accurate to this point in the NBA Finals series, and now Im expecting a score in the mid 220s much like the first two tilts. Advantage over. Over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings. PHOENIX is 20-7 OVER versus defenses - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 231.5 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 24-9 OVER after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 season with a combined average of 230.3 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 49-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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07-09-21 | Yankees v. Astros OVER 9 | 4-0 | Loss | -118 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
The Yankees were shutout last night by the Mariners, but today Im betting the offense bounces back. The Yankees are 8-0 OVER L/8 after they were shutout averaging 9.25 rpg in those tilts with a combined average of 12.75 runs per game scored by both sides. Over is 8-2-1 in Yankees last 11 games as a road underdog.Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 vs. American League West.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 11-4 in Yankees last 15 games following a loss.Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 9-4 in Yankees last 13 road games. Over is 6-2 in Astros last 8 vs. American League East.Over is 8-3 in Astros last 11 games as a home favorite.Over is 8-3 in Astros last 11 home games. Over is 21-8 in Astros last 29 during game 1 of a series Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. Play OVER |
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07-09-21 | Liberty v. Fever OVER 159.5 | 69-82 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
WNBA Road teams where the first half total is greater than 70.5 (NEW YORK) - off a home win, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% after 15 or more games are 26-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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07-08-21 | Bucks v. Suns OVER 219 | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
This Totals open was closer to what I project the true number should , which I estimated to be in the low 220s which makes this over wager a viable investment opportunity. Im betting the Suns with plenty of energy after an extended rest at home here in Phoenix will continue to press the action, on fresh legs as they did in game one and for the Bucks now more rested and adjusted to this time zone will come out here with all guns blazing in an attempt to steal a game before going home. This will culminate in a higher scoring tilt than might be expected by both the pundits and lines-makers. Note: The Bucks were consistently open from 3-point range in game 1 , and had a +44% conversion rate and Im betting that continues and aids our over cause. MILWAUKEE in 31 non-conference games this season have seen a combined average of 237.7 ppg go on the board. PHOENIX is 11-2 OVER vs. dominant rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 5+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.1 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 20-9 OVER after a win by 10 points or more this season with a combined average 226.9 ppg go on the board. ( Suns took game 1- 118 to 105) NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 38-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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07-07-21 | Canadiens v. Lightning OVER 5 | 0-1 | Loss | -124 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
The Habs did everything possible to get a win last time out in game 4 and extend this series. Now exhausted and facing at a team that will come out firing on all cylinders so that they can end this series, Im betting this game escalates into a higher scoring tilt than many might think possible. Over is 3-1-3 in Lightning last 7 Stanley Cup Finals games. TAMPA BAY is 14-7 OVER after playing 2 consecutive road games this season with a combined average of 6.8 gpg scored. NHL Home teams where the total is 5 or less (TAMPA BAY) - after one or more consecutive overs, good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period are 40-20 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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07-07-21 | White Sox v. Twins OVER 8.5 | 6-1 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 33 m | Show | |
MINNESOTA is 14-2 OVER vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season this season.MINNESOTA is 16-4 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season.MINNESOTA is 25-8 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Over is 10-1-2 in White Sox last 13 games following a win. Over is 8-1 in White Sox last 9 overall. |
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07-07-21 | Indians v. Rays OVER 7 | 1-8 | Win | 106 | 1 h 17 m | Show | |
The Rays are 10-0 OVER L/10 off a game as a favorite in which they had at least 12 hits. Now with momentum behind them it will not matter who the Indians send to the hill, Im expecting the Rays to do some damage and help propel this total to be eclipsed. Play OVER |
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07-06-21 | Cardinals v. Giants UNDER 8 | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
The Cardinals Adam Wainwright (6-5, 3.49 ERA), has allowed just four runs over 21 innings in his last three starts and Im betting on that momentum to continue into this tilt vs the Giants. Meanwhile, the Giants counter with Cueto i who owns a 3.92 ERA in 24 career starts against the Cardinals. Im betting the Giants righty will offer stability here in a game Im betting stays under the total. The Cardinals are 0-10 UNDER L/10 as a dog after a game that was tied at the end of at least six separate innings.Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 road games.Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 during game 2 of a series. Under is 7-1-1 in Cardinals last 9 games following a win.ST LOUIS is 20-8 UNDER after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Play UNDER |
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07-06-21 | Red Sox v. Angels OVER 8.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Red sox starter EOVALDI is 13-3 OVER in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)LA ANGELS are 10-0 OVER in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 14,2 rpg scored. Boston has been on fire offensively of late, and have averaged 6.1 rpg and Im betting on them lighting up whoever the the Angels send to the hill. The Halos bats have also been ignited, and they have been winning, and it must be noted that they are 17-4 OVER after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons. Yes, I know the Angels have shortened bench, but they should do enough damage here to get us over the finish line and allow us to cash a over bet. Play on the OVER |
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07-06-21 | Bucks v. Suns OVER 217 | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 38 h 58 m | Show | |
The Suns are well rested and will be ready to bring alot of energy to game 1 of the NBA finals. They popped 130 points on the board in their final game vs a very good Clippers D, and more of the same explosive offensive fireworks are on tonights agenda, which will force the Bucks to open up as well or be blown off the court. This Im betting leads to a combined score that eclipses this offered totals number. PHOENIX is 7-0 OVER after scoring 130 points or more this season with a combined average of 241.6 ppg going on the scoreboard. PHOENIX is 21-9 OVER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.2 ppg scored. Williams is 16-5 OVER after a blowout win by 20 points or more as the coach of PHOENIX with the combined average score of 231.3 ppg scored. Budenholzer in 67 games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more as the coach of MILWAUKEE the average combined score has rung in at 231.2 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging 2 straight close losses vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points 29-9 OVER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 52-22 OVER L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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07-06-21 | Spain v. Italy OVER 2 | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
Im not impressed by Spains defensive play, but we know they can be explosive and we need be attack in transition. Meanwhile, and considering Italy plays one way under manager Roberto Mancini it obvious to me the best option here and most probable profitable outcome is to take an over stance. Play OVER |
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07-05-21 | Dodgers v. Marlins OVER 7 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Dodgers top tier starter BUEHLER is 13-3 OVER in road games after giving up no earned runs last outing since 1997. (Team's Record)The Dodgers are 10-0-2 OVER L/12 when Walker Buehler starts on the road when they won as an home favorite in his last start. LA DODGERS are 10-1 OVER in road games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons with an average of 11.3 rpg scored. LA DODGERS are 21-7 OVER when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.LA DODGERS are 21-7 OVER when total is 6.5 or lower which coordinates with a total they may get lowered as game draws closer. Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. These teams have gone over in 4 of L/5 meetings. Play over |
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07-03-21 | Rangers v. Mariners UNDER 9 | 7-3 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
Seattles starter GONZALES is 11-2 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. SEATTLE is 12-2 UNDER in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. (Lyles the Rangers starter fits these parameters) Under is 8-3 in Mariners last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Mariners are 0-10-1 UNDER L/11 as a home favorite. Under is 12-3-2 in Mariners last 17 games as a favorite. WOODWARD is 28-15 UNDER in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season as the manager of TEXAS. These teams have gone under in 4 of their L/5 meetings in Seattle. Play on the UNDER |
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07-01-21 | Twins v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 5-8 | Loss | -113 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Twins starter Berrios recorded his third consecutive quality outing on June 24, allowing one run on four hits and two walks with nine strikeouts over 6 1/3 innings against the Cleveland Indians.The 27-year-old right-hander has allowed four earned runs or fewer in 15 consecutive starts to open the season. Berrios, owns a 2.65 ERA in 17 career starts against the White Sox, Meanwhile, the Pale hose will fire back with Carlos Rodon (6-3, 2.06 ERA), who is looking to bounce back after giving up three runs over five innings Friday during a 9-3 loss to the Seattle Mariners. The left-hander has notched eight-plus strikeouts in each of his last seven starts, one short of the longest such streak in White Sox history. The White Sox are 0-11 UNDER L/11 in the last game of a series after a game as a home favorite in which they won by 5+ runs. CHI WHITE SOX are 16-7 UNDER vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season with a combined average of 6.8 rpg going on the board. CHI WHITE SOX are 21-9 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg.Under is 9-4 in White Sox last 13 during game 3 of a series. Under is 9-4 in White Sox last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Play UNDER |
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06-29-21 | Twins v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
White Sox - L. Giolito-R vs Twins - K. Maeda-R- Considering these pitching matchups and overall offensive output performance charts Im betting on a combined score that eclipses this total. Over is 5-1-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 19-4-4 in Twins last 27 vs. American League Central.Over is 13-3 in Twins last 16 games as a road underdog. The Twins are 10-0-1 OVER L/11 off a game as a favorite in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits.MINNESOTA is 25-9 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.MINNESOTA is 14-2 OVER after allowing 2 runs or less this season.MINNESOTA is 13-3 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.Over is 9-4-1 in Twins last 14 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 4-0-1 in White Sox last 5 during game 1 of a series.Over is 5-2 in White Sox last 7 overall. Play OVER |
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06-27-21 | Angels v. Rays OVER 7.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
Rays lefty starter YARBROUGH is 9-1 OVER in all games this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. MADDON is 31-12 OVER against left-handed starters as the manager of LA ANGELS with a combined 11.8 rpg scored. MADDON is 30-16 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125 as the manager of LA ANGELS with an average of 10.5 rpg scored. Over is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as an underdog. Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a road underdog. Over is 9-2 in Angels last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.LA ANGELS are 20-6 OVER after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons. The Rays are 15-0 OVER L/15 in the last game of a series after they scored first before trailing and then coming back to win with the least amount of combined runs scored ringing in at 8 . Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings. Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings. Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (LA ANGELS) - after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 10 runs or more are 39-13 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-26-21 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 218.5 | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
The Clippers successes are almost always based on top tier defensive play as is evident by their 7th ranked ppg defense, and precise shooting behind a deliberate 26th ranked pace. Meanwhile, the Suns also rank 26th in pace and are tied with the Clippers for the 7th best ppg defense. More of the same type of hoops Im betting will once again be on display here this evening which will result in a score that fails to eclipse this total. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings LA CLIPPERS are 11-2 UNDER in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 25-12 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 217.5 ppg. LA CLIPPERS are 16-6 UNDER versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.9 ppg scored. Lue is 21-6 UNDER in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached with a combined average of 206.2 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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06-25-21 | Diamondbacks v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 5-11 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
The Padres defense and pitching and particular the bullpen have been tremendous this season, and in their L/6 games have allowed 2 runs or less 4 times and Im betting an Arizona side that averages just 3.6 rpg on the road this season goes below their season average in offensive out put here tonight . Note: Padres starter PADDACK in 7 starts in his career against ARIZONA has garnered an ERA of 2.39 and a WHIP of 1.062 and has seen 6 of those 7 games stay on the low side of the total. Also despite of being a top tier team with some strong hitters in their lineup the Padres only average 4.3 rpg via a lowly .236 BA at home. With that said, ,my projections make the combined average score to be closer to 7.5 rpg giving us a full 1 run edge here for a under wager to cash. The Padres are 0-9 UNDER L/9 off a home game where they were tied at the end of 6 innings with the average combined score clicking in at 4.3 rpg. ARIZONA is 20-8 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in San Diego. Play UNDER |
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06-25-21 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 226 | 91-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
Trey Young almost single handily carried the Atlanta Hawks to victory in game 1 of this series. Now I expect Young to be curtailed and regress naturally and for this series to become alot more physical and defensive, which will result in a lower scoring affair with less flow. Under is 7-0 in Bucks last 7 games following a straight up loss. ATLANTA is 10-0 UNDER in road games off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog with a combined average of 186.6 ppg scored.ATLANTA is 25-7 UNDER when leading in a playoff series since 1996 with average of 186.8 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 29-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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06-25-21 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 2-11 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Marlins starter LOPEZ is 8-0 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)WASHINGTON is 11-0 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better this season. Washington stater Lester has been on an impressive run with two or fewer earned in each of his last five outings. WASHINGTON is 19-3 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored.Under is 42-17-3 in Nationals last 62 overall.Under is 7-3-1 in Nationals last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4-1 in Nationals last 14 road games.Under is 11-5 in Nationals last 16 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 13-6-3 in Nationals last 22 games as a road underdog MIAMI is 22-9 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 during game 2 of a series.Under is 4-1-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. National League East.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Play on the UNDER |
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06-23-21 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 226.5 | 116-113 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
Since the play offs began the Atlanta Hawks successes have been based on precise high opportunity shooting chances, and tough physical defensive hoops and nothing will change today vs their host the Milwaukee Bucks. This Im betting helps keep the flow of this game at a slower pace than the lines-makers are expecting. Under is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 3-0-1 in Bucks last 4 playoff games as a favorite. Under is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 home games Budenholzer is 23-9 UNDER in home games in all playoff games in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 195.8 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 35-19 UNDER in home games after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 222.9 ppg going on the scoreboard.MILWAUKEE is 17-8 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 221.7 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, playing with 3 or more days rest are 26-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ATLANTA) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 42-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-23-21 | Lynx v. Dream UNDER 168 | 87-85 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Reeve is 25-12 UNDER off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival as the coach of MINNESOTA. ( HC complained that the team had lost focus). Back to D and basics here in this tilt. ATLANTA is 10-2 UNDER in home games against Western conference opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 151.1 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (43.5-46%), good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 TO's or less) are 64-29 UNDER L/24 seasons for a69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-23-21 | White Sox v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 53 m | Show | |
Considering how both pitching staffs and bullpens are operating of late, my projections see a combined score that eclipses this total. Over is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.Over is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as an underdog.Over is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 32-15-4 in Pirates last 51 during game 2 of a series. Over is 11-4 in White Sox last 15 games as a road favorite.Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. LARUSSA is 10-0 OVER in road games after scoring 3 runs or less 5 straight games in all games he has managed - dating back to 1996 with the average combined score of 11.6 rpg scored. Play on the OVER |
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06-22-21 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks OVER 8 | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has allowed 29 runs in their L/4 gamers, after losing to the lowly Arizona Dbacks last night. Im betting that Arizona does more damage tonight, and for the Brewers to also do some of their own in a tilt I have projected to go over this total. Note: The Brewers are 8-0 OVER L/8 when Freddy Peralta starts on the road after he had a WHIP of less than 1 in his last start with a combined average of 13.7 rpg scored. Over is 8-1 in Diamondbacks last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter. COUNSELL is 36-22 OVER as a road favorite of -125 to -175 as the manager of MILWAUKEE with an average of 10.4 rpg scored. Over is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 road games. Over is 20-8-1 in Diamondbacks last 29 games following a win. Over is 20-8-1 in Diamondbacks last 29 during game 2 of a series. Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Arizona. Play OVER |
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06-22-21 | Canadiens v. Golden Knights UNDER 5 | 4-1 | Push | 0 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
The recipe for Montreals success vs Vegas has been their ability to play very physical defensive hockey that is backed up by top tier goalie Price. More of this trap style of hockey Im betting will once again give an edge to a low scoring affair.
MONTREAL is 10-3 UNDER against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp in the 2nd half of the year this season. NHL Road teams where the total is 5 or less (MONTREAL) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 69-38 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-21-21 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Todays starting pitchers Anderson and Kelley according to projections are good for a combined 9 + runs. Which makes this a high probability over investment option. Over is 15-5-3 in Brewers last 23 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Arizona is allowing 8.3 rpg in their L/7 overall with a combined average score of 12.7 rpg scored. ARIZONA is 7-0 OVER in home games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season with a combined average of 14.1 rpg scored. Over is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 9-1 in Diamondbacks last 10 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 8-1 in Diamondbacks last 9 games a home underdog.The Diamondbacks are 13-0 OVER L/13 at home after a loss as a home dog in which they never led. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (MILWAUKEE) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worse), ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games are 31-9 OVER L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona. Play OVER |
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06-20-21 | Clippers v. Suns UNDER 221.5 | 114-120 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Clippers are off a exhausting 7 game series vs the Jazz last time out, and the Suns may be a little rusty after an extended lay off after disposing of the defending champion LA Lakers . Considering these parameters Im betting on a fairly grinding lack of flow from game 1 in afternoon action. Under is 8-2 in Suns last 10 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Under is 30-14 in Clippers last 44 games as a road underdog. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 105-44 L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS/PHOENIX) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 42-18 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - off a road win, playing with 3 or more days rest are 26-8 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-19-21 | White Sox v. Astros OVER 7.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Astros hurler Valdez has been in top form of late, but the White Sox generally dominate southpaw pitchers as is evident by a 6.5 rpg offensive output . Meanwhile, Lance Lyn in his L/2 starts vs the Astros have seen the Pale Hose score 8 and 12 runs respectively . HOUSTON is 8-1 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better this season. HOUSTON is 24-9 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. HOUSTON is 15-4 OVER after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season. The White Sox are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 as a road dog after a game as a road favorite in which they had more strikeouts than hits.Over is 18-7-3 in White Sox last 28 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Play on the OVER |
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06-19-21 | A's v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 5-7 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
As starter Chris Bassitt(RHP-7-2, 3.43 ERA, 91 SO) has allowed four runs or fewer in each of his past 25 starts over the past two years and Im betting on the run continuing today vs the Yankees. The Yankees are 0-7 UNDER L/7 when Domingo German starts in an afternoon game. NY YANKEES are 18-9 UNDER in day games this season with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. Under is 10-4-1 in Yankees last 15 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 9-4 in Yankees last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 11-5 in Yankees last 16 home games OAKLAND is 19-7 UNDER in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.Under is 18-7-3 in Athletics last 28 vs. American League East.Under is 4-1-1 in Athletics last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New York.Under is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |
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06-18-21 | Phillies v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
The Giants are 10-0-1 OVER L/11 as a favorite after they won by 5+ runs last game. SAN FRANCISCO is 13-1 OVER off a win of 6 runs or more over a division rival over the last 3 seasons Giants starter CUETO is 11-1 OVER in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.9 rpg going on the board. CUETO is 1-6 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.07 and a WHIP of 1.284 in 13 games. SAN FRANCISCO is 23-5 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season like the Phillies starter Velasquez. with a combined average of 10.6 rpg going on the score board. ( Velasquez owns a 8.25 ERA in his L/3 starts) MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 10 runs or more are 39-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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06-18-21 | 76ers v. Hawks UNDER 221.5 | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 6 Atlanta took game 5 by a 109-106 score in Philadelphia thanks to being able to slow the Sixers down defensively after going down early. Playing some physical hardcore D will continue to be the Hawks recipe for success vs a Sixers side that is streaky offensively. With that said, D, will also be the focus of the visitors in this big game, and Im betting will result in a tight lower scoring affair. Rivers is 38-21 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7or more in all games he has coached with a combined average of 197.8 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 13-5 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. Under is 11-5 in 76ers last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. ATLANTA is 15-1 UNDER L/16 when attempting to close out a playoff series with a combined average of 174.5 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 24-7 UNDER when leading in a playoff series with a combined average of 185.6 ppg scored. Under is 10-3 in Hawks last 13 overall. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 42-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-17-21 | White Sox v. Astros UNDER 9 | 2-10 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
DYLAN CEASE (R) vs. JOSE URQUIDY (R) Both these starters have been reliable of late, and Im betting on them to continue their strong efforts and when needed these strong bullpens will be there to bail them out. The White Sox are 0-11 UNDER L/11 after a game as a home favorite in which they scored in fewer innings than their opponent. CHI WHITE SOX are 14-3 UNDER vs. struggling speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (HOUSTON) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 5 starts, with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games are 42-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-16-21 | Clippers v. Jazz OVER 221.5 | 119-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
With this series tied 2-2 and the clippers offense hitting on all cylinders entering game 5 Im now expecting the explosive Jazz to take an aggressive stance tonight, and come out firing on all cylinders on their own home floor, which Im betting will see the Clippers have to open up as well in a tilt that I have projected to eclipse this total. Utah in 7 home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season have seen a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. LA Clippers in their L/76 road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 224.6 ppg go on the board. Play OVER |
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06-16-21 | Canadiens v. Golden Knights OVER 5 | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
Vegas is running hot offensively scoring 18 goals in their L/4 play off games. If the Habs have any chance of making this a series they are going to have to open up a bit . Hey I know Price and Fleury are top tier goalies, but when the action gets quicker and more aggressive even the best of goaltenders in this league look very mortal. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Vegas. Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Over is 3-0-1 in Golden Knights last 4 playoff games as a favorite NHL team against the total (VEGAS /MONTREAL) - in the conference finals, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 60-28 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-16-21 | Pirates v. Nationals OVER 9 | 1-3 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh ha allowed 36 runs in their L/6 games ( 6.00 rpg) and Im betting the bleeding won end today. I know the Nationals offence is sometimes inconsistent but they matchup well here vs the Pirates pitching staff. Also its obvious that the Bucks dont do alot of scoring and or HR hitting but, it must be noted that MARTINEZ is 14-4 OVER in home games vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game as the manager of WASHINGTON with a combined average of 12.1. rpg scored. The Nationals are 11-0 OVER past the first game of a series vs a team that has lost at least their last three games with a combined average of 14 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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06-15-21 | Phillies v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Phillies starter Eflin is searching for his first win has gone 0-4 in his last five start and despite of some brilliance has been generally sub par lately and susceptible to be smacked around by a powerful Dodger batting order and could easily contribute to the Dodgers eclipsing this total all by themselves. Note: EFLIN is 17-4 OVER as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997. (Team's Record) LA Dodgers starter URIAS is 7-0 OVER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse this season. (Team's Record) as he continues to get run support . URIAS is 16-1 OVER in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Dodgers are 10-0-1 OVER when Julio Urias starts after a quality start in his last start with a combined average of 12.27 rpg scored with no game seeing less than 9 combined runs scored. Play OVER |
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06-15-21 | Bucks v. Nets OVER 217 | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 5- No Irving or Harden in the lineup for the Nets has this Totals number taking a dive that is in my betting opinion over done by both the lines-makers and the market. Yes these games have been lower than the expected as compared to the totals offerings but with the current number according to projections being transiently low a high probability edge for an over wagering opportunity cashing looks promising in my humble betting opinion. With Milwaukee off two straight wins, Im betting they look to take advantage of this Nets injury situation with an aggressive approach which result in the pace here being favorable for an over wager to cash. Milwaukee is 12-4 OVER off a home win by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 237.2 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 13-4 OVER off an upset loss as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 93-46 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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06-15-21 | Islanders v. Lightning OVER 5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
The defending champion Bolts now down 1-0 in this series will come out here all guns blazing and eventually Im betting they will drag the Islanders out of their defensive shell and that will result in a higher scoring affair then the lines-makers expect. ' TAMPA BAY is 22-8 OVER L/30 when trailing in a playoff series . Over is 5-0-1 in Islanders last 6 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. NHL team against the total (NY ISLANDERS/TB ) - in the conference finals, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 60-28 OVER L/23 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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06-15-21 | Pirates v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Nats starter Patrick Corbin( LHP3-5, 6.21 ERA, 48 SO) and Pirates starting hurler Tyler Anderson(LHP3-6, 4.52 ERA, 61 SO) have in general terms been very hittable throwers. PITTSBURGH is 44-23 OVER against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.1 rpg going on the board. ANDERSON is 14-2 OVER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.7 rpg. The Nationals are 10-0 OVER L/10 past the first game of a series vs a team that has lost at least their last three games with a combined 14.5 rpg scored with no game seeing less than 10 combined runs scored. Play OVER |
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06-14-21 | Twins v. Mariners OVER 8 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Mariners starter GONZALES is 0-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 11.58 and a WHIP of 2.251 and according to my pitcher vbs batting order power rankings matches up badly here vs the Twins batting order. Meanwhile Twins Manaea has totaled a season-high 111 pitches in each of his last two starts and despite of being strong in those starts fatigue could easily rare its ugly head in this tilt. The Mariners are 10-0-1 OVER L/11 at home off a road game in which they hit more home runs than their opponent. MINNESOTA is 19-4 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. MINNESOTA is 22-11 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 10.1 rpg scored. These teams have gone over in 8 of the L/10 meetings in this series overall. Play OVER |
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06-14-21 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 223.5 | 104-118 | Win | 101 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
The Jazz looked defensively lazy last time out, and were starting to rely on their offensive explosiveness to just run over opponents. The last game in this series that saw the Jazz get blasted was a wake up call for them, and now Im expecting a more defensive minded effort and also for the Clippers to regress offensively which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair as compared to the offered total. Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Jazz last 9 games following a straight up loss. Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Under is 8-2-1 in Clippers last 11 games following a straight up win.Under is 7-2-2 in Clippers last 11 Conference Semifinals games.Under is 7-2-1 in Clippers last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. .LA CLIPPERS are 31-17 UNDER when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 32-15 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs since 1996 with a combined average of 191.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 102-44 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. These teams have not gone over the total in 4 of their L/5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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06-14-21 | Canadiens v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Habs star goalie Carey Price enters this semifinals series leading all playoff net-minders with a .935 save percentage and will be key here for a Montreal side that plays a strong defensive system behind strong physical play. This Im betting will help them keep the Knights from exploding offensively here in game 1, and aid in this game staying under the total. Note: Vegas goalies Fleury and Lehner won the Jennings Trophy for fewest goals allowed in the regular season. In the playoffs, Fleury has registered a .923 GAA and will not be an easy roll over for the Habs limited attack strategy. Play UNDER |
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06-14-21 | Tigers v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Royals starter Keller owns a ugly 7.20 ERA in 6 home starts this season. Meanwhile, Boyd the Tigers starter owns a equally nasty 5.47 ERA in 5 road starts. The Tigers are 9-0 OVER L/9 when Matthew Boyd starts when their opponent is on a 3+ losing streak with a combined average of 13.8 rpg scored. KANSAS CITY is 15-5 OVER in home games in night games this season with a combined average of 10.6 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (DETROIT) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 97-44 OVER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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06-13-21 | Suns v. Nuggets UNDER 222 | 125-118 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
The Suns behind the 26th ranked pace, Im betting will precisely attack this game like they have every play off game to date, with patience and precision. They have Denver on the verge of elimination, and now without panic will methodically continue to play a top tier brand of defence, and take high %shot opportunities. This type of approach is a must here in the high altitudes of the Mile High city and this Im betting translates in a lower combined score than the offered total. DENVER is 20-9 UNDER after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games this season. Denver in their L/78 home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more have seen a combined average of 192.2 ppg go on the scoreboard. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 100-41 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 39-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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06-12-21 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 223.5 | 106-132 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
The LA Clippers success and failure is predicated on playing to tier defensive hoops, that is ranked 4th in ppg D and a precise mind set that is evident by a 28th ranked pace. Tonight Im betting that type of basketball will be on full display as they desperately need to win this game to avoid going down 3-0 in this series. Also betting on Rudy Gobert to continue his top tier defensive play and for the Jazz to show their ability to also play strong D wull be on full display. With that said, I expect we see a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers might expect. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. UTAH is 32-14 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs with a combined average of 190.1 ppg. Snyder is 105-84 UNDER off a home win as the coach of UTAH with a combined average of 207.1 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 13-4 UNDER when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game this season with a combined average of 214.3 ppg scored. Under is 7-1-2 in Clippers last 10 Conference Semifinals games. LA CLIPPERS are 15-7 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA CLIPPERS) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 38-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-12-21 | Angels v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 8-7 | Win | 104 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Angels have averaged 5.8 rpg this season vs right handers like Smith and they could almost all by themselves eclipse this number. The Diamondbacks are 10-0 OVER L/10 at home after a loss as a home dog in which they never led. ARIZONA is 17-4 OVER in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons. LA ANGELS are 10-1 OVER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Play OVER |
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06-11-21 | Pirates v. Brewers UNDER 7.5 | 4-7 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Brewers starter WOODRUFF is 11-1 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WOODRUFF is 11-2 UNDER against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Im betting he shuts the Pirates down here this evening. Note: Pittsburgh has average just 2 rpg in their L/4 overall. Meanwhile, the Brewers have allowed more than 2 runs just twice in their L/6 games. Everything points to a lower scoring affair. The Brewers are 0-15 UNDER L/15 when Brandon Woodruff starts when the bullpen allowed more runs than he did in his last start. Under is 20-7 in Pirates last 27 during game 1 of a series. Play on the UNDER |
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06-11-21 | 76ers v. Hawks OVER 224.5 | 127-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
This Total offers value as my own simplified pace and shooting statistics algorithm chart indicates. The 76ers shot 54.9 % FG in game one and 52.9% in game 2. Atlanta shot over 51% in game 1 but fell to just over 45% in game 2. Ny projections estimate the Hawks will shoot above or around their season average here at home of around 48% while the Sixers will regress to the high 40s as well or better , which translates in a combined score that breaches this total. ATLANTA is 10-1 OVER at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 238.8 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games following a ATS win. Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Play OVER |
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06-11-21 | Giants v. Nationals OVER 7.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
We have two quality hurlers to start this game, but my power rankings suggest the both offenses matchup well against these pitchers. Note: Giants starter ANTHONY DESCLAFANI owns a 9.45 road ERA this season. SCHERZER is 4-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.90 and a WHIP of 1.144 WHIP. Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Over is 9-2 in Giants last 11 games as a road underdog. SAN FRANCISCO is 13-2 OVER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better this season. Play OVER |
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06-10-21 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 221 | 111-117 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
The Clippers behind the 28th ranked pace and 4th ranked ppg defense in the NBA will continue to disrupt the flow of the explosive Utah Jazz in a game I have pegged to be physical and to stay under the the offered total. LA CLIPPERS are 15-6 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average 218.5 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 UNDER as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.7 ppg scored. Under is 7-0-2 in Clippers last 9 Conference Semifinals games. UTAH is 49-21 UNDER off a close home win by 3 points or less with a combined average of 190.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.UTAH is 32-13 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs with a combined average of just 189.3 ppg going on the score board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 50-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Utah. Play UNDER |
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06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks UNDER 234.5 | 83-86 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
Both these top tier teams have alot of fire power and big name stars in the lineup but this series Im betting will continue to be more physical than anticipated . Remember this is not a international competition and or an all star game, its NBA post season action which has a tendency of producing alot more battles on the inside, which can make a game have alot less flow and thus less points going on the board. MILWAUKEE is 11-3 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season with a combined average of 125.7 ppg. BROOKLYN is 17-8 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 226.7 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN/MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 28-3 L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-09-21 | Royals v. Angels OVER 9 | 1-6 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Angels starter Griffin Canning( RHP4-4, 5.82 ERA, 50 SO) is coming off a rough outing against the Mariners, allowing four runs over 3 1/3 innings. He has an 8.74 ERA over his last three starts and in his current form could contribute this total being eclipsed all by himself. The Angels are 11-0-2 OVER L/13 when Griffin Canning starts after they lost in his last start. A ANGELS are 12-4 OVER at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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06-09-21 | Nuggets v. Suns OVER 222 | 98-123 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
Denver behind the 27th ranked pace and No.8 ppg offense operates at a precise speed behind precision shooting but Im betting they will be forced to speed up their play against a Phoenix side that they do not matchup well against overall. The Suns put 122 points on the board in the opening game of this series, and after watching that tilt, I feel strongly the Nuggets will have to go on the attack more aggressively vs a explosive offensive side that ranks 7th in the NBA in ppg offense that can and will will fire back with some consistent offensive fireworks of their own in a tilt that will Im betting easily eclipse this total.Note: 6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons here in Arizona. DENVER is 11-2 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.1 ppg scored.DENVER is 9-1 OVER after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 235.6 ppg going on the board. DENVER is 8-0 OVER after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games this season with a combined average of 239.3 ppg going on the board. PHOENIX is 24-9 OVER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season with a combined average of 228.8 ppg going on the board.PHOENIX is 13-4 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 230.6 ppg going on the. board.PHOENIX is 16-4 OVER after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season with a combined average of 229.7 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 25-5 OVER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DENVER) - after allowing 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 225 points or more are 277-178 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-08-21 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 220.5 | 109-112 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
Utah was able to run over the Memphis Grizzlies in their first round series, but Im betting their offensive flow will not be as fluid here vs a LA Clippers team that can ramp things up defensively . Im betting on hardcore action on the inside to be key for the Clippers and for a very physical series to manifest itself in game 1 of their competition vs a explosive Utah side that they know they must handle with kid gloves. LA CLIPPERS are 18-8 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 12-3 UNDER as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.4 ppg scored. Under is 6-0-2 in Clippers last 8 Conference Semifinals games. Under is 20-5-2 in Clippers last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. UTAH is 31-13 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs since 1996 with a combined average of 182.6 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (/LAC /UTAH) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 40-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons here in Salt Lake City. Play UNDER |
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06-08-21 | Hawks v. 76ers UNDER 223 | 102-118 | Win | 101 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Game 1 in this series was a high octane affair thanks to the Sixers slow start and that saw them try to catch up furiously by chasing a DD deficit . Im now looking for the experienced Sixers who key to success is top tier D, to come out here with a more physical game plan, that will center on taking the young Hawks out of a steady flow. This will result in a lower scoring affair than the Totals offering might indicate. Under is 4-0 in Hawks last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Hawks last 6 playoff games as an underdog. ATLANTA is 9-0 L/9 UNDER in road games off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog with a combined average of 182.9 ppg scored.ATLANTA is 23-7 UNDER when leading in a playoff series with a combined average of 184.1 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 35-17 L/52 UNDER in home games after a combined score of 235 points or more with a combined average score of 212.2 ppg scored. Under is 13-4 in 76ers last 17 games following a ATS loss. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, on Tuesday nights are 54-23 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.Under is 7-0 in 76ers last 7 Tuesday games. Play on the UNDER |
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06-08-21 | Braves v. Phillies UNDER 9 | 9-5 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Phillies starter Aaron Nola (RHP4-4, 3.84 ERA, 78 SO) became the ninth pitcher in Phillies history to record 1,000 strikeouts. He is the third Phils pitcher to reach 1,000 before turning 28 . He continues to be a consistent hurler for the Phillies and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well vs the Braves.NOLA is 17-4 UNDER in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in his career. (Team's Record)Meanwhile, Drew Smyly (LHP 2-3, 5.98 ERA, 43 SO) will make his second start against the Phillies, and despite of some inconsistent numbers could easily The Braves are 0-11 UNDER L/11 as a dog after they did not give up a walk last game . Play on the UNDER |
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06-07-21 | Nuggets v. Suns OVER 219.5 | 105-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
The two most recent meetings in this series have eclipsed the number, with a combined average of '244 ppg going on the board. Rinse and repeat for an over wager. PHOENIX is 23-9 OVER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season with a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 12-4 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 231 ppg going on the board. DENVER is 7-0 OVER after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games this season with a combined average of 241 ppg scored. DENVER is 15-4 OVER when playing 5 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 236.4 ppg scored.Malone is 17-4 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better ) - 2nd half of the season as the coach of DENVER with a combined average of 227.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, playing with 3 or more days rest are 32-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 24-5 OVER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, playing with 3 or more days rest are 48-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Five of the L/6 meetings in this series here in Phoenix have gone over the total. Play OVER |
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06-07-21 | Bucks v. Nets UNDER 234 | 86-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
Watching the first game of this series, and than applying pace numbers, and the fact that the play off hoops between top tier teams are usually more physical than regular season games, than a projected combined score of the high 220s makes this total beatable according to my estimates.
Budenholzer is 38-23 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) as the coach of MILWAUKEE with a combined average of 222.5 ppg. Under is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 games as a road underdog. Under is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 45-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 26-3 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-07-21 | Islanders v. Bruins UNDER 5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
With this series tied 2-2 Im betting on both these defenses ramping up and for play to be extremely physical and close with both sides not wanting to make mistakes. This Im betting translates into a very low scoring game 5. NY ISLANDERS are 22-9 UNDER in road games vs. division opponents this season. NY ISLANDERS are 16-4 UNDER in road games off a home win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons. BOSTON is 12-2 UNDER in home games off a loss by 2 goals or more to a division rival over the last 2 seasons. Play on the UNDER |
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06-06-21 | Mavs v. Clippers OVER 209.5 | 111-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Kawhi Leonard and the Los Angeles Clippers will play host to Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks with a spot in the second round, and a matchup against the Utah Jazz, on the line and because of what's at stake they will both leave everything on the floor in what Im betting will be a much higher scoring affair than some of the previous games in this series. If the game is close down the stretch and one teams pulls ahead late expect a boatload full of fouls and points, and if one side is up big dont expect them to take the foot off the proverbial gas pedal at which point the game will open up. Other variables including OT, also take precedence for me in making this an over wager on a fairly low total according to my projections which make the number 216 which is a 2 possession difference.
LA CLIPPERS in their L/18 games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average of 215.7 ppg scored. Clippers in their L/9 home games as a favorite have seen a combined average of 217.4 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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06-06-21 | Rays v. Rangers UNDER 8 | 7-1 | Push | 0 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
Rangers starter Dunning has put up a 2.33 ERA in five home starts where he has pitched his best baseball. Meanwhile, TB defense and pitching has allowed 3 runs or less in 8 of their L/11, and Im betting they once again hold form here vs a Texas side that averages just 3.7 rpg vs a lowly .222 BA at home. TEXAS is 12-4 UNDER in home games against AL East opponents this season. The Rays are 0-15-1 UNDER L/16 when their starter went less than four innings in his last start. Play UNDER |
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06-05-21 | Bucks v. Nets UNDER 239.5 | 107-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Its obvious both these sides are obvious with explosive offenses, but at this time of year during the post season, a much more physical brand of hoops is going to be played. With that said, Im betting these two heavyweights slowly accustom themselves to their opposition, and for the inside action to take the form of a ufc battle zone. Edge under. Under is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 games as a road underdog.Under is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 5-2 in Bucks last 7 Conference Semifinals games.Under is 21-10 in Bucks last 31 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. MILWAUKEE is 25-14 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.9 ppg scored. Budenholzer in 144 career games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) in all games he has coached has seen a combined average score of 210.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 32-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 43-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-05-21 | Bruins v. Islanders UNDER 5 | 1-4 | Push | 0 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
Both these teams play a very strong brand of defensive hockey. In an intense environment like this Im betting on another low scoring affair. BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER after winning their previous game in overtime this season. BOSTON is 11-2 UNDER off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival this season.NY ISLANDERS are 21-10 UNDER in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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06-05-21 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Im betting on these two long time rivals to keep this combined score on the low side of the offered number. Note: The Red Sox are 0-10 UNDER L/10 when Eduardo Rodriguez starts as a dog when they lost in his last start.BOSTON is 14-4 UNDER in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. Red Sox stater RODRIGUEZ is 20-7 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record) NY YANKEES are 16-3 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. Play UNDER |
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06-05-21 | Hurricanes v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | 4-6 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
This series has been very tightly played from the very beginning and there is no reason for same very disciplined defensive hockey to continue here with all offense being played out of transition which Im betting results in combined score that stays under this total. 8 of 8 games in this series in TB have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons. NHL Home teams against the total (TAMPA BAY) - quick starting team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season, after losing their previous game in overtime are 36-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-05-21 | Rays v. Rangers OVER 8 | 3-0 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
Rays hurler Hill is in top form but the Rangers have done fairly well vs the southpaw pitching this season averaging 4.1 rpg. Meanwhile, TB continues to be explosive offensively away from home averaging 6.1 rpg on the road. Rangers starter ALLARD is 0-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.500 (spanning 4 innings of relief). TAMPA BAY is 7-0 OVER in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season. TAMPA BAY is 11-1 OVER as a road favorite of -110 or higher this season. The Rays are 13-0 OVER L/13 as a road favorite. Play OVER |
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06-04-21 | Avalanche v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
After being blasted 7-1 in the opening game of this series, the Knights Im betting learned their lesson and will not want to open this series up as was evident in the 2nd game when they payed special attention to transition ,in a close 3-2 loss. Nothing changes tonight as Vegas will be out to make this a physical grinding affair in the hopes of getting a win here this evening. VEGAS is 10-2 UNDER against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 or less goals/game - 2nd half of the season with z combined average of 4.2 gpg scored. VEGAS is 20-9 UNDER in home games revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less over the last 2 seasons.VEGAS is 10-3 UNDER in home games off a close loss by 1 goal to a division rival over the last 2 seasons. COLORADO is 22-11 UNDER in road games after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game over the last 2 seasons NHL Home teams against the total (VEGAS) - quick starting team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season, after losing their previous game in overtime are 36-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Road teams against the total (COLORADO) - well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, top level team, winning 70% or more of their games in the 2nd half of the season are 33-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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06-04-21 | Clippers v. Mavs OVER 216.5 | 104-97 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 6 According to the overall pace of this series and style of play my projections suggests a tilt where both teams score 107+ points which gives us an edge to the over on a total that I have projected at 219 which gives us a full possession plus advantage on this offered number, Note: DALLAS is 33-7 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 235.9 ppg. LA CLIPPERS are 32-6 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 232.3 ppg going on the board. DALLAS in 42 games when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 221.1 ppg scored. Clippers HC Lue is 17-5 OVER after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in all games with a combined average of 228.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DALLAS) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, on Friday nights are 47-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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06-04-21 | A's v. Rockies UNDER 11 | 9-5 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Jon Gray the Rockies starter owns a sting 2.36 ERA in seven starts at home, and has also recorded a solid 3.06 ERA against American League teams. Meanwhile, Montas has pitched well lately garnering a viable .3.24 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and a 2.50 ERA in his L/3 road starts this season. The Rockies are 0-12 UNDER L/12 as a dog after they allowed 6 or fewer hits. COLORADO is 17-6 UNDER in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.5 rpg scored. OAKLAND is 13-5 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored.OAKLAND is 14-5 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored.OAKLAND is 32-9 UNDER when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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06-03-21 | Suns v. Lakers OVER 207 | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
If the Lakers have any chance of salvaging this series, they are going to have to come out of their defensive shell and open up. This Im betting leads to a much higher scoring game affair than the lines-makers expect. PHOENIX is 9-1 OVER off a home blowout win by 20 points or more this season with a combined average of 237.5 ppg scored.PHOENIX is 11-1 OVER after a blowout win by 20 points or more this season with a combined average of 237.4 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games are 78-41 OVER L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-03-21 | Hurricanes v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
Central Division Playoffs - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 The first two games in this series ended in 2-1 decisions for the TB Lightning. More tough physical defensive minded play off hockey Im betting is once again on tonights agenda. CAROLINA is 9-1 UNDER revenging 2 straight close losses vs opponent by 1 goal or less over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 7-1 UNDER against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game this season. CAROLINA is 8-1 UNDER off a home loss against a division rival this season. NHL Road teams against the total (CAROLINA) - off 2 or more consecutive home losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 70%) are 24-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. The last 7 games in this series have gone under the total in Carolina. Play UNDER |
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06-03-21 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
These are two very inconsistent offense and my projections using multiple data points estimate a lower scoring game. The Diamondbacks are 0-9 UNDER L/9 on the road after they lost by one run last game.Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 during game 1 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 road gamesUnder is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 games as a road underdog. Play UNDER
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06-02-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz OVER 225 | 110-126 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
These teams have been playing back forth high scoring hoops this entire series and nothing will change tonight. All 4 games in this series have gone over with the L/3 showing a combined average score of 245 ppg scored. Rinse and repeat. MEMPHIS is 16-7 OVER in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 235.4 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 9-1 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points this season with a combined average of 238.7 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 16-6 OVER after 2 or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average of 236.4 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 13-3 OVER in road games after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 237.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MEMPHIS/UTAH) - after 3 or more consecutive overs against opponent after 4 or more consecutive overs are 43-18 OVER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-02-21 | Rangers v. Rockies UNDER 11 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
Todays under call is based on two very inconsistent offenses. The Rangers are 0-8-1 L/9 UNDER off a road game in which they scored in at most two separate innings with a combined average 6.2 rpg scored with no game seeing more than 8 combined runs scored. TEXAS is 8-0 UNDER after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base this season with a combined 4.2 rpg scored. COLORADO is 22-10 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 rpg. COLORADO is 16-5 UNDER (+10.6 Units) against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons with an average of 8.1 rpg . Play on the UNDER |
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06-02-21 | Wizards v. 76ers OVER 229.5 | 112-129 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
The Wizards went full tilt last time out, and avoided elimination ,behind the No.1 pace in the league, and now on the verge of elimination Im betting they attack in all out fashion which in turn will force the Sixers to open up , which will than result in what I project will be a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this offered number. PHILADELPHIA is 23-8 OVER in home games off a road loss over the last 3 seasons with a combined average . Over is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 games as a favorite. WASHINGTON is 20-9 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 245.3 ppg scored. WASHINGTON is 16-6 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 244.4 ppg going on the board. Over is 11-4-1 in Wizards last 16 playoff games as an underdog. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 100-49 OVER L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after a combined score of 215 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 404-271 OVER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Philadelphia. Play on the OVER |
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06-01-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets OVER 226 | 140-147 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
The first 3 games of this series , saw this offered total eclipsed and despite of a lower combined score ,last time out, Im betting on a overall pace increase here as Denver in energized form will look to run the Blazers out of building in the thin air of the mile high city in what will be a fast paced affair. PORTLAND in 31 games when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season have seen a combined average of 228.2 ppg scored. DENVER is 14-4 OVER when playing 5 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 233 ppg scored. PORTLAND is 19-9 OVER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 234.1 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PORTLAND) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, playing with 2 days rest are 36-13 L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 53-26 L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-01-21 | Rays v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
Yanks starter Domingo German(RHP4-3, 3.06 ERA, 47 SO) faced the Rays on April 10 in St. Petersburg, taking a loss after permitting four runs in four innings. My pitcher vs batting order rankings suggest he does not matchup well and should give the Rays an opportunity to explode offensively which will aid this being a high scoring affair. The Rays are 11-0 OVER L/11 as a road favorite with a combined average of 15.54 rpg scored.TAMPA BAY is 13-4 OVER in road games in night games this season with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-31-21 | Pirates v. Royals OVER 8 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
Royals starter MINOR is 22-9 OVER vs. struggling power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9 rpg scored. He is off a strong start last time out, but is MINOR in his L/6 after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored with his team allowing an average of 7.7 rpg. Pirates starter KUHL is 8-0 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 13.2 ppg. KUHL is 11-2 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. The Pirates are 10-0 OVER L/10 off a game as a favorite in which they lost by one run with a combined average of 13.6 rpg scored. KANSAS CITY is 23-10 OVER in home games after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-31-21 | Islanders v. Bruins UNDER 5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
The Bruins and Islanders took part in a closely contested game in the first two periods of game 1 in this series, before the Bruins exploded for 3 third period goals for a 5-2 victory. NYI HC Barry Trotz was not happy by his teams late breakdown and will now be making sure that his team gets back to what has made them a viable contender, and that is a top tier defensive system . Tonight Im betting on a very physical game from the Islanders and for them to pay special attention and transition, and for the Bruins to morph into the same style of play , which Im betting results in a very low scoring affair. NY ISLANDERS are 8-0 UNDER revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more this season with a combined average of 3.2 gpg scored.NY ISLANDERS are 8-1 UNDER after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game this season with a combined average of 4 gpg scored. Under is 4-1 in Bruins last 5 games following a win. Under is 9-3-2 in the last 14 meetings in Boston. Play on the UNDER |
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05-31-21 | 76ers v. Wizards UNDER 230 | 114-122 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
The Sixers clobbered the Wizards last time out 132-103 and by the end of that game you could see the DC group was in a dejected mood, which Im betting will carry into this game. Meanwhile, Philly Im betting will regress offensively while continuing to play a top teir brand of defense that ranks 6th in the league in ppg allowed. WASHINGTON is 15-7 UNDER after a loss by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 223.4 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA in 18 road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average of 213.7 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 13-3 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 225.9 ppg scored.PHILADELPHIA is 18-4 UNDER in the 4th game of a playoff series since 1996 with a combined average of 184.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more are 47-18 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a road blowout win by 20 points or more are 52-25 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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05-30-21 | Suns v. Lakers OVER 209.5 | 100-92 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a pivotal game in this series and /Im betting the Suns down 2-1 in this series will have to be more aggressive offensively and try to push the Lakers out of their comfort zone. This Im betting leads to a much higher scoring affair than the first 3 games of this series saw. LAKERS in 33 games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season have seen a combined average of 214 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 21-12 OVER versus teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 225.5 ppg. Play OVER |