Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-20-23 | Kings v. Warriors UNDER 240.5 | 97-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 235 which gives us close to 2 full possession advantage to the under. SACRAMENTO is 13-3 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 230.5 ppg scored . GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with combined average off 228 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 UNDER in home games after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this season with s combined 216 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 15-3 UNDER after 4 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons with the combined average of 219 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 54-16 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion. Play on the under |
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04-20-23 | Padres v. Diamondbacks UNDER 10 | 7-5 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 7 m | Show | |
The series starts with Michael Wacha (2-1, 6.06 ERA) going to the hill for San Diego against Ryne Nelson (1-0, 3.71) in a match up of right-handers. Offensively the Padres enter this game struggling to score runs recently and were shutout two times in a row and then followed up with 1 run output last time out . So one run in their L/3 games and have not scored more than 3 runs in game in their L/7 overall. Meanwhile, Arizona has faired better offensively of late, but my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest that Wacha should cause their output status immediate regression. Advantage to the under. Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 road games.Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 7-3 in Padres last 10 overall. ARIZONA is 50-33 UNDER against division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.6 rpg scored. Under is 12-5-1 in Diamondbacks last 18 home games. Under is 7-3 in Diamondbacks last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Padres expected starter Wacha. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona. Play under |
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04-20-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs OVER 6 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Toronto was caught flat footed to begin their post season and lost game one to the Tampa Bay Bolts by a 7-3 count. While I doubt the Lightning will put 7 goals on the board here in the 2nd game of this series I still believe on their current form they will hit 3 or more goals. On the flip-side, TB ha been mediocre defensively for much of this season, and now betting on more aggressive offensive posture from the Buds in rebound mode which will help us eclipse this total. It must be noted that 11 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons. TORONTO is 23-11 OVER against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 35-17 OVER against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better pp this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 20-10 OVER (+9.5 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (TAMPA BAY) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games are 85-37 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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04-19-23 | Islanders v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -140 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
Isles Im betting will continue to play a conservative style of defensive hockey, and force Carolina into the same type of transitional hockey, which Im betting results in a combined score that remains on the low side of the offered total. CAROLINA is 10-2 UNDER in home games against good starting goalies - (saving 91.5% or more of shots against) in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 4 gpg scored. (NYI G Sirokin qualifies)CAROLINA is 10-2 UNDER in home games after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.(Game one resulted in. aCarolina 2-1 victory). Play under |
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04-17-23 | Nets v. 76ers OVER 213.5 | 84-96 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Philadelphia poured down 121 points in game 1 for the hefty DD win. The Nets will now have to become more aggressive offensively, while the Sixers will have not problem obliging them with a full blown offensive attack in response. BROOKLYN is 15-5 OVER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 28-9 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 15-6 OVER after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this seasons with combined average of 231.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 77-36 OVER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 56-25 OVER L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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04-17-23 | Giants v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
The Marlins on Monday will start lefty Jesus Luzardo (2-0, 1.93 ERA). According to my power rankings he matches up well vs the SF batting order. When or iff he leaves this game Miami has well rested bullpen performers ready to go with lefty A.J. Puk, and righty Dylan Floro. Puk, a former starter in his college career, has a 1.50 ERA so far this season. He's using his upper-90s fastball against lefties and his slider versus lefties giving them fits.Floro a finesse pitcher, owns a 0.00 ERA in six appearances, and gets hitters to chase by using his sinker-slider combo. Meanwhile, on the flipside Logan Webb armed and with his new 90 million dollar contract will be primed to perform here against a struggling Miami offense. Advantage to the under. Under is 3-1-1 in Giants last 5 vs. National League East. SAN FRANCISCO is 18-6 UNDER in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored.
Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall. Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 on grass.Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 vs. National League West.Under is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 4-0-1 in Marlins last 5 home games.Under is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 13-5-1 in the last 19 meetings. Play on the UNDER |
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04-16-23 | Diamondbacks v. Marlins UNDER 7 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
Miami Marlins Right-hander Sandy Alcantara, the reigning National League Cy Young Award winner im betting matches up very well vs the the Dbacks batting order and should limit their production to a minimum here today. Meanwhile, , Arizona will start right-hander Zac Gallen (1-1, 4.58 ERA). Gallen is coming off a career year in 2022, when he went 12-4 with a 2.54 ERA in 31 starts for Arizona. After a rough start this season, Gallen settled down last time out and pitched seven scoreless innings against the Brewers. He struck out 11 and allowed just three hits and one walk and has momentum entering this tilt. Im betting these two hurlers go long and strong and we see little offensive production making for a lower scoring affair. Miami hurler ALCANTARA is 16-4 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored. ALCANTARA is 15-5 UNDER at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 3-1-2 in Marlins last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Arizonas Gallen . Under is 4-1-2 in Marlins last 7 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 10-3-2 in Marlins last 15 vs. a team with a winning record. Play under |
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04-15-23 | Hawks v. Celtics OVER 230.5 | 99-112 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 4 m | Show | |
Entering the play offs Atlanta s offense is hitting on all cylinders averaging 123.6 ppg in their L/5 trips the court, and Im betting they will for the most part keep up that tiop tier offensive pace tonight in Boston . We know Boston is a solid defensive side, but when pressured can turn up their offense, and thats what Im betting the Celtics will be forced into doing today. BOSTON is 8-1 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 239.7 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 11-3 OVER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combine average of 244.6 ppg scored.ATLANTA is 15-3 OVER after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with a combined average of 242.3 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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04-15-23 | Pirates v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Both these offenses are of the sub prime variety and Im betting they will once again find the sledding tough in todays matchup. In the first two games of this series a total of 8 runs have been scored with each side recording a shutout and a rinse and repeat scenario from a total runs perspective is a good bet here. The Cards have gone under in 9 of their L/10 overall, and the Pirates have gone under in 3 straight and 4 of their L/6 overall. Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. National League Central.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 road games.Under is 12-2 in Pirates last 14 during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-1-1 in Pirates last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Matz. PITTSBURGH is 22-10 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. SHELTON is 31-17 UNDER in road games after scoring 1 run or less as the manager of PITTSBURGH with a combined average of 8 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. MARMOL is 20-9 UNDER after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games as the manager of ST LOUIS with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored. ST LOUIS is 7-0 UNDER vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. . MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - after being shut out in a loss to a division rival, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 44-13 UNDER L/276 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (PITTSBURGH) - after being shut out in a loss to a division rival, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 29-7 L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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04-14-23 | Sabres v. Blue Jackets OVER 7 | 5-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
These teams will not be in the post season, and Im betting on this being a loose run and gun tilt that sees very little attention paid to solid defensive transitional hockey. Edge to the over. Im projecting both sides score 3+ goals. BUFFALO is 37-0 OVER when both teams score 3 or more goals this season. COLUMBUS is 28-1 OVER ( when both teams score 3 or more goals this season. BUFFALO is 12-1 OVER against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp this season with a combined average of 8.5 gpg. BUFFALO is 10-2 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 8.4 gpg scored.BUFFALO is 7-1 OVER after winning their previous game in overtime this season with a combined average of 8.3 gpg scored. COLUMBUS is 6-0 OVER off a home win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 gpg. COLUMBUS is 8-0 OVER off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 gpg scored.COLUMBUS is 12-1 OVER off a win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8 gpg going on the board. Over is 12-2 in the last 14 meetings in Columbus Play on the over |
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04-14-23 | Orioles v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Both these pitchers Clevinger and Wells , matchup well here vs each opposing batting order according to my early season power rankings. Factoring in the bullpens and edger to the under makes for viable wagering opportunity. Under is 15-6-1 in Orioles last 22 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Clevinger. Under is 3-0-1 in White Sox last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 3-0-1 in White Sox last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter like Baltimores Wells. Under is 6-0-2 in White Sox last 8 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 vs. American League East. BALTIMORE is 14-3 UNDER in road games against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored.BALTIMORE is 25-12 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored. The last 6 games in this series played in south side Chicago have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . Play under |
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04-14-23 | Bulls v. Heat OVER 208 | 91-102 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Chicago has won 3 straight in this series, with all those games eclipsing this offered total. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today. MIAMI is 8-0 OVER when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.9 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 overall. Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 7-0 in Heat last 7 home games. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, second half of the season are 41-15 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Miami. Play on the over |
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04-12-23 | Nationals v. Angels UNDER 9.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
Washington left-hander MacKenzie Gore (2-0, 2.38), who will start Wednesday's game, has pitched well in his first two start and now expecting he has another good start and will help contribute to what Im betting will be a lower scoring affair. Washingtons starter GORE in 6 games against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 7 rpg scored. Under is 4-1-2 in Angels last 7 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 10-2 in Nationals last 12 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter like Canning. LA ANGELS are 19-7 UNDER in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 rpg. LA ANGELS are 23-11 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.LA ANGELS are 30-15 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. Under is 5-1-2 in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles. Under is 6-1-2 in the last 9 meetings. Play under |
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04-11-23 | Wolves v. Lakers OVER 231 | 102-108 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score that reaches the mid 230s plus here. With the Wolves defensive stalwart Rudy Gobert out because of suspension, Im betting the now healthy Lakers really push this pace and force a capable and willing Wolves group into a run and gun affair. The Lakers ranked 3rd in pace in the NBA this season and 6th in ppg offense and 20th in ppg allowed. (Lakers have gone over in 8 straight games) The Wolves ranked 18th in ppg allowed and 8th in pace in the NBA and were in the top half of the league in scoring offense. MINNESOTA is 7-0 OVER in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 247.9 ppg scored. (Lakers beat the Wolves 123-111 L/week) MINNESOTA is 31-19 OVER in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA LAKERS) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 30-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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04-11-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | 1-4 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Both these teams will be in the play offs and both can still move up in the standings before we enter the post season. With both sides still playing hard Im expecting an aggressive game and with more than enough goals going on the board to eclipse this soft total.. Over is 3-0-1 in Golden Knights last 4 vs. Pacific.Over is 6-1 in Golden Knights last 7 home games.Over is 9-4-1 in Golden Knights last 14 overall. Over is 6-2-1 in Kraken last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 3-1-1 in Kraken last 5 road game. NHL Road teams against the total (SEATTLE) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 44-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (SEATTLE) - after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team in the 2nd half of the season are 23-5 OVER L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.6 gpg scored. Play over |
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04-11-23 | Nationals v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
Angels starting hurler OHTANI is 7-0 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5 rpg going on the board.OHTANI is 20-7 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record) OHTANI is 12-3 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Across his first two starts Ohtani is 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA. He has 18 Ks in 12.0 innings total. I know Washington scored 6 or more runs in each of the past 4 games , but 3 of those were in the launching pad known as Coors Field, but here against a top tier hurler like Ohtani Im betting on offensive regression which will contribute to a lower scoring affair. NEVIN is 15-4 UNDER vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse as the manager of LA ANGELS. Under is 3-1-1 in Nationals last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 15-5-3 in Nationals last 23 interleague road games.Under is 4-1-2 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles. Under is 22-9-4 in Angels last 35 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 9-4 in Angels last 13 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Play under |
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04-10-23 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
Lefty Wiley goes to the hill for the Brewers and he is backed by a strong looking bullpen that has recorded a minuscule 0.84 ERA. The Dbacks have struggled against southpaws this season so far as is evident by a .220 BA and those struggles Im betting continue today. Under is 8-3 in Brewers last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.MILWAUKEE is 12-2 UNDER in road games when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons. Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Arizona. Play on the UNDER |
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04-09-23 | Royals v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
My projections expect a total combined score of 9+ runs here giving us value with an over wager. Over is 6-1 in Royals last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Giants expected starter A. Desclafani. Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 8-1 in Royals last 9 road games. Over is 11-3 in Royals last 14 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 15-5 in Royals last 20 interleague games. Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 vs. American League Central.Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 interleague games. SAN FRANCISCO is 10-1 OVER after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored. KAPLER is 21-6 OVER after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO with a combined average of 10.2 rpg going on the board. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (KANSAS CITY) - very bad AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 40-12 OVER L/26 seasons. Play over |
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04-09-23 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 224.5 | 105-121 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
The Bucks will be resting almost the entire core of their team, and Im betting that they will instead concentrate on playing a conservative defensive minded game behind a coaching staff that recognizes the importance of being disciplined in transition entering post season play. This Im betting results in a lower scoring affair. Also with a depleted lineup last time out the Bucks allowed the Grizzlies to pound down 137 points, they will be more aware here defensively in this spot play vs the Toronto Raptors who could also rest a big portion of their team.Under is 10-4 in Bucks last 14 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 11-3 in Raptors last 14 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto. Play UNDER |
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04-08-23 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 | 8-12 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
Arizonas starter DAVIES is 12-1 UNDER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ARIZONA is 16-1 UNDER with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. Under is 7-1 in Dodgers last 8 during game 3 of a series. Under is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings in Arizona. Under is 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings. Play under |
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04-08-23 | Lightning v. Senators UNDER 6.5 | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Bolts have a play off spot wrapped up and right now they are more interested in staying healthy than garnering wins as post season play approaches. What Im betting the Bolts are interested in, however, is to be more conservative in transition, and to focus more on good defensive fundamentals after allowing 6 goals in two straight games. Because of this Im expecting a concerted effort on D from the Lightning and for a Ottawa side that has not scored more than 3 goals in 4 straight and 7 of their L/10 to struggle to score goals. This combination will Im betting result in a combined score that remains on the low side of the total. TAMPA BAY is 12-4 UNDER in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.3 gg going on the scoreboard. OTTAWA is 26-13 UNDER in home games against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or better of shots against over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.5 gpg scored. Play under |
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04-08-23 | Wolves v. Spurs OVER 233.5 | 151-131 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Minnesota has been off since Tuesday, and will have plenty of energy to run and gun here tonight vs what is usually a poor Spurs defense ranked last in the NBA in ppg allowed and defensive efficiency. The Spurs are off 129-127 win vs Portland last time out and run the 2nd ranked pace in the NBA and Im betting on more wide hoops tonight against a fresh Wolves side. Over is 7-3 in Timberwolves last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Over is 35-16 in Timberwolves last 51 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Over is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 10-4 in Spurs last 14 games following a straight up win. Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in San Antonio. Play on the over |
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04-08-23 | Royals v. Giants UNDER 8.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Royals right-hander Brady Singer (1-0, 1.80 ERA)Im betting will duplicate his effort in a 9-5 home victory over the Toronto Blue Jays this past Monday. He worked the first five innings, allowing the Jays to one run on two hits. Meanwhile, the Giants starter Manaea will be making his first home start since joining the Giants as a free agent in December and Im also betting he will be primed to compete.Under is 6-2-1 in Royals last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Note: KC has scored 3 or less runs in 4 straight and 5 of 8 games and have already been shutout 3 times. SF has been shutout twice already this season and scored 3 or less runs in 4 of 7 games. More offensive struggles look imminent today, Play under |
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04-07-23 | Suns v. Lakers OVER 225.5 | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
Phoenix has won a season-high seven straight games entering this meeting against the Lakers, and Im betting will push the home team hard today in a tilt I have pegged to be a back forth event that will see aggressive offensive action. With this being a back to back situation for the Suns Im sure they wont get physical and their defense positioning will suffer. I do also expect the Lakers James and Anthony to suit up despite of being questionable . The Lakers are trying to avoid playing play in game so all decks should be on the agenda tonight. the most recent meeting in this series sae a combined 233 points scored. Rinse and repeat . Over is 6-0 in Lakers last 6 overall. Over is 6-1-1 in Suns last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 6-1-1 in Suns last 8 road games. Play over |
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04-07-23 | Bulls v. Mavs UNDER 229.5 | 115-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score of 225 ppg giving us almost a two two full possession edge on an under wager cashing. DALLAS is 12-1 UNDER off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 15-4 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. NBA team (DALLAS/CHICAGO) - in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%), in April games are 28-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DALLAS) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 36-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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04-07-23 | Nationals v. Rockies UNDER 11 | 10-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
Colorado shutout Washington yesterday 1-0 and another low scoring game is my forecast here today . Colorados starter URENA is 16-4 UNDER in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. Colorado has not scored more than 4 runs in 6 straight games. Washington has scored 2 or less runs in 5 of their 7 games this season. COLORADO is 11-0 UNDER after shutting out their opponent over the last 3 seasons.COLORADO is 8-0 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 2 runs or less over the last 3 seasons. COLORADO is 16-1 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. ( the combined score of these games were all well below this offering) Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 vs. National League East. COLORADO is 22-9 UNDER vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.8 rpg scored. Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0-2 in Nationals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Play under |
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04-07-23 | Marlins v. Mets UNDER 8 | 3-9 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
Tylor Megill (1-0, 3.60 ERA) is expected take the hill for the Mets against Edward Cabrera (0-0, 4.50 ERA) in a matchup of right-handers going against each other for the second time this season. Megill allowed two runs over five innings while Cabrera gave up two runs in four innings in the first meeting. Im betting we see them continue their successes here today and for both bullpens to stand tall in support.Under is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 road gamesUnder is 4-1 in Mets last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days .NY METS are 13-3 UNDER in home games in April games over the last 3 seasons. Play on the UNDER |
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04-06-23 | Heat v. 76ers UNDER 220.5 | 129-101 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
As Philadelphia prepares for a play off run, they have begun to hone their defensive skills and are not not running and gunning like they were during their mid season portion of their so far successful campaign. Philadelphia ranks 3rd in the NBA in ppg allowed. the last time the 76ers played the Heat back on March 1st the held the Heat to just 96 points. MIAMI is 10-2 UNDER in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this season with a combined average of 210.3 ppg scored. Meanwhile, the Heat have gone Under in 4 straight road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 road games. Im betting on another lower scoring affair in this spot play. Spoelstra in 280 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of MIAMI has seen a combined average score of 202.4 ppg scored. MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average of 204.6 ppg scored. The L/4 meetings in this series have not eclipsed this Totals offering. The L/4 meetings in this series have also seen one of these teams not eclipse the 100 point plateau. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%), in April games are 94-50 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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04-05-23 | Guardians v. A's OVER 8 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Cleveland bats are currently on fire and have brought 18 runs across the plate in their L/2 games, and Im betting they light up As starter Muller here today which gives us an a pronounced edge to the over.Note: Oakland has allowed 31 runs in their L/3 trips to the diamonds. These teams took part in a 12-11 slugfest and Im betting on not of lot of regression in this meeting. Over is 3-0-1 in Guardians last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. Over is 4-0-2 in Athletics last 6 vs. American League Central. Over is 6-0-1 in Athletics last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on the over |
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04-05-23 | Phillies v. Yankees OVER 7 | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Two quality right handed pitchers Cole (NYY )and Nola for Philadelphia go head to head against two quality offensive lineups. Both teams hit righties well and even the best of pitchers in this league would have problems with these batting orders. Im expecting a decent offensive utput by these sides today in a game that I pegged to eclipse this offered total. Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.Over is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings in New York. Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. COLE is 25-11 OVER in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season with a combined average of 10 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 15-1 OVER L/16 vs. NL teams scoring 3.5 or less runs/game on the season with a combined average of 12.4 rpg scored. BOONE is 22-10 OVER (+10.9 Units) in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 or less (NY YANKEES) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game are 79-38 OVER L/27 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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04-04-23 | Diamondbacks v. Padres UNDER 7 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
The Padres send Yu Darvish to the hill this afternoon vs the DBacks. The right hander finished eighth in the 2022 Cy Young voting and matches up well here according to my early season power rankings. DARVISH is 12-0 UNDER ( when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average 4.6 rpg scored. Arizona's Zac Gallen, who finished fifth in the 2022 Cy Young race goes for the Dbacks. He has struggled of late in the spring and his opener, but he matches up well vs the Padres batting order.Gallen, who went. 12-4 in 31 starts last season with a 2.54 ERA, a league-leading 0.913 WHIP and a .186 opponents' batting average. Im betting both hurlers go fairly deep today and both bullpens stand tall behind them when need be. Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Play under |
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04-03-23 | Predators v. Stars UNDER 6 | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Nashville has played strong defense of late allowing 3 goals or less in 6 of their L/7 games overall and after a 6-1 blowout win vs the Blues last time out Im now betting their top tier defensive posture continues and for them to regress offensively here today vs Dallas which will give us an edge on a under bet cashing. Note: NASHVILLE is 9-0 UNDER in road games off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival over the last 2 seasons.NASHVILLE is 8-1 UNDER off a blowout win by 4 goals or more over a division rival over the last 3 seasons. Under is 8-3 in Stars last 11 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game Also the Stars are on tired legs . . Under is 20-8-1 in Stars last 29 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. Under is 33-14-4 in Stars last 51 vs. a team with a winning record. Four of the L/5 meetings in this series have seen 5 combined goals or less go on the board, with one of those game seeing 6 combined goals go on the board. Rinse and repeat to the under. Play on the under |
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04-02-23 | Suns v. Thunder UNDER 236 | 128-118 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
When these teams played back on March 13 Oklahoma City grabbed a 124-120 win, but Im betting we do not reach the combined plateau in this tilt. It must be noted that the Suns are currently playing a top tier brand of defensive basketball, as is evident by allowing 105, 103, 100, and 93 points in their L/4 trips to the hardwood and will now not deviate from that strong transitional posture, making for what Im betting will be a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. It must also be noted that PHOENIX is 21-9 UNDER revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season with a combined average of 220 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 16-5 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 219.2 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 games following a straight up loss. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 46-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHOENIX) - after allowing 95 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 44-17 OVER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-02-23 | Mavs v. Hawks UNDER 244.5 | 130-132 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Atlanta took out Dallas 130-122 last time they met in Jan on the 18th. Under is 5-1 in Hawks last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The Mavs will in the rematch will not try to run and gun again against the Hawks, and Im betting will instead be more conservative in transition. DALLAS is 8-1 UNDER in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 218.8 ppg scored. Under is 5-1 in Hawks last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 7-1 in Mavericks last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 road games. DALLAS is 9-1 UNDER after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 207.5 ppg scored. Kidd is 11-2 UNDER after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games as the coach of DALLAS with a combined average of 216.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DALLAS/ATLANTA) - in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%), in April games are 26-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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04-01-23 | Miami-FL v. Connecticut UNDER 149.5 | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Thee teams can light up the board, but in this type of game defense is what will bring home the victory. Im betting on a grueling physical defensive event that will remain on the low side of the total. Under is 6-2 in Hurricanes last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 6-1 in Huskies last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. CONNECTICUT is 7-1 UNDER in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 133.6 ppg scored. MIAMI is 15-6 UNDER in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 140.7 ppg scored. MIAMI is 10-1 UNDER in road games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 134.9 ppg scored. - Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MIAMI) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 23-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (CONNECTICUT) - playing with 5 or 6 days rest are 178-012 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-31-23 | Guardians v. Mariners UNDER 8 | 9-4 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
Mariners starter Ray In 32 games last season procured a 12-12 record and had a 3.71 ERA and a 1.190 WHIP.He ranked 31st in ERA (3.71), 31st in WHIP (1.190), and 10th in K/9 (10.1) among qualified pitchers in the majors last year and according to my early season power rankings matches up well vs this Guardians batting order. Ray is 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA in four career appearances against Cleveland, including three starts. On the flipside I know Gaddis does not inspire the same confidence in being able to curb the Mariners bats , but he is under rated according to my projections and should do just fine here and if he falters he has the benefit of having the backing of a viable bullpen, Everything points to a lower scoring affair. Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 road games.Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 overall.Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 on grass.Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 6-1-1 in Guardians last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 12-3 in Guardians last 15 during game 2 of a series. Under is 13-3 in Mariners last 16 during game 2 of a series. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Seattle. Play UNDER |
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03-31-23 | Pistons v. Rockets UNDER 229.5 | 115-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
You have heard of slugfest , well this tilt Im betting wont be one of them. Get ready for a Sleepfest instead between to team with nothing left to play for other than a strong draft choice. Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 home games. Under is 7-0 in Pistons last 7 road games. DETROIT is 12-2 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 lower tier teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 235 points or more are 27-3 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (DETROIT) - in a game involving two lower tier defensive teams (118 PPG or more) are 64-24 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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03-31-23 | Rangers v. Sabres UNDER 6.5 | 2-3 | Win | 112 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
The Rangers have not allowed more than 3 goals in game in 12 straight games, and Im betting that those strong defensive numbers remain intact tonight vs a Sabres side that has not scored more than 3 goals in 5 of their L/6 trips to the ice. The last time these teams played the Rangers won a tightly contested 2-1 contest and according to my projections another lower scoring tilt must be expected. Note : The L/2 meetings here in Buffalo were 2-1 results favoring the Rangers. Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 road games.Under is 3-1-1 in Rangers last 5 overall. Under is 3-1-1 in Rangers last 5 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (NY RANGERS) - off a close road loss by 1 goal, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the 2nd half of the season are 37-15 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Road teams against the total (NY RANGERS) - off a close road loss by 1 goal, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 42-21 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 21-7 in the last 28 meetings in Buffalo. Play UNDER |
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03-30-23 | UAB v. North Texas OVER 127.5 | 61-68 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Blazers are yet again one of the highest scoring teams in the country under Andy Kennedy and have successfully in their two most recent meetings this season been able to force N.Texas into opening up as is evident by a 76-69 Neutral court win last time they met in the Conference play offs, and their last regular season game that saw N.Texas procure a 82-79 victory. Both these teams are solid at the charity stripe, which is key to this over bet. UAB is 9-1 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game this season. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (N.TEXAS/UAB) - in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game).are 44-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-30-23 | Blues v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | 5-3 | Win | 109 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
Blues have average 6 gpg in 3 straight and enter into this tilt with offensive momentum against a sub par defensive side that has allowed 4.4 gpg in their L/5 trips to the ice. Im betting on the Blues lighting up the Blackhawks in this one and to continue their current onslaught. Meanwhile, the Blues in wide open fashion have allowed 12 goals in their L/2 games and 3 goals or more in 5 straight and Im betting that the fast asleep Blackhawks find holes that are not always available to them which makes this a viable over wager.
ST LOUIS is 6-0 OVER in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season with a combined average of 8.5 gpg scored. CHICAGO is 5-0 OVER after 6 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 7.7 gpg scored. NHL Home teams against the total (CHICAGO) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or better goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game are 35-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Home teams against the total (CHICAGO) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season are 37-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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03-30-23 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 236.5 | 140-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
Boston ranks 6th in ppg allowed this season/4th in defensive efficiency and rank 18th in pace, while the Bucks rank 3rd in defensive efficiency and 10th in pace. Both teams can score in bunches but in this type of affair between two of the top teams in the NBA a more conservative defensive minded approach must be expected especially with the play offs around the corner. Also the Bucks played last night in run gun fashion posting 149-136 win so instant offensive regression and tired legs vs a strong defensive side will effect their aggressiveness here and overall output giving us an edge on a under wager. Under is 8-2 in Bucks last 10 games playing with no rest. Under is 8-3 in Bucks last 11 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. MILWAUKEE in 57 games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 221.6 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE in 18 games as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season have seen a combined average of 227.3 ppg scored. Under is 11-4 in Celtics last 15 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. BOSTON in 18 road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season have seen a combined average of 221.7 ppg scored. BOSTON is 12-1 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 217.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win by 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams are 31-4 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-29-23 | Clippers v. Grizzlies OVER 228.5 | 141-132 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
Clippers always seem to play a more aggressive offensive style on the road, and Im betting nothing changes tonight against their hosts their explosive hosts the Memphis Grizzlies. Over is 21-8 in Clippers last 29 road games. Over is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.(Beat the Bulls 124-112 last time out) Over is 18-7-1 in Grizzlies last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 5-2 in Grizzlies last 7 overall. NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 38-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Play over |
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03-29-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs OVER 7 | 3-2 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
Florida has allowed 4 or more goals in 6 of their L/8 and 5 goals or more in 5 of those games. Needless to say it is the lack of solid D, and top tier goaltending that has seen them lose four straight games and tonight against the capable offense of the Leafs Im betting they get lit up again in what Im betting will end up in a high scoring game. Note: Leafs have seen an average of 7.8 gpg go on the board in their L/5 trips to the ice. When these teams played in Florida on March 23rd the Leafs took a 6-2 victory. Im projecting a +8 combined output today. FLORIDA in 5 road games revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more this season have seen a combined average of 8.4 gpg scored. .FLORIDA is 8-1 OVER revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more this season with a combined average of 7.6 gpg scored. FLORIDA is 16-3 OVER off a road loss this season with a combined average of 7.7 gpg scored. (Lost at Ottawa last time out by a 5-2 count) Over is 3-0-1 in Panthers last 4 vs. Atlantic.Over is 5-1-1 in Panthers last 7 road games. Over is 7-0-1 in Maple Leafs last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 3-0-1 in Maple Leafs last 4 vs. Atlantic. Over is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings. Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto. Play over |
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03-28-23 | Jets v. Sharks UNDER 6.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
Tuesday is the final stop of the Jets' three-game road trip against California teams and on tired legs Im betting they are not prepared to skate and gun, and instead I expect they will lean on good defensive play and top tier goaltending to get the job done. This will in effect keep scoring to a marginal amount. Also the Jets have not scored more than 3 goals in their L/8 games and in 10 of their L/11 overall. So paying attention in transition is obviously key for the Jets here tonight on the road. Under is 21-5 in Jets last 26 road games. Under is 8-3-1 in Sharks last 12 vs. a team with a winning record. WINNIPEG is 22-4 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive unders this season with a combined average of 5.3 gpg scored. WINNIPEG is 8-0 UNDER ) against terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.3 gpg scored. WINNIPEG is 7-0 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.2 gpg scored. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play under |
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03-28-23 | Wisconsin v. North Texas OVER 115 | 54-56 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (North TEXAS /WISCONSIN) - in a game involving two below average offensive teams (63-67 PPG) are 36-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate with the average combined score of 131.4 ppg going on the board. Play over |
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03-26-23 | Blues v. Kings UNDER 6.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
In their L/10 games the LA Kings have only allowed more than 2 goals one time and my projections estimate another top tier defensive effort here by what has suddenly become a solid goaltending group since the team parted ways with Johnathon Quick. Yes, I know the Blues have doing well offensively of late, but that will make the Kings even more disciplined in transition. Meanwhile, visiting St.Louis has not allowed more than 3 goals in 5 straight and now on tired legs as they play their 4th game in 6 nights Im expecting a more tempered and conservative effort here vs a team they know could light them up quickly.
Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles. Under is 2-0-2 in the last 4 meetings. NHL home teams where the total is 6 or more (LOS ANGELES) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team in the second half of the season are 37-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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03-23-23 | Michigan State v. Kansas State OVER 137 | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate both sides to eclipse the 70 point plateau giving us value with an over wager in todays NCAA matchup between Michigan State and Kansas State. MICHIGAN ST is 11-3 OVER after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better this season with a combined average of 1461. ppg scored. KANSAS ST is 6-0 OVER in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 149.1 ppg scored. KANSAS ST is 8-1 OVER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.3 ppg scored. KANSAS ST in their L/31 games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 147.6 ppg scored. Play over |
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03-22-23 | Penguins v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh offense has really stuttered of late as is evident by averaging just 2 gpg in their L/5 trips to the ice. On the season the Pens have averaged just 2.9 gg and Im betting they once again have problems scoring vs the Avs in this spot play. Meanwhile, Colorado is on a 6 game win streak allowing 2 goals or less in 4 of those 6 tilts. It must be noted that in their L/meeting back on 2/7/2023 the Pens squeezed out a 2-1 win and considering both sides current form another lower scoring affair is to be expected. COLORADO is 13-4 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with an averge of 5.1 gpg scored. PITTSBURGH is 10-3 UNDER in road games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 5.7 gpg scored.
COLORADO is 23-9 UNDER when playing their 4th game in 7 days this season. NHL Home teams against the total (COLORADO) - after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games, in March games are 27-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-21-23 | Celtics v. Kings UNDER 238.5 | 132-109 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
The Kings will need to ramp up their D here against a strong Boston side. The Kings have done a decent job on defense for the most part of late, but did have a down effort defensively last time out allowing 128 points in a loss to the Jazz. SACRAMENTO is 39-21 UNDER off a road loss over the last 3 seasons with a combined average with a combined average of 225.9 ppg scored.Under is 3-1-1 in Kings last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Meanwhile, the Celtics rank 7th in ppg allowed and 4th in defensive rating and ranked 19th in pace, and will be primed to stand tall here defensively against an explosive side. Under is 18-8 in Kings last 26 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 11-3 in Celtics last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 20-8 in Celtics last 28 games playing on 2 days rest. BOSTON is 14-6 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 223.5 ppg scored. BOSTON is 13-4 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. with a combined average of 220.6 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SACRAMENTO) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 35-11 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 74-32 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Sacramento. Play UNDER |
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03-21-23 | North Texas v. Oklahoma State OVER 124 | 65-59 | Push | 0 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections mkae this total closer to 128 giving us value with on over wager. CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (N.Texas OKLAHOMA ST) - in a game involving two excellent defensive teams (40% or better), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) are 30-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 136.9 ppg. Play over |
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03-19-23 | TCU v. Gonzaga UNDER 156.5 | 81-84 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. TCU will not run and gun here today with a superior offense, and instead will be primed to turn this into a grinding physical affair . The Horn Frogs have slowed some of the most explosive offenses in the nation that come from the Big 12. TCU has allowed an average of 68 ppg this season. GONZAGA is 7-1 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games this season . GONZAGA is 6-0 UNDER in road games after scoring 75 points or more 5 straight games this season. TCU is 8-2 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games this season. TCU is 10-1 UNDER in March games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (GONZAGA/TCU) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games are 38-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-18-23 | Canucks v. Kings UNDER 6.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
The Canucks D, has really shored itself up of late allowing 3 or less goals in 7 straight games.Meanwhile LA has not allowed more than 2 goals in 7 straight games. Considering both sides stellar defensive play of late another lower scoring affair is a reasonable expectation on a value Totals offering. Under is 3-0-1 in Canucks last 4 vs. Pacific. Under is 4-1-1 in Kings last 6 home games. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (LOS ANGELES) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team in the second half of the season are 36-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Play on the UNDER |
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03-18-23 | USC Upstate v. Indiana State UNDER 158 | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. USC UPSTATE is 7-1 UNDER in road games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers this season with a combined average of 134 ppg going on the board. Dickerson is 6-0 UNDER after 2 straight games where they were called for 22 or more fouls as the coach of USC UPSTATE with a combined average of 128,5 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (USC UPSATE/INDIANA ST) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games are 36-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-17-23 | Wizards v. Cavs UNDER 220.5 | 94-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Cleveland runs at a snails pace ranking 30th in the NBA and rank 1st in ppg allowed in the league and just 25th in ppg offense . CLEVELAND is 13-4 UNDER in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons like Washington with a combined average of 209.2 ppg going on the board. Im betting Cleveland will control the pace of this game , which will result in a lower scoring affair. Under is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. CLEVELAND is 12-3 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204.2 ppg scored. Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Play UNDER |
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03-17-23 | Kennesaw State v. Xavier UNDER 152 | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 93 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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03-16-23 | Magic v. Suns UNDER 228.5 | 113-116 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Orlando took out the Suns by a 114-97 count the last time they played this season back on Nov 11. Because of the style of hoops both sides play against comparative sides, a under wager makes sense , based on my own projections which estimate a total closer to 225. PHOENIX is 14-3 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 220.2 ppg scored. ORLANDO is 11-3 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with a combined average of 213.2 ppg scored..ORLANDO is 10-1 UNDER after a blowout loss by 15 points or more this season with a combined average of 217.7 ppg scored. The Magic played little or no D, in a ugly loss to San Antonio last time out, and the coaching staff was not impressed. Im expecting a more concerted and attentive effort in transition here tonight by the Magic. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 34-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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03-16-23 | Oral Roberts v. Duke UNDER 146.5 | 51-74 | Win | 100 | 82 h 37 m | Show | |
Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ORAL ROBERTS) - up-tempo team averaging 62 or more shots/game on the season, after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. |
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03-16-23 | Avalanche v. Senators OVER 6.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
The Ottawa Senators D, has collapsed recently as is evident by having allowed an average of 5 gpg in their L/ 5 trips to the ice. The Sens have also seen at least one team score 5 goals in each of their L/10 games, and this trend Im betting stays intact tonight. OTTAWA is 6-0 OVER in home games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.9 gog scored. Meanwhile, the Avs offense has been mostly proficient recently scoring 4 or more goals in 7 of their L/13 overall and have averaged 4.2 gpg in their L/5 games. Colorado has really ratchet up their shots on goal to, which sets up this strong trend.COLORADO is 15-5 OVER after 3 straight games with 8+ more shots on goal than opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. Mhy projections estimate both sides will in the worst case scenario score 3+ goals.COLORADO is 20-0 OVER when both teams score 3 or more goals this season.OTTAWA is 19-0 OVER when both teams score 3 or more goals this season. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (OTTAWA) - after allowing 5 goals or more against opponent after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored are 73-45 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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03-15-23 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 235.5 | 126-134 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
Clippers are deliberate side, that ranks 24th in pace, and Im betting they will be even more conservative here in transition tonight against an explosive offensive opponent which will result in a lower scoring affair than the linesmakers estimate. Kerr is 21-8 UNDER in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 213.4 ppg scored.( Golden State took a 123-112 event vs the Suns last time out). LA CLIPPERS are 25-8 UNDER in home games this season with a combined average of 220 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 10-2 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 212.7 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 21-6 UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (CHICAGO) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 50-14 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78 Play on the UNDER |
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03-15-23 | Kings v. Bulls UNDER 239 | 117-114 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
After playing a physical wide open game vs the Bucks last time out Im betting on an emotional letdown situation to rare its ugly head here tonight in Chicago for Sacramento. I also expect a more concerted defensive effort from the Kings after imploding defensively in the 2nd half of the above mentioned game vs the Bucks . Meanwhile the Bulls who rank 20th in offense and 10th and defense behind the 17th ranked pace will be especially careful in transition tonight vs an explosive side which will help us keep the combined score on the low side of the total. CHICAGO is 8-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 210.5 ppg scored.
Brown is 17-6 UNDER in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game as the coach of SACRAMENTO with a combined average of 228.2 ppg scored. Donovan is 33-11 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached since 1996 with acombined average of 213.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (CHICAGO) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 50-14 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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03-13-23 | Bucks v. Kings UNDER 244.5 | 133-124 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score of 232, giving us tremendous value on this public totals offering. MILWAUKEE is 26-11 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 221.9 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO is 15-7 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 232.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 41-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-13-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
The Dallas offense is rolling having scored 4 goals or more in 7 straight games. Their style of hockey as morphed from a defensive mind set into a more wide open brand of hockey which has resulted in some high scoring affairs. Note: Over is 6-0-1 in Stars last 7 overall. Now Im betting nothing changes tonight vs a sub par defensive/goal tending side the Seattle Kraken, that has allowed 4 or more goals in 6 of their L/10 while also scoring 4 or more in 6 of their L/10 overall trips to the ice. Over is 5-1-1 in Kraken last 7 home games. DALLAS is 5-0 OVER in March games this season with a combined average of 8.9 gog scored. SEATTLE is 7-1 OVER in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. DALLAS is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) against poor starting goalies - saving 89.5% or less of shots against this season with a combined average of 8.1 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (DALLAS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 33-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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03-12-23 | Blazers v. Pelicans UNDER 231 | 110-127 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have averaged just 107 ppg on offense in their L/5 trips to the hardwood, and depend on being conservative on transition which results in slow placed games. The current 5 game run has see a combined average of just 218.8 ppg scored. The Pelicans currently rank 8th in defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, Portland has also had problems being consistent on offense of late , and despite of a big output last time out in a 120-119 loss to the 76ers have seen 5 of their L/7 overall remain on the low side of the offered total. Im expecting offensive regression here especially with this being the Blazers 6th straight rad game. Im betting their tired legs will have them not willing to take part in a run and gun affair, which the Pelicans dont want any part of anyway. Under is 6-0 in Pelicans last 6 overall.Under is 4-0 in Pelicans last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.NEW ORLEANS is 23-8 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.4 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 UNDER \ when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 218.6 ppg scored. PORTLAND is 31-17 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.8 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 18-9 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season with a combined average of 225.5 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 7-1 in Trail Blazers last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 12-5 in Trail Blazers last 17 road games. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 70-30 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings with a combined average of 213.1 ppg scored. Play under |
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03-12-23 | Golden Knights v. Blues OVER 6 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
These teams in the recent past have take part in High-scoring tilts as is evident by the fact that six or more total goals have been scored in 12 of their last 16 meetings. Recently Vegas has scored 4 or more goals in in four of their L/5 wins and Im betting they get on the scoreboard in a big way here tonight against a Blues side that has seen six or more total goals scored in each of their L/6 games, thanks in part to their struggling goal tending that has seen Bennington procure a ugly .894 save percentage (SV%) and 3.31 goals against average (GAA). Add to that the Kngihts are expected to start a inexperienced goalie tonight ( Jiri Patera ) we could see a much higher score than the the linesmakers offering suggests.
ST LOUIS is 16-4 OVER when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (VEGAS) - off a road blowout win by 3 goals or more, good team, winning 60-70% or more of their games on the season in the 2nd half of the season are 58-24 OVER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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03-12-23 | Penn State v. Purdue OVER 134 | 65-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Purdue has defeated the Nittany Lions twice this year (76-63 at The Palestra on Jan. 8; 80-60 in Mackey Arena on Feb. 1). Im betting on a output somewhere in the same range which gives us an edge with a over bet.Painter is 15-3 OVER in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5 as the coach of PURDUE.Shrewsberry in his L/23 games versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better as the coach of PENN ST has seen a combined average score of 139.7 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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03-11-23 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 236.5 | 134-125 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 231 which gives us at least a two full possession value to the under. Bostons well rested and with the play offs approaching quickly will continue to hone their key defensive skills . Boston operates at the 20th ranked pace in the NBA and owns the 4th best defensive rating on the league. Note: Boston has gone under in 8 of their L/9 with 2 days rest and have gone under in 14 of their L/16 as 8 point or less road chalk. Atlanta has gone under in 8 of their L/9 as conference home dogs and are 0-5 under L/5 in this series vs Boston with the average combined score clicking in at 208.2 ppg. Snyder is 44-22 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 204.4 ppg scored. BOSTON is 7-0 UNDER in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with a combined average of 209.7 ppg scored.BOSTON is 20-5 UNDER when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.9 ppg scored. BOSTON is 13-3 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 219.9 ppg scored. BOSTON is 15-7 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined average of 230.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 52-21 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a win against a division rival are 46-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-09-23 | Stars v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Dallas has been playing some high scoring games of late, with a combined average of 8.2 gpg scored. Meanwhile, Buffalo has allowed 3 or more goals in 7 of their L/8 games, thanks to shoddy goaltending at times and to conservative of a stance as they push for a wild card spot. Their lack of aggressiveness has cost them, as was the case last time out in a 3-2 loss to the Isles and now Im betting with their play off hopes fading they will play more wide open hockey which should lead to higher scoring affairs. BUFFALO is 10-2 OVER against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. BUFFALO is 15-6 OVER against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or better of their chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. DALLAS is 13-4 OVER against poor starting goalies - saving 89.5% or less of shots against over the last 2 seasons NHL Road teams against the total (DALLAS) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 31-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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03-07-23 | 76ers v. Wolves OVER 229 | 117-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Philly has really been ratcheting up their offense of late scoring an average of 124.8 ppg in their L/5 trips to the court, and Im betting their aggressive offensive posture will continue here tonight against the Wolves who have allowed +115 ppg at home this season. Note: The 76ers have allowed more than 113 ppg on the road this season and my projections estimate a number closer to 114 for the Wolves offensive output. PHILADELPHIA is 16-0 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with the combined average of 254.6 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 OVER after a combined score of 225 points or more this season with a combined average of 250.8 ppg scored. (Philly took a 147-143 win vs Pacers last time out) MINNESOTA is 25-7 OVER after allowing 130 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 239.9 ppg scored.( Minnesota took out Sacramento last time out by a 138-134 count) NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 ( MINNESOTA/ PHILADELPHIA) - after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 265 points or more are 23-2 OVER L/27 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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03-06-23 | San Francisco v. Gonzaga UNDER 160.5 | 73-84 | Win | 100 | 27 h 30 m | Show | |
West Coast Tournament - Semifinals - Orleans Arena - Paradise, NV My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 10-2 UNDER in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons. GONZAGA is 12-4 UNDER after 7 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 160 points (GONZAGA /SAN FRANCISCO) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-06-23 | Pelicans v. Kings UNDER 237.5 | 108-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
Sacramento is off a exhausting back and forth game vs Minnesota last time out losing a 138-134 dog fight and will be in a natural letdown state here and an obvious regressionary offensive output result could easily be the result . That Im betting directly effects this combined score to the under. Note: The Pelicans are banged up and their offensive flow is off, as is evident by averaging 105.4 ppg in their L/5 overall and have failed to eclipse the 100 point plateau in 2 of thier L/3. The Pelicans have also gone under the total in 6 of their L/7 and 20-5 UNDER after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212.6 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 12-2 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.7 ppg. I know the Kings have revenge on board for a DD loss to the Pelicans back on Feb 5th but it must also be noted that NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are just 77-39 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, in March games are 30-8 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight games are 60-30 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-05-23 | Northwestern v. Rutgers OVER 126.5 | 65-53 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this total closer to 131 which gives us a full two plus possession value on this totals offering. NORTHWESTERN in their L/34 games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 137.1 ppg scored. Pikiell L/34 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game as the coach of RUTGERS have seen a combined average of 129.5 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (RUTGERS /NORTHWESTERN) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off an upset loss as a favorite are 49-16 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-04-23 | Rockets v. Spurs UNDER 231.5 | 122-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Houstons 10 division games this season have seen a combined average of. 224.2 ppg scored. The Rockets rank 29th in ppg offense and rank 15th in pace. Meanwhile, San Antonio is banged up and has scored an average of just over 108 ppg in their L/5 as they have slowed down their pace perspicaciously and focused alot more on on paying attention defensively in transition. Everything points to this being lower scoring than the lines-makers offered number. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SAN ANTONIO/HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG are 70-26 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 6-0 in Rockets last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Play under |
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03-03-23 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets UNDER 234 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
Memphis ranks 6th in ppg allowed this season, while Denver ranks 12th in ppg allowed along with a pace that ranks 19th in the league. My projections estimate a Total that should be closer to 230 giving us a 2 possession advantage to the under on this offering. Under is 9-3-1 in Nuggets last 13 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. (Denver poured down 133 points in a win vs Houston last time out and now a regression from a offensive standpoint is expected) Under is 7-1 in Grizzlies last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 13-3-1 in Grizzlies last 17 overall. MEMPHIS in 10 games as a road underdog this season have seen a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 27-14 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 26-8 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.3 ppg scored.MEMPHIS is 12-4 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season with a combined average of 228 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 24-10 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined average of 228.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 39-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - off a road win by 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 27-4 ATS L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/DENVER) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 49-10 L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 27-11 in the last 38 meetings. Play on the UNDER |
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03-03-23 | Jazz v. Thunder UNDER 234 | 103-130 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
Both the Jazz and Thunder have been short-handed since the All-Star break and its interrupted their offensive flow. Utah has seen all 3 game they have played since the all star game stay under the total, and Im betting this contest will also fall below the lines-makers projections. OKLAHOMA CITY in their L/13 home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season have seen a combined average of 224.3 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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03-03-23 | Campbell v. Longwood OVER 131 | 81-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a score closer to 136 which gives us plenty of value to cash an over ticket . CAMPBELL is 10-3 OVER in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 137.3 ppg scored. Aldrich is 22-12 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) as the coach of LONGWOOD with a combined average of 144.6 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (LONGWOOD) - off a home loss against a conference rival, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 26-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 150.2 ppg. Play over |
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03-03-23 | Gardner-Webb v. USC Upstate UNDER 135 | 76-77 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. GARDNER WEBB is 6-0 UNDER in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 118.7 ppg scored.GARDNER WEBB is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 114.8 ppg. Play UNDER |
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03-02-23 | Maple Leafs v. Flames OVER 6.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -117 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Both Calgary goalies are struggling- Flames Vladar owns a ugly .820 save percentage over his last five appearances while Markstrom is also exhibiting swiss cheese tendencies with a .846 SV% in his last five trips to the ice. The explosive Leafs offense is the type of team that can really rack up some goals against sides likes this in merciless fashion.TORONTO is 20-9 OVER against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. Toronto lost last night, so Im betting they will be much more aggressive here tonight, in a bounce back situation.TORONTO is 6-0 OVER in road games off a road loss by 2 goals or more this season. Meanwhile, Calgary is off a OT loss last time out.CALGARY is 7-0 OVER after losing their previous game in overtime over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored. Play on the OVER |
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03-02-23 | Pacers v. Spurs UNDER 238.5 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
San Antonio is banged up with a boatload full of injures and that in itself is effecting their offensive flow. as is evident by averaging just over 107 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood and currently rank 28th in ppg offense in the NBA. The kind of hoops they are playing because of their short handed status must be framed as "survival mode" . So their pace has slowed down precipitously, as well as their aggressiveness in transition. Tonight against Indiana side that ranks just 21st in offensive efficiency, Im expecting a much slower and lower scoring game than the lines-makers expect . INDIANA is 13-3 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228.2 ppg. scored. INDIANA is 19-9 UNDERafter playing a road game this season with a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - off a road win, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 80-42 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in March games are 68-30 L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-02-23 | Appalachian State v. South Alabama OVER 129 | 61-68 | Push | 0 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over |
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03-01-23 | Rangers v. Flyers OVER 6 | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
The Flyers have allowed an average of 5 gpg in their L/7 trips to the ice and Im betting the newly improved and well rested offense of the Rangers will be prepared to light the Flyers up again much like they did back in December of this season by a 6-3 count. On the flipside look for the Flyers to have to open up or being blown off the ice which will help the combined score eclipse this offered total. Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. ( Rangers beat the Kings 5-2 last time out)Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games following a win.Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. Metropolitan. PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 OVER in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals this season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 23-9 OVER in March games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 gpg scored. Over is 5-2 in Flyers last 7 vs. Metropolitan. Over is 10-4 in Flyers last 14 home games NHL Home teams against the total (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more, a bad team, winning 30% to 40% of their games on the season in the second half of the season are 22-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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02-28-23 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 236.5 | 105-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
These two sides are separated by one loss in the tight Western Conference standings and tonight as both jostle for play off positioning you can bet that a close physical game could easily be on the agenda. I know they played a wide open game last time they met in early Feb, but that was then and this is now and the situation has changed. GOLDEN STATE is 17-5 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 220.6 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 17-8 UNDER (+8.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined combined average of 231.9 ppg scored. Under is 3-1-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 8-1-2 in Trail Blazers last 11 Tuesday games. Under is 5-1-1 in Trail Blazers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 8-3 in Trail Blazers last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 8-3 in Trail Blazers last 11 road games. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Golden State. Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PORTLAND/ GOLDEN STATE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 47-18 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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02-28-23 | Spurs v. Jazz UNDER 236.5 | 102-94 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
Spurs enter on. a-horrendous losing run and are now in full tank mode as they play with little or no ambition or energy , as is evident by only 108.6 ppg on average in their L/5 most recent games. Im betting they play survival hoops here tonight against a side that outguns them whihc Im betting results in a lower scoring affair. SAN ANTONIO is 16-6 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.6 ppg scored. UTAH is 24-11 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. UTAH is 32-17 UNDER (+13.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored. Under is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. Under is 17-7-1 in Jazz last 25 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Under is 7-3 in Jazz last 10 home game. Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 overall. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 48-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days against opponent well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 66-27 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-28-23 | Pacers v. Mavs UNDER 237 | 124-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 231 which gives us a full three possession edge to the under. Dallas is ranked 29th in pace in the league and 12th in ppg allowed and 18th in ppg offense. Meanwhile, Pacers rank 21st in offensive efficiency . DALLAS is 18-6 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.6 ppg scored. DALLAS is 11-2 UNDER in home games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons are with a combined average 212.5 ppg scored. Kidd is 32-18 UNDER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games as the coach of DALLAS with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored. INDIANA is 19-9 UNDER in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS) - in non-conference games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 43-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA t where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 27-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-27-23 | Bruins v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
Edmonton on most nights especially at home play a one way style of hockey, that features probably the most explosive offense in the league led by super star McDavid. Unfortunately for them their weakest links come on defense and in goal and teams like the Bruins will make them pay dearly for their Swiss cheese D and poor transitional play . Because of the above scenario Im betting this game ends up being one that eclipses this total. EDMONTON is 20-8 OVER in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season with a combined average of 7.1 gpg . EDMONTON is 11-1 OVER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 8.2 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (BOSTON) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games are 76-33 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NHL team against the total (EDMONTON) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 52-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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02-27-23 | Celtics v. Knicks UNDER 223 | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
The Knicks offense is hitting on all cylinders of late and their D, is also standing tall. The Celtics who rank 20th in pace and 7th in ppg allowed are well aware of the Knicks current form, and will be primed to buckle down in transition, which Im betting limits the Knicks offensive prowess. Meanwhile, the Knicks who rank 28th in pace in the league and 9th in ppg allowed will also be formidable defenders in a game that Im betting will be physical /grinding and lower scoring. BOSTON is 11-1 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 218.7 ppg scored. BOSTON is 11-2 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW YORK) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent off an road win scoring 110 or more points are 53-24 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BOSTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 115 points or more 3 straight games are 81-39 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-27-23 | Norfolk State v. North Carolina Central OVER 140.5 | 75-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. NC CENTRAL is 7-1 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season with a combined average of 147.7 ppg scored. NORFOLK ST is 20-7 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5. NORFOLK ST is 6-0 OVER in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons with a combined 151.5 ppg scored. Road teams against the total (NORFOLK ST) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 54-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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02-27-23 | Bellarmine v. North Florida OVER 140.5 | 76-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over |
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02-26-23 | Wolves v. Warriors OVER 233.5 | 104-109 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Take no prisoners all out one way hoops is what Minnesota has implemented in last season games for a while, now is as is evident by the following trends. MINNESOTA is 10-0 OVER in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 149.7 ppg scored. Finch is 13-0 OVER in road games in February games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 249.8 ppg scored. Minnesota is 5-0 OVER L5 conf games and are 5-0 L/5 OVER awa . Golden State is banged up but there is still enough talent to soldier forward and put points on the board, especially against. side that will come out firing bullets and force them into a wide open affair. GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 OVER after a win by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 239.1 ppg scored. (Beat Golden State 116-100 last time out) Golden State is 8-0-2 OVER L/10 playing on Sundays and 15-1 OVER after a day off Series These teams have combined for a (236.5 ) in their L/9 meetings. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Golden State. Play on the over |
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02-25-23 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 225 | 110-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is 3rd in ppg allowed this season behind a slow pace that ranks them 26th in the NBA. Meanwhile, Boston ranks 6th in ppg allowed and 20th in pace. Today in a elite NBA eastern conference tilt Im expecting a physical battle that helps keep this score on the low side of the Total. BOSTON is 10-2 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 219.6 ppg scored. BOSTON is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 218.3 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA in their L/44 games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 212.4 ppg scored. NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 44-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NBAl teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - after 5 or more consecutive overs, very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game are 45-17 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-25-23 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies UNDER 235.5 | 94-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
My projections place this total closer to 231 giving us a full two possession value to the under on this totals offering. Memphis owns the No.1 ranked defensive efficiency rating in the league. Denver ranks 19th in pace. MEMPHIS is 25-8 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 MEMPHIS/(DENVER) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-24-23 | Fairfield v. Niagara OVER 124.5 | 68-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on the over |
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02-23-23 | San Diego v. Gonzaga UNDER 165.5 | 72-97 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score of closer to 161 which gives us a two possesion edge on this totals offering. GONZAGA is 8-1 UNDER in home games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.3 ppg scored.GONZAGA is 6-0 UNDER after a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 149 ppg scored. Lavin is 17-5 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 147.8 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (GONZAGA) - explosive offensive team - scoring 84+ points/game on the season, after allowing 85 points or more are 30-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-23-23 | Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 233.5 | 142-138 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Indiana beat the Celtics as road dogs earlier this season, and now the Celtics will have redemption in mind and which usually centers on them playing their best form of defensive basketball. BOSTON in 12 games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this season have seen a combined average of 220.1 ppg scored..BOSTON in 8 games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season have allowed that opponent in the rematch to score an average of 108.3 ppg while themselves have also average roughly 108.1 points for a combined average of 216.4 ppg. BOSTON is 15-6 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season.with the average combined score clicking in at 223.4 ppg. BOSTON is 12-4 UNDER in road games versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with the combined average score of 226.5 ppg scored.
Under is 5-1 in Pacers last 6 home games. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 24-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-23-23 | Ducks v. Capitals OVER 6 | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
The Ducks are in the midst of a six-game losing streak in which they've been outscored 36-15 allowing 6.00 GAA during that span in wide open hockey. Im betting on another all out affair as the team knows its not a play off team. I know Washington is banged up, but there is still enough talent here to do some offensive damage against a defensively regressing side. ANAHEIM is 24-8 OVER after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored this season. ANAHEIM is 7-1 OVER in road games after playing 4 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored this season. ANAHEIM is 10-1 OVER against good offensive teams -29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better pp - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 8 gpg scored. NHL team against the total (ANAHEIM) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game are 90-40 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play over |
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02-21-23 | Ducks v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Anaheim has allowed a whopping 30 goals in their L/5 games for a 6.00 GAA while allowing an average of 47.6 shots on goal per game. With that said, Im betting on them being peppered with a giant shot count tonight against a Tampa Bay side that I have pegged for a 4 plus goal output in this spot play. ANAHEIM is 13-5 OVER when they allow 4 goals over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 7 gpg. Over is 5-0-1 in Ducks last 6 vs. Atlantic.Over is 10-1-1 in Ducks last 12 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 8-1 in Ducks last 9 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-0-2 in Lightning last 6 vs. Pacific.Over is 38-15-5 in Lightning last 58 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. (TB is off a 4 game road trip) ANAHEIM is 8-1 OVER against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 8.1 gpg scored. ANAHEIM is 8-1 OVER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 8.2 gog scored. ANAHEIM is 8-1 OVER in road games after allowing 3 goals or more 5 straight games this season with a combined average of 7.7 gpg going on the board. ANAHEIM is 9-1 OVER against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 8 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (ANAHEIM) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season, after losing their previous game in overtime are 44-19 OVER L5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors are 16-4 OVER this season for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play over |
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02-20-23 | Flyers v. Flames OVER 6 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Over the L/7 days both the Philadelphia Flyers and Calgary Flames have looked defensively The Flyers have procured the worst team save percentage in the NHL over the last week with an extremely weak .774 SV %. having allowed four goals or more in three straight tilts for. a 5.33 goals against average. Meanwhile the Flames. They own the second-lowest team save percentage in the league across the last seven days garnering a .841 SV %. Over is 5-1 in Flyers last 6 vs. Pacific. Over is 6-2 in Flames last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. PHILADELPHIA is 11-4 OVER revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. (Calgary beat Philly 5-2 earlier this season) NHL team against the total (PHILADELPHIA) - slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season, after playing 3 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored are 87-39 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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02-18-23 | Red Wings v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6 | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
Detroit is running hot right now and have scored 5 or more goals in 4 straight games. Im betting that aggressive rampage will continue and the Seattle Kraken will have to reciprocate with some fire power of their own or be blown off the ice. SEATTLE is 9-1 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 gpg scored DETROIT is 6-0 OVER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.2 gpg scored. DETROIT is 6-0 OVER in road games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game this season with a combined average of 8 gpg scored. Over is 4-0 in Red Wings last 4 vs. Pacific. NHL Road teams against the total (DETROIT) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 29-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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02-16-23 | Weber State v. CS Sacramento OVER 126 | 52-49 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. WEBER ST is 44-14 OVER at road when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average of 144.4 ppg scored. Weber has gone over in 6 straight games. Sacramento state has gone over in 4 of their L/5 overall. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (WEBER ST) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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02-16-23 | Jacksonville v. Austin Peay OVER 125 | 60-56 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a total in low 130s giving us a substantial edge on this Totals offering. AUSTIN PEAY is 33-18 OVER L/51 when the total is 120 to 129.5 with a combined average of 135.8 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less (JACKSONVILLE) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 48-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (AUSTIN PEAY) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 43-23 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on the over |
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02-16-23 | St Francis PA v. St Francis NY UNDER 136 | 72-64 | Push | 0 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |