Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-08-23 | Iowa v. Rutgers -6.5 | 76-65 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Things dont seem quite right from a chemistry perspective with Iowa basketball. I know they some how found a way to win vs Indiana last time out, in a controversial affair, but this team has issues and now in an emotional letdown spot today against a Rutgers side that plays their best hoops at home Im betting they the Hawkeyes are in trouble. Add in paayback for being eliminated opening round of the Big Ten tourney at the hands of Iowa we have a strong revenge scenario in play. IOWA is 1-8 ATS in road games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff registering at -8.8 . RUTGERS is 8-0 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.8. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (RUTGERS) - an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games are 51-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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01-07-23 | Lakers v. Kings UNDER 242 | 136-134 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
The Lakers played last night and captured a win, (130-114) and now on tired legs as they play. back to back affairs, Im betting their strategy will not be a run and gun program, but instead a more defensive minded game plan out of transition that will skew this totals offering to the low side of the lines-makers estimates. Under is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. LA LAKERS in 7 division games this season have seen a combined average of 227 ppg scored. Under is 5-2 in Kings last 7 overall. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA LAKERS) - off a home win by 10 points or more, on Saturday games are 46-14 OVER L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - being called for 21 or less fouls/game on the season, on Saturday games are 61-26 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-07-23 | Nevada v. San Jose State +2.5 | 67-40 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. San Jose State to cover |
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01-06-23 | Cavs +6.5 v. Nuggets | 108-121 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
Denver took out the LA Clippers last night in a strong performance and will now be on tired legs as they play back to back games against a never say die Chicago team that has recently come from behind in two straight games to garner wins, with one of those tilts against the Chicago bulls featuring a 71 point explosion by Donavon. Im betting on the Cavs to continue their strong competitive play and for them to keep this tilt close enough for us to grab a cover. Malone is 7-20 ATS in home games when playing on back-to-back days as the coach of DENVER. CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, playing on back-to-back days are 34-71 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rare for bettors. Play on the Cavs to cover |
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01-06-23 | Stanford v. California +8 | 70-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. California to cover |
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01-06-23 | Akron +2.5 v. Ball State | 63-70 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Zips swept the series last season, winning 84-74 at The JAR (Jan. 11) and 79-60 at Worthen Arena (March 1). Akron swept the season series in 2021-22, defeating BSU 88-79 (Feb. 19, 2021) at Worthen Arena and winning 74-42 (Jan. 30, 2021) at James A. Rhodes Arena. Akron still matches up vs this version of Ball State and if they lose tonight Im betting they wont fail to cover. Akron is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings. BALL ST is 0-6 ATS vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons. Akrons discipline will be the diff maker tonight. Road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Play on Akron to cover |
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01-06-23 | Wizards +1.5 v. Thunder | 110-127 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
Washington had a 5 game losing streak abruptly end vs the defending NBA champion Milwaukee Bucks last time out and will now be ready to rebound vs the Thunder on the road tonight. It must be noted that since Kristaps Porzingis returned to the lineup after missing two games was paired up with Daniel Gafford . Since that move the wizards have really ramped things up defensively as Washington's defensive rating was in the bottom 10 in the league at 113.8 before the change. Since, then Wizards' defensive rating is 106.3, and No 1 in the league . It must also be noted that the Thunder recently exploded for 150 points vs Boston, and than followed that up in a road loss where they worked hard in the 2nd half to make a comeback but fell short. An emotional and physical letdown situation Im betting is at hand. The Wizards are 4-1 L/5 vs the Thunder and are 2-0 L/2 visits to Oklahoma City. The L/3 meetings have been decided by 2, 3, 1 point respectively. NBA Road underdogs (WASHINGTON) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite are 33-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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01-06-23 | Pistons v. Spurs UNDER 236.5 | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Both these teams have played some wide open games of late, both are defensively deficient, but when sub par teams like San Antonio and Detroit go head to head there is a history of fairly low scoring events. One of the key reasons for these lower scoring affairs is because they are usually more physical as both teams know they have a rare winnable game in their grasp, and the play becomes intense . NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO /DETROIT) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 44-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. .NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - in a game involving 2 sub par teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 235 points or more are 25-3 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 44-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DETROIT) - struggling defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 27-4 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. DETROIT is 19-9 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.4 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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01-06-23 | Quinnipiac v. Rider OVER 143 | 72-63 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this game Total closer to 147 thus giving us a almost 2 possession value on this offering. Baggett is 9-1 OVER off a close road loss by 3 points or less as the coach of RIDER with a combined average of 154.6 ppg scored. (Rider lost 61-59 on the road last time out) CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points /RIDER (QUINNIPIAC) - in a game involving two average shooting teams (42.5-45%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) are 40-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 152.1 ppg. Play OVER |
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01-05-23 | Washington +18 v. Arizona | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Washington to cover |
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01-05-23 | Santa Clara -1.5 v. Pepperdine | 89-79 | Win | 100 | 14 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. With a 12-3 mark, SCU tied for their 2nd most non-conference wins in program history. This Broncos program is on the rise, and must be respected here as short favs even on the road. Key for them tonight is their rebound and charity stripe shooting. They beat Pepperdine last season, and with an even more talented and experienced group will do it again. Santa Clara ranks 37th nationally in rebounds per game (39.6). The Broncos rank second in the league in free throw percentage (73.6 Santa Clara to cover |
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01-05-23 | Eastern Kentucky v. Central Arkansas +2.5 | 77-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Central Arkansas will be happy to see home court advantage here tonight after 6 straight losses with 5 of them coming on the road. Their first game home was very competitive, and previous to that they had won 4 of 5 at home where they play their best hoops. note: C ARKANSAS is 6-0 ATS in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. C ARKANSAS is also 9-0 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. C ARKANSAS is 8-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons. E KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. E KENTUCKY is 2-9 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons. Central Arkansas to cover |
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01-05-23 | Grizzlies v. Magic OVER 226.5 | 123-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
analysis to follow thank you for your patience NBA team (ORLANDO) - playing on back-to-back days, a sub par team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 94-47 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. NBA team (MEMPHIS) - after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 45-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. |
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01-05-23 | Grizzlies v. Magic +6.5 | 123-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Last night Orlando upset Oklahoma City at home, and now Im betting will primed to be competitive vs the explosive Memphis Grizzlies. This is a very well conditioned Magic side so they wont be winded in a back to back situation. Note: ORLANDO is 9-1 ATS off an upset win as an underdog this season. Over Orlando has been an atm machine for their backers and have cashed 11 of their L/14 overall ATS. Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Magic are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record NBA team (MEMPHIS) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are just 23-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, playing on back-to-back days are 27-35 SU l/5 seasons. Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Orlando. Play on Magic to cover |
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01-05-23 | Jacksonville -1 v. Stetson | 61-73 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Central Arkansas to cover |
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01-05-23 | Fairleigh Dickinson v. St Francis NY -2 | 76-57 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. ST FRANCIS-NY is 7-0 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season. FARLEIGH DICKINSON is 0-6 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons. ST FRANCIS-NY is 4-0 straight up against FARLEIGH DICKINSON over the last 3 seasons and are 17-4 L/21 overall. Play o n St.Francis Brooklyn |
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01-04-23 | Hawks +1.5 v. Kings | 120-117 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
Sacramento played a grueling game in Salt Lake city last night and could easily find themselves physically and emotionally drained after finding their way to a 117-115 win. The Hawks also matchup well vs Sacramento and defeated them 115-106 in their last meeting on Nov. 24. Young led the Hawks with 35 points and Im betting he will be key here again tonight vs a vulnerable home favorite . Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. ATLANTA is 11-2 ATS in road games after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons.(Lost to Golden State on Monday night 143-141 in OT) Play on Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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01-04-23 | Clemson +6.5 v. Virginia Tech | 68-65 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Tigers moved to 3-0 in ACC play with a victory vs. NC State (78-64) and have won seven out of eight games and have had no problems getting the juice to come form behind in a couple of those games . This is the best most complete Clemson side Ive seen in a long time, and they must not be under rated vs a VTechs side off a heart breaking 77-75 loss to Wake forest last time out on the road. emotional letdown is common for VTech with HC Young on the sidelines. The 2 meetings last season were decided by 4 points in 1 points, in a split of the series. VIRGINIA TECH is 0-6 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.Young is 19-34 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game as the coach of VIRGINIA TECH. Hokies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. CLEMSON is 11-2 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons .Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on Clemson to cover |
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01-04-23 | VMI +14 v. Samford | 78-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. VMI is 14-3 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 season. Play on VMI to cover |
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01-04-23 | Thunder v. Magic -1.5 | 115-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
The Thunder hit hard last night in a big 150 point output vs shell shocked Boston, and will now be in a huge emotional letdown spot, and an obvious regressionary situation and are vulnerable. Magic are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall. NBA team vs the money line (ORLANDO) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous games 36-10 SU L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on Orlando to cover |
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01-04-23 | Suns +4.5 v. Cavs | 88-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Cleveland is off a huge comeback OT win last time out vs Chicago by a 145-134 count with Donavon Mitchell recording 71 points. Now a huge letdown situation on board vs a very hungry Phoenix Suns team that desperately needs a win.Cavaliers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Phoenix has won its last 2 meetings here in Cleveland SU. NBA underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 32-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Suns to cover |
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01-04-23 | Penn State +4 v. Michigan | 69-79 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Nittany Lions have won 5 straight games and Im betting they wont lose this game easily. Penn State is 11-3 on the season and 2-1 in Big Ten play after earning conference wins at No 17 Illinois (74-59) on Dec. 10 and at home against Iowa (83-79) Sunday. Five of the Nittany Lions' 11 wins have come over teams currently ranked in the top 100 of the KenPom rankings, and Penn State's only three defeats were a two-point neutral-site defeat to Virginia Tech, a double-overtime road loss at Clemson, and a loss to Michigan State in a game that was a one-possession contest until the final two minutes. Rinse repeat here with the points Im betting proving to be golden. They won their last meeting here in An Arbor last season 72-63. PENN ST is 10-2 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. PENN ST is 22-9 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.PENN ST is 19-7 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Penn State to cover |
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01-04-23 | College of Charleston v. North Carolina A&T +11.5 | 92-79 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. NC A&T to cover |
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01-03-23 | Minnesota v. Wisconsin OVER 123.5 | 60-63 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The last three meetings in this series have eclipsed this totals offering and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this evening. WISCONSIN is 23-12 OVER as a home favorite or pick over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score of those tilts at 136.5 ppg. MINNESOTA is 7-0 OVER after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 135,6 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (WISCONSIN) - excellent ball handling team - committing 12 or less turnovers/game, after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers are 53-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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01-03-23 | Ole Miss v. Alabama -12 | 62-84 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. No.7 Alabama in their home opener will be primed for big time start to finish performance.vs Ole Miss The Tide have won three straight games against the Rebels inside of Coleman Coliseum by 15, 18, 21 points ( 18 ppg average) . Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation tonight. Rebels are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Play on Alabama to cover |
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01-03-23 | Celtics v. Thunder UNDER 235.5 | 117-150 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
The Celtics' defense allowed the Nuggets to shoot 57 percent from the floor (45-for-79) and 56.7 percent from 3-point range (17-for-30) in a loss at Denver last time out, and will now be focused on playing much better D tonight vs the Oklahoma city Thunder. From a offensive stand point, Celtics have have really been struggling from beyond the arc and failed to eclipse the 35 percent plateau in six of their last eight tilts and have shot below 30 percent from behind the arc in five of those games. Im betting on these two above mentioned expected defensive modifications and trends to directly effect this combined score giving an edge to a under wager cashing . Under is 9-4 in Thunder last 13 overall. Under is 8-1 in Celtics last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. BOSTON in their L/39 games as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 216.9 ppg going on the board. BOSTON is 10-2 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined average of 226.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. BOSTON is 30-18 UNDER in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 31-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 120 points or more are 52-20 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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01-03-23 | Mississippi State +10 v. Tennessee | 53-87 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Mississippi State was on 11 game win streak and have now lost two straight but Im now betting on a competitive rebound vs Tennessee. Bulldogs are 37-18-2 ATS in their last 57 games following a straight up loss. MISSISSIPPI ST is 6-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (MISSISSIPPI ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 24-5 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miss State to cover |
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01-02-23 | Heat +4.5 v. Clippers | 110-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
Miami has won three of its past four games and knocked off the Clippers earlier this season in South Florida and according to my power rankings match up well against Clippers. Note: Heats star Butler who has been resting his knee is expected to play in this tilt. Key is Butler on the court along with a streaking , Herro who has been one of Miami’s top produces over the last 10 tilts , averaging 23.9 points, 5.0 rebounds and 5.4 assists while shooting 40.2% from beyond the arc. The Heat have gone 7-3 in those games. MIAMI is 17-7 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -1.2. Lue is 16-32 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 as the coach of LA CLIPPERS. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after a combined score of 245 points or more are 33-65 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to cover |
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01-02-23 | Spurs +12.5 v. Nets | 103-139 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
The Nets have won 11 straight games and are off 3 straight road games. Its a stretch that has seen the Nets play all out basketball and Im sure there is some exhaustion beginning to set in. So with that said, I will not be surprised if the home side Brooklyn does not take a defacto night off, and play lets say at half their normal speed as they most probably will over look their disrespected opponent the San Antonio Spurs. It has not been uncommon for the Nets to play at half mast vs this type of side . Note:BROOKLYN is 9-20 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons and is 4-19 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons as well as 2-11 ATS in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons. Spurs have only lost 3 of their L/12 games by more than this side offer and despite of a sub par record are still fairly competitive 7 times during this span. NBA team (BROOKLYN) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 12-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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01-02-23 | Bulls +4 v. Cavs | 134-145 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Cleveland snatched a 103-102 victory at Chicago last time out, and now in the immediate rematch Im betting on the Bulls getting revenge or more importantly getting us the cover in a matchup between what my power rankings estimate are fairly evenly matched sides . Road underdogs (CHICAGO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 27-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team vs the money line (CHICAGO) - off a close home loss by 3 points or less against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 25-6 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. Bulls are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. CLEVELAND is 4-18 ATS after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 3 seasons.CLEVELAND is 9-23 ATS after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 3 seasons.Cavaliers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win. Bulls are 21-7 ATS in the last 28 meetings in Cleveland. Play on Chicago to cover |
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01-02-23 | Loyola Maryland v. American -7 | 55-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. LOYOLA-MD is 0-6 ATS in road games off a home loss over the last 3 seasons.LOYOLA-MD is 0-10 ATS versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. AMERICAN is 7-1 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (AMERICAN) - an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games are 50-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on American to cover |
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01-01-23 | Celtics v. Nuggets UNDER 234.5 | 111-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
After an extended 7 game home stand going into the high altitudes of the Mile High City is not an easy task, and Im betting that will hamper the Celtics ability to play all out back and forth hoops and instead I expect their quality D ranked 7th in defensive efficiency , to stand tall here and for the visitor to play conservative minded in transition. I know Denvers weakness is on D, and the Celtics are explosive offensively, but like I said above the high altitudes after a long home stand will effect their ability to be as aggressive as usual which will directly effect this Total not being eclipsed. Note: The Celtics rank 16th in pace while the Nuggets rank 20th. BOSTON is 30-18 UNDER in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored.BOSTON is 8-0 UNDER in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season with a combined average of 220.6 ppg scored. BOSTON is 19-7 UNDER (+11.3 Units) as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. BOSTON is 10-2 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined average of 225.9 ppg scored. DENVER is 12-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons are with a combined average of 229.3 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 44-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 31-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-01-23 | USC +1.5 v. Washington State | 71-81 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The three teams USC has lost to this season (No. 7 Tennessee, No. 15 Wisconsin and FGCU) have a combined 31-7 record this season (thru games of Dec. 30).USC is holding its opponents to a 37.5 shooting percentage this season, 15th in the country.USC is 2-0 on the road this season, following an 80-67 win at Washington on Dec. 30. USC was 9-3 on the road in 2021-22 with wins at Temple, FGCU, WSU, California, Colorado, Utah, ASU, OSU & Oregon. USC's nine true road wins were tied for the second most by any power conference team and they must be respected here on the road again vs a Washington State team in a emotional letdown state after losing a 67-66 decision to UCLA at home last time out, after holding a big lead going into the final part of the 2nd half the game. Thats not an easy thing to get over, by young men. Remember these are not pros. USC has won its L/12 games vs Washington State. Rinse and repeat on board. Play on USC to cover |
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01-01-23 | Siena +1.5 v. Fairfield | 70-61 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Siena has dominated the series recently vs. Fairfield, winning eight straight and sweeping the regular season series in each of the past four years, while holding the Stags to an average of just 56.3 points. Rinse and repeat on board. Siena to cover |
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12-31-22 | Pelicans v. Grizzlies UNDER 235 | 101-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Memphis is playing a top tier brand of defensive basketball and Im betting they will dictate the pace and continue to operate with vigilance in transition. The Grizzlies rank 3rd in the NBA in defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, after playing Philadelphia last night and capturing a win via a strong all out effort at home, Im betting on a letdown effort here and for their offense to be limited. MEMPHIS is 18-5 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots over the last 3 season with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. Green is 11-1 UNDER in road games after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher as the coach of NEW ORLEANS with a combined average of 208.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 43-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 26-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for 87% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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12-31-22 | 76ers v. Thunder +4.5 | 115-96 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
The 76ers played last night in New Orleans in a run and gun affair and Im betting they wont have the fuel to cover tonight vs a young and cohesive Thunder squad who have played well enough this season to earn respect as a home dog, even against a a top tier side like the 76ers. OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-19 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-19 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Thunder are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. 76ers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record PHILADELPHIA is 15-26 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, playing on back-to-back days are just 34-70 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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12-31-22 | St. Mary's v. Santa Clara +6 | 67-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Broncos sit atop the WCC standings at 13-3, 1-0. They are 86th in the NET rankings. The Broncos are set to play in their ninth-straight home game. SCU is 24-5 in home games dating back to the start of the 2021-22 season and are 10-1 on the year and have proven themselves to be a quality team this season. I know St.Mary's is a strong side, but nothing comes easy against Santa Clara especially at home as the above data suggests. ST MARYS-CA is 1-8 ATS in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.ST MARYS-CA is 17-34 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) after 15 or more games. SANTA CLARA is 7-0 ATS in home games off 3 or more consecutive home wins. SANTA CLARA is 3-0 against the spread versus ST MARYS-CA over the last 3 seasons. Play on Santa Clara to cover |
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12-31-22 | Idaho v. Montana OVER 138.5 | 56-67 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Montana has has produced 80 plus point offensive performances in 4 straight and Im betting they we wont be slowed here today and be the catalysts in pushing this game over the offered total. IDAHO is 18-6 OVER versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 155.2 ppg scored. IDAHO is 10-2 OVER versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 154.1 ppg scored. DAHO is 8-1 OVER when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 156.8 ppg going on the board. MONTANA is 11-3 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. Road teams against the total (IDAHO) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%)are 51-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 148.2 ppg. Play on the OVER |
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12-31-22 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. Northwestern State -4 | 65-59 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Northwestern State highly under rated and deserve respect here on a short line. they have already upset TCU this season, and played tough close games vs Baylor and Texas A&M and took out Stephen F Austin as DD underdogs. Texas A&M CC was a value team at the beginning of this season, but Im betting they are getting to much respect here today. NORTHWESTERN ST is 7-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.NORTHWESTERN ST is 11-1 ATS in all lined games this season. Play on Northwestern to cover |
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12-31-22 | Clippers v. Pacers +3.5 | 130-131 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
Indiana is off an upset win and have won 4 of their L/5 and have been competitive from ATS perspective Carlisle is 10-1 ATS in home games off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog in all games he has coached. The Pacers have played their best hoops at home and are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games and get the nod today vs the visiting Clippers. NBA Road teams (LA CLIPPERS) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are 41-18 ATS L/ATS . NBA Road teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are just 29-63 L/5 seasons including 0-6 this season for a go against 69%/100% conversion rate. Play on Indiana to cover |
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12-31-22 | Arizona v. Arizona State +6 | 69-60 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Arizona State has been one of the best defensive teams in the nation through 13 games. The Sun Devils rank 11th in the country holding opponents to just 36.7% shooting from the field. ASU has held opponents to under 60 points six times, the second most in the Pac-12 this season (UCLA, 8). Hurley's team has played in a two-possession game in six of its first 13 contests, boasting a 5-1 record. The Sun Devils are 29-14 in two possession games over the last four seasons, the most wins in the Division I during that span and deserve respect here in game that Im betting stays within a 2 possession spread. ASU enters the game having won 10 straight inside the friendly confines of Desert Financial Arena and wont go easily vs their top tier rivals today making getting points a viable option. ARIZONA is 4-13 ATS in road games after a game with 24 or more assists. ARIZONA ST is 9-1 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Arizona State to cover |
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12-31-22 | Virginia v. Georgia Tech OVER 124.5 | 74-56 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this total closer to 128 giving us substantial value with taking an over wager here. VIRGINIA is 8-1 OVER in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 134.5 ppg scored. GEORGIA TECH is 6-0 OVER after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 season with a combined average of 156.6 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (GEORGIA TECH) - excellent ball handling team - committing 12 or less turnovers/game, after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers are 46-17 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 134.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-31-22 | Virginia v. Georgia Tech +9.5 | 74-56 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Gtech is healthy and fresh off a 10 day break and will be primed for big performance vs veteran laden Virginia who returns 5 starters from last season.The Cavs just played Wednesday vs Albany. VIRGINIA is 1-7 ATS ( as a favorite this season. Note: Virginia ranks rank 19th nationally in defensive efficiency, but have but the Cavaliers have dealt with more lapses and late closeouts than expected looking at that number. Nothing is Coming all that easy for this strong Cavs side and Im betting GTech makes them work hard again here. GEORGIA TECH is 15-3 L/18 ATS after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers . Play on Georgia Tech to cover |
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12-30-22 | Jazz v. Kings UNDER 240.5 | 125-126 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
Sacramento played a back forth game vs Denver day before yesterday and took a 127-126 victory. Im now betting they are in a letdown mode , and physically tired and not ready to run and gun here tonight vs a Jazz side off two straight upset defeats . Im now betting the Jazz will be ready to play a better brand of disciplined defensive hoops. Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 Friday games.Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 7-2 in Kings last 9 games following a straight up win. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 116-52 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 80-40 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-30-22 | Jazz +3.5 v. Kings | 125-126 | Win | 100 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
Last time out the Jazz blew a double-digit lead and suffered a heart breaking 112-107 loss at Golden State and will now be primed on getting some redemption here vs a inconsistent Sacramento Kings side that my power ranking suggest they matchup well against. What also makes them all the more hungry is they feel asleep in the game previous to that as well, at San Antonio on Monday night in a game they should have won. Needless to say, their blood is boiling and Im betting they come here on fire and sustain that energy the entire game.UTAH is 14-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season and are15-6 ATS as an underdog this season.UTAH is 7-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons and have won their L/4 visits to Californias capital city. Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Play on Utah Jazz to cover |
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12-30-22 | 76ers v. Pelicans -1 | 116-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
New Orleans has won 4 straight games and have defeated their opposition when playing as hosts 15 of 19 times this season, and have the needed edge on home court vs a Philadelphia side that has lost 8 of 14 road games this season and have failed to cover 4 of their L/5 for a sub par away record. The 76ers are also off a lazy looking loss last time out, at Washington and look ripe for the picking here tonight in the Bayou. Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. 76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 76ers are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 63-12 L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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12-30-22 | Pistons v. Bulls -7.5 | 118-132 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
. Detroit ended a 6 game losing streak last time out by defeating Orlando but Im betting they fall back into their old habits of losing consistently here tonight vs a Chicago Bulls side off a upset win vs the Milwaukee Bucks last time out. CHICAGO is 10-1 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff coming in at just under 8 . DETROIT is 1-12 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking at -18.2. Pistons are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Chicago. Pistons are 1-10 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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12-30-22 | Chicago State +12.5 v. Ohio | 59-76 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Gillion is 13-4 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game as the coach of CHICAGO ST. CHICAGO ST is 12-4 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 season. CBB - Home favorites of 10 or more points (OHIO U) - team from a mid-major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak conference, off an upset win as an underdog are 7-32 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate . CFB Underdogs of 10 or more points (CHICAGO ST) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, a terrible team (20% or less) playing a team with a winning record are 26-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Chicago State to cover |
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12-30-22 | Miami-FL -3 v. Notre Dame | 76-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NOTRE DAME) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers are 61-116 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami fl |
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12-30-22 | Manhattan v. St. Peter's -5 | 57-67 | Win | 100 | 2 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. ST PETERS is 6-0 ATS in home games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. CBB team (ST PETERS) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (65-69%), cold shooting team - 4 straight games making 40% or less of their shots are 46-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on St.Peter's to cover |
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12-30-22 | North Carolina -5.5 v. Pittsburgh | 74-76 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Tar Heels are back in the Associated Press poll this week. UNC is No. 25 after being unranked in the previous three polls. |
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12-29-22 | Sam Houston State v. Utah Valley -130 | 64-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Utah Valley Wolverines in the UCCU Center has won eight straight games. UVU has also won 12 of its last 13 games at home and 16 of their L/18. The team's last loss at home was to Grand Canyon on Feb. 10, 2022. they are also 3-0 all time vs the Sam Houston Bearkats and get the call again in a rinse and repeat situation with home court advantage being the difference maker. |
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12-29-22 | Southern Illinois v. Murray State | 63-57 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. MSU has won its last 20 at the CFSB Center dating back to a loss to Eastern Illinois in 2021 and Im betting their run stays intact when the final buzzer goes off tonight. Salukis are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Racers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on Murray State to cover |
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12-29-22 | Grizzlies -2.5 v. Raptors | 119-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
After a streak that saw Memphis win 7 straight and 9 of 10 games, the Grizzlies have now low 4 of their L/5 and 2 straight with 3 of those defeats coming as favorites. Meanwhile, Toronto no longer seems like a contender and have shown very few flashes of brilliance this season, and Im betting nothing changes tonight vs a hungry Memphis side looking to bounce back. Nurse is 0-9 ATS in home games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better as the coach of TORONTO. TORONTO is 4-15 ATS in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons. MEMPHIS is 37-23 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 11-2 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road favorites (MEMPHIS) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 46-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on Memphis to cover |
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12-29-22 | Binghamton +14.5 v. Cornell | 70-86 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (CORNELL) - team from a mid-major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak conference, off an upset win as an underdog are 7-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate. Play on Binghamton to cover |
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12-29-22 | Rice +6.5 v. Western Kentucky | 81-78 | Win | 100 | 1 h 0 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. According to my power rankings these teams are fairly evenly matched and home court advantage does not warrant this big a spread. Especially considering how bad a FT % team the Hilltoppers ranking outside the top 300 teams in the nation. Play on Rice to cover |
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12-29-22 | Wagner -7 v. Long Island | 69-61 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Wagner to cover |
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12-28-22 | UNLV v. San Jose State +5 | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. San Jose State to cover |
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12-28-22 | Xavier v. St. John's +1.5 | 84-79 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. St. John’s after a ugly effort vs Villanova last time out losing by a 78-63 count will be prepared to bounce back at home where they are a perfect 8-0 this season. Im betting St. Johns a side that has the sixth-highest Adjusted Tempo in the country (74.9 possessions per game) will come here at a blistering pace and hamper Xaviers progress at both ends of the court will be limited and the pace havoc will negatively effect a Xavier side that turns the the ball over on 19% of its possessions (117th nationally).XAVIER is 0-9 ATS off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.( Beat Seaton Hall last time out 73-70 in a grueling affair they will have them in a letdown situation in this spot play) Play on St.Johns to cover |
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12-28-22 | Nets v. Hawks UNDER 235.5 | 108-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
My projected total for this tilt featuring Atlanta and Brooklyn comes in at 229 which gives a two full possession value to the under on this offering. Brooklyn ranks 8th in ppg allowed and. operate at the 21st ranked pace in the NBA. Atlanta ranks in 14th in defensive efficiency. Under is 11-4 in Nets last 15 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 12-4 in Hawks last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. ATLANTA is 33-19 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 220.9 ppg. BROOKLYN is 34-21 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225 ppg. BROOKLYN is 25-10 UNDER after 2 straight games being called for 5+ more fouls than opponent with a combined average of 211.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN/ATLANTA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 29-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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12-28-22 | Magic -1 v. Pistons | 101-121 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Orlando has won 8 of their L/10 games, and are ready for a bounce back effort after a suffering a loss to the Lakers last time out. Meanwhile, the Pistons are off a grueling OT loss vs the Clippers last time out, and will now be in a letdown state vs a Orlando side that is looking alot more cohesive over the last month. The loss by Motown was their 6th straight and 9th loss in 10 games. Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Magic are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Casey is 14-31 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in all games . NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, in December games are 33-5 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road favorites (ORLANDO) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 23-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite against opponent off a home loss are 21-7 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on Orlando Magic to cover |
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12-28-22 | Rider +10 v. Georgia | 72-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Rider has won four of its last five, with the lone setback coming on a tip-in with 3.6 seconds remaining vs. Delaware and have proven to be competitive side this season, and are more than capable of staying within the number here today vs Georgia. GEORGIA is 2-11 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. White is 3-20 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points in all games he has coached. Play on Rider to cover |
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12-27-22 | Knicks v. Mavs -4.5 | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
NYK after a nice run that saw them garner 8 straight wins has now lost three straight games . Meanwhile, despite of an inconsistent performance record this season, the Mavs have begun to wake up and have strung together 3 straight victories and deserve respect here on this short line as hosts. In their only meeting this season, the Mavericks showed they matchup well for the Knicks by beating them 121-100 as 1.5 road chalk. DALLAS is 17-7 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking at +9.5 ppg. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off a loss against a division rival, on Tuesday nights are 1-28 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.8 which easily qualifies in this ATS line. Play on Dallas to cover |
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12-27-22 | Clippers v. Raptors -5 | 124-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
After playing a back and forth marathon vs the Detroit Pistons last night Im betting the Clippers will not have enough gas in the tank to be able to stay within this number. Meanwhile, Toronto is off two strong uipset wins on the road and must be respected to hold home court advantage vs an exhausted side that will play with Kawhi Leonard this evening. TORONTO is 40-24 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 4-54 L/5 seasons with a combined average of -13.4 ppg which qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Favorites (TORONTO) - in non-conference games, off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 30-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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12-27-22 | Hawks v. Pacers +1.5 | 114-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Indiana looked like they took the night off in a lazy effort yesterday vs the New Orleans Pelicans losing by a 113-93 count so I cant see them being that tired as to not be able to compete at home tonight vs a Hawks side that has lost 10 of 16 road games this season SU. Previous to last night the Pacers took out the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat and deserve respect in their ability to bounce back here. The Pacers are 5-1 in the second game of back-to-backs.Pacers are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games playing on no rest. . Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 4-54 L/5 seasons with a combined average of -13.4 ppg which qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Road underdogs (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, on Tuesday nights are 25-57 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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12-27-22 | 76ers -4.5 v. Wizards | 111-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is streaking and have won 8 straight games and will not over look the Wizards as they know the home side pulled off a road wins as underdogs at Sacramento last time out winning by as a DD dog , at the tail end of a grueling 6 game west coast road trip. Now in an emotional letdown spot and exhausted after and extensive road excursion Im betting on the the Wizards to take time to get used to home cooking again and start slowly here which is a proverbial death sentence against the 76ers team currently playing at high level. PHILADELPHIA is 12-1 ATS when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season. PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season and are 12-4 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.3 ppg. NBA Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 1-31 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.3 which qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Home underdogs (WASHINGTON) - off a double digit win as a road underdog of 6 more, a sub standard team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 8-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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12-27-22 | Northwestern State +17 v. Texas A&M | 52-64 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Northwestern State last played Dec. 20 when they fell to No. 12/13 Baylor, 58-48, proving they can compete against power 5 programs. NSU held the Bears to nearly 30 points below their season average and limited Baylor to its fewest points in a game this season. Im betting Texas A&M will have their hands full in this tilt. NORTHWESTERN ST is 10-2 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). NORTHWESTERN ST is 10-1 ATS in all games this season. NORTHWESTERN ST is 10-1 ATS in non-conference games this season. NORTHWESTERN ST is 7-0 ATS after playing a game as an underdog this season. Williams is 4-13 ATS versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots as the coach of TEXAS A&M.. CBB home team (TEXAS A&M) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG), after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less are 8-32 ATS 5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Northwestern State to cover |
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12-27-22 | Jacksonville v. Notre Dame OVER 129 | 43-59 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Notre Dame has been playing soft hoops of late, even when they have a height advantage they seemed unmotivated to be as aggressive as need be. So I wont be surprised if Jacksonville gets alot of second chances in the offensive zone and score above their season average. Additionally, during their last five games, the Irish have allowed teams to shoot 71.6% from the field and 53.2% in the paint. On the flipside Jacksonville has recorded field goal percentages of 49.3% FG and 67%, at the rim . Notre Dame will push the action, because of being in desperation mode after losing 3 straight and should push past Jacksonvilles slower pace. This Im betting see a combined score that hints into the 130s or more. NOTRE DAME is 6-0 OVER versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 15 or less free throws/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 152.3 ppg scored.
CBB Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (NOTRE DAME) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off a road win are 25-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 133.1 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-26-22 | Pacers v. Pelicans UNDER 237 | 93-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans have been missing some of their best players, and have stepped up and played quality ball. This Pelicans team has taken part in a lot of back and forth offensive hoops , but it must be noted that they are ranked 6h in defensive efficiency in the league. Meanwhile, Indiana has also played well of late and its their defense that has been the catalyst . Because of added focus to paying attention to defense in transition, they have allowed 112, 108 points in two marquee wins vs Boston and Miami respectively and Im betting that will stick their winning game plan tonight vs another top tier side and because of this Im betting the expected offensive output will not be eclipsed. Pacers are 8-3 UNDER L/11 overall. Under is 5-1 in Pacers last 6 road games.Under is 17-7-1 in Pacers last 25 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 18-7-1 in Pelicans last 26 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. INDIANA is 13-4 UNDER in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.6 ppg.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 100-49 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 36-12 UNDER L/5 seasons with a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 86-35 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-26-22 | Wolves +3.5 v. Heat | 110-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Both these sides are off back to back losses and both will be hungry to rebound. Im betting on a very competitive tilt with taking points a strong option. Jimmy Butler, who has played sporadically since early November due to injury, exited Friday's Heat defeat with a sprained ankle and is unlikely to play today and if he does he will be less than 100% putting the Heat in a negative situation. This season, Butler's absence has resulted in a 5-7 record for the Heat, which includes a 105-101 loss to Minnesota on Nov. 21. \MIAMI is 9-21 ATS ( versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 15 or more turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.MIAMI is 3-12 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.MIAMI is 3-12 ATS as a home favorite this season.Spoelstra is 95-125 ATS in home games in the first half of the season as the coach of MIAMI. NBA team vs the money line (MINNESOTA) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 109-36 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on Minnesota Wolves to cover |
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12-25-22 | Utah State -3 v. Washington State | 82-73 | Win | 100 | 33 h 22 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Stan Sheriff Center - Honolulu, H SMU upset Utah State last time out and Hawaii took out Washington State in tournament action. These two teams play different styles of hoops. Utah State plays a explosive style of offensive basketball while, the Cougars work at a slower pace and a strong defensive mind set. The difference makers today comes via , Utah State's bench that entered this tournament leading the Mountain West and were ranked fifth in the nation in points per game (36.10). Utah State's bench has outscored its opponents 361-185 (36.1 to 18.5) this season as its reserves have accounted for 41.7 percent of USU's. Utah State has had at least two bench players score in double figures in six of its 10 games this season as the Aggies are 6-0 when multiple bench players score in double figures during the campaign. Aggies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Sunday games. Aggies are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.Aggies are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Cougars are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Mouhamed Gueye (Foot) - Questionable () [12/23/2022] - Gueye exited the game before Hawaii with a foot injury, and it is unclear if he will take to the floor vs Utah State . If he plays he will be less than 100/% and puts Wash State at a disadvantage. Utah State to cover |
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12-25-22 | Iona v. Pepperdine UNDER 152 | 76-66 | Win | 100 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (PEPPERDINE) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 37-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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12-25-22 | Lakers v. Mavs UNDER 226.5 | 115-124 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 30 m | Show | |
The Lakers on the road- run and gun with wreck-less abandon and are usually punished defensively because their not focusing on their defensive responsibilities in transition. Overall they rank 2nd in pace in the league. They are scoring an average of 115.2 ppg game this season but rank 26th in in ppg allowed and on the road allow a whopping 121.7 ppg on the campaign. Dallas is the kind of team that can- really roll up points in a hurry against this type of side behind super star Doncic. Im betting on a much quicker pace and a more explosive offensive game than many might expect here on Christmas day. . LA LAKERS in 8 road games where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 232 points per game scored.LA LAKERS are 36-22 OVER as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 12-3 OVER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 231.3 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 road games.Over is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 16-5 in Lakers last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 9-3 in Lakers last 12 overall.Over is 21-7 in Lakers last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 5-2 in Mavericks last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Play over |
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12-25-22 | 76ers v. Knicks +2 | 119-112 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is on a 7 game win streak that Im betting will be in jeopardy here on Christmas day vs a Knicks side that had a 8 game win streak end recently and are now desperate to rebound after two consecutive losses. Most of the 76ers success has come at home this season, but on the road they are just 5-7 and recently lost 3 straight road games before their current streak , which was all achieved at home. Knicks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NEW YORK is 27-13 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off 3 or more consecutive home wins are 61-32 L/26 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, on Sunday games are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 47-18 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play on the NYK to cover |
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12-23-22 | Pelicans v. Thunder UNDER 231.5 | 128-125 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
The Thunder enter Friday's game on a three-game winning streak, having garnered a win vs Portland 101-98 Wednesday to sweep back-to-back games against the Trail Blazers. It was their D, that showed up and played big and now against the run and gun Pelicans Im betting on them proverbially battening down the hatches again behind an improving D, that is now ranked 14th in the league in defensive efficiency. When these teams played on Nov 28 New Orleans took a 105-100 win and another physical battle Im betting is on tonights agenda. Under is 7-1 in Thunder last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NEW ORLEANS is 17-5 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.5 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.6 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a win against a division rival are 28-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 29-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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12-23-22 | Pacers +6.5 v. Heat | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
The Pacers despite of not being productive in the win column have been mostly competitive of late not losing by more than 7 points in their L/8 trips to the hardwood. Tonight Im betting they keep up their current never say die form and get us a cover a road dogs. the Pacers are fairly fresh and have had a lighter schedule of late and this will aid them tonight and keeping this game closer than the offered line. INDIANA is 7-0 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season. Carlisle is 35-19 ATS after 2 straight games being called for 5+ more fouls than opponent in all games he has coached. MIAMI is 3-11 ATS ) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Play on Indiana to cover |
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12-23-22 | Pistons +9 v. Hawks | 105-130 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
Detroit after 4 straight losses is in desperation mode and Atlanta has been very inconsistent this season thus far and recently lost 3 of their L/5 SU -making them according to my power rankings weak favs on this type of line offering. The line according to my projections should be -7. With a full possession advantage Im recommending we take the points. Pistons are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Pistons are 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 road games ATLANTA is 1-11 ATS in home games in December games over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 39-20 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Casey is 55-32 ATS after 4 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached since 1996. NBA team vs the money line (DETROIT) - struggling defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more have won 20 of their L/33 opportunities SU with the average ppg diff clicking in at +0.5 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Road teams (DETROIT) - sub standard defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 31-9 ATS L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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12-23-22 | Bucknell +19.5 v. Rutgers | 50-85 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Bucknell ranks 33rd nationally in opponent field-goal percentage (.389), and the Bison are one of only two teams in the nation shooting over 50% while holding opponents under 40%. Its a tall order but Im betting Bucknell keeps it close enough for the cover via top tier offensive and defensive shooting skills. Bison are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. RUTGERS is 4-13 ATS in home games on Friday nights since 1997 Play on Bucknell to cover |
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12-22-22 | Loyola-Chicago v. Stanford OVER 124 | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (STANFORD) - poor three point shooting team (32% or less) against a good 3PT defense 32% or better ), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) are 28-10 over L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with 130 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (LOYOLA-IL) - in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) are 38-10 over L/ L/26 seasons witn a combined average of 131.8 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-22-22 | Northern Illinois v. Indiana State UNDER 155.5 | 67-57 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Northern Illinois thanks to their D, has struggled lately, and the coaching staff has said, that their D needs to upgraded and attention must be focused on slowing down opponents out of transition . Thats fits into most teams thoughts when in this type of downward momentum situation. Note: N ILLINOIS is 9-2 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 129.2 ppg scored. I expect N.Illinois to implement a more concerted effort on D, which will also limit their output offensively, helping us keep this game to the low side of the number. INDIANA ST is 6-0 UNDER in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 138.1 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (INDIANA ST) - after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more, with all five starters returning from last season are 42-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-22-22 | Chicago State +13 v. Minnesota | 55-58 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Chicago State to cover |
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12-21-22 | TCU +1.5 v. Utah | 75-71 | Win | 100 | 1 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Utah has a huge win against Arizona, but Im betting they are over rated. I know TCU started slowly this season, but with starting guard Damion Baugh back in the lineup the team is 4-0 SU since his return and up trending quickly. UTAH is 1-9 ATS versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or less of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 1-11 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.UTAH is 1-9 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. TCU is 12-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons. Play on TCU ( LATE STEAM) |
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12-21-22 | Magic -1.5 v. Rockets | 116-110 | Win | 100 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
Orlando is in a groove of late, and previous to 1 point loss to Atlanta last time out, had won 6 straight SU and have now covered 8 straight. Tonight Im betting they continue their top tier play on the road vs inconsistent Houston side, that has lost 3 straight games. HOUSTON is 2-12 ATS in home games off 2 consecutive home losses of 10 points or more. Silas is 3-13 ATS in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game as the coach of HOUSTON.Silas is 3-17 ATS in home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more as the coach of HOUSTON. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a road loss are 7-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (ORLANDO) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival are 41-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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12-21-22 | Pacers v. Celtics -9.5 | 117-112 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
The Celtics looked tired after an extensive 6 game road trip and then came home and showed their exhaustion in two straight losses to a well conditioned Orlando side that was in a groove. Now with a few days rest and finally acclimated to home cooking Im betting we the Celtics at their very best vs a the inconsistent Pacers who has lost 4 of their L/5 and 9 of 15 road tilts this season.. BOSTON is 12-1 ATS after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons. BOSTON is 8-0 ATS ( in home games off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite over the last 3 season NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (BOSTON) - an excellent offensive team (>=118 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 30-1 L/26 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +31, which qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (BOSTON) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 47-2 L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate, with the average ppg diff registering at +14.4 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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12-21-22 | Bucks v. Cavs -1.5 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
The Bucks' 128-119 win over the Pelicans was an intense physically grueling affair that Im betting directly effects their ability to sustain the energy needed to defeat a talented Cleveland team tonight on the road. Cleveland, which has won four in a row, blasted their way 122-99 win over the Utah Jazz at home on Monday night and in their current form look capable of taking out the Bucks here as hosts tonight. where they are 15-2 on the season. CLEVELAND is 12-4 ATS as a home favorite this season. CLEVELAND is 8-0 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 19-9 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Budenholzer is 24-41 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game as the coach of MILWAUKEE. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 33-4 L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 45-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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12-21-22 | Michigan v. North Carolina UNDER 155 | 76-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Spectrum Center - Charlotte, NC Both these teams could really use a win, and Im betting that this will be a grueling affair and both will pay significant attention to playing a strong defensive brand of hoops in transition and for alot of elbow action in the paint. My projections estimate a score closer to 149 which gives us a significant edge on this Totals offering. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points MICH/ (N CAROLINA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons. Play UNDER |
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12-21-22 | Incarnate Word +14 v. Florida International | 74-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Panthers force an average of 17.4 turnovers on opponents and are at their best when able to get out in transition off turnovers, that will be a problem here vs a Cardinals side despite of being young has protected the ball well lately. Florida Inter has lost 4 games in a row and nothing seems to come easily lately and the same Im betting holds true today. Florida Inter is having problems on offense of late scoring 65, 59, and 53 points receptive and according to my power rankings are being over estimated in their ability to cash as this big a DD underdog. FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-13 ATS L/15 as a favorite of 10 or more points .FLA INTERNATIONAL is 4-19 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Play on Incarnate Word to cover |
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12-21-22 | Northeastern v. Davidson OVER 137 | 73-70 | Win | 100 | 2 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over |
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12-20-22 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets UNDER 235.5 | 91-105 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
This total based on my own projections should be closer to 231 which gives us a 2 possession value with an under wager. 5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons. Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 8-3 in Nuggets last 11 home games. MEMPHIS is 17-5 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 3 season with a combined average of 220.9 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 9-1 UNDER after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season are 213.4 ppg scored. DENVER is 14-4 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 34-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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12-20-22 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets | 91-105 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
The Mile High city is not a friendly place for visiting teams to play in especially run and gun specialists like Memphis . The air in the Mile High city should slow them down enough to make them vulnerable to the more acclimated home side. MEMPHIS is 7-18 ATS in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. NBA opening line Road underdogs vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 4-54 L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Nuggets to cover |
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12-20-22 | Montana v. Gonzaga UNDER 147 | 75-85 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Gonzaga is off a run and gun affair in their last game vs Alabama, with a combined score of 190 points going on the board. Im betting on immediate regression here vs a Montana side that has proven they can play strong defense when need be as is evident by allowing 59 or less points to their opponent in 5 of their L/11 games. GONZAGA is 6-0 UNDER in home games versus sub standard passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 135.7 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MONTANA) - red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 53% or better of their shots are 44-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-20-22 | Illinois-Chicago +16 v. Northwestern | 54-92 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Following a three-game winning streak, the Flames are flying high and must not be underestimated in their ability to be competitive against a power 5 opponent. IL-CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons. CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (NORTHWESTERN) - excellent free throw shooting team (73% or better ) against an average free throw shooting team (65-69%), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 5-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Illinois Chicago to cover |
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12-20-22 | Bulls +5.5 v. Heat | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
The Bulls, have lost four straight games and are now in desperation mode and hungry for a victory. The last loss was embarrassing to say the least as they were defeated 150-126 at the Minnesota Timberwolves, which was the most points allowed by the Bulls in regulation in the the past 40 years. Pros don't like to be embarrassed and thats why Im betting the entire team makes a concerted effort at getting redemption and a victory here and more importantly as far as we are concerned a cover. I know Miami has won 4 straight, but they are just 2-2 ATS in those tilts and have failed to cover 6 of their L/8 and have also be weak favs overall this season / especially at home. MIAMI is 3-11 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.MIAMI is 3-11 ATS in home games this season. Heat are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Donovan is 43-27 ATS after a non-conference game as the coach of CHICAGO. Bulls are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Miami. Play on Chicago to cover |
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12-19-22 | Blazers v. Thunder UNDER 227 | 121-123 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City has only eclipsed the total in 1 of their L/10 trips to the hardwood. Meanwhile, Portland in their 17 road games this season seen a combined average of 219.6 ppg go on the scoreboard. and rank 28th in the NBA in pace. with this being the Blazers 4th straight road game in the L/6 days Im betting they will hold to their usually methodical pace which will help keep this tilt on the low side of the Totals offering. Under is 5-1 in Trail Blazers last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. PORTLAND is 29-17 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 games following a ATS win which was the case last time out. .NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PORTLAND) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 28-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after allowing 43 points or less in the first half last game are 33-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 23-9 in the last 32 meetings in Oklahoma City. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play UNDER |
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12-19-22 | Stonehill +16.5 v. Bradley | 50-79 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Stonehill has seen eight different players record double-figure scoring games through its first 12 game and despite of a sub par record have been very competitive only losing by more than this spread to times to power 5 sides, Providence and Connecticut. With that said, Bradley with a better record has played only 1 power 5 team this season, (Arkansas) last time out and lost by 19 points and were also pounded by Utah State by DDs. Looking at their schedule , it seems very likey Bradley is over rated on this line. Advantage Stonehill. BRADLEY is 1-11 ATS after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons which was the case vs Arkansas last time out. CBB home team (BRADLEY) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), good rebounding team (+3 to +6 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (6 or less reb/game) are 40-12 ATS L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (BRADLEY) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), good rebounding team (+3 to +6 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (6 or less reb/game) are 11-37 /ats L/26 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate. Play on Stonehill to cover |
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12-19-22 | Raptors +8 v. 76ers | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
I know Toronto has lost 5 straight games, but that will make them all the more hungry and dangerous. On flip side -Even playing without Tyrese Maxey (fractured left foot), Tobias Harris (back) and Furkan Korkmaz (non-COVID illness) the Sixers have been putting up victories but these missing bodies Im betting will have an effect on them sooner or later. Nurse is 27-12 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of TORONTO. Rivers is 85-118 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite in all games he has coached in his career . NBA underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 31-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Raptors to cover |
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12-18-22 | Bulls -1.5 v. Wolves | 126-150 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Minnesota Im betting will be in a letdown situation after a upset win vs the Thunder last time out. the game was physically grueling and now the Wolves are vulnerable in this tilt vs a quality opponent, that is desperate for a win after suffering 3 straight losses. CHICAGO is 46-29 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 11-23 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, in December games are 33-4 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - in non-conference games, off a close win by 3 points or less over a division rival are 5-39 L/26 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
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12-18-22 | Notre Dame -155 v. Georgia | 62-77 | Loss | -155 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Notre Dame was lethargic in a loss to Marquette last time out. Its extremely important to note Notre Dames HC Coach Brey has used the phrase bounce-back mode alot recently . Notre Dame is 2-0 this season after being defeated with wins over No, 20 Michigan State and Boston U. Dating back to last season, they own a 8-game win streak following a loss. Thus, they haven’t suffered back-to-back losses since Nov. 29 of last year when they lost at Illinois.The Irish are currently leading the country in fouls per game, only committing an average of 11.6. that Im betting will be the difference maker today vs Georgia. On the flip-side GEORGIA is 2-10 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Play on Notre Dame to win SU |
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12-18-22 | Oakland v. Boise State UNDER 142.5 | 57-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Oakland is struggling to score and Im betting on Boise State shutting them down , while they themselves will have offensive regression after a big output last time out. BOISE ST is 8-2 UNDER in all games this season. BOISE ST is 8-1 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Rice is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) in home games off a home win scoring 85 or more points as the coach of BOISE ST with a combined average score of 135.1 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BOISE ST) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. are 31-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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12-18-22 | Belmont +5.5 v. Chattanooga | 83-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. In their last game over a week ago Belmont lost in OT. Previous to that they had won 5 of 6 games. This is a talented Belmont program is getting more acquainted to a newer lineup as they replaced their 7 top scorers from last season. Note: Alexander is 8-0 ATS off a home loss in all games he has coached since 1997. Meanwhile UTChatanooga is on a 6-0 run, but from a matchup perspective using my early season power rankings Belmont despite of alot of inexperience matchup well here.Earl is 4-15 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Belmont to cover |