Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-24-17 | Dolphins v. Eagles UNDER 42 | 31-38 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIA@PHI to go UNDER the total.
The Miami Dolphins will try to get Jay Cutler up to speed here in their third game of the pre-season. Cutler and Miami's first team offense will have to get it done on the road against the Eagles first team offense. It's not going to be easy, especially given the injuries to key members of the offensive line. Philly looked strong defensively in a home win over Buffalo last week, holding the Bills to just a pair of field goals in the first half. The Dolphins defense didn't look too bad, holding Ryan Mallet of the Ravens to just 113 yards a TD and two INTs on 13-of-22 passing. I am expecting a pair of below average offenses to struggle here against quality defenders. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-23-17 | Philadelphia Union v. Toronto FC OVER 3 | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 28 h 30 m | Show | |
5* |
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08-19-17 | Toronto FC v. Chicago Fire OVER 3 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TOR@CHI to go OVER the total. Toronto FC is the highest scoring team in Major League Soccer, and they come into tonight's match with the best record in the league. The Chicago Fire have had their fair share of trouble defending of late, conceding a whopping 10 goals in their last four matches. They did win their last home match by a score of 4-1 over New England. I expect both teams to find the net here in the Windy City, and when the dust settles we should see a high score. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-19-17 | Patriots v. Texans OVER 41 | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NE@HOU to go OVER the total. The Texans may have lost to the Panthers in Week 1, but they have to be impressed with rookie quarterback Deshaun Watson. He threw for 179 yards on 15-of-25 passing, but wasn't able to get in the endzone. I expect to see plenty of Watson here this week at home, and I think he might just be even sharper. The Patriots lost to Jacksonville in Week 1, and Chad Henne looked like Aaron Rodgers against New England's second and third string defense. Jimmy G was impressive though, throwing for 235 yards and two TDs on 22-of-28 passing. Brady could see a series or two tonight, and between he and Jimmy G, expect to see the Pats score their share of points. It could be an old fashioned shootout here in Texas at NRG Stadium. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-19-17 | Packers v. Redskins OVER 39 | 21-17 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GB@WAS to go OVER the total. Aaron Rodgers didn't see any action in the first week of pre-season, but we expect to see him for a series or two tonight. Backup quarterbacks Brett Hundley and Joe Callahan did a good job of moving the ball in a 24-9 win over Philly. The Packers coaching staff was not happy with the defense though, as missed tackles appeared to be a significant issue. The Redskins didn't have any success on offense in a Week 1 loss at Baltimore, but we expect to see more action for the starters at home here against the Packers. Kirk Cousins should get more time, and he's likely to be airing it out whenever he gets a chance. Cousins threw for 188 yards and three TDs in his first action of last year's pre-season. The Redskins won both home games last pre-season, and scored a combined 43 points in those contests. I expect this to be a relatively high scoring affair between two teams that lean heavily on their passing attack. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-17-17 | Nationals v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WAS@SD to go UNDER the total. The Padres host the Nationals in Game 1 of a four game series Thursday night, and I expect this to be a pitcher's duel. Jhoulys Chacin will toe the slab for the Padres, and he's been light out at home. He's 7-2 with a 1.72 ERA in 12 starts at PETCO this season, and he's 3-1 with a 3.31 ERA in his last six starts overall. The Nationals hand the ball to Edwin Jackson, who is 3-2 with a 3.86 ERA in five starts with the Nats this season. He allowed one run on five hits over six innings in a 3-1 home win over the Giants. The Nats have gone under in four of five games since the injury to Bryce Harper, and the one game that went over was decided by a grand slam home run in the 11th inning. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-13-17 | Cubs v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | Top | 7-2 | Push | 0 | 19 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CHC@ARI to go Under the total.
We might see a pitcher's duel at Chase Field today, and the total looks a bit too high. Jake Arrieta will toe the slab for the Cubs, and he's really been on a roll lately. Arrieta (11-8, 3.83 ERA) allowed three runs on nine hits over 6 1/3 innings in a 5-3 win at San Francisco his last time out. He's 3-1 with a 2.20 ERA in five starts since the All Star break. His only start against Arizona this season was a good one, allowing just one earned run on three hits, striking out eight in seven innings. The D'Backs hand the ball to Zack Godley, who has been having a career year. The right-hander allowed three runs on eight hits, striking out five in 6 2/3 innings in a home win over the Dodgers his last time out. He's 2-1 with a 3.73 ERA in five starts since the All Star break, and he blanked the Cubs through six innings the only time he faced them this season. Arizona has failed to reach the total in six of Godley's last seven starts. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-12-17 | Reds v. Brewers OVER 9 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CIN@MIL to go OVER the total. |
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08-12-17 | Royals v. White Sox OVER 10 | 5-4 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KC@CWS to go Over the total.
The White Sox won Game 1 by a score of 6-3, and I expect another slugfest tonight. Ian Kennedy will toe the slab for the Royals, and he hasn't missed many bats lately. He was torched for seven runs on six hits and four walks over six innings in a home loss to St. Louis his last time out. He's 1-2 with a 6.08 ERA in five starts since the All Star break. The Sox hand the ball to James Shields, who has lost five of his last six starts. Big Game James has surrendered a whopping five home runs in 12 innings of work in his last two starts. He's 0-2 with a 7.52 ERA in five starts since the All Star break. The over is 11-4-2 in Kennedy's last 17 starts. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-12-17 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Newcastle United OVER 3 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 713 h 19 m | Show | |
10* |
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08-11-17 | Braves v. Cardinals UNDER 9 | 5-8 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ATL@STL to go UNDER the total. The Cardinals might suffer a let down here in Game 1 versus the Braves, as they just swept the Royals in a home and home series. We saw plenty of runs scored in those games, but with a pair of quality pitchers on the mound tonight, a close low scoring game should be expected. Mike Foltynewicz will toe the slab for the Braves, and Atlanta has won nine of his last 10 starts. He's 3-1 with a 4.50 ERA in five starts since the All Star break, and he's 10-3 with a 4.01 ERA in 10 starts under the lights this season. The Cardinals hand the ball to veteran Adam Wainwright, who has been far better at home than he has been on the road. The 35 year old is 7-1 with a 3.19 ERA in 10 starts in St. Louis this year. His last home start was a 4-1 win over the Mets, allowing one run on five hits while striking out seven in 6 2/3 innings. The Braves have failed to reach the total in six straight against right-handed starters. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
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08-11-17 | Royals v. White Sox OVER 9 | 3-6 | Push | 0 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KC@CWS to go OVER the total. The White Sox are coming off a three game sweep in a home series versus the Astros, while the Royals were swept in a home and home series versus St. Louis. I expect to see both teams put a few runs on the board here in Game 1 in the Windy City. Danny Duffy will toe the rubber for the Royals, and he's coming off a tough outing. The southpaw gave up seven runs on seven hits and two walks in 5 2/3 innings in an 8-7 home loss to Seattle his last time out. He's 0-2 with an 11.27 ERA in two starts against Chicago this season. The White Sox hand the ball to rookie right-hander Reynaldo Lopez, who makes his season debut. He posted a 4.91 ERA in six starts with Washington last year. He was 6-7 with a 3.79 ERA in 22 starts in Triple-A. The White Sox are tough against left-handed pitchers, batting .278 versus southpaws this season. That might explain their success against Duffy. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
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08-11-17 | Mets v. Phillies OVER 9.5 | 7-6 | Win | 102 | 2 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NYM@PHI to go Over the total. The Mets won Game 1 in Philly by a score of 10-0, and I expect another slugfest tonight. Nick Pivetta will toe the slab for the Phillies, and he's been brutal all year. Pivetta (4-7, 5.89 ERA) was torched for eight runs on seven hits in just 2 2/3 innings in a loss to Colorado his last time out. He's 2-3 with an 8.64 ERA in his last five starts. The Mets hand the ball to Seth Lugo, who hasn't missed many bats himself this season. Lugo (5-3, 4.55 ERA) allowed three runs on four hits and two walks over 5 2/3 innings in a 7-4 home loss to the Dodgers his last time out. He's surrendered a whopping six home runs in his last three starts. Both teams bullpens have been terrible, with Philly ranking 22nd and New York 28th in ERA by reliever. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
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08-10-17 | Indians v. Rays OVER 8 | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CLE@TB to go over the total. The Rays lost 8-2 to Boston last night, and I expect another high scoring game at The Trop when they host Cleveland tonight. Blake Snell will toe the rubber for the Rays, and he's still looking for his first victory of the season. The southpaw is 0-6 with a 4.98 ERA in 14 starts, and he's 0-1 with a 5.31 ERA in four starts since the All Star break. Cleveland will hand the ball to Danny Salazar, who was roughed up by Tampa earlier this season. The Rays tagged him for five runs on six hits and a pair of walks over five innings in a 6-4 home loss. The right-hander is 3-2 with a 5.30 ERA in eight appearances on the road this season. The Rays have gone over in eight of Snell's last 11 home starts. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule.
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08-09-17 | Red Sox v. Rays OVER 8.5 | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BOS@TB to go OVER the total. The Red Sox won 2-0 in Game 1 of this series at Tampa, but I expect more scoring here in Game 2 tonight. Rick Porcello will toe the slab for the Sox, and he hasn't missed many bats this season. Last year's Cy Young winner is 0-3 with a 5.89 ERA in three starts against the Rays this season. He's 1-6 with a 4.05 ERA on the road, and 1-3 with a 4.44 ERA since the All Star break. The Rays hand the ball to Jake Odorizzi, who hasn't been that sharp either. The right-hander allowed three runs on four hits and three walks over four innings in a home loss to Texas his last time out. He's faced Boston twice this season, and the Sox hammered him to the tune of seven runs on nine hits and three walks over just 5 1/3 innings. Tampa has gone over in five straight when Odorizzi starts at home. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-07-17 | Marlins v. Nationals OVER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@WAS to go over the total. The Nats lost two of three in a series at Miami last week, and they will be a big favorite with Max Scherzer on the mound in Game 1 of this home series versus the Fish tonight. Scherzer (12-5, 2.21 ERA) only threw 10 pitches in one inning in a 7-6 loss at Miami his last time out. He left with neck pain, something that has been bothering him for a while. Given their comfortable spot in the standings, expect the Nats to be very careful with their ace here in this game. That could result in more innings for Washington's shaky bullpen. The Marlins hand the ball to Chris O'Grady, who was torched for six runs on seven hits in just three innings in last week's win over the Nats. He walked a pair, gave up a couple home runs in that game. He's really struggled with his command, walking a whopping 14 batters in 25 innings of work this season. The Marlins have had more success against Scherzer than most teams, batting a combined .267 with a dozen home runs over 270 at bats. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-05-17 | Saskatchewan v. BC OVER 56 | Top | 15-30 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SASK@BC to go OVER the total. The Lions ranked first in the CFL in several defensive categories earlier this season, but a handful of injuries to key starters have really taken a toll on BC's secondary. They were lit up for 412 yards and two TDs by Mike Reilly in a 37-26 loss at Edmonton last week, and they gave up 42 points in a home win over Winnipeg the previous week. The good news for B.C. is that Travis Lulay is getting it done at quarterback. The veteran (and former league MVP) has thrown for over 1000 yards and seven TDs while starting three games. The Riders are coming off a 28-27 win over the Argos, and it was the third time in five games this season that they scored 30+ points. We should see another barn burner in Vancouver Saturday. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-02-17 | Twins v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIN@SD to go UNDER the total. The Padres won Game 1 of this series versus Minnesota by a score of 3-0, and I expect another pitcher's duel at PETCO this afternoon. Luis Perdomo will toe the slab for San Diego, and he's got good numbers at home. The 24 year old is 4-1 with a 4.89 ERA in 10 home starts, and the Padres have won his last five starts at PETCO. The Twins hand the ball to Ervin Santana, who is having a career year. He's 7-2 with a 2.59 ERA in 10 starts on the road this season, and 4-2 with a 2.33 ERA in eight starts in day games. Pitching on the road in the afternoon against the lowest scoring team in the major leagues in a pitcher's park figures to be a good spot for Santana. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
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07-28-17 | BC v. Edmonton OVER 54.5 | Top | 26-37 | Win | 100 | 58 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BC@EDM to go OVER the total. Injuries have taken their toll on the B.C. Lions, and they come into this Friday's game in Edmonton with backup quarterback Travis Lulay expected to start in place of the injured Jonathon Jennings. The offense hasn't missed a beat under Lulay the last two weeks, scoring a total of 86 points in wins over Hamilton and Winnipeg. Prior to the game at Hamilton, the Lions owned the top rated defense in the CFL. They are thin in the secondary after several key injuries, and they've been lit up for 68 points in their last two games. Mike Reilly threw for 315 yards and two TDs in a 30-27 win at B.C. in Week 1. The Eskimos are coming off a high scoring, come from behind win at Hamilton by a score of 31-28. I am expecting a real barn burner here between the top two teams in the league. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
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07-25-17 | Astros v. Phillies OVER 9 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@PHI to go OVER the total. The Phillies lost Game 1 of this home series versus Houston by a score of 13-4, and another slugfest is likely here in Game 2. Philly had won five of seven prior to Monday's loss, and during that span the bats have been hot. Nick Pivetta will toe the slab for the Phillies, and he's had a tough rookie season. Pivetta (3-5, 5.58 ERA) has allowed seven home runs in his last three starts. He's 1-1 with a 10.45 ERA in two starts since the All Star break. The Astros hand the ball to Charlie Morton, who has been fortunate to have won as many games as he has. He's walked a whopping 24 batters in his last 10 starts, and he's 2-2 with a 5.40 ERA in four road starts. The over is 15-5-1 in Houston's last 21 overall. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
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07-19-17 | Rays v. A's UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -130 | 21 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TB@OAK to go UNDER the total. The A's have won four of five on their current home stand, and only one of those games saw more than eight runs combined. I expect another pitcher's duel here in a matinee in Oakland Wednesday. Sonny Gray will toe the slab for the A's, and he tossed six shutout innings, allowing just two hits and striking out five in a win over Cleveland his last time out. He's 4-2 with a 3.11 ERA in nine starts in Oakland this season, and 3-0 with a 2.39 ERA in six starts in the afternoon. The Rays hand the ball to rookie Jacob Faria, who comes in with a perfect 4-0 record and a sparkling 2.00 ERA in seven starts. He's held the opposition to one run in five of seven starts, and has allowed more than two runs only once. Tampa has failed to reach the total in five straight versus right-handed starters, and the under is 5-0 in their last five visits to Oakland. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-16-17 | New York Yankees - Game #2 v. Boston Red Sox - Game #2 OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYY@BOS to go OVER the total. The Yankees and the Red Sox have split the first two games of this series at Fenway, and both games went under the total. I think we could see plenty of scoring on Sunday though, coming off a 16 inning marathon where both combined used 15 different pitchers. Playing a double header, the managers may have no choice but to stretch out their starters, regardless of how they perform. David Price will toe the slab for the Sox in Game 2, and the Yankees have really had his number. Price allowed six runs on eight hits and four walks over five innings in a loss at New York earlier this season. He's 5-6 with a 5.93 ERA in 15 starts against the Yankees since 2014. Gary Sanchez is 4-for-7 lifetime versus Price, and all four of those hits left the ballpark. The Yankees hand the ball to Masahiro Tanaka, who was rocked for five runs on six hits over just 4 1/3 innings in a loss to Milwaukee his last time out. He's 3-4 with a 6.24 ERA in nine starts away from New York in 2017. Last season The over is 7-3 in Tanaka's last 10 starts versus Boston. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
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07-09-17 | Tigers v. Indians OVER 8 | Top | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DET@CLE to go OVER the total. The Indians host the Tigers on Sunday Night Baseball, and Cleveland will be a huge favorite with the red hot Corey Kluber on the mound. Kluber is the hottest pitcher in the major leagues, coming off five consecutive starts with 10 or more strikeouts. It might sound like a "Bold Prediction" to suggest that the Tigers can get to Kulber here today, but he has a history of struggling against Detroit. He was torched for 11 runs on 15 hits over 9 1/3 innings in two starts against the Tigers this season. Detroit's lineup is hitting a combined .289 with a whopping 14 home runs over 266 at bats versus Kluber. Miguel Cabrera has owned him, batting .423 with six home runs and a dozen RBIs in 52 at bats. The Tigers hand the ball to Michael Fulmer, who also comes into this game on top form. Like Kluber, he's struggled in previous starts versus Cleveland. Edwin Encarnacion is 0-for-3 lifetime versus Fulmer, and he's been held without a hit in four of his last five games. The over is 7-2 in Kluber's last nine starts against the Tigers. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-06-17 | Philadelphia Union v. Sporting Kansas City UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 34 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNDER (PHI@KC) Kansas City is by far the top defensive team in MLS, only conceding 13 goals this season in 19 matches. They boast an undefeated (6-0-3) home record, and have only conceded four goals in those nine matches. Philadelphia has just one victory in seven matches on the road, and the Union rank 14th in MLS in scoring. This looks like a tough matchup for a Philly team that has had some recent success against lesser opponents. Kansas City had to settle for a draw in their last home match versus Portland, but with several key players away from the team due to international duties, it should be considered a positive result. Their top three American players will miss this game as well, as the USMNT is playing Mexico in the Gold Cup. Both teams could be content to play for a draw here, and goals may be hard to come by. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
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07-05-17 | White Sox v. A's UNDER 9 | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CWS@OAK to go UNDER the total. Oakland has split the first two games of this home series versus Chicago, but I like the A's in the rubber match with their ace on the mound Wednesday. Sonny Gray will toe the slab for the A's, and he's coming off a solid outing. Gray (3-4, 4.09 ERA) allowed one run on two hits over eight innings in a 3-1 home loss to Atlanta his last time out. His previous start was a win at Chicago, allowing a pair of runs on four hits, striking out seven in seven innings. He's 2-0 with a 2.27 ERA in five starts in day games in 2017. The White Sox hand the ball to Mike Pelfrey, who allowed three runs on four hits over 4 2/3 innings in a 3-0 home loss to Oakland earlier this season. Pelfrey was 0-2 with a 3.65 ERA in two starts against the Athletics last season. Chicago ranks near the bottom of the league, batting just .249 versus right-handed pitching. These two teams had gone under in seven of eight meetings prior to the start of this series. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-03-17 | White Sox v. A's OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CWS@OAK to go OVER the total. The White Sox have won three of four, and they've scored a whopping 18 runs in those wins. They are in Oakland this week, and I expect to see a slugfest in Game 1. Carlos Rodon will toe the slab for the Sox, making just his second start of the season. His season debut was a disaster, as he was unable to throw strikes. He walked six batters, giving up three runs in just five innings. The A's haven't been fooled by the southpaw, batting a combined .293 over 41 at bats against Rodon. Oakland will hand the ball to Jharel Cotton, who shutout the Sox for five innings in a 3-0 win at Chicago his last time out. He hasn't pitched well at home in Oakland, going 2-3 with a 7.09 ERA in six starts. The over is 7-3-1 in the White Sox last 11 when Rodon starts on the road. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-02-17 | Dodgers v. Padres UNDER 8 | Top | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAD@SD to go UNDER the total. The Dodgers have scored 18 runs while blowing out the Padres in back to back wins at PETCO, but I expect to see a pitcher's duel in the series final on Sunday. Jhoulys Chacin will toe the slab for San Diego, and at first glance his record of 6-7 with a 4.76 ERA doesn't look that impressive. He's a different pitcher at home though, going 4-2 with a 1.83 ERA in eight starts so far this season. The Dodgers hand the ball to Kenta Maeda, who has only surrendered a pair of runs his last four appearances. The right-hander allowed two runs (one earned) on three hits, striking out eight in five innings in a win at PETCO earlier this season. The Padres were shutout at home last night, and San Diego ranks dead last in the major in run scored, with an MLB worst .228 team batting average. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-01-17 | Atlanta United v. Columbus Crew OVER 3 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -130 | 83 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@CBJ to go OVER the total. Atlanta is the highest scoring team in the MLS with 33 goals in 17 games. They will play at Columbus on Saturday, and the Crew will look to avenge a 3-1 defeat suffered at Bobby Dodd Stadium two weeks ago. Columbus has conceded an Eastern Conference worst 30 goals, and we should expect a high scoring game here in the rematch. The over is 6-3-1 in Columbus' last 10 overall. The Crew have scored a whopping seven goals in their last two home games, and their last match was a 4-1 win over Montreal. Atlanta has conceded seven goals in their last three road games, and they lost their last match 3-2 at Miami. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
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06-30-17 | BC v. Toronto OVER 50.5 | Top | 28-15 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BC@TOR to go OVER the total. The Lions and the Argos will meet in Toronto Friday, and both teams moved the ball with ease in their season openers. B.C. ended up losing a heartbreaker at home versus Edmonton, as they had no answer for Mike Reilly. The Eskimos QB lit up the Lions secondary for 315 yards and two TDs, completing 71.4 percent of his passes. The B.C. defense will have it's hands full again this week, with veteran Ricky Ray coming off a huge game in Week 1 versus Hamilton. Ray threw for over 500 yards, and completed a whopping 78 percent of his passes. Toronto's defense wasn't tested by the Tiger Cats, but last year the Argos gave up more points than any other team in the league. It's a bit early to assume that they have completely turned things around, and I expect the Lions dynamic offense to score enough points to keep this game interesting. The Lions have gone over in six of their last eight overall. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
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06-27-17 | Braves v. Padres UNDER 8 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 26 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@SD to go UNDER the total. The Padres rank dead last in the major leagues in scoring, as well as team batting average. San Diego will host Atlanta in Game 1 of a three game series Tuesday, and the under is 5-1-2 in Atlanta's last eight overall. Jhoulys Chacin will toe the slab for San Diego, and he's been great at home. The right-hander is 4-1 with a 1.72 ERA in seven starts at PETCO. He allowed a pair of runs on five hits, striking out six in six innings in a loss to the Cubs his last time out. The Braves hand the ball to rookie left-hander Sean Newcomb, who has been brilliant in three starts. He allowed one run on three hits over six innings in a win over the Giants his last time out. The under is 9-2-1 in the Braves last 12 versus a team with a losing record. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-19-17 | Blue Jays v. Rangers OVER 10.5 | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@TEX to go OVER the total.
The Rangers took two of three at home in a weekend series versus the Mariners, and they host the Blue Jays on Monday. These two teams can both pile on the runs, and I expect to see a high scoring game in Texas tonight. Austin Bibens-Dirkx will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's making just his third career start. The 32 year old allowed just one run on three hits, striking out a pair over seven innings in a win at Washington his last time out. He's given up four runs on eight hits and three walks over 7 1/3 innings pitched at home in Texas so far. Toronto will hand the ball to Marco Estrada, who has been clobbered in his last three starts. He's allowed 17 runs on 28 hits over 12 2/3 innings in losses to Tampa Bay, New York and Oakland. He's given up four home runs in his last three starts, and facing a hot Texas lineup on a hot night looks like a tough spot for the veteran. The over is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings in this series, and Texas has gone over in 10 of it's last 14 home games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-18-17 | Red Sox v. Astros OVER 9 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@HOU to go OVER the total. The Red Sox beat the Astros in a 2-1 pitcher's duel at Minute Maid Park in Game 1, but I expect Game 3 to be more of a slugfest. Jesse Schule |
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06-18-17 | Royals v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KC@LAA to go UNDER the total. |
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06-15-17 | Orioles v. White Sox OVER 10.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BAL@CWS to go OVER the total. |
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06-14-17 | Braves v. Nationals UNDER 9 | 13-2 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 26 m | Show | |
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06-11-17 | Tigers v. Red Sox OVER 10.5 | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 16 m | Show |
10* |
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06-10-17 | Blue Jays v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@SEA to go UNDER the total. The Mariners defeated Toronto by a score of 4-2 last night, and these teams have now gone under in six of the last nine meetings. I am expecting another pitcher's duel at Safeco tonight. Ariel Miranda will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's coming off a complete game gem. Miranda (6-2, 3.74 ERA) went the distance, allowing one run on four hits and striking out nine in a home win over Tampa his last time out. He's held opponents to two runs or less in seven of his last eight starts. The Jays hand the ball to Marcus Stroman, who has won six straight starts. He's held opponents to two runs or fewer in all but one of those games. Stroman allowed a pair of runs on eight hits while striking out nine over six innings in a home win over Seattle earlier this season. The under is 6-2-1 in Mariners last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-09-17 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 229 | 116-137 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on GS@CLE to go UNDER. The Cavs played about as well as they possibly can in Game 3, but in the end the Warriors won and covered, taking a commanding 3-0 lead. This sets up Cleveland for a let down (maybe even a lay down) spot at home in Game 4. It's hard to imagine that the Cavs are too motivated to force a 5th game, which would have them travel to Oakland, where they could watch the Warriors celebrate in front of a home crowd. LeBron James scored 39 points and came one assist away from a triple-double in Game 3, but he's traditionally struggled when facing elimination in the Finals. When the Warriors won in Cleveland in 2015, he scored 32 points, but shot just 13-of-33 from the field in the final game of the series. The Previous season, LeBron's Miami Heat lost to the Spurs in five games. LeBron scored 31 points in Game 5, shooting for a lower percentage than any of the previous four games in the series. The Cavs have no answer for Kevin Durant, who leads all scorers averaging 34 points per game in the Finals. I expect Durant to have a big night, helping the Warriors close out a 16-0 post-season with a win tonight.I also like the following props: 4TH quarter total UNDER 55.5 -110 @ Bet365 LeBron James no triple double -215 @ 5Dimes Warriors first to score 30 points -150 @ 5Dimes Kevin Durant to score more points than Curry, James, Irving +220 @ Bet365 LeBron James under 55.5 points + rebounds + assists -135 @ 5Dimes GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-08-17 | Predators v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -127 | 33 h 46 m | Show |
10* |
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06-07-17 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 221 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@CLE to go Under the total.
Game 1 of the NBA Finals fell well short of an inflated total, and the bookmakers adjusted with a much lower number for Game 2. We saw an offensive outburst in the second game of the series, but the end result was the same (a blowout win for the Warriors). Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Cavs will play the Warriors in a rematch of last year's NBA Finals. In fact this is the third straight season that Cleveland will face the Warriors in the Finals, and over the past two seasons they have played 13 NBA Finals matches. Not one of those games saw more than 216 combined points. During the regular season these teams played three times, and went under in all three games. Despite these trends, a matchup between two teams that each ranked in the top five in scoring has the bookmakers opening with another enormous total for Game 1. Both these teams have put up impressive points totals in these playoffs, but they've also been dominant on defense. The Warriors have gone over in six straight, but the total for this game in far higher than it was in any of those previous contests. So far in these playoffs neither the Warriors or the Cavs have truly been in a position where they need to battle for a full 48 minutes. This is the Finals, and the stakes are high. Don't expect to see easy buckets and mental lapses on the defensive side of the ball. LeBron's legacy is at stake here, and while he just passed MJ to become the all time playoff scoring leader, I've been more impressed with his defense so far in this post-season." After a combined 245 points were scored in Game 2, the total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was on Sunday. I think this is another over-correction by the bookmakers. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-03-17 | Rockies v. Padres UNDER 8 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on COL@SD to go UNDER the total. The Padres hand the ball to Jhoulys Chacin, who has been dominant at home. Chacin (4-4, 5.77 ERA) allowed three runs on eight hits, striking out six over 4 1/3 innings in a 5-3 loss at Washington his last time out. He's unbeaten in four home starts, allowing just two runs on 27 innings in four starts. The under is 6-2 in Chatwood's last eight starts versus the Padres. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-03-17 | Real Madrid v. Juventus OVER 2 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 479 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Juventus vs Real Madrid OVER 2 goals.
Juventus defeated Monaco by a score of 2-1, winning 4-1 on Aggraget in their Semifinal tie. Real Madrid lost 2-1 to Atletico, but after winning 3-0 in the first leg, they advanced with a 4-2 Aggraget win. These two teams have met four times since 2013, and both teams have scored in all four of those matches. Three of the four matches saw at least three goals scored. History tells us that we should expect goals in the Champions League Final. Both teams have scored in each of the last six Finals, and we haven't seen the a Final match with less than two goals scored since 2002 when Juventus played Italian league rivals Milan. Juventus has been scoring plenty of goals lately, finding the net 11 times in the last five matches. Real Madrid has played nine straight matches with at least three goals, and they've scored a whopping 16 goals in their last five matches. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-02-17 | White Sox v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-15 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CWS@DET to go UNDER the total.
The White Sox lost three of four in a home series versus Detroit last week, and three of those games went under the total. They play Game 1 of a new series in the Motor City Friday, and I expect a pitcher's duel. Michael Fulmer will toe the slab for Detroit, and he's pitched well at home. Fulmer (5-3, 2.65 ERA) allowed three runs on nine hits over eight innings in a 3-0 loss at Chicago his last time out. He's 2-0 with a 3.24 ERA in four starts at Comerica Park. The White Sox hand the ball to Derek Holland, who has been having a career year. Holland (4-4, 2.37 ERA) allowed one run on seven hits, striking out eight in six innings in a 4-3 loss to Detroit his last time out. Earlier this season he allowed two runs on five hits over six innings in a win at Detroit. The White Sox really struggle against right-handed pitchers, with only one team in the American League (Kansas City) scoring fewer runs against righties. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-01-17 | Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 226.5 | Top | 91-113 | Win | 100 | 149 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@GS to go UNDER the total. Take UNDER. Jesse Schule |
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05-31-17 | Rockies v. Mariners UNDER 8 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 22 h 32 m | Show |
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05-31-17 | Predators v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NAS@PIT to go UNDER the total. |
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05-31-17 | Cubs v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on CHC@SD to go UNDER the total. The Cubs haven't looked great lately, and Jake Arrieta has looked shaky at times this season. A matinee in San Diego looks like a good spot for Arrieta and the Cubs, and I'll take Chicago as the favorite here.
Arrieta (5-4, 4.92 ERA) allowed four runs on five hits, striking out nine in six innings in a 4-0 loss to the Dodgers his last time out. He's owned the Padres, going 2-0 with a 0.64 ERA against them in two starts since 2014. The Padres hand the ball to Luis Perdomo, who has been rather hit or miss. Perdomo (0-2, 5.61 ERA) allowed three runs on six hits and two walks over six innings in a loss at Washington his last time out. He faced the Cubs just once last season, allowing a pair of runs on two hits and two walks in three innings. The Padres team batting average of .221 is the worst in the major leagues. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-26-17 | Cubs v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CHC@LAD to go UNDER the total.
The Dodgers host the defending champion Cubs in Game 1 of a three game set in LA Friday, and we could see a pitcher's duel at Chavez Ravine. Alex Wood will toe the slab for the Dodgers, and here is what I said prior to his last start: "Wood (4-0, 2.27 ERA) tossed six scoreless innings, striking out 10 in a win a Coors Field his last time out. He's 3-0 with a 2.35 ERA in four home starts in 2017, and he's 4-2 with a 2.83 ERA in his last six starts versus the Marlins." The Cubs hand the ball to Jake Arrieta, who tossed a gem in a home win over Milwaukee his last time out. He went five innings, allowing one run on five hits, striking out six. He's faced the Dodgers twice over the last three seasons, and he's owned them in those games. His last start at Dodgers stadium was a complete game shutout. These two teams have failed to reach the total in seven of the last 10 meetings, and tonight's total is higher than in was in any of the last nine meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-25-17 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 216 | Top | 135-102 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@BOS to go UNDER the total . The last time these two teams played in Boston, the total fell short of an inflated number. I cashed in on that game, and here is what I said before tip off: "The Celtics only scored 39 points in the first half of Game 1, and the game ended up going over the total by just one bucket. The bookmakers have set a higher total for Game 2, and I am expecting a more competitive game from Boston. These two teams had gone under in six straight meetings in Boston prior to Game 1. The Cavs aren't expecting much of a challenge here from the Celtics, but their performance in the series opener appeared to be a statement directed toward the Warriors. We could see them take their foot off the gas here in Game 2. Cleveland won Game 1 by a 13 point margin, and the difference was made up at the free throw line. The Cavs attempted a whopping 35 free throws, scoring 28 points. The Celtics attempted just 18 free throws, scoring just 10 points. I would think those numbers would even out a little here in Game 2. There were plenty of "easy buckets" in the last game, and I expect to see Boston play a little harder on defense down the stretch in this game." The situation is a little different here in Game 5, as the Celtics are now facing elimination. The Cavs previously closed out Toronto and Indiana, and both of those elimination games saw fewer than 212 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-24-17 | Manchester United v. Ajax Amsterdam UNDER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Manchester United vs Ajax to go UNDER 2.5 goals.
It's been a fairly successful first season in Manchester for Jose Mourinho, and the Red Devils will hope to add some hardware here in the Europa League Final. They are up against a tough opponent though, and I expect a defensive battle with goals being hard to come by. Ajax was the top defensive team in the Dutch League, allowing a league low 23 goals in 34 matches. Manchester United conceded just 29 goals in 38 matches in the Premier League, and only Tottenham conceded fewer. The Red Devils have gone under in seven of their last eight matches, and they've posted five clean sheets during that span. Both their previous Europa League games went under, defeating Celta Vigo 1-0 in the first leg, and then drawing 1-1 in the second match. Mourinho might be even more conservative in his approach with his leading scorer Zlatan Ibrahimovic sidelined by injury. I wouldn't be surprised to see these teams draw in regulation, settling things with added time or penalties. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-23-17 | Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 216 | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@CLE to go UNDER the total.
After suffering the worst loss in NBA Playoff History in Game 2 at home, the Celtics stunned the Cavs in Cleveland winning Game 3 by a score of 111-108. The Cavs led by 21 points in the third quarter of that game, and it looked like it was going to be another blowout. The Cavs obviously took their foot off the gas, allowing Boston to get back in the game. I seriously doubt we'll see that happen here in Game 4 tonight. We saw how dominant the Cavs can be when they held the Celtics to just 31 points in the first half of Game 2. I expect to see that same defensive intensity here in tonight's game. The Celtics upset victory in Game 3 was a feel good story, and they deserve full credit for showing up to play under tough circumstances. Don't be surprised if they suffer a let down here in tonight's game, as it's doubtful that they continue to shoot the ball so well from beyond the arc. Scoring has been up in these playoffs, and that has bookmakers setting the totals higher and higher. I think the value here in Cleveland tonight is a play on the under. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-23-17 | Penguins v. Senators UNDER 5.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
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05-22-17 | Warriors v. Spurs OVER 216 | 129-115 | Win | 100 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GS@SA to go OVER the total.
Last night we saw the Celtics pull off a stunning upset for the ages in Cleveland. They pushed the tempo, playing fast and making a whopping 18 three-pointers. The pressure is off for both the Spurs and the Warriors now, and I expect to see both teams come out pretty loose in Game 4. The Spurs scored 108 points in Game 3, despite going just 5-of-21 from beyond the arc. They also shot just 60 percent from the free-throw line. I expect improvements in both those categories tonight, and that will help push the total higher. These teams have played a total of six games this season (regular season and playoffs), and five of those went over the total. The Warriors have gone over in six of their last seven road games, while the Spurs have gone over in five straight home games. The Warriors scored 128 points in their series clinching win at Portland, and 121 points in their series clinching win against the Jazz. I expect to see them score 120+ again, closing out the Spurs tonight. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-21-17 | Celtics v. Cavs OVER 213 | Top | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 24 h 60 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on BOS@CLE to go OVER the total. |
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05-19-17 | Marlins v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@LAD to go UNDER the total. The Dodgers really struggle against left-handed pitching, and so do the Marlins. A pair of southpaws are scheduled to start in Game 1 at Dodgers Stadium Friday, and it would be no surprise to see a pitcher's duel. Alex Wood will toe the slab for the Dodgers, and he's dealing of late. Wood (4-0, 2.27 ERA) tossed six scoreless innings, striking out 10 in a win a Coors Field his last time out. He's 3-0 with a 2.35 ERA in four home starts in 2017, and he's 4-2 with a 2.83 ERA in his last six starts versus the Marlins. The Fish hand the ball to Justin Nicolino, who was sharp in his season debut. The 25 year old allowed one run on six hits, fanning five in six innings in a 3-1 win over Atlanta. He makes just his second start of the season tonight, and he should have fond memories of Dodgers Stadium. He allowed just two hits over 7 1/3 scoreless innings, winning his only previous start in LA. The Dodgers have gone under in 21 of their last 31 home games versus a left-handed starter. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-19-17 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 220 | Top | 130-86 | Win | 100 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@BOS to go UNDER the total. The Celtics only scored 39 points in the first half of Game 1, and the game ended up going over the total by just one bucket. The bookmakers have set a higher total for Game 2, and I am expecting a more competitive game from Boston. These two teams had gone under in six straight meetings in Boston prior to Game 1. The Cavs aren't expecting much of a challenge here from the Celtics, but their performance in the series opener appeared to be a statement directed toward the Warriors. We could see them take their foot off the gas here in Game 2. Cleveland won Game 1 by a 13 point margin, and the difference was made up at the free throw line. The Cavs attempted a whopping 35 free throws, scoring 28 points. The Celtics attempted just 18 free throws, scoring just 10 points. I would think those numbers would even out a little here in Game 2. There were plenty of "easy buckets" in the last game, and I expect to see Boston play a little harder on defense down the stretch in this game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-17-17 | Penguins v. Senators UNDER 5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PIT@OTT to go UNDER the total. |
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05-16-17 | Spurs v. Warriors OVER 209.5 | 100-136 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SA@GS to go OVER the total. |
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05-15-17 | Wizards v. Celtics UNDER 211 | Top | 105-115 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WAS@BOS to go UNDER the total.
The Wizards avoided elimination in Game 6 when John Wall hit a three-point shot with just three seconds on the clock to put Washington up by one. It was a clutch shot on a night when neither team shot the ball well, and every bucket was hard earned. Washington shot just 5-of-24 from beyond the arc, and they were just 13-of-21 from the free throw line. I expect to see another tightly contested defensive battle in a winner takes all contest at the Garden on Monday night. Washington really struggled in Game 5 in Boston, shooting just 38.5 percent from the field, and 24.1 percent from beyond the arc. Bradley Beal scored 33 points in Game 6 at home, three more than his combined points in the last two games in Boston. Over the last two seasons, we've seen six NBA playoff series go to a seventh and deciding game, and every one of those games saw fewer than 211 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-15-17 | Rays v. Indians UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TB@CLE to go UNDER the total.
The Cleveland Indians rank 24th in the major leagues in runs scored, and they come into Game 1 of this home series versus Tampa as losers of three of their last four. We could see a pitcher's duel at Progressive Field, with both teams sending their ace to the mound. Chris Archer (3-1, 3.-4 ERA) tossed eight scoreless innings, striking out 11 in a home win over the Royals his last time out. The Indians haven't been able to solve Archer over the year, batting just .228 with 26 strikeouts in 129 at bats against him. Carlos Carrasco will toe the slab for the Tribe, and he's having a fantastic season. Carrasco (4-2, 1.86 ERA) tossed seven scoreless innings, surrendering just three hits and striking out seven in a win at Toronto his last time out. He's owned Tampa, going 2-2 with a 1.65 ERA in six appearances versus the Rays since 2014. The Indians have failed to reach the total in eight straight when Carrasco starts. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-14-17 | Dodgers v. Rockies UNDER 10.5 | Top | 6-9 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAD vs COL to go UNDER the total. The Dodgers beat the Rockies 4-0 at Coors Field last night, and I expect another pitcher's duel in Colorado this afternoon. Antonio Sentzatela will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's pitched well in Colorado. The 22 year old allowed a pair of runs on five hits and three walks over six innings in a home win over the Cubs his last time out. He's 3-1 with a 3.12 ERA in four starts at Coors Field this season. The Dodgers hand the ball to Julio Urias, who has been dealing lately. Urias (0-0, 1.06 ERA) allowed one runs on one hit and two walks over 6 1/3 innings in a 4-3 win over Pittsburgh his last time out. The under is 8-2 in Colorado's last 10 overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-13-17 | Braves v. Marlins OVER 9 | 3-1 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ATL@MIA to go OVER the total. The Braves beat Miami by a score of 8-4 last night, and another slugfest is likely tonight/ Julio Teheran will toe the slab for the Braves, and he's been struggling of late. Teheran (2-3, 4.69 ERA) allowed four runs on nine hits and two walks over just five innings in a home loss to the Cardinals his last time out. He's been hurt by the long ball, giving up five home runs in his last four starts. The Fish will hand the ball to Edinson Volquez, who is really struggling with his command. The veteran has dished out a whopping 20 free passes in his last four starts. He struck out nine batters in just 4 1/3 innings in his last start, but also gave up three runs on three hits and walked eight. The over is 19-5-2 in the last 26 meetings between these two teams. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-11-17 | Spurs v. Rockets OVER 213 | 114-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SA@HOU to go OVER the total.
These teams have gone over in four of the five games so far in this series, and I bet the over in the last two games. Here is what I said prior to Game 4: "The Spurs suffered their worst lost in history in Game 1 of this series versus Houston, but they have responded with back to back wins to take a 2-1 lead heading into Game 4. LaMarcus Aldridge struggled in the series opener, but he was great in Game 3, scoring 26 points with seven rebounds and four blocked shots. These teams played close gamed during the regular season, with three of the four decided by just a two point margin. The bookmakers have made the Rockets a six point favorite on Sunday, and the total is hovering around 212. San Antonio has seized the momentum, and their defense was impressive holding Houston to just 36.4 percent shooting in the last game. The Rockets are likely to be a lot better in tonight's must win game, and that should push the total higher than Game 3. The Spurs have gone over in six of their last seven road games, while Houston has gone over in six of their last eight following a double-digit home loss." I was a little lucky in Game 5, needing the overtime to go over. With Leonard injured, Houston should have little trouble scoring. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in Game 6. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-11-17 | Royals v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on KC@TB to go UNDER the total. |
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05-10-17 | Oilers v. Ducks OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on EDM@ANA to go OVER the total.
After giving up three goals in three minutes and losing by a score of 4-3 in overtime in Game 5, the Oilers blew the doors off in a 7-1 win in Game 6. John Gibson gave up three goals on just six shots, getting pulled just eight minutes into the first period of that game. Five of the six games in this series have gone over the total, and another high scoring game seems likely here in Game 7. The over is 7-3-1 in Edmonton's last 11 road games, and they've scored a whopping 16 goals in their last three games. While we normally expect a conservative approach in an elimination game, I don't think either of these two teams wants to sit back and let the other be the aggressor. Leon Draisaitl scored three goals and two assists in Game 6, and he has nine points in the last four games of this series. Ryan Getzlaf was held off the score sheet in Game 6, but he tallied 10 points in the first five games of this series. Buckle up, Game 7 should be a real barn burner. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-10-17 | Wizards v. Celtics OVER 215 | 101-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WAS@BOS to go OVER the total.
The Wizards shot 52.4 percent from the field, and 42.9 percent from beyond the arc in Game 4, beating the Celtics by a score of 121-102. It was the third time in four games that these two teams went over the total in this series. Both games in Boston went over, and the Wizards led at halftime in each of those contests. The Celtics needed overtime to get past Washington in Game 2, however the two teams had already scored enough points in regulation to push the total over. John Wall went off for 40 points on 16-of-32 shooting in that game, but it wasn't enough as the Celtics won 129-119. Isaiah Thomas struggled in the second half of the last game, but I wouldn't be surprised to see him get his swagger back here at home in Game 5. He was 10-of-23 from beyond the arc in the previous two games in Boston. The over is 5-0-1 in Boston's last six home games, and these two teams have gone over in eight of the last 11 meetings in Boston. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-10-17 | Penguins v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on PIT@WAS to go UNDER the total. |
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05-09-17 | Rockets v. Spurs OVER 214.5 | 107-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-08-17 | Warriors v. Jazz OVER 206 | Top | 121-95 | Win | 100 | 30 h 19 m | Show |
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05-07-17 | Spurs v. Rockets OVER 212 | Top | 104-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
10* |
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05-07-17 | Blues v. Predators UNDER 5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on STL@NAS to go UNDER the total. |
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05-06-17 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | Top | 1-9 | Loss | -102 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
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05-05-17 | Predators v. Blues UNDER 5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NAS@STL to go UNDER the total.
The Blues face elimination in Game 5 on home ice, and I am expecting another tight, defensive battle here. I took the under in Game 3, and this is what I had to say prior to the game: "The Nashville Predators return home with their second round series versus St. Louis deadlocked at 1-1. The Blues won Game 2 by a score of 3-2, and most of the scoring in that game came in the third period. Goals could be hard to come by here in Nashville, as Pekka Rinne leads all goaltenders with a 1.44 GAA and a .949 save percentage in the playoffs. Only one of Nashville's six playoff games has seen more than five goals, and seven of the last 10 meetings in this series has failed to go over the total. Over the years the Blues have a history of playing low scoring games at Bridgestone Arena. The under is 29-7-6 in the last 42 meetings in Nashville. The Predators haven't gone over the total in any of their last five home games. We should see both goaltenders shine here in today's matinee in the Music City." Jake Allen has played well for the Blues, posting a .936 save percentage in the playoffs. Scoring chances should be hard to come by tonight in St. Louis. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-04-17 | Jazz v. Warriors OVER 204.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTAH@GS to go OVER the total. |
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05-04-17 | Senators v. Rangers UNDER 5 | Top | 1-4 | Push | 0 | 18 h 20 m | Show |
10* |
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05-03-17 | Rockets v. Spurs UNDER 216 | Top | 96-121 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@SA to go UNDER the total. |
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05-03-17 | Juventus v. AS Monaco OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Monaco vs Juventus to go OVER the total.
The Series A leaders Juventus will visit Monaco in a Champions League Semi Final match Wednesday, and these teams have contrasting styles. Monaco was the highest scoring team in Europe this season, averaging more than three goals per game. The French side has averaged a goal every 32 minutes at home, and nine of Monaco's last 10 matches have seen at least three goals scored. Juventus has scored at least two goals in five of it's last six matches, but the Italians are known more for their defensive prowess. They have posted clean sheets in seven of their last 10 matches. I expect to see Monaco play an aggressive brand of football here at home, allowing Juventus to take advantage of any mistake with a dangerous counter attack. When all is said and done I expect both teams to score, and we should see an exciting match with at least three total goals. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-02-17 | Jazz v. Warriors OVER 206.5 | 94-106 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UTA@GS to go OVER the total.
The Warriors scored an average of 119 points per game in a four game sweep in their first round series versus Portland. That's well above the 115.9 points per game they averaged while leading the league in scoring during the regular season. The Jazz were the league's top defensive team this year, but they gave up an average of 97.7 points per game in a seven game series versus the Clippers in the first round, slightly more than their regular season average of 96.8 points per game. So much for the traditional logic that scoring goes down in the playoffs. Both these teams have a history of playing high scoring games in the playoffs. The Warriors have gone over in five of their last six Conference Semifinal games, while the over is 6-0-1 in Utah's last seven in the second round of the playoffs. The oddsmakers have set a low number here, and I think the value is on a play on the over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-02-17 | Rays v. Marlins OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TB@MIA to go OVER the total.
The Rays beat the Fish by a score of 4-2 in Game 1 on Monday, but I expect to see more offense in Game 2 here tonight. Alex Cobb will toe the rubber for the Rays, and he's been struggling lately. Cobb (1-2, 4.66 ERA) allowed three runs on eight hits and two walks over five innings in a 5-4 loss at Baltimore his last time out. He had allowed at least four runs in three consecutive starts prior to the loss to the Orioles. The Fish hand the ball to Edinson Volquez, who has been hit hard in previous meetings with Tampa. Volquez (0-3, 4.44 ERA) allowed three runs on six hits and four walks over 5 2/3 innings in a loss to Philly his last time out. He's walked a dozen batters over 13 1/3 innings in his last three starts. The Rays are batting .336 with five home runs in a combined 110 at bats against Volquez. The over is 9-0 in Cobb's last nine road starts. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-02-17 | Senators v. Rangers UNDER 5 | Top | 1-4 | Push | 0 | 20 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OTT@NYR to go under the total.
The Senators won in dramatic fashion in Game 2 in Ottawa, and while the two teams scored a combined 11 goals in that game, they scored just once in the final two periods. Here is what I said before the series started: "The Senators aren't getting a lot of respect here in the post-season, as most people are picking the Rangers to win this second round series. It's tough to bet against Ottawa though, especially considering the play of goaltender Craig Anderson. He had the second best save percentage in the NHL this season, and he's been dominating here in the playoffs. Defenseman Erik Karlsson has also been on top of his game for the Senators, who ranked 22nd in the league in scoring during the regular season. The Sens aren't a flashy team, and they don't have a lot of star power up front. They got this far with solid goaltending and a rock solid blue line. They play a tough, gritty style that just might be effective here against the Rangers. New York had little trouble scoring during the regular season, but they scored just 11 goals on Carey Price in six games in their first round series versus Montreal. The Habs carried the play for most of the series, but struggled to score on Henrik Lundqvist. History suggests that goals will be hard to come by here, as eight of the last 10 meetings between the two teams has gone under the total. The under is 16-6-7 in the last 29 meetings in Ottawa" Take UNDER . GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-01-17 | Pirates v. Reds OVER 8 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
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04-30-17 | Blues v. Predators UNDER 5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on STL@NAS to go UNDER the total. |
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04-30-17 | A's v. Astros UNDER 8 | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OAK@HOU to go UNDER the total.
Houston is in first place in the AL West, three games clear of the Angels. The Astros host Oakland in the final game of a three games series at Minute Maid Park on Sunday, and they will be a big favorite with their ace on the mound. Dallas Keuchel (4-0, 1.22 ERA) went the distance in a 4-2 win at Cleveland his last time out, allowing just a pair of runs on six hits. He's 23-10 with a 2.43 ERA in 43 starts in Houston since 2014, and he's 2-1 with a 1.91 ERA in his last nine starts against the A's. Oakland will hand the ball to Jesse Hahn, who tossed eight scoreless innings in a no decision at LA his last time out. He's really been roughed up in his last two starts at Houston, going 0-2 with a 13.50 ERA. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Houston. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-29-17 | Rangers v. Senators UNDER 5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -117 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYR@OTT to go UNDER the total. |
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04-29-17 | White Sox v. Tigers UNDER 8 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CWS@DET to go UNDER the total. |
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04-27-17 | Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 196 | Top | 92-89 | Win | 100 | 58 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@MIL to go UNDER the total. |
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04-27-17 | Rangers v. Senators UNDER 5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 53 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYR@OTT to go UNDER the total. |
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04-23-17 | Nationals v. Mets UNDER 7 | 6-3 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WAS@NYM to go UNDER the total. |
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04-23-17 | Senators v. Bruins UNDER 5 | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OTT@BOS to go UNDER the total.
The Boston Bruins face elimination at home in Game 6 of this series versus Ottawa, and I am expect scoring chances to be few and far between in this one. Here is what I said prior to Game 3 of this series: "The Boston Bruins return home with this first round series versus Ottawa tied 1-1. Game 3 will be pivotal, and I expect to see both teams clamp down on defense. Craig Anderson has been solid in goal for the Senators, and he had the second best save percentage in the league during the regular season. The Bruins are strong defensively, and they boast the NHL's top penalty killing unit. Boston has failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games, and the under is 12-3-1 in Bruins last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Sens have had success against the Bruins, winning seven of the last eight in this series. Ottawa has gone under in five of it's last six games when coming off a win.' Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-22-17 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 217 | Top | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@POR to go OVER the total. |
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04-22-17 | Canadiens v. Rangers UNDER 5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MTL@NYR to go UNDER the total. The Habs won Game 3 of this series by a score of 3-1, and I bet the under in that game. Here is what I said before the opening faceoff: "The Habs couldn't beat Henrik Lundqvist in Game 1, losing by a score of 2-0. They were 15 seconds away from losing Game 2 by a score of 3-2, but tied the game and went on to win 4-3 in overtime. Carey Price hasn't been at his best so far in this series, but I am still expecting him to steal a game or two for Montreal. These two teams have gone over the total just once in the last 11 meetings at Madison Square Garden. Montreal has played low scoring games on the road, going over the total just three times in their last 19 games away from the Bell Center. The under is 14-4-6 in the last 24 meetings between the two teams" Montreal held the Rangers to just 21 shots on goal, and Carey Price was just two minutes away from a shutout. The Habs lost Game 4 by a score of 2-1, and both of New York's goals came on terrible blunders from Montreal defensemen. The goaltending has been outstanding in this series so far, and it would appear that another low scoring battle is inevitable here in Game 6 at Madison Square Gardens. Take UNDER. Jesse Schule |
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04-21-17 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 197 | Top | 111-106 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAC@UTAH to go UNDER the total. After back to back unders in the first two games in this series, I don't think there's any reason to expect a different result when the series shifts to Utah. Here is what I said prior to Game 2: "The Jazz upset the Clippers in Game 1, holding LA to 95 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Utah led the NBA in opponent's scoring average during the regular season, allowing just 96.8 points per game. Game 1 of this series fell well short of the total, and it was the fourth time in Utah's last five games at LA that the total landed below the number. Utah has also gone under in four of it's last five road games. The Clippers are an above average defensive team, and here in a "must win", they should step up the intensity. DeAndre Jordan ranks third in the NBA averaging three blocks per game, and he blocked three shots in Game 1. Playoff basketball is often a lot more defensive than the style of play seen during the regular season. That is evidenced by the fact that the Jazz have gone under in five straight Conference Quarterfinals games, and LA has failed to reach the total in five of their last seven in the first round of the playoffs." Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-20-17 | Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 197 | Top | 77-104 | Win | 100 | 29 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@MIL to go UNDER the total.
I hit the under in Game 1 of this series, and then I didn't have a bet on Game 2, when the total went way over. Both teams shot close to 50 percent from three-point range in Game 2, well above their season averages. That's unlikely to happen again here in Milwaukee in Game 3. I expect tonight's game to be similar to Game 1, and here is what I had to say before this series started: "The Milwaukee Bucks will face the Raptors in Toronto tonight, and the Bucks lost three of four games in the season series. Three of those four games went under the total, and the Bucks scored an average of just 96.5 points in those games. Milwaukee had a strong second half, and finished ranked top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 versus the Raptors, and four of their last five at Toronto. Scoring normally goes down in the playoffs, and the under is 9-2-2 in Milwaukee's last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Raptors have gone under in six of their last seven Conference Quarterfinals games. Last year in their first round series versus the Pacers, six of seven games failed to reach a total of 200 points" Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-20-17 | Rangers v. Canadiens UNDER 5 | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NYR@MTL to go UNDER the total. The Habs won Game 3 of this series by a score of 3-1, and I bet the under in that game. Here is what I said before the opening faceoff: "The Habs couldn't beat Henrik Lundqvist in Game 1, losing by a score of 2-0. They were 15 seconds away from losing Game 2 by a score of 3-2, but tied the game and went on to win 4-3 in overtime. Carey Price hasn't been at his best so far in this series, but I am still expecting him to steal a game or two for Montreal. These two teams have gone over the total just once in the last 11 meetings at Madison Square Garden. Montreal has played low scoring games on the road, going over the total just three times in their last 19 games away from the Bell Center. The under is 14-4-6 in the last 24 meetings between the two teams" Montreal held the Rangers to just 21 shots on goal, and Carey Price was just two minutes away from a shutout. The Habs lost Game 4 by a score of 2-1, and both of New York's goals came on terrible blunders from Montreal defensemen. The goaltending has been outstanding in this series so far, and it would appear that another low scoring battle is inevitable here in Game 5 at the Bell Center. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-18-17 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 197.5 | Top | 91-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTA@LAC to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-18-17 | Canadiens v. Rangers UNDER 5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MTL@NYR to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-17-17 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ARI@LAD to go UNDER the total.
The D'Backs won by a score of 3-1 at LA on Sunday, and I expect a similar result when Arizona sends lefty Robbie Ray to the mound on Monday. Ray (1-0, 2.19 ERA) struck out eight while giving up just four hits in six scoreless innings in a 4-3 win at San Francisco his last time out. He's pitched well in previous meetings with the Dodgers, going 3-3 with a 2.98 ERA in his last eight starts against them. The Dodgers line is batting just .215 over 93 combined at bats against Ray. The Dodgers hand the ball to Brandon McCarthy, who is off to a good start to the season. McCarthy (2-0, 1.50 ERA) allowed four hits over six scoreless innings in a 2-0 win over the Cubs at Wrigley his last time out. The D'Backs haven't seen much of McCarthy, but they have hit .286 over 28 total at bats. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-17-17 | Grizzlies v. Spurs OVER 188.5 | Top | 82-96 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@SA to go OVER the total. The Spurs put on a defensive clinic in Game 1 of this first round series versus Memphis, holding the Grizzlies to just 39.2 percent shooting in a 111-82 home win. That game still went over the total of 190, and the total for tonight's game is even lower than it was in Game 1. I expect Memphis to battle back here in Game 2, and they should be a little better offensively. The Grizzlies trailed by just three points at the half in Game 1 (52-49). They only managed to score 33 points in the second half, but the Spurs didn't slow down at all. San Antonio hit 10-of-19 three-point attempts, and shot 53.2 percent from the field. While these are two of the top defensive teams in the NBA, the bookmakers may be overcompensating for that with a total that is far lower than it was in any of the five meetings in this series this season. The Spurs have gone over in four of their last five overall, while the Grizzlies have gone under just once in their last five games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-17-17 | Blackhawks v. Predators UNDER 5 | Top | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CHI@NAS to go UNDER the total. The Chicago Blackhawks are on the ropes, heading to the Music City down 0-2 to the Nashville Predators. They haven't scored a goal in the first two games of this series, as Pekka Rinne is coming off back to back shutouts. He's only allowed 14 goals in his last 11 starts, and he's allowed just eight goals in his last six starts in Nashville. The under is 3-0-1 in Predators last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games. Five of the last six games in Nashville have gone under the total. Only one of the Predators last 11 games overall has gone over the total. Chicago has lost six straight overall, and a loss here in Game 3 would be a death sentence for the Hawks. It's a "do or die" situation for the visitors, and in high stakes games like these, scoring chances are normally hard to come by. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-17-17 | Capitals v. Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@WAS to go UNDER the total. The Leafs head back to Toronto with a split in their first round series versus the Washington Capitals. Toronto is a huge underdog in this series, but so far it's been the Leafs that have had Washington on the ropes. Frederik Anderson has been sharp between the pipes, and he stopped 47-of-50 shots in a 4-3 OT win in Game 2. Washington's starting netminder Braden Holtby ranked second in the NHL in GAA during the regular season, and third in save percentage. While we've seen some high scoring games in recent meetings between these two teams, tonight's game is a high stakes affair. The team that loses this pivotal Game 3 will face a real uphill battle, so we can expect both teams to tighten up defensively. The under is 31-15-5 in Capitals last 51 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Leafs have failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |