04-07-17 |
Mariners v. Angels OVER 8.5 |
|
1-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
23 h 43 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on SEA@LAA to go OVER the total.
The Mariners finally got in the win column after dropping their first three games in Houston. They start a new series at LA on Friday, and we should see fireworks in Game 1.
Yovani Gallardo will toe the slab for Seattle, coming off a sub par season in Baltimore in 2016. He was 4-5 with a 6.22 ERA in 13 starts on the road last year. He's been roughed up by the Angels in the past. The Halos are hitting a combined .331 with seven home runs in a total of 138 at bats against him.
The M's have had similar success against veteran right-hander Jesse Chavez. Seattle is hitting a combined .352 with five home runs over 88 at bats against Chavez. The Big Boys (Cruz and Cano) are a combined 16-for-36 with three homers and 11 RBIs against him.
Often pitchers benefit from colder weather in April, but that won't be the case here in Sunny Los Angeles.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-06-17 |
Bucks v. Pacers UNDER 205 |
Top |
89-104 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIL@IND to go UNDER the total.
It's common knowledge that scoring goes down in the NBA Playoffs, due to an increased emphasis on defense in meaningful games. We will see two teams battling to make the playoffs in Indiana tonight when the Pacers host the Bucks. Milwaukee is sitting in fifth place, but is just two games up on the ninth place Pacers. Indiana is tied with Miami for the eighth and final playoff spot in the East, and that makes this game a must win for the Pacers. They are coming off a huge win over Toronto on Tuesday, holding the Raptors to just 39 points in the second half of a 108-90 victory. I expect to see a similar effort here at home tonight. The Bucks have gone under in six of their last eight road games, and 15 of their last 22 overall. Indiana has failed to reach the total in 10 of it's last 14 when coming off a win.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-02-17 |
Cubs v. Cardinals UNDER 7.5 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 59 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on CHC@STL to go UNDER the total. The defending World Series champs will open the season on the road at St. Louis, and we see a pair of aces on the mound on Opening Day. Jon Lester will go for the Cubs, coming off a 19 win season a year ago. His numbers were better at Wrigley than they were on the road, but he was 13-0 with a 2.09 ERA in 18 starts under the lights. He tossed eight scoreless innings allowing just three hits in his only start in St. Louis. The Cardinals will counter with Carlos Martinez, who is coming off back to back impressive spring starts. Martinez tossed five scoreless innings, giving up just three hits in a 6-1 win over Washington on March 22nd. He then gave up a pair of runs on three hits over five innings in a 3-2 win over the Astros in his final start of the spring. The Cards have gone under in seven of his last nine home starts, and they've won in seven of his last nine overall starts. The Under is 12-3 in Lester's last 15 starts on grass. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-29-17 |
Hawks v. 76ers UNDER 208 |
|
99-92 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 34 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on ATL@PHI to go UNDER the total. The Atlanta Hawks finally snapped a seven game losing streak with a 95-91 home win over Phoenix. It was their eighth consecutive game failing to score over 100 points, but they turned up the heat defensively. The Hawks are banged up, missing leading scorer Paul Millsap and forwards Kent Bazemore and Thabo Sefolosha. While they still sit in fifth place in the Eastern Conference standings, eighth place Miami is just two games back. Atlanta can't afford to keep on losing, and I expect them to play inspired basketball coming off last night's win. The total for tonight's game looks a little high, especially considering the last time these two teams met the number was under 200. In fact they have only gone over tonight's number twice in the last 10 meetings. Atlanta has gone under in 15 of it's last 20 overall, and that's a trend that should continue tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-26-17 |
Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 208 |
Top |
94-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 37 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MEM@GS to go Over the total. The Warriors have their mojo back, coming into tonight's home game against the Grizzlies as winners of six straight. They've scored over 110 points in their last five games, but they haven't reached the total in any of their last nine games. Bookmakers have noticed, and the total for tonight's game is much lower than it was in any of the last five meetings in this series. Three of those games went over the total, but both these teams are riding under trends at the moment. Steph Curry has been heating up, hitting 53.2 percent from the field and 48.9 percent from beyond the arc over his last five games. These teams have met twice this season, and both of those games went way over. I expect both teams to go over 100 points here tonight, and it looks like the value lies with a play on over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-24-17 |
Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 203.5 |
Top |
97-100 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 6 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ATL@MIL to go UNDER the total.
The surging Milwaukee Bucks have won 10 of their last 12 overall, climbing all the way to sixth in the Eastern Conference standings. They have been playing great defense during that stretch, holding opponents under 100 points in eight of those 10 wins. They host the 5th place Atlanta Hawks tonight, and they only trail the Hawks by one game. This game is key for both teams, and with massive playoff implications, expect both teams to bring it on defense. The Hawks have lost five straight, and haven't scored more than 100 points in any of those games. Leading scorer Paul Millsap has missed the last three games with a knee injury, and will not play in Milwaukee. Atlanta has failed to reach the total in seven of it's last eight road games, while the Bucks have gone under in four straight at home.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-24-17 |
Nuggets v. Pacers UNDER 220.5 |
Top |
125-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DEN@IND to go UNDER the total.
The Denver Nuggets are one of the league's highest scoring teams, ranking 3rd in the NBA in scoring. Their scoring average is significantly higher at home though, and they face a tough road game tonight in Indiana. The Pacers are a solid 25-10 at home, and they haven't allowed an opponent to score more than 100 points in five straight home games. They sit seventh in the Eastern Conference Standings, and with only 2.5 games separating them from the 8th, 9th and 10th place teams, they need to keep winning games. The Pacers improved defense has caused them to cash in lately for under bettors. They've failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 16 overall, and the under is 6-2 in Pacers last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-24-17 |
Pistons v. Magic UNDER 207 |
Top |
87-115 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 5 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DET@ORL to go UNDER the total.
The Pistons are tied with Chicago, and both teams trail the eighth place Heat for the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. They play on the road at Orlando tonight, and we should see a hard fought battle. Detroit lost to the Bulls by a score of 117-95 on Wednesday, but they had held opponents under 100 points in four straight games prior to that. The Magic really struggle offensively, ranking 29th in the NBA in scoring. The Pistons are one of the league's top defensive teams, and given the high stakes here I expect them to make life very difficult for the home team. The Magic rank dead last in the NBA in three-point shooting, and the Pistons are just slightly better ranking 27th. Only the Miami Heat shoot the ball for a lower percentage from the free throw line than the Pistons, and the Magic aren't much better ranking 27th.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-23-17 |
Grizzlies v. Spurs UNDER 199 |
Top |
90-97 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 23 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MEM@SA to go UNDER the total.
The Spurs host the Grizzlies in a "Grudge Match" in San Antonio tonight, looking to avenge a pair of losses in this series earlier this season. Memphis won at home by a score of 104-96 on Saturday, and the Grizzlies held the Spurs to a season low points total in an 89-74 win at San Antonio in February. These two teams rank 2nd and 3rd in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, and only one of the last seven meetings in this series has seen more than 200 points combined. The total for this game is far higher than it was in nine of the last 10 meetings between the two teams. This game has massive playoff implications, with a possible first round playoff matchup looking likely. The total has gone under in four of the Grizzlies last five visits to San Antonio, and history should repeat itself here tonight.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-19-17 |
Kings v. Spurs UNDER 202.5 |
Top |
102-118 |
Loss |
-103 |
7 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SAC@SA to go UNDER the total.
The Spurs are coming off back to back losses, and they return home to play bottom feeders Sacramento tonight. The Kings have been a good bet when visiting San Antonio in recent seasons, going 6-1 ATS in their last seven. They are going to have their work cut out for them tonight though, with an injury depleted lineup facing the NBA's #2 ranked defense. The Spurs are normally very stingy when coming off a loss, and they've gone under in seven of their last 10 versus losing teams. These teams have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven meetings in this series, and the Kings have gone under in six of their last seven road games. The under is 11-4 in Sacramento's last 15 overall. I expect this game to be a blowout, with the reserves coming off the bench in the fourth quarter. It's going to be difficult for the Kings to contribute enough points to push the total over.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-19-17 |
Pacers v. Raptors UNDER 201.5 |
Top |
91-116 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 49 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on IND@TOR to go UNDER the total.
It's difficult not to notice that teams heading toward the post-season are starting to tighten up defensively. Both the Raptors are the Pacers are jockeying for playoff position in the Eastern Conference, and tonight's game will be meaningful for both teams. Indiana has failed to reach the total in nine of it's last 10 overall. During that span the Pacers have held opponents under 100 points eight times. The Raptors have gone under in seven of their last 10, and their offense has suffered with PG Kyle Lowry out of the lineup. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games. They've gone under in eight of the last 10 meetings, and tonight's total is higher than it was in any of the previous eight meetings between the two teams. The Pacers have gone under in 13 of their last 16 road games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-18-17 |
Wisconsin v. Villanova OVER 128 |
Top |
65-62 |
Loss |
-115 |
15 h 11 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on WISC@VILL to go OVER the total. The Badgers are known for playing lock down defense, but they've given up over 70 points in each of their last two games. They lost to Michigan in the Final of the BIG10 Tournament, and the Wolverines shot out the lights in that game. They hit 56.3 percent from the field and went 10-of-23 from beyond the arc. It was Wisconsin that put on a three-point shooting clinic in their win over Virginia Tech. They made 13 of 31 attempts, and Bronson Koenig led the way with 28 points, and eight made three-pointers. Villanova has also been doing it's fair share of scoring, averaging 78.8 points on 50.2 percent shooting over it's last five games. Both teams have shot the ball extremely well in their previous games at this venue (KeyBank Center) in Buffalo, and I expect to see a fair bit of scoring in Saturday's game. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-18-17 |
Swansea City v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 2.5 |
Top |
0-2 |
Loss |
-130 |
123 h 33 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on Bournemouth vs Swansea to go OVER the total. Swansea is just two points clear of the relegation zone, and three points back of Bournemouth in the Premier League table. The Swans have conceded a Premier League worst 61 goals this season, and Bournemouth hasn't been much better, conceding 54 goals. Swansea has seen at least three goals scored in seven of it's last eight games overall. During that span the Swans have scored 13 goals and conceded 16. These teams have a history of playing high scoring games. In three matches over the last two seasons, the Swans have conceded eight goals, scoring just four of their own. All three games saw at least three goals. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-17-17 |
Raptors v. Pistons UNDER 200.5 |
Top |
87-75 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 52 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TOR@DET to go UNDER the total. The Raptors offense has struggled in the absence of starting PG Kyle Lowry, and they've averaged just 96 points per game over their last six. Four of those games were losses, including a 104-89 loss at Miami on Saturday. That was the last time they played on back to back nights, a situation that has seen them fail to reach the total in four straight. They've also gone under in eight of their last nine when coming off a loss. They will visit Detroit, a team that is battling for the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. The Pistons are level on points with ninth place Miami, and only occupy the eighth spot by virtue of the tie breaker. Chicago is only a game back in 10th place, meaning that this is very much a must win for Detroit. The Pistons have gone under in four straight home games, and they are one of the top defensive teams in the Eastern Conference. I expect a defensive battle here at the Palace tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-15-17 |
Wolves v. Celtics UNDER 211 |
Top |
104-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 32 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIN@BOS to go UNDER the total.
As the playoffs get closer, competitive teams tend to step it up defensively. That's been the case for both the Celtics and the Timberwolves of late. Boston is trying to catch the Cavs for first place in the East, while the Wolves are still 3.5 games back of the eighth place Nuggets in the West. Boston has not gone over the total for 10 straight games, while Minnesota has failed to reach the total in eight of it's last 10. This will be the second meeting between these teams this season. Boston won the first meeting 99-93 at Minnesota. The Celtics last home game was a 100-80 win over the Bulls, holding Chicago to 37.9 percent shooting. The Bulls scored just 26 points in the first half (not quarter) of that game. The under is 13-3-3 in Celtics last 19 overall.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-13-17 |
Bucks v. Grizzlies UNDER 204 |
Top |
93-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
31 h 21 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIL@MEM to go UNDER the total. The Bucks come into Memphis riding a six game winning streak, and they now occupy the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. During this win streak, they've played phenomenal defense, holding opponents under 100 points in five straight games. They don't have much margin for error, with Miami sitting just a game back in the standings. The Grizzlies are likely to play with a ton of desperation here as they look to end a five game losing streak. Even though they've been brutal defensively during their losing streak, Memphis is still the 4th best defensive team in the NBA allowing just over 100 points per game. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in nine of the last 10. The one game that went over, was a 99-90 home win for Memphis. The under is 22-8-1 in Grizzlies last 31 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-11-17 |
Wolves v. Bucks UNDER 202.5 |
Top |
95-102 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 16 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIN@MIL to go UNDER the total. Both the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Milwaukee Bucks are making a push for the post-season. The Bucks have won five straight, and they've held the opposition to an average of 94 points in those games. Minnesota has won four of five, and has held opponents to an average of 91.6 points during that span. They come off a 103-102 home win over the Warriors last night, but they are still 2.5 games back of Denver for the final playoff spot in the West. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in nine of the last 12. The stakes are higher here than they were in any of those previous meetings, and I expect to see both teams play solid defense. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall, and four of their last five at home. They trailed Indiana by five points at halftime last night, but only gave up 35 points to the Pacers in the second half. I expect a similar result here in tonight's game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-11-17 |
West Ham United v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 2.5 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
312 h 59 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on Bournemouth vs West Ham to go OVER the total.
The Bournemouth Cherries host West Ham this Saturday, and they will be without key defender Tyrone Mings, who is serving a suspension for stamping on Zlatan Ibrahimovic in a 1-1 draw at Old Trafford last week. Bournemouth is one of just three teams in the Premier League that have conceded more than 50 goals, and they've given up 11 goals in their last four matches. They've given up seven goals in their last three matches versus West Ham, losing two of those three. The Hammers have scored seven goals in their last four matches, and seven of their last 10 matches have seen at least three goals combined. The Cherries haven't posted a clean sheet in any match in 2017, while the Hammers have conceded goals in six straight matches dating back to January 14th.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-09-17 |
Spurs v. Thunder UNDER 213.5 |
Top |
92-102 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SA@OKC to go UNDER the total.
We all know that scoring drops dramatically in the NBA Playoffs in comparison to the regular season. When two post-season contenders meet late in the season, these games have major playoff implications. That will be the case when the Thunder host the Spurs on Thursday, looking to snap a four game losing streak. The Spurs are certainly taking this game seriously, as evidenced by the fact that they sat their starters in last night's win over Sacramento. That game went over the total, but the Spurs had gone under in seven of their previous eight games. These two teams have failed to reach the total in seven of the last 10 meetings, and of the three games that went over, two of those saw less than 213 points. The total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series. Oklahoma City lost at San Antonio by a score of 108-94 earlier this season, and the Thunder shot just 35.3 percent from the field in that game.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-08-17 |
Clippers v. Wolves UNDER 211.5 |
Top |
91-107 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on LAC@MIN to go UNDER the total.
The Clippers are in Minnesota tonight, and this is a big game for two teams that are trying to improve their playoff position. The Wolves are trying to catch Denver, sitting three and a half games back of the eighth place Nuggets. The Clippers are a game and a half back of the Jazz for fourth place in the West. This is the time of year when we see an increased emphasis on defense, and teams still in the hunt should be battling hard for ever single possession all night. That's resulted in a trend of low scoring games for Minnesota, who have gone under in five of their last six overall. During that span they allowed 100 points only once, in a 142-130 loss at Houston. Previous meetings in this series have trended over, but tonight's total is higher than it was in seven of the last eight. The Clippers lost at home to Minnesota by a score of 104-101 in the last meeting.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-08-17 |
Oklahoma v. TCU UNDER 141.5 |
Top |
63-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 14 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on OKLA@TCU to go UNDER the total.
The Sooners defeated TCU in their final home game by a score of 73-68 on Saturday. The two teams will meet for the third time this season in the BIG12 Tournament on Wednesday. Both previous meetings went under the total, and I expect another defensive battle here in Kansas tonight. The Sooners have made adjustments since losing their leading scorer Jordan Woodard to a season ending injury in early February. In the six games he missed, Oklahoma covered the spread in all of those games. They failed to reach the total in five of the six games, and the under is 5-1 in their last six versus TCU. The Horned Frogs come in as losers of seven straight, and they've failed to cover in seven of their last eight. TCU has averaged just 68.2 points per game on 45 percent shooting over it's last five, and it's going to be tough to create offense against an Oklahoma team that has held opponents to 69.6 points on 41.1 percent shooting over it's last five games. The under is 20-8 in OKLA last 28 neutral site games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-08-17 |
Clemson v. Duke UNDER 147.5 |
Top |
72-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 8 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CLEM@DUKE to go UNDER the total. Clemson will play Duke in the second round of the ACC Tournament this afternoon, and these two teams have a history of playing low scoring games. Duke beat the Tigers at home by a score of 64-62 earlier this season, and seven of the last 10 meetings have failed to reach the total. Of the three games that went over, none of those games more than 145 combined points. Clemson played at the Barclay Center yesterday, beating NC State 75-61. Neither team shot the ball particularly well, and of the six ACC teams that played at the Barclay Center yesterday, five of those teams shot below 43 percent. Duke has gone under in five of it's last six games at a neutral site, while Clemson have failed to reach the total in five straight overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-06-17 |
Chelsea v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on Chelsea vs. West Ham to go OVER the total. Chelsea will play at West Ham Monday, and the Blues are running away with the Premier League title this season. Chelsea comes in as a heavy favorite, but historically they've had trouble with the Hammers. West Ham has scored five goals while going 1-1-1 in the last three meetings between the two teams. The Blues lost their last visit to West Ham by a score of 2-1 back in 2015. Only Liverpool has scored more goals than Chelsea this season, and the Blues have played one fewer game. West Ham has had trouble keeping the ball out of their own net, especially at home where it has conceded a whopping 22 goals in 13 matches. The Hammers have scored five goals in their last three home matches, but they gave up six goals in those games. Five of West Ham's last six games have seen at least three goals scored. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-03-17 |
Cavs v. Hawks UNDER 214 |
Top |
135-130 |
Loss |
-110 |
29 h 29 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CLE@ATL to go UNDER the total. It's that time of year again... the stretch run in the NBA regular season. Teams are jockeying for playoff position, and preparing for the post-season. That means more attention to detail, and a lot more effort on the defensive side of the ball. Historically we know that playoff basketball tends to be significantly lower scoring than the regular season, but I believe that trend starts right now. The Hawks have failed to reach the total in six straight, and eight of their last 10. They host the Cavs, who have gone under in four of their last five. These two teams have trended over in recent meetings (7 of the last 10), but tonight's total is far higher than it was in an of those previous games. In fact, the listed total was under 200 in six of those games, and never higher than 208. The Hawks have more to play for, at home and sitting just 2.5 games out of first in their division. Atlanta ranks in the Top 10 in the league in points allowed, and the bottom 10 in points scored. They've gone under in four of their last five home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-02-17 |
Iowa v. Wisconsin UNDER 143.5 |
Top |
59-57 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 58 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on IOWA@WISC to go UNDER the total.
The Badgers have suffered a late season collapse, losing four of their last five games. Three of those four losses came on the road though, and their last home game was a 71-60 win over Maryland. That game landed right on the total of 131, and they've gone under the total at a rate of 12-4-2 in their last 18 home games. Despite their struggles, the bookmakers have Wisconsin listed as a double digit favorite here at home versus Iowa. I think the only way they can win this game in a blowout is to get back to playing their game, which is slow and ultra defensive. The total for tonight's game is much higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series, and significantly higher than in any of the Badgers last 10 games. Scoring has been an issue for Wisconsin, averaging just 67 points per game on 41 percent shooting over their last five. This is all the more reason why they need to go all out defensively, as they can't rely on out-scoring opponents. The under is 11-4 in Hawkeyes last 15 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-01-17 |
Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 222 |
Top |
99-103 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 25 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CLE@BOS to go UNDER the total. The Celtics host the Cavs Wednesday, and both teams are gearing up for a playoff run. This time of year we see teams step up the intensity on defense, especially in games like this. Boston has lost two of three games since the break, and the Celtics scored an average of less than 100 points in those games. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, especially at The Garden where they've failed to reach the total in the last four meetings. Cleveland won nine of 11 games in February, and they've gone over in five straight road games. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in all five of those games though, and it's far higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series. Boston's leading scorer Isaiah Thomas is ice cold since the All Star break, shooting just 31.4 percent from the field in three games. He's not the only one struggling, Al Horford has totaled 10 points on 5-of-20 shooting the last two games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-28-17 |
Indiana v. Purdue UNDER 152 |
Top |
75-86 |
Loss |
-115 |
17 h 56 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on IND/PUR to go UNDER the total. // */to go UNDER the total. // ]]> The Boilermakers are hosting BIG10 rivals Indiana Tuesday, with a chance to clinch first place in the conference. The Hoosiers are coming off a one-point home win over Northwestern, but had lost five straight before that. One of those losses was a 69-64 home loss to Purdue. The Boilermakers have a history for punishing Indiana at home, winning by double digits in 2015 and 2014. Purdue has been beating up on the opposition at home this season, with a 14-2 home record. They have held visiting teams to an average of just 61.4 points on 37.7 percent shooting in those games. Indiana has struggled on the road, scoring an average of less than 70 points while losing seven of eight. Indiana only scored 63 points in their final home game against Northwestern, and they were outscored (36-27) in the second half of that game. They ended up winning by one-point with a free throw in the final seconds, and I think that sets them up for a let down here against the mighty Purdue Boilermakers. The under is 5-1 in Boilermakers last six games as a favorite, and Indiana has gone under in five of their last six versus ranked teams.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-27-17 |
Heat v. Mavs UNDER 200 |
Top |
89-96 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIA@DAL to go UNDER the total. The Heat have won 16 of their last 18 overall, but they face a tough test on the road in Dallas tonight. Both these teams are battling for a playoff spot, and Dallas has won three of their last four home games. The Mavs rank 4th overall in the NBA allowing just 100 points per game, and they rank 30th in scoring, averaging just 97.8 points per game. Dallas is coming off a 96-83 home win over New Orleans, and they held DeMarcus Cousins to just 12 points in that game. History favors the Heat, who have won four of the last five in this series. All five of those games saw fewer than 200 points scored, and I expect another defensive battle tonight. The under is 7-1-1 in the Mavs last nine games against Eastern Conference teams. Miami has gone under in five of it's last seven against Western Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-27-17 |
Hawks v. Celtics UNDER 213 |
Top |
114-98 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ATL@BOS to go UNDER the total. The Atlanta Hawks have come out of the All Star break in a slump. They lost their last game 108-86 at Orlando, and they've scored an average of 86.6 points per game while losing three straight. It won't get any easier tonight, playing on the road at Boston. The Celtics are 20-8 at home, and the have covered the spread in three straight home meetings with Atlanta. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in four straight meetings. The Celtics have gone under in nine of their last 10 home games when returning from a road trip. The total for tonight's game is higher that it was in each of the last 10 meetings. This time of year, when you have two teams jockeying for playoff position, you expect more emphasis on defense. The Hawks have failed to reach the total in four of their last five road games, and I expect another low scoring game here at the Garden. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-27-17 |
West Virginia v. Baylor UNDER 139 |
Top |
62-71 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on WVU@BAY to go UNDER the total.
The Mountaineers will visit Baylor on Monday, and these two teams rank among the nation's best on defense. West Virginia allowed just 60 points in a road win at TCU in it's last game, while the Bears held Oklahoma to just 54 points while winning their last home game. Baylor is holding the opposition to an average of just 58.9 points on 38 percent shooting this season, and that's a big reason why they've failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 overall. This is the time of year when every basket counts, and teams crank it up on defense. The Mountaineers won their last game at Baylor by a score of 69-58 last March, but I expect a better effort from the home team this time around. The under is 5-0 in Baylor's last five home games, and West Virginia has gone under in two of it's last three road games. The exception being an overtime loss at Kansas.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-27-17 |
North Carolina v. Virginia UNDER 132 |
Top |
43-53 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on UNC@UVA to go UNDER the total.
The Virginia Cavs had lost four straight before busting loose and scoring 70 points in a win at North Carolina State Saturday. They return home to host the red hot UNC Tar Heels, in this season's second meeting between the two teams. North Carolina won at home in the previous meeting, despite scoring a season low 65 points. The Tar Heels might be hard pressed to score that many here in the rematch, as the Cavs have held opponents to just 51.1 points on 36.7 percent shooting at home. The Cavs lost 54-48 in overtime at home to Miami, and lost 65-55 to Duke. They crushed Louisville by a score of 71-55, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home underdog of 0.5-6.5. The Tar Heels have already clinched at least a share of the ACC Title, and even if they lose tonight's game, they can clinch with a win at home versus Duke on Saturday. This looks like a bit of a let down spot for the Tar Heels, and they could also get caught looking ahead to that game against Duke.The under is 20-6 in Cavaliers last 26 games as a home underdog, and 7-1 in Tar Heels last 8 games as a favorite.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-25-17 |
Florida v. Kentucky UNDER 156.5 |
Top |
66-76 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on FLA@UK to go UNDER the total.
The Florida Gators have won nine in a row, and they are tied at the top of the SEC standings with Kentucky. They beat the Wildcats 88-66 at home earlier this month, and I expect a competitive game here in the rematch in Kentucky this afternoon. Both these team are capable of playing shut down defense, and both teams have held the opposition to an average of less than 70 points over their last five games. There two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five meetings, and five straight at Kentucky. In a game of this magnitude, I expect to see hard fought battles for every possession. There won't be many easy buckets to be had here, and I expect to see another relatively low scoring battle. The under is 20-7 in Kentucky's last 27 home games versus ranked teams.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-25-17 |
AFC Bournemouth v. West Bromwich Albion OVER 2.5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
128 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on AFC Bournemouth vs West Brom Over 2.5.
Only Swansea has conceded more goals in the Premier League this season than Bournemouth. The Cherries have conceded five goals in their last two games, but have scored six of their own in those contests. West Brom is coming off a 2-2 draw against West Ham United, and the Albions have tallied six goals in their last four Premier League matches. The Cherries have scored 21 goals and conceded 21 goals in 13 home games. That's an average of more than 3.5 goals per game total. Both these teams are more than capable of creating offense, and neither has had much success defensively. I expect both teams to score here, and we should see at least three goals scored between the two teams.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-24-17 |
Celtics v. Raptors UNDER 215.5 |
|
97-107 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 14 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on BOS@TOR to go UNDER the total.
The Raptors host the Celtics in their first game back after the All Star break, and this is a huge game for both teams. Boston sits four games clear of Toronto in second place in the Eastern Conference, and the Raptors are just half a game up on 5th placed Atlanta. Toronto limped into the break as losers of 11 of their last 15. During that span they failed to score 100 points six times. I would expect both teams to be a little rusty following a week off, and I don't think either team will be giving up any easy buckets. Toronto ranks in the Top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring averaging, allowing just 104.3 points per game. The addition of big man Serge Ibaka at the trade deadline certainly isn't going to hurt. Tonight's total is higher than it was in nine of the last 10 meetings in this series, and four of the last five have gone under. The Raptors have gone under in six of their last eight overall, with the two exceptions coming in games against Western Conference teams.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-15-17 |
Hawks v. Clippers UNDER 213 |
Top |
84-99 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 23 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ATL@LAC to go UNDER the total. The Clippers appear to have their mojo back, coming into tonight's home game versus Atlanta as winners of three straight on the road. They put on a defensive clinic in an 88-72 win at Utah on Monday. Blake Griffin scored 26 points, pulled in 10 rebounds and dished out six assists, and the Clippers held the Jazz to just 32.2 percent shooting. Both the Clippers and the Hawks rank in the top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring, and both teams are coming off impressive defensive performances. Atlanta allowed Portland to score just 97 points in regulation in an overtime win at the Moda Center Monday. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five meetings at Staples Center, and the under is 16-7-1 in Hawks last 24 versus Western Conference teams. This looks like a let down spot for the visitors, and I expect the Clippers to grind out a win at home against Hawks team that is 1-5 ATS in it's last six versus the Pacific Division. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-15-17 |
Blazers v. Jazz UNDER 205 |
Top |
88-111 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 38 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on POR@UTAH to go UNDER the total.
The Utah Jazz are coming off an embarrassing 88-72 home loss to the Clippers. The Portland Trailblazers are coming off a home loss to Atlanta, shooing just 35.9 percent from the field and scoring just 97 points in regulation. The two teams will meet in Utah tonight, and we should expect to see a defensive battle. Utah is a heavy favorite, and the Jazz have a history of locking in defensively off a big home loss. They've gone under in nine of their last 10 following a double digit home loss. The total for tonight's game is far higher than it has been in recent meetings. In fact each of the last 10 meetings in this series saw a number below 200, dating back to 2014. The Jazz will be desperate to end a three game losing streak, and that should mean a heavy emphasis on defense. Two of Portland's last three visits to Utah have failed to go over 200 points, and none of the three went over the total listed for tonight's contest.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-12-17 |
Pelicans v. Kings OVER 210 |
Top |
99-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 57 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NO@SAC to go OVER the total.
The Pelicans are coming off a 122-106 win at Minnesota, and they shot 60 percent from the field in the victory. They play Sunday in Sacramento, and the Kings aren't the best defensive team in the NBA. Sacramento scored 65 points in the second half to come from behind and beat the Hawks 108-107 in overtime on Friday. They've scored an average of 107 points while wining three of five games during their current home stand. These two teams have gone over in three of the last four meetings, and the Kings have gone over in seven straight games coming off a win. The Pelicans have gone over in nine of their last 12 overall, mostly due to the fact that they give up an awful lot of points. Opponents have averaged over 112 points over their last five games.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-05-17 |
Patriots v. Falcons UNDER 59.5 |
Top |
34-28 |
Loss |
-130 |
40 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NE@ATL to go UNDER the total.
When the Falcons played the Packers in the NFC Championship game, we saw the highest total in the history of the NFL Playoffs. We saw a lot less scoring than expected in the first half of that game, but both teams exploded to score 41 combined points in the second half. Here is what I said prior to that game: "In order for both teams to score 30+ points, everything has to go right offensively. There's plenty that can go wrong. An injury to a key offensive player (heaven forbid one of the quarterbacks). We could see several drives cut short by turnovers (fumbles or INTs). Or one or both teams could be heavily penalized. Offensive holding penalties, offensive pass interference, unsportsmanlike conduct etc." The Patriots defense ranks 1st in the NFL in points allowed, so we shouldn't expect Atlanta to score at will the way they did against the Packers. While I expect a high scoring game, this number is so inflated, I believe there's a good chance that these teams come up just a little short of the total.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-31-17 |
Hornets v. Blazers OVER 214 |
|
98-115 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 13 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on CHA@POR to go OVER the total. The Hornets are reeling, coming into Portland off four straight losses. Starting center Cody Zeller has missed all four of those games due to injury, and Charlotte has lost nine of 10 games without Zeller this season. They've struggled on defense in his absence, allowing over 110 points per game during their current losing skid. The Blazers have been a major disappointment this season, but they've won three of their last four, scoring an average of over 113 points in those games. The one loss came by just two points to defending Western Conference champs Golden State. Portland has won five straight home meetings with the Hornets, scoring an average of 115 points in those games. The over is 6-1 in the Blazers last seven versus teams with a losing record. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-31-17 |
Kings v. Rockets OVER 224.5 |
|
83-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 20 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on SAC@HOU to go OVER the total. The Kings came up just short in a 122-119 loss at Philly last night, but DeMarcus Cousins continued his extraordinary play, scoring a whopping 45 points and pulling in 15 rebounds. Cousins scored 35 points in Saturday's win at Charlotte, and that was the second game of a back to back for the Kings. Sacramento has scored an average of 112 points per game over their last five (all on the road). It's going to take plenty of points to keep up with the Rockets in Houston tonight. The Rockets rank 2nd in the NBA averaging over 114 points per game. Houston defeated Sacramento 132-98 at home back in December, and six of the last eight meetings between these two teams have gone over the total. Neither of these two teams are too keen on playing defense, and they should both be content to play a fast pace high scoring game in Houston tonight. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-31-17 |
Devils v. Red Wings UNDER 5 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-101 |
17 h 30 m |
Show
|
10* analysis before game time
|
01-30-17 |
Kings v. 76ers OVER 205 |
|
119-122 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SAC@PHI to go OVER the total.
The Kings have won three of their last four games, scoring an average of over 110 points per game during that span. They are Philly to play the Sixers tonight, and Philly has lost back to back games, giving up over 120 points in each of those losses. The Sixers appear to have cooled off after a 10-3 run prior to Friday's home loss to the Rockets. James Harden went off for 51 points, 13 rebounds and 13 assists in that game. I think we could see another half hearted effort on defense tonight, and DeMarcus Cousins could pile on the points. Cousins scored 35 points in a win at Charlotte Saturday, and he's averaged over 30 points per game in his last five. The Kings have been having their way with opponents from the Eastern Conference, and they've covered the spread in five straight on this road trip. The Sixers have gone over in five straight, and the over is 9-3 in their last 12 when playing the second game of a back to back.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-28-17 |
Kings v. Hornets OVER 209 |
Top |
109-106 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SAC@CHA to go over the total.
The Kings appeared to be well on their way to a third straight victory last night in Indiana, leading by double digits in the fourth quarter. They couldn't hang on though, eventually losing by a score of 115-111 in overtime. They might not have much left in the tank here on their second game of a back to back in Charlotte. The Hornets though have lost three straight, giving up an average of 110 points per game in those losses. This will be their second game in as many nights, and third game in four nights. Recent games between these two teams have been high scoring, the over is 4-1 in the last five head to head meetings. The total for tonight's game is lower than it was in the last two meetings, and I don't expect to see a lot of effort here on defense from two teams that might not make the playoffs. The Hornets have gone over in 13 of their last 17 when playing their second game of a back to back, and the over is 8-3 in their last 11 home games versus the Kings.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-26-17 |
Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 202 |
Top |
88-96 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 17 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on LAL@UTAH to go UNDER the total.
The Jazz are coming off back to back losses, failing to score 100 points in both of those games. They are one of the lowest scoring teams in the NBA, averaging just 99.4 points per game (28th). It has been their defense that has helped them win 16-of-24 at home. They rank #1 in the NBA in points allowed, giving up just 95.5 points per game. They are likely to put even more emphasis on defense tonight, looking to get back on track against a struggling Lakers team. LA has failed to score 100 points in back to back losses at Portland and Dallas. They scored just 73 points, suffering their worst ever loss at Dallas on Sunday (122-73). They've lost seven of the last eight meetings in this series, and they've scored an average of just 82 points while losing their last three visits to Utah. The Jazz have gone under in five straight following a loss, and the under is 11-5-2 in their last 18 home meetings versus the Lakers.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-25-17 |
Knicks v. Mavs UNDER 204.5 |
Top |
95-103 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 41 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYK@DAL to go UNDER the total. The Mavericks are coming off a blowout win over the Lakers, and they've held opponents to fewer than 100 points in four of their last five overall. Dallas only averages 96.6 points per game on offense (30th), but they have been one of the better defensive teams in league, allowing just 100 points per game (4th). They host the New York Knicks tonight, and the Knicks are struggling. New York beat the Mavs at home by a score of 93-77 at home in November, but had lost five straight in this series before that. Three of the last four meetings have gone under the total, and tonight's number is higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. Dallas has gone under in four of it's last five home games, and I expect another low scoring game in Texas tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-25-17 |
Raptors v. Grizzlies UNDER 201 |
Top |
99-101 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TOR@MEM to go UNDER the total. The Raptors came up just short in a 108-106 home loss to San Antonio last night, and they have their work cut out for them on the road at Memphis in the second game of a back to back. The Grizzlies have lost three of their last four, but they will like their chances of getting back on track against a short-handed and tired opponent. Toronto's leading scorer DeMar Derozan didn't play last night, and isn't expected to play in Memphis. The Grizzlies are a tough team to score on at the best of times, ranking third in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing fewer than 100 points per game. Toronto won the last meeting between these two teams in a shootout in Toronto, but they had gone under in five straight meetings prior to that. They've failed to reach the total in 13 of their last 17 trips to Memphis. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-24-17 |
Villanova v. Marquette OVER 152.5 |
Top |
72-74 |
Loss |
-105 |
16 h 8 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on Villanova@Marquette to go OVER the total. The Marquette Golden Eagles have scored at least 80 points in five straight games. Their most recent game was a 102-94 win at Creighton. Earlier this month they gave Villanova a run for their money, losing 93-81 in Philly. The Wildcats will visit the Bradley Center tonight, and Villanova has only lost once this season, losing 66-58 at Butler. Marquette also lost to Butler, but led by a whopping 16 points at halftime in that game. When the Wildcats visited Marquette last year, it was a shootout. Villanova won that game by a score of 89-79, but this year's Marquette team appears to be a lot more talented than it was a year ago. The Eagles are averaging 87.2 points per game on 51.8 percent shooting at home this season, and I think Villanova will have to score plenty of points to avoid another loss. The over is 8-1 in Marquette's last nine games as an underdog, and these teams have gone over in four straight meetings in Milwaukee. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-21-17 |
Ducks v. Wild UNDER 5 |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 19 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on Ducks vs Wild Under. The Mighty Ducks are 8-1-1 in their last 10 games, and during that time they've been rock solid defensively. Only one of those games saw more than five goals, and they held the opposition scoreless three times during that span, and they've conceded more than one goal just once in their last nine games. Starting goaltender Jon Gibson has been standing on his head, with a record of 7-1-1 with a 1.32 GAA and two shutouts in his last nine starts. The Ducks will be in Minnesota tonight, and the Wild are one of the league's toughest home teams. Devan Dubnyk leads the league in GAA and save percentage. He's won 15 of his last 18 starts. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to go over the total in each of the last five head to head meetings. The Ducks have only gone over the total twice in their last 16 games overall.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-21-17 |
Tottenham Hotspur v. Manchester City OVER 2.5 |
Top |
2-2 |
Win
|
100 |
97 h 46 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TOT@MCI to go OVER the total.
Manchester City is coming off a shocking 4-0 loss to Everton, and they now sit 5th in the Premier League standings, 10 points back of league leaders Chelsea. City will try to get back on track at home this Saturday, hosting the second place Spurs. Tottenham comes in as winners of six straight matches, scoring a whopping 19 goals during that span. We should expect plenty of action here at the Etihad, as these teams have combined to score at least three goals in eight of the last 10 meetings. City has won it's last three home matches, scoring six goals in those games. They've gone over 2.5 in each of their last five home games against Spurs.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-07-17 |
Lions v. Seahawks OVER 43.5 |
Top |
6-26 |
Loss |
-108 |
22 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
01-06-17 |
Flames v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-135 |
33 h 14 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CAL@VAN to go UNDER the total. The Canucks have won five straight, and they've held opponents to just seven goals in those games. They haven't gone over five goals in any of their last eight games, and I expect a tight battle here in Vancouver with bitter rivals Calgary in town. The Flames are also playing great, coming in as winners of 10 of their last 14. Brian Elliot has won back the starting job, winning five straight starts, conceding just nine goals in those games. These teams have played twice already this season, and neither game went over five goals. They've scored five goals or less in 10 of the last 11 meetings at Rogers Arena. This game is going to be huge for both these clubs, as they are battling for one of the final playoff spots in the West. Vancouver currently sits on the outside looking in, two points behind LA and three points behind Calgary who currently occupy the wild card spots. The Canucks have failed to go over the total in nine straight games against Pacific Division rivals. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-01-17 |
Packers v. Lions OVER 49.5 |
Top |
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
48 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on GB@DET to go OVER the total. The Lions went into Dallas last week, and got blown out by a team that didn't have anything to play for. They couldn't do anything right on defense, allowing Dak Prescott to throw for 212 yards and three TDs on 15-of-20 passing. The Cowboys also piled up 164 yards on the ground, and Ezekiel Elliot had a pair of rushing TDs. With Darius Slay sidelined by a hamstring injury last week, backup corner Johnson Bademosi wasn't able to do anything to stop Dez Bryant. Slay might be able to play this week, but he's unlikely to be at 100 percent. If he can't go, it's a nightmare matchup for Bademosi facing Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. Green Bay has scored 30 or more points in three straight games, and comes into Detroit as winners of five straight. The Packers success on offense has made everybody forgot about how bad this team was in the first half of the season, and there are still plenty of reasons to be concerned about this defense. Last week they were lit up for 383 yards and three TDs by Sam Bradford. The week before that it was Chicago's backup Matt Barkley throwing for 362 yards and a pair of TDs. Both of these teams are banged up at the running back position, so it figures to be a game where we should see plenty of passing. Three of the last four games between these two teams have gone over the total, and Green Bay has gone over in five of it's last six versus NFC teams. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-31-16 |
Washington v. Alabama OVER 52.5 |
Top |
7-24 |
Loss |
-103 |
19 h 15 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on WAS@BAMA to go OVER the total. The Crimson Tide will be a double digit favorite over Washington in the Peach Bowl, but the Huskies offense might give them some trouble. Alabama has only lost one game in the last two seasons, and that was a 43-37 home loss to Ole Miss last year. Chad Kelly lit them up for 341 passing yards and three TDs in the victory. The Rebels nearly did it again this season, as Kelly threw for a whopping 431 yards and three TDs in a 48-43 home loss. If there's a weakness in the Alabama defense, it's that they've failed to contain elite quarterbacks over the last two seasons. Kelly wasn't the only quarterback to have a big game against Alabama this season, Austin Allen threw for 400 yards and three TDs when Arkansas lost 49-30 at home to Alabama. Jake Browning was one of the nation's top quarterbacks this season, throwing for 3,280 yards with 42 TDs and just seven picks. Given almost a month to prepare for this game, these offensive coordinators should have plenty of tricks up their sleeves. Both these teams have trended toward high scoring games, with the Huskies going over in four of their last five non-conference games. The Tide have gone over nine of their last 11 bowl games, and the over is 19-6-1 in their last 26 neutral site games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-27-16 |
Grizzlies v. Celtics OVER 198.5 |
Top |
103-113 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MEM@BOS to go OVER the total. The Grizzlies are one of the best defensive teams in the league, ranking 2nd in points allowed. Opponents are averaging just 97.7 points per game this season, but Memphis has lost four of it's last six, surrendering well over 100 points in each of it's last two losses. One of those games was a 112-109 home loss to the Celtics just seven days ago. They come into Boston tonight off a 112-102 loss at Orlando last night. Playing their second game of a back to back, the Grizzlies defense might not be at it's best. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in five of the last six meetings. Going back even further, the over is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings, and eight of the last 11 at Boston have gone over the total. The Celtics are hot, winning five of their last six, scoring an average of 108.9 points in those games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-20-16 |
Lakers v. Hornets UNDER 213 |
Top |
113-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the LA Lakers. The Lakers are struggling after starting the season 10-10. They've lost nine of their last 10 overall, and PG DeAngelo Russell is still dealing with a knee injury that will keep him off the floor in Charlotte. The Hornets return home from a five game road trip, and they've won three of their last four at home. They held opponents under 100 points in all three of those wins, and they've held the opposition to an average of just 99 points in their last seven overall. These two teams have failed to reach the total in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. The Hornets have gone under in five of their last seven overall, and 19 of their last 28 when playing on two days rest. The under is 6-2-1 in the Lakers last nine road games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-10-16 |
Wisconsin v. Marquette UNDER 147.5 |
Top |
93-84 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 56 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on WISC@MARQ to go UNDER the total.
The Badgers will play at Marquette Saturday, in the latest edition of this in-state rivalry. Marquette won last year by a score of 57-55 at Madison, while the Badgers won at Milwaukee by a score of 49-38 the previous year. Those are some pretty low scores for college basketball, which makes it surprising that the total for this game is more than 10 points higher than it was in any of the last 10 meetings in this series. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between the two teams, and the Badgers have failed to reach the total in 16 of their last 21 overall. Marquette comes in averaging a whopping 86.7 points per game on better than 50 percent shooting, but they have yet to face a ranked opponent. They scored in average of just 68 points in their two losses (vs Pittsburgh and Michigan). Wisconsin will be by far the best defensive team they've seen this season, as the Badgers are allowing just 59.1 points per game. The Badgers have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven road games versus Marquette.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-08-16 |
Raiders v. Chiefs OVER 45.5 |
Top |
13-21 |
Loss |
-107 |
22 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on OAK@KC to go OVER the total. The Raiders and the Chiefs will play at Arrowhead on Thursday, and the winner will be in the driver's seat in the AFC West. The Chiefs won 26-10 at Oakland earlier this season, but Oakland has since won six straight. The Raiders have scored 30 or more points in five of those six games, and Derek Carr has thrown 12 TD passes and just two picks during that span. The Chiefs have won six of seven since their win at Oakland, but it's worth having a closer look at their recent results. Their home victory over the Jaguars on November 7 was hardly impressive, as they were out-gained 449-231 in total yards, and just barely beat one of the league's worst teams. They followed that up with 20-17 win at Carolina, and they were also out-gained in that game (341-256), and the Panthers somehow managed to blow a 14 point lead in the fourth quarter. After losing at home to the Bucs, they got lucky in another miraculous comeback win at Denver. Then last week they won on a failed two-point conversion attempt returned for two points (29-28) at Atlanta. Their defense has been impressive at times, but the Chiefs rank 29th overall in total defense, and they have been burned for a total of 665 yards passing the last two weeks. The Raiders defense actually ranks worse, and Oakland has gone over the total in six straight, and four of their last five road games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-06-16 |
Knicks v. Heat UNDER 204 |
Top |
114-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 28 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYK@MIA to go UNDER the total. The New York Knicks are just 2-6 on the road this season, and they have failed to cover in nine of the last 10 in this series with the Heat. New York's 15th ranked offense is averaging 5.5 points fewer on the road than it does at home. The Heat are one of the worst offensive teams in the NBA, ranking 28th overall, averaging just 97.1 points per game. Miami's defense though is ranked 6th in the NBA, holding the opposition to an average of 98.8 points per game. The Heat are coming off a 99-92 loss at Portland, failing to reach the total for the fifth time in their last 10 games. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four straight meetings, and tonight's total is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. Putting it in perspective, neither team has scored 100 points in the last four meetings, and the Knicks haven't reached the century mark in any of the previous 10 meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-04-16 |
Panthers v. Seahawks OVER 44 |
Top |
7-40 |
Win
|
100 |
94 h 48 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on CAR@SEA to go OVER the total.
The Panthers are in dead last in the NFC South, and they come into Seattle with one of the league's worst defenses. They are particularly vulnerable against the pass, ranking 27th in the NFL, allowing opponents to average 275 yards per game. Russell Wilson really struggled in Tampa last week, but he had had thrown for over 900 yards with six TDs and no INTs in his previous three games. He threw for 348 yards and three TDs in a win over the Patriots at New England just two weeks ago. These two teams played twice last year, and both those games went over the total. Wilson threw for 366 yards and three TDs on 31-of-48 passing in a 31-24 loss at Carolina in the playoffs. The Panthers have gone over in four of their last five road games, and five straight at Seattle. I think the Seahawks will be forced to throw the ball here in order to take advantage of the Panthers poor secondary, which should result in another high scoring game between these two teams.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-03-16 |
Heat v. Blazers OVER 214 |
Top |
92-99 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on MIA@POR to go OVER the total. Portland is one of the highest scoring teams in the NBA, averaging over 110 points per game. They've scored an average of more than 121 points while winning two of three during this current home stand. They give up an awful lot of points as well, ranking 29th in the NBA allowing opponents to average more than 113 points. The Miami Heat are not known for their offense, but they come into Portland off back to back road wins at Denver and Utah. The Heat shot 51.2 percent in a 111-110 win at Utah on Thursday. These two teams have gone over the total in nine of the last 13 meetings, and the over is 12-1 in Portland's last 13 home games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-03-16 |
Lakers v. Grizzlies UNDER 200.5 |
Top |
100-103 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 39 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on LAL@MEM to go UNDER the total. The Lakers are coming off a 113-80 loss to Toronto last night, shooting just 34.4 percent from the field. Playing on the road on back to back nights against one of the league's best defenses in Memphis tonight, I expect another poor showing offensively for LA. The Grizzlies are coming off a 95-94 win over Orlando, and they've failed to reach 200 points in four straight home games. Injuries to DeAngelo Russell and Nick Young haven't helped the Lakers, and LA has failed to reach the total in five straight. Memphis has it's own injury concerns, as they've been without Mike Conley, Zack Randolph and Vince Carter. The Grizz have gone under in four straight at home versus teams with a losing record, and that's a trend I expect to continue tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-02-16 |
Canadiens v. Sharks UNDER 5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 4 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on MTL@SJS to go UNDER the total.
The Montreal Canadiens have seen the exact same final score in four of their last five games (2-1). They might be expected to play another low scoring game here at the Shark Tank, as San Jose ranks first in the NHL in goals against, allowing opponents to average just 2.1 goals per game. The Sharks starting goaltender Martin Jones has held opponents to one goal or less in four of his last five starts, and he's been spectacular at home, going 7-3 with a 1.61 GAA. Carey Price is widely considered to be the best goaltender in the world, and he's looked the part lately, leading the NHL with a .947 save percentage. These two teams have failed to reach the total in five of the last six meetings, and eight of the last 10. The under is 14-4-6 in the Sharks last 24 home games, and they've gone under in 10 of their last 12 when playing on one day's rest.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-01-16 |
Cowboys v. Vikings OVER 44 |
Top |
17-15 |
Loss |
-102 |
22 h 46 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on DAL@MIN to go OVER the total. The Cowboys have won 10 in a row, but that streak can't last forever. Dallas will lose, it's just a matter of when. There will be plenty of situational handicappers picking Minnesota to record the upset here at home, but I just don't think the Vikes match up well versus Dallas. The Cowboys weakness is that they are vulnerable against the pass, but the Vikings rank 25th in the league in passing. Their running game is even worse, ranking dead last in the NFL rushing. They won't have any choice but to pass, and that could result short possessions, taking little time off the clock and handing the ball right back to the mighty Cowboy's offense. As good as the Vikings defense is, the Vikes have given up 20+ points in five of their last six games. During that span they've only held one team under 100 rushing yards, and that was Detroit. They'll have their hands full tonight against the best offensive line in football, and I can't see them stopping Dallas from piling up the yards and scoring plenty of points. The Cowboys have scored at least 27 points in seven straight games, and not even the Baltimore Ravens #1 ranked defense was able to stop them. I am expecting a shootout in Minny.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-30-16 |
Hawks v. Suns UNDER 209.5 |
Top |
107-109 |
Loss |
-119 |
16 h 53 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on ATL@PHX to go UNDER the total.
The Atlanta Hawks have lost three straight, scoring an average of just 87 points in those losses. They will be a favorite in Phoenix tonight, facing a Suns team that has won just once in it's last five games overall. These two teams have failed to reach the total in five straight meetings dating back to 2014, and tonight's total is significantly higher than it was in any of the last four meetings. The Hawks are one of the league's top defensive teams, holding opponents under 100 points per game on average. The under is 19-7 in their last 26 road games, and they've failed to reach the total in 21 of their last 29 versus Western Conference teams. The Suns have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 versus Eastern Conference teams.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-30-16 |
Lakers v. Bulls UNDER 210 |
Top |
96-90 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 20 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on LAL@CHI to go UNDER the total.
The Lakers will be shorthanded when they face the Bulls in Chicago tonight, already missing starting PG DeAngelo Russell, they could be without Nick Young who suffered a strained Achilles in the loss to New Orleans last night. These teams have gone over the total in each of the last four meetings, but we see a higher total in tonight's game than in any of those previous contests. The Bulls are one of the league's top defensive teams, holding opponents to an average of just 99 points per game. These teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 12 meetings at the United Center, and Chicago has held opponents to an average of 95.8 points while winning four of five home games this season.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-30-16 |
Grizzlies v. Raptors OVER 195 |
Top |
105-120 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 24 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on MEM@TOR to go OVER the total.
The Raptors have scored over 110 points in nine of their last 11 games overall. They scored a whopping 122 points in a blowout win over Philly last night, and they host a banged up Memphis team here tonight. Memphis is already missing Zack Randolph, Mike Conley and Chandler Parsons, and could be without Vince Carter here in Toronto. The Grizzlies have a reputation for being one of the league's toughest defensive teams, but I don't like their chances of slowing down the Raptors with a depleted lineup. The over is 9-2 in Toronto's last 11 overall, and they've gone over in seven of their last 10 home games. These two teams have failed to reach the total in five straight meetings, but two of the last three times they met, the total was over 200.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-30-16 |
Pistons v. Celtics OVER 197.5 |
Top |
121-114 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 47 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on DET@BOS to go OVER the total.
The Pistons will play their second game in as many nights on the road at Boston tonight. They 112 points in an upset win over the Hornets in Charlotte last night, and they were 12-of-28 from three point range in the victory. These teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last four meetings, but the listed total was over 200 in all four of those games. Tonight's number looks a little too low, and I am expecting the Pistons to be competitive, with a little momentum coming off an impressive performance. The Celtics are also coming off an impressive showing, scoring 112 points and hitting 11-of-27 from three-point range at Miami on Monday.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-29-16 |
Rhode Island v. Valparaiso OVER 134 |
Top |
62-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 32 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on URI@VALPO to go OVER the total.
History tells us to expect a low scoring game when Rhode Island faces the Crusaders in Indiana tonight, but this year's Rams team is nothing like the mediocre squads in past seasons. Last year the Crusaders won at home by a score of 58-55. The Rams are 5-1, with their only loss coming in a close game against Duke. They have scored an average of 82.2 points per game, shooting better than 50 percent from the field, and 38.4 percent from beyond the arc. Both teams are hitting better than 70 percent from the charity stripe, but Valparaiso ranks second nationally with an 83.6 free throw percentage. The Rams have gone over in six of their last eight non-conference games, and all but one of their games this season has seen more points than the listed total for tonight's game.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-29-16 |
Sabres v. Senators UNDER 5 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 41 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on BUF@OTT to go UNDER the total.
The Sabres rank dead last in the NHL in scoring averaging just 1.8 goals per game. The Sens aren't much better, ranking 28th in the league in scoring. Both teams though have managed to stay reasonably competitive by playing strong defense. They rank 7th and 8th respectively in goals against. The Sens are coming off an impressive 2-0 shutout win over the Rangers, and Craig Anderson has allowed just two goals in his last three starts. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in eight straight meetings dating back to 2014. The under is 12-2-2 in the Sabres last 16 overall, and 10-0-1 in their last 11 versus a team with a winning record.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-28-16 |
Boise State v. Oregon OVER 136.5 |
Top |
63-68 |
Loss |
-106 |
14 h 48 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on BSU@ORE to go OVER the total.
The Ducks are coming off a 79-69 win over the Connecticut Huskies, and they shot 54.7 percent from the field, and 42.9 percent from beyond the arc in the victory. They host the Boise State Broncos tonight, and I expect to see both teams score their share of points. The Broncos are coming off back to back blowout wins, scoring 90 against Western Michigan, and dropping 82 on Presbyterian. These teams have met twice since 2011, and the home team won each meeting. Last year the Broncos won 74-72 at home, and the Ducks won the previous meeting 79-71 at Eugene. The total for tonight's game looks a little low, especially when you consider that both teams scored over 70 points in each of the previous two meetings. The Ducks have averaged 83.5 point on 46.6 percent shooting at home so far, and they have hit 81.1 percent of their free throws at home.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-28-16 |
Butler v. Utah OVER 142 |
Top |
68-59 |
Loss |
-108 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on BUT@UTAH to go OVER the total.
The Butler Bulldogs are 6-0, coming off an impressive win over #8 ranked Arizona. They face another tough test tonight, taking on the Utes in Utah. Both teams have been scoring a ton of points, and I expect to see a high scoring game here in this one. Utah is averaging 89.5 points per game on 49.6 percent shooting. The Utes have gone over the total in six of their last seven overall, and the over is 10-2 in Utah's last 12 non conference games. The Bulldogs have gone over in five of their last six versus PAC12 teams. Both these teams are shooting a high percentage from beyond the arc, and both teams are hitting better than 70 percent from the charity stripe. Last year Utah scored at least 80 points in each of it's first eight home games. That includes wins over San Diego State and BYU. They over is 5-1 in Utah's last six home games.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-28-16 |
Jazz v. Wolves UNDER 196 |
Top |
112-103 |
Loss |
-117 |
15 h 59 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on UTAH@MIN to go UNDER the total.
The Jazz are the top defensive team in the NBA, holding opponents to an average of just 92.8 points per game. They are coming off their most impressive victory of the season, holding the Hawks to just 68 points in a 95-68 home win on Friday. They are in Minnesota tonight, and the T-Wolves have lost four of their last five. Minnesota ranks 19th in the NBA scoring an average of 103.1 points per game, but has been held to less than 100 points in four of it's last five games. These two teams have gone under in three of the last four meetings, and the one game that went over saw just 193 total points. This is a big game for the Jazz, who sit just a half game back of Oklahoma City in the Northwest Division standings. Minnesota sits dead last in the division, and the T-Wolves have gone under in seven straight versus Northwest Division teams.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-28-16 |
Minnesota v. Florida State UNDER 155.5 |
Top |
67-75 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MINN@FSU to go UNDER the total.
The Gophers are 6-0, and they come into Tallahassee averaging over 80 points per game so far. This will be their first game against a ranked opponent, and I don't like their chances of scoring 80 here against the Seminoles. Florida State is 5-1 overall, and 4-0 at home. These two teams have met four times since 2007, and they failed to reach the total in three of those four contests. Tonight's total is 10 points higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. Minnesota has failed to reach the total in five of it's last seven non conference games, while Florida State has gone under in four of it's last five versus BIG10 teams. After suffering their first loss of the season to Temple on Thanksgiving, the Seminoles tightened things up in a 72-61 win over Illinois Friday. I expect to see a similar score here against the Gophers tonight.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-26-16 |
Denver v. Eastern Washington OVER 152.5 |
Top |
80-85 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 22 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DEN@EWU to go OVER the total.
The Denver Pioneers come into Saturday's game at Eastern Washington as one of the top shooting teams in the country, hitting 53.8 percent from the field in three games this season. That hasn't translated into wins though, because the Pioneers are brutal on defense, allowing opponents to average 83 points per game. The Eagles aren't much better, with an opponent's scoring average of over 81 points per game. Both these teams like to shoot a lot of three pointers, and neither team has been particularly effective defending the perimeter. The Eagles are hitting 83.1 percent from the charity stripe, and that could be huge here against a Denver team that has seen opponents take an average of 30 free throws per game. Denver has seen the total go over in six of it's last seven against teams from the Big Sky Conference, and this has all the signs of another barn burner.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-26-16 |
Michigan State v. Penn State UNDER 54.5 |
Top |
12-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
107 h 49 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MSU@PSU to go UNDER the total.
The Spartans are a lot better than their 3-8 record, and they proved that by nearly upsetting the Buckeyes at home last week. Four of their eight losses have come by four points or less, and they've played far better defensively in recent weeks. Running back L.J. Scott has carried the offense, running for 282 yards and two TDs on 39 carries the last two weeks. We could see both teams lean on the run this week when they play at Penn State. The weather forecast is calling for wind and freezing cold temperatures, similar to last week's game versus the Buckeyes. The Stakes couldn't be any higher for the Nittany Lions, who can clinch a spot in the BIG10 Championship game with a win, and a Michigan loss to Ohio State. Penn State's defense has surrendered just 14 points in it's last two home games, and they've held the Spartans to less than 20 points in three of the last five head to head meetings. Previous meetings have gone over the total at a rate of 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings between these two teams, but the number in this game is far higher than it was in any of the last seven meetings. I expect a close, low scoring game in bad weather this weekend.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-26-16 |
Michigan v. Ohio State UNDER 48.5 |
Top |
27-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
103 h 23 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MICH@OSU to go UNDER the total.
The Buckeyes just narrowly escaped with a 17-16 win on the road at East Lansing last week, and they will face another tough test at home versus Michigan in Week 13. There's a lot on the line here, as the loser is likely going to be eliminated from the playoffs. Michigan bounced back from a 14-13 loss at Iowa to beat Indiana by a score of 20-10 last week. The Wolverines offense is still sputtering though, and backup quarterback John O'korn three for just 59 yards on 7-of-16 passing in his first start since Wilton Speight went down with a broken collar bone. J.T. Barrett didn't have a great day either, throwing for just 86 yards and a TD on 10-of-22 passing. Both coaches will say that the weather was to blame for last week's poor performance on offense, but in a high stakes game in Columbus in late November, defense should reign supreme. These two teams rank 1st and 3rd respectively in total defense, and the weather man is calling for another cold and windy day in Ohio.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-24-16 |
LSU v. Texas A&M UNDER 48 |
Top |
54-39 |
Loss |
-115 |
13 h 0 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on LSU@TAM to go UNDER the total.
The Tigers are coming off an ugly 16-10 home loss to Florida, and they come into College Station asked to cover a big spread as a road favorite. That's going to be challenging without leading rusher Leonard Fournette, and I expect the Aggies to keep this game close. Texas A&M has lost two of four since Trevor Knight went down with a season ending injury, but those losses came in games decided by a combined total of eight points. Backup quarterback Jake Hunenak has thrown for 811 yards with six TDs and just two INTs on 59.8 percent passing so far, but he has his work cut out for him against this tough LSU secondary. The Tigers have won four straight in this series dating back to 2012, and all four of those games went under the total. Their two wins at College Station each came by less than seven points. LSU has played three games away from home, losing two of those three and scoring less than 20 points in each of those losses. Last week's home loss to Florida was particularly deflating, getting stuffed on the goal line twice at the end of the game. LSU has gone under in nine of it's last 10 games in the month of November.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-24-16 |
Redskins v. Cowboys OVER 51 |
Top |
26-31 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 59 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on WAS@DAL to go OVER the total.
The Cowboys have now won nine straight, and they've been unstoppable on offense during that span. They rank 3rd in the league in scoring, averaging over 28 points per game. They've scored at least 27 points in six straight games, and that trend should continue here at home against the Redskins #22 ranked defense. They'll likely need to score plenty to beat the Redskins, who are one of the leagues highest scoring teams. Kirk Cousins ranks 3rd in the league in passing, and he should be primed to put up big numbers against an injury depleted Dallas secondary. Jordan Reed is a matchup nightmare, and the Washington TE caught five passes for 70 yards in a 27-23 home loss to Dallas earlier in the year. Cousins has been playing far better since that game, and he's got plenty of weapons with DeSean Jackson back and healthy, Jamison Crowder and Pierre Garcon. These two teams have gone over the total in three of the last four head to head meetings, and Washington has gone over in eight of it's last 10 overall.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-19-16 |
Oklahoma v. West Virginia UNDER 67 |
Top |
56-28 |
Loss |
-115 |
83 h 38 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on OKLA@WVU to go UNDER the total.
The 8-1 Mountaineers aren't getting much respect from bookmakers this week, listed as a home underdog to the 8-2 Oklahoma Sooners. Everybody loves Oklahoma's offense, and we've seen quarterback Baker Mayfield put up some impressive numbers. He threw for 545 yards and seven TDs against Texas Tech, and he had big games against Texas, Iowa State, TCU and Baylor. None of those teams can play defense like West Virginia. The Mountaineers have shut down a few high powered offenses already this year, holding the likes of TCU, Texas Tech and Texas under 21 points. West Virginia might want to focus on running the ball here at home, especially after Skyler Howard was picked off three times last week against Texas. The weather forecast in Morgantown is calling for a 90% chance of rain, as well as high winds. The Sooners have failed to reach the total in five straight, while West Virginia has gone under in five of it's last six overall. This total appears to be a little inflated, especially given the bad weather.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-19-16 |
Devils v. Kings UNDER 5 |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-132 |
15 h 45 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NJD@LAK to go UNDER the total.
The Devils are a team that is short on offense, and an injury to leading scorer Taylor Hall doesn't help. Hall leads the team with five goals and 12 points in 14 games, and he's expected to miss 3-4 weeks due to a knee injury. The good news for the Devils is that Corey Schneider has been standing on his head, and New Jersey ranks #1 overall in the NHL in goals against. We should expect a defensive hockey game here in a matinee in Los Angeles, as the Kings rank 22nd in the league in goals scored, and they own one of the NHL's worst power play units. With starting goalie Jonathan Quick injured earlier in the season, it looked like the Kings could be in trouble. Veteran Peter Budaj has stepped up, going 8-6-1 with a 2.12 GAA. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in eight of the last 10 meetings. The Devils have only gone over the total once in their last 13 road games, while the Kings have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven home games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-16-16 |
Coyotes v. Flames UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 38 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ARI@CAL to go UNDER the total.
The Flames are coming off an impressive 1-0 win on the road at Minnesota, and they are back home to host Arizona in their second game of a back to back. The Coyotes are coming off back to back home losses to Boston and Winnipeg, scoring just three goals in those games. We might not see a lot of offense here in Cow Town tonight, as these are two of the least talented teams in the league. Calgary ranks 25th in the league in scoring, and they have one of the league's worst power play percentages (10.2 %). The Yotes aren't much better, ranking 24th in the NHL converting on just 11.9 percent of their power play chances. The status of Calgary's leading scorer Johnny Gaudreau is up in the air after he sat out the third period of last night's game. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in six of the last seven meetings. Calgary has gone under in five of it's last six overall, and four straight when playing on back to back nights.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-06-16 |
Broncos v. Raiders OVER 43.5 |
Top |
20-30 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 39 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DEN@OAK to go OVER the total.
The defending Super Bowl champs are tied with Oakland in the AFC West with both teams at 6-2 after eight games. The Raiders host Denver on Sunday night, and the total looks a little low considering how potent Oakland's offense has been. Derek Carr is having an MVP caliber season, throwing for 2,321 yards with 17 TDs and just three INTs so far. He threw for a whopping 513 yards and four TDs on 40-of-59 passing in a win over Tampa last week. Surely he will have a tougher time against Denver's defense, but I like his chances of putting enough points on the board to push this total over. While Oakland is a team that has a pass happy offense, the Broncos normally try to establish the run. They were a little more pass happy last week, with Trevor Siemian attempting 38 passes in comparison to just 25 running plays. Injuries in the secondary, and a depleted backfield for Denver should also contribute to a potential higher scoring game. The Raiders have been trending over at home, reaching the total in nine of their last 12 in Oakland.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-30-16 |
Cardinals v. Panthers UNDER 47 |
Top |
20-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 22 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ARI@CAR to go UNDER the total.
The Cardinals offense led the league in total yards last season, but Arizona has struggled to score in 2016. Carson Palmer threw for 342 yards on 29-of-49 passing in a 6-6 tie versus Seattle last week. He's been picked off five times, and has thrown just two TD passes in his last four starts. He's facing a Panthers secondary that has really struggled since Josh Norman left for Washington. Carolina couldn't stop Drew Brees in a 41-38 loss at New Orleans two weeks ago. Brees lit them up for 465 yards and four TDs. I would expect this defense to be better here at home coming off a bye week, and they did hold the Bucs to just 17 points in their last home game. Arizona has played very well defensively this season, ranking 5th in the NFL allowing just over 15 points per game. These two teams have gone over the total in three of four meetings since 2011, but the total for this Sunday's game is higher than it was in any of those previous contests. The Cardinals have gone under in 11 of their last 15 overall, and four straight on the road.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-29-16 |
Stanford v. Arizona UNDER 50.5 |
Top |
34-10 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on STAN@ARI to go UNDER the total.
Stanford has lost three of it's last four games, and has scored an average of just 11 points per game during that span. Ryan Burns is really struggling at quarterback for the Cardinal, and he's thrown five INTs and just one TD pass in his last three starts. Christian McCaffrey has been banged up, failing to run for 100 yards in each of his last three starts. He wasn't able to play in Stanford's 17-10 win at Notre Dame. The good news for the Cardinal is their defense has played well, holding Colorado to 10 points last week, and Notre Dame to 10 point the week earlier. Arizona has lost four straight, and it's offense only managed 14 points in a home loss to USC last week. Stanford's defense should make life difficult for the Wildcats, and I think we'll see another low scoring game here in Arizona. The Cardinal have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven overall.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-27-16 |
Jaguars v. Titans OVER 43 |
|
22-36 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 3 m |
Show
|
This is a 6* play on JAX@TEN to go OVER the total.
The Jags will visit the Titans Thursday night, and neither of these two teams have been able to stop anybody in recent weeks. The Titans have given up 60 points in their last two games (a home win over Cleveland and a loss at home last week versus the Colts). Quarterback Marcus Mariota has been putting up decent numbers after a slow start, he's thrown eight TD passes and just one pick in his last three starts. He's going up a Jacksonville defense that ranks 26th in the league allowing over 26 points per game. Last week the Jags limited Derek Carr to 200 yards and a TD on 23-of-37 passing, but they still gave up 33 points at home losing to the Raiders. When these two teams met in Tennessee last season, Blake Bortles threw for 322 yards and five TDs in a losing effort. The Titans have reached the total in six of their last seven home games, while the Jags have gone over in nine of their last 12 when coming off a loss.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-20-16 |
BYU v. Boise State UNDER 57.5 |
|
27-28 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 40 m |
Show
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This is a 2-team (7.5 point) teaser with BYU+UNDER.
The BYU Cougars come into Boise State riding a three game winning streak, and their overall record of 4-3 is quite impressive when you look at their schedule. Losses to #12 ranked West Virginia and #18 ranked Utah came by a combined eight points, and they lost at home to UCLA by a score of 17-14. Their defense has allowed 21 points or less in five of seven games. The Broncos defense ranks 23rd nationally, allowing less than 20 points per game. Those numbers are little skewed though, considering their soft schedule.
Both teams have relied heavily on a power running game in recent weeks. Boise State running back Jeremy McNichols ran for 217 yards and a pair of TDs last week, carrying the ball a season high 40 times. Jamaal Williams ran for 286 yards and five TDs in BYU's win over Toledo a few weeks ago. I expect both teams to try to establish the run here on Thursday, and the result should be a close low scoring game. BYU has covered the spread in four of the last five meetings in this series, and Boise State has failed to reach the total in nine of it's last 10 home games.
Take BYU+UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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10-15-16 |
West Virginia v. Texas Tech UNDER 84 |
|
48-17 |
Win
|
100 |
111 h 5 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on WVU@TTU to go UNDER the total.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders are an offensive juggernaut, but they could be slowed by the undefeated West Virginia Mountaineers this week. West Virginia held Kansas State to just 16 points last week, and the Mountaineers rank 15th nationally in passing defense. They've allowed just four passing TDs, while picking off opposing quarterbacks five times. That's not good news for the nation's leading passer Patrick Mahomes, who is dealing with a shoulder injury. He threw for at least 300 yards 10 times last season, but was held to a season low 196 yards with three TDs and one INT on 21-of-34 passing in a 31-26 loss to West Virginia. The total for this week's game is astronomically high, in fact it's far higher than it was in any of the previous four meetings. Only one of those four games went over the total, when Texas Tech won 37-27 at West Virginia in 2013. That still falls well short of the number these teams are being asked to reach here in this game. I expect the Mountaineers defense to make enough stops to keep this game from reaching this inflated number.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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10-10-16 |
Calgary v. Toronto UNDER 54 |
|
48-20 |
Loss |
-106 |
170 h 24 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on CAL@TOR to go UNDER the total.
The Stampeders come into Toronto Saturday as a double digit favorite, with the CFL's best record at 12-1-1. They boast the league's top ranked defense, and they held the Ticats to just 17 points in a win at Hamilton last week. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, and they failed to reach the total in both meetings last year. The under is 21-8-3 in Calgary's last 32 road games, while the Argos have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven versus teams with a winning record. The Argos are struggling, especially offensively as they've scored a total of just 23 points in their last two games. Toronto's quarterback Drew Willy has thrown twice as many INTs (4) as he has TDs (2) in his last four starts. The Argos will be thin at wide receiver, after releasing three of their top wideouts during the week. Calgary won 27-15 at Toronto last year, and I expect a similar result here this week.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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10-08-16 |
Alabama v. Arkansas OVER 48.5 |
Top |
49-30 |
Win
|
100 |
78 h 8 m |
Show
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10-08-16 |
Auburn v. Mississippi State UNDER 54.5 |
Top |
38-14 |
Win
|
100 |
71 h 5 m |
Show
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|
10-06-16 |
Cardinals v. 49ers UNDER 43.5 |
Top |
33-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
54 h 37 m |
Show
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This is a 2-team (7.5 point) tease W/49ers+Under.
San Francisco is coming off a home loss to Dallas on Sunday, and they only managed to accumulate 295 total yards in that game. Blaine Gabbert is putting up pedestrian numbers at quarterback, with as many picks (4) as touchdowns in the first four weeks. Even in a Week 1 win over the Rams, he threw for just 170 yards and a TD. The good news is that the defense has looked pretty solid, and they should be able to hang in there against a struggling Cardinals offense with backup quarterback Drew Stanton getting the start. Stanton was picked off twice, completing just 4-of-11 attempts for 37 yards after replacing the injured Carson Palmer in last week's loss to the Rams. He started eight games for the Cardinals two seasons ago, and won five of those starts. The Cardinals failed to score 20 points in six of those eight games though, and seven of those contests failed to reach the total. Three of the last four meetings in this series have failed to reach the total, and only one of those four games was decided by a double digit margin.
Take SF+UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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10-02-16 |
Cowboys v. 49ers UNDER 46 |
Top |
24-17 |
Win
|
100 |
146 h 39 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on DAL@SF to go UNDER the total.
The 49ers defense pitched a shutout in a home win over the Rams in Week 1, but they were blown out on the road in each of their next two games. I expect a better showing from San Francisco here at home versus Dallas, and with both teams likely to lean on the run, it could be a low scoring battle. Ezekiel Elliot ran for 140 yards on 30 carries in a win over the Bears last week. Carlos Hyde had a big game for San Francisco, running for 103 yards and two TDs on 21 carries in the loss to Seattle. San Francisco's passing game has been futile, with Blaine Gabbert who threw for just 119 yards last week. The Cowboys will be without their top wide receiver as Dez Bryant is sidelined by an injury. San Francisco has gone under in seven straight home games versus teams above .500. The Cowboys have gone under in six of their last seven games played on grass.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-02-16 |
Raiders v. Ravens UNDER 46.5 |
Top |
28-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
148 h 59 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on OAK@BAL to go UNDER the total.
The Raiders defense couldn't stop anybody in the first two weeks, but they are coming off a solid 17-10 road win at Tennessee. They limited Marcus Mariota to 214 yards with no TDs and two INTs on 17-of-33 passing. They will try to do it again on the road at Baltimore, and the Ravens offense hasn't exactly been lighting up the scoreboard. Baltimore ranks 24th in the NFL, averaging just 19 points per game. Last week Joe Flacco really struggled, throwing for 214 yards on 21-of-40 passing, with no TDs and a pair of INTs.The Ravens though have won three straight to start the season, behind the league's 4th ranked defense. The Ravens have failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games, and six of their last seven on field turf. Derek Carr had a career best 351 passing yards against this Baltimore secondary last year, but I don't like his chances of a repeat performance here on the road Sunday.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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10-02-16 |
Colts v. Jaguars UNDER 49.5 |
Top |
27-30 |
Loss |
-105 |
144 h 30 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on IND@JAX to go UNDER the total.
The Colts defense got the job done at home versus San Diego last week, holding the Chargers to just one offensive touchdown. Andrew Luck threw for 331 yards with one TD and an INT in the 26-22 victory. Indianapolis will face the winless Jaguars in London, and this looks like a tough spot for a banged up Andrew Luck. The Jags defense was great last week, limiting Joe Flacco to 214 yards on 21-of-40 passing, with no TDs and a pair of INTs. They also did a good job defending the run, holding the Ravens to 84 yards and a TD on 22 carries. Blake Bortles made a ton of mistakes though, and that cost Jacksonville in a 19-17 loss. Bortles had one of his best games last season in a win over the Colts, throwing for 250 yards and three TDs. That game went over the total, but these teams have failed to reach the total in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings. The total here looks a little high, given both team's struggles on offense.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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10-01-16 |
Arizona v. UCLA UNDER 59 |
Top |
24-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
119 h 13 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on ARI@UCLA to go UNDER the total.
The UCLA Bruins are coming off a tough home loss to Stanford, but once against their defense was extremely impressive. The Bruins made Christian McCaffrey look human, limiting him to 138 yards on 26 carries, keeping him out of the endzone. Stanford was held to just three field goals, before Ryan Burns completed a game winning drive with a TD pass to J.J. Arcega-Whiteside with 24 seconds left in the game.
Previously, the Bruins held the Aggies to just 24 points in regulation in an overtime loss at College Station, and they held the BYU Cougars to just 14 points in a win in Provo. While the defense looks great, there isn't a lot to get excited about on offense. Josh Rosen looks nothing like the Heisman candidate he was supposed to be.
Arizona's defense has also been impressive, and these two teams have a history of playing low scoring games. Four of the last five meetings in California have failed to reach 50 points. The total for this Saturday's game is closer to 60. The Bruins have failed to reach the total in 11 of their last 14 home games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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10-01-16 |
A's v. Mariners UNDER 8 |
Top |
9-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on OAK@SEA to go UNDER the total.
The Mariners will probably need to sweep this series to have any chance of clinching a Wild Card spot, and they've done well so far winning the first two games at home. Both those games went under the total, and I expect another pitcher's duel in Game 3.
Hisashi Iwakuma will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's been dealing. The right-hander allowed just one run on four hits over six innings in a 4-3 win at Houston his last time out. He's 4-0 with a 3.12 ERA in four starts versus Oakland this season.
The A's hand the ball to rookie right-hander Jharel Cotton, who has an impressive 1.44 ERA, and .159 opponent's batting average. He limited the hot hitting Texas Rangers to just one run on three hits over seven innings in his last start.
These two teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight meetings at Safeco.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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10-01-16 |
Calgary v. Hamilton UNDER 54.5 |
Top |
36-17 |
Win
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100 |
3 h 1 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on CAL@HAM to go UNDER the total.
The Calgary Stampeders lead the CFL in scoring defense, as the only team in the West to allow less than 300 total points. That hasn't stopped them from going over the total in each of their last four games, but I expect a different story here in Hamilton on Saturday. They have a long history of playing low scoring games versus the Ticats, failing to reach the total in eight straight meetings dating back to 2012. Hamilton's offense has been out of sync lately, averaging fewer than 20 points per game over their last three. The under is 20-8-3 in Calgary's last 31 road games, while the Ticats have failed to reach the total in 43 of their last 63 home games. The under trend in head to head meetings goes way back, with 20 of the last 28 failing to reach the total.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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09-29-16 |
Reds v. Cardinals UNDER 8 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on CIN@STL to go UNDER the total.
After scoring 34 runs in the first two game of this series at Busch Stadium, we saw a pitcher's duel in Game 3. The Reds hung on to win by a score of 2-1, and I expect another low scoring battle here in the finale.
Dan Straily will toe the rubber for the Reds, and he's been dealing. Straily (14-8, 3.74 ERA) allowed one run on five hits over 6 1/3 innings in a 6-1 win over Milwaukee his last time out. The Reds have won eight of his last 10 starts, and he's 10-2 with a 3.00 ERA since the All Star break.
The Cardinals hand the ball to Alex Reyes, who has won three straight. He's only given up one run in 12 1/3 innings at home, and in his last appearance at home he shut out the Cubs for 4 1/3 innings.
The Cardinals have failed to reach the total in 13 of their last 19 overall.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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09-27-16 |
Phillies v. Braves UNDER 8 |
Top |
6-7 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on PHI@ATL to go UNDER the total.
The Braves are on fire at the moment, coming into this home series versus Philly as winners of seven of their last eight. I expect a pitcher's duel in Game 1.
Julio Teheran (6-10, 3.10 ERA) allowed one run on five hits over seven innings in a 5-4 win over the Mets his last time out. He's pitched very well against Philly this season, going 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA in two previous meetings. Philly's lineup is batting just .221 over a combined 172 at bats versus Teheran.
The Phillies hand the ball to Jerad Eickhoff, who has also pitched well against Atlanta. He's 2-1 with a 1.88 ERA in four starts versus the Braves this year, but he's 0-1 with a 2.89 ERA in his two starts at Atlanta.
The under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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09-25-16 |
Bears v. Cowboys UNDER 44.5 |
Top |
17-31 |
Loss |
-103 |
10 h 1 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on CHI@DAL to go UNDER the total.
The Cowboys are a big favorite at home to the Bears on Sunday night, but I am still not convinced that rookies Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliot are going to live up to all the hype. The Cowboys are 1-1, and everyone is singing the praises of their new rookie quarterback. As solid as he's looked, he's yet to throw a TD pass. The good news is that he hasn't made many mistakes. If the Cowboys want to keep it that way, they will have to continue protecting him with a conservative game plan on offense. They don't need to come out passing, and settling for field goals is likely to be plenty good enough against these Bears. Chicago's offense is in rough shape, with Brian Hoyer stepping in at quarterback to replace Jay Cutler. Hoyer is a capable backup, but this is a tough situation, playing behind an offensive line that can't stop the pass rush. Chicago has not seen the total go over 45 points in seven straight games dating back to last December. The Cowboys have gone under in four of their last five versus an opponent with a losing record, and I expect to see a low scoring game here tonight.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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