11-27-15 |
California v. San Diego State +4 |
Top |
58-72 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 14 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the San Diego State Aztecs.
The Aztecs will be the underdog against #14 ranked California when the two teams meet in Las Vegas tonight. Cal has cruised to four easy wins so far, but they have yet to prove themselves against quality opposition. The same can not be said for the Aztecs, who played a close game on the road at #16 ranked Utah two weeks ago. That was a game that saw several lead changes, and the Utes barely escaped with an 81-76 win. I got the win with San Diego State as the underdog in that game, and here is what I said prior to tip off:
"San Diego State won it's opener by double digits, but this early in the season it's difficult to read into results with such a small sample size. One thing that immediately stands out about this game was the play of freshman PG Jeremy Helmsley who scored 20 points in his Aztecs debut. "It's a feeling I can't really describe," said Hemsley, who's from Rancho Cucamonga. "As soon as I woke up today I knew it was going to be a good day. I'm excited for this. But at the end of the day it's just the first game. We just have to continue to do what we do." The point guard position was a weakness for San Diego State last year, and if Helmsley is as good as he's expected to be, they could be a better team this season."
Helmsley scored 16 points with six assists in 28 minutes in a 79-54 win over ECU on Monday, and that might tell us a little about how the Aztecs measure up against Cal. The Bears played the Pirates a few days earlier, and struggled in a game that was close right up until the final buzzer. "We just didn't move the ball well. We got stagnant," said Tyrone Wallace.
Wallace and the Bears are facing one of the nation's top defensive teams here tonight, and they could have a tough time. The last time these teams faced each other the Aztecs won 64-63. San Diego State has covered in 10 of it's last 14 versus opponents from the PAC12.
Take SDST.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-23-15 |
LSU -5 v. Marquette |
Top |
80-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
28 h 47 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the LSU Tigers. The #23 ranked Tigers are undefeated at 3-0, and they are facing a Marquette team that has lost two of three to start the season. The Tigers are just a small favorite here, and I think the bookmakers are way off. Perhaps Marquette is getting the benefit of the doubt because their name is synonymous with a with a winning program, but that was in the past, not necessarily the present. This is a school that lost 13 of it's final 16 games last year, and has already struggled at the beginning of this season. They are coming off an 89-61 loss to unranked Iowa, shooting just 38.6 percent from the field and turning the ball over 19 times in that defeat. The Tigers on the other hand shot better than 50 percent from the field in a 78-66 home win over South Alabama in their last game. LSU is 6-2-1 in it's last nine non-conference games, while the Golden Eagles have failed to cover in 14 of their last 17 overall. I expect the Tigers to win by double digits. Take LSU. GL, Jesse Schule
|
11-22-15 |
Valparaiso v. Oregon -4.5 |
Top |
67-73 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 58 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Oregon Ducks.
The #25 ranked Oregon Ducks are off to a good start, winning their first three games which includes a 74-67 win over #16 ranked Baylor. They host the Valparaiso Crusaders on Sunday, and the Ducks are asked to cover just a handful of points. I think Valparaiso is in way over it's head here, even though they are 5-0 to start the season. The Crusaders haven't played anybody, which is my biggest issue with this team. They play in the Horizon, and last year they racked up a ton of wins against lesser teams. In fact they only lost five games all year, but never faced a single ranked opponent until bowing out of the tournament in their first game versus Maryland. During the regular season, their non-conference schedule only saw them face two teams from any of the larger conferences, and neither of those teams were anywhere near as good as Oregon. They lost at Missouri and at home to New Mexico, and both games were blowouts decided by double digits.
Take ORE.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-22-15 |
Harvard v. Boston College -4 |
Top |
56-69 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 29 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Boston College Eagles.
The Harvard Crimson have owned the Ivy League in recent years, but their reign of dominance might be coming to an end. Harvard has lost two of it's first three games, one of those coming at home to the Massachusetts Minutemen. I bet on UMASS in that game, and here is what I said prior to tip off:
"The Harvard Crimson are coming off a 12-point loss to Providence, and they are a big favorite at home against an experienced UMASS team. I think Harvard is grossly overrated, based on past success. They lost their starting PG Siyani Chambers to a season ending knee injury before the season started, and that's a huge blow for this team. Siyani averaged 34 minutes playing the last three seasons for the Crimson. They started a pair of freshman in the back court in the loss to Providence."
The Eagles lost a lot of games last year, but they play with the big boys in the ACC. This is a whole different class that what Harvard is used to. The two teams met last season, and Boston College prevailed 64-57. The Eagles are coming off an 82-57 win over Central Connecticut, and they shot 50 percent from the field and 46 percent from three-point range in the win. There is every reason to expect Boston College to take care of business at home here.
Take BC.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-21-15 |
Grizzlies +7.5 v. Spurs |
Top |
82-92 |
Loss |
-105 |
21 h 42 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.
It was a slow start to the season for the Grizzlies, but they've been hot lately, winning four straight heading into tonight's game in San Antonio. The Spurs are coming off a loss at New Orleans last night, and they might have lost more than just that game. LaMarcus Aldridge suffered a sprained left ankle in the loss, and his availability is in question for tonight's game. Playing on back to back night's might not be an ideal situation for an aging Spurs team that is a little banged up, and they are asked to cover a pretty sizable number here. Playing on back to back nights hasn't been a problem for the Grizz, who have covered four straight playing on no rest. Gregg Popovich didn't think much of his team's effort last night: "We were awful," Popovich said. "We didn't stay in front of people very well. If you allow that much penetration, it throws everybody off kilter when everybody is helping and guys are open for 3s." I like the Grizz to keep this one close at the very least.
Take MEM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-21-15 |
Bucks v. Pacers -4.5 |
Top |
86-123 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 16 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers have won seven of their last nine overall, and Paul George appears to be back to playing the way he did before the gruesome broken leg he suffered while playing for team USA. George has scored at least 26 points in eight straight games. Indiana is also playing fantastic defense, ranking 4th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. The Bucks are coming off back to back losses, surrendering 115 points in both of those games. I like the Pacers to stay hot at home, and this looks like a low number given their recent play. Take IND. GL, Jesse Schule
|
11-21-15 |
DePaul v. Florida State -8.5 |
Top |
67-83 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 30 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Florida State Seminoles.
After losing by double digits to South Carolina last night, DePaul will play Florida State in the Virgin Islands tonight. I bet on the Gamecocks in last night's game, and here is what I had to say prior to tip off: " This DePaul team is nowhere near as competitive as it has been in past seasons, and the Blue Demons are coming off a pretty tough showing last season. They lost 11 of their final 12 games last year, and come in to this game off a loss to Penn State. They really struggled shooting in that game, hitting 37.7 percent from the field, and going just 2-for-11 from beyond the arc." DePaul wasn't any better in the loss to the Gamecocks, shooting 36.5 percent from the field, and going 3-of-14 from beyond the arc. They were also out-rebounded 44-34. There isn't a lot to like about this DePaul team, and the line looks a little low considering how well Florida State has played.
Take FSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-20-15 |
Xavier v. Michigan -5 |
Top |
86-70 |
Loss |
-106 |
9 h 21 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Michigan Wolverines.
The Wolverines are hosting Xavier tonight, and I think they should be able to win and cover a pretty low number here. Michigan comes in feeling the hot hand, coming off some impressive performances shooting the ball. The Wolverines shot 51.7 percent from the field in their last game, beating Elon by a score of 88-68. They also went 13-of-24 from beyond the arc, and hit 13-of-15 free throws. With the increased emphasis on foul calls earlier in the season, it's more likely that games will be decided at the free throw line. I don't like the Musketeers chances of pulling off an upset in Ann Arbor against this hot shooting Wolverines team.
Take MICH.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-20-15 |
DePaul v. South Carolina -7 |
Top |
61-76 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the South Carolina Gamecocks.
The DePaul Blue Demons will take on the Gamecocks in the Virgin Islands tonight, and South Carolina is a significant favorite. This DePaul team is nowhere near as competitive as it has been in past seasons, and the Blue Demons are coming off a pretty tough showing last season. They lost 11 of their final 12 games last year, and come in to this game off a loss to Penn State. They really struggled shooting in that game, hitting 37.7 percent from the field, and going just 2-for-11 from beyond the arc. The Gamecocks are a gritty team that dominates on the glass, and they handled Oral Roberts with ease, cruising to an 84-66 victory on Monday. They out-rebounded the Golden Eagles 44-28 in that game, and only committed six turnovers. The Gamecocks have covered the spread in six straight non-conference games, while the Blue Demons have only covered in one of their last eight non-conference contests. They've also failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 neutral site games.
Take SOCAR.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-20-15 |
Mississippi State v. Texas Tech -130 |
Top |
72-74 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 57 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Texas Tech Red Raiders.
Both the Red Raiders and the Bulldogs are coming off losses last night, but while Texas Tech played a relatively competitive game against #13 ranked Utah, the Bulldogs were blown out by unranked Miami. I bet on the Canes in that game, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Mississippi State Bulldogs were one of the worst teams in the SEC last year, with an overall record of 13-19. They haven't looked much better so far this year, coming off a home loss to the Southern Jaguars. They shot just 38.3 percent from the field in that game, and turned the ball over 19 times." They were dominated on the glass in the loss to Miami, and they will likely struggled in that department against Texas Tech. The Red Raiders played pretty good defense against Utah, holding the Utes to just 38 percent shooting. They hung around in that game, trailing by just two points midway through the second half, before the Utes pulled away to win by a final score of 73-63. Texas Tech is 6-2 ATS in it's last eight versus the SEC, and I can't see them losing to the Bulldogs here tonight.
Take TTU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-19-15 |
Warriors v. Clippers +6.5 |
Top |
124-117 |
Loss |
-106 |
16 h 56 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the LAC.
The Golden State Warriors just keep on winning, and they come into L.A. tonight looking to make it 13 straight wins to the start the season. They have had a few close calls recently, just barely beating the Raptors and the Nets. They beat the Clippers 112-108 at home at the beginning of the month, but they are asked to win by a margin more than double that tonight. The Clippers have won four of five at home, and even without Chris Paul they managed to beat the Pistons 101-96 on Saturday. Jamal Crawford stepped up in a big way, leading all scorers with 37 points on 12-of-27 shooting. The Clippers will be well rested, coming off a four day layoff, and they've covered the spread in five of their last six games playing on 3 or more days rest. The Clippers have covered the spread in three of the last four meetings between the two teams, and I think they are getting way too many points at home tonight.
Take LAC.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-19-15 |
San Francisco +8.5 v. Fresno State |
Top |
71-78 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 20 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the San Francisco Dons.
The Dons are a big underdog on the road at Fresno State, and I think this game is destined to be close. San Francisco is 2-0, coming off a big home win over Rice. The Dons shot 50.8% from the field, and an impressive 8-of-17 from beyond the arc winning 80-54. They were quite competitive last season, playing conference rivals Gonzaga three times, and two of those games were quite close. They have a history of being a tough road team, going 42-19-1 ATS in their last 62 road games. Fresno State comes in with a record of 2-0, but they've won close games against Lamar and Pepperdine. They really shot poorly in the game against Lamar, hitting 35.7 percent from the field, and just 2-of-11 from three-point range. That's not going to cut it tonight against a much tougher San Francisco team, and I think the Bulldogs are going to have problems with this matchup.
Take SF.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-19-15 |
Creighton +13 v. Indiana |
Top |
65-86 |
Loss |
-106 |
18 h 18 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Creighton Blue Jays.
The Indiana Hoosiers are coming off quite an impressive victory, but I still can't see why they should be a double digit favorite against a very good Blue Jays team. Indiana shot an absolutely inexplicable 66.7 percent from the field, and 59.3 percent from three-point range in a 102-76 win over Austin Peavy. Now does anybody expect them to repeat that performance here tonight ... I have my doubts. The Blue Jays are a big step up from an 0-2 Austin Peavy team, and even in their first season after losing Dougie McBuckets, they remained competitive in the Big East last year. Their notable games include beating #18 Oklahoma outright, losing by two points to #19 Butler, losing by four points to #4 Villanova, and coming up five points short to Georgetown in last year's tournament. They are coming in to tonight's game off an impressive win of their own, shooting 54.7 percent from the field and 42.9 percent from beyond the arc in a 103-78 win over UTSA. This Blue Jays team can really shoot, and they should be able to hang with the Hoosiers keeping within single digits.
Take CRE.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-19-15 |
Miami (Fla) -8.5 v. Mississippi State |
Top |
105-79 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Miami Hurricanes.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs were one of the worst teams in the SEC last year, with an overall record of 13-19. They haven't looked much better so far this year, coming off a home loss to the Southern Jaguars. They shot just 38.3 percent from the field in that game, and turned the ball over 19 times. They are now playing the Miami Hurricanes in Puerto Rico, and this looks like a tough matchup. The Canes finished last season strong, winning seven of their last nine, and losing to Stanford in the NIT Championship game. They are off to an impressive 2-0 start, and they looked pretty good in a win over ULL. They shot 56.4 percent from the field, and went 12-of-23 from beyond the arc winning 93-77. I expect to see a similar result here against the Bulldogs.
Take MIA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-18-15 |
Nets v. Hornets UNDER 196.5 |
Top |
111-116 |
Loss |
-105 |
18 h 53 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on BKN@CHA to go UNDER the total.
The Charlotte Hornets host the 2-9 Nets in Charlotte tonight, and the Nets are coming off just their second win of the season. I don't like Brooklyn's chances of following up with another win here, playing on back to back nights. Charlotte is 3-1 at home so far, and three of those game failed to reach the total. The Hornets have played well defensively, allowing opponents to average just 99.5 points per game. The Nets rank 29th in the NBA averaging just 94.3 points per game, and they have trended under in six of their last seven road games. The Hornets on the other hand have trended under at a rate of 7-1 in their last eight home games. Tonight's number doesn't look right, a little too high given the trends, and the style that both these teams play.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-18-15 |
Richmond v. Wake Forest |
Top |
91-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons.
Wake Forest will look to move to 3-0 as they host the 1-1 Richmond Spiders tonight. The Deacons are just a slight favorite, and I think the books are giving this Richmond team too much respect. The Spiders lost their opening game at home to James Madison, and they were dominated on the boards, losing the rebound battle by a margin of -17. They are likely going to struggle on the glass tonight, facing a Wake Forest team that has plenty of size, and has averaged 49 rebounds per game.
These teams played last year, and the Deacons won 65-63 at Richmond. The Deacons return four of their five starters from last year, including a pair of seniors. Devin Thomas has looked good so far, averaging 19.5 points and 14.5 rebounds through the first two games. Wake Forest has covered the spread in five straight versus opponents from the A-10 Conference, and four of their last five non-conference games. They were pretty good at home last year, with outright wins over Miami, Pitt and N.C. State, and narrow losses to Duke and Virginia. They should prove to be too much for a mediocre Richmond team.
Take WAKE.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-17-15 |
Duke +2.5 v. Kentucky |
Top |
63-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 23 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils. I won 77% of my bets in last year's NCAA Tournament, and finished on a 9-0 run including a play on Duke in the Final. Most people expected to see Duke face Kentucky in the Championship Game, but Wisconsin upset the Wildcats in the Semi Final. Had it been a UK vs Duke Final, my money would have been on Duke. They were playing better basketball at the time, and I just think Coach K is a far better coach that Calipari (a very good coach in his own right).
Now this is two very different teams that will play in Chicago tonight, but I still can't figure out why Kentucky deserves to be a favorite. The Blue Devils are the defending champs, and they come in as the more experienced of the two teams. Grayson Allen played a key role in last year's championship run, and he's now a sophomore guard coming off a career high 27 point outburst in the win over Bryant. They have seniors at center (Marshall Plumlee) and forward (Emile Jefferson). Junior guard Matt Jones averaged 21 minutes last season, leaving them with four experienced starters along with talented freshman Brandon Ingram who scored 21 points in just his second game as a starter.
Kentucky's only senior is guard Tyler Ulis, who shot just 1-of-8 from the field scoring five points against NJIT. They have had to replace Karl Anthony Towns and Aaron Harrison with a couple of freshman. I think this marquee match-up comes just a little too early in the season for this young team.
Take Duke.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-17-15 |
Bucks v. Wizards OVER 201 |
Top |
86-115 |
Push |
0 |
17 h 14 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIL@WAS to go OVER the total.
The Washington Wizards will host Milwaukee tonight, and they are expected to be without Bradley Beal, who has missed the last two games. They didn't need him on Saturday when they beat the Orlando Magic 108-99. They lost their previous game by a score of 125-101 to Oklahoma City. Defense hasn't been a strong point for the Wizards this season, ranking 29th overall allowing opponents to average more than 109 points per game. The Bucks are below average defensively as well, allowing over 101 points per game so far.
This will be the second meeting between the two teams this season, and Washington won the first game by a score of 118-113 at Milwaukee. Seven of the last nine meetings between the two teams has gone over the total, and the Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Washington. This Wizards team has been trending over at home at a rate of 19-7-1 in their last 27 home games.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-17-15 |
Massachusetts +6.5 v. Harvard |
Top |
69-63 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the UMASS Minutemen.
The Harvard Crimson are coming off a 12-point loss to Providence, and they are a big favorite at home against an experienced UMASS team. I think Harvard is grossly overrated, based on past success. They lost their starting PG Siyani Chambers to a season ending knee injury before the season started, and that's a huge blow for this team. Siyani averaged 34 minutes playing the last three seasons for the Crimson. They started a pair of freshman in the back court in the loss to Providence.
The Minutemen are a far more experienced squad, with just one freshman and a pair of seniors in their starting five. Their two senior guards tallied 19 points a piece in the win over Howard in their season opener. These teams played here in Cambridge last year, and Harvard won by just two points. Crimson PG Siyani Chambers played 37 minutes and had nine assists. They might miss him here in this year's contest, and I can't see how they can be expected to cover such an inflated number. Harvard is 2-7 ATS in it's last nine home games, and 1-4 ATS in it's last five non-conference games.
Take UMASS.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-17-15 |
Stephen F. Austin v. Northern Iowa -135 |
Top |
60-70 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 0 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the UNI Panthers. Both the Panthers and the Lumberjacks are coming off losses in their respective openers, but SF Austin was absolutely crushed by Baylor. Now there is no shame losing to a Top 25 team on the road, but they were totally overmatched and out-classed. They shot just 32.7 percent from the field and 21.7 percent from beyond the arc. They were also dominated on the glass by a double digit margin. The Panthers on the other hand lost in overtime to Colorado State, which was also a dissapointing result. That ended an 18-game home win streak for the Panthers, but they played well enough to lead me to believe they'll get back on track at home here against SFA. They were a little unfortunate in their opener, hitting 48.3 percent from the field, 11-of-30 from beyond the arc, and a staggering 84% from the charity stripe. If they can shoot like that here, this game won't be close. Northern Iowa is 6-0-3 against the spread in it's last against a team with a losing record, and14-5-3 against the spread in their last 22 games overall. Take UNI. GL, Jesse Schule
|
11-16-15 |
San Diego State +5.5 v. Utah |
Top |
76-81 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the San Diego State Aztecs.
The Aztecs will be a significant underdog on the road at Utah tonight, and I think they can give the #13 ranked Utes a run for their money. San Diego State won it's opener by double digits, but this early in the season it's difficult to read into results with such a small sample size. One thing that immediately stands out about this game was the play of freshman PG Jeremy Helmsley who scored 20 points in his Aztecs debut. "It's a feeling I can't really describe," said Hemsley, who's from Rancho Cucamonga. "As soon as I woke up today I knew it was going to be a good day. I'm excited for this. But at the end of the day it's just the first game. We just have to continue to do what we do." The point guard position was a weakness for San Diego State last year, and if Helmsley is as good as he's expected to be, they could be a better team this season. Utah took care of business in it's opener, but shot just 56 percent from the free throw line in an 82-71 win over Southern Utah. The Aztecs beat the Utes at home by a score of 53-49 last year, and they've won the last six meetings between the two teams. This game should be a good one, and I wouldn't be surprised if it goes right down to the wire.
Take SDSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-15-15 |
Wisc-Milwaukee -145 v. Santa Clara |
Top |
71-65 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play on the Milwaukee Panthers. Santa Clara is off to a brutal start, dropping it's first two games on it's home floor. Last night's loss was particularly bad, scoring just 33 points in a blowout loss to the Denver Pioneers. Losing by that kind of a scoreline is embarrassing, but especially against a team like Denver. The Broncos shot just 11-of-48 from the field (22%), and 4-of-24 (17%) from beyond the arc. So after losing to Lipscomb, and getting embarrassed by Denver, they play a Milwaukee team that has handled both of those teams with relative ease. Now there are those that like to bet on a team coming off a bad game, thinking they get value on a team that is motivated to turn in a better effort. The Broncos though were so bad last night, I just can't see them shaking that off less than 24 hrs later. I'll take the Panthers as a slight fav. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule
|
11-14-15 |
Denver v. Santa Clara -5.5 |
Top |
55-33 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play on the Santa Clara Broncos. Both the Santa Clara Broncos and the Denver Pioneers came up short in their season openers last night, but I like Santa Clara to bounce back at home against an inferior Denver team. The Pioneers finished near the bottom of the Summit Conference last year, with an overall record of 12-18. They got blown out last night in a loss to Milwaukee, despite shooting 52.4% from the field, and 7-of-17 from beyond the arc. They got killed on the glass, as Milwaukee out-rebounded them 31-19. The Broncos owned the glass in their game, pulling in 51 rebounds against Lipscomb. Denver is just 4-10 ATS in it's last 10 road games, and it has failed to cover in six of it's last eight non-conference games. The Broncos have had little trouble roughing up weaker teams, going 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Take Santa Clara. GL, Jesse Schule
|
11-13-15 |
Hornets v. Bulls UNDER 199.5 |
Top |
97-102 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 49 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on CHA@CHI to go UNDER the total.
The Bulls were embarrassed in a 130-105 loss at Charlotte last week, and they will have a chance to execute revenge at home here tonight. Chicago followed up that loss with an impressive home win over the Thunder, before losing their next game at home to Minnesota. That was their first home loss, as they had won their previous four home games, holding each opponent under 100 points.
It would appear likely that this rematch in Chicago will be a much lower scoring games. The Hornets have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning record, and the under in 5-1 in their last six trips to the Windy City. The total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in any of those previous six games, and Chicago has gone under in each of it's last six at home.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-12-15 |
Jazz v. Heat OVER 182 |
Top |
91-92 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on UTAH@MIA to go OVER the total.
The Jazz got off to a good start, winning four of their first six games, and they are still 1st in the league in opponent's scoring average allowing under 90 points per game. They failed to slow down the Cavs in Cleveland on Tuesday though, losing by a score of 118-114. That came as little surprise to me, as I had said just a few days earlier: "The Utah Jazz have won two of three, and rank first overall in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing just 79.7 points per game so far. Before you get too excited, consider that they have played three Eastern Conference teams that all finished near the bottom of the standings a year ago."
They face another Eastern Conference team that missed the playoffs last year, but the Miami Heat are coming off back to back home wins, and they look like a contender so far this year. Chris Bosh is back and looking very healthy, he scored a season high 30 points in the win over the Lakers on Tuesday. The Jazz could be without one of their best defenders as Rudy Gobert left the last game in the fourth quarter with a sprained ankle.
As good as both these teams are defensively, they can also both score with the best of them. They each scored over 100 points in their last game, and the total has trended over at a rate of 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings between the two teams. Tonight's total is at least five points lower than it was in any of those previous 10 meetings.
Take Over.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-11-15 |
Pistons v. Kings OVER 203 |
Top |
92-101 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 59 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on DET@SAC to go OVER the total.
The Kings are hosting the surprising Detroit Pistons on Wednesday night, and I think the total looks a little low here. Sacramento is one of the league's highest scoring teams, averaging over 106 points per game, but the Kings rank near last in opponent's scoring average allowing a ridiculous 110.6 points per game. The Pistons prefer to play a more defensive style, but they've proved that they can score with the best oft them, averaging over 105 points per game while winning three of their four road games so far. They scored 114 points in a home win over the Kings in the last meetings between these two teams. The Kings have really struggled against quality opponents, and they've seen the total go over at a rate of 8-3-2 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. They've also gone over in 11 of their last 13 versus Eastern Conference teams.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-10-15 |
Mavs v. Pelicans UNDER 211 |
Top |
105-120 |
Loss |
-100 |
24 h 1 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DAL@NO to go UNDER the total. The Pelicans have had a few days off since losing by a score of 107-98 at Dallas on Saturday. They'll host the Mavs in the second leg of this home and home series on Tuesday night, still in search of their first win. I believe that the Pelicans are a much better team than their 0-6 record, and they should have a golden opportunity to notch their first win at home tonight.
This is a particularly tough spot for Dallas, who play at home tomorrow night against DeAndre Jordan and the Clippers. This will be the first time Jordan will travel to Dallas since backing out of his agreement to sign with the team in the off-season.
While the Pelicans are off to a terrible start, their superstar PF Anthony Davis has been really heating up. He scored 25 points on 11-of-19 shooting in the loss to Dallas, and in the previous game he went off for 43 points on 14-of-23 shooting. He's averaged 26.7 points and 12.7 boards in his last three at home against the Mavericks.
The Pelicans rank at the bottom of the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing over 114 points per game. That number though is skewed by the fact that two of their first six games came against the league's best teams (Golden State). They will need to play a lot better on defense if they hope to beat the Mavericks tonight, and I am sure that's something they have worked on over the last few days. They did a good job through three quarters in Dallas on Saturday, holding the Mavs to 72 points, but were out-scored 35-28 in the final frame. I expect them to grind it out for a full 48 minutes tonight, en route to their first "W" of the season. These teams failed to reach an inflated total in the last meeting, and I expect an even lower scoring game here tonight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
|
11-10-15 |
Lakers v. Heat UNDER 202 |
Top |
88-101 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on LAL@MIA to go UNDER the total.
The Lakers won their first game of the season on the road in Brooklyn on Friday, but went on to lose 99--95 to the Knicks on Sunday. They are in Miami tonight, facing a Heat team that six straight and nine of 10 in the last 10 meetings in this series. Most of those games were quite low scoring, with eight of 10 failing to reach the total. These teams have gone under in eight of the last 11 meetings in Miami, and the Heat have gone under in each of their last six overall. Miami ranks first in the Eastern Conference in opponent's scoring average, allowing just over 90 points per game. They've held six of their seven opponents under 100 points, and have only scored 100+ twice themselves. The Lakers of course have trended in the opposite direction, scoring plenty of points and giving up even more. This is Miami, and I expect the Heat to dictate the tempo in their house.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-09-15 |
Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 207.5 |
Top |
104-108 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 8 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* pay on POR@DEN to go UNDER the total.
Portland is coming off an epic collapse at home to Detroit last night. They led 92-79 heading into the fourth quarter, but were out-scored 41-11 in the final frame, losing 120-103 to the Pistons. They might have just run out of gas, and that doesn't bode well as they pay their second game of a back to back on the road in Denver tonight. Denver has lost four of six to start the season, and they failed to reach 100 points in all but one of those losses. The Nuggets rank 24th overall in the NBA averaging just over 97 points per game, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their six games so far. The Blazers have gone over in four straight after going under in their first three games of the season. The total in tonight's game is much higher than it was in any of Portland's previous games this season. I think the total for tonight's game looks a little inflated, especially with the Blazers coming in with no rest following an tough loss.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-08-15 |
Lakers v. Knicks UNDER 209.5 |
Top |
95-99 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 39 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on LAL@NYK to go UNDER the total.
The Knicks have lost three straight, averaging just 87 points in those games. They host the struggling Lakers tonight, and LA is coming off it's first win of the season. The Lakers defeated the Brooklyn Nets by a score of 104-98, and it was the first time this season they held an opponent under 100 points. The last time these teams met, the Knicks won in LA by a score of 101-94. The total in today's game looks way to high all things considered, and I think these two teams will struggle to score enough points to reach this inflated number. The under is 13-6 in Knicks last 19 vs. Western Conference, and the Lakers have failed to reach the total in 11 of their last 15 road games versus a team with a losing record.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-07-15 |
Grizzlies v. Jazz OVER 179.5 |
Top |
79-89 |
Loss |
-105 |
21 h 23 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MEM@UTAH to go OVER the total.
The Jazz are off to a great start, and they still rank 1st overall in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. I bet on the "over" in their last home game versus Portland, and one of the reasons for making that play was that I felt that Utah's defense is a little overrated due to a soft schedule. Here is what I had to say prior to tipoff: "The Utah Jazz have won two of three, and rank first overall in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing just 79.7 points per game so far. Before you get too excited, consider that they have played three Eastern Conference teams that all finished near the bottom of the standings a year ago." The Blazers ended up winning that game by a score of 108-92, and that has Utah trending over at a rate of 6-1 in their last seven home games, and they've gone over in six of their last seven versus the Western Conference. They played another low scoring game against Denver last night, but now they host a hungry Grizzlies team on the back end of a back to back tonight. The Grizzlies aren't looking like the defensive powerhouse they were in previous seasons, ranking 23rd in the league with an opponent's scoring average of 103.8. Tonight's number is ridiculously low, and I think the bookmakers have made a mistake here.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-07-15 |
Hornets v. Spurs OVER 193.5 |
Top |
94-114 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 44 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CHA@SA to go OVER the total.
The Charlotte Hornets are hot, coming off a pair of impressive wins over Chicago and Dallas. I bet on the over in their last game, a 108-94 road win over the Mavericks. Here is what I had to say prior to the game: "Michael Jordan's team is coming off an epic win over his former team, beating the Bulls by a score of 130-105. They shot 51.6 percent from the field, and an even better 60.9 percent from beyond the arc in that game. Charlotte has trended over at a rate of 10-4-1 in it's last 15 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The total for tonight's game appears to be a little lower than it should be." We see another low total here in San Antonio, and I think a hot shooting Charlotte team can score enough points to push this total over.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-07-15 |
Nets v. Bucks OVER 194 |
Top |
86-94 |
Loss |
-107 |
21 h 40 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on BKN@MIL to go OVER the total.
The Milwaukee Bucks have won three straight after opening the season 0-3. They are coming off a 99-92 win over the Knicks in New York last night, and Jabari Parker made his season debut in the victory. The Bucks host Brooklyn tonight, and the Nets are still winless after losing to the Lakers last night. History tells us that we can expect to see plenty of scoring when these two teams get together, as six of the last seven meetings have gone over the total. Both teams are playing in their second game in as many nights, and both have trended over in such situations. Milwaukee has gone over in four of it's last five when playing on no rest, while the over is 5-1 in the Nets last six games playing on 0 days rest. Both teams rank near the bottom of the league in opponent's scoring average, each allowing well over 100 points per game so far.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-06-15 |
Hawks v. Pelicans UNDER 204.5 |
Top |
121-115 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 18 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ATL@NO to go UNDER the total.
The New Orleans Pelicans are hosting Atlanta tonight, still in search of their first win. It's been a brutal start for Anthony Davis, who is shooting just 37.9 percent from the field during this 0-4 start. He scored 14 points on 3-of-12 shooting in a home loss to Orlando on Tuesday. On a positive note, his defense is as good as it ever was, with 17 blocks in his first four games of the season. The Bookmakers are expecting this to be a high scoring game, with a total well over 200. History tells us otherwise though, as Atlanta has gone under in four straight, and five of it's last seven trips to New Orleans. The Hawks have held opponents under 100 points in five of their six games so far, and they rank 6th in the NBA with an opponents scoring average of 95.3.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-06-15 |
Wizards v. Celtics UNDER 209 |
Top |
98-118 |
Loss |
-105 |
23 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on BOS@WAS to go UNDER the total.
The Wizards have won three of four to start the season, and they visit a struggling Celtics team tonight. Boston beat the Sixers on Opening Night, but has lost three straight since. Two of those three games failed to reach the total, and the total in tonight's game is much higher than it was in any of Boston's previous 10 games. The Wizards on the other hand have gone over in two of their first four games, but they haven't seen a total as high as it is tonight in any of their previous 10 games. The under is 12-3-1 in Wizards last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. They won their last visit to Boston by a score of 101-88, and I expect to see a similar scoreline here in tonight's game.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-06-15 |
76ers v. Cavs OVER 193.5 |
Top |
102-108 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 47 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on PHI@CLE to go OVER the total.
The Cavs host the Sixers in Cleveland tonight, and this is the second time these teams have met in just a few days. Cleveland just barely won in Philly by a score of 107-100. I expect a similar story here in Cleveland, while even though the Cavs are home, I don't think they are going to take Philly very seriously. They are likely to turn in a half assed effort, knowing they can probably get away with it. The Phillies have covered the spread in eight of the last 10 meetings in this series, and only one of those games saw a total as low as the number for tonight's game. LeBron is just 2-of-18 from three-point range so far, and he was so frustrated in his last game that he ripped the sleeves off his jersey. The over is 5-1 in 76ers last six road games vs. a team with a winning home record. I think we'll see a run and gun free flowing game here again tonight.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-05-15 |
Hornets v. Mavs OVER 196 |
Top |
108-94 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 30 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CHA@DAL to go OVER the total.
After winning two of three on the road to start the season, the Mavs lost their home opener to the Raptors. They might have better luck against another Eastern Conference team tonight, hosting the Charlotte Hornets. Michael Jordan's team is coming off an epic win over his former team, beating the Bulls by a score of 130-105. They shot 51.6 percent from the field, and an even better 60.9 percent from beyond the arc in that game. We should expect this game to be a shootout in Texas, as Dallas has gone over in five of it's last six home games, and Charlotte has trended over at a rate of 10-4-1 in it's last 15 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The total for tonight's game appears to be a little lower than it should be.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-05-15 |
Heat v. Wolves OVER 197 |
Top |
96-84 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 57 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIA@MIN to go OVER the total.
Minnesota has won two of three to start the season, and this young team has plenty of energy on offense. They have scored over 100 points in two of their first three games so far, including an impressive 112-111 win over the Lakers on Opening Night. We should see plenty of scoring tonight as they host the Miami Heat, who are also looking good early on. PG Goran Dragic has given this team a new life offensively, and he's coming off a big game against the Hawks, scoring 19 points on 6-of-11 shooting, including 3-for-5 from three-point range. The total for tonight's game looks a little low, considering we had seen a total of 200 or higher in six of the last eight meetings between the two teams. They last met in February, and the Wolves won that game by a score of 102-101. Minnesota has gone over in seven of it's last 10 at home, while Miami has seen the total go over in four of it's last five on the road.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-04-15 |
Blazers v. Jazz OVER 190 |
Top |
108-92 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 56 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on POR@UTAH to go OVER the total.
The Utah Jazz have won two of three, and rank first overall in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing just 79.7 points per game so far. Before you get too excited, consider that they have played three Eastern Conference teams that all finished near the bottom of the standings a year ago. They host the Blazers tonight, and I think their #1 ranked defense is going to be put to the test. These two teams have gone over the number in four of the last five meetings, and the most recent game was a real high scoring affair. The Jazz won that one by a score of 111-105. Portland has been involved in high scoring games so far this year, with three of their four reaching the number of 200. Tonight's total looks like it's artificially low, based on the Jazz defensive number which are a little dubious. The Jazz have gone over in five of their last seven home games, and six straight versus the Western Conference.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-04-15 |
76ers v. Bucks OVER 195 |
Top |
87-91 |
Loss |
-102 |
23 h 41 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on PHI@MIL to go OVER the total.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been breaking the NBA's futility records in recent seasons, and they are still looking for their first win of the season. The news isn't all bad for Philly though, as they gave LeBron and the Cavs a tough battle in their last game, scoring 100 points on 44.7 percent shooting, albeit in a losing effort. The Sixers are again one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA, but not quite as bad as Milwaukee. The Bucks have allowed opponents to average over 110 points while losing three of four. These teams have gone over the total in five of the last seven head to head meetings, and I think the total looks a little low in tonight's game. The Bucks tend to play a wide open game against inferior opposition, with the total going over in 10 of their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-04-15 |
Nets v. Hawks OVER 195.5 |
Top |
87-101 |
Loss |
-100 |
14 h 57 m |
Show
|
This is a Free #NBA play on BKN@ATL to go OVER the total.
The Hawks won on the road at Miami last night by a score of 98-92. They've now won four straight since losing at home to the Pistons on Opening Night, and three of those four wins have come on the road. Atlanta is an eight-point favorite at home to Brooklyn in this second leg of a back to back. The Nets have lost all four game so far, and opponents have been torching their defense for 100+ points in all four of those games. History tells us that these two teams trend toward high scoring games, with the total going over in two of the last three meetings. In fact they scored at least 198 points in seven of the last nine in this series. Tonight's total is lower than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series, giving us added value playing the over. The Hawks were one of the highest scoring teams in the East last year, averaging 102.5 points per game. They are just slightly off that pace this year, but they should go over 100 points tonight against a Brooklyn team that has really been struggling on defense.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-04-15 |
Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 201.5 |
Top |
98-100 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on BOS@IND to go UNDER the total.
The Pacers picked up their first win of the season in Detroit last night, but might be hard pressed to make it two in a row as they host the Celtics on back to back nights. Indiana is averaging just 93 points per game so far, breaking the century mark just once. Their superstar SF Paul George is a long way from where he was prior to suffering a gruesome injury with Team USA. George shot just 5-of-17 from the field last night, and he's averaging under 17 points per game on .333 shooting so far this season. They have seen the total go under in seven of their last 10 meetings with Boston, and tonight's total is higher than it was in any of those contests. The Celtics have failed to go over the number in all but one of their last seven trips to Indianapolis, and they've gone under in four of their last five when coming off two days rest.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-03-15 |
Magic v. Pelicans UNDER 205 |
Top |
103-94 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ORL@NO to go UNDER the total.
The Orlando Magic and the New Orleans Pelicans will face off in the Big Easy tonight, in a battle of two teams in search of their first win. The Pelicans have had a tough schedule, facing Golden State in a home and home series, and playing on the second leg of a back to back in Portland. This looks like a good spot for New Orleans to get in the win column against a team from the Eastern Conference that has lost 30 of it's last 42 road games. The Magic scored just 87 points in a loss to Chicago on Sunday, and they shot just 38.9 percent from the field in that game. They haven't fared well in recent games against the Pelicans, losing 8 of the last 11 in the series. They've failed to reach the total in 10 of the last 12 visits to the Big Easy, and the total in those 12 games was far lower than the number we see tonight. I think any diagnosis of how bad New Orleans defense is might be a little premature, given two of their three games came against the league's best team.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-03-15 |
Pacers v. Pistons UNDER 201.5 |
Top |
94-82 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 41 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on IND@DET to go UNDER the total.
The Pistons are off to an impressive start to the season, boasting a 3-0 record, and limiting opponents to just 91.7 points per game so far. They host the Indiana Pacers tonight, and Indiana is 0-3, and they scored just 73 points in a home loss to Utah on Saturday. Indiana shot 40 percent from the field, and just 4-of-17 from beyond the arc. Paul George has really struggled, averaging 17 points per game while shooting just 35 percent from the field, and he's 2-of-13 from three-point range. These teams have actually trended over at a rate of 8-2 in the last 10 meetings, but the total in all of those games was much lower than it is tonight. The Pacers haven't shown any indication that they can compete with top tier opposition, and they are likely going to struggle against the Piston's 4th ranked defense. The under is 23-9 in the Pacers last 32 versus a team with a winning record.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-03-15 |
Hawks v. Heat OVER 195 |
Top |
98-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ATL@MIA to go OVER the total.
The Heat are 2-1 coming off a 109-89 home win over the Rockets, and they host the 3-1 Atlanta Hawks on Tuesday night. Miami shot 48.8% from the field in the win over Houston, and they hit 9-of-22 from beyond the arc. The Heat did not play well defensively in the first half against the Rockets, surrendering 65 points. The Hawks were involved in a couple of high scoring games to start the season, but have since played a home and home series against Charlotte that failed to reach the total. I expect to see both teams execute on offense here in Miami, and the total looks a little low for a game between two teams of this caliber. Atlanta has gone over the total in five of it's last seven road game, while the Heat have gone over in eight of 11 versus Eastern Conference teams.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-02-15 |
Bucks v. Nets OVER 196.5 |
Top |
103-96 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 31 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIL@BKN to go OVER the total.
Two winless teams will face each other in Brooklyn on Monday, when the Nets host the Milwaukee Bucks at the Barclays Center. The Bucks were one of the best defensive teams in the NBA last season, with an opponent's scoring average of 97.8 points per game. So far this season, they have allowed an average of more than 115 points per game while losing their first three games. The Nets have also been terrible on the defensive side of the ball, giving up over 100 points in all three of their losses. These two teams have combined to score plenty of points in recent meetings, with the total going over the number in five of the last six. They've played four straight overs in Brooklyn, and the Bucks have trended over at a rate of 20-8 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-01-15 |
Mavs v. Lakers UNDER 214 |
Top |
103-93 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DAL@LAL to go UNDER the total.
The Lakers have been on the wrong side of a couple of high scoring games to start the season, losing at home to Minnesota and on the road at Sacramento. They'll likely come into tonight's home game versus Dallas focused on tightening up the defense. These aren't the same Mavs as we've seen in previous seasons, as they lost several high profile players in the off-season. Dirk Nowitzki is an old man, and he is surrounded by a lot less talent. Chandler Parsons has been hampered by a knee injury, and Deron Williams and Wesley Matthews missed the last game with various ailments. Williams is not expected to be ready for tonight's game, but Matthews may be able to go. The Mavs scored just 88 points on 36 percent shooting in the loss to the Clippers, and they shot just 6-of-30 from beyond the arc. The total for tonight's game is astronomically high considering neither team has been shooting the ball very well. Seven of the last 10 meetings between the two teams have failed to reach the total.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-01-15 |
Spurs v. Celtics OVER 200 |
Top |
95-87 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SA@BOS to go OVER the total.
The Spurs were one of the best defensive teams in the NBA last season, and they looked the part in a 102-75 home win over the Nets on Friday. They have scored 100+ points in both their games so far, but they surrendered 112 points in a loss to the Thunder in their season opener. Playing a non-conference road game on a Sunday afternoon this early in the season, we shouldn't expect the Spurs to be at the top of their game here in Boston.
The Celtics are 1-1, coming off a pretty ugly loss to Toronto. They'll be all geared up for this game against an elite team from the big bad Western Conference. Boston managed to score 103 points against the Raptors, even though they shot just 37.6 percent from the field. That says something about the pace of their play on offense. The over is 18-8-1 in Celtics last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Spurs are likely going to have a fight on their hands here at the Garden, and I think both teams score 100+.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-31-15 |
Nets v. Grizzlies OVER 190 |
Top |
91-101 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on BKN@MEM to go OVER the total. The Memphis Grizzlies bounced back from an Opening Night loss to Cleveland by beating the Pacers in Indiana by a score of 112-103. The Grizzlies shot 50% from the field in the win over the Pacers, and 43.8% from three-point range. They host the Brooklyn Nets tonight, and Brooklyn is coming off back to back losses to San Antonio and Chicago. The Nets gave up 100+ points in both of those games, and they have gone over in five straight when playing on 0 days rest. I think the number looks a little low here so early in the season, especially given that neither team has looked all that sharp defensively. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
10-31-15 |
Knicks v. Wizards UNDER 205 |
Top |
117-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYK@WAS to go UNDER the total. The Washington Wizards will host the New York Knicks on Saturday night, looking to go 3-0 after picking up wins on the road at Milwaukee and Orlando. The Wizards have won seven straight against the Knicks, going 5-1-1 ATS in those games. Four of the last five meetings between the two teams have gone under the total, and Washington has failed to reach the total in seven of it's last eight when playing on 0 days rest. The Wizards were one of the best defensive teams in the NBA last year, allowing opponents to average just 97.8 points per game. The Knicks have scored 100+ points in both their first two games of the season, but they are likely to struggle on offense here in the nation's capital. They've seen the total go under in seven of their last 10 versus teams with a winning record. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
10-29-15 |
Grizzlies v. Pacers UNDER 188 |
Top |
112-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 25 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MEM@IND to go UNDER the total.
The Grizzlies sure looked rusty in their home opener, shooting just 35% from the field, and 12% from beyond the arc in a 106-76 loss to Cleveland. They play their second game in as many nights on the road at Indiana on Thursday night, and this is hardly an ideal spot to break out of a shooting slump. The Pacers didn't look much better, shooting just 37% in a loss to Toronto on Wednesday. Paul George was just 4-of-17 from the field scoring 17 points, and he's averaged just 10 points per game since returning from a broken leg. Memphis has done a good job shutting down George, who has averaged just 11.4 points per game on just 35% shooting lifetime versus the Grizzlies. History tells us that this should be a low scoring game, as five of the last six meetings between these two teams have gone under, and they have failed to reach the total in 10 of the last 14 meetings in Indiana.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-28-15 |
Pelicans v. Blazers UNDER 205.5 |
Top |
94-112 |
Loss |
-105 |
43 h 17 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NO@POR to go UNDER the total.
The Pelicans opened the season on the road in Oakland last night, losing to the defending champion Warriors by a score of 111-95. Even after the two teams combined to score 74 points in the first quarter, they came up well short of the inflated total. They held the Warriors to just 20 points in the second quarter and 17 in the final frame. They have a history of playing low scoring games versus the Blazers, going under in each of the last four meetings. The under trends don't stop there, as the Pelicans have gone under in nine of their last 12 when playing on back to back nights, and Portland has trended under at rate of 23-10-2 in their last 35 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. This number looks just a little too high.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-28-15 |
Cavs v. Grizzlies OVER 188.5 |
Top |
106-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
41 h 17 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CLE@MEM to go OVER the total.
The Cavs came up just short in Chicago on opening night, losing 97-95 to the Bulls. While the first half saw both teams combine to score just 86 points, we saw a flurry of scoring in the second half, pushing the total over the number. The Cavs are playing on back to back nights in Memphis tonight, and the Grizzlies have a reputation as a team that plays a lot of low scoring games. We see a really low number here in this game, and I think this early in the season we might not see vintage Memphis defense. We haven't seen these teams struggle offensively in previous meetings, with nine of the last 10 in Memphis going over the total. Going back further, 20 of the last 29 head to head matchups have gone over the listed total. This number looks just a little too low for me.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-28-15 |
Knicks v. Bucks OVER 192 |
Top |
122-97 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 32 m |
Show
|
his is a 10* play on NYK@MIL to go OVER the total.
The Knicks won four of six during the pre-season, and they scored more than 100 points in three of those four wins. They begin the season on the road in Milwaukee, and these two teams have a history of playing high scoring games. Five of he last seven head to head meetings have gone over the listed total, and the total has gone over in five of the Knicks last seven trips to Milwaukee. The Bucks have gone over the total in seven of their last 10 when playing three days rest. The Knicks were one of the worst defensive teams in the league last year, allowing opponents to average over 101 points per game. It's unlikely that has changed over the off-season, and I don't expect them to shut down a solid Milwaukee team at home. The number here looks a little on the low side.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-28-15 |
Jazz v. Pistons OVER 188 |
Top |
87-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
41 h 48 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on DET@UTAH to go OVER the total.
The Jazz lost four of their final pre-games of the pre-season, and they gave up over 100 points in three of those four losses. They visit the Pistons in their season opener, and Detroit is coming off an upset win over the Hawks in Atlanta last night. The Pistons made a dozen three point shots, out-scoring Atlanta 106-94. Getting right back on the court in their second game in as many nights probably isn't bad thing as they look to remain hot. The Jazz have seen the total go over the number in seven of their last nine trips to Detroit, and the Pistons have trended over at a rate of 9-1-2 in their last 12 home games. The number looks a little low here, and I just don't see either team grinding it out on defense this early in the season.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-27-15 |
New Orleans Pelicans v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 214.5 |
Top |
95-111 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NO@GS to go UNDER the total. The defending champions will open the season at home against New Orleans, who they defeated in the first round of last year's playoffs. The Warriors swept that series, but failed to cover in three of the four games, and both games at Oracle Arena.
They went on to face Memphis in the second round, and they won that series in six games. The Grizzlies gave them a scare though, winning two of the first three games. Prior to Game 2, the Warriors held a ceremony to present Steph Curry with the MVP award. The distraction really appeared to hurt the Warriors, who came out flat, and were out-scored 50-39 in the first half. After the 97-90 loss, Curry told the media that the pre-game ceremony may have taken him out of his routine.
We'll see a far more elaborate ceremony here on Opening Night, with the unveiling of the 2015 NBA Championship banner. This might serve as added motivation for the visitors, who should have a lot more to prove here. Anthony Davis is looking to dethrone Curry as the MVP of the league, and he sure looked good against the Warriors in last year's playoffs. The 22 year old averaged 31.5 points per game, shooting 54.5 percent from the field and averaging 11 rebounds.
I wouldn't be at all surprised to see history repeat itself here tonight, with the Warriors coming out flat after all the pre-game festivities. The under is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings, and still we see an inflated number tonight.
Take UNDER.
GL, Jesse Schule
|
06-04-15 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Golden State Warriors -5.5 |
Top |
100-108 |
Win
|
100 |
153 h 0 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Golden State Warriors.
The NBA Finals will get underway tonight at Oracle Arena, and with such a long layoff there has been plenty of time of the media to hype up this matchup. The return of LeBron James to Cleveland makes a nice storyline, and of course the networks are saying "there's no favorite in these Finals". Don't kid yourselves, this really shouldn't be close. The West is best, and there's simply no denying it. Both the two teams that the Warriors just defeated (Memphis and Houston) finished with more wins this season than the Cavs. Three teams in the East made the playoffs despite having a losing record, and the Chicago Bulls who finished right behind Cleveland only won 50 games, which would only be good enough for seventh in the West. The Cavs might have lost two of their "Big Three", with Love out and Irving injured. They were able to cruise past the overrated Hawks and a Bulls team in disarray, but this is a whole different kettle of fish here in the Finals. The Warriors are 46-3 at home this season (incl. playoffs), and while they were a double-digit favorite in all of their previous home games, they are asked to cover a number roughly half the size it was in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals.
Take GS.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
05-20-15 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Atlanta Hawks -114 |
Top |
97-89 |
Loss |
-114 |
37 h 31 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Atlanta Hawks.
The Hawks simply aren't getting enough respect here in the East Finals, coming in as an underdog to the Cavaliers who finished seven games back of Atlanta in the standings. Now the Cavs might deserve to be favorites if they were 100% healthy, but they come in without Kevin Love, and Kyrie Irving isn't likely to be 100% effective playing through a knee injury. The Hawks won three of the four meetings during the regular season, and they've won four straight home games against Cleveland. I expect the Hawks to come out like gangbusters here in Game 1, and take it to the Cavs early. Atlanta is the second best home team in the league behind Golden State, with a 40-7 record at Philips Arena, and 5-1 so far in the playoffs. The one game they did lose (Game 1 versus Washington), they had a big lead in the first half, but allowed the Wizards to rally late.
Take ATL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
05-13-15 |
Memphis Grizzlies +9.5 v. Golden State Warriors |
Top |
78-98 |
Loss |
-103 |
11 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Grizz will need to regroup after getting blown out at home in Game 4, but they are still tied 2-2 in the series. While the Warriors have been so good at home all year long, the Grizzlies handed them just their third home loss of the season in Game 2 (their last home game). In fact, they've only covered the spread once in four playoff games at Oracle Arena this season. They are still a heavy favorite here tonight, as the public love hasn't dropped in the slightest. Memphis owns the best defense in the league, and they've caused problems for the Warriors in the past. They've covered the spread in seven of their last nine visits to Oracle Arena, and I think they are getting way too many points again tonight. The Warriors might be lucky to just win this game outright.
Take MEM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
05-09-15 |
Golden State Warriors v. Memphis Grizzlies +4 |
Top |
89-99 |
Win
|
100 |
40 h 54 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies shocked the Warriors in Game 2 at Oracle Arena, winning by a score of 97-90. The old saying goes: "defense wins championships", and if that's truly the case then the Warriors are in trouble. The Grizzlies are the best defensive team in the NBA, and they are particularly stingy at home. They held the Blazers to an average of 87 points winning all three of their home games in the first round, and Damian Lillard couldn't get anything going in Memphis. Curry scored a career playoff low 19 points in the loss in Game 2, and he's going to have Mike Conley all over him here tonight. Conley scored 22 points while wearing a mask after missing Game 1. The Warriors probably should of lost Game 3 at New Orleans in the first round, but the Pelicans managed to blow a five point lead in the final 17 seconds, and lost 123-119 in overtime. The Grizzlies should give them an even tougher test here tonight, and I expect Memphis to go ahead in this series.
Take MEM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
05-06-15 |
Chicago Bulls +6 v. Cleveland Cavaliers |
Top |
91-106 |
Loss |
-105 |
41 h 7 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Chicago Bulls.
The Bulls shocked the Cavs in Game 1 of this series in Cleveland, winning by a score of 99-92. That wasn't enough to scare off the public here in Game 2 though, as the Cavs are an even bigger favorite than they were in the first game. The Cavs appeared to really miss Kevin Love and J.R. Smith, and that's something they'll have to sort out quickly. Love is done for the season, while Smith remains out with a suspension. History is on the side of the visitors, as Chicago has covered in eight of it's last 10 visits to Cleveland, and 13 of 17 overall in this series. They've also been one of the NBA's best road teams for quite some time, and recently they are 5-1 ATS in their last six away from the United Center. The Bulls defense has been impressive, limiting opponents to 89 points on 39.2% shooting in these playoffs.
Take CHI.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
05-05-15 |
Washington Wizards v. Atlanta Hawks OVER 197.5 |
Top |
90-106 |
Loss |
-105 |
18 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on WAS@ATL to go OVER the total.
The Hawks looked like they would run away with Game 1, but all of a sudden they came out in the second half and couldn't make a shot to save their lives. It sure didn't look like it was a case of Washington's defense shutting them down, as they were simply missing open looks. The Hawks led by double digits at halftime (63-53), with both teams pushing the pace of the game. The Hawks won three of four against the Wizards during the regular season, and the only loss came at Washington in a game that they rested their starters. All four games were high scoring affairs, and the total has gone over in seven straight when the Wizards visit Atlanta. I don't think the Wizards can count on another meltdown late in this game, and Atlanta should tie the series here tonight.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-29-15 |
Portland Trailblazers v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 190 |
Top |
93-99 |
Loss |
-108 |
22 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on POR@MEM to go UNDER the total. The Grizzlies fumbled in the fourth quarter in Portland in Game 4, blowing a late lead and allowing the Blazers to stay on life support in this series. They head back home to Memphis tonight though, and they've owned the Blazers at the FedEx Forum. Portland has lost eight straight visits to Memphis, and they didn't cover in any of those games. The Grizzlies defense has smothered the Blazers, holding them to an average of just 84 points in Games 1 & 2. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in both the previous two games in Memphis, despite the fact that the Grizzlies have seen the total go under in 24 of their last 27 home games. History tells us to expect a low scoring affair in Game 5, and I think the Grizzlies will close out the Blazers with their defense.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-28-15 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 205 |
Top |
111-107 |
Loss |
-105 |
19 h 37 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SA@LAC to go UNDER the total.
The Clippers shocked the Spurs by evening the series with a win in Game 4 in San Antonio. The series shifts back to the Staples Center, where the Clippers have seen five of their last six fall short of the total. The only exception was Game 2 of this series, and that game would have been an under as well if it wasn't for the overtime period. Both teams and both coach's know that the team that wins tonight is likely going to be the team that advances to the next round, and with so much at stake we can expect to see a tightly contested game with solid defending on both sides. Despite the trend of low scoring games in LA, we see a higher total in tonight's game than in the previous two here at Staples Center.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-27-15 |
Memphis Grizzlies +3 v. Portland Trailblazers |
Top |
92-99 |
Loss |
-104 |
22 h 29 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies dominance of Portland continued in Game 3, with a 115-109 victory that wasn't as close as the score would indicate. The Grizzlies led from start to finish, and even though they lost PG Mike Conley, they didn't miss a beat. Portland isn't 100% healthy either, and their star players have really struggled here in this series. LaMarcus Aldridge was tossing up "multiple" air balls in Game 3, and he was 1-of-10 shooting in the first half. The Grizzlies have one 11 of their last 12 versus the Blazers, and six of their last seven at Portland. No team has ever come back from an 0-3 series deficit, and that's not going to help motivate this Portland team that looks like it doesn't have a lot left to give. We saw the Cavs and the Wizards close out their first round series yesterday, and I expect the Grizzlies to put this series to bed here tonight.
Take MEM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-22-15 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 207.5 |
Top |
111-107 |
Loss |
-105 |
14 h 30 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SA@LAC to go UNDER the total.
The Clippers owned the defending champions at the Staples Center in Game 1, but I seriously doubt they will be able to keep up that pace throughout this series. Coach Popovich will have made adjustments, and his focus will clearly be on slowing down Chris Paul. The Clippers veteran PG was unstoppable in Game 1, scoring 32 points on 13-of-20 shooting. There's no way the Spurs are going to let him do it again, they owned on of the league's best defenses during the regular season, with an opponent's scoring average of 97 points per game (3rd best in the NBA). The Clippers defense was incredible in Game 1, and that's nothing new, they've seen the total go under in six of their last seven overall. These two teams have a long history of playing low scoring games at the Staples Center, with the under cashing in at a rate of 22-8-1 in the last 32 meetings.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-22-15 |
Portland Trailblazers v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 189.5 |
Top |
82-97 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on POR@MEM to go UNDER the total.
The Grizzlies shut down Portland in Game 1, winning by a score of 100-86. The Blazers are going to have a tough time getting a better result here in Game 2, as they've lost five straight, and nine of their last 10 versus Memphis. Damian Lillard shot just 5-of-21 from the field, and 0-for-6 from three point range in Game 1, and the Blazers shot just 33.7% for the game. The total for tonight's game is the same as what we saw in Game 1, despite an overwhelming trend of low scoring games in Memphis. The Grizz have seen the total go under in 23 of their last 26 at FedExForum. With so much at stake here in a playoff game, it would appear even more likely that we'll see another low scoring game. The Grizzlies own the league's best defense, with an opponent's scoring average of 95 points during the regular season. They allowed fewer points than any other playoff team in Game 1, and we'll be counting on another strong defensive effort from Memphis in Game 2.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-06-15 |
Wisconsin v. Duke +1 |
Top |
63-68 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 14 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils (1st half). It's hard not to be impressed with the Badgers at this point, they did what 38 other teams before them failed to do, and that's beat Kentucky. As well as they played against the Wildcats, they still face a tough Duke team just a few days later, and it's going to be tough for Wisconsin to avoid a let down. Coach K's team has had quick starts in all of it's game in the tournament, and I like the Blue Devils chances of catching Wisconsin sleeping in the first half of the Final. The Badgers have not been blowing anyone out, in fact they've been relatively slow starters all season long, including an 80-70 loss to Duke back in December. If you've watched the Badgers play, you have to admit that they've been riding a good run of luck, with late game heroics becoming the norm for this team. That's not at all the case for Duke, who have completely shut down the opposition allowing just 55 points per game during the tourney. Another fast start will be crucial for Duke, and I expect them to execute out of the gates, as they have been doing all year. Take Duke. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-04-15 |
Michigan State v. Duke -5 |
Top |
61-81 |
Win
|
100 |
114 h 6 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Duke Blue Devils.
The Spartans have certainly been at their best during the month of March, despite a mediocre season they have advanced all the way to the Final Four. Of the four remaining teams, Michigan State has had the easiest path. They started slow in each of their last two games, trailing at the half versus Oklahoma and Louisville. Duke's journey through the tournament has been far more impressive, and for the most part, they've outclassed the opposition from start to finish. A 66-52 win over Gonzaga is a particularly impressive result. They've also proved that they are no "one trick pony", as even when Jahlil Okafor has an off night, Justise Winslow picks up the slack, and against Gonzaga their perimeter shooting prowess was on full display. They hit 8-of-19 from beyond the arc, which is even more impressive when you consider the venue in Houston. Teams had shot a combined 39.8 percent in nine NCAA Tournament games at NRG prior to last Friday. The Blue Devils haven't wasted any time jumping out to early leads in all four of their games in this tournament, and I like their chances of jumping all over the Spartans early. The Spartans have done just enough to get past mediocre teams so far, and I don't think they'll have what it takes to beat a Duke team that defeated them by double digits earlier this year.
Take Duke.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-27-15 |
Michigan State -130 v. Oklahoma |
Top |
62-58 |
Win
|
100 |
114 h 59 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Michigan State Spartans.
The Spartans were 12-6 in the Big-10, while Oklahoma was 12-6 in the Big-12. Michigan State has won 25 games, while the Sooners have won 24. If you take a look at these teams, and evaluate them based on their overall body of work, they look pretty close. That's not how I am looking at it though. I see a Michigan State team that has just now started to reach it's full potential, and an Oklahoma team that is in way over it's head. The Big-12 was considered by many to be the toughest conference in all of college basketball, but after seeing Iowa State and Baylor knocked out by no name teams in the first round, we might have to reconsider that thought. It's worth noting that Oklahoma lost to Iowa State twice in recent weeks, and split the season series with Baylor losing the most recent meeting by double-digits. The Spartans looked great against Virginia on Sunday, shooting 50% from beyond the arc and holding the Cavs to just 29.8% shooting in a 60-54 victory. The Sooners have had an easy road to the Sweet 16, with rather unimpressive wins over Albany and Dayton. Can they rise to the occasion against an elite team? History suggests not, they've failed to cover in six of their last seven versus teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better.
Take MSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-27-15 |
Utah v. Duke -4.5 |
Top |
57-63 |
Win
|
100 |
117 h 57 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils.
For the life of me I can't figure out what Duke has done to deserve such a lack of respect here in their Sweet 16 matchup against the Utah Utes? The Blue Devils won 14 of their last 15 games of the regular season, in what might prove to be the toughest conference in the country. They were ousted in the conference tournament by the same Notre Dame team that handed them their only loss of the second half of the season. They avenged that loss in a big way though just a few weeks later, crushing the Irish by a score of 90-60.
For most of the year they have been ranked in the Top 3, and they own the 3rd best shooting percentage in the country hitting above 50% from the field. They average over 80 points per game ranking 4th in the country in scoring. That scoring prowess was on full display in an 85-56 win over Robert Morris in the first round. They crushed San Diego State on Sunday, winning 68-49, and Jahlil Okafor scored 26 points.
I've heard the experts on ESPN say that Utah has the players to match up against Okafor, and my first thought is .. "What the #### are they talking about". I think any suggestion of Utah matching up well with Duke is laughable, they haven't see a team like Duke all year. They only faced four ranked opponents this season, and the best of those teams was Arizona, who beat them in both games in a home series by a combined 24 points. They also lost neutral site games to Kansas, and the same San Diego State team that Duke crushed last week.
Take DUKE.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-24-15 |
San Antonio Spurs -2.5 v. Dallas Mavericks |
Top |
94-101 |
Loss |
-117 |
17 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the San Antonio Spurs.
The defending champs have been in cruise control for most of the season, and a long list of injuries to key players has held them back. They are not at full strength, and focused on making another run in the playoffs. The Spurs come into Dallas as winners of 10 of their last 12, and those two losses came at Cleveland in overtime, and at New York in a game that they clearly overlooked the Knicks. It seems clear that Pop has the Spurs firing on all cylinders, and that's bad news for a Dallas team that is in disarray. The Mavs are coming off back to back losses to Memphis and Phoenix, and Monta Ellis was just 7-fo- r-31 shooting in those games. Coach Carlisle expressed his displeasure about his team's lack of hustle: "This is not a Monta Ellis problem. This is a Dallas Mavericks hard-play problem. We don't play hard all the time, that's the problem." The Spurs have won four of their last five road games, and I truly believe Dallas can play as hard as they want, it's not going to be enough against a San Antonio team playing it's best basketball of the season.
Take SA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-22-15 |
Northern Iowa -140 v. Louisville |
Top |
53-66 |
Loss |
-140 |
20 h 5 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Northern Iowa Panthers.
The Louisville Cardinals suspended starting guard Chris Jones at the end of February, and they haven't looked like the same team since. Without him they lost three of six before sneaking past UC-Irvine by a score of 57-55 in the first round. The Northern Iowa Panthers are coming off a 71-54 thrashing of Wyoming in their first round matchup, and there's no questioning that it's Northern Iowa that is the hotter of the two teams. They went 31-3 this season, and gave Wichita State a real run for their money in the Missouri Valley Conference. To say that Northern Iowa is the better team is a tough argument to make, but the reason I like the Panthers is mostly the timing. They are catching Louisville at a perfect time, as they have struggled even against weak opponents at the end of the season. Louisville has covered the spread just twice in it's last nine games overall, and it's 1-8-2 ATS in it's last 11 non-conference games. The Panthers have covered the spread in four of their last five versus teams outside the Missouri Valley Conference.
Take UNI.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-22-15 |
West Virginia v. Maryland +100 |
Top |
69-59 |
Loss |
-100 |
40 h 49 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Maryland Terrapins.
The Big-12 is considered by many to be the toughest conference in all of college basketball, but after seeing Iowa State and Baylor knocked out by no name teams in the first round, we might have to reconsider that thought. The Mountaineers finished fourth in the Big-12, tied with Baylor at 11-7. They were swept in their season series against both Baylor and Iowa State. They came into the tournament as losers of three of their last four, with two of those losses coming against Baylor. Their first round win over Buffalo by a score of 68-62 doesn't exactly impress much either. They face a Maryland team that finished second in a strong Big-10 field, and upset Wisconsin during the season. The Terps closed the season with eight straight wins before losing a nail-biter to Michigan State in the conference tournament, and then they opened the NCAA Tourney with a win over a decent Valparaiso team. West Virginia has failed to cover in four straight against Big-10 teams, and I think they are over-matched here against a Terps team that has an edge in shooting, free-throw shooting, perimeter shooting, as well as defense.
Take MD.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-22-15 |
San Diego State v. Duke -9 |
Top |
49-68 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 31 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Duke Blue Devils. For the life of me I can't figure out what Duke has done to deserve such a lack of respect here in their second round matchup against San Diego State? The Blue Devils won 14 of their last 15 games of the regular season, in what might prove to be the toughest conference in the country. They were ousted in the conference tournament by the same Notre Dame team that handed them their only loss of the second half of the season. They avenged that loss in a big way though just a few weeks later, crushing the Irish by a score of 90-60. For most of the year they have been ranked in the Top 3, and they own the 3rd best shooting percentage in the country hitting above 50% from the field. They average over 80 points per game ranking 4th in the country in scoring. That scoring prowess was on full display in an 85-56 win over Robert Morris in the first round. The Aztecs have been the creme of the crop in the Mountain West for quite some time, but they failed to dominate in their conference this year, with one of the nation's most futile offenses. They rely on their defense to make up for the fact that they average just over 60 points per game, and rank 263rd overall shooting 41.9% from the field. They have yet to face the likes of Jahlil Okafor and Duke, and I think it would be a little naive to expect the Aztecs to hang with Duke today. Take DUKE. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-21-15 |
UAB v. UCLA -5.5 |
Top |
75-92 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 54 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the UCLA Bruins. The UAB Blazers did beat Iowa State in the first round, and nobody can take that away from them. I can't judge them based on that game alone though, and when I look at their entire body of work, the overwhelming conclusion has to be that they have no business going any further in this tournament. They finished fifth in the C-USA, that's right .. Fifth! Take a look at their non conference schedule and you will see that they were crushed by Wisconsin, Florida, Illinois State, LSU and Chattanooga. While none of those games were close, perhaps the most telling is that they lost in a neutral site game versus UCLA by a score of 88-76. That was back at the end of November, and the Bruins have seriously stepped up their game since then. The Pac-12 is often under estimated, but it's no joke. Arizona is one of the best teams in the country, and UCLA has played them neck and neck twice in recent weeks. I think the Bruins should be a double digit favorite here, and I think they should dominate this game from start to finish. Take UCLA. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-20-15 |
Georgia v. Michigan State -5.5 |
Top |
63-70 |
Win
|
100 |
52 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Michigan State Spartans.
The Spartans have looked pretty mediocre at times this year, but they appear to be peaking at the right time. They went all the way to the Final in the Big-10 Tournament, and came ever so close to upsetting Wisconsin, but eventually lost in overtime. They will play the Goergia Bulldogs in the first round of the NCAA Tournament Friday, and Georgia looks like a team that may be on the decline. The Bulldogs have also struggled against the Big-10, covering just twice in their last eight versus Big-10 teams. An injury to junior guard Kenny Gaines could prove to be costly for the Bulldogs, as Gaines is their second leading scorer and best perimeter defender. Gaines has played only 27 minutes scoring nine points over the last three games, and didn't play at all in the loss to Arkansas. His status for today's game remains in question: "If the foot feels up to it," Gaines said, "then me and the foot will be out there playing hard.". The Spartans have covered the spread in five of their last six non conference games, and they are 5-2-1 in their last eight versus the SEC.
Take MSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-19-15 |
LSU v. NC State -136 |
Top |
65-66 |
Win
|
100 |
54 h 39 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the N.C. State Wolfpack. The LSU Tigers were one of four teams tied with a record of 11-7 in the SEC. At times they looked like one of the best teams in their conference, but were wildly inconsistent. They lost their final home game to Tennessee, and then they were eliminated by Auburn in the first round of the conference tourney just nine days later. The Wolfpack won five of their final six games of the regular season, and after beating Pittsburgh in the first round of the AAC Tournament, they were knocked out by #2 ranked Duke. N.C. State finished sixth in the ACC with a record of 10-8, but they compiled an impressive resume of wins over ranked opponents, beating Duke, North Carolina and Louisville. They also came very close to upsetting Notre Dame and Virginia. This is a team that has been consistently competitive against the nation's best teams, and I think they are a far better team than LSU (even on a good day). The Tigers are heavily dependent on forwards Jordan Mickey and Jarell Martin, but Mickey recently missed a game due to illness, and scored just 1 point in 15 minutes in the loss to Auburn. If he's not 100% healthy (it doesn't appear that he is), then the Tigers are in trouble. Take NCST. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-19-15 |
Purdue -105 v. Cincinnati |
Top |
65-66 |
Loss |
-105 |
14 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Purdue Boilermakers.
The experts appear to be in agreement that the Bearcats and the Boilermakers are teams that are almost a mirror image of one and other. The two defensive powerhouses each rank among the nation's leaders in several defensive categories. The Boilermakers though faced far tougher teams in the Big-10, while Cincinnati faces mostly below average teams in the AAC. The Bearcats were knocked out of the AAC Tournament by Connecticut, losing by a score of 57-54 last Friday. The Huskies have since been eliminated from the NIT after losing at home to Arizona State last night. Cincinnati will have to try to contain Purdue's Big Men A.J. Hammons and Isaac Haas, both towering over seven feet. Needless to say the Boilermakers are expected to own the boards in tonight's game. I just don't see this scrappy Purdue team that has covered the points in 10 of it's last 14 (vs Big-10), losing to a pretty average Cincinnati team.
Take PUR.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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03-19-15 |
Northeastern v. Notre Dame -12 |
Top |
65-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
27 h 25 m |
Show
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This is an 8* play on Notre Dame. The Irish come in to the NCAA Tournament off consecutive upsets over Duke and North Carolina to claim the ACC Title. They are a double digit favorite over Northeastern, but I don't think they'll have much trouble covering the spread against an inferior opponent here. I find it hard to be impressed by the Huskies first place finish in the CAA, as there just aren't any quality opponent's in their league. Their non-conference schedule didn't include a lot of quality teams either, and they were blown out by Harvard and UMASS. The Irish rank second overall in the country shooting 51% from the field this season, and they shot 54.2% in the win over the Tar Heels Saturday. For whatever reason, Notre Dame just isn't getting the respect due to a team with a 29-5 record, and that was true when they were an underdog to the Tar Heels. I don't see Northeastern keeping up offensively, and we should see Notre Dame win by a substantial margin. Take ND. GL, Jesse Schule
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03-18-15 |
Boise State v. Dayton -178 |
Top |
55-56 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 50 m |
Show
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This is an 8* play on the Dayton Flyers. Boise State didn't impress in a loss to Wyoming on Friday, and I don't like their chances of beating the Flyers who are the first team in 28 years to play on their home court in the NCAA Tournament. Dayton was 16-0 on it's home court this season, and is 21-0 at home since midway through last season. The Flyers went all the way to the Sweet 16 last year, and that wasn't the first time they had success in the tournament. The Broncos on the other hand have appeared in the tournament six times previously, with six losses to show for it. Playing one of the top teams in the competitive A-10 Conference is likely going to prove to be a tough test for a Boise State team that doesn't see a lot of quality opponents in the Mountain West. That's especially true this year as both San Diego State and New Mexico were not as strong as they have been in the past. Dayton won it's most recent home game by double digits versus Rhode Island, and they shot 57.1% from the field in that game. If the Flyers play anywhere near as good tonight, Boise State will be in for another early exit. Take DAY. GL, Jesse Schule
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03-17-15 |
UTEP +5 v. Murray State |
Top |
66-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
31 h 18 m |
Show
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This is an 8* play on UTEP. The Murray State Racers are getting a lot of press, as some have questioned why they were left out of the NCAA Tournament. Dick Vitale even gave a rant on national television in which he said he felt that the committee was rewarding mediocre teams that were less deserving of a spot. I am going to have to strongly disagree with Dickie "V", as a perfect 16-0 record in the Ohio Valley conference doesn't impress me at all. The fact remains that Murray State only played two teams that made the tournament, and they lost those two games by a combined 62 points. They lost 89-62 at Xavier, and were blown out by a score of 93-58 in a neutral site game against Valparaiso. Now they enter the NIT as a big favorite against a UTEP team that has faced no shortage of quality opponents in it's non-conference schedule. The Miners beat Xavier (yes the same team that crushed Murray State), and won by double digits at home to Washington State. They also played close games against Colorado State, Washington and Arizona. They lost to the #3 ranked Wildcats by just five points back in December. The Miners have lost just three of their last 13 overall, and two of those losses came by less than five points. Take UTEP. GL, Jesse Schule
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03-16-15 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Washington Wizards -1.5 |
Top |
97-105 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 14 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on the Washington Wizards.
The Wizards seem to have gotten their swagger back, coming into tonight's game as winners of three straight and four in a row at home. They host Portland tonight, and the Blazers are on a roll as well. Portland crushed the Raptors by a score of 113-97 in Toronto last night, but I think they'll find it tough to deliver a repeat performance in the back end of a back to back here in Washington. The Wizards haven't had any trouble in recent home games versus Portland, winning six of their last seven. This is a tough spot for Portland in the middle of a five game East Coast road trip, and I expect them to suffer a bit of a let down after a big win last night. John Wall comes in averaging 22.3 points per game during the Wizards win streak, and he dropped 31 points on the Kings on Saturday. "I think it all started with me," Wall said of the slump. "I didn't have no legs or the energy after the All-Star break. And the way I play (is) the way this team goes. I'm kind of the leader of it." Look for Wall to out-duel Lillard tonight in the nation's capital.
Take WAS.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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03-14-15 |
Michigan State v. Maryland +2.5 |
Top |
62-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Maryland Terrapins. Maryland finished second in the Big-10 behind Wisconsin, and they come into Saturday's semifinal game against Michigan State as winners of eight in a row. One of those wins was a 59-55 upset over Wisconsin, and the Terps also swept the season series versus Sparty. It's Michigan State though that has won a national title, a runner-up finish and been to the Final Four six times since 1999 under head coach Tom Izzo. Perhaps that is the reason why they are a favorite against a team with a better record, that has owned them this season. In my mind Maryland should be a slight favorite here, and the fact that they are getting points in a game that could well be decided in the final minute, makes this play worthy of a 10* rating. The Terps have won all three of their neutral site games this season, and they are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games on neutral territory. Maryland's leading scorer Melo Trimble lit up the Spartans for 24 points on 8-of-16 shooting in a 75-59 home win in the most recent meeting between these two teams. Again .. who's the underdog? Take Maryland. GL, Jesse Schule
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03-14-15 |
Temple v. SMU -170 |
Top |
56-69 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 5 m |
Show
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This is an 8* play on the SMU Mustangs.
The #20 ranked Mustangs will take on Temple in the AAC Tournament Semifinal on Saturday, and they are a slight favorite. SMU finished at the top of the conference standings, two game ahead of the Owls. They also swept the season series, winning both games by a combined 14 points. The Owls come in as winners of 11 of their last 13, but they suffered a huge blow when Jaylen Bond suffered a sprained ankle in the first half against Memphis. He led the AAC in rebounding during the regular season, and coach Fran Dunphy knows he will be missed: "He's obviously our best forward defender so if he doesn't play that will hurt us a little bit, but we've got to control what we can control," Dunphy said. "We have to do a good job of running offense. ... A kid like Nic Moore, he stepped up and hurt us a couple times in his last two games, but we need to play really well." The Owls have failed to cover in four of their last five neutral site games, and I expect them to come up short here again this afternoon.
Take SMU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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03-13-15 |
Oklahoma U +1 v. Iowa State |
Top |
65-67 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 21 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma Sooners.
I had the Sooners last night in their win over rivals Oklahoma State, and here is what I said prior to the game: " Oklahoma also closed the season on a red hot run, winning nine of their last 11. I actually bet against them in both of their two losses during that span, and count myself very lucky to have escaped disaster when they blew a 20+ point lead at Iowa State. The Sooners have the Big-12 player of the year, and conference scoring leader in Buddy Hield..." Tonight's game will be an opportunity for Oklahoma to avenge that terrible loss to the Cyclones, and I like their chances here in Kansas City. The Cyclones got off to a slow start in last night's game versus Texas, trailing by double-digits at the half. They rallied and ended up winning with a buzzer beater, but were fortunate to have escaped with a win. I think their luck is due to run out tonight.
Take OKLA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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03-13-15 |
Indiana v. Maryland -135 |
Top |
69-75 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Maryland Terrapins.
Maryland finished the regular season in second place behind Wisconsin, and it comes into tonight's Quarterfinal matchup with Indiana riding a seven game win streak. That run began with a 68-66 home win over the Hoosiers, who lost four of their final games of the season. Indiana was able to cruise to an easy win over Big-10 bottom feeder Northwestern on Thursday, but will certainly face a tougher challenge from a well rested Terps team just 24 hours later. They won't have the services of forward Hanner Mosquera-Perea who was injured in the win over the Wildcats. "Hanner plays a big part in this group, but whoever needs to step up, I know they will," forward Emmitt Holt said. "We're all in this together, so whatever happens happens." The Hoosiers are 2-2 in neutral site games this season, while the Terps are 2-0 on neutral territory. Maryland is 11-3 ATS in it's last 14 games at a neutral site.
Take MD.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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03-12-15 |
Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma -175 |
Top |
49-64 |
Win
|
100 |
44 h 12 m |
Show
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This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma Sooners. The Sooners will face Big-12 rivals Oklahoma State in the conference tournament Thursday, and despite a history of close games between these two teams, I think they are actually miles apart at the moment. The Sooners swept the season series, winning the two games by a combined 25 point margin. Oklahoma also closed the season on a red hot run, winning nine of their last 11. I actually bet against them in both of their two losses during that span, and count myself very lucky to have escaped disaster when they blew a 20+ point lead at Iowa State. The Sooners have the Big-12 player of the year, and conference scoring leader in Buddy Hield, who lit up the Cowboys for 27 points on a perfect 10-for-10 shooting in an 82-65 win in the first meeting between these teams this season. He's averaged over 21 points in his last three games, helping the Sooners defeat Kansas and TCU. The Cowboys have a lot to overcome here, with a significant disadvantage in rebounding as well as shooting. Oklahoma State has failed to cover in 10 of it's last 14 neutral site games, and it's going to take a miracle to avoid defeat against a vastly superior Sooners team tonight. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule
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03-09-15 |
Golden State Warriors v. Phoenix Suns +5 |
Top |
98-80 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns are still alive in the Western Conference playoff race, although trailing Oklahoma City by 2.5 games. They are at home tonight hosting the Golden State Warriors, who they have actually dominated over the years. The Warriors come in as favorites, but given that they sit in a comfortable spot at the top of the West standings, 5.5 games up on the slumping second place Grizzlies, there isn't a lot of urgency for the visitors.
Golden State played at home last night, beating the Clippers by a score of 106-98. Playing the back end of a back to back on the road, and also a third game in four nights, looks like a potential throw away game. I can't see Kerr letting Curry and Thompson log a lot of minutes tonight.
The Warriors haven't been a good bet at the best of times, failing to cover in eight of their last 10 away from Oakland. They've lost three straight in Phoenix, and a whopping 70 of 82 trips to the desert since 1980.
I think the home dog should come to play tonight, and I wouldn't at all be surprised to see the outright upset win for Phoenix.
Take PHX.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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03-07-15 |
Missouri v. Mississippi State -5.5 |
Top |
43-52 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 33 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Mississippi State Bulldogs. The Missouri Tigers will wrap up the regular season on the road at Mississippi State, and even if they were to win this game, the best they could hope for is a last place tie with Auburn in the SEC standings. That doesn't provide a lot of motivation for the visitors, and they face a Bulldogs team that is all geared up to finish the season with a win on Senior Day. The Tigers have been brutal on the road, with an ATS record of 3-12-1 in their last 16 road games. Missouri's leading scorer is injured for the remainder of the season, and they certainly missed him in their last road game. They shot just 14-of-49 (28.6%) from the field in a 68-44 loss to Georgia. I expect to see them struggle here in Mississippi as well, and another double digit loss appears to be a likely result. Take MISST. GL, Jesse Schule
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03-06-15 |
Pacific v. San Francisco -4.5 |
Top |
58-62 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play on the San Francisco Dons.
The San Francisco Dons will face Pacific in the first round of the WCC Tournament on Friday, and the Dons just beat the Tigers last week. San Francisco was 24-of-50 (48%) from the field in a 65-55 home win over Pacific last Saturday. The Dons have won four straight in this series, with all of those wins coming by five or more points. The Tigers have covered the spread in just three of their last seven overall, while the Dons have been one of the best bets in the West Coast Conference in recent seasons. San Francisco is 49-22 ATS in it's last 71 versus conference opponents. Pacific has just three wins in it's last 14 games overall, and it looks like a tough ask for it to compete with a superior opponent in this neutral site game.
Take SF.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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03-06-15 |
Miami Heat v. Washington Wizards -180 |
Top |
97-99 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 39 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play on the Washington Wizards.
The demise of the Washington Wizards seemed to come out of nowhere. The Wizards looked like one of the best teams in the league through the first half of the season, but all of a sudden they've dropped 11 of 14 overall. I think it's only a matter of time before this team gets it's swagger back, and the return of Bradley Beal is certainly going to help. Beal has returned to the lineup, and tonight will be his third game back. The Heat on the other hand will not have Chris Bosh for the rest of the season, and they've listed Chalmers, Anderson and Deng all as questionable to play tonight. This appears to indicate that coach Erik Spoelstra intends to rest players tonight in the nation's capital. The Wizards are still 21-10 in Washington, and they've won three straight home meetings versus Miami.
Take WAS.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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03-02-15 |
Oklahoma v. Iowa State -4.5 |
Top |
70-77 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 26 m |
Show
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This is a 5* play on the Iowa State Cyclones.
Iowa State is coming off back to back losses to K-State and Baylor. They had won 14 straight at home before falling victim to a clinical shooting display by the Bears last week. Baylor shot 14-of-26 (53.8%) from three point range in that game, and I don't think Oklahoma can pull that off here on the road tonight. The Sooners have lost three straight visits to Ames, and they are just 5-5 on the road this season. They are only averaging 68.8 points per game on the road, while the Cyclones are averaging a whopping 82.1 points per game at home. Oklahoma has failed to cover in five of it's last seven road games, and tonight's contest appears to be a tougher challenge than most of those previous seven games.
Take ISU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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02-28-15 |
BYU +12 v. Gonzaga |
Top |
73-70 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 15 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play on the BYU Cougars.
The Cougars come in hot as winners of five straight, but they are a double digit dog on the road at Gonzaga tonight. The Bulldogs have also been cruising, winning 22 in a row. They came very close to a loss just last Saturday though, needing to come back from an 11 point halftime deficit to beat the second place St. Mary's Gaels. They went on to win that game by a score of 70-60, but that score is a little deceiving, as Gonzaga scored eight unanswered points in the final 61 seconds. The Cougars lead the nation in scoring averaging 84.4 points per game, and they've covered the spread in eight of their last 11 road games. They lost their last visit to Spokane by a score of 75-64, close enough to cover the big number in tonight's game. With the visitors getting such a big cushion, I'll take the points.
Take BYU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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02-28-15 |
Northern Iowa v. Wichita State -6 |
Top |
60-74 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 38 m |
Show
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This is a 7* play on the Wichita State Shockers (1st Half).
Wichita State was shocked by the Northern Illinois Panthers in Cedar Falls at the end of January, but the Shockers have since won seven straight. Three of those seven wins have come at home, by an average margin of 23 points. Wichita State owns a 14-0 record at home, and since 2012 the Shockers have won all three of their home games versus Northern Iowa by a double digit margin. Aside from the loss to the Panthers, Wichita State has cruised through conference play. That's not the case for Northern Iowa, who lost on the road at Evansville. This is a revenge spot for the Shockers, and I expect them to come out in the first half with a well executed game plan. The Shockers are the creme of the crop in this conference, and that's unlikely to change today.
Take WICH.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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02-26-15 |
Oregon State v. Stanford -8 |
Top |
48-75 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
02-25-15 |
Washington v. UCLA -9.5 |
Top |
66-88 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 55 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the UCLA Bruins.
The Bruins aren't the Pac-12 powerhouse that they used to be, but they've still been very good at home this season. UCLA is 13-1 at home, and hosting the Washington Huskies tonight will give them an opportunity to add to those numbers. Washington opened the season with 11 straight wins, but have since won just four of their next 15. They upset their rivals Washington State on Saturday, but I think that sets up a let down here on the road just a few days later. Ultimately this game doesn't mean a lot to the Huskies, who could be looking ahead to their final two home games against Utah and Colorado. Washington has really missed big man Robert Upshaw, who lead the nation in blocked shots before his dismissal from the team. UCLA should win big here at home.
Take UCLA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-25-15 |
Baylor v. Iowa State -5.5 |
Top |
79-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 2 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Iowa State Cyclones.
The Cyclones will put their perfect 14-0 home record to the test tonight, hosting the Baylor Bears. Iowa State is hot right now, coming off back to back road win over Oklahoma State and Texas. The Bears have won consecutive games against Big-12 lightweights K-State and Texas Tech, but had previously lost to Kansas and Oklahoma State by a combined 19 points. Baylor has a tough history in previous trips to Iowa, where they've never won. They've also failed to cover in nine straight road games versus the Cyclones. The Bears beat the Cyclones in Waco earlier this year, but I expect Iowa State to avenge that loss here with a double digit home win.
Take ISU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-24-15 |
Texas A&M +7.5 v. Arkansas |
Top |
75-81 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 5 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Texas A&M Aggies.
The Aggies trail Arkansas by just one game in the SEC standings, but they are a big dog here tonight. Texas A&M has won 10 of it's last 12, and four of it's last five on the road.
The Razorbacks though are 16-1 at home. Guess how many of those wins came against SEC teams with a winning record? The answer might surprise you, as not one of their six home wins during conference play have come against teams with a winning record (withing the conference).
The Aggies are 5-2 on the road during conference play, and they should enjoy a significant advantage on the glass here tonight. The Razorbacks narrowly escaped with a 65-61 win at Mississippi State, and the Bulldogs out-rebounded them 42-31. Arkansas has been losing the battle on the boards at a rate of -6.4 in their last five. The Aggies have averaged 3.9 rebounds more than their opposition over their last 12 games.
The Aggies rank among the top teams in the conference defensively, and they should be able to keep this game close.
Take TAM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-24-15 |
Florida v. Missouri +7 |
Top |
52-64 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 46 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Missouri Tigers.
Missouri has lost 13 straight since opening conference play with a win over LSU back on January 8th. They are a home dog to Florida tonight, and the Gators have lost five of their last six. The one win during that span came at home by a score of 50-47 over Vanderbilt. The Gators have just two wins in nine game games on the road, and both of those wins came by less than five points. Florida's leading scorer Michael Frazier remains sidelined with an ankle injury, and the team has struggled without him. Florida lost it's last visit to Missouri by a score of 63-60.
Take MIZZ.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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