Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-22-21 | Pacers v. Bucks -10 | Top | 113-140 | Win | 100 | 29 h 50 m | Show |
The set-up: Indiana is coming off a hard-fought 109-106 OT victory in Miami just last night and I think it'll stumble here as it comes in "gassed." The Pacers managed to win both in Miami, but an imminent letdown does in fact seem, imminent. The pick: Milwaukee is coming off six straight SU victories, but it's gone just 2-4 ATS in that span, including going 0-2 ATS the last two. The Bucks hammered the Pacers 130-110 the last time these teams faced off and all signs point to a similar style beatdown here in my opinion. A great situational play, as I think that the Pacers are tired, and I expect the home side to push the pace and pull away down the stretch. This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Bucks. |
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03-19-21 | Kings v. Celtics -7 | Top | 107-96 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
The set-up: I think this one sets up well for the Celtics. Sacramento plays better at home than on the road, and after its 121-119 win oat Washington two nights ago, an inevitable letdown is imminent. Note that not only is it a "letdown" spot for the visiting side, but it's also a "look-ahead" spot as well with a game in Philadelphia tomorrow night. The pick: BOston has lost two in a row and is in desperation mode. The Celtics also play with revenge here after falling 116-111 in Sacramento in early February. It's a perfect set of situational circumstances working in favor of Boston tonight, so lay the points with confidence. This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Cetlics. |
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03-18-21 | Thunder +7 v. Hawks | Top | 93-116 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
The set-up: The Thunder have split their last ten games. Overall they average 106.4 PPG, while allowing 112.1. Atlanta is on a six-game win streak. The Hawks average 112.9 PPG, while allowing 111.4. OKC though has performed well in this spot for bettors, going 4-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss. The Thunder are also a great 13-7 ATS on the road this season. The pick: With an eight-game extended Western road swing starting at the Lakers on Saturday night, there's no question that this also sets up as a "look ahead" spot for the home side. The Thunder have been trading good starts with bad of late, but with upcoming road dates at Houston and Minnesota, a three-game win skein is a very real possibility. I like the "hungrier" team to at the very least, keep this one close down the stretch. This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Thunder. |
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03-17-21 | Clippers v. Mavs +2.5 | Top | 89-105 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
The set-up: These two teams are evenly matched, but after losing 109-99 to the Clippers here two nights ago, I expect the Mavericks to lay everything on the line here to avenge that setback. Note that the Mavs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which it scored 100 or less points in. The pick: The Clippers have been alternating ATS wins/losses over their last four games and I look for that pattern to continue here, especially with three whole nights off after this before a home game against the Hornets. While the outright win is clearly not out of the question, I'm still grabbing the points. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Mavericks. |
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03-16-21 | Wolves +9 v. Lakers | Top | 121-137 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
The set-up: Obviously the Lakers are the better team. LA is still having to play without the services of big man AD though, so consistency from game to game has been an issue for the defending champs of late. Minnesota has had problems since Day 1 this year (COVID, injuries), but it comes in playing its best basketball of the season, having covered in three straight and going 2-1 SU as well. With two road games at Phoenix upcoming, the road ahead isn't going to get any kinder for the Wolves either. Not surprisingly, Minnesota plays with revenge here as well after a 112-104 loss as a six-point dog in early February. The pick: The Lakers have won and covered in two straight since the break, but a letdown is imminent here facing this lowly Wolves side and with LaMelo Ball and the Hornets (Jordan), coming to town on Thursday. I look for the hungrier visiting side to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the points. This is a 10* UNDERDOG BEST OF THE BEST on the T-Wolves. |
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03-16-21 | Knicks +7 v. 76ers | 96-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
The set-up: I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the Knicks. New York has covered in three of its last four games and gone 2-2 SU in that span. Last time out it fell 117-112 at Brooklyn. If you sleep on the Knicks this year, Julius Randle and company are going to burn you. New York plays with revenge after falling 109-89 to Philly on December 26th, but the Knicks have made big strides since then. And with a game at home against Orlando on Thursday, New York has nothing to look past to in this revenge spot. The pick: Philly continues to do well without big man Joel Embiid in the line-up, as it's won and covered in three straight since the break. But with a game at home tomorrow night vs. the surging Bucks, this absolutely sets up as a "look ahead" spot for the home side. This is a classic "trap" for Philly here and I expect it to fall in. Grab the points. This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Knicks. |
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03-14-21 | Jazz v. Warriors +6.5 | Top | 119-131 | Win | 100 | 23 h 44 m | Show |
The set-up: Are the Jazz a better overall team than the Warriors? Their win/loss record would certainly indicate that. However, I think this one sets up well for the home side to at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Utah's numbers both defensively and offensively are superior, but after its rather easy victory at home over the Rockets, and with upcoming road contests at Boston, Washington, Toronto and Chicago, this sets up as a look-ahead spot for the visiting side. The pick: No such luxury for the Warriors though, who not only play with revenge here after falling 127-108 to the Jazz back on January 23rd, but who have lost four straight overall. Note that GS is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games after three games or longer losing ATS/SU streak. A great situational call on the home side here in my opinion. Grab the points. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Warriors. |
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03-13-21 | Kings v. Hawks -4 | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 30 h 28 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Kings beat the Rockets 125-105 before the break. Sacramento has struggled on the road though this season and I think it'll have its hands full here vs. this rested home side. Note that the Kings are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven as an undredog. The pick: Atlanta looks for its fourth straight win here, and it's definitely been better at home than on the road. Sacramento is also a terrible 3-10 ATS in its last 13 here, while the Hawks are 4-0 ATS the last four in this series. Home court DOES matter here, so lay that points. This is an 8* PLAY-BOOK on the ATL Hawks. |
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03-11-21 | 76ers v. Bulls -2.5 | Top | 127-105 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
The set-up: Philadelphia is 24-12 and the Bulls are 16-18. Philly is going to have to make some adjustments coming out of the break, with a few key players still on the COVID list. Overall the 76ers are averaging 114.7 PPG, while allowing 111.2. The pick: The Bulls have won six of their last nine games. Overall Chicago is averaging 115 PPG, while allowing 115.2. Chicago comes in healthier than its been in a long time and it plays with revenge. Note as well that the 76ers are just 13-36-2 ATS in their last 51 on the road, while the Bullds are a solid 4-1 ATS in their last five as the favorite. Philly struggles on the road even with its best players in the line-up, but with Simmons and Embiid out, I have a hard time seeing the visiting side competing whatsoever today. Lay the points. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Bulls. |
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03-10-21 | Spurs +5.5 v. Mavs | Top | 104-115 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams are hungry for a win here. San Antonio entered the break just at the right time, as it had lost three of its final five. The Mavs won three straight heading into the break, so the timing was very bad for them. Also note that Luke Doncic is questionable for this contest and if he does play, he's not going to be at 100%. The pick: Finally note that San Antonio is 5-2 ATS in its last seven on the road, while the Mavericks are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine vs. clubs with winning records. Expect this rested Spurs team to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points. This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the San Antonio Spurs. |
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03-01-21 | Jazz v. Pelicans +7 | Top | 124-129 | Win | 100 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
The set-up: The Pelicans have been alternating SU/ATS wins/losses over their last five games and they most recently come off a 117-114 road loss as 2.5 point favorites at San Antonio. They also play with revenge here after losing 129-118 to the Jazz as 6.5 point underdogs back on January 21st. Clearly the Pelicans have all the motivation they need right in front of them here, but also note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games after allowing 115 or more points in a SU/ATS road loss in their previous outing. The pick: Utah's the better team, I won't try to convince you otherwise, but I simly feel this spread is too large for it to cover. With a more high-profile and "tougher" game looming at Philadelphia on Wednesday, this is also a prime "look ahead" spot for the visiting side. A great situational play that I'm taking out of my PLAY-BOOK. Grab the points. This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the New Orleans Pelicans. |
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02-26-21 | Clippers -6 v. Grizzlies | Top | 119-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
The set-up: No need to overthink this one. These teams played just last night and the Grizzlies managed the outright win as 8.5 point underdogs. Coming into that contest the Clippers had been on quite the run, but they still have a chance to catch the idle Lakers, who have been struggling without big man AD in the lineup. Now this line has dropped a couple points and the "better" team in this matchup plays with revenge and has all the motivation it now needs to bounce back and crush the Grizzlies. The pick: Memphis had been on an extended losing streak leading up to that point and it played with revenge as well. With both those motivational factors now out of the way, an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent in my opinion. I look for the visiting side to make a quick and immediate response in this bounce-back revenge scenario. Lay the points. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the LA Clippers. |
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02-25-21 | Wizards v. Nuggets -7 | Top | 112-110 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 30 m | Show |
The set-up: I like Denver here. Washington had won five in a row, before a blowout loss to the Clippers in its last outing. This will be the Wizards fourth and final game of their road trip, and with a much "easier" game at home vs. Minnesota on Saturday, there's no doubt that this one sets up as a classic "let-down/look-ahead" spot as well. The pick: The Nuggets have last two straight against the spread, falling 123-115 at Atlanta as 2.5 point favorites, before then beating Portland 111-106 at home in their last outing, unable to cover the 6 point spread. After this game though the Nuggets hit the road for an extended five-game trip, so that definitely puts added importance onto tonight's contest for the home side here. Finally note that the Nugs play with revenge as well after falling 130-128 in the Nation's capital in mid February as 2.5 point favorites. This one has ATS "B-L-O-W-O-U-T" written all over it. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Denver Nuggets. |
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02-24-21 | Hornets +9.5 v. Suns | Top | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
The set-up: The Hornets are off a 132-110 loss at Utah, but I think they'll keep tonight's contest much closer. Outright victory? It's possible, but in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. Phoenix has won three straight, scoring 132-, 128 and 132 points in the process, most recently blasting Portland 132-100. But with a three-game road trip up next, starting in Chicago, and ending at the Lakers, this definitely sets up as a "look ahead" spot for Phoenix. The pick: Charlotte has been alternating against the spread wins and losses over its last six games and that pattern is going to continue here. The Hornets have a difficult schedule before the All Star game, finising out the remainder with every game on the road, so this is a team which can't afford to look past any body or anything at this point. The Hornets are 6-0 ATS in their last six following a loss of more than ten points as well. Grab the points. This is a 10* SHOCKER OF THE MONTH on the Charlotte Hornets. |
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02-22-21 | Wizards +6.5 v. Lakers | Top | 127-124 | Win | 100 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
The set-up: The Lakers have been struggling a bit without Antony Davis in the line-up. LeBron James has recently vowed to find a way to bridge the gap and fill the void until he returns, but easier said than done in my opinion. Washington on the other hand comes to town finally playing its best basketball of the year and there's no way this visiting side will take the foot off the gas. Russell Westbrook has worked hard and finally found some chemistry with Bradley Beal, as the Wizards have won four straight SU/ATS, including over some pretty big name teams. The pick: Scheduling wise it favors Washington as well, as the Wiz will lay everything on the line here as they have a game tomorrow night at the Clippers. The Lakers on the other hand are in prime "look-ahead" territory with a road game at West leading Utah up next on Wednesday. A currently red hot team, facing an injured defending champion side which can't help itself looking ahead to its much more important conference matchup up next. This one actually has outright upset written all over it, but let's grab up all these points! This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Washington Wizards. |
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02-18-21 | Raptors v. Bucks -6.5 | Top | 110-96 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
The set-up: I'm all about picking "spots." Here's a good one for Milwaukee in my opinion. The Bucks have issues this year, but they play with immediate revenge after losing here to the Raptors 124-113 two nights ago. That was the Bucks fourth straight SU/ATS loss in a row and suffice it to say, I expect Milwaukee to hit the panic button and play with extreme desperation here as it tries to break the slide. OKC is in town tomorrow night, but the Bucks won't be looking past Eastern rival Toronto obviously. The pick: With a game at Minnesota tomorrow though, the Raptors could easily be caught looking ahead to that much more "winnable" game, content with having already earned a hard-fought split against the Bucks. From a situational stand-point, it definitely is a great play on the Bucks here in my opinion. But also note, Milwaukee is 7-1 ATS in its last eight in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed 120 or more points in. I'm laying the points and expecting a major blowout. This is a 10* REVENGE BEST OF THE BEST on the Bucks. |
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02-17-21 | Knicks v. Magic +4 | Top | 89-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
The set-up: New York is playing well, as it enters on a three-game win streak. The Knicks are needing massive games every night from Julius Randle to pull these out though and I think he and the rest of the visiting side are in for a bit of a letdown on the road here finally. The pick: The Magic on the other hand are out to bounce back at home here off a 19 point road loss to the Suns. Previous to that they broke a slide with a win at Sacramento. This is a revenge game for the Magic as well after they lost by seven in The Big Apple in mid January. New York only shot 36 percent in that victory as well, but got another big game from Randle. However, as I stated above, I can't see that happening again here and especially now that the Knicks are hitting the road. Note that the Magics are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after losing by 15 or more points SU/ATS on the road in their last outing as well. I'm grabbing the points. This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Orlando Magic. |
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02-16-21 | Nuggets v. Celtics -3 | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
The set-up: I think this one sets up well from a situational stand point for Boston. In this season of "COVID," situational handicapping has become very useful in certain...situations. Denver is coming off a big home win over the Lakers and it has a game at Washington tomorrow night. The Celtics have lost three in a row and are desperate for a victory before Atlanta comes to town for a two-game set, starting tomorrow night. One of these teams is desperate, the other is very content. The pick: Additionally note that the C's are 7-2 ATS in their last nine non-conference home games following a three games or longer SU losing streak. I'm expecting a blowout once the final horn sounds, so lay the points with confidence. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Celtics. |
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02-11-21 | Pacers v. Pistons +4 | Top | 111-95 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 28 m | Show |
The set-up: The Pacers are 11-12 and they're on a four-game losing streak after falling 104-94 to the Nets just last night. The Pistons won't be lacking for motivation here, they're 6-18 and coming off a 122-111 win over Brooklyn on Tuesday. Indiana has struggled defensively this year, conceding 111.9 PPG. In the second game of the back-to-back, I think they'll have their hands full here with this hungry home side. The pick: Detroit hasn't been much worse defensively, allowing 113.5. Indiana has started to slide and playing the second game of the back to back on the road against a desperate Detroit team is not what the doctor ordered to get back on track in my estimation. The Pistons and Jerami Grant have an opportunity here to win this one outright as they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine after scoring 120 or more points in a SU/ATS victory in their last outing. I'm grabbing the points, but would not be shocked by an outright upset. This is a 10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR on the Detroit Pistons. |
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02-09-21 | Rockets v. Pelicans -4 | Top | 101-130 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
The set-up: New Orleans has won three straight. The Pelicans catch Houston off a 119-94 loss in Charlotte just last night. New Orleans also plays with revenge here after losing to the Rockets just two weeks ago. The Pels also hit the road for five games starting tomorrow night in Chicago, so that makes tonight's contest extra important. The pick: Frankly, Houston has overachieved since the James Harden trade and it's definitely starting to show some "cracks in the armor." I base my picks on many different things, but from a situational standpoint, they simply do not get much better than this. I look for a completely lop-sided blowout here for the home side. This is a 10* REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Pelicans. |
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02-08-21 | Wolves v. Mavs -8.5 | Top | 122-127 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
The set-up: Minnesota is having another difficult season, mainly due to injuries and COVID. The Wolves enter having lost three of their last four. Dallas enters having won two of three, most recently a 134-132 victory over the Warriors. Dallas is 4-1 SU the last five in this series at home and it's covered in seven of the last ten in this series overall. That includes going 4-6 ATS here in this building. Note that Minnesota's last remaining good player, D'Angelo Russell, is also questionable for this contest. The pick: Dallas may have won two of three, but it hasn't been pretty. The Mavericks have continued to struggle posting any ATS victories though, but I think that's finally about to change here. This is the perfect opponent to get back on track against defensviely and I expect the Mavericks' offense to continue to build chemistry as well. Look for a full four-quarter effort from the home side and lay the points with confidence. This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Dallas Mavericks. |
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02-04-21 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5 | Top | 93-114 | Win | 100 | 30 h 36 m | Show |
The set-up: Denver comes in off a satisfying win over Utah, as Nikola Jokic posted his ninth straight double-double. LA had lost four straight ATS, but they were able to break that slide with an 8-point road victory. The pick: The last four times Denver has come to play in this building, LA has averaged 121 points, while conceding just 109 to it. I think this trend of domination continues, as I don't think Denver has the defense to hang with the home side down the stretch. This is an important game and I expect The King and company to build off their latest ATS victory with an even stronger performance this evening. Lay the points. This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Lakers. |
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02-03-21 | Mavs +1.5 v. Hawks | 122-116 | Win | 100 | 29 h 23 m | Show | |
The set-up: Dallas will look to snap out of a six-game losing skid here. Devin Booker hit a last second shot and the Mavericks most recently fell at home to the Suns. Atlanta enters off an eight-point loss to the Lakers. Both teams have plenty of talent, but each has struggled at times this year. The pick: With a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are evenly matched. However, Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last eight non-conference road games after a five-games or longer SU losing streak. I like Luka Doncic and the now desperate Mavericks to lay everything on the line here and to find a way to earn a victory finally. Lay the short points. This is an 8* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Dallas Mavericks. |
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02-02-21 | Grizzlies v. Pacers -6.5 | Top | 116-134 | Win | 100 | 29 h 0 m | Show |
The set-up: Memphis is 8-6 and it's coming off a huge win in San Antonio just last night. Now it's 9-6. Suffice it to say, I think this sets up as a classic "letdown" spot, as Memphis now travels across country to play a non-conference game just 24 hours later. The pick: Indiana on the other hand is on a two-games losing streak. The Pacers will be desperate to break out of their slump and I think this is the perfect situation in which to do that. These team's offensive and defensive numbers are similar, but note that Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games after a two-games or longer SU losing streak. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout. This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Indiana Pacers. |
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02-01-21 | Suns v. Mavs -1.5 | Top | 109-108 | Loss | -112 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
The set-up: After three straight losses, the Suns have now won two in a row, including a 111-105 victory over these very Mavericks on Saturday. The Suns are playing without Devin Booker right now, so the Mavericks have no excuse in this revenge scenario. And not only does Dallas play with revenge here, it's also out to break a five-game losing streak. For all intents and purposes, this is absolutely a "must win" scenario for Luka Doncic and company. The pick: Betting on sports isn't about simply looking at team's averages and figuring out if they can cover a spread. Indeed, there's so many other factors to take into account and in this case, I still think Dallas is the better team on paper and on the floor. There's just been zero chemistry for this Dallas team this year for some reason. But that's about to change. Doncic and Porzingis are a forced to be reckoned with and I thnk they'll will their team to its best win of the year tonight. I'm laying the short points. The is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Dallas Mavericks. |
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01-31-21 | Nets v. Wizards +8 | Top | 146-149 | Win | 100 | 29 h 54 m | Show |
The set-up: Hey, I'm all about betting a really great "situation," and that's definitely the case here for the Wizards in my opinion. The Nets are off a 147-125 win over the Thunder in their latest game, but with a much more high-profile game against the Clippers at home on Tuesday, I think the visiting side gets got "looking ahead." The Wizards on the other hand won't be lacking for motivation here after four straight losses. The pick: The Nets are also just 1-5 ATS in their last six after scoring 145 or more points in a SU/ATS home victory in their last outing, while the Wizards are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after four or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. The Nets are the better team, but this is about the overall "situation," which I've outlined definitely favors the home side here. Grab the points. This a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the Washington Wizards. |
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01-28-21 | Blazers +2 v. Rockets | Top | 101-104 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 26 m | Show |
The set-up: I got down early and do not have a very good line (just +2), however I think the Blazers are going to win this one outright (that said, I'm still going to recommend to play with the points, rather than the moneyline.) My "Coach's Corner" packages are all about "situations." This one sets up GREAT for the Blazers in my opinion. The Blazers have lost three straight against the spread, going just 1-2 straight-up in the process, most recently a 125-122 home setback to the Thunder. Portland though comes in motivated to win here in my opinion after the scuffling stretch and because this is the opener of a big seven-game road trip. Also throw in the fact that it's a "revenge" game after a 128-126 OT loss back on December 26th. The pick: After three straight victories, and with a night off before a four-game Estern swing, I think the home side finally gets caught complacent and flat-footed here. I'm banking on the Blazers winning outright, but as I said up top, the official play will be to grab as many points as you can. The is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Portland Trailblazers. |
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01-24-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -7 | Top | 115-129 | Win | 100 | 27 h 7 m | Show |
The set-up: After winning three in a row, I think the Hawks finally have a small letdown here. The Bucks on the other hand are 9-6 and they'll be eager to atone for a 113-106 home loss to the Lakers on Thursday. Atlanta though is still only 2-5 ATS in its last seven road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The pick: This is a bad matchup for Atlanta though, as the Bucks have really skilled perimeter defenders in Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton. After back-to-back losses to the Nets and Lakers, look for the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one. The is a 10* EAST-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Bucks. |
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01-23-21 | Warriors +7 v. Jazz | Top | 108-127 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 36 m | Show |
The set-up: The Warriors are 8-7 and are coming off a loss to the Knicks on Thursday night. Previous to that GS beat the Lakers in a thriller on the road, followed by a solid victory over the Spurs at home. The Warriors have been better than most likely thought they'd have been without Klay Thompson in the lineup. Steph Curry and this potent Warriors line-up is going to be able to push this tough Jazz defense to the brink in my opinion. The pick: The Jazz have covered in seven straight, but Golden State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after scoring 105 points or less in a SU/ATS home loss in its last outing. I expect Golden State to come in focussed and while the outright is possible, let's grab the points. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Golden State Warriors. |
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01-21-21 | Knicks +5.5 v. Warriors | Top | 119-104 | Win | 100 | 16 h 4 m | Show |
The set-up: The Knicks have had two days off to prepare for this one, and they also play in Sacramento tomorrow night. I look for New York to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here as it takes advantage of a Warriors team that enters off a highly satisfying 121-99 win at home over the Spurs just last night. The pick: Both teams have been better than most expected this year. The Knicks have been the league's punching bag for years, but they aren't a complete pushover this season. The Knicks are off a 91-84 win over Orlando and note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine after holding their previous opponent to 85 or fewer points in a SU/ATS victory. A great situational play in my opinion and while the outright victory isn't out of the question, in the end, I'll recommend grabbing as many points as you can. This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH on the Knicks. |
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01-20-21 | Nets v. Cavs +10 | Top | 135-147 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
The set-up: This is expected to be the return of Kyrie Irving to the Nets line-up after he missed seven games due to personal reasons. Jarrett Allen and Taurean Prince face off against their former team after being dealt to the Cavs in the Harden deal. The Cavaliers are 6-7, most recently coming off a gritty 106-103 win over the Knicks. The Cavaliers are the best defensive team in the league, allowing just 103.9 PPG, and I think they're going to bring their "A" game tonight as they look to pull off the outright upset. The pick: Brooklyn looks really good, but I think consistency against weaker teams is going to be an issue for it this year. Irving is a distraction at this moment, not a benefit. I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but everything points this one being a lot closer than what this spread would suggest in my opinion. So grab the points! This is a 10* UNDERDOG ULTIMATE BLOWOUT on the Cavaliers. |
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01-19-21 | Pelicans +6.5 v. Jazz | Top | 102-118 | Loss | -104 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
The set-up: New Orleans finally broke a five-game slide with a 128-123 win at Sacramento in its last game. The Pelicans got 31 points from Zion Williamson, while Brandon Ingram added 22. Eric Bledsoe was also big with 21 points. Now New Orleans is in Utah for two straight, as these teams will play here again on Thursday night. This is their first game against each other this season. Last year the Jazz took three of four, but all were pretty competitive, including in Utah's 106-104 win back on July 30th of 2020 in the final one there. The pick: The Jazz lost 112-100 at the Knicks back on January 6th and they haven't lost since, not only winning five in a row, but also covering in five straight. So now I think public perception here has pushed up this line on the home side after its recent win streak, and I think the value has now swung to this hungry underdog team. Williamson is finally starting to his stride, so I expect him to build off his latest game and at the very least, take the Jazz down to the wire. This one definitely sets up well for the visiting side. The is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on New Orleans. |
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01-12-21 | Pacers v. Warriors +1 | Top | 104-95 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 50 m | Show |
The set-up: Indianapolis has a game in Sacramento against a desperate Kings team on Monday and I suspect that the Pacers will have their hands full with Sacramento, as it entered that one having lost two in a row and four of its last five. So from a situational standpoint alone, I absolutely feel this sets up great for Stephen Curry and the Warriors. Golden State has been better than most predicted I think. Especially after the first couple of games, as it appeared as if the Warriors would once again be a terrible team without Klay Thompson in the line-up. But that's obviously not the case, as Curry has been excellent and the younger pieces around him are definitely playing a lot better after that first awkward week. The pick: Curry had a 62 point game last week and while he was just 2 of 16 for 11 points vs. the Raptors in his last outing, Golden State still dug deep and pulled out the 106-105 victory. Toronto was desperate in that game as well to break out of its early season struggles, so the fact that the Warriors won that game despite Curry having such a poor performance I think speaks volumse to the current level that the Warriors are playing at right now. I believe the Pacers lay everything on the line to try and secure the victory against the weaker Kings on Monday night, and then I look for them to come out fatigued on Tuesday against this red hot Warriors side. This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE BEST OF THE BEST on Golden State. |
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01-12-21 | Spurs -1.5 v. Thunder | 112-102 | Win | 100 | 28 h 21 m | Show | |
The set-up: This pick is primiarly based upon the "situation" that each club finds itself in coming into this contest. It definitely sets up well for the Spurs in my opinion. Oklahoma City has won three straight, so this does set up as a bit of a natural letdown spot in my opinion. And with the Lakers in town tomorrow night, the Thunder are clearly going to get caught "looking ahead" to that much more high-profile contest vs. the defending champs. The pick: The Spurs on the other hand have won three of their last four, but they come in off a 96-88 setback at Minnesota in their last outing, dropping their last two ATS. Note as well that the Spurs are sharp 7-1 ATS in their last eight after scoring 90 points or less in a SU/ATS loss in their last outing. I'm laying the points and expecting a decisive victory for the visiting side. This is a 9* PLAY-BOOK on San Antonio. |
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01-11-21 | Pacers v. Kings +4.5 | Top | 122-127 | Win | 100 | 30 h 42 m | Show |
The set-up: These two non-conference opponents enter this game on other ends of the spectrum right now. Indiana has been doing well and Sacramento has been struggling. Indiana though had a two-game win streak snapped last time out in a 125-117 setback to the Suns. The Pacers had played five of their previous six at home and now they hit the road for an extended road swing, including a more high-profile game in Golden State tomorrow night. This absolutely (in my opinion anyways), sets up as a classic "letdown/look-ahead" spot for the visiting side. The pick: Conversely, the Kings come in desperate to break their recent shoddy play which has seen them drop five of their last six, including five in a row ATS. As mentioned off the top, this is what I believe to be a fanastic "situational" play and while the outright win isn't out of the question obviously, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Sacramento Kings. |
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01-08-21 | Jazz +6 v. Bucks | 131-118 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Jazz come to town off two straight losses to the Nets and Knicks. The Bucks have won three straight, most recently a 130-115 victory over Detroit. One of these teams is feeling a lot better about itself these days, while the other is on the verge of hitting the panic button. I obviously don't expect the Bucks to come out and overlook Utah, but I do think that the Jazz is for sure the "hungrier" dog in this fight. The pick: The Bucks could rest starters as well in the second half of this non-conference game, with Cleveland coming to town tomorrow night as well. The Jazz will be risking life and limb here to try and pull off the upset and while that may not happen, I do expect this one to be decided by whichever of these teams has it hands on the ball last. I'm grabbing the points. This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Utah Jazz. |
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01-08-21 | Hornets v. Pelicans -5.5 | Top | 118-110 | Loss | -117 | 26 h 13 m | Show |
The set-up: These teams are similar in a lot of respects. Their young, and their both hungry to prove themselves and to come out here and get a victory, but I think this is a matchup which favors New Orleans. After back-to-back victories, the Pelicans come in having lost two straight. Both losses though they were very competitive in, falling 118-116 in overtime at home to the red hot Pacers, before then losing 111-110 at home to Oklahoma City. This is an important game for New Orleans though, as after this it hits the road for seven straight road games against some really stiff competition, including the Mavericks, the Clippers, the Lakers and the Jazz. At 4-4, and off two straight losses, and just before a gruelling road trip, I'd call this a "must win" scenario almost for New Orleans. The pick: Who knows what type of effort you're going to get from the Hornets from night-to-night though. And especially on the road. And especially after they finall broke a three-game slide with a 102-94 win at Atlanta in their last game. And with a rematch at home against the Hawks tomorrow night, this also DEFINITELY sets up as a classic "look ahead" spot for the visiting side. So as I said off the top, I think this one sets up great from a situational stand point for the Pelicans, who I believe will risk life and limb today to not only secure the straight up victory, but also a solid against the spread one. This is a 10* BLOWOUT ELITE OF THE ELITE on the New Orleans Pelicans. |
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01-05-21 | Jazz v. Nets -3 | Top | 96-130 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
The set-up: No Kevin Durant? No problem! The Nets are floundering right now and I think the rest of the teams steps up and answers the call here at home finally without KD in the line-up. The Jazz have been playing a bit better, but they're definitely inconsistent and thin after Mitchell and Gobert. The pick: Brooklyn is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after four or more SU/ATS losses. Utah is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 road games after scoring 130 or more points in a SU/ATS victory (won 130-108 over the Spurs.) Bank on the desperate home side pulling away down the stretch. This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE BLOWOUT OF THE YEAR on the Brooklyn Nets. |
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01-04-21 | Hornets +10 v. 76ers | 101-118 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 24 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Hornets are the hungrier team here, as after winning two in a row, they come to Philly now having lost two in a row, most recently a 127-112 setback to these very 76ers two nights ago. Philly is 5-1 and I think will get caught complacent here vs. its lowly opponent. To say this is a "revenge" game as well would be an understatement, as Charlotte has lost 12 straight in this series. The pick: Philly coach Doc Rivers could rest some starters here as well. Finally note that Charlotte is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss of 15 or more points. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points. This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Charlotte Hornets. |
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01-03-21 | Wizards v. Nets -8.5 | Top | 123-122 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
The set-up: Washington finally broke into the win column over the Timberwolves last time out, but I expect an immediate return to mediocrity here. The Nets started 2-0, but they've since gone 1-3. They've rested starters and had to deal with some COVID issues over the last week, but they're ready to roll tonight and I expect this high-powered team to lay the hammer down after this scuffling stretch. The pick: Russell Westbrook is out again for Washington, which isn't a good thing at all for the Wizards over the short or the long-term. Brooklyn has posted at least 118 points in its last five vs. this Wizards defense, and I expect an even bigger offensive explosion here. The Wizards are a poor 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven as a road dog and I like the home side to take advantage of that. Lay the points. This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Brooklyn Nets. |
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12-31-20 | Knicks v. Raptors -9 | Top | 83-100 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
The set-up: The Knicks come in off back-to-back wins, hammering the Bucks at home, and then beating the Cavaliers by nine points on the raod as an underdog. The Raptors on the other hand enter absolutely desperate to reverse their fortunes after starting the season 0-3. Let's face it, Toronto isn't going to be the top team in the East this year. Or for a while. The Raptors are rebuilding and the faster the fan base realizes that, the better off they'll be mentally (I'm from Canada originally, so I hear it a lot about the Raptors.) The pick: One mistake that many novice bettors makes is to "overreact" at the start of the season. And that's the case here. Yes, Toronto is going to have many issues moving forward for a while, but it's still loaded with talent and after the poor start to the season, I'm expect to see the Raptors best effort so far here tonight. With games at Indiana and Atlanta upcoming, I think the young Knicks get caught looking ahead as well. Look for Toronto to go up early, keep the foot on the gas throughout and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Lay the points. This is a 10* BULLDOZER on the Toronto Raptors. |
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12-30-20 | Lakers v. Spurs +6 | Top | 121-107 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
The set-up: So here's an interesting matchup between two teams which have gotten out to decent early starts. The Spurs are 2-1, and they've gone 3-0 against the spread. The Lakers had the game vs. Portland on Monday, but now the defending champs hit the road to play two games at San Antonio, including another one on New Year's Day. The NBA will do that a lot this year of course, having teams play back-to-back in the same arena, as to cut down the travel time and potential exposure to COVID 19. We've only played a few games into the season, so it's a little difficult to get firm reads on every team at this point. Obviously we know the Lakers are good and they're going to be contending for another Championship at the end, more than likely anyways. The pick: The Spurs though weren't given much of a chance by the bookmakers befor the season started, but as I've pointed out, they've gotten out to the decent start to the season, going 2-1 straight up and perfect against the spread. The Lakers are going to have a big red target on their back now every night, even more than they did before they actually won the Championship, so they're going to get each team's best effort almost every given night. And I do think the Spurs come to play here. Note as well that San Antonio is 7-2 against the spread in its last nine after two or more whole nights of rest in between games. I think the home side will at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the handful of points it's been afforded. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the San Antonio Spurs. |
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12-29-20 | Knicks +3.5 v. Cavs | Top | 95-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
The set-up: New York is 1-2. The Knicks come to town confident after their 130-110 blowout destruction of the Bucks on the 27th. Cleveland is inexplicably 3-0 to start the year. Most recently the Cavaliers destroyed Philadelphia 118-94. Cleveland has plenty of young and hungry talent, but I think its early record is more a case of team's not taking the Cavs too seriously right now and looking past their opponent. And that's not going to happen with the Knicks. New York doesn't face too many teams in the season that's on the "same level" as it, so this is a golden opportunity to try and string a couple wins in a row. The pick: The Cavs have a night off after this, before then embarking on a six-game road trip starting on New Year's Eve in Indianapolis. You can throw the ATS stats out the window in this one. As primarily a situational handicapper, I do indeed feel this one sets up extremely well for the hungry underdog visiting side. Clearly the outright win is a possibility, but in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the New York Knicks. |
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12-28-20 | Rockets v. Nuggets -7.5 | Top | 111-124 | Win | 100 | 28 h 30 m | Show |
The set-up: I think the Rockets will fall to 0-2 here after losing 128-126 to the Blazers in OT to open the season. The Nuggets come in ready to now turn the page after starting 0-2, losing in OT to the Kings, before then falling to the Clippers at home in their last one. With a series of difficult road contests upcoming, I look for the Nuggets to come out extremely focussed here. The Rockets are still dealing with several issues on and off the court (COVID mostly), and I expect them to struggle in this difficult road venue and versus this now very hungry home side. The pick: Note that Denver has performed very well in this spot for bettors as well, going 9-4-1 ATS in its last 14 as a home favorite and 4-0 ATS in its last four following a SU loss of more than ten points, while Houston is 0-4 ATS in its last four when playing on one days rest. Houston doesn't have a big man to handle the Nuggets' size and that's going to be a big difference-maker today as well. Lay the points. This is a 10* ATS 'BLOOD-BATH' on the Denver Nuggets. |
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12-27-20 | Mavs +5.5 v. Clippers | Top | 124-73 | Win | 100 | 24 h 45 m | Show |
The set-up: One of the biggest mistakes that novice gamblers can make is "overreacting" to Week 1 results, or after the first few games of the regular season. Are the Mavericks as bad as their 0-2 record would indicate in the early going? Obviously not. Does the Clippers 2-0 record mean that they're now the team to beat in the West? Probably, but again, let's not overreact after a couple of games. LA had two "revenge" games on its plate right out of the gate this year, beating the Lakers on Opening Night, and then beating the Nuggets in Denver on Thursday, avenging the playoff series loss. However, with those two very emotional contests out of the way and now back to play their first official "home" game, I think the Clippers come out flat here. The pick: And that's going to be bad news vs. Luca Doncic and the winless Mavericks in my opinion. Both teams are loaded with talent, but I think this one sets up fantastically from a situational stand point for Dallas and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs do indeed point to this one coming right down to the wire. Grab the points. This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Dallas Mavericks. |
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12-26-20 | Pacers v. Bulls +4.5 | Top | 125-106 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 4 m | Show |
The set-up: Indiana went 3-0 in the preseason and it won its season opener, albeit over the Knicks. Now it hits the road and I think it'll finally have a letdown here. Chicago won its final three preseason games, but unlike its opponent today, it got destroyed in its opening game and because of that, I like the Bulls to play with much more heart today. The pick: This is a classic "look-ahead" spot for the Pacers as well, as they have a back-to-back set at home against the Celtics starting tomorrow night. And to say this is a "revenge" game would be a bit of an understatement, as Chicago lost all four games in this series last year. I think the outright is possible, but in a contest which I see coming down to whichever of these team's has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab the points. This is a 10* SUPER-SHOCKER on the Chicago Bulls. |
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12-25-20 | Clippers v. Nuggets +1 | Top | 121-108 | Loss | -105 | 41 h 38 m | Show |
The set-up: This isn't the same Clippers team which blew a 3-1 series lead in the bubble last season to the Nuggets, as a few new faces are on the team, while others have moved on. Denver has also gone through some transition, but for the most part returns its main core of players, while also picking up a few nice pieces in the offseason. Should we overreact to the first game of the season? The Clippers beat the Lakers on Opening Night, while the Nuggets lost in OT at home to the Kings. Anything can happen on Opening Night, I think that Denver likely got caught looking past its lowly opponent to this more high-profile contest. The Clippers return home to play three-straight after this as well vs. the Mavericks, Wolves and Blazers, so this now sets up as a small look-ahead spot for LA. The pick: Denver has two whole nights off after this before a home game vs. Houston. Of course LA would love to revenge that series loss, but the second game of the regular season isn't the best place to prove a point. The Clippers were more excited and focused to beat the Lakers in my opinion, and couldn't care less about that series loss to Denver. This one means a lot more to the Nuggets than it does the Clippers, as they'll be desperate to avoid the 0-2 start at home. I'm grabbing the points, but expecting an outright. This is a 10* GAME OF THE YEAR on the Denver Nuggets. |
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12-23-20 | Jazz +1.5 v. Blazers | Top | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 24 h 46 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams were bounced in the first round of the playoffs last year. Utah has a great core around Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert. THe Jazz gave up an average of 108.9 PPG last year, which was one of the best. The Jazz have gotten stronger in the offseason and note that they were No. 1 in the league in 3-point shooting percentage, hitting 38.5 percent from range. The pick: Portland is healthy and ready to go as well. The Blazers are an offense first team, as they're defense was among the worst in the league last year (allowed 116.2 PPG). Utah's defense is fresh and I think it'll slow down Portland's shooters and at the same time, I look for the visiting side to dictate the flow as well. This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Utah Jazz. |
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10-11-20 | Lakers v. Heat +5 | Top | 106-93 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
The set-up: I had a play on the Heat in Game 5 and I think they'll cover here as well. At the very least. The outright win is possible to I believe, but in this case I think the safter route is to grab the points. LA is running low on energy and its role players have been struggling to keep up with Miami's bench production. The Heat have been playing great defensively as well. The pick: Miami has been an ATS covering machine in the playoffs, and LA is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight vs. the Eastern Conference. Anthony Davis is hampered by injuries and the Heat can smell the blood in the water. As stated above, I think the outright win is possible, but in the end let's grab the points! This is a 10* SIDE BLOCKBUSTER on the Miami Heat. |
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10-09-20 | Heat +7.5 v. Lakers | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 26 h 53 m | Show | |
The set-up: I think the Heat will take the Lakers down to the wire at the very least in Game 5. LA's bench players have to be feeling pretty nervous right now, as the hardest thing to do in the playoffs is to close out a team and win a championship. Miami clearly won't be rolling over here. LeBron James came back from a 3-1 deficit with the Cavaliers in the Finals to beat the Warriors. Eric Spolestra has been great at making game-to-game adjustments and he'll have something prepared tonight for his team as they try to avoid elimination. The pick: LA is still just 1-6 ATS in its last seven vs. the Eastern Conference, while the Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after scoring 99 points or less in a loss in their previous outing. These teams are exhausted, both mentally and physically at this point, but all signs point to another battle until the end in Game 5. I'm grabbing the points. This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Miami Heat. |
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10-06-20 | Lakers -7.5 v. Heat | Top | 102-96 | Loss | -100 | 36 h 46 m | Show |
The set-up: If you want an ESPN summary of what each individual player did in Game 3, then go to ESPN. If you're wagering on this contest, cleary you're familar with the cast of characters and the overall storyline. I'm here to tell you why I think the Lakers are going to streamroll the Heat in Game 4. LeBron James looked like a moron leaving the court early and he knows that the one thing that cures everything is "winning." When the Lakers big men assert themselves, the Heat have no answers and that's exactly what I expect to see happen here. Jimmy Butler was amazing in Game 3, but there's on way he can duplicate that effort again here. The pick: Note as well that the Lakers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after a ten points or greater setback in their previous outing. No need to overanalyze in my opinion, as this one has "beatdown" written all over it. Lay the points. This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the LA Lakers. |
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09-30-20 | Heat +5.5 v. Lakers | Top | 98-116 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 36 m | Show |
The set-up: If you're wagering on this game, then you don't need me to fill you in on these teams strengths and the weaknesses and the cast of characters involved. All of these things are already known even by the most casual NBA fan. Besides, you can go to any sports website to obtain that information. I'm here to tell you why the Heat are going to at the very least, cover with the decent spread they've been afforded here. The pick: The Heat have done well in the playoffs, especially defending the perimeter and in shooting percentage. With a couple of days off to prepare, I think that Eric Spolestra will have a game-plan in place to counter what the Lakers will have in store. Also note that the Heat are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 overall. Miami has been overlooked throughout these playoffs and I think that LA does as well here. That said, grab the points. This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Miami Heat. |
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09-24-20 | Lakers v. Nuggets +6 | Top | 114-108 | Push | 0 | 37 h 43 m | Show |
The set-up: If not for Anthony Davis's game winning three-point shot in Game 2, this series could be drastically different. Denver predictably came out flat in Game 1 after its second straight seven game series victory, but it's quickly made adjustments and now it's 1-2 after taking Game 3 convincingly. I had a play on LA in Game 1, but I think that Denver now has the "blue-print" to beat LA and while that may or may not in fact happen, in my opinion everything points to another "nail-biter!" The pick: I'll point out as well that LA is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after scoring 108 points or less in its previous outing, while Denver is 5-3 ATS in its last eight after scoring 114 points or more in a win in their last outing. This is a 10* GAME 4 BLOCKBUSTER on the Denver Nuggets. |
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09-22-20 | Lakers v. Nuggets +6.5 | Top | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 34 h 37 m | Show |
The set-up: The Nuggets have the Lakers right where they want them! That's the "joke" right now after Denver has come back from consecutive 3-1 deficits to win their last two series in seven games. The Lakers look like the better team to this point, but they got a huge shot from Anthony Davis to win Game 2. If he misses that one, who knows how Game 2 ends. Regardless, after getting blown out in Game 1 the Nuggets clearly made adjustments to counter LA and it almost worked. I think Denver's ability to adapt and make adjustments on the fly is its greatest strength and I believe it could in fact help it come out on top outright here. The pick: Note as well that the Nuggets are 7-1 in their last eight games when trailing in a playoff series, while the Lakers are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven in this series as the favorite. I'm not counting out the Nuggets quite yet. That said, I'm grabbing the points. This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Denver Nuggets. |
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09-20-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers -7.5 | Top | 103-105 | Loss | -107 | 34 h 18 m | Show |
The set-up: I had a play on the Lakers in Game 1 and I think they now have the blue-print to sweep this Denver team in four. The Nuggets come off back-to-back seven game series where they had to dig themselves out of a 3-1 hole. It's an emotional game and I think that Denver is out of gas and it's "magic" has run out. The Lakers started slowly in the first quarter in Game 1, but then a quick adjustment saw them dominate the rest of the way, especially defensively. The pick: Nikola Jokic is going to have a heck of a time slowing down Anthony Davis, who I expect to once again have a big game here. The Lakers are too tough defensively for Jamal Murray to operate effectively either. I'm laying the points and expecting another blowout from start to finish. This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the LA Lakers. |
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09-18-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers -7 | Top | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 34 h 16 m | Show |
The set-up: Obviously you can't count out the Nuggets in any situation, however I'm definitely going to do just that in Game 1. Denver has a reputation now of being quite the survivor after back-to-back series of having to climb out of a 1-3 hole. The Lakers though are rested and they have the big men in their line-up to easily handle Nikola Jokic of the Nuggets. With Jokic neutralized, the savvy veteran guards of the Lakers are going to be able to operate and make it difficult for Jamal Murray to get any open looks. This is an extremely poor matchup for Denver, which has no answer for LeBron James. The pick: LA is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine after four or more days of rest. I think the back-to-back seven games series comes back to fatigue Denver and I love the Lakers to finally get out to a big start in a playoff series in the bubble with a commanding full four quarter effort. I'm laying the points. This is a 10* BLOWOUT on the LA Lakers. |
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09-15-20 | Heat +1.5 v. Celtics | Top | 117-114 | Win | 100 | 80 h 9 m | Show |
The set-up: With a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers feel that these teams are very evenly matched. And these two teams are. Both have great coaches and each is filled with talent that can put the ball in the hoop. Each is also extremely committed to the defensive side of things. So why will Miami win/cover in Game 1? I believe for sure that the few extra days off after taking care of the Bucks in five games is HUGE right now. The Celtics on the other hand just went through an exhausting seven game series vs. Boston and after that emotional win, I think a letdown here is imminent. The pick: Note that Miami is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine after playing with four or more whole days off. As primarily a situational handicapper, this particular one sets up fantastically for the Heat in my opinion. This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Miami Heat. |
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09-11-20 | Nuggets +8 v. Clippers | Top | 111-105 | Win | 100 | 33 h 37 m | Show |
The set-up: I had a play on the "over" in Game 4 and while that came up short, so too did the Nuggets. Denver was down 3-1 to the Jazz in its opening round series, before then posting three straight victories. Anything is possible, but the likliehood of that happening again is very slim. I don't think it's going to happen and Denver may well even lose this game outright, but I absolutely expect the Nuggets to fight hard, risking life and limb today to try and stay alive. LA has gotten fantastic and new flawless play from everyone over the last two games and I think its poised for a bit of a mental "letdown" in Game 5. The pick: Additionally note that the Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after being held to 88 points or less in a loss in their previous outing. I expect Denver to push the pace and to at the very least, keep this one close until the final moments. Grab the points. This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Denver Nuggets. |
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09-10-20 | Lakers v. Rockets +5.5 | Top | 110-100 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 20 m | Show |
The set-up: Houston dominated in Game 1, but since then it's been all the Lakers. I think though that Houston is going to give its best shot here to try and get back into this series and while I obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. The Lakers have used their size well over the last two games, but Houston has done well in this spot for bettors over the year, as note that it's 8-4 ATS in its last 12 after a ten point or larger loss to an opponent in its last outing. The pick: Note as well that the Lakers are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight after a ten points or larger victory in their last outing. I think the desperation level in which the hungry Rockets play with tonight turns out to be the difference maker. Grab the points! This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Houston Rockets. |
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09-07-20 | Celtics v. Raptors +1 | Top | 111-89 | Loss | -104 | 32 h 15 m | Show |
The set-up: This has been a back and forth series and with a spread like this, obviously the bookmakers think these teams are very evenly matched. And I agree. These teams are very similar, filled with talent and deep benches. The advantage that Toronto now has is two-fold though, as not only does it cleraly have the "momentum" back in this series (which I feel is crucial in the playoffs), but it also has the experience. And that's something you can't teach, only earn. The pick: Additionally note that the Raptors are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after a five points or higher SU/ATS victory in their last outing in the playoffs. Boston is now mentally on the ropes here and I think the defending champs can smell the blood in the water. I'm banking on the Raptors riding the wave of momentum they've created to another solid ATS/SU victory in Game 5. The is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Raptors. |
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09-06-20 | Bucks +1.5 v. Heat | Top | 118-115 | Win | 100 | 29 h 30 m | Show |
The set-up: I don't believe the Bucks are going to get swept. I thought Milwaukee would win this series, but now the odds are against it for that happening. All of that said though, I think the Bucks will finally put together a full four quarter effort here and find a way to avoid getting swept. The Heat have won seven straight, but I think a letdown is inevitable. Miami's defense has been spectacular, but it's shooting percentage seems unsustainable to me over the long-term. The pick: Miami is also just 1-5 ATS in its last six after a five games or longer ATS/SU unbeaten streak. Also note that Milwaukee is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 after three or more SU/ATS losses. Milwaukee plays with pride and pushes this one to a Game 5. The is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Milwaukee Bucks. |
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09-04-20 | Bucks -5 v. Heat | Top | 100-115 | Loss | -106 | 33 h 6 m | Show |
The set-up: Do I think that the Miami Heat are a better team than the Milwaukee Bucks?! Of course not. I'll admit that Miami has definitely played a lot better than the Bucks to this point, but I think that'll finally change in Game 3. Giannis Antetokounmpo fouled Jimmy Butler with no time left on the clock in Game 2 and that's how the Bucks would lose. Clearly Giannis is going to be feeling responsible and I like the back-to-back MVP to come out and dominate in this game. The pick: And that's good news for the rest of the Bucks, who will finally have some room to operate. The Heat have been excellent, they could easily win this series, but I think they finally have a letdown here after playing at such a high-level for such an extended period of time. Milwaukee actually won the rebound battle in Game 2 (50-38). Look for the Bucks to finally hit their stride and lay the points with confidence. The is a 10* BEST OF THE BEST on the Milwaukee Bucks. |
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09-03-20 | Nuggets +8 v. Clippers | 97-120 | Loss | -101 | 34 h 3 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Nuggets made adjustments against the Jazz and won three straight. Denver did it by domianting defensively and getting great play from star players Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokic. I think the "momentum" that Denver has created is a real, tangible factor and I believe it'll ride that wave to another solid performance here against the Clippers. LA also got better in its series vs. the Mavericks, but it was far from perfect. I also don't think the exrta few days off will help in LA's chemistry, which it was definitely lacking at times vs. Dallas. Denver on the other hand is firing on all cylinders at the most opportune of times and I think that definitely matters here. The pick: Note as well that Denver is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 after holding its previous opponent to 80 points or less, while LA is only 3-6 ATS in its last nine after a three-days or longer break between games. This spread is a little large in my opinion. The is an 8* ROUT on the Denver Nuggets. |
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09-02-20 | Thunder v. Rockets -5 | Top | 102-104 | Loss | -104 | 34 h 29 m | Show |
The set-up: I think the Thunder will have trouble keeping up with James Harden and company. The Beard is about to take over this game in my opinion and I don't think that Chris Paul and his supporting cast will have what it takes to win a third straight in this series. The pick: This one sets up great from a trend based stand point as well, as note that Houston is still 15-7 ATS in its last 22 vs. teams with a win percentage above .600, while OKC is just 1-5 ATS in its last six after a SU/ATS victory. I'm laying the points and expecting a dominant victory from start to finish. The is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Houston Rockets. |
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09-01-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets -1 | 78-80 | Win | 100 | 28 h 41 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Nuggets have won the last two games of this series and I believe the "momentum" they've created is very real. Behind the spectacular play of Jamal Murray, the Nuggets now have a chance to move onto the next round. Utah is going to be so worried about Murray now, that finally center Nikola Jokic is going to have room to operate here. With no crowd, "momentum" is a very real, tangible factor in the bubble and the Nuggets have all of it right now. The pick: Note as well that Utah is a poor 3-12-1 ATS in its last 16 following a SU loss, while Denver is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after back-to-back SU/ATS victories. Bank on the Nuggets delivering in the clutch! The is a an 8* ANNIHILATION on the Denver Nuggets. |
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08-31-20 | Rockets v. Thunder +6 | Top | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 34 h 44 m | Show |
The set-up: The Thunder have looked great in this series at times and poor in others. The same can be said of the Rockets as well. Russell Westbrook only had 7 points for Houston last time out, but the Rockets still dominated from start to finish. Whether Westbrook has a better game or not, I still think that the Thunder will once again "dig deep" here (just like they did in Game's 1 and 2). Individual player matchups or coaching stratgies are meaningless at this point in my opinion, as the Thunder did in fact dominate this series during the regular season. These teams are evenly matched and I'm expecting a battle until the final horn. The pick: Note as well that that Thunder are 7-1 ATS in their last eight following a 30-points or greater loss in their previous outing. Expect OKC to dictate the tempo today and while I wouldn't be shocked by the outright upset, in the end I'm grabbing the points. The is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Thunder. |
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08-30-20 | Clippers v. Mavs +10 | Top | 111-97 | Loss | -106 | 44 h 19 m | Show |
The set-up: Whether Kristaps Porzingis plays or not, I like Dallas to at the very least, keep this one close enough to easily cover with the large spread that it's been afforded here. The extra time off because of the BLM movement will definitely help in healing up Mavericks' star Luca Doncic's knee as well. Each team has looked great in this series and pedestrian at other times. Bottom line is though is that I feel that they're very evenly matched. The pick: Dallas is also 7-3 ATS in its last ten after allowing 150 points or more in a loss in its previous outing. Expect Doncic to put the Mavs on his back and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to this one coming right down to the wire. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Dallas Mavericks. |
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08-29-20 | Magic +13.5 v. Bucks | Top | 104-118 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 38 m | Show |
The set-up: Orlando is getting a lot of points here. The Magic won Game 1 outright, but since then it's gone 0-3 SU/ATS vs. the surging Bucks. Do I think that the Magic are going to win this contest outright? I do not. Note though that Orlando has been just a single 3-point shot away in each of the last three games to actually cover the spread. And now it's getting more points in Game 5 than in any other to this point. The pick: The strengths and weaknesses are well known for each side, but note that the Bucks are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven following an ATS win, while the Magic are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 following a double-digit loss. Orlando's players are playing for a position on the team next year and I don't expect it to go down without a fight tonight. Grab the points. This is a 10* EXPRESS on the Orlando Magic. |
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08-25-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets +3 | Top | 107-117 | Win | 100 | 29 h 4 m | Show |
The set-up: It's do or die for the Nuggets. The Jazz have looked great over their last two games, but I think Utah doesn't have that "killer instinct" in it and I look for it to struggle against this desperate Nuggets side. The Nuggets got 50 points from Jamal Murray in the 129-127 Game 4 setback. The pick: Utah shot almost 60% from the field in Game 4 and I simply don't see that happening again either. Additionally note that the Nuggets are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after allowing 125 points or more in a loss in their previous game, while the Jazz are just 4-16-2 ATS in their last 22 as a favorite. I'm grabbing the points. This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Denver Nuggets. |
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08-22-20 | Rockets v. Thunder +3.5 | 107-119 | Win | 100 | 28 h 58 m | Show | |
The set-up: Oklahoma City had won five straight ATS in this series before the two SU/ATS playoff losses to the Rockets. OKC is filled with talent and Houston has been dealing with injuries, so I'm a little surprised to this point. In fact in Game 2 the Thunder eneterd the fourth quarter with a 1 point lead, but they ended up losing by 13. The pick: Thunder guard Chris Paul was only 6 of 15 in Game 2 and I don't see that happening again. I'll still argue that the Thunder are the "deeper" team and I'll point out as well that they're 10-5 ATS in their last 15 following back-to-back losses, which includes a ten points or greater setback in their previous outing. I'm grabbing the points. This is an 8* ULTIMATE BLOWOUT on the OKC Thunder. |
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08-21-20 | Clippers v. Mavs +5 | Top | 130-122 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 9 m | Show |
The set-up: The Mavericks could easily be up 2-0 in this series if star center Kristaps Porzingis wasn't ejected in the second period of Game 1. Dallas was clearly the better team in Game 2 and with the Clippers dealing with injuries to important players still, I have a hard time seeing LA keeping pace with this well oiled Mavericks team which is playing with a chip on its shoulder right now. The pick: LA is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight as well after a ten points or larger loss in its last game. Does Dallas have a legitimate shot at winning Game 3 outright? With a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers believe it does. And so do I. Grab the points. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Dallas Mavericks. |
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08-21-20 | Nuggets v. Jazz +2 | Top | 87-124 | Win | 100 | 26 h 10 m | Show |
The set-up: Denver beat the Jazz in double OT in the regular seaosn and then it also managed to pull for an OT win in Game 1 of this series. The Jazz battled tough though and in Game 2 they laid down the 124-105 smack down and I think they can build off that victory with another one in Game 3. The pick: And guess what? Utah won Game 2 without the services of star guard Mike Conley, who now returns to the team after the birth of his son. Additionally note that the Jazz are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after a 10 points or larger victory. Grab the points. This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Utah Jazz. |
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08-20-20 | Blazers +6 v. Lakers | 88-111 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 30 m | Show | |
The set-up: Not many would disagree that the teams that doe the best in the playoffs are the one's that are exhibiting the best "chemistry." You can have all the talent in the World on paper, but if you aren't working together as a team, that talent often gets wasted or exploited by units which are playing at an extremely high level together. LA has struggled to cover the spread since the re-start and despite being down 0-1, I don't expect Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum to go easy in Game 2. The pick: Additionally note that LA is now 0-5 ATS in its last five conference quarter-final contests, while Portland is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 overall. Grab the points. This is an 8* SURE SHOT DESTRUCTION on the Blazers. |
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08-20-20 | Heat v. Pacers +4.5 | Top | 109-100 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 31 m | Show |
The set-up: Indiana was swept in four games by the Celtics in the first round last year. So far the Pacers are only 1-4 vs. the Heat this season, including falling both SU and ATS in Game 1 of this series. Indiana is led by TJ Warren and with revenge on their minds, I believe the more experienced and hungrier Pacers will bounce back and deliver the goods here. The pick: Additionally I'll point out that Indiana has gone 10-4 ATS in its last 14 after losing by ten or more points in a playoff contest. Look for Indiana to at the very least, push Miami until the final moments. Grab the points. This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Indiana Pacers. |
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08-19-20 | Mavs +6 v. Clippers | Top | 127-114 | Win | 100 | 31 h 54 m | Show |
The set-up: The Mavericks had an eight point lead half way through the third quarter of Game 1, and then big man Kristaps Porzingis got ejected and the Mavs fell apart mentally and failed to cover the spread in the end. Porzingis is back though in Game 2 and I do legitimately believe that Dallas has a chance at taking Game 2 outright. LA is still dealing with several key players missing and I think that catches up to them here. The pick: Additionally note that the Clippers are still a poor 2-6 ATS in their last eight playoff games as a favorite. In a contest which I see coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Dallas Mavericks. |
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08-18-20 | Magic +10 v. Bucks | Top | 122-110 | Win | 100 | 96 h 58 m | Show |
The set-up: I took this game early and have an unfavorable line, but I still love this play and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, I do think the deep and talented Magic will easily keep this one close enough to cover with the ample points they've been afforded. Both teams were 3-5 in the bubble. The Bucks swept all four regular season games, but the Magic were dealing with several injuries to key players back then. Orlando has Vucevic back which is signficant, but is dealing with an injury to Aaron Gordon, meaning that Terrence Ross and Evan Fournier will have to step up here. The pick: I think the Bucks classically get caught a bit complacent in this very first game. Milwaukee is also just 2-6 ATS in its last eight following a ten points or greater loss (fell 119-106 to the Grizz.) The odds are clearly against Orlando winning this series or this game, but if it has any shot, it will be in trying to pull off the upset in Game 1. As I stated off the top, I'm not calling for an outright upset, but I do expect this one to be competitive until the final moments. Grab the points. This is a 10* PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR on the Magic. |
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08-17-20 | Mavs +5 v. Clippers | Top | 110-118 | Loss | -105 | 79 h 4 m | Show |
The set-up: Are the Clippers really deeper and more talented than the Mavericks? Both teams are dealing with injuries right now, but I'd argue that Montrezl Harell's absence for LA is the most significant. Also note that Patrick Beverley and Landry Shamet are both questionable for this one as well. The Mavs have a possible injury to Seth Curry, but guys like Tim Hardaway Jr and Trey Burke have been very steady for the Mavs. The pick: I'll point out as well that the Clippers are a devastatingly poor 8-22 ATS in their last 30 playoff games as a favorite. The Clippers supporting cast is banged up, while the Mavs have two stars in Luca Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis playing at their highest level of their careers. The outright win is possible, but in the end let's grab the points! This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Mavericks. |
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08-15-20 | Grizzlies +6 v. Blazers | Top | 122-126 | Win | 100 | 25 h 18 m | Show |
The set-up: Ja Morant hasn't played very well in the Bubble, but the dynamic guard has a chance to reverse his fortunes here in which he hopes will be a two-game play in series. If Portland wins, then this series is over and the Blazers will go on to face the Lakers. But if Memphis wins, these two teams will play a second game. Portland has played well behind Damian Lillard, but the Grizzlies matchup well with Portland in my opinion. The pick: Additionally note that Portland is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a favorite in the +6 to +12 range. In a game which comes down to the wire, I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. This is a 10* BEST OF THE BEST on the Memphis Grizzlies. |
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08-10-20 | Thunder +3.5 v. Suns | Top | 101-128 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 56 m | Show |
The set-up: The Suns are 5-0 in the Bubble, that's both SU and ATS, but I think Phoenix finally takes a step back here vs. surging OKC, who enters off a relatively simple 121-103 win over Washington on Sunday afternoon. Note that that Thunder are a super 7-2 ATS in their last nine when playing the second game of a back to back and off a 15 points or more victory. The pick: Additionally note that the Suns have a tough game tomorrow night vs. the 76ers, who are just as hungry for victories right now as well. Everything's been going right for the Suns, but now they face a red hot Thunder team with even greater depth and experience. So while clearly the outright win isn't out of the question, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the OKC Thunder. |
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08-08-20 | Bucks v. Mavs +5.5 | Top | 132-136 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
The set-up: With a win in their last game, the Bucks have now clinched the top spot in the East. Everything from here on out is to work on playoff strategy, so don't expect to see much of Giannis Antetokounmpo in this one if you're a Milwaukee fan. The pick: The Mavericks on the other hand have lost five of their last seven, most recently getting blown out by the Clippers. Dallas is still in a fight for positioning and it absolutely needs to start playing better if it has any shot at advancing in the postseason. So far it's been a letdown for Luca Doncic and company in the bubble, but a game vs. the Bucks' "B-Team" is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track. Outright victory?! Of course! That said, let's grab the points. This is a 10* UNDERDOG ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Dallas Mavericks. |
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08-05-20 | Grizzlies v. Jazz -4 | Top | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 22 h 51 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams are in desperate need of a victory here. Dating back finds the Grizzlies entering on a four-game losing slide, while the Jazz are just 1-2 in the Bubble, including losing back-to-back games. The Grizz enter averaging 112.7 PPG and allowing 113.9, while the Jazz are averaging 110.7 and conceding 108. The pick: Utah though has performed incredibly well for bettors in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS in its last nine after back-to-back SU/ATS losses. These teams are very familiar with each other, but the Jazz have the upper hand in a number of matchups (especially in the middle of the paint) and I expect them to pull away down the stretch for a comfortable cover by the end of the night. This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Utah Jazz. |
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08-04-20 | Suns v. Clippers -9 | Top | 117-115 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 59 m | Show |
The set-up: The Suns entered the Bubble healthier than they've been all season and that has translated into two straight victories, but I think that Phoenix will finally stumble here vs. this "step up" in competition. The Clippers lost to the Lakers in their first game, before recovering to hammer the Pelicans 126-103 in their second. Phoenix is still 2.5 games behind the Spurs for the eighth spot with six games remaining, but the Clippers are only two games up on third-place Denver. Unfortunately for the Suns, the Clippers can't afford to take the foot off the gas either. The pick: Note that the Clippers are now 8-1 ATS in their last nine vs. the Western Conference, while the Suns are a poor 2-9 ATS in their last 11 in this series. I believe the Suns lack of depth on the bench gets exposed here as the game comes down the stretch. Lay the points. This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the LA Clippers. |
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08-03-20 | Lakers v. Jazz +6 | 116-108 | Loss | -104 | 29 h 1 m | Show | |
The set-up: Utah looked out of sorts in its 110-94 setback to the Thunder. The Jazz managed a slim victory over the Pelicans in their opener and while they may not take this game outright, I do think the stage is set for a nail-biter. The Lakers of course looked good in their opener vs. the Clippers, but they seemed pretty disinterested in their second game, a blowout loss to the Raptors. The pick: The fact of the matter is, the Lakers only needed to go 1-7 over these final eight games to lock up the top spot in the West and they already did that in their first game. LA does not need to push the pace or risk injury at all over the next two weeks, instead it can already be planning for the playoffs and working on different things related to that. The Jazz though need to find consistency and tonight's game is ultra important in proving that. I'm grabbing the points. This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz. |
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08-03-20 | Spurs v. 76ers -7 | 130-132 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 56 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Spurs looked good in their Opening Day win, but they play against a hungry Memphis team on Sunday and I think they'll predictably stumble here vs. a 76ers side which will be out to prove that their blowout loss to the Pacers in their Opener was just an "outlier." The pick: As primarily a situational handicapper, these are the types of "spots" that I am always keeping my eyes open for. For all intents and purposes, this becomes a "must win" for Philly, who can't afford any more chemistry issues or execuses. I'm laying the points. This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers. |
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08-03-20 | Nuggets +6.5 v. Thunder | 121-113 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Nuggets looked sluggish in their 125-105 setback to the Heat in their opener, but I think this incredibly deep team will make adjustments and come out much better in its second outing. The Thunder rolled over the Jazz, but Utah had a mental lapse there after its 106-104 Opening night win over the Pelicans. The pick: Denver took two of three in the regular season series, as its big men present significant matchup issues for OKC. I expect Denver to indeed make some adjustments and to continue its recent domination of this particular matchup. This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. |
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08-03-20 | Pacers -7 v. Wizards | Top | 111-100 | Win | 100 | 24 h 56 m | Show |
The set-up: The Pacers laid the hammer down on Philly 127-121 in their opener and I expect them to keep the foot on the gas here as well in their second game vs. the undermanned and "gassed" Wizards. Washington has a game vs. the Nets on Sunday afternoon and I believe it's going to predictably come into this one with "heavy legs." The pick: Indiana took two of three in the regular season series and that was without the services of Victor Oladipo. I believe Indiana will push the pace/tempo from the opening tip until the final horn and that's why I have no issues at all in laying these points. This is a 10* play on the Indiana Pacers. |
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08-02-20 | Mavs -5.5 v. Suns | Top | 115-117 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 56 m | Show |
The set-up: Dallas lost 153-149 to the Rockets in OT in its opening game back, but I believe it'll get the job done tonight in its second outing vs. the Suns, who enter off a 125-112 win over the Wizards in their opener. The pick: Dallas took two of three in the season series, as this is a matchup which definitely favors it. Note as well that the Mavs are a sharp 8-4 ATS in their last 12 Western Conference contests after allowing 150 points or more in a loss in their prevoius outing. I'm banking on a bounce back blowout here. 10* play on the Dallas Mavericks. |
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08-02-20 | Spurs v. Grizzlies -2.5 | 108-106 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 56 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Spurs looked good in their 129-120 win over the Kings, but I think they'll struggle against the equally as "deep," but now even hungrier Grizzlies, who enter off the tough 140-135 OT setback to the Blazers. The pick: The Grizz won two of three in the regular season and I predict another ATS victory here. Note as well that Portland is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after at OT win in which it scored 140 points or more in. I'm banking on the "hungrier" team that lost on Opening night to dig deep and find a way to get the job done at the end of this one. 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. |
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08-02-20 | Blazers v. Celtics -4 | 124-128 | Push | 0 | 22 h 26 m | Show | |
The set-up: Portland received a two point shot from Carmelo Anthony at the end of regulation to push its opening game vs. the Grizzlies to OT and then the Blazers pulled way for the 140-135 victory. The Celtics on the other hand had to play from behind the entire night vs. the Bucks in their opener and while they played tough, they'd ultimately lose 119-112. The pick: I think though that the Blazers come into this contest predictably "gassed," while I look for the much hungrier Celtics, who got much stronger in the second half of their loss to Milwaukee. Note that the C's almost won as well with star Jason Tatum having his worst game almost of his entire career as well. That's not going to happen twice though. Look for this deep Boston side to bounce back with a solid ATS victory on Sunday. 8* play on the Boston Celtics. |
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08-01-20 | Lakers v. Raptors +3.5 | Top | 92-107 | Win | 100 | 843 h 49 m | Show |
The set-up: One team which is certainly not a "fraud" is the Toronto Raptors. The long lay off definitely helps the defending champs, as they had several key players dealing with nagging injury issues. Those are now resolved and this under-rated team comes in looking for a back-to-back opportunity. The pick: I think the Lakers come in a step slow here after their opening night contest vs. division rival Clippers. I'm grabbing the points, but I wouldn't be shocked by a straight up situational victory here. 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. |
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08-01-20 | 76ers v. Pacers +4 | 121-127 | Win | 100 | 841 h 20 m | Show | |
The set-up: The 76ers are a fraud in my opinion until they can finally prove that they can win an important series. Philly was just 10-24 on the road this season as well. The pick: The Pacers played well without Victor Oladipo and whether he plays or not, I think Indiana has a real shot at taking this opening contest ouright. Note that Indiana was one of the most effective offensive teams in the NBA, hitting 47.7 percent from the field and 36.3 percent from range. Grab as many points as you can. 8* play on the Indiana Pacers. |
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08-01-20 | Jazz v. Thunder +1 | 94-110 | Win | 100 | 838 h 50 m | Show | |
The set-up: We're not dealing with your typical scenario obviously with this re-start. For me this particular selection comes down to the fact that the Jazz will be looking to take advantage of New Orleans on Opening Night and won't be prepared for the quick turnaround vs. the deep Thunder. The pick: OKC is loaded with talent and it's good on both ends of the floor. The Thunder can't sit back and hope things turn out well here, they have to hit the ground running. As far as "situational" plays go, I think this is as solid as it gets. 8* play on the OKC Thunder. |
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08-01-20 | Heat v. Nuggets | 125-105 | Win | 100 | 835 h 21 m | Show | |
The set-up: Both teams sit first in their respective divisions. Both teams are going to want to hit the ground running as to build momentum, but I believe that Miami is better prepared on Opening night. Miami is a young team and I think the extra time off will help this group focus. The pick: Jamal Murray is questionable as well for Denver, which swings things in favor of Jimmy Butler and the Heat here in my opinion. Miami was poor on the road, but the proximity to home helps it in this situation as well. 8* play on the Miami Heat. |
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07-31-20 | Rockets v. Mavs +1.5 | Top | 153-149 | Loss | -110 | 820 h 34 m | Show |
The set-up: The Mavericks have a golden opportunity to catch up to the Rockets, who are first int he Southwest at 40-24. Dallas is 40-27. To say this is a "big" game right out of the gates would be an understatement. Note that Houston is 29-35-0 ATS this year, while Dallas is 35-29-3. The pick: Both teams are dealing with a few injury issues, but certainly Houston's Russell Westbrook having to deal with the coronavirus right now is the biggest blow. Westbrook is listed as questionable for this contest. That's a major issue in my opinion for Houston and I believe that Dallas will attack from the outset in this game. Houston opened as the fav, but now Dallas is. Regardless, I look for the Mavericks depth to prove to be too much for James Harden to overcome by himself on Opening Night. 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Dallas Mavericks. |
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03-09-20 | Raptors v. Jazz -3.5 | Top | 101-92 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 55 m | Show |
The set-up: Toronto comes in off a hard-fought win in Sacramento just last night and I think it'll predictably stumble in this difficult road venue in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. The Jazz are rested and out to avenge a humbling 130-110 loss in Toronto back in December. This is also the final game of a five-game trip in which the Raptors have already posted three straight wins in. From a situational stand point, I definitely believe this one sets up fantastically for the home side. The pick: Note as well that Toronto is a poor 3-5 ATS this year as a road dog of six points or less and only 10-14 ATS vs. clubs with winning records, while Utah is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to revene a same season loss vs. an opponent. Lay the points, expect a rout. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Utah Jazz. |
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03-07-20 | Kings +3.5 v. Blazers | Top | 123-111 | Win | 100 | 30 h 44 m | Show |
The set-up: Portland comes in off another disappointing loss in Phoenix just last night and I think it'll predictably struggle here in the second game of the back-to-back. Neither team has thrown in the towel yet on the playoffs, but this is a spot that definitely benefits the Kings. Sacramento has a formidable backcourt in Buddy Hield and D'Aaron Fox, who counter Portland's Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum. The pick: Note as well that Sacramento is 20-12 ATS on the road this year and 20-13 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss where an opponent scored 100 points or more, while Portland is just 12-17 ATS at home this season and only 14-15 ATS as a favorite. I'm grabbing the points. 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Kings. |
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03-06-20 | Thunder -7 v. Knicks | Top | 126-103 | Win | 100 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
The set-up: I like the Thunder to finally get back on track here in this favorable situation. After losses to the Bucks and Clippers, OKC bounced back with a win over Detroit last time out. New York won two in a row, but then it returned to form with a listless loss to the Jazz at home last time out. OKC averages 110.6 PPG and New York allows 112.0, while the Knicks average just 105.4 PPG, while the Thunder allow 108.5. The pick: Note as well that OKC is 21-8 ATS on the road this year and 4-1 ATS this season after allowing 105 points or more in five straight games, while New York is just 8-14 ATS in its last 22 after playing three straight at home. I think the Knicks "go through the motions" here in this non-conference matchup, while I look for the visitors to take full advantage of another favorable matchup. Lay the points. 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on the Oklahoma City Thunder. |
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03-04-20 | Pacers v. Bucks -11 | Top | 100-119 | Win | 100 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
The set-up: The Pacers beat the Bucks in their final game before the All Star break. Giannis Antetokounmpo didn't play in that contest though and I think he's going to come out and play with a chip on his shoulder this evening. Both teams have won four of their last five, but the Bucks come in off a loss in Miami, one night after winning in Charlotte. Milwaukee averages 119.1 PPG and it allows 106.8, while Indiana averages 109.4 PPG and it allows 107.2. The pick: Milwaukee is almost always a big favorite, but I think it's going to easily cover this larger spread tonight, as note that it's 5-0 ATS in its last five at home and 9-2 ATS in its last 11 after a SU loss of ten or more points. The stage is set for a 20 point blowout victory here. I'm laying the points. 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Milwaukee Bucks. |
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03-03-20 | Raptors v. Suns +4 | Top | 123-114 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams are "hungry" for a win after three straight losses. But Phoenix is at home and it has the motivation of "revenge" as well after falling in Toronto earlier in the year. Toronto has been dealing with injuries to several key players all year and now guard Fred VanVleet is questionable tonight as well. Kelly Oubre has been lost for the season for Phoenix, but this one sets up perfectly for the Suns tonight in my opinion. The pick: Note as well that Toronto is just 2-4 ATS this year after allowing 120 points or more in its previous contest and interestingly a poor 21-23 ATS this year vs. teams which allow 106 points or more per game, while Phoenix is a solid 10-5 ATS in its last 15 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. I'm expecting an outright win here for the home side, but I'm going to grab the points in the end. 10* NON-CONF ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Phoenix Suns. |
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03-02-20 | Jazz -8.5 v. Cavs | Top | 126-113 | Win | 100 | 27 h 7 m | Show |
The set-up: I think the Jazz will lay the hammer down here in this favorable position. Utah just hammered the Wizards by double digits and I expect this deep visiting side to once again win by a sizeable margin. Cleveland for the most part has been a complete disaster and it enters with zero momentum after having lost two straight. The pick: The Jazz have been fantastic in this spot for bettors all year as well, going 5-1 ATS in their last six when playing with two days rest and interestinly 10-4 ATS this season after scoring 120 points or more in their previous contest, while Cleveland is just 9-12 ATS after a home loss this year and a poor 9-15 ATS vs. clubs with winning records. Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert are firing on all cylinders right now and I like them to combine and obliterate this home side. Lay the points. 10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Utah Jazz. |