Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Kings/Jazz OVER 230.5
The Utah Jazz have been an offensive juggernaut all season. They rank 3rd in the NBA in offensive efficiency at 115.5 points per 100 possessions. Amazingly, the Jazz have now scored 111 or more points in 33 of their last 35 games overall.
They should be able to name their score against a Sacramento Kings team that plays no defense. The Kings rank dead last in defensive efficiency this season, giving up 115.6 points per 100 possessions. They have been a great OVER team because they also play at a fast tempo, ranking 7th in pace at 102.2 possessions per game.
Sacramento is 8-0 OVER in its last eight games vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 6-plus points per game in the second half of the season. The Kings are 28-8 OVER in their last 36 road games vs. top-caliber teams that outscore their opponents by 9-plus points per game. The OVER is 36-16 in Kings last 52 games following an ATS loss. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.
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FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR SATURDAY, 4/10:
My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Saturday is with the Golden State Warriors minus the points versus the Houston Rockets. Golden State (24-28) has lost four of their last five games after their 110-107 upset loss to Washington as a 4.5-point favorite on Friday. The Warriors have stay at home where they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams who are not winning more than 40% of their games on the road. Golden State has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when favored. Houston (14-38) has lost six of seven after their 126-109 loss at Los Angeles against the Clippers last night. The Rockets have failed to cover the point spread in 37 of their last 51 games after a loss. Houston has also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games on the road. Lay the points with Golden State. Best of luck — Frank.
Frank Sawyer got burned in the NBA last night with the late Milwaukee lineup changes to rest their starters — but he remains on a 13 of 18 (72%) NBA run that has furthered a 27 of 41 (66%) NBA mark! Now Frank closes out his Saturday card by furthering his 5 of 6 (83%) NBA TOTALS TEAR with a SUPER O/U SITUATION! Want ONE MORE WINNER for Saturday? BANK on Frank!
18-3 86% last 21 Free plays!
Detroit @ Portland (10:10 PM EST)
Play On: Portland -11 1/2
The Detroit Pistons travel to Portland to take on the Trailblazers on Saturday night. Detroit is 16-36 SU overall this year while Portland comes in with a 30-21 SU overall record on the season. Detroit is 0-11 SU and 1-8 ATS this year after a win by 10 points or more. Detroit is 0-4 ATS last 4 games after an ATS win. Detroit is 0-4 ATS last 4 games after a SU win. Portland is 4-1 ATS last 5 games as a favorite. Portland is 4-1 ATS last 5 games against a team with a losing record. Portland is 10-4 ATS last 14 home games against a team with a losing road record. We'll recommend a small play on Portland tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Rocky Atkinson has a TOP RATED 10* NBA MONSTER for Saturday. One of the BEST HANDICAPPERS in the world is on an impressive 219-160 58% OVERALL run over his last 392 picks! Join the same handicapper that has made $1,000/game bettors $51,070 since July 28, 2019 with his Spread on Rockets v. Warriors! This is my FIRST MONSTER play this month!
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1* FREE INFO PLAY on Sonderjyske +125
Mikey Sports FREE NBA play Saturday 4-10-21
Oklahoma City +11 1/2
Mikey Sports has been on an INCREDIBLE 172-128 (57%) RUN over his last 309 basketball picks! He has now made $1,000/game bettors $33,420 in profits since December 13, 2019. Join Mikey Sports with his Spread for Saturday on Rockets v. Warriors!
Mikey Sports has been on an INCREDIBLE 249-206 (55%) RUN over his last 476 OVERALL picks! He has now made $1,000/game bettors $20,740 in profits since December 11, 2019. Join Mikey Sports with his Money Line for Saturday on Tigers v. Indians!
ASA free play on Portland Trailblazers -12 over Detroit Pistons, 10:10 PM ET - The Blazers are desperate for a win after two straight loses but they came against the Clippers and Jazz. In fact, the last four losses for the Blazers have come against four of the best teams in the league (Bucks, Nets) and Detroit isn’t anywhere near that level. The Pistons are 7-21 SU on the road this year with a negative differential of minus -3.9PPG which is 9th worst in the NBA. Detroit is coming off a win over Sacramento where they shot well above their season average. The Pistons and Blazers are near equal defensively, but Portland holds a decisive advantage offensively with the 5th best offensive efficiency rating compared to the Pistons 25th. Portland should make plenty of 3’s here with the 6th best 3-point shooting offensive going up against the Pistons 19th ranked 3-point percentage defense. Detroit is just 4-10-1 ATS off a win this year while Portland 8-3 SU at home off a loss. Portland has won 7 of their last eight at home against similar teams to Detroit. Lay the points.
My free play is on the LA Angels at 7:07 ET.
Shohei Ohtani had a three-run double and a solo HE Friday as the Angels defeated the Blue Jays 7-1 (Angels have won 12 of their past 15 games against the Blue Jays).The Angels have won the first two games of this four-game series and have matched a franchise best with their 6-2 start, having won six of their first eight games just TWICE before. It should be pointed out that the Angels entered the 2021 season HOPING to end a streak of FIVE straight losing seasons (the franchise's longest skid since the 1970s) and SIX consecutive non-playoff campaigns. Toronto made back-to-back appearances in the ALCS in 2015 and 2016 but three losing seasons followed, before the Blue Jays surprised all going 32-28 in 2020. However, Toronto was eliminated by Tampa Bay 2-0 in a best-of-three series. The Blue Jays are 3-5 to open the 2021 season.
The Angels will start left-hander Jose Quintana (0-0, 10.80 ERA) on Saturday and he'll square off against Toronto left-hander Steven Matz (1-0, 1.42 ERA).Quintana was AWFUL in his Angels debut (3.1 IP / 4 ERs), after signing as a free agent after nine years in Chicago, 5 1/2 with the White Sox and 3 1/2 with the Cubs. Quintana was limited to just four games (one start) and 10 innings last season because of a freak injury when he cut his thumb while washing dishes. He ultimately had surgery on the thumb and missed two months. Quintana pitched for Joe Maddon in 2017-19 with the Cubs. "He's a guy who normally eats up innings," Maddon said. "He has a repeatable, compact delivery and a nice arm stroke. His success, to me, relies on good game planning. He just needs a little direction on how to attack people ... how to use the really good stuff he already has."
In contrast, Matz was impressive in his Blue Jays debut April 5 at Arlington, Texas, when he struck out nine (just one walk) and allowed one ER in 6.1 innings. The Mets expected "big things" from Matz but he never delivered. He was 0-5 with a 9.68 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP in 2020 (nine appearances / six starts). The Mets had seen enough and traded Matz to Toronto Blue on January 27, 2021. Quintana has been an effective starter for parts of his MLB career and it sure doesn't hurt that Quintana is 7-2 with a 1.88 ERA and 61 strikeouts. He ranks second all-time in ERA among pitchers to make at least 10 career starts against Toronto. The Toronto team that Quintana faces on Saturday, has averaged just 3.3 PG through eight starts. LA wins again.