1* Free Pick on Lecco
Saturday CBB Free play. My selection is on Virginia plus the points over North Carolina at 4 pm et on Saturday.
I'll grab all the points I can get with Virginia in this ACC matchup on Saturday. North Carolina just isn't good enough defensively right now. The Tar Heels have allowed six of their last seven opponents to knock down at least 27 field goals. They've also allowed four of their last five foes to hoist up 66 or more field goal attempts. The Cavaliers obviously aren't going to push the pace on the Tar Heels here, but I do think they can be efficient offensively noting that despite being the slowest-paced team in the entire country (according to KenPom's adjusted tempo rankings), they've still made good on 24 or more field goals in nine of their last 11 games. On the flip side, Virginia ranks inside the nation's top-10 in adjusted defensive efficiency according to KenPom and it has limited four of its last five opponents to 55 or fewer field goal attempts. Note that North Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last five games as a road favorite of three points or less. Virginia is 15-9 ATS in its last 24 contests with the line set between +3 and -3. Take Virginia.
Ricky's 1* play on MUN.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- Manchester United are 7-4-1 in their last home matches.
- Fulham are 1-7-4 in their last road matches.
- Manchester United are 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.
1 Unit FREE PLAY on TCU -4.5
The Cincinnati Bearcats are playing their way out of the NCAA Tournament. They have lost three of their last four games with all three losses coming at home. They were fortunate to escape with a 2-point win at UCF for their lone victory. They were upset outright by Oklahoma State last game as 10-point home favorites on Wednesday. Now they only have two days off in between games and are a tired team with each of their last six games decided by single-digits. TCU has had the last three days off and will be playing just its 3rd game in 12 days. The Horned Frogs want to bounce back from a 1-point loss at Texas Tech. They have gone 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall and are playing well. They also want to avenge their 4-point loss at Cincinnati earlier this season. That was a letdown spot for them coming off a big home win over Houston in their previous game and they still showed well. TCU is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last six games off a close loss by 3 points or less. Give me TCU.
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#608 ASA FREE PLAY ON Baylor +2.5 over Houston, Saturday at 12 PM ET - It’s not often we get to look at Baylor as a home underdog. They haven’t been in that role yet this season and going back further the last time they were a home dog was back in January of 2019. The Bears are 13-1 SU at home this season with their only loss coming vs TCU in triple OT. They’ve won 33 of their last 37 home games and we’re getting them off a road loss @ BYU (we were on BYU) on Tuesday. The Bears are 8-5 in conference play but 4 of those 5 losses have come in OT or by 3 points or less. While Houston will have an edge defensively as they do on everyone, Baylor should have a large edge shooting the ball in this game. They are one of the top shooting teams in the nation (14th in FG%) and at home they’ve made over 52% of their shots. Houston ranks just 258th in shooting percentage and on the road they’ve only made 38% of their FG attempts. The Cougars are just 3-3 SU on the road in Big 12 play and those 3 wins all came by 7 points or less including one in OT @ Texas. Baylor will be the 2nd highest rated team Houston has played on the road this season behind only Iowa State who beat the Cougs in Ames. Baylor is also back at full strength with Langston Love (11 PPG and 49% from 3) back in the line up. He is the top 3 point shooter for the Bears and missed 3 games but came back vs BYU on Tuesday. We like Baylor to pull the upset on Saturday and we’ll grab the points for a buffer.
MIKE'S WILD/KRAKEN NHL FREE PICK
This looks like a good spot to fade the Minnesota Wild following their upset win in Edmonton last night. They'll not only be playing on short rest but also on the road for a third straight game.
The Seattle Kraken meanwhile have had a day of rest since their 5-2 over Vancouver Thursday night and it'll be their third straight home game.
2* FREE PICK ON THE KRAKEN.
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Jack's Free Pick Saturday: UCLA -5
The UCLA Bruins have played their way back into NCAA Tournament contention by going 8-2 SU & 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Their two losses came by 6 points at Arizona as 18-point dogs and by a single point at the buzzer at home to Utah last time out.
The Bruins have had nearly a week off to steam over that loss to Utah in which leading scorer Sebastian Mack (13.1 PPG) got kicked out of the game only 8 minutes in with a Flagrant 2 foul. It changed the game and they still led basically the entire way until the final seconds. It was a dumb mistake by Mack, and he and his teammates will be looking to make amends here tonight.
USC (10-16) is a dead team walking right now. The Trojans are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games overall with their two wins coming at home over Oregon State and Utah. They showed some life against Colorado at home last time out following that Utah win, but they blew a double-digit lead and lost in OT. It will be tough for the Trojans to get back up off the mat after that kind of defeat.
UCLA beat the Trojans 65-50 in their first meeting this season on January 27th on the road. It will be more of the same in the rematch against a USC team that is 1-8 SU in true road games this season with their lone win at lowly Alabama State. All eight losses have come by 6 points or more, and six of those losses have come by double-digits. Bet UCLA Saturday.
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Dave's Saturday Free Play:
1* on West Virginia +18
The Key: I question Iowa State's motivation to beat West Virginia by margin today. This looks like a flat spot for the Cyclones coming off their 8-point road loss to Houston that was for 1st place in the Big 12. You're paying a tax to back the Cyclones at this point after going 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall and 15-0 SU & 13-2 ATS at home this year. West Virginia continues to show up and upset UCF 77-67 as 2.5-point home dogs last time out. The Mountaineers are as healthy as they have been all year and will be looking forward to trying to upset the Cyclones. West Virginia has Iowa State's number going 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS in the last 9 matchups with 3 outright upsets. Take West Virginia.
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1* Free Wiseguy Play on Flames
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
1* Free Sharp Play on Nantes
Saturday is the release if the 2024 College hoops GAME OF THE YEAR backed with an Exclusive undefeated system rated at 7* headlining a big 4 game CBB Card we also have NBA, EPL Soccer and a 13-1 NHL TOTAL. Comp play below
The CBB Comp play is on Loyola Marymount at 10 eastern. The Lions have won 4 of 5 in the series with Pacific and they fit a nice system here that plays on road favorites off a road loss if they lost the last 7 games and are taking on a team like Pacific that is off a home loss. These road teams cover over 80%. We have two teams under .500. However Marymount already hammered a Pacific team that is 328th on offense and 340th on defense, one of the worst teams in the nation. Look for Loyola to cover. On Saturday the 2024 7* CBB Game of the Year headlines a big CBB Card. There is also a 13-1 NHL Total, Premier League Soccer and NBA. Jump on now as we continue the hot streak this year. For the comp play lay the 7 with Loyola. Rob V
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT HUSKIES for our Saturday Free Play. Connecticut had its 14-game winning streak snapped with a loss at Creighton on Tuesday. It was not a detrimental defeat as the Huskies are still pegged as a No. 1 seed for the upcoming NCAA Tournament although the overall No. 1 seed was lost at least for the moment. They are back home in a big bounce back spot where they are 14-0 and have won 11 of those games by more than what they are laying on Saturday. Connecticut still holds a 2.5-game lead over Marquette in the Big East Conference and it is a perfect 15-0 in games outside of Quad 1. Villanova rolled over Butler by 10 points on Tuesday for its third straight win and it has now won four of its last five games following a five-game losing streak. Only one of those wins was on the road however and that was at 1-14 Georgetown and overall the Wildcats are 3-6 on the road with one of the other victories coming at 0-15 DePaul. The recent streak has put Villanova back on the NCAA Tournament radar but it is still one of the last eight teams out and while a win here would be enormous, it heads to Storrs as the wrong time. Play (770) Connecticut Huskies
We are ready for a MASSIVE hardwood weekend with CBB on a 190-163-3 long-term stretch and extended Saturday. Fargo's card is posted with EIGHT Winners highlighted by his WCC Game of the Year with action all day and night!
[1%] Free Play on Louisiana-Monroe
Chip’s Highest-Rated ACC Game of Year
Chip Chirimbes, Las Vegas Hilton Champion, 5-time NCAAM Award winner and Big Game Player was 2-1 ATS in NCAAM action yesterday including his Power Play Washington State (+9) 77-74 OUTRIGHT over Arizona. Saturday, he has posted his Highest-Rated ACC Game of the Year winner between North Carolina and Virginia. Receive this Highest-rated Game of Year winner for just $69!
Chip’s FREE NCAAM Best Bet winner
Houston at Baylor 12:00 ET
Bears (+) over Cougars- The last time these two clubs met was in Indianapolis when Baylor was on their way to a National Championship and they played in the Final Four with the Bears of course winning 78-59. This is the first time these two are meeting as conference opponents since 1996. Houston routed their nearest Big-12 foe Iowa State never trailing with the smallest second half lead was 14 points. The Bears fell to Power Play winner BYU Tuesday 78-71 and return home where they are 13-1 SU while Houston is 1-6 ATS on the road. Take BAYLOR!
1* Free Play on Wolves
Rotation #200013: English Premier League Saturday Free Pick OVER 3 in Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest @ 10 AM ET - Nottingham has scored 21 goals in their last 12 matches across all competitions. They are playing with added confidence right now as a result. Speaking of added confidence however, this Aston Villa club continues scoring goals like crazy! 5 straight Aston Villa matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals and they have scored an average of 2 goals per match during this stretch. This one gets to at least 2-1 here but, truly, I am expecting much more. Free Pick OVER 3 in Aston Villa