Free Football Picks

[1%] Free Play on A's under 9½ +100

1 Dimer on Blue Jays -104

Ricky's 1* play on SF.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Diamondbacks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games.

- Zac Gallen is 1-4 in his last 5 starts for the Giants.

- The Giants are 6-3 in their last 9 games.

Verdict: The value is on the road Underdog.

Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Reds/Brewers OVER 8.5

The Milwaukee Brewers have a potent offense this season scoring 5.2 runs per game.  The Reds are healthier now and have scored 3 runs or more in five of their last six while averaging 4.8 runs per game during this span.

Andrew Abbott is 2-2 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in four career starts at Milwaukee allowing 12 earned runs, 4 homers and 30 base runners in 20 2/3 innings.  He is backed by a poor Cincinnati bullpen with a 4.92 ERA on the season, including a 5.18 ERA on the road.

Shane Drohan is 3-2 with a 3.12 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in six starts and 10 relief appearances for the Brewers this season.  Drohan allowed 8 base runners in 4 1/3 innings of a 6-5 win over the Reds in his lone start against them on June 24th.  Cincinnati hitters will have the advantage getting to see him less than a week later.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

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1* Free Pick on Cardinals +124

1* on Royals +119

1* Free Play on Cardinals +124

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Dodgers -165

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

OVER 10.5

Locking this in early. Los Angeles and the A’s have value to the over. These two offenses have been crushing the ball this series and both teams are going to produce a lot of scoring chances in this one. Los Angeles sends out Charlie Barnes, who will work as an open in what will be a pen game for the Dodgers. The A’s counter with JT Ginn, who has allowed 3 runs in each of his last two starts. This Dodgers offense is on fire right now and will cause a lot of issues for Ginn. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the OVER. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Wednesday FREE MLB O/U Play

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This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our Wednesday Free Play. The Brewers have won the first two games of this series and they have been able to maintain a sizable lead over the surging Cubs in the National League Central as it sits 5.5 games up. Shane Drohan was sent down to the Minors in April and recalled two weeks later and had only been coming out of the bullpen but has made five starts since and has posted a decent 3.65 ERA but is overvalued here. Cincinnati has lost three straight games and six of its last eight and is now a respectable three games under .500 on the road. The Reds will be hoping Andrew Abbott can keep his resurgence going. He posted a 6.59 ERA over his first six starts but in 11 outings since then, he has a 2.64 ERA, allowing three runs or less in all. This is his third straight road start with the Reds winning those first two and he has been better on the highway with a 3.17 ERA compared to a 4.75 ERA at home. Play (957) Cincinnati Reds

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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Over 2.5 Goals in USA vs Bosnia -125 (8p.m., Wednesday, July 1 FOX) The USA has scored a ton of goals in their group games and they were not even trying to win in their third game. I see both teams scoring in this game and thus we will back the over for total goals scored. 11 combined goals have been scored in Bosnia’s three group games. Do not miss out on the exciting World Cup action from the knockout round. We will be providing daily plays from the knockout round and have had an outstanding start to the 2026 World Cup.

Hump Day Card has Afternoon Wimbledon followed by a TOP World Cup TOTAL, MLB and a 2X PERFECT CFL Total up for Thursday

 The Hump day World Cup Play is on the U.S Team -1.5 goals at 8 eastern over Bosnia. The US. Team lost in the waning minutes in their last group stage to Turkey. Look for a bounce back here as they have found the back of the net 8 times in 3 Group D Matches. Bosnia is a weaker opponent ranked 65th overall and allowed 8 goals in the three games. Bosnia like t control the ball but wont be able to establish that here tonight. They are solid on set pieces and that will be something the U.S Team will have to be wary of. They played well in a draw with Canada and took care of Qatar but looked disorganized in a 4-1 loss to the Swiss team. With home field advantage and more quality and depth at their disposal we back the U.S Team to get the multiple goal win. GL Rob V-

1* Free Pick on Reds/Brewers: over 8½

Reds lefty Andrew Abbott is the regression candidate that makes this total.

His 3.90 ERA looks fine on the surface, but the 4.84 xERA tells the real story.

His expected slugging against sits at .435 and his xwOBA is .339, both well above his surface numbers.

That gap catches up eventually, and Milwaukee at 52-31 is the offense to punish it.

Brewers starter Shane Drohan is the counterargument, and it's a real one.

He threw 4.1 scoreless against this same Reds lineup on June 24, and his 3.31 xERA backs up the 3.12 ERA.

I get it.

But the rematch factor cuts hard the other way.

Cincinnati saw him a week ago, and Elly De La Cruz is now hitting leadoff to squeeze extra plate appearances out of the best bat in the lineup.

More importantly, Drohan doesn't go deep.

He failed to complete five innings in two of his last five starts, including that 4.1 IP outing against Cincinnati.

He also got tagged for 8 hits in 5 innings by Philadelphia on June 13.

That means both bullpens are in this game early, and neither pen is throwing well right now.

The Reds' injuries to Dunn, Myers, and Hayes are noted, but Cincinnati still runs De La Cruz, Bleday, Suarez, and Lowe out there.

That's enough to score 4-plus against a soft-contact lefty in a rematch spot.

Dome game, no weather variable, two vulnerable arms with worse peripherals than their ERAs suggest. 8.5 is the number to attack.

I like the Over

1* FREE INFO PLAY Brewers -154

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Phillies/Pirates OVER 8

This is a very low total given the forecast with temperatures in the 90's and double-digit winds blowing out to center in Philadelphia tonight.  It's low due to both teams sending their aces to the mound, but I expect both to get rocked tonight.  Paul Skenes has given up multiple earned runs in four consecutive starts, including 4 earned runs in 5 innings to the Reds in his last start.  Skenes gave up 5 earned runs in 5 innings to the Phillies in his only start against them this season.  There's not a lot to knock about Zack Wheeler, but he'll be facing a Pittsburgh offense that is quietly one of the best in the National League scoring 5.1 runs per game.  Give me the OVER.

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Tampa Bay @ Kansas City  (7:40 PM EST)
Play On:  Kansas City +117

The Tampa Bay Rays take on the Royals in Kansas City on Wednesday night.  Tampa Bay is 49-33 SU overall this year while Kansas City comes in with a 35-51 SU overall record on the season.  Tampa Bay is 18-21 on the road this year.  Tampa Bay is 3-11 last 14 road games.  Tampa Bay is 3-14 last 17 games when playing on the road in July.  Shane Mcclanahan is 1-4 with a 4.38 ERA on the road this season.  Mcclanahan is 0-3 with a 5.79 ERA over the past month.  We'll recommend a small play on Kansas City tonight!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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1* Best Bet on Dodgers/A's over 10½ +100

No analysis provided.

When the World Cup hits knockout time, especially with a heavy home favorite facing a gritty underdog, the math and history have a funny way of turning games into tense, lower-scoring battles where one side controls the tempo and the other has to chase without blowing up. USA comes in strong on home soil after a solid group stage that saw them concede just four goals across three matches, while Bosnia has shown they can scrap, nick a goal, or make things awkward on counters and set pieces despite shipping six goals themselves in the group stage. After sifting through decades of similar elimination matches and the way these two styles clash, the trends line up clearly in favor of caution over chaos, which is why the Under on total goals stands out as the smartest side here.

Knockout stages have long compressed scoring compared to groups, with averages around 2.1 to 2.2 goals per game in recent World Cups once the do-or-die pressure kicks in, and that stylistic mismatch, a possession favorite against a compact counter-puncher, has historically kept things contained. A simple adjustment from the long-term knockout baseline of roughly 2.2 goals gives an expected total around 2.09. From an expected value angle, if the true probability of the Under lands around 55 to 58 percent based on similar past games while the line implies closer to 50 percent, you’ve got a positive edge that compounds nicely over time, and a basic EV sketch for a unit stake looks like EV equals probability times payout minus one minus probability.

I’ve tracked these patterns long enough to know games like this rarely explode the way casual viewers hope, and the data here just feels too aligned to ignore. No bet is ever a lock, and bankroll discipline always comes first, but this Under has the kind of quiet conviction that makes digging into the numbers worthwhile. Bet smart, enjoy the energy, and here’s to the gmabling Gods delivers exactly the low-event grind the trends suggest.

AAA Sports' Selection: Atlanta Braves (ML).

St. Louis will start Michael McGreevy -- Has a bad 3-6 record this season even with the teams solid winning record.

The Cardinals are just 2-4 over their L6 games even with yesterday's win.

Atlanta will start Reynaldo Lopez -- He is 2-0 at home this year and has been great for ATL over the past few years.

The Braves have been losing quite a bit lately. It's a new month though and they are still 24-15 in home games this year.

We're on Atlanta.

Pirates vs Phillies MLB Free Pick

The Rematch of Aces: National League action features an absolute blockbuster pitching duel at Citizens Bank Park as Paul Skenes (6-7, 3.10 ERA) squares off against Zack Wheeler (8-1, 2.03 ERA).

While Skenes’ standard over/under record trends 10-7-2 to the over, that has largely been a product of poor run support forcing him deeper into high-stress innings, combined with sporadic bullpen collapses behind him. Zack Wheeler has been a premier under-bettor's dream this summer, carrying a pristine 7-4-1 record to the under. Boasting an elite 0.86 WHIP and exceptional command, Wheeler has already demonstrated the blueprint for neutralizing this Pittsburgh order, having thrown seven scoreless innings against them earlier this season in a dominant 6-0 shutout victory.

The under holds immense situational value here because both offenses are missing explosive dynamic elements due to injuries.

The Bet: Under (3%). 

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