NFL Sunday 10* Kansas City Chiefs (-) @ New York Jets @ 8:20 ET - I am not a big fan of laying big points in the NFL but this Jets team is really bad right now. Currently this line is in the 8.5 range but there is some 8 out there and I am expecting a double digit road win here. Even though the NYJ defense can be solid and will do their best here, this offense just can not be trusted at all. They have been so bad as many are questioning the entire QB situation of course ever since Rodgers went down with injury right away in week 1. That game in week 1 was a bit of a miracle win for New York and now reality has quickly set in. The same holds true for the Chiefs. They had a shocking loss in week 1 but their reality has set in now as they are off B2B wins and really dominated the Bears last week. I know it was just "da Bears" but the defending champs are a confident group that really has their offense clicking now on all cylinders. The Jets had 171 yards last week and the Chiefs had over 450 yards of offense last week. This will be a blowout. KC will have some extra focus here and will really bring an A game effort here. Even though they are the defending champs, the primetime games still carry extra weight. Having lost the first one this season is something the Chiefs have not forgotten and they want to make amends for that right here right now in New York. I look for them to do just that. The last 6 times on MNF that they were facing a team off a SU loss they showed no mercy to say the least. KC went 6-0 ATS in that situation and they do it again here as the Jets struggles on offense will be the key culprit here. 10* KANSAS CITY (-) points

NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders @ 4:05 ET - When you look at the point totals that the Raiders have put up, it is not a big surprise that this total has dropped some and is down to a 48 as of early gameday morning. However, all this means for us is even more value with an over that should get well into the 50s. The Chargers defense has had some struggles and so too has the LV defense. Also, the Raiders have moved the ball better than their point totals show as they also have been hurt by turnovers. As for Los Angeles, their offense has been great so far this season and they are favored by nearly a touchdown here with good reason! So if Las Vegas just gets into the 21 range and the odds makers are right about this line, you already have a game that is in the upper 40s. The fact is the Chargers have allowed an average of 29 points per game this season and never allowed less than 24. The Raiders have allowed 30.5 the past two weeks and their defensive numbers were only better last week because of facing a Steelers team that has an anemic offense. The Raiders defense will get lit up here but look for them to also have success against a Chargers defense that is dead last in pass defense so far this season. 10* OVER the total in LA Chargers

NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Washington Commanders +9 @ Philadelphia Eagles @ 1 ET - First off some technical stuff here. The Commanders just got throttled at home by the Bills last week - we were on Buffalo in easy win - but Washington is in a perfect 7-0 ATS spot here. Generally I like decent teams off horrible losses and the Commanders have a great divisional angle here. When they are playing a divisional foe and Washington is off a double digit ATS loss and the team they are playing is on a winning streak of at least 2 games plus playing with revenge, the Commanders have covered 7 times in a row. Sometimes revenge is overplayed and I know Washington won at Philly the last time these teams met and it ended the Eagles unbeaten start to last season. That said, Philly wants this game but they are on short rest off a MNF Game plus still have been dealing with some injury issues. I am not saying they won't get revenge and at least win this game but I think asking them to win this by double digits is asking too much. Eagles are 3-0 this season but statistically have not been that dominant. They will look to pound the ground game and grind out a win here but Washington has enough firepower to keep this one close. The last 5 times Philly entered a game off a SU road win they have gone 3-2 SU but all 3 wins were by 7 or less points. I look for a very tight game here as the Commanders respond off an embarrassing loss. Look for the above trend I mentioned to improve to 8-0 ATS as the dog gets the cover here. 10* WASHINGTON +9

NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Atlanta Falcons (+) vs Jacksonville Jaguars @ 9:30 AM ET - The dominant number as of about 5 hours before kickoff on this one is a 3 but there is some 3.5 out there and I would recommend jumping on that now if you can. The Jaguars are off B2B losses and the Falcons have the better defense and are off their first loss of the season. I could see Atlanta bouncing back huge here off a defeat in which they scored just 6 points. They will take advantage of a weak Jaguars defense. Much is made of the travel here and that Jacksonville is use to it and the Falcons are not - in terms of London games. But to put this in proper perspective, the USA is so big that went teams go East to West they are sometimes traveling 5 to 6 hours in the air just to get to the West Coast and it is a 3-hour time difference to adjust the body clocks. The point is that going Atlanta to London is about 7 hours in the air on a non-stop flight and when you land there it is a 5-hour difference on the body clock. So the point is that going to London for an NFL team in the Eastern Time Zone is not much different than going to a West Coast NFL city. Speaking from experience as I live in Europe right now, the travel going back to USA is tougher for sure. It is longer and more difficult to adjust the body clocks. That said Jaguars being used to this trip is not relevant in my book. Both teams coming off ugly losses and I trust the better defense getting points! Very quietly these Falcons have allowed an average of only 18 ppg their last 9 games as they finished last season strong too on the defensive side of the ball. The Jaguars have a long-term history of struggles against NFC opposition and, within that, they have actually lost 10 in a row ATS when facing a team from NFC South. I look for that play-against situation to reach 11-0 ATS here as Falcons have great shot at outright win but should at least get the cover. 10* ATLANTA + points

Rotation #200113: English Premier League: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +115 in Nottingham Forest vs Brentford @ 9 AM ET - This is a great spot for goals. Both clubs are ready to "explode" here. Nottingham Forest is off a 2-0 loss at Manchester City but they play better when at home. Also, that loss at City followed a win and a draw in their two matches prior and, overall, they had scored 1.4 goals per match in league action prior to that 2-0 loss. Also, they are allowing an average of 1.5 goals per match on the season. They face a Brentford club hungry to get going again. Surprisingly Brentford has just one win in six matches this season but their matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. Brentford, like Nottingham Forest, is off a shutout loss and they will be looking to explode here. They have scored an average of 2 goals per match last 4 matches against Nottingham Forest and all 4 of those matches featured each club scoring and conceding at least once. 3 of the 4 matches totaled at least 3 goals and this one will too. 10* OVER 2.5 +115 in Nottingham Forest

Rotation #206941: Romania Liga 1: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -115 in CFR Cluj vs FCU 1948 Craiova @ 2 ET - FCU 1948 Craiova has had zero draws in ten matches this season. That means if you feel each club will score a goal here (and I certainly do), the odds very strongly favor that this one will get to at least 2-1 as well. Odds favor no draw here. Also, FCU 1948 Craiova is off a 2-0 loss in most recent match and that followed a stretch of 7 straight matches in which they had scored at least 1 goal and actually averaged scoring 2.6 goals per match during this stretch! CFR Cluj has scored an average of 2 goals per match in last 5 matches with FCU 1948 Craiova. Also, they are scoring an average of 2 goals per match this season but are off a 3-1 loss to Rapid so you know they are going to bring a strong effort here on their home pitch. That should lead to at least a 2-1 final here the way I see it. 10* OVER 2.5 -115 in CFR Cluj

Rotation #206921: Romania Liga 1: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +105 in Hermannstadt vs Rapid Bucuresti @ 11 AM ET - Hermannstadt is off a scoreless draw but this followed 4 straight matches totaling 4 goals! Not only that, it followed a stretch of 5 straight matches (and 7 of 8) in which they both scored and conceded at least once in each match. That said, a lot of value here with the over because I do expect Hermannstadt to have some success on their home pitch but I also expect Rapid to deliver huge here. Rapid remembers their most recent road match was a scoreless draw at Otelul Galati and they will aim to do something about that right here right now. Rapid is one of the top clubs in the league and 11 of their last 15 matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Rapid has not only scored at least 1 goal in 7 of last 9 matches, they averaged scoring 3 goals per match in those 7 matches! This one has the makings of a 3-1 final the way I see it but at least should get to 2-1. Remember too that Rapid lost in Bucuresti 1-0 to Hermannstadt in March the last time these clubs met. This road club is looking for payback and that means an aggressive attacking style will permeate this match! 10* OVER 2.5 +105 in Hermannstadt

Rotation #206949: Romania Liga 1: Sunday Free Pick OVER 2.5 -125 in Universitatea Craiova vs FC Botosani @ 8 AM ET - This is one of those matches where someone knows something as the saying goes. The fact is that the last 3 meetings between these clubs have all totaled 2 or less goals but this one is set at a solid 2.5 goals across the board and it is showing price movement toward the over as well. FC Botosani has not won a match yet this season and has scored an average of only 1 goal per match. Universitatea Craiova has allowed an average of only 1 goal per match this season. That said, 2-1 gets us the money here and appears likely given the situation and the line here and those YTD stats. FC Botosani has had 3 of last 4 matches total 4 goals. Universitatea Craiova has allowed 1.8 goals per match last 4 matches but also scored an average of 2.5 goals last two matches at home and they certainly envision this match, against the only winless club in the league, as an opportunity to be very aggressive on the attack on their home pitch. Free Pick OVER 2.5 -125 in Universitatea Craiova