Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-09-25 | Raptors +9 v. Rockets | 87-94 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Raptors +9 This is a very tough spot for the Houston Rockets today. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. It will also be their 9th game in 15 days, which is about a tough a situation as there is in the NBA. It's no wonder the Rockets are going through their worst stretch of the season right now going 0-6 SU in their last six games overall. They have also been without Fred VanVleet and Jabari Smith, which is a big reason for their struggles. Now both Tari Eason and Steven Adams have been ruled out for this game. Green played 41 minutes, Sengun 38, Brooks 37 and Thompson 37 yesterday. I question now much those four have left in the tank as they'll have to carry the load again today. This is more of a play against the Rockets than it is a play on the Raptors. But I was impressed with Toronto hanging with Oklahoma City on the road last time out as 18.5-point dogs in a 12-point loss. This is actually going to be a big step down in class for them after playing the Thunder, Grizzlies, Knicks and Clippers in their last four games. They even upset the Clippers and took the Knicks to the wire during this brutal stretch. Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last six meetings with Houston with one of the losses coming by just 4 points as 9-point dogs in their first meeting this season. Asking the Rockets to win this game by double-digits to beat us given the extremely difficult rest spot they are in is asking too much. Bet the Raptors Sunday. |
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02-09-25 | Xavier v. Villanova UNDER 141.5 | 68-80 | Loss | -108 | 1 h 18 m | Show | |
15* CBB Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Xavier/Villanova UNDER 141.5 Villanova is a dead nuts UNDER team. The Wildcats rank 346th in adjusted tempo this season. They will control the tempo playing at home today. We've seen 108 and 122 combined points in Villanova's last two games against DePaul and Creighton. We've seen 138 or fewer combined points in six of their last ten games overall. We saw this matchup once already this season back on January 14th when Xavier beat Villanova 69-63 for just 132 combined points. And this has been an UNDER series to say the least. Indeed, Villanova and Xavier have combined for 132 points or fewer at the end of regulation in 9 of their last 10 meetings, making for a 9-1 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 141.5-point total. Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday. |
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02-08-25 | Celtics v. Knicks OVER 229.5 | Top | 131-104 | Win | 100 | 24 h 48 m | Show |
20* Celtics/Knicks ABC No-Brainer on OVER 229.5 Two of the best offensive teams in the NBA square off Saturday when the New York Knicks host the Boston Celtics. The Knicks are a dead nuts OVER team ranking 2nd in offensive rating this season, while the Celtics rank 4th in offensive rating and are shooting an alarming amount of 3-pointers. One key injury here that will help us cash this OVER ticket is Jrue Holiday being out for Boston. Holiday is one of the best defenders in the NBA, and not having him to defend Jalen Brunson is huge. More Derrick White also benefits the OVER as he is much more known for offense than defense. The Knicks will be without OG Anunoby, which is also a big loss for them defensively as he would match up with either Tatum or Brown. Those two will likely have a field day not having to go up against him. The OVER is 5-1 in Knicks last six games overall with 234 or more combined points in all six games. They have scored 121 or more points in five of those six games. The OVER is 5-2 in Celtics last seven games overall. They have scored at least 112 points in all seven games and 118 or more in five of those. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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02-08-25 | Ole Miss -5.5 v. LSU | 72-70 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Ole Miss -5.5 It looks like the LSU Tigers have quit. They have gone 1-8 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall. Their last two games have been very concerning losing 89-58 at home to Texas and 81-62 on the road to Georgia. Ole Miss has gone 2-4 SU in its last six games overall against a brutal schedule of Miss State, Texas A&M, Missouri, Texas, Auburn and Kentucky. All four losses came down to the wire as well. The Rebels finally get a break in the schedule today, and I look for them to take advantage with a blowout road victory. Bet Ole Miss Saturday. |
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02-08-25 | Warriors v. Bulls +6.5 | 132-111 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 27 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Bulls +6.5 The Golden State Warriors are expected to start Jimmy Butler tonight to make his debut. I think that is getting too much hype, and the Warriors aren't going to be hitting on all cylinders in his first game with his new team. In fact, I expect the Warriors to be lost offensively. The bigger problem is the Warriors just traded away several key rotational players including Wiggins and Shroeder, so they are short-handed and out of sync as it is. They also remain without Jonathan Kuminga and have been terrible without him. The Warriors are 7-10 SU & 6-11 ATS in their last 17 games overall. This is a tough spot for the short-handed Warriors as well playing their 3rd road game in 4 days. Meanwhile, the Bulls have had the last two days off and will be fresh and ready to go tonight. Chicago has been very impressive in its last two home games beating Miami 133-124 as 3.5-point dogs and Denver 129-121 as 9.5-point dogs. They are beating undervalued again tonight. Bet the Bulls Saturday. |
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02-08-25 | Thunder v. Grizzlies OVER 240.5 | 125-112 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 24 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Thunder/Grizzlies OVER 240.5 Two dead nuts OVER teams square off tonight when the Memphis Grizzlies host the Oklahoma City Thunder. This has the makings of one of the highest-scoring games of the season tonight. The Thunder are a dead nuts OVER team right now. They are 12-2-1 OVER in their last 15 games overall. They rank 5th in pace and 1st in offensive rating during this stretch while scoring at least 115 points in 13 of those 15 games. The Grizzlies have been a dead nuts OVER team all season. They rank 1st in pace and 5th in offensive rating this season. The OVER is 10-3 in Grizzlies last 13 games overall with 237 or more combined points in 11 of those 13 games. They have scored at least 120 points in seven of their last eight games while allowing at least 119 points in five of those eight games. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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02-08-25 | Thunder v. Grizzlies +2.5 | Top | 125-112 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 25 m | Show |
20* NBA Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Memphis Grizzlies +2.5 This is such a favorable spot for the Memphis Grizzlies tonight. Not only will they be max motivated to beat the No. 1 team in the Western Conference standings, but they will have a massive rest advantage over the Oklahoma City Thunder to boot. Memphis has had the last two days off. The Grizzlies are 35-16 SU & 34-17 ATS in all games this season despite battling through injury all season. But now the Grizzlies are as healthy as they have been all season, and they are playing their best basketball of the season as a result going 10-1 SU & 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall with eight wins by 12 points or more. The Oklahoma City Thunder will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 121-109 win over the Toronto Raptors as 18.5-point home favorites last night. It was a pretty lackluster effort considering the Raptors were missing Barrett and Poeltl and were extra short-handed after recent trades. The Thunder are 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three road games with upset losses to the Warriors as 9-point favorites and the Mavericks as 3-point favorites. The Grizzlies are 21-5 SU at home this season. Bet the Grizzlies Saturday. |
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02-08-25 | Spurs v. Magic -1 | 111-112 | Push | 0 | 23 h 36 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Orlando Magic -1 The spot really favors the Orlando Magic tonight. The Magic had yesterday off while the San Antonio Spurs lost 117-116 in Charlotte last night. De'Aaron Fox had a game-winning 3-pointer overturned on replay as it came just after the buzzer. That's the type of loss that can beat a team twice. So the Spurs are going to be tired as it is playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days, including their 4th consecutive road game. I wouldn't be surprised if they decided to rest either Fox or Wembanyama tonight given the tough rest spot. Either way, I like the Magic to get the win at home tonight. The Magic are as healthy as they have been in a long time and starting to play better. They are 15-9 SU at home this season while the Spurs are 8-14 SU on the road. Orlando won its last two home meetings with San Antonio in blowout fashion by 16 and 20 points. Bet the Magic Saturday. |
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02-08-25 | Illinois State v. Northern Iowa OVER 139.5 | 65-68 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 45 m | Show | |
15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Illinois State/Northern Iowa OVER 139.5 Illinois State is 7-1 OVER in its last eight games overall with 159 or more combined points in four of its last five. The Redbirds rank 73rd in adjusted offense but just 258th in adjusted defense. They rank 8th in effective FG percentage offense and 308th in effective FG percentage defense. Northern Iowa is 95th in adjusted offense and 150th in adjusted defense. The Panthers are 23rd in effective FG percentage offense and 233rd in effective FG percentage defense. This total of 139.5 is very low for a game involving these two teams right now. That's especially the case when you consider Northern Iowa beat Illinois State 85-84 for 169 combined points in their first meeting this season. So we essentially have 29 points to spare here to cash this OVER in the rematch. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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02-08-25 | Utah v. West Virginia UNDER 137.5 | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 18 h 1 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Utah/West Virginia UNDER 137.5 West Virginia is a dead nuts UNDER team. The Mountaineers rank 330th in adjusted tempo, 104th in adjusted offense and 17th in adjusted defense. The UNDER is 10-2 in WVU's last 12 games overall with 133 or fewer combined points in 11 of those 12 games, making for an 11-1 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 137.5-point total. Utah has been a dead nuts UNDER team as well. The UNDER is 8-1 in Utes' last nine games overall and 12-3 in their last 15 games overall. Utah and its opponents have combined for 137 or fewer points in four of its last five games overall coming in. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday. |
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02-08-25 | Pacers v. Lakers OVER 231.5 | Top | 117-124 | Win | 100 | 20 h 45 m | Show |
20* Pacers/Lakers ESPN No-Brainer on OVER 231.5 Note: I put this play in before LeBron James was announced doubtful. If you haven't bet it already, I would downgrade this to a 15* play. The Lakers have had to go more small ball without Anthony Davis. They are 4-1 OVER in their last five games overall and thriving offensively, scoring 120 or more points in four straight coming in. The Pacers are a dead nuts OVER team ranking 6th in pace, 9th in offensive rating and 19th in defensive rating. The OVER is 5-2 in Pacers last seven games overall with 231 or more combined points in five of those seven games. The Pacers and Lakers have combined for at least 231 points in five of their last eight meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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02-08-25 | Rhode Island v. George Mason UNDER 137.5 | 67-82 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on Rhode Island/George Mason UNDER 137.5 George Mason is a dead nuts UNDER team. The Patriots rank 312th in adjusted tempo, 208th in adjusted offense and 10th in adjusted defense. Amazingly, George Mason and its opponents have combined for 138 or fewer points at the end of regulation in 12 of their last 13 games, and 126 or fewer in 10 of those. George Mason lost to Rhode Island 62-59 for just 121 combined points in their first meeting this season on January 4th. I fully expect another ugly, defensive battle in the rematch with the Patriots controlling the tempo playing at home. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday. |
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02-08-25 | Houston v. Colorado +15 | Top | 69-59 | Win | 100 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
20* CBB DOG OF THE MONTH on Colorado +15 The Houston Cougars are overvalued right now. That's especially the case with Houston being down one of its best players in Emanuel Sharp (12.5 PPG, 43.6% 3-pointers). The Cougars already lack depth as it is, so being down their 2nd-leading scorer is huge. After falling 82-81 as 9.5-point home favorites to Texas Tech, the Cougars had a lackluster 72-63 home win over Oklahoma State as 21-point favorites. Now they're being asked to go on the road and win by more than 15 points against Colorado Saturday without Sharp. It's a great time to 'buy low' on Colorado. The Buffaloes are 0-11 SU & 1-10 ATS in Big 12 play. But the Buffaloes have been much more competitive than that record would indicate, and there's no question they are treating this as their 'National Championship' game with Top 5 Houston coming to town. Just two of the 11 conference losses have come by more than 15 points, and those were losses by 16 and 20 points. The Buffaloes have been very competitive at home with losses by 2, 6, 8 and 10 points. They will stay within this inflated number today. Bet Colorado Saturday. |
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02-08-25 | UCF v. Baylor OVER 157.5 | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
15* Big 12 Total DOMINATOR on UCF/Baylor OVER 157.5 UCF is a dead nuts OVER team. The Knights rank 14th in adjusted tempo and 21st in average length of offensive possession. They are also 46th in adjusted offense and just 105th in adjusted defense. They have great guards who will keep coming. The OVER is 14-6 in UCF's last 20 games overall. Their last game was very concerning in a 93-83 home loss to Cincinnati and 176 combined points. They allowed the Bearcats to shoot 58.5% from the field. That's a poor Cincinnati offense that had been held to fewer than 70 points in nine of its previous 10 games. The Knights really let go of the rope defensively when they hit the road. They lost 91-87 to Kansas for 178 combined points, 108-83 to Iowa State for 191 combined points and 88-80 to Arizona for 168 combined points. They also beat Arizona State 95-89 for 184 combined points and Texas Tech 87-83 for 170 combined points. So they are 5-0 OVER in Big 12 road games this season with 168 or more combined points in all five. Baylor is expected to get back a pair of guards in VJ Edgecombe (14.9 PPG) and Langston Love (6.5 PPG) today. Those two are huge for their offensive production, especially Edgecombe. Baylor is 13th in adjusted offense but just 60th in adjusted defense. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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02-08-25 | Kansas v. Kansas State +4.5 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 16 h 27 m | Show |
20* Kansas/K-State ESPN No-Brainer on Kansas State +4.5 The Kansas State Wildcats are one of the most underrated teams in the country right now. They have gone 4-3 SU & 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall. Even the first three losses were impressive falling by 4 to Texas Tech as 7-point home dogs, by 10 at Kansas as 14.5-point road dogs and by 8 at Baylor as 11-point road dogs. The wins were even better beating West Virginia by 13 as 2.5-point home favorites, Oklahoma State by 28 as 7-point home favorites, Iowa State by 19 as 14.5-point road dogs and Arizona State by 1 as 3-point road dogs. They ended Iowa State's 29-game home winning streak with that emphatic win, and avoided the letdown in their next game against Arizona State, which was extremely impressive considering they had Kansas on deck so it was the ultimate sandwich spot. Now the Wildcats have their sights set on revenge from that 10-point road loss at Kansas in their first meeting this season. Kansas is 2-4 SU in its six true road games this season losing by 13 at Creighton, by 9 at Missouri, by 17 at Iowa State and by 11 at Baylor. The two wins came against two of the worst teams in the Big 12 in UCF and TCU. Home-court advantage has been huge in this series. The home team is 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Bet Kansas State Saturday. |
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02-08-25 | Michigan v. Indiana OVER 152 | 70-67 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
15* Big Ten Total DOMINATOR on Michigan/Indiana OVER 152 Michigan is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 44th in adjusted tempo, 16th in average length of offensive possession, 20th in adjusted offense and 5th in effective FG percentage. The Wolverines play fast and they do so efficiently. The OVER is 11-3 in Michigan's last 14 games overall with 155 or more combined points in 11 of those 14 games. Now they face an Indiana team that is 5-1 OVER in its last six games overall with 153 or more combined points in four of those six games. The Hoosiers also rank in the top 1/3 of the country at 106th in adjusted tempo and 84th in average length of offensive possession. So there will be a ton of possessions in this game, and the Hoosiers are as healthy as they have been all season and a more potent offensive team when that's the case. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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02-08-25 | Wisconsin -4.5 v. Iowa | 74-63 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Wisconsin -4.5 The Iowa Hawkeyes are 1-5 SU & 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall with their lone win coming by a single point 76-75 at home against Penn State as 3.5-point favorites. That's a Penn State team that is 1-8 SU in its last nine games. Making matters worse for the Hawkeyes is they just lost F Owen Freeman (16.7 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 1.8 BPG). They were already lacking an inside presence defensively, and now they are going to be even worse off without Freeman. Purdue hung 90 points on Iowa in their first game without Freeman last time out. This is one of the best Wisconsin teams of the Greg Gard era. The biggest reason is its his best offensive team as the Badgers rank 8th in adjusted offense. The Badgers are 10-2 SU & 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. We saw this matchup already this season with Wisconsin winning 116-85 at home against Iowa on January 3rd. Freeman had 14 points for the Hawkeyes in that defeat. The Hawkeyes are charmin soft as far and away the worst defensive team in the conference. Bet Wisconsin Saturday. |
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02-08-25 | Texas v. Vanderbilt -2 | Top | 78-86 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
20* SEC GAME OF THE MONTH on Vanderbilt -2 I love the spot for Vanderbilt today. The Commodores are pissed off following two consecutive road losses to Oklahoma and Florida. But now they return home where they are 11-1 SU at home this season with wins over the likes of Tennessee and Kentucky int heir last two home games. This is actually a step down in class for the Commodores against a Texas team that I'm just not that big of a fan of. The Longhorns are just 2-3 SU on the road in SEC play with their last win coming recently against a LSU team that looks like they have quit. They lost by 20 at Texas A&M, by 24 at Florida and by 3 at Ole Miss. The Commodores should be favored by more. Bet Vanderbilt Saturday. |
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02-08-25 | TCU v. Iowa State UNDER 138.5 | Top | 52-82 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
20* Big 12 TOTAL OF THE MONTH on TCU/Iowa State UNDER 138.5 Two of the best defensive teams in the Big 12 square off Monday and this total has been set too high. Iowa State ranks 7th in the country in adjusted defense while allowing just 67.6 points per game and 41.5% shooting. The UNDER would be 6-1 in Iowa State's last seven games overall if not for OT against Arizona. The Cyclones and their opponents have combined for 142 or fewer points at the end of regulation in six of their last seven games. Iowa State being without its best shooter in Moncilovic (10.3 PPG, 44.3% 3-pointers) has hurt offensively. The Cyclones were held to 61 points by Kansas State and 52 points by Kansas in their last two games coming in. TCU is 9-1 UNDER in its last 10 games overall. The Horned Frogs rank 35th in adjusted defense while allowing just 67.1 points per game and 43.5% shooting. But the problem for the Horned Frogs is offense, where they rank 182nd in the country including 298th in effective FG percentage. TCU and its opponents have combined for 138 or fewer points in eight of their last 10 games overall. That includes 125, 125 and 128 points in their last three games. Being without G Frankie Collins (11.2 PPG, 4.4 APG) has really hurt them as he has been lost for the season. Iowa State and TCU have combined for 136 or fewer points in five of their last six meetings. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday. |
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02-07-25 | San Jose State +14 v. Boise State | Top | 52-79 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
20* MWC GAME OF THE WEEK on San Jose State +14 San Jose State is the single-most underrated team in the country. The Spartans are 17-1-1 ATS in their last 19 games overall. They have just one loss by more than 14 points all season, so this 14-point spread shows tremendous value. Boise State is in a bit of a letdown spot here after winning three straight including a 71-62 road win at UNLV last time out. The Broncos won't be all that motivated to beat the Spartans again after topping them 73-71 as 8.5-point road favorites on December 28th in their first meeting this season. Meanwhile, the Spartans want revenge from that 2-point defeat to the Broncos, and they have the confidence knowing they can play with them. They continue to be grossly undervalued tonight catching 14 points. Bet San Jose State Friday. |
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02-07-25 | Raptors v. Thunder OVER 228.5 | Top | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Raptors/Thunder OVER 228.5 The Oklahoma City Thunder are a dead nuts OVER team right now. They are 11-2-1 OVER in their last 14 games overall. They rank 4th in pace and 4th in offensive rating during this stretch while scoring at least 115 points in 11 of those 13 games. The Toronto Raptors rank 10th in pace and 27th in defensive rating this season. They profile as an OVER team. They are without their starting big man in Jakob Poeltl right now, so they have to go more small ball without him which favors the OVER. Kelly Olynyk will get more playing time for them and he's an OVER play with terrible defense but solid offense with his ability to stretch the floor. I know the Raptors are missing RJ Barrett, but Immanuel Quickley (15.0 PPG, 5.7 APG) is expected to play tonight and he makes them more of an OVER team with his ability to get the offense going 'quickly'. The Raptors have some of the worst defenders in the NBA outside of Scottie Barnes. The Raptors are 3-0 OVER in their last three games overall including 245 combined points with Memphis and 236 with New York in their last two games coming in, and it's worth noting they didn't have Barrett for either game. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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02-07-25 | St. John's v. Connecticut UNDER 142.5 | Top | 68-62 | Win | 100 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
20* St. John's/UConn FOX No-Brainer on UNDER 142.5 Two elite defensive teams square off in this huge Big East showdown tonight. St. John's ranks 4th in adjusted defense and makes every team work on every possession ranking 327th in average length of defensive possession at 18.3 seconds. They pick up full court and that really gets opponents out of rhythm offensively. UConn is a dead nuts UNDER team as it is ranking 337th in adjusted tempo and 326th in average length of offensive possession. Dan Hurley runs plays almost every time down the court, and that takes a lot of time. The Huskies also rank 279th in average length of defensive possession, so they make opponents work too. Injury to three guards for UConn will also help us cash this UNDER ticket. Ahmad Nowell (2.1 PPG) is out, while Aidan Mahaney (5.3 PPG) and Hassan Diara (8.6 PPG) are questionable to play tonight. And the Huskies just aren't getting that elite guard play that they had the last two seasons in winning the title, which is one of the biggest reasons they aren't as good this season. St. John's is 5-1 UNDER in its last six games overall with 150 or fewer combined points in seven consecutive games. UConn and its opponents have combined for 148 or fewer points at the end of regulation in seven consecutive games, and 136 or fewer in five of those seven. These teams combined for 141 and 134 points in their two regular season meetings last season. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday. |
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02-06-25 | Pacers v. Clippers OVER 228.5 | 119-112 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
15* NBA Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Pacers/Clippers OVER 228.5 This is a very low total for a game involving the Indiana Pacers right now. They are 4-2 OVER in their last six games overall with 234 or more combined points in four of those six games, including 250 or more three times. The Clippers are also playing in higher-scoring games here of late now that they are healthy. They have gone 4-2 OVER in their last six games overall. These teams only meet twice a season so they are very unfamiliar with one another, and that unfamiliarity favors offense over defense. That has played out in this series as the OVER 7-1 in the last eight meetings between the Pacers and Clippers with 238 or more combined points in six of their last seven meetings. That includes 249, 278 and 261 combined points in their last three meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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02-06-25 | Pacers v. Clippers -3 | Top | 119-112 | Loss | -112 | 24 h 11 m | Show |
20* Pacers/Clippers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -3 The Los Angeles Clippers should be max motivated for a victory tonight. They were embarrassed in their last two games getting upset at Toronto and getting crushed by 25 by the Lakers as 8.5-point home favorites. Look for them to take out their frustration on the Indiana Pacers tonight. The Clippers haven't lost more than three games in a row all season so they have been a pretty resilient team in these spots. They are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games following two consecutive losses. This is a tough spot for the Pacers playing their 3rd road game in 4 days. They were lucky to escape with a 112-111 win as 6.5-point favorites at Utah on Monday before falling 112-89 at Portland as 5.5-point favorites on Tuesday. Bet the Clippers Thursday. |
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02-06-25 | Kings v. Blazers +2 | 102-108 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show | |
15* NBA Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on Portland Trail Blazers +2 The Portland Trail Blazers are the most underrated team in the NBA right now. They have gone 9-1 SU & 10-0 ATS in their last 10 games overall with nine outright upsets as underdogs. Many haven't even been close as they are coming off a 23-point win over Indiana as 5.5-point dogs. They also beat Phoenix by 19, Orlando by 29, Milwaukee by 13, Orlando by 22, Miami by 9 and Chicago by 11 during this stretch. This is a tough spot for the Sacramento Kings. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 130-111 home loss to the Magic last night. They will also be playing in their 4th different city in 6 days. The Kings just traded away their best player in De'Aaron Fox, and Zach LaVine is his replacement which is a big downgrade. LaVine got his first minutes with his new team last night and the Kings were clearly out of sync. He went just 4-of-13 from the field in his debut, but the Kings were more lost defensively than anything, and LaVine is not a good defender. The home team is 5-0 SU in the last five meetings. Portland won 115-106 as 7.5-point dogs and 130-113 as 8.5-point dogs in its last two home meetings with Sacramento. Bet the Blazers Thursday. |
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02-06-25 | Warriors v. Lakers -6.5 | 112-120 | Win | 100 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
15* Warriors/Lakers TNT ANNIHILATOR on Los Angeles -6.5 The Los Angeles Lakers are playing their best basketball of the season right now and most of it has been without Anthony Davis anyway. The Lakers are 7-1 SU & 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games overall. Their last three games without Davis resulted in a 134-96 win at Washington as 8.5-point favorites, a 128-112 win at New York as 11-point dogs and a 122-97 win at Los Angeles as 8.5-point dogs. They have embraced small ball and their offense is thriving as a result, while also getting some great perimeter defense from the underrated duo of Finney-Smith and Vanderbilt. The Lakers are excited right now with the Luka Doncic and Mark Williams news. They have new life and they are playing like it. They are also fresh and ready to go tonight playing just their 2nd game in 5 days. The same cannot be said for the Warriors, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 131-128 loss in altitude in Salt Lake City as 6.5-point favorites to the Jazz last night. The Warriors will also be playing their 3rd game in 4 days. They are short-handed right now after trading away Wiggins and Schroeder for Jimmy Butler. They gave important minutes to Post, Spencer and Rowe last night out of necessity. Those same terrible players will have to get more big minutes tonight. Bet the Lakers Thursday. |
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02-06-25 | St. Mary's v. San Francisco +5.5 | Top | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
20* WCC GAME OF THE WEEK on San Francisco +5.5 It's time to 'sell high' on the St. Mary's Gaels tonight. The Gaels are 10-0 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. You're now paying a tax to back them due to this winning streak. The Gaels are in the ultimate letdown spot tonight. They are coming off a 62-58 home win over their biggest rivals in the Gonzaga Bulldogs last game. They won't be nearly as motivated to beat San Francisco, which they already beat by 20 at home in their first meeting this season. But the Dons have been a different animal at home this season. They are a perfect 14-0 SU at home with their last four home wins all coming by 9 points or more, including a 24-point win over Washington State and an 11-point win over Oregon State. The Dons have a lot of room for improvement in the shooting department from that first meeting at St. Mary's, which was a 71-51 loss on January 23rd. The Dons shot just 26.9% from the field while the Gaels shot 61.5%. It's amazing the Gaels didn't win by more. There won't be nearly that big of a discrepancy this time around, and I'm expecting the Dons to shoot much better than the 6-of-27 (22.2%) from 3 they shot in that 1st meeting. Bet San Francisco Thursday. |
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02-06-25 | North Dakota v. Nebraska-Omaha OVER 159 | 77-80 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
15* CBB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on North Dakota/Omaha OVER 159 North Dakota is a dead nuts OVER team. The Fighting Hawks are 11-1 OVER in their last 12 games overall with 162 or more combined points in nine of those 12 games, and 155 or more in 11 of those 12 games. The Omaha Mavericks are also a dead nuts OVER team. They are 8-2 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 160 or more combined points in seven of their last 10 games overall. These teams met on January 2nd with Omaha winning 95-85 for 180 combined points. It should be more of the same in the rematch, and we have 21 points to spare based off that 1st meeting to cash this OVER ticket. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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02-06-25 | Mavs v. Celtics OVER 229 | Top | 127-120 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show |
20* Mavs/Celtics TNT No-Brainer on OVER 229 The Dallas Mavericks are really having to go small ball now without C Lively, C Powell, PF Washington and PF Davis. They are going to be fine offensively going small ball, but defense will be a big problem tonight against the Celtics. The OVER is 7-1 in Mavericks last eight games overall with 229 or more combined points in seven of those eight games. They are likely to give up a big number to the Celtics, who rank 4th in offensive rating this season. They have allowed 115-plus points in seven of their last eight games. These teams just met on January 25th with the Celtics winning 122-107 for 229 combined points. It should be an even higher-scoring affair in the rematch, especially with the Mavericks lacking big men and going small ball. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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02-05-25 | Pelicans v. Nuggets UNDER 240 | 119-144 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Pelicans/Nuggets UNDER 240 Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games. This will be the 2nd meeting in 3 days between the Pelicans and Nuggets. They combined for 238 points on Monday and both teams shot great from the floor. The Pelicans shot 47% from 3-point range connecting on 18-of-38 attempts while the Nuggets shot 50% from the field. I cannot see either team shooting any better in the rematch. The Nuggets are without Russell Westbrook and he's an OVER player. The Pelicans are without Dejounte Murray and he's an OVER player. Both are great offensively but terrible defensively. The Nuggets and Pelicans have combined for 238 or fewer points at the end of regulation in each of their last five meetings. Make it six in a row tonight as this one stays UNDER the 240-point total. Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday. |
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02-05-25 | Pelicans +10.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 119-144 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 19 m | Show |
20* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on New Orleans Pelicans +10.5 I love this spot in the NBA. The Pelicans and Nuggets will be meeting for a 2nd time in 3 days in Denver. The Nuggets won by 12 at home over the Pelicans on Monday. I like backing the team that lost the 1st meeting especially if they did not cover. Now the Pelicans will clearly be the more motivated team for revenge, while the Nuggets will have a hard time being motivated to beat them again and will likely relax in the rematch. The Nuggets will be without Russell Westbrook and Peyton Watson, and Aaron Gordon is questionable. They can't afford to be without all these guys because they lack depth as it is. The Nuggets are short-handed and tired right now. They will be playing their 13th game in 23 days. They haven't had two days off in a row since the beginning of January. They are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall and showing that fatigue. Asking Denver to win this game by double-digits to beat us is asking too much. Bet the Pelicans Wednesday. |
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02-05-25 | Belmont v. Bradley OVER 156.5 | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 21 h 5 m | Show | |
15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Belmont/Bradley OVER 156.5 Belmont is a dead nuts OVER team going 16-5 OVER in its last 21 games overall. The Bruins rank 63rd in adjusted offense, 41st in effective FG percentage and 45th in 3-point percentage. But they are just 279th in adjusted defense and 324th in effective FG percentage defense. They also play are the 33rd-fastest tempo in the country. Bradley is 14-8 OVER in all games this season and profiles as more of an OVER team. The Braves are 105th in adjusted offense, but 9th in effective FG percentage and 3rd in 3-point percentage. So these are two of the best shooting teams in the country. Belmont and its opponents have combined for at least 155 points in each of their last five games. Bradley beat Belmont 89-77 for 166 combined points on January 1st. Belmont only shot 38.2% and Bradley shot 47.5%, so both teams have room for improvement in the shooting department in the rematch. Belmont is averaging 81.4 points per game on 46.6% shooting and Bradley averages 79.3 points per game on 48.5% shooting this season. These teams also combined for 167 points last season and 166 this season. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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02-05-25 | Illinois State v. Illinois-Chicago OVER 148 | 81-79 | Win | 100 | 20 h 11 m | Show | |
15* CBB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Illinois State/Illinois-Chicago OVER 148 Two dead nuts OVER teams square off tonight when Illinois State travels to face Illinois-Chicago. Illinois State is averaging 76.8 points per game on 48.5% shooting this season while Illinois-Chicago is averaging 81.2 points per game on 47.6% shooting. Illinois-Chicago is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 games overall with 155 or more combined points in five of its last six games. The Flames rank 93rd in adjusted offense, 77th in adjusted tempo and just 198th in adjusted defense. Illinois State is 6-1 OVER in its last seven games overall with 159 or more combined points in three of its last four. The Redbirds rank 78th in adjusted offense but just 249th in adjusted defense. They rank 10th in effective FG percentage offense and 302nd in effective FG percentage defense. This total of 148 is very low for a game between these two teams right now. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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02-05-25 | Tulsa +18 v. Memphis | Top | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 20 h 13 m | Show |
20* AAC GAME OF THE WEEK on Tulsa +18 The Memphis Tigers have been the kings of playing to their level of competition under Penny Hardaway. In fact, the Tigers are 0-10 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of -15 or higher. I always love fading them as big home favorites. The Tigers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall, including 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games. Meanwhile, Tulsa is 3-4 SU but 5-2 ATS in its last seven games. Their largest loss was by 10 points during this seven-game stretch. They covered as big road underdogs in both road games. Tulsa is 8-0-1 ATS in its last nine meetings with Memphis. The Golden Hurricane haven't lost by more than 12 points in any of their last 12 meetings with the Tigers. Bet Tulsa Wednesday. |
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02-05-25 | Grizzlies -7 v. Raptors | Top | 138-107 | Win | 100 | 21 h 1 m | Show |
20* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Memphis Grizzlies -7 The Toronto Raptors will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back tonight. They had a valiant comeback against the Knicks that came up short in a 121-115 loss last night. They put a lot of effort into that comeback and made it short-handed nonetheless. RJ Barrett (21.6 PPG, 6.6 RPG, 5.7 APG) was a late scratch with a concussion yesterday and Jakob Poeltl (14.2 PPG, 10.1 RPG) was knocked out of the game with a hip injury. I have to think both are out again tonight. Chris Boucher (10.5 PPG) is questionable with an illness. The books can't set these Memphis spreads high enough. The Grizzlies are 34-16 SU & 33-17 ATS this season. They are 9-1 SU & 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games with seven wins by 12 points or more. They beat Toronto by 29 at home in their first meeting this season. The Grizzlies are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four trips to Toronto. It will be another blowout in the rematch tonight. Bet the Grizzlies Wednesday. |
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02-05-25 | Cavs v. Pistons +6 | 118-115 | Win | 100 | 21 h 50 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Night Line Mistake on Detroit Pistons +6 This is a very tough spot for the Cleveland Cavaliers. They lost 112-105 at home to the Boston Celtics last night. All five starters played big minutes including 36 from Mitchell and 34 from Garland. If you asked the Cavaliers to a man, the team they'd like to beat the most is the Celtics. So they won't be nearly as motivated to beat the Pistons tonight. They have to try and get back up off the mat and play this 2nd of a back-to-back, and I don't think it will go well for them. The Cavs also will be lacking motivation due to just beating the Pistons 110-91 at home a little over a week ago on January 27th. Meanwhile, the Pistons will be motivated to avenge that defeat. The Pistons are 7-4 SU in their last 11 home games with only one loss by more than 4 points in those 11 games. They have been extremely competitive at home here of late, and they have the potential to pull off this upset tonight given the tough spot for the Cavs. Bet the Pistons Wednesday. |
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02-05-25 | Spurs v. Hawks OVER 241.5 | 126-125 | Win | 100 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
15* Spurs/Hawks ESPN ANNIHILATOR on OVER 241.5 The Atlanta Hawks are a dead nuts OVER team as long as Trae Young is healthy and playing, which he is right now. The Hawks rank 2nd in pace this season. They are a terrible defensive team, and even worse now with Clint Capela out. The Hawks have had to go even more small ball here of late. The OVER is 3-0 in Hawks last three games overall combining for 252 points with Cleveland, 259 with Indiana and 262 with Detroit all in regulation. The Hawks allowed 130 or more points in all three games. The Spurs welcome De'Aaron Fox to make his debut Wednesday night. I love betting OVERS in games involving Fox because he pushes the tempo and makes everything easier on his teammates offensively. The OVER is 8-2 in Spurs last 10 games overall. The Spurs rank 3rd in pace in their last 10 games and will play even faster with Fox moving forward. They rank 28th in defensive rating in their last 10 games. The OVER is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between the Hawks and Spurs. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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02-05-25 | Duke v. Syracuse +18 | Top | 83-54 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 20 m | Show |
20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Syracuse +18 This is the ultimate letdown spot for the Duke Blue Devils. They are coming off a win over their biggest rivals in the UNC Tar Heels at home on Saturday. They have another huge game on deck at Clemson this weekend. This is the sandwich spot, and I expect the Blue Devils to be flat at Syracuse as a result. You're paying a tax on Duke right now due to their 15-game winning streak. The Orange are playing their best basketball of the season and are undervalued. Syracuse is 5-0 ATS in its last five games overall and has been competitive in every game. The Orange upset Notre Dame at home, only lost by 4 to Pitt as 8-point home dogs, and they upset Cal on the road. They will treat this as their 'National Championship' game tonight with the opportunity to take down the 2nd-ranked team in the country. Bet Syracuse Wednesday. |
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02-04-25 | Arizona v. BYU -125 | 85-74 | Loss | -125 | 23 h 40 m | Show | |
15* Arizona/BYU ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on BYU ML -125 The BYU Cougars are 11-1 SU & 8-4 ATS at home this season. Their lone loss came to Texas Tech by 5, and Texas Tech is one of the most underrated teams in the country. Arizona lost by 16 at Texas Tech. It's a great time to 'sell high' on Arizona. The Wildcats are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games overall and have managed to play a very easy schedule during this stretch. They got lucky to beat Iowa State at home hitting a 60-foot shot just to force OT. Their other wins in their last four games have come against Oklahoma State, Colorado and Arizona State, which are three of the worst teams in the conference. Their schedule gets much tougher moving forward, starting tonight with this road game at BYU. Bet BYU on the Money Line Tuesday. |
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02-04-25 | Arizona v. BYU OVER 152 | 85-74 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
15* CBB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Arizona/BYU OVER 152 Two elite offensive teams square off tonight when Arizona visits BYU. The result should be a shootout that sails OVER this 152-point total. Arizona ranks 59th in adjusted tempo and 14th in adjusted offense. The OVER is 5-2 in Arizona's last seven games overall with 151 or more combined points in five of those seven games. BYU ranks 16th in adjusted offense and 8th in effective FG percentage. The Cougars have scored at least 80 points in five of their last six games and I expect them to get to 80 again tonight. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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02-04-25 | Lakers v. Clippers OVER 220.5 | 122-97 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 55 m | Show | |
15* Lakers/Clippers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 220.5 The Lakers have had to go more small ball without Anthony Davis due to injury. Now they are going to continue to go more small ball after trading him to the Mavericks. The Lakers are 3-0 OVER in their last three games overall combining for 222 points with Philadelphia, 230 with Washington and 240 with the New York Knicks. Their offense has taken off going for 134 points against the Wizards and 128 against the Knicks. The Clippers are fully healthy right now and get back Norman Powell from injury tonight. Powell may be the most improved player in the NBA. The Clippers are 4-1 OVER in their last five games overall with 220 or more combined points in four of those five games. The OVER is 5-2 in the last seven meetings with 228 or more combined points in five of those seven meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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02-04-25 | San Jose State -3 v. Fresno State | 94-91 | Push | 0 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
15* MWC PLAY OF THE DAY on San Jose State -3 San Jose State is the single-most underrated team in the country. The Spartans are 17-1 ATS in their last 18 games overall. They should be more than 3-point favorites against arguably the worst team in the Mountain West in the Fresno State Bulldogs tonight. Fresno State is in a rebuilding year and is just 2-15 SU in its last 17 games overall with the two wins coming by 8 over San Diego and by 9 over Air Force. Those are two of the worst teams in the country. The Bulldogs may be without senior F Mykell Robinson (10.3 PPG, 6.2 RPG) due to personal reasons tonight and they cannot afford to be without him. San Jose State will not have a letdown because they can get back to .500 this season with a win. I expect them to handle their business against a team they should easily handle tonight. Bet San Jose State Tuesday. |
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02-04-25 | Oklahoma +18.5 v. Auburn | 70-98 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Oklahoma +18.5 Auburn is overvalued due to being the No. 1 ranked team in the country. The Tigers are coming off a big road win at Ole Miss, a big road win at LSU and narrow wins by exactly 2 points over Tennessee at home and Georgia on the road. The Tigers won't be all that motivated to beat Oklahoma tonight. Porter Moser has the Sooners playing their best basketball of the season right now. They are 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall with their lone loss coming by 7 at Texas A&M as 8.5-point underdogs. They also upset Arkansas on the road, and crushed South Carolina by 20 and Vanderbilt by 30 at home. They are playing too well right now to be catching 18.5 points tonight. Bet Oklahoma Tuesday. |
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02-04-25 | Oklahoma State +22 v. Houston | 63-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma State +22 The Houston Cougars are overvalued right now. They are coming off an upset home loss to Texas Tech as 9.5-point favorites. While they will be motivated to bounce back, asking them to win this game by 23-plus points to beat us is asking too much. That's especially the case with Houston being down one of its best players in Emanuel Sharp (12.5 PPG, 43.6% 3-pointers). The Cougars already lack depth as it is, so being down their 2nd-leading scorer is huge. Houston won't be all that motivated to beat Oklahoma State again after topping the Cowboys 60-47 as 11.5-point favorites in their first meeting this season. This spread has nearly doubled to 22 in the 2nd meeting, which is way too big of an adjustment. The Cowboys come in with confidence beating Utah 81-72 at home to avenge a 21-point road loss earlier this season to the Utes. They also only lost by 10 at Texas Tech recently, so they know they can hang with Houston on the road here tonight. Bet Oklahoma State Tuesday. |
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02-04-25 | Knicks v. Raptors +6.5 | Top | 121-115 | Win | 100 | 20 h 60 m | Show |
20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Toronto Raptors +6.5 The New York Knicks will be running on fumes tonight. They overcame an 11-point deficit in the 4th quarter last night to beat the short-handed Rockets 124-118 behind 46 points in the 4th. Now the Knicks have to play the 2nd of a back-to-back after all five starters played at least 34 minutes last night, including 38 from Towns, 39 from Bridges, 40 from Hart and 37 from Brunson. They will be without OG Anunoby so they are already short-handed as it is. The Raptors have quietly gone 8-2 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. They had yesterday off and will be the fresher, more prepared team. They also want revenge from losing each of their first three meetings with the Knicks this season. I fully expect the Raptors to win this game outright, but at the very least they'll stay within this number. Bet the Raptors Tuesday. |
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02-04-25 | Rockets v. Nets +9.5 | Top | 97-99 | Win | 100 | 20 h 59 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Brooklyn Nets +9.5 The Houston Rockets will be running on fumes tonight. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 9 days after a 124-118 loss at New York last night. Brooks played 39 minutes, Thomson 37 and Green 36 last night in the loss. The Rockets won't have much left in the tank for the Nets tonight. They are short-handed as it is without Fred VanVleet, Tari Eason and Jabari Smith Jr. tonight. The Rockets have now lost three straight, including a 110-98 home loss to the Nets on Saturday. The Nets have played two of their best games of the season in their last two games winning 104-83 as 1.5-point dogs at Charlotte and 110-98 as 12.5-point dogs at Houston. Now they are catching 9.5 points at home in the rematch, which is too much given the terrible spot for the Rockets. The Nets have had the last two days off and will give the Rockets another run for their money tonight. Bet the Nets Tuesday. |
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02-04-25 | Mavs v. 76ers OVER 224.5 | Top | 116-118 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show |
20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Mavs/76ers OVER 224.5 The Philadelphia 76ers have had to go more small ball without their two best big men. That has opened things up for their offense especially with the new big man in Yabusele showing he belongs in the NBA. He is coming off 28 points against the Nuggets and 21 points against the Celtics in his last two games. His ability to stretch the floor has been on display going 13-of-31 from 3-point range in his last seven games. The 76ers and their opponents have combined for at least 221 points in seven of their last eight games overall while going 6-2 OVER during this stretch. This total of 224.5 is very low for a game involving the 76ers right now. The OVER is 6-1 in 76ers last seven games overall with 229 or more combined points in six of those seven games. Kyrie Irving is expected to play tonight, and the Mavericks are also having to go more small ball without Lively and Powell. Anthony Davis will not make his debut tonight, but Max Christie will and his shooting will be a nice addition. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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02-04-25 | Purdue -6.5 v. Iowa | 90-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Purdue -6.5 Iowa just lost F Owen Freeman (16.7 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 1.8 BPG) to a season-ending injury in a 82-65 road loss at Ohio State on January 27th. Freeman is now out for the season, leaving an already terrible team even worse off moving forward. The Hawkeyes are 1-4 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall. It's not going to get any easier for them moving forward without Freeman, and with one of the best teams in the Big Ten in the Purdue Boilermakers coming to town. Purdue is 9-1 SU & 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games and playing its best basketball of the season right now. The Boilermakers are 10th in adjusted offense and 30th in adjusted defense this season. Iowa is 153rd in adjusted defense and far and away the worst defensive team in hte conference. Bet Purdue Tuesday. |
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02-04-25 | Marquette v. St. John's UNDER 148.5 | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
15* Marquette/St. John's FS1 ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 148.5 Two elite defensive teams square off in this huge Big East showdown tonight. St. John's ranks 4th in adjusted defense and makes every team work on every possession ranking 331st in average length of defensive possession at 18.4 seconds. Marquette is very similar ranking 16th in adjusted defense and 359th in average length of defensive possession at 18.9 seconds. So both teams are going to really have to work for everything they get on offense tonight. St. John's is 4-1 UNDER in its last five games overall with 150 or fewer combined points in six consecutive games, and 148 or fewer in five of them. Marquette and its opponents have combined for 147 or fewer points in four of its last five games overall. Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday. |
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02-03-25 | Pelicans +11 v. Nuggets | 113-125 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on New Orleans Pelicans +11 The New Orleans Pelicans are playing their best basketball of the season. They have two losses to the Celtics by a combined 3 points in their last 10 games to show what they are capable of considering they were double-digit dogs in both games. The Pelicans are fresh and ready to go tonight after having the last two days off. They want revenge from a 132-129 (OT) home loss to the Nuggets in their first meeting this season. Zion Williamson is healthy and expected to pay, and the Pelicans should be able to make up for the loss of Dejounte Murray with his presence on the floor. The Nuggets are in a terrible spot. They return home from a lackluster 5-game road trip in which they went 2-3 SU & 0-5 ATS with their two wins coming by 3 over the Hornets as 12.5-point favorites and by 3 over the 76ers as 9.5-point favorites. They also lost by 10 at the Knicks, by 8 at the Bulls and by 29 at the Timberwolves. The Nuggets have distractions to deal with back at home, and they will be playing in their 6th different city in 10 days. They aren't a very deep team as it is, and now they are without two key depth piecers in Russell Westbrook (13.0 PPG, 6.4 APG) and Peyton Watson (8.1 PPG). Asking them to win by 12-plus points to beat us tonight is asking too much. Bet the Pelicans Monday. |
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02-03-25 | Pacers v. Jazz OVER 238 | Top | 112-111 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
20* NBA Monday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Pacers/Jazz OVER 238 The Indiana Pacers are a dead nuts OVER team going 4-0 OVER in their last four games overall with 234 or more combined points in all four games, including 250 or more in three of them. The Pacers are fully healthy right now and a potent offensive team when that's the case. The Utah Jazz are also fully healthy right now and a dead nuts OVER team when that's the case. Makkanen (19.4 PPG), Sexton (18.7 PPG), Collins (18.0 PPG) and Clarkson (15.9 PPG) have all missed significant time this season, but all four are healthy right now. The Jazz rank 29th in defensive rating this season. The Pacers and Jazz have combined for at least 237 points in each of their last five meetings with the OVER going 4-1 in those five meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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02-03-25 | Iowa State v. Kansas UNDER 146 | Top | 52-69 | Win | 100 | 21 h 49 m | Show |
20* Iowa State/Kansas ESPN No-Brainer on UNDER 146 Two of the best defensive teams in the Big 12 square off Monday and this total has been set too high. Iowa State ranks 6th in the country in adjusted defense while allowing just 67.6 points per game and 41.3% shooting. Kansas ranks 5th in the country in adjusted defense while allowing just 66.7 points per game in 38.5% shooting. We saw this matchup once already this season with Iowa State winning 74-57 for just 131 combined points on January 15th. Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games. The UNDER would be 5-1 in Iowa State's last six games overall if not for OT against Arizona. The Cyclones and their opponents have combined for 142 or fewer points at the end of regulation in five of their last six games. Iowa State being without its best shooter in Moncilovic (10.3 PPG, 44.3% 3-pointers) has hurt offensively. The Cyclones were held to 61 points by Kansas State last time out. Kansas is the ultimate dead nuts UNDER team. The Jayhawks are 15-4 UNDER in their last 19 games overall. The UNDER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings with 131 or fewer combined points in seven of those eight meetings. Bet the UNDER in this game Monday. |
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02-03-25 | Bucks v. Thunder -9 | Top | 96-125 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma City Thunder -9 The Oklahoma City Thunder want revenge from a 97-81 loss to the Bucks in the NBA Cup Championship Game on December 17th. They have had this game circled since. They had their worst shooting game of the season hitting 34% as a team and 5-of-32 (16%) from 3-point range. Now the Thunder get to take on a completely different Bucks team that has been extremely soft on defense of late. The Bucks are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall losing by 13 at home to Memphis, by 26 at San Antonio, by 13 at Portland and by 10 at the Clippers. They have allowed 132, 144, 125 and 127 points in those four losses with their lone victory during this stretch coming against the Jazz. This is a terrible spot for the Bucks. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 132-119 home loss to Memphis last night. Both Giannis and Lillard played 37 minutes last night. They are without Bobby Portis, and his absence has been a big reason for their struggles. They won't have much left in the tank tonight for the Thunder. Oklahoma City had yesterday off and will be playing just its 4th game in 11 days. The Thunder couldn't possibly be more fresh than they are right now. I fully expect them to run the tired Bucks out of the gym and to win by double-digits tonight. The Thunder are 20-3 SU & 15-7-1 ATS at home this season and outscoring opponents by 14.0 points per game. Bet the Thunder Monday. |
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02-02-25 | Celtics v. 76ers OVER 223 | 118-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Celtics/76ers OVER 223 The Philadelphia 76ers have had to go more small ball without their two best big men. That has opened things up for their offense especially with the new big man in Yabusele showing he belongs in the NBA. He is coming off 28 points against the Nuggets, and his ability to stretch the floor has been on display going 11-of-27 from 3-point range in his last six games. The Celtics are fully healthy right now and a potent offensive team when that's the case. They have scored at least 112 points in eight of their last nine games overall. The 76ers have scored at least 117 points in four of their last five games, and 109 points or more in seven straight coming in. The OVER is 3-1 in the last four meetings with 224 or more combined points in three of those four. The 76ers and their opponents have combined for at least 221 points in six of their last seven games overall while going 5-2 OVER during this stretch. The Celtics and their opponents have gone for at least 222 combined points in four straight games with the OVER going 3-1. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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02-02-25 | Celtics v. 76ers +11 | Top | 118-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
20* Celtics/76ers ESPN No-Brainer on Philadelphia +11 The Philadelphia 76ers are grossly undervalued right now. They have gone 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall with their only loss coming by 3 as 9.5-point dogs to the Denver Nuggets. They upset the Kings by 13 as 8-point dogs, the Lakers by 14 as 4.5-point dogs, the Bulls by 12 as 3.5-point dogs and the Cavaliers by 3 as 9-point dogs. The Boston Celtics have been grossly overvalued all season. They are just 19-29-1 ATS in their 49 games. They needed a buzzer beater to beat the Pelicans as 12-point road favorites last time out. I think this is now a letdown spot for them. The Celtics haven't fared well following a win. In fact, the Celtics are 5-24-1 ATS in their last 30 games following a win this season. They have a way of playing to the level of their competition, and they just aren't that motivated this season after winning the title last year. Bet the 76ers Sunday. |
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02-02-25 | Ohio State v. Illinois OVER 154 | Top | 79-87 | Win | 100 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
20* Ohio State/Illinois CBS No-Brainer on OVER 154 The Illinois Fighting Illini are a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 8th in adjusted tempo and 28th in adjusted offense while scoring 85.2 points per game this season. The OVER is 8-3 in Illinois' last 11 games overall with 154 or more combined points in 10 of those 11 games. That makes for a 9-1-1 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 154-point total, which is very low for a game involving Illinois right now. They went for 154 combined points with Nebraska, 157 combined with Northwestern, 161 with Maryland, 158 with Michigan State and 163 with Indiana in their last five games coming in. Ohio State has taken off offensively in its last two games with 82 points against Iowa and 83 against Penn State. The Buckeyes are as healthy as they have been all season and have the firepower to keep up with the Fighting Illini in this one. They rank 35th in adjusted offense this season. Illinois beat Ohio State 87-75 for 162 combined points in their lone regular season meeting last season. The OVER is 6-3 in the last nine meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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02-01-25 | Washington State v. San Francisco -5 | 51-75 | Win | 100 | 23 h 51 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on San Francisco -5 San Francisco wants revenge from a 91-82 loss at Washington State in their first meeting this season. Now the Dons get to face the Cougars are home where they are a perfect 13-0 SU this season. These teams are headed in opposite directions as well. Washington State has lost three straigth games by 28 at Santa Clara as 5-point dogs, by 5 at home to St. Mary's and by 2 at Pacific as 11-point dogs. The Dons have won three of their last four all by double-digits. Bet San Francisco Saturday. |
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02-01-25 | Arkansas v. Kentucky UNDER 159 | Top | 89-79 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 5 m | Show |
20* Arkansas/Kentucky ESPN No-Brainer on UNDER 159 Arkansas is a dead nuts UNDER team. The Razorbacks rank 35th in adjusted defense and just 101st in adjusted offense. The UNDER is 6-1 in Arkansas' last seven games overall with 152 or fewer combined points in all seven games, and 139 or fewer in five of those seven. The Razorbacks are even more of an UNDER team since losing their best guard in Boogie Fland (15.1 PPG, 5.7 APG) three games ago. They have been lost offensively without him, and they have had to slow it down and rely even more on defense. Speaking of injuries, the Kentucky Wildcats will be without G LaMont Butler (13.2 PPG) and could be without F Andrew Carr (10.4 PPG) for this one. The Wildcats and their opponents have combined for 151 or fewer points in three of their last four games overall. They are a little lost offensively right now without Butler. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday. |
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02-01-25 | Kings v. Thunder OVER 233.5 | Top | 110-144 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show |
20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Kings/Thunder OVER 233.5 The Sacramento Kings are a dead nuts OVER team going 9-3 OVER in their last 12 games overall with 223 or more combined points in nine of those 12 games. The Kings are fully healthy right now and rank 4th in pace in their last 12 games. They have scored 120 or more points in five of their last seven games coming in. The Oklahoma City Thunder are 9-1-1 OVER in their last 11 games with 225 or more combined points in nine of those 11 games. The Thunder have scored at least 115 points in nine of their 11 games during this stretch. OKC will be without one of its best defenders in Alex Caruso who doesn't provide a lot offensively. The Kings and Thunder have combined for at least 231 points in seven of their last nine meetings, and 239 or more in six of those. This has been a high-scoring series and will continue to be tonight given the very good health of both teams. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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02-01-25 | Utah Valley +10 v. Grand Canyon | Top | 57-75 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 17 m | Show |
20* WAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Utah Valley +10 We have one of the most underrated teams in the country in the Utah Valley Wolverines catching double-digits against one of the most overrated teams in the country in the Grand Canyon Antelopes Saturday. I'll gladly take the value and the 10 points with the Wolverines. Utah Valley is 15-6 SU & 12-7 ATS this season. The Wolverines have been dominant of late going 10-0 SU & 9-0 ATS in their last 10 games overall. That includes a 72-64 win as 3.5-point home dogs to Grand Canyon on January 9th in their first meeting this season. They shot just 36.5% from the field and still won by 8. Grand Canyon is a woeful 6-14 ATS this season. They have been winning games but struggling to get margin as expectations are through the roof after what they did last season. And now this is a very unfavorable spot for them despite wanting revenge. Grand Canyon only has one day to get ready for Utah Valley after beating Seattle 83-74 as a 10-point home favorite on Thursday. Meanwhile, the Wolverines have had the last six days off since beating Seattle 70-66 as 5-point road dogs on January 25th. They will be the fresher, more prepared team. Bet Utah Valley Saturday. |
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02-01-25 | Notre Dame -7 v. Miami-FL | Top | 57-63 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 10 m | Show |
20* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH on Notre Dame -7 The Miami Hurricanes are 1-16 SU in their last 17 games overall with upset home losses to Charleston Southern and Mount St. Mary's. Their lone win during this stretch came against Presbyterian. The Hurricanes are 3-16-1 ATS in their last 20 games overall as well. Miami has rarely even been competitive. The Hurricanes have lost six of their last seven games by double-digits. They just lost by 11 at home to a bad, short-handed Virginia team on Wednesday. I expect them to get blown out again today. Notre Dame is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games overall since getting its best player in Markus Burton (20.4 PPG) back from injury. With him in the lineup they are capable of beating anyone and they have shown that against the top teams in the ACC, while taking care of business against the bottom feeders. They will do just that with ease today. Bet Notre Dame Saturday. |
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02-01-25 | North Carolina +14 v. Duke | 70-87 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 58 m | Show | |
15* UNC/Duke ESPN ANNIHILATOR on North Carolina +14 This is a great time to 'buy low' on the North Carolina Tar Heels They have gone 1-3 SU & 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games overall with two losses by a single point. They haven't lost any game by more than 15 points all season. It's safe to say the Tar Heels will be 'all in' today against their hated rival in the Duke Blue Devils, who are grossly overvalued right now de to their 14-game winning streak. They failed to cover their last two games winning by 7 at Wake Forest as 11.5-point favorites and by 10 at home against NC State as 22-point favorites. Home-court advantage has meant nothing in this series with the road team going 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings. This number is simply too high tonight. Bet North Carolina Saturday. |
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02-01-25 | Texas Tech +11.5 v. Houston | Top | 82-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
20* Texas Tech/Houston ESPN 2 No-Brainer on Texas Tech +11.5 The Texas Tech Red Raiders are one of the most underrated teams in the country. They sit at 16-4 this season with their four losses coming by 1, 1, 4 and 5 points. They haven't been blown out yet this season, and they aren't about to start Saturday. This is a terrible spot for Houston. The Cougars are a tired team after a two-game road trip at Kansas and at West Virginia. They pulled off the miracle in double-OT to beat Kansas, and they staved off a big comeback by West Virginia. Now they only have two days in between games to get ready for Texas Tech plus the flight from West Virginia back to Houston in between. I think this is the ultimate flat spot for the Cougars. Bet Texas Tech Saturday. |
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02-01-25 | Hawks v. Pacers -7.5 | 127-132 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Indiana Pacers -7.5 The Indiana Pacers are rolling right now going 10-2 SU & 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall. They are getting back to playing the way they did that led them to the Eastern Conference Finals last season. They beat San Antonio by 38 in Paris followed by a 14-point home win over Detroit in their last two games. Now the Pacers are rested and ready to go after having the last two days off and playing just their 2nd game in 7 days. The Hawks are 0-7 SU & 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall with six of those seven losses coming by 8 points or more. The biggest proven for the Hawks right now are injuries. They are without Jalen Johnson, Clint Capela and Bogdan Bogdanovic. Trae Young pops up on the injury report on a nightly basis and clearly isn't 100% either, and he can't do it all on his own. The Pacers own the Hawks going 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. The last three have been absolute blowouts winning by 42 at home, 18 on the road and 34 at home. Bet the Pacers Saturday. |
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02-01-25 | Magic v. Jazz OVER 215.5 | Top | 99-113 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 55 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Magic/Jazz OVER 215.5 The Utah Jazz have battled injuries all season. But tonight they are expected to have each of their top eight scorers healthy and on the court. All eight average at least 10 points per game. The Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team when they are healthy because they play fast, they rank 29th in defensive rating, and they are a pretty dangerous offensive team. They will do enough to get us the OVER tonight. Utah and its opponents have combined for at least 217 points in each of their last 10 games despite not being healthy during this stretch. That makes for a 10-0 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 215.5-point total. Orlando recently got Wagner and Banchero back and will start to gel more offensively with these two back healthy. There's a chance they get Suggs back tonight as well. Either way, I think the Magic are in line for one of their best offensive outputs of this season against this putrid Utah defense. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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02-01-25 | Valparaiso v. Illinois State OVER 144.5 | 78-86 | Win | 100 | 19 h 51 m | Show | |
15* MVC Total DOMINATOR on Valparaiso/Illinois State OVER 144.5 Valparaiso is 12-4 OVER in its last 16 games overall with 145 or more combined points in 13 of those 16 games. Illinois State is 5-1 OVER in its last six games overall with 142 or more combined points in four of those six games. Valparaiso ranks 100th in adjusted tempo and 62nd in average length of offensive possession. The Beacons are much better on offense (194th) than they are on defense (247th). Illinois State is even more dramatic ranking 85th in adjusted offense and just 234th in adjusted defense. The Redbirds rank 18th in effective FG percentage and 18th in 3-point percentage. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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02-01-25 | Air Force v. San Jose State UNDER 136.5 | 64-75 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
15* MWC Total DOMINATOR on Air Force/San Jose State UNDER 136.5 Both Air Force and Fresno State are dead nuts UNDER teams. Air Force ranks 340th in adjusted tempo and 352nd in average length of offensive possession. San Jose State ranks 273rd in adjusted tempo and 332nd in average length of offensive possession. These teams met on January 11th with San Jose State winning 69-62 for 131 combined points. The Spartans shot 49.1% from the floor and the Falcons shot 41.4%, and it would be difficult seeing either team shooting better in the rematch. Air Force has shot 39.2% or worse in four of its last five games. San Jose State has shot 44.2% or worse in seven of its last eight games. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday. |
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02-01-25 | George Mason v. Davidson UNDER 135.5 | 64-60 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
15* Atlantic 10 Total DOMINATOR on George Mason/Davison UNDER 135.5 George Mason is a dead nuts UNDER team. The Patriots rank 318th in adjusted tempo, 182nd in adjusted offense and 20th in adjusted defense. Amazingly, George Mason and its opponents have combined for 138 or fewer points at the end of regulation in 10 of their last 11 games, and 126 or fewer in eight of those. Davidson also prefers to play slow ranking 259th in adjusted tempo. We've already seen this matchup once with George Mason winning 69-57 at home for just 126 combined points on December 31st. George Mason shot 55.8% in that game and is unlikely to shoot that well again in the rematch. The UNDER is 3-0-1 in the last four meetings with 135 or fewer combined points in all four meetings. The Patriots and Wildcats have combined for 135 or fewer points in six of their last seven meetings as well. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday. |
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02-01-25 | BYU v. UCF | Top | 81-75 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 60 m | Show |
20* Big 12 GAME OF THE MONTH on UCF PK UCF has been a wagon at home this season. The Knights are 10-2 SU at home with their only losses coming to Kansas and Houston. And they nearly upset Houston in a 69-68 loss as 13-point underdogs to show what they are capable of. In their last home game, the Knights crushed TCU 85-58. They followed it up with a 91-87 road loss to Kansas as 12.5-point dogs and likely would have won that game if not for some questionable calls by the refs. Now they will take out their frustration on BYU tonight. This is a terrible spot for BYU. The Cougars are coming off a huge 93-89 (OT) home win over Baylor for their 3rd straight win and cover in Big 12 play. I think they are overvalued now, and this trip to the East Coast is a long one. I don't expect them to handle it very well. BYU is 1-3 SU in Big 12 road games this season with the lone win at Colorado, which is one of the worst teams in the Big 12. They also lost at Utah, at TCU and at Houston by 31. This will be their 2nd-toughest road game of the season to this point. Bet UCF Saturday. |
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02-01-25 | Louisville -8 v. Georgia Tech | 70-77 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Louisville -8 The Louisville Cardinals are a wagon right now. They have won 10 consecutive games with eight of those 10 wins coming by double-digits. That includes road wins over Florida State by 14, Virginia by 20, Syracuse by 24 and SMU by 25. The Cardinals are actually 8-1 ATS in all road/neutral games this season playing their best basketball of the season on the highway. Well, Georgia Tech isn't exactly an intimidating road atmosphere. The Yellow Jackets have been competitive against the bottom teams in the ACC but they have been blown out when stepping up in class. The Yellow Jackets are 1-5 SU & 2-4 ATS in their last six games overall with their lone win coming at home against lowly VA Tech. They lost by 13 at Florida State, by 11 at home to Clemson, by 22 at SMU and by 7 at Syracuse. Bet Louisville Saturday. |
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02-01-25 | Vanderbilt v. Oklahoma UNDER 154.5 | 67-97 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
15* SEC Total DOMINATOR on Vanderbilt/Oklahoma UNDER 154.5 The UNDER is 7-2 in Vanderbilt's last nine games overall with 156 or fewer combined points in eight of those nine games, and 152 or fewer in seven of them. Oklahoma and its opponents have combined for 150 or fewer points in five consecutive games, and 144 or fewer in four of those. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday. |
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02-01-25 | Kansas State v. Iowa State UNDER 145.5 | 80-61 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
15* Big 12 Total DOMINATOR on Kansas State/Iowa State UNDER 145.5 Two of the best defensive teams in the Big 12 square off Saturday and this total has been set too high. Iowa State ranks 6th in the country in adjusted defense while allowing just 66.9 points per game and 41.1% shooting. Kansas State ranks 90th in adjusted defense while allowing 70.4 points per game on 43.9% shooting. The Wildcats also prefer to play slow and are one of the worst offensive teams in the Big 12. The UNDER is 7-3 in Kansas State's last 10 games overall with 145 or fewer combined points in eight of their last nine games overall. The UNDER would be 4-1 in Iowa State's last five games overall if not for OT against Arizona. The Cyclones and their opponents have combined for 142 or fewer points at the end of regulation in four of their last five games. The UNDER is 3-1 in the last four meetings with 145 or fewer combined points in all four meetings, and 133 or fewer in three of the four. Iowa State is without its best shooter in Milan Moncilovic (10.3 PPG, 44.3% 3-pointers), which has really hurt their spacing on offense. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday. |
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02-01-25 | South Dakota State v. North Dakota OVER 158.5 | 75-80 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 18 m | Show | |
15* Summit League Total DOMINATOR on South Dakota State/North Dakota OVER 158.5 North Dakota is 11-0 OVER in its last 11 games overall with 180 or more combined points five times. The Fighting Hawks rank 88th in adjusted tempo, 159th in adjusted offense and 348th in adjusted defense. They play fast and are one of the worst defensive teams in the country. North Dakota is 16-4 OVER in all games this season. The Fighting Hawks and their opponents have combined for at least 162 points in nine of their last 10 games. South Dakota State also likes to play fast ranking 96th in adjusted tempo. The Jackrabbits are a very good offensive team ranking 113th in adjusted offense and 47th in effective FG percentage. We saw this matchup once already this season with South Dakota State winning 109-73 at home over North Dakota for 182 combined points. North Dakota only shot 34.4% in that game so there is room for improvement for them to make up for the fact that South Dakota State isn't likely to score 109 again. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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02-01-25 | Kansas State +15.5 v. Iowa State | 80-61 | Win | 100 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Kansas State +15.5 The Kansas State Wildcats have quietly gone 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall and are one of the most underrated teams in the Big 12 right now. They lost by 4 as 7-point dogs to Texas Tech, by 10 as 14.5-point dogs at Kansas and by 8 as 11-point dogs at Baylor. They also blasted WVU by 13 and Oklahoma State by 28 at home. This is a very tough spot for Iowa State. The Cyclones return home from a two-game road trip out West against the Arizona schools. After a big comeback to beat Arizona State, they lost in OT at Arizona. It's the type of loss that can beat a team twice as the Wildcats made a 60-footer at the buzzer just to force OT. Iowa State is without its best shooter in Milan Moncilovic (10.3 PPG, 44.3% 3-pointers), which has really hurt their spacing on offense. The Cyclones are much easier to defend without having to worry about their outside shooting. Kansas State will pack it in and rely on its defense, which has been superb of late in holding three of their last five opponents to 61 points or fewer. Bet Kansas State Saturday. |
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02-01-25 | Auburn v. Ole Miss +6.5 | Top | 92-82 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 6 m | Show |
20* Auburn/Ole Miss ESPN No-Brainer on Ole Miss +6.5 The Auburn Tigers are the #1 ranked team in the country. With that ranking comes expectations from the betting public and oddsmakers that are very difficult to live up to. We have seen that play out with Auburn going just 2-6 ATS in its last eight games overall with one of the covers coming by a 0.5-point. Auburn escaped with 2-point wins at Georgia and at home against Tennessee before beating lowly LSU by 13 as 12.5-point favorites. I think this is where their luck runs out against an Ole Miss team that has been one of the most underrated teams in the country. Chris Beard is one of the best head coaches in the country and gets the most out of his teams. He is doing that in Oxford as the Rebels are 16-5 SU & 12-8 ATS this season. Three of their five losses have come by 3 points or fewer, so they are a tough team to get margin on. Ole Miss is 9-1 SU at home this season with the lone loss coming 63-62 to Texas A&M after blowing a 4-point lead in the final seconds. This will be the best home atmosphere for a game in Oxford all season with the No. 1 ranked team in the country coming to town. I fully expect the Rebels to win this game outright. Bet Ole Miss Saturday. |
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02-01-25 | Creighton v. Villanova -1 | Top | 62-60 | Loss | -116 | 17 h 25 m | Show |
20* Big East GAME OF THE MONTH on Villanova -1 It's a great time to 'buy low' on Villanova and 'sell high' on Creighton Saturday. The Wildcats are 1-4 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall, while the Bluejays are 8-1 SU & 9-0 ATS in their last nine games overall. Yet Villanova is favored here, and favored for good reason. The Wildcats want revenge from a 86-79 road loss as 5-point dogs at Creighton in their first meeting this season on December 21st. Creighton shot 55% from the field and 14-of-25 (56%) from 3 and still only won by 7. I have to think they'll have some shooting regression in the rematch on the road this time around. Villanova is 10-2 SU at home this season. Creighton is 3-3 SU in true road games with a 24-point loss at Georgetown and two of the road wins coming against lowly DePaul and Butler, two of the worst teams in the Big East. Bet Villanova Saturday. |
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02-01-25 | Providence +14 v. St. John's | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 16 h 1 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Early ANNIHILATOR on Providence +14 This is one of my favorite spots in college basketball. It's betting on revenge-minded road underdogs who lost a close game to their opponent at home in their first meeting of the season. That's the case with this game today. Providence lost 72-70 as 5.5-point home dogs to St. John's on December 20th. Now the Friars are catching 14 points in the rematch on the road, which is a 8.5-point adjustment from that first meeting. That's way too big of an adjustment for flipping home courts. This has been a closely-contested series. In fact, each of the last six meetings between the Friars and Red Storm have been decided by 5 points or fewer. Better yet, Providence hasn't lost by more than 14 to St. John's in any of their last 26 meetings. That makes for a 26-0 system backing the Friars pertaining to this 14-point spread. Bet Providence Saturday. |
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01-31-25 | Celtics v. Pelicans OVER 231.5 | Top | 118-116 | Win | 100 | 24 h 53 m | Show |
20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Celtics/Pelicans OVER 231.5 The New Orleans Pelicans are a dead nuts OVER team. The Pelicans are 13-6 OVER in their last 19 games overall with 232 or more combined points in 12 of those 19 games. They have basically had to go a lot of small ball without a center, and now Daniel Theis is out tonight as well. They are playing a lot faster during this stretch and they also rank 28th in defensive rating this season. The Boston Celtics are 3rd in offensive rating and shoot a ton of 3-pointers this season. They do play pretty good defense, but they haven't been nearly as lock down on that end as they were last season as they are going through a championship hangover. This will be a rematch from a 120-119 win by the Celtics on January 12th earlier this month that saw 239 combined points. It's not like either team shot the lights out in that game either with the Celtics shooting 44% as a team and the Pelicans 47%. This rematch should sail OVER this 231.5-point total as well. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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01-31-25 | Celtics v. Pelicans +11 | Top | 118-116 | Win | 100 | 24 h 53 m | Show |
20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on New Orleans Pelicans +11 Amazingly, the Boston Celtics are 0-16-1 ATS in their last 17 games following an ATS win. They haven't covered in consecutive games since the first two games of the season! They are clearly going through a championship hangover this season. I don't see the Celtics being all that motivated to beat the Pelicans tonight, either. They just beat them 120-119 as 14.5-point home favorites on January 12th earlier this month in their first meeting this season. It will be the Pelicans who will be the more motivated team with revenge in mind. The Pelicans are just 12-36 this season, but they have to be the most talented team in the history of the NBA with a 25% winning percentage or worse at this point in the season. They are as healthy as they have been in a long time right now, and I expect them to give the Celtics a run for their money tonight. The Pelicans haven't lost any of their last 10 meetings with the Celtics by more than 12 points as all of these games tend to go down to the wire. It will be more of the same tonight. Bet the Pelicans Friday. |
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01-31-25 | Nuggets v. 76ers OVER 231.5 | 137-134 | Win | 100 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
15* Nuggets/76ers ESPN ANNIHILATOR on OVER 231.5 The Philadelphia 76ers have had to go more small ball without their top two big men in Joel Embiid and Andre Drummond. The result of small ball has been going 4-2 OVER in their last six games overall with 232 or more combined points in three of their last six. They have scored at least 109 points in all six games. They rank 10th in offensive rating and 26th in defensive rating during this stretch. The Denver Nuggets are fully healthy right now and a dead nuts OVER team when that's the case. The OVER is 7-2 in Nuggets last nine games overall with 234 or more combined points in eight of those nine games. They have allowed at least 122 points in four consecutive games. They rank 6th in offensive rating and 21st in defensive rating in their last nine games. The OVER is 4-2 in the last six meetings. Denver beat Philadelphia 144-109 on January 21st for 253 combined points earlier this month. I think this rematch sails OVER 231.5 combined points in the rematch tonight as well. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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01-31-25 | Bulls v. Raptors -2.5 | 122-106 | Loss | -112 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Night Line Mistake on Toronto Raptors -2.5 The Toronto Raptors have quietly gone 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall and are clearly playing their best basketball of the season. A big reason for their success is the fact that they have remained healthy. They have six outright wins as underdogs during this stretch. Now the Raptors are 2.5-point home favorites over the Chicago Bulls tonight. They are favored for good reason. The Bulls are watching their season slip away going 2-8 SU & 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Each of their last four losses came by double-digits, including at home to the short-handed 76ers and on the road to the Blazers. The Bulls are without Zach LaVine due to personal reasons right now which is a big reason for their struggles. Bet the Raptors Friday. |
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01-31-25 | Clippers -13.5 v. Hornets | Top | 112-104 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Clippers -13.5 The Los Angeles Clippers are pretty much fully healthy right now and showing what they are capable of when that's the case. Kawhi Leonard is showing he still has a lot to give after scoring 27 points against the Spurs last time out for his 6th consecutive game scoring 15-plus points since returning from injury. The Clippers are 29-17-1 ATS this season as one of the most underrated teams in the NBA. And they did the majority of that without Kawhi. Now that he's back in the lineup, the Clippers are legitimately one of the best teams in the NBA. They are 7-3 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall with a 2-point loss at Phoenix and a OT loss to the Celtics despite not having all their top guys for that game. But this is as much of a fade of the Charlotte Hornets as anything. The Hornets just cannot catch a break in the injury department. They are now without six of their top seven scorers in Ball (28.2 PPG), Miller (21.0 PPG, Williams (15.5 PPG, 9.4 RPG), Mann (14.1 PPG), Williams (10.4 PPG) and Martin (7.8 PPG). We saw just how poor the Hornets were in their first game without all these guys last time out losing 104-83 as 1.5-point home favorites to the short-handed, terrible Brooklyn Nets. It won't go any better for them tonight against the Clippers, who have won 10 consecutive meetings with the Nets. Bet the Clippers Friday. |
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01-30-25 | Rockets v. Grizzlies -4 | 119-120 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
15* Rockets/Grizzlies TNT ANNIHILATOR on Memphis -4 The Memphis Grizzlies will be max motivated tonight. They will be paying with triple revenge after losing the first three meetings of the season to the Houston Rockets. They lost the last two meetings by a combined 6 points. The Grizzlies will also be motivated coming off one of their worst losses of the season in a 143-106 road loss to the Knicks. They have had the last two days off to rest up and get healthy, and now they will be more healthy than they have been in any of their first three meetings with the Rockets this season. Memphis is 19-5 at home this season with one of the better home-court advantages in the NBA. Expect one of their biggest efforts of the season tonight against a Rockets team playing their 4th consecutive road game and their 3rd road game in 4 days. Bet the Grizzlies Thursday. |
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01-30-25 | Rockets v. Grizzlies OVER 236 | Top | 119-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rockets/Grizzlies OVER 236 The Memphis Grizzlies are a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 1st in pace and 5th in offensive rating this season. The OVER is 9-3-1 in Grizzlies last 13 games overall with 234 or more combined points in 10 of those 13 games. That includes 238 or more combined points in seven of their last nine coming in. The OVER is 8-3-1 in Rockets last 12 games overall. The OVER is 3-0-1 in the last four meetings between the Grizzlies and Rockets with 234 or more combined points in all four meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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01-30-25 | Wolves v. Jazz OVER 224 | 138-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
15* NBA Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Timberwolves/Jazz OVER 224 The Utah Jazz have battled injuries all season. But tonight they are expected to have each of their top eight scorers healthy and on the court. All eight average at least 10 points per game. The Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team when they are healthy because they play fast, they rank 29th in defensive rating, and they are a pretty dangerous offensive team. They will do enough to get us the OVER tonight. The OVER is 12-6 in Timberwolves last 18 games overall with 226 or more combined points in seven of their last 10 games overall. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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01-30-25 | Illinois v. Nebraska OVER 152.5 | 74-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Illinois/Nebraska OVER 152.5 The Illinois Fighting Illini are a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 8th in adjusted tempo and 24th in adjusted offense while scoring 85.8 points per game this season. The Fighting Illini are even more of an OVER team without C Tomislav Ivisic (13.0 PPG, 8.5 RPG, 1.2 BPG) as they have had to go more small ball in his absence and are much worst off defensively. The OVER is 8-2 in Illinois' last 10 games overall with 154 or more combined points in nine of those 10 games. That makes for a 9-1 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 152.5-point total, which is very low for a game involving Illinois right now. They went for 157 combined with Northwestern, 161 with Maryland, 158 with Michigan State and 163 with Indiana in their last four games coming in. Nebraska is 4-2 OVER in its last six games overall. The Huskers have really slipped defensively allowing 78 or more points in five of their last six games overall and 83 or more four times. It's not going to get any easier for them defensively tonight against Illinois. Both meetings last season flew over the total with 185 and 171 combined points. Nebraska and Illinois have combined for at least 152 points in four of their last six meetings as well. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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01-30-25 | South Dakota State v. North Dakota State OVER 154.5 | Top | 72-62 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
20* Summit League TOTAL OF THE WEEK on South Dakota State/North Dakota State OVER 154.5 North Dakota State is a dead nuts OVER team going 14-5 OVER in all games this season. The Bison are scoring 82.0 points per game behind an offense that ranks 33rd in efficiency, 2nd in effective FG percentage and 1st in 3-point percentage in the entire country. But the Bison are poor on the other end ranking 267th in adjusted defense. The OVER is 7-2 in North Dakota State's last nine games overall with 154 or more combined points in seven of those nine games, and 160 or more in six of them. So this total of 154.5 is very low for a game involving the Bison. South Dakota State ranks 85th in adjusted tempo and 117th in adjusted offense. The Jackrabbits rank 52nd in effective FG percentage and like the Bison, are much better on offense than they are on defense. South Dakota State and its opponents have combined for at least 154 points in seven of their last nine games overall. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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01-29-25 | Thunder v. Warriors OVER 227 | Top | 109-116 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 47 m | Show |
20* Thunder/Warriors ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 227 The Oklahoma City Thunder are 8-1-1 OVER in their last 10 games with 226 or more combined points in eight of those 10 games. The Thunder have scored at least 115 points in nine of their 10 games during this stretch. Steph Curry sat the front end of a back-to-back last night in a 114-103 win over the Utah Jazz. The Warriors were confident they could beat the Jazz without him, and I'm anticipating he plays tonight. If he does this total will only go up, but I still wouldn't hate it even if he doesn't play. The Warriors are without Draymond Green, who is their most important defender. The OVER is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings between the Warriors and Thunder with 237 or more combined points in nine of those 10 games. The only game that went under the total Curry did not play in. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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01-29-25 | Belmont v. Illinois State OVER 153 | Top | 78-81 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show |
20* MVC TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Belmont/Illinois State OVER 153 The Belmont Bruins are a dead nuts OVER team. The Bruins are 14-6 OVER in all games this season. Belmont games are averaging over 160 combined points per game in all games. The Bruins rank 30th in adjusted tempo, 60th in adjusted offense and 256th in adjusted defense. The OVER is 4-1 in Illinois State's last five games overall. The Redbirds rank 86th in adjusted offense and 232nd in adjusted defense. So both teams are leaps and bounds better on offense than defense. Both the Bruins and Redbirds rank in the Top 42 in effective FG percentage on offense and 297th or worse in effective FG percentage on defense. This game has shootout written all over it. Belmont and its opponents have combined for 162 or more points in six of its last seven games overall. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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01-29-25 | Illinois-Chicago +8.5 v. Bradley | 93-70 | Win | 100 | 20 h 33 m | Show | |
15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Illinois-Chicago +8.5 Illinois-Chicago wants revenge from a 61-60 home loss to the Bradley Braves on January 11th less than three weeks ago. The Flames led that game the entire way and led by 5 in the final seconds before giving up consecutive 3-pointers and losing at the buzzer. They have not forgotten, and I fully expect them to give Bradley a run for its money tonight. The Flames are one of the most underrated teams in college basketball. They are 8-3 SU & 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. They have been at their best on the road this season going a perfect 8-0 ATS in true road games not once losing by double-digits. That's basically what it's going to take tonight for the Braves to cover. This is a letdown spot for the Braves. They won't be that motivated to beat the Flames a 2nd time. They are fat and happy following five consecutive victories and 10 wins in their last 11 games overall. But they have been very fortunate in close games during this stretch with six of those 10 wins coming by single-digits. Bet Illinois-Chicago Wednesday. |
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01-29-25 | Nuggets v. Knicks OVER 239 | 112-122 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 45 m | Show | |
15* Nuggets/Knicks ESPN ANNIHILATOR on OVER 239 The Denver Nuggets are 6-1 OVER in their last seven games overall. They have gone for 236 or more combined points in six of those seven games. They are fully healthy right now and playing a lot more small ball which has them taking off offensively, but also being one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA. The Nuggets rank 3rd in offensive rating and 25th in defensive rating in their last seven games. The Knicks are 6-3 OVER in their last nine games overall with 243 or more combined points in six of those nine games. They have scored 143 points in consecutive wins over Memphis and Sacramento. The Knicks rank 2nd in the NBA in offensive rating this season. Both teams are fully healthy right now and I expect them both to top 120 points in this one. The Knicks beat the Nuggets 145-118 for 263 combined points in their first meeting this season in Denver. It will be more of the same in the rematch in New York tonight. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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01-29-25 | Cavs v. Heat +8.5 | 126-106 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 31 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Miami Heat +8.5 The Cleveland Cavaliers are overvalued after a blistering start to the season that has them sitting in 1st place in the East. They have gone 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four games overall. The Cavaliers shouldn't be 8.5-point road favorites over the Miami Heat tonight considering they will be without three key role players in Wade, LeVert and Okoro. It has since been announced that Darius Garland (21.7 PPG, 6.8 APG) will rest on the front end of a back-to-back here. This line should have crashed more than it has since that announcement. The Heat are getting no respect right now because of the Jimmy Butler drama. But players are over it, and the Heat have won and covered their last two games coming in. They are playing with a chip on their shoulder right now. The Heat are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings with the Cavs, so this has been a good matchup for them. Bet the Heat Wednesday. |
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01-29-25 | Kings v. 76ers OVER 225 | Top | 104-117 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Kings/76ers OVER 225 The Sacramento Kings are a dead nuts OVER team going 9-2 OVER in their last 11 games overall with 223 or more combined points in nine of those 11 games. The Kings are fully healthy right now and rank 4th in pace in their last 12 games. They have scored 120 or more points in five of their last six games coming in. The Philadelphia 76ers have had to go more small ball without their top two big men in Joel Embiid and Andre Drummond. The result of small ball has been going 4-1 OVER in their last five games overall with 232 or more combined points in three of their last five. Paul George may return tonight after sitting out the front end of a back-to-back in a win over the Lakers last night. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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01-29-25 | Raptors -6.5 v. Wizards | 106-82 | Win | 100 | 20 h 23 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Toronto Raptors -6.5 The Toronto Raptors have quietly gone 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall and are clearly playing their best basketball of the season. A big reason for their success is the fact that they have remained healthy. The Washington Wizards are the worst team in the NBA at 6-39 SU & 17-27-1 ATS this season. This is a terrible spot for the Wizards returning home from a 6-game road trip out West. They lost all six games by 8 points or more and have now lost 14 straight overall with all 14 coming by 6 points or more, and 13 by 7 points or more. Now the Wizards will be playing in their 7th different city in 12 days and I question how much they have left in the tank. They will also be dealing with distractions from returning home as they were last at home on January 16th. Bet the Raptors Wednesday. |
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01-29-25 | Missouri State v. Indiana State OVER 145.5 | 67-72 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
15* CBB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Missouri State/Indiana State OVER 145.5 The Indiana State Sycamores are a dead nuts OVER team this season. They are 14-5 OVER in all games this season. They rank 4th in adjusted tempo and 279th in adjusted defense. This total of 145.5 is very low for a game involving the Sycamores. That's especially the case when you consider this was a shootout in the first meeting with Missouri State this season. Indiana State won 80-77 on the road for 157 combined points. It should be more of the same in the rematch with the Sycamores controlling the tempo playing at home tonight. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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01-29-25 | Houston v. West Virginia +8.5 | 63-49 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on West Virginia +8.5 This is the ultimate letdown spot for the Houston Cougars. They erased 6-point deficits in regulation and in OT to beat Kansas in double-OT over the weekend. They won't be nearly as motivated to beat West Virginia, who they already beat by 16 at home in their first meeting this season. The Mountaineers have one of the best home-court advantages in the country, especially in big games like this. They already upset Iowa State 64-57 at home as 6.5-point dogs. Now they are catching 8.5 points to Houston, which is too much given the brutal spot for the Cougars. Keep in mind they nearly lost outright as 13.5-point favorites at UCF in their previous road game before Kansas. Bet West Virginia Wednesday. |
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01-29-25 | Virginia +1.5 v. Miami-FL | 82-71 | Win | 100 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
15* CBB Wednesday UPSET SHOCKER on Virginia +1.5 The Miami Hurricanes are 1-16 SU in their last 17 games overall with upset home losses to Charleston Southern and Mount St. Mary's. Their lone win during this stretch came against Presbyterian. The Hurricanes have no business being favored over the Virginia Cavaliers tonight. Miami nearly ended its losing streak over the weekend against a short-handed California team. Matthew Cleveland caught fire in the 2H to lead the comeback and force OT on a 3-pointer at the buzzer. But in the end the Hurricanes came up short, and it's the type of loss that can beat a team twice. They now head back home from a two-game road trip to California. I think this team would rather be on the road than be dealing with all of the distractions back home about how poor of a season it has been. After a brutal stretch of games, the Cavaliers now have a winnable game that I fully expect them to take advantage of. They beat Boston College by 18 in their lone win over their last seven games. They will relish this opportunity to get back in the win column. Bet Virginia Wednesday. |
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01-29-25 | Auburn v. LSU +12.5 | Top | 87-74 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 50 m | Show |
25* SEC GAME OF THE YEAR on LSU +12.5 The Auburn Tigers are the No. 1 ranked team in the country. With that ranking comes expectations from the betting public and oddsmakers accordingly that are very difficult to live up to. It puts a massive target on their backs as well. I think this is a clear letdown spot for Auburn after surviving a pair of close 2-point wins at Georgi and at home against Tennessee in their last two games coming in. They will need to play a perfect game to cover this big of a number on the road at LSU tonight. The LSU Tigers have been very competitive in SEC play despite their poor record. They only have one loss by more than 12 points in conference play this season. This despite playing a brutal schedule with four of their last five games on the road. In their lone home game during this stretch, they beat Arkansas who had their best player in Fland for that game. The Tigers only lost by 7 at Alabama over the weekend to show what they are capable of. They will treat this like their 'National Championship' game, and I fully expect them to give Auburn a run for its money tonight. The home teams is 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings. Bet LSU Wednesday. |
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01-28-25 | Oregon State v. Gonzaga OVER 153 | Top | 60-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
20* Oregon State/Gonzaga ESPN 2 Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 153 Gonzaga is a dead nuts OVER team going 14-7 OVER in all games this season. The Bulldogs rank 38th in adjusted tempo and 17th in average length of offensive possession. They rank 5th in adjusted offense, so they play fast and do so efficiently. The problem for the Bulldogs is they play no defense this season. They allowed 97 points to Oregon State and 103 to Santa Clara in two of their last three games. Now they face this same Oregon State team that they lost 97-79 to in OT on January 16th. It's worth noting that game was tied 83-83 at the end of regulation for 166 combined points. Oregon State is also a very good offensive team ranking 45th in adjusted offense, 21st in effective FG percentage and 26th in 3-point shooting. The Beavers have now scored at least 81 points in six of their last seven games overall. I think they can get close to 80 and Gonzaga close to 90 tonight. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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01-28-25 | San Jose State +14.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
20* MWC GAME OF THE WEEK on San Jose State +14.5 The San Jose State Spartans are one of the most underrated teams in the country largely due to the fact that head coach Tim Miles is grossly underrated. The Spartans have gone 15-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall. After four consecutive SU losses against a brutal schedule of Boise State (by 2), Colorado State, UNLV (by 6) and Utah State (by 7), the Spartans finally got a reprieve with a 69-62 win at Air Force. They parlayed that win in with a 71-70 upset win as 9.5-point home dogs to New Mexico. They then covered as 13-point dogs at Nevada before topping Wyoming 67-58 at home as 3-point favorites. I love the spot for San Jose State because they will be the more rested team. They will be playing just their 2nd game in 10 days, while San Diego State will be playing its 3rd game in 7 days coming off consecutive road wins at Air Force (by 1) and at Nevada. It's hard to trust San Diego State to get margin on teams because they are so poor offensively ranking just 112th in adjusted offense. They also play slow and limit possessions, and San Jose State plays even slower, so this game won't see many possessions. In two meetings last season, San Jose State lost by 3 as 10-point home dogs and by 8 as 21.5-point road dogs to the Aztecs. Bet San Jose State Tuesday. |