10-03-20 |
Memphis -1.5 v. SMU |
|
27-30 |
Loss |
-108 |
125 h 57 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Memphis -1½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-03-20 |
Missouri +11 v. Tennessee |
|
12-35 |
Loss |
-105 |
122 h 46 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Missouri +11 -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-02-20 |
Heat +10.5 v. Lakers |
Top |
114-124 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 16 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Heat +10½ -115
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-02-20 |
Louisiana Tech v. BYU -24 |
Top |
14-45 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on BYU -24 -105
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-01-20 |
Broncos -2 v. Jets |
|
37-28 |
Win
|
100 |
95 h 32 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Broncos -2 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-30-20 |
Heat v. Lakers -4.5 |
Top |
98-116 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 6 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Lakers -4½ -107
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-28-20 |
Chiefs v. Ravens -3 |
Top |
34-20 |
Loss |
-120 |
177 h 53 m |
Show
|
5* MNF GOY on Ravens -3 -120 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-27-20 |
Celtics -3 v. Heat |
Top |
113-125 |
Loss |
-102 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Celtics -3 -102
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-27-20 |
Panthers v. Chargers -6 |
|
21-16 |
Loss |
-110 |
54 h 23 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR on Chargers -6 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-27-20 |
Rams +2.5 v. Bills |
Top |
32-35 |
Loss |
-115 |
51 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Rams +2½ -115
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-26-20 |
Iowa State -2.5 v. TCU |
Top |
37-34 |
Win
|
100 |
124 h 8 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Iowa State -2½ -119 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-26-20 |
Kentucky +8 v. Auburn |
|
13-29 |
Loss |
-108 |
123 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR on Kentucky +8 -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-25-20 |
Middle Tennessee State +7 v. UTSA |
Top |
35-37 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Middle Tennessee State +7 -115
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-24-20 |
Aces -5.5 v. Sun |
|
68-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR on Aces -5½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-24-20 |
Lakers v. Nuggets +6.5 |
Top |
114-108 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 4 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Nuggets +6½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-24-20 |
Dolphins v. Jaguars -3 |
Top |
31-13 |
Loss |
-100 |
35 h 17 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Jaguars -3 +105
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-20-20 |
Patriots +4.5 v. Seahawks |
Top |
30-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
167 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Patriots +4½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-20-20 |
Vikings v. Colts -2.5 |
|
11-28 |
Win
|
100 |
160 h 32 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Colts -2½ -120 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-19-20 |
Celtics v. Heat +3 |
Top |
117-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 38 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Heat +3 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-19-20 |
Wake Forest +3 v. NC State |
Top |
42-45 |
Push |
0 |
136 h 39 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Wake Forest +3 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-19-20 |
Appalachian State -3.5 v. Marshall |
|
7-17 |
Loss |
-108 |
123 h 22 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Appalachian State -3½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-19-20 |
Tulsa v. Oklahoma State -22 |
|
7-16 |
Loss |
-108 |
128 h 39 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Oklahoma State -22 -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-18-20 |
Campbell v. Coastal Carolina -28.5 |
|
21-43 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Coastal Carolina -28½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-17-20 |
Mercury v. Lynx -3 |
|
79-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Lynx -3 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-15-20 |
Mystics v. Mercury -3 |
|
84-85 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 26 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Mercury -3 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-15-20 |
Heat v. Celtics -1.5 |
|
117-114 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 15 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Celtics -1½ -105
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-13-20 |
Browns v. Ravens -7 |
Top |
6-38 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 41 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Ravens -7 -115
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-13-20 |
Bears +2.5 v. Lions |
|
27-23 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 42 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Bears +2½ +100
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-12-20 |
Rockets +6.5 v. Lakers |
|
96-119 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 5 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Rockets +6½ -105
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-12-20 |
Clemson -32.5 v. Wake Forest |
|
37-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
133 h 52 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Clemson -32½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-12-20 |
UL-Lafayette +11.5 v. Iowa State |
Top |
31-14 |
Win
|
100 |
125 h 1 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on UL-Lafayette +11½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-10-20 |
Texans v. Chiefs -9 |
Top |
20-34 |
Win
|
100 |
58 h 48 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Chiefs -9 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-10-20 |
UAB v. Miami-FL -14 |
|
14-31 |
Win
|
100 |
33 h 48 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Miami-FL -14 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-08-20 |
Lynx v. Mystics +8.5 |
|
86-89 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Mystics +8½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-08-20 |
Heat v. Bucks +4.5 |
|
103-94 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Bucks +4½ -105
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-07-20 |
Celtics v. Raptors +2 |
|
111-89 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 54 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Raptors +2 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-06-20 |
Bucks +2.5 v. Heat |
|
118-115 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 37 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Bucks +2½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-05-20 |
Nuggets +9 v. Clippers |
|
110-101 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 44 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Nuggets +9 -105
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-05-20 |
Stephen F Austin +7.5 v. UTEP |
|
14-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 8 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Stephen F Austin +7½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-04-20 |
Bucks v. Heat +5.5 |
|
100-115 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Heat +5½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-03-20 |
Nuggets v. Clippers -8.5 |
|
97-120 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 25 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Clippers -8½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-03-20 |
South Alabama +15 v. Southern Miss |
Top |
32-21 |
Win
|
100 |
33 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on South Alabama +15 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-02-20 |
Heat v. Bucks -5.5 |
|
116-114 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Bucks -5½ -105
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-01-20 |
Celtics v. Raptors -1.5 |
|
102-99 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Raptors -1½ -105
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-30-20 |
Mercury +5 v. Lynx |
|
83-79 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 56 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Mercury +5 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-29-20 |
Thunder +5 v. Rockets |
|
80-114 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Thunder +5 -105
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-28-20 |
Lynx v. Dream +9 |
|
88-79 |
Push |
0 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Dream +9 -105
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-25-20 |
Mavs v. Clippers -6.5 |
|
111-154 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Clippers -6½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-24-20 |
Lakers v. Blazers +7.5 |
|
135-115 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Blazers +7½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-23-20 |
Mercury v. Mystics +6 |
|
88-87 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Mystics +6 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-23-20 |
Clippers -8 v. Mavs |
|
133-135 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Clippers -8 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-21-20 |
Nuggets v. Jazz +1.5 |
|
87-124 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 29 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Jazz +1½ -105
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-20-20 |
Magic v. Bucks -12.5 |
|
96-111 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Bucks -12½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-19-20 |
Mavs +6.5 v. Clippers |
|
127-114 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Mavs +6½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-18-20 |
Heat v. Pacers +4.5 |
|
113-101 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 35 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Pacers +4½ -105
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-14-20 |
Nuggets +3.5 v. Raptors |
|
109-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Nuggets +3½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-13-20 |
Kings v. Lakers -4 |
|
136-122 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 5 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Lakers -4 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-12-20 |
Mercury +5 v. Sky |
|
71-89 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 56 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Mercury +5 -115
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-12-20 |
Heat -1.5 v. Thunder |
|
115-116 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Heat -1½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-11-20 |
Bucks v. Wizards +8 |
|
126-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 10 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Wizards +8 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-10-20 |
Pacers v. Heat -4 |
|
92-114 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 43 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Heat -4 -105
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-08-20 |
Rockies v. Mariners -1.5 |
|
5-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
14 h 32 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Mariners -1½ +170 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-05-20 |
Nets v. Celtics -8.5 |
|
115-149 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 57 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Celtics -8½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-05-20 |
Giants +1.5 v. Rockies |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Giants +1½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-03-20 |
Phillies +1.5 v. Yankees |
Top |
3-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Phillies +1½ +140 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-03-20 |
Nuggets v. Thunder -6 |
|
121-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 28 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Thunder -6 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
07-30-20 |
Clippers v. Lakers -4 |
Top |
101-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Lakers -4 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
07-29-20 |
Red Sox +1.5 v. Mets |
Top |
6-5 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 7 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Red Sox +1½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
07-26-20 |
Wings -2.5 v. Dream |
|
95-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Wings -2½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
05-05-20 |
76ers GC -2.5 v. Raptors Uprising GC |
Top |
56-79 |
Loss |
-115 |
1 h 60 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on 76ers GC -2½ -115
Analysis will be posted shortly
|
03-11-20 |
DePaul v. Xavier -4.5 |
Top |
71-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* NCAAB - Big East PLAY OF THE MONTH on Xavier -4½ -110 Easy play here on the Musketeers as a small favorite against DePaul in the opening round of the Big East Tournament. Xavier won both meetings between the two teams in the regular season. They won the first meeting on the road by 8 and then by 9 at home. Both times the Musketeers defense made it tough on the Blue Demons to score. I see no reason to expect a different outcome, especially given how bad DePaul has been in the Big East Tournament under head coach Dave Leitao. Blue Demons have made 4 appearances under Leitao and have lost all 4, going just 1-3 ATS in those games. DePaul is also just 4-15 ATS last 19 as a neutral court dog of 6 or less. Another key factor here is motivation. Xavier absolutely has to have this game and likely at least one more to have a legit shot at an at-large bid (currently projected as one of the first four teams out). Musketeers could also catch a big break, as DePaul's top player Paul Reed has missed the last 3 and is listed as questionable. Take Xavier!
|
03-11-20 |
Iona v. St. Peter's -2 |
Top |
54-56 |
Push |
0 |
11 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* NCAAB - Late Night NO-BRAINER Top Play on St. Peter's -2 -115 Easy play here on the Peacocks as a slim 2-point favorite against the Gaels in Wednesday's quarterfinal matchup out of the MAAC Tournament. St. Peter's has a big edge in rest in this one. Peacocks haven't played since beating Iona in the regular-season finale last Friday. The Gaels on the other hand had to open up MAAC Tournament play yesterday against Canisius. While Iona won and covered against Canisius as a 4.5-point favorite, the Gaels are just 1-5 ATS last 6 as a neutral site underdog. As for St. Peter's, they are headed into postseason play on a roll. Peacocks went 11-2 over their last 13 games. St. Peter's is 16-5 ATS last 21 off a SU win and have covered 6 straight games on a neutral floor. Peacocks were tops in the MAAC in both defensive efficiency and effective field goal defense. They allowed just 62.4 ppg on 39.9% shooting in conference play. Iona has not fared well agaisnt strong defensive teams, going just 2-8 ATS this season vs teams who held opponents to 42% or worse from the field. Take St. Peter's!
|
03-11-20 |
Nuggets -1.5 v. Mavs |
|
97-113 |
Loss |
-109 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
4* NBA - Sharp Money HEAVY HITTER on Nuggets -1½ -109 The fact that Denver is favored on the road against the Mavs really tells you all you need to know. The books set this line, knowing the betting public will be all over Dallas at this price. They are making it pretty clear that they like the Nuggets to win this game and I agree. This is not a good spot at all for the Mavs, who have not been playing well. Dallas has lost two straight and are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. Big key here is the Mavs will be playing on no rest after last night's 109-119 loss at San Antonio. It's also their 3rd game in 4 nights. Dallas is also just 3-8-1 ATS last 12 games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and are 0-7 ATS last 7 games at home vs a team with a winning road record. Take Denver!
|
03-11-20 |
Washington +5.5 v. Arizona |
|
70-77 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 9 m |
Show
|
4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Washington +5½ -105 I like the value here with the Huskies as a decently priced dog in their first round matchup against Arizona in the Pac-12 Tournament. Washington ended up finishing last in the Pac-12, but were far from the worst team in the conference. Huskies are sitting 53rd in KenPom's rankings, which is better than 7 other teams in the Pac-12. You also have to like how Washington closed out the regular-season, winning 3 of their last 4 games, including a 69-63 win on the road at Arizona in the finale. Huskies really should have swept the Wildcats, as they gave away a game at home to Arizona in a 72-75 loss. Covering on a neutral site has been a big problem for Arizona. Wildcats are 0-7 ATS last 7 neutral site games and 0-6 ATS last 6 as a favorite. Arizona is also just 2-10 ATS last 12 on the road off a loss. Underdog has covered 5 of the last 6 meetings in the series. Take Washington!
|
03-11-20 |
Pittsburgh v. NC State -4.5 |
Top |
58-73 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 6 m |
Show
|
5* NCAAB - Early Bird NO LIMIT Top Play on NC State -4½ -110 Easy play here on the Wolfpack as a small favorite in Wednesday's action out of the ACC Tournament. NC State got a first round bye and will have a big rest advantage here over Pitt, who had to play yesterday against Wake Forest. Panthers were able to knock off the Demon Deacons 81-72 in a high-scoring game and while they needed a late 2nd half run to pull away. Pitt just doesn't have the depth to play well on no rest. Panthers basically only play 7 guys and 4 of those logged 35+ minutes on Tuesday. Makings matters even worse is the fact that NC State likes to run, as they finished 3rd in the ACC in tempo. Pitt ranked just 10th in the ACC in defensive efficiency and were 14th in effective field goal defense. The only thing that really saved them is turnovers, but that's negated here by a NC State team that had the 5th best turnover rate in the conference. I not only think the Wolfpack cover the small spread, I like them to win here in a blowout. Take NC State!
|
03-10-20 |
Mavs -3 v. Spurs |
|
109-119 |
Loss |
-109 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
3* NBA - No Doubt VEGAS ATS BLOWOUT on Mavs -3 -109 The Mavs are definitely worth a look as a slim road favorite at San Antonio. These two teams have already met three times this season and Dallas has won all three meetings. I look for them to no have no problem finishing off the season sweep against the short-handed Spurs. San Antonio is down their top two big men in LaMarcus Aldridge and Jakob Poeltl. They area also going to be without another key contributor in Dejounte Murray. Dallas should be able to dominate the glass in this one. Not to mention their offense should pick apart a bad Spurs defense that is giving up 121 ppg on 49% shooting over their last 5 games. Mavs are 19-6-1 ATS last 26 off a loss and 16-4-1 ATS last 21 as a road favorite. They have also covered 11 of the last 14 meetings with the Spurs. Take Dallas!
|
03-10-20 |
Pittsburgh v. Wake Forest +1 |
|
81-72 |
Loss |
-108 |
6 h 20 m |
Show
|
3* NCAAB - Early Afternoon ATS ANNIHILATOR on Wake Forest +1 -108 No reason to overthink this one. Pitt finished the regular-season on a 7-game losing streak and 5 of the 7 defeats came by double-digits. Hard to believe this team was once sitting at 4-4 in ACC play (finished 6-14). I get Wake Forest had the same record in ACC play, but unlike Pitt they played awful at the beginning of the year and got better as the season went on. Demon Deacons started out just 2-8 in league play before a 4-6 finish that included a win over Duke. Not to mention Wake Forest went into Pitt and beat the Panthers in the only meeting between the two. No a big concern for revenge, as Pitt is just 10-23 ATS last 33 when revenging a loss. Panthers are also 3-14 ATS last 17 when they come in having lost 2 or more games in a row. Demon Deacons are 6-0-1 ATS last 7 games on a neutral floor. Take Wake Forest!
|
03-09-20 |
IUPU Ft Wayne +2 v. North Dakota |
Top |
56-73 |
Loss |
-103 |
10 h 59 m |
Show
|
5* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on IUPU Ft Wayne +2 -103 Easy play here on the Mastodons at basically a pick'em against North Dakota in the semifinals of the Summit Conference Tournament. IUPU Ft. Wayne followed up their strong showing on the road in the regular-season finale (lost by 6 at Oral Roberts as a 10.5-point dog) with a 77-74 win over South Dakota State on Saturday as a 7-point dog. The Mastodons are now a strong 4-1 ATS last her last 5 games as a dog. They are also 28-13 ATS last 41 off an outright win as a dog. The Fighting Hawks also won as a dog in their first game of the Summit Tournament, but they are just 1-5 STS last 6 off a SU win. Big factor here that favors IUPU Ft Wayne is that North Dakota does not force a lot of turnovers. Fighting Hawks rank just 337th in the country in defensive turnover rate. That's huge for a Mastodons offense that doesn't have a traditional true point guard. Take Ft Wayne!
|
03-09-20 |
Hornets +4.5 v. Hawks |
|
138-143 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
4* NBA - Sharp Money HEAVY HITTER on Hornets +4½ -110 Easy play here on the Hornets as a decently priced road dog against the Hawks. Charlotte has really been playing some of their best basketball over the last month. Hornets are 6-5 SU over their last 11 games. Even more important is they are covering the number. Charlotte has cashed a winning ticket in 6 straight games and 9 of their last 11 overall. Most recently beating the Rockets 108-99 as a 8-point dog. As for the Hawks, they come in having lost and failed to cover 3 straight. Atlanta will have the home court edge, but will be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and have several guys banged up or dealing with a bit of the flu bug. Jeff Teague, De'Andre Hunter and DeAndre Bembry are all questionable to play. Hornets have gone 15-5 ATS this season vs bad teams like the Hawks who have won between 25% to 40% of their games. Take Charlotte!
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03-09-20 |
Western Michigan v. Toledo -8.5 |
Top |
73-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
|
5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Toledo -8½ -110 The Rockets are definitely worth a look to cover the spread at home against Western Michigan. Toledo finished with a mere 8-10 record in MAC play, but that's a bit misleading in terms of how the Rockets are playing. Toledo has won 5 of their last 7 games, which includes a 9-point road win over Western Michigan. While the Rockets are surging to the finish line, Western Michigan went just 2-6 over their final 8 games. Broncos ended the year with an ugly 68-85 loss to rival Central Michigan, who came into that game on a 9-game losing streak. Rockets went 4-1 ATS over their last 5 games and the favorite has covered 5 of the last 6 in the series. Broncos are 0-4 ATS last 4 as a road dog. Take Toledo!
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03-08-20 |
Tampa Bay Vipers v. Los Angeles Wildcats -2.5 |
|
34-41 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
|
3* XFL - Vegas ATS Line MISTAKE on Los Angeles Wildcats -2½ -110 I really like the value here with the Wildcats as a slim 2.5-point home favorite against the Vipers. This line might seem legit given how both teams are just 1-3 to start the season, but I see LA as the much better team. Only three teams in the XFL have a positive TD margin. The Roughnecks (+7), BattleHawks (+4) and the Wildcats (+2). Vipers have played two games so far on the road and have lost by 20 at New York and by 8 at Seattle, both times failing to score double-digits. Take Los Angeles!
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03-08-20 |
Heat -4.5 v. Wizards |
|
100-89 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
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3* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Heat -4½ -110 I know Miami has had their struggles on the road this season, but I just feel like this is too good a price to pass up with the Heat. Washington is somehow still in the playoff mix and are fresh off a win and cover at home against Atlanta. I think it has the Wizards getting to much love here against what I expect to be a desperate Heat team off a loss at New Orleans. Miami has been a good team to back off a loss, going 15-6 ATS after defeat this season. Washington is also a team they have had a lot of success against. Heat are 25-9-2 ATS in their last 36 trips to DC. Wizards just 1-4-1 ATS last 6 off a win and 1-7 ATS last 8 times they have had to play on Sunday. Take Miami!
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03-08-20 |
Tulsa v. Wichita State -6.5 |
|
57-79 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 32 m |
Show
|
4* NCAAB - Sharp Money HEAVY HITTER on Wichita State -6½ -110 Most will be looking to take the points here with Tulsa. The Golden Hurricanes can clinch the outright AAC regular-season title with a win and already beat Wichita State at home earlier this season. Much like the books, I'm not a believer in Tulsa. I look for the Shockers to win big here at home, where they are 12-2 on the season. Wichita State is also 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games against the Golden Hurricane. I just don't see Tulsa being able to score enough to keep it close. Golden Hurricane are only averaging 63.5 ppg on 41% shooting from the field and 25% from deep on the road this season. Take Wichita State!
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03-08-20 |
East Carolina v. UCF -7.5 |
Top |
62-94 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 39 m |
Show
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5* NCAAB - Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on UCF -7½ -110 Easy play here on UCF at home against the Pirates, as the Knights should have no problem winning by double-digits in this one. East Carolina is a mere 3-11 over tehir last 14 games and just got annihilated on their home floor 84-63 by UConn. UCF won the first meeting between these two by just 4 at ECU, but that game felt a lot more lopsided. Knights shot 48% to the Pirates 41% and were even on the boards, free throws and turnovers. Seeing how ECU is just 2-11 on the road and giving up 75 ppg away from home, this one figures to get ugly in a hurry. Pirates are 2-10 ATS over the last 3 seasons in toad games against a marginal winning team that has won between 51% to 60% of their games and are losing in this spot by an 15.5 ppg. Take UCF!
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03-07-20 |
76ers v. Warriors +2.5 |
|
114-118 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 4 m |
Show
|
3* NBA - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Warriors +2½ -110 This is just too good a price to pass up with Golden State. The Warriors are a team that just got back their best player in Steph Curry and despite a sub-par shooting night, he still managed to score 25 in his first game back from injury. I think Curry makes GS a dangerous team, as I think we are going to see his return spark the entire team into playing well. It's hard to not like them in this spot. 76ers were able to win at Sacramento last time out, but no way can this team be trusted on the road without their two best players in Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons. Philadelphia is 6-20-1 ATS last 27 road games, 1-5 ATS last 6 as a road favorite and 0-5 ATS last 5 off a win by 10 or more points. Take Golden State!
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03-07-20 |
Oklahoma +2 v. TCU |
|
78-76 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 51 m |
Show
|
4* NCAAB - Prime Time ATS BLOWOUT on Oklahoma +2 -115 I like the Sooners to go into Fort Worth and cover as a small dog against the Horned Frogs. Oklahoma won the first meeting between these two by a score of 83-63. It was complete domination, as they shot 54% from the field, while holding TCU to 38%. One of the big reasons that I don't see the script being flipped with a change in venue is the Sooners ability to take care of the basketball. The Horned Frogs defense really relies on their ability to force turnovers, as they struggle to get stops when they don't take the ball away. TCU is just 5-15 ATS this season vs teams who average 14 or fewer turnovers/game (Sonners average just 11). Oklahoma has also dominated this series more than just that first meeting this season. Sooners have won 15 of the last 18 meetings between the two teams. They have won 6 of their last 8 trips to TCU. Take Oklahoma!
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03-07-20 |
UCLA v. USC -3 |
Top |
52-54 |
Loss |
-115 |
12 h 12 m |
Show
|
5* NCAAB - Pac-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on USC -3 -115 I absolutely love the Trojans laying a slim 3-points at home against rival UCLA. The Bruins have caught fire in the second half of the season and come into this game having won 7 straight, but I think it has them getting way to much respect in this one. USC enters off back-to-back impressive home wins over Arizona (57-48) and Arizona State (71-61). That's now 4 straight home wins for the Trojans, who are 13-2 on their home floor this season. The defense has been outstanding during their last 4 at home, as they held all 4 teams to 61 or fewer. Let's also not forget that USC went on the road and beat UCLA by 11 earlier this season. I get the Bruins are playing better now, but they could do next to nothing offensively in that game, shooting just 38% from the field and 3-13 from deep. UCLA is just 11-25 ATS last 36 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 on the road after 2 or more wins in a row. The home team is 7-3 ATS last 10 in the series. Take USC!
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03-07-20 |
Baylor +1.5 v. West Virginia |
|
64-76 |
Loss |
-109 |
10 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Baylor +1½ -109 Easy play here on the Bears getting points at West Virginia. I get the Mountaineers were able to snap a 4-game skid with a win at ISU on Tuesday, but no way should they be favored over the likes of Baylor, especially when you take into account what happened in the first meeting and how these two matchup. The Bears absolutely dominated West Virginia, defeating the Mountaineers by a final of 70-59. The final score does not do justice to how lopsided that game was. Baylor was up 53-25 in the 2nd half. They shot 52% from the field, while limited the WVU to 35%. You also have to think the Bears are going to be motivated to win here. With a win and a Kansas loss on the road at Texas Tech, Baylor would earn a share of the Big 12 regular season title. Bears are 6-0 ATS this season on the road vs quality teams that are outscoring opponents by 4+ points/game and 12-3 ATS last 15 as a road dog. Take Baylor!
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03-06-20 |
Santa Clara v. Pepperdine -1 |
|
73-84 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 48 m |
Show
|
3* NCAAB - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Pepperdine -1 -110 Hard not to like Pepperdine at basically a pick'em against Santa Clara in the 2nd round of the WCC Tournament. Big rest advantage for the Waves, who got a first round bye, while the Broncos had to play Portland yesterday. Note that Portland (3 wins) is the only team Santa Clara has beat since Jan. 25. Playing on no rest this time a year is tough on a college team and I just don't feel that it's taken into the line enough. Pepperdine won both meetings between these two in the regular-season. They won in OT at Santa Clara and then won by 14 at home. Both times the Waves reach 90 points. Pepperdine is 7-1 ATS on the season in road games against solid teams who are outscoring opponents by 4+ points/game. Waves are also 10-2 ATS last 12 after 2 or more losses (lost last two). Take Pepperdine!
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03-06-20 |
Hawks +3 v. Wizards |
|
112-118 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 57 m |
Show
|
4* NBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Hawks +3 -115 I like this spot with Atlanta as a slim road dog at Washington. I'm just not buying the Wizards as a playoff team and I think some of that talk is playing into this great price with the Hawks here. You also are getting Atlanta on the cheap after they were just annihilated 127-88 at home by Memphis. Thing about that loss to the Grizzlies is they aren't the first team that Memphis has done that to here of late. Grizzlies have also held the Lakers to 88 and the Nets to 79 over their last 3 games. Prior to that Atlanta was playing well coming off back-to-back wins. Washington has lost their last two, most recently losing by 21 at Portland. While the Wizards will be at home here, it's not the greatest spot. They only got one day to regroup from their 4-game west coast trip and will be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Hawks on the other hand have had the last 3 days off. Take Atlanta!
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03-05-20 |
Weber State -4 v. Idaho |
Top |
72-64 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 8 m |
Show
|
5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Weber State -4 -110 I love the value here with the Wildcats laying a small number on the road against the Vandals. The books have really struggled to price Idaho here of late. The Vandals are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games. It's gotten worse down the stretch, as they have lost and failed to cover each of their last 5 games, losing all 5 by double-digits. Not only does the current form favor Weber State, but this is a great matchup for the Wildcats. Idaho struggles to score inside and Weber State defends the 2-point shot well. If the outside shot isn't falling the Vandals are in big trouble, because the Wildcats are going to score. Weber State shoots 51% on 2-point shots, third best in the Big Sky, and that's an area the Vandals struggle to defend. Weber State has failed to cover their last two games, but that's almost more of a positive than a negative. Wildcats are 23-9-2 ATS last 34 off a failed cover and 8-1 ATS last 9 after 2 straight games where they didn't cover. Take Weber State!
|
03-05-20 |
UMKC +3.5 v. Utah Valley |
|
61-51 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 4 m |
Show
|
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on UMKC +3½ -109 Easy play on the Kangaroos getting points against the Wolverines. I get Utah Valley has the home court edge, but they are just 2-5 in their last 7 games with those two wins coming at home against bottom feeders Cal St. Bakersfield and Grand Canyon. UMKC has won 3 straight and their strong play goes back even further than that, as they are 5-1-1 ATS last 7 games. You also have to like the fact the Kangaroos won the earlier meeting between the two and did so jumping out to a 30-19 lead at the half. UMKC's defense held the Wolverines to just 34.5% shooting and forced them into 18 turnovers. Kangaroos are 16-5 ATS last 21 games off a win and 5-0-1 ATS last 6 as an underdog, including 3-0-1 ATS last 4 as a road dog. Utah Valley is 3-7 ATS last 10 off a loss and a dreadful 3-11 ATS last 14 as a favorite (2-8 ATS last 10 as a home favorite). Take UMKC!
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03-05-20 |
Clippers +1 v. Rockets |
|
120-105 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
4* NBA - Sharp Money HEAVY HITTER on Clippers +1 -110 I really like the value here with Los Angeles as a slim 1-point dog at Houston. The Rockets have been playing much better since their move to small ball, but did just lose at New York as a double-digit favorite on Monday. They have shot just 42% from the field in each of their last 2 games. I just feel like the Clippers are playing the basketball of any team since the All-Star break. The additions of Marcus Morris and Reggie Jackson have been huge. LA is arguably the deepest team in the league and just think they will be able to not only defend Harden and Westbrook, but wear down the Rockets with their onslaught of talent. LA has covered 21 of their last 33 against high-scoring teams that are averaging 110+ points/game and are 46-29 (61%) last 75 road games vs teams who allow 106+ points/game. Take Los Angeles!
|
03-05-20 |
Illinois State v. Drake -2.5 |
|
65-75 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
|
4* NCAAB - MVC Tournament ATS NO-BRAINER on Drake -2½ -110 The Bulldogs are worth a look here as a small favorite against the Redbirds. Drake had a tough finish to the regular-season, losing 3 straight, including a 53-57 loss at Illinois State that started the skid and a ugly 43-70 loss at home to UNI to end it. I just trust the Bulldogs a lot more in this spot. Drake was the much better team in MVC play at 8-9, as Illinoi State went just 5-13 with two of their 5 wins coming against Evansville, who finished 0-18 in league play. Drake is 15-5-1 ATS last 21 neutral site games and 8-2-1 ATS last 11 neutral site games when listed as a favorite. They are also 4-0 ATS last 4 off a double-digit loss at home. and 4-1 ATS last 5 off a loss by more than 20 points. Adding to this is a solid system in favor of the Bulldogs. Teams playing with revenge from a loss where they scored 60 or fewer and off a conference loss by 10 or more are 129-75 (63%) ATS if playing on a neutral site. Take Drake!
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03-04-20 |
Dayton -3.5 v. Rhode Island |
|
84-57 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 48 m |
Show
|
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Dayton -3½ -109 The Flyers are worth a look here as a small road favorite against Rhode Island. Dayton has proven to be in a class of their own in the A-10. They are 16-0 in league play (no other team has fewer than 4 losses) and have made it clear they want to go undefeated in league play. A big reason for that is they feel if they run the table and win the A-10 Tournament, they got a legit shot at a No. 1 seed in the Big Dance. That's more than enough motivation for me to lay the short number with the Flyers. Especially with how poorly Rhode Island has been playing down the stretch. The Rams were at one points 10-1 in league play, but have lost 3 of their last 5, including a 14-point loss at Dayton and most recently a shocking 10-point loss at home to St Louis (never led). Their two wins were both against bottom feeders in St. Joe's and Fordham (only won by 1-point). Rams are just 2-6 ATS last 8 at home against a team with a winning road record, while the Flyers are 10-3 ATS this season when playing only their 2nd game in a 8-day stretch. Take Dayton!
|
03-04-20 |
Florida State v. Notre Dame +2.5 |
|
73-71 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 36 m |
Show
|
4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Notre Dame +2½ -115 The simple fact that Florida State is basically a pick'em in this spot against an unranked Notre Dame team says it all. The books are begging the public to take the Seminoles. Anytime something looks too good to be true, especially this late in the year, it typically is, which is why I like the Irish to win and cover. We did just see FSU lose at Clemson as a mere 3.5-point favorite on Saturday and you have to wonder if the pressure of winning the school's first ever ACC title in hoops is a bit too much for them. As for the Irish, their NCAA Tournament hopes took a massive hit with a loss at Wake Forest, but a win here could get them back into the conversation. Notre Dame is still trending in the right direction with 7 wins in their last 10 games. Their ability to take care of the ball (No. 2 in turnover rate) is huge against Florida State, who relies a lot on forcing their opponents into mistakes. We also saw the Irish go on the road and lose by just one-points (84-85) at FSU earlier this season. Irish are 4-1 ATS last 5 at home, 3-1-1 ATS last 5 as a dog and the underdog has covered 6 of the last 7 in the series. Take Notre Dame!
|
03-04-20 |
Celtics v. Cavs +2.5 |
|
112-106 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
|
3* NBA - Public Money ATS DESTROYER on Cavs +2½ -105 A lot of people are going to look at this line and blindly back the Celtics at basically a pick'em on the road against the Cavs. Those that do will likely regret it. Boston isn't to show up for this game, but it's going to look nothing like the team that has started out 41-19 in their first 60 games. Both Jason Tatum and Kemba Walker are listed as OUT for this game. Jaylen Brown and Gordon Hayward are also both listed as doubtful and there's a chance Marcus Smart ends up missing the game due to a suspension. On top of that, Boston will be playing on no rest after playing at home last night against the Nets, which they lost 120-129 in OT. Playing extra minutes was the last thing they needed and that game could be one that's hard to get over, as they allowed 51 points in the 4th quarter to let the game get to OT. Take Cleveland!
|
03-04-20 |
St. Louis -2 v. George Mason |
Top |
69-57 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* NCAAB - Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE MONTH on St. Louis -2 -110 I absolutely love the value here with the Billikens as a slim 2-point road favorite against the Patriots. St. Louis has saved their best basketball of the season for the stretch run and this is simply too good a price to pass up. Billikens have won 3 straight and are off a dominating 72-62 win at Rhode Island as a 6-point dog. St. Louis never trailed and hit 53% from the field. Marking their 5th straight game where they have shot 50% or better from the field. Hard to see the Billikens slowing down in this one. George Mason is allowing A-10 opposing teams to shoot 47% from the field and just let Duquesne connect on 56% in their last game. Also the one thing that the Patriots offense does well is offensive rebound, but that will be negated here, as St Louis is No. 2 in the conference in defensive rebounding. Billikens have covered 10 of their last 13 road games vs a team that's won 60% or more of their home games. George Mason is 6-20 ATS last 26 at home vs a team with a winning road record and are 2-7 ATS last 9 as a home dog. Take St. Louis!
|
03-04-20 |
Massachusetts +2.5 v. La Salle |
|
75-64 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 24 m |
Show
|
4* NCAAB - Sharp Money ATS HEAVY HITTER on Massachusetts +2½ -110 The Minutemen are worth a look here as a slim road dog against the Explorers. While UMass is coming in off an ugly 24-point loss at Richmond, they had won 3 straight prior to laying an egg against the Spiders. One of the big reasons things went south against Richmond is the Spiders are a team that takes great care of the ball (No. 1 in A-10 in turnover pct.) and UMass really needs their pressure to force mistakes for them to have success. Good news for the Minutemen is the Explores are a team that struggle to take care of the ball. La Salle ranks dead last in the A-10 in turnover rate, coughing it up 21.6% of the time. These two played back in January and UMass won that matchup 77-69. Their offense had no problem exploiting the Explorers defense, shooting 49% from the field. La Salle on the other hand shot just 40%. Another huge factor here is La Salle just had a starter, Ed Croswell leave the team. Croswell averaged 10.0 ppg (leading scorer averages 10.4 and only 3 guys in double-figures). They could also be without guard Scott Spencer. Take UMass!
|
03-04-20 |
Xavier +5 v. Providence |
|
74-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 8 m |
Show
|
3* NCAAB - Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Xavier +5 -110 I like the Musketeers getting a decent number here on the road against the Friars. These two teams met up about a month ago with Xavier winning a defensive battle 64-58. Some might think Providence is primed for revenge with the Friars having won 4 straight, but the Musketeers have won 4 of their last 5 on the road with the only loss by a mere 5-points at Butler. This is also a brutal spot for Providence. I know the Friars are fighting for their postseason lives right now, but it's going to be near impossible for them to not suffer some kind of letdown after their 58-54 upset win at Villanova on Saturday. Friars are also a team that thrives a lot more in the role of the underdog. Providence is just 18-31 ATS over the last 3 seasons as a favorite, including a mere 3-7 ATS mark in their last 10 as a favorite. Road team has covered 4 of the last 5 in the series with the underdog cashing in 5 of the last 6. Take Xavier!
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