No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

3* NCAAB No Doubt Vegas ATS BLOWOUT on Ohio State -

The value here is with Ohio State as a short favorite against the Bluejays. The Buckeyes surprised a lot of people last year and I think they are going to do it again, as a lot of people are expecting a step back after they lost their star duo of Keita Bates-Diop and Jae-Sean Tate. Not me. 

Last year's surprise run came in the first year under former Butler head coach Chris Holtmann, who is known for getting the most out of the talent he has to work with. He had to work extra hard with the talent he was able to get at Butler. Not so much at Ohio State, where they get big time recruits. This year's freshman class, mixed with some talented veterans will be tough to beat. 

We already seen them go on the road and beat Cincinnati by 8 as a 4.5-point dog and then absolutely annihilate Purdue-Ft Wayne by 46 as a 18.5-point favorite. Creighton is in a very similar spot, having lost their top two scorers and only returning 2 starters, but they don't have the talent that the Buckeyes do. Take Ohio State! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play  on Niagara +

I really like the value here with the Purple Eagles as a big dog against everyone's favorite Cinderella story from last year in Loyola-Chicago. Last year the Ramblers surprised everyone all the way to the Final Four. With that success comes expectations, as well as a pretty big target on your back. 

We have already seen them stumble, as they lost their second game of the season to Furman at home as a 8.5-point favorite. Loyola shot just 37% from the field. All Niagara did in their first game is upset a St Bonaventure team at home 80-72 as a 4.5-point dog. A team that you might recall won 26 games last year. 

The biggest thing for me with the Ramblers is last year's success came in year 7 under head coach Porter Moser, so it's not like he just arrived and flip the script. It tells me last year's success was about the talent on hand and while they got some nice pieces back they lost three seniors who played big roles. I'm not saying they won't win this one, I just don't seem them winning by double-digits. Take Niagara! 

5* NCAAB Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Illinois -

I love the Illini at this price against the Hoyas. I think this Illinois team might be one of the biggest sleepers in the country. Brad Underwood had a great track record of improving teams in his first year on the job, but Illinois actually got worst in his first go of things last season. 

Underwood could have had basically the same team back, but instead got rid of the players that didn't fit his system and added in a bunch of talent (6 freshmen, 2 transfers). One of those freshman is 5-star point guard Ayo Dosunmu, who now gives them 3 playmakers in the backcourt with the return of senior Aaron Jordan and sophomore Big Ten All-Freshman guard Trent Frazier. 

Georgetown had similar struggles in the first year under head coach Patrick Ewing. I don't see the same upside with the Hoyas in year-two. Georgetown is 2-0, but only beat Maryland Eastern Shore by 15 as a 30.5-point favorite then had to hold on for a 7-point win at home against Central Connecticut. Illinois put up 99 in a 36-point win over Evansville as a mere 16-point favorite and that same Evansville team only lost by 6-points the next time out at Xavier. 

I just don't see Georgetown being able to keep pace offensively with this Illini team, especially on the road. Take Illinois! 

3* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers ERROR on UMASS -

Really like the value here with the Minutemen laying a short number at home against the Crimson. I like the direction this UMass team is headed under Matt McCall. They got a legit scorer in junior Luwane Pipkins (21.2 ppg last year) and a sharp-shooting sophomore guard in Carl Pierre (47% from 3's) to lead the way. They also got a big who can dominate in Rashaan Holloway and a couple of transfers in Curtis Cobb and Jonathan Laurent who are starting. 

Harvard is a team that has high expectations this year of making the the NCAA Tournament, but we just saw them lose 81-71 at home to Northeastern. Until they get back their two studs from injury in Bryce Aiken and Seth Towns, this team will struggle to win games. Take UMass! 

4* NCAAB Situational Vegas Insider on Xavier +

I'm not buying the Badgers being a road favorite over the Musketeers. Xavier was a No. 1 seed in last year's NCAA Tournament, but lost head coach Chris Mack and a trio of playmakers in Trevon Blueitt, J.P. Macura and Kerem Kanter. I just think the assumption here is that the Musketeers will take a big step back this year. 

I don't think that's the case at all. Mack's assistant Travis Steele is taking over a team that not only returns a lot of talent, but added in some experienced grad transfers and solid freshmen. I get Wisconsin gets everyone back from a team that was decimated by injuries last year, but these are Bo Ryan's Badgers any more. I'm not saying Wisconsin won't be a  strong team, I just think they are getting a little too much respect on the road against a Big East power. Take Xavier! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Troy +

I look for the Trojans to go into Pittsburgh and give the Panthers all they can handle. Pitt has started out 2-0, but there's nothing to be excited about wins over Youngstown State and VMI. There's still a long way for these Panthers to go before they can be taken seriously.

Pitt won just 8 games all of last year, going winless (0-18) in ACC play. They fired head coach Kevin Stallings and several key players either graduated or transferred out of the program. The future figures to be bright under Jeff Capel, but this figures to be a long rebuilding season. 

Troy is one of the top teams out of the Sun Belt and showcased some of their potential in a mere 4-point loss at St Louis as a 12-point dog last time out. Trojans nearly won on the road as a double-digit dog, despite shooting just 38.9% from the field. If they can hit some shots tonight, I definitely could see them winning this outright. Take Troy! 

3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY  on Bowling Green +

I like the value here with the Falcons as a near double-digit dog against the Rams. Bowling Green comes in at 1-1, but the lone loss is nothing to be ashamed of. The Falcons lost 84-80 at St. John's as a 18.5-point underdog. Bowling Green shot 50% against the Red Storm and if they are hitting their shots they are a very difficult team to beat. 

VCU is a program that still gets respect nationally from their success under Shaka Smart and last year the Rams missed out on the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2010. While VCU has opened up 2-0, neither win has been all that impressive. They have beat Gardner-Webb and Hampton, each by a final score of 69-57. They failed to cover as a 14-point favorite against Garder Webb and there wasn't even a line against Hampton. 

Falcons are an impressive 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs a team with a winning record and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after covering the spread in their last game. Take Bowling Green! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Southern Miss +

I love the value here with the Golden Eagles as a double-digit dog against the Mustangs. Southern Miss is a team you want to look out for early on this season. They are now a few years removed from the NCAA sanctions and will have basically their entire roster back from last year's 16-win team. They are a legit sleeper in C-USA and will be out to make a statement here against a quality program like SMU. 

The Mustangs won their opener at home against Northwestern State, but it wasn't pretty. SMU only won by 11-points as a massive 25.5-point favorite. They shot just 39% from the field, which is a bit concerning given the level of competition they were playing. SMU did lose their go-to-guy in Shake Milton, who led the team with 18.0 ppg). They will also be without projected starting guard Jarrey Foster. Look for Golden Eagles to hang around and maybe win this game outright. Take Southern Miss! 

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS ANNIHILATOR on Northern Iowa -

Really like the value here with UNI as a short favorite against UT Arlington. Both teams come in off wins against teams they were all but guarantee to beat. I just think this is a complete mismatch in terms of talent. 

The Mavericks went 21-13 last year, but fired head coach Scott Cross because the AD was upset about not making any NCAA Tournament appears. Cross had won 72 the past 3 seasons. Arlington not only will be adjusting to a new coach (Chris Ogden), but they have to replace all 5 starters, including two of the best players to ever play at the program. 

UNI went just 16-16 last year and 7-11 in the Missouri Valley. First time since 2002 that they were under .500 in conference play. They were better than their record (KenPom had them rated 3rd best team in the MWC). I like head coach Ben Jacobson and he's got the Panthers flying under the radar in 2018. Take Northern Iowa! 

3* NCAAB Vegas Undervalued UNDERDOG  on Columbia +

I think the books have the wrong team favored in this one. Marist might be one of the better teams in the MAAC, but that's not saying much. The Red Foxes went on the road and lost at Army in their opener, doing so despite shooting 51.9% from the field.

Columbia is a team that could surprise in the Ivy League this year. They have 4 starters back, as well as several of their top reserves. Last year a young team struggled to win away from home (1-14), but now they should start beating these teams on the road where they have the edge. Look for the Lions to pull off the minor upset. Take Columbia! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Cal-Irvine +

I fully expect UC Irvine to a be a team people are talking about as a sleeper in the NCAA Tournament. The Anteaters are absolutely loaded in terms of experience and talent for a team of their size. Irvine gets back all 5 starters, their top 3 reserves and talented redshirt freshman Collin Welp. 

It's why the Anteaters are as short a dog as they are against a Power 5 program in Texas A&M, who has two starters back from last year's Sweet 16 team. The thing with the Aggies is they figure to be down a few notches after losing one of the best frontcourts in the country with Tyler Davis, D.J. Hogg and Robert Williams all gone. In total they lost 4 guys 6-9 or taller who averaged at least 6.7 ppg and 4.4 rpg. 

I not only think the Anteaters will keep this thing close enough to cover, but I like them to win this one outright. They already won and covered as a 15-point favorite in their season opener (shot 54% from the field). Aggies on the other hand won by just 15 as a 29-point favorite. Take UC-Irvine! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on LSU -

I got a lot of respect for the UNC-Greensboro program. I know they got 3 starters back from a team that gave Gonzaga a scare in the NCAA Tournament, but I just don't see them being able to keep this within 15 points against a very talented LSU team on the Tigers home floor. 

LSU cruised to a 94-63 win at home over SE Louisiana, easily covering as a 20.5-point favorite. it could have been even worse if the Tigers wanted. They called off the dogs on defense after taking a 45-18 lead at the half. 

As for the Spartans, they had to rally from a 1st half deficit to beat North Carolina A&T. Winning by a final score of 74-66 as a 16-point favorite. They shot 50% from the field and barely won against an inferior team. That's a bad sign, as they aren't going to be shooting anywhere close to 50% on the road vs LSU. Look for the Tigers to have the cover in the bag early. Take LSU! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on George Washington -

I like the value here with the Colonials. George Washington was upset in their season opener at home by Stoney Brook. That's not as bad a loss as you might think. As for Siena, they went on the road and lost by just 10 as a 19.5-point dog to Providence. 

Those results would have most tempted to take the points with the Saints in this one, but I look for the Colonials to bounce back in a big way at home. Georgia Washington really beat themselves in their game against Stoney Brook. They shot 47.3% from the field to Stony Brook's 38.6%. What killed the Colonials is that they went 16 of 34 (47.1%) from the free throw line and turned it over 17 times. Both areas I expect to see major improvement in tonight. Take George Washington! 

3* CBB No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR on Eastern Kentucky +

I like the value here with Eastern Kentucky as a near double-digit dog at home to Marshall. Many will recall the Thundering Herd upsetting No. 4 seed Wichita State in the opening round of last year's NCAA Tournament. Head coach Dan D'Antoni runs a similar run-and-gun offense to that of the Houston Rockets, where his younger brother coaches. This will be a very public team and I don't think the books will hesitate to inflate the number on them. 

The Colonels decided it was time for a change and fired head coach Dan McHale. They replaced him with A. W. Hamilton, who actually played at Marshall. This is one of those special games, where you put a little more into getting a win, especially with it being the season opener. Eastern Kentucky will need to find some new guys to compliment their star in Nick Mayo, who might be the best player in the Ohio Valley. I believe they will and this could be a surprise team in the OVC. I think they keep it closer than expected and got a legit shot at winning the game outright. Take Eastern Kentucky! 

5* NCAAB Opening Night GAME OF THE YEAR on San Fran +

I'm shocked the Dons are a dog in this fight, but I'll gladly take some insurance points in a game I see San Francisco winning rather easily. The Dons have won 42 games in the first two seasons under head coach Kyle Smith and made it all the way to the CBI Finals last March. 

This year's team looks even stronger than the one that went 22-17 and finished 4th in the WCC behind the likes of Gonzaga, St Mary's and BYU. They probably can't challenge Gonzaga for the title, but I could definitely see them surprising and finishing higher in the standings. 

UC Davis is also off a strong season and et back Big West Player of the Year T.J. Shorts, but lost two key starters, including China Moneke, who nearly averaged a double-double (18.4 ppg, 9.6 rpg). I just don't see them keeping pace with the Dons in this one. Take San Francisco! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on UCLA -

The Bruins should have no problem here covering this short humber at home against Purdue Fort Wayne. The Mastadons posted a winning record last year and get back 3x All-Summit 1st Team guard John Konchar, while UCLA never reached their full potential and were knocked out in Dayton in the First Four of the NCAA Tournament. 

This year there are no distractions and the Bruins are loaded with talent that's ready to make a run at a Pac-12 title. I fully expect them to win here by 20+ and have this line covered by halftime. Take UCLA! 

3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Wofford +

A lot of people are going to think this line is a mistake. The No. 8 ranked Tar Heels are barely a double-digit favorite on the road against Wofford from the Southern Conference. Those that have done their homework will understand this line and the value that comes with the Terriers. 

Wofford brings back all 5 starters from last year's team that went 21-13, including a 79-75 win at North Carolina last year. I get the Tar Heels will be out for revenge, but it means every bit as much to the Terriors to win again. UNC has the chance to be good, but must work in a lot of new pieces and replace one of the ACC's best point guard is in Joel Berry, as well as one of their best all-around players in Theo Pinson. 

I expect this one to go right down to the wire and wouldn't be shocked if the Terrior did in fact pull off the upset. Take Wofford! 

4* NCAAB 'Final Four' VEGAS INSIDER on Loyola-Chicago +

I like the value here with the Ramblers in their Final Four showdown with Michigan. I think the perception is that Loyola-Chicag's Cinderella run will come to an end against the Wolverines, but I not only think the Ramblers can keep it close enough to cover, but I like their chances of winning this game outright. 

By now it's no secret that Loyola has gotten to this point because of their defense. I just don't know that people realize how good the Ramblers are on that side of the ball. They have held all 4 of their opponents to this point under 70 points, holding 3 of the 4 to exactly 62 points. It's not just effort, the coaching staff of Loyola has done a tremendous job gameplanning for their opponent. Michigan had one great offensive game against Texas A&M, where they shot 62% from the field. The other 3 weren't all that good. They shot just 35.6% in their last-second win over Houston and a mere 38.8% in their 4-point victory over Florida State.

What gets over looked with the Ramblers and that elite defense, is how efficient they are on the offensive side of the ball. Loyola-Chicago's worst shooting performance in the tournament came in their first game against Miami, where they shot just 47.3%. They hit 50% against the Vols, 56% against Nevada and 57.4% vs the Wildcats. Ramblers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 as a dog and 8-1 ATS in their 9 tournament games played this season. Take Loyola! 

5* NCAAB 'CBI' Champ Game VEGAS INSIDER on North Texas -

I like the value here with the Mean Green in Friday's CBI Championship Game. Unlike the other postseason tournaments, where it's win or go home, the CBI plays a best of 3 series for the title. These two teams have split the first two games of the series with the home team dominating in each matchup.

San Francisco won Game 1 at home 72-62. North Texas responded with a 69-55 win in game 2. The Mean Green were a similar 3.5-point home favorite in Game 2 and I just don't see any reason not to back North Texas in the rubber match at home. 

San Fran is just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games, while the Mean Green are now 9-2 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games. Take North Texas! 

4* NCAAB 'NIT' Championship Game NO-BRAINER on Utah +

I like the value here with the Utes as a decently priced dog in Thursday's NIT Championship Game against Penn State. Utah hasn't just caught fire in the NIT, this is a team that really turned a corner   in the final month and a half of the regular-season. The Utes went 99-3 over their final 12 games. They would lose their only game in the Pac-12 Tournament, but it could have easily went their way, as they fell 66-68 to Oregon.

They picked right up where they left off and have been a force in the NIT. They won by 9 at St Mary's to get to New York and won by 5 as a 2-point dog in the semifinals Tuesday against WKU. Penn State has won 5 of 6, but I just don't see a big enough gap that the Nittany Lions should be favored by nearly 5-points. If anything, this should be closer to a pick'em, making this an easy play for me. Take Utah! 

5* NCAAB 'CIT' Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Illinois Chicago +

I like the value here with Illinois-Chicago in Wednesday's matchup against Liberty in the semifinals of the CIT. I just feel like UIC isn't getting near enough respect here and I think a lot of that has to do with the fact that they are without leading scorer Dikembe Dixon. He didn't play in either of their first two games in this tournament and they won by 23 as a mere 5-point favorite against St Francis-PA and followed that up with a 83-81 win at Austin Peay as a 4-point dog. UIC put up 80+ in both wins and have now scored 75 or more in 10 of their last 11. 

Liberty put up 84 in their most recent game against Central Michigan, but that was more of a result of them taking advantage of a bad Chippewas defense. They also shot lights out, hitting on 56% of their attempts. Prior to that Liberty had eclipsed 70 points just once in their previous 7 games. UIC is allowing just 72.6 ppg on the season and have held opponents to 40.7% from the field. Keep in mind UIC played the much tougher schedule this season. I actually think this should be closer to a pick'em. Take Illinois-Chicago! 

4* NCAAB 'CBI Championship' ANNIHILATOR on San Fran -

I like the value here with the Dons laying a short number at home against the Mean Green. North Texas has had the more impressive run to the CBI Championship Series, but I think it has them overvalued here on the road. San Francisco is a quality team that has played it's best basketball at home, where they are 15-6 on the season. 

The other big key here is defense and that's what I believe will be the difference in this one. North Texas has put up 90 or more in all 3 of their wins in this Tournament. Those all came against some bad defensive teams. San Francisco has allowed 68, 73 and 62 in their 3 games in the CBI and are only giving up 66.2 ppg at home, where they are also holding opponents to just 41.9% shooting. 

North Texas is just 8-19 ATS in their last 27 road games after scoring 75 or more points in 3 straight games. Take San Francisco! 

3* NCAAB 'Elite 8' ATS ANNIHILATOR on Texas Tech +

I like the value here with the Red Raiders as a decently priced underdog against Villanova. Texas Tech continued their impressive run through the tournament with a 78-65 win over Purdue and this is simply a different team when Keenan Evans is healthy. Had he not been hurt late in the regular season, the Red Raiders may have very well won the Big 12 title. When Evans has been on the floor, Texas Tech has played like one of the best teams in the country. 

I think the fact that Villanova has won and covered all 3 of their games and will be the popular public side, has this line a lot higher than it should be. Keep in mind West Virginia was only a 5.5-point dog in the previous round and this Texas Tech team is more talented than the Mountaineers and arguably the best defensive team the Wildcats will have seen to this point in the tournament. I don't think it's out of the question that the Red Raiders can win this one one outright. Take Texas Tech! 

4* NCAAB 'Elite 8' VEGAS INSIDER on Florida State +

I like the value here with the Seminoles as a decently priced underdog in Saturday's Elite 8 action against Michigan. Both of these teams come in off impressive wins. The Wolverines cruised to a 99-72 win over Texas A&M, while Florida State made easy work of Gonzaga in a 75-60 win.

The Seminoles have now knocked off Xavier and Gonzaga in back-to-back games, yet no one is giving this team much of a chance to beat Michigan. I think that's a big mistake and my numbers suggest this should be closer to a pick'em, making this an easy play for me on Florida State at this price. 

This is a situation in which the Seminoles have absolutely thrived at the ticket window. FSU is 20-5 ATS in their last 25 as a neutral court dog of 6 points or less. They are also working on a 10-2 ATS run over their last 12 non-confernece games. Take Florida State! 

3* NCAA Tournament ATS HEAVY HITTER on UMBC +

I like the value here with UMBC as a double-digit dog in their attempt to keep this incredible Cinderella story going. The Retrievers pulled off the biggest upset in NCAA Tournament history, as they became the first ever No. 16 seed to take down a No. 1 seed. What's remarkable is they didn't just win on a miracle 3-pointer at the buzzer, they absolutely dominated the No. 1 overall seed in a 20-point win. 

There is some concern here with UMBC suffering a letdown off that massive upset, but I think there's more fight in this team and wouldn't be shocked if they won this game outright. This Kansas State team isn't anything special and could be without one of their best players in Dean Wade, who leads the team in scoring at 16.5 ppg. Wade is questionable with a foot injury and even if he does play, he doesn't figure to be at 100%. Take UMBC! 

5* NCAA Tourn Rd of 32 GAME OF THE YEAR on Auburn -

I love the value here with Auburn at basically a pick'em against Clemson in Sunday's Round of 32 action out of the Midwest Region. Auburn won their opener 62-58 over Charleston. That was a lot closer than most expected, as they were a 9.5-point favorite, but that's a much better Charleston team than most people realize. It didn't help that Auburn shot about as poor as they could, hitting just 35.6% from the field. 

Clemson had a little easier time in their first game, as they beat New Mexico State 79-68 behind a red-hot 55.9% shooting. I just think the contrasting victories have created some big time value here with Auburn. I look for Clemson to have a much tougher time offensively against this Auburn defense, while I expect Auburn to be much more efficient from the offensive side of the ball. 

Clemson hasn't exactly excelled in this spot. They are just 8-19 ATS in their last 27 when playing on the road in their 2nd game in a week. Take Auburn!

4* NCAA Tournament Vegas INSIDER on Loyola +

I like the value here with the Ramblers as a decently priced dog against the Volunteers, as I think there's a decent chance they win this game outright. A lot of people simply don't realize just how good this Loyola-Chicago team is. Not only because of the small conference they play in, but they haven't really been in this spot before. 

One of the reasons that Tennessee had such a great season is the defense they played, but the Ramblers are every bit as good on that side of the ball. Loyola-Chicago only gave up 62.7 ppg on the season and were right on point, limiting the Hurricanes to 62 points in the first round. They forced Miami into 16 turnovers and did an excellent job keeping them off the line, as the Hurricanes only attempted 13 free throws. 

The other big key here is the Ramblers can stroke it from long-distance. They shot 40% as a team from behind the 3-point line and have 5 different players who shoot 38% or better. I simply trust their offense more in this one and I feel this line is inflated by a good 3-4 points because of how good the Vols looked in their opener with Wright State. Take Loyola-Chicago! 

3* NCAA Tournament Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Buffalo +

I like the value here with the Bulls catching a decent number against the Wildcats. Buffalo pulled off a big upset in the first round and did so in impressive fashion. The Bulls defeated Arizona 89-68 as a 9-point dog. A lot of people credited the win more on how bad the Wildcats played and while they didn't play their best game, this Buffalo team is no joke. 

The Bulls have 3 dynamic scorers in Jeremy Harris (15.6 ppg), C.J. Massinburg (17.3 ppg) and Wes Clark (14.1 ppg). These 3 combined for 67 points and were 11 for 22 from long-distance. That 3-point shooting is a huge factor here, as Kentucky is one of the worst 3-point shooting teams in the country and failed to make a single 3 in their win over Davidson in the first round. While the Wildcats will be able to score inside on the Bulls, trading 2 for 3 will allow Buffalo to keep this close and maybe even win outright. Take Buffalo! 

4* NCAA Tournament ATS NO-BRAINER on Missouri +

I like the value here with the Tigers at basically a pick'em against the Seminoles in Friday's first round action out of the West Region. Missouri is one of the bigger wild card teams in the field, as Michael Porter Jr basically didn't play the entire season until the Tigers SEC Tournament game. He's a special talent and a for sure lottery pick in next year's NBA draft. He's the kind of player that can put a team on his back. 

To no surprise Porter Jr was a bit rusty in his first game back, but he certainly wasn't lacking any confidence, as he hoisted up 17 shots off the bench in just 23 minutes of playing time. I think that was huge for the Tigers to get a warm-up game with Porter Jr. in the mix. They now have had a few days to put together a game plan and I think they are going to have their way with Florida State. 

The Seminoles have some nice pieces and were a solid team, but they aren't playing well down the stretch. FSU went just 4-6 over their final 10 games. I also don't love the matchup for the Seminoles. Florida State relies a lot on penetration to get their offense going and this Missouri team can lock you down defensively. The Tigers also are a great 3-point shooting team, which is huge given all the size and athleticism the Seminoles have inside. Take Missouri! 

5* NCAA Tournament No Limit TOP PLAY on UMBC +

I love the value here with the Maryland-Baltimore Country catching a huge number against No. 1 overall seed Virginia. Most people probably didn't even know UMBC was a school and that unfamiliarity combined with the Cavaliers being ranked No. 1 overall will have the public backing Virginia. I think the books were well aware of this action and have inflated this line to where there's tremendous value with the underdog. 

You hear it all the time, great guard play is critical in the NCAA Tournament. Well the Retrievers are led by their backcourt of Jairus Lyles and K.J. Maura. Both of which are very quick off the dribble and have great instincts on defense. They create a lot of easy looks from deep with their penetration and generate a lot of steals on the defense, allowing UMBC to get out in transition. 

I know Virginia doesn't have a ton of holes, but I think the pressure of the Retrievers and the Cavaliers potentially not giving this team their full amount of respect with much bigger games looming, will allow UMBC to keep this game a lot closer than most expert. Take Maryland-Baltimore County! 

4* NCAA Tournament VEGAS INSIDER on Creighton -

I like the value here with the Bluejays at basically a pick'em in Fridays' first round action out of the South Region. Bruce Weber did another masterful job at Kansas State this year, as many experts had them pegged near the basement of the Big 12 standings. Martin forces effort from his players on a nightly basis and that played a big part in the Wildcats regular-season success. 

The thing is, effort can only get you so far and we saw this team really struggle against the top tier teams in the Big 12. In fact, they were 0-7 against the likes of Kansas, West Virginia and Texas Tech. I think we are going to see a similar struggle for them against a very good Creighton team that is extremely efficient offensively and plays at a frantic pace. The Bluejays put up 84.3 ppg. K-State simply doesn't have the offensive fire-power to keep pace, as they really only have to legit scoring options in Dean Wade and Barry Brown. Take Creighton! 

3* BEST BET on Murray State +

I like the value here with the Racers catching double-digits against the Mountaineers in Friday's first round action out of the East Region. It's no secret that West Virginia is a tough team to prepare for in the NCAA Tournament, but I think Murray State has the pieces in place to handle the Mountaineers pressure. 

The Racers have two good ball handlers in their backcourt in Jonathan Stark and Demetrius Morant. The two combined to average 34.4 ppg and 10.3 apg. While they are great at sharing the ball on the offensive side of the ball, they were also one of the best teams in the country in forcing teams to beat them one-on-one. If they can keep from turning it over and not allowing the Mountaineers to get out in transition, this team can make it extremely hard for West Virginia to score. If the outside shot is falling for Murray State, they not only will keep this within the number, but they will have a legit shot at pulling off the upset. Take Murray State! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER 

5* NCAA Tournament Rd of 64 GAME OF THE YEAR on Marshall +

I love the value here with the Thundering Herd as a big dog against the Shockers in Friday's first round action out of the East Region. Marshall's head coach is Dan D'Antoni, who is the brother of Houston Rockets head coach Mike D'Antoni. As you might have guessed the two have similar philosophies on the offensive side and want to try and outscore teams by outshooting them from long-distance. 

It worked really well down the stretch for Marshall, who punched their ticket to the Big Dance by winning the C-USA Tournament. The Thundering Herd average 10-made 3-pointers a game and have 7 different players who shoot 33% or better from deep. That long-range attack helped them average 84.3 ppg. 

While Wichita State has the offensive fire-power to hang with Marshall and likely ultimately win this game, they are definitely on upset alert. That's because the Shockers aren't as good defensively as they have been in years past. One of their biggest weaknesses was defending the 3-point shot, making this a horrible matchup out of the gates. I think the Thundering Herd give them a scare and maybe win this one outright. Take Marshall! 

4* NCAA Tournament BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Buffalo +

I like the value here with the Bulls catching a big number against the Wildcats. There's been plenty of talk about how Arizona got the shaft on their seed and I think it has a lot of people jumping on the Wildcats laying single-digits here. As good as Arizona is, this Buffalo team is no joke. 

The Bulls cruised to the MAC Tournament title, winning all 3 of their tournament games by double-digits. They also showed extremely well in non-conference against the likes of Cincinnati, Texas A&M, Syracuse and St Bonaventure. The Bulls are also 12-2 ATS in their last 12 neutral court games with a perfect 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 neutral site games as an underdog. Take Buffalo! 

5* NCAA Tournament VEGAS INSIDER on Stephen F Austin +

I love the value here with the Lumberjacks catching double-digits against Texas Tech in Thursday's first round action out of the East Region. Stephen F. Austin has a lot of great qualities for success in the NCAA Tournament. The Lumberjacks have great depth and balance on the offensive side of the ball. They also bring the intensity on the defensive side of the ball and as a result led the nation in turnover percentage and steels. That pressure often leads to a lot of good looks on the offensive side of the ball, especially from long-range, where Stephen F. Austin is deadly from. 

As for Texas Tech, this is a team that really lost its mojo down the final leg of the season. The Red Raiders went just 2-5 over their final 7 games and the two wins could have easily been losses, as both came by 4-points or less. Rarely do you see a team that comes into the Big Dance struggling flip the switch and go on a deep run. If Texas Tech struggles with the pressure of the Lumberjacks, they not only aren't going to cover, but they may lose this game outright. Take Stephen F. Austin! 

3* NCAA Tournament ODDSMAKERS ERROR on Wright State +

I like the value here with the Raiders catching double-digits against the Volunteers in Thursday's opening round action out of the South Region. Wright State got to the big dance behind one of the better defenses in the country. The Raiders ranked were just outside the top 50 in the nation in defensive efficiency. They are especially good at defending inside the arc behind big men Loudon Love and Parker Ernsthausen. 

With Tennessee also being an elite defensive team, points are going to be at premium, which only adds more value here with the Raiders at this price. Keep in mind the Volunteers aren't exactly an offensive juggernaut. A big reason for that is they don't have an elite guard who can create his own shot when needed. This is also a primarily a jump shooting team and if the shots aren't falling for the Vols they not only won't cover, but could lose this game outright. Take Wright State! 

3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Oklahoma +

I like the value here with the Sooners as a dog against the Rams in Thursday's 1st round action out of the Midwest Region. There's been all kinds of talk about how Oklahoma didn't deserve to make the field of 68 due to their poor finish. I think the Sooners will use that as motivation and come out with a huge chip on their shoulder here. 

Rhode Island wasn't exactly playing great down the stretch either. The Rams were just 4-4 over their final 8 games, which included an ugly 30-point loss at home to St. Josephs. I know teams in the Big 12 seemed to figure out freshman sensation Trae Young, but let's not forget how dominant he was in non-conference play to start the year. Oklahoma has the best player on the court and I think the long break between their early exit in the Big 12 Tournament and this game will do wonders for the Sooners. Take Oklahoma! 

3* CBI No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Grand Canyon -

I like the value here with the Antelopes laying what I think is a short number against the Bears in the opening round of the CBI Tournament. Grand Canyon won 22 games this season and were on a 5-game winning streak before getting knocked out of the WAC Tournament by regular-season champ New Mexico State. 

A huge factor here is the Antelopes get to host this game, as they went an impressive 16-2 at home this season. I think the fact that Mercer had won 8 straight before losing to Wofford in the Southern Tournament has them getting too much respect here.

The Bears are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games, while the Antelopes have covered 5 of their last 6 games outside conference play. Take Grand Canyon!  

5* CBI Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on New Orleans -

I love the value here with the Privateers laying a short number against the Vaqueros in Wednesday's CBI action. Both of these teams finished the season poorly, but I still think New Orleans is the far superior team here. Looking back at non-conference play, we see both teams played at SMU. While both teams lost, the Privateers kept it respectable in a 13-point defeat, while the Vaqueros got annihilated by 31 points. 

The other big key here is UT-Rio Grande Valley was not good on the road and they come in a mere 1-9-1 ATS over the last 11 road games. They are also 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games The Privateers were a solid 9-3 on their home court and are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 off a SU loss by more than 20 points (lost by 22 to Sam Houston St in conference tournament). Take New Orleans! 

3* NCAAB Late Night ATS ANNIHILATOR on Asheville +

I really like the value here with the Bulldogs catching a big number against USC in the opening round of the NIT. This is all about motivation and I just have a hard time seeing the Trojans being all that excited about even playing in this tournament. USC had their eyes set on the NCAA Tournament and had to feel like they did enough to make it. They won 23 games, finished 2nd in the Pac-12 regular-season standings and reached the Pac-12 Tournament title game. 

Asking this team to get up for this game is asking a lot, especially given the opponent. As for UNC-Asheville, they are going to relish in the opportunity to showcase their talents against a Power 5 opponent. The Bulldogs have two dynamic scorers to help them at least keep this within the number in Ahmad Thomas and Marcio Teague, who both average right around 16.5 ppg. 

The other big key here is the Trojans head into the NIT at less than 100%. Bennie Boatwright was lost for the season back in the middle of February and leading scorer Chimezie Metu is questionable for this game because of rest, which speaks volumes to how little this game means to this team. Take Asheville! 

4* NIT Vegas ATS NO-BRAINER on Western Kentucky -

I like the value here with the Hilltoppers laying a short number against the Eagles. The betting public is all over BC, as they come from the much stronger conference, but this Western Kentucky team is no joke. The Hilltoppers went 14-4 in a strong C-USA and just missed out on an automatic bid, losing to Marshall in the C-USA Tournament title game. 

Western Kentucky did more than prove they can hang with the big boys in non-conference play. They knocked off Purdue and SMU in back-to-back games and only lost by 8 to Villanova. The fact that the Hilltoppers are the better seed and get to host this game is also a huge factor in why I like them to win and cover. Western Kentucky was 13-3 at home this season, while the Eagles were a dreadful 5-12 away from their home court. 

Hilltoppers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games. Take Western Kentucky! 

4* NIT No Doubt ATS HEAVY HITTER ON Wagner +

I like the value here with the Seahawks as a big double-digit dog against the Bears in Tuesday's first round action of the NIT. Baylor received a No. 1 seed, but I just don't think they are going to be all that motivated to play in the NIT. Keep in mind this was one of the last few teams left out of the Big Dance. 

A big reason they were left out is they went just 1-4 over their final 5 games. Not playing well and no real motivation are two keys to a team like Baylor getting knocked off by a lessor opponent in Wagner. 

While the Seahawks lost in the NEC finals to miss out on a trip to the NCAA Tournament, these small conference schools have a much easier time putting that disappointment behind them and focus on the opportunity to showcase their talents against some quality opponents. Look for the Seahawks to come out swinging and give the Bears all they can handle. Take Wagner! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Houston +

I like the value here with the Cougars catching points in Sunday's AAC Tournament title showdown. Houston showed they are more than capable of hanging with the Bearcats during their two regular-season meetings. The Cougars did more than hold their own in a 10-point loss at Cincinnati earlier in conference play and later defeated the Bearcats 67-62 at home. 

Both teams took great care of the basketball in their semifinal matchups. Houston turned it over just 7 times, while the Bearcats committed just 3 turnovers. Houston has gone an impressive 30-16 ATS in their last 46 after a game with 8 or fewer turnovers, while Cincinnati is just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 in this same scenario. I think there's a great chance the Cougars don't just cover but win this game outright. Take Houston! 

3* Kentucky/Tennessee ATS ANNIHILATOR on Tennessee

I like the value here with the Volunteers in Sunday's SEC Tournament title game. Tennessee had the Wildcats number this season, sweeping the season series, and I look for them to add to it with another win here. 

The Volunteers have been one of the big surprises this season and Just don't think this team gets the respect they deserve. They certainly shouldn't be an underdog here, but Kentucky is playing well and are the bigger name, so the books are shading where the public money will be coming in. 

The Wildcats are a mere 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games after 2 straight conference wins and are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 off a blowout win by more than 20 points. Take Tennessee! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Arizona -

I love the value here with the Wildcats laying a short number against the Trojans in the Pac-12 Tournament title game on Saturday. You have to give USC props for how well they have played without one of their best players in Bennie Boatwright, but I don't see the run continuing here against one of the best teams in the country, especially now that the Trojans are playing their 3rd game in 3 days.  

Arizona has won 4 straight and are 7-1 in their last 8. Any concerns about this team being hurt by all the off the court drama that's going on can be thrown out the window. If anything, it has brought this team together and have them playing with a bit of a chip on their shoulder.

The Wildcats made easy work of the Trojans in the lone meeting this season, winning by 14 on their home floor. It could have been a lot worse, as Arizona shot 56% from the field and finished with a +18 edge on the boards. Those are two great signs that the Wildcats are the far superior team and will have no problem getting the win here. Take Arizona! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Rhode Island -

I like the value here with the Rams laying single-digits against the Hawks in Saturday's A-10 semifinals. Rhode Island was hands down the best team in the conference and they did just as expected and snapped a 2-game skid to end the regular-season with a 76-67 victory over VCU yesterday. While St. Joe's defeated George Mason by 19 as a 6.5-point favorite, I don't see the Hawks being able to keep this one close. 

That's because the Rams are going to be 100% locked in for this game. The only meeting between these two teams came at Rhode Island in the final week of the regular season. St. Joe's won that game 78-48 as a 13.5-point dog. The Hawks took advantage of a Rams team that wasn't locked in with the A-10 regular-season title already in the bag. I wouldn't be surprised at all if Rhode Island flipped the script and ended up winning here by 20+. 

With yesterday's cover over VCU the Rams are now 7-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. They are also a dominant 21-9 ATS in their last 30 games off a conference win and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 when playing only their 2nd game in a 8-day stretch. Take Rhode Island! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider TOP PLAY on Houston -

I like the value here with the Cougars in Friday's American Athletic action, as I think Houston wins this by double-digits no problem. The Cougars have been one of the best kept secrets in the country. Houston finished 24-6 and were 14-4 in the AAC. They went 8-1 over their last 9 games and several of those were close. 

UCF comes in off back-to-back wins over Tulane and East Carolina, with the win over the Pirates coming in yesterday's AAC Tournament action. That's important to note, as Houston got a bye and will have a big rest advantage here with the Knights playing for the 2nd time in 2 days. The only meeting between these two teams this season came at UCF, which the Cougars won 69-65. 

The Knights are a mere 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games after covering the spread in 3 of their last 4 games and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games after playing 2 straight games as a favorite. Take Houston! 

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5* NCAAB No Limit TOP PLAY on Davidson -

I like the value here with the Wildcats in Friday's A-10 action against the Billikens. Davidson saved it's best basketball for late in the year, as they closed out the regular season on a 8-2 run with the only two losses coming at Rhode Island (A-10 regular season champs) and at St. Bonaventure (finished 2nd in A-10) in triple-overtime. 

These two teams played just once in the regular-season. Davidson won that contest at home 54-51. Note that was back before they caught fire, so there's every reason to expect a larger margin of victory tonight, especially given the rest advantage for the Wildcats. Davidson didn't have to play yesterday, while St Louis had to take on George Washington. Look for that to play a big part in the Wildcats winning here by more than the number. Take Davidson! 

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5* NCAAB SEC GAME OF THE MONTH on Kentucky -

I love the value here and spot for the Wildcats, as they will take on Georgia in the quarterfinals of the SEC Tournament. Kentucky defeated the Bulldogs in the lone meeting this season and have won 10 straight in the series overall. 

This is a big spot for the Wildcats, who are going to want to bounce back with a strong showing here after an ugly double-digit loss at Florida to close out the regular season. Georgia just isn't a team I feel that can compete with Kentucky given the circumstances. While the Bulldogs will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days, the Wildcats will be playing their first game of the tournament after receiving a double-bye. This is a statement game for Kentucky and I expect them deliver with a convincing win. Take Kentucky! 

5* NCAAB A-10 GAME OF THE MONTH on St. Joe's -

I love the value here with the Hawks in Friday's A-10 action against George Mason. St. Joseph's closed out the regular-season on a tear, going 6-1 in their final 7 games, which includes that impressive 78-48 win at Rhode Island as a 13.5-point dog. I look for the Hawks to have zero problem making easy work of the Patriots. 

George Mason is at a big disadvantage here in terms of rest. While St. Joseph's got a bye for yesterday's action, the Patriots had to take on UMass. It wasn't an easy win, as George Mason escaped with a 75-70 victory. I just don't see them having enough left in the tank here and we know we are going to get the very best the Hawks have to offer. St Joseph's is playing with double-revenge from two extremely close losses to the Patriots, losing by 2 at George Mason and by 3 at home. 

Hawks haven't played since last Saturday and are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games when playing only their 2nd game in a week. They are also 11-2 ATS in their last 13 away from home when they come in having won at least 6 of their last 8 games. Take St. Joseph's! 

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4* NCAAB Early Bird ATS NO-BRAINER on Rhode Island -

I like the value here with Rhode Island in Friday's game against VCU in the quarterfinals of the Atlantic-10 Tournament. VCU is a well-known name for a small-school and aren't often this big of a dog, but they are simply outmatched here against a Rhode Island team that is one of the better teams in the country not everyone knows about. 

Rhode Island comes in at 23-6 overall and won the A-10 regular season title with a mark of 15-3 in conference play. They had a stretch in the season where they won 16 straight. They did close out the regular-season with 2 straight losses and I think that was more of just this team getting a little complacent. I expect to see a different focus an intensity when they take the floor here. 

Rhode Island went on the road and beat VCU 81-68 in early February, which is a good sign they can win by a similar margin on a neutral site. It also helps that Rhode Island will have a big edge here in terms of rest. While they had a bye on Thursday, VCU was playing in a dog fight against Dayton, which they prevailed 77-72. 

I mentioned earlier VCU isn't use to being a big dog. They are just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games when getting points. They are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Rhode Island! 

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS MASSACRE on USC -

I like the value here with the Trojans in Thursday's Pac-12 Tournament action against the Beavers. I just think USC is being undervalued here because of the injury to Bennie Boatwright. While that's a big loss in the grand scheme of things, I don't think it will keep the Trojans from making easy work of the Beavers. 

Oregon State comes in off an impressive win over Washington last night, but they needed overtime to do it. The Beavers aren't a dip team and 5 different players logged over 30 minutes in that game. Now Oregon State has to play on no rest against a USC team that got a first round bye.

USC won both meetings during the regular season, including a 7-point win at Oregon State. The Trojans are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games vs a team with a winning record and a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Take USC! 

5* NCAAB MWC GAME OF THE MONTH on Boise State

I like the value here with the Broncos in Thursday's MWC action against the Aggies. Boise State was by the far better team during the regular season. The Broncos went 23-7 with a 13-5 mark in the MWC, while Utah State was just 16-15 with a 8-10 mark in conference play. The Aggies defeated Colorado State 76-65 yesterday, but that was to be expected. 

Now Utah State is being forced to play on no rest, while the Broncos are playing on 4 days of rest. Boise State is going to want to play well in this tournament after going just 3-3 down the stretch. They will also be extremely motivated here playing with revenge from a loss in the last meeting with Utah State. 

The Aggies have won and covered their last two games, but are a mere 2-12 ATS in their last 14 after successfully covering the spread in 2 straight games. They are also a mere 5-15 ATS in their last 20 road games against a good team that's won between 60% and 80% of their games. Take Boise State! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Prime Time TOP PLAY on Duke

I like the value here with the Blue Devils in Thursday's showdown with Notre Dame in the quarterfinals of the ACC Tournament. There's no question that the Irish are a different team with Colson in the lineup and likely deserve to be included in the NCAA Tournament regardless if they win this game or not. 

Either way, I don't think they will have enough gas left in the tank to keep this game competitive against what should be a very motivated Duke side. Notre Dame had to play in the opening round on Tuesday and scratched out a 67-64 win over Pitt. They then miraculously rallied from 21 down in the 2nd half in yesterday's win over Va Tech.

The Irish will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days against a Duke team that received a double-bye and hasn't played since Saturday. The Blue Devils will cruise to an easy win and cover tonight. Take Duke! 

4* NCAAB ATS HEAVY HITTER on UCLA -

I like the value here with the Bruins laying what I feel is a very short number against the Cardinal. While these two teams finished with identical 11-7 records in Pac-12 play, I believe UCLA is simply the better team and has the more impressive resume. 

The other big key here is the rest advantage that the Bruins have in this contest. Despite the same record, UCLA earned a first round by in the Pac-12 Tournament, while the Cardinal had to play yesterday in opening round action against Cal. Note that Cal is responsible for 2 of Stanford's 5 road wins. 

This is also a good spot to fade Stanford coming off a strong defensive showing against Cal, where they held the Golden Bears to just 58 points. The Cardinal are a mere 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing 60 points or less. Take UCLA! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Kansas -

I like the value here with the Jayhawks laying what I feel is a short number against the Cowboys. I know Oklahoma State swept the season series, but I think there's every reason to expect a different outcome this time around. The Cowboys caught the Jayhawks by surprise in Lawrence the first go around. That wasn't a great spot for KU off two big wins (at home vs Texas A&M and at in-state rival K-State). The second time around was the regular-season finale for both teams, which Oklahoma State rolled to a 18-point win. The big thing there is Kansas already had the conference title locked up, so there wasn't much of anything to play for. 

This time around I'm confident we will get the very best the Jayhawks have to offer. Not only because they are playing with double-revenge, but also because the last thing this team wants is to lose here and go into the NCAA Tournament with zero momentum. I think this one could get out of hand in a hurry, especially with the big rest edge the Jayhawks have with Oklahoma State playing on no rest and off a big win over in-state rival Oklahoma. Take Kansas! 

5* NCAAB Pac-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Arizona -

I like the value here with the Wildcats in Thursday's Pac-12 Tournament action against Colorado. I just think all the outside noise that has surrounded this program of late with head coach Sean Miller and a couple of their star players, has brought Arizona closer together as a team and have them poised for a great postseason run. This is without a doubt one of the most talented teams in the country. 

Colorado comes in off an impressive upset win over Arizona State yesterday, but the Sun Devils have struggled down the stretch. It was only the 5th win away from home all season for the Buffaloes and chances are they won't be able to duplicate that strong performance this afternoon. I think the Wildcats win here comfortably. 

Colorado is a mere 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games off a win and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 off a win by 10 or more points. Wildcats on the other hand are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games after playing their previous game as a home favorite and a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games off a conference home win. Take Arizona! 

4* NCAAB Money Line DESTROYER on George Mason 

I like the value here with the Patriots on the money line Thursday against the Minutemen. George Mason closed out the regular season with an ugly 14-point loss at home to Richmond, but keep in mind they were dog in that fight. The Patriots are still a respectable 6-3 over their last 9 games, which includes a win over UMass. 

The Minutemen knocked off LaSalle 69-67 as a 6-point dog yesterday, which followed an 85-75 win over Duquesne at home in their regular-season finale. I think these back-to-back wins have UMass way overvalued here. Keep in mind the Minutemen were a mere 1-11 in their previous 12 games. 

The Patriots won both regular season meetings and history backs them winning the third meeting, as UMass is a mere 1-9 on the money line in their last 10 games when playing with double-revenge. Take George Mason! 

5* NCAAB ATS No-Brainer TOP PLAY on Clemson -

I like the value here with the Tigers laying a short number against the Eagles in Thursday quarterfinals action of the ACC Tournament. Not only is Clemson the better team, but the Tigers have a major edge here in rest. Boston College will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days, while Clemson has yet to play after receiving a double-bye. 

I still think this Tigers team is being undervalued because of the fact that they lost Donte Grantham for the season, but they have played extremely well without him. Clemson should also be plenty motivated here after losing their regular-season finale at Syracuse, as they will want some momentum going into the NCAA Tournament. It's been a nice run for the Eagles, but it stops here. Take Clemson! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Virginia -

I really like the value here with the Cavaliers covering what I think is a short number against the Cardinals. I know Louisville had Virginia on the ropes last Thursday (blew a 13-point lead 2nd half lead and 4-point edge with less than a second to play), but that was on their home floor. Keep in mind that the Cardinals came into that game not playing well and it's likely the Cavaliers didn't give them the respect they deserved. 

I don't see that being a problem this time around. Virginia will be extremely motivated here to play well, as they don't want to go into the NCAA Tournament off an early exit from the ACC Tournament. This is also a well-rested Virginia squad, who hasn't played since Saturday. Louisville on the other hand could be both emotionally and physically drained after a big win over FSU yesterday, as that was one they had to have for any shot at making the field of 68. 

The Cavaliers ended the regular-season with a win at home over Notre Dame, but did fail to cover the spread. Both are important to note, as they are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games off a conference win and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 off a game in which they failed to cover the spread. Take Virginia! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider TOP PLAY on Xavier -

I like the value here with the Musketeers covering this spread against the Red Storm on Thursday. Xavier simply isn't getting enough respect here. They went 15-3 in league play with two of those losses coming against Villanova. They swept the season series against St. John's and should have no problem taking them down again. 

Xavier has a history of playing well in games played on a neutral court, as they are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games played at a neutral site. They are also 14-5 ATS in their last 19 tournament games. While St John's won and covered in the first round yesterday against Georgetown, they are still just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. 

Rest is also a key factor here, as Xavier had a first round bye and will be catching the Red Storm in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set. I just don't think St. John's is capable of playing well enough on no rest to keep this one competitive. Take Xavier! 

5* NCAAB ACC GAME OF THE MONTH on North Carolina -

I love the value here with the Tar Heels laying single-digits against the Orange on Wednesday. North Carolina is one of the best teams in the country and after losing their final two regular-season games are going to be extremely motivated here to play well in the ACC Tournament, so they have some kind of momentum going into the NCAA Tournament. 

As for Syracuse, they got a huge win yesterday in the opening round against Wake Forest. They still likely need to win here to get in, but I don't see it happening. The Orange simply don't have the offensive fire-power to keep this close and it's only going to be that much harder with tired legs  on rest. 

Syracuse is a mere 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games away from home after a win and are 0-10 ATS in their last 10 road games vs a team that averages 8 or more made 3-pointers a game. Take North Carolina! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on NC State - 

I like the value here with the Wolfpack laying a short number against the Eagles. NC State really closed out the season strong. They went 5-1 SU and 5-1 ATS over their last 6 games. The lone hiccup coming in a game at Georgia Tech, where they simply didn't show up to play. I don't see any concern here with NC State showing up. 

The Wolfpack offensively are absolutely rolling right now. They are average 83 ppg over their last 5 and haven't scored fewer than 70 points in a game since the middle of January when they put up just 51 at Virginia. 

Another key here is the rest advantage for the Wolfpack, who received a first round bye, while the Eagles had to suit up yesterday and take on the Yellow Jackets. NC State is also a great tournament team and have gone 30-12 ATS in their last 42 games in the ACC Tournament. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in favor of the Wolfpack. Neutral court favorites who are an explosive offensive team (76+ ppg) that have scored 75+ in 3 straight games are 83-41 (67%) ATS when facing a decent offensive team that averages 74-76 ppg. Take NC State! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Stony Brook +

The Catamounts are the overwhelming favorites to take home the America East Tournament title and earn the automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. I think it has Vermont way overvalued here against the Seawolves. Stony Brook comes in playing well, as they are 5-2 in their last 7 games. They got the America East Tournament started off in style, winning on the road over Albany 69-60 as a 9.5-point dog. 

It's also worth pointing out just how competitive the Seawolves were in both regular-season meetings between these two teams. Stony Brook lost by just 9-points in each meeting. While the game will be played at Vermont, the Catamounts are a mere 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Take Stony Brook! 

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5* NCAAB Colonial GAME OF THE MONTH on Northeastern -

Analysis will be posted shortly

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Fresno State +

I like the value here with the Bulldogs catching points on the road against the Lobos. Fresno State comes in off a win at Air Force and are now 6-1 in their last 7 games. They have also won 4 straight on the road. New Mexico comes in having won 4 straight behind some ridiculous shooting, but that's not sustainable and this Bulldogs defense can get after you on the defensive side of the ball. 

Fresno State is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 as a road underdog and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games after allowing 25 points or less in the 1st half of their last game. 

Adding to this is a great system to fade New Mexico. Home favorites who have shot 47% or better from the field in 3 straight games are just 12-35 (25%) ATS over the last 5 seasons when facing a team that held their previous opponent to 33% or less from the field. Take Fresno State! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Louisville +

I like the value here with the Cardinals catching points in Saturday's road contest against the Wolfpack. Louisville will be in desperation mode here, as they need a win to get off the bubble for the NCAA Tournament. It looked like they were going to get that big win in their last game, as they had No. 1 Virginia on the ropes, but somehow blew a 4-point lead with less than 1-second to play. I think we see the Cardinals bounce back in a big way here with a huge road win at NC State. 

Louisville has been a covering machine in the ACC, as they are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 conference games. They also have been a great bet on the road, where they are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games. NC State on the other hand is a team that hasn't played up to their potential against the better teams. The Wolfpack are just 7-15 ATS in their last 22 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Louisville! 

5* NCAAB Big 12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Oklahoma  State +

The Cowboys already went into Lawrence and defeated the Jayhawks 84-79 as a huge 12-point dog. I see no reason why we shouldn't expected a similarly competitive game in the rematch and I think there's an excellent chance Oklahoma State wins this one outright.

Keep in mind there's plenty of incentive here for the Cowboys, not only playing against an elite team and Big 12 regular season champ, but it's also senior day. 

The other big factor here is the spot for Kansas. I don't know that revenge is really on the mind of the Jayhawks here. They are coming off two huge wins at Texas Tech and at home against Texas to lock up yet another Big 12 title.

This game really doesn't mean a whole lot and I think Kansas is going to come out a bit flat, as they start to look ahead to next week's Big 12 Tournament and NCAA Tournament. Take Oklahoma State!

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on South Alabama +

I like the value here with the Jaguars in Saturday's Sun Belt action that has them on the road against the Panthers. South Alabama does come into this game having lost 4 straight, but I think it has them way undervalued here. Georgia State is far from an elite team and aren't exactly playing well right now.

The Panthers have lost 4 of their last 5 games, including a 13-point loss to Troy at home as a 7.5-point favorite in their last game. They also lost 82-90 at home to ULM as a 13.5-point favorite during this stretch. 

South Alabama covered last time out against the Georgia Southern and are 13-4 ATS on the season after covering in their previous contest. The Panthers on the other hand are are a mere 8-18 ATS in their last 26 when playing 2 games in a 3 day stretch and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 off a conference loss by 10 or more points. Take South Alabama! 

3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Clemson +

I like the value here with the Tigers at basically a pick'em on the road against the Orange in Saturday's ACC action. This Clemson team has been flying under the radar all season and come in off an impressive 13-point win at home over a good Florida State team. I think they have no problem here against Syracuse. 

The Orange haven't been playing well at all down the stretch. They come in having lost each of their last 3 and are just 3-6 in their last 9. Last time out they got rolled by 15-point at BC. I think the woes for Syracuse continue here at home against the Tigers. Clemson has the talent offensively to attack that Orange zone and are one of the top defensive teams in the ACC. Take Clemson! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Cornell +

I like the value here with the Big Red catching near double-digits on the road against the Crimson. These two teams met back in early February at Cornell and the Big Red nearly pulled off the upset, losing 73-76. That result is important to note, as it sets up Cornell in a very profitable situation. 

The Big Red are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 road games when revving a loss of 3-points or less. They are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games overall vs a team with a winning home record and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in the series. Take Cornell! 

5* NCAAB MAAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Rider -

I like the value here with the Broncs laying what I feel is a short number in the quarterfinals of the MAAC Tournament. Rider earned a share of the MAAC regular-season title with a 15-3 league record. That includes two wins over St. Peter's who finished up 9th in the MAAC with a mere 6-12 record. 

The Peacocks did give the Broncs a scare in each of the meetings this season, but it won't be easy keeping this one close. That's because St. Peter's is at a big disadvantage here playin on no rest after taking on Monmouth last night. A game that went right down to the wire, as the Peacocks escaped with a 60-58 win. I just don't see St. Peter's having enough left in the tank here and the Broncs aren't going to overlook them given how close the previous two games were. 

Last time out Rider played in a shootout, defeating Iona 110-101. That's worth noting, as the Broncs are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 90 points. We also see that the Peacocks are a mere 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs a team with a winning record and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 off a SU win. Take Rider! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Ohio State -

I like the value here with the Buckeyes laying what I think is a short number here against the Nittany Lions. The fact that Penn State won both regular-season meetings will have some looking to grab the points, but I fully expect Ohio State to not just get their revenge, but to do so in conniving fashion. Note the Buckeyes are a dominant 35-19 ATS in their last 54 when playing with double-revenge. 

Another key factor here is the rest advantage that Ohio State has in this matchup. The Buckeyes are well rested having not played since last Friday, while the Nittany Lions will be playing on 0 days of rest after facing off against Northwestern last night. Penn State is also a mere 1-7 ATS in their last 8 when playing against a top tier team that's won between 60% and 80% of their games. Take Ohio State! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Michigan State -

I'm recommending laying the points here with the Spartans in Friday's quarterfinal action of the Big Ten Tournament. Michigan State will face off against the Badgers in the first game of the day and I think they make easy work of them. Wisconsin has been playing well down the stretch and come in having covered 5 straight, but let's not get carried away. This is still a very mediocre team (15-17 overall) and even with yesterday's win over Maryland, they are still a mere 4-10 away from home this season. 

While the Badgers edged out the Terps on Thursday, they shot just 36% from the field. It doesn't figure to get any better on Friday. Wisconsin's offense shot 37% or worse in both meetings against the Spartans during the regular season. I look for Michigan State to turn the defensive intensity up another notch here in tournament play and should be able to provide more than enough offense to pull away and cover this double-digit spread. 

Note that while the Badgers covered at home recently against Michigan State, the Spartans had gone 10-3 ATS in the previous 13 meetings in the series. They also come in with a dominant 22-9 ATS record in their last 13 games vs a team with a losing record. Take Michigan State! 

4* NCAAB Late Night HEAVY HITTER on Austin Peay -

I like the value here with the Governors laying a short number in Thursday's quarterfinals action of the Ohio Valley Tournament. Austin Peay ended the season on a 7-3 run, which included a 7-point win at Eastern Illinois. The Governors also defeated the Panthers at home by 16 earlier in the year and have won 5 straight in the series. 

I like this spot for Austin Peay off that crushing loss at home to Murray State in their regular-season finale. The Governors are a a rock-solid 6-2 ATS in their last 8 off a SU loss and are also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. They also have a big edge in rest here, as they have had a full 4 days off since their last game, while the Panthers had to play last night in the opening round, which they gutted out 73-71 over Tennessee State. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in favor of the Governors. Favorites with a winning record that are playing a team with a losing record on a neutral site are 31-9 (78%) ATS when they come in having gone over the total by 42 or more points in their previous 5 games. Take Austin Peay!  

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Missouri State -

I like the value here with the Bears laying a short number against the Crusaders in Thursday's opening round action of the Missouri Valley Tournament. Missouri State won both meetings during the regular season and I see no reason why they won't finish off the sweep. The Bears won going away by 17 at Valpo back in late December and by 7 at home in the rematch (trailed by 5 at the half). Missouri State's defense was the difference in both meetings. They held the Valpo to just 34.8% shooting on the road and 35.5% at home. Look for their defense to be the difference once again. 

Crusaders are just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games in the first round of a tournament and are a mere 2-10 ATS in their last 12 neutral site games with a total set between 130 and 139.5. Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in favor of the Bears. Favorites with a winning record that are playing a team with a losing record on a neutral site are 31-9 (78%) ATS when they come in having gone over the total by 42 or more points in their previous 5 games. Take Missouri State! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Cal +

I like the value here with the Golden Bears catching a big number on the road against the Sun Devils tonight. I just think this is way too many points for Arizona State to be laying here. The Sun Devils aren't exactly playing their best basketball right now. They come in having lost 3 straight. The most recent being a 75-79 defeat at Oregon State, who is now just 6-10 in Pac-12 play. 

There's no denying that Cal is right there with Washington State for the honors of being the worst team in the conference, but I think the Golden Bears show up here. Cal gave the Sun Devils all they could handle in a 8-point home loss earlier this season and now will be out for revenge. This is also a big bounce back spot after getting embarrassed on their home floor 51-68 by Washington last time out. 

Adding to this is a great system in favor of the Golden Bears. Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points who are revenging a same season loss and are off a home loss where they scored 60 or fewer points are a dominant 94-53 (64%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Cal! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR on Jacksonville State -

I like the value here with the Gamecocks laying what I feel is a short number against the Golden Eagles in Thursday's quarterfinals action of the Ohio Valley Tournament. Jacksonville State closed out the regular season with back-to-back impressive wins. They first knocked off Belmont 78-67 as a 3-point dog and then rolled over Tennessee Tech 66-57 as a mere 3-point road favorite. 

Some might think the Golden Eagles are the play here with revenge from that recent loss, but they also beat Tennessee Tech by 17 on their home floor earlier this month. On top of that, they have an edge here playing on a full 4 days of rest, while the Golden Eagles are on no rest after playing last night against SIU Edwardsville in the opening round. A game they won 60-51, but shot a miserable 34.5% from the field. 

The Gamecocks are an impressive 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games vs a team with a winning record and are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Golden Eagles are a mere 3-9 ATS in their last 12 off a SU win. Take Jacksonville State! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Charleston Southern +

I like the value here with the Buccaneers catching a decent number against the Bulldogs in the Quarterfinals of the Big South Tournament. Charleston Southern got a tune-up game last night, as they rolled over Presbyterian 68-51, covering the number as a 9.5-point favorite. I like the Bucs chances of carrying over that performance and giving UNC-Asheville all they can handle. 

Charleston Southern lost both regular-season meetings against the Bulldogs, but the key thing is they were competitive in both. They only lost by 10 at UNC-Asheville and by a mere 5-points at home. The Bucs shot 47% or better in both meetings and I believe their ability to score with the Bulldogs will allow them to keep it close and maybe even pull off the upset. Take Charleston Southern! 

5* NCAAB Big Ten GAME OF THE MONTH on Michigan -

I love the value here with the Wolverines laying single-digits against the Hawkeyes this afternoon. Iowa was able to pull away late and defeat Illinois 96-87 in the opening round of the Big Ten Tournament on Wednesday. I'm not reading into that performance at all. Michigan has a big time advantage here in rest with the Hawkeyes playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and let's not forget they swept the season series. They first won by 7 at Iowa and later won by 15 on their home floor. 

While Iowa was able to knock off the Fighting Illini, this Hawkeyes' team has had a miserable time just keeping games competitive on the road. Iowa's loss at Michigan was one 7 losses away from home in Big Ten play by double-digits. The only two exceptions being against Rutgers and Minnesota, who were the first two teams out of the tournament. 

Iowa's inability to defend should allow the Wolverines to pull away. Iowa is giving up staggering 82.3 ppg away from home, while the Wolverines are only allowing 68.6 ppg away from home and have a more than capable offense. Take Michigan! 

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS HEAVY HITTER  on Dayton +

I like the value here with the Flyers catching points against the Explorers in Wednesday's A-10 action. Dayton has failed to cover 5 straight and are fresh off an embarrassing 25-point loss at Rhode Island. I think it has the Flyers way undervalued here in a game we should get their best effort. 

LaSalle is just not a team I trust laying a short number at home and it's a spot they have not fared well in in the past. The Explorers are a mere 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games with a line of +3 to -3. They are also a miserable 8-20 ATS in their last 28 off a SU win and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs a team with a losing record. Take Dayton! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Creighton -

I like the value here with the Bluejays at this price. Creighton just played arguably their best game of the season, as they knocked off Villanova 89-83 at home this past Saturday. I think we are seeing a shorter number than we should because of the potential letdown here for the Bluejays off that big win, but I'm not as concerned with teams not showing up this late in the season, especially teams like Creighton, who are trying to put the finishing touches on their resume. Keep in mind the Blue Jays were a 7-point road favorite against DePaul earlier this season, which based off that line means they should be around a 13 to 14-point favorite here. 

I actually think there's a better chance the Blue Demons struggle to show up here, as they come in off a big upset win over Marquette at home, snapping a 3-game losing streak. However, DePaul hasn't won back-to-back games since winning 5-straight from 11/26 to 12/11. They are a mere 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 off a SU win. The Bluejays on the other hand are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 off an upset win and a perfect 10-0 ATS in their last 10 home games when they come in having lost 2 of their last 3. Take Creighton! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

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4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Miami (OH) +

I like the value here with the Red Hawks catching points on the road against the Golden Flashes. Miami (OH) has been one of the more underrated teams in the MAC this season and that's evident by the fact that they are 10-5 ATS in conference play. They come in off back-to-back upset wins. First they knocked off Buffalo 84-81 as a 6-point home dog. They followed that up with a 64-62 win at Akron as a 1.5-point dog.

I think the streak continues here against a Kent State team they already beat by 11 on their home floor earlier this season. Note Miami really dominated that game, shooting 51.8% from the field, while holding the Golden Flashes to a mere 41%. They also had twice as many 3-pointers (10), while hitting on 40% from deep. 

Kent State is just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall and a mere 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs a team with a winning record. The Golden Flashes are also winless at 0-6 ATS this season when playing a marginal winning team, that's won between 51% and 60% of their games. Take Miami (OH)! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

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3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR  on James Madison +

I like the value here with the Dukes catching points on the road against the Phoenix. I just don't trust this Elon team laying points given their current form. The Phoenix have lost 5 straight and have failed to cover all 5 of them. Last time out they lost 59-81 at home to Northeastern as a 3-point dog. Their previous home game they got rolled 67-48 by Delaware as a 1-point dog. 

James Madison is just 3-6 SU in their last 9, but have been a covering machine during this stretch, going 6-2-1 ATS during this run. Last time out they lost by just 2-points on the road to Delaware, covering as a 3.5-point dog. They are now 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 true road games. Dukes are also 9-1 ATS away from home as an underdog this season. Take James Madison! 

5* NCAAB PAC-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Colorado +

I absolutely love the value here with the Buffaloes catching points at home against the Bruins. Colorado is a prime bounce back spot after dropping 3 straight. The most recent being a crushing 9-point loss at home to USC. Not only will the Buffaloes come out swinging against one of the top teams in the Pac-12, but there's added incentive here to win on senior day. 

I also think this is a great spot to go against the Bruins. UCLA is a full 2-games back of Arizona for the regular-season Pac-12 title and would need to win out and have the Wildcats lose their final two at home to Stanford and Cal (Bears are a league-worst 2-14 in league play) just to earn a share of the title. They know that's not going to happen, which in turn makes this game less important and more likely that UCLA looks ahead to their big showdown on the road against rival USC to close out the regular-season.

Another key factor here is just how much better Colorado is at home than they are on the road. The Buffaloes have gone 11-3 SU and 9-5 ATS on their home floor this season. UCLA is just 5-7 on the road. Colorado is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games, while the Bruins are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Take Colorado! 

3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHIALTOR on Tulsa +

I'm recommending grabbing the points here with the Golden Hurricane on the road, as they face off against No. 11 Cincinnati. There's no question that the Bearcats are the better team and while Cincinnati should be emotionally up for senior day, I think they are way overvalued here and will have a hard time putting away this Tulsa team. 

The Golden Hurricane come in playing their best basketball of the season. Tulsa is riding a 6-game winning streak and are now sitting 4th in the AAC at 10-5. This is their only matchup against the Bearcats, who lead the conference at 13-2, and I think they give everything they got. 

Last time out, Tulsa knocked off UCF 70-61 as a slim 2.5-point home favorite. That's worth noting, as the Golden Hurricane are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 off a home win. Cincinnati enters off a 77-52 blowout win over UConn , which is also worth noting, as the Bearcats are a mere 5-17 ATS in their last 22 home games off a conference win by 20 or more points. Take Tulsa! 

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Oregon -

I like the value here with the Ducks as a short home favorite against the Wildcats on Saturday. Oregon bounced back in a big way after two hard fought losses at USC and UCLA with a 75-68 win and cover at home over Arizona State last time out. The Ducks have now won 5 straight at home in Pac-12 play and my money is on them making it 6 in a row. 

This is simply a horrible spot for the Wildcats. It was bad enough when star point guard Allonzo Trier was made ineligible for a positive PED test, then came the news regarding head coach Sean Miller and the wiretap that proved he took a payment. I just don't see how Arizona puts all this aside and plays well here. Take Oregon! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Oklahoma -

I like the value here with the Sooners laying a short number at home against the Wildcats. This is do or die for Oklahoma, who comes in having lost 6 straight games. What you can't overlook is that 4 of the 6 losses during their skid came on the road. The Sooners are simply a different team at home, where they are 11-2 this season, outscoring teams by 13 ppg. 

Another key factor here is revenge. Oklahoma was embarrassed in the first meeting with K-State, losing by 18 on the road to the Wildcats. Sooners are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 when revenging a loss to an opponent. It's also worth pointing out that K-State comes in having won 3 straight, as the Wildcats are a miserable 0-6 ATS this season after 3 or more consecutive wins. Take Oklahoma! 

4* NCAAB Early Bird Vegas Line Mistake on Boston College +

I like the value here with the Eagles as a near double-digit dog against the Hurricanes in Saturday's ACC action. Miami comes in off an impressive 77-74 win as a 4.5-point dog at Notre Dame in their last game, but are still just 1-3 SU in their last 4 and 3-9 ATS in their last 12. With a huge game at UNC on deck, I think the Hurricanes have a hard time giving BC the full respect they deserve. 

As for the Eagles, they are in a big bounce back-back spot here after a couple of ugly losses the last two times out. BC was a dreadful 4 for 25 (16%) from long-distance in their last game and that's worth noting, as the Eagles are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 after a game where they shot 20% or worse from behind the 3-point line. Miami is also just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 as a home favorite. Take Boston College!