10-24-21 |
New Mexico State v. Hawaii OVER 61 |
Top |
34-48 |
Win
|
100 |
35 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on New Mexico State/Hawaii over 61 -117 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-20-21 |
Coastal Carolina v. Appalachian State UNDER 62.5 |
Top |
27-30 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Coastal Carolina/Appalachian State under 62½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-17-21 |
Seahawks v. Steelers UNDER 43 |
Top |
20-23 |
Push |
0 |
153 h 51 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Seahawks/Steelers under 43 -117 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-15-21 |
Marshall v. North Texas OVER 64.5 |
Top |
49-21 |
Win
|
100 |
101 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Marshall/North Texas over 64½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-14-21 |
Bucs v. Eagles OVER 52.5 |
Top |
28-22 |
Loss |
-108 |
29 h 52 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Bucs/Eagles over 52½ -108
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-12-21 |
Appalachian State v. UL-Lafayette OVER 54.5 |
Top |
13-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
35 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Appalachian State/UL-Lafayette over 54½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-11-21 |
Colts v. Ravens UNDER 47 |
Top |
25-31 |
Loss |
-104 |
176 h 33 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Colts/Ravens under 47 -104 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-10-21 |
Eagles v. Panthers UNDER 46 |
Top |
21-18 |
Win
|
100 |
146 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Eagles/Panthers under 46 -112 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-07-21 |
Rams v. Seahawks OVER 53.5 |
Top |
26-17 |
Loss |
-115 |
82 h 44 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Rams/Seahawks over 53½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-07-21 |
Coastal Carolina v. Arkansas State OVER 71.5 |
Top |
52-20 |
Win
|
100 |
67 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Coastal Carolina/Arkansas State over 71½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-04-21 |
Raiders v. Chargers UNDER 51.5 |
Top |
14-28 |
Win
|
100 |
35 h 57 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Raiders/Chargers under 51½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-03-21 |
Lions v. Bears UNDER 44 |
Top |
14-24 |
Win
|
100 |
146 h 50 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Lions/Bears under 44 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-30-21 |
Jaguars v. Bengals OVER 45.5 |
Top |
21-24 |
Loss |
-115 |
44 h 15 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Jaguars/Bengals over 45½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-27-21 |
Eagles v. Cowboys OVER 50.5 |
Top |
21-41 |
Win
|
100 |
176 h 58 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Eagles/Cowboys over 50½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-24-21 |
Middle Tennessee State v. Charlotte UNDER 56.5 |
Top |
39-42 |
Loss |
-117 |
45 h 21 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Middle Tennessee State/Charlotte under 56½ -117 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-23-21 |
Marshall v. Appalachian State OVER 55.5 |
Top |
30-31 |
Win
|
100 |
77 h 41 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Marshall/Appalachian State over 55½ -117 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-20-21 |
Lions v. Packers UNDER 49.5 |
Top |
17-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
177 h 29 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Lions/Packers under 49½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-19-21 |
Saints v. Panthers UNDER 46 |
Top |
7-26 |
Win
|
100 |
147 h 41 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Saints/Panthers under 46 -106 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-16-21 |
Ohio v. UL-Lafayette OVER 54.5 |
Top |
14-49 |
Win
|
100 |
76 h 21 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Ohio/UL-Lafayette over 54½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-12-21 |
Packers v. Saints UNDER 50 |
Top |
3-38 |
Win
|
100 |
124 h 19 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Packers/Saints under 50 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-06-21 |
Louisville v. Ole Miss UNDER 76 |
Top |
24-43 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Louisville/Ole Miss under 76 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-04-21 |
Miami-OH v. Cincinnati UNDER 51.5 |
Top |
14-49 |
Loss |
-112 |
124 h 48 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Miami-OH/Cincinnati under 51½ -112 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-03-21 |
North Carolina v. Virginia Tech OVER 63 |
Top |
10-17 |
Loss |
-116 |
28 h 30 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on North Carolina/Virginia Tech over 63 -116 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-02-21 |
Bowling Green v. Tennessee OVER 58.5 |
Top |
6-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
153 h 52 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Bowling Green/Tennessee over 58½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-30-21 |
American v. National OVER 42.5 |
Top |
24-27 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on American/National over 42½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-16-21 |
Ravens v. Bills UNDER 50 |
Top |
3-17 |
Win
|
100 |
53 h 30 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Ravens/Bills under 50 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-11-21 |
Ohio State v. Alabama OVER 74.5 |
Top |
24-52 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Ohio State/Alabama over 74½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-03-21 |
Saints v. Panthers UNDER 47.5 |
Top |
33-7 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Saints/Panthers under 47½ -114
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-02-21 |
Kentucky v. NC State UNDER 49.5 |
Top |
23-21 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 3 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Kentucky/NC State under 49½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-01-21 |
Cincinnati v. Georgia OVER 50 |
Top |
21-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
26 h 15 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Cincinnati/Georgia over 50 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-31-20 |
Mississippi State v. Tulsa UNDER 46.5 |
Top |
28-26 |
Loss |
-110 |
27 h 59 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Mississippi State/Tulsa under 46½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-30-20 |
Florida v. Oklahoma UNDER 70.5 |
Top |
20-55 |
Loss |
-108 |
30 h 12 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Florida/Oklahoma under 70½ -108
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-28-20 |
Bills v. Patriots UNDER 47.5 |
Top |
38-9 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 41 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Bills/Patriots under 47½ -105
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-24-20 |
Hawaii v. Houston OVER 59.5 |
Top |
28-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
58 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Hawaii/Houston over 59½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-20-20 |
Chiefs v. Saints OVER 52 |
Top |
32-29 |
Win
|
100 |
45 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Chiefs/Saints over 52 -106 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-13-20 |
Falcons v. Chargers OVER 49.5 |
Top |
17-20 |
Loss |
-107 |
128 h 41 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Falcons/Chargers over 49½ -107 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-12-20 |
Rutgers v. Maryland OVER 58 |
Top |
27-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
110 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Rutgers/Maryland over 58 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-08-20 |
Cowboys v. Ravens OVER 45 |
Top |
17-34 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Cowboys/Ravens over 45 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-05-20 |
UL-Monroe v. Arkansas State OVER 68.5 |
Top |
15-48 |
Loss |
-110 |
114 h 6 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on UL-Monroe/Arkansas State over 68½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-04-20 |
UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State OVER 53 |
Top |
24-21 |
Loss |
-108 |
96 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on UL-Lafayette/Appalachian State over 53 -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-30-20 |
Seahawks v. Eagles UNDER 51 |
Top |
23-17 |
Win
|
100 |
177 h 20 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Seahawks/Eagles under 51 -106 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-29-20 |
Dolphins v. Jets UNDER 45.5 |
Top |
20-3 |
Win
|
100 |
146 h 8 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Dolphins/Jets under 45½ -106 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-27-20 |
Iowa State v. Texas OVER 56.5 |
Top |
23-20 |
Loss |
-105 |
87 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Iowa State/Texas over 56½ -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-22-20 |
Eagles v. Browns OVER 45 |
Top |
17-22 |
Loss |
-110 |
147 h 1 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Eagles/Browns over 45 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-19-20 |
Cardinals v. Seahawks UNDER 57.5 |
Top |
21-28 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 47 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Cardinals/Seahawks under 57½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-18-20 |
Northern Illinois v. Ball State OVER 59.5 |
Top |
25-31 |
Loss |
-118 |
45 h 10 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Northern Illinois/Ball State over 59½ -118 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-17-20 |
Akron v. Kent State OVER 58.5 |
Top |
35-69 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 26 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Akron/Kent State over 58½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-14-20 |
Oregon State v. Washington UNDER 56.5 |
Top |
21-27 |
Win
|
100 |
123 h 6 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Oregon State/Washington under 56½ -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-14-20 |
SMU v. Tulsa OVER 63 |
Top |
24-28 |
Loss |
-103 |
119 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on SMU/Tulsa over 63 -103 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-06-20 |
Miami-FL v. NC State OVER 57 |
Top |
44-41 |
Win
|
100 |
96 h 28 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Miami-FL/NC State over 57 -113 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-04-20 |
Buffalo v. Northern Illinois OVER 51.5 |
Top |
49-30 |
Win
|
100 |
47 h 7 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Buffalo/Northern Illinois over 51½ -106 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-31-20 |
Nevada v. UNLV OVER 58 |
Top |
37-19 |
Loss |
-115 |
121 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Nevada/UNLV over 58 -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-31-20 |
Georgia v. Kentucky UNDER 44.5 |
Top |
14-3 |
Win
|
100 |
110 h 53 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Georgia/Kentucky under 44½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-30-20 |
Hawaii v. Wyoming OVER 55.5 |
Top |
7-31 |
Loss |
-115 |
95 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Hawaii/Wyoming over 55½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-29-20 |
Colorado State v. Fresno State OVER 57.5 |
Top |
17-38 |
Loss |
-115 |
72 h 5 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Colorado State/Fresno State over 57½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-26-20 |
Bears v. Rams UNDER 46.5 |
Top |
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
175 h 16 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Bears/Rams under 46½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-24-20 |
Kentucky v. Missouri UNDER 49.5 |
Top |
10-20 |
Win
|
100 |
113 h 5 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Kentucky/Missouri under 49½ -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-23-20 |
Illinois v. Wisconsin OVER 50.5 |
Top |
7-45 |
Win
|
100 |
77 h 17 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Illinois/Wisconsin over 50½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-22-20 |
Giants v. Eagles UNDER 45.5 |
Top |
21-22 |
Win
|
100 |
82 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Giants/Eagles under 45½ -119 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-22-20 |
Arkansas State v. Appalachian State UNDER 66 |
Top |
17-45 |
Win
|
100 |
69 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Arkansas State/Appalachian State under 66 -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-19-20 |
Cardinals v. Cowboys OVER 54 |
Top |
38-10 |
Loss |
-105 |
178 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Cardinals/Cowboys over 54 -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-18-20 |
Ravens v. Eagles UNDER 46.5 |
Top |
30-28 |
Loss |
-109 |
126 h 6 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Ravens/Eagles under 46½ -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-17-20 |
Georgia v. Alabama UNDER 59.5 |
Top |
24-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
117 h 57 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Georgia/Alabama under 59½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-16-20 |
SMU v. Tulane UNDER 68 |
Top |
37-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
99 h 8 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on SMU/Tulane under 68 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-10-20 |
Virginia Tech v. North Carolina OVER 58 |
Top |
45-56 |
Win
|
100 |
109 h 29 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Virginia Tech/North Carolina over 58 -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-08-20 |
Bucs v. Bears UNDER 45.5 |
Top |
19-20 |
Win
|
100 |
93 h 53 m |
Show
|
5* Thursday Night Total of the Month on Bucs/Bears under 45½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-04-20 |
Cardinals v. Panthers OVER 51 |
Top |
21-31 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Cardinals/Panthers over 51 -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-05-20 |
SMU v. Texas State OVER 66 |
Top |
31-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
139 h 23 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on SMU/Texas State over 66 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
02-02-20 |
49ers v. Chiefs UNDER 54.5 |
Top |
20-31 |
Win
|
100 |
58 h 6 m |
Show
|
5* NFL - Super Bowl 54 (KC/SF) Total NO-BRAINER on 49ers/Chiefs under 54½ -105 I'm confident we see Super Bowl 54 finish UNDER the mark. This will be the 7th time since 2000 that we have seen a total north of 50 in the Super Bowl and the UNDER has cashed in 5 of the previous 6. The only game that went OVER was Super Bowl 51 when the Patriots made that ridiculous comeback from down 28-3 to force OT and win 34-28. Just look at last year, everyone was calling for a shootout between the Rams and Patriots. The total for the game was 58 and it ended up being 13-3. I just think the number here is too high. Sure the Chiefs have the best QB in the league and all these weapons on offense, but they are going up against a really good 49ers defense. Also, San Francisco is a run heavy team and are going to try and limit the possessions of KC by chewing up the clock. Another big thing here is the Chiefs defense. Kansas City has really made remarkable strides on the defensive side of the ball. Not just from last year, but from earlier this season. KC's run defense gets a really bad wrap, but in their last 6 games they are giving up just 89 yards/game. Everyone thought Derrick Henry was going to run all over them and they held him to 69 yards on 19 attempts. Lastly, you got to factor in the edge these two defenses have with the two weeks to prepare for this game. There's just not a lot at this point that's not on tape for either offense, so both defense are going to be well prepared. I'm not saying it will be like last year, but the number is too high. Take the UNDER!
|
01-13-20 |
Clemson v. LSU UNDER 68.5 |
Top |
25-42 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* NCAAF - National Championship NO LIMIT Top Play on Clemson/LSU under 68½ -110 I love the value here with the UNDER in the title game between Clemson and LSU. After watching LSU score at will against Oklahoma in the semifinal matchup, I think the perception here is that there's just no stopping Joe Burrow and that offensive attack. I'm not about to say Clemson is going to shutdown LSU's offense, but they are definitely going to offer a lot more resistance than Oklahoma, who keep in mind was not a great defensive team and missing some key guys on that side of the ball. It's no secret that LSU's offense is built around Burrow and the passing game, but that plays right into the strength of the Clemson defense, which was No. 1 in the country against the pass, giving up just 138.5 ypg. As for the LSU defense, it's been a lot better of late and they definitely got the talent on that side of the ball to keep Clemson's offense in check. I also think the long layoff from the semifinal games to this contest really benefits both defenses and there's simply not enough being made of the two mastermind defensive coordinators in this matchup with LSU's Dave Aranda and Clemson's Brent Venables. UNDER is 13-1 in Clemson's last 14 games played in a dome and 7-0 over the last 3 seasons when playing on 2 or more weeks of rest. UNDER is also 20-5 in LSU's last 25 after 3 or more consecutive covers and 16-5 under Orgeron after a game where they gained 6.75 or more yards/play. Take the UNDER!
|
01-05-20 |
Seahawks v. Eagles UNDER 46 |
Top |
17-9 |
Win
|
100 |
125 h 29 m |
Show
|
5* NFL - Seahawks/Eagles Wild Card VEGAS INSIDER on Seahawks/Eagles under 46 -110 I love the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's NFC Wild Card matchup between the Eagles and Seahawks. These two teams met up in Week 12 of the regular-season and the two combined for just 26 points in a 17-9 Seattle win at Philadelphia. It's hard to expect nearly double the offense in the rematch, especially with the problems both of these teams are facing offensively. Seattle's offensive line has been decimated with injuries and things got so bad at running back they had to bring back Marshawn Lynch. Eagles defense has played really well down the stretch and should continue that trend at home in this one. At the same time, Philadelphia's offense has been decimated with injuries and while Seattle's defense has struggled some down the stretch, they should be able to keep Wentz and the Eagles in check. UNDER is 15-5 in the Seahawks last 20 road games after a loss by 6 or less and 9-2 in their last 11 road games vs a NFC East team. UNDER is also 24-9 in Eagles last 33 home games and 7-0 in their last 7 at home off a division win. Take the UNDER!
|
01-01-20 |
Minnesota v. Auburn UNDER 52.5 |
Top |
31-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
511 h 43 m |
Show
|
5* NCAAF - Minn/Auburn OUTBACK BOWL Top Play on Minnesota/Auburn under 52½ -110 I really like the UNDER in the Outback bowl, which has No. 12 Auburn facing off with No. 18 Minnesota. While both offenses were decent, the strength of the both of these teams was their defense. Both units ranked in the Top 20 in total defense. Auburn was 19th, giving up just 323.9 ypg and Minnesota was 14th, allowing just 312.8 ypg. The other thing here is that both of these teams really like to run the football. Minnesota averaged 43 rush attempts per game compared to just 24 pass attempt and Auburn put it on the ground an average of 44 times compared to 31 through the air. All that running combined with the talent on defense is really going to make it tough for this game to eclipse the total. The clock is going to be running constantly and there just isn't going to be a ton of possessions for either side. UNDER has cashed in 11 of Auburn's last 14 non-conference games. It's also 24-11-1 in their last 36 vs a team with a winning record and 4-1-1 in their last 6 bowl games. UNDER is also 7-2 in Minnesota's last 9 vs a team with a winning record and 4-1 in their last 5 bowl games. Take the UNDER!
|
12-29-19 |
Saints v. Panthers UNDER 47 |
Top |
42-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
100 h 20 m |
Show
|
5* NFL - NFC South TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Saints/Panthers under 47 -110 I absolutely love the UNDER 47 in Sunday's NFC South matchup between the Panthers and Saints. Carolina turned over the offense to rookie Will Grier last week and it couldn't have much worse. The Panthers managed 6 points and 286 total yards, failing to find the endzone. Grier was a respectable 27 of 44 for 224 yards, but threw 3 interceptions and was sacked 5 times. It's hard to imagine it going any better against the Saints on Sunday. That means the only way this game goes over this total is if New Orleans pops off for 30+ points and I just don't see that happening. If the Saints get any kind of comfortable lead they are going to become very conventional and really try to grind this thing out. New Orleans still has a shot at the No. 1 or No. 2 seed. However, this game only matters if they win and the Packers lose at Detroit (GB 12.5-point favorite). They can also get the No. 2 seed if the Seahawks beat the 49ers, but they don't have to win to get it, as they would own the tie-breaker. If GB and SF win they are No. 3. You can bet they will be paying close attention that the Packers score and if Green Bay gets up big, I wouldn't be shocked at all if they pulled several of their key players. Either way they aren't going to be trying to run up the score. UNDER is also 11-2 in New Orleans' last 13 games vs a team with a losing record and 12-4 in their last 16 trips to Carolina. Take the UNDER!
|
12-28-19 |
Clemson v. Ohio State UNDER 64 |
Top |
29-23 |
Win
|
100 |
274 h 21 m |
Show
|
5* NCAAF - Clemson/Ohio St TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Clemson/Ohio State under 64 -110 I really like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's CFP Semifinal matchup between Ohio State and Clemson. There's going to be plenty of talk about the two high-powered offenses and what they were able to do this season, but I just think both are going to have a miserable time moving the ball on these two elite defenses, especially at the rate needed to eclipse a high total like this one. Ohio State's defense ranked 3rd in the country giving up just 12.5 ppg and were 2nd in total defense, allowing just 247.9 ypg. Clemson had the best scoring defense in the country, giving up only 10.6 ppg and were also 1st in total defense, allowing 244.7 ppg. Both defense ranked in the Top 10 against the run and the pass. UNDER is 6-0 in Clemson's last 6 games when they have two or more weeks to prepare and 4-0 in their last 4 semifinal games in the playoffs. UNDER is also 5-1 in the Buckeyes last 6 vs a team with a winning record and 4-1 in their last 5 bowl games. Take the UNDER!
|
12-23-19 |
Packers v. Vikings UNDER 46 |
Top |
23-10 |
Win
|
100 |
154 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* NFL - Packers/Vikings NFC North PLAY OF THE MONTH on Packers/Vikings under 46 -110 I absolutely love the value here with the UNDER in this one. These two teams already played once this season and combined for a mere 37 points. I have a really hard time seeing them eclipsing that mark by a full 10 points. Green Bay's offense hasn't been nearly as good as their scoring average. Packers are 13th in scoring at 23.6 ppg yet are 22nd in total offense and rank in the bottom half of the league in both passing and rushing. Hard to see them figuring it out against a Vikings defense that is one of the best in the league and one that is giving up just 14.2 ppg at home. As for Minnesota's offense, they are really short handed here with their top two running backs, Dalvin Cook and Alexander Mattison both doubtful to play. Note that in that first game against Green Bay they had 198 yards rushing. Green Bay's defense is also playing really well at the moment. Packers have held each of their last 3 opponents to 15 or less. UNDER is a perfect 7-0 in the Vikings last 7 division home games and 7-0 in the Packers last 7 overall against a team from the NFC North. UNDER is also 10-2 in Minnesota's last 12 after a game where they scored 30 or more and 8-3 in Green Bay's last 11 vs a team with a winning record. Take the UNDER!
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12-20-19 |
Buffalo v. Charlotte UNDER 58.5 |
Top |
31-9 |
Win
|
100 |
112 h 33 m |
Show
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5* NCAAF - Buffalo/Charlotte BAHAMAS BOWL Top Play on Buffalo/Charlotte under 58½ -110 Easy play here on the total in Friday's first bowl game of the season with Buffalo taking on Charlotte. Couple factors here that really has me loving this game staying UNDER the total. First off these are two teams that are run-first offenses. Buffalo finished the season ranked 9th in the country in rushing at 254.3 yards/game and Charlotte was 26th at 211.3 ypg. I full expect both teams to try to come out and establish the run. They might not have a choice. The other big factor here is the weather with the game in the Bahamas. Winds are expected to exceed 20 mph with gusts approaching 30 mph. Plus, the game is being played in a soccer stadium, which is built like your normal CFB stadiums, so the wind could be even more of a factor than you would expect. UNDER is also 28-6 (82%) since 1992 in games where you have two non-Power 5 teams with decent offensive teams (390 to 440 ypg) facing off in a non-conference game. Take the UNDER!
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12-09-19 |
Giants v. Eagles UNDER 45.5 |
Top |
17-23 |
Win
|
100 |
36 h 48 m |
Show
|
5* NFL - NFC EAST PLAY OF THE MONTH on Giants/Eagles under 45½ -109 I love the UNDER between the Eagles/Giants on Monday Night Football. I think a lot of people are going to look at this number and think it's way to low given how poorly New York's defense has played and the Eagles coming off a game where they gave up 37 points and over 400 yards of offense to the Dolphins. However, I don't see either team going off in this one. Eagles are perceived to be this great offense, but that just hasn't been the case in 2019. Giants are going to show up with one of their best efforts in this one, plus I think the conditions favor a low scoring game with rain expected throughout and winds approaching 15 mph. UNDER is 9-2 in the Eagles last 11 games after going OVER the total in their previous game, 13-4 in their last 17 at home with a total of 42.5 to 49 and 16-4 in their last 20 after scoring and allowing 30 points in their last game. Take the UNDER!
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11-24-19 |
Seahawks v. Eagles UNDER 47.5 |
Top |
17-9 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 9 m |
Show
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5* NFL - NFC Over/Under TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Seahawks/Eagles under 47½ -110 Absolutely love the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's big NFC matchup between Seattle and Philadelphia. I just think the total here is based too much on how these two defenses played early on and not how they are playing right now. Seattle's defense looked as good as they had all season in their last game at San Francisco and I would expect that to carry over here, especially coming off their bye. I also don't think the Eagles offense is anything special. Philly has scored 22 or fewer in 4 of their last 5, including just 10 at home last week against the Patriots. Philadelphia defense has finally got healthy and it's shown. The Eagles have held each of their last 3 opponents to 17 or fewer points. They held the Bills to just 243 total yards, then held the Bears to 164 before limiting Tom Brady and the Pats to just 298 last week. There's also a good chance for strong winds in this game, which should have both teams running it a little more than they normally would. That should eat up some clock and have this thing well below the number. UNDER is 20-8 in Seattle's last 28 after scoring 25 or more in 3 straight games and 7-0 in the Eagles last 7 at home vs a team that's giving up 5.65 or more yards/play. Take the UNDER!
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11-20-19 |
Akron v. Miami-OH UNDER 45 |
Top |
17-20 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
|
5* NCAAF - Weekday Over/Under TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Akron/Miami-OH under 45 -110 I love the value here with the UNDER 45 in Wednesday's MAC matchup between Miami (OH) and Akron. This has an ugly low-scoring affair written all over it. The Zips are one of the worst teams in college football and are as bad offensively as a team can be in today's game. Akron comes in averaging 10.6 ppg on the season and a mere 7.8 ppg in MAC play. Miami is only giving up 16.0 ppg at home and will be extra motivated to play with this being their final home game and senior night. The big concern here would be the RedHawks covering this total on their own, but with the MAC East already locked up, I think we could see Miami go a little more vanilla on offense, especially in the 2nd half. There biggest thing is to stay fresh and as healthy as possible over the final two regular-season games. UNDER is 24-11 in Miami's last 35 vs a bad team that's won fewer than 25% of their games and 14-4 in their last 18 vs horrible offensive teams that are averaging 17 or fewer points/game. Take the UNDER!
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11-11-19 |
Seahawks v. 49ers OVER 47 |
Top |
27-24 |
Win
|
100 |
66 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* NFL - Seahawks/49ers NFC West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Seahawks/49ers over 47 -109 I look for these two teams to easily combine for at least 50 points an cover the total set by the books. Everyone likes to talk about the 49ers defense and rightfully so, but SF is averaging an impressive 35.3 ppg. That offense will be without George Kittle tonight, but they are getting back left tackle Joe Staley and fullback Kyle Juszczyk. I look for San Francisco to run the ball at will here and that's going to open up the opportunities for some big passing plays. I think the 49ers will easily score 30+ points here against a Seattle defense that has allowed 28 or more in 4 of their last 5. That means all we need is for the Seahawks to score around 18-20 to have us safely over the mark. I'm pretty confident Russell Wilson and that group can give us that. OVER is 41-18 in the Seahawks last 59 vs strong defensive teams that are giving up 17 or less points/game and 6-0 in their last 6 vs strong rushing teams that average 4.5+ yards/carry. OVER has also cashed in 4 of San Fran's last 5 division games and 8 out of their last 11 vs a team with a winning record. Take the OVER!
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11-09-19 |
Utah State v. Fresno State UNDER 59 |
Top |
37-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 12 m |
Show
|
5* NCAAF - MWC Over/Under TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Utah State/Fresno State under 59 -110 I think we are getting big time value here with the UNDER. Fresno State comes in off 3 really high-scoring games, but those were all against horrible defensive teams in Hawaii, Colorado State and UNLV. They also gave up a ton of points in those games. Utah State has scored 14 or fewer in 3 of their last 4. I just don't see anyway these two get into the 60's. UNDER is 7-0 in Utah State's last 7 road games on Saturday. It's also 12-4 in Fresno State's last 16 as a favorite and 15-6 in their last 21 conference games. UNDER is 43-17 (72%) over the last 10 seasons when you have a strong offensive team (Fresno ST) that averages 390-44 yards/game facing a terrible defensive team (Utah St) that is giving up 440+ yards/game at least 7 games into the season and has allowed 475 or more yards in 3 straight games. Take the UNDER!
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10-13-19 |
Redskins v. Dolphins UNDER 42 |
Top |
17-16 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 0 m |
Show
|
5* NFL - Non-Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Redskins/Dolphins under 42 -104 I love the UNDER in Week 6's matchup between two of the worst teams in the league. You got the 0-5 Redskins facing off against the 0-4 Dolphins. While both of these defenses have given up a lot of points, these are two horrible offensive teams. Miami comes in averaging 6.5 ppg and 225 ypg. The Redskins aren't that much better at 14.6 ppg and 281 ypg. Key here is I think we get a big effort here defensively from both teams as both know this is going to be one of their rare opportunities for a win in 2019. I also think we get a big effort from the Dolphins coming off a bye and Washington should play harder than normal after watching their head coach get fired. UNDER is 31-16 in the Redskins last 47 games off a road loss by 10 or more and 8-1 in their last 9 when off a loss of 14 or more. UNDER is also a perfect 7-0 in the Dolphins last 7 off a loss by 14 or more. Take the UNDER!
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10-11-19 |
Virginia v. Miami-FL UNDER 43.5 |
Top |
9-17 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 4 m |
Show
|
5* NCAAF - WEEKNIGHT TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Virginia/Miami-FL under 43½ -110 I don't expect to see a whole lot of offense in this game. Don't be fooled by Miami's last game against Va Tech where they saw 82 combined points in a 42-35 upset win by the Hokies. Hurricanes had 5 turnovers in the first half and trailed 28-7. They had no choice but to turn it into a track meet. Manny Diaz was not happy with the defensive showing and he's taking more control of that side of the ball. Virginia's offense is not great. They want to beat you with ball control and strong defense. Last year's final between these two was 16-13 and that was with a total of 47. I also think this being a weekday prime time game at home will add some life to that Miami defense. Hurricanes offense should be better with Perry, but it's also limited. They don't have much of a running game, so it's not going to be easy against this stingy Cavaliers defense. I wouldn't be shocked at all if both teams failed to reach 20 points. UNDER is 20-9 in the Hurricanes last 29 overall, 14-5 in their last 19 vs a conference opponent and 15-2 in their last 17 after playing their previous game against a conference opponent. Take the UNDER!
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09-30-19 |
Bengals v. Steelers OVER 43.5 |
Top |
3-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
108 h 50 m |
Show
|
5* NFL - Monday Night Football TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Bengals/Steelers over 43½ -110 Big time value here with the OVER at this price. While there's some big names missing on the offensive side of the ball for both teams, there's more than enough talent to score on the two defenses that will be playing. Steelers are giving up 28.3 ppg and have struggled against both the run and the pass. Teams are averaging 139 ypg on the ground and 303 through the air with 8.7 yards/completion. Bengals are allowing 27.7 ppg. They are giving up 169 rushing yards/game and while they are only giving up 238 ypg thru the air, they too are allowing 8.7 yards/completion. Teams are averaging 6.4 yards/play against the Steelers and 6.6 yards/play against the Bengals. OVER is 12-4 in the Steelers last 16 home games and 7-2-1 in the Bengals last 10 vs a division opponent. Take the OVER!
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12-15-18 |
Arizona State v. Fresno State UNDER 54.5 |
Top |
20-31 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 51 m |
Show
|
5* NCAAF Opening Week BOWL TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Arizona State UNDER The books have complete missed the mark on this total. I think we are getting over a touchdown in value with the UNDER in this one. This Fresno State defense is the real deal. The Bulldogs ranked 17th in the country in total defense. They were great against both the run (27th) and the pass (30th). With Arizona State's star wide out N'Keal Harry sitting out this game to prepare for the NFL Draft, that only makes it that much easier on the Fresno State defense. Harry was a massive part of this offense. He had 73 catches for 1,088 yards and 9 scores. Only one other player on the team has more than 35 catches and that's Kyle Williams with 40 and he's also next best in receiving yards at 432. Without Harry even on the field, that lets the Bulldogs focus their defense even more on the run. I'm not expecting them to shutdown the Sun Devils rushing attack, but I think they can slow it down, which is going to lead to long possessions and less scoring chances for both sides. I also don't see much coming out of Fresno State's offense. They really struggled to score against the better defenses they faced. They only 14 points against a pretty bad Minnesota team in non-conference, so I'm pretty confident Arizona State can slow them down. I think both teams struggle to top 24 points. Take the UNDER!
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10-27-18 |
Arizona State v. USC UNDER 54.5 |
Top |
38-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
40 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* NCAAF Pac-12 TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Arizona State/USC UNDER The books have completely missed the mark with the total they have set for Saturday's Pac-12 showdown between USC and Arizona State. This thing has a low-scoring defensive battle written all over it. Arizona State comes in averaging 27.4 ppg, but that's a misleading number, as they scored 49 against a bad UTSA team at home and 52 against Oregon State. Those are the only two games all season in which they have scored more than 21 points. USC's defense isn't as dominant as it has been in the past, but it should have no problem keeping the Sun Devils in check, especially at home. They key here is the Trojans offense also figures to be limited. Starting quarterback J.T. Daniels is now doubtful to play, as he hasn't cleared the concussion protocol. Backup, Matt Fink is also not available with a rib injury. Red-shirt freshman, Jack Sears, will start if Daniels can't go and he's not attempted a single pass at the collegiate level. USC will be a lot more simple with their offensive attack and try to keep Sears from having to do too much in his first start, which likely means a lot of running the football. UNDER is 7-0 in USC's last 7 after a game where they had 275 or fewer total yards and 21-7-1 in their last 29 home games vs a team with a losing road record. UNDER is also 4-1 in Arizona State's last 5 conference games and 4-0 in their last 4 vs a team with a winning record. Take the UNDER!
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10-14-18 |
Chiefs v. Patriots OVER 59 |
Top |
40-43 |
Win
|
100 |
140 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* Sunday Night Football TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Pats/Chiefs OVER You don't see a ton of NFL totals approaching 60 points, but I got no problem here backing the OVER when the Chiefs visit the Patriots on Sunday Night Football. I honestly don't know that the books can set the total high enough for the offense fireworks that will be on display. While there's a few out there that aren't completely sold on Mahomes, this kid is the real deal. He had his worst game of the season last week against the Jaguars, failing to throw a single TD pass and throwing his first two interceptions of the season. He still threw for 313 yards and rushed for a score in the Chiefs convincing win over Jacksonville. Not a bad day against arguably the best defense in the NFL. Andy Reid's offenses have given the Patriots troubles in recent meetings with Alex Smith under center. I just don't think New England has the talent to contain Mahomes and all those weapons on the offensive side of the ball. Belichick loves to take away a teams strength or top playmaker, but that's hard to do with this Chiefs team, as they got top not skill players all over the field and Mahomes is not shy about spreading the ball around. He's thrown 14 touchdown passes to 9 different receivers. As for the Patriots offense, they are going to have try and keep pace and they should be able to do just that against a bad KC defense. While the Chiefs held the Jaguars to 14 points, they gave up over 500 yards of offense. They simply took advantage of a poor game by Jacksonville stater Blake Bortles. Brady isn't going to make those same mistakes. I think both teams will score at least 30 points, which would be more than enough to cash a winning ticket here. OVER is also 73-37 (66%) since 1983 when you have an undefeated road team off a home win by 10 or more. Take the OVER!
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09-30-18 |
Ravens v. Steelers UNDER 51 |
Top |
26-14 |
Win
|
100 |
96 h 41 m |
Show
|
5* NFL Sunday Night TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Steelers UNDER The fact that the OVER is a perfect 3-0 in the Steelers first 3 games and the Ravens are looking strong offensively to start, has this total for Sunday Night Football set way to high. I think both teams will struggle to come anywhere close to putting up the kind of numbers here to push this over the mark. The biggest thing that gets overlooked is just how much harder it is offensively against a division opponent, as these teams play each other twice a year and are very familiar with the schemes the opponent likes to run. Baltimores defense has been great outside of the Thursday night game against the Bengals and I believe that poor showing was a direct result of playing on just 3 days of rest. The Ravens definitely matchup well with Pittsburgh and their high-powered passing attack, as Baltimore ranks 2nd in the NFL against the pass, giving up just 169.3 ypg. The Steelers defense hasn't been the same since losing Ryan Shazier at the end of last season, but they were sharp last week against the Bucs. While they allowed 27 points for the game, Tampa Bay had just 10 points at the half and the Steelers defense forced 4 turnovers. Baltimore's offense also isn't as good as the numbers would suggest, as they have benefited greatly from playing the likes of the Bills, Bengals and Broncos. UNDER is 13-3 in the Steelers last 12 vs a team that's averaging 29 or more points/game and 12-4 in their last 16 after a game where they allowed 250 or more yards passing. We also find a great system in play, as the UNDER is 75-35 (68%) when you have a total of 49.5 or more with a team (Ravens) off a home win and playing a division game. Take the UNDER!
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09-01-18 |
Louisville v. Alabama OVER 55.5 |
Top |
14-51 |
Win
|
100 |
419 h 47 m |
Show
|
5* NCAAF Non-Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Louisville/Alabama OVER I don't see anyway the final score between Alabama and Louisville stays UNDER 65 points. Other sharps couldn't agree more, as this total has grown quite a bit from the original number. Over the last 5 years, the Crimson Tide's lowest scoring average for a season is 35.1 ppg, which is pretty impressive given they have been primarily a running team. Last year they averaged 37.1 ppg and averaged 251 ypg on the ground and just 193 ypg through the air. Alabama is still going to run all over people, especially with the talent they have coming back at running back and how stacked they are on the offensive line. They are also going to exploit teams through the air behind sophomore quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. I know it's up in the air whether Tua or Jalen Hurts will start, but I expect Tagovailoa to get most of the reps. Not to mention the Crimson Tide will be going up against a Louisville defense that returns just 4 starters from a unit that wasn't very good in 2017. Scoring on Alabama is never an easy task, as they routinely have one of the best defenses in the country. They will be strong again on that side of the ball, but they do only have 3 starters back. I also think Louisville's offense isn't getting near the respect they deserve because of the fact that they lost Lamar Jackson. The Cardinals have some legit playmakers at receiver and sophomore Juwan Pass is extremely talented (No. 7 recruit at his position coming out of high school). I see this being a shootout and that's been the case in recent years for Alabama in these neutral site games. The OVER is 21-8 in the Crimson Tide's last 29 games played on a neutral field. Take the OVER!
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08-25-18 |
Hawaii v. Colorado State OVER 55 |
Top |
43-34 |
Win
|
100 |
81 h 20 m |
Show
|
5* NCAAF Mountain West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Hawaii/Colorado State OVER These two teams combined for 72 points in Colorado State's 51-21 win at Hawaii last year and have now gone OVER the total in each of their last 4 meetings. I know both teams don't have a lot coming back on the offensive side of the ball, but keep in mind the total last year was 66, so that's been taken into account with this number. While Colorado State has to replace starting quarterback Nick Stevens, as well as their to p rusher and 4 of their top 5 receivers, the Rams have averaged at least 30 ppg in each of the first 3 years under head coach Mike Bobo. The loss of Stevens was also eased by the addition of Washington grad transfer KJ Carta-Samuels. Hawaii's offense would have been in good shape had Dru Brown not unexpectedly transferred to Oklahoma State, but I don't think it's going to be a massive drop off without him. The unit really can't be much worse than the one that only averaged 22.8 ppg last year. The other big key here is that while both offenses are working in new faces, neither of these teams have a lot coming back on the defensive side of the ball. Both stop units only have 5 starters back Colorado State is also working in a new defensive coordinator, so I definitely don't expect them to be sharp. All we need is for these two teams to average 2 touchdowns a quarter to secure a win and I think they have no problem doing that. Take the OVER!
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01-21-18 |
Vikings v. Eagles OVER 38.5 |
Top |
7-38 |
Win
|
100 |
96 h 29 m |
Show
|
5* NFL Playoffs TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Vikings OVER I love the value here with the total in Sunday's NFC Championship Game between the Vikings and Eagles. I know these are two teams are built around their defenses, but it's not asking a lot to hit 40 points with the talent these two have on the offensive side of the ball. Minnesota's offense is better than it gets credit for. The Vikings have score 23 or more points in 4 of their last 5 games. They put up 29 last week against a solid Saints defense and I expect them to be around that 23-27 mark in this one. The Eagles come in averaging 27.8 ppg, but haven't been quite as potent with Nick Foles under center. They put up just 15 on the Falcons last week, but did have some success moving the ball. They just had to settle for a couple field goals and had two costly turnovers. Minnesota's defense is very good, but it's not as dominant on the road. All we need is to average 10-points a quarter to clear this mark and I think we get that and some more. OVER is 15-4 in the Vikings last 19 road games off a home win where they failed to cover as a favorite and 7-0 in the Eagles last 7 games after posting a turnover margin of -1 or worse in two straight games. Take the OVER!
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12-23-17 |
Appalachian State v. Toledo UNDER 62 |
Top |
34-0 |
Win
|
100 |
81 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* NCAAF Bowl TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Toledo UNDER I think we have an inflated total here in the Dollar General Bowl. The public is going to see two teams that have put up some big numbers offensively behind two talented senior quarterbacks in Toledo's Logan Woodside and Appalachian State's Tyler Lamb. No question these two signal callers are talented, but I don't think the defenses are getting near enough respect here. The Mountaineers only gave up 21.9 ppg and showed well in non-conference play against two quality opponents. They limited Georgia to just 31 and 368 total yards on the road and Wake Forest to just 20 points and 344 total yards. Toledo allowed 24 or fewer points in 8 of their 13 games and I think they are more than capable of slowing down Appalachian State. While the Mountaineers put up big numbers in Sun Belt play, they only scored 10-points in that game against Georgia and 19 against the Demon Deacons. Another key factor here is that these two teams are going to be extremely familiar with one another, as they actually played against each other last bowl season. A game that only featured 59 points and that was with a 28-point outburst by the two teams in the 3rd quarter. Note that 7 of those 59 points came on a kickoff return for a TD. I just think given the familiarity here there's a good chance we see an even lower-scoring affair this time around. Take the UNDER!
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