02-09-13 |
Loyola Marymount +24.5 v. Gonzaga |
|
55-74 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 12 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Loyola Marymount +24.5 Bottom Line: Gonzaga is being overvalued after rolling Pepperdine. It crushed Loyola in the season's first meeting and won't give the Lions its full attention as a result. The Bulldogs will be much more concerned with their next game - Saint Mary's. The Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 20 points.
|
02-09-13 |
LSU v. Alabama -7 |
|
57-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 11 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Alabama -7 Bottom Line: The favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Tigers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings at Alabama.
|
02-09-13 |
St. Louis v. Richmond +4 |
|
56-46 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Richmond +4 Bottom Line: The home team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the underdog is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Richmond, which is 12-1 at home this season, is a live home dog here.
|
02-09-13 |
South Florida +9 v. Villanova |
|
40-68 |
Loss |
-106 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
|
4* Major on South Florida +9 Bottom Line: The Bulls are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss of more than 20 points while the Wildcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of more than 20 points.
|
02-09-13 |
DePaul +15 v. Marquette |
|
78-89 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
4* Major on DePaul +15 Bottom Line: The Blue Demons are being undervalued here because they were smoked by Villanova last game. DePaul is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.
|
02-09-13 |
Arkansas v. Vanderbilt +1.5 |
|
49-67 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 59 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Vanderbilt +1.5 Bottom Line: Arkansas suffers a letdown here following its big win over Florida. The Hogs are 5-17 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons and 0-7 ATS in road games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
|
02-09-13 |
Mississippi v. Missouri -6.5 |
Top |
79-98 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 14 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Year on Missouri -6.5 Bottom Line: Fading underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving 2 very good teams that outscore their opponents by 8 points or more per game, with the condition that the "fade" side has given up 75 points or more in 3 straight games, has produced a 36-9 ATS mark since 1997. Teams fitting into this situation have been underdogs of 6.2 points on average and have lost by an average of 12.6 points. This system is a perfect 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. Look for the Tigers to roll at home where they are 13-0 this season.
|
02-09-13 |
Georgetown v. Rutgers +6 |
|
69-63 |
Push |
0 |
4 h 14 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Rutgers +6 Bottom Line: Rutgers will respond at home, where it is 8-4 this season, after getting mopped up by Louisville. The Scarlet Knights are 44-26 ATS after a loss by 15 points or more since 1997 and have lost by only 1.8 points on average in these games.
|
02-09-13 |
Florida State v. Wake Forest +2.5 |
|
46-71 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 14 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Wake Forest +2.5 Bottom Line: The Demon Deacons have been tough as nails at home where they are on a 6-0 ATS run.
|
02-08-13 |
Utah State v. San Jose St +7 |
|
63-36 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 55 m |
Show
|
4* Major on San Jose State +7 Bottom Line: The Aggies come in overvalued following back-to-back upset wins on the road. They are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 20 points. They won the season's first meeting by only 6 points and will be without two key players that combined for 35 points in that game. The Spartans will leave it all out on the floor to end their 7-game skid and should cover the number in the process.
|
02-08-13 |
Siena +13.5 v. Loyola Md |
|
51-63 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Siena +13.5 Bottom Line: The Loyola-Maryland Greyhounds are being overvalued at home as they so often are against losing teams. In fact, they are just 18-42-1 ATS in their last 61 home games versus teams that have a road winning percentage of less than .400. They are also on a 26-46 ATS skid as a home favorite or pickem. The road team is an awesome 17-3-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings.
|
02-07-13 |
Washington State +4.5 v. USC |
|
68-72 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 52 m |
Show
|
4* Major Pac-12 Bailout on Washington State +4.5 Bottom Line: USC can't be trusted laying this many points at home. Each of its last 3 home wins have come by 2 points or less. Also, the Trojans are 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pickem over the last 2 seasons.
|
02-07-13 |
Saint Marys CA v. Santa Clara +3 |
|
84-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Santa Clara +3 Bottom Line: Santa Clara has consistently played Saint Mary's tougher than expected. As a result, the Gaels are just 3-9-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings and 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings at Santa Clara.
|
02-07-13 |
Detroit v. Wisconsin-Milwaukee +14 |
|
82-74 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Wisconsin-Milwaukee +14 Bottom Line: The Panthers are on a 39-20 ATS run when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent that held them to less than 60 points. They have lost by just 3.4 points on average in these spots.
|
02-07-13 |
SIU Edwardsville v. SE Missouri State -6.5 |
|
67-76 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
4* Major on SE Missouri State -6.5 Bottom Line: SIU Edwardsville can't be trusted on the road, especially tonight as it goes up against a team that will be hungry to avenge a 3-point loss in the season's first meeting. The Cougars are 1-8 on the road with 6 of these losses coming by 9 points or more. SEMS won last season's home meeting by 17.
|
02-07-13 |
South Dakota St v. IUPU Ft Wayne +8 |
|
80-74 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
4* Major on IUPU Fort Wayne +8 Bottom Line: Fading February road favorites or pickems that check in riding a winning streak of at least 6 games has produced a 100-56 ATS record the last 5 seasons.
|
02-07-13 |
Indiana v. Illinois +8 |
Top |
72-74 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Big Ten *PUNISHER* (ESPN) on Illinois +8 Bottom Line: The Fighting Illini shouldn't be counted out tonight. After all, they have won or lost by 6 points or less in each of their last 12 home games versus Indiana. This is a 12-0 trend I'm not hesitating to get behind.
|
02-06-13 |
Memphis v. Southern Methodist +9 |
|
60-52 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 50 m |
Show
|
4* Major on SMU +9 Bottom Line: The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Memphis Tigers are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings and 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings at Southern Methodist.
|
02-06-13 |
Marshall v. Tulane -4.5 |
|
75-91 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Tulane -4.5 Bottom Line: The Thundering Herd are 4-14-1 ATS in their last 19 games overall, 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games and 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
|
02-06-13 |
St. Louis v. Fordham +15 |
Top |
90-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Atlantic 10 Game of the Year on Fordham +15 Bottom Line: Off back-to-back blowout wins at home against Butler and Dayton, expect Saint Louis to suffer a letdown on the road against a team that has been undervalued all season. The Rams are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games. Pound Fordham!
|
02-06-13 |
NORTHEASTERN v. HOFSTRA +7.5 |
|
62-57 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Hofstra +7.5 Bottom Line: The Northeastern Huskies are a soft 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. Also, the underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
|
02-06-13 |
Baylor +7.5 v. Oklahoma State |
|
67-69 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* Major Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Baylor +7.5 Bottom Line: The Cowboys will suffer a letdown following a big upset win over Kansas in their last game. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win and 7-16-1 ATS in their last 24 games following an ATS win.
|
02-06-13 |
Georgia State v. North Carolina-Wilmington +5 |
|
72-76 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
4* Major on UNC Wilmington +5 Bottom Line: The Georgia State Panthers are a soft 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games versus a team that has a winning home record while the Seahawks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games versus a team that has a losing road record.
|
02-06-13 |
St. Josephs v. Dayton -4.5 |
|
54-60 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Dayton -4.5 Bottom Line: Dayton bounces back strong at home following an embarrassing defeat at Saint Louis in its last game. The home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
|
02-05-13 |
Florida State +2.5 v. Georgia Tech |
|
56-54 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 40 m |
Show
|
4* Major ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Florida State +2.5 Bottom Line: I'm expecting a bounce-back performance from FSU after it was embarrassed by Duke in its last game. Teams coached by Leonard Hamilton pride themselves on defense so you know it's not setting well that they gave up a season-high 60.8% shooting to Duke last game. FSU is 9-2 ATS lifetime under Hamilton following a game in which it allowed its opponent to shoot 55% or higher. It has won by an average of 3.4 points in these contests.
|
02-05-13 |
Kansas State v. Texas Tech +11.5 |
Top |
68-59 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 42 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Big 12 Game of the Month on Texas Tech +11.5 Bottom Line: The Wildcats are a soft 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 road games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings at Texas Tech. Also, the home team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Wildcats enter off an upset win at Oklahoma but favorites of 10 to 19.5 points off a close road win by 3 points or less, as long as they have a winning record and are playing a losing team, are 63-33 ATS the last 5 seasons. Pound the Red Raiders.
|
02-05-13 |
Central Michigan +19 v. Akron |
|
56-68 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Central Michigan +19 Bottom Line: Fading favorites of 10 points or more after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a top-level team (win rate of 80% or higher) playing a team with a losing record, are 78-42 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been favored by 18.3 points on average but have won by only 16.1 on average.
|
02-04-13 |
San Diego v. Loyola Marymount |
|
69-68 |
Loss |
-109 |
12 h 12 m |
Show
|
4* Major CBB *BAILOUT* on Loyola Marymount pk Bottom Line: Look for San Diego to suffer a letdown as I don't believe it will be over Saturday's narrow loss at Gonzaga. Loyola hasn't played since Thursday and should benefit from the extra rest and preparation time. Plays on home underdogs or pickems that are out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent, provided that opponent checks in off a home loss of 3 points or less, are 58-25 ATS the last 5 seasons.
|
02-04-13 |
Seton Hall +16.5 v. Pittsburgh |
|
46-56 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 12 m |
Show
|
4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* (ESPNU) on Seton Hall +16.5 Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Pitt following Saturday's big win over Syracuse. Plays against February home favorites of 10 or more points that are playing with one day of rest or less are 108-60 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams are winning by only 12.3 points on average.
|
02-04-13 |
Oklahoma +5.5 v. Iowa State |
|
64-83 |
Loss |
-107 |
9 h 13 m |
Show
|
4* Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* (ESPNU) on Oklahoma +5.5 Bottom Line: Oklahoma is greatly improved this season and it will be out for revenge here after dropping both of last year's matchups with the Cyclones. The underdog is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
|
02-04-13 |
North Carolina-Wilmington +8 v. Towson |
|
68-81 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 13 m |
Show
|
4* Major on UNC Wilmington +8 Bottom Line: The points should be very valuable in this one considering how close this series has been. The underdog is 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings, and I expect this trend to continue.
|
02-04-13 |
George Mason v. Old Dominion +7 |
|
85-74 |
Loss |
-106 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Old Dominion +7 Bottom Line: Old Dominion was kicked in its last game and kicked in the season's first meeting with George Mason but plays on home teams off a road loss of 20 or more that are out to avenge a loss to an opponent that held them to less than 50 points are 93-50 ATS since 1997. Teams fitting into this situation have lost by just 2.7 points on average.
|
02-04-13 |
Notre Dame v. Syracuse -8 |
Top |
47-63 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Big East Game of the Year (ESPN) on Syracuse -8 Bottom Line: Following consecutive defeats on the road, the Orange will leave it all on the floor at home tonight and the result will be a double-digit victory. Syracuse has won by 12 and 19 points in its last 2 home meetings with Notre Dame, and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Also, the Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team that has a winning record. Pound Syracuse!
|
02-02-13 |
Gonzaga v. San Diego +15 |
|
65-63 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 44 m |
Show
|
4* Major on San Diego +15 Bottom Line: The Zags are being overvalued following 3 straight lopsided victories. They are on a 2-9 ATS skid in road games following 2 straight wins of 10 points or more. They have won these games on average but only by 3.8 points.
|
02-02-13 |
Hawaii v. Cal St-Fullerton -6.5 |
Top |
77-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 44 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy CBB *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Cal State Fullerton -6.5 Bottom Line: Oddsmakers are looking to trap the public here. Hawaii has won back-to-back road games and Fullerton has lost its last 3 at home and yet it is laying 6.5 points? The books are expecting a breakout game from the Titans and I couldn't agree more. They have covered the number in five of their last six games versus teams that have a winning record. Hawaii, on the other hand, have dropped five of its last six ATS versus teams that have a winning mark.
|
02-02-13 |
Michigan v. Indiana -4 |
|
73-81 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 33 m |
Show
|
4* Major Big Ten *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Indiana -4 Bottom Line: Indiana has the edge at home where it has won 3 straight and 12 of 13 against Michigan. The Indiana defense has been phenomenal at home where it is holding opponents to 58.6 points and 36.6% shooting. Michigan is giving up 63.5 points on 42.5% shooting on the road. Indiana will play superior defense tonight and will be more balanced offensively. Look for Zeller to have a big game. We also can't ignore the fact that Indiana makes more free throws on average (20) than Michigan attempts (17). The Wolverines are 5-13 ATS in the last 18 meetings and 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Indiana.
|
02-02-13 |
Ohio State v. Nebraska +12.5 |
|
63-56 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 45 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Nebraska +12.5 Bottom Line: This is a sandwich game for Ohio State which is coming off a nice win over Wisconsin and has a date with Michigan on deck. The Buckeyes have had their way with Nebraska so the Huskers won't get their full attention. This gives us an excellent opportunity to cover the number with the dog here.
|
02-02-13 |
Mississippi +17.5 v. Florida |
|
64-78 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
4* Major SEC *BLOOD BATH* (ESPNU) on Mississippi +17.5 Bottom Line: Florida finally gets a game tonight. Ole Miss played the Gators to a 4-point game last season and 4 of the last 5 meetings been decided by 6 points or less. The Rebs are on an 11-1 ATS run as a road underdog of 10 or more points.
|
02-02-13 |
LSU v. Mississippi State +4 |
|
69-68 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 16 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Mississippi State +4 Bottom Line: LSU falls flat following a big win over a ranked Missouri squad. The underdog is on a 4-0-1 ATS run in this series.
|
02-02-13 |
Wichita State v. Northern Iowa +1.5 |
Top |
52-57 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 42 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MVC Game of the Year on Northern Iowa +1.5 Bottom Line: The Panthers were embarrassed at Wichita State in the season's first meeting, but I expect them to have their revenge at home in a big way. Northern Iowa is 11-2 ATS under coach Jacobson when out for revenge for a loss to a foe that held it to less than 50 points. The Panthers have won by an average of 7.5 points in these games.
|
02-02-13 |
Colorado v. Utah +5.5 |
|
55-58 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 15 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Utah +5.5 Bottom Line: Utah has been undervalued versus quality competition and that remains the case here. The Utes are 8-2 ATS versus good teams that outscore their opponents by 4+ points/game this season.
|
02-02-13 |
Central Florida v. Marshall |
|
71-75 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Marshall pk Bottom Line: Marshall bounces back strong following Wednesday's upset loss to SMU. The Thundering Herd are 6-0 ATS off an upset loss over the last 3 seasons.
|
02-02-13 |
Dayton +6.5 v. St. Louis |
Top |
52-81 |
Loss |
-106 |
5 h 46 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Atlantic-10 *PUNISHER* on Dayton +6.5 Bottom Line: Letdown city for Saint Louis here following its huge win over 9th ranked Butler. Plus, the underdog is 18-3 ATS in the last 21 meetings.
|
01-31-13 |
Butler v. St. Louis -2.5 |
Top |
58-75 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Atlantic-10 Game of the Month on Saint Louis -2.5 Bottom Line: Butler dropped its last road game, and I believe it goes down again here against a very good Saint Louis squad that has consistently risen to the occasion against top-level competition the last couple years. The Billikens are 10-2 ATS the last 2 seasons versus very good teams that outscore the opposition by 8.0 points or more per game. They have won these games by an average of 8.0 points. Pound St. Louis!
|
01-30-13 |
Miami (Fla) v. Virginia Tech +10 |
|
73-64 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 40 m |
Show
|
4* Major ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Virginia Tech +10 Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Miami tonight as it hits the road following back-to-back blowout wins over Duke and FSU. The Hokies are a more than respectable 8-3 at home and I believe they have what it takes to give the Hurricanes a scare.
|
01-30-13 |
Duke v. Wake Forest +13.5 |
|
75-70 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* Major ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Wake Forest +13.5 Bottom Line: The Blue Devils are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. ACC foes and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win. The Demon Deacons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. Also, the home team is 17-6 ATS in the last 23 meetings.
|
01-30-13 |
Massachusetts +9 v. La Salle |
|
61-60 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
|
4* Major Atlantic-10 *BLOOD BATH* on Massachusetts +9 Bottom Line: Off consecutive huge wins over Butler and VCU, LaSalle will be in for a letdown against UMass. The Minutemen haven't forgot about the 1-point loss they suffered to the Explorers in the most recent meeting, and that defeat will be the driving force behind a solid effort tonight. The Minutemen are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning percentage greater than 60%.
|
01-30-13 |
Northwestern +17 v. Michigan |
Top |
46-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Big Ten *PUNISHER* on Northwestern +17 Bottom Line: Expect Michigan to get caught looking past a Northwestern team it defeated by 28 earlier this month with a big showdown at Indiana on deck. As if getting pummeled by 28 isn't enough motivation, the Wildcats are coming off a bad loss at Nebraska. Count on the Cats, who are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record, to play inspired basketball tonight and for them to keep this one closer than the oddsmakers think.
|
01-30-13 |
Villanova v. Notre Dame -7.5 |
|
60-65 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 41 m |
Show
|
4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* on Notre Dame -7.5 Bottom Line: I believe Villanova is in for a letdown tonight following consecutive huge wins over Louisville and Syracuse. Nova has failed to cover the number in 7 of its last 9 road games versus teams that carry a winning percentage of 60% or higher at home.
|