The NHL Totals play is on the OVER in the Anaheim at Las Vegas game. Rotation numbers 71/72 at 10:05 eastern. Expect a higher scoring game here tonight as we have seen the last 4 games hit 7+ goals. Neither team is particularly great on defense. Anaheim which has not played since March was ranked 25th on defense. Both teams have plenty of scoring  and we note that the Ducks have played over the last 4 on the road prior to the bubble and 22 of 29 vs Pacific teams. Look for these two to play fast and over the total.

At 7:35 eastern the Stanley Cup Game 1 Finals Play is on the OVER in the Dallas vs Tampa Bay game. Simulation model shows game 1 playing over the total and in the series 15 of 20 have flown over with the last 8 when Tampa is desingnated home team. Tampa plays fast but is not as good a defensive team as Vegas was so Dallas will get and give up scoring chances much like their series with Colorado. Look for this game to go over.

The bonus NBA Eastern Conference finals game 3 play is on Miami plus the points at 8:30 eastern. Conference favorites of 4 or less with 1 day of rest off a conference favored spread loss by 7 or more with 15+ turnovers are 0-4 if they scored 100 or more and the opponent covered by 7 or more as a conference dog like Miami. . The Heat came back from 17 down and may have buried Boston in the process. Take the 3 points with Miami

At 8:10 eastern the NHL power Play is on the OVER in the NYI vs Tampa Bay game. The simualtion model has this one going over the total at a high rate and the Angles also suggest an over here as Tampa is 4 of 5 on Friday and 2 of 2 after scoring 2 or less. NY is 3 of 3 over after scoring 2 or less and 6 of 8 as a dog. NY has also gone over 6 of 7 on Fridays and 5 of 7 vs .600 or better opponents. In games vs a team that scored 2 or less NY has gone over the last 2. Look for this game to push over the total.

The NHL Playoff total is on the Over in the Dallas vs Colorado game at 6>00 eastern. This has been one of the wilder and higher scoring series we have seen as both teams are going back and forth with top scoring chances. The last 3 games have seen 24 goals scored all 3 going over. Dallas has gone over in 9 of last 11 in Semi finals. Colorado has gone over the last 4 vs a winning team and 6 of 6 when favored. LooK For this game to go over.

The NHL Totals Play is on the OVER in the Vancouver vs Vegas game. Rotation numbers 85/86 at 10:30 eastern. The Simulation Model is showing between 6 and 7 here and looking at the series the last 3 have flown over and 8 or more goals in each game. Vegas has gone over 6 of 6 with three or more days rest and 5 of 6 vs a team that scored 5 or more. The Canucks off  a big dog win for us on Friday are 6 of 8 over vs winning teams, 5 of 7 over as a dog, 4 of 5 off a win and the last 4 vs a team that allowed 2 or less last out. Look for Game 1 to be a very entertaining game.

The NHL Totals Play is on the over in the Columbus vs Tampa Game. Rotation numbers 39-40 at 7:35 eastern. Look for an open fast pace in game 3 as the series goes on and the longer game 1 starts to take effect more mistakes and turnovers will lead to more scoring chances. The simulation model has this game going over. Look for the game to sail over 5 goals.

NHL EARLY Totals Play on the UNDER in the Colorado vs Arizona game at 2:00 eastern

The NHL Totals Play is on the under in the Arizona vs Colorado game. Rotation numbers 11/12 at 5:30 eastern. The simulation models show this game lower scoring and playing under the 5.5 goal total. This year all 3 have played under all games showing 5 or less tallies. Arizona has gone under 17 of 23 on Hump day and the last 4 conference Quaterfinal games. Colorado is 8 of 9 under on Hump days, 5 of 7 with 3 or more days rest and 6 of 7 under in conference Quatrer finals. Look for this game to stay under.

The EARLY NHL TOTAL OVER 5.5 Philly vs Tampa Bay at 1:00 eastern. These two have gone over in 6 of 7 and our high end simulation model is showing clear cut over in this one. Move on the over 5.5

The NHL Totals play is on the UNDER in the Columbus vs Toronto game. Rotation numbers 23/24 at 8:05 eastern.  Our simulation model shows a clear cut under and these two have played tight games with a4-1 under clip. The leafs are 5 of 5 under overall. Columbus has gone under 20 of 28 as a dog, 9 of 12 vs Atlantic Division teams and the last 5 overall. We will stick with the big simulation model here and call this one under.

The NHL Totals Play is on the over in the Minnesota vs Vancouver game. Rotation numbers 13/14 at 10:30 eastern. Both teams play fast paced and will have a plethora of scoring chances. In their last 7 games 6 have had more than 5 goals scored. Look for this game to play over tonight.

At 3:00 eastern the NHL Power totals play is on the Under in the Philadelphia vs Boston game. Simply put these 2 play hard lower scoring games here with the last 5 going under  with all 5 producing 5 or less goals. Boston wont have their way with a Philly team that has beaten them in 4 of the last 5. The Flyers have stayed under 8 of 11 on Sundays and 5 of 7 vs Atlantic Division teams. The Bruins are 5 of 6 under on Sundays and 5 of 6 vs Metropolitan teams. Look for this game to go under

The NHL Back from the break Totals Play is on the under in the Florida at NY Islanders game. Rotation numbers 5/6 at 4:00 Eastern The last 8 here have stayed under and in the series overall the last 4 have played under. The Panthers are 5 of 6 under as a dog and 8 of 10 under vs Metro conference teams as well as 16 of 21 on Saturdays. Look for a lower scoring game. Play the Under.

The NHL Totals Play is on the Under 6 goals in the LAK at Winnipeg game. Rotation numbers 63/64 at 8:05 eastern. These two have gone under in 6 straight with all games netting 5 or less goals. The Jets have stayed under in 14 of 19 as a home favorite, 18 of 24 vs pacific teams, 18 of 26 vs losing teams and all 4 on Tuesdays. The Kings are 12 of 14 under on the road if the total is 6 or more and the last 6 off a win. As a road dog LA is 6-1 under as well as 9 of 11 vs Western Conference teams.  Look for a lower game that plays under.

The NHL TOTALS Play is on the under in the Detroit at NY. Rangers game at 7:05 eastern. These two have gone under 13 straight and in 14 of 15 5 or less goals combined have been scored. The Wings are 9 of 11 under on Fridays and the Rangers are 4 of 4 under vs .400 or less teams. Play the under. 4 unit

The NHL Totals Play is on the Over in the Washington at New York Rangers game at 8:05 eastern. This game fits the solid totals system below which has cashed over 40 of 56 times. These two have gone over in 4 of in the series and New York has gone over in 35 of 52 vs .600 or better teams. The Caps have gone over in 12 of 13 off . a win, 4 of 4 after allowing 2 or less, 10 of 12 with 1 day of rest and 16 of 21 as a favorite. Look for a higher scoring game here that plays over the total



OU: 40-16-2

Nov 07, 2018 Wednesday 2018 Avalanche Predators home 0-2 1-1 0-1 1-4 105 6.0 -3 L U 0
Nov 08, 2018 Thursday 2018 Blackhawks Hurricanes home 0-3 2-1 1-0 3-4 106 6.0 -1 L O 0
Dec 14, 2018 Friday 2018 Rangers Coyotes home 2-0 1-1 0-2 3-4 -163 6.0 -1 L O 1
Dec 27, 2018 Thursday 2018 Bruins Devils home 0-2 1-0 1-3 2-5 -233 6.0 -3 L O 0
Dec 27, 2018 Thursday 2018 Lightning Flyers home 2-1 3-1 0-3 6-5 -233 6.5 1 W O 1
Dec 27, 2018 Thursday 2018 Kings Coyotes home 1-1 0-0 1-0 2-1 -147 5.5 1 W U 0
Dec 28, 2018 Friday 2018 Panthers Canadiens home 2-2 0-0 1-3 3-5 -147 6.0 -2 L O 0
Jan 28, 2019 Monday 2018 Penguins Devils home 0-2 1-2 2-2 3-6 -240 6.5 -3 L O 0
Feb 01, 2019 Friday 2018 Capitals Flames home 2-1 1-1 1-1 4-3 -102 6.5 1 W O 0
Feb 02, 2019 Saturday 2018 Sharks Coyotes home 0-0 2-1 0-1 3-2 -222 6.0 1 W U 1
Feb 07, 2019 Thursday 2018 Flames Sharks home 1-3 1-1 0-1 2-5 -135 6.5 -3 L O 0
Feb 16, 2019 Saturday 2018 Flyers Red Wings home 1-1 2-0 2-4 6-5 -175 6.0 1 W O 1
Apr 10, 2019 Wednesday 2018 Lightning Blue Jackets home 3-0 0-1 0-3 3-4 -230 6.5 -1 L O 0
Oct 10, 2019 Thursday 2019 Blackhawks Sharks home 2-2 2-2 0-1 4-5 -105 6.5 -1 L O 0
Oct 18, 2019 Friday 2019 Panthers Avalanche home 3-1 1-3 0-0 4-5 -130 6.5 -1 L O 1
Oct 24, 2019 Thursday 2019 Canadiens Sharks home 1-1 1-3 0-0 2-4 -135 6.5 -2 L U 0
Oct 30, 2019 Wednesday 2019 Blue Jackets Oilers home 0-2 1-2 0-0 1-4 -150 6.0 -3 L U 0
Nov 14, 2019 Thursday 2019 Sabres Hurricanes home 1-2 1-1 2-1 4-5 125 6.5 -1 L O 1
Nov 16, 2019 Saturday 2019 Predators Blackhawks home 0-2 0-2 2-3 2-7 -200 6.5 -5 L O 0

Nov 20, 2019 Wednesday 2019 Rangers Capitals home

The NHL Totals Pay is on the OVER in the Tampa at NY Rangers game. Rotation numbers 77/78 at 7:35 eastern. This game fits a high end simulation model that shows the game playing over the total. In the series 4 of the last 5 have gone over. Tampa is 7 of 8 over on the road vs teams that are .400 or less at home, 15 of 20 as a road favorite from -150 to -200 and 20 of 28 vs Met conference teams. The Rangers have flown over in 5 of 6 as a dog, 13 of 18 off a loss of 3 or more and 9 of 12 as a home dog of +150 or higher. Look for this game to play over the total tonight.

The  NHL Totals Play is on the OVER in the Vegas at Chicago game at 8:30 eastern. The series suggests a higher scoring game here as they are 5-0-1 over and each game at least 6 goals. Vegas has no rest and they are 8-0 over with no rest, 6 of 6 on Tuesdays, 6 of 6 v West Conference teams, 4 of 5 in a 3rd in 4 nights scenario, 5 of 5 as a road dog and 12-0 over as a dog overall. Chicago has gone over 23 of 31 at home and 12 of 16 v Pacific division teams. Look for this game to play over the total tonight.


The BONUS MLB Power System Play is on Houston at 8:10 eastern. The Astros fit the system below that plays on home favorite of 140 or more with a total that was 8 or less and ff a home favored win by 2 or more runs scoring 5 or more vs an opponent off a +140 or more home win also by 2 or more scoring 5 or more with no errors. These teams in any format are 6-0 and win by an average 7-2 score. In the playoffs game 1 specific. Road dogs of +140 or higher coming in off a home favored win are a lousy 5-15 the last 15 years. Scherzer goes for the Nats and we had to back away but he is 1-4 as a road dog +140 or more. Cole has won his last 16 starts since July and has not lost here since May. He was off in hi last start despite going 7 innings and now has 5 days rest. Look foe the Astros to break out on top.





SU: 6-0

May 12, 2008 box Mon home Cubs Carlos Zambrano - R Padres Randy Wolf - L 12-3 9 W 7.5 O 13-10 0-1 10-1 -190 7.5 9
Jul 20, 2010 box Tue home Braves Jair Jurrjens - R Padres Wade LeBlanc - L 4-1 3 W -3.0 U 8-5 3-0 3-1 -165 8.0 9
Jul 27, 2010 box Tue home Rangers Cliff Lee - L Athletics Gio Gonzalez - L 3-1 2 W -4.0 U 8-6 1-0 2-0 -235 8.0 10+
Jun 06, 2014 box Fri home Rangers Yu Darvish - R Indians Trevor Bauer - R 6-4 2 W 2.0 O 7-10 0-1 4-0 -165 8.0 9
May 08, 2015 box Fri home Nationals Gio Gonzalez - L Braves Eric Stults - L 9-2 7 W 3.5 O 11-6 0-0 7-2 -200 7.5 9
Apr 29, 2016 box Fri home Mets Steven Matz - L Giants Jake Peavy - R 13-1 12 W 7.0 O 12-9 1-0 12-0 -149 7.0 9

Oct 22, 2019 box Tue home Astros Gerrit Cole - R Nationals Max Scherzer - R -180 6.5

The Opening night NHL Power Play is on the Over in the Washington at St. Louis game. Rotation numbers 3/4 at 8:00 eastern. The Caps looked solid in Preseason finishing up at 5-1. The Blues were good as well and these two should play fast tonight. In fact 6 of the last 7 in the series have gone over with all 4 here in St. Louis going over with every game totaling at least 6 goals. The Caps have gone over in 12 of 14 as a dog and the last 8 on a Wednesday. Look for this game to play over the total

The NHL power total is on the under in the St.Louis at San Jose game at 9:05 eastern. The Sharks coasted in game 1 but this will be a tad tougher and they are 3 of 4 under with 1 day of rest and 3 of 4 under vs Central teams, The Blues are 3-0 under when trailing in a series, and a perfect 7 of 7 under after allowing 5 or more goals. They are also 7 of 8 under off  a loss by 3 or more goals and 6 of 8 under on Mondays. Look for this one to stay under as 6 of the last 7 in the series have done. 

The NHL Totals Play is on the Under in the St. Louis at San Jose game. Our simulation model has this one playing out lower scoring. Looking at the series These two have gone under 5-0-2 with all 7 games with 5 or less goals. The last 4 here have stayed under. and San Jose is 5 of 7 under on Saturdays and 3 of 4 vs the West Conference. The Blues are 10 of 12 under on Saturdays and 5 of 6 under vs Pacific division teams, When on the road vs teams with a winning percentage of .600 or higher they have stayed under in 9 of 12. Look for game 1 to stay under

The NHL Play is on the over in the Colorado at San Jose Game. Rotation numbers 81/82 at 10:05 eastern. This game has a big simulation model in application that shows the game high scoring with 7-8 goals.  In the series these two are 9-1 over here in San Jose with 6 or more goals scored in 9 of those games. Play this one over tonight

BONUS NBA Power system Play is on Houston. Game 590 at 8:35 eastern. The Rockets fit a few of our Game 3 home teams off back to back losses with the last game a spread loss. The Rockets are a powerful 8-1 to the spread with double revenge and 12-4 in game 3 of a series when down 2-0. The Warriors are 0-5 ats off a spread wins. The Rockets are on a 7-1-1 home spread win. Look for them to get back in the series with a home win and cover.

The NHL Totals play is on the over in the Boston at Columbus Game. Rotation numbers 75/76 at 7:35 eastern. These two have gone over 5 of 6 here in Columbus. The Blue Jackets are 6 of 7 over at home vs a team with a losing road record and also 6 of 7 at home when the total is 5 or less. Boston has gone over the last 3 as a playoff dog from +110 to +150 and 5 of 7 vs a team that scored 2 or less. This has been a lower scoring series so far but the total has come down to 5 and 5 of 6 here have had at least 7 goals scored so it wont be long before there is a game that opens up. Play this one Over the 5 goals total

The NHL Totals play is on the over in the Boston at Columbus Game. Rotation numbers 67/68 at 7:10 eastern. These two have gone over 5 straight here in Columbus and the Blue jackets are 3 of 4 over at home of late and 4 of 5 over after allowing 2 or less goals. Boston has flown over in 4 of 5 on Tuesday,5 of 6 on the road vs a winning team, 3 of 3 as a dog from +110 to +150 and 5 of 7 after allowing 2 or less goals. Look for this game to play over the total tonight.

The NHL Totals Play is on the over in the Columbus at Boston Game. Rotation numbers 3/4 at 7:05 eastern. Columbus is off the 4 game sweep over 1 Seed Tampa and they are well rested and 5 of 5 over with 3 or more days off and take on a Bruins team that has just the 1 day of rest after winning in 7 games. The Blue Jackets are 5 of 6 over as a playoff dog from +110 to +150 and 5 of 7 vs winning teams as well as 5 of 5 over vs team that scored 5 or more goals. Boston has gone over the last 4 vs a team that scored 4 or more goals and the last 4 as a playoff favorite from -150 to -200 as well as 5 of 7 if they allowed 2 or less goals. These two have played over in 9 of 10 in the series. Look for this one to play over the total tonight

The NHL Total is on the Under 5.5 in the Carolina at Washington Game. Rotation numbers 13/14 at 7:30 eastern. Thee two have gone under 4 straight here with 5 or less goals in each game. Look for a conservative game plan fro both teams and Carolina has gone under 5 straight on the road vs winning teams, 4 of 5 off a win, 11 of 14 as a playoff dog, 7 of 9 in round 1 games, 20 of 27 vs division opponents and 14 of 18 with home loss revenge. Washington has stayed under the last 7 as a home favorite, 4 of 5 on Thursdays and 23 of 32 after scoring 2 or less. Play the Canes and Caps under tonight.

The NHL Power total is on the Under in the Chicago at Dallas game. Rotation numbers 27/28 at 8:35 eastern. Dallas had gone UNDER 18 STRAIGHT times after scoring 4 or more goals and 8 of 11 with home loss revenge. In the 2nd half they are 26 of 35 under and 6 of 7 on Fridays as well as 15 of 20 off a win by 2+ goals. Chicago has gone under in 15 of 23 Friday and after a big over run their games have leveled off a bit. Play this game Under tonight.

The BONUS NBA Power System play is on Oklahoma City. Game 544 at 8:05 eastern. The Thunder have covered 16 of 21 vs Central division teams and the favorite has covered 5 of 7 in the series. The Pistons are 0-4 ats as Friday night road dogs and 1-5 ats off a favored divisional loss. Home favorites with rest and a 190 or higher total that are off a home favored win and cover scoring 100 or more are 100% to the spread vs a team off a -4 or less home favored loss by 14 or more while scoring 90 or less with 15+ turnovers. These road teams lose by an average 20 points per game. Ply on OKC.

The NHL Power system total is on the under in the Vegas at Colorado game. Rotation numbers 49/50 at 10:00 eastern. This game fit a solid simulation model showing the game playing under. These two have stayed under the last 4 meetings with no more than 5 goals getting scored. Vegas has gone under 7 straight on Hump day and 7 of 10 as a road favorite from -110 to -150. Colorado has gone under 8 of 10 as a home dog and the last 5 overall. Look for this game to stay under tonight.

The BONUS NBA Totals Play is on the Under in the Golden St at Memphis game at 8:05 eastern. Home dogs like Memphis that covered by 14 or more as a home dog of 5 or more and scored 110 or more are 11-0 under since 1995 vs a team like the Warriors that scored 110 or more at home last out. Golden St has stayed under in 10 of the last 11, 6 straight on the road and 11 of 12 after scoring 100 or more. Memphis has gone under in 23 of 32 if they lost 4 of the last 5, 4 of 5 off a 10+ point home dog win and 7 of 8 vs Pacific teams. In the series 9 of 11 have gone under here. Play this one under.

The NHL Totals Play is in the over in the Ottawa at Philadelphia game. Rotation numbers 35/36 at 7:05 eastern. This game applies to a powerful scoring system and these two have flown over in 5 straight with every game getting up to at least 7 goals. The Flyers are 5/5 over at home and 7 of 8 vs the East. In games after allowing 2 or less goals they have flown over in 4 of 5 and 20 of 27 vs a team that scored 2 or less. As a favorite from -150 to- 200 they are 17 of 24 over. The Senators are 4 of 4 over vs a team that scored 5 or more goals, 22 of 29 on Mondays and 7 of 9 as a road dog at +150 to 200. Play this one over the total tonight.

The NHL Total domination Play is on the Under in the Dallas at St. Louis game. Rotation numbers 79/80 at 8:00 eastern. These two have stayed under in 4 of the last 5 and Dallas is 5-0 under on Saturdays, 6-0 under +110 to +160 and 8 of 9 on the road vs winning home teams. The Blues are 5-0 under on Saturdays , 7 of 8 at home and 4 of 5 with no rest. Look for this one to stay under tonight.

BONUS NBA PLAYS

The NBA Revenge play is on Indiana. Game 558 at 7:05 eastern, The Pacers have revenge in this game and have covered 3 of 4 vs the Magic who are off a huge upset win over the Warriors. With the winning team 18-1 to the spread in this game we will back the Pacers tonight.

NBA Road warrior system side on Golden St. Game 563 at 8:35 eastern. Great spot for the Warriors here after a couple of losses they fit 2 powerful bounce back systems and have home loss revenge on a Philly team off an upset win over OKC. Warriors come out and play

The NBA Non conference banger system is on Utah. Game 570 at 9:05 eastern. Utah off huge upset win in Denver Catch the Bucks with no rest after playing in LA last night. The Bucks have not fared well here losing 16 straight. All that Jazz tonight.

The NBA Dominator is on the LA. Lakers. Game 507 at 9:05 eastern. The Lakers are 4-0 straight up and ats vs Phoenix and the winning team has covered the last 17 in this series. Road favorites of 5 or more with no rest and a 200+ total that were home dogs last night vs a team off a home game are undefeated to the spread since 1995. Lay it with the Laker

The NHL Totals play is on the over in the Detroit at Washington Game. Rotation numbers 51/52 at 7:35 eastern. This game fits a high end simulation model that shoes this one playing over the total. Detroit has gone over in 7 of 8 playing the 4th game in 6 nights and 13 of 18 on the road. When the total is 6 or more they are 10 of 15 over on the road and 7 of 8 over when playing on a Tuesday. The Caps are 3-0 over o Tuesdays and 6 of 8 at home vs losing teams as well as 4 of 5 over with 2 days of rest. In the series these two have gone over 10 of times in Washington. Play this one over the total

The NHL Totals Play is on the over in Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Finals. Rotation numbers 5/6 at 8:15 eastern. Both teams are high octane squads with 4 lines that can score. Some how they managed to stay under by not scoring in the 3rd period of game 2. Tonight we should see another fast pace with plenty of scoring chances. The Caps are 20 of 31 over at home with a 5.5 goal total, 5 of 6 at home vs a team with a winning road record, 8 of 10 vs a team that scored 2 or less and 8 of 10 over on Saturdays. Vegas is 3-0 over when tied in a playoff series, 11 of 16 over with 2 days rest, 3 of 4 after scoring 2 or less and 3 of 4 after allowing 2 or less. Look for this game to play over the total

The NHL Playoff total is on the under in the Washington at Vegas Game. Rotation numbers  3/4 at 8:15 eastern. Game 1 between these two teams was fast and furious as both teams had substantial energy with the extended rest. This game should be more conservative and may not be played at that frenetic pace. The Caps are 4 of 5 under when trailing and 3 of 3 with 1 day of rest, they are also 11 of 15 under vs Pacific teams. Vegas is 6 of 7 under when leading a series. 5 of 6 under vs a team that allowed 5 or more goals, 6 of 8 after scoring 5+ goals. In games vs Eastern Conference. The Knights have played under in 5 of 7. Look for this game to stay under

The NHL Totals Play is on the over in the Winnipeg at Vegas game. Rotation numbers 3/4 at 9:05 eastern. This game fits a simulation model that shows this one to be high scoring here tonight. The Jets are 3-0 over when ties and 6 of the last 8 over on the road. Vegas has gone over in both games when tied. Vegas is 13 of 20 over at home if the totlal is 5.5. Look for this one to go over the total

The NHL Eastern Conference semi finals totals play is on the over in the Washington at Tampa Bay game. Rotation numbers 23/24 at 8:10 eastern. This game figures to be high scoring tonight as both teams are in solid over situations tonight. The Caps are 10 of 11 over with 3+ days rest and 21 of 28 after allowing 2 or less goals. Tampa is 4-0 over on Fridays, 23 of 32 off a win and 11 of 14 after allowing 2 or less goals. In the Series these two have gone over in 19 of 27 games and 8 of 10 here in Tampa. Look for Game 1 to sail over the total

The NHL Round 2 total is on the over in the Pittsburgh at Washington game. Rotation numbers 59/60 at 7:10 eastern. This game fits a powerful playoff totals system and several solid totals angles. The Caps are 7 of 8 over on Saturdays and 5 of 7 vs an opponent that allowed 2 or less goals. The Penguins are 11 of 12 over with 1 day of rest and 4 of 5 on Saturdays. The Pens have flown over in 12 of 16 on the road. Look for this one to go over the total tonight.

BONUS Kentucky Derby plays race 12 at Churchill downs. Approximate Post at 6:45 eastern

To win we will go with #6 Good Magic, he has the #1 prime power rating and has been working lights out here. We will box him in exactas and triples with #11 Bolt D/Oro who finished 2nd in the Santa Anita Derby to Justify. We will also use #12 Enticed and #3 Justify in this exacta and Triple box

The NHL Totals plays is on the Under in the Boston at Tampa Bay Game at 3:10 eastern. These two have played under 4-0-1 the last 5. The Bruins are 8 of 10 under on the road vs .600 or better teams and 4 of 5 under the last 5 overall away. Tampa has had trouble scoring on Boston which has mostly the reason these game have stayed under. The Lightning are 3 of 3 under vs .600 or better teams and 5 of 6 under with 3+ days rest. Boston is 13-3 under with a total of 6 or more and 18 of 25 after allowing 4 or more goals. Look for game 1 to play under

The NHL Totals Play is on the over in the Colorado at Nashville game. Rotation numbers 9/10 at 9:40 eastern. In the series these two have gone over in 25 of 37 and 7 of the last 9 here in Nashville. Both teams are on 5 of 6 over runs. The Predators are 5 of 7 over on Fridays and 19 of 27 at home vs teams with a .400 or less road win percentage. The Avalanche are 15 of 18 over in April games. Look for a higher scoring game here as these two fly up and down the ice tonight.

The NHL Totals Play is on the Over in the Philly at Pittsburgh game. Rotation numbers 5/6 at 7:05 eastern.  The total may seem high at 6 flat, however these 2 have played over in the last 5 games with at least 6 goals scored in each of them. Now for the plethora of over angles. The Flyers are 4-0 over with 3+ rest, 22 of 30 vs division teams 5 of 6 off a win and 5 of 6 on Wednesdays. The penguins are 6 of 9 over in round 1 10 of 28 with 3+ rest, 9 of 10 after allowing 2 or less goals 7 of 8 vs a team that scored 5 or  ore last out and 6 of 6 on Wednesdays. In the series here 15 of 20 have flown over. Look for a high scoring game. Play the over.

the NHL Totals Play is on the under in the Detroit vs Columbus game at 7:05 eastern. The last 4 in the series have stayed under and 28 of 43 long term here have gone under. The Wings are 10-1 under off a win and 7 of 9 under vs a team like Columbus that allowed 5 or more last out. Detroit is also 7 of 10 under after allowing 2 or less goals. Columbus has gone under 16 of 22 on Tuesdays  and 4 of the last 5 at home. Coach Tortorella has these guys playing solid defense so when they give up 5 or more the emphasis will be on defense in the next game. No wonder they are 6 of 7 under after allowing 5 or more goals. Play this one under.

The NHL Totals play is on the over in the Winnipeg at Washington game. Rotation numbers 55/56 at 7:00 eastern. These two have played over 21 of 27 times here in Washington and The Caps have several favorable over tendencies going tonight. Washington is over 8 of 9 off a win, 4 of 5 vs teams with a losing road record, 16 of 21 after allowing 2 or less goals, 12 of 16 vs an opponent who allowed less than 3 goals and 32 of 45 vs Central division teams. The Jets are 6 of 8 over after allowing less than 3 goals and 4 of 5 over vs teams with a .600 or higher win percentage. The Last 7 games here have yielded at least 6 goals. Play this over tonight.

The NHL Totals System Play is on the Under in the LA. Kings at Chicago game. Rotation numbers  9/10 at 8:35 eastern. This game applies a to solid totals system that plays over for certain road teams vs an opponent who is under .500. Chicago is last in the Central division and has trouble scoring. In the series the last 6 games have saw 5 or less goals scored. Our simulation model shows this one at 4 goals. play under 5.5 goals in this game tonight.

The NHL Totals Play is on the Under in the Boston at NJ Game. Rotation numbers 61/62 at 7:05 Eastern. This game fits a high end simulation model we use in the NHL and has the game stating under tonight. Supporting angles include Goalie Rask with a 1.86 career GAA Against NJ and Schneider for NJ with a 2.44 Career GAA Vs Boston. NJ returns home off a 10 day trip where they were inept defensively. They should improve against Boston who has struggled scoring and is ranked 24th on offense this year. The Bruins have 3 days rest for this one and are off a pair of wins and allowed just 2 goals. They have stayed under in 4 of the last 5 and 7 of 9 on the season vs winning teams. In the Series 18 of 29 have gone under including the last 4. Look for more of the same tonight. Play this one under.

The NHL Totals Play is on the Over in the Edmonton at Pittsburgh game. Rotation numbers 7 /8 at 7:05 eastern. Simulation models show a high scoring game and the data shows this game as an over.  Edmonton has a powerful offense and are ranked #1 in shots taken, they have gone over in 3 of the last 4 vs East Conference teams and 5 of 7 vs winning teams. On defense they are mediocre at best, ranked 19 overall and a a dismal 29th in penalty kills. The Penguin have posted over in 5 straight and are 7 of 9 vs teams with a .400 or less win percentage and 51 of 73 over vs a team that scored 2 or less goals last out. They have gone over in 6 of 8 at home with a total of 6 or more and 11 of 13 off 3+ road games. They are ranked 31st in defense but are #1 on the power play and should have no problem scoring in this one. Look for this game to play over the total.

The NHL Power system Total is on the Over in the Ottawa at Pittsburgh game. Rotation numbers 57/58 at 3:00 eastern. This game fits a solid totals system that pertains to the over for games fives for teams returning home after scoring 2 or less in home games 1 and 2. The last 2 in the series have been higher scoring with 11 combined goals as the Penguins have regained some confidence. The Pens have flown over in 6 of 9 on Sundays. Ottawa is 3-0 over in a series that is tied. Look for this game to fly over the total.

The NHL Power play is on the Over in the Pittsburgh at Ottawa game at 7:30 eastern. This game fits a powerful playoff system that pertains to the over in game 3 if the first 2 games played under. and less than 5 goals were scored combined in both games. Simulation models show this game playing over the total. The Penguins are 3-0 over on the road if the total is 5 or less and Ottawa has gone over both times in a series that is tied. Look for things to open up tonight as this one plays over the tota

The NHL Totals Play is on the Over in the Ottawa at Pittsburgh game at 7:00 eastern. The last 2 here in Pittsburgh have been high scoring with 13 and 11 goals scored. Don't think it will be that high tonight but with the #1 and #3 scoring teams in the league it could be a barn burner. The Pens are 4 of 5 over off a shutout win, 12 of 17 over on Saturdays and 8 of 12 with 2 days rest. Teams playing off a game 7 win on the road and coming home have tended to play over more often than not vs a team also off a road win. High end simulations show 7 goals in this one. We will play the over tonight.

The NHL Power Play total is on  the Over in the Pittsburgh at Washington game. Rotation numbers 61/62 at 7:15 eastern. The total has been at 5.5 all series but tonight we see it dip to 5. In the last 9 games between these two at least 5 goals were scored. The Caps should come out firing here tonight and the 3 of the last 4 here in Washington have flown over. The Pens have played over the last 3 on the road when the total is 5 flat and they are not nearly as good defensively on the road. The Caps are 13 of 20 over on Saturdays and both teams have gone over in 7 of 11 with 2 days rest. Our simulation model shows a high scoring game that plays over.

BONUS Kentucky Derby- Race 11 at Churchill downs

WIN on #17 Irish War Cry. He has tactical speed and will most likely get out and stalk the pace. He was solid in the Wood Memorial and in a field with a lot of Parity has the best numbers. He is one of a few that has posted triple digit Beyer figures and has the highest Prime Power rating in the field.  Should be right there. We will use him in Exacta an Trifecta Boxes with #14 Classic Empire #10 Gunnevera #19 Practical Joke and #5 Always dreaming. create a box with all the above for Exacta and Trifectas

The NHL Totals play is on the over in the Pittsburgh at Washington game. Rotation numbers  7/8 at 7:30 eastern. This game simulates to be higher scoring as the last 3 in the series have seen at least 7 goals scored. Both teams play up tempo and with this being the first game of the series it should be played at a brisk pace. The Caps are ranked #2 in home scoring and seemed to get drawn into higher scoring game when playing the Penguins. Pittsburgh is #2 in road scoring and #22 in road defense. They have flown over all 7 times with 3+ days rest, 23 of 33 off a 2+ goal win and 29 of 42 after scoring 4+ goals last out. Game 1 between these two last year had 7 goals scored and with Pittsburgh going over in 5 of their last 6 road games we will look for this one to play over

The NHL Totals Play is on the over in the Washington at Toronto game 3. Rotation numbers 910 at 7:05 eastern. These two have had at least 5 goal scored in 12 of 13 games. Both teams should open it up here as they switch venues to Toronto. The Leafs tied the series at 1-1 in overtime. The Caps have flown over in 12 of 16 on the road if the total if 5 or less and 7 of the last with home loss revenge as well as 15 of 21 off 3+ home games. Look for this one to fly over the total tonight.

The NHL Totals play is on the under in the St. Louis at LA Kings game at 10:05 eastern.  This game has powerful under angles with 2 solid defensive teams. The Blues are 4-0 under with 1 or no rest, 3 of 3 on monday and 4 of the last 5 on the road. In games vs Western conference opposition they are 4--1 under. The Kings have stayed under in 4 of 5 with the Blues and 18 of 22 in the 3rd in 4 nights situation and they are 24th in home scoring. The Blues have scored 2 or less in 6 of their last 8 road games. Play the under in this one.

NHL Totals Play on the Under in the Montreal at NY. Rangers game at 7:05 eastern

The NHL Totals play is on the Over in the Montreal at Boston game. Rotation numbers 61/62 at 7:35 eastern on NBS Sports network. This game features two teams that both played last night and show several high scoring indicators. Simulation models have this game a shade over 7 goals. Montreal has played over in 8 of 11 with home los revenge and has allowed 4 goals in straight games. The last 3 here in this series all have had 6+ goals scored. Boston has gone over the total in their last 8 games all of which had 6 or more goals scored. The Bruins are 3 of 4 home with no rest and 14 of 20 to the over on the season vs winning teams. Look for this game to play over the total tonight.

The NHL Totals Play is on the Under in the Calgary at Vancouver game at 10:05 eastern. In the series these two have gone under in 6 straight here in Vancouver. Calgary is 26th in the league in road scoring and the Canucks are 22nd in home scoring. The Flames have stayed under all 3 times off back to back games scoring 4 or more goals. The Canucks have gone under in 6 straight and 8 of 10 in division games. In the Month of January they are 14-4 under and 3-0 off 3+ unders. Look for a lower scoring game that plays under the total tonight

NHL Totals play over Tampa vs Pittsburgh game. Rotation numbers  1/2 at 8:05 eastern on NBC Sports.  In the series these two have played over 14 of 15 times including all 8 here in Pittsburgh. Every game has had at least 5 goals many of them more in this rink. The Penguins are #3 in scoring and Tampa has palyed over in 8 of 10 on Fridays. At home with a total of 5 or less the Pens are 18 of 23 to the over. Tampa will be hurt on defense after losing Stralman. Look for this one to go over the total tonight

The NHL Totals play is on the over in the Washington at Pittsburgh Game rotation numbers 17/18 at 8:05 eastern. The Caps are ranked 4th in road scoring and the pens 2nd in home scoring. After playing a close low scoring game, this one figures to be higher scoring. The Caps have flown over in 7 of 11 with home loss revenge and the Penguins are 17 of 22 over with a total of 5 or less at home and 6 of 6 over at home if they were dogs last out. Pitt has flown over in 8 of the last 9 here. play this one over the total

The Bonus NHL Totals play is on the over in the San Jose at LA. Kings game at 10:30 eastern. Simulation models have this game going over the total tonight. These two have at least 5 goals scored in 7 straight. The Sharks have played over in 6 of the last 7 1st round games and 3 of 4 when leading in a series. LA has played over also 6 of 7 in first round action. Both team move the puck out of their own end extremely well which causes an abundance of scoring chances. Play this one over.

The NHL Totals play is on the over in the Nashville at Anaheim at 10:35 eastern. Simulation models expecting this one to be up tempo and play over the total tonight. These two have played over in 8 straight and at least 5 goals have been scored in the last 12 meetings between these two teams. The Predators have gone over in 5 of their last 6 1st round playoff games and they are +14 games to the over this year vs winning teams. The Ducks are 10-2 over off 3+ road games, 7 of 10 over in the first round and 3 of 4 to the over with 3+ days rest. Play on the over in this game.

NHL Totals play over Florida vs NYI game. Rotation numbers 59/60 at 8:05 eastern. Simulation models have this one playing over the total and these two are 8-0-2 to the over with all 10 having at least 5 goals scored. NYI has flown over in 8 of 11 on the road with a totlal of 5 or less and 4 of 5 in April. Florida has gone over in their last 7 home games. Look for a fast paced game that plays over the total

NHL member only Total for Sunday night. NYD/CBJ under 5 at +130 at 5:05 eastern Sold systems apply to this game today. = 45-74- 14-44, 8-30-, 16-49, 10-25-

The NHL Totals Pay is on the Over in the Calgary  Minnesota game at 10:05 eastern. This game fits totals system that pertain to the over. One is 15-1 the other 26-5. Minnesota has played over in 6 straight and either scored or allowed 4 or more in 7 straight games. They have played over in 5 of 5 after scoring 4 or more and the Flames are 12 of 18 over after scoring 4 or more and 5 of 6 at home when the total is 5 or less. Play the over in this one.

The NHL Totals Pay is on the Over in the Minnesota at Vancouver game at 10:05 eastern. This game fits totals system that pertain to the over. One is 14-1 the other 25-5. In the series 4 of the last 5 have played over the total. Vancouver is ranked 6th in scoring and Minnesota has gone over in 5 straight allowing 4 or more goals in 6 straight games. The Wild have played over the last 3 times on the road off a home loss. Play this one over the total.

The NHL Totals play is on the Over in the Carolina at Philly game at 7:05 eastern. The Panthers are scoring like a machine 20 goals in their last 4 games going over in 5 of 6 this month and 6 of 9 off a non conference game. The Flyers are 4 of 5 over in December  and have gone over in 3 of 4 at home when the total is 5 or less. There is a simulation model that shows this game to be high scoring and both teams can light it up. Look for this one to sail over the total

NHL off shore steam total over Tampa Bay at Dallas. Rotation numbers 9/10 at 7:35 eastern. After cashing last nights total these plays are on a solid 62-30 all sports run. Take Dallas and Tampa to play over the total

The NHL Offshore steam jumbo buy order total is on the over in the Boston at Colorado game. Rotation numbers 56/58 at 10:05 eastern. These plays are on a massive 61-30 run. Take this one to play over the total tonight.

The NHL Totals play is on the Under in the Tampa Bay at Chicago game. Rotation numbers 5/6 at 8:05 eastern. This game 3 pits the #1 Scoring teams in Tampa up against the #1 defensive team in Chicago. After a low score bore in game 1, these two played a littler more free wheeling on Saturday and 7 goals were scored. Tonight wit this being an all important game 3, we see a more conservative approach. Tampa has stayed under in 4 of their last 5 road games and 15 of 20 and 4 of 5 when a series is tied. Chicago has played under in 21 of 28 vs non conference teams, 27of 39 when playing with revenge and 9 of 13 when playing off 3+ road games. In the series here the last 4 have stayed under with no more than 5 goals scored in any of the games. Look for this game to play under tonight.

The NHL Totals Play is on the Over in the Tampa at New York Game. Rotation numbers 55/56 at 8:05 eastern. This game fits a game 2 system that pertains to the over.The Rangers are the 3rd highest scoring team in the league and are taking on a Tampa Team that looks to fly up and down the ice and is the #1 overall ranked scoring team in the league Both teams had several solid chances in game 1 in a game that was played as expected with a frenetic pace The feeling out process is over and scoring should go up here. The Lightning are not solid defensive club, ranked 22nd on the road and do not have the size the Rangers have seen in their last 2 series. In the series this year  3 of the 4 games have played over this year and 12 of the last 14 games have at least 5 goals. Tampa is 9 of 11 over after scoring 1 or less and 16 of 21 to the over when trailing in a series including all 3 this year. Look for a fast paced game. Both teams should get at least 2 goals each here. Take the Over 4.5 goals.

The NHL Totals Play is on the Over in the Tampa Bay a NY. Rangers game. Rotation numbers 53/54 at 1:05 eastern. The simulation models show this game as a solid totals play to the over. The Rangers are the 3rd highest scoring team in the league and are taking on a Tampa Team that looks to fly up and down the ice and is the #1 overall ranked scoring team in the league. The Lightning are not solid defensive club, ranked 22nd on the road and do not have the size the Rangers have seen in their last 2 series. Both teams are well rested with 2 and 3 days off. Tampa has played over in 6 of 9 on the road when the total is 5 flat. All 3 games in the series have played over this year and 12 of the last 13 games have at least 5 goals. Look for a fast paced game as both teams get it going in game 1. Take the Over.

The NHL Power total is on the Over in the Calgary at Anaheim game. Rotation numbers 65/66 at 10:05 eastern. This series has been one of the higher scoring ones in recent years. The last 4 have played over and have had at least 6 goals scored. Tonight's game should be  closer but Calgary has lost 20 straight here and cant seem to stop the Anaheim vaunted attack. Seven of the last 8 have gone over. Look for another high scoring game here. Take the Over.

On Sunday its Game 3 between Ottawa ad Montreal. We will go with the over 5 goals in this game. Rotations numbers 37/38 at 7:05 eastern. The Canadiens have played over in 4 of 5 off 3 or more games that went over, 6 of 7 in 1st round games and 13 of 21 when leading on a series. Ottawa has played over in 4 of 5 1st round games, 3 of 4 when trailing in a series and 11 of 15 at home if the total is 5 or less.  The last 14 games in the series have had at least 5 goals scored which is what the total is once again here tonight. In the last 7 games here their have been at least 5 goals scored. The Senators are ranked #2 at home in scoring but ranked just 24th in home defense. Look for this one to go over tonight.

The NHL Power total is on the over in the Ottawa at Montreal game. Rotation numbers 1/2 at 7:05 eastern. This series has seen higher scoring games as 6 of the last 7 have flown over with every game accumulating at least 5 goals. Ottawa has gone over in 3 of their last 4 first round games, while the Canadians have posted overs in 5 of their last 6 first round games. More recently Montreal has played over in 6 straight games with 3 pushes mixed in and every game over that 9 game span had 5 or more goals. Montreal has gone over in 3 of 4 off 3+ overs. Look for this game to go over tonight.

The NHL power total is on the over in the LA. Kings at Chicago Blackhawks game. Rotation numbers 57/58 at 8:05 eastern. These two have played twice in LA With each team getting a win. Now they face off in Chicago for the First time since the Blackhawks dropped a game 7 in June. The Simulation model shows this game as a clear cut over and looking at the indicators we see that 25 of the last 38 in the series have flown over including 7 straight with each game having at least 7 goals scored. The Kings have flown over in 8 of 11 off 3+ road games and Chicago 7 of 10 at home when the posted total is 5 or less. Look for this one to go over the total tonight.

The NHL Totals play is on the over in the Dallas at New York Islanders game. Rotation numbers 13/14 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits a high end Simulation model that shows this as a high scoring game. The last 3 in this series all have had at least 6 goals scored. Play this one over the total.

The NHL Totals play is on the under in the battle of New York between the Rangers and Islanders. Rotation numbers 51/52 at 7:05 eastern. These two have played some tight games here and have stayed under the last 5 times they have played here with every game having 5 or less goals scored. The Rangers cannot mount an offense against the Islanders tallying just 1 goal in the last 2 games here. They have lost all 3 meetings in the series and simply do not match up well vs their cross town rivals. The Rangers stay in the game with solid defense as they are ranked 3rd in the league on the road. They have stayed under both times this year off a 3 or more road games, 7 of the last 9 off 3 or more straight games that went over, including both times this season. When playing off 3 or more wins 6 of their last 9 have gone under. The Islanders have gone under in 5 of 7 this month. Look for a grind it out game that stays under tonight.

On Tuesday the NHL Power total is on the over in the Washington at New York game. Rotation numbers 11/12 at 7:05 eastern. Washington played last night and now travels into New York to take on a hot Rangers team that has won 6 straight. The Caps have played over all 5 times this season with no rest and 9 of the last 12 overall vs winning teams. On Tuesdays they have played over in 5 of 7. They also sports the #7 ranked scoring offense and #1 power play. The Rangers are also a top 10 offense ranked 8th overall and have played over all 5 times off a shutout win and 3 of 4 when playing on Tuesday. The Rangers played a 1-0 game vs Carolina and this one should have a faster pace. The last 3 between these two have had at least 5 gold scored. Play the over in this one.

On Wednesday the NHL Opening Night Totals Play is on the Over in the Montreal at Toronto game. Rotation numbers 1/2 at 7:05. These to open the season fir the 5th straight year. Montreal has made several changes to boost their scoring and were last seen losing in the Eastern Conference Finals to the Rangers. The changes leave them without a captain for just the 2nd time in their history. Toronto had the 26th overall defense and were shredded for 265 goals last season. They were also 28th on the penalty kill. In the series 8 of the last 9 have flown over including the last 4 here. In those games all but one had at least 6 goals combined. Look for this one to follow suit. Take the over.

The NHL Totals Play is on the Under in the NY. Rangers at LA. Kings game. Rotation numbers 53/54 at 7:05 eastern. Game 2 takes center stage as the Belmont Stakes comes to an end. LA Came back from a 2-0 deficit to take game 1 of the finals 3-2. Tonight we can expect another low scoring game here between the #1 and #3 ranked defensive units in the NHL This season. Two of the best goalies in Lundquist and Quick will keep this game close again. In the series these two have played under in 7 of 11 and the Kings have played under in 29 of 40 vs non conference games. The Rangers were relaxed and spotted renting bicycles and enjoying the beaches in LA on Friday. The Kings has 40+ shots on goal and managed to out just 3 past Ludquist. We will back the under in a goalie dominated series.

Rob Vinciletti: 2014 Belmont Stakes Entrants and Analysis
The Belmont Stakes (post time 6:52 p.m. ET, airing live on NBC)
Entrants:
No. 1: Medal Count (Morning-line odds: 20-to-1)

Trainer: Dale Romans

Jockey: Robby Albarado
No. 2: California Chrome (Morning-line odds: 3-to-5)

Trainer: Art Sherman

Jockey: Victor Espinoza
No. 3: Matterhorn (Morning-line odds: 30-to-1)

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Jockey: Joe Bravo
No. 4: Commanding Curve (Morning-line odds: 15-to-1)

Trainer: Dallas Stewart

Jockey: Shaun Bridgmohan

No. 5: Ride On Curlin (Morning-line odds: 10-to-1)

Trainer: William Gowan.

Jockey: John Velazquez
No. 6: Matuszak (Morning-line odds: 30-to-1)

Trainer: Bill Mott

Jockey: Mike Smith
No. 7: Samraat (Morning-line odds: 20-to-1)

Trainer: Rick Violette, Jr.

Jockey: Jose Ortiz
No. 8: Commissioner (Morning-line odds: 20-to-1)

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Jockey: Javier Castellano
No. 9: Wicked Strong (Morning-line odds: 6-to-1)

Trainer: Jimmy Jerkens

Jockey: Rajiv Maragh

No. 10: General a Rod (Morning-line odds: 20-to-1)

Trainer: Michael Maker

Jockey: Rosie Napravnik
No. 11: Tonalist (Morning-line odds: 8-to-1)

Trainer: Christophe Clement

Jockey: Joel Rosario
Belmont Stakes Indicators No Triple Crown winner has defeated more than seven rivals in the final jewel. Both Citation in 1948 and Seattle Slew in 1977 accomplished the feat. 10 challengers are set to face California Chrome.

Historically every Triple Crown winner has had a win over the course prior to the Belmont.
There has not been one horse from the West Coast to ever win the Triple Crown. Historically the most common occurrences for Belmont winner has been. Over 70% have been Kentucky Breds and most have had Beyer Speed figures of 106 or higher. ( Cal Chrome has the highest at 105)
Prime Power Figures: Speed last race Class Ratings
Cal Chrome 161 Tonalist 107 Cal Chrome 122 Social Inclusion 151 Cal Chrome 105 Ride on Curlin 120Samraat 151 Ride On Curlin 103 Social Inclusion 119
On Saturday California Chrome will attempt to become the first triple crown winner since 1978 when Affirmed beat Alydar for a 3rd straight time. While Chrome has the best overall numbers in the race there are several factors playing against him here today. As seen in out Belmont Stakes indicators should Chrome win it would be monumental since no West Horse based horse has ever won a triple crown and EVERY Crown winner has at a win over the track. So Chrome winning would be even more impressive than many of the others. We also consider that in todays age in racing there are more entrants than in years past and many fresh horses that trains specifically for this race.
Considering the all important pace of the race, California Chrome will almost certainly look to break at or near the lead, which tactically could hurt him, considering Tonalist, the Peter Pan winner will be right out there gunning it early as he was hard to hold back going straight for the lead in his Peter Pan Stakes win. While its tough to predict exactly who will fall far behind and which grinders will find lanes to move through, we can see Chrome right at or near the lead coming to the top of the long Belmont stretch. His main competition assuming Tonalist is still there will be Wicked Strong who is a grinder and who will be stalking the pace most of the way. Wicked Strong has a win over this track and was hindered by stumbling in the derby. He has some solid works here and did finish strong in the derby. He is bred to run all day. Others expected to be making a late run will me Medal Count who was destroyed in the Derby by Danza wrecking any chance he had, and which may have cost him a 2nd or 3rd place finish as he wound up just 7 lengths out. His Sire Dynaformer is one of the foremost Distance sires in North America. Commissioner will also be coming late and is another grinder with a fighting chance at a piece and his sire A.P. Indy was a Belmont Stakes winner and on his mares side is Touch Gold who ruined Silver Charms bid at a triple Crown.
The Finish. As the contenders get to the wire, make no mistakes about it. It would be fantastic to see Chrome become a monumental triple crown winner, and its worth it if you are there to buy a win ticket as a souvenir. However, he is 3-5 and has around a 25% chance to win. For an actual selection we must look at an overlay and there are several in here that could garner a nice price. Wicked Strong has the best chance to win and could pass Cal Chrome and Tonalist in the stretch. Medal Count runs a big race here and is right there with a hard charging Commissioner as the grinders have the best chance in this race. Deep closers usually run out of game before making their big run. So below is how we will play this one.
9. Wicked Strong BOXED in exactas and Triples with #2 Cal Chrome, #11 Tonalist, #1 Medal Count and #8 Commissioner