The Seattle offense has not been as good as last year, while the defensive metrics are even better. Denver has struggled offensively while their defense ranks #6. I see a low possession game, with potential TD's turning into FG attempts. This game also fits an under situation that has been highly predictive at 61.9%! Make the play UNDER THE TOTAL. (try to get 41 as it is a key totals number). There are a couple out there.

Outside of the Texas game, the Ohio St. offensive machine has produced 47ppg. Their 3 home games have produced 52.3ppg. These teams have met 9 times with the Buckeyes averaging 55.1ppg and an 8-1 mark to the over. The average total points scored in the 9 games is 77.1ppg. Maryland has allowed 102 points in their last 2 games vs. UCLA and Nebraska. This game fits a situation that has connected on over 62% of all games to the over. Make the play on the over.

Notre Dame has won 10 or more games for 9 straight years, and at 5-0 this season they are well on their way to making it 10. Stanford gave up 57 points to Wake Forest last week. Notre Dame has scored 45 or more points in 5 of the last 6 meetings, and this game fits a situation that has gone over the total better than 62% of the time. I'm making the play over the total.

Northwestern opened their new Stadium last week with a bang. The Wildcats upset Penn St. in a statement game with a 34-13 beat down. They are 3-1 and the only loss was at Indiana 29-23. Ball St. has given up 43ppg vs their 4 FBS opponents, and this game fits one of my best situations that has hit over 62% of the time, and even better when a B-10 team is involved. I like the over in this one.

Week 3 games have my biggest total plays. These games are all from a situation that is over 63% winners and has over 400 plays in the data set. They have won for 20 straight years!!! The play in this game is on the OVER.

Week 3 games have my biggest total plays. These games are all from a situation that is over 63% winners and has over 400 plays in the data set. They have won for 20 straight years!!! The play in this game is on the OVER.

Week 3 games have my biggest total plays. These games are all from a situation that is over 63% winners and has over 400 plays in the data set. They have won for 20 straight years!!! The play in this game is on the OVER.

Week 3 games have my biggest total plays. These games are all from a situation that is over 63% winners and has over 400 plays in the data set. They have won for 20 straight years!!! The play in this game is on the OVER.

CORRECTION: an earlier email listed this as UNDER, that was an entry error, the play is OVER 52.5.

CORRECTION: CORRECTION: an earlier email listed this as UNDER, that was an entry error, the play is OVER 55.5.

I got off to a very strong start last week, and expect it to continue. The early weeks are the toughest, but I have found something that is amazing when it comes to totals. These games have had 20 straight winning seasons, and they are good up to and including week 3. They are 61.2% over 20 years and over 400 games! The play is over the total.

I got off to a very strong start last week, and expect it to continue. The early weeks are the toughest, but I have found something that is amazing when it comes to totals. These games have had 20 straight winning seasons, and they are good up to and including week 3. They are 61.2% over 20 years and over 400 games! The play is over the total.

I got off to a very strong start last week, and expect it to continue. The early weeks are the toughest, but I have found something that is amazing when it comes to totals. These games have had 20 straight winning seasons, and they are good up to and including week 3. They are 61.2% over 20 years and over 400 games! The play is over the total.

I got off to a very strong start last week, and expect it to continue. The early weeks are the toughest, but I have found something that is amazing when it comes to totals. These games have had 20 straight winning seasons, and they are good up to and including week 3. They are 61.2% over 20 years and over 400 games! The play is over the total.

I got off to a very strong start last week, and expect it to continue. The early weeks are the toughest, but I have found something that is amazing when it comes to totals. These games have had 20 straight winning seasons, and they are good up to and including week 3. They are 61.2% over 20 years and over 400 games! The play is over the total.

I got off to a very strong start last week, and expect it to continue. The early weeks are the toughest, but I have found something that is amazing when it comes to totals. These games have had 20 straight winning seasons, and they are good up to and including week 3. They are 61.2% over 20 years and over 400 games! The play is over the total.

I got off to a very strong start last week, and expect it to continue. The early weeks are the toughest, but I have found something that is amazing when it comes to totals. These games have had 20 straight winning seasons, and they are good up to and including week 3. They are 61.2% over 20 years and over 400 games! The play is over the total.

I got off to a very strong start last week, and expect it to continue. The early weeks are the toughest, but I have found something that is amazing when it comes to totals. These games have had 20 straight winning seasons, and they are good up to and including week 3. They are 61.2% over 20 years and over 400 games! The play is over the total.

I got off to a very strong start last week, and expect it to continue. The early weeks are the toughest, but I have found something that is amazing when it comes to totals. These games have had 20 straight winning seasons, and they are good up to and including week 3. They are 61.2% over 20 years and over 400 games! The play is over the total.

I got off to a very strong start last week, and expect it to continue. The early weeks are the toughest, but I have found something that is amazing when it comes to totals. These games have had 20 straight winning seasons, and they are good up to and including week 3. They are 61.2% over 20 years and over 400 games! The play is over the total.

I got off to a very strong start last week, and expect it to continue. The early weeks are the toughest, but I have found something that is amazing when it comes to totals. These games have had 20 straight winning seasons, and they are good up to and including week 3. They are 61.2% over 20 years and over 400 games! The play is over the total.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I put a ton of work into situational analysis. My last 682 NCAAF picks have gone 393-289 ATS. I expect better this season, because I found the best situation ever, and the situation has gone 267-155-4 ATS since tweaking it. I went 10-0 ATS in week 1, and the new system is very active this week. This new situation has delivered 20 straight years of being profitable. This play is on the over.

I got off to a good start taking North Carolina +8.5 against TCU. Carolina won the game outright 15-10. This week I have a totals situation that is 224-133-3 O/U since the start of the 2012 season. winning at 62.7%!! Make the play OVER the total.

I got off to a good start taking North Carolina +8.5 against TCU. Carolina won the game outright 15-10. This week I have a totals situation that is 224-133-3 O/U since the start of the 2012 season. winning at 62.7%!! Make the play OVER the total.

I got off to a good start taking North Carolina +8.5 against TCU. Carolina won the game outright 15-10. This week I have a totals situation that is 224-133-3 O/U since the start of the 2012 season. winning at 62.7%!! Make the play OVER the total.

I got off to a good start taking North Carolina +8.5 against TCU. Carolina won the game outright 15-10. This week I have a totals situation that is 224-133-3 O/U since the start of the 2012 season. winning at 62.7%!! Make the play OVER the total.

I got off to a good start taking North Carolina +8.5 against TCU. Carolina won the game outright 15-10. This week I have a totals situation that is 224-133-3 O/U since the start of the 2012 season. winning at 62.7%!! Make the play OVER the total.

I got off to a good start taking North Carolina +8.5 against TCU. Carolina won the game outright 15-10. This week I have a totals situation that is 224-133-3 O/U since the start of the 2012 season. winning at 62.7%!! Make the play OVER the total.

I got off to a good start taking North Carolina +8.5 against TCU. Carolina won the game outright 15-10. This week I have a totals situation that is 224-133-3 O/U since the start of the 2012 season. winning at 62.7%!! Make the play OVER the total.

I got off to a good start taking North Carolina +8.5 against TCU. Carolina won the game outright 15-10. This week I have a totals situation that is 224-133-3 O/U since the start of the 2012 season. winning at 62.7%!! Make the play OVER the total.

I got off to a good start taking North Carolina +8.5 against TCU. Carolina won the game outright 15-10. This week I have a totals situation that is 224-133-3 O/U since the start of the 2012 season. winning at 62.7%!! Make the play OVER the total.

I got off to a good start taking North Carolina +8.5 against TCU. Carolina won the game outright 15-10. This week I have a totals situation that is 224-133-3 O/U since the start of the 2012 season.  winning at 62.7%!! Make the play OVER the total.

Last night was huge for the Chicago Bears. The Packers 41-24 loss to the Ravens ensures that the Bears are now the Champion's of the NFC North. I doubt the Bears play starters full minutes if at all. Make the play under the total.

his game is the losers Bowl, and I expect both teams to tank, as the loser will be in position for the 1st pick in the 2006 draft. The Raiders are holding back a lot of their better players for this one. The Giants put the ball on the ground last week, and expect the same in this one. Giants fit a late season total situation that is 88-53 to the under. My play here is under the total.

The weather for this game was nasty early in the week, but the poor weather seems to be coming through late in the game or after the game. temperatures will head toward 70 degrees today in Cincinnati, with light winds, 40% chance of showers.This game could very well become a shootout. Arizona is missing 4 offensive lineman, and 4 defenders as well. The Cincinnati defense is bottom 5 so the Cards should have little problem moving the ball. Since the start of the 2014 season all home games with a total of more than 50 have resulted in a blind profit playing the over. Make the play over the total.

I am traveling so no writeups   

SF/INDY   OVER 46

I am traveling so no writeups

CINN/MIAMI   OVER 48

The Rams are in a situation that has been exceedingly predictive, so I'll just leave it at that as far as this writeup goes. The Rams from game 5 on and faces a team that averages running the ball 24.5 or fewer times a game during the regular season are 29-2-3 to the under. Make the play under the total.

he Minnesota Vikings were a strong team a year ago, but injuries and a rookie QB, and a lot of other things derailed this team. Today it gets worse as they start Max Brosmer. It will be his first NFL start, and of all places in Seattle, one of the loudest venues in the NFL. Making matters worse is Minnesota may be down 2 offensive linemen. . I don't see Minnesota scoring enough points here to push this game over the total. Make the play under the total.

The New Orleans Saints have had trouble all season putting the ball in the end-zone as they are averaging just 15ppg. Miami has not been much better as combined these teams have produced less than 600 yards of total offense, with Miami holding a tiny 3 total yard edge. Alvin Kamara is out for the Saints, and Chris Olave is questionable with a back injury. New Orleans is averaging 10.8ppg over their last 5 contests and are on a 7 game under streak. Miasmi has also become an under team, as their defense has picked things up. The Dolphins have played 4 straight to the under. I'll make the play on the under in this one.

The Tennessee Titans have the worst offense in the NFL. They generate just 5 yards per play. They will take on Jacksonville at home. The Jags are not much better as they produce 5.6 yards per play. The defenses combine to allow just 677 yards per contest or an average between the two clubs at 338.5 yards per game. Jacksonville has also turned the ball over 7 times in their last 3 games. Tennessee had thrown the ball for less than 200 yards in 7 of their games. A team playing a division home game that allowed a defensive touchdown in their last game temn to play to inflated totals and are 205-164-7 to the under in their next game. Make the play under the total.

his is a huge game for both teams. The winner stays solidly in the playoff hunt, but the loser is going to be in trouble. This is a "MAX" effort game by both teams which tends to mean defense.Then you have Andy Reid that has a 90-66-6 mark to the under since becoming the head coach in Kansas City. Odds-makers don't miss the line by what has happened here. The total opened at 47.5 and has been bet up to 52.5. Lots of money on a shootout here. KC is also10-2 to the under as a road favorite of 7 or less, but then there is this. The Chiefs are 7-0 to the under when the total is 49.5 or more. Make the play on the under.

The Green Bay Packers will head to Detroit for a crucial NFC North battle. The Packers have some interesting numbers at this stage of the season. They are allowing opponents to score just 13.5ppg at home, but have allowed 24.2ppg on the road. The Lions are averaging 33.4ppg at home. The Lions have been a huge scoring home team and since 2019, the Lions are 39-18-1 to the over. This game is well represented for that as the average total in those games was 49.2, and the over covered on average by 6ppg. When a team that has not turned the ball over for 2 straight games, while their opponent has turned it over less than or equal to 1 time in their last 2 games the over is 70-26 ATS since 2021. Make the play over the total.

This game fits a situation that is 36-4-1 to the under. My play is under the total.

The New York Giants have made progress but injuries have kept them back. It isn't showing up in the win column yet as the Giants are just 2-9. The Lions as shocking as it sounds would not be a playoff team as of right now. The Giants offense has gone from averaging 17.4ppg in their first 5,to 25ppg in their last 6. They are giving up 31+ points per game in their last 5. The Lions have averaged 40ppg following their 3 losses this season, and this game fits a huge situation on the over that is an amazing 36-2 ATS. Make the play over the total.

The New York Giants have made progress but injuries have kept them back. It isn`t showing up in the win column yet as the Giants are just 2-9. The Lions as shocking as it sounds would not be a playoff team as of right now. The Giants offense has gone from averaging 17.4ppg in their first 5,to 25ppg in their last 6. They are giving up 31 points per game in their last 5. The Lions have averaged 40ppg following their 3 losses this season, and this game fits a huge situation on the over that is an amazing 36-2 ATS. Make the play over the total.

Andy Reid has been coaching a long time. Many see the Chiefs with Patrick Mahomes as a high scoring team, which has been true in part, but not high enough to be a team that plays over the total. This coaching philosophy hasn't changed and since Reid has been in Kansas City the under is 69-33-5. Make the play on the under.

Both tease teams have gained and allowed 500 total yards or more in each of their last 2 games. That is generally enough to have the public thinking over, but the reality is when these teams have met they have been 48-32-2 to the over, or 60% winners. I like the under in this one.

The Notre Dame fighting Irish started the season at 0-2 with a pair of heartbreaking losses to Miami, FL by 3 and to Texas A&M by 1. It looked like making it to the playoffs was going to be a daunting task that would require them to run the table. The Irish has answered that call and with 8 straight wins they are now #9 in the country. They are a prohibitive favorite vs. a Syracuse team that started 3-1 but has lost 6 straight. They have allowed better than 34ppg in the 6 losses. This game fits a huge total situation that calls for playing the over when a HF of -33 or more points is playing to a total of less than 56. These teams have gone 259-149-5 ATS to the over. Make the play over the total.

This game fits a huge total situation that plays over when a home team is favored by 33or more points, and the total is less than 56 points. These teams are 235-134-7 to the over covering 63.7% of all bets. Make the play over the total.

This game is going to be played in sustained winds, with gusts up to 45 MPH during the entire game. The winds will be blowing diagonally across the field, so no edge at either end of the field. I like the under.

The Baltimore Ravens have been turning the ball over at a maddening rate. They made 8 turnovers over a 3 game stretch but have not turned the ball over in their last 2 games. A team not turning the ball over in 2 straight games is a slight winner at 53.3% ATS. The Ravens are playing defense again as they have allowed just 13ppg in their last 3 contests. Minnesota is 4-4 on the season. The Viking offense has generated just 20.1ppg over their last 5 contests. This total looks too high, and there are strong total situations on this game being much lower scoring than projected. Make the play under the total.

The Dallas Cowboys will host the Arizona Cardinals on Monday Night Football. It is well documented that the Dallas offense is elite, their defense is one of the worst in the NFL. The Cowboy's have allowed 37 or more points in 3 games, while the offense has produced 40 or more 3 times. This game fits a situation that involve high totals, and a couple other things. That situation is active for this game and it is 73-40-3 to the over. Make the play on the over.

There aren't a lot of people that realize the Seattle Seahawks are one of the best defensive teams in the NFL. The Seahawks have allowed 20or fewer points in all but one of their 7 games. They should have a good game plan coming off their bye. It looks like Jayden Daniels will be back for this came for the Commanders. The Commanders offense has scored more than 27 points just 1 time in 8 games. This will be the highest total all season that Seattle has played to, and I think their defense responds. Make the play under the total.

The Houston Texans have a top 5 defense and the Texans are allowing just 15ppg. Their problem is they have failed to score 20 or more points in 4 of their 6 games. The same issues are haunting the Niners as they have been held in check as they have scored 21 or fewer points in 5 of their 7 games. These teams both have the edge when their defenses are on the field. This game also fits a situation that is 106-69 to the under. I will make the play under the total.

This game is a weather play. Both defenses are good at defending, and the weather is going to slow these teams down. There is rain expected, but the bigger issue is wind gusts expected 30 MPH or greater. Make the play on the under.

The LA Rams will play in Baltimore vs. the Ravens. Baltimore has long had a great defense as it has been one of the long term trademarks of the team. This season has been nothing like that as the Ravens have allowed 119 points in their last 3 games combined. It puts them in a group of NFL teams that over the years has seen a team allow 115 or more points over their last 3 games and playing to a total of less than 52. They are 23-51 OU over a 36 year period. Make the play under the total.

This will be a 9:30am EDT game with Minnesota facing the Cleveland Browns. This will be the 2nd straight game for the Vikings off the mainland. They certainly have an edge after playing in Ireland last week and staying over in London all week. The Browns are finally benching Joe Flacco after a pair of INT`s last week. Dillon Gabriel will get the start and try and spark the Brown`s offense. This plays into a total situation that has been 151-89 O/U. Make the play over the total.

The Military Academies have run the triple option, or version of it for decades. It is a hard offense to defend, because it takes a lot of discipline. That isn't the case when it's Military teams playing each other. These teams practice against it all season, and their entire college careers. When a game is between Academies the total has been 44-12-1 to the under.I like the under in this one.

The Chicago Bears defense is going to be exploited by Geno Smith this week. The Bears are missing a LB and 2 players in their secondary, and the backups are not very good. It will also help that the bears have not been good getting pressure on the QB. Caleb Williams threw 4 TD's last week and all of them came from outside the 10 yard line. He will have more opportunities this week. Both of these teams have been awful defending the pass. These teams have averaged allowing 56ppg combined. I like the over.

This game features a pair of teams that are very banged up. The Niners will likely be without Brock Purdy for this one, and I think Daniel Jones will be looking to complete short passes, and not have time to look long. I think both teams want to limit plays and mistakes in this game, and run the ball a lot. This game fits a situation on certain divisional home favorites that is 226-160-4 to the under. Make the play under the total.

This game is strictly a situational one, as the Bears fit in a 34-3 ATS situation. The play is under the total.

A lot will take a look at this and say the total looks too high based on Nevada averaging less than 15ppg. They have shown signs of being able to move the ball. Nevada also looks bad as they have 7 turnovers in 3 games, and since one of their games was against Penn St., it looks a lot worse that it actually is. Western Kentucky has a good offense, but a horrible defense leading to all 3 of their games playing in the 60s and 3 overs. I like an encore. Make the play on the over.

These teams have both struggled on offense as they combine to average just 35 points a game between them. Marshall is averaging 4.8 yards per play through 3 games, and Middle Tennessee an even worse 3.8 yards per play. Neither team defends the pass well, but between them they average fewer than 300 yards a game. This total looks to be off considerably and I`ll make the play on the under. Marshall is 9-2 to the under when playing on 6 days of rest or fewer on the road. I like the under in this one.

There are a lot of injuries for this game, and picking a side just seems highly risky. One thing that came out of the opener for San Francisco is they ran 71 plays. It was a similar look for New Orleans who ran off 68 plays. Both these teams provided fast offensive tendencies, and history is also siding with a lot of points scored for this one. The injuries have driven the total down by 4 full points. This game fits an over the total situation based on rapid line changes. There is too much money in the arena here, not necessarily tied into expectations or history as I have a 78-37 over situation active here. Make the play over the total.

This game is one of my top total situations. There are several for this game, but this is the best.This game fits a situation that is a sizzling 150-77-2 to the under. Make the play under the total.

The UMass Minutemen joined the FBS back in 2012. They have never won more than 4 games, and has averaged 2 wins a season. Check that against. Iowa who has had 14 straight winning seasons along with 8 or more wins for 9 straight seasons(not counting the covid season back in 2020). This is my go to NCAAF total wager as this game fits a totals situation that is 105-50-2 to the OVER. That is better than 2/1 odds to win on 155 previous games fitting this situation. Make the play OVER the total.

It is week 1 in the NFL and I have found that long term betting situations perform much better than a last year's stat base, incorporating the draft, free agent movement, etc.). There is a high level of variance making those choices. This game has a great game 1 situation that is also very simple. Play the under in week 1 in a game with a road favorite. This has been 95-60-5 to the under since 1995. Make the play on the under.

It is week 1 in the NFL and I have found that long term betting situations perform much better than a last year's stat base, incorporating the draft, free agent movement, etc.). There is a high level of variance making those choices. This game has a great game 1 situation that is also very simple. Play the under in week 1 in a game with a road favorite. This has been 95-60-5 to the under since 1995. Make the play on the under.

There are a lot of historic edges for NFL games, especially in week 1. The Steelers under Mike Tomlin have been a defensive team almost throughout his tenure here. The angle is a solid and long term one. When the Steelers play on the road to a total of less than or equal to 49 they are 49-24 to the under in the last 73 occurrences. Make the play under the total.

It is week 1 in the NFL and I have found that long term betting situations perform much better than a last year's stat base, incorporating the draft, free agent movement, etc.). There is a high level of variance making those choices. This game has a great game 1 situation that is also very simple. Play the under in week 1 in a game with a road favorite. This has been 95-60-5 to the under since 1995. Make the play on the under.

It is week 1 in the NFL and I have found that long term betting situations perform much better than a last year`s stat base, incorporating the draft, free agent movement, etc.). There is a high level of variance making those choices. This game has a great game 1 situation that is also very simple. Play the under in week 1 in a game with a road favorite. This has been 95-60-5 to the under since 1995. Make the play on the under.

Early season data tends to show a lot of bias, and much slimmer margin`s for error. I like to rely on situations that have proven profitable in the early going. Since the start of the 2010 season there is a great situation that plays on high point spreads and low totals. A team posted as a -30 or more favorite to a total of

Last week West Virginia destroyed Robert Morris 45-3. They dominated on the ground as they gained 393 yards on 53 carries. That sets the stage for a ground attack by West Virginia in week 2. Any team that rushes for 315 or more yards and are less than a -10 point favorite to a total that is less than 65 is 587-415-28 to the under. Make the play under the total.

Early season data tends to show a lot of bias, and much slimmer margin`s for error. I like to rely on situations that have proven profitable in the early going. This game fits my best total situation, that has provided substantial profit. Duke fits in a situation that is 112-39-12 to the UNDER. Make this play on the under.

There is a connection to huge point spreads and low totals, that has a long history of being a winner. This game qualifies for a well documented result that has gone 101-47-2 to the over in the last 150 games(68.2%). This applies playing over on the Michigan/New Mexico game.

Here we go, as week 1 in NCAAF is upon us. There is a lot of variance early in the season from expectations, and actual results. I tend to go with some proven historic situations, that have been highly predictive over the years. This game fits a situation that is based on certain prohibitive favorites, to lower type totals. These games have gone 62-19 ATS since 2009. Make the play over the total.

The Texas Rangers are 26-3 to the under at home when the money line is -100 to -150. Make the play on the under.

I am traveling today, and there will be no write ups. The play is on the over.

I am traveling today, and there will be no write ups. The play is on the over.

I am traveling today, and there will be no write ups. The play is on the under.

I am traveling today, and there will be no write ups. The play is on the under

The Oklahoma St. Cowboys have one of the worst pass defenses in the country. The Cowboys are allowing 8.2 yards per pass attempt. The elite Colorado passing attack is averaging 8.4 yards per passing attempt. The best of this Oklahoma St. team is their passing offense which averages 7.4 yards per pass attempt. The Buffaloes are allowing 7.4 yards per pass attempt, and both these teams love to throw the ball. They combine for an average of 76 passes per game, and with the way this match up stacks up as strength vs. weakness on both sides, I would expect to see 85+ passing attempts in this game, with a lot of success. Make the play over the total.

This game fits a total situation that is 107-61 ATS. Make the play under the total.

The LA Chargers have not played any game this season where both teams combined to score more than 44 points. The Chargers elite defense has allowed just 13.1ppg. The Chargers 9 games have averaged a combined 33.8 total points on the season. This total is 14 points greater than that. The Bengals have a good offense, but they have faced mostly bad or below average defensive teams. The Bengals have faced 6 opponents that average ranking #25 in yards per pay allowed. They have faced 4 teams that rank in the top half of the league in defensive yards per play and they have averaged fewer than 25ppg. I like the under in this one.