Final Four Play of the Day

Rating: 5 Units

The Blue Devils come into this game 3-1 ATS in the tournament thus far. They have an astounding +94 edge in scoring margin. The Cougars are 2-1-1 ATS in the tournament and have a scoring margin edge of +16. The Blue Devils' length all over the court has given their opponents fits thus far, and that will be true against the Cougars as well. Houston's ability to protect the ball has been paramount to their success, but the Blue Devils are just as stingy at protecting the basketball. As well as Houston has played defensively, the Blue Devils have been that much better offensively. They are shooting the ball at nearly a 60 percent clip, including nearly 50 percent from 3-point range. The Cougars don't have that kind of firepower on the offensive end. Defensively, while Houston has held the opposition to 37 percent shooting, the Blue Devils have been slightly better, holding teams to 36 percent shooting. Houston would likely be the favorite against each of the other two teams in the Final Four, but this is just a bad matchup for them.

NIT Super Play

Rating: 4 Units

Oddsmakers are making Chattanooga an underdog yet again and we’re going to keep grabbing the points. Chattanooga has not only won every game this tournament as an underdog, but the Mocs have won each of their last eight games as an underdog. Chattanooga has lost just one game since January 25 and is 23-12 ATS on the season overall. UC Irvine is playing winning ball as well and is probably the more talented team overall, especially with its top-40 scoring defense. Still, Chattanooga has thrived in the underdog role time and time again. I’ll keep grabbing the points with Chattanooga.

Tournament Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

These teams have met only once, and it was back in 2018 when Texas Tech won 69-66. Florida proved to be one of the most dominant teams in the NCAA tournament so far and is on a nine-game winning streak, so the Red Radiers will have a mountain to climb in order to advance to the Final Four. The Gators are excellent against the spread this year, and they have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 32 games. I believe that reaching the Elite 8 is the maximum for Texas Tech, and it has a slim chance to participate in the Final Four. Florida is better offensively and are in top form, so I am backing the Gators to win and cover.

Sweet 16 Play of the Day

Rating: 5 Units

I’m staying with Duke. The Blue Devils are a force to be reckoned with these days, and they’re tearing right through the schedule. Duke dispatched a good Baylor team without too much difficulty in their last outing, hitting an excellent 64.4 percent from the field, 54.5 percent (12-of-22) from outside and 82.6 percent (19-of-23) from the line. The only real blemish was the 32-29 rebounding deficit (18-3 offensive), but a lot of that came in relative garbage time.  That makes 73 or more points in 13 straight games (all wins) for Duke. As for Arizona, they were able to power their way past a pesky Oregon squad thanks to 45.5 percent shooting and a 44-37 rebounding edge in their last outing. The Wildcats have posted 86 or more points in four of the last five games (all four were wins), so this one’s got the potential for a very high total. In the end I like Duke to fend off the Wildcats, though.

NIT Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

In this Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs UC-Irvine Anteaters Prediction, UC-Irvine is coming as -7.5-point favorites. UC-Irvine is rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season, and are very good at home, while Jacksonville State is below average on the road. Both teams are coming in good form, as UC Irvine is 7-1 in their last 8 games and 4-1 against the spread in their last 5. UC-Irvine has trouble covering spreads at home, as they are 1-5 against the spread in their last 6 home games. Jacksonville State is 3-1 in their last 4 games, and have been great covering on the road, as they are 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 road games. Given both teams’ recent form, the value here lies with the road dog, as I expect them to keep this large spread close. Take the Jacksonville State Gamecocks and the +7.5 points on the road in this one.

NCAAB Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

This isn’t the same Baylor teams as years past, and that will show up in a big way here. Sure, the ACC hasn’t been as good this season as shown in the NCAA tournament, but I don’t think that takes away from how good this Duke team is. In the last game of the ACC tournament, Duke beat Louisville by 11 points, and they are similar to the Baylor team. It doesn’t matter who it was; Duke ran up the score against anyone, and they will run it up again here. Flagg and company will have a big game, and Duke will end up cruising here. Back Duke against the spread.

NCAAB Play of the Day

Rating; 4 Units

I’m staying with Florida. The Gators have been quite impressive during this win streak, and they’re coming off a dominant win over Norfolk State. In that one Florida shot a nice 48.3 percent from the field with a 41-28 rebounding edge, 20 team assists and 27-of-33 (81.8 percent) from the line. The lone blemish was the 12 turnovers, resulting in 14 Spartans points. Norfolk State has won seven straight games, hitting their stride with 86 or more points in each. As for UConn, they tamped down Oklahoma’s offense in their win this week, giving up just 32.1 percent shooting from the field and posting a 41-34 rebounding advantage. The Huskies are 6-1 in their last seven games, with 72 or more points in each victory. UConn will serve as a stout test for Florida here if the Huskies play well. That said, I like the Gators to power it out in the end and continue their excellent run.

NCAAB Dog of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The Wisconsin Badgers (27-9, 22-13-1 ATS) didn't play their best basketball late in the regular season as they lost three of the final five games. Wisconsin lost to Oregon, Michigan State, and Penn State, but managed to clinch the No. 5 seed for the Big Ten tournament. The Badgers beat Northwestern, UCLA, and the No. 1 Michigan State to reach the conference finals, but Michigan was better 59-53.  Wisconsin is averaging 79.9 PPG (43rd) and is allowing 70.3 PPG (124th). The Badgers are getting 36.6 RPG (129th) and dish out 14.6 APG (123rd). John Tonje is the team’s top performer with 19.1 PPG and 5.3 RPG. John Blackwell has 15.6 PPG, 5.1 RPG, and 2.2 APG, while Steven Crowl contributes 9.9 PPG, 5.3 RPG, and 2.5 APG.

NCAAB Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Texas A&M was able to pick up a comfortable win against Yale in their opening game and they will look to continue their hot shooting here. The Aggies have had problems shooting from the field this season, but they did shoot 51% against Yale. Michigan nearly collapsed in the second half against UC San Diego, with turnovers and poor free throw shooting being a big issue. Michigan has had issues rebounding at times this season and I think that is going to be a big issue for them in this matchup. The Wolverines will need a huge game from Wolf and Goldin in order to keep it close.

Tournament Crusher

Rating: 4 Units

These teams have never met before. UConn has been in better form recently and the Huskies have a stronger defense, which, I believe, will be crucial in this encounter. Oklahoma is good when it comes to covering the spread this season and it managed to cover in each of the previous seven games. The bettors who follow trends would likely back the Sooners to cover, but not me. I can't ignore the fact that the Huskies are back-to-back national champions and that they have experience of playing big games. I am going with UConn.

NCAAB Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

In their only previous meeting back in 2021, Memphis won 90-67 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went over the point total. In this Colorado State Rams vs Memphis Tigers Prediction, Colorado State is coming as -1.5-point favorites. Maybe the wrong team is favored in this matchup, as Memphis had more total wins this season and also more wins away from home than Colorado (10 to 7). Colorado has been one of the hottest teams, if not the hottest team, in the nation lately, with ten consecutive wins, and a perfect 10-0 against the spread in that span. Memphis has also been red-hot lately, with 9 straight wins, but are just 5-5 against the spread. This is going to be a close one, as Colorado’s elite defense goes up against Memphis’ elite offense, but the fact that Memphis has been mediocre against the spread lately, makes me lean towards Colorado State in this one.

NCAAB Upset Special

Rating: 4 Units

In this UC-San Diego Tritons vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, Michigan is coming as -2.5-point favorites. The wrong team is favored in this matchup, as the Tritons have a better record this season, and are one of the best road teams in the nation this season, having 12 wins away from home, while Michigan has 7.  UC-San Diego is better than Michigan both offensively, scoring 1.5 points more, and defensively, allowing 9.6 points less. Michigan has won their last three games, having covered the spread in all, but they had lost their three previous games before that. UC-San Diego is coming off 15 consecutive wins, and are 13-2 against the spread. This is another spot, where the most popular team of the matchup gets to be the favorite, but the value in this matchup lies with the underdog. I like UC-San Diego Tritons to win this one outright, so I will gladly take the +2.5 points in my back pocket.

NCAAB Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Arkansas finished below .500 in SEC play this year, but they won five of their last seven games to sneak into the field. The Razorbacks have some defensive issues for sure, but they can score points very quickly and they have scored at least 80 points in five of their last seven. Kansas had a disappointing season in Big 12 play and they have also had some defensive concerns, as they have allowed 88, 94, and 76 points in their last three games. Kansas has some great non-conference wins, but I can’t trust them with how they have played over the last month. Take Arkansas and the points here.

NCAAB Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

This should be a fantastic matchup to start the Tournament on Thursday afternoon, as both teams lost in their conference championship games. Creighton has won four of their last five games, but they have had consistency issues and barely beat DePaul just three games ago. Louisville has won 11 of their last 12 games, but they had a close call with a below-average Stanford team three games ago. Creighton is the better shooting team and I really like the duo of Kalkbrenner and Ashworth. This is going to be a tight game to the very end, but I think Creighton gets the job done behind a huge game from Kalkbrenner.

CBB Play of the Day

Rating: 3 Units

The regression clouds have been swirling around Ann Arbor for the last month, and this looks like another attractive spot to try and attack the Wolverines. Since January 16, Michigan is 8-3 straight-up but just 2-9 against the spread. Those eight wins have come by: 4 (in OT), 4, 3, 4, 3, 2, 3 and 3 points. Rutgers has covered the spread in each of the last four meetings in this Big Ten matchup. One of those narrow three-point wins that we just mentioned came in Piscataway where Michigan earned a 66-63 win, but Rutgers stayed within the number as a home 'dog. Scarlet Knights' star freshman Dylan Harper did not play in that contest, but he is back in the lineup and scored 25 points with nine assists against USC on Sunday. Michigan has been playing with too much fire over the last month for us to lay a number like this.

Super Bowl Smash

Rating: 5 Units

Consider that Super Bowl favorites of 5 or fewer points (Kansas City) in ‘double rest’ affairs – a week of rest before their first playoff game and a week of rest before the big game – are 5-13 SU and 4-15 ATS and No. 1 seeds in the Super Bowl (Kansas City) are 15-20 SU and 12-21-2 ATS since 1990, including 7-21 SU and 4-13-2 ATS versus non-No.1 seeds. The Eagles hold the highest points per game in the fourth quarter (9.3) this season and rank 13th in the league with first-quarter points per game (5). A slow start could be in order for the Birds. In closing, the Eagles arrived at SB LIX after five consecutive home games – the first time for any Super Bowl squad. Since 1980: Previous Super Bowl teams coming off four successive home games are 5-0 SUATS – all as a dog.

Conference Championship Game of the Month

Rating: 4 Units

Kansas City opened the year with a nice 27-20 home win over the Ravens, but the Chiefs were out-gained by 99 yards. In Week 2, they were out-gained again and needed a walk-off 51-yard field goal against the Bengals. In Week 5, they were in a struggle with the Saints before Derek Carr got knocked out of the game. In Week 16, they were tied with the Texans before Tank Dell's horrific knee injury in the third quarter. Following the Chiefs' Week 11 loss at Buffalo, here's who Kansas City closed the regular season with: Panthers, Raiders, Chargers, Browns, Texans, Steelers and Broncos (when KC benched all of its starters). Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Chiefs played the No. 24 schedule this season (Buffalo's schedule was No. 14). When these teams met in mid-November, Buffalo closed as a 2.5-point home favorite. You certainly have to make an adjustment for homefield advantage, but we'd argue that the Chiefs' power rating should have dropped since then. Depending on what closing number you use in last week's game against the Texans, Kansas City went 3-5-1 against the spread to close the season. Buffalo went 6-3 ATS with wins over the 49ers, Lions, Broncos and Ravens. Why has the Chiefs' rating in the betting market improved? Because they beat the short-handed Texans twice?

Divisional Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

The Lions’ come into this one a massive 14-2 SU and 11-4-1 ATS mark when laying points this campaign. The fact is that any team in the Divisional Round, coming off an upset win as an underdog in the Wild Card Round (Washington), is 0-15 SU and 3-12 ATS as a road dog if they won five or fewer games the previous season.

NFC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

With the Rams having climbed the mountain and now breathing playoff air, and currently 5-10 SU and 4-11 ATS at home against triple-revenging foes, we’re riding the Seahawks as they zero in on a 10-win season, which is what Los Angeles will have if they fall to Seattle today. With that, we’re all over the mad-as-hell triple-avenging division visitor with the better offense and defense. Finally, playing against any .500 or greater NFL team in its final game of the season if they are coming off three consecutive revenge wins is 9-1 ATS.

AFC East Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Most of Miami’s early lack of success is attributable to the loss of QB Tua Tagovailoa in the early portion of the campaign. The Tongan has pled well in division duke-outs with a 13-8 SU and 12-8-1 ATS career mark, including 11-2 SU and 9-4 ATS versus losing division foes. He missed the team’s victory at Cleveland because of a hip injury, and he is questionable this week. This means Tyler “Snoop” Huntley may be making a fifth start for the Dolphins in 2024. The Jets can’t seem to get off the runway in this series, just 2-11 SU and 3-10 ATS since 2018. They are also just 2-10 ATS when coming off double-digit SUATS losses and 2-11 ATS in their last thirteen puppy roles. With the Miami’s 11-2 ATS as a favorite coming off a favorite role in their previous game, it’s time we say goodbye, Mr. Rodgers. Finally, Miami QB Tyler Huntley is 4-1 SUATS in his NFL career against foes coming off consecutive losses, including 3-0 SUATS away

Bowl Game of the Year

Bowl Game of the Year

The Buckeyes are 0-2 under Day vs. Oregon after winning the first nine matchups against the Ducks; however, Ryan is 3-0 ATS in games against foes with a better win percentage. It’s usually a good day for OSU to play unbeaten teams, going 13-7 SU, including 3-0 ATS in games when Ohio State is not unbeaten. The Buckeyes overcame a hostile crowd of Tennessee supporters and some of their fans to rout the SEC opponent to set up, oddly enough, a traditional Rose Bowl if Oregon was still in the Pac-12. Nike founder Phil Knight, the 12th man of the Ducks program, has spent his money wisely on everything from A to Z to get the Ducks to this moment, including a chance to be the first 16-0 team in college football history. Gabriel will get most of the attention, but Oregon RB Jordan James rushed for 1,253 yards and 15 TDs. Tez Johnson is Oregon’s #1 WR, hauling in 10 of Gabriel’s 28 TD tosses. Ohio State QB Will Howard rebounded nicely from the Michigan disaster with a world-class performance versus the Volunteers, and he’s publicly shared his willingness to get another shot at the Ducks, who beat the Bucks by one earlier this year. The game ended with Howard trying to lead a game-winning drive that fell short. You want to avoid falling short on something else: your money. Be warned that bowl teams coming off rest, like the Ducks, are 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS against unrested bowl teams. Finally, teams seeking revenge in bowl games featuring same conference rivals are 6-0 ATS since 1990.

NFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The Bucs hold a 57% chance of breaking through. That improves to 70% with a win here and 85% with a pair of season-ending victories. The good news is they have beat Carolina like a drum of late, winning eight of the last nine meetings while cashing eight of the previous eleven games as a division home favorite of five or more points. In addition, the Panthers are 0-5 SUATS in Game Sixteen of the season in the last five years. Finally, Carolina is 0-9 SU and 2-6-1 ATS versus winning opponents behind QB Bryce Young, including 0-5 SUATS against opponents with an .800 or fewer win percentage.

AFC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Denver can clinch a playoff bid with a win today or next week. It currently holds the 7th and final playoff seed, while Cincinnati holds the No. 9 spot in the AFC playoff chain. Mathematically, Denver enters with a 76% chance of being playoff-bound, while Cincy clings to a scant 4% chance of earning a playoff berth. That improves to 14% with wins today and next week against the Steelers. Don’t tell that to Joe Burrow, though. All he knows is his team is still breathing. We know that Burrow is 9-3-1 ATS in his NFL career against the AFC West, including 5-0 SUATS in the last five games as a host. In addition, the Striped Cats are 3-1-1 ATS on Saturdays, while the Broncos are 1-4 ATS on Saturdays. Finally, the Bengals are 14-4 ATS against .600 or greater non-division opposition with Joe Burrow, including 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS when Cincy enters off a SUATS win.

Bowl Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Remember that SEC bowl favorites are 30-12 SU and 20-11-1 ATS versus Big Ten opponents off a loss, but just 2-8 ATS in bowl games against foes off a SU loss. On the flip side, the 6-6 Trojans were also a major disappointment this season, and Lincoln Riley needs a win here to avoid his first losing season as a head coach. QB Miller Moss was benched mid-season, and Riley will get a good look at Jayden Maiava, who beat Nebraska and UCLA in November. Finally, the good news is that 6-6 bowl teams shine against foes coming off consecutive SUATS losses and are ready to rumble in the post-season. That’s confirmed by the fact that 6-6 bowl teams coming off a pair of SUATS losses are 24-10 ATS, including 12-3 SU and 14-1 ATS with a scoring defense that allows 25 or fewer PPG.

Inter-Conference Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

According to Seahawks’ head coach Mike MacDonald, all signs are positive for Smith heading into this pivotal matchup with the Vikings. If Seattle wins out, they will be the NFC West champions. Minnesota’s issue starts with the fact that they are 0-5 SUATS in Game Fifteen in the last five years. They are also 1-7 outright in the previous eight games in this series (3-5 outright) and 1-6 ATS after hosting a division game. On the flip side, Seattle counters at 9-2 ATS as a dog off a loss against a foe coming off a win as a favorite. Finally, playing against any NFL road favorite from Game Eleven out when off three straight home games if they are coming off a win and failed to beat the spread by 18 or more points is 35-9 ATS.

NFL Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

We realize that having the Cowboys on deck for Philly isn’t as meaningful today as in years past (0-8-1 ATS before Dallas). But that cloud still rests above the Eagles, as in the three games away from Lincoln Financial Field against winning teams (projected playoff teams) this season, Philadelphia is 0-3 ITS (In The Stats) by an average of -117 net yards. With the Commanders 7-1-1 ATS as small home dogs of fewer than five points when coming off a win, and Game Fifteen division home dogs standing 6-1 ATS against foes coming off a win, you know the right side of this game. Finally, NFL home teams coming off a one-point win-no-cover that was preceded by a Bye week are 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS since 2020 when playing with revenge.

CFB Playoff Play of the Day

Rating: 3 Units

The Fighting Irish have a surprising 0-2 SUATS record vs. the Big 10 in bowl games since 2000 and since 1995, an even weirder 1-13 SU and 3-11 ATS in bowls versus .666 teams. The IU numbers are sweeter than a Hoosier Sugar Cream Pie, with Cignetti 30-6 all time vs. FBS and 6-1 SUATS vs teams .750 or greater and 5-1 ATS coming off a win over 48 plus points. IU has lived off the brilliant play of Manning Award fi nalist Kurtis Rourke (27 TD 4 INT and his top target Elijah Sarret, who rode along to Bloomington with Cignetti from James Madison. The Irish turn to veteran QB Riley Leonard (16 passing TDs and 14 rushing) plus the strong legs of Jeremiyah Love, who has scored in each game this season. The victory formula is simple: the winner of the run game vs. run defense battle should prevail. Consider that Bowl dogs who score 56 or more in their final regular season game are 5-1 SUATS since 1990, including 5-0 SUATS if they gave up 27 points or fewer on the season.

Inter-Conference Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

We know one thing for sure: at 7-6, they are currently +54 in overall point differential. Just ahead of them is 12-1 Kansas City at +56. It sure looks like a massive injustice to us. The Chargers are in the No. 6 slot in the AFC Playoff picture but are currently riding a 4-game ITS (In The Stats) losing skein). That finds them “leaking oil” as a favorite in this contest. We realize Tampa’s recent wins have come against the likes of the Giants, Panthers, and Raiders (7-32 combined this season), but the Bucs are 9-3 SU and 9-2-1 ATS in the second of consecutive AFC confrontations, including 4-0 ATS away. Meanwhile, the Chargers are 2-15-1 ATS after losing to the Chiefs when they sport a .454 or greater win percentage. Finally, Bucs’ QB Baker Mayfield is 16-2 ATS as a dog in his NFL career against opponents coming off a loss, including 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS from Game Nine out.

AFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Miami thawed out in time last week following their visit to Green Bay when they edged the Jets in overtime. They’ll invade Houston knowing they are 7-1 SUATS in post-Jets jousts. They are also 19-5 SU and 15-8-1 ATS, coming off a win behind Tua Tagovailoa when the Dolphins are facing a .615 or fewer opponent, as well as 5-1-1 ATS versus rested foes.  Houston is riding an 0-8-2 ATS ledger from Game Thirteen out when coming off a win of seven or fewer points. Finally, Miami is 14-8 SU and 14-7-1 ATS from Game Thirteen out during the regular season when both teams are coming off a win, including 5-0 SUATS with a .500 or fewer win percentage.

Inter-Conference Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

We love to fade coaches, players, and teams coming off record-setting efforts in their previous games. And one could hardly blame them for casting an eye on the Lions next week. The Bills are 0-5-1 ATS in the first of consecutive road games, while the Rams are 5-0 ATS in Game Thirteen of the season. With the Bills scoring 30-plus points in each of its last six games and the Butt Heads having surrendered 30-plus points in only two games this season, we can’t help but feel the air coming out of the Bills today. Finally, Rams head coach Sean McVay is 33-18 SU and 32-18-1 ATS from Game Twelve out versus .823 or greater opponents, including 9-3 ATS as a dog of six or fewer points.

NFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Arizona is currently 4on the outside looking in from the No. 9 slot. The Achilles heel of the Seahawks is its inability to run the ball, No. 28 in the league, as opposed to the Cardinal sporting the league’s No. 6 rushing attack. Additionally, the Seahawks are 30-61 ATS in division games in which they are outrushed during the regular season and 17-48 ATS as either a favorite or a dog of fewer than five points.

Conference Championship Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Defending MAC champs are 1-6 ATS and 1-7 SU when trying to repeat. Since 2006, Miami is 5-14 SU and 7-11-1 ATS when Ohio brings a .666-win percentage into the game. Additionally, MAC title dogs are 16-6-1 ATS and 7-1 ATS vs. teams coming off back-to-back SU and ATS wins. Finally, MAC dogs are 16-6-3 in conference championship games, including 8-1-1 ATS if they surrendered 21 or fewer points in their last game.

Inter-Conference Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Since entering the NFL in 2020, Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert has 19,627 passing yards and can surpass Jameis Winston (19,737 passing yards) for the second-most passing yards by a player in his first five seasons in NFL history. Only Pro Football Hall of Famer Peyton Manning (20,618 passing yards) has more. Falcons QB Kirk Cousins checks in at 11-4 ATS in his NFL career as a dog when his team is coming off back-to-back losses, including 9-1 ATS in the last ten games. Not only is Atlanta 5-1 ATS when coming off a Bye week, but the Chargers are 1-10 ATS versus foes coming off a Bye week.

AFC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

The Steelers are 5-0 this season against teams that are currently above .500, but just 3-3 against teams that are under .500. Adding salt to the wound, over the past 30 years, NFL teams were 107-1 when holding their opponent to one or fewer first downs and forcing at least three turnovers while also totaling at least 350 yards of offense. The Steelers did all those things on Thursday night and still lost, which means that the NFL teams are now 107-2 in that situation. With the 4-7 Bengals one loss from having the final nail pounded into its coffin by the 8-3 Steelers, we need to consider that Pittsburgh is 0-4 ATS against foes coming off a Bye week while Cincinnati is 3-0 ATS when coming off a Bye week

CFB Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Marshall is only 3-7 ITS (In The Stats) this campaign, while JMU is 9-2 ITS. Hmm, something looks off here. Meanwhile, Jimmy is plenty mad just about now, sporting the better numbers while looking up at Marshall in the Sun Belt standings. While they can’t make it to the title game, they can get a large measure of revenge in their Last Home Game from a 26-2 loss they suffered here as double-digit chalk when the Herd last visited in 2022. The Mad Men are 2-0 SUATS in regular season finales since joining the FBS, winning by an average margin of 41 points per game. FYI: Last season, they dropped their LHG, 26-23, as a double-digit favorite to Appalachian State. They won’t make the same mistake this year since Marshall is 2-10 SUATS in the second of consecutive away games, including 1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS versus sub .750 foes

CFB Mismatch of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The Dame is 0-3-1 ATS in the last four as favorites of 10 or fewer points, 1-5 ATS with single revenge, and 3-6 ATS in this series with a .900 or greater win percentage. Ugh. While USC  is 7-2 ATS in Last Home Games and 8-3-1 ATS as a dog in Last Home games, including 6-0 ATS with a sub .600 win percentage. Don’t forget about head coach Lincoln Riley, who stands 9-4-1 ATS as a dog, including 4-0-1 ATS with a sub .700 win percentage. Consider that playing against Notre Dame in its final game of the regular season if they own a .900 or greater win percentage and they are facing a foe who allows fewer then 22 PPG is 6-0 ATS.

NFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Frisco is 6-1 ATS after hosting a division foe and 5-0 SUATS in Game Eleven of the season. Green Bay counters at 9-0 ATS in its last eleven games against AFC West opposition and 6-0 ATS after playing on the division road in its previous game. The Niners shine in underdog roles, going 63-26-4 ATS when taking points in games where they rushed for 110 or more yards. Finally, when San Francisco is an underdog and rushes the ball for 150 or more rush yards, they zoom to 36-4-1 ATS. And that’s where we’ll be this today

Big-12 Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

After a puzzling 27-3 loss to Arizona, the 4-4 Cougars will need to pull off a pair of wins in their final two games to take first-year head coach Willie Fritz to a bowl game – a win here and next week at BYU. This will be Houston’s last game at TDECU Stadium, and that’s a plus for the Cats, who are 9-3 SU and 8-4 ATS in home finales, including 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS when they surrender fewer than 24 points per game. The real trouble for the Bears is a defense that has allowed 36 points per game in its last seven games. Now, coming off four consecutive revenge wins in a row, we need to consider that playing against any college football team from Game Ten out coming off three consecutive revenge wins in a row if they are facing a .400 or greater opponent is 18-37-2 ATS in this role. When dressed as favorites of 8 or fewer points, they slip to 9-27-1 ATS, including 1-12 ATS if they won three or fewer games last season.

SEC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

A bunch of good numbers suggests UK might get the money even if they don’t win on the scoreboard. The Cats are 6-0 ATS in LRG (Last Road Games), 6-1 ATS as conference dogs of 14 or more points, and 6-2 ATS away versus an .850 or better league foe. Meanwhile, hidden within the layers of the Longhorns’ 9-1 record is the troubling fact that head coach Steve Sarkisian is just 10-16-1 ATS when coming off back-to-back wins and facing foes who allow fewer than 24 points per game, including 5-12-1 ATS from Game Six out. The line is hovering around three TDs at the moment, but if you’re still having second thoughts about backing the 4-6 Wildcats with their backs to the bowl wall, then consider that Kentucky is 18-5 outright and 18-4 ATS when coming off a non-conference home game, including 9-1 SU and 10-0 ATS away.

SNF Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

The Bengals enter with a super-sharp 11-2 ATS mark as a dog after dressing up as a favorite the previous game and 9-2 ATS when coming off a loss and facing a foe coming off a win. They are also 9-0 ATS against AFC West opposition coming off a SUATS win, and 9-2 ATS after surrendering 35 or more points. On the other side of the field, the Bolts are 1-11 ATS as non-division home chalk of four or fewer points, 4-7 outright, and 2-9 ATS in Game Ten of the season, including 1-8 ATS as a favorite. Finally, QB Joe Burrow is 15-6 ATS as a road dog in his NFL career, including 5-0 ATS against foes coming off a SUATS win.

Big-10 Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Wisconsin head coach Luke Fickell is 44-11 outright at home in his career, including 27-2 in games in which his team is surrendering fewer than 17.5 PPG. And when it comes to being cast in the role of big home underdog, Bucky has cashed in four of the last five tries when getting 14 or fewer points in Madison. Hopefully, someone with the Oregon contingent will see fit to mention the passing of the great John Robinson, who was a player and coach for the Ducks before moving on to USC and the Los Angeles Rams. With the Ducks eyeing up a double-revenge affair next week against the Huskies, we expect to see some feathers ruffled before they escape tonight. If you need more, there is always the fact that playing against any 10-0 CFB favorite in Game Eleven if they are facing a .555 or greater is 21-3 ATS.

Big-12 Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

What a difference a year makes: the Utes were the unanimous choice to win the Big 12, while the Buffaloes were the No. 11 choice. And now Kyle Whittingham and company are getting doubles in this matchup? We don’t think so, not with the Utes controlling the series of late, going 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings, including 4-0 ATS at Folsom Field. Utah is also 10-2 ATS when coming off an outright home dog loss and 24-6 ATS as a dog of 7 or more points under Kyle Whittingham, including 18-2 ATS versus foes that allow 17 or more PPG. Bad before-and after numbers plague the Buffaloes, who are 0-3 ATS after Texas Tech and 1-7 ATS before Kansas. The bottom line is that this is too many points to lay to the Utes, and consider that Colorado is 2-11 outright in this series, with the two wins coming by a combined total of 8 points

TNF Game of the Month

Rating: 4 Units

The Eagles have struggled lately at home as chalk in division games, just 9-10 SU and 7-12 ATS against greater than .666 foes, including 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS when coming off a double-digit ATS win. They are also 2-11 ATS when coming off a SUATS win and facing a foe coming off a SUATS loss. Conversely, the Commanders bring a 12-2 ATS mark in Game Elevens into the game when playing on the road. They have also been 11-4-2 ATS lately in Philly, including 5-1 ATS with a winning record. Finally, Washington head coach Dan Quinn is 11-6 SU and 12-5 ATS as a dog of fewer than 4 points with an Over/Under total in the game at 54 or fewer points, including 6-1 SUATS when his team owns a .555 or greater win percentage.

AFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The Bills are smoking hot with four straight wins in pursuit of a fifth consecutive AFC East division title. The hiccup today, though, is they are looking dead ahead to a rematch with Kansas City next week from a 27-24 home favorite playoff loss last season. That’s not good news for a team that is 2-11 outright away in games before taking on the Chiefs, including 0-4 SU and 0-3-1 ATS in the last four tries. They are also 1-8 SUATS at AFC sites, including 0-5 SUATS in the previous five. On the opposite side of the field, the Colts are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games against AFC East opposition and 8-1 SUATS in Game Ten of the season, including 8-0 ATS when not favored by double-digits. Buffalo's horrible 4.8 Yards Per Rush defense is no match for the Colts’ 4.6 Yards Per Rush offense. Finally, the Bills are 1-9-1 ATS after scoring 30-plus points in their previous three games, including 3-6 SU and 0-8-1 ATS as a favorite.

Inter-Conference Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Pittsburgh QB Wilson brings a 111.9 QB Rating in his two starts with Pittsburgh, thanks to three TD passes and zero INTs. That adds to the Black-and-Gold’s 5-0 ATS record in its last five games on the NFC road and 4-0 ATS mark when coming off a Bye week. The Commanders in a division sandwich, are 0-6-1 ATS in games before facing Philadelphia, and 1-5-1 ATS after taking on the Giants. Finally, the Steelers QB Russell Wilson is 18-4-1 ATS as a dog against opponents coming off back-to-back wins his NFL career, including 11-0-1 ATS as a dog of four or fewer points.

Big-12 Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The Utes are on a rare 4-game losing streak and are clearly nowhere near the national contender we expected them to be entering the season, many good numbers are supporting them this week. Utah is 9-1 ATS as a dog in this series, 4-0 ATS in Game Nine, and 4-2 versus the number with rest. Finally, Tte Utes are 20-2-1 ATS as a dog when coming off a SUATS loss, including 5-0 ATS versus undefeated foes.?

SEC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Alabama is just 1-4 ATS off a home shutout win and 2-4 ATS versus single conference revenge, while new coach Kalen DeBoer stands 2-5 ATS versus .500 or greater opponents coming off a loss, including 0-4 ATS versus foes who allow 23.2 or fewer points per game. On the opposite end of the spectrum, Brian Kelly’s Tigers are 6-1 ATS off a SU loss of 14 or more points, 11-2 ATS with single conference revenge, and 6-2 ATS versus a rested foe. LSU is also 25-6 SU and 18-7 ATS during the regular season when coming off one loss, including 15-3 SUATS versus foes who allow more than 18.5 points per game. Finally, LSU is 16-2-1 ATS as a dog off a SUATS loss versus a foe off a win as a favorite who allows more than 12 points per game, including 10-0 ATS the last ten games.

NFC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Detroit is 6-1 for the first time since 1956. And with it, over their last four games, the Lions are now averaging 43 points per game. While being out-yarded in half of its six wins this season. It smells an awful lot like a regression to the mean, which could be in the offing for the crew from the Motor City. With the Packers 6-2 ATS against .850 or greater opponents, we smell a live dog. Finally, Green Bay is 8-4 SU and 9-3 ATS versus .800 or greater opponents, including 7-0 ATS as a dog when the Packers own a .400 or greater win percentage.

AFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Baltimore currently rank dead last in the league in overall pass defense at 291.4 YPG, yards per pass play at 291.4, and No. 25 in overall team defense at 361.3 yards per game. Toss in that two of their three losses have come at the hands of the Raiders and Browns, 4-12 combined, and you can see the holes. They enter today’s game at just 1-7 ATS as a non-division home favorite of seven or more points. Enter the upstart Broncos, led by fi rst-year QB Bo Nix, who owns more wins than any rookie Denver quarterback in team history. Toss in the Broncos’ ballsy 7-1 ATS ledger as a dog of seven or more points, and we’ve nailed our side in this game. Finally, Denver HC Payton shines as a dog of more than three points, going 24-8-1 ATS in his career, including 7-0 ATS in games with an Over/Under total of 44 or fewer points. 

Big-10 Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

USC HC, Riley, is 8-20 ATS when favored on the road, including 1-10 ATS versus foes coming off consecutive losses. Washington is also 8-0 In the Stats, which puts them as a ‘play on’ dog.  Finally, Lincoln Riley is 4-18 ATS away versus conference foes coming off consecutive losses, including 0-7 ATS against foes who won seven or more games during the regular season last year

SEC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

South Carolina has limited four of their last six foes to season-low yardage, while the Aggies have been out yarded in each of their last two victories and three of their last four games overall. Texas A&M is 1-4 ATS away versus single conference revenge and a 4-13 ATS as a Game Seven conference favorite. The Gamecocks, though, are 4-1 ATS of late when playing after a week of rest off a SU win. With the Aggies coming off that huge conference revenge victory over LSU, we back this Homecoming dog. Finally, Texas A&M is 2-10 SU and 2-9-1 ATS in its last dozen road games, including 0-8 SU and 1-6-1 ATS against winning opponents.

NFC Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Chicago’s Caleb Williams continues to win games impressively in his own right. His 88.7 QB Rating tops Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes as he is now 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS to start his NFL career. He’ll need to overcome the Bears’ 2-8 ATS record in games following a Bye week. Meanwhile, the Commanders are 6-0-1 ATS in games after playing the Panthers and 6-2 ATS in this series. Washington head coach Dan Quinn is 10-3 ATS coming off a win versus foes coming off consecutive wins, including 6-1-1 ATS when his team sports a greater than .666 win-percentage Finally, NFL teams returning home coming off an outright upset win in London are 2-9 SU and 3-8 ATS, including 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS on the road

AFC Division Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Indianapolis is 6-1 ATS when seeking double revenge and 6-1 ATS as a conference dog of four or more points. Houston is 0-4 ATS at home when coming off back-to-back road games and 1-5 ATS mark of late as division home chalk. Additionally, playing on any NFL home favorite who went from last place to first place in its division the previous season are 47-72-3 ATS since 2004, including 36-69-2 ATS, when dressing up as a favorite of -3 or more points and when they are facing a division foe, they falter to 11-33 ATS. Throw in the fact if they are facing a division foe with the ‘Over / Under’ total in the game set at more than 41 points, they fall to 4-20 ATS.

SEC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Both of these teams lost their season opener, but LSU is really rounding into form and is now on a six-game win streak. Additionally, LSU is 14-2 ATS in the second of back-to-back games, including 10-3 SU and 13-0 ATS versus greater than .400 opponents. Unfortunately, A&M is also 0-9 ATS in this series when coming off consecutive wins and just 3-7 as conference home chalk of less than 5 points. Finally, SEC road dogs are 14-3 ATS this season, including 13-2 ATS in conference games.

Big-10 Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Unit

Franklin is 0-3 SUATS in his career away during the regular season games with rest against greater than .666 opponents. Wisconsin is 4-0 ATS at home in this series when both teams are off a win. Finally the Badgers are 14-2 ATS as a conference home dog with a .700 or greater win percentage, including 13-0 ATS as a dog of more than two points.

MNF Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

The Ravens have been ravenous since their 0-2 start, going 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS, and 4-0 ATS in their last four games while chewing up and spitting out anyone in their path. They are also 8-2 SU and 8-1-1 ATS on the Monday Night Road, while the visiting team in this series is 6-0 ATS. The Bucs have held their own at home, winning outright in their last three games as a home dog, but a 2-6 ATS ledger on Monday nights keeps the Bay at bay. Finally, Tampa Bay QB Baker Mayfield is 8-15-1 ATS at home in his NFL career against foes coming off a win, including 1-12-1 ATS versus opponents that were favored by two or more points in their last game.

SNF Prime Time Game of the Week

SNF Prime Time Game of the Week

The Jets travel to the Steel City Sunday Night knowing they are 0-5 ATS in the first of back-back- away games, as well as 7-13 SU and 8-12 ATS in their last twenty Sunday Night games, including 0-11 SU and 2-9 ATS when coming off a loss. Mike Tomlin is opting to start Russell Wilson behind center this evening, knowing he is 37-21-3 ATS as a dog in his NFL career, including 11-6-1 ATS of late (4-0 ATS at home). Finally, the Jets are 0-13-1 ATS in games after facing the Bills

SEC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

The Gators beat Kentucky 31 straight times, but since then, the Wildcats have taken four of the last six thanks to a defense-first mentality that can break an opponent; this year’s edition is ranked #4 in the nation at 251.5 ypg. Under Beleaguered Billy Napier, UF is 3-9 outright from Game Six on. Kentucky already smoked Ole Miss despite being a 15-point underdog and battled CFP contender Georgia to the tape before the Bulldogs prevailed. Finally, Mark Stoops is 8-3 ATS off an outright loss as a favorite, including 4-0 SUATS against .500 or greater opponents.

Big-10 Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The defending National Champions are 17-24-1 ATS as road favorites versus .833 or greater opponents. Add to that an 0-3 spread record coming off a double-digit SU loss and a 3-8-1 ATS mark with rest, and we start to have the makings of a solid case for the Fightin’ Illini, who have covered the last three meetings in this series. The Illini are also 3-1 versus conference opponents with rest, 9-2 ATS coming off a conference home game, and 8-3-1 ATS at home versus .666 or greater opponents, including 3-0 ATS with a winning record. Finally, playing on any unrested 5-1 college football underdog of 7 or fewer points in Game Seven if they are off one win that was preceded by a loss is 14-2 ATS.

NFL Upset of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Sitting on the home side of the field is a two-loss team that was not only the preseason favorite to win its division but is also 13-3-1 ATS as a home dog in non-division games with an inferior record since 2001. Head coach Mike McCarthy is 103-43-2 SU and 81-62-5 ATS at home in his NFL career, including 31-11-2 ATS against NFC North opponents. The newly minted Lions are just 6-9 outright in their last fifteen games against the NFC East and 6-14-1 ATS as road favorites of seven or fewer points against opponents coming off consecutive wins. Additionally, Detroit is 10-19-1 ATS as a favorite in games before taking on division rival Minnesota. Finally, Dallas is 10-1 ATS as a home dog when coming off a SU underdog win.

Inter-Conference Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

The Black Birds have struggled against the NFC East, just 4-8-1 ATS, including 0-4 SUATS against those coming off a win. In addition, Baltimore brings a weak 12-20 ATS ledger into this contest as a home favorite when coming off three wins. Coming off a nail-biting win over division rival Cincinnati, with a Monday Night game on deck, should find them less focused today. Washington is the first team since the 1970 AFL-NFL merger to average 30 points through five games while starting a rookie quarterback (Jayden Daniels). They are also 10-3 ATS as non-division road dogs. Finally, Washington head coach Dan Quinn is 14-5 SU and 15-4 ATS as a dog when his team is coming off a win, including 5-0 ATS as a dog of six or more points.

CFB Dog of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

The visitor in this series has covered the number three straight times. In addition, Zona is 4-1 ATS versus an undefeated conference opponent, and they are 4-1 ATS as conference dogs of less than 8 points. The Cougars have opened with five straight wins. However, BYU is just 3-12 ATS with rest and 3-9 versus the number as home chalk of less than 8 points. Finally, Arizona head coach Brent Brennan is 4-0 ATS in his career as a dog versus undefeated foes when his team allows fewer than 24.5 PPG.

ACC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

The Ramblin’ Wreck is just 3-9 SU and 2-10 ATS as road chalk over the last ten years, including 0-7 ATS versus .500-or-greater opponents. Tech is also 4-8 SU and 2-9-1 ATS as a favorite against opponents seeking revenge (they beat UNC, 46-42, as a 12-point dog last season). Meanwhile, North Carolina is 3-3 this season, after a 3-0 start, however head coach Mack Brown is 9-3 ATS at home with a .500 exact record, including 6-0 ATS in conference games against .666 or greater opponents.

AFC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

In the past four seasons, Houston has been 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS against the AFC East. With the Bills chomping at the bit to get back on the winning track and is 17-4-1 ATS away off an away loss, including 11-1 ATS against foes coming off an ATS loss. Finally, Buffalo is 11-2 SUATS away behind QB Josh Allen after allowing 24 or more points in its previous game, including 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS versus non-division foes

NFL International Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

The last time the Vikes started 4-0, that squad managed to finish only 8-8 and missed the playoffs. Furthermore, QB Sam Darnold has struggled in today’s role, going 4-11 SUATS versus AFC East and 4-10 SUATS away against foes coming off a loss. Jets QB Aaron Rodgers has a propensity of bouncing back off the carpet when his team lost its last game outright as a favorite, going 26-14 SUATS throughout his NFL career, including 10-2 ATS as a dog. Note the Vikes have won their previous three games as an underdog, understanding that playing against any NFL non-division favorite that is coming off three outright wins in a row as an underdog if the Over/Under total in the game is 37 or more points is 17-2 ATS.

CFB Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Miami is 1-9 ATS off a SU win but an ATS loss, just 3-10 versus the spread as conference road chalk of less than 12 points, and 3-9 ATS in Game 6. This could very well be a flat spot for Miami as they probably should have lost that game against Tech and now must be ready to play in front of a raucous Game Day crowd in Berkeley, which undoubtedly will be high from an entire day of partying. Finally, the Golden Bears are 8-2 ATS as home dogs of more than 6 points and 8-3 against the number when coming off a SUATS conference road loss.

SEC Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Tennessee head coach is just 9-16 ATS versus conference opponents coming off a loss., including 4-12 ATS as a favorite of 13 or more points. The Vols are also 6-11 ATS as conference favorites when playing with rest, including 1-6 ATS when Tennessee is undefeated. On the other side of the coin, the Hogs are 6-1 ATS in the last seven match ups in this series, and overall, they are 8-2 ATS as conference home dogs of less than 14 points. In addition, Arkansas head coach Sam Pittman is an outstanding underdog going 20-8 ATS with his team, including 14-2 ATS in games when his team is allowing fewer than 26 PPG.

SNF Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Now that they’ve avoided what the Bengals could not, an 0-3 start, they will be balls-to-the-wall focused on making up for lost time, and what better foe to start with than the scintillating 3-0 Bills? With that, Buffalo brings an 0-3-1 ATS mark in the first of consecutive road games and a 1-4 ATS record in games when coming off a Monday nighter into this game. On the flip side, the Ravens are 3-0-1 ATS as of late in this series, as well as 10-3-1 ATS in their last fourteen slugfests against the AFC North. The bottom line is that we don’t see the Ravens giving last week’s win away. Finally, 3-0 teams in Game Four that were in the playoffs last season, are 1-12 SU and 3-10 ATS as a road dog, including 0-9 SU and 1-8 ATS against foes coming off a win

AFC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Let's start with the fact that 3-0 NFL road teams in Game Four of the season are just 6-13 SU and 5-13-1 ATS if they were a playoff team last season and have won less than half of their previous 32 away games outright. In addition, the Indy is 7-1 ATS at home against the AFC North foes coming off a win, while Pitt is 0-6-1 ATS as a road favorite of fewer than five points at AFC South sites. Finally, .333 NFL home dogs of more than one point in Game Four of the season, coming off a win, are 10-5 SU and 12-2-1 ATS against foes coming off consecutive wins, including 7-0 ATS versus foes coming off a double-digit victory.

SEC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Ole Miss is 1-6 against the number as conference home chalk of more than 10 points and an equally sad 1-6 ATS versus an SEC opponent with triple revenge.  The visitor in this series is 3-0 ATS, while Kentucky is 3-0 SUATS in their 1st road game and 3-0 ATS in Game 5. In addition, the Wildcats are 4-1 ATS before a Week of Rest, 7-2 ATS as dogs of more than 11 points, and 3-1 ATS in their last four contests with triple revenge. The Wildcats own a wondrous 15-1 ATS record when coming off a non-conference contest and are facing a.500 or greater opponent. Finally, Kentucky head coach Mark Stoops is 17-5 ATS with a .500 or greater record versus undefeated foes, including 11-0 ATS against foes coming off a SUATS win.

Big-12 Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Game Five matchups of 3-1 teams - each coming off a loss – the visiting team is just 2-8 ATS, including 0-7 ATS if they surrender more than 17 points per game. Another important stat to note is the fact that the host is 6-0 ATS in this series. K-State is also 4-1 ATS with single conference revenge and 4-1 ATS as Big 12 favorites of less than a TD. Finally, Kansas State is 21-4-1 ATS when coming off a double-digit ATS loss, including 18-0 ATS when the Wildcats sport a .375 or greater win percentage.

MNF Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Cincinnati is 15-3-1 ATS in Game Three of the season, including 4-0-1 ATS under Taylor. They are also 4-1-1 ATS under the Monday Night lights in the last six home games. Conversely, the Commanders saw vast improvement as a passer from rookie QB Jayden Daniels when he completed 23 of 29 passes (79%) for 226 yards and 0 interceptions the previous week. He also ran for 44 yards on ten carries. The problem is the Commanders are just 2-10 ATS after hosting a division foe and 0-5-1 ATS in games after tackling the Giants. Finally, Cincinnati HC is 19-8 SU in Game Three out going 19-8 SU and 21-6 ATS – including a jaw-dropping 18-0 SU and 17-1 ATS in the last eighteen games against foes coming off a SUATS win.

AFC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Harbaugh is now 51-22-1 in all NFL games as an NFL head coach, with a 35-13 SU and 32-13-2 ATS record in non-division contests, including 17-4-2 ATS away and 8-2-1 ATS as a dog. Additionally, the visiting team is 5-0 ATS in this series, and the Bolts bring a 7-1-1 ATS log into this game in the second of back-to-back road games. Conversely, 2-0 Pittsburgh has been living on borrowed time, having been outgained in its two victories. They are also just 4-14 ATS as favorites against the AFC West, including 0-4 ATS versus greater than .700 foes. Finally, Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU and 0-5-1 ATS in its first home game of the season.

CFB Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

The Wildcats are 12-11-2 ATS, including 3-7 ATS versus .700 or greater foes. KSU is 7-1 ATS after a Weekday game but just 2-6 ATS as conference road chalk of 12 or fewer points. In addition, Kleiman has a revenge payback on deck against Oklahoma State. On the flip side, BYU is 4-1 ATS at home off back-to-back road games and 18-5 ATS as a dog, including 11-1 ATS over the last twelve games. Finally, BYU head coach Kalani Sitake is 9-4 SU and 10-3 ATS in games when both teams are undefeated, including 10-1 ATS versus foes coming off a double-digit win.

SEC Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

This is the fourth of a five-game season-opening homestand for Auburn, with Oklahoma on deck. Teams in such a role are just 3-9-1 ATS when hosting foes coming off a double-digit win, including 0-4-1 ATS when not favored by six or more points. Last year’s 52-3 home loss to the Tigers was the second-worst in head coach Sam Pittman’s career with Arkansas. Pittman is 18-8 versus the number as a dog, including 9-1 ATS when taking six or fewer points. Finally, Arkansas is 7-1 ATS as a road dog with revenge under head coach Sam Pittman, including 7-0 ATS in games in which the Razorbacks are not undefeated.

AFC Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Cincinnati does not often trip up as dogs under Joe Burrow, going 17-8-2 ATS overall. They are also 5-0-1 ATS against foes coming off a Thursday contest and 13-3 ATS away versus the AFC West. Meanwhile, the Chiefs enter off last Thursday’s physical battle with Baltimore, knowing they are 1-7 ATS as favorites after the Ravens rumbles. Additionally, the defending Super Bowl champions are a lethargic 12-24 ATS mark as favorites in Game Two of the season. Finally, Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow is 14-2 SUATS in his NFL career against foes coming off a SUATS win, including 7-0 SUATS away.

NFL Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

The Darnold era now in full gear in the Twin Cities, it’s good to know that he is 10-7 ATS as a home dog, including 4-2 ATS in games with a total of 45 or more points. In addition, the host in this series is on 6-0 ATS while the Niners enter just 6-9 SU and 5-10 ATS in their last fifteen regular season battles with the NFC North. Finally, playing against the defending Super Bowl loser as a non-division road favorite of more than 3 points with a .700 or greater win percentage versus a .500 or greater foe if the Over/Under total is 45 or less is 10-1 ATS.

SEC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Georgia checks in with a 2-10 ATS effort before a Week of Rest and a 1-4 ATS mark as SEC road chalk of 14 or more. Coach Smart is 59-14 SU and 42-31 ATS in SEC battles, but he’s only 6-12 ATS as a conference favorite of 23 or more points. He is also 0-6 ATS as a favorite of 24 or more points when coming off a win of 35 or more points and with Alabama on deck (in two weeks). Additionally, Kentucky is 8-2 ATS as a dog of 17 or more points when seeking revenge under Mark Stoops, including 5-0 ATS versus foes coming off a win.

CFB Inter-Conference Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Roadrunners are 5-1 ATS in the second of consecutive road trips and also 5-1 ATS as dogs of more than 20 points.  Jeff Traylor is 8-4 SU and 10-2 ATS when coming off a double-digit loss, including 10-0 ATS over the last ten games. The Horns are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 non-conference home games but just 1-5 ATS in the first of 3 straight contests in Austin. Texas laid 13.5 points in their previous meeting with UTSA here in 2022. Finally, Texas head coach Steve Sarkisian is 3-9-1 ATS in his career when his team is coming off two wins, including 3-7 SU and 0-9-1 ATS when facing .500 or greater opponents.

4* Inter-Conference Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Chicago is just 2-8 outright in its last ten season-opening games, as well as 3-7 SU and 3-6-1 ATS in its last ten contests against the AFC South. In addition, first overall picks of the draft starting a game as a QB in Week 1 are just 2-21 ATS, including 0-14-1 ATS in their debut game since 2003.

5* NFL Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

These teams have gone 49-81-1 SU and 52-74-5 ATS combined since 1980, including 4-17 ATS as division -favorites. The Colts are a putrid 2-13-1 SU and 1-15 ATS in season openers, but they never squared off against a “TLN” in any of those games. However, Houston is 1-8 SU in its last nine road openers, including 0-6 in the last six games

NCAAF Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

After last week’s systematic dismantling of Georgia Southern, the Broncos head to Autzen Stadium with a 3-0 SUATS series record, and they catch Oregon with hated rival Oregon State on deck. Boise has shined on the road in Game Twos, going 18-7 SU and 15-9-1 ATS, including 6-0 ATS as a pick or dog and 5-0-1 ATS when coming off an away game. Sooner or later, someone’s going to awaken the sleeping giant, but we can’t lay points like this with a team that is 11-29-1 ATS as a double-digit home favorite against foes coming off a win, including 3-11 ATS against undefeated nonconference opponents. Finally, Boise State is 19-5-1 ATS as a dog versus .750 or greater opponents, including 5-0 ATS as a double-digit dog.

SEC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Kentucky has turned the offense over to former Georgia QB Brock Vandergriff, whose debut against Southern Mississippi was adequate, especially with multiple weather delays. How UK fares in SEC play will be almost entirely on his shoulders. But Brock has some help on the sidelines. Stoops is 16-2 SU and 12-6 ATS as a home favorite coming off a home game and down the stretch and Kentucky is 15-0 ATS coming off a nonconference game when facing a .500 or greater opponent.

ACC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Boston College has a significant revenge chip on its shoulder from a 31-29 home loss last season – a game in which the Eagles outgained the Seminoles 434-340. Anything remotely resembling that performance should improve their 4-1 ATS mark in Game One versus a conference opponent, 3-1 ATS record in this series, and 12-3 ATS log when playing on the road with ACC revenge. Finally, playing on any CFB underdog with revenge in its first game of the season facing a foe in its second game of the second game of the season if the foe won 10+ games last season is 14-2-1 ATS.

NCAAF Game of the Week

The Nittany Lions laid a 38-15 whipping on the Mountaineers, a bludgeoning in which a coach who owns a 12-6-2 ATS career mark in games as a dog can return the favor. His counterpart, PSU coach James Franklin, stands 2-2 SUATS in season-opening road games, with the two wins by six and four points. Finally, West Virginia is 19-1 outright in its last twenty home openers.

NFLX Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

The Broncos have moved the ball well over their previous two showings, and their defense was outstanding against the Packers in Week 2. On the other side, the Cardinals have struggled with discipline thus far. Moreover, their pass rush hasn’t impressed, and it seems like the Cardinals lack depth, which is an important thing when it comes to preseason betting. Even if Nix doesn't play, the Broncos still have more competent backup quarterbacks in Wilson and Stidham, so I’m backing the Broncos to win and cover.

Rating: 3 Units

The hapless White Sox certainly stand a chance of upsetting the odds in this game. As I’ve mentioned, Jonathan Cannon has done a great job over his last two outings. However, he’s been bad on the road thus far, posting a 0-4 record with a 5.76 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in six starts and 29.2 innings of work. In addition, the White Sox bullpen has registered a horrendous 7.33 ERA and 6.73 FIP over the last ten days and 43 frames of work, so I cannot back Chicago to beat Oakland.  The current White Sox are 6-for-21 with a triple and a home run versus Ross Stripling. However, they are hitting just .218/.275/.352 against the right-handed pitchers over the past ten days. The Athletics haven’t impressed either (.213/.265/.355 against the righties in that span), but their bullpen has been decent, notching a 4.68 ERA and 3.53 FIP through 25 innings of work.

Rating: 3 Units

There's no other way to bet on White Sox games at this point. They've lost 19 straight, and only five of them were by a single run. Consistently, Chicago is getting blown out. Their offense is the worst in the league, so Minnesota's pitchers should be fine. The Twins are averaging 6.00 runs per game against this team. Flexen has started 15 straight losses. 

MLB Play of the Day

Rating: 3 Units

The White Sox have one of their best pitchers on the mound but the Twins are having a great season and look to dominate this game. The Twins, who average 4.81 runs per game, should drive in runs at will with Jose Miranda, Byron Buxton, and the rest of the lineup making contact and putting together strong plate appearances to easily plate baserunners. The Twins should limit the White Sox lineup, which averages only 3.07 runs per game, with Bailey Ober pitching multiple strong innings to allow the bullpen to close out the game with a comfortable lead. The Twins should win the game with a strong performance at home.

Rating: 4 Units

MLB Game of the Week

The Mets have had a lot of success against left-handers and Falter has struggled on the mound in recent starts, giving up eight runs in his last three starts. He gave up 10 runs in his last three home starts, and with Pittsburgh having the fourth-worst bullpen in the league, they will have a hard time slowing down the Mets in this game. The Pirates have lost four of their last six home games. They are struggling offensively and scored 11 runs in their last three games. Their offensive struggles will continue in this game because Peterson has done a good job on the mound for the Mets, giving up five runs in his last three starts. He gave up one run in his lone start against the Pirates and will keep their offense in check once again. Go with New York to cover the money line.

NBA Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Phoenix will be anxious to avenge a 138-111 beatdown at L.A. in January, knowing they are 13-6 SU and 12-7 ATS in games when avenging a loss of 25-plus points. That’s not good news for a group of paper clips who stand 5-12 ATS against foes with same season revenge on their minds from a loss of 20-plus points, including 0-5 ATS in the last five games – not to mention that Phoenix Suns are 12-2 ATS in Last Home Games they win outright, including 5-0 ATS when playing with revenge. Finally, Phoenix is 5-1 SUATS in this series when looking to avenge a same-season loss of 25-plus points, including 5-0 SUATS when the Clippers sport a winning record.

NBA Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Houston stood 7-2 ATS when looking to avenge a same-season defeat of 20-plus points (lost 111-90 here two months ago, and 122-95 at home during the first week of January). Minnesota also takes the court off a pair of weekenders, currently owning a 0-2 SUATS mark in this series when playing with a greater than .590 win percentage. The Timberwolves are wedged into a tight one here, coming off same-season revengers against the Bulls and Nuggets, with more get-even games on deck with the Raptors (4-14 SU and 6-11 ATS before Toronto) and the Suns. Since March rolled around, Houston was 12-1 SUATS in their last thirteen games. Finally, playing on any .500-plus conference road team with same season double-revenge from a loss, the last by 20-plus points, if they are facing a greater than .666 foe is 15-3 ATS.

Tournament Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

UConn is destroying their competition, as they won by 39 over Stetson, 17 over Northwestern, and 30 over San Diego State. Their backcourt carried them in the Sweet 16, as they got 18 points from Cam Spencer, and 17 points from Tristen Newton in the win. Newton was a First Team All-American this season and led the team with 15.3 PPG and 6.1 APG as a 6'5 senior guard. He has scored 13 or more in each of the three tournament games, with a high of 20 coming against Northwestern. Spencer is their outside shooter, he is a 6'4 senior guard averaging 14.5 PPG and has knocked down 94 threes on the season on a red-hot 44.1% shooting from deep. Their big man inside is 7'2, 280-pound sophomore Donovan Clingan, he averages 12.6 PPG and 7.4 RPG on the inside. Alex Karaban is another member of the sophomore class, the 6'8 forward can shoot from the outside and adds 13.6 PPG and 5.0 RPG. Stephon Castle is a 6'6 freshman guard getting 10.9 PPG, he had 16 in the win over San Diego State. UConn is currently ranked 1st overall in KenPom. They have the top overall offense in the nation in terms of efficiency and rank 6th in defensive efficiency. They play much slower than the Illini, ranking 319th in the nation in pace of play. UConn is 25-11 ATS as favorite and 16-4 road/neutral

Sweet 16 Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

After a rocky 5-4 start, UNC went on a 10-3 run before the wheels fell off in a 4-5 February. With a puny 20-13 record following a 2nd round exit in the ACC Tournament, the Heels FAILED to make the Big Dance. Even worse, they decided to take their ball and go back to Chapel Hill, spurning the NIT to stew in private over one of the university’s biggest sports embarrassments. Fast forward to now, where the return of Armando Bacot and R.J. Davis took UNC from the pit of despair to a No. 1 seed in this year’s Big Dance. The Westgate SuperBook, however, did not offer as much respect as the Selection Committee when they gave the Tar Heels longer odds of winning it all than No. 2 Arizona. The good news for the Tide is they tickle the twine more than any team in the nation, averaging 90.7 points per game. The bad news is they get ripped for 80.9 PPG on defense, by far the worst of any Sweet 16 team. They also don’t have much positive history in this event, going one-and done in their last two trips to the NCAA tourney, and just 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS in this tournament versus No. 1 and No. 2 seeds. Meanwhile, Hubert’s Heels are 33-5 SU and 26-12 ATS as a favorite of 3 or more points against SEC opposition while Bama is just 1-6 ATS as a dog of 2 or more points this season. North Carolina is on a 10-1 winning run heading into this slugfest! Finally, UNC is on a 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS run in its last eight contests in The Big Dance – all since Hubert Davis took the reins three years ago

NCAAB Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

McNeese is led by second-year head coach Will Wade, who previously took LSU and VCU to the NCAA Tournament and will lead McNeese to its first tournament appearance since 2002. His troops dominate the NCAA statistics, ranking No. 1 in Win Margin, No. 3 in both Defensive Field Goal Percentage and Turnover Margin, No. 5 in Defensive Points Per Game, and No. 10 in Offensive Field Goal Percentage. Needless to say, that’s quite a laundry list. Meanwhile, after a lethargic 11-5 start to the season, the Zags closed like a racehorse, but it was too late when they fell to Saint Mary’s in the West Coast Conference title game. With it, they ride a 1-8 ATS overall mark in their last nine games into this tourney contest. That’s not promising news against a 12-seed that can flat-out play, a double-conference champion taking points from a foe that was neither. Finally, McNeese head coach Wade is 3-0 ATS as a No. 8 or lower seed in the NCAA tournament versus .800 or fewer opponents

NBA Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

The Celtics were riding high at 29-8 on the season. They had just come off a same-season revenge victory at home against Minnesota the night before and immediately hit the road for a back-to-backer versus Milwaukee. The Bucks stormed out to a 41-23 lead after the first quarter and never looked back, going on a 25-0 run before the white flag was raised and the starters were benched, taking a 75-38 lead into the half, the largest lead in franchise history. When it was over, Boston’s hide was thoroughly tanned after a 135-102 beating. The payback tips at 7:40 in Beantown tonight, and for what it’s worth, Boston is 3-0 ATS in this series when avenging a same-season defeat of 25 or more points, with every win by double-digits. They are also 16-5-1 ATS the last twenty-two games in this series, including 7-1-1 ATS when coming off a home contest. The Bucks are just 1-7-1 ATS as a dog against foes seeking same-season revenge from a loss of 30-plus points; and finally playing on any .545 or greater NBA team seeking same-season revenge from a loss of 33 points if they are facing a .545 or greater foe is 16-2 ATS.

NBA Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Cleveland was 7-4-1 ATS this season as a road pick-or dog. The Cavs saw a three-game series win skein snapped in a 123-104 home loss to New Orleans in late December. Meanwhile, on the flip side, the Pelicans arrive off an 18-point same-season avenger against Atlanta with another same-season revenge contest on tap against the Clippers. Finally, New Orleans is 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS in non-conference games after facing Atlanta

NBA Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

The fact that the Sixers were nicked 110-96, at home three weeks ago, gets their attention, especially given the fact that Philly is 10-4 ATS of late with same season revenge from a double-digit loss, including 4-0 ATS as a dog of more than three points. New York is 0-6 ATS at home since February when hosting avenging foes. Finally, Philadelphia is 12-5 ATS in this series with same-season revenge from a loss of 14 or more points, including 6-0 ATS away.

CBB Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

UAB will be gunning to join SMU in the 20-win club, which would be a major accomplishment for head coach Andy Kennedy considering they welcomed zero returning starters this campaign. The Blazers are 13-2 ATS as either a dog or a favorite of fewer than 4 points this season. Battling tough opposition is no problem either, as the fi re-breathers are 10-5 SU and 12-2-1 ATS versus winning opposition this season. Finally, UAB is 9-2 SU in Last Home Games, including 5-0 SUATS the last five games.

CBB Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

The timing is right with UConn hitting the road off a No. 1 seed-clinching home win over Marquette, especially since they own a dismal 0-5 ATS record in the Last Game of the Season versus .600 or greater foes. Not so for Providence, who is 11-2 SU in Last Home Games, including 4-1 SUATS the last five contests. The Friars have been a strong underdog this season, going 9-3 ATS, including 3-0 ATS at home, and they just so happen to own a perfect 5-0 SUATS mark as a dog of more than 1-point in Last Home Games. With Providence primed to get even with the Huskies for a 9-point loss on the last day of January, finally Providence is 10-1 SUATS as a home dog since 2021, including 4-0 SUATS versus .800 or greater foes; and 4-0 SUATS when seeking revenge