Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-12-23 | Angels v. Rangers -150 | 9-6 | Loss | -150 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Los Angeles has lost six of the last eight when playing against a team from the American League West, while Texas has won 37 of its last 55 overall and the Rangers have won seven of the last nine when facing a team with a winning record. Los Angeles starting pitcher Tyler Anderson was hit hard last time out allowing five hits and four runs in five innings while striking out five but walking three. Over the last two starts, Anderson has allowed 10 runs in just nine innings. Texas has won three of starting pitcher Dane Dunning's last five starts and over that span the right-hander has allowed 11 earned runs in 28 ⅓ innings. Texas leads baseball in runs scored, on-base percentage and team batting average and is fourth in slugging percentage while on the mound the Rangers are fifth best in team ERA and 5th best in batting average allowed. The Rangers might have lost two of three to the Rays but have still won 15 of their last 21 and are 21-9 at home. |
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06-12-23 | Giants -127 v. Cardinals | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The San Francisco Giants are playing solid baseball, winning four out of their last six games. They have been reliable on the road, sporting a 6-1 record in their last seven road bouts. The Cardinals have struggled to find a groove most of the season and have now dropped seven of their last ten games after a series loss against the Reds. This is an ideal pitching matchup for the Giants. Logan Webb is having an excellent season,and was outstanding in his start against the Cardinals in late April, limiting them to only two runs in 6.2 innings. The Giants have won in three of Webb's last four road starts. Cards’ starter Matthew Liberatore is struggling, allowing eight runs in his last two outings spanning only nine innings. |
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06-11-23 | Padres v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Padres average 4.24 runs per game (22nd) and hit .227 (27th) with a .709 OPS (22nd). They've hit 74 homers (12th) and stolen 49 bases (10th) in 2023. The SD pitching staff has compiled a 3.78 ERA (9th) and a 1.24 WHIP (8th) with 27 quality starts. Colorado scores 4.48 runs per game (16th) and hits .259 (9th) with a .722 OPS (16th). It's hit 51 home runs (27th) and stolen 26 bases (30th) in the 2023 season. The Rockies' pitching staff sports a 5.28 ERA (29th) and a 1.50 WHIP (29th) with 15 quality starts. Consider that the under is 38-15-1 in Padres last 54 overall. |
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06-11-23 | Marlins v. White Sox UNDER 8 | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units For the White Sox, they tab RHP Lucas Giolito for the home start. He was brilliant last time out against the New York Yankees on the road, twirling six scoreless and hitless innings before being yanked at 100 pitches. He enters with back-to-back wins for the first time this season, so that’s why it is difficult to pick a side in this one. Instead, it’s better to roll with the Under. The Under is also 3-0 in the past three for the White Sox, and 7-1 across the past eight outings for the southsiders. There were just three runs in the series opener Friday, and six total runs on Saturday. I don’t see many more in the daytime finale. |
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06-11-23 | Twins v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Gausman has been lights out in Toronto with a 2-0 record and a 1.65 ERA and has been mediocre on the road with a 3-3 record with a 3.76 ERA. Fortunately for Gausman, today’s start will be at home. This will be his 3rd straight start at home too, and in his last 2 starts combined, he’s surrendered just 1 run, 9 hits and a whopping 24 strikeouts in 13.2 innings. His opponent on today will be the Twins, and even though they lit up the scoreboard on Saturday, this is actually a great matchup for Gausman. Gausman, more than likely will use his splitter about 40% of the time today, and it’s gotten a 47.5% strikeout rate while limiting hitters to a .169 batting average. That’s a pitch that Minnesota has been terrible against this season as they rank 29th against splitters, with only the White Sox being worse. |
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06-11-23 | Mets v. Pirates -126 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pirates have won seven of their last nine games and five of their last seven home games, scoring 21 runs in their last three home games. They have hit the ball well against right-handers and Mets starter Carrasco has struggled on the mound this season, especially on the road where he has given up 12 runs in four starts. With New York’s bullpen also struggling at the moment, they will have a hard time slowing down the Pirates in this game. The Mets have lost seven of their last eight games and six of their last seven road games. With the exception of his last start, Keller has done a great job on the mound at home, giving up only eight runs in his previous five home starts. He didn’t give up a run in his last home start against the Mets and with Pittsburgh having the 10th-best bullpen in the league, the team won’t have trouble keeping New York’s offense in check. |
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06-11-23 | Diamondbacks -1.5 v. Tigers | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Arizona Diamondbacks have been a reliable squad to back on the road and remain one of the hottest teams in the big leagues, sporting an 8-2 record in their last ten games including an 11-5 win on Friday and a 5-0 victory on Saturday. The Detroit Tigers are decimated with injuries and have lost eight consecutive games. D-Backs’ starter Zac Gallen continues to dazzle. The ace has conceded just four runs in his last 17.2 innings pitched including strong outings against the Phillies and Braves in that span. Tigers’ starter Joey Wentz has been clobbered, squandering 17 runs in his last 15.1 innings pitched. Seven of the D-Backs' last 10 wins have been by two or more runs. |
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06-10-23 | Golden Knights v. Panthers -105 | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Golden Knights look to take a 3-1 series lead but the Panthers have taken the momentum of the series and look to control Game Four from the opening puck drop. The Panthers look to build off a game where they scored three goals and constantly find the back of the net with Matthew Tkachuk, Anthony Duclair, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Panthers should limit the Golden Knights' offense with Aaron Ekblad, Gustav Forsling, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky to make plenty of big saves. The Panthers should win Game Four to even up the series with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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06-10-23 | Rangers +105 v. Rays | 8-4 | Win | 105 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rays will look to take the series today behind 22-year-old rookie Taj Bradley (4-2, 3.60 ERA). The right-hander allowed two runs on six hits with six strikeouts and three walks over five innings to pick up a 6-2 win against the Boston Red Sox on Sunday. Bradley has allowed more than three runs just once in seven starts this season. Bradley will have a tough assignment when he faces the Rangers for the first time in his brief career. Texas has scored a major-league-high 389 runs this season (Tampa Bay is second with 380), and the Rangers have scored at least six runs in 12 of their past 25 games. The Rangers will send ace right-hander Nathan Eovaldi (8-2, 2.24) to the mound today. Eovaldi allowed one hit and no walks over six shutout innings while striking out seven in a 12-3 win over the visiting Seattle Mariners on Sunday. Eovaldi, has given up more than one earned run in just one of his past seven starts. |
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06-10-23 | Rangers v. Rays OVER 8 | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units On Friday night in game one of the series, the Rangers' potent offense was held to just three hits in an 8-3 loss. Leody Tavaras had two of those hits with two solo home runs. The Tampa Bay Rays are back on another hot streak after sweeping the AL Central-leading Twins this week. In the series, Tampa outscored the Twins 13-3 and improved their run differential to +135, second only to the incoming Rangers. Texas has scored a major-league-high 389 runs this season (Tampa Bay is second with 380), and the Rangers have scored at least six runs in 12 of their past 25 games. Texas has scored at least 10 runs in 16 games this season, the best total in the big leagues. The Rays are next with eight double-digit games. Consider that the over is 10-3 in Rays last 13 home games. |
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06-10-23 | Reds v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cardinals opened the series with a 7-4 victory Friday night for their second straight victory. Cincinnati is posting an average of 4.60 runs per game, ranking them 12th. The pitching staff has recorded a 5.04 team ERA, pegging them 27th. Reds' starter Andrew Abbott is making just his second career big league outing and his first career road start. I expect the veteran lineup to get to the rookie. Consider that the over is 14-6-1 in Cardinals last 21 home games. |
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06-10-23 | Marlins v. White Sox +108 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The White Sox have won five of their last six games and four of their last five home games. They have done well against right-handers and Alcantara has still been unable to regain his form from last season, giving up 11 runs in his last three starts. He gave up eight runs in his last three road starts and will have a hard time slowing down the White Sox in this game. The Marlins have won six of their last seven games, but they split their last eight road games. White Sox starter, Kopech has done a good job on the mound in recent starts, giving up only six runs in his last four starts. He gave up nine runs in his last five home starts and will keep Miami’s offense in check. |
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06-10-23 | Diamondbacks -116 v. Tigers | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Arizona and Detroit return to action this afternoon following an 11-6 Arizona victory on Friday night. The game was 2-2 after 6 innings, and then the Diamondbacks blew the doors open with 7 runs in the 7th. The Diamondbacks are leading the NL West as we are only a couple weeks away from the halfway point in the season. The pitching matchup is Ryne Nelson versus Matthew Boyd. Boyd may be the slightly better pitcher, but Arizona is also good against lefties. Both pitchers have been inconsistent over the past month, and both have ERAs above 5.00. I do not expect either one to be lights out. The difference is going to be the hot Arizona offense. They have been hitting the ball very well lately. |
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06-09-23 | Nuggets -159 v. Heat | 108-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nuggets have dominated this series and they show no signs of slowing down in this one. Jokic remains the most dominant player on the planet and with Miami having no answers on either end for him, he's the perfect player for a road team to play through. Will Murray's absence is a slight concern, the Nuggets have been able to find plenty of scoring throughout the roster. The Heat continue to be cold from three-point range, especially front their backcourt, which won't serve them well in this one. Miami's offense has been brutal through the first three games and there's no doubt that Denver will run away with the game four win. Additionally, according to covers.com, Denver is 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall and are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games. On the other hand, the Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a double-digit loss at home. |
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06-09-23 | Reds v. Cardinals OVER 8 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cincinnati’s pitching hasn’t been good, with the team giving up 5.16 runs per game. Opponents have a .263 batting average against the Reds, which is 26th in the league. Their 5.02 ERA is 27th, while their 1.44 WHIP is 26th. In his last start, Lively gave up six hits and five runs in seven innings, leading to a 5-1 loss to Milwaukee. St. Louis’ pitching hasn’t been good, with the team giving up 4.59 runs per game. Opponents have a .270 batting average against the Cardinals, which is 28th in the league. Their 4.23 ERA is 16th, while their 1.44 WHIP is 27th. In his last start, Montgomery gave up four hits and four runs in 5.2 innings, leading to a 4-3 loss to Pittsburgh. Consider that the over is 11-5 in Reds last 16 overall. |
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06-09-23 | A's v. Brewers -1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The A’s are looking for their first three-game winning streak of the season, but I doubt their chances to beat the Brewers on Friday night. Luis Medina has been awful thus far, posting a catastrophic 11.68 ERA and 2.27 WHIP through three road starts (12.1 innings pitched). Although Oakland’s offense has shown signs of life lately, I’m backing the Brewers because of their pitching staff. The Athletics’ bullpen has been horrible for most of the season. It has improved over the last ten days, tallying a 3.96 ERA and 3.26 FIP, but the Brewers’ bullpen has accounted for a 2.96 ERA and 3.73 FIP in that span while going 2-0 with three saves. |
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06-09-23 | Dodgers v. Phillies OVER 9.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Dodgers were able to salvage the finale of their 3-game series in Cincinnati, winning 6-0 on Thursday behind LHP Clayton Kershaw. Now, Los Angeles turns to RHP Michael Grove looking to make it two in a row after getting outmuscled by the Reds on Tuesday and Wednesday. Grove has been dismal, going 0-2 with an 8.14 ERA in 21 innings across 5 starts with a 1.52 WHIP. In his 2 starts on the road, he has been even worse, conceding 11 runs in just 6 1/3 innings. The Phillies counter with LHP Ranger Suarez, and he hasn’t exactly been the picture of consistency this season, either. Suarez has made 5 starts with 24 2/3 innings, posting a subpar 5.47 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP. At home, he has been hammered for 9 runs and 10 hits in just 7 innings across 2 starts, good for an 11.57 ERA. Consider that the over is 20-8 in Dodgers last 28 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. |
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06-09-23 | Royals v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Orioles will give the ball to right-hander Tyler Wells on Friday night. Wells is 4-2 in 12 appearances, 11 starts. He has an ERA of 3.29 while throwing 68.1 innings and giving up 44 hits. Wells' K/9 rate is 9.2 and he has a WHIP of 0.85. At home this season, Wells is 2-2 in six starts with an ERA of 2.45. He has three quality starts at home and has allowed 24 hits in 36.2 innings this season. He has a K/9 rate of 9.8 and a WHIP of 0.79. Consider that the under is 16-5-1 in Royals last 22 road games. |
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06-09-23 | Diamondbacks -138 v. Tigers | 11-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Diamondbacks travel to Detroit to take on the Tigers for a quick 3-game series. These teams are on opposite tracks lately as the Tigers have lost 6 in a row while the Diamondbacks have won 8 of their last 10 and lead the NL West. Merrill Kelly will take the mound for the Diamondbacks and he’s having another great season as he’s 7-3 with a 2.80 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP. He’s tasked with shutting down a Tigers’ lineup that has been cold recently. The Tigers have scored only 8 runs over their 6-game losing streak and were nearly no-hit yesterday. The Tigers are dead last in the MLB in batting average and have 18 fewer runs than the next-worst team in that department. Michael Lorenzen will start for the Tigers, and he has also had a great season to this point. Lorenzen is 2-2 with a 3.21 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP. Lorenzen allowed just 1 run in his last start but couldn’t get any run support as the Tigers were unable to win. Arizona ranks 6th in the league in runs scored and is dangerous from any part of their lineup. Lorenzen could pitch great and allow only a couple of runs, but Detroit has a weak bullpen and just a couple of runs could easily be enough for Kelly against the Tigers’ lineup. |
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06-09-23 | Rangers +147 v. Rays | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These two teams have jumped out to the front of the league in almost every offensive category, including ranking 1st and 2nd in runs per game. While the Rangers have been surging in the last few weeks, the Rays have steadily remained one of the best teams in the game since Opening Day. Regardless of the outcome of the series, baseball fans are in for a treat with these two lineups facing off. On the mound for the visitors is Andrew Heaney, a lefty that has come into his own in the last few weeks. He was added to be a 4th arm behind Jacob deGrom, Nathan Eovaldi and Jon Gray, and little did we know that they would turn into one of the best rotations in baseball. Heaney finished May with a 3.26 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP which included several impressive outings against the Orioles, Mariners and Rockies. And to little surprise, he’s been better away from Globe Life Field, which has seen a lot of high-scoring games, as he’s posted a 1.82 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 4 starts on the road. It’s truly impressive how the Rays have been able to remain unfazed despite the numerous injuries to their starting rotation. At the moment, Jeffrey Springs, Drew Rasmussen, Josh Fleming and Shane Baz are all sidelined with injuries, so Tyler Glasnow’s return couldn’t have come at a better time. The right-hander has made 2 starts this season and has allowed 4 runs and 9 hits along with 14 strikeouts against the Dodgers and Red Sox. However, it’s concerning that Glasnow doesn’t completely seem like himself yet. His fastball velocity is down nearly 2 MPH from his average and his slider’s RPM are down a bit too. |
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06-08-23 | White Sox v. Yankees -128 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The White Sox turn to veteran RHP Mike Clevinger for Game 2 of today's doubleheader after Wednesday’s game was postponed due to poor air quality as a result of the Eastern Canada wildfires. The right-hander Clevinger has a dismal 2-2 road record with a 5.60 ERA across 27 1/3 innings in 5 starts away from home, and he has a shaky 1.51 WHIP. Clevinger has allowed 17 earned runs in 22 1/3 innings in his last 4 road outings, too. The Yankees counter with RHP Randy Vasquez, who allowed 2 earned runs, 4 hits and 3 walks with 6 strikeouts across 4 2/3 innings in a loss against the San Diego Padres May 26 in his only previous outing. The Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 games against a right-handed starting pitcher. Giolito held them hitless for 6 innings on Tuesday night, but expect the offense to break out in a big way after being held down, especially after getting a full day of unexpected rest. |
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06-08-23 | Astros v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blue Jays and Astros conclude their 4-game series today in Toronto and today’s matchup will feature two hot pitchers. Jose Berrios will start for the Blue Jays and he’s finally looking like the player the Jays thought they were getting 2 years ago. Berrios is 5-4 this year with a 3.66 ERA and he’s allowed only 2 runs in his last 3 starts. After a strong showing from the Astros in the first game between these teams, they’ve been shut down by Toronto’s pitchers since, scoring just 3 runs in the past 2 games. They’ve faced Kevin Gausman and Chris Bassitt, who have both been pitching great, but Berrios will not make it easier for the Astros’ hitters. Framber Valdez will start for the visiting Astros, and he’s also had a great year. Valdez is 6-4 with a 2.16 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP and has allowed only 1 run in his last 3 starts. The Blue Jays have been hot lately but the biggest factor in their recent success has been their pitching. Offensively, the Jays haven’t been bad, but they haven’t exploded either. The Blue Jays have allowed 2 or fewer runs in 8 of their last 12 games. Toronto has also struggled against lefties this year, ranking 22nd in the league in OPS compared to 4th in the league against righties. This game has all the signs pointing towards a great pitching matchup and I’m expecting both teams to be shut down. |
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06-08-23 | White Sox v. Yankees UNDER 8 | 6-5 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The White Sox and Yankees will play a doubleheader on Thursday after Wednesday’s game was cancelled due to poor air quality. It was an eerie scene. Hopefully things are better on Thursday. The White Sox won the first game of the series 3-2. The Yankees are currently playing without Aaron Judge, and while they still have plenty of bats, it will be tough to adjust to the absence of their best player. Both teams are slated to start pitchers who are looking to rebound from disastrous starts last week. Luis Severino will make only his fourth start of the season for the Yankees, and he gave up 7 runs a week ago. His first 2 starts, however, were excellent, so there is reason to think the last game was an outlier. The Sox will start Lance Lynn. Lynn has struggled for much of the season, but he had strung together 3 quality starts before giving up 8 runs last week. Again, there is some recent trajectory that gives hope of a good start today. We should also remember that the Yankees have one of the best bullpens in baseball, and that should help to suppress scoring too. Neither of these teams hits very well against right-handed pitching, and again, the Yankees are down their best hitter. Under these circumstances, I like the under, even though the line is low. |
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06-08-23 | Orioles -104 v. Brewers | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Orioles are 5-1 in their last six Thursday games and the Brewers are 1-5 in their last six Thursday games. The Orioles are 5-1 in their last six during game three of a series, 13-3 in their last 16 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5, and 7-3 in their last ten road games. The Brewers slash .224 .304/.399/.703 at home and did not perform as a first-place team should in May (.219/.291/.369/.660). Their June splits aren't any good, either (.205/.303/.327/.630). While they have managed to win five of their previous six, I don't anticipate them going on a much longer winning streak. The Orioles boast the second-best winning percentage on the road (64.5%). Thursday's starter Bradish has been a reliable arm in the O's rotation, holding half his opponents to one or no runs scored. Against a Milwaukee team that's 25th in scoring, 26th in OPS, and 27th in batting average, I'm confident he will have a quality start. |
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06-07-23 | Cubs v. Angels -136 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Only four guys from this Chicago team have seen Jaime Barria, combining for four hits (one double) in 11 at-bats. On the other side, the current Angels are only 9-for-50 against Jameson Taillon, but four of those nine hits went yard. Shohei Ohtani is 2-for-8 with a couple of dingers, Hunter Renfroe is 4-for-12 with a homer, and Jared Walsh is 2-for-8 with a round-tripper and 3 RBI against Taillon. Jaime Barria has pitched very well so far this season. It’s hard to trust the Angels’ bullpen, but the Cubs’ relievers haven’t been at their best either, notching a 2-10 record with a 5.19 ERA in May and a 4.60 ERA and 5.94 FIP in the last ten days and 29.1 innings of work. Hereof, I’m going with the Angels, looking for their offense to make a difference. |
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06-07-23 | Cardinals v. Rangers -134 | 1-0 | Loss | -134 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rangers have won six of their last seven games and eight of their last 10 home games. They have the highest-scoring offense in the league and they’ve been on a roll in recent games, scoring 32 runs in their last three home games. Expect them to continue playing well offensively in this game because they’ve done a great job against right-handers this season and Flaherty has been shaky on the mound on the road, giving up 13 runs in his last three road starts. He gave up two runs in his lone start against the Rangers and will have a hard time slowing them down in this game. The Cardinals have lost six of their last seven games and six of their last eight road games. They aren’t playing well offensively and scored only seven runs in their last three road games. Things won’t get easier for them in this game because Gray has done a great job on the mound for the Rangers and has won five of his last six starts while giving up only three runs. He gave up one run in his last two home starts. |
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06-07-23 | Dodgers v. Reds +1.5 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Reds have won six of their last 10 games. They are playing well offensively, scoring 11 runs in their last three games. They have hit the ball well against right-handers and Syndergaard hasn’t been effective on the mound this season, giving up 14 runs in his last three starts. He gave up nine runs in his last two road starts, and with Los Angeles’ bullpen being one of the worst in the league, they will have a hard time slowing down the Reds in this game. The Dodgers have lost three of their last four games and five of their last eight road games. Even though Williamson has struggled on the mound for the Reds, he has done a better job at home where he gave up five earned runs in two starts. With the Dodgers struggling against left-handers this season, they will have a hard time keeping up with the Reds in this game. |
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06-07-23 | Twins v. Rays OVER 8.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota has struggled when it comes to putting runs on the board of late and Lopez hasn’t been able to sustain his quick start in his first season with the franchise. He’s been roughed up of late, as an ERA over six in his last three starts bears out, and facing a Tampa Bay team with plenty of dangerous hitters in their lineup isn’t a cure for what ails you. Tampa Bay is a very good offensive team. Consider that the over is 33-15-3 in Twins last 51 on astroturf. |
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06-06-23 | Orioles +114 v. Brewers | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Baltimore Orioles will be out to continue their road success behind Kyle Gibson when they face the Milwaukee Brewers today in the opener of a three-game series. Gibson (7-3, 3.89 ERA) will be opposed by Freddy Peralta (5-5, 4.62) in a matchup of right-handers. The Brewers lost 2-0 at Cincinnati on Monday after winning the first three games of the series. Milwaukee managed just one hit in six innings against Reds left-hander Andrew Abbott, who was making his major league debut. Milwaukee is 28-4 this season when scoring four runs or more, 4-24 when generating three runs or fewer. Gibson has won his past three starts, allowing four runs in 19 2/3 innings for a 1.83 ERA over that stretch. He has not given up a home run in his past four starts and has served up just six all season. Peralta has been inconsistent, losing three of his past four starts. He lasted six innings in his latest outing despite giving up three runs on a pair of first-inning homers in a 3-1 loss at Toronto on Thursday. |
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06-06-23 | A's v. Pirates -1.5 | 11-2 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A's right-hander James Kaprielian (0-6, 8.12 ERA) is scheduled to start opposite Pirates right-hander Mitch Keller (7-1, 3.25). Kaprielian has split time this season between Oakland and Triple-A Las Vegas. He is the first A's pitcher to start a season 0-6 since Mike Mohler lost his first eight decisions in 1997. Kaprielian has the dubious distinction of pitching no more than seven innings in all 54 of his career starts. Keller, who has never faced the A's, has won four decisions in a row and has notched at least eight strikeouts in seven straight outings while establishing himself as the Pirates' ace. Of the A's 62 games this season, they've lost by more than one run 49 times. They are now 5-26 on the road. |
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06-06-23 | White Sox v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago turns to RHP Lucas Giolito, who has been money at home, going 3-1 with a 2.70 ERA and .205 opponent batting average. However, he hasn’t been able to bring that solid pitching with him on the road, going just 1-3 with 5.68 ERA and .292 OBA with 14 walks and six homers allowed in just 31 2/3 innings in six starts away from home. The Yankees turn to RHP Clarke Schmidt, who has been a little better lately. Still, he has been hammered for a 5.01 ERA and 1.51 WHIP overall this season. While he is 2-2 with a 3.52 ERA in 30 2/3 innings in six May starts, he has allowed two or more walks in five of those six starts, while coughing up at least five hits in five of those outings, too. He is just 1-4 with a 4.68 ERA with six homers and 11 walks allowed in 32 2/3 innings in seven outings in front of the home fans. Consider that the over is 14-5 in Yankees last 19 games following a win. |
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06-06-23 | Royals v. Marlins -150 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miami is a much better-hitting team at home this season, hitting .267 in front of the home crowd including 76 extra-base hits. Starter Luzardo is also much better in front of the home crowd, despite his rough outing in his last start in Miami. His ERA is nearly a run lower at home while his K/9 rate jumps up by a strikeout per game. He faces a Royals' lineup that is hitting just .226 on the road this season and .248 vs. left-handed pitching. Greinke is winless on the road this season and his ERA jumps up by nearly a run and a half away from Kauffman Stadium. The Marlins’ offense is hot, and that is a big deal for a team that was expected to have to scratch for runs and rely on its pitching staff all season. |
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06-05-23 | Panthers +125 v. Golden Knights | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Golden Knights ran away with Game One, making it easy to think they'll control the upcoming game to take a commanding series lead. However, the Panthers, who had the first game tied up through two periods, look to bounce back and take over the upcoming game. The Panthers should constantly find the back of the net with Anthony Duclair, Carter Verhaeghe, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes to the face-off circles and the slot. The Panthers also look to bounce back after allowing five goals in Game One and limit the Golden Knights' offense with Aaron Ekblad and Gustav Forsling creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky to step up and make plenty of big saves. The Panthers should win the game to even up the series and provide great odds in the process as road Underdogs. |
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06-05-23 | Cardinals v. Rangers -129 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units St. Louis has struggled of late after seemingly righting the ship during the early part of May. The Cardinals stand 10 games under the .500 mark and one has to seriously wonder if John Mozeliak will be a seller at the trade deadline. Wainwright has sputtered in his limited action this season, posting an ERA north of six while averaging just over five innings a start. Texas is a dangerous team as they can win low-scoring games, as we saw in Friday’s opener with the Mariners, and slugfests. Perez has played with fire at times this season, giving up 74 hits in his 61 innings of work, but with the Rangers sporting a run differential of +143 entering Sunday, it’s clear that the bats can make up for any shortcomings on the mound. Give Texas the upper hand here as they prevail at home. |
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06-05-23 | Brewers +112 v. Reds | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Milwaukee Brewers are playing better in recent games and this pitching matchup favors them. Brewers’ starter Julio Teheran is making a comeback and so far he looks great, limiting the Giants to one run and the Blue Jays to one run (zero earned) in his two outings spanning 11 innings this season. The Reds have Andrew Abbott making his MLB debut in this game. I usually stay away from pitchers making their debut, especially considering the strength of the Milwaukee bats in this series. They have accumulated 20 runs in the first three games of this series, winning all three decisions. The Reds have hit a bump and are struggling at home where they are 1-5 in their last six games. |
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06-05-23 | Astros +110 v. Blue Jays | 11-4 | Win | 110 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Astros are scheduled to start right-hander Brandon Bielak (2-2, 3.19 ERA). It will be his first career appearance against Toronto. Bielak has won two of his past three starts, including a 5-1 victory over the Minnesota Twins on Tuesday. He gave up one run on three hits over 5 2/3 innings. The Blue Jays are scheduled to start right-hander Alek Manoah (1-6, 5.46). In his one previous start against the Astros, which came on April 23, 2022, Manoah tossed six innings of two-run ball and picked up the win. Manoah, whose only win this season came on April 5, has lost his last two starts, allowing seven runs, six earned, over a combined seven innings. The Astros are 18-6 in their last 24 games since starting the season 17-18. They are also 8-3 in their last 11 road games. |
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06-05-23 | Astros v. Blue Jays UNDER 10 | 11-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Houston hasn't been their best offensively in 2023. Their greatest strength is putting the ball in play, as they're eighth in strikeout rate this season. The Astros may have to play this series without All-Star Jose Altuve though. He injured his oblique on Saturday against the Angels. He's only played 11 games this season, another reason why the Astros aren't one of MLB's top offenses as they were in 2022. Consider that the under is 15-5-1 in Astros last 21 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. |
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06-05-23 | Tigers v. Phillies -1.5 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Phillies will hand the ball to Aaron Nola (4-4, 4.70 ERA) today. Nola has been effective in his career against the Tigers, posting a 1-0 record with a 1.93 ERA in three starts. The Tigers gave up four runs in the bottom of the ninth inning and fell 6-2 against the Chicago White Sox on Sunday. Jake Burger hit a walk-off grand slam. The Tigers, who received a two-run homer from Spencer Torkelson in that loss, will arrive in Philadelphia after being swept by the White Sox in a three-game series. Detroit starter, Wentz has had a rough first half of the season with a 7.28 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP in 11 starts, and he’s had very little run support in any of those outings. But even without his offense scoring for him, Wentz has the tendency to put his team in a hole early on. He has a .289 xBA with a 45% hard-hit rate and a 9.4% barrel rate which all rank in the bottom 30% in their respective category. |
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06-04-23 | Heat +8.5 v. Nuggets | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Expect Erik Spoelstra to go back to the zone he used in most of the Boston series and that will help slow down the Nuggets. That defensive gimmick will help a lot more in Game 2 when the Heat have their legs back since they have Friday and Saturday off. There's no doubt that going seven games against Boston had an effect on their performance on Thursday along with the altitude. Strus, Caleb Martin and Robinson combined for 2-for-23 in Game 1 and all three will bounce back in Game 2. Martin has been terrific in the postseason, averaging 13.5 points and shooting 44% from beyond the arc. But the biggest factor is Butler getting a couple of days off to rest his ankle and he will be looking to get to the line a lot more in this game. The Heat will push the Nuggets to the limit in Game 2 and will shoot a lot more than two free throws. |
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06-04-23 | Mariners v. Rangers -145 | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miller has pitched pretty well in his first handful of starts in the majors but he was lit up by the Yankees in his last outing. Facing a team with a prolific lineup with plenty of power bats may be a lot to ask of a young guy that hadn’t pitched above Double-A prior to being called up to the majors. Eovaldi has been rolling this season and went 4-0 with a 0.96 ERA with nine walks and 31 strikeouts over 37.2 innings in five starts in the month of May. Opposing hitters posted a measly .178/.232/.264 slash line in those outings. After seeing how Seattle sputtered against an equally hot pitcher in Gray on Friday night, you have to give the advantage to the hosts here as the Rangers earn the win to take the series. |
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06-04-23 | Mariners v. Rangers OVER 8 | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In his last start, Miller took the loss as he was roughed up by the Yankees at home Monday night. He threw 4.2 innings, allowing eight runs on 11 hits with no walks and three strikeouts in a 10-4 Seattle defeat. Over his last three starts, Miller is 1-2 with a 5.82 ERA, a 1.12 WHIP, two walks and 13 strikeouts over 17 innings of work. In his seventh career major league start, Miller pitches against the Rangers for the first time. He makes his first career start at Globe Life Field in this contest. Prior to his recall, Miller was 0-2 with a 6.41 ERA, a 1.322 WHIP, three walks and 18 strikeouts over 19.2 innings in four starts with Double-A Arkansas of the Texas League. Consider that the over is 15-5-2 in Rangers last 22 home games. |
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06-04-23 | Angels v. Astros -144 | 2-1 | Loss | -144 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Angels have been roughed up in Houston this weekend, as the Astros have won the first three games of this American League West Division series, while outscoring the Halos by a 20-10 margin. Even RHP Shohei Ohtani was unable to pitch them to victory on Friday night. Now, the Halos turn to RHP Griffin Canning to try and salvage something in this series. He is 4-2 with a 4.89 ERA and 1.30 WHIP across eight starts. However, he also has a dismal 7.90 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in three daytime starts across 13 2/3 innings, while teams are hitting .291 against him. The Astros are starting to round into championship form after a slow start. Houston is 18-5 in the past 23 games dating back to May 9, and the hot streak started when the team visited the Angels in Anaheim from May 8-10. The Astros are 5-1 in the past six games during Game 4 of a series, while Houston is 38-14 in the past 52 games inside the AL West. In addition, the Astros have been stacking wins, going 11-3 in the past 14 games following a win, while cashing in 11 of the past 16 games against a right-handed starting pitcher. |
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06-04-23 | Tigers v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Chicago White Sox will look to complete the 3-game sweep over the Detroit Tigers in their game today. There’s been little offense for both teams in this series, and pitching has dominated so far. For the White Sox, Michael Kopech will start and he’s 3-5 with a 4.52 ERA. Before getting hit around by the Angels in his last start, he had back-to-back starts going 7+ innings without allowing a run. Despite only going 4.1 innings against the Angels, he threw 10 strikeouts as the strikeout continues to be a big part of his game. Kopech generally finds success against weaker lineups such as the Royals and Guardians, so the Tigers, given their current struggles, shouldn’t give him a rough outing. Matthew Boyd will start for the visiting Tigers and he’s 3-4 with a 5.96 ERA. Boyd gave up 5 runs in his latest start but only 1 in his start before that.. The Tigers’ bullpen has surprisingly pitched really well this season and the past 2 games against the White Sox has not been an exception. If Boyd doesn’t make it deep into this game, which he typically doesn’t, they should be backed by a deep bullpen that’s shut down the Sox so far. The White Sox have continued to struggle offensively but thanks to their pitching staff, 5 runs in 2 games has given them 2 wins. Consider that the under is 45-21-3 in Tigers last 69 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. |
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06-04-23 | Rays v. Red Sox +112 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Tampa Bay Rays aren’t nearly as dangerous on the road where they are only two games above the .500 mark. They lost two of three to the Cubs prior to this series and lost game one of Saturday's DH. The Red Sox are three games above .500 at home. Rays’ starter Taj Bradley is an inexperienced rookie. The right-hander does not go deep into games, last 5.1 or fewer innings in all but one start this season, and the Rays bullpen is actually a bit of a weakness, ranking 22nd in the big leagues with a 4.32 ERA to go with a 1.34 WHIP. Tampa Bay has lost in each of Bradley's last three starts while Boston has won in four of Houck's five home starts this season. |
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06-03-23 | Yankees v. Dodgers +115 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both Yankees and Dodgers have hit the righties well in the last couple of weeks (New York 110 wRC+, Los Angeles 116 wRC+). On paper, the Yankees have a huge advantage on the mound, but I’m backing the Dodgers to come out on top and eventually hand Gerrit Cole his first loss in 2023. Cole has struggled in his last two starts, giving up 11 runs, including four home runs, over 11 innings. He also has been more hittable on the road this season. Some of the Dodgers own a strong record against Cole. Mookie Betts is 7-for-14, Freddie Freeman is 6-for-17 with three doubles, and David Peralta is 5-for-12 with three doubles. JD Martinez is only 8-for-40 but has slugged three doubles and a couple of home runs off Cole, who struggled a lot in his last two outings. |
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06-03-23 | Guardians v. Twins UNDER 8 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units If you look up the definition of dominant, Sonny Gray pitching at home would be the synonym. The veteran has been absolutely incredible this season with a 1.94 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in 11 starts, so it’s hard to believe he’s been even better at home, but it’s true. At Target Field, Gray has a 1.27 ERA with a 0.862 WHIP in 6 starts. He’s limited hitters to a .198 batting average and .520 OPS during those 35.1 innings at home. The under is 4-2 when Gray starts at home, and as you might have guessed, the 2 times the total went over was due to the excess scoring from Minnesota, which I don’t see happening against Allen. It’s also important to note that this is Gray’s second start of the season against the Guardians, and the first one ended with just 7 runs. However, that was with Cleveland scoring 3 runs on just 4 hits and having just a .211 batting average and .179 xBA against Gray. Both bullpens are still well rested since Thursday’s game featured an excellent starting pitching matchup, so runs should be scarce from the first pitch to the last. |
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06-03-23 | Angels v. Astros -1.5 | 6-9 | Win | 115 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cristian Javier (6-1, 2.97 ERA) has the starting assignment for the Astros as they attempt to clinch the series today. The right-hander has won each of his past four starts, including a 10-1 victory on Sunday against the Oakland Athletics when he allowed one run on four hits and three walks with three strikeouts over five innings. Javier has a 1.96 ERA during that four-game stretch with 24 strikeouts against seven walks in 23 innings. Javier is 4-1 with a 2.65 ERA over nine career appearances (five starts) against the Angels. He earned a 5-4 victory over the Angels on May 10 after allowing two runs on three hits and one walk with a season-high 11 strikeouts over six innings. Patrick Sandoval (3-4, 3.42 ERA) will make the start for the Angels today. The left-hander absorbed the 2-0 loss against the Miami Marlins on Sunday, allowing two runs on eight hits and two walks with two strikeouts over six innings. Sandoval has surrendered two or fewer earned runs in seven of 10 starts this season. Sandoval is 0-4 with a 7.55 ERA in eight career appearances (seven starts) against Houston, which selected him in the 11th round of the 2015 draft and traded him to the Angels in July 2018 in exchange for catcher Martin Maldonado. In his most recent start against Houston, Sandoval did not factor into the decision on May 8 after allowing four earned runs on seven hits and no walks with two strikeouts over 6 1/3 innings. |
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06-03-23 | Brewers v. Reds UNDER 10.5 | 10-8 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Reds have a team .290 batting average, .363 on base percentage, and are averaging six runs over their last 10 games. While the Cincinnati offense has been flourishing the Brewers bats have been colder than the beer in a Milwaukee winter. Milwaukee has an .183 team batting average, .270 on base percentage, and is averaging only 3.1 runs per game over their last 10. Consider that the under is 34-15-4 in Brewers last 53 vs. a team with a losing record. |
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06-03-23 | Tigers v. White Sox -153 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With one big swing of the bat, the Detroit Tigers finally solved Dylan Cease last weekend. They'll have to face their nemesis once again in the middle game of a three-game series in Chicago on Saturday afternoon. The White Sox right-hander is 10-1 with a 2.09 ERA in 14 career starts against the Tigers. He has also recorded 96 strikeouts in 77 1/3 innings in those outings. Cease had three straight quality starts prior to his rough outing on Sunday and has been a better pitcher at home this season than on the road. The White Sox have hit the ball better at home this season and have improved overall as a lineup in the month of May after struggling throughout April at the plate. The return of Elroy Jimenez will further help the White Sox cause and Cease should thrive back at home against a Tigers' team that is still among the worst overall hitting clubs in baseball. |
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06-03-23 | Rays v. Red Sox OVER 8.5 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Red Sox average 5.23 runs per game (4th) and hit .264 (4th) with a .769 OPS (5th). Boston has hit 65 home runs (16th) and stolen 31 bases (24th) this season. The pitching staff has a 4.65 ERA (25th) and a 1.32 WHIP (16th). Tampa Bay scores 5.86 runs per game (2nd) and hits .267 (2nd) with a .829 OPS (1st). It's leading MLB in homers (103) and stolen bases (77). The Rays' pitching staff sports a 3.69 ERA (7th) and a 1.21 WHIP (5th). Consider that the over is 15-5 in Rays last 20 overall. |
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05-29-23 | Heat v. Celtics -7 | 103-84 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I'm usually not about chalk and big numbers in this situation, but Miami just had one of the most heartbreaking losses in the history of the NBA playoffs. Not to mention that they nearly won a game where Butler and Adebayo's jump shots were M.I.A. Butler's performance has regressed in the last two games where he's starting to show some fatigue. He's getting no lift on his jumpers and drives and it shows where Boston had blocked his shot 10 times in this series. Boston has also found a way to slow down Adebayo with the length of Robert Williams and the experience of Al Horford. Martin, Max Strus, Vincent and Duncan Robinson are not enough to defeat a more athletic Boston team even without Malcolm Brogdon. Tatum will go bonkers at home in Game 7. |
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05-29-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars -121 | 6-0 | Loss | -121 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Golden Knights are hoping to close out the series, win the upcoming game on the road, and avoid playing a Game Seven. However, the Stars have all the momentum in this series and look to step up on their home ice and control Game Six. The Stars, who have scored seven goals in the last two games, should find the back of the net at will with Jason Robertson, Joe Pavelski, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Stars, who have only allowed four goals in the last two games, should limit the Golden Knights' offense with Miro Heiskanen, Ryan Suter, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Jake Oettinger to make plenty of big saves. The Stars should win Game Six to force a winner-take-all game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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05-29-23 | Braves -1.5 v. A's | 2-7 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With a couple of convalescents on the mound, I can only rely on Atlanta’s offense to make a difference. Also, Oakland’s bullpen is arguably the worst in baseball and sits at 6.36 ERA and 5.50 FIP for the season. The Athletics’ relievers have accounted for a 5.05 ERA and 4.32 FIP in the last ten days and 35.2 innings of work, while the Braves’ bullpen has thrown 33.2 frames in that span, posting a 4.54 ERA and 3.85 FIP. The Braves have won 11 consecutive games against the Athletics dating back to 2008. Atlanta is undoubtedly a much better offensive team than Oakland. |
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05-29-23 | Rays -124 v. Cubs | 0-1 | Loss | -124 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams are more than capable of putting up runs but the Rays have been the better team when it comes to holding the opposition in check. Bradley has pitched well in his first taste of the majors as he is up as a matter of necessity with Jeffrey Springs and Drew Rasmussen on the shelf. Stroman turned in his best start of the year against the Mets in his last start but has been spotty against Tampa Bay in his career going 5-8 with a 5.04 ERA in 16 career starts against them. He yielded eight runs (seven earned) on eight hits in 4 1/3 innings of an 8-2 home loss to Tampa Bay last season. This Rays team is loaded with talent and confidence, which is something that can’t be overlooked by any stretch of the imagination. Look for Tampa Bay to come into the Windy City and take the opening game of this series thanks to their ability to come up with clutch hits, something the Cubs have lacked in all season. |
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05-29-23 | Rays v. Cubs OVER 8 | 0-1 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Even with Marcus Stroman eying a third straight strong start, the Cubs face a daunting task by trying to keep the visiting Rays from handing them a fifth straight defeat today in the opener of a three-game series. Tampa Bay is a major-league-best 39-16 and leads the majors in several offensive categories, including runs (335), batting average (.273), on-base-plus-slugging percentage (.848) and homers (101). The Rays totaled 38 runs in taking four of their last five following Sunday's wild 11-10 victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers. Chicago is 11-24 since opening 11-6 and has been outscored 35-11 during their current four-game skid. Chicago has an 8.00 ERA in those last four games, with its starters having allowed 17 earned runs and 29 hits over 17 1/3 innings. Consider that the over is 21-8-1 in Rays last 30 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. |
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05-29-23 | Guardians v. Orioles -135 | 5-0 | Loss | -135 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Orioles had a rough weekend against a powerful Rangers lineup but things should quickly turn around for the Orioles facing the light-hitting Guardians. Orioles starter Wells has thrived at home this season with an ERA of just 2.64 and faces a Guardians team that is last in baseball in runs per game and just 28th in batting average. The Orioles, meanwhile, are hitting .260 vs. left-handed pitching this season and .264 during the day. The Orioles love to run, ranking third in baseball in stolen bases, and Cleveland is just 20th in the league in throwing out runners. Expect the Orioles to grind out at-bats and run early and often against the Guardians on Monday afternoon to generate runs. |
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05-28-23 | Phillies v. Braves OVER 8.5 | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Phillies are hitting .238/.320/.391 with six home runs and 12 extra-base hits in the last seven days and 202 at-bats. Bryson Stott has gone 8-for-21 with a couple of dingers in that span, and Bryce Harper has accounted for seven hits and a home run across 20 at-bats. Atlanta’s pitching staff has amassed an underwhelming 4.32 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, and .267 opposing batting average in the last couple of weeks. During that span, the Braves’ lineup has slashed .257/.313/.483 with 25 home runs and 24 doubles through 439 at-bats. Marcell Ozuna has gone 18-for-44 with five round-trippers, and Ronald Acuna has slugged four dingers and three doubles in his previous 53 at-bats while stealing seven bases. The Over is on a 7-2-1 run in this rivalry despite Saturday's 2-1 Phillies' win and 19-7 in Braves last 26 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. |
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05-28-23 | Astros -1.5 v. A's | 10-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Oakland has been awful all season and one has to credit Mark Kotsay for keeping his team competitive with a franchise that is on par with the Cleveland Indians of the early part of the movie “Major League.” The A’s continue to flounder and it’s hard to have faith in a team that entered Saturday with nine straight losses, not to mention 43 defeats in their first 53 games where only 10 of those 43 losses came by one run. Houston bounced back nicely from two straight losses by taking the opening game of this series. The Astros should be able to take advantage of Medina, especially his wildness, while Javier shouldn’t have problems as he has in the past here. Take Houston to win on getaway day and clinch the series. |
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05-28-23 | Mets v. Rockies UNDER 13 | 10-11 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units NY scores 4.35 runs per game (20th) and hits .243 (19th) with a .714 OPS (19th). It's hit 58 long balls (16th) and stolen 35 bases (15th) in 2023. The Mets' pitching staff sports a 4.57 ERA (23rd) and a 1.34 WHIP (22nd) with 12 quality starts. Colorado scores 4.40 runs per game (18th) and hits .256 (13th) with a .716 OPS (18th). It's hit 42 home runs (26th) and stolen 18 bases (30th) in 2023. The Rockies' pitching staff sports a 5.04 ERA (28th) and a 1.48 WHIP (29th) with 12 quality starts. Consider that the under is 11-5 in Rockies last 16 vs. National League East. |
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05-28-23 | Reds v. Cubs OVER 7.5 | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Reds are scoring an average of 4.43 runs per game, ranking them 16th. The pitching staff has posted a 4.90 team ERA, pegging them 28th. The Cubs are averaging 4.60 runs on the year, landing them 10th. The pitching staff is carrying a 4.24 team ERA, positioning them 16th. Consider that the over is 20-7 in Reds last 27 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. |
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05-28-23 | Giants -122 v. Brewers | 5-7 | Loss | -122 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Brewers' struggling offense doesn't get any favors today against Giants starter Alex Cobb, who is 4-1 with a 2.17 ERA, fourth best in all of baseball. Cobb has started 10 games, totaling 58 innings and striking out 52 while walking just 14. He started against Milwaukee on May 6 and dominated, pitching seven shutout innings while allowing five hits and striking out five to pick up the victory. He's 2-1 with an 0.64 ERA in four starts against the Brewers. Cobb will oppose against Brewers starter Colin Rea, who is 1-3 with a 4.71 ERA, but picked up his first win as a starter since 2016 in his last outing against Houston. The right-hander entered the rotation when Brandon Woodruff went down with injury in April and will make his eighth start and ninth appearance. His last start was arguably his best, pitching 5 1/3 shutout innings against the reigning World Series champions while striking out four. The Giants have had the Brewers' number this season, currently 5-1 against the NL Central leaders after winning two of three in the first week of May in San Francisco. |
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05-28-23 | Nationals -102 v. Royals | 2-3 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units For the Nationals franchise, it's a fortuitous matchup as they have won 15 of 20 previous games against the Royals, including a 5-1 mark as the Montreal Expos from 2002 to 2004. Kansas City has never won a series against Nationals. The Nationals won 12-10 on Friday and 4-2 on Saturday, and they're looking for their first three-game series sweep since June 14-16, 2021, against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Washington left-hander MacKenzie Gore (3-3, 3.88 ERA) has never faced the Royals nor any of their current hitters. The Royals starter will be lefty Daniel Lynch in his first start of the season after a left shoulder strain sent him to the injured list in March. Over the last three games the Nationals have rallied from deficits to score 20 runs in the sixth inning or later. Royals relievers have allowed 31 runs over 50 1/3 innings pitched in 11 losses during the past 14 games, and have also allowed 12 runners inherited from starters to score. In their last five losses, the Kansas City bullpen has given up 22 runs in 18 1/3 innings. |
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05-27-23 | Celtics -140 v. Heat | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With the series starting to trend back in Boston's direction, there's no doubt that the Celtics will be able to force a game seven. Beyond the depth advantages, this is a team that has shown playoff success on the road this postseason. For Miami, being without Vincent would be a massive issue, especially considering how strong he is on both ends. The last few games have seen Boston finding success again from three-point range and if that continues in this one, the Heat won't stand a chance. Additionally, Miami is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight-up loss for more than 10 points. For Boston, they are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings with the Heat in Miami. |
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05-27-23 | Stars v. Golden Knights -143 | 4-2 | Loss | -143 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Stars are looking to build off an overtime win and keep this series alive and possibly start a reverse sweep. However, the Golden Knights have controlled this series and look to step up after a rough overtime loss and control Game Five. The Golden Knights, who have scored 13 goals in the series, should pile on the goals with Nicolas Roy, Ivan Barbashev, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Golden Knights, who have only allowed eight goals in the series, should limit the Stars' offense with Alex Pietrangelo, Alec Martinez, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Adin Hill to make plenty of big saves to close out the game. The Golden Knights should win Game Five and clinch the series with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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05-27-23 | Red Sox v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Arizona is averaging 5.14 runs per game. Their .264 batting average is fifth in the league. Their .329 on base percentage is eighth, while their .436 slugging percentage is sixth. Arizona’s pitching hasn’t been good, with the team giving up 4.84 runs per game. Opponents have a .245 batting average against the Diamondbacks, which is 16th in the league. Their 4.49 ERA is 22nd, while their 1.33 WHIP is 19th. Boson’s pitching hasn’t been good, with the team giving up 5.10 runs per game. Opponents have a .255 batting average against the Red Sox, which is 24th in the league. Their 4.82 ERA is 25th, while their 1.34 WHIP is 21st. In his last start, Whitlock gave up eight hits and five runs in four innings. Consider that the over is 20-8-1 in Red Sox last 29 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. |
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05-27-23 | Phillies v. Braves -129 | 2-1 | Loss | -129 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Philadelphia Phillies are stumbling, winning only four out of their last ten games. The squad was swept in their previous road series by the Giants and was dealt a series loss by the Diamondbacks this week. They have only won 10 of their 27 road games on the season. The Atlanta Braves have won two of their last three series. Phillies starter Zack Wheeler hasn’t been nearly as strong as last season. The veteran has posted a subpar 4.44 ERA in his four outings this month and the Phillies have lost in three of his last four starts. While Braves’ starter Charlie Morton struggled last time out, the right-hander has been solid, conceding two or fewer runs in two of his last three starts. |
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05-27-23 | Giants +104 v. Brewers | 3-1 | Win | 104 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams figure to need all hands on deck for a pitchers' duel Saturday between right-handed staff aces Corbin Burnes (4-4, 3.97 ERA) of the Brewers and Logan Webb (3-5, 2.91) of the Giants. The All-Star hopefuls will be going head-to-head for the second time in their careers. Both pitched brilliantly in their first encounter when the Giants won 2-1 in 10 innings in Milwaukee in August 2021. Burnes limited the visitors to one run and four hits in seven innings, while Webb was nearly a mirror image, allowing one run and three hits in six innings. Burnes not only will be facing a hot club today, but will take the mound riding a two-game losing streak in which he was roughed up for eight runs and 15 hits over 11 innings by the St. Louis Cardinals and Houston Astros.The 28-year-old began May with a 6-4 loss at San Francisco in which he served up a first-inning home run to J.D. Davis among five runs allowed in six innings. Webb has been one of the best pitchers in the National League in May, going 2-0 with a 1.30 ERA over four starts. He has nothing to show for brilliant outings his last two times out, limiting the Arizona Diamondbacks and Miami Marlins to a total of one run in 13 innings in 2-1 and 1-0 defeats. Webb has never lost to the Brewers, going 1-0 with a 1.89 ERA in three starts. |
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05-27-23 | Rangers v. Orioles -113 | 5-3 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rangers will look to Andrew Heaney (3-3, 4.13 ERA) to keep the momentum going. The left-hander is coming off one of his best starts of the season, when he allowed just one unearned run on six hits with five strikeouts and two walks in six innings of a 13-3 win over the visiting Colorado Rockies on Sunday. However, Heaney has struggled against the Orioles throughout his career. He's 1-3 with a 9.51 ERA with 15 strikeouts and four walks over 23 2/3 innings. He has surrendered a whopping 12 homers across six appearances, including five starts. Heaney was rocked by the Orioles when he faced them in his first start this season. He was lit up for seven runs on seven hits, including two homers, with two strikeouts and two walks in just 2 2/3 innings of a 7-2 setback on April 4. The Orioles, who must beat the Rangers on consecutive days if they're to win their third straight series, counter with Dean Kremer (5-1, 4.61). The right-hander was also impressive in his last start, when he gave up a run on nine hits with seven strikeouts and two walks over 5 1/3 innings of an 8-3 win in 11 innings over the host Toronto Blue Jays. |
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05-26-23 | Red Sox -134 v. Diamondbacks | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Boston left-hander Chris Sale (4-2, 5.01 ERA) will take the ball today for his 10th start of the season. Sale has struck out 62 in 50 1/3 innings but also has served up eight homers. The 34-year-old pitched superbly in his last two outings. He gave up one and three in eight innings in a no-decision against the St. Louis Cardinals on May 13 and then allowed two runs and three hits over seven innings in a victory over the Padres on Saturday. In his last four outings, Sale has 32 strikeouts against three walks in 27 1/3 innings. Longoria is just 6-for-38 with 15 strikeouts in his career against Sale. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is 3-for-18 with one homer. Right-hander Brandon Pfaadt (0-1, 7.65) will make his fifth career start for Arizona. He has served up seven homers in 20 innings. Pfaadt, 24, received a no-decision in his last outing when he gave up three runs and six hits in 5 1/3 innings against the Pirates. |
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05-26-23 | Mets v. Rockies +1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Colorado has a 12-9 run line record following a win, the fifth-highest win percentage in those games. It also sports a 10-8 run line record as home underdogs. New York has a 7-14 run line record as road favorites and the worst overall run line record in MLB this season, too. I'm betting on Colorado to cover at home in game one. NY is traveling from Chicago after a Thursday night game with the Cubbies after dropping the first two games of the series. It's lost some momentum from its five-game win streak and could be on upset alert Friday, even with its ace on the bump. The Rockies boast much better splits at home (.274 BA/.329 OBP/.439 SLG/.768 OPS) than they do in road games (.234/.299/.349/.648) and hit right-handed pitchers (.260/.321/.404/.725) better than lefties (.240/.294/.367/.662). I'll bet on them to cover against the inconsistent Scherzer |
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05-26-23 | Blue Jays v. Twins OVER 8 | 3-1 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Gausman makes his 10th career start against the Twins in this contest. He comes in 0-4 with a 6.36 ERA, a 1.393 WHIP, nine walks and 53 strikeouts over 46.2 innings of work against them. Gausman is 0-1 with a 6.57 ERA, a 1.46 WHIP, four walks and 30 strikeouts over 24.2 innings in five career starts at Target Field. The Blue Jays hope Gausman can pitch late into the game after Thursday's starter, Alek Manoah, went just three innings. The Twins plan to counter with right-hander Louie Varland. Consider that the over is 10-1 in Blue Jays last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter. |
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05-26-23 | Dodgers v. Rays -116 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rays have won four of their last six games and nine of their last 12 home games. They have played well offensively at home, scoring 14 runs in their last three home games. Expect them to continue playing well offensively in this game because they have hit the ball well against right-handers and Syndergaard has struggled on the mound so far, especially on the road where he has given up 16 runs in his last four starts. He gave up six runs in two starts against the Rays, and with Los Angeles having the seventh-worst bullpen in the league, they will have a hard time slowing down the Rays in this game. The Dodgers have lost three of their last five games and four of their last seven road games. |
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05-26-23 | White Sox v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Lynn has a 6.28 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, and his home run to fly ball ratio of 19.47% is nearly double the league average. Lynn has also surrendered 65 hits through 57.1 innings pitched. Expect the Tigers to take advantage of that, which should result in runs on the board. Wentz’s numbers are even worse than Lynn’s. He has a 7.45 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, and 49 hits allowed through 38.2 innings pitched. His last 2 starts have resulted in him not making it through to the 3rd inning, allowing 16 hits and 9 earned runs in those games. With these pitchers allowing a combined 74 runs in 19 starts, expect the trend to continue. |
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05-26-23 | Reds v. Cubs OVER 7 | 9-0 | Win | 101 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Reds’ starter Hunter Greene is having a disappointing season. He has served up a whopping seven home runs in his last four starts and has recorded a brutal 6.95 ERA this month. Chicago is scoring an average of 4.81 runs on the season, good for 11th. Seiya Suzuki continues to deliver, clubbing four homers with seven RBIs in his last seven games. The 28-year-old slugger now has 19 RBIs and a stellar .873 OPS on the season. He posted eight RBIs against the Reds last year and did not play in the first series against the Reds. Consider that the over is 16-6 in Reds last 22 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. |
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05-25-23 | Orioles v. Yankees OVER 9 | 3-1 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Looking at this pitching matchup, it’s hard to not like the over. Kyle Gibson holds an ERA of 4.27 while Clarke Schmidt’s is up to 6.00, so neither pitcher has been missing bats recently. For Schmidt, his role in the rotation is starting to seem less certain after each start, and if he can’t put together a quality start against this AL East opponent, questions are going to be raised about reorganizing the New York rotation. In 10 starts this year, Schmidt has allowed at least 3 runs in 7 of the 10 starts – and that includes against the Orioles. The right-hander faced Baltimore at Camden Yards at the beginning of April and didn’t make it through 4 innings. He was shelled for 4 runs, 5 hits and 3 walks in just 3.1 innings in a game that ended with 13 runs scored. Going from Camden Yards to Yankee Stadium only benefits the hitters more, and that leads me to believe we’re in for another high-scoring affair. |
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05-25-23 | White Sox -127 v. Tigers | 2-7 | Loss | -127 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Faedo has done a solid enough job keeping baserunners at a minimum but the problem is, they end up coming around to score. He’s given up five homers in his 15 innings of work, which has to be cause for concern if you’re a Tigers fan. Chicago knocked him around in his lone career outing against them last year and the White Sox have seemingly started to turn a corner after a horrific start to the season. Giolito has been solid, throwing at least six innings in eight straight starts and he has allowed two runs or less in six of those outings. The Tigers have struggled at the plate this season, ranking last in the AL in runs scored. |
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05-25-23 | Padres v. Nationals UNDER 9.5 | 8-6 | Loss | -119 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Diego scores 3.94 runs per game (25th) and hits .225 (30th) with a .702 OPS (22nd). It's hit 54 home runs (17th) and stolen 29 bases (21st) this season. The SD pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA (11th) and a 1.25 WHIP (10th) with 20 quality starts. While the Nationals score 4.10 runs per game (24th) and hit .263 (5th) with a .707 OPS (19th). They've hit 36 long balls (29th) and stolen 24 bases (27th) this year. The Washington pitching staff has compiled a 4.40 ERA (19th) and a 1.43 WHIP (25th) with 18 quality starts. Consider that the under is 20-6-1 in Padres last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter. |
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05-25-23 | Marlins v. Rockies +1.5 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Kyle Freeland broke into the big leagues with Colorado in 2017 and knows how to pitch at Coors Field. He also tends to bounce back well from poor outings. He had been particularly sharp over his previous three outings. Freeland had two starts which he didn't allow a run and he was a hard-luck loser in the other, allowing two runs over seven innings of a 2-0 loss at Pittsburgh. Freeland has pitched well in five career outings, three starts, against Miami, going 2-0 with a 3.60 ERA. On the other side, Marlins starter Braxton Garrett is more of a wild card here, going 0-1 with a 3.12 ERA over 8 2/3 innings and making his Coors Field debut. Miami is also just 4-13 in their last 17 games played in Colorado. |
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05-25-23 | Blue Jays v. Rays -144 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Alek Manoah got shelled by Tampa's offense once at home, and there's little reason to think it won't happen again. Manoah has simply been ineffective this season, while the Rays are hitting nearly every pitcher in their path. Meanwhile, Tampa's Zach Eflin has consistently guided the Rays to home wins in 2023, with four of the five outings multi-run victories. Neither bullpen is reliable right now, so this comes down to starting pitching and offense. Both factors favor Tampa at home. |
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05-24-23 | Orioles v. Yankees -120 | 9-6 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Wells has been solid this season for Baltimore, though he has been hurt by the long ball, surrendering 10 homers in his body of work. That could prove problematic against a Yankee team that has the combination of Aaron Judge and Anthony Rizzo near the top of the lineup, along with other power bats throughout the order. Cortes has been rough in his work, though he is coming off a solid outing in his last start. He has been a bit unlucky as his FIP ERA is 4.51, nearly three-quarters of a run lower than his actual number. Cortes has thrived against Baltimore in his career while Wells has scuffled against the Bronx Bombers going 0-4 with a 4.68 ERA |
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05-24-23 | Hurricanes +100 v. Panthers | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
The Hurricanes have been to the playoffs five straight years, and a do-or-die scenario like this isn't going to phase them. Yes, Carolina is certainly up a creek as they face a 3-0 deficit in this series, but I think it looks worse on paper than it actually has been. Florida needed four overtimes in Game 1 to steal the win, and with several of Carolina's key players having played nearly triple the amount of time they usually do, I wasn't overly surprised to see the Hurricanes drop Game 2 just two days later. After Game 3, you simply had to tip your cap to Bobrovsky for the show he put on in goal. Ultimately, though, Carolina has been in every game so far, and it's not like Florida is drastically outplaying them. In fact, in 261 minutes and 38 seconds of play in this series, neither team has been ahead by more than one goal at any point. You have to credit the Panthers for winning four consecutive games by one goal, but it seems like the Panthers are due to drop one of these close games. The Hurricanes were the favorites entering this series for a reason, and I can't see them going away quietly in a sweep. |
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05-24-23 | Mets v. Cubs OVER 6.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago is scoring an average of 4.78 runs on the season, good for 10th. The pitching has been exploited recently and they now have a 4.17 team ERA, tabbing them 15th. While New York is averaging 4.31 runs on the season, ranking them 19th. The pitching staff has recorded a subpar 4.68 team ERA, placing them 24th. Consider that the over is 20-7-1 in Mets last 28 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. |
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05-24-23 | Dodgers +105 v. Braves | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Dodgers have several key pitchers injured but fortunately, they have Tony Gonsolin on the mound in this one. Gonsolin has been lights out. He has not allowed an earned run in three consecutive starts spanning 16 innings and the Dodgers have won in three of his last four outings. Gonsolin has yet to allow an earned run on the road this season. The Dodgers' offense is hot. They have amassed five or more runs in eight of their last nine games including an 8-6 win in Monday's series opener and another eight runs on Tuesday. Braves' starter Elder is pitching well but is still a young pitcher and has yet to pitch against the Dodgers in his career. While his ERA is at 2.06, his Expected ERA is higher at 4.55. |
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05-24-23 | Rangers v. Pirates +112 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units While Perez has done an excellent job for the Rangers over the past season and a half, he's been less effective on the road. This season, in particular, Perez's ERA jumps up nearly a run and a half on the road. He now comes up against a Pirates team that has hit left-handed pitching very well this season. The Bucs are hitting .274 against lefties thus far, have a .455 slugging percentage, and an OBP of .792. Oviedo has been slightly better at home than on the road and, more importantly, has kept the ball in the yard at home. He has allowed just one home run at home this season which will be critical against a Rangers team that is 7th in baseball in home runs. I look for the Pirates to take the third and final game of this series with a slightly better starting pitcher and timely hitting against the soft-throwing Perez. |
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05-23-23 | Padres -139 v. Nationals | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The San Diego Padres haven’t been at their best however they have Yu Darvish on the mound. Darvish has been the Padres’ most reliable starter this season and has allowed two or fewer runs in two of his last three outings including just one run in six innings against the Dodgers. The Nationals have only won two of their last six games. Nationals starter Mackenzie Gore is a promising young pitcher but has been inconsistent and has recorded a subpar 4.66 ERA in his four starts this month. He doesn’t pitch deep into games, logging 5.1 or fewer innings in three of his last four starts and the Nationals do not have a reliable bullpen, ranking 22nd with a weak 4.30 ERA on the season. |
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05-23-23 | Orioles v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Orioles score 5.11 runs per game (7th) and hit .254 (13th) with a .757 OPS (9th). They've hit 58 long balls (11th) and stolen 43 bases (5th) this year. NY averages 4.61 runs (12th) and hits .236 (22nd) with a .728 OPS (14th). It's hit 73 homers (4th) and stolen 37 bases (11th) this season. Consider that the over is 7-3 in Yankees last 10 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. |
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05-23-23 | Cardinals -133 v. Reds | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The St. Louis Cardinals are looking a lot better in recent games and have been reliable on the road, winning five of their last seven road games highlighted by a sweep of the Red Sox in that span. They just won three of four against the Dodgers on the weekend ignited by the offense. The Reds are scuffling, dropping six of their last eight games. Reds’ starter Graham Ashcraft has been clobbered in recent outings. He has surrendered a whopping 19 runs in his last four starts spanning only 18.1 innings, resulting in an abysmal 9.33 ERA in May. He struggled against the Cardinals last season, conceding eight runs in nine innings. |
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05-23-23 | Rangers v. Pirates OVER 8 | 6-1 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Texas Rangers are in the top 3 in four major hitting statistics. Texas is first in team batting average .272 and in runs scored with 297, while second in on-base percentage at .342 and 3rd in slugging percentage with .456. Adolis Garcia is the leading home run hitter for Texas with 14 and also leads the Rangers in RBI with 49. Josh Jung is second in home runs with nine, while Marcus Semien is second in RBI with 38. Texas has hit 94 doubles, five triples and 63 home runs in 46 games. Consider that the over is 12-5-1 in Pirates last 18 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. |
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05-23-23 | White Sox +119 v. Guardians | 4-2 | Win | 119 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The White Sox are playing their best baseball of the season with six wins in ten games heading into Monday night's opener against Cleveland. They are hitting .252 against lefties this season and have an OBP of over .700 as a team vs. lefties. Allen has lived a bit dangerously lately while giving up 15 hits in his last 10 innings of work. Cease has a 12.0 K/9 rate on the road this season and faces a Cleveland lineup that is 29th in baseball in runs scored. The Guardians have won just three of their last ten games heading into the series opener, including losing two of three to the White Sox in Chicago last week. |
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05-22-23 | Marlins v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rockies will turn to right-hander Chase Anderson on Monday night in the series opener with Miami. Anderson will be making his second start of the season and fourth appearance overall. He has no record and has yet to allow a run in ten innings while allowing just three hits. He has two walks and five strikeouts overall. In his lone starting appearance, his first with Colorado after being acquired from Tampa, the 35-year old allowed just one hit in five innings against the Reds while picking up a no-decision. The Marlins are hitting just .230 on the road. Consider that the under is 11-2 in Marlins last 13 vs. National League West. |
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05-22-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -150 | 113-111 | Loss | -150 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This series is over, for all intents and purposes, but I just can't see the Lakers getting swept. Veterans like James and Davis are too proud to let themselves get swept in front of Jack and the rest of their home crowd. The Nuggets are just a better team, and have been all season, and they'll make this interesting, but the Lakers will pull this one out down the stretch. The Nuggets are just 2-5 against the spread in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles. But look for a gentleman's sweep and for this thing to end in game 5 back in Denver. |
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05-22-23 | Hurricanes v. Panthers -104 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The first two games went to overtime, making it easy to think that the Hurricanes can win the upcoming game on the road. However, the Panthers have controlled this series and look to step up and control this game on their home ice. The Panthers should pile on the goals with Matthew Tkachuk, Aleksander Barkov, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Panthers, who have allowed only three goals in the series, should limit the Hurricanes' offense with Brandon Montour, Gustav Forsling, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky to step up and make plenty of big saves. The Panthers should win Game Three and take a commanding 3-0 series lead with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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05-22-23 | Giants v. Twins -139 | 4-1 | Loss | -139 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Francisco has lost four of its last five when playing against the team with a winning record. San Francisco has only the 20th best team batting average and is coming off a game on Saturday in which the Giants were held to three hits and no runs. Minnesota has baseball's third best team ERA and is allowing the second lowest batting average by opponents at .224. San Francisco starting pitcher Alex Cobb lasted only 3 ⅓ innings last time out allowing five hits and two runs but struggled with control, issuing five base on balls. Minnesota starting pitcher Bailer Ober has had five consecutive solid starts, allowing 20 hits and six earned runs in 24 ⅓ innings, with Minnesota winning four of the five. |
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05-22-23 | Tigers +105 v. Royals | 8-5 | Win | 105 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Kansas City has been awful this season and their inability to generate consistent offense has been a major reason why. We have seen them total one run in their first two games against the White Sox over the weekend and that lack of run support makes things tougher for what has been a struggling pitching staff. Lorenzen turned in a solid outing in his last start, blanking the Pirates over six innings at home, and has been solid in his last several turns in the rotation. Detroit is still a sub-.500 team but they have played better baseball after a sluggish start to the year. You can’t say that about the Royals and that is enough to give the advantage to the Tigers in this contest. |
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05-22-23 | Rangers -121 v. Pirates | 4-6 | Loss | -121 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rangers have won five of their last seven games and four of their last five road games. They have the highest-scoring offense in the league and they’re playing very well offensively at the moment, scoring 23 runs in their last three games. They’ve done a great job against right-handers this season and Pittsburgh starter, Ortiz has struggled on the mound, giving up nine runs in two starts. He gave up five runs in his only home start and will have a hard time slowing down the Rangers in this game. The Pirates have won three of their last five games, but they’ve lost seven of their last eight home games. They don’t hit the ball well against right-handers and Texas starter, Dunning has done a great job on the mound for the Rangers, giving up only five runs in his last four starts. He has given up five runs in six road starts this season and didn’t give up a run in his only start against the Pirates. |
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05-21-23 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | 102-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Celtics are inexplicably three-point favorites in this one. What does Miami have to do to get some respect? I just don't see how you can favor the Celtics in this one, given that the Heat have not lost at home so far in the playoffs. The Celtics are the higher seed and the more talented team, but I have no confidence in their ability to close out a game in crunch time, especially against this Heat team, which has come up big time after time. The Celtics are 0-4 against the spread in their last 4 meetings versus the Heat. The Celtics could possibly win this but it would be only by a bucket late. Take the Heat getting the points. |
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05-21-23 | Guardians v. Mets OVER 7.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A pair of former Cy Young Award winners -- the Guardians' Shane Bieber (3-2, 3.20 ERA) and the Mets' Justin Verlander (1-2, 4.76 ERA) -- remain scheduled to start tonight's game. Bieber took the defeat in his lone start against New York on Aug. 20, 2019, when he allowed four runs (two earned) over six innings in a 9-2 loss. Verlander is 22-24 with a 4.53 ERA in 54 starts against the Guardians. Consider that the over is 19-8 in Mets last 27 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. |
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05-21-23 | Twins v. Angels -143 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Angels are 5-0 in Ohtani's last five starts vs. a team with a winning record and 7-1 in his last eight starts on grass. They're also 13-4 in their last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter and 19-7 in their last 26 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The Twins are 2-6 in their last eight road games vs. a right-handed starter, 3-10 in their last 13 vs. American League West, and 8-23 in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The Twins are not playing well in Southern California, and I don't predict their road trip will end on a high note today. Minny's road splits are poor (.208/.287/.364/.650), and it's facing one of the elite starters in baseball. Additionally, he's coming off a poor outing, which should motivate his competitive edge today. Ohtani has a 2.38 ERA in his career vs. the Twins. |
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05-21-23 | Royals v. White Sox UNDER 10 | 2-5 | Win | 105 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units One of baseball's most productive lineups in the first two weeks of May, the suddenly sluggish Kansas City offense has been shut out twice in the past five games, scoring just 10 runs over the five games. The Royals have been shut out eight times this season. Kansas City is 2-6 during its current road trip, which ends Sunday. Royals' batters have hit .185 (47-for-254) with 79 strikeouts, including a .184 mark (9-of-49) with runners in scoring position during the span. Kansas City was hitless with runners in scoring position in the first two games of the series and struck out three times to end innings with a runner at third. Meanwhile, while winning four of its past five games, Chicago starters have limited hitters to a .208 average (25-for-120) with a 1.89 ERA (seven earned runs, 33 1/3 innings). They have completed at least six innings in seven straight starts. Consider that the under is 11-5-3 in White Sox last 19 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. |
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05-21-23 | Brewers v. Rays OVER 8 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rays announced left-hander Jalen Beeks (1-2, 4.70 ERA) as today's starter. Beeks has faced the Brewers twice, making one start. While he hasn't been involved in a decision, he has a 3.00 ERA in three innings. The Brewers are countering with right-hander Freddy Peralta (4-3, 4.11) today. Peralta is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA in one career start against the Rays. The 26-year-old has worked at least six innings in five of his eight starts but is coming off allowing a season-high six runs in a loss at the St. Louis Cardinals on Monday. Consider that the over is 11-5-2 in Brewers last 18 vs. American League East. |