Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-07-16 | Warriors v. Clippers +4.5 | Top | 115-98 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
50* graded play on the LA Clippers as they take on the Golden State Warriors in NBA Western Conference action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Clippers will win this game. Given the favorable projections, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-26 mark for 54% winners and has made a whopping 41 units/unit wagered averaging an eye-popping +222 line. Play against favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) that is a solid team outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Clippers are a solid 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Golden State is just 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. |
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12-06-16 | Miami (OH) v. Missouri -9.5 | Top | 55-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
25* graded play on Missouri as they take on Miami (Ohio) in NCAA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Missouri will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is just 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) in road games when they make 23% to 30% of their three-point attempts in a game; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last two seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points We se this game as a significant mismatch with Missouri having matchup advantages at every major c=facet of the game. Missouri ranks 27th in the nation averaging 41.1 rebounds per game while Miami ranks 153rd getting 36.3 boards per game. More glaring is that Miami ranks 334th with a 0.415 assists/FG made ratio. In case you were wondering there are 351 D-1 basketball programs in the database. Missouri defense is excellent and contests all shots and generate a turnover of 18% of their opponent possessions. |
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12-06-16 | Purdue -11.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 97-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
25* graded play on Purdue (555) as they take on Arizona State (556) in NCAAB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Purdue will win this game by at least 15 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 115-66 ATS mark good for 64% winners since 2010. Play on favorites in the month of December of 10 or more points (PURDUE) playing only their 3rd game in a week. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Purdue is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they make 54% to 59% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons; 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when they score 87 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. ASU is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when they allow 87 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Boilermakers. |
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12-06-16 | Northeastern +5 v. Harvard | Top | 80-86 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
25* graded play on Northeastern as they take on Harvard in NCAAB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Northeastern will win this game. Given the line currently installing Northeastern as a 5-point dog, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 86-46 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 2010. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HARVARD) after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Harvard is just 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-05-16 | Colts v. Jets | Top | 41-10 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 25 m | Show |
25* graded play on the NY Jets (378) as they take on the Indianapolis Colts (377) in AFC action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Jets will win this game. If this line, currently showing the Jets installed as 1.5 point dog, moves to 3 and you can get a money line of at least +130, then a combination wager is validated using a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Jets are a stout 63-25 ATS (+35.5 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points. Moreover, they are an impressive 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in home games off a home loss dating back to 1992. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Jets. |
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12-05-16 | Spurs v. Bucks +6 | Top | 97-96 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show |
25* graded play on Milwaukee (714) as they host San Antonio (713) in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Milwaukee will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 101-45 mark good for 69% winners using the money line and has made 45 units/unit wagered since 1996. Road teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Milwaukee is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games when their opponents make 32% to 38% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-05-16 | Siena -3.5 v. Rider | Top | 69-71 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on Siena as they take on Rider in MAAC action set to start at PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rider has been a miserable money burning 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons; 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Siena is a stout 53-23 ATS (+27.7 Units) when their opponents make 23% to 30% of their 3 pointers in a game. Fundamental Discussion Points The Siena Saints will be in Lawrenceville New Jersey to take on the Rider Broncs Monday night at 7. Siena’s offense likes to get out and run and they have no trouble scoring the basketball averaging 75 points per game, unlike Rider who struggles to score ranking last in the MAAC in scoring (69 points per game). Rider shoots just 22% from 3 and only average 10.7 assists per game, again last in the MAAC. Look for the Siena offense to score quite a bit and for Riders slow offense not be able to keep up with them. Take Siena -4.5. |
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12-04-16 | Bills +3 v. Raiders | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
25* graded play on Buffalo as they take on Oakland in AFC Conference action set to start at 4:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Buffalo will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 28-6 ATS mark good for 82.4% winners since 2005. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OAKLAND) in a conference matchup, who are off a no-cover where the team had won installed as a favorite. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oakland is a miserable 5-26 ATS (-23.6 Units) when they allow 150 to 175 rushing yards; 18-78 ATS (-67.8 Units) when they allow 150 or more rushing yards. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bears. Buffalo is a strong team that has not had things go their way in every game. They are 6-5 and right in the middle of the playoff hunt in the AFC. Oakland has won 5 straight games to move to first place in the West. Yards-per-point is a metric and not a fundamental variable, but it does lead into t the fundamental discussions. Buffalo ranks 3rd in the NFL with 13.3 yards per point offensive ratio. This means that on average for Buffalo to score 1 point on the scoreboard, they need to gain 13.3 yards of offense. This metric ranges from about 12 to 24 in any given season. The lower the metric, the more efficient an offense operates on the field. Oakland ranks 5th in this category at 14.8 and has posted a very impressive 11.8 reading over their last three games. However, the last three weeks has put Oakland into an unsustainable situation, and there is a significant propensity for their offense to revert to or below their mean. So, look for Buffalo to establish the ground game and control the tempo of the game. |
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12-03-16 | Penn State +3 v. Wisconsin | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 34 h 9 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State(333) as they take on Wisconsin(334) in BIG 10 action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 98-52 over the last 5 seasons good for 65.3% winners and made a great 40.8 units/unit wagered. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WISCONSIN) - after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is a solid 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing 3 straight conference games this season; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season; 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Wisconsin. Wisconsin is a poor Fundamental Discussion Points In the Battle for the Big 10 Championship and to make an argument that the winner belongs in the playoffs, the red hot Nittany Lions take on the Defensive minded Badgers. The Badgers only losses were to Ohio State and Michigan this season and the defense was outstanding versus everyone this season. The Badgers offense is nothing special but they move the ball enough to keep the defense fresh and eventually wear down their opponents. Penn State does have the playmakers on Offense to move the ball on Wisconsin and the defense should be able to keep Wisconsin in check. Daquan Barkley who comes into this game with over 1200 yards rushing and 14 TD's is also a tough match up in the passing game. Saying that Barkley got banged up in the Michigan State game and his health status should be monitored as this is a big part of the Nittany Lion offense. We like the hot team right now which also brings a more diversified offense to the table. Roar Lions Roar. WE ARE…. Penn State! |
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12-03-16 | Fairfield +7.5 v. Siena | Top | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
25* graded play on Fairfield (817) as they take on Sienna (818) in NCCAM action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Fairfield will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot to win this game. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Fairfield is a solid 78-50 ATS (+23.0 Units) in road games when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bears. The Fairfield Stags head to Albany, New York to take on the Siena Saints Saturday at 7 pm. For Fairfield, it will be their 2nd conference game this season having beaten Rider 76-67. Siena however will be playing their first conference game of the season. Both teams average right around 75 points offensively but Fairfield averages 68.5 points per game compared to Siena who gives up 76.9 points per game (8.4 points worse than Fairfield). Fairfield also averages 5 rebounds more than Siena this season, Amaduo Sidibe is the leading rebounder for the Stags with 11 rebounds per game which is 3 rebounds higher than Siena’s highest rebounder. We look to see the Stags play hard and keep it very close on the road and try to move to 2-0 in the MAAC conference this season. Take Fairfield getting 7.5 points. |
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12-03-16 | Georgia State v. Idaho -6.5 | Top | 12-37 | Win | 100 | 31 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play on Idaho (322) as they take on Georgia State (321) in Sun Belt Conference action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Idaho will win this game by more than a touchdown. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 27-5 over the last 5 seasons good for 84.4% winners and made 21.5 units/unit wagered. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (IDAHO) - after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Idaho is a solid 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 200 or more rushing yards/game over the last 2 seasons; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf. Fundamental Discussion Points The 7-4 Vandals look to close this season strong headed to a bowl game, Georgia State had a big win last time out against in State rival Georgia Southern and most likely are not looking forward to a trip to Idaho to play in this one. Idaho came on strong after the beat downs earlier this year against Washington and Washington State. Georgia State has a pedestrian offense which the Vandals should have no problem shutting down today and the offense should be able to do its job and put up enough points to get the cover today. |
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12-03-16 | Morehead State v. Purdue -20 | Top | 56-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
25* graded play on Purdue (824) as they take on Morehead State (823) in NCAAM action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Purdue will win this game by more than 26 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 91-50 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 1997. Play on home teams as a favorite or pick (PURDUE) and is a very good shooting team making >=48% of their shot attempts on the season and is now facing an opponent after a game attempting 20+ less free throws than the opponent. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. MS is a money burning 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games when they allow 87 or more points in a game; Purdue is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they score 87 or more points in a game over the last two seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points The Purdue Boilermakers get a visit from The Morehead State Eagles this Saturday at 2 pm. Purdue comes into this game at 5-2, and the Eagles come in at 2-4 (0-3 in road games). Morehead State will have their hands full with 6 foot 8 Caleb Swanigan and 7 foot 2 Isaac Haas. Morehead State will struggle to stop the two big post players for Purdue. Purdue enters the game averaging 37 rebounds per game. Meanwhile Morehead States biggest player stands at only 6 foot 6. Simply enough Purdue has the height advantage in this one and will use it to get easy buckets, get out in transition, and get to the free throw line. Look for Purdue to score more than 90 points and overwhelm Morehead State with their bench depth. |
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12-03-16 | Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma -11 | Top | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 28 h 45 m | Show |
50* graded play on Oklahoma(318) as they take on Oklahoma State(317) in Bedlam Rivalry action set to start at 12:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oklahoma will win this game by more than 12 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 33-8 over the last 10 seasons good for 88.5% winners and made 24.2 units/unit wagered. Play against road underdogs (OKLAHOMA ST) - off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 or more points against opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OU is a strong 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons; 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points with Stoops as their coach; 11-4 ATS in their last 15 conference games. OK State is a poor 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points since 1992 and they are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Fundamental Discussion Points In the game they call Bedlam we look for the Sooners and the Cowboys to put up lot of offense today. Oklahoma rushes for 230 yards a game and passes for over 320. Baker Mayfield completes over 70% of his passes with 35 TD Passes on the season. Joe Mixon and Samantha Perrine are a solid 1-2 running punch averaging over 7 yards per carry with 17 TD's on the year. Mason Rudolph and the Cowboys offense have been equally impressive this season averaging over 40 points per game. We do look for the Sooners to do what they are accustomed to do and control the Big 12 teams especially at home where the OU defense should be able to get more stops in this one. When I say Boomer, you say Sooner today! |
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12-03-16 | Troy -7 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 24-28 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
25* graded play on Troy(313) as they take on Georgia Southern(314) in Sun Belt Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Troy will win this game by more than 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-10 over the last 5 seasons good for 80.8% winners and made a great 31 units/unit wagered. Play against a home team (GA SOUTHERN) - after having lost 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games against opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games. Another proven system supports this play posting a 38-11 over the last 5 seasons good for 77.6% winners and made 25.9 units/unit wagered. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TROY) - after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GASO is an awful 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after playing their last game on the road this season; 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season; 0-6 ATS in their last 6 conference games; 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games on grass. Troy is a solid 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games; 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points Troy goes down to Georgia Southern with a win today will be Conference Co-Champions. The Trojans are 9-2 on the season and only allow 21 points per game. They went toe to toe with Clemson earlier this year and we see the defense shutting down the one-dimensional Georgia Southern team. Troy has a balanced offense to go with a solid defense. Georgia Southern came up short in its game with Georgia State and the week of rest only prolongs a season which, came up short of expectations. Look for the more focused Trojans to control this one today. |
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12-02-16 | Iona -2.5 v. St. Peter's | Top | 79-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
25* graded play on Iona (533) as they take on St. Peters (534) in Metro Athletic Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Iona will win this game by more than 7 points. If you want to play the money line, I see no reasons not to engage in that wager type given the strong technical situations detailed next. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Iona is a near-perfect 14-1 against the money line (+13.2 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. STP is a money losing 4-12 against the money line (-12.4 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, we see that Iona is a stout 10-1 against the money line (+9.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams shooting percentage defense of >=45% over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points The Iona Gaels take on St. Peters at the Yantelli Center in Jersey City, New Jersey. Both teams come into the game with 3-2 records and this will be the first conference game for both teams. St. Peters comes into the game ranked 309th of 350 in assists per game. This stat is to help you see that their offense is slow and selfish. Iona went 2-0 against St. Peters last year, Iona also has an older team led by Seniors who have won the MAAC conference. Look for the Gaels defense to stop the bad offense of St. Peters and have their defense lead to their scoring. Take Iona as a 3 point favorite on the road. |
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12-01-16 | Oregon State v. Mississippi State -8.5 | Top | 57-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
25* graded play on Mississippi State (718) as they take on Oregon State (717) in CBB action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miss State will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oregon State is a poor 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in road games after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons; 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons; 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons; 0-6 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games; 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5. Miss State is a strong 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record; 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games; 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bulldogs. Both Oregon State and host Mississippi State have lost their leading scorers to wrist injuries in the games leading up to Thursday night's meeting. Mississippi State is 1-1 since Quinndary Weatherspoon was lost for the season while the Beavers won their first game without Tres Tinkle. This means Miss State has more experience without their leading scorer while they rallied from a double-digit deficit to win in two of their past three games. The Beavers have more turnovers than their opponents in six of seven games (minus-4.6). Take Mississippi State Bulldogs. |
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12-01-16 | Clippers +5 v. Cavs | Top | 113-94 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Clippers (705) as they take on Cavaliers (706) in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Clippers will win this game. Given that they are installed as 5 point dogs, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 45-16 over the last 5 seasons good for 73.8% winners and made 27.4 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (CLEVELAND) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Cavs are a poor 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite this season; 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest; 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points; 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record; 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Clippers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Fundamental Discussion Points The Cavs are ranked 14th in the NBA in both shooting % and opponents shooting %, while the Clippers are ranked 3rd and 4th respectively in those categories. Los Angeles also has the advantage of being #1 in free throws made, attempted, and forcing opponents fouls for some extra points. The Clippers have the slight advantage in turnovers ranking 2 spots ahead of the Cavs in those categories. Take Los Angeles Clippers. |
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11-30-16 | Pacers v. Blazers -7 | Top | 109-131 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
25* graded play on Portland as they take on Indiana in NBA action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Portland will win this game by more than 9 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 121-73 over the last 5 seasons good for 62.4% winners and made 40.7 units/unit wagered. Play on home favorites (PORTLAND) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, in non-conference games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Portland is a solid 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons; 3-1 ATS against Indiana over the last 3 seasons; 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game; 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 2 days rest. Indiana is a poor 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record; 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Northwest; 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games; 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings with Portland. Fundamental Discussion Points Both teams allow over 105 PPG, however the Pacers are only averaging 103 PPG comparing to the Trailblazers' 109.7 PPG. Portland SG C.J. McCollum has scored 24 or more points in five of the past seven contests. Blazers have the turnover advantage ranking 12th with 12.3% turnovers/play while the Pacers are 21st with 13.4% turnovers/play. Take the Portland Trailblazers to outscore them. |
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11-30-16 | Nebraska v. Clemson -11.5 | Top | 58-60 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
25* graded play on Clemson as they take on Nebraska in CBB action set to start at 9:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Clemson will win this game by more than 13 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Nebraska is a poor 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons; 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 77% or better of their FTs since 1997; 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday games; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. Clemson is a strong 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better with Brownell as their coach; 11-4 ATS in their last 15 Wednesday games; 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Fundamental Discussion Points Mitchell's return is key for Clemson, as he is 1 of 6 Tigers that have combined for 386 of the team's 393 points and 930 of its 1000 minutes. Clemson scores 8.2 PPG more than Nebraska while playing 1 fewer game. As evidenced above, Nebraska is not a good underdog or road team play. Take Clemson Tigers. |
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11-30-16 | Northeastern -2 v. Cornell | Top | 77-80 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
25* graded play on Northeastern as they take on Cornell in CBB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Northeastern will win this game by more than 3 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 80-43 since 1997 good for 65% winners and made a nice 32.7 units/unit wagered. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NORTHEASTERN) - attempting 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season, in November games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Northeastern is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Cornell is a poor 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Fundamental Discussion Points Through 6 games for both teams they are scoring 73.5 PPG (NE) and 66.5 PPG (Cornell) and defensively allowing 70.5 PPG (NE) and 76.3 PPG (Cornell). They have the edge so take the Northeastern Huskies. |
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11-30-16 | James Madison +5 v. Charlotte | Top | 56-65 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on James Madison as they take on Charlotte in CBB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that JMU will lose this game by less than 3 points and have a good chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 70-36 over the last 5 seasons good for 66% winners and made a nice 30.4 units/unit wagered. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 45% or more on the season, poor rebounding team - outrebounded by opponents by 4+ per game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. JMU is a solid 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts since 1997; 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons; 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons; 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win; 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games as a road underdog. Fundamental Discussion Points Charlotte is very poor defensively giving up 83.6 PPG so JMU will certainly have chances, especially considering they rebound better. JMU also has the advantage in off the bench scoring and contributions. Take James Madison Dukes. |
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11-29-16 | Cavs -7 v. Bucks | Top | 101-118 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
50* graded play on Cleveland as they take on Milwaukee in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win this game by more than 9 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-16 over the last 5 seasons good for 72.9% winners and made 29.4 units/unit wagered. Play on any team (CLEVELAND) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a top-level team (>75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%). The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Milwaukee is a poor 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons; 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons; 7-19 ATS in their last 26 vs. Eastern Conference; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central. The Cavs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points Cleveland is the better team in all the categories. In their last game multiple teammates were in a slump shooting while James stepped it up to dominate the game. Those teammates are due to go off in this game. Take Cleveland Cavaliers. |
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11-29-16 | Princeton v. VCU -5.5 | Top | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
25* graded play on VCU as they take on Princeton in CBB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that VCU will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 23-3 over the last 5 seasons good for 88.5% winners. Play against a road team (PRINCETON) - after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games, with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first ten games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. VCU is a solid 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons; 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons; 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons; 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Tuesday games; 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Princeton is a poor 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games; 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog; 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall; 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Fundamental Discussion Points The VCU Rams are ranked 25 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 49.4% while Princeton is ranked 211 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 42.4% from the field. VCU only allows 63.3 PPG against. VCU is the better team and will show that in the final score. Take VCU Rams. |
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11-28-16 | 76ers v. Raptors -14.5 | Top | 95-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on Philadelphia in NBA Atlantic action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will win this game by more than 16 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Philly is a poor 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win; 8-21 ATS in their last 29 vs. NBA Atlantic; 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Raptors are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win; 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win; 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall; 11-4 ATS in their last 15 vs. NBA Atlantic.Favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Joel Embiid won't be playing in this game for the Sixers and with his presence on offense and defense missing in this game, Toronto will rack up on points. Toronto has captured seven in a row at home against Philadelphia. Philly is 0-5 (1-4 ATS) on the road and have a -20 point differential on the road. Take Toronto Raptors. |
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11-28-16 | Appalachian State v. Charlotte -9 | Top | 72-80 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
25* graded play on Charlotte as they take on Appalachian State in CBB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Charlotte will win this game by more than 10 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Charlotte is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons; 11-2 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Fundamental Discussion Points Charlotte is posting an 89.5 PPG at home while App State is only posting 74 PPG on the road. That'll be close to the score to expect since both team's defenses allow around 86 PPG to opponents. Take Charlotte 49ers and lay the points. |
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11-27-16 | Titans v. Bears +5 | Top | 27-21 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 7 m | Show |
25* graded play on Chicago as they take on Tennessee in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Chicago will pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 130-40 since 1983 (16-3 L5 seasons) good for 76.5% winners and made a HUGE 59.5 units/unit wagered. Play against road teams vs. the money line (TENNESSEE) - in non-conference games, off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division rival. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tennessee is a poor 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game in the second half of the season since 1992; 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons; 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November. Fox is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game in all games he has coached since 1992. Chicago is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November. Fundamental Discussion Points Chicago plays better at home where they've earned both of the wins this season and allow 17.5 PPG against. Tennessee is a losing team on the road. This play screams contrarian. Chicago LB Danny Trevathan has recorded 11 or more tackles in two straight games. |
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11-26-16 | Michigan State v. Penn State -11 | Top | 12-45 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Michigan State in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win this game by at least 16 points. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is an amazing 112-37 ATS (+71.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points; 27-9 ATS (+17.1 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play. MSU is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse over the last two seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Lions. The red-hot Nittany Lions take on Sparty today, and if Michigan loses to Ohio State, a win here will put Penn State in the Big 10 Championship Game. The Nittany Lions have played well with a balanced offense and strong running game led by Saquon Barkley who has 12 TD's and averages over 6 yards per carry. Penn State also has the better Defense and special teams in this one. Michigan State QB O'Conner has struggled this year and had 13 interceptions, the Spartans also have been bad on the road this year losing at both Maryland and Illinois. The Spartans left a lot on the field against Ohio State last week after a big day by running back Scott and most likely are ready for this season to end, and the Nittany Lions will oblige today. Take Penn State as they roll today and keep their playoff hopes alive. |
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11-26-16 | Auburn +17.5 v. Alabama | Top | 12-30 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 12 m | Show |
25* graded play on Auburn as they take on Alabama in the IRON BOWL in SEC action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Auburn will lose this game by fewer than 13 points and actually has a shot to win this game. If you have access to a money line for this game, I would highly recommend adding a 3* play using that line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-7 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 2010. Play against a home team (ALABAMA) after allowing 275 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Alabama is just 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) in home games off 1 or more consecutive ‘unders.' Auburn is a solid 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after gaining 575 or more total yards in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points In the battle of the Iron Bowl we are taking the Auburn Tigers with the points at Alabama based first on the SIM Algorithm grading. There is also a volume of fundamental matchups we see as a neutralizing force against one of the ‘Bama teams in their school history. Auburn comes into the game with an 8-3 record and Alabama has yet to lose. The Tide has delivered in all the big games this year, and when the game was relatively close, they exerted their will and pulled away in the fourth quarter. Alabama QB position has been average through the air in these closer games but delivered running the football. The Auburn QB has been efficient all year with 11 TD's and only two picks completing close to 70% of his passes. The Tiger defense has also been stingy this year and has already faced an athletic QB in Deshaun Watson earlier this year. Auburn's defense, however, allowed only 15 touchdowns in 11 games, limited opponents to about 118 rushing yards per game, and allowed an average of 334.5 yards in total offense, which is 18th-best in the country and fifth in the SEC. The Tigers (8-3, 5-2) can also to put pressure on opposing passers (25 sacks, 82 quarterback hurries) and when they can't get to the quarterback, they have a knack for batting the ball down at the line of scrimmage. Defensive linemen Montravius Adams, Marlon Davidson, Dontavius Russell, Maurice Swain and Derrick Brown, have combined for ten pass breakups. Only two teams have scored in the mid 20 point range against the Tigers this year, and we are getting 17 plus points today. Also in this rivalry game, both teams and players know each other well, so there will be a few wrinkles in the offensive schemes. This is where Auburn, with an incredibly accurate QB, will be the offsetting difference. We believe strongly that his accuracy will eventually spread the Auburn defense and open up running lanes between the tackles. QB Sean White was not under center and got valuable rest after reinjuring his shoulder in the Georgia game. Johnson was under center last week against Alabama A&M and OC Rhett Lashlee said either could start and was intentionally very vague answering press questions yesterday. Gamesmanship? Of course, it is, but it does force ‘Bama staff to prepare for both QB in varying down and distance situations. No Auburn players will be in awe of Alabama, and they have nothing to lose playing in Tuscaloosa.. Take Auburn and the points today. Go War Eagle! |
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11-26-16 | Notre Dame v. USC -17 | Top | 27-45 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
25* graded play on USC as they take on Notre Dame in NCAA Gridiron action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that USC will win this game by at least 21 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 47-17 ATS mark good for 73.4% winners since 1992. Play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (USC) after a cover as a double digit favorite against opponent after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points. The SU record of this system is an incredible 61-4 and 48% of ALL plays made covered the spread by 7 or more points. So, 45 of the 67 ATS wins covered the spread by more than 7 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. USC is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards over the last 3 seasons; 28-8 ATS (+19.2 Units) when they gain 6.5 to 7 total yards per play. Fundamental Discussion Points The red hot Trojans take on the Irish in the annual clash. Norte Dame has had some long days in the Colesium throughout its history and we look for another one today. USC QB Sam Darnold has been real good lately completing over 68% of his passes with 24 Touchdowns, and the Norte Dame secondary will struggle again against an athletic bunch of receivers. The Irish start strong and once adjustments are made the coaching staff does not have an answer. Look for Ju Ju Smith and the Trojan receivers to be running freely all day and the Norte Dame offense will struggle to keep pace today. USC will not want to let up in this one and will keep the pedal on the gas. Look for the Trojans to win this easily today. Fight On! |
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11-26-16 | Florida International v. Old Dominion -13.5 | Top | 28-42 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
50* graded play on Old Dominion as they take on Florida International in action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that ODU will win this game by at least 17 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 98-53 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 1992. Play against a road team (FLA INTERNATIONAL) off an upset win over a conference rival as a home underdog and is now facing an opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. FIU is just 21-58 ATS (-42.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt; 9-29 ATS (-22.9 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play; ODU is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards this season; 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Old Dominion. The Monarchs have been perfect in the win column and against the spread at home this year, and we look for more of the same today. ODU has a good offensive line and a strong running game with both Running Backs Larry and Cox averaging 6 yards per carry and 20 rushing TD's on the season. We look for the more of the same today as FIU gives up to close to 200 yards per game. The Monarchs control the line of scrimmage and game in this one. |
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11-26-16 | Michigan v. Ohio State -4.5 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Ohio State as they take on Michigan in BIG TEN action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OSU will win this game by more than 10 points. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OSU is a nice and tidy 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play; 33-12 ATS (+19.8 Units) versus excellent rushing teams averaging >=230 rushing yards/game; 51-21 ATS (+27.9 Units) vesus good rushing teams - averaging >=4.75 rushing yards/carry; 33-13 ATS (+18.7 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=6.25 yards/play. Fundamental Discussion Points Big game this week as this is an elimination game for the college playoff contenders. Two real good teams with great coaching in this one today. Losing Wilton Speight a couple of weeks ago will really hurt the Wolverine offense this week and the Horeshoe is not the place to go with backup O' Korn as the Quarterback. There was a reason he was a backup before transferring to Michigan and then a backup coming to Ann Arbor.The Buckeyes have experience at the QB position with JT Barrett and also have a strong running game and match up with Michigan in the trenches. Barrett completes over 63% of his passes including 24 TD's and can also hurt the defense equally in the running game. Should be a classic battle today, but the inexperience at QB will eventually hurt Michigan and Brutus will finally control this one as the game moves on. Take the Buckeyes as they look to claim one of the top four spots in the College playoffs today. |
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11-25-16 | Warriors v. Lakers +13 | Top | 109-85 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Lakers as they take on Golden State in Western NBA action set to start at 10:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Lakers will lose this game by less than 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 48-17 since 1996 (6-4 L10 seasons) good for 73.8% winners and made 29.3 units/unit wagered. Play on underdogs of 10 or more points (LA LAKERS) - poor foul drawing team - attempting 24 or less free throws/game, terrible defensive team - shooting pct defense of 48% or less on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Lakers are 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons; 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific. GS is a poor 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game and they are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Pacific. Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points The last time the Golden State Warriors lost a game was at the Los Angeles Lakers on Nov. 4. The Lakers are 5-3 overall and ATS at home. This spread is far too wide. Take the Los Angeles Lakers. |
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11-25-16 | North Dakota v. North Florida +2 | Top | 75-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
25* graded play on North Florida as they take on North Dakota in CBB action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that N Florida will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 102-56 over the last 5 seasons good for 64.6% winners and made a HUGE 58.2 units/unit wagered. Play on neutral court teams (N FLORIDA) - after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. North Florida 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. North Dakota is a poor 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Jones is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season as the coach of N Dakota. Fundamental Discussion Points Stats show UNF has advantages in PPG, FG %, FT %, rebounding, and bench scoring. Take North Florida. |
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11-25-16 | Arkansas -7.5 v. Missouri | Top | 24-28 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Arkansas as they take on Missouri in SEC action set to start at 2:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Arkansas will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 54-17 ATS mark good for 76% winners since 2010. Play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MISSOURI) and is a struggling team winning between 25% to 40% of their games and is now playing a team with a winning record, in conference games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arkansas is a stout 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Razorbacks. We look for the physical and balanced Arkansas offense to put up some points today as the Tiger Defense has not recovered from the Florida and LSU back to back games earlier this year and have allowed for teams to control the ball and run at will as of late. The Tiger offense has been strong but can't keep up plugging the leaks by the Defense. Arkansas is looking to finish strong heading to a bowl game and we feel the Tigers want to get their disappointing season completed. Arkansas QB Allen has played well this year and the boys in the trenches favor the Hogs today. We look for a little Pig Sooey today as we will take Arkansas and lay the 8 points. |
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11-24-16 | Redskins v. Cowboys -6.5 | Top | 26-31 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 35 m | Show |
25* graded play on Dallas as they take on Washington in NFC East Thanksgiving Day action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Dallas will win this game by more than 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 335-236 since 1983 that made a HUGE 75.4 units/unit wagered and is 5-2 this season. Play against road teams (WASHINGTON) - after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Dallas is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game this season; 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins this season; 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Garrett is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after gaining 6 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games as the coach of Dallas. Redskins are a poor 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game and they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. Fundamental Discussion Points The Cowboys are the class of the NFC at this point. They are a balanced and well-performing, consistent team. I don't think the Redskins can say the same. "Road teams have a disadvantage on Thursday night" is a popular topic for articles for a reason. Even better Washington played Sunday night and are playing late afternoon on the road on Thanksgiving Day. Take them Boys and lay the points. |
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11-24-16 | Temple +10 v. Florida State | Top | 89-86 | Win | 100 | 2 h 60 m | Show |
25* graded play on Temple as they take on Florida State in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 12:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Temple will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a reasonable chance to win the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Temple is a solid 76-51 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game; 90-51 ATS (+33.9 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. |
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11-23-16 | Thunder +2.5 v. Kings | Top | 101-116 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oklahoma City Thunder as they take on the Sacramento Kings in NBA action set to start at 10:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OKC will win this game by more than 6 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-3 ATS mark good for 90% Winners since 2010. Play on road underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kings are just 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games when they allow 105 to 109 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. OKC is a solid 74-40 ATS (+30.0 Units) when they score 105 to 109 points in a game. Further, we extract from our vast 30-year DB that the Kings are just 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points OKC dominates the stat boards against Sacramento in basically every single category. They want to turn things around and want to rack up points against the Kings here. Take Oklahoma City Thunder. |
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11-23-16 | Raptors +4 v. Rockets | Top | 115-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on Houston tin NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will win this game. Toronto is installed as a 3.5 dog. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 61-27 since 1996 good for 69.3% winners and made a nice 31.3 units/unit wagered. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) - off a road win by 3 points or less, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record. Another proven system supports this play posting a 44-20 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.8% winners and made 22 units/unit wagered. Play on road teams (TORONTO) - after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is a solid 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record; 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game; 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 Wednesday games. Rockets are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 Wednesday games. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Raptors. Harden, like DeRozan, is one of the best in the league at getting to the free-throw line and converting his chances into points, but he missed five free throws down the stretch on Monday and finished 14-of-19 from the line. The key here will be turnovers where Toronto has the huge edge outranking Houston by 24 teams (2nd and 26th respectively in turnovers/play). Take Toronto Raptors. |
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11-23-16 | St. John's +7.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 62-73 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
25* graded play on St. Johns as they take on Michigan State in Round 1 of the Battle for Atlantis Tournament taking place at the Imperial Arena at Atlantis Resort, Nassau and set to start at 7:00 PM ET SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given the current line of ST. Johns installed at + 7, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 177-107 over the last 5 seasons good for 62.3% winners and made a HUGE 59.3 units/unit wagered. Play against neutral court teams (MICHIGAN ST) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 85 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. St. John's is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game since 1997. MSU is a poor 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big East; 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win; 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Fundamental Discussion Points St. John's ranks among the nation's leaders with seven blocks per game, getting most of that production from a pair of sophomores in Tariq Owens and Kassoum Yakwe, each of whom is averaging 2.7 rejections. They block and steal more than double per game than the Spartans. St. John's play very clean ranking 66th in turnovers/play while MSU ranks 294th. Also as evidenced above MSU doesn't win against the spread very often. Take St. John's. |
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11-23-16 | Colgate v. Penn State -10 | Top | 59-72 | Win | 101 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Colgate in NCAAM action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win this game by more than 14 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is a solid 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus pathetic teams - shooting 42% or less with a defense of 45% or more since 1997; 45-23 ATS (+19.7 Units) after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds since 1997; 10-4 ATS in their last 14 Wednesday games; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more with Chambers as their coach. Colgate is a poor 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Nittany Lions. |
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11-23-16 | Michigan v. South Carolina +4.5 | Top | 46-61 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
25* graded play on South Carolina as they take on Michigan in NCAAM action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SC will win this game. Given the current line of SC + 3, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 22-3 over the last 5 seasons good for 88% winners. Play against a road team (MICHIGAN) - after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games, with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first ten games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Gamecocks are a strong 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons; 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big Ten. Wolverines are a poor 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win and 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. SEC. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Gamecocks. South Carolina can overcome the Michigan defense and get enough second chances with their superior rebounding. Take South Carolina Gamecocks. |
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11-22-16 | Wyoming v. Pacific -2.5 | Top | 65-73 | Win | 101 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
25* graded play on Pacific a as they take on Wyoming in NCAAM action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Pacific will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wyoming is a poor 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons; 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) in road games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers since 1997; 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games off a home win over the last 3 seasons; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Pacific is a solid 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997; 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Tigers. Their lone win was also at home when they scored 76 points and held their opponent to 58 points. Take Pacific Tigers. |
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11-22-16 | Indiana -14 v. IUPU Ft Wayne | Top | 68-71 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on Indiana as they take on Indiana-Ft. Wayne in NCAAM action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Indiana will win this game by 15 or more points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-6 ATS for 84.2% winners since 1997. Play on road teams as an favorite or pick (INDIANA) in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams attempting more than 20/game, after a game shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower to that opponent. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Indiana is a solid 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games; 7-3 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games; Coach Crean is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) in November games in all games he has coached since 1997. Fort Wayne is a poor 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten. Fundamental Discussion Points Fort Wayne lost 90-65 at Indiana last season in the first meeting between the programs. Fort Wayne is 0-9 all-time against ranked opponents, with each loss coming by double digits. The Hoosiers average 11.7 3-pointers per game – second-most in the nation – with Blackmon leading the way with 4.7 per contest. Take Indiana Hoosiers. |
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11-22-16 | Yale +10.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
25* graded play on Yale as they take on Pittsburgh in NCAAM action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Yale will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Yale is a solid 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game since 1997; 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 21-5 ATS (+15.5 Units) after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers with Jones as their coach; 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Pitt is a poor 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons; 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Fundamental Discussion Points Yale had just 17 turnovers total in their two wins. They slow the game down and can use their defense to do that against Pitt. Combining their defense and limiting turnovers they can easily stay within the spread. Take Yale. |
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11-21-16 | South Dakota State v. Idaho -5.5 | Top | 89-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
25* graded play on Idaho as they take on South Dakota State in NCAAM action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Idaho will win this game by at least 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 159-102 over the last 5 seasons good for 60.9% winners and made a nice 46.8 units/unit wagered. Play on a favorite (IDAHO) - with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Idaho is a strong 22-3 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games when playing only their 3rd game in a week since 1997; 65-32 ATS (+29.8 Units) after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less since 1997; 2-0 against the spread versus S Dakota ST since 1997; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Jackrabbits are a poor 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall; 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big Sky conference teams; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Take Idaho Vandals. |
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11-21-16 | Northwestern +2 v. Texas | Top | 77-58 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
25* graded play on Northwestern as they take on Texas in the Semifinals of the Legends Classic being held at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn and action set to start at 9:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NWU will win this game. They are installed as 2.5 point dogs and we expect this line to rise to possibly 3.5 by game time. We also would not be surprised if this becomes a public ‘steam’ move and the line does have the potential to shoot up to 5. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Northwestern is a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 seasons; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall; 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday games; 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Texas is a poor 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Wildcats. |
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11-21-16 | Celtics -2 v. Wolves | Top | 99-93 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
25* graded play on Boston as they take on Minnesota in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Boston will win this game by at least 6 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 48-20 mark good for 71% winners since 1996. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) terrible defensive team allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 85 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Boston is a solid 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Minnesota has been a money burning 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games in games where they commit 13 to 17 turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Boston. |
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11-21-16 | George Washington v. Georgia -6 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
25* graded play on Georgia as they take on George Washington in the Semifinals of the CBE Hall of Fame Classic, in Kansas City, MO, and set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Georgia will win this game by 10 points or more. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-14 over the last 5 seasons good for 73.1% winners and made 22.6 units/unit wagered. Play against any team (GEORGE WASHINGTON) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 5 or more straight wins, team that had a winning record last season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Georgia is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game over the last 3 seasons; 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game since 1997; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons; 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. George Washington is a poor 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games against SEC opponents since 1997; 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bulldogs. |
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11-21-16 | Columbia v. Quinnipiac +3.5 | Top | 86-78 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
25* graded play on Quinnipiac as they take on Columbia in NCAA action action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Quinnipiac will win this game. They are installed as 4.5 point dogs. So, given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-16 over the last 5 seasons good for 72.4% winners and made 24.4 units/unit wagered. Play against any team (COLUMBIA) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more straight wins, team that had a winning record last season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Quinnipiac is 3-0 straight up against Columbia since 1997 and the Bobcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Columbia is a poor 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400; 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record; 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Monday games. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bobcats. |
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11-21-16 | Kent State v. South Dakota +2.5 | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
25* graded play on South Dakota as they take on Kent State In the First Round of the Florida Gulf Coast Tournament and set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that South Dakota will win this game. They are installed as 2.5 point dogs. So, given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kent ST is a poor 12-48 ATS (-40.8 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997; 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half since 1997; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. South Dakota is a solid 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after playing a game as a home favorite since 1997; 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons; 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Take South Dakota. |
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11-20-16 | Raptors v. Kings +3.5 | Top | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Sacramento as they take on Toronto in NBA action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Sacramento will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 37-11 ATS mark good for 77% winners since 2010. Play on underdogs (SACRAMENTO) after allowing 105 points or more three straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Raptors are a money burning 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) revenging a straight up loss vs. opponent as a favorite over the last three seasons; 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) revenging a straight up loss vs. opponent as a home favorite over the last three seasons. |
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11-20-16 | Wake Forest v. College of Charleston +3 | Top | 78-61 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
25* graded play on Charleston as they take on Wake Forest in Final Round action of the Charleston Classic set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Charleston will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. COC is a solid 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making >=41% of their attempts. Wake Forest is just 18-39 ATS (-24.9 Units) in road games after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Charleston and expect them to win this Final Round game in the Charleston Classic. |
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11-20-16 | Eagles v. Seahawks -6.5 | Top | 15-26 | Win | 100 | 52 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play on Seattle as they take on Philly in NFC action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Seattle will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Seattle is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992; 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Carroll is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games as the coach of Seattle. Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Russell Wilson connected with Doug Baldwin for three touchdown passes versus the Patriots while the former also accounted for three scores (two passing, one rushing) in the last meeting with the Eagles - a 24-14 Seahawks win on Dec. 7, 2014. Jordan Matthews, who is nursing back spasms, has been the lone consistent Eagles wideout with 23 catches for 216 yards in his last three games. The Eagle's wideouts will continue to be poor especially against this Seattle defense. Take Seattle Seahawks. |
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11-20-16 | Jaguars +6.5 v. Lions | Top | 19-26 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 7 m | Show |
25* graded play on Jacksonville as they take on Detroit in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Jacksonville will lose this game by less than 4 points and have a chance at the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 86-40 since 1983 (6-2 L3 seasons) good for 68.3% winners and made a HUGE 42 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (DETROIT) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the second half of the season. Another proven system supports this play posting a 74-33 since 1983 (10-5 L3 seasons) good for 69.2% winners and made a nice 37.7 units/unit wagered. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (JACKSONVILLE) - with a poor first half defense - 14 or more points per game, after a loss by 6 or less points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Detroit is a poor 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) versus poor rushing teams - averaging under 90 rushing yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992; 13-35 ATS (-25.5 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992; 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 11. Jags are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week; 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November. Fundamental Discussion Points Look for defensive back Jalen Ramsey, who has become a clear favorite in the race for defensive rookie of the year while shutting down a litany of star receivers throughout his first season, to shadow Detroit's Marvin Jones. Neither team has shown any ability to run the ball on the season with the Jags ranking 26th in the league, one spot ahead of Lions. The teams also rank at the bottom of the NFL in forcing turnovers. The Jags are rested and looking to win. Take Jacksonville Jaguars. |
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11-20-16 | Ravens +7.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -115 | 49 h 1 m | Show |
25* graded play on Baltimore as they take on Dallas in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Baltimore will lose this game by less than 5 and have a shot of the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 35-12 over the last 10 seasons good for 74.5% winners and made 21.8 units/unit wagered. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BALTIMORE) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Garrett is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) as a home favorite; 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse; 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games in the second half of the season as the coach of Dallas. Harbaugh is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games and he is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season as the coach of Baltimore. Ravens are 4-0 straight up against the Cowboys since 1992. Fundamental Discussion Points Baltimore's top-ranked run defense will take aim at rookie Ezekiel Elliott and Dallas' offensive line after holding the Steelers (36 yards on 18 carries) and Browns (33 on 13) to 2.2 yards per carry. Quarterback Joe Flacco is taking more chances down the field under new offensive coordinator Marty Mornhinweg and averaged 7.56 yards per attempt in the last two games while throwing four touchdown passes. Baltimore has won its last five games against teams starting rookie quarterbacks. Take Baltimore Ravens. |
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11-20-16 | Titans +2.5 v. Colts | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tennessee as they take on Indianapolis in AFC action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tennessee will win this game by seven or more points. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-5 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 2005. Play against any team (INDIANAPOLIS) off 1 or more straight ‘overs’ against opponent off 6 or more consecutive ‘overs.' The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tenn is a stout 32-8 ATS (+23.2 Units) when they rush for 150 to 175 yards; 65-20 ATS (+43.0 Units) when they rush for 125 or more yards; Indy is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 150 or more rushing yards over the last 3 seasons; 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by |
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11-19-16 | South Dakota State v. Wyoming -3 | Top | 67-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Wyoming as they take on S Dakota ST in CBB action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Wyoming will win this game by more than 4 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 157-102 over the last 5 seasons good for 60.6% winners and made a HUGE 44.8 units/unit wagered. Play on a favorite (WYOMING) - with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wyoming is 81-36 ATS (+41.4 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games; 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Jackrabbits are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record; 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall; 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Fundamental Discussion Points S Dakota ST rank 100 spots below Wyoming in shooting percentage (250-349) with an awful 28.7%. S Dakota ST is 0-2 on the road while Wyoming is 1-0 at home. Everything stats wise is in favor of Wyoming, so take the Cowboys and lay the points. |
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11-19-16 | Idaho State +11.5 v. Utah State | Top | 51-85 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on Idaho State as they take on Utah State in CBB action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Idaho ST will lose this game by less than 9 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Idaho ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons; 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons; 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games; 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up loss. Utah ST is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons; 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games. Fundamental Discussion Points Idaho State has the advantage of an inflated spread and that they outrebound Utah State. The Bengals are solid in Saturday games as the Aggies are horrible in Saturday games (as evidenced above). Take Idaho State Bengals. |
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11-19-16 | Tulsa +1 v. Central Florida | Top | 35-20 | Win | 100 | 24 h 10 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tulsa as they take on Central Florida in American Athletic Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tulsa will win this game by at least 4 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-10 ATS mark good for 79% winners since2010. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TULSA) excellent offensive team averaging >=440 YPG and is now facing an average offensive team gaining between 330 to 390 YPG. Here is a Money Line system that has produced a 118-26 mark good for 82% winners and has made 60 units/unit wagered since 2005. Play on road favorites vs. the money line (TULSA) and is a quick starting offensive team scoring 16+ PPG in the first half and after playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The key metric is the Tulsa ground attack noting they are 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games when they rush for 200 to 250 yards; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when they are outgained by their opponents by 50-100 yards. Fundamental Discussion Points The Golden Hurricanes come into this game after a tough loss to Navy and controlling the option game which most likely cost them any chance of playing for a conference championship. Both squads look similar against their opponents on the year, however Tulsa brings the better offense today averaging over 42 points per game compared to 31 for Central Florida. Tulsa has a big play offense and lots of speed at the skill positions. Top three rushers average over 5 yards per carry to go with a good quarterback completing 58% of his passes with some big play wide outs. Central Florida has competed well, but does struggle to throw the ball which we think they will need to do to keep up with the high-powered Tulsa offense. Look for another big output from the Tulsa offense today and to cover the small number on the road. |
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11-19-16 | Western Kentucky v. Belmont -7 | Top | 69-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
25* graded play on Belmont as they take on Western Kentucky in College Basketball action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Belmont will win this game by more than 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 157-102 over the last 5 seasons good for 60.6% winners and made a HUGE 44.8 units/unit wagered. Play on a favorite (BELMONT) - with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. W Kentucky is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when they allow 81 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Ohio Valley conference. Fundamental Discussion Points The last 2 years in November Belmont has won this matchup. Although the season is young, we can use stats to see an obvious deficiency in W Kentucky's turnovers giving up 15 per game. Belmont will be playing with more fire after opening their season with a loss. Take Belmont Bruins. |
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11-19-16 | Heat +4.5 v. Wizards | Top | 114-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on Miami as they take on Washington in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miami will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-14 over the last 5 seasons good for 75.4% winners and made 27.6 unit/unit wagered. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - good defensive team (41.5-43.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%). Another proven system supports this play posting a 61-23 over the last 5 seasons good for 72.6% winners and made a nice 35.7 units/unit wagered. Play against home teams (WASHINGTON) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, on Saturday games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast; 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400; 20-8-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings in Washington. Spoelstra is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games as the coach of Miami. Washington is 103-145 ATS (-56.5 Units) in November games since 1996. Fundamental Discussion Points Miami will use their defense to win this game with Hasaan Whiteside leading the NBA in rebounding (16 per game) and ranking second in blocks (2.73). He'll make it very difficult for John Wall or any Wizard to score in the paint or get offensive rebounds. The Heat outrebound, turnover less, and have the better bench. Take Miami Heat. |
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11-19-16 | Washington State v. Colorado -5.5 | Top | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
25* graded play on Colorado as they take on Washington State in PAC-12 action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Colorado will win this game by more than 10 points. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington State is a money burning 48-94 ATS (-55.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) when they allow 9 or more net passing yards/attempt; Colorado is a stout 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they gain 9 to 9.5 net passing yards/attempt; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bears. Both of these teams can be considered surprise teams and could very possibly meet again in a couple of weeks to Determine the Pac 12 Champions. After losing their first two games Washington State has one eight in a row and sets up to play a game next week against Washington in the Apple Cup for a right to play in the Championship Game. If Colorado wins today the Buffaloes will also be going to the Pac 12 championship game. Colorado has two losses both on the road at Michigan and USC. The Buffaloes put up 35 points per game and have only allowed18. The Buffaloes have won both low and high scoring games this year. Colorado QB Liufau has been very efficient this year completing over 67% of his passes with 10 TD's with only 3 picks. The Buffaloes will need to contain one of this years best QB's no one mentions in Luke Falk who completes 74% of his passes and has thrown 33 passing TD's this year. Colorado's secondary has been good and the red zone defense has been strong this year. Colorado is at home and needs this game more today and we think that will be the big difference today. |
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11-19-16 | Northwestern -3 v. Minnesota | Top | 12-29 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
25* graded play on Northwestern as they take on Minnesota in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NWU will win this game at least 7 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 84-43 ATS mark good for 66% ATS winners since 2010. Play on road favorites (NORTHWESTERN) after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Minnesota is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 300 to 350 total yards over the last 2 seasons. Northwestern is a stout 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt. Fundamental Discussion Points Minnesota has been in all close games this year but has lost in the big tests against Penn State, Nebraska, and Iowa. Minnesota QB Leitner has struggled this year and the Gophers rely on a power running game with play action passing to go with a fundamentally sound defense. Northwestern QB has heated up since the Wildcats went to an up-tempo offense. Most Big 10 teams don't see this offense and are not prepared for this type of attack. Northwestern becomes bowl eligible with this one and showed they could hold their own on the road going toe to toe with the Buckeyes in Columbus. We also feel Minnesota has a big game on deck with Wisconsin in Battle for Paul Bunyan's Axe. The Gophers haven't had the Axe since 2003 and may have more focus on the next game than the Wildcats schemes today. Take the Wildcats and lay the small number today. |
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11-19-16 | Miami (Fla) v. NC State +2 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 11 m | Show |
25* graded play on NC State as they take on Miami in ACC action set to start at 12:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NC State will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 67-26 ATS mark good for 72% ATS winners since 2010. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) off 1 or more consecutive ‘unders’, good offensive team scoring 31 or more points/game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is just 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points; 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by |
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11-18-16 | Clippers v. Kings +7.5 | Top | 121-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Sacramento Kings as they take on the Los Angeles Clippers in NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Kings will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and have a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-15 over the last 5 seasons good for 72.7% winners and made 23.5 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Clippers are 73-109 ATS (-46.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game since 1996; 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Rivers is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) after a game committing 8 or less turnovers as the coach of the Clippers. The Kings are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Kings. Cousins scored 26 points and posted season bests of 17 rebounds and six assists in the loss against the Spurs but it wasn't enough to deliver a victory. The big man has 10 20-point outings - including five in a row. Take the Sacramento Kings. |
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11-18-16 | Ball State +8 v. Alabama | Top | 59-77 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on Ball State as they take on Alabama in NCAAB action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Ball State will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot to win SU. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Ball ST is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game since 1997 and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. Alabama is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite since 1997; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games; 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Fundamental Discussion Points Tayler Persons is off to a sizzling start for the Cardinals, scoring more than 20 points in each of the first two games - 26 on 9-of-16 shooting last time out. Franko House was the other star of the game for the Cardinals, scoring 21 to go along with 14 rebounds, and he has drained 5-of-7 attempts from long range overall. Cardinals F Tahjai Teague has had two steals and two blocks in both games this season, adding averages of 7.0 points and 7.5 rebounds. I think bettors are too high on Alabama coming off a close loss to Dayton. Take Ball State Cardinals. |
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11-17-16 | Saints +3.5 v. Panthers | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Saints as they take on the Carolina Panthers in Thursday Night NFL action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Saints will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 71-33 since 1983 (9-3 L5 seasons) good for 68.3% winners and made 34.7 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (CAROLINA) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 8 or more games, after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. New Orleans is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC South; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Carolina. Payton is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a loss by 6 or less points as the coach of New Orleans and he is 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game as the coach of the Saints. Carolina is a poor 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC South; 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Road team is 21-9 ATS in their last 30 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Saints. The Saints' Brandin Cooks enjoyed a career day in his previous encounter with Carolina, highlighting his career-high 173-yard performance with an 87-yard touchdown. New Orleans RB Mark Ingram has recorded four touchdowns in his last three road contests. The Saints are a +2 in turnover ratio while the Panthers are -7 (fourth-worst in NFL). Take New Orleans Saints. |
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11-16-16 | Grizzlies +12 v. Clippers | Top | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
25* graded play on Memphis as they take on the LA Clippers in Western NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Memphis will lose this game by less than 8 points and have an outside shot to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 73-34 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.2% winners and made a nice 35.6 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - an excellent offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rivers is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a game committing 10+ less turnovers than opponents as the coach of Los Angeles. Clippers are 32-56 ATS (-29.6 Units) after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite since 1996. Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles. Grizzlies are 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points The one weakness that can hinder the Clippers so far this season is their 25th ranked free throws of 73.5%. For some reason they seem to always play down to Memphis and let them beat the spread a ton in this match-up. Take Memphis Grizzlies. |
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11-16-16 | San Francisco v. UC-Santa Barbara -8.5 | Top | 75-63 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
25* graded play on UC-Santa Barbara as they take on San Francisco in NCAAB action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCSB will win this game by at least 12 poits. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 153-95 ATS mark good for 62% winners since 2010. Play on a favorite (UC-SANTA BARBARA) with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SF is a money burning 19-45 ATS (-30.5 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game; 31-84 ATS (-61.4 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game; UCSB is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 29-9 ATS (+19.1 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game; 45-14 ATS (+29.6 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game. |
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11-16-16 | Warriors v. Raptors +6 | Top | 127-121 | Push | 0 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on Golden State in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will lose this game by less than 3 points and have a good chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall; 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest; 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. GS is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons; 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in road games after 2 straight games making 85% of their free throws or better since 1996; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference; 2-8 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game; 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game; 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points Raptor's shooting guard DeMar DeRozan leads the NBA in scoring (33.2) and has recorded 30 or more points in eight of Toronto's 10 games. GS can score but also give up over 108 PPG to opponents. Toronto at home is a very solid defensive team only allowing 96.2 PPG to opponents. Take Toronto Raptors. |
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11-16-16 | Wizards -4 v. 76ers | Top | 102-109 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
25* graded play on Washington as they take on Philadelphia in Eastern NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game by more than 6 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-13 over the last 5 seasons good for 76.4% winners and made a nice 27.7 units/unit wagered. Play against home underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) - horrible foul drawing team - attempting 21 or less free throws/game, in November games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic; 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Philly is 7-17 ATS in their last 24 vs. NBA Southeast. Fundamental Discussion Points Starting point guard Sergio Rodriguez and backup T.J. McConnell combined for six points in Monday's loss and neither did much on the defensive end while going up against Harden. Rodriguez scored in double figures in each of the first four games but went for 10 or more one in the last six contests. Washington took the last six in the series, including three in Philadelphia. Take Washington Wizards. |
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11-15-16 | Bulls +3.5 v. Blazers | Top | 113-88 | Win | 100 | 21 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Chicago as they take on Portland in NBA action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Chicago will win this game outright. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 73-34 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.2% winners and made a nice 35.6 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (PORTLAND) - an excellent offensive team (over 102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Portland is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons; 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games with Stotts as the coach; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game; 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games; 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest; 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win; 10-4 ATS in their last 14 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points The visiting team took both meetings last season, with Chicago earning a 93-88 victory in Portland on Nov. 24. Chicago can win this game with their defense. They are ranked 9th only allowing opponents just over 100 PPG, while the Blazers are 28th letting 111 PPG. The Bulls are best in the NBA in two interesting categories that can play a factor: opponents FTM/game (12) and FTA/game (17). There will not be many free points for Portland. Take the Chicago Bulls. |
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11-15-16 | Hawks -6 v. Heat | Top | 93-90 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play on Atlanta as they take on Miami in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game by more than 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-12 over the last 5 seasons good for 77.8% winners. Play against home underdogs (MIAMI) - horrible foul drawing team - attempting 21 or less free throws/game, in November games. another proven system supports this play posting a 24-5 over the last 5 seasons good for 82.8% winners. Play on road teams (ATLANTA) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, a top-level team ( 75% or better) playing a bad team (25% to 40%). The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is a poor 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons; 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Fundamental Discussion Points The Hawks are outscoring foes by 11.2 pts per 100 possessions and are giving up only .958 points per possession. The Heat really figure to struggle to score against Atlanta, not only because of the Hawks' defensive prowess, but also due to their own offensive ineptitude as they are 29th in offensive efficiency. All signs and research point to an easy ATS win for the Atlanta Hawks. |
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11-15-16 | Raptors +5.5 v. Cavs | Top | 117-121 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on Cleveland in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will lose this game by less than 3 points and have a solid chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 44-19 over the last 5 seasons good for 69.8% winners. Play on any team vs the money line (TORONTO) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, playing with 2 days rest. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons; 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games with Casey as the coach; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall; 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Cavaliers are a poor 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall; 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games; 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win; 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record; 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points The Raptors were within 3 points in their last meeting on October 28th. These two teams rank next to each other in many categories, but Toronto stands out only allowing opponents 99.2 PPG. Toronto C Lucas Nogueira is 15-of-17 from the floor in the last four games. J.R. Smith may not play or if he does will be hindered by his injury. Take Toronto Raptors. |
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11-14-16 | Bengals v. Giants | Top | 20-21 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
25* graded play on Cincinnati as they take on the NY Giants in MNF action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cincinnati will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 23-7 over the last 10 seasons good for 76.7% winners. Play against home teams (NY GIANTS) - terrible rushing team - averaging 70 or less rushing yards/game, after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cincinnati is 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored over the last 2 seasons; 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992; Bengals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. Giants are 34-60 ATS (-32.0 Units) in November games since 1992; 31-55 ATS (-29.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games; 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record; 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 10. Fundamental Discussion Points The biggest problem for the Giants has been a stagnant running game led by Rashad Jennings that ranks last in the league with a meager average of 68.3 yards per game. Rookie Paul Perkins could see more time this week to help work the clock and protect a defense that yields 277.4 yards passing. Eli threw 3 interceptions last week in a game that the Giants didn't win but that the Eagles lost. Giants are a 1 dimensional team on both sides of the ball and their quarterback is known for throwing interceptions in the regular season. Take Cincinnati Bengals. |
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11-14-16 | Thunder v. Pistons -3 | Top | 88-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
25* graded play on Detroit as they take on OKC in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Detroit will win this game by more than 4 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Detroit is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons; 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Northwest. OKC is a poor 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games; 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Detroit. Fundamental Discussion Points Detroit has been balanced in the scoring department all season with point guard Reggie Jackson still recovering from a knee injury. Tobias Harris led the way with 19 points on Saturday and tops the Pistons at 16.5 overall while Morris is next at 15.2 and inside force Andre Drummond averages 14.9 points to go along with 14.3 rebounds, which rank him second in the league. The Pistons rank fourth in points allowed (97) while OKC allowed an average of 113.7 points in their last 3 games. Take Detroit Pistons. |
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11-12-16 | Michigan v. Iowa +21.5 | 13-14 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
25* graded play on Iowa as they take on Michigan in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Iowa is a stout 23-5 ATS (+17.5 Units) versus excellent rushing teams - averaging >=230 rushing yards/game; 25-5 ATS (+19.5 Units) versus excellent rushing teams - averaging >=5.25 rushing yards/carry. Fundamental Discussion Points Iowa +21.5 vs Michigan The Iowa Hawkeyes take on the undefeated Michigan Wolverines. Michigan has only played 2 games on the road this year, one being against an awful Rutgers football team and the other against Michigan St. whom they only beat by 9. The Wolverines don’t have much experience playing on the road this year and we all know home field advantage is big in college football. Iowa will come out and try to slow the game down, run the football effectively and keep the game close and keep Kinnick Stadium rocking against the third best team in the nation. We don’t expect the Hawkeyes to win this one but we do expect them to keep it well within 21 to cover the spread. Take the Hawkeyes as a big home dog. |
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11-12-16 | USC +9.5 v. Washington | Top | 26-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
50* graded play on USC as they take on Washington in PAC-12 action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that USC will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at upsetting No.4 Washington. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 40* play on the line and a 10* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 35-9 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 2005. Play on a road team (USC) that is an average defensive team allowing between 330 and 390 YPG and is now facing a good defensive team allowing between 280 to 330 YPG after 7+ games of the regular season, and after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. Over the L3 season this system has gone an incredible 10-1 ATS. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. USC is in good form noting they are 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games. Here is a bonus money line system that is one you truly should archive and keep track of for future qualifying plays. It has gone 23-14 SU for 62% winners and has made 41 units/unit wagered averaging a +240 DOG play since 2010. Play on road underdogs vs. the money line (USC) in a game involving two good rushing teams both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG after 7+ games, after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game. Fundamental Discussion Points Arguably the two best QB’s in the Conference and possibly the nation square off in this huge PAC-12 matchup. Jake Browning leads Washington with very impressive numbers that are worthy for the Heissman. He has throw for 2,273 yards with 34 TD, and 3 INT, but has yielded 11 sacks. USC has Darnold under center and he has been excellent in his own right passing for 1,874 yards with 20 TD and 4 INT. The key to this game, though is I fully expect the Trojan OL and DL to outperform Washington’s editions. Moreover, I expect USC DL to squash the run and force Browning into third down pass situations where USC has elite speed in either man coverage or zone schemes. USC OL will be strong enough to establish the run and then Darnold will have play action pass where he will have man coverage on the perimeter with highly skilled WR. |
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11-12-16 | South Florida -3.5 v. Memphis | Top | 49-42 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
25* graded play on South Florida as they take on Memphis in American Athletic Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SFU will win this game by at least 7 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-7 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 2010. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S FLORIDA) excellent offensive team scoring 35 or more points/game, after leading in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SFU is a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play. Memphis is just 11-32 ATS (-24.2 Units) when they allow 35 to 41 since 1992; 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 rushing yards; 13-42 ATS (-33.2 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board South Florida. South Florida -3.5 at Memphis The South Florida Bulls hit the road to take on the Memphis Tigers at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium. South Florida enters the game at 7-2 and Memphis enters at 6-3. The big factor in this game is Quinton Flowers, South Florida’s duel threat QB. Flowers has thrown for 1,900 yards and 19 TD’s as well as ran for 921 yards and 10 TD’s. The Bulls average 272 rushing yards per game and the Tigers give up 194 yards on the ground per game. Flowers is the key to the Bulls success offensively and the Tigers will have their hands full trying to just slow him down. The Tigers QB Riley Ferguson is quite the player himself throwing for 21 touchdowns this year. The Bulls secondary must be good in this one and their front 4 will need to get a pass rush on Ferguson. South Florida’s offense will be too much to handle for the Tigers in this one. Take South Florida as a favorite on the road. |
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11-12-16 | Penn State -7 v. Indiana | Top | 45-31 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Indiana in BIG Ten Conference action set to start at PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-11 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 2010. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PENN ST) after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning record on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is a stout 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when they gain 7.5 to 8 net passing yards/attempt; 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when they rush for 4.5 to 5 yards per attempt; 110-37 ATS (+69.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992. Fundamental Discussion Points In this week’s Big Ten action between 10th ranked Penn State and Indiana, our SIM predict Penn State will emerge victorious once again and cover the spread. Following last week’s defeat of Iowa, many are confident Penn State will be able to win out the rest of their schedule, in the hopes of getting a top bowl game, and potentially playing in the Big Ten Championship. PSU running back Saquon Barkley is surging right now, and the PSU offense in turn is doing well because of him, as he makes a late season push for Heisman contention. He ran for 100 yards in the past 3 out of 4 games, and ran for over 200 in 2 out of those 3 games. The Penn State defense has been progressing throughout the past few games as well, allowing 314 yards per game against Purdue and then 234 yards per game against Iowa. The key for the defense this weekend is to shut down QB Richard Lagow and RB Devine Redding. Once they close down the running lanes and take advantage of mistakes made by Lagow (who is tied for most interceptions in Big Ten), the PSU defense will dominate. PSU has the edge in all of the aspects of this game, including team chemistry, and look for them to beat Indiana handily this Saturday. |
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11-12-16 | Kentucky v. Tennessee -14 | Top | 36-49 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 57 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tennessee as they take on Tennessee in SEC action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tennessee will win this game by 17 or more points. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kentucky is just 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in road games when they allow 200 to 250 rushing yards; Tennessee is a solid 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards/attempt; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons; 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they gain 450 to 500 total yards. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Volunteers. Tennessee -13.5 vs Kentucky Kentucky (5-4) travels to Knoxville, Tennessee to play the Volunteers (6-3). In this one we look for Tennessee’s offense led by QB Joshua Dobbs to score some points against Kentucky’s defense who gives up 30.4 points per game. Dobbs has thrown for 1,800 yards and 18 touchdowns this season. The key to Tennessee’s success defensively is to stop Kentucky’s running game. Kentucky averages 215 yards per game on the ground. If Tennessee can slow down their running game and keep the ball in Joshua Dobbs hands they should have no problem in this one. Take Tennessee as the home favorite. |
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11-11-16 | Indiana +6.5 v. Kansas | Top | 103-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
25* graded play on Indiana as they take on Kansas in Armed Forces Classic action set to start at 9:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Indiana will lose this game by less than 4 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Crean is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in November games as the coach of Indiana. Indiana is 9-1 (+8.1 Units) when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponent over the last 2 seasons. Hoosiers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Jayhawks are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 vs. Big Ten. Fundamental Discussion Points Indiana has a pretty darn good team coming back from an excellent 2015 campaign led by center Thomas Bryant and guard James Blackmon Jr. Sophomore forward OG Anunoby had 25 points in an exhibition and could be a breakout player for the Hoosiers. Take the Indiana Hoosiers. |
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11-11-16 | Pacers v. 76ers +5 | Top | 105-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on Philadelphia as they take on Indiana in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Philly will lose this game by less than 3 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Philly is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons; 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a game where they made 50% of their free throws or worse since 1996. Brown is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games after a game where they made 50% of their free throws or worse as the coach of the Sixers. 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Indiana is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games after scoring 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Pacers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. Fundamental Discussion Points The 76ers left Joel Embiid at home to rest and instead got a standout performance from another belated rookie in Dario Saric, who was drafted along with Embiid in 2014, made his NBA debut this season and recorded his first double-double with 14 points and 12 rebounds on Wednesday against Indiana. Philadelphia SF Robert Covington is 8-of-13 from beyond the arc in his last two games. We are looking for improvement from the last game on the side of the Sixers which they beat the spread and will now have Embiid. Take Philadelphia 76ers. |
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11-10-16 | Utah v. Arizona State +6 | Top | 49-26 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Arizona State as they take on Utah in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 9:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that ASU will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ASU is a strong 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992; 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Utah is a poor 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992. Whittingham is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of Utah. Graham is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a home underdog of 7 points or less in all games he has coached since 1992. Sun Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Sun Devils are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games. Sun Devils are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Utes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. Utes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November. Fundamental Discussion Points ASU's sophomore quarterback Manny Wilkins will be back after he missed two of the last four contests, and missed most of one of the other games due to injuries. Junior tailback Demario Richard has a team-best 532 rushing yards and is expected back after missing the last game because of injury. Never underestimate the starting QB and HB in football coming back from injuries to boost the team to a victory. Sun Devils senior K Zane Gonzalez is 20-of-21 on field goals this season and his 93 career field goals are the most in FBS history. Take Arizona State University Sun Devils. |
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11-10-16 | Browns v. Ravens -7.5 | Top | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play on Baltimore as they take on the Cleveland Browns in NFL Thursday Night action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Baltimore will win this game by more than 13 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons. Cleveland has not done well against struggling passing defenses like Baltimore’s edition this season. They are a terrible 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) vs. poor passing defenses allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons; Cleveland is also just 13-32 ATS (-22.2 Units) versus good rushing defenses - allowing 3.5 or less rushing yards/carry. Fundamental Discussion Points The Browns are yielding 421.7 yards and 30.3 points per game, each ranking 31st in the league. Baltimore's defense came up big in the win over bitter rival Pittsburgh, holding the Steelers to 277 total yards and 36 on the ground to build a 21-0 lead in the third quarter. The Ravens have won 15 of the past 17 meetings. Ravens TE Dennis Pitta had nine catches for 102 yards (both season highs) in Week 2's Cleveland contest. Take Baltimore Ravens. |
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11-08-16 | Hawks v. Cavs -8.5 | Top | 110-106 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
25* graded play on Cleveland as they take on Atlanta in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 22-4 ATS mark good for 85% winners since 1996. Play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) good shooting team making between 45.5 to 47.5% against an average defensive team allowing between 43.5-45.5% shooting, and is a dominant rebounding team posting a +5.5 or more reb/game differential and is now facing an average rebounding team posting a differential of +/-3 reb/game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is a solid 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. Hawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games. Hawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Central. Hawks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points Howard hasn't exactly given James or his teams in the past problems before. Cleveland is scoring 3.4 more fastbreak points a game than Atlanta. They can also take advantage of turnovers as Atlanta has 14.6% (23rd) turnovers/play and the Cavs boast an 11.4% (4th) turnovers/play. Take King James and the Cleveland Cavaliers. |
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11-07-16 | Bills +7 v. Seahawks | Top | 25-31 | Win | 100 | 34 h 22 m | Show |
25* graded play on Buffalo as they take on Seattle in Monday Night Football action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Buffalo will win this game. Given this favorable projection, I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 44-23 mark good for 66% winners and has made 23 units/unit wagered since 2005. Play against home teams using the money line (SEATTLE) after 1 or more consecutive losses, when playing on Monday night. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Buffalo is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last three seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. For this matchup, it clearly shows solid reasons to get on board the Buffalo Bills. We use numerous statistical measures of efficiencies to identify opportunity. Buffalo ranks 8th in overall offensive efficiency. Seattle, as we saw in their 13 points scored against anemic Saints defense are not nearly as strong. Seattle ranks 18th in overall offensive efficiency and are trending downward in most offensive categories. Both teams have solid defenses with Buffalo given a slight edge with their front seven over Seattle. Buffalo can definitely stop the Seattle ground attack and force Wilson to try then to move the chains with his arm. Seattle’s receivers have not been able to generate space on their routes and have created forced desperate throws by Wilson. Buffalo is the play. |
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11-07-16 | Rockets v. Wizards -1.5 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
25* graded play on Washington as they take on Houston in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game by more than 3 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 44-11 over the last 5 seasons good for 80% winners and made 31.9 units/unit wagered. Play against road underdogs (HOUSTON) - good offensive team - scoring 99+ points/game on the season against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Brooks is 100-67 ATS (+26.3 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days in all games he has coached since 1996 and he is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) after a close loss by 3 points or less in all games he has coached since 1996. Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southeast. Wizards are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points A rejuvenated John Wall will be back in the lineup for the Wizards. The Rockets rank in the mid 20s in both forcing opponents fouls and fouls per game, while the Wizards rank in the high teens in both those categories. Early season NBA games can be a toss up, but this is a contrarian pick with the SIM Algo matching this win perfectly. Take Washington Wizards. |
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11-06-16 | Suns +2.5 v. Lakers | Top | 108-119 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Phoenix Suns as they take on the Los Angeles Lakers in NBA action set to start at 9:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Phoenix, currently lined at +2 ½) will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-6 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 2010. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS) off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Lakers are a miserable 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) when they make 25% to 31% of their three-point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons. |
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11-06-16 | Panthers v. Rams +3 | Top | 13-10 | Push | 0 | 58 h 16 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Rams as they take on the Carolina Panthers in NFC action set to start at 4:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Rams will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 54-24 over the last 10 seasons good for 69.2% winners. Play against road favorites (CAROLINA) - with a good rushing defense - allowing 90 or less rushing yards/game, after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rams are 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games versus good rushing defenses - allowing less than 3.5 rushing yards/carry since 1992. Fisher is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against NFC South division opponents in all games he has coached since 1992 and he is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more yards/play as the coach of the Rams. Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC. Panthers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games. Rams are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week. Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Carolina's offense can move with ease, although they've been set back by a league-worst 17 turnovers. Their revamped secondary has turned in a couple of dreadful performances ranking 29th in opponents pass yards/game (286.9). As good as the Panthers are on offense, they have their awful record because of two defensive stats: they allow their opponents more yards/play than their offense gains, and they allow more points/game than their offense scores. Yes, They'll stop the run this game, but so has everyone else against the Rams so it's not an advantage. Take LA Rams. |
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11-06-16 | Lions v. Vikings -6 | Top | 22-16 | Loss | -107 | 55 h 2 m | Show |
25* graded play on Minnesota as they take on Detroit in NFC North action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game by at least 10 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 45-19 over the last 5 seasons good for 70.3% winners. Play on favorites (MINNESOTA) - off a road loss, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Minnesota is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 3 seasons; 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game over the last 3 seasons; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game over the last 3 seasons; 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons; 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons; 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons. Detroit is 12-35 ATS (-26.5 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992. Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Lions are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC North. Vikings are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November. Vikings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC. Fundamental Discussion Points Armonty Bryant received a three-game suspension for violating the league's substance abuse policy, so with the Lions will lose his production recording three sacks in four games. Vikings defense is permitting a league-low 14.9 points. Bradford is better in this situation, recording five touchdowns and zero interceptions in four home games. Stafford was sacked seven times in the last meeting by Minnesota, which swept the season series a year ago. Stafford may have his career high in passer rating, but he hasn't faced this defense yet this year. Take Minnesota Vikings. |
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11-05-16 | Clippers +4.5 v. Spurs | Top | 116-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Clippers as they take on the Spurs in NBA action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Clippers will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-15 since 1996 good for 72.7% winners. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - off a road win by 10 points or more, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days. Another proven system supports this play posting a 101-56 over the last 5 seasons good for 64.3% winners and made a nice 39.4 units/unit wagered. Play against home teams (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, on Saturday games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rivers is 29-10 ATS (+18.0 Units) in road games vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80% or more of their shots in all games he has coached since 1996. Rivers is 160-108 ATS (+41.2 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game in all games he has coached since 1996. Popovich is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game as the coach of San Antonio. Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference. Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Clippers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. Clippers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Southwest. Spurs are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Clippers. Los Angeles has held three of its last four opponents to 88 or fewer points and leads the NBA by allowing just 90.4 per outing.Los Angeles C DeAndre Jordan collected a season-best 21 rebounds against Memphis and is averaging 13.2 per game. San Antonio PG Tony Parker (knee) missed Friday’s game and coach Gregg Popovich said he will be “out for a week or so.” Take Los Angeles Clippers. |
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11-05-16 | Alabama v. LSU +7.5 | Top | 10-0 | Loss | -108 | 37 h 58 m | Show |
50* graded play on LSU as they take on Alabama in SEC action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that LSU will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great opportunity to win the game and upset no.1 Alabama. Given this compelling projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 40* play on the line and a 10* play using the money line. We never know when these dogs will win the game. What we do know is that if you we play these dogs as combination wagers it serves to add another 11% in total return to overall profitability spanning an entire season. Every season for the past 8 seasons, we have had a dog of greater than 17 points win the game outright. This year we had Kansas at 28 ½ against TCU and TCU needed a last-minute score to come away with a 1-point win. Although LSU is not a 17-point dog, it is one that certainly qualifies for the combination wager. The key part of this combination wager is that we MUST have a money line => +140 for the ROI to be validated. If ever, you cannot get that line, simply play the dog on the line only. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-5 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 1992. Road favorites (ALABAMA) with an excellent rushing defense allowing 2.75 or less rushing yards/carry, after gaining 275 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games. Here is a second system that supports LSU and has gone 26-6 ATS for 81% winners since 1992. Play on a home team (LSU) in a game involving two dominant teams (outgaining opponents by 100+ YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games.
Now onto the technical that match the SIM projections for the outcome of this game. · Alabama is just 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points. · Alabama is just 13-39 ATS (-29.9 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. · Alabama is just 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards. · LSU is a stout 43-22 ATS (+18.8 Units) when they rush for 150 to 200 yards. · LSU is 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) when they rush for 4.5 to 5 yards per attempt. · LSU is a solid 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Alabama rolls into Baton Rouge as the top team in the nation again and takes on a hot LSU Tiger team. The Tigers are 5-2 with both losses being on the road by a total of 7 points against Wisconsin and Auburn with a late TD being pulled off the board against Auburn. This should be another classic Alabama and LSU slugfest. Alabama Quarterback has struggled some in big games throwing at least one pick in each of the big games this year, but the Defense has bailed the offense out and the Tide eventually wore down the opponent. Both teams come off a bye and should be fresh in this one. Leonard Fournette is heating up lately and the Tiger ground game has been rolling Fournette is averaging 8 yards per carry and this should keep the Tigers defense off the field and have some legs late in this one. If LSU can keep the Bama defense from scoring this one should be a dog fight all afternoon. Geaux Tigers today. Titan). |
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11-05-16 | Nebraska v. Ohio State -17 | Top | 3-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
25* graded play on Ohio State as they take on Nebraska in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OSU will win this game by at least 21 points. It is rare that you get the public enamored with a DOG, but they are with Nebraska. At first glance, it is natural to think a strong team like Nebraska is getting far too many points and think it is a gift. Only 22% of bets have been on OSU, BUT the line has moved 4.5 points higher. This clearly reflects numerous large bets made on Ohio State that more than offset the public’s irrational exuberance on Nebraska. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OSU is a strong 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they rush for 250 to 300 yards over the last three seasons.; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they rush for 6 or more yards per attempt over the last three seasons.; 132-44 ATS (+83.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points; 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 1.5 to 2 yards/play Fundamental Discussion Points Ohio State -17 versus Nebraska The Buckeyes come off a tough three-game stretch where they were in tight games each week; Nebraska took its first loss last week in Madison against the physical Badgers. We look for Nebraska to come into this one with a little hangover and the horseshoe is not the place for that. Look for the Buckeyes to get the train rolling again this week. JT Barrett comes into this one complete INC 64% of his passes for 272 yards per game, and we look for another strong effort from the Buckeye defense today. Nebraska has not had a signature win as of late, and we look for Tommy Armstrong and the Cornhusker Offense to struggle in Columbus today. Armstrong has 11 TD passes but seven picks to go with that. Ohio State has averaged over 42 points per game, and we look for more of the same as Brutus flexes his muscles today. |
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11-05-16 | Iowa v. Penn State -6.5 | Top | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Iowa in BIG TEN action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Iowa is a money losing 19-61 ATS (-48.1 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; PSU is a stout 109-37 ATS (+68.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992; 27-9 ATS (+17.1 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play since 1992. Fundamental Discussion Points After PSU’s recent rankings, many in the college football community believe they were over ranked, and the Penn State football team has a lot to prove this weekend. Coming off of wins the past four weeks, the PSU squad has a ton of momentum going into this game. Trace McSorley (55.2% completion percent, 12 TD, 3 Int) and Saquon Barkley (888 rush yds, ten rush TD, 213 receiving yds, 1 receiving TD) have been carrying the offense for the team, and will likely be a force again this week against Iowa. Iowa’s offense has been largely inconsistent throughout the year, and might put up a struggle to the PSU defense, but will likely not be able to overpower them. Lastly, the chemistry of the Penn State team gives them an added edge – another white out game under the lights at Beaver Stadium and a team that is clicking on all cylinders with its coach is going to be a force to be reckoned with. Expect PSU to continue their winning streak in this Big Ten action this week versus Iowa. |
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11-05-16 | Oregon v. USC -17 | Top | 20-45 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on Southern Cal as they take on Oregon in PAC-12 action set to start at 4:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that USC will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-7 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 2005. Play on home favorites (USC) after gaining 575 or more total yards/game over their last two games, with five defensive starters returning. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. USC is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last three seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points As defined and graded by the SIM we are back with the Trojans taking on Oregon this week. USC has the ground game going lately, and the Duck stop units haven't been seen lately. Oregon is giving up over 42 points per game and the Trojans bring a solid running game, and the passing game has been good as Darnold has completed67.4 % of his passes and has thrown 18 touchdown passes with only three picks on the year. USC has one of the top OL in the nation ranking 19th in our S&P style metrics this season. Note too that when playing against the better offenses Oregon has given up over 50 points per game, and we see more of that today as the Trojans take out some frustrations on the Ducks while they are down. Fight On tonight. |
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11-05-16 | Navy v. Notre Dame -7 | Top | 28-27 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on Notre Dame as they take on Navy in NCAA action set to start at 11:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Notre Dame will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Navy is just 20-43 ATS (-27.3 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they gain 6.5 to 7 total yards per play; 47-21 ATS (+23.9 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play. ND is a solid 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt. Fundamental Discussion Points This game will be played in Jacksonville and we look for more of what we seen from Navy last week as the Defense gave up 52 points. Notre Dame has too many skilled players and should move the ball with ease today. The strength of the Irish is the run defense which should help today and not put the pressure on the weak secondary. Navy throws for 147 per game but that requires the running game to help the passing game, ND secondary can match up against this class. ND typically wins this one with ease when laying the small number at neutral sites and struggles when laying the big numbers. Look for Deshone Keizer to have a big day with a lot of receivers running free today. The Irish should also be able to control the ground game in this one. |
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11-04-16 | Heat +7.5 v. Raptors | Top | 87-96 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
25* graded play on Miami as they take on Toronto in NBA action set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miami will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot to win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons; 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Toronto is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. Spoelstra is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games as the coach of Miami. Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. Heat are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 Friday games. Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Raptors are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Friday games. Fundamental Discussion Points Tyler Johnson was injured and then buried behind Joe Johnson and Wade in the playoffs last season but is getting a chance as the sixth man this season and scored in double figures in each of the first four games, including 22 points on 7-of-11 shooting in 32 minutes on Tuesday. Heat G Dion Waiters had his first 20-point outing since joining the team with 20 against the Kings. Take the Miami Heat. |
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11-04-16 | Hawks +2 v. Wizards | Top | 92-95 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
25* graded play on Atlanta as they take on Washington in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 62-29 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.1% winners and made 30.1 units/unit wagered. Play on road underdogs (ATLANTA) - horrible foul drawing team from last season - attempted under 21 free throws/game. Another proven system supports this play posting a 309-213 since 1996 good for 59.2% winners and made a huge 74.7 units/unit wagered. Play against home favorites (WASHINGTON) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, first half of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Atlanta is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus teams who average 48 or less rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 60-38 ATS (+18.2 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 3 seasons. Budenholzer is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) on Friday nights as the coach of Atlanta. Hawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Wizards are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss. Wizards are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Wizards are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Friday games. Hawks are 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Washington. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Dwight Howard played his best game of the early season against LA while posting a team-high 31 points to go along with 11 rebounds. Howard is averaging 15.5 points per game and was tied for fifth in the NBA in rebounding (12.0) through Wednesday. Atlanta leads the league in steals per game (11.3) and ranks second in assists (28.3) entering Thursday. Washington is last in the NBA in opponents’ field-goal percentage (49.8 percent). Take Atlanta Hawks. |
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11-03-16 | UCLA v. Colorado -13 | Top | 10-20 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
25* graded play on Colorado as they take on UCLA in Thursday PAC-12 action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Colorado will win this game by at least 17 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Colorado is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season. UCLA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons; 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after scoring 37 points or more last game over the last 2 seasons. MacIntyre is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after playing 3 straight conference games as the coach of Colorado. Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Bruins are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Bruins are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Bruins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Buffaloes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Buffaloes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. Buffaloes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Buffaloes are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Buffaloes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Buffaloes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Buffaloes are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Fundamental Discussion Points UCLA's Fafaul is coming off a wild, up-and-down outing Oct. 22 against Utah in which he threw for 464 yards and five touchdowns while also tossing four interceptions and losing a fumble in a 52-45 home loss. Buffaloes have been particularly tough against opposing passers, notching 11 interceptions while allowing only eight aerial TDs behind a secondary featuring safety Tedric Thompson (Pac-12-most four interceptions) and cornerback Ahkello Witherspoon (Pac-12-most 13 passes defensed). The Buffaloes are getting it done on both sides of the ball, joining Alabama, Ohio State and Louisville as the only teams to rank in the top-20 nationally in total offense and defense at 19th and 12th, respectively. With this all-around strong team against a struggling UCLA, Take Colorado Buffaloes. |