Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-15-24 | Gonzaga v. Loyola Marymount +16 | Top | 91-74 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
Gonzaga vs Loyola Marymount Gersten Pavillion | 9:00 ET | CBSSN The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 13-194 SU record and 118-86-3 ATS record good for 58% winning bets since 2004. The requirements are: ü Bet on underdogs between 10 and 19.5 points. ü That underdog has lost their last three games all to conference foes. ü The favorite is coming off an upset road win. If the host has won 33 to 45% of their games, their record improves to 29-17-1 ATS for 63% winning bets since 2006. The Gonzaga Bulldogs (18-6, 8-2 WCC) will look to extend their four-game road winning streak when they face the Loyola Marymount Lions (10-14, 3-7 WCC) on Thursday, February 15, 2024, at the Gersten Pavilion in Los Angeles. The game will be televised on CBS Sports Network at 9:00 PM ET. The Bulldogs are coming off an impressive 89-85 victory over the Kentucky Wildcats on Saturday, where they overcame a 15-point deficit in the second half. Anton Watson led the way with 23 points and 10 rebounds, while Graham Ike added 21 points and nine boards. Ryan Nembhard and Nolan Hickman also scored in double figures, with 16 and 14 points respectively. Gonzaga shot 51.6% from the field and 40.0% from the three-point line, while holding Kentucky to 42.9% and 31.6%. The Lions have lost four straight games, including a 77-64 defeat to the San Francisco Dons on Saturday. Alex Merkviladze was the only Lion to score in double digits, with 16 points and six rebounds. Dominick Harris, Justin Wright, and Will Johnston combined for 27 points, but shot just 9-of-28 from the field. Keli Leaupepe, who averages 9.9 points per game, was held to just four points on 2-of-9 shooting. Loyola Marymount shot 38.5% from the field and 26.1% from the three-point line, while allowing San Francisco to shoot 50.0% and 40.0%. Gonzaga has dominated the series against Loyola Marymount, winning 24 of the last 25 meetings. The last time the Lions beat the Bulldogs was on February 18, 2010, when they pulled off a 74-66 upset at home. The Bulldogs have won the last 12 games at the Gersten Pavilion by an average margin of 19.8 points. The last time the Lions came within single digits of the Bulldogs at home was on January 31, 2015, when they lost 72-55. Nevermind the history lesson as this is simply too many points to give the Lions and the projections from my predictive models show a reasonable probability that they can keep the final deficit to 10 or fewer points. |
|||||||
02-15-24 | Bucks -13 v. Grizzlies | Top | 110-113 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies 8:30 ET | FedEx Arena 8-Unit bet on the Bucks -11.5 points and is valid to -13 points. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 179-36 SU record and 134-77-4 ATS record good for 64% winning bets since 1996. The requirements are: ü Bet on road favorites of 7.5 or more points. ü The host has won 25 to 40% of their games. ü The host is on no more than a 2-game win streak. From my predictive models, the Bucks are 86-9 SU and 69-25-1 ATS for 73% winning bets when scoring 117 or more points and having the same or fewer turn overs in road games played since 2019. |
|||||||
02-15-24 | Minnesota v. Purdue -16.5 | Top | 76-84 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Purdue 8:30 ET | 8-Unit bet on Purdue -16.5 points and is valid to -17.5 points.
The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 112-31 SU record and 89-54 ATS record good for 62% winning bets since 2004. The requirements are: ü Bet on home favorites including pick-em. ü The favorite has scored 75 or more points in three consecutive games. ü The underdog is coming off a huge offensive game scoring 85 or more points. If the game is after game number 15 of the regular season, these favorites have gone 70-11 SU and 55-26 ATS for 68% winning bets. If the line drops below -2.5 it remains a valid bet since my predictive models have them on the radar if they do not become a favorite. From the predictive model, Purdue is 83-3 SU and 40-13-1 ATS for 76% winning bets when scoring 80 or more points and committing the same or fewer turnovers than their foe in home games. |
|||||||
02-15-24 | Seattle University -3.5 v. Southern Utah | Top | 78-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Seattle vs Southern Utah 8:30 ET | 8-Unit bet on Seattle -4 points and is valid to -5 points. The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 45-8 SU record and 39-13-1 ATS record good for 75% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: ü Bet on favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points. ü The favorite is allowing 67 to 74 points per game. ü The game occurs after the 15th game of the season. ü The favorite is coming off game in which they allowed 45 or more points in the first half. ü The dog is scoring between 74 and 78 points per game. |
|||||||
02-14-24 | Western Carolina +7.5 v. Samford | Top | 62-88 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
Western Carolina vs Samford 8-Unit bet on Western Carolina +7.5 points and is valid to 6.5 points. The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 21-29 SU and 35-15 ATS (70%) record since 2019. The requirements are: ü Bet on road underdogs including pick-em. ü The road team has committed 11 or fewer turnovers in each of their last four games. ü The host is coming off a game committing 8 or fewer turnovers. ü The host is coming off a double-digit SUATS win. From the predictive model we learn that WCU is 24-17 SU and 28-7-1 ATS for 80% winning bets in road games in which they scored 75 or more points and had the same or fewer turnovers in games played over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
02-14-24 | Rockets -2.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 113-121 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies 8 ET | FedEx Forum The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 1523-761 SU record and 1246-991-47 ATS record good for 56% winning bets since 1996. The requirements are: ü Bet on road favorites after game number 30. ü The favorite is priced between 1.5 and 12.5 points. ü The road teams have won 20% more games than the foe (Win Percentage) |
|||||||
02-14-24 | Hawks -6.5 v. Hornets | Top | 99-122 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets Spectrum Center | 7:00 ET The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 260-60 SU record and 193-120-7 ATS record good for 62% winning bets since 2004. The requirements are: ü Bet on road teams. ü The road team is favored between 5.5 and 10.5 points. ü That road team has exceeded their season-to-date scoring average If the road team has a losing record on the season has produced an18-4 SU (82%) | 14-8 ATS (64%) since 2004. So, look to use the Live bet opportunity if the Hornets get out to any significant lead of 5 or more points. A price of -1.5 points is optimal to add 20% of your 8-Unit bet if you have bet 80% preflop on the Hawks. |
|||||||
02-14-24 | Oakland +1.5 v. IUPU Ft Wayne | Top | 71-63 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show |
Oakland vs Purdue Fort Wayne 7 ET | ESPN+ |Allen County War Memorial Coliseum 8-Unit bet on Oakland using the money line if the spread is priced between -1.5 and +1.5. If Oakland is priced as a 2 or more-point favorite or dog then use that line instead of the money line. Oakland is likely to remain the underdog in this matchup. The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 52-26 ATS record good for 67% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: ü Bet on road underdogs including pick-em. ü The road team held their previous opponent to 35% or worse shooting. ü The host has shot 50% or higher from the field in each of their last three games. From my predictive models, we learn that Oakland is 40-9 SU and 34-10-1 ATS for 77% winning bets when they have scored 75 or more points and had 15 or fewer turnnovers in games played over the past five seasons.
|
|||||||
02-13-24 | Kings +5 v. Suns | Top | 125-130 | Push | 0 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns Footprint Center | TNT | 10:00 ET The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 27-40 SU record and 48-19 ATS record good for 72% winning bets since 2016. The requirements are: ü Bet on road underdogs. ü The road team is looking to avenge a three or fewer point loss to the host in their previous meeting. ü The host is coming off an upset home loss. If the game takes place in the second half of the regular season our road team improves to a highly profitable 14-20 SU and 26-8 ATS for 77% winning bets since 2016. Filtering games that had our road team priced as a dog of 6 or fewer points reveals a near-perfect 12-1 ATS record good for 92% winning bets. The Sacramento Kings (30-22, 27-23-2 ATS, 26-24-2 O=U)) will face the Phoenix Suns (31-22, 21-30-2 ATS, 28-25 O-U) on Tuesday, February 13, 2024 at Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona. The game will start at 10:00 PM ET and will be televised on TNT and AZFamily. This will be the fourth of five regular-season meetings between the two Pacific Division rivals. The Kings lead the season series 2-1, with both wins coming at home. The Suns have not cover the spread in the fist three games of this divisional series and won the previous meeting 119-117 riced as 4.5-point home favorites. The Kings are coming off a 127-113 road loss priced as three point underdogs to the Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday, snapping their two-game winning streak. The Suns are also looking to bounce back from a 113-112 road defeat priced as 1.5-point favorites to the Golden State Warriors on Sunday, ending their three-game winning run. Both teams are solidly in the playoff hunt in the competitive Western Conference. The Suns are currently second in the division and fifth in the conference, while the Kings are third in the division and seventh in the conference. A win for either team would boost their chances of securing a higher seed and avoiding the play-in tournament. The key players to watch for both teams are: De’Aaron Fox (SAC): The 26-year-old point guard is having a career-best season, averaging 26.6 points, 7.1 assists, and 1.5 steals per game. He is the leader and catalyst of the Kings’ fast-paced offense, ranking 11th in the NBA in scoring and 10th in assists. He has been especially dominant against the Suns this season, averaging 30 points and 9.3 assists in three games.Domantas Sabonis (SAC): The 27-year-old power forward is a double-double machine, averaging 19.8 points and 13.4 rebounds per game. He is also a skilled passer and shooter, averaging 4.7 assists and 1.2 threes per game. He is the anchor of the Kings’ frontcourt, ranking fourth in the NBA in rebounding and 10th in field goal percentage (54.7%).Kevin Durant (PHX): The 35-year-old small forward is still one of the best players in the league, averaging 28.3 points, 7.4 rebounds, and 5.4 assists per game. He is also a lethal scorer from anywhere on the floor, shooting 52.1% from the field, 40.2% from three, and 88.9% from the free throw line. He is the leader and go-to option of the Suns’ offense, ranking fourth in the NBA in scoring and 12th in efficiency (27.9).Devin Booker (PHX): The 27-year-old shooting guard is a dynamic scorer and playmaker, averaging 24.6 points, 4.8 assists, and 1.1 steals per game. He is also a clutch performer and a threat from beyond the arc, averaging 2.4 threes and 6.4 points in the fourth quarter per game. He is the second option and co-star of the Suns’ offense, ranking 16th in the NBA in scoring and 14th in three-pointers made (133).The game will feature a contrast in styles, as the Kings rely more on their backcourt and perimeter shooting, while the Suns rely more on their frontcourt and interior scoring. The Kings rank third in the NBA in three-pointers made (15.8) and attempted (41.2) per game, while the Suns rank 26th in both categories (10.4 and 28.4). The Suns rank fourth in the NBA in points in the paint (51.6) and second-chance points (15.2) per game, while the Kings rank 18th (46.4) and 23rd (12.4) in those areas. The game will also be a test of defense, as both teams rank in the bottom 10 in the NBA in points allowed, defensive rating, and opponent field goal percentage. The Kings allow 118.1 points, 116.9 points per 100 possessions, and 47.6% shooting per game, while the Suns allow 112.4 points, 115.2 points per 100 possessions, and 47.2% shooting per game. If this game comes down to the wire, the Suns are 10-8 SU, but just 4-13-1 ATS for 24% winning bets in games decided by five or fewer points this season. From the predictive model, the Kings are expected to shoot at least 50% from the field and at least 40% form beyond the arc. In past games in which the Kings met these performance measures has seen them go on to a 37-9 SU record and a 36-8-2 ATS mark for 92% winning bets over the past three seasons. In past games in which the Suns have allowed these performance measures to an opponent has seen them produce a horrid 8-23 SU record and 4-27 ATS mark good for 13% winning bets over the past three seasons. |
|||||||
02-13-24 | Thunder v. Magic +2.5 | Top | 127-113 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
OKC Thunder vs Orlando Magic Kia Center | TNT | 7:30 ET The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 29-26 SU record and 61-31 ATS record good for 66% winning bets since 2018. The requirements are: ü Bet on a team priced between a 3.5-point favorite and a 3.5-point underdog. ü That team has outscored their opponents by at least 6 PPG. ü That team has played three straight games in which each one had 220 or more total points. If the game takes place in the second half of the regular season and our team is playing at home they improve to a highly profitable 14-8 SU and 16-6 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2018. |
|||||||
02-13-24 | Michigan +16.5 v. Illinois | Top | 68-97 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
Michigan vs Illinois 7 ET | Peacock | State Farm Center 8-Unit Bet on Michigan plus the 15.5 points and is valid to 13.5 points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 5-38 SU record and 30-13 ATS record for 70% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: ü Bet on road dogs priced between 11.5 and 17 points. ü The game takes place after game number 15 and is a conference showdown. ü The total is 140 or more points. ü Our road team has forced 13 or fewer turnovers in each of their last five games. ü The host has forced 10 or fewer turnovers in each of their last three games. |
|||||||
02-13-24 | Iowa State +2 v. Cincinnati | Top | 68-59 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
(10) Iowa State vs Cincinnati 7 ET | ESPN2 | Fifth Third Arena 8-Unit Bet on Iowa State plus 1.5 points and is valid to a -1.5-point favorite. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 42-74 SU record and 71-45 ATS record for 61% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: ü Bet on road dogs including pick-em. ü Our road team has committed 11 or fewer turnovers in each of their last four games. ü The host committed 8 or fewer turnovers in their previous game. ISU is 7-1 ATS after allowing 25 or fewer first half points in their previous game; 12-4 ARS after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. ISU head coach Otzelberger is 23-13 ATS after allowing 25 or fewer points in the first half of their previous game. Cincinnati head coach Miller is just 4-13 AZTS following a game in which his team got two or fewer steals. From the predictive model, we are looking for ISU to score 74 or more points and commit 12 or fewer turnovers. In this role they have earned a 26-4 SU mark and 22-8 ATS record good for 73% winning bets over the past five seasons. Cincinnati is 8-21 SU and 11-17-1 ATS (39%) when allowing 74 or more points and forcing 12 or fewer turnovers over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
02-12-24 | Knicks -4 v. Rockets | Top | 103-105 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
New York Knicks vs Houston Rockets 8 ET | Toyota Center 8-Unit Bet on the Knicks minus the 4.5 points and is valid to -5.5 points. Consider betting 80% preflop on the Knicks and then look to add 20% more of your 8-Unit amount at pick-em during the first half of action. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 46-10 SU record and 43-12-1 ATS record good for 78% winning bets since 2013. The requirements are: ü Bet on road favorites priced between -3.5 and -9.5 points. ü That favorite has won between 60 and 75% of their games on the season. ü Game is played in February. ü Opponent has won between 40 and 49% of their games on the season. |
|||||||
02-12-24 | Spurs +6 v. Raptors | Top | 122-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors ScotiaBank Arena, Toronto 8-Unit bet on the Spurs +6.5 points and is valid to 5.5 points. Consider betting 1-Unit on the money line and 7-units using the spread on the Spurs. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 29-26 SU record and 35-18-2 ATS record good for 66% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are: ü Bet on road dogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. ü That dog has lost their last three games all on the road. ü The game is taking on a non-conference foe. The San Antonio Spurs (10-43) will face the Toronto Raptors (19-34) on Monday, February 12, 2024, at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. The game will tip off at 7:30 PM EST and will be broadcasted on TSN and Bally Sports SW-SA. You can also stream the game live on fuboTV1 or NBA League Pass2. The Spurs are coming off a 112-98 loss to the Boston Celtics on Saturday, their seventh consecutive defeat. The Spurs have struggled on both ends of the floor, ranking 28th in offensive rating and 26th in defensive rating. They have also been plagued by injuries, with Dejounte Murray, Derrick White, and Jakob Poeltl all missing time recently. The Spurs will need a big performance from their young core, led by Devin Vassell, who is averaging 18.9 points, 3.7 rebounds, and 3.6 assists per game. Vassell has been one of the bright spots for the Spurs, showing his versatility and potential as a two-way player. |
|||||||
02-12-24 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. Nicholls State +3.5 | Top | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Texas A&M CC vs. Nicholls State 8-Unit Bet on Nicholls State +3.5 points and is valid if the remain the underdog. TAMCC is on a 7-game ats win streak and note that teams like them that are playing on the road and coming off a road loss have gone just 9-23 SUATS for 28% winning bets. From my predictive models we are looking for Nicholls State to score 72 or more points and shoot at least 45% from the field. In past games since 2019, Nicholls State is 60-7 SU and 19-10-1 ATS for 66% winning bets since 2019. The reason the SU record has far more games listed than the ATS record is that Nicholls State was not lined often in years past. |
|||||||
02-12-24 | Pacers -10 v. Hornets | Top | 102-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
Indiana Pacers vs Charlotte Hornets 7 ET | Spectrum Center 8-Unit Bet on the Pacers -11.5 points and is valid to -12.5 points The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 32-17-2 record good for 65% winning bets since 2019 and 77-40-1 Under for 66% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: ü Bet on a road team coming off a home game. ü That road team’s average season-to-date committed fouls per game was 8 or more higher than the fouls they were called for in the previous game. ü That road team is coming off as home win by 8 or more points. If both teams are playing one day of rest exact our home team has gone 15-6 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
02-11-24 | Kings +4 v. Thunder | Top | 113-127 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
Sacramento Kings vs OKC Thunder For Live in-game betting strategies consider betting 70% on the Kings preflop and then look to add 15% more at +7.5 points and 15% more at 9.5 points. The following NBA betting algorithm has gone 57-34 SU and 61-30 ATS for 67% winning tickets sine 2018. The requirements are: Ø Bet on a team priced between the 3’s. Ø The foe is outscoring their opponents by at least 6 PPG. Ø The foe has played three consecutive games in which 200 or more points were scored in each one. If the game occurs in the second half of the regular season, the record improves to 22-13 DSU and 25-10 ATS for 71.4% winning bets. From the predictive model we learn that the Kings are 96-45 SU and 100-37-4 ATS for 73% winning bets when scoring 117 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers as their foe since 2017. |
|||||||
02-11-24 | Minnesota v. Iowa -6.5 | Top | 85-90 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Iowa 3 PM EST Consider betting 75% of your 8-Unit amount preflop on Iowa and then look to add 25% more at -3.5 points during the first half of action. Minnesota is 19-40-1 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9.5 points; 37-59 ASTS in road games after a combined score of 125 or fewer points in their previous game. Iowa head coach McCaffery is 23-10 ATS in home games after allowing 85 or more points in the last game; 28-10 ATS in home games and having lost the previous game by double-digits. From the predictive model we learn that Iowa is 56-7 SU and 44-14 ATS for 76% winning bets when scoring at least 78 points and getting at least 17 assists in games played over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
02-10-24 | Grizzlies -4.5 v. Hornets | Top | 106-115 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
Memphis Grizzlies vs Charlotte Hornets The following NBA betting algorithm has gone 25-11-1 ATS for 70% winning tickets since 1996. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams that have a better win percentage than the host. Ø The host is coming off a double-digit road loss. Ø The game takes place in the second half of the regular season. Ø The host is playing their fifth game with only three days of rest spread out among them. Ø The host is on a 1 to 5-game Over streak. |
|||||||
02-10-24 | St. John's v. Marquette -7.5 | Top | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
St. Johns vs Marquette For Live in-game netting strategies consider betting on Marquette preflop and then look to add 15% more at -4.5 points and 15% more at 2.5 points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has gone 162-122 ATS for 57% winning tickets sine 2015. The requirements are: Ø Bet on home favorites. Ø That favorite has scored 75 or more points in three consecutive games. Ø The dog is coming off a game in which they scored 85 or more points. From the predictive model we learn that Marquette is 91-3 SU and 62-30-2 ATS for 67.4% winning bets when scoring 80 or more points and getting at least 15 assists in home games. |
|||||||
02-10-24 | Tarleton State +8 v. Seattle University | Top | 82-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
Tarleton State vs Seattle 6 ET | ESPN+ | Redhawk Center Consider betting 75% of your 8-Unit amount preflop and then look to add 25% more at 11.5 points during the first half of action. TS is just 7-1 ATS following a game that played Under. Seattle is 12-28 ATS after winning three of their last four games; 3-12 ATS after winning four of their last five games. Tarleton head coach Gillispie is 14-5 ATS in road games with a total between 130 and 139.5 points. From the predictive model we learn that Tarleton is a jaw-dropping 35-0 SU and 17-1-1 ATS for 94% winning bets when scoring 70 or more -points and holding their foes to less than 45% shooting. |
|||||||
02-10-24 | NC State v. Wake Forest -7.5 | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
NC State vs Wake Forest Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum 5-Unit Best Bet on Wake Forest -7.5 points and is valid to -8.5 points The following NCAAB betting algorithm has gone 162-122 ATS for 57% winning tickets sine 2015. The requirements are: Ø Bet on home favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points. Ø That favorite is outscoring their opponents buy double-digits. Ø That favorite led by 20 or more points at the half of their last game. From the predictive model we learn that Wake Forest is 95-10 SU and 68-20-1 ATS for 77% winning bets when scoring 80 or more points in home games. Wake Forest is 61-4 SU and 43-8-1 ATS for 84% winning bets when scoring 80 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers. For Live in-game netting strategies consider betting on Wake Forest preflop and then look to add 15% more at -4.5 points and 15% more at 2.5 points. |
|||||||
02-09-24 | Pelicans -2.5 v. Lakers | Top | 122-139 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
New Orleans Pelicans vs LA Lakers Crypto Arena 10:00 ET 8-Unit bet on the Pelicans minus the 2 points and if the line drops to -1.5 points then use the money line. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 31-12 SU and 29-14 ATS mark for 67.4% winning bets since 2004. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams Ø The road team is coming off a game they never trailed. Ø The road team has at least one day of rest, Ø The host is playing the second of back-to-back games. From the predictive models, the Pelicans are 134-34 SU and 133-32-3 ASTS for 81% winning bets when scoring 117 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers and 61-21 SU and 64-17-1 ATS for 79% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
02-09-24 | Nuggets v. Kings -2.5 | Top | 106-135 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings
The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 16-5 SU and 14-7 ATS mark for 67% winning bets over the past 6 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on home favorites including pick-em Ø The road team has won 10 or more games than the host. Ø The game is a non-division game. Ø The road team has played under their team total line by 75 or more points spanning their last 10 games. |
|||||||
02-09-24 | San Jose State v. Colorado State -15.5 | Top | 47-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
San Jose State vs Colorado State 9:30 PM EST 8-Unit bet on CSU -15.5 point and is valid to 16.5 points San Jose State is just 0-6 ATS when facing solid shooting teams making at least 45% of their shots after 15 or more games this season; 2-10 ATS when facing excellent ball handling teams committing 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season; 1-10 ATS in road games after two straight games making 53% of their free throws or worse. From my predictive models, CSU is expected to score 80 or more points (85% probability) and when they have in past games, they have earned a 30-10 ATS record good for 75% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
02-09-24 | Hawks v. 76ers +3.5 | Top | 127-121 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers Wells Fargo Arena | 7:30 ET The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 37-15 ATS mark for 71% winning bets over the past 6 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on dogs between 2.5 and 9.5 points. Ø That do has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 7 games. Ø The opponent has seen their last seven games play Over by 50 or more points. If our team is a home under they have gone 14-5 ATS for 74% winning bets since 2018. |
|||||||
02-08-24 | Texas-Arlington v. California Baptist -3 | Top | 63-64 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
Texas-Arlington vs Cal Baptist 10 ET 8-Unit Bet on Cal Baptist minus the 3.5 points and is valid to -5 points. Cal Baptists is 35-19 SU and 23-13 ATS for 63% winning bets following a game in which they shot 42% or worse form the field. From the predictive model, Cal Baptists is 14-2 SUATS when scoring 74 or more points and committing 12 or fewer turnovers over the past 5 seasons. |
|||||||
02-08-24 | Mavs -3.5 v. Knicks | Top | 122-108 | Win | 100 | 4 h 52 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks vs NY Knicks 7 ET | Madison Square Garden 8-Unit Bet on the Mavs -4.5 points and is valid to -6 points.
For live in-game betting strategy consider betting 70% of your 8-unit betting amount preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% amount at pick-em. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced an exception record going 126-38 SU and 107-54-3 ATS for 67% winning bets since 1995. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road favorites. Ø The opponent has won 67% or fewer of their games on the season. Ø The opponent led by 20 or more points at the half in their previous game. If our road team is playing this game in the second half of the season (after game number 41) they have gone 64-13 SU for 83% and 55-21-1 ATS for 72.4% winning bets since 1995.
|
|||||||
02-08-24 | Warriors +6 v. Pacers | Top | 131-109 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors vs Indiana Pacers 8-Unit Bet on the Warriors +6.5 points and is valid to 5 points. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced an exception record going 19-33 SU and 39-12-1 ATS for 77% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road underdogs priced between 3.5 and 6.5 points. Ø The road team has had 5 or more double-digit scorers in 75% or more of their games played. Ø The road team has had fewer than five double-digit scorers in two or more of their last three games. If the game occurs in the second half of the regular season, these road teams have gone 9-10 SU and 15-4 ATS for 79% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
|||||||
02-07-24 | Pistons +13.5 v. Kings | Top | 133-120 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
Detroit Pistons vs Sacramento Kings 8-Unit Bet on the Pistons +13 points and is valid if they remain a double-digit underdog. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced an exception record going 33-66 SU and 67-31-1 ATS for 68.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams. Ø The road team is coming off a double-digit home loss. Ø The road team is avenging a same-season loss in their previous meeting. Ø The road team has lost the last three previous meetings to the host. If our road team is priced as aq double-digit underdog they have gone 31-10-1 ATS for 76% winning bets and if our dog is playing with two days or more of rest they have gone 8-1-1 STS for 89% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
|||||||
02-07-24 | Pelicans +6.5 v. Clippers | Top | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
New Orleans Pelicans vs LA Clippers ESPN | 10 ET | cryto.com Arena 8-Unit Bet on the Pelicans +7 points and is valid down to 5.5 points. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced an exception record going 30-19 SU 32-15-2 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams playing on the same on 1 or fewer days of rest. Ø That road team is playing on the same amount of rest as the host. Ø The host is coming off a game making 40% or more of their three-point shots Ø The host saw the total play over by 30 or more points in their previous game. From my predictive machine learning model, we are looking for the Pelicans to score 115 or more points and have 12 or fewer turnovers. In past games over the past 5 seasons, the Pelicans are 45-13 SU and 47-10-1 ATS for 83% winning bets since 2019 when meeting these performance measures. When also priced as the underdog, they have gone a highly profitable 20-6 Su and 22-3-1 ATS for 88% winning bets since 2019. |
|||||||
02-07-24 | Spurs +8 v. Heat | Top | 104-116 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat 8-Unit Bet on the Spurs +7.5 points and is valid to 6.5 points. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced an exception record going 55-86 SU and 91-48-2 ATS for 65.45% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams that are avenging a same-season loss to the host. Ø The road team is coming off a double-digit road loss. Ø The total in the game is 220 or more points. If the game occurs in the second half of the regular season, these road teams have gone 70-30-1 ATS for 70% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
|||||||
02-07-24 | Cavs -11.5 v. Wizards | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 57 m | Show |
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards Capital One Arena | 7 ET 8-unit bet on the Cavaliers minus the 11.5 points and is valid to 12.5 points. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced an exception record going 126-123 SU and 150-91-8 ATS for 62.2% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams. Ø The road team has had 5 or more double-digit scorers in 75% or more of their games played. Ø The road team has no more than game in their last three played where they had five or more double-digit scorers. If the game occurs in the second half of the season, they have gone 45-22-2 ATS for 67% winning bets and if the game occurs in the second half of the regular season they have gone a highly profitable 16-4-1 ATS for 80% over the past 10 seasons. |
|||||||
02-07-24 | Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech -9.5 | Top | 81-76 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 45 m | Show |
Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech 7 ET | ESPN+ | Thomas Assembly Center 8-Unit bet on Louisiana Tech minus the 9.5 points and is valid up to -10.5 points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced an exception record going 218-72 SU 162-121-7 ATS for 57.2% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on home favorites of 3 to 10.5 points. Ø The home team is outscoring their opponents by 10 or more PPG. Ø The home led by 20 or more points at the half of their previous game. If our home favorite has posted an assist-to-turnover ratio of not more than 1.00 and the total is between 135 and 150 points they have earned an outstanding 43-18 SU record and 38-21 ATS for 64.4% winning tickets since 2015. From the predictive model we learn that WKY is 35-1 SU since 2006 and 10-3 ATS for 77% winning tickets since 2016 when scoring 77 or more points and with the opponent having committed three or more turnovers than they did. |
|||||||
02-07-24 | Loyola Maryland +9.5 v. American | Top | 44-43 | Win | 100 | 3 h 44 m | Show |
Loyola – Maryland vs American Bender Arena | 7 ET | ESPN+ 8-Unit bet on Loyola- Maryland +9.5 points and is valid to 8.5 points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced an exceptional record going 340-230-5 ATS for 60% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams that are priced at pick-em or as an underdog. Ø The road team is avenging a double-digit home loss. Ø The road team has lost 80% or more of their games on the season. American is just 9-18 ATS in each of the last two seasons after game number 15 and facing a foe that is forcing 14 or fewer turnovers per game. Loyola is 30-10 ATS for 75% in home games in which they seek to avenge a loss where they scored 60 or fewer points. Bet Loyola. |
|||||||
02-06-24 | Michigan State -3 v. Minnesota | Top | 56-59 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
Michigan State vs Minnesota Williams Arena | 9 ET | Peacock 8-Unit Bet on Michigan State -3.5 points and is valid to -4.5 points. Here are a few of the situational trends that are supporting this bet on MSU. MSU is 155-110 ATS after having won four of their last five games. Minnesota is 23-44 ATS after covering the the spread in four of their last five games. MSU is coming off a two-game home stand and under their head coach Tom Izzo they have gone 96-60 ATS when coming off a two home games in which they were priced as the favorite. From my predictive model, MSU is 19-6 SU and 16-5 ATS for 8-% when scoring 75 or more points and committing 12 or fewer turnovers when facing a conference foe under Tom Izzo. |
|||||||
02-06-24 | Wolves -5.5 v. Bulls | Top | 123-129 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Chicago Bulls The United Center | 8 ET 8-Unit bet on the Timberwolves -5.5 points and is valid up to 6.5 points. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 46-10 SU and 43-12-1 ATS record for 78% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams in February. Ø The road team is favored between 3.5 and 9.5 points. Ø The road team has won 60 to 75% of their games on the season. Ø The home team has won between 40 and 49% of their games on the season. From the predictive model, we learn that Minnesota has earned a highly profitable 17-4 SU and 17-3-1 ATS for 85% winning bets when scoring 125 or more points and having 14 or fewer turnovers in games played since 2019. |
|||||||
02-06-24 | Mavs v. Nets +4 | Top | 119-107 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks vs Brooklyn Nets Barclays Center | 7:30 PM EST 8-Unit Bet on the Nets plus the 2.5 points and is good down to pick-em. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 54-45 SU and 62-30-7 ATS record for 67.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on home dogs of five or fewer points. Ø The road team is playing their third game in the last four days (1 day of rest). Ø That road team is coming off a double-digit road win. |
|||||||
02-06-24 | Ole Miss v. South Carolina -3 | Top | 65-68 | Push | 0 | 3 h 16 m | Show |
South Carolina vs Mississippi Colonial Life Arena, Columbia 8-Unit bet on South Carolina -3.5 points and is valid to -4.5 points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 27-9 SU and 22-13-1 ATS record for 63% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on home favorites between 3 and 6.5 points. Ø The home team has covered the spread by a total of 48 or more points over their last 7 games. Ø The home te4am has won 75% or more of their games on the season. Ø The Total is between 130 and 145 points. |
|||||||
02-05-24 | Morgan State +8.5 v. North Carolina Central | Top | 79-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
Morgan State vs NC Central McDougal-McLendon Arena, Durham | 7:30 ET 8-Unit bet on Morgan State +7.5 points and is valid to 6.5 points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has gone 41-20-3 for 67% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on underdogs between 10 and 19.5 points. Ø The team is a terrible shooting from beyond the arc making 32% or fewer of those shots. Ø The foe allows 32% or lower 3-point shooting. Ø The game takes place after game number 15. Ø The team averages 14.5 to 17 turnovers per game. Ø The guest averages 14.5 or fewer turnovers per game. If the total is 220 or more points, the Under has gone an impressive 45-17-2 for 73% winning bets. |
|||||||
02-05-24 | Mavs v. 76ers +1.5 | Top | 118-102 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers 8-Unit Best Bet on the 76ers +1.5 points and is valid to pick-em at which point see if the money line has cheaper vig than the spread.
The following NBA betting algorithm has gone 38-22 SU (63%) and 39-19-2 ATS good for 67.2% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on a team that has won 50 to 75% of their games on the season. Ø The game takes place in the second half of the season. Ø The opponent has a winning record on the season. Ø Our team has lost to the spread by 47 or more points over their last seven games. |
|||||||
02-05-24 | Kings v. Cavs -4.5 | Top | 110-136 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
Sacramento Kings vs Cleveland Cavaliers 8-Unit Best Bet on the Cavaliers -4-points and is valid to -5.5 points.
The following NBA betting algorithm has gone 98-36 SU (73%) and 90-41-3 ATS good for 69% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on home teams. Ø The home team has allowed 105 or fewer points in each of their last two games. Ø The opponent scored 120 or more points in their previous game. |
|||||||
02-04-24 | Bucks +3 v. Jazz | Top | 108-123 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Utah Delta Center | 8 EST The following betting algorithm has produced a 82-51 ATS record for 62% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams. Ø That road team has allowed 115 or more points in each of their last two games and is now facing a foe that allowed 68 or more points in the first half of their last game. From the predictive model we learn that the Bucks are 16-2 SU and 12-4-2 ATS on the road when scoring 127 or more points and scoring 55 or more points in the paint over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
02-04-24 | Nebraska +10 v. Illinois | Top | 84-87 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
Nebraska vs Illinois 8-Unit bet on Nebraska +9.5 points and is valid down to 7.5 points. Nebraska is a decent 3-popint shooting team and this is something Illinois does struggle defending as evidenced by the fact they are 3-11 ATS when facing a team that is making right or more 3-point shots per game after the 15th game of each of the past three seasons. Illinois is just 6-17 ATS when having lost to the spread in two fo their last three games over the past three seasons; 46-69 ATS following a game in which they committed eight or fewer turnovers. Illinois head coach is 9-19 ATS following a game in which they made 78% or more of their free throws. From the predictive model, Nebraska is 24-4 SU and 20-4-4 ATS for 83% winning bets when they have scored 77 or more points and had 12 or fewer turnovers since 2019. |
|||||||
02-04-24 | Grizzlies +18.5 v. Celtics | Top | 91-131 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
Memphis Grizzlies vs Boston Celtics TD Garden | 6 ET 8-Unit Bet on the Grizzlies plus 16.5 points and is va.id if they remain a double-digit underdog. That is likely to happen, of course. Scoring is abundant and rapid in the NBA this season. There are many more lead changes per game then at any time since 1996 at least. Simply allow scoring volatility to work for your favor. My suggestion is to bet 70% on the Grizzlies preflop and then look to add 15% more at 19.5 points and 15% more at 23.5 points during the first half of action. The Celtics lead the Eastern Conference, but they are coming off a truly embarrassing loss to the Lakers, who played without AD and Lebron. So, safe to say the Celtics will start the game with a significant focus and get out to a double-digit lead quickly. If that occurs, then the live game betting strategy will work quite well. This bet is not dependent on garbage time, but if the Celtics get out to a 20-point lead through three quarters, the back door cover will be in play. The following NBA betting algorithm has earned a 115-181 record for 39% and 182-111-3 ATS record good for 62% winning bets since 2016. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams that are coming off a double-digit loss at home. Ø The road team is avenging a loss to the current foe. If the total is 220 or more points, these road dogs have produced a 90-45-1 ATS record for 67% winning bets. |
|||||||
02-03-24 | Iowa State v. Baylor -3.5 | Top | 68-70 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
(12) Iowa State vs (18) Baylor Foster Pavilion, Waco, TX Betting on ranked teams that are ranked higher in numeric value in the AP poll (Baylor ranked 18th and Iowa State ranked 12th) and are at home facing a conference foe have gone 294-180 SU (62%) and 176-133-8 ATS (57%) since 2006. If the line is between 3.5 and 6.5 points these home ranked teams have gone 7-1 SUATS since 2018. In a ranked matchup of conference foes where the home team is favored between 1.5 and 10.5 points and the total is between 135 and 145 points, the home team has gone 60-17 SU and 47-27-3 ATS for 64% winning bets since 2006. If the home team has won 75% or more of their games on the season, they improve to 44-11 SU and 36-17-2 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2006. If we drill down a bit further into the matchup and include only games after the 15th one of the regular season, these homers have gone 32-5 SU and 24-11-2 ASTS for 69% winning bets. ISU is just 2-12 ATS in road games facing teams that attempt 21 or more 3-point shots per game on the season over the last two seasons. Baylor is 6-0 ATS when facing teams who are called for 3+ less fouls per game than their opponents over the last three seasons.
From the predictive model we expect Baylor to score 77 or more points and shoot 42% or higher form beyond the arc and have no more than 15 turnovers. In past home games when they met or exceeded these performance hurdles, they have gone on to a highly profitable 102-4 SU record and 53-7 ATS mark good for 88% winning bets since 2006. In games in which ISU allowed these measures has seen them go a terrible 12-56 SU and 5-31-1 ATS for 14% winning bets. |
|||||||
02-03-24 | Nets +3.5 v. 76ers | Top | 136-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
Brooklyn Nets vs 76ers Wells Fargo Arena 6 EST 8-UNIT BET on the Brooklyn Nets plus the points and is valid down to pick-em. Ben Simmons is listed as probable for this game against his former team and you can be sure he will know form the fans that he is playing in the City of Brotherly Love. He returned from a significant lower back neurological injury to nearly record a triple-double against the Utah Jazz in just 20 minutes. So, in games he has played this season he has put up better numbers than last season, for instance. Do not forget, that does rank 31st on the all-time NBA list in triple-doubles and if he does start tonight, making a pizza money bet on him to get that triple-double is an excellent betting opportunity. Embiid is listed as OUT for tonight and with Maxey coming off a 52-point game, the 76ers are prone to regression. The following betting algorithm has gone 114-181 and 181-111-3 ATS for 62% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams avenging a loss to the current foe. Ø That team is coming off a double-digit home loss. If in a divisional matchup, our road team has produced an 81-38 ATS record good for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
|||||||
02-03-24 | Eastern Michigan v. Northern Illinois -6 | Top | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois 8-Unit best bet on NIU -6 points and is valid to -8 points.
The line for this game is likely to get cheaper for us, so give this one a bit of patience and monitor it ahead of the tip. NIU is 12-3 ATS when facing teams that average 6 or less steals per game on the season after 15 or more games in each of the past three seasons. EMU is a money-burning 0-8 ATS in road games after two or more consecutive UNDER results over the last three seasons. The following College Basketball betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 32-15-1 Under for 68% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: Ø Bet the Under in games with a total of 148 or more points. Ø The home team is the underdog. Ø The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games. Ø The guest has seen their last 10 games play OVER by 30 or more points. For live betting considerations place 80% of your 8-unit betting amount NIU preflop and then look to add 20% more on NIU at -1.5 points during the first half of action. |
|||||||
02-03-24 | Morehead State v. Tennessee Tech +11 | Top | 67-60 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
Morehead State vs Tennessee Tech 8-Unit best bet on Tennessee Tech plus 11 points and is valid of the remain a double-digit underdog. TTECH is not a good basketball team. However, there are solid teams ATS in specific situations. They are 9-1 ATS having lost eight or more of their last 10 games over the last three seasons; 6-0 ATS in home games avenging a loss to the current opponent by double-digits over the last two seasons. TTECH head coach Pelphrey is 28-12 ATS in home games when facing low pressure defensive teams that are forcing 14 or fewer turnovers per game after 15 games in all games he has coached. |
|||||||
02-02-24 | Kings -3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 133-122 | Win | 100 | 3 h 30 m | Show |
Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers 7:30 ET | Gainbridge Fieldhouse 10-Unit best bet on the Kings minus the 3.5 points and is valid to 5.5 points. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 231-69 SU and 191-102-7 ATS (65%) winning bets since 2000. The requirements are: Ø Bet on a Western Conference Road team. Ø That road team is favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points. Ø That team is avenging a loss to the current host in their previous meeting. If our road team is playing on less rest than the host the record improves to 67-17 SU for 80% and 55-26-3 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2000. For live betting considerations and knowing that the algo shows an 80% SU record, bet 75% of your 10-Unit betting amount at -3.5 points and then add 25% of that amount at pick-em during the first half of action. From the predictive models we are expecting the Kings to score 127 or more points and have the better and more efficient assist to turnover ratio. In past road games in which the Kings met or exceeded these expectations has produced a 47-9 SU record for 84% and a 42-11-3 ATS record good for 79% winning bets over the past 7 seasons. The Pacers are a horrid 1-32 SU and 7-26 ATS for 21% winning bets when allowing these performance measures. |
|||||||
02-01-24 | 76ers +4.5 v. Jazz | Top | 127-124 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Utah Jazz 10:00 ET | The Delta Center 8-Unit best bet on the 76ers getting a plus 4.5 points and is valid down to +3.5 points. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 48-47 SU and 61-32-2 ATS (65.6%) winning bets since 2014 (10 seasons). The requirements are: Ø Bet on road underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points. Ø That road team is playing at least their fourth consecutive road game. Ø That road team has lost all of the previous three road games. If our road team is playing on one day of rest exact they improve to 20-13 SU and 23-10 ATS for 70% winning bets since 2014. The 76ers have used 15 different lineups and there have been 3 games in which Maxey and Embiid have not started. In those games they have gone 0-3, but 2-1 ATS and nearly took don the Celtics earlier this year and the Nuggets this past Saturday. The team already knows Embiid will be out for tonight and likely to be out until after the all-star break. That is great news for the 76ers having these injuries happen to several of their players this close to the break. In games played with a different starting five than the previous game, the 76ers are 8-3 SU and 6-5 ATS. Tonight they are the dog and knowing they are 8-3 having a different starting five presents a powerful opportunity. The current market pricing the 76ers as 4.5-point underdogs and a total of 234.5 points reflects a 119-115 Jazz win. My predictive models project an 83% probability that the 76ers will score at least 114 points and have the better and more efficient assist to turnover ratio. So, again, the market pricing and my predictive models is reflecting the expectation that Maxey and Embiid will be out tonight. However, in most cases like this one the market over reacts and presents a solid betting opportunity to get on the dog tonight knowing that the 76ers are 111-12 SU (90%) and 95-28 ATS for 77% winning bets and if on the road as a dog they are 11-3 SU and 13-1 ATS for 93% wining bets over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
02-01-24 | Morehead State v. Tennessee State +4.5 | Top | 68-49 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 15 m | Show |
Morehead State vs Tennessee State TS is a solid 11-2 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last three seasons; 15-4 ATS in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons; 24-9 ATS off 3 straight wins against conference rivals. TS head coach Collis is a perfect in home games after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games. From the predictive model TS is expected to score 70 or more points and for Morehead to have at least four ore turnovers than TS. In past games in which TS has met these projections has seen them go 25-8 ATS for 76% winning bets. |
|||||||
02-01-24 | Old Dominion +9.5 v. Marshall | Top | 83-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
Old Dominion vs Marshall 7:00 EST | 8-Unit Bet on ODU plus the 9 points and is valid down to 7.5 points. Consider adding a sprinkle on the money line that is not more than 0.5 units. If you like the money line more than just a sprinkle then reduce the spread bet to 7 units and add 1.5 units on the money line to make the combination wager a little more aggressive. ODU is on an 11-3 ATS run when facing teams who are called for 17 or fewer fouls per game after 15+ games spanning the last two seasons. Marshall is 3-18 ATS after 2 straight games attempting 10+ more free throws than opponent in each game. From the predictive model, ODU is a perfect 7-0 ATS when scoring 71 or more points and committing 12 or fewer turnovers over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
01-31-24 | Bucks -10 v. Blazers | Top | 116-119 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
Milwaukee Bucks vs Portland Trailblazers Moda Center, Portland, Oregon | 10:00 ET | ESPN 8-Unit Bet on the Bucks -9.5 points and is valid to -11 points. The following betting algorithm has produced a 103-15 SU record and a 76-39-3 ATS mark for 66% winning bets since 1996. The requirements are: Ø Bet on winning record road favorites of 7.5 or more points. Ø Game is being played in the second half of the season. Ø The foe is on no more than two game win streak. Ø The foe has won between 25 and 40% of their games on the season. |
|||||||
01-31-24 | Kings +1.5 v. Heat | Top | 106-115 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
Sacramento Kings vs. Miami Heat 7:30 ET | Kaseya Center 8-Unit best bet on the Kings getting a point and remains valid to -2.5-point favorites. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 55-48 SU and 72-30-1 ATS (71%) winning bets since 2016. From 2016 to the current game scoring has been on a historic rise lead wide and is the reason this season is selected as the starting point for the algorithm. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams. Ø That road team lost to the host in their previous meeting by 3 or fewer points. Ø The host is coming off an upset loss. If our road team is priced as a dog of not more than 6.5 points, they have soared to a highly profitable 19-12 SU and 25-6 ATS (81%) winning bets record since 2016. Also, road teams that lost by three or fewer points in the previous meeting with the host and playing on one day of rest exact facing that host who is coming off an upset loss have gone an impressive 38-25 SU and 46-16-1 ATS for 75% winning bets since 2016. The base algorithm has had 10 consecutive seasons producing profits with winning ATS records. Over these years the worst losing streak was 4 straight games that overlapped the 2021 and 2022 seasons. The longest losing streak in a specific season has been three games ATS. Looking at the first derivative when this system lost the previous bet has bounced back with an 18-10 ATS 64% winning record. The last active game for this algorithm lost SU and ATS when the San Antonio Spurs lost to the Atlanta Hawks 109-99 as 8-point underdogs. For the 2023 season, this algorithm is 5-2 ATS for 71.4% winning bets. |
|||||||
01-31-24 | Pistons v. Cavs -12.5 | Top | 121-128 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers Rocket Mortgage Field House, Cleveland | 7 ET 8-Unit Bet on the Cavaliers minus the 12.5 points and is valid up to 14.5 points. The following NBA betting algorithm has done very well posting a 32-16 ATS record for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on any team facing a foe coming off a home win of 8 or more points. Ø In that win they had 8 fewer fouls called on them than their season-to-date average. If our team has a winning record and the game takes place in the second half of the regular season they improve to a 10-4 ATS mark good for 71.4% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
01-31-24 | Richmond v. Fordham +2 | Top | 83-69 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
Richmond at Fordham 8-Unit Bet on the Fordham Rams getting 2 points. If this line drops to 1.5 dog and at most 1.5-point favorite use the money line. So, this bet is valid to -1.5-point favorite. The following betting algorithm has produced a 42-19 SU record and a 43-17-1 ATS mark good for 71% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: Ø Bet on home teams priced between a 3-point favorite and a 3-point dog. Ø That home team has earned a win percentage between 40 and 50%. Ø That home team has played Under the total by 30 or more points over their last five games. |
|||||||
01-30-24 | 76ers +3.5 v. Warriors | Top | 107-119 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Golden State Warriors 10:00 ET | Chase Center 8-Unit best bet on the 76ers plus the 3.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog. Keep in mind that Joel Embiid and Maxey have not played in the last two games and it is unknown currently if either will be suiting up tonight. The 76ers have lost three consecutive road games and they would like nothing more than to end this streak tonight, but the health of both players is paramount first and foremost. We saw the line jump from a 5.5 point dog to 13.5 points when it was announced close to the tip of the game that they 76ers two studs were not playing in the game. Still, the 76ers easily covered and nearly defeated the Nuggets, who were at full strength. I would bet no more than 50% of your normal bet size now and then look for the news to surface declaring either player starting or is OUT. I do think there is a lean on this line that Maxey will play and Embiid will be out. However, if Embiid and Maxey are both good to go in this game, the line will will move toward pick-em in a NY second. The following betting algorithm has produced a 28-40 SU record, but a solid 45-22-1 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on a road team that is playing the second game of back-to-backs. Ø That team has lost their last three games all on the road. If the game is not a conference matchup, our road team improves to an highly profitable 19-24 SU and 30-12-1 ATS for 71.4 % winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
|||||||
01-30-24 | Northern Illinois +3.5 v. Central Michigan | Top | 77-84 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan If you like NIU to win this game outright then consider placing 6.5 units on the line and 1.5 units on the money line. The following Money Line College Basketball betting system has gone 99-115 for 46% winners, but by averaging a +158-money line wager has earned 45 units per unit wagered over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on any team that has allowed 47% or higher shooting in three consecutive games. Ø That team is facing a foe that has allowed 40% or lower shooting in each of their last three games. |
|||||||
01-29-24 | Magic v. Mavs -4 | Top | 129-131 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Orlando Magic vs Dallas Mavericks 8:30 ET | American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas. 8-Unit best bet on the Mavericks minus the four points and is valid up to -5.5 points. The following betting algorithm has produced a 115-126 SU record, but a solid 141-98-2 ATS record good for 59% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on any team that has lost five or six of their last 7 games. Ø That team has a winning record on the season. Ø The opponent has a winning record on the season. If our team is playing at home and priced as the favorite, they have improved to a highly profitable 51-17 SU (75%) and 45-23 ATS mark good for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. Last, if our home favorite has posted a 1.8 or higher assist-to-turnover ratio they soar to an 18-6 SUATS mark for 75% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit betting amount on the Mavericks preflop and then look to add 30% more at Mavericks priced at pick-em. |
|||||||
01-29-24 | Suns v. Heat -3 | Top | 118-105 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat 7:30 ET | NBA TV 8-Unit Bet on the Heat -3.5 points and is valid up to 4.5 points. The following betting algorithm has produced a 115-126 SU record, but a solid 141-98-2 ATS record good for 59% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on any team that has lost five or six of their last 7 games. Ø That team has a winning record on the season. Ø The opponent has a winning record on the season. If our team is playing at home and priced as the favorite, they have improved to a highly profitable 51-17 SU (75%) and 45-23 ATS mark good for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. Last, if our home favorite has posted a 1.8 or higher assist-to-turnover ratio they soar to an 18-6 SUATS mark for 75% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit betting amount on the Heat preflop and then look to add 30% more at pick-em. |
|||||||
01-29-24 | Boston University v. Holy Cross +3.5 | Top | 63-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
Boston University vs Holy Cross 7 ET | Hart Center, Worcester, MA 8-Unit bet on Holy Cross +3.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog. Let’s get right to the predictive model that projects Holy Cross will score 69 or more points and commit 12 or fewer turnovers. In past games over the past five seasons when Holy Cross has met or exceeded these performance measures in home games has led to a 4-4 SU record and a 6-1 ATS record good for 86% winning bets over the past two seasons. Boston University is 10-26 ATS for 28% when allowing 69 or more points and forcing 12 or fewer turnovers over the past five seasons. Holy Cross has not been lined to all games over the lifetime as a Division-1 Basketball program. |
|||||||
01-28-24 | Raptors +6.5 v. Hawks | Top | 125-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks 8-Unit bet on the Raptors +6.5 points and is a valid bet down to 5 points. The following betting algorithm has earned an 48-72 SU record, but an impressive 77-41-2 ATS record good for 65% winning bets since 2018. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams playing with same season revenge. Ø The road team is coming off a home loss by double-digits. Ø The Total in the game is 220 or more points. |
|||||||
01-27-24 | Kings v. Mavs +3.5 | Top | 120-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks 8-Unit bet on the Mavericks plus the three points and is valid if they remain the dog. Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on the Mavericks at +6.5 or better during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Mavericks is the following algorithm that has gone 24-22 (52%) SU and 30-15-1 ATS for 67% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: · Bet on underdogs between pick and 7.5 points. · Our dog has allowed 115 or more points in five consecutive games. · The favorite has scored 115 or more points in each of their two previous games. |
|||||||
01-27-24 | Pelicans v. Bucks -5 | Top | 117-141 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
New Orleans Pelicans vs Milwaukee Bucks 8-Unit bet on the Bucks minus 5 points and is valid up 6.5 points. Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on the Bucks at -1.5 or better during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Bucks is the following algorithm that has gone 38-22 SU and 39-19-2 ATS for 67% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: · Bet on home teams in the second half of the regular season. · The home team has won 60 to 75% of their games. · The home team has lost to the spread by 47 or more points spanning their last 7 games. · The opponent has posted a winning record. If our home team is playing the second game of a back-to-back schedule they soar to 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS for 80% winning bets since 2019. |
|||||||
01-27-24 | Tulsa +3.5 v. Rice | Top | 85-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
Tulsa vs Rice 8-Unit bet on Tulsa plus the 3 points and is valid if they remain the underdog. Consider betting 80% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 20% on Tulsa at +7.5 or better during the first half of action. Rice is 2-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 1-8 ATS when facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by four or more PPG this season; 8-18-1 ATS when facing a conference foe spanning the last two seasons; 0-6 ATS following three consecutive games in which they committed no more than 14 turnovers in each of the three games. From the predictive models we learn that Tulsa is 15-6 SU and 12-6-1 ATS for 67% winning bets when scoring 74 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers in games played over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
01-27-24 | Jazz -9.5 v. Hornets | Top | 134-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
Charlotte Hornets vs Utah Jazz 8-Unit bet on the Jazz minus 10 points and is valid up 11.5 points. Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on the Jazz at -6.5 or better during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Jazz is the following algorithm that has gone 257-60 (81%) SU and 191-119-7 ATS for 62% winning bets since 2004. The requirements are: · Bet on road favorites between -5.5 and -10.5 points. · Our road team has scored 5 or more points above the league average scoring level in their last three games. If the host is playing on back-to-back nights our road favorite soars to a highly profitable 45-7 (87%) SU and 36-16-1 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2004. |
|||||||
01-27-24 | Kentucky v. Arkansas +7 | Top | 63-57 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
Arkansas vs Kentucky 8-Unit bet on the Razorbacks plus 7.5 points and is valid to 6 points Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on the Razorbacks at +11.5 or better during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Razorbacks is the following algorithm that has gone 15-100 SU and 70-44-1 ATS for 61.4% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: · Bet on underdogs of 6 or more points. · Our dog is coming off a double-digit loss to a conference foe. · The opponent is coming off an road upset loss. If our dog is playing at home and their average points plus the foe’s average points per game is more than the posted total, our dog’s record improves to a highly profitable 5-18 SU and 17-6 ATS record for 74% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
01-26-24 | Rockets -5 v. Hornets | Top | 138-104 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
Houston Rockets vs Charlotte Hornets 8-Unit bet on the Rockets minus the 5.5 points and is valid up 6.5 points. Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on the Rockets -2.5 15% more at pick-em points during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Rockets is the following algorithm that has gone 341-117 SU and 275-166-17 ATS for 63% winning bets since 1995. The requirements are: · Bet on road favorites of not more than 12 points · Facing a host that is getting outscored by 6 or more PPG. · Our favorite has held their previous five opponents to 9 or fewer points less than the league scoring average. · The game takes place in the second half of the season. |
|||||||
01-25-24 | Pacific +27.5 v. St. Mary's | Top | 28-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Pacific vs St. Mary’s
Consider betting 80% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 20% on Pacific at +34.5 points during the first half of action. This is a monster dog and upon occasion the models do identify a great opportunity with these horrible playing teams going up against a top-level conference foe. Supporting this bet on Pacific is the following algorithm that has gone 11-113 SU, bnut a hioghly profitable 81-43 ATS for 65.3% winning bets since 1995. The requirements are: · Bet on double-digit underdogs. · The dog is coming off three consecutive losses to conference foes. · The favorite is coming off an upset win on the road. If the foe is not ranked in the latest Top-25 AP poll our dogs improve to a 64-36 ATS record for 64% winning bets since 1995. |
|||||||
01-25-24 | San Francisco v. Gonzaga -9 | Top | 72-77 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
San Francisco vs Gonzaga Consider betting 80% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 20% on two parts consisting of 10% on the Zags at -6.5 and 10% on the Zags at -3.5 points during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Zags is the following algorithm that has gone 70-20 SU and 52-36-2 ATS for 59% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: · Bet on home favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points. · The favorite is outscoring their foes by an average 10 or more PPG. · The favorite is playing on four or more days of rest. · The favorite led by 20 or more points at the half of their previous game. If the game is after the 13th game of the regular season our favorites have gone an impressive 24-2 SU and 16-8-2 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
|||||||
01-25-24 | Nuggets -2 v. Knicks | Top | 84-122 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on the Nuggets at +1.5 and 15% on the Nuggets at +4.5 points during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Jazz is the following algorithm that has gone 366-135 SU and 309-182-10 ATS for 63% winning bets since 1995. The requirements are: · Bet on road favorites between -1.5 and -11 points. · The game is a non-conference matchup. · The road team is a member of the Western Conference. · The road team lost the last time they faced this host. If the favorite is averaging 25 or more assists per game, they soar to a 93-27 SU record and an 80-46-3 ATS record good for 64% winning bets since 1995 and
|
|||||||
01-25-24 | Wolves v. Nets +3.5 | Top | 96-94 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Brooklyn Nets Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on the Nets at +6.5 and 15% on the Nets at +9.5 points during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Nets is the following algorithm that has gone 53-42 SU and 60-28-7 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are: · Bet on home dogs of 5 or fewer points. · The visitor is playing the second game of back-to-back nights. · The visitor played on the road previous night and won by double-digits. If the total in the game is 220 or fewer points our home dog goes to earn a highly profitable 30-18 SU mark and 32-13-3 ATS for 71% winning bets since 2015. |
|||||||
01-25-24 | Jazz -7.5 v. Wizards | Top | 123-108 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
Utah Jazz vs Washington Wizards 8-Unit bet on the Jazz minus the 7.5 points and is valid up 9.5 points. Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on the Jazz at -4.5 and 15% on the Jazz at -1.5 points during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Jazz is the following algorithm that has gone 149-38 SU and 120-64-3 ATS for 65% winning bets since 1995. The requirements are: · Bet on favorites between 3 and 14 points. · The opponent had 13 more turnovers than their previous opponent. If the underdog is playing the second of back-to-back nights, our favorite’s record improves to 33-9 SU and 29-13 ATS for 69% winning bets since 1995. |
|||||||
01-24-24 | Illinois v. Northwestern +3 | Top | 91-96 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
Illinois vs Northwestern The following college basketball betting algorithm has produced a 158-91 ATS record for 64% winning bets over the past 27 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on home teams from pick-em to any size underdog. · Game is after the 15th game of the season. · The home team allows an average of 67 to 74 PPG. · Facing a foe that is averaging 78 or more PPG. · That foe is coming off two straight Over results. Northwestern plays a bit slower style of game than Illinois and having the home court advantage will allow NWU to control the tempo of the game to their advantage. This is a critical game for Northwestern and with a win puts them into the coference champion conversation and off the NCAA bubble chat. |
|||||||
01-24-24 | Suns v. Mavs +2.5 | Top | 132-109 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on Dallas at +5.5 and 15% on Dallas at 9.5 points during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Mavericks is the following algorithm that has gone 30-14-1 for 68% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: · Bet on underdogs between pick and 7.5 points. · That dog has allowed 115 or more points in each of their last five games. · The opponent has scored 115 or more points in each of their last two games. |
|||||||
01-24-24 | Cavs v. Bucks -6.5 | Top | 116-126 | Win | 100 | 4 h 60 m | Show |
Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers 8-Unit bet on the Bucks minus the 6.5 points and is valid to 7.5 points. After firing Adrian Griffin, the Milwaukee Bucks have reached out to Doc Rivers and are engaging him in conversations about the franchise's head-coaching job, sources told ESPN on Tuesday. Griffin had a 30-13 (.698) record, but the Bucks had dropped from fourth to 22nd in defensive efficiency from a season ago, although some of that can be attributed to the loss of All-Star guard Jrue Holiday. So, a breath of fresh air and the removal of the uncertain status of their head coach has been removed from the team culture and many times this lends itself to an outstanding first game under the new head coach or even an interim coach. The following betting algorithm has produced a 54-29 SU record and a 55-26-2 ATS mark for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on a team that has lost to the spread by a total of 47 or more points over their last seven games. · That team has won 60 to 75% of their games on the season. · The guest has a winning record. If the game takes place in the second half of the season these teams have earned a 38-22 SU mark and 29-19-2 ATS mark good for 67.2% winning bets since 2019. The following betting algorithm has produced a 33-19 SU record and a 34-17-1 ATS mark for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on a home team that has lost three or more games to the spread. · The visitor has covered the spread in 7 or more of their last 8 games. Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on Dallas at +5.5 and 15% on Dallas at 9.5 points during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Mavericks is the following algorithm that has gone 30-14-1 for 68% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: · Bet on underdogs between pick and 7.5 points. · That dog has allowed 115 or more points in each of their last five games. · The opponent has scored 115 or more points in each of their last two games. |
|||||||
01-24-24 | Grizzlies +11 v. Heat | Top | 105-96 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat 8-Unit bet on the Grizzlies +10 points and is valid to 9.5 points. Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on the Grizzlies at +13.5 and 15% on the Grizzlies at +16.5 points during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Grizzlies is the following algorithm that has gone 70-40-2 for 64% winning bets since 2016. The requirements are: · Bet on road underdogs with a win percentage between 25 and 40% on the season. · Our road dog is coming off a road win. · The host has a winning record on the season. · The game occurs after the 21st game of the regular season (25% of the season). If our dog is priced at 9 or more points they have earned a 37-13-1 ATS record for 74% winning bets since 2016. The Heat are playing with two days of rest and coming off a terrible 18-point drubbing to the Orlando Magic and failed to cover the spread priced as 1-point favorites. The Grizzlies are playing with one day of rest and coming off an 8-point win over the Toronto Raptors and covered the spread by 15.5 points priced as 7.5-[point unde4dogs. |
|||||||
01-24-24 | Jacksonville State v. Middle Tennessee | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
Jax State vs Middle Tennessee State MTST is 40-19 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams making at least 45% of their shots after the 15th game of the regular since 1997; 24-11 ATS when facing solid defensive teams allowing 64 or fewer points per game; 15-4 ATS in home games following a conference game spanning the past three seasons; 26-12 ATS when coming off two or more consecutive road losses. JAX State head coach Harper is just 4-13 ATS when the total has been fewer than 130 points. MTST head coach McDevitt is 12-3 ATS after the 15th game of the season playing at home and facing a foe that is shooting 45% or better from the field. |
|||||||
01-24-24 | Auburn +4 v. Alabama | Top | 75-79 | Push | 0 | 3 h 16 m | Show |
Auburn vs Alabama
The line and total for this game conveys an 83-79 Alabama win. My predictive models show an 84% probability that Auburn will score 78 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers in this game. In past games in which Auburn met or exceeded these performance measures in their road games has seen them go 22-3 SU and 19-4-1 ATS for 83% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Alabama is 7-9 SU and 2-14 ATS for 13% winners in home games when they allowed 78 or more points and had the same or more turnovers in games played over the past 10 seasons. |
|||||||
01-23-24 | Evansville +13.5 v. Northern Iowa | Top | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Evansville vs Northern Iowa The following college basketball betting algorithm has gone 27-46 SU, but a highly profitable 45-26-2 ATS for 63.4% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are: · Betting on underdogs. · The Dog has failed to cover the spread by 42 or more points over their last five games. · The opponent has seen their last five games play Under by 55 or more points spanning their last five games. If the total in the game is posted at 140 or more points, these dogs improve to 20-23 SU and 29-13-1 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2015.
|
|||||||
01-23-24 | Toledo v. Northern Illinois +5.5 | Top | 89-73 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Toledo vs Northern Illinois 8 EST Here are a few of the situational betting angles supporting NIU in this game. Toledo is 2-9 ATS when facing a team whose defense averages 14 or fewer turnovers per game. NIU is 37-16 AYTS when facing an elite ball handling team committing an average of 12 or fewer turnovers per game after the 15 game the regular season spanning the past 20 seasons. Toledo is 1-11 ATS after having won three of their last four games spanning the past two seasons; 26-13 ATS after two games facing conference foes spanning the past three seasons. NIU is 31-13 ATS following a game in which they scored 75+ points spanning the past 20 seasons. The current lines convey an 82-77 Toledo win and my predictive model project that NIU has an 85% probability of scoring 85 or more points. In past home games in which NIU scored 75 or more points has led them to a highly profitable 84-8 SU record and 41-14 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the past 20 seasons and 10-4 ASTS for 71.4% winning bets over the past three seasons. |
|||||||
01-23-24 | Nuggets v. Pacers +5 | Top | 114-109 | Push | 0 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers 8-Unit best bet on the Pacers plus 4.5 points and is valid to 3.5 points. Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% at Pacers +7.5 and 15% at Pacers +9.5 points. Supporting this bet on the Pacers is the following algorithm that has gone 69-76 straight-up (SU) and 93-49-3 ATS for 65.5% winning bets since 2016. The requirements are: · Bet on dogs of 2.5 to 6.5 points. · Our dog had a losing record in the previous season. · Total is 220 or more points. · The opponent had a winning record in the previous season. · The opponent is coming off a road win. This algorithm had hardly any plays prior to the 2017 season, since it was that season that saw the steady increase in scoring in each year since. So, it has not had a losing record since 2016. There is a subset too that if our home dog has a 1.80 or greater season-to-date assist to turnover ratio the overall ATS record improves to 44-18-1 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
|||||||
01-23-24 | Wisconsin -3 v. Minnesota | Top | 61-59 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
Wisconsin vs Minnesota 7 EST Wisconsin is 16-5-1 ATS when facing teams averaging 16 or more assists per game in games played over the past three seasons; 8-1 ATS when facing teams that are outscoring their foes by 8+ PPG in games played this season; 14-4-1 ATS following a game in which both teasm scored 75 or more points over the past 15 seasons. From the predictive models, there is an 85% probability that Wisconsin will score 78 or more points and have 12 or fewer turnovers. In past games in which Wisconsin met or exceeded these performance measures they went on to an outstanding 28-1 SU and 20-6 ATS for 77% winning bets over the past five seasons. When Minnesota has allowed these measures they have gone on to a 2-21 SU record and 5-17-1 ATS mark for 22% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
01-22-24 | Hawks +8.5 v. Kings | Top | 107-122 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
Hawks vs Kings 8-Unit best bet on the Hawks plus 8 points and is valid to 7.5 points. Betting on a road team coming off an Under result and is now facing a foe that returned home from a four or more-game win streak and lost at home in their previous game has gone 306-201-34 ATS for 69% winning bets since 1995. If our team is coming off an under result priced as the underdog they have soared to a 36-17-1 ATS record good for 68% winning bets since 1995. |
|||||||
01-22-24 | Cincinnati v. Kansas -8 | Top | 69-74 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
Cincinnati vs Kansas Cincinnati is 9-19 ATS when facing an elite team shooting 45% or better and allowing 42% or lower in games played over the past three seasons. Kansas is 120-74 ATS when playing only their third game in a week; 70-40 ATS after allowing 80+ points in their previous game; 85-57 ATS following a loss. |
|||||||
01-22-24 | Nicholls State -2.5 v. Incarnate Word | Top | 78-74 | Win | 100 | 2 h 7 m | Show |
Nicholls State vs Incarnate Word Betting on road teams after game number 15 where the line is priced between the 3’s that are averaging 14 or fewer forced turnovers per game and facing a host that is averaging 14.5 to 18 turnovers per game and in matchup where both teams defenses are allowing 42.5 to 45% shooting has earned a 27-7-1 ATS record fot 79% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
01-22-24 | Cavs v. Magic +2.5 | Top | 126-99 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
Cavaliers vs Magic 8-Unit Bet on the Magic +1.5 points and use the money line if the line is between 1.5 and -1.5 for this game. Bet on winning record home teams that have are facing a winning record foe that has covered the spread in each of their last three home games priced as the favorite has earned a highly profitable 94-53 ATS for 64% winning bets since 2015. I four team is playing on the secod of back to back nights they have gone 13-6 ATS for 68% winning bets.
|
|||||||
01-21-24 | Pacers v. Suns -4.5 | Top | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
Indiana vs Phoenix Betting on winning record home teams that are priced as 3.5 to 9.5-point favorites that are facing a foe that has played Under by 42 or more points spanning their last seven games and also has posted a win record on the season has earned an highly profitable 84-49 ATS for 63% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our team has a 1.75 or greater assist to turnover ratio they soar to an outstanding 67-36 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past five seasons. From the predictive models, the Suns are 27-2 SU and 24-5 ATS when scoring 125 or more points and having 15 or fewer turnovers in home games played since 2019. |
|||||||
01-20-24 | Cavs v. Hawks +2.5 | Top | 116-95 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks 8-UNIT bet on the Hawks plus 2.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog. Betting on underdogs that are solid offensive teams scoring an average of 114 or more PPG and facing a foe that scored 135 or more point sin their previous games has earned a 56-27-2 ATS record for 68% winners over the past five seasons. If our dog has a losing record on the season they have gone 22-8 ATS for 73% winning bets. |
|||||||
01-20-24 | Northwestern v. Nebraska -2.5 | Top | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
Northwestern vs Nebraska Nebraska is 13-4 ATS in home games when facing a good ball handling teams committing 14 or fewer turnovers per game in games played over the past two seasons; 17-6 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 ATS in home games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals over the last 3 seasons. Northwestern is an imperfect 0-7 ATS when allowing 75 or more points and the predictive models show an 82% probability that Nebraska will score at least 75 points today. |
|||||||
01-20-24 | Hampton +12.5 v. Monmouth | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 2 h 4 m | Show |
Hampton vs Monmouth 8-Unit bet on Hampton +11.5 points and is valid to +10 points Betting on double-digit road underdogs that have forced 14 or fewer turnovers in five consecutive games and now facing a host that has played three consecutive games facing 11 or fewer turnovers has earned a 114-73-3 ATS record for 61% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. If the total is 145 or more points, these dogs have gone 34-17 ATS for 67% over the past 25 seasons. |
|||||||
01-18-24 | Bulls -2 v. Raptors | Top | 116-110 | Win | 100 | 2 h 6 m | Show |
Chicago Bulls vs Toronto Raptors Obviously, the trade has diminished the Raptors team immensely and I do believe the Bulls will win this game by a comfortable margin. |
|||||||
01-17-24 | Texas-San Antonio v. Tulsa -6.5 | Top | 78-107 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
TX-San Antonio vs Tulsa Tulsa is on a 56-31 ATS run when facing offensive-minded teams averaging 77 or more PPG. TXSA is just 4-13 ATS in road games after covering five or six of the past seven games. TXSA head coach Henson is just 13-24 ATS in road games when playing a winning record team after the 15th game of the season. From the predictive model, Tulsa is projected to score 80 or more points and commit no more than 12 turnovers. In past home games when Tulsa has met or e3xceeded these performance measures has led them to a 48-7 SU record and 28-6-3 ATS mark good for 82% winning bets. |
|||||||
01-16-24 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas +3.5 | Top | 77-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
Arkansas vs Texas A&M Betting on underdogs that have failed to cover the spread by 42 or more points spanning their last five games and now facing a foe that has gone Under the total by 55 or more points over their previous five games has earned a 26-26 SU record and 44-26-2 Ats mark for 63% winning bets since 2014 (10 seasons). If the total is between 140 and 149.5 points, these dogs have produced a 13-19 SU record and 21-10-1 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons and the Over in these games has been even better at 23-9 for 72% wining bets. The models did not identify a potential OVER bet for this matchup, but if you like it, I suggest betting it LIVE in-game at 137.5 or fewer points and make it no more than 3 units in size. I may put the OVER out on the web site as a free pick with the system featuring just the OVER and not giving away the side. |
|||||||
01-16-24 | Georgia +7.5 v. South Carolina | Top | 74-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
Georgia vs South Carolina Georgia is 13-3 ATS when coming off a home ATS win where the team lost the game; 9-1 ATS after scoring 75 or more points in each of their last five games. Georgia head coach White is 25-10 ATS in road games and facing a host that is averaging six or fewer steals per game after game number 15 for his career. |
|||||||
01-16-24 | Richmond +4.5 v. Duquesne | Top | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
Richmond vs Duquesne Richmond is 9-2 ATS this season when facing a solid ball handling team that averages 14 or fewer turnovers per game. Duquesne is 1-8 ATS this season when playing a team with a winning record; 0-6 ATS this seasons when facing a team making 45% or more of their shots; 1-8 ATS when facing a strong defensive team allowing 42% or less shooting this season. |
|||||||
01-15-24 | Southern v. Bethune-Cookman +5 | Top | 81-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
Southern University vs Bethune-Cookman Southern is 2-12 ATS in road games when facing teams making no better than 31% of their shots from beyond the arc in games played over the past three seasons; 1-9 ATS in road games after the 15th game of the season and facing a foe that has won 20 to 40% of their games, BC is 8-1 ATS in home games when facing a foe that averages three or more fouls per game than their opponents spanning the past three games.
|
|||||||
01-15-24 | Iowa +2.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 86-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
Iowa vs Minnesota Iowa is 8-1 ATS following a game with 24 or more assists spanning the past three seasons. Minnesota is just 24-42 ATS following losses to the spread in four of their last five games over the past 20 seasons. Iowa head coach McCaffery is 60-38 ATS when facing a team that averages 21 or more three point shots per game after the 15th game of the regular season. From the predictive model, Minnesota is just 3-9 SUATS in home games in which they allowed 77 or more points over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
01-15-24 | Spurs +8.5 v. Hawks | Top | 99-109 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
San Antonio Spurs vs Atlanta Hawks Betting on road underdogs that previous lost the last matchup to the current foe by three or fewer points and with that foe coming off an upset loss has earned a highly profitable 48-16 ATS record for 75% winning bets since 2016. If our road dog is playing on one day of rest exact they have gone 17-20 SU and 28-9 ATS for 76% winning bets. |